Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 12/12/25: Trump SHOOK After Indiana Loss, Beef Price Fixing EXPOSED, Iranians BRACE for New Attacks

Episode Date: December 12, 2025

This Friday the teams looks at the Indiana map redistricting, reporter from The Lever Brock Hrehor tells us about his reporting on Beef Markets price fixing your burger to cost $20 dollars, and a... journalist from Al Jazeera Hind Hassan breaks down her documentary on the aftermath of the strikes on Iran known as the 12 Day War. Sign up to see the 2nd half of the show at breakingpoints.com Brock Hrehror Article: https://www.levernews.com/the-secret-algorithm-behind-your-20-burger/Hind Hassan Doc: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLAXcKI9OV8   To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.comMerch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. I know he has a reputation, but it's going to catch up to him. Gabe Ortiz is a cop. His brother Larry, a mystery Gabe didn't want to solve until it was too late. He was the head of this gang. You're going to push that line for the cause. Took us under his wing and showed us the game, as they call it.
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Starting point is 00:00:59 Listen on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Stefan Curry, and this is Gentleman's Cut. I think what makes Gentleman's Cut different is me being a part of developing the profile of this beautiful finished product. With every sip, you get a little something different. Visit Gentleman'scut Bourbon.com or your nearest Total Wines or Bevmo. This message is intended for audiences 21 and older. Gentleman's Cut Bourbon, Boone County, Kentucky. For more on Gentleman's Cut Bourbon, please visit
Starting point is 00:01:30 gentlemen'scutturbin.com. Please enjoy responsibly. Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, and we are so excited about what that means for the future of this show. This is the only place where you can find honest perspectives from the left and the right that simply does not exist anywhere else. So if that is something that's important to you,
Starting point is 00:01:51 Please go to breakingpoints.com, become a member today, and you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad-free, and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. We need your help to build the future of independent news media, and we hope to see you at breaking points.com. Good morning, everyone. Friday, December 12th. How's everybody doing? So far, so good. Got a big gymnastics meet for my youngest today, so nerves are running high in our household. Huge. Good luck. Yeah. She, yeah, she, I'm kind of annoyed because, I mean, she's eight years old, right? She's not at like a super high, she's good competitor and she's on the team. It's not like a super high level of the sport. And we have to take off school for the meet. Like, that's kind of crazy to me. But whatever, here we are. Right? Yeah, that is crazy. A bunch of these girls that do gymnastics really seriously, they'll, they are homeschooled just so they can like train enough. for the sport. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:02:51 I mean, you guys know I was like high level athlete and that's still insane to me. But anyway, so good luck to Ida today. And good luck to everyone being homeschooled. Everyone being homeschooled. Good luck to you as well. Yes.
Starting point is 00:03:04 Big show. Big show today. We got double guest here in the first hour. First of our guests, we've got Barak from the Lever, who's talking to us about meat, burgers. Why your five guys burgers. is $100 every time you go in and buy it. The meat market.
Starting point is 00:03:23 And then, Ryan, who's our next guest after that? We'll have Hind Hassan. She wrote a piece for DropSite yesterday about a documentary that she helped produce with Al Jazeera, where she traveled to Iran to talk to people who had been, who were basically survivors of the 12-day Israeli war there, interviewed the foreign minister on camera, which is quite rare. more than 1,000 people were killed and she'll talk about what the
Starting point is 00:03:52 after effects have been and how likely people there think another attack is to come. And that's a spoiler quite high. Really interesting. We also have more the time person of the year has been anointed. We're really
Starting point is 00:04:08 excited to celebrate them. And we also have some Disney characters moving into Sora, AI. But first, Crystal, why don't you start us with this map from Indiana? Yeah. So, you know, Trump has been pushing for a bunch of red states to redistrict and make their maps more aggressively gerrymandered so that Republicans can pick up seats as they're not feeling super great about just like, I don't know, appealing to voters. So they're trying to do as much as they can to mess with the maps in order to give them a more favorable landscape. Texas went along with it sort of immediately.
Starting point is 00:04:44 then California retaliates. That's sort of like a wash. And they've been making this big push with Indiana in particular. You've had, I think J.D. Vance went to the state. They've been lobbying these people. And then they outright resorted to threatening the entire state if the Republicans there, it's a very Republican-dominated state, don't go along with their plans for this redistricting. And so yesterday, the redistricting plan after all of these threats, we're going to pull all of your federal funding, these lawmakers, are getting individual threats and swatted and, you know, pizza sent to their house and the whole bit. So full pressure campaign from the grassroots all the way up to the president, the Senate Republicans in Indiana and the Indiana Senate soundly rejected this new, more partisan gerrymandered map. So there's a lot of interesting dynamics. Emily would be probably better position than me to speak to. But, I mean, Indiana, obviously, this is the home of Mike Pence. Mitch Daniels has figured in the rhetoric here. There's sort of like an old line, like more standard traditional conservative Republican that still has a lot of sway in the state of
Starting point is 00:05:51 Indiana. And then you also have just, you know, when you redraw these maps, there are going to be incumbents, even Republican incumbents, who are kind of on the losing end of that. Like they may be redistricted in with another Republican incumbent. Their district may go from being like super duper safe to like pretty safe, but it's about to be a really landslide bad Democratic year. And, you know, if you're in one of these districts that they're being most aggressive with, you may not be super excited about it. And then I think there's also just a natural human reaction of like, don't tread on me reaction. I'm like, who are you to tell us the way that we need to operate in our state? So, Emily, what did you, you know, what are some of the dynamics that you thought were important here?
Starting point is 00:06:33 And then, I mean, the last thing I'll throw around is like this is also a moment of extraordinary weakness for Trump in terms of the, you know, the long breadth of his political career. I think you'd have to look back to post-January 6 to see a moment when his sort of hold and dominance of the party is as weak as it is right now. You've got, I mean, the Republic, the like right-wing influencers are just like ripping each other to shreds. Marjorie Taylor Green is out there doing her thing. You have some chunk of the base that is unhappy with everything from foreign policy to the lack of focus on domestic issues. And you also have just this man is basically a lame duck at this point. you know, you took a massive electoral loss in the off-year elections. And so there also is a little bit of like, okay, we're realizing that Trump is not going to be the guy here for the party
Starting point is 00:07:22 forever. I think there's a really interesting counterfactual as to whether this would have happened in Trump's first administration. If we were, you know, 10 months into Trump's first administration, would the Indiana Republicans have listened to them? So Trump is right now saying the co-peer's that he didn't really try that hard. It wasn't really that big of a deal. He wasn't paying that close attention to it. I really want this map. Really? Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:48 That's the cop happening right now. I mean, what's a stupid map anyway? Andre Carson's great. I love Andre Carson. The great Andre Carson. The line is, I think they were saying it just, it would have just been gravy. I think that's what Playbook had this morning. It would have just been gravy.
Starting point is 00:08:03 But, you know, if you've covered state lawmakers ever in particular, you know, like, the worst way. The worst way to try to get them to do something is to be like a federal government national pressure campaign and to try to tell them like, we're bullying you around. That, first of all, it makes them look terrible to their constituents, even if they're conservative. And second of all, they hate it so much because they already feel kind of looks down upon as state lawmakers. So if you're trying to do a pressure campaign, nationalizing it and turning it into. like this Roy Cohn, rigamarole, which is totally how Trump was doing that. It completely backfired. And the reporting actually suggests that. But I think also, if you just look at it, if you look at what the state lawmakers are saying, one of the pro-Trump state lawmakers was saying that, yes, they did threaten federal funds because that was sort of in dispute.
Starting point is 00:08:59 The lieutenant governor. Right. And whether or not it actually happened, the White House is also being cagey about that. They're now like outright saying, yeah, no, that was on the table. The federal funding was on the table. So it does look like a very significant setback in terms of like the future of Trumpism. I don't know how that counterfactual shakes out in Trump 1.0 if this would have happened. Because either way, it seemed like it was just the clumsiest push to try and push back against Gavin Newsom. So Newsom gets his redistricting. Okay, we're going to do it in Indiana, deep red state. It's coming. We can play your game too, and that was clumsily done from beginning to end. Yeah, and 9-0, I think, also feels just wrong to people. Like, Maryland is going to try to do it to try to completely blank out Republicans. And there's just something I think where you're like, wait, zero? Like, you know, because I just looked it up. Trump won 59 to 40, basically, in Indiana.
Starting point is 00:10:04 But that's, you still have 40% of the state is Democratic. like to have zero is a little crazy but crystal's point i think is key that like so if you if on average they won by 19 that means if you drew it out perfectly and you split indianapolis up into these four districts which is what they were trying to do plus then the the district up by michigan um or by lake lake michigan you then if you did it absolutely perfectly everybody would be a plus 19 you know relative to 2024 but with people angry about the redistricting angry about the economy, and angry at Trump, and watching Nashville, the Nashville race, which was plus 22, be too close for comfort, you've got then nine candidates who were like, okay, it's plus 19
Starting point is 00:10:52 and in a normal year I would cruise, but I am not feeling super good about this plus 19. So I think they'd rather, I think those seven guys would rather just be comfortable. Like they have no chance of losing rather than nine people who have some tiny chance of losing, this is also, well, two hilarious things here. One, Indiana might lose federal funding before New York City, which is just absolutely comical. The magic of Mom Donnie. Can you believe that?
Starting point is 00:11:21 If I'm Mom Donnie, I'm on the phone now, like, hey, if you're not spending that money in Indiana, like, we will call them the Trump bus lines. Just send their money. Trump child care. But clearly they don't want to own, clearly they don't even want to own that they pushed that hard. not going to take the money from Indiana because then it would look like they cared about Indiana.
Starting point is 00:11:41 Just just quietly take the money and make Indiana just keep calling. Like, hey, the money's not here yet. Where's the money? Where's the money? Oh, it's common. Don't worry about it. We'll get back to you. Sorry.
Starting point is 00:11:52 So the other point is they went after. So far they've had setbacks in what, Ohio, Utah, Utah, Kansas, and they're struggling in Missouri. So they were looking to like run the table on a whole bunch of. of seats here. Yeah. And they're, they're, they're, and Florida's not going to go until next year. Well, in Florida, there are some issues there because they actually have in their state constitution provisions against partisan gerrymanders. So, um, they actually have some of the more sort of stringent laws on the books, apparently about partisan jerrymanders. So they have to like
Starting point is 00:12:28 so they have to deal with that and yeah, and potential court challenges there. And then you mentioned, um, so effectively, so Gavin does his redoubt. redistricting. Texas does their redistricting. The courts have now said Texas's map is okay, even though there was a question about that. Those are effectively a wash, right? It's, I think it's five in California for the Dems, five in Texas for the Republicans. Assuming that's another one, I don't know the details, but that's another map I might be a little nervous about, given how hard Latinos are swinging against Trump. Right. So, you know, I'm not sure that everybody there should be super comfortable about the way they drew their map, assuming this new Republican coalition,
Starting point is 00:13:05 that may have only been, you know, kind of flash in the pan, you know, for Trump specifically kind of a deal. Anyway, putting that aside, Democrats in Virginia are looking at a gerrymander, Maryland, as you said, Ryan. And again, there are some, like, Democratic resistance in Maryland. Not everybody is on board. The governor is on board, for sure. So anyway, none of that is guaranteed. And then, yeah, Florida is a place where that would be a big prize for Republicans. there's a lot of seats they could gain there. I don't remember exactly the number. But that's also one where they have the state law issue that they're going to have to contend with. So I don't know. Right now it's pretty up for grabs who's going to ultimately win out in the redistricting wars. Bannon gave a quote to Politico saying like Republicans are in deep trouble because he feels like they need to net at least 10 or so seats to have even a prayer at holding onto the House in the midterms. And currently they're not really
Starting point is 00:14:04 on track to be able to achieve that. And what's so remarkable about, by the way, and this came into relief. I was talking to my daughter last night when she was asking me, who before Trump in the modern era was like the most unpopular president ever. And I said it was probably Bush. And she asked like, why? And I told her, you know, well, he tried to kill Social Security and that blew up in his face.
Starting point is 00:14:27 Then the Iraq war was going really badly. And then there was this flood and this hurricane in New Orleans. And so all these things were going terribly for him. And it made me realize, again, something that I'd forgotten that Trump hasn't had anything bad happened to him, which is, it's been a remarkably kind of lucky run of his first year. There haven't been any, like, significant, you know, obviously there have been like some small crises here and there, but there's been no financial crisis. There's been no disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan. No pandemic. There's been no pandemic.
Starting point is 00:15:04 There's been no earthquake. There's been no, the hurricane season was the lightest who been. There haven't been, you know, fires are not breaking out everywhere. Like, things are going pretty calmly around the country and around the world. There's an Epstein-shaped hole in that recount, though. But that's happening. This is all artificial stuff. Like, so he has done this to himself.
Starting point is 00:15:28 There's no external pressure that is driving his, approval rating into the ground is my point. It's all coming from. It's all him. It's all him. There's going to be something. Like, there's no way he goes four years without external disasters hitting him. So to go into those disasters at 30% is uncharted territory.
Starting point is 00:15:50 Yeah. So I searched Trump's true social account. There's some Twitter accounts that repost his true socials. Here is him not really caring that much about India. This is a fact. November 25th. He says, I'm not going to read all that, buddy.
Starting point is 00:16:05 It looks like you care. It says, yeah, it's a little acminy. It's giving acmen. A very important initiative. A very important initiative. This is like, if you're listening to us, this is like probably 150, 200 words.
Starting point is 00:16:17 He says all kinds of stuff. That's just one post. I'm sure there are more. But yes, it's, he didn't really care that much at all. And here's another one. Yeah. They lost her.
Starting point is 00:16:31 They had straight up lost Republicans in the Indiana Senate. Like, even if Democrats had not been able to vote, they lost a majority among Republicans. Trump getting told no by state senators, brutal. There was actual violence done to these people, too. We shouldn't forget that. Like, not just threats of violence against them. There were some, like, actual, like, acts of, like, violence done toward them
Starting point is 00:16:57 to try to pressure them to implement this map. and they told this guy no. This is awesome for the member. But it wasn't that important that he riled up his base into like threats and and violence against lawmakers to get them to fold to his desires. But whatever, that big a deal. We must keep the majority at all costs.
Starting point is 00:17:19 Republicans must fight back. I'll be strongly endorsing any state senator or house member from the great state of Indiana that votes against the Republican Party in our nation by not allowing for redistricting. Like this is if this is not trying too hard, I wonder what it would look like if he had really gone all out. Should we take a look? Can you pull up Griffin this Trump approval rating because this speaks to what Ryan was just mentioning about where he is?
Starting point is 00:17:46 Because, I mean, look, all the polls are going to be slightly different, but pretty much everybody has an overall downward trajectory here. And this is specifically on immigration, which, you know, immigration crime were seen as his two strongest issues. I think they still are his strongest issues. But even there, you are, you were seeing a dramatic decline and he's underwater on both of the issues where he's supposed to be, you know, allegedly the strongest. And there was a lot here in terms of just how far he has fallen. And the biggest area that's a major issue for him is the economy. His overall approval on the economy is now 31%. 31%. And that's going to be a disaster for any president. But this president in particular,
Starting point is 00:18:37 you know, his whole thing is his brand, right? That's what he's best at. He's best at creating this mythology around him and creating this brand image. And for a long, long, long, long time, up until literally this year, his brand was, I'm the businessman. I understand the economy. I'm going to make you, you and your family better off. And now that brand is completely toast. And to Ryan's point, I mean, to, you know, the whole, the whole concept of their, they're blaming, trying to blame Biden. But not only are you a year into your administration, but you were so aggressive in all of the moves that you made on the economy. Like the idea that this is Biden's economy at this point after post-liberation day is absurd to people, right? Even a lot of Republicans
Starting point is 00:19:28 are like, no, it's not Biden's like like we are where we are. And then the attempt to gaslight everybody and say, no, the economy's a plus plus plus plus, but also if there's problems, it's Biden's economy, you know, on something like the economy, like you have your own independent experience of this. He cannot work, work his reality creation, distortion mechanisms nearly as effective. In that area, as perhaps he can and some others. And let's just take a look before we, like, leave. Let's take a look at this. Just a few moments.
Starting point is 00:20:00 Trump in the Oval Office last night. Rejected the congressional maps for the redistrict in that state. A number of Republicans voted against that redistricting effort. You have spent a lot of time talking about this. The vice president traveled to Indiana. What's your reaction? Well, we want every other state. That's the only state.
Starting point is 00:20:17 It's funny because I won Indiana all three times by a landslide. and I wasn't working on it very hard nice I think we would have picked up two receipts and we did that you had one gentleman the head of the Senate I guess Bray or whatever his name is I heard he was against it probably loses ex-primer
Starting point is 00:20:36 whatever that is I hope he does because he's done a tremendous disservice but think of it it's a great place I love the people there they love me we won in a landslide all three times commend his votes and then you there's no reason for doing it.
Starting point is 00:20:52 And the Democrats do it to us, so I can't imagine that they do it. It's different than us. I wasn't very much involved, but there's a man named Bray as a, I guess, head of the Senate. Was that Bray? Is that the name? Bray? And I mean, I'm sure that whenever his primary is, I think, in two years, but I'm sure he'll go down. All right.
Starting point is 00:21:16 So it's not that we weren't working very hard on it, but it was, quote, a tremendous disservice. And this, to Crystal's point, is the branding challenge of Trump going forward. The economy is an A plus, plus, plus, plus, plus, plus, but consumer sentiments are at record low. It's like there's a lot to, not record lows, probably, but pretty low. And there's, so there's a lot for the, the branding master to maneuver here going forward. Yeah, and I was just looking at another poll that just came out in terms of like people's, you know, what people are prioritizing. No surprise. Majority people say either prices and inflation or jobs in the economy. Only 3% are saying border security. 9% are saying crime and public safety. 7% are saying immigration. So, you know, and this is where Venezuela factors into this as well, where the vast majority of the public and things like 70% of the public are like, no, I don't want to do regime change in Venezuela. What are we doing here? And it's not only the opposition to the action itself. It's also the sense of like, hey, we have some situations here that we feel like you should maybe be focused on rather than murdering random people in the Caribbean and doing another foolish foreign adventure regime change war. You know, just ask Biden and Kamala Harris how it goes when people feel like you are more committed to warmaking than you are to their own lives and their material conditions.
Starting point is 00:22:44 So, you know, I think that's another, that's another factor that is playing in here. that is probably not going to benefit them over the short or long term. And he took another loss last night that is actually very relevant to this. House of Representatives, which is still Republican-controlled, voted to reject Trump's executive order
Starting point is 00:23:05 on what, artificial intelligence. Or no, it was on rolling back. No, no, no, it was sorry. It was on the labor rights, is that one? Yeah, it was about the rolling back the union protection. So Trump issued an executive. order that was like hostile to organized labor and workers and they they voted to roll that back um
Starting point is 00:23:27 and so you know a bunch of republicans cross the aisle 20 i think 20 Republicans 19 who are facing uh you know tough reelection campaigns and one who's retiring joined democrats to uh overturn this executive order so like he's he's he's losing his hold on the party in a way that you, as you said, is, like, reminiscent of just a few weeks after January 6th. Mm-hmm. One more thing to throw in here before Brock joins us is, according to MS Now, don't know how amazing their sources are, and Marjorie Taylor Green denies this. But sources tell MSNal, MTG has been gauging support for a motion to vacate,
Starting point is 00:24:12 well, long-shot bid to oust Speaker Johnson, Marjorie's approaching members to get to nine who will oust the speaker. And, you know, I mean, this is direct shot at Mike Johnson, not necessarily Trump, but like Mike Johnson is not his own independent person out there. He's been Trump's puppet doing whatever it is that Trump wants him to do in that slot. That's been his whole purpose and role. So, you know, the other thing I saw is she posted this herself. So this isn't something that she denied that she's going to, she's thinking about signing on to any discharge petition that comes up, even if it's something she disagrees with. She's like, these things she should get a. vote on the floor. Like, they should get a vote on the House floor and people disagree with them, then vote against them. But what is it with this not being able to vote on things and members not being able to express themselves? So I'm so for it. I'm just sad she's resigning in January. I want her to stick around. Yeah, I am too. But if she wants to do a motion to vacate, she can definitely find enough people to do it. It's like everyone is mad at Mike Johnson. The moderates are mad at Mike Johnson. Maga is mad at Mike Johnson. He has a very thin margin, obviously.
Starting point is 00:25:18 the motion of vacate, basically Kevin McCarthy's entire conference was happy with him, except for like Matt Gates and a posse of friends. And so because of where the margins are right now, you know, it's just a question if they care enough. Yeah, who are the people who would be most likely. I mean, you think it. Why are people so mad at Mike Johnson specifically? Like, is there been a key central failure that they're all pointing to? Yeah. I mean, during the government shutdown, um, everyone was. home in their districts and had lots of time on their hands and just was like getting really,
Starting point is 00:25:54 really mad at Mike Johnson and felt like he wasn't prioritizing the, like, actual action type stuff. He hasn't been getting them to, like, do things. And they feel kind of idle and frustrated. And so I think you would have, you would have some, like, Freedom Caucus types. And then you would have, like, Brian Fitzpatrick from Pennsylvania, a kind of moderate type who's been speaking out against Mike Johnson. Now, would he actually vote in the discharge position? You probably, if she made a serious push, some of these, you know, there's 20 people who are considering announcing the retirements, according to Jake Sherman. So what do they care? They'll do a motion to vacate if they want to, you know, make a point about Mike Johnson. So I would think for the moderates, for anybody who's in a swing district, too, they'd see it as an opportunity to, like, separate themselves from a party that's unpopular. you know, same function than in the past, like voting against Nancy Pelosi would have served. I don't know how far it gets you, though, because most people see that the problem is not really Mike Johnson, you know, outside of like the, you know, insular Republican infighting, they see the problem as being Donald Trump and Mike Johnson is just there to like do his bidding. But I do think a lot of, you know, some people who are in districts that are vulnerable would probably feel like, oh, this is an opportunity for me to show that I'm not like the rest of these people on my own person. I'm independent.
Starting point is 00:27:14 I'm voting against the party in some key ways. and use that to kind of try to bolster an independent brand. Yeah, I tried to get healthier subsidies. Yeah. Yeah, right, they might get that next week, right? They might. Yeah, that would be, do you think that has a chance of passage, this deal that is coming together with House Republicans? Yeah, and this is the flip side of what we were talking about with Trump operating as a Roy Cohn-style political figure.
Starting point is 00:27:45 where sometimes the arm twisting is a disaster and it backfires because people take such umbrage with it, especially in politics, treating them like it's mafia time. And then on the other hand, sometimes it twists arms and Trump is able to like sweet talk plus strong arm and gets it done. So I think he's really not used to it not working. I feel like that's what happened in Indiana. What is the deal look like? Because I saw the Republican talking points and it was extremely vague. Is it what's a year extension? Yeah. Of the of the Obamacare subsidies? Right. Like through the election, basically. Yeah. Which would be, that'd be huge for everybody who's staring at those bills right now. Yeah. Who's already gone through the marketplace and looking at the
Starting point is 00:28:39 premium spikes. And then if Democrats take the house, you know, they'd be in a position to defend the subsidies in the next spending package. What about these 2K tariff checks? I was promised a tariff check at some point, Emily. Is that still on the table? They have conceded that that was made up. Ah, damn. What they meant is that the beauty of Trump's A++ plus economy
Starting point is 00:29:05 and his beautiful tax bill. That it feels like we all got a check. It's going to feel like you got a $2,000. Yeah. Trump has suggested that it's actually branding. Yes. It's $2,000 in vibes. In vibes.
Starting point is 00:29:19 Your bank account is a mindset. You just send a vibe check and sign it. That is literally a vibe check. And then, like, fine print it says this is not redeemable for actual money. Well, they would do that, but Doge fired the bureaucrats that might have been able to send down those checks. That's true. Yeah, yeah, exactly. You're going to get a truth social post.
Starting point is 00:29:37 Yeah. You can get an AI slot video about it. Yeah. Being a parent is basically a juggling act. Dinner, hockey practice, homework, a last-minute science project, and someone's always, always shouting for you from another room. So yeah, I'll take any shortcuts that actually works. And that's why I'm all in on Hello Fresh.
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Starting point is 00:31:37 He can see right through me. Listen to Crimless on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Stefan Curry, and this is Gentleman's Cut. I think what makes Gentleman's Cut different is me being a part of developing the profile of this beautiful finished product. With every sip, you get a little something different. Visit Gentleman's Cut Bourbon.com or your nearest Total Wines or Bevmo. This message is intended for audiences 21 and older. Gentleman's Cut Bourbon, Boone County, Kentucky.
Starting point is 00:32:11 For more on Gentleman's Cut Bourbon, please visit Gentleman'scutbuburn.com. Please enjoy responsibly. Well, I think we've got our guest, Brock here from the lever. Let's let Brock in. Brock, what's going on, man? Hey, folks. How's it going?
Starting point is 00:32:26 Good. Great to have you. Yeah, thanks for having me on. Yeah, of course. So can you give us your last name pronunciation? Yeah, yeah, sure. I was not going to try Crystal. I wasn't going to, I was just like, fine.
Starting point is 00:32:38 It's frog. Rayhor? That's pretty close, actually. Yeah, it's Rehor. So it's a check last name. The H is silent. Yeah. It's been getting butchered since I was a kid.
Starting point is 00:32:48 No worry. He's, but yeah. Excellent. Well, you're just so iconic. You only need the first name. That's it. That's right. And you wrote an iconic article here.
Starting point is 00:32:58 We've got it up. The secret algorithm behind your $20 burger, according to multiple lawsuits, data analytic firm Agristats, has quietly enabled the nation. largest meat processors to coordinate price hikes and wage suppression for decades. Tell us a little bit about this story, Brock. Yeah, sure.
Starting point is 00:33:17 So this started when I saw this, I saw a little bit of information come out about how there was this ongoing class action lawsuit, and some of the country's biggest poultry processors had been colluding to suppress their workers' wages. And so I write a little, you know, good newsletter for the lever every week. And so this was one of the items that I was including on this. But when I started looking a little bit further, I saw this information about this company, Agrostats. I had seen that, you know, some places have done coverage of this firm before, I think Mother Jones,
Starting point is 00:33:58 the American Prospect. A couple of sources have covered the technology more broadly. But nobody was really talking about this settlement. So in lieu of a financial settlement, Agrastats agreed to redact some of the wage information in a way that, you know, allegedly was like satisfactory for the plaintiffs for the workers. But I wanted to look a little bit more into it. And when I started talking to industry insiders and legal experts, the overwhelming consensus seemed to be that, well, no, the settlement isn't actually going to change anything substantive in the industry. and it sort of follows a broader pattern, which I think is pretty interesting. I spoke to this independent rancher, Mike Calacrate, who I think summed it up pretty well.
Starting point is 00:34:43 I also talked to Claire Calloway of the Open Markets Institute, and both of them kind of landed on the same general pattern that is going on with price-fixing more broadly in the meatpacking industry, and it's sort of, you know, these companies are always able to settle and often what happens is the settlements that they pay out are less than they got in their ill-gotten gains. And a lot of the time they don't actually have to give those gains back. So it's perfectly rational for these companies, you know, just pursuing profit maximization. It's perfectly rational for them to continue price fixing. And what's happening is nothing's being done to change the underlying conditions that enabled price fixing in the first place.
Starting point is 00:35:32 And that was sort of the broader takeaway that I came with this. But I also think it's pretty interesting because I think with everything going on with RealPage right now, algorithmic price fixing is sort of a hot button issue. It's a pretty salient political issue, especially with like New York and California, trying to update their state antitrust laws to account for sort of algorithmic price fixing. But what's interesting is agorstatts, it's been around for 40 years. And the technology, I think, I'm not going to attempt to explain the differences. the technology, but from what I was able to gather from people I spoke to, the technology works
Starting point is 00:36:07 pretty differently, but it's the same idea of this third-party intermediary used by companies to exchange sensitive information. And obviously, again, I think I can't overstate this. This is a problem that exists beyond algorithms. It goes beyond third-party intermediaries. This sort of standard smoke-filled room price fixing is still definitely also going on a lot. But it was sort of interesting that Agrisats, this firm in particular, wasn't really getting a lot of coverage and people weren't really talking about, well, like, well, what's going to happen after this settlement? Like, you know, they agree to redact the information, but are they just going to be able to continue sort of existing? Sorry, go ahead.
Starting point is 00:36:55 So effectively, no, I was just going to say, so effectively you started writing this as like a piece of good news, like, oh, look, there was this class action lawsuit and they forced a settlement. This will improve things. And then as you start to dig into it, you come to realize the settlement is actually a strategic tactic from the algorithmic price fixing company to make sure they don't have to admit any wrongdoing. And they can just sort of like pay the fine and just consider that a cost of doing business. And it also did. You just mentioned Real Page. It also did very much remind me of that story, which we have covered extensively here as well, where effectively, they thought that they could get around, you know, antitrust and anti-competitive laws by doing it through a newfangled way. Like, since we're doing the collusion through algorithms, it doesn't really count anymore. And, you know, I'm sure that the mechanism is a little bit different here, but what you effectively point to, and again, this is all alleged and they deny, blah, blah, blah. But what you point to here is just like with the algorithmic rent price fixing, some of the information that landlords were able to glean was basically like, you know what, you'll actually be more profitable. If you jack up the rent so high that it is beyond and above market prices and you keep some units open, so effectively like reducing supply, you keep some units open because people just literally can't afford it. You will actually be more profitable that way. And in a similar way, in the meat processing industry, what they've also realized is that by constraining supply and jacking up the price, they're going to be more profitable.
Starting point is 00:38:35 So, you know, we've had, there's a lot of factors that are going into both why the prices are so high, why the cattle herd right now is so low. There are various factors that go into it. But if you look at the overall structure of this market, the ranchers are getting screwed, right? their margins. We've talked to Mike Callowcrate as well. Amazing guys. Shout on to him. Go check out ranch foods direct. Ranchers are getting screwed, right? They're not making much, if anything, they're underwater. So they're not building out the herds because they can't afford to because there's no margin in it for them. Consumers are getting screwed. And companies like Tyson's are racking up massive profit margins. So just from looking at that structure of the industry,
Starting point is 00:39:17 You can see the way that this consolidation of power has allowed them to set the price and suck all of the sort of benefit out of the market to the detriment of the ranchers and to the detriment of the consumers. And you filled in with this article an important piece of the puzzle of how exactly they are colluding and working together allegedly to be able to effectuate that outcome. Yeah, yeah, that's definitely another thing that at least the DOJ alleges. is that these companies are, you know, agrostats in the same way that you, that you pointed out with Real Page. It is getting these companies to artificially constrain supply. And I think that's a really important thing to focus on when we're talking about these. To that point, Brock, why don't I play the, Griffin, if you have it handy, go ahead and play it. But if not, I can pull it up.
Starting point is 00:40:13 The Pete Ricketts response to Dana Osborne. Here, I'll pull it up. This is, and I think Crystal's kind of alluding to this, that, you know, Tyson closed. So Tyson closed this processing plant. A couple of announced the closure of this processing plant in Lexington, Nebraska a couple weeks ago. And Dan Osborne, the independent Senate candidate, has been making the case that it's a violation of the Packers and Stockyards Act, which says that you cannot take action with the intent to or with the effect of manipulating. the price and and what they're trying to do here it appears is both manipulate the price that they have to charge uh or that they have to pay to to ranchers to get the cattle because you know
Starting point is 00:41:01 if ranchers have fewer uh you know processing plants to sell to then they can charge less for their cattle and then if as they reduce the supply that they're producing uh they can then charge more to the customers and so osborne has been saying uh the feds need to step in here and actually crack down on this criminal wrongdoing. And so Ricketts was asked about this, and he's a billionaire who's running against this independent mechanic. And his answer is just so mealy-mouthed. And I think it shows everything.
Starting point is 00:41:32 So, yeah, so let's go back to Ricketts. Independent mechanic versus independent billionaire. I think he inherited a list of his money, too. I've got my team taking a look at any allegation of. wrongdoing with regard to how Tyson is going about this process. And, of course, what I have said in the past is that I've talked to other employers with regard to finding jobs for the people who are being displaced. I have talked to Donnie King, the Tyson CEO, about making sure that that facility can continue
Starting point is 00:42:07 to be used for job creation and that I'm really treating this like a natural disaster, that it's locally executed, state managed, and fairly supported. continue to support on her villain and the local officials. It's an act of God, really. They work to mitigate the issues associated with the shutdown. Amazing. Like a natural disaster. Yeah, exactly. An act of God
Starting point is 00:42:28 because he sees these CEOs as gods. And so they're acting together. They've brought about a natural disaster on this town. And he's hoping that they can continue using it for job creation. Like, what are you talking about?
Starting point is 00:42:44 Um, anyway, uh, Brock, how does this fit into your, uh, your reporting? Yeah, sure. So I think like we were sort of alluding to a little bit earlier, um, I think the closure of this, could you remind me of, uh, of what percentage of the beef supply, the closure of this market would? Oh, yeah. So it's 15% of Nebraska's beef processing and it's five percent nationally. Like, so like one out of 20. And also like, like, I think we should acknowledge for the, like, this is just an awful industry. And if we could, like, move away from it and move to something more humane and that would be better. However, this is what we got.
Starting point is 00:43:30 Yeah. So, yeah, one out of 20, one out of 20 cattle that get butchered, get butchered at this processing plant. Yeah. So, I mean, like, I think, again, this sort of follows the general trend. I mean, this is both going to be obviously very detrimental to consumers, the people, buying the beef. That's a very substantial amount. But I think also it's important maybe to think about how propped up these rural towns become when a plant like Tyson moves in. I mean, when there's 3,000 or so workers in this plant in a town of 10,000, the local economy becomes entirely reliant
Starting point is 00:44:05 on this one plant. They can build a data center and then do more of the AI computing at the data center from the jobs that will bring yes dozens both of the jobs that will bring yeah
Starting point is 00:44:20 yeah yeah and so it's fascinating to see the Republicans try to push back on this because the Republican
Starting point is 00:44:30 billionaire is just you know his he has he has thoughts and prayers and that I don't think that's going to cut
Starting point is 00:44:37 it for this town and Osborne Osborne has been going in on this the last several weeks like he looks like he's going to run
Starting point is 00:44:43 his entire campaign on this because it's such a perfect proxy for how we understand billionaires to be rigging the economy against regular people, both the workers and the consumers. And I think it is, it is such, sorry. No, go ahead. I think it is such a salient issue on both sides of the aisle. I mean, something that I sort of mentioned in my article was that maybe like a month or two ago, even the Trump administration has sort of tried maybe it's more opportunism, but they've tried to kind of capitalize on how much anger there is, round price fixing. And in the meat industry specifically, I think Trump called out in a truth social post. Again, he didn't name any names, but he called out foreign owned meat
Starting point is 00:45:23 packing companies. But again, I think, and a lot of the people I spoke to tends to be of the opinion that this is maybe more rhetoric than anything else. I think it's important to note that the Trump administration, they did accept, I think it was a $5 million donation from Pilgrim's Pride, which is a subsidiary of JBS, which is a Brazilian-owned company, and shortly after that donation, again, there's, I don't want to, like, assume causation or anything, but shortly after that donation, JBS, this Brazilian company, was listed publicly in the New York Stock Exchange. But I do think it really speaks to, you know, regardless of where you are on the political spectrum, these issues carry a lot of political weight and even just talking about them.
Starting point is 00:46:08 It's, yeah, it's on a lot of people's minds right now. being a parent is basically a juggling act dinner hockey practice homework a last minute science project and someone's always always shouting for you from another room so yeah i'll take any shortcuts that actually works and that's why i'm all in on hello fresh fresh ingredients super easy recipes and over 80 options every week so everyone eats no one complains and i get to feel like i've got it all together at least for dinner and the best part you're in total could Skip a week. Pause any time. Pick what works for you. It's dinner on your terms. They even have 15-minute recipes. Perfect for those nights when everyone's hungry and patience is officially off the menu. And with so many options, even my pickiest eater found something they loved, which means no more backup mac and cheese. Try HelloFresh today and get 50% off the first box with free shipping. Go to HelloFresh.ca and use promo code meal 50. That's Hellofresh.ca promo code meal 50. Have you ever listened to those true crime shows and found yourself with more questions than answers? And what is this? How is that not a story we all know? What's this? Where is that?
Starting point is 00:47:22 Why is it wet? Boy, do we have a show for you? From Smartless Media, Campside Media, and Big Money Players comes Crimeless. Join me, Josh Dean, investigative journalists. And me, Rory Scoville, comedian, as we celebrate the amazing creativity of the world's dumb as criminals. We'll look into some of the silliest ways folks have broken the laws. Honestly, it feels more like a high-level prank than a crime.
Starting point is 00:47:49 Who catfishes a city? And meets some memorable anti-heroes. There are thousands of angry, horny monkeys. Clap if you think, she's a witch. And it freaks you out. He has x-ray vision. How could I not follow him? Honestly, I got to follow me.
Starting point is 00:48:04 He can see right through me. Listen to Crimless on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Stefan Curry, and this is Gentleman's Cut. I think what makes Gentleman's Cut different is me being a part of developing the profile of this beautiful finished product. With every sip, you get a little something different.
Starting point is 00:48:27 Visit Gentleman'scuturban.com or your nearest Total Wines or Bevmo. This message is intended for audiences 21 and older. Gentleman's Cut Bourbon, Boone County, Kentucky. For more on Gentleman's Cut Bourbon, please visit at gentlemen'scutturbin.com. Please enjoy responsibly. Yeah, well, and Ricketts is not just, you know, a very, one of the wealthiest members of Congress. He also has received, according to Osborne, I haven't double-checked it, but according to Dan Osborne, $70,000 in campaign contributions and support through hard and soft money from Tyson's directly.
Starting point is 00:49:02 And I think there used to be a bit of a Republican-based assumption that what was good for these companies was going to be, good for them in these individual towns. And I certainly saw this in West Virginia where they're, you know, from the antagonism of the mine wars, they're shift into this like Friends of Coal campaign where the idea that is actively pushed from Chamber of Commerce types and from Republican elites and that is bought into in a lot of ways from the base voters themselves is that, okay, if these companies do well and we like just support them and give them their tax cuts and let them do their thing, then that is going to be good for my town. They're not going to leave my town. They're not going to screw us over. This is what we've got, to your point, like, this is all we have
Starting point is 00:49:48 in this town, so we better keep them happy. And I think that that illusion has been completely destroyed at this point. So, you know, for me, this issue, obviously, it's very visceral for people because one of the markers of whether you're making it or not is whether you can afford like a stake every now and again. And for so many Americans now, the prices are just so out of control that that is just not even remotely a possibility that's completely off the table, both literally and figuratively at this point. So when you have some sort of insight into, okay, well, why is that? Who is, what happened with this specific market? Like, who is screwing you over? You know, I think people are very receptive and very open to the understanding that these giant companies are colluding, allegedly, in specific ways using now high tech, but it's the same, you know, same as getting in the smoke-filled room and doing it that way. It's effectively the same mechanism just through like a tech smoke screen. That that is a significant part of the puzzle. of why it is that you're getting screwed
Starting point is 00:51:01 in this particular way. And on the electoral level, and then Brock, we can leave you with the last word, Pete Ricketts looks like the guy who's doing the colluding and the screwing. Like, you couldn't have a worse candidate to me. If you're, like he looks like your CEO.
Starting point is 00:51:20 He looks like the guy who's going to saunter through the plant, you know, with a, like, crisp hard hat for five minutes, walk out and then close your plant. like he just looks like that guy and so when he's like I'm going to do everything I can for these workers you're like are you are you really not so sure
Starting point is 00:51:39 it's like Danny Warbucks anyway any last thoughts yeah no no I think that pretty much does it but thank you all so much for having me on I really I actually do have a Brock I have a I have a McDonald's based question me and Crystal are famously McDonald's eaters on the show
Starting point is 00:51:56 we love we love going to Mickey D's for a little fast food, but there is something incredibly undignified about paying like $16, $17 for a McDonald's combo. Is this kind of price ficting like affecting burger chains like nationwide? Like is this why it's so expensive in McDonald's these days? I mean, I don't know if I want to necessarily say that that's the only factor that's at play. But from what is alleged in these lawsuits, and from what a lot of the sources that I spoke to said, this is definitely one of the factors that's contributing to rising prices in beef, which would probably then translate to higher prices for burgers and McDonald's.
Starting point is 00:52:43 Taco Bell too. Well, fantastic. And Taco Bell, yeah. Yeah, oh, Taco Bell. Kills me. No, there's no beef in Taco Bell products, luckily, though. That's not here. Don't be a hater.
Starting point is 00:52:52 Don't be a hater. Brock, thanks for coming out. Where can we find you? If people want to learn more about you, follow your journalism. Sure, yeah, yeah. My Twitter is just my name with no caps and no spaces. Brock Rehor. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:53:06 Surprising that was available. I'm glad you could get it. Luckily, yeah. Stiff competition. Link will be in the description. Thanks for joining us, Brock. We'll catch you later. Thanks a lot.
Starting point is 00:53:16 Thanks, I appreciate you having me on. Bye-bye. Yeah, of course. And guys, make sure you subscribe over at the lever. If you are able, they have actually a lot of really great reporting. Not always, but specifically right now, they also have a scoop. about Google paying a bunch of legislators to go on some trip like state legislators to try to woo them with regard to data centers and fueling sort of that propaganda.
Starting point is 00:53:40 They've been doing a lot of great work on AI, is it an AI bubble, all of that sort of stuff. So give our friends over at Lever News some love. And Ryan, who we got now in the studio? So Hint Hassan, joining us from London, who authored a recent piece, Well, created a documentary for Al Jazeera, did a piece for us over at DropSight News, which I encourage people to go and read the aftermath of the 12-day war between Israel and Iran. The documentary itself, which aired on Al-Zera. If you don't mind, we'll just play, let me just throw up a little clip of it and then Hint.
Starting point is 00:54:19 Well, first of all, Hind, welcome to Bringing Points. Thank you for joining us. Thank you for having me. Pleasure to be here. And so let me pull this up. Pleasure. Just play a little bit of this so people get a flavor for the reporting that you did, that you and your team did, and then we'll discuss this.
Starting point is 00:54:35 Thank you. Oh, my peace is in Iran's largest cemetery, mothers cry out for children who will never answer. In June 13, 2025, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, to striking nuclear and military facilities, as well as devastating residential neighborhoods across Iran, killing hundreds of civilians. Among them, 12-year-old Amir Ali and his father, Raza. Well, I'm two of the best of them, two of the best of them. He said, to him to his father, he left.
Starting point is 00:55:25 The U.S. You can look at all, see, these are all young. These are what do you're killed? These are more of these are people. They're building with Israel, and what did. The U.S.-backed Israel's war, joining the offensive on the 10th day by striking Iran's nuclear sites with some of the biggest bombs in the world. President Trump called.
Starting point is 00:55:55 it a spectacular military success. And when you were talking to people there and going around the country, what did you think you would find going in and what surprised you about the aftermath of the attack? Well, we've covered for fault lines and vice before I worked with Al Jazeera and fault lines. we've covered wars in different parts of the world and wherever you go and you cover these stories of conflict and you speak to the victims of those war, there's not a story that isn't devastating. But when it comes to Iran, we're not short of hearing about the politics behind it all. We're not short of hearing about the nuclear program, what the US thinks, what
Starting point is 00:56:44 Israel thinks, what the Iranian government thinks. But I think what we really wanted to do is focus in and give a platform to those victims of war so we can hear from them the impact of this war because all these wars are fought by politicians we want to know what impact it has on the people on an individual level and really just given the space to be able to talk about that and the what I have done so many interviews with people who have lost loved ones and nothing prepared our entire team for hearing these stories in Iran every single person on that team. Every time we spoke to someone, our translator was crying. The producer behind the screen was crying. It's just very difficult to not be able to feel that emotion with the people
Starting point is 00:57:30 that we were speaking to. And it really hammered home just how devastating it is, that regardless of what people think in terms of politics and ideology, that the victims of war is always the most vulnerable in society. And, you know, they're always the children that we heard about who not only lost their lives, but also are currently struggling with the impact of it and the injuries that they've obtained. I think what we took away from this is just how much of an impact this had on people in Iran and also the risk of what another war, the risk of another war and what impact that would have on people as well going forward. What do you think it was, real quick, real quick, what do you think it was that made it so that
Starting point is 00:58:14 this hardened crew, this team that's been around the world and seen, you know, the ravages of war was so extraordinarily affected by this. I wonder if it's partly it's that, you know, Iran, even though they're getting, you know, constantly threatened with attack, you know, it's generally been living at peace.
Starting point is 00:58:36 Whereas, you know, a lot of war-torn areas, like they can count the months in between conflicts and then a new conflict comes and it becomes not a way of life, but less of a shock when the new conflict breaks out. Whereas with this, quote-unquote, 12-day war, you know, one day there's peace, and the next day it just bombs are raining down everywhere. And then all of a sudden it stops. What was it that, that, like, shook your team so much?
Starting point is 00:59:04 Well, first of all, we worked with local Iranian producers as well on the team. Whenever we report, we always work with local journalists. It's the only way that we can really tell the stories as well as we can. And the local journalists that we were working with, they lived through the war themselves. And actually even talking to them, when we weren't filming and talking about the possibility of another war, you could see how afraid they were of that possibility because the memory of those bombs going off nearby and hearing the explosions in Tehran during the war and living through that, it was still impacting them. And the idea, I remember when we were on, we were in the car one day and there were news reports coming in that Israel might be planning another attack within the next few months by the end of the year and the team, the Iranians that we were with, when you're journalists, you just talk about things, and you know, have you seen this post? Have you seen this tweet? Have you seen whatever? But the response that we had from the Iranian journalists who were in the car and how afraid they were hearing that was flippantly saying, oh, Israel could attack again. And their response as
Starting point is 01:00:12 humans who live in the war, who will be the people who experience whatever happens, it was, it kind of humbled us a little bit and made us remember that this is, this is real for people. And they were so afraid of it happen again. It also hammered home what had happened in Tehran, that this was for the people who lived there, the bombs were going off in the middle, in the middle of the city, in the middle of the capital. And I think also in terms of, so for them going and hearing from Iranians who had experienced the same things as but had suffered so much more. That was hugely impactful.
Starting point is 01:00:46 And also, Iranians, they have, obviously every country has, you know, the people have their own ways. And Iranians have a very, very poetic, lamenting way of telling stories or talking about what happened. And that came across when we were speaking to them about their loss and the way that they spoke. You saw there at the top of the report, we spoke to Syed, who is the grandfather of Emia Ali, a 12-year-old who was killed alongside with his father, Reza. And just the way that he says, there's a clip that comes later, he said, I prayed for martyrdom. I wish God would take me because I miss him so much. And you can see that in the way that he spoke. It wasn't just, you know, the people behind the camera who were breaking down, listening to these stories.
Starting point is 01:01:38 is every single person that we spoke to broke down because even though this war happened months ago, the impact that it's had on them, it's so raw right now. And you can see that it's going to be, it's going to live with them forever. It's impacted their lives permanently, changed their lives forever. And I think that that was really what, you know, how that impacts it. Just to say also, it's not uncommon for when we go out on the road and we film and we film and we speak to victims for us to find it very difficult or to cry. I think with a lot of journalists, we have this idea that we need to be,
Starting point is 01:02:16 that neutrality means to not be moved, whereas I actually don't agree with that. If you're telling the stories of the victims of war and you're dealing with a power dynamic and you're giving them a platform to be able to speak, I think humanity and allowing the viewer to be able to relate to that person on camera and you being able to relate to the person that you're speaking to. It's not an accountability interview this. this is somebody who suffered through something.
Starting point is 01:02:40 I think that's actually very important. And when you have that sort of relationship, it really comes across on camera. And I was going to ask more about the reporting process, the reporting process too, just what it was like to be in Iran. If there's anything, you want to add just about being a journalist in Iran,
Starting point is 01:02:58 were people eager to talk? Was it hard to find anyone? Or were people really, like, very pleased to be able to tell their story? But, yeah, as a journalist in Iran, trying to cover this, any difficulties, any process stories that might be interesting. It's not easy to get access to Iran. It is very difficult to go there as journalists and to report. So, you know, we worked for a long time trying to get this access. And, you know, we were very happy when we were able to go in. And then once again, once you're inside, it's not so easy that, you know, you can go out and, you know, and report whatever it is you want.
Starting point is 01:03:39 There are processes in order to be able to get access to certain things. Some things are easier than others. So, for example, when we want to speak to a victim of the war, that is a case of working with the local journalist, knowing who the people are that have been impacted, reaching out to them, seeing if they're willing to speak, there were some people who didn't want to speak to us. There were some people who would say,
Starting point is 01:04:00 actually, we don't want to speak to Western journalists. In fact, Amir Ali's grandfather, at first, he didn't really want to speak to us because he said, You know, I've done it before and what I said didn't come across accurately, and I don't know what impact it's going to have, and I don't know what change it's going to have. But we hear that from people wherever we go. When people have experienced something and they have been made victims, sometimes they lose faith in institutions or platforms or the media. We did face that a lot. And that definitely made us really determined to ensure that we are telling the story.
Starting point is 01:04:37 accurately and really doing justice to whatever it is that they were telling us. So that had its own issues, but I think it's very similar to wherever you go, reaching out to people, speaking to them, building that trust between you and the people that you're speaking to to, to ensure that they are happy and that you are having an honest relationship and you can tell their story as well as you can. The other places, for example, in the documentary, we actually managed to get access to Aveen prison. And Avine, you know, has been reported on many times before.
Starting point is 01:05:11 It's the location of where anti-government activists or protesters or journalists have been reported to have been held is also the place that was bombed by Israel and resulted in the largest casualty as a result of an attack on the 11th day of the 12th day war, so right at the end. And so getting access to that was very, very difficult and we were having to put in requests. repeatedly over and over again. It looked like at one point we might not be able to get access and then, you know, we got the phone call saying be there at this time. Even when we went in, we couldn't just explore the prison grounds as much as we wanted to, but we were able to see one of the major bombed out sites of the prison. And it was left as it was and we were allowed to roam about in there and have a look
Starting point is 01:05:57 and, you know, go and look at the different floors and, you know, see what had been left and the impacts of that. and so but it was it was very difficult getting in and when we finally managed to get in we did have some freedom to be able to explore that area and to really try and understand the impact of that strike and then afterwards we actually spoke to you know one of the judges who is you know works with the government on human rights and we also put to him the allegations of human rights abuses in a being prison by the Iranian government so we covered all angle. And also they were very happy to answer those questions. Maybe happy is the wrong word,
Starting point is 01:06:37 but they didn't put up any obstacles to us asking those questions or saying that we couldn't ask those questions and we did do that. So I would say definitely very difficult to get access to anything that is linked to the government. Another example, sorry, is there is a building, Shamran building, which was Shamran complex. And that was bombed, one of the first places that was bombed in the in the first hours of the war and it resulted in what the government tells us was around i think uh i'd have to check this through the documentary but you know around 46 i think people killed in total and 24 of those being children but that building was linked to the ministry of uh defense and so getting access to that for example was difficult and we had to wait
Starting point is 01:07:22 just to be able to go film on that site and um you know there were procedures and and and communications that we had to go through. But in the end, again, we were allowed to go there and film and see what was left of this building that had been destroyed. That was the same building that Amir Ali's grandfather, Amir Ali, had been killed in. And I have a, maybe it's a silly question. And then unfortunately, after I ask my question, hear your answer. I'm going to have to jump because my daughter has a gymnastics meet today that I have to take her to.
Starting point is 01:07:54 But my silly question here is, you know, as an amazing. American on Twitter, I'm treated to a lot of images of women in miniskirts on the street in Tehran in the 1970s. And I'm curious when you weren't reporting and doing your job, when you were just out and about in the city as a woman, like observing ordinary life on the streets. Like, what does it give Americans a sense of what is it like in Tehran right now? So this was my first time in Tehran. I'd never been before. And I too had just seen the images that were online. And I, too, I just seen the images that were online. And actually, what I saw now surprised me.
Starting point is 01:08:33 So we were advised that it was probably a good idea to wear the hijab. And you can see in the documentary, I'm kind of wearing a half hijab. I would say in Tehran, and we didn't go outside of Tehran, but in Tehran, most of the women either wore the hijab loosely,
Starting point is 01:08:49 wore it around the neck, or didn't wear it at all. And one of the very trendy, young areas, hipster areas that we saw. We went there in the evening. It wasn't too far from the hotel. We saw a woman, I saw a woman, buzz cut in a crop top, walking around the streets of Tehran, which was just hugely surprising. Now, I'm told, you know, this is something, this is a recent development. It hasn't always been like this. But since the protests and then also since the war, there has been an easing up of people's freedoms, individual freedoms
Starting point is 01:09:28 in Iran to be able to dress how they want. So that was definitely something that I saw. I was really shocked with the amount. And it wasn't just like the odd person here and there, many women not wearing, not wearing hijab, which was something that, you know, was surprising for me to see, considering, especially what we've heard. But yeah, it was what was
Starting point is 01:09:53 also what's interesting. I do think this is important to say is that we spoke to a lot of people who were not fans of the government and people who supported the government. But they all said that they were united
Starting point is 01:10:09 against the attack on Iran. So I think this is what we've heard from people. A lot of Iranians, you know, speculating and people that we speak to thought that perhaps Israel's plan was to create some form of disunity inside Iran and to create unrest. And that didn't happen. Actually, a lot of the people there, whether they supported the government, whether they didn't support the government, were very, very united against outside aggression or the bombing of Iran. And once you're there,
Starting point is 01:10:46 when you speak to the victims and you see the impact, it's very, very clear. People were afraid. They lost loved ones. They lost children. And so the feelings of politics were put aside. And in return, you had this unity against the bombing of their country. And that was something that came across with everyone that we spoke to. Wonderful. Last question for me, then. How was, and Crystal, thank you. Thank you, guys. Thank you, Hans. Great to meet you. Thank you, guys. How were people talking about a follow-on strike? Was it, were they talking about it more as a looming weather event, basically? Like, just this is going to happen, and we just need to kind of prepare for it. And there's nothing we can do about it? Or was there any talk about ways that they could actually stave off some type of second attack? And did, and I guess related, of that, there's been a lot of reporting in the last several days about Iran. Iran's quote unquote pivot to China and kind of giving up almost. I don't know, but giving up isn't the right
Starting point is 01:11:58 word, but putting more emphasis on the relationship with China rather than bending over backwards to try to get Europeans and the Americans to lift the sanctions and stop attacking them. Well, I think with the people that we spoke to, first of all, so the first part of your question. And of course, this isn't, this won't be everybody. These are just the snapshot of opinions that we got when we were there. And the people that we spoke to was almost like a kind of a psychological defense that they didn't want to accept that it was happening again. It wasn't like they were, oh yes, this is definitely happening. We've got to just, you know, get through it. And it was more like, we don't want this. We don't want this to happen.
Starting point is 01:12:39 Please don't let this happen again. We don't want this to happen. And it's not, they've definitely psychologically, I don't think, want to accept that it would happen again. I think, you know, to emphasize the bombing that happened in Tehrana and the people that we spoke to for 12 days destroyed so many people's lives and put the fear of God into a lot of people and the idea of just broaching this could happen again. They want whatever can be done to avoid that. That's not something it's like, okay, we need to get through this or this is the next time. And I think they're very aware that if there is another war, it could be longer and it could result in more lives. And we don't know what will happen then. You know,
Starting point is 01:13:26 what will be the aim and the goal? If you've already bombed the nuclear plants and you say that you've put back the nuclear program by 10 years, what are you going to try and achieve from the next conflict and is it to do with, you know, getting rid of the government? And if that's the case, that is a long and bloody war. And so people, I think, they are petrified of that happening and are hopeful and want a diplomatic solution. And actually, when we spoke to the foreign minister, the Iranian foreign minister, we also interviewed the documentary. Every answer he gave to us, any question we asked him, he ended it with, there is only a diplomatic solution. He said that over and over again. It's very clear that they do not want to go into another armed conflict.
Starting point is 01:14:17 They do, of course, as a government, they had to say over and over again, you know, we will fight back with everything we've got. We are prepared. We will take on Israel. If, you know, if they want to attack us, we will defend ourselves and we have the mean to do so. And then prefix it with we think we would like a diplomatic solution and to answer your second question are they stopping bending over backwards for the US and pivoting to try and I think that's definitely something you could see when we were inside Iran that a lot of the exports were coming from that direction so imports from that direction and and also just like us yeah yeah and And then we also, and then like in the conversations that we have with the foreign minister, he said that we do not trust the U.S. as an honest negotiating partner.
Starting point is 01:15:11 Again, that doesn't mean that he said doesn't mean that we don't want a diplomatic solution we do and we want to emphasize that over and over again. But it's clear that they don't trust the U.S. It's clear that they don't have a huge amount of hope. and yeah, it's a case of waiting to see what happens next. So interesting. So Hintasan, the documentary is called 12 Days that shook Iran. You can find it on Al Jazeera English's YouTube page. You can also read your summary over at DropSite.
Starting point is 01:15:48 But thanks so much. And last thing, do you know what's next? You know, what investigation you're doing next? Can you tell, or is it that under wraps? Well, that's all. Thank you for having me. You know, great to be here with you all. And what's coming next?
Starting point is 01:16:05 There's a few things in the pipeline for 2026. I don't want to give away too much and jinx it because none of it has been 100% over the line. But look out for prisons and Brazil. Okay, there we go. There's words. Maybe interchange something at two separate things there. not in the same, could be something different, don't hold me to it, but there's always something in the pipeline. Well, I look forward to having you back when those come out of the other end of
Starting point is 01:16:35 the pipeline. They look forward to it. Thank you so much. Stay safe. Thank you. So Griffin, Griffin, does that do it for this portion of the program or do we have anything else? You know, we're running out of time. Let's move over to the second half, which you can find, of course. We haven't talked about weed. We can just let people know that's, Saugger's... Oh. Yeah. Saugre needed to get that in.
Starting point is 01:16:59 Did it happen? It looks like they're rescheduling weed, yeah. Oh, my God. Which means that the weed shops will have access to banking. I've been talking to Saugger. I think he's onto like a real genuine corruption angle. Like if you look at some of the movements of the weed penny stocks over the last couple of days, I'm shocked that there wasn't more integrity among the,
Starting point is 01:17:24 the stock traders in weed companies, but it looks like the administration was leaking some information to some of these weed executives and that they were begging money off of it. But I guess not weed users, because they would have never sent those emails if they've been smoking it. I want to get into that and a lot of other stories
Starting point is 01:17:48 in the second half of the show, and Sager also sent us a manifesto or a rebuttal to the, the weed legalization that I'll have to bring up on the show as well. We're going to switch over to that now. You can go to Emily, where can you go to sign up for breaking points? Where do you go? You go to breakingpoints.com, of course, obviously.
Starting point is 01:18:11 Why would you go anywhere else? Breakingpoints.com. Get that premium membership. Great Christmas gift. Great Christmas gift to yourself. Shout out, by the way, to all of the premium subs that came up to us after our reason debate. where, of course, as expected, we did wipe the floor with the wonderful folks at Reason. But so many breakers there.
Starting point is 01:18:32 It was like, Ryan and I were looking around and were like, whoa, there are a lot of you guys. You guys showed up in force and dropside fans. So. Eat at Reason. Yep. Join the club, breakingpoints.com, premium subscription. And Ryan, what do you get for that premium subscription? Well, soon when I win the internal argument, you're going to get the Friday
Starting point is 01:18:54 show live. It is. I am running up against some internal obstacles by the name of Griffin, but we're going to over, we're going to overcome them. The compromise folks is we're going to go live, but we're going to start an hour later.
Starting point is 01:19:07 That's the compromise. And actually, as a West coaster, that will actually be able to see the sun when you wake up. So, okay, you know, I'll make that deal. Oh, okay.
Starting point is 01:19:17 I love it. Sweet. Start an hour later. Friday show live for premium subscribers. And then Monday through Thursday, you get the show an hour early without the ads unless YouTube just breaks their deal with us and like puts inserts ads into the unlisted link, which sometimes they do and, you know, they're a monopoly and they can do that. But you get the, you get the show an hour early and you get you get the entire thing so that you can, you know, when you get to a segment where you're like, really like you're covering this, you can just skip right through it and go to the next one. Yeah, incredible features there. And then, you know, ultimately you get to ask us AMA questions of the hosts.
Starting point is 01:19:59 And finally, this one is more of like an invisible hand. But your guys support allows people like Ryan to do crazy journalism where they attack the biggest people in the world and out there dirty laundry. And that requires resources. It requires lawyers on standby. It does. So all that is. Another big, big support to us. So we'll see you all over there in the second half right now.
Starting point is 01:20:29 I know he has a reputation, but it's going to catch up to him. Gabe Ortiz is a cop. His brother Larry, a mystery Gabe didn't want to solve until it was too late. He was the head of this gang. You're going to push that line for the cause. Took us under his wing and showed us the game, as they call it. When Larry's killed, Gabe must untangle a dangerous past, one that could destroy everything he thinks.
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