Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 10/2/25: Trump Cuts Blue State Funding, Job Losses As Gov Shuts Down, Data Centers Surge Electricity Prices

Episode Date: October 2, 2025

Saagar and Ryan discuss Trump cuts blue state funding, job losses as gov shuts down, data centers surge electricity prices.   YourFavoriteGuy: https://www.tiktok.com/@yourfavoriteguy?lang=en &nbs...p; To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.comMerch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:01:49 Tune in on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows. Hey guys, Saga and Crystal here. Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, and we are so excited about what that means for the future of this show. This is the only place where you can find honest perspectives from the left and the right that simply does not exist anywhere else. So if that is something that's important to you, please go to breakingpoints.com, become a member today,
Starting point is 00:02:15 and you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad-free, and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. We need your help to build the future of independent news media, and we hope to see you at breakingpoints. Good morning, everybody. Happy Thursday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. Bro show. Good to see you, Ryan. Good to see you. All right. Dad show, bro show. That's what people live for the pound. I got to get all my guys. Get the t-shirts. Yeah, that's right. We've got to get the t-shirts. All right. So we've got a great show for everybody today. Let's do this. The hardest part of the job. What do we have? We're going to start with the shutdown. We are officially some 24, what, 24, 48 hours. 48 hours. Something like that. 36 hours. Sorry, we'll go with that.
Starting point is 00:02:58 Time is a blur when you have. Nobody knows. The government is a shotgun at home. Yeah, exactly. We have a shutdown that's going on. We're going to break down all the politics for everybody, some of the developments from the Trump administration. We're going to get then to some of the democratic response and some of the internecing
Starting point is 00:03:11 warfare about whether the shutdown was a good idea or not. We have a lot of economic news, actually, to break down. In fact, because the government shut down, some of the key government indicators maybe not be released by the Trump administration, as well as some news on the beach. BLS nominee. That's one of those key data points that the Trump administration had been at war with. They nominated this new guy. And now all of a sudden, his nomination has been pulled. We are going to talk about SORA. SORA is this new, Ryan, open AI video generator, deeply dystopian AI show. Today's show is produced by that. Yeah, yeah, I wish it was produced by story. It'd save us a lot of
Starting point is 00:03:47 money, wouldn't it? Although the whole point may be, you know, in terms of what we're giving up, what do we get in for all this? And in particular, the amount of of money and power that these data centers, which power this AI, are consuming, is astronomical. I knew it's high, and even I did not know what the actual numbers were, including in the state where I live.
Starting point is 00:04:07 We're also gonna talk about Qatar, and it's funny, Ryan, we're very often accused to being Qatar assets for being critical of Israel, so I do hope that this block will set their record straight. Donald Trump, out of thin air, created Article 5-style protections for Qatar. Why exactly? because Israel attacked them.
Starting point is 00:04:26 Hmm, it seems better to just constrain Israel than just unilaterally grant Article 5 protection. And also Steve Wyckoff. You know, you and I have been joking in the last 24 hours. I always kind of thought it was a Zionist talking point that Steve Wickcoff is bought by Qatar. Have a little bit of a point, all right? It's like, you know, listen,
Starting point is 00:04:44 if he actually had followed through the ceasefire or a deal in Gaza, maybe we could, you know, it's like, what's a few billion here between friends? But if we're going to be where we are now and you're going to be straight, you know, in some sketchy dealings, it needs to be called out. You can imagine being a guitar.
Starting point is 00:04:59 You're like, we gave this guy billions. Yeah, yeah. We're still getting bombed. It's ridiculous. Didn't buy good assets anymore. Yeah. It's so good.
Starting point is 00:05:07 And then finally we're going to talk about TikTok, some of the new pro-Israel censorship rolling out across TikTok. And Ryan, you have a TikTok creator who you are friends with who has been massively suppressed in the algorithm. Tell us about him.
Starting point is 00:05:19 Yeah, he goes by your favorite guy. He's kind of tutored us. over at Dropside a little bit about how to do TikTok because this is a foreign, well, not only a foreign company, but a kind of, it used to be foreign in the colloquial sense to old people like me and Sager. And so he sent this new rollout, I think it was September 13th or 23rd. We'll get into it with him. These new community guidelines are presaging the extraordinary amount of censorship that we're going to see on TikTok going forward. So like his politics, don't like his politics, whatever, he's going to talk to us about what it's doing for his ability to express
Starting point is 00:05:57 those politics on this platform. Yeah, I don't care what his politics are. Right. So, you know, for me, it's just more interesting about the, you know, censorship guidelines and the things that have come into place. And some place previously, there was a lot of discussion around Israel and in particular really had an effect on youth culture. And it's been hit like that overnight. So we're very curious to see how that goes. Thank you to everybody who's been supporting the show, breaking points.com. If you are able to, if you're not, no worries to become a full subscription. just please go ahead and hit the subscribe button on YouTube. If you're listening to this on a podcast, send an episode to a friend and or rate us five stars.
Starting point is 00:06:31 It really helps other people find the show. So let's go ahead and start with the shutdown, as you said. The most consequential news is that the White House is telegraphing rifts or reduction in forces of U.S. government employees, given their unilateral authority on how to run the government. When there is a shutdown here is the press secretary of Caroline Levitt speaking yesterday at a press conference. Let's take a listen. clarify the timing of these potential layoffs to federal workers. You said imminent. The vice president seemed to say in a couple of days. It looks like Russ Boat maybe said in two days.
Starting point is 00:07:03 What is, when would these layoffs begin? Two days imminent very soon. You will expect more announcements right now. Is it just not clear or are you waiting? No, it's not unclear. All of those things are very synonymous with one another. These riffs are unfortunately going to have to happen very soon. Let's fix our policy after the shutdown. Where have I heard that before? Right now. Where have I heard of that before? From the other side, yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:27 There's nothing, there's something so beautiful about everybody just switching sides on the shutdown. You know, Republicans shut down the government multiple times. People just tore their hair out over the norms. Now the Democrats are shutting the shutdown. I love it personally. You know, I like to see people be responsive to their partisan bases. But, Ryan, tell us a little of your thoughts here in terms of the messaging wars on the shutdown before we get to Schumer. I mean, I think there's, there might be something to that regarding Schumer.
Starting point is 00:07:55 I don't know if it's just just AOC, threatening to challenge him in, in a primary. It's just generally this sense among Democrats that he is failing at his job and he's not being tough enough. I've heard of him going into spaces here in D.C. where it's all establishment elite type figures. and just getting absolute like hammered cold shoulder just like oh right this guy interesting so even like the brass
Starting point is 00:08:30 it's like this there's a there's a sense that going from Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi some some real ballers to Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries is a massive step down in like talent and strength I mean that's objectively true it's objectively true but even the establishment
Starting point is 00:08:47 like understands that Yeah, but I'll save some of my commentary, but isn't that kind of their fault? Like, they're the ones who wanted people who were more agreeable and more poll-tested. I mean, they voted for both these guys. They supported their candidacy. And Reed helped usher in Schumer, and Pelosi helped usher in Jeffries. Yeah, you're exactly right. It's really AOC's fault for knocking Joe Crowley out.
Starting point is 00:09:09 He'd be house speaker right now. It's actually deeply funny to consider all of that. All right, let's get to Chuck Schumer, his own response, some of the framing coming out. of the House and Senate leadership from the Democrats. Let's take a listen. What happens on Friday night when the family sits around the kitchen table and says, how are we going to pay the bills when they see that their insurance could be $1,000 more a month?
Starting point is 00:09:33 Health insurance, vital to the parents, the children of the family. What are they going to do? The average American can't afford $1,000 a month or even $400 a month. The average Americans could say, what the heck happened here? And we Democrats are going to be there every day, every hour. Senate, House, groups that care about health care, hospital groups, health care groups, research groups, and letting them know this didn't have to happen. It happened because our Republican colleagues wanted to give tax breaks to billionaires and cut their health care.
Starting point is 00:10:11 So, Ryan, they are going all in on the health care message. We've talked about it here quite a bit with Crystal. It does, obviously, it's the most poll tested. I mean, it's a legitimate issue. Not even just legitimate. It's a deeply important issue. ObamaCare subscriber here. So you're like, come on Dems. I'm just way, yeah, I'm like, yeah, you know, maybe. It's like a sly thing where I'm like, yeah, it wouldn't be so bad. You know, if they got what they wanted, it'd be nice, especially, you know, with the new addition here to our family plan. The question around it is, is this going to satisfy the Democratic base for some of the stuff that they want to stop Trump on? It's not really about
Starting point is 00:10:44 health care. Let's be honest. They just want to, you know, kind of throw a wrench in the government. And then the secondary question is to can the Democrats withstand what the Trump administration is going to do? So, for example, let's put A4 up here on the screen. I'll get your reaction. Russ Vote, who is the OMB director, says, quote, roughly 18 billion in New York City infrastructure projects have now been put on hold to ensure funding is not flowing based on, quote, unconstitutional DEI principles, more info to come from the U.S. DOT. He specifically there was talking. about New York City, what is it, the 2nd Avenue subway line, as well as another infrastructure project that is currently being funded by the government. And so you see the direct targeting
Starting point is 00:11:24 here of New York City. And I can combine it here with A5, just so you can tell us a little about some of the states. Nearly $8 billion in green, quote, green new scam funding to fuel the left's crime agenda is being canceled. Projects are in the following state. California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Vermont, Washington. For the life of me, Ryan. Pop quiz. I cannot.
Starting point is 00:11:49 What connects all of those states? You know, for the life of me, I cannot figure out what is in common with all these states. They have capitals that have three syllables. There you go. Right. That's got to be it, right? Not that they all voted for Democrats in the... Oh, yeah, that too.
Starting point is 00:12:05 Yes, that too. So, yeah, I mean, what do you think about the way that these establishment Dems are going to handle this, right? because they already lost a couple in terms of the vote. So how many do they actually need? Seven. But they need three more. Sorry, three more. They need three more to come along with them.
Starting point is 00:12:23 You've got the government. New York City, obviously, being targeted because of Chuck Schumer, the rest of the Democratic states to put a lot of pressure there on the senators. Of course, reduction in force. You've got Democrats who have a lot of veterans for the government like itself, for the bureaucrats. Are they really going to sit by and allow, you know, tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands to be fired.
Starting point is 00:12:42 eventually cave. I don't know. I mean, that almost seems worse to me from a Democratic-based perspective. So what's your read currently on the situation? Right. And I think, and we can put up a six as well, because this goes to it, is reporting from Capitol Hill saying that a gang of moderates in both parties, they're starting the old, the age-old gang process in search of a deal centered on ACA subsidies. What this means basically is that you'll get enough Democrats sitting down in a room with enough Republicans that if they all agree, they can, no matter what the leaderships want to do, they can break the logjam. And so I think it, I think this is where it heads. Because from Democrats' perspective, the base and Schumer, they just want to show that they
Starting point is 00:13:28 put up a fight. And now they've kind of showed that. And if they can get something, then they can move on and say, we're going to fight on this another day. Schumer's strategy here is very clear. Like, he's, in January, you, and I'm talking about all of you, and particularly Sagar, are going to, you know, get hit with the, if you're on the exchanges, which is about 20 million people. Yes. The subsidies go away and boom, all of a sudden, your affordable payment for the Affordable Care Act is now deeply. It's not that affordable, by the way, but it's more affordable. Yes, that's right. Then when they strip the subsidies away.
Starting point is 00:14:05 And Democrats want the public to know why that happened. And they're hoping that this big storm that they're creating now will then remind people, okay. So they're hoping, I think, that they made it make enough of a storm. And then once you've done that, you've kind of scratched all the different itches. You still have this fundamental philosophical question that actually, speaking of AOC, goes back to her debate with Joe Crowley, where she had gotten Crowley to say that ICE is fascist. And then she'd be like, but then why would you vote to fund a fascist agency? Which you, it's like when, that's why a lot of politicians don't want to call what's happening in Gaza genocide. Because once you call it a genocide, on what planet can you fund a genocide?
Starting point is 00:14:49 And what planet can you fund a fascist agency? So Democrats have said this is an authoritarian crackdown. You know, this is the end of the American Republic. Oh, and here we're going to fund it. That is just a. That's what they did earlier. Right. And they get it.
Starting point is 00:15:04 So they have to do something. Right. But then doesn't it seem as if shutting it down for, messaging purposes only to cave in a couple of days. Isn't that worse? Right? And how would Schumer and Jeffries and them handle it? So again, to explain just a little bit to people, the House bill has already passed, right? You only need a couple of senators to buckle and to just vote for the, quote, clean CR, whatever, to go through and then you're done. And so the majority of the Democrats could stand against the bill, but if a couple of the, quote, moderates do, well, you still lost,
Starting point is 00:15:34 and that's going to affect the national party at a major level. And maybe they get, and it'll be interesting to see how they work the details out because, yeah, you can make a deal around the subsidies, pass a clean CR, and then try to implement it in the next thing. Then you're at the whim of Republicans again. Right. So really you have to get it passed. But then Johnson and Republicans in the House would have to then agree to it, which goes back to a question I've been wondering from the GOP perspective, why fight this actually? Like they don't care about deficits anymore. But why not just say, okay, fine, you know what? These subsidies are going away. way would suck for us in an election year anyway. Fine. Keep them. Yeah, you know, because I wonder
Starting point is 00:16:13 how much of this is about health care and how much is it about the executive just basically doing backflips on, hey, we've been wanting this. They're like, we want, the OMB director, for example, I can read this just this morning. There's a new Trump truth, quote, I have a meeting today with Russ vote of Project 2025 fame to determine which, which, by the way, hilarious. Because now Project because he said, I have never heard of it. I have nothing to do with Project 2025. I'll fire anybody who has anything to do with Project 2025. I'll fire anybody who has anything to do with Project. 25. Anyway, whatever. To determine which of the many Democratic agencies, most of which are a political scam, he recommends to be cut and whether or not those cuts will be temporary or permanent. I can't believe the radical left Democrats gave me this unprecedented opportunity. They are
Starting point is 00:16:52 not stupid people. So maybe this is their way of wanting to quietly and quickly make America great again. I mean, he's kind of correct, right, in terms of they knew that this was the likely outcome. The Democratic response I have seen is if you look at Russ Votes tweet on New York, it has nothing to do with the shutdown. He said it was about DEI. So the point that I've seen the base in that they might make is, guys, they're going to cut funding whether they, whether there's a shutdown or not. So who cares? Why should we buckle to this? I just personally think that they can't sit by for that long and let the government just cut whatever agency or whatever people put entirely on furlough. In particular, if you see a straight up targeting of all Democratic
Starting point is 00:17:36 states and of their funding. long are they really going to go with it before some mealy mouth you know new new nevada democrat is going to be coming and voting for the c r i could i just i could i could that happening very quickly it could for sure um but but yes like democrats also do have that point that like russ vote's going to do this stuff anyway right so so the threats and the he's probably going to do more with it shut down but yeah democrats was what you know when you lose power your left would like bad and even worse. Elections have consequences, as Obama famously said.
Starting point is 00:18:13 I do wonder here with the shutdown again, you know, how the Democratic base is feeling is because something that is mystifying to me is if you recall in 2013, the shutdown was the biggest story in the world. It was everywhere. I was living, I was going to college here in Washington, but the Obama administration made sure that you knew about the shutdown. They had sign. I remember, you know, even in the place that I would walk sometimes, which was near my university, was technically national park grounds. And there was a big sign over. It was like, this place is shut. You could still walk there. But it's like, it's shut down because of the shutdown.
Starting point is 00:18:48 The Trump administration is doing some of that. But the Republicans also, their full media, you know, Fox News, the radio stations, everybody was mobilized. This seems weirdly like a low-key shutdown almost. Like, do the Democratic base feel the responsiveness here? Because I haven't seen that quite yet. in terms of their media, in terms of maybe like their feeling as if they're being responded to. And that feels relevant as we transition to the next part about how the Democrats themselves are kind of handling the shutdown. Yeah. And while you were in college there, I was actually on pool duty with Obama. Oh, wow. I remember sprinting up the Lincoln Memorial Steps because he went up and did an event
Starting point is 00:19:27 at the very top of the Lincoln Memorial Steps. I beat all the rest of the pool reporters. They're totally out of shape. That's a good feeling. Yes. And Obama was in much better shape. and all of us combined. And yeah, it was a huge deal.
Starting point is 00:19:40 I think that there's a boredom with 20 years at this point almost of Washington doing shutdown drama, fiscal cliff drama, the debt ceiling drama, super committees, like, and it all adds up to just blips
Starting point is 00:20:03 for people. Like there's a, There's, you know, some, for hundreds of thousands of, like, individuals who work for the federal government, certainly, it's impactful. But for the 300-plus million people in the country, we're just kind of bored of, like, all of this. But that is a recipe oftentimes for catastrophe because eventually the wolf does show up, even if you have been crying wolf a while. People kind of learn the wrong lesson from that fairy tale sometimes, or whatever you would call it. It's like, yes, you shouldn't cry wolf, but also there are wolves. Hey, this is Matt Jones. I'm Drew Franklin.
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Starting point is 00:23:15 This is again, kind of to the messaging battle is again, look, I'm biased, so it's my own personal. But I mean, you have to be honest, like the way that the Trump administration has been handling this, even if you hate the way they're doing it, it's effective. Like, every government agency, if you go to their website, has a thing at the top. It's like the Democrats, the radical left Democrats, shut down the government. They figured out they don't have to follow the law on politically what are they going to do? Oh, you're going to assume over the Hatch violation, hatch act violation or whatever? Good luck, right? You know, that seems like quaint in our currenties. Politics. And from the Democratic side, like we have Hakeem
Starting point is 00:23:48 Jeffries, we have Chuck Schumer. It just, to me, it's lame. Like the way that, it just doesn't seem legitimate. It doesn't seem as if they really believe in the fight. And especially when you have multiple Democratic senators who already kind of voted for it, you're like, okay, what are we really doing here? And so our team helped me decipher this new TikTok Democratic meme that was posted by the Democratic Party of a kitty explaining the government shutdown. Let's take a list of. Republican and Democrat kitties cannot agree on what should be funded. Democrat kitties want you to have health care. Republican kitties do not. Republican kitties do not. Republican kids. Cities control the Senate House and the White House, so they're using that to cut your health care and give money to billionaires.
Starting point is 00:24:29 Democrat Kitty tries to negotiate, but Republican Kitty keeps running away. He has a vacation to get to. Uh-oh. Suddenly, the money you pay for your health insurance has tripled. Thanks, Republicans. Our Gen Z staffer tells us that usually this meme is about Kitty explains boyfriend to girlfriend and not technically about the government. Shut down. I don't know about this.
Starting point is 00:24:51 I mean, look, maybe, the point about unified government is always one that does hit with the American people, right? Is they're like, hey, you have the House, the Senate, and the White House, and so you guys still can't fund the government. It's like, well, you know, there is the filibuster, which, you know, the Republicans still, I guess, do believe in. Both kind of bases probably would be fine with nuking the filibuster. So technically, you know, if they really wanted to, they could nuke the filibuster,
Starting point is 00:25:12 and then they could just fund the government, but that doesn't seem like something that they want to do. But more broadly, Ryan, this kind of gets to the shutdown wars and some more establishment voices in D.C., voicing against Democratic embrace of the shutdown. Let's put A8, please, up on the screen. I'm very curious for what you think. So Washington Post, editorial board,
Starting point is 00:25:33 you know, one of the classic people used to care, but nobody really cares anymore. Still has some voice in Washington, quote, the Democrats marched into a shutdown trap. They say, progressive Democrats, like the Freedom Caucus, are urging their party in a dangerous direction. And so what they say is, that the Democratic Party shut off any potential escape valve to avoid a shutdown. In doing so,
Starting point is 00:25:56 progressives embraced the same disastrous mentality that led the House Freedom Caucus to believe it could come out ahead in previous government funding shutdowns. They strongly assumed, they wrongly assume their political leverage would withstand the ensuing fallout. Left-wing Democrats, like the Freedom Caucus before them, enter the shutdown in a position of weakness. They point to the Trump administration saying that they're going to do whatever they want, And they also point specifically to how in their telling the previous Republican shutdowns, quote, failed to achieve Republican goals every time. Do you think that that's true or not? Because I don't think it's necessarily true, that the Freedom Caucus Act didn't achieve their goals.
Starting point is 00:26:33 I think they vastly achieved their goals. In a significant way, they achieved their goals. Yeah, particularly when it comes to leveling off government spending starting in like after 2011, which actually slowed the, recovery. We had sequestration. It got sequestration out of it. And I think without that, they don't win the Senate in 2014. And if you don't win the Senate in 2014, Merrick Garland is a Supreme Court justice. Yeah. And our entire world looks different than it does now. So, and I think without, actually without what the Freedom Caucus accomplished in slowing the economy and slowing the recovery in those four or five years, you don't even get Trump winning in 2016.
Starting point is 00:27:17 16 because it was such a close election and people were frustrated at the very slow recovery from the financial crisis. So, you know, they actually got there, they got, they didn't get everything they wanted by any remote stretch of the imagination. And we now have, what, 30 plus trillion dollars in debt. So like, from their perspective, they'd be like, well, we totally failed. But, you know, it's, uh, marginally, they, they actually did bring about four or five years of austerity with a Democrat in the White House, which was to their political benefit. And I would flip it too. And I would flip it too. And say, did they really care about austerity? Obviously not. What they cared about was the exercise of power in and of itself, right? And what they showed is that some 15 to 30 people actually could wield immense amounts of power relative to everybody else in the government. It's almost like a tyranny of the minority part where as long as you're together and you're in lock step that the rest of the group is going to have to adapt itself to whoever you are. This is part of the problem, though, with the Democratic Party. Again, I think in my opinion, is that by kind of lamely talking about ACA.
Starting point is 00:28:18 And again, I don't even think really authentically because the truth is that the Democrats just wanted to shut down, period. Like, if you listen and they cite comments from Greg Cesar and others, they're like, it's not about ACA, okay? They were like, we hate Trump. They're like, well, we think what Trump is doing
Starting point is 00:28:31 so horrible. We're not going to fund it, period. We're going to make his life hell. It's a question mark of whether they are making their life hell, but it's the only thing that we have, so we might as well do it. And I think that that has a lot of currency, but without any uptick and constant browbie of a lot of the people who are the Democratic Party faithful accepting that message,
Starting point is 00:28:50 then you do kind of find yourself in a weird position where if you look at Chuck Schumer, he's not taking what I originally said. The smartest thing Mitch McConnell ever said in 2009 was our job is just make sure the president doesn't get reelected, period. I was like, they were like, oh, were you going to work with Obama? He's like, no. He's like, we have one job. Make sure that he does not succeed, period. And everyone was shocked by that.
Starting point is 00:29:12 It was actually the most honest thing a politician has said in years because he's like, yo, you think we're going to negotiate in good faith? Absolutely not. He's like, we're here to make shit miserable for Obama. And he succeeded 100%. So the point is, though, on the Democratic side, you don't see that level of fight and of energy. And look, McConnell became hated many years later. But he was a hero, right?
Starting point is 00:29:35 He was an absolute Tea Party Freedom Caucus hero there for some. time. Obviously, there were a lot of fights in particular, but Paul Ryan became the House Speaker as a result of this, and he was seen as a credible person who could replace Boehner. So, like, to me, that's where, no, the shutdown politics actually did work in terms of look at the Republican stars of that period. Every single one of them remains prominent to today. Ted Cruz, you could say a lot. Yes, he failed to achieve the Republican nomination. He came in second, okay? Yeah, he got second in the Republican primary in 2016. That's nothing to sneeze at. Like, he had real popular currency. If you're a Democrat and you want to be taken
Starting point is 00:30:13 seriously, you do need to mount, like, a credible fight against Trump if that's where your party base is. So that's where I feel like the Washington Post is almost being too cute by saying their actual political ends. Their political ends are not about the ACA. That's probably not going out. I mean, maybe it will. It would be great for me if it did, and for everybody else. But I don't think that that's the ultimate point of the shutdown itself. And that's why I've seen some more establishment liberals and others being like, guys, this is a bad idea. Trump is just going to use it as an excuse. And it's like, yeah, but you're doing that anyway, right?
Starting point is 00:30:44 So why not? It just seems like a Hail Mary approach to government. But I know you have some more mixed thoughts on a shutdown. No, no, I think that's about right. The one final point I would have on this is that I was talking to somebody last night who spends a lot of time in China and they were telling me about all the different projects that they've got going on trying to figure out ways to like repurpose, like waste removal and all, like, confronting all of the difficult challenges of contemporary life and trying to, like, move forward in ways that can, like, make everybody's life better.
Starting point is 00:31:17 And it just reminded me of, like, just how existentially kind of dead and boring our own politics is. Hey, listen, what are we doing here? Yeah. Like, are we going to keep the government open or not? Like, and why? Is there any effort by any party to actually grapple with the problems that are, confronting contemporary society. I don't see it.
Starting point is 00:31:40 No, I don't see it either. I mean, we're going to talk to us. What are we doing? We're going to talk in our store block about these data centers, rising electricity prices. Everyone's like, oh, it's got to take it. It just feels like a hollow death spiral. And here we are just like riding it on the way down. Is it firing stuff, Ryan?
Starting point is 00:31:59 Is it good that they do? It's bad they do? I don't know. We're all just circling the drain. Listen, I'm with you, right? Chinese century it is. I might as well embrace it. Hey, this is Matt Jones.
Starting point is 00:32:10 I'm Drew Franklin, and this is NFL Cover Zero. We're just here to try to give you an NFL perspective a little bit different. Did you see the Colts Pretzel? That was my other big takeaway from that game. What was that? Oh, my. We think NFL coverage should be informative and entertaining. And twice a week, that is exactly what you're going to get.
Starting point is 00:32:31 Listen to NFL Cover Zero with Matt Jones and Drew Franklin on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Toyota, the official automotive partner of the NFL. Visit Toyota.com slash NFL now to learn more. But the humility in knowing that life is this classroom that we should never graduate for is what is going to keep you growing. And that's all that matters. World Mental Health Day is around the corner.
Starting point is 00:32:59 And on my podcast, Just Healed with Dr. Jay, I dive into what it really means to care for your mind, body, and spirit. From breaking generational patterns to building emotional capacity. Healing is a journey and wholeness is the destination. I'm going to walk away feeling very healed and feeling like, yes, I'm going to continue my healing journey and I'm going to get some keys from you. Listen to Jess Hilbert, Dr. Jay, from the Black Effect Podcast Network, on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
Starting point is 00:33:38 Hey, sis, what if I could promise you you never had to listen to a condescending finance, bro, tell you how to manage your money again. Welcome to Brown Ambition. This is the hard part when you pay down those credit cards. If you haven't gotten to the bottom of why you were racking up credit or turning to credit cards, you may just recreate the same problem a year from now. When you do feel like you are bleeding from these high interest rates, I would start shopping for a debt consolidation, loan starting with your local credit union shopping around online looking for some online lenders because they tend to have fewer fees and be more affordable listen i am not here to judge it is so expensive in these streets i 100% can see how in just a few months you can have this much credit card debt and
Starting point is 00:34:21 it weighs on you it's really easy to just like stick your head in the sand it's nice and dark in the sand even if it's scary it's not going to go away just because you're avoiding it and in fact it make it even worse. For more judgment-free money advice, listen to Brown Ambition on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Okay, let's go ahead to the next part here on the economy, as you were saying about death spirals and all that. We may not even know if we're in a death spiral, apparently. So let's go and put this up here on the screen about some of the key economic data that will be suspended during a government shutdown. The jobless claims from the Labor Department will likely not be released. Non-farm payrolls by the BLS will not be released.
Starting point is 00:35:03 The CPI and the PPI, the Consumer Price Index, and the producer price index, key inflation indicators from the BLS will likely not be released. Retail sales, factory orders, housing starts, trade data from the Census and the Bureau of Economic Affairs, the employment trends index from the Conference Board, the GDP data, new home sales and construction permits from the Census Bureau, export and import trade data from Census and Commerce. And they say, quote, the next Fed meeting is four weeks away. We're entering a data freeze. So historically, the Fed would shift more dovish on average during U.S. government shutdown,
Starting point is 00:35:37 which maybe that might be a blessing in disguise, right? The Fed would become a little bit more dovish. A source of mind at BLS said that one BLS official is listed as essential. Wow. That's it? Yes. Out of about 2,000 people work there. Should we explain the essential thing for people for non-Washington people?
Starting point is 00:35:55 So if you're deemed to be an essential employee, then you have to keep working. It doesn't mean you get paid. Right. Yeah, no one's getting paid. Right. But you do have to keep working. But you have to keep working. So there's one dude, and it's not apparently, I guess the guy who just got fired.
Starting point is 00:36:08 We'll talk about him in a second. One dude or woman who is deemed to be essential. Somebody's got to, like, make sure you run that coffee maker so it doesn't get moldy or whatever. That's essential. And so the BLS every day, it's thousands of employees, are. collecting and analyzing data from businesses and other entities around the country. Like, this data does not just appear out of nowhere. Like, it has to be produced.
Starting point is 00:36:40 It has to be found. So you're, like, these employees are on the phone calling businesses. Because if you're a business, you think your top priority is calling BLS back? No. And telling them, like, how many employees you have this? No, I've shared this before. Breaking Points was recently selected for, like, the whatever. survey. It was so annoying to fill out that. The only reason that we did it is because they were
Starting point is 00:37:02 like, you will be punished if you do not fill out this. I was like, all right, I guess. It just goes two hours of my life. You know, go and look at me. Right. And so it's a bunch of bureaucrats job to make sure Sager fills that paperwork out. And Sagar does not want to fill out that. No, I didn't want to. I even ask the accounts, I go, do I have to do this? They're like, yeah, you have it. I was like, okay. And so now they're not going to be harassing you. And so you're like, you know what, I'm not filling that paperwork out. And so our, we'll be flying blind into the Fed meeting and elsewhere. Because once they come back, then recollecting, getting it started is a lot harder.
Starting point is 00:37:38 And the accuracy, you know, Trump was very frustrated by all the revisions. Can you imagine what kind of revisions we're going to be looking at for these coming months? Yeah, government shutdowns always caused just kind of crazy disruptions in service and, you know, exactly. Anyways, and also, by the way, that's why the market usually reacts negatively. Although yesterday, for some reason, the stock still went green. We'll talk about that with the AI block as to what's actually driving the economy. But we had some very limited data before the government shutdown. We can share with you.
Starting point is 00:38:06 Let's put this up here on the screen. This was from ADP. They say, quote, that the U.S. lost some 32,000 jobs in September, says ADP payroll processor. That is down from a revised loss of 3,000 in August. economists had expected an increase of 45,000. So the ADP does not include government workers, but they say that they have to give it a closer look this month because the BLS data is going to be delayed because of the government shutdown. So we are kind of flying blind. As you just said, they say, quote, the surprise job loss in September is the latest sign that the labor market
Starting point is 00:38:39 is weakening. Job growth has slowed to a trickle this year, even as the unemployment rate has mostly held steady. Federal Reserve last month lowered short-term interest rates by quarter point and signal and more cuts are likely citing weak hiring specifically like this. And they say that the leisure and hospitality sector shed some 19,000 jobs last month, which was the largest decline among major sectors. Education, health services were still bright spots with a collective gain of 33,000. So I think the fact that the leisure and hospitality industry is the one that's getting the most hit, that reminds me a lot of COVID and of 09. Now, it's not in any way comparable to 32,000. But the point is when consumer spending starts to soften, what's the first thing that goes?
Starting point is 00:39:21 Flights, hotels, travel, things like that. And if you have that, on top of a government shutdown, why does the shutdown matter? Well, remember, the federal government is the largest employer in the United States. You know, 2 million people work for the federal government. So let's say that this thing, the last one dragged 35 months. We were doing 35 days, sorry, 35 months, can you imagine. 35 days, we were trying to do the math on a number of miss pay periods, but that's a lot of money. I mean, the average margin for the median household income is somewhere between $500 to $1,000
Starting point is 00:39:51 for an emergency. So to miss pay periods, you're really starting to cut into credit card debt and to some other issues. I mean, we can put the morality or whatever of that aside and say economically, that's usually not good. That means it's like, okay, we're not eating out, we're not buying a gas. We're making like putting most stuff on a credit card, hoping that stuff eventually we do get paid. We can backpay our mortgage, our rent, et cetera. That's a difficult situation. Yeah, right.
Starting point is 00:40:18 We're not going to fly anywhere in the fall. Yeah, we're definitely not going. We're not going anywhere for Thanksgiving, right? You know, things like Thanksgiving. I mean, isn't, I believe Thanksgiving Sunday is like the biggest travel day of the entire year. So tens of millions of people take to the air. It might not be making, and a lot of those people had miserable flights last time. Yes.
Starting point is 00:40:34 You know what, maybe we're just not going to fly. Some of us were there too. Yeah. Maybe we're not going to fly this year. We'll just, whoever lives close enough to drive together. We'll celebrate with that. And this is, this, this, this difficult. time is coming as people are stretched ever tighter because of the increase in energy costs
Starting point is 00:40:53 and grocery bills and interest rates and housing prices. It's just tougher out there than it was five years ago. And so people have, I think, a little bit less breathing room going this time, but also Trump's global, whatever you would call it, a global trade war and like attack on Canada in particular has really dragged down tourism from Canada and tourism from everywhere around the world. Yeah, I heard this is screwing Vegas. So first of all, I had no idea. Now L.A. too. Really? Yeah. What's up all those Canadians? Canadians love. They love Vegas and they love, they love, that's an indictment of Canada, by the way. You've been to Canada, right? Yeah. You want to stay in Canada all the time? No. Okay, exactly. I'm not Canadians. Closest country, United States.
Starting point is 00:41:45 And so they come down here in droves. Yeah. They go to Florida. They go to Outer Banks. You know, this is starting to be sense. They go to L.A. They're snowbirds. That's what it.
Starting point is 00:41:54 Yeah. Of course. It's miserable. That makes sense. Yeah. Okay. And so if you're in Canada, wouldn't you rather be in L.A.? Sure.
Starting point is 00:42:00 Yeah. Yeah, definitely. Instead, the Canadians are like, you know what? Screw it. We're not going. So where are they going? A lot of them are staying home. And then I think they're going to Europe.
Starting point is 00:42:09 I don't know what they're still doing. That is a good question. Maybe they're going to Mexico. That would actually be flying. Lying right over? Well, I'll actually make some calls to, like, the Canadian tourism places and see, like, where are the Canadians? Because they're not coming here, and it's killing, you know, our tourism industry. I knew that about Vegas, because I've seen some Vegas stuff coming out, and be like, oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:42:31 Vegas. Screwed by Canada. Poor Vegas. Just one hit after another. I was like, really? Like, Canada, that reliant on Vegas. Interesting. All right. Let's continue to, on this, you know, on this train with the BLS news that we could share with all of you. Let's put it up here on the screen. So you'll all recall the BLS Commissioner was fired after a revision happened because Trump didn't like the revision. And so Trump nominated E.J. and Tony previously of the Heritage Foundation to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Starting point is 00:42:59 Well, it turns out that his nomination has now been pulled from the BLS before the United States Senate to be confirmed. The quote, White House official declined to say the reasons for withdrawing the nomination, only to say that he was a talented economist and President Trump plans. to announce a new nominee soon. So Ryan, as you and I know here in Washington, what this means is that not one senator, not two, but four Republicans came to the White House and they're like, hey, this is not happening, period. And so usually what happens then is the White House gets to say face and withdraw and no Republican senator has to come out publicly and say I was not going to vote for this person. But they were willing to do it. They called the bluff. They called the Office of White House Legislative Affairs, and they're like, look, he's not, he's not even
Starting point is 00:43:47 going to go through committee, he's not going through the floor, pull his nomination, and let's move on, because this is not happening right now. That's how Larry Summers went down. Yeah, there you go. Five Democrats from the banking committee just called the Obama administration and said, we're not making him fed share. Yep. You can put him up, but he's going down. Yeah. And he's like, you know what, then we're not putting him up. There was a, these, he had, he lacked support within, within the right wing. Uh, incredible quote. And do you know Kyle Pomerlowe? I don't know him.
Starting point is 00:44:17 No, I don't know. Tax expert for the American Enterprise Institute. Okay. He wrote on Twitter after his nomination, he wrote, quote, there are a lot of competent conservative economists that could do this job. E.J. is not one of them. It's just such a. Very bitchy.
Starting point is 00:44:36 I just once, and that's a baseline. He's just saying he's just not competent. Yeah. So it wasn't a ideological. problem. And BLS had a bunch of problems after he was named. Remember they were like, oh, by the way, we're not releasing our data. Yes, yeah, that's right.
Starting point is 00:44:51 No explanation. This is like last week or the week before. Data's late. And Wall Street is just not used to BLS having data late. Like, Wall Street trusts BLS data, and they trust that when they say it's going to come post at 830,
Starting point is 00:45:07 it posts at 830 precisely, and they're sitting there with their trigger fingers ready to trade on it. Yeah. Oh, not even their trigger fingers, but they're like fake algorithmic trading models are ready to start trading. And to have a guy who's like, wait, we're not putting the data out on time. Right. Get out of here. It's inconceivable, right, to Wall Street and to others.
Starting point is 00:45:28 That's a good point. I hadn't thought about that, but you're right. Last thing here in terms of the White House and the economy, who can put this up here on the stream, the Supreme Court has allowed Lisa Cook to keep her job for now. for those who were not tracking, Lisa Cook was one of the members of the Federal Reserve Board, who is a member of the Federal Reserve Board, who was not going along with the Trump administration's desire to cut rates sooner as soon as possible. So Trump and the administration accused her of mortgage fraud based on, what is it, within the executive,
Starting point is 00:46:05 they're technically allowed to fire people, quote, for cause. And so basically one of their, what is it, the federal housing administrator, Bill Pulte, went out and found this thing which she allegedly purchased a home for as a vacation home, something like that, some sort of vacation or some sort of mortgage fraud technicality. Based on that, Trump said that she was fired. This led to a showdown with the Supreme Court over whether A, whether the charges are legitimate and B, whether that qualifies as being fired for cause. So the court, in a brief order, quote, deferred a decision on the Trump administration's emergency. request to remove Cook from the bank's independent board while the lawsuit challenge her dismissal proceeds. So this is going to take a while. At the very least until January, I think that all of this goes forward. It's going to center on the legitimacy of the charges over Trump's own executive power. But at the very least, for now, Trump is not getting the total control of the Federal Reserve
Starting point is 00:46:58 board that he wanted. So there you go. But he did get his little rate cut. Quarter point, right? It wants a lot more, right? I mean, I want a lot more, to be honest. I still think it's crushing a lot of our economy. Hey, this is Matt Jones.
Starting point is 00:47:13 I'm Drew Franklin, and this is NFL Cover Zero. We're just here to try to give you an NFL perspective a little bit different. Did you see the Colts Pretzel? That was my other big takeaway from that game. What was that? Oh, my. We think NFL coverage should be informative and entertaining. And twice a week, that is exactly what you're going to get.
Starting point is 00:47:33 Listen to NFL Cover Zero with Matt Jones and Drew Franklin on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Toyota, the official automotive partner of the NFL, visit Toyota.com slash NFL now to learn more. But the humility in knowing that life is this classroom that we should never graduate for is what is going to keep you growing. And that's all that matters. World Mental Health Day is around the corner. And on my podcast, Just Healed with Dr. Jay, I dive into what it really means to care for your mind, body, and spirit. From breaking generational patterns to building emotional capacity.
Starting point is 00:48:18 Healing is a journey and wholeness is the destination. I'm going to walk away feeling very healed and feeling like, yes, I'm going to continue my healing journey and I'm going to get some keys from you. Listen to Jess Hilbert, Dr. J. from the Black Effect Podcast Network, On the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. In early 1988, federal agents raced to track down the gang they suspect of importing millions of dollars worth of heroin into New York from Asia. We had 30 agents ready to go with shotguns and rifles and you name it. But what they find is not what they expected.
Starting point is 00:49:02 Basically, your stay-at-home moms were picking up these laws. large amounts of heroin. They go, is this your daughter? I said yes. They go, oh, you may not see her for like 25 years. Caught between a federal investigation and the violent gang who recruited them, the women must decide who they're willing to protect
Starting point is 00:49:23 and who they dare to betray. Once I saw the gun, I tried to take his hand and I saw the flash of light. Listen to the Chinatown Sting on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or anywhere you get your podcasts. All right, returning now to SORA, some of you may have seen this Open AI released a new video generator. And while it's cool, I guess, you know, a little bit dystopian.
Starting point is 00:49:54 What a lot of people are missing are some of the backbones of the U.S. power industry and economy that are behind all of this, which are actually wreaking havoc on all of our lives in a hidden way that a lot of people don't appreciate. So let's go ahead and put this up here on the screen. This is new data that has been released and compiled by Bloomberg over consuming the growing share of electricity the data centers are in individual U.S. States. So stick with me and let's keep this up so I can read to everybody what the overall total electricity consumption is on a state-by-state basis. Virginia, the state where I live, 39% of all power consumption is going to data centers, Ryan. 39%.
Starting point is 00:50:35 Probably all of that is federal government, if I had to guess, Amazon as well, that are all together. But that's an absolutely insane amount of power consumption. The state of Oregon, 33%, Iowa, 18, Nevada, 15, Utah, 15, Nebraska, 14, Arizona, 11, Wyoming, 10, Ohio, 9, Illinois, 7, Georgia, 6, New Jersey, 6, Washington, 6, Texas, 5, North Dakota, 5. I find it, incredibly. credibly consequential, that smaller states like Oregon, Iowa, Nevada, Utah, Nebraska, traditional more flyover states, especially Iowa through Nebraska, are being used by a lot of these data centers because it shows that they're picking those more rural areas and they're getting their state legislators and their municipalities to actually give them tax breaks because their promises, hey, we're going to create a bunch of jobs, et cetera. Oh, you know, we're going to pump all this money into the economy. But the way that our power grid works, which is not a idea is that, hey, we have regulated public power. Based on that, it's a platform through which
Starting point is 00:51:41 all of us get to build upon our houses, our businesses, and the costs and the benefits are widely distributed across. It's a floor that the government and our power industry sets so that we can build upon it. And yet, in a scarce power in a place where we are right now, because we have not, we don't have any proper investment or building of nuclear energy. I know you're more of a solar guy. I'm not personally a solar guy. I'm pretty much all in nuclear. But yeah, I'm all regardless.
Starting point is 00:52:09 The point is, is that we don't have a preponderance of power, the way that they do in China and in a lot of other places. Even if we were to go all in on oil, we still don't have new oil refineries. We don't have new natural gas rigs. We are in stasis, effectively, in every state in the country. So in a scarce power world and in which AI data center usage, power, and investment, is a huge chunk of GDP spending. What does that mean? It means that these industries, which have endless amounts of money behind them, come in, build your data center, use an insane
Starting point is 00:52:44 amount of electricity. They don't care if the power bill goes up. It does nothing to their bottom line because all of this is fake. None of it is even making money in the first place. They'll just pay it no matter what. Who's the person for whom a power bill increase is going to affect you? Especially in the more rural areas, the fixed income household, and just general suburban residents. That's why I think it's outrageous to have some 39, 33% in places like Virginia and Oregon, one third to almost 40% of power being consumed by a single industry. We can't be living in the world where everybody else has to absorb all of those increased costs. And it's, again, begs the question for what? So if this was the Manhattan Project, you know,
Starting point is 00:53:26 the Tennessee Valley Authority, like any of that, maybe, right? Maybe. We could all set, Okay, we can all pay a little bit more because this is so important to the country. The Apollo program. Yeah, we are electrifying. There you go. One of my favorite sections of the Robert Carroll books, I think he won a Pulitzer Prize for it. It's in the first book called Path to Power is a chapter specifically on rural electrification and what it meant to more rural areas in the 1930s. It was a New Deal style program designed by FDR. Johnson used it as a new congressman that was able to bring power. to the Hill Country of Texas. I highly recommend go and at the very least just read that chapter
Starting point is 00:54:05 to understand what that means. That's the level of where, yeah, okay, I think we could be okay socializing some of that cost. This? No, all right? And see, that's the issue. Right, for Thorough. For AI-generated slop?
Starting point is 00:54:17 No, no, no, no. We're not doing that. And yet what we see instead is instead of thinking about the data centers, what people are starting to think about and there's a new bill that introduced in the state of Ohio
Starting point is 00:54:27 is that the utility companies can automatically adjust a customer thermostat to, quote, reduce the load on the power grid during periods of high demand for the data center. So your house has to be hotter so the data center can crunch Sam Altman's slop, okay? Let's take a listen from local news. The Republican lawmaker at the Ohio State House introduced a bill this week that would allow utility companies to automatically adjust your thermostat at your house. House Bill 427 would create a voluntary demand response program. Customers would be allowed to sign up to let their
Starting point is 00:55:07 utility company temporarily adjust energy use, including raising thermostat settings or cycling water heaters during periods of high demand. The bill sponsor, Representative Roy Klofenstein, said it's meant to help homeowners and small businesses save money while reducing the load on the power grid. An analysis from the Ohio Environmental Council estimates the program would generate between $34 and $100 million in savings for the utility system, depending on how many customers sign up for it. Temporally adjusts home power use in small business. I don't hear any data center being mentioned there, right? And that's my issue. It's like these, we don't have said any power demands or anything on these folks, and they get to just, you know, unlimitedly suck from the grid and make sure that
Starting point is 00:55:56 everybody else power bills, get to go up? No, no, no, no. We can't be having that, Ryan. And instead, like I said, I tweeted something in reaction to this data powders. And I said, hey, state legislators, wake up. You guys have huge amounts of authority. Dominion power, you know, where I live, Virginia legislators can come in and change the way. If you're going to consume 40% of power, I'm sorry. You've got to be paying a hell of a lot more and making sure that there's some offset or whatever for consumers. And instead, what Virginia political expert was telling me was it's the inverse, where what's happening is that the legislators are all bought and paid for by Amazon, by meta, Google, all these other people. And instead, they're throwing
Starting point is 00:56:35 incentives at the data centers because they're like, oh, we create all of these amazing jobs for all the people who say, oh, okay, yeah, it's great for the thousand people or whatever that work there. But what about the millions or so people that have to pay a higher power bill in a lot of these other places? So I think this is a major populist issue, which everybody is. is sleeping on. And again, if this were the railroads of the 1800s, it transformed America, right? You know, undenive, I get it. They were the villains of the time, et cetera. But fundamentally, they had a good value proposition is you used to have to take a wagon. Now you can go to California in a week. All right. That was a real thing. Telecom in the 90s. Same thing. We could say a lot
Starting point is 00:57:21 about how much of it was a bust. They overspent on fiber optics. They massively consumed amount of GDP to invest because they got a little too high on their own supply from the dot-com bubble. But that was a real thing. Fiber optic was a real thing. What is being built here, right?
Starting point is 00:57:39 We have all these billions and billions and billions and billions of dollars that are being spent all for what. And that's the point where when you see what they're actually releasing, I'm sorry. Who asked for this? And here's the new trailer from OpenAI about SORA 2. Here's what you're paying for. Video generator.
Starting point is 00:57:57 This is what you're all paying for. Let's take a listen. One year ago, Sora 1 redefined what was possible with moving images. Today, we're announcing the SORA app, powered by the all-new Sora 2. It's the most powerful imagination engine ever built. And it's packed. with new features. I'll pass it to Bill for more details. Now, every video comes with sound.
Starting point is 00:58:40 Wow, so cool. New images. And by the way, you know what the funny thing is? One of the very first images, Ryan and videos that was released on SORA. was this. Let's just play this. What we saw was immediately SORA being used to create a surveillance style video showing Sam Altman himself stealing GPUs at Target and being accosted by a security officer. I mean, I don't know. What do you think? It looks real-ish. Like I could probably tell it was AI. So you basically created slop video, which will be used for YouTube shorts and Instagram and all this other nonsense to be to do uh for scrolling purposes and also you created a technology which makes it unironically possible so that surveillance video and deep fakes and all that
Starting point is 00:59:33 other stuff could be immediately employed let's say in a matter of crisis think about the charlie kirk thing if this was around at that time and you say i have surveillance video showing tyler robinson doing x ys it would go massively viral you and i know that so thank you for creating that. By the way, the amount of power, you know, if you have chat GPT, I pay for chat GPT, and even if you want to use it to create an image, it takes forever. You know why? Because it's a shit ton of, you know, CPU use and electricity and all that. It has to crunch through that. So what is the purpose of what we're being created here? The bull case is you have no idea all of the endless possibility. It's like what? The destruction of Hollywood and creative
Starting point is 01:00:11 industry to create like, you know, again, slop video, because that's where. things are mostly trending right now right we don't need a video of an elephant going through a like a jazz way yeah we don't need that we don't agree with you yeah yeah um so the plat the big tech platforms spent the 90s and 2000s and early 2010s basically destroying the news media and creating this um new media where people just create stuff and share it with each other and don't trust any traditional sources of some benefits of that information some benefits
Starting point is 01:00:50 we're going to find out might be some downsides to that some downsides as well and now that nobody trust anything and there's no real traditional news media left they're going to make it so that everybody can just make you know authentic looking fake
Starting point is 01:01:08 videos and in order to do that they're going to destroy as much of the Amazon is again to like, and build data centers all over the United States, triple or quadruple your electric bill. And yeah, like that the question for what is a key one. Chris and I had on an author yesterday, he was like, oh, the purpose of this, whether it's intended or not, is it's going to kill everybody. So there's like that. And it is true that a lot of people in the AI world are like, yeah, there's a 20% chance of an existential event as a
Starting point is 01:01:46 result of this. I don't really, but even, yeah, I don't believe that. I hope it's just slop. Yeah. And that it plateaus out at slop. That's my hope. That's what I think. I mean, I think this is the end state. Like, this is the reality is if you look at the way that how, by the way, how are they even paying for all of this, you know, AI data center? Where does it come from? Scrolling. Investor bubbles. Algorithm. That's it. You know, massive amounts of screen time. Addiction, period. Twitter, Facebook. They all have the same business model. It's just spend as much on platform as possible, sell as many ads as possible. That's it. And so that's how they're paying for the AI data centers, for the project with the hope that you get artificial general
Starting point is 01:02:27 intelligence. But the end state seems pretty simple. AI, to the extent that it's used in the workplace, is for shit that nobody thought is game-changing. Oh, it summarized my emails. Awesome. Summarized my note-taking. You know, I've talked previously because I actually know people who work in like really big corporations. And I would like, tell me about how you use AI. They're like, oh, it's great. We cut out the entry level workers. I was like, so that's it?
Starting point is 01:02:52 And they're like, yeah, that's it. You know, we use Microsoft Teams, lets me summarize my notes. And then we send that for an agenda. Somebody who was entry level used to have to do that before. And I was like, but you're still having the meetings. You're still doing the, like, oh, yeah, it hasn't changed any actual decision making.
Starting point is 01:03:06 Right, just hired a bunch of 24-year-old. To be fair, let's say in coding and in technology is a little bit different, right? You can actually have AI. I think AI is quite good at coding up to like 94-95% and doing a lot of the previously more difficult or like the time-consuming work, leaving time for creative. Great. Okay, but I don't yet see evidence of like a massive game-changing thing, which doesn't just lead to the tech power law distribution, which makes a bunch of people in Silicon Valley a lot richer
Starting point is 01:03:35 because instead what's happened is that AI has led to mostly job loss or not really real job growth while they're still pumping all this money into the industry. Plus the data center question, it just leads to this thing. We're like, what are we all doing here? You know, for why? And I don't think people understand if it were not for AI data center spend, GDP would be contracting.
Starting point is 01:03:59 Right. The only reason that we have increasing GDP. We're in a recession. Otherwise, you're exactly right. And the data bears all of this out. We played it here on the show many times before, is without the data center capital expenditure from the technology industry, there is no GDP growth. And in fact, I was just reading this morning, one of the consequences of the 1990s telecom
Starting point is 01:04:22 boom, like the amount of money that went into that, is that what private capital all understood in the 90s, there's only one way to return money in the middle of a mania or a craze is to invest in the mania or the craze. That has a huge opportunity cost because what it meant in the 90s, was that small businesses that are doing traditional manufacturing were not going to get capital expenditure and or any investment. All private investment was chasing the same thing. At the same time of the 1990s, what happened? The end of the Cold War, NAFTA, PNTR with China, which means not only do they get the reduced amount of money that they should have been owed absent the AI or the telecom boom, they also faced growing international competition. Well, I think we're in a very
Starting point is 01:05:08 similar thing right now. You have all of this money, stock, everything, the whole S&P 500. The government shuts down and the S&P 500 goes up. What? Why? Because of Nvidia? Right? You know, you're looking at these stock valuations and everything? It just, none of it makes any sense. And then at the same time, with the Trump administration's trade policy, what you have is a chilling on domestic investment in manufacture, which means, again, any money in the economy that people have to spare is just going towards this AAS. So I know this is kind of tedious. But there are serious implications for all of this, for all of us, not just in terms of, let's say you own a small business, you want it to buy a new tractor or whatever, and you're owned by private equity. Well, private equity doesn't have a lot of incentive to make sure that you're buying a bunch of new construction equipment.
Starting point is 01:05:52 They would much rather go in and invest in some AI startup or something like that. That's a real effect. And then add the Trump trade stuff on top of that. It's a real problem. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:06:02 Yeah. bubble pops. Because even the like Zuckerbergs of the world think that the bubble will pop, their argument is that it'll pop and it will be like the railroads and it'll be like the telecoms that it will have left behind. Yes. The infrastructure you can build something on top of. So bubble pops, you bunch of people get washed out. Zuckerberg, as he said, that'll create a lot of opportunity to buy assets at low cost. So he continues to then concentrate his market power and then and then builds it up from there. Like, but that's a, so that's Zuckerberg and others are baking in a financial crisis as like
Starting point is 01:06:41 an inevitable result, just a, a when, not if. Financial crisis means nothing to somebody worth $150 billion, right? $150.75. No, it means something. It means cheaper assets to buy. Well, yeah, yeah, good, great point. If you're worth $150 billion, even if you go in half to $75,000, that means nothing to you. If you are $100,000 and you go to $75,000, that means a lot to you.
Starting point is 01:07:01 Right? Okay? So, like, that's the point that these people never seem to quite understand is that the people who suffer from these financial bubbles are not the people who cause them in the first place. By the way, our producer Griffin has been flagging some of this weird Hollywood stuff to us. Let's go and put these up here on the screen. So there is now a new AI director, the Italian producer, Andrea Irvolino, has unveiled a feature helmed by a virtual autore. And what it does is that the Felini AI would be housed inside of his company, which would act as a, quote, human in the loop, supervisor and producer who guides and monitors the technology. and, quote, you can imagine a future in which only 1% of humanity still works, transforming labor into a symbolic ritual, while the rest of the population lives in the freedom and leisure produced by machines. The logline states for this new AI-produced movie
Starting point is 01:08:01 that the last workers become the final masks of a humanity that resists the insolence of labor. I don't know, Ryan. I'm not so bought into some sort of matrix-style fantasy. And then on the right there, you see that they talk about, about the Hollywood. AI is ready to crush Hollywood, as we have known it,
Starting point is 01:08:20 with these AI actors. Like a fake actress. He's going to get an agent. That's why I just don't even, you know, I can't even really understand, you know, what it all means. Because they say, we may not even have real movie stars anymore.
Starting point is 01:08:35 We'll soon have computer-generated actors, aspirational celebrities. That is the future currently imagined by the founder of this AI actor. And what they said is that in this new lab, their hyper-real digital stars, the actresses said that they would produce sketch video and maybe signing to a future talent agency, basically their likenesses would be controlled by some sort of corporate conglomerate and that they would then be featured in movies
Starting point is 01:09:05 and licensed to different commercials and stars. This is basically an erasure of humanity as we know it. And it's one of those where The Matrix was, I guess, documentary. And also, though, the government and the level of skepticism that is required is not happening. Because I said on the state level, it seems by my immediate perusal that most legislators think data centers are a good thing because of money, right? Because they're getting donated to and because they're given these fake statistics. But I think the people, at the very least, are deeply skeptical of whatever the hell all of this is. So I just wonder if there can ever be any sort of democratic pushback. The technology company,
Starting point is 01:09:45 companies are betting that they can go they can leap so forward before any skepticism happens that they can just get there before anybody really wakes up to what's going on yeah and when you when you think about the arc of all of kind of earth history and you you know people I people say that we're now in the midst of the the sixth grade extinction like you know six mass die off around the world I've seen people say that yeah um and statistically like it's accurate like so many different species, both plant and animal, are dying off, and scientists can demonstrate that it is because of humanity. Like, we just gobble everything up. And so when you think about that in a moral sense, which is difficult to do, because it's like species are often amoral,
Starting point is 01:10:38 you have to think about it in a moral sense because humans are the first ones that have to invent morality. And so you think about, okay, the costs. to the Earth have been existential to thousands upon thousands of species. But it has produced what humanity can produce, which is love, which is art, Shakespeare as a stand-in. Those developments represent a break from what existed before, the other five extinctions. Now we're not even going to have that.
Starting point is 01:11:12 like what is humanity bringing to the earth other than misery and despair if we're not producing more shakespeare's i agree with you uh i'm with you this is what the fundamental like anti-humanness of it is something that's very concerning to me i also am just concerned at the lack of interest that legislators and others have in any of what's going on right now uh and in particular they seem instead to just be bought and paid for and just waiting for something to happen before we all have to grapple with it. So anyway, yeah, we're all paying higher electricity bills so that Sora can generate slop videos for kids to be addicted on TikTok and YouTube shorts in the future. What a great investment for us all.
Starting point is 01:12:12 In sitcoms, when someone has a problem, they just blurt it out and move on. Well, I lost my job and my parakeet is missing. How is your day? But the real world is different. Managing life's challenges can be overwhelming. So, what do we do? We get support. The Huntsman Mental Health Institute and the Ad Council have mental health resources available for you at loveyourmindtay.org.
Starting point is 01:12:36 That's loveyourmindtay.org. See how much further you can go when you take care of your mental health. Just like great shoes, great books take you places, through unforgettable love stories and into conversations with characters you'll never forget. I think any good romance, it gives me this feeling of like butterflies. I'm Danielle Robay, and this is bookmarked by Reese's Book Club, the new podcast from Hello Sunshine and IHeart Podcasts, where we dive into the stories that shape us on the page and off. Each week, I'm joined by authors, celebs, book talk stars, and more for conversations.
Starting point is 01:13:12 that will make you laugh, cry, and add way too many books to your TBR pile. Listen to bookmarked by Reese's Book Club on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Apple Books is the official audio book and ebook home for Reese's Book Club. Visit apple.c.O. forward slash Reese Apple Books to find out more. Welcome to Pretty Private with Ebene, the podcast where silence is broken and stories are set free. I'm Ebeney, and every Tuesday I'll be sharing all new anonymous stories that would challenge your perceptions and give you new insight on the people around you. Every Tuesday, make sure you listen to Pretty Private from the Black Effect Podcast Network. Tune in on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.
Starting point is 01:14:03 This is an IHeart podcast.

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