Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 1/23/24 BREAKING: Trump WINS BIGLY In New Hampshire
Episode Date: January 24, 2024Saagar reacts to the breaking news that Trump has won the New Hampshire GOP Primary. To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: http...s://breakingpoints.supercast.com/ Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Hello, everybody. Some major breaking news.
It is about 8.44 p.m. here on the East Coast,
and I can report to you that Donald Trump has officially won the New Hampshire
GOP primary. The Associated Press, which is what we go off of, called the race for him a mere three
minutes after the polls closed at 8 p.m. To be fair, some of the polling places in New Hampshire
closed at 7, so they were able to tabulate things before the official time came, but still pretty
stunning that they were able to do
that. Nikki Haley, actually, one of the reasons I waited to do this is she gave a very early
concession speech tonight where she says, well, we almost got half of the vote. Almost, I think,
being the key thing there. But more importantly, for our purposes, she says she's not going to be
dropping out of the race. So just for tonight, you know, reminder, we're going to have a great
show tomorrow morning with Ryan Graham and Emily Jashinskyinski I'll be at the desk with the three of
them we'll be going over all the results the video Etc so you can tune in for that but I'll give you
some of my initial thoughts just reactions uh that I wanted to share so I'm gonna go ahead and try
and and uh put some of this on the screen that you guys can see okay so what we can see in front of
us as I said is some of the votes still being tabulated here. Trump currently standing around
53.4%, Nikki Haley at 45.7%. The estimated margin of victory that we see is about Trump plus 11,
roughly like that. So not the domination that he was able to demonstrate in Iowa, but this is still
a head-to-head thing, and he's very likely to come out over 50% or so. More importantly, though, what we can see from some of the counties and things
that have come in so far is that all of the areas which are colored in by red, either light or dark
that I'm hovering my mouse over, those are the places that are in the more suburban and rural
parts of the state. Those are the places that are overwhelmingly the more suburban and rural parts of the state.
Those are the places that are overwhelmingly going for Trump.
Now, though, let's take something that's deep blue,
and we can see that are areas like Hanover.
Hanover is the perfect example.
That is the most liberal place in the state of New Hampshire.
I believe that's where Dartmouth College is actually located or somewhere nearby. So why would that matter? Well, that's where the vast majority of
these college educated voters would be. Another thing to keep in mind is that the New Hampshire
primary allowed people who were not Republicans to actually register and be able to vote as long
as they did so a couple of days ago. And from the overwhelming
amount of data that we were able to see, a lot of Democrats decided to cross over and to vote for
Nikki Haley, which definitely influenced her overall vote total. And also we had some people
who were undeclared and or undecided type voters. So all of these, I think, are pretty important
data points and things we'll be going over a lot tomorrow.
But I think that's kind of like one of my major top New Hampshire said that they were not part of the MAGA movement,
whereas the majority of Iowa caucus goers did say that they were part of the MAGA movement.
Similar whenever it came down to whether the election was stolen or not.
About 49 percent of New Hampshire GOP primary voters did say that the election was stolen, as opposed to only 29 percent, for example, with Iowa.
So you can see it's skewed much more in like a more moderate and or liberal direction.
Of course, that it happens whenever you let moderate and or actual Democrats and or liberals vote in a GOP primary.
So we can't discount that. And also it demonstrates the long, hard road that Nikki Haley has ahead of her,
because even though the next state is about a month away, that's her own home state for South
Carolina. That is not she's not going to have the same level of dynamics that will be able to come
and to save her. For those who were wondering, by the way, I can also report that the Democratic
primary has officially been called by the Associated Press as well for Joe Biden. But
we expected that the
overall vote totals are just pretty unclear right now because all of those Biden votes were write
ins. And obviously, you know, we're waiting to see which writings were for Biden, which write
in said ceasefire. Approximately 70.8 percent of the tabulated votes so far are, quote,
unprocessed write ins, even though they can estimate that Joe Biden will win that Democratic primary.
Waiting to see what the overall vote total will be for Dean Phillips, for Marianne Williamson,
for Vermin Supreme, who we learned about today, who was on the show.
Kind of, you know, just overall, like kind of what I can see and what is kind of interesting from, you know, with the county by county is that same thing.
You know, Biden just has a lot of dominance pretty much all across the state. But I mean, that was likely and most likely accepted.
So anyway, those are some of my initial reactions. My real top line one is just, you know, if I could
hammer home anything else that I can is that Nikki Haley is the candidate of the, you know,
the more college educated people who are more likely to, you know, not vote for Trump and just vote for Biden crossover.
And that's just not going to cut it in a GOP primary.
I don't think I can say that enough.
And it's going to be the dominant story, I think, as this we have this month kind of twisting ahead of South Carolina
primary. Although, let me just say this too. A month is a long time. It's an eternity in politics.
You know, who the hell knows? Think about where we were a month ago in terms of Vivek Ramaswamy,
all these candidates and some of the posturing and all that. So, you know, look, Trump could
literally get another charge against him. Something could happen with the trial or
something could happen with Biden.
There could be a global conflagration.
We have no idea.
And all of these things could have a huge impact on the race.
So just keep that in mind.
That's part of the reason likely that she has decided not to drop out of the race.
She's going to keep this thing going.
And I'm excited to have all of our analysis tomorrow on the show.
So if you can become a Breaking Points premium member, if you don't mind,
all of us stayed up late, past our bedtimes tonight.
We're going to be up bright and early tomorrow morning.
Everybody's working overtime, and we'll have a show for everybody on Thursday as well.
So shout out to them, BreakingPoints.com, if you're able to take advantage of that.
And I will see you all tomorrow.
It's going to be a treat.
Stay informed, empowered, and ahead of the curve with the BIN News This Hour podcast. It's going to be heard. Listen to the BIN News This Hour podcast
on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcasts.
I think everything that might have dropped in 95
has been labeled the golden years of hip-hop.
It's Black Music Month, and we need to talk.
It's tapping in.
I'm Nyla Simone, breaking down lyrics,
amplifying voices, and digging into the culture
that has shaped the soundtrack of our lives.
Like, that's what's really important, and that's what stands out,
is that our music changes people's lives for the better.
Let's talk about the music that moves us.
To hear this and more on how music and culture collide,
listen to We Need to Talk from the Black Effect Podcast Network
on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
What up, y'all? This your main man Memphis Bleak right here, host of Rock
Solid Podcast. June is Black
Music Month, so what better way to celebrate
than listening to my exclusive conversation
with my bro, Ja Rule.
The one thing that can't stop you or take
away from you is knowledge. So whatever
I went through while I was down
in prison for two years, through that process,
learn. Learn from me.
Check out this exclusive episode with Ja Rule on Rock Solid.
Open your free iHeartRadio app, search Rock Solid, and listen now.
This is an iHeart Podcast.