Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 1/26/26: Gov Shutdown Imminent, Revolt After ICE Shooting, Chinese General Purged

Episode Date: January 26, 2026

Ryan and Saagar discuss Gov shutdown imminent, rightwing revolt after ICE shooting, top China general purged.   Jenin Younes: https://x.com/JeninYounesEsq?s=20 Glenn Greenwald: https://x.com.../ggreenwald?s=20   To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.comMerch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey, it's Joel and Matt from How to Money. If your New Year's resolution is to finally get your finances in shape, we've got your back. Prices, they're still high. And the economy is all over the place. But 2026 is the year for you to get intentional and make real progress. That's right.
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Starting point is 00:02:05 and we hope to see you at breakingpoints.com. Funding for the federal government runs out on Friday, and the killing in Minneapolis has shaken up what looked to be a glide path to likely avoiding a shutdown into what is now a wall that the Senate is going to crash into. we can put up this first element from Chuck Schumer. So Chuck Schumer has met with his Senate colleagues. And in the wake of the killing of Alex Pretti, rank and file Democrats have been livid
Starting point is 00:02:40 and saying that they're drawing a red line here, that they have no intention of supporting government funding if it includes money for the DHS. And so, Saga, what's going on here? So last week, the House, passed a bunch of different spending packages and then and then left like so credit to speaker Mike Johnson we could say I think this is one of the first times that the house has actually passed to normal appropriations bills yeah where you're supposed to do it in like decades practically
Starting point is 00:03:16 like the Congress has like been completely broken they put it together and democrats did this too clever by half move this is before the killing I think it was a Thursday night night that it passed through the House. What they did is they gave Democratic support for these Republican measures that were not related to DHS, and it allowed Republicans and then separate out the DHS spending package. Democrats then all except for like six of them or so, voted against that. But leadership knew that the strategy that the two parties were taking was going to move federal money for all agencies through. But it allowed Democrats not to have their fingerprints on the ice money.
Starting point is 00:04:00 So that's kind of where the politics were leading up to Thursday. That Democrats didn't want to be associated with DHS spending, but were willing to play games in Washington that would allow us to avoid a government shutdown. Right. That all changed because the shooting. So now what Schumer is demanding, and he has, as according to my sources in the United unified support among the caucus for a strategy that says, we will fund all of the government
Starting point is 00:04:28 except for DHS. Yep. So we don't want to shut the government down. We want to do what we did over in the House, pass all these bills separately, keep everything open, FEMA especially, because we're in the midst of this horrific storm with, you know, thousands out of power, millions affected. But we're not funding DHS until there are reforms. So what that does is it they think, at least, that it puts then,
Starting point is 00:04:51 Republicans in the position of saying, no, we're going to shut the government down unless you give us money for ICE and CBP without any reforms whatsoever. And that feels kind of untenable given public position that, no, this needs to be reined in. Yeah, let's put the tear sheet next up on the screen. And the most significant part of this, as Ryan is saying, it's not the Progressive Caucus. It's that senators like Cortez Mastow, Jackie Rosen, Angus King, Independent in Maine. Tim Kane, Mark Warner, Mark Kelly, Martin Heinrich. Ryan Shats, Martin. These are people who you probably don't even know for good reason.
Starting point is 00:05:33 Unless they're literally your own senator, even then you probably don't really know who they are. When those people vote no, it's a big deal because what it means is we'll have at the very least a partial government shutdown. It is a bit complicated, Ryan, as I've been understanding, is apparently ICE actually does have the money to continue operating because of the one big beautiful bill back in 2025. However, this would effectively create a DHS shutdown. And I mean, it's basically just about inflicting pain. And they're like, look, we won't fund any of it. By the way, I mean, don't underestimate
Starting point is 00:06:07 like TSA, all these other agencies would likely start to go without. They would go without potential paychecks and all that. But this one could actually go on for a much longer time because it's only the DHS funding that is being held up. And I don't really see how they could possibly give in without significant concessions by the government here, which are not forthcoming. Right. While you and I've been talking, go ahead, go ahead. No, and you tell me, but my sense of the Republican Party is that, and Senate Republicans, is that they're not going to agree to pass the other spending bills unless they also get DHS, which means you would get a full government shut down. What's, what's your sense of whether because then I think they would argue if we do that,
Starting point is 00:06:51 Democrats are just never going to give us DHS. I've been so focused on the shooting. I haven't worked my phones on that one. I will and try to have an update for everybody. My general sense is they're going to take the order from the White House. The White House is going to have to decide whether they want a partial government shutdown or whether they want to have to go through another total government shutdown. My sense, this is my general reaction.
Starting point is 00:07:14 If I'm the White House, the last thing I want is a, total government shutdown over ICE funding. That's a disaster because the entire public will be like, yeah, fuck that, whenever it comes to. They're like, listen, you know, whatever. And by the way, we just went through the longest government shutdown in U.S. history wasn't that bad, right? Everybody got got through it. It really was barely even a news story. Yes, it could have been bad whenever came to the airlines. But this time around, you know, the Dems really have a much stronger thing to stand on considering the events that just happened. So if you're the White House, you actually don't want the country to really be paying a total amount of attention to a total government
Starting point is 00:07:52 shutdown because the pressure will start to come on you to actually do something about ice, which most people are to be saying, is completely out of control. So you may want a more partial government shutdown. Now, I could be wrong here. There could be some chicken and all of that going around. So don't rule that out. But I think the Democrats are on 10 times stronger ground this time around than they were last time around. I also think that they're starting some cracks beginning to show on the Republican side. Let's put the next one up here on the screen. And again, Ryan, this is the stuff where it's funny trying to explain Washington to people. Let's put D3 guys, please, is the chairman, Representative Garberino, Andrew Garberino,
Starting point is 00:08:31 has formally requested testimony from ICBP, USCIS leaders at a full committee hearing, quote, Congress has an important responsibility to ensure the safety of law enforcement and the people they serve and protect. So when the chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee, a guy, again, you've never heard of, when these people who actually do have power. For it that he's a member of Congress and the chairman of committee. Yeah, that's right. A chairman of a powerful committee. But when committee chairman who have immense power but almost never use it, almost never break from the administration in the more modern era, when those people start being like, yeah, no, you're coming before Congress and you're going to have to start asking. By the way, this was not requested by the White House.
Starting point is 00:09:11 They do not want this. The very last thing they want is for their people to be in front of a House committee under oath. I mean, Ryan, why don't you explain again for people who don't watch? Like, this means every Democrat on the committee gets five minutes to question you under oath. It's a disaster. It's not good whenever you're in power. That's right. And if anybody thinks that, oh, well, maybe this is just routine and it's a coincidence.
Starting point is 00:09:34 Nope. You're not sending a letter like this out on a Saturday. Exactly. And it begins by, you know, they sort of. try to suggest that there's some routine nature to. The letter begins on January 15th, you know, committee staff invited you to testify. Then it's,
Starting point is 00:09:51 but then he says, today, I am formally memorializing the previous invitation. And to drop that on a Saturday right after the killing is sending a very clear message. And it's, yes. So to your point, what this,
Starting point is 00:10:05 and he says, and they, you know, he gives them a bunch of different dates, the latest one being March 18th. So he's, he's kind of allowing them to at least, you know, push it out, you know, a significant amount of time. But that March 18th is going to be here before you know it.
Starting point is 00:10:20 And God only knows what's going to happen in cities between now and then. And you're right. This gives, you know, every member of that committee, Democrat and Republican. And Republicans, I think, are feeling the pressure, too. You're going to, I think you'll see some adversarial questions. from Republicans by then. And then that creates, you know, viral players. And mid terms, all of, remember, all these people are going to have to go back to their district pretty soon.
Starting point is 00:10:51 And, you know, they have to do those mandatory meetings. It's not going to be good, folks. I mean, I'm telling you right now, it is not going to be good. Every Republican on Capitol Hill, Ryan, as you and I know, even when they're in session, they're all going to have mics stuck in their face. What do you think about what happened here? And even a single misstep, you're going viral. Congratulations.
Starting point is 00:11:10 Next one, this one, this seems very significant. I'd like for you to explain it to me. So this is the ranking committee chairman, Benny Thompson, sorry, ranking Democrat on the committee. Guys, let's put D4 up on the screen. He is saying that the Senate must vote against funding. So that's already there. But he also says the House must take immediate steps to impeach Kirstie No. So again, Benny Thompson, not a household name, not really somebody who we would all know, is the top Democrat on the committee is like, no, we're going to impeach.
Starting point is 00:11:40 peach. Kirstie, no. Remember, they impeached Majorcas, the Republicans did under the Trump, under the Biden administration. I could easily see this become a rallying cry if Democrats were to take control of the midterm. So could you explain the significance of this? Yeah, well-respected, a veteran Democrat, somebody that the party establishment, you know, he's a member, you know, in good standing of the party establishment. This is not somebody who's like some some rock thrower from, the sidelines. And the reporting that we're seeing this morning is that, you know, Trump himself is, is quite upset with the way that DHS has handled this. And in particular, own goals like Christy Noem going out and saying, this is a guy who was trying to massacre people. He's a domestic terrorist. He brandished his, his weapon when everybody can see that none of that happened. And so it it goes to the credibility of the of the administration, the seriousness of it, and puts then, this would then put Republicans in the position of defending her.
Starting point is 00:12:50 When if anybody's, and also, she's also been an advocate, her and she and her ally, Corey Lewandowski, an advocate for this, you know, very aggressive kind of public show of force, not just in Minneapolis, but elsewhere where they've tried to deploy it. that their argument has been, this is, you know, let's bring a very loud hammer to make the point against some of the administration. The reporting is Tom Homeland and others have said, no, let's go after people that we know have criminal records. Let's do targeted enforcement. Because we need to maintain public support for this mandate that we, that we have to do mass deportations. If we don't, we're going to lose the mandate.
Starting point is 00:13:34 And you're not going to get what you want out of that. So the idea and the execution both seem to be falling apart. And so Noam could end up being the fall woman for this. Do you think that she is vulnerable or is she protected by Trump's belief that second term, you don't let you don't, you give zero scalps, give no ground? Yeah, I mean, literally as you and I are speaking, you may have missed this. Donald Trump to send out this truth, quote, I'm sure Crystal and I will have more to say about it tomorrow.
Starting point is 00:14:08 I am sending Tom Homan to Minnesota tonight. He has not been involved in that area, but knows and likes many of the people there. Tom is tough but fair and will report directly to me. And so what is actually even more significant than that is that the press secretary put out a tweet this morning. Tom Homan will be managing ICE operations on the ground in Minnesota to continue arresting the worst or the worst.
Starting point is 00:14:28 In addition, Tom will coordinate those investigations into the massive widespread fraud that resulted in billions of taxpayer dollars. So basically, Tom's taking over. completely. There's been a lot of reporting here. What about CBP? What like ice keeps catching these strays for yeah. No, you're right. And that is kind of the funny thing is that this was entirely the border patrol, which also, Bovino is literally the head, you know, of CBP, right? And so this is where it gets confusing. America talks about ice, but it's not just ice, really. And in fact, there appears to be a some conflict. A lot of ICE officers are pissed off at CBP because they're saying
Starting point is 00:15:00 they're the ones who do all of this clownish behavior. There is a theory inside the administration. I don't know how much credence to give this that Bovino and Bovino, Kirstenome, and Corey Lewandowski have all been major proponents of kind of this flood the zone inside the street strategy, like, for example, in Chicago or prior to that in Los Angeles, whereas Tom Homan, who is a veteran, you know, working in ICE and immigration enforcement is like, no, I only want to target criminals. We'll see, okay, we really have no idea exactly how all of that is going to look. but it's very clear that she is the fall woman in the interim, at least in Trump's eyes, but it's just not going to be enough, in my opinion.
Starting point is 00:15:40 I mean, this. Yeah. No, I just think this will not end. Homan shocked people right after the shooting of Renee Nicole Good by giving an interview where he said, I think we, I can't, I can't weigh in on this. We need to await an impartial and independent investigation, and then I can have more of a comment. And the reporter said, well, Christy Knoem has said this. You know, Stephen Miller has said this.
Starting point is 00:16:07 J.D. Vance has said this. He's like, well, they can speak for themselves. I'd like to see an investigation. And it was very jarring for people like me, you know, who've been very critical of home and over the years. We're like, oh, that's like, that's like what you want from a government official in a moment like this. That's a cop. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:16:20 At the end of the day, you can wait for the investigation. Right. Right. Yeah. Yeah. It's like normal cops are like, I don't, you know, that's not the way that we do. I mean, by the way, you know, this is. a retcom, but like if you followed Tom Homan, I've followed him for many years, is what was this
Starting point is 00:16:36 always critiques? He'd be able to talking about enforcing the law, right? Like, he was a big proponent of law enforcement. He was massively critical of the Biden administration for not enforcing immigration or border law and allowing tens of millions of people to come here illegally. Like that was fundamentally like he had much more of a different view. And he also always, and I remember this, because he would talk about it during the Obama administration too, a laser focus on criminal enforcement, right? Which was some of the selling point, originally around ICE. And at this point, I mean, we're so far from that. We can say it's about immigration, sure, but like he, the rhetoric coming for the administration has always been like worst of the worst.
Starting point is 00:17:16 Criminals and all that are the only ones being deported. And that is just simply, obviously, it's not the case. We've talked about that here. But I think most importantly, for what the future looks like, we'll have to keep laser focus on the ground because, look, I mean, at this very same there are interneasing civil wars inside the government. All of this kind of belies the point that there's going to be a shutdown here. And I think it's going to go on for a long time. I'm curious
Starting point is 00:17:41 for your view. I do not see how they could possibly break. And the key detail here is what the Democratic demands are going to be when it comes to the reform of DHS and reforms within ICE and CBC. Obviously they can't demand at this
Starting point is 00:17:57 moment to abolish ICE. They need to take power if they're going to abolish ICE or reformed CBP, but they can get reforms now through this moment that they have leveraged. And the thing that I'm hearing is they're going to be demanding will be, and I think the most important thing they're demanding is get rid of these daily quotas. It is this quota that Stephen Miller has insisted on putting on the federal government, both DHS and CEP, for X number of deportations every day. And if you know how bureaucracy works, if there is kind of accountability in that bureaucracy for a for a number like you have to hit this number or
Starting point is 00:18:37 you're not getting your promotions you're going to be you're going to be fired that bureaucracy will then push aside all of its other rules like protecting civil liberties and making sure you're you know only targeting you know people who are not citizens for instance and instead we'll just start sweeping up as many as they possibly can and then deal with the fallout of that later because they've got a number to hit and so democrats are saying get that number out. Just go after violent criminals. Forget, forget the numbers. They're also going to demand that they no longer be masked up. And I think some of the other demands are still being worked out among the caucus about what they think is a combination of like achievable and also to the public feels reasonable.
Starting point is 00:19:24 To put Republicans in a position of saying, no, we're shutting the government down to make sure that these guys can still wear masks and that they have to hit their quotas. Right. Yeah. I mean, honestly, that would be smart. Masks alone would be a massive victory. If they could even extract that. And I could see a world.
Starting point is 00:19:39 Look, Trump, here's the thing. Here's the funniest thing about Trump. Trump yesterday did an Wall Street Journal interview. He didn't even defend the ICA. Right. The CBFuge. He was like, I don't know. I don't like this.
Starting point is 00:19:49 He goes, we'll see. You know, there'll be an investigation. So, like, he is the one most out of step with his own government, which is, of course, like, part of the madness of the entire thing. But just to show everybody, like, he may be willing to cut a deal very different than some of the other people in the administration might be willing and able to. So we'll see. I think this is going to be a long shutdown. His opening bid seems to be he wants, as you were mentioning earlier, he wants sanctuary laws banned. Right. Fine. I can do that through Congress. Yeah. Christie Noam had some sent some weird letter to Minnesota where she said, I'll leave if you give me access to voter roll. talking about Pamp Bondi. Oh, Pan Bondi.
Starting point is 00:20:30 Yeah, that was a very strange letter. I did read through. It was like a three ring thing. It was like end sanctuary policies, cooperate with us. And also something about like we need to evaluate your voter database to ensure there hasn't been election fraud. Yeah. Okay. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:20:46 Yeah. Well, that's not happening, obviously. And so that is, I don't know, I'm curious. I'm really curious to see how the administration. So far. Already they're showing signs of weakness. Tom Homan being sent over. I mean, clearly it's like a message of like,
Starting point is 00:21:04 okay, we're sending somebody new. So that's interesting in and of itself. But with the shutdown, they have to make an explicit choice over whether they want the entire government to shut down over ICE at a moment of incredible public outrage and whether they'll be able to stomach, you know, supposedly standing up against the Democrats on something like that for a prolonged period of time.
Starting point is 00:21:26 I suspect that they would lose that battle personally. Yeah. New year, new goals, and in this economy, a better money plan is more necessary than ever. I am Matt. And I'm Joel. We are from the How to Money podcast. And every week we help you to spend smarter, save more, and make sense of what's going on out there. If you want 2026 to be the year you finally feel in control of your money, we're here to give you the tools and advice to help you make it happen. Listen to How to Money on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey there, this is Dr. Jesse Mills, director of the men's clinic at UCLA Health and host of the mailroom podcast. Each January, guys everywhere make the same resolutions. Get stronger, work harder, fix, what's broken? But what if the real work isn't physical at all? To kick off the new year, I sat down with Dr. Steve Polter, a psychologist with over 30 years experience, helping men unpack shame, anxiety, and emotional pain they were never taught the name. In a powerful two-part conversation, we discuss why men aren't emotionally bulletproof, Why shame hides in plain sight
Starting point is 00:22:30 and how real strength comes from listening to yourself and to others. Guys who are toxic, they're immature, or they've got something they just haven't resolved. Once that gets resolved, then there comes empathy as in compassion. If you want this to be the year, you stop powering through pain
Starting point is 00:22:47 and start understanding what's underneath, listen to the mailroom on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your favorite shows. This season on Dear Chelsea with me, Chelsea Handler, we've got some incredible guests like Kumail Nanjiani. Let's start with your cat. How is she?
Starting point is 00:23:06 She is not with a thing. Okay, great, great, great way to start. So this is a great beginning and hopefully you'll be able to, I don't know, maybe you will cry. Amanda Seifred. Life is so short. If you feel something like that, you have that fire in you for this experience. It's not for a guy. It's for the experience of being in love and like it's bigger than a guy.
Starting point is 00:23:28 Elizabeth Olson. love swimming naked so much. And I know you love taking pictures of yourself naked. I love to be naked. I just want to be in my brown underwear all the time. Ross Matthews. You know what kids always say to me? Are you a boy or girl? Oh my God. That's so funny. I know. So I'm always like,
Starting point is 00:23:45 hi. I try to butcher it up for kids, you know, so they're not confused. Yeah, but you're butching it up is basically like Doris Day. Right? No, I turn into Be Arthur. Listen to these episodes of Dear Chelsea on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. So we're starting to see cracks in the foundation of MAGA's support for some of these mass deportations from people in that world or adjacent to it, whether we got Tim Dillon, Marjorie Taylor Green or Dave Smith and some other who'll go through some of these.
Starting point is 00:24:16 Marjorie Taylor Green, I have to check myself because I'm constantly seeing things from Marjorie Taylor Green that I don't just like not disagree with. I'm like, that was extremely well said. Where is this coming from? She is. There's a meme. We're calling it Strange new respect for Marjorie LaGree. Strange new respect.
Starting point is 00:24:35 Bangor after banger. And so here is now former Congresswoman. And she asks people to go through an exercise, mental exercise, to try to figure out how they would feel if the pictures were reversed. She says, MAGA, consider it like this. We lost our minds when we watched Biden's FBI track down and tracked. track down, sorry, jumped around a little bit there. But basically, she's saying, imagine if Biden's FBI, which was rounding up people who participated in January 6th, imagine if you have conservative, either protesters or independent media figures who are outside the home of somebody where the Biden's FBI is like smashing the door in. and they're filming. What they see is tyrannical overreach from Biden's DOJ.
Starting point is 00:25:33 Biden's FBI agents then throw two women down onto the ground for no discernible reason whatsoever, just because they're filming and the agents can do it. The MAGA guy who's filming then gets in between the two women and the FBI agent. FBI agent then bears sprays all of them, throws them to the ground, and within a matter of seconds, has shes. shot the MAGA guy in the back repeatedly, then steps back and empties the clip into them. And then instead of providing, and I'll add this, instead of providing medical gear, they start counting bullet holes that they put into the MAGA person.
Starting point is 00:26:13 She's like, try to put yourself in that position. And then once you have an ethical foundation, then respond how you would politically. where is mtg now i see the marjorie trader green like is has she gone has she hit him too many times to still be able to pack a punch or is the fact that she's standing up on principle allowing her to maintain some of that credibility because it's i don't yeah i don't know marjorie's game i really have no idea she's rich she's got a fiancee um i think she's probably just going to live a good life in georgia and she'll keep posting uh through it i'm not really sure if if she has any bigger ambitions, it'd be interesting to see if she did. The important point beyond it is to give, look, this is kind of the point of this block. There needs to be a permission structure for people who are like, I'm not liberal, but I'm really, really upset, you know, about this. That is the gateway, I think, for Marjorie Taylor Green and for a few others, you know, that we're about to cover. And I think that's actually the most important part of watching this is to see the fissures start to break and to also see some,
Starting point is 00:27:23 juxtapositioning and positioning for where things may end up. Our producer Griffin thinks that this is the most important one. So we're going to put this one up here on this screen, E3. And you know, I've been thinking about it. I think he might be right. Let's put E3, Megan Kelly's tweet up here. She says, real Donald Trump should pull ICE out of Minnesota and announce that there will be no more immigration enforcement in Minnesota at all.
Starting point is 00:27:48 All illegals in the U.S. are encouraged to move there. If any illegal is found outside of Minnesota gets deported, they can never apply for reentry. Moreover, every single asylum seeker should be told no application should be considered unless the person is living in Minneapolis, St. Paul. So basically doing the equivalent of Texas and all of them busing illegals to blue states, one of the most brilliant political moves that the Republicans pulled throughout the Biden years because it created immigration chaos across the nation. And it made it a salient issue and kind of spread and showed and highlighted what was going on. on. This is the solution that I see has the most likelihood of happening because it's a sneaky way of saying, okay, we're done. We give up. We clearly lost. Let's pivot to this type of situation. And I've seen it now echoed by Katie Pavlich, another conservative commentator. I really think that these are sneaky ways for them to try and to declare victory. And this is very Trumpian way to try and do it while trying to accomplish point of, you know, drawing attention to Sanctuary City while at the same time tacitly having to
Starting point is 00:28:58 admit this shit is not working and it's a disaster. Right. This is the you can't fire me because I quit move. And it's, and it's, it's perfect. It's like, oh, you want to be a hellhole? Fine. We're, we're too good for you anyway. Like, we were just trying to help. But clearly, you don't want our help. And so you don't deserve our help. And so, you know, we have open borders within the United States. I don't exactly know how they would enforce this policy. Like you sense if you say you have to live in Minnesota, like there's an open border between. It's a no-go zone. Minnesota and its surrounding states.
Starting point is 00:29:34 You can just drive right across it. I don't know if anybody's ever driven around the United States. We have open borders. Drive from Maryland right into Pennsylvania. No border guards. I could see that. I think Griffin is right. I think that sneakily might be exactly the way that this entire thing ends up.
Starting point is 00:29:52 Let's move now to Tim Dillon. People have complained that we play too many Tim Dylan clips, but sorry. I mean, he's very entertaining. And of course, he is also a, you know, he's a load star, if you will, of this demographic of, you know, look, he's a cultural kind of libertarian, anti-D-EI left and ridicule and all of that. And I think what he also signifies is the most important thing I've been thinking about. It was transgressive to be pro-Trump and or right wing in 2024, right? the dominant culture was pro-Biden or pro-comala. It was genuinely transgressive, especially in the internet, you know, to be like, no,
Starting point is 00:30:28 I hate the left for X, Y, and Z reason. Now, I think it's genuinely transgressive in a moment of, you know, federal governments trampling on Second Amendment rights and ICE and all of this other stuff to actually just be like a left-wing lip. And so to watch, you know, to see Tim, what I see, I'm not saying he's been calculating or anything like that. What I see is very clear, clearly with the, you know, with these statements, which again is somebody who is fundamentally, you know, suspicious of like establishment and or bigger powers is looking and locking in on the Trump administration and kind of using that for purposes, not just for comedy, but also for political rhetoric. Here's what he had to say.
Starting point is 00:31:11 Everything is a scripted reality show. I criticize ICE. People get mad at me. They're like, well, how do you? think people should be deported? Number one, you can pass legislation, which they haven't done. All of the stuff they've done on immigration
Starting point is 00:31:27 is through executive orders, a lot of it. It will be reversed immediately by a Democratic president. That's number one. Number two, if you pass legislation and then attach enforcement to that, you pass laws, you then have laws by which the country is governed that will prevent illegal immigration.
Starting point is 00:31:49 If you do a reality show spectacle where you're grabbing people here and there left and right, and it revs everybody up and you then have protests everywhere, and you have violence and you have ice responding to that with deadly force, you don't have a long-term solution. What you do is you're stirring the pot and creating like, civil wars all over the country that people are watching on television, but you don't have, like, the enforcement of laws. And you're not going after employers that are employing illegal labor.
Starting point is 00:32:40 You're not going after Steve Wynn. You're not going after the big hotel magnets that, you know, employ illegal labor. you're not going after big agricultural firms that do the same thing. Now, agriculture, well, has a lot of illegal labor used in agriculture. Well, then the food should be cheap, right? Well, no, the food's not cheap. It's the most expensive it's ever been. Well, what about the houses?
Starting point is 00:33:08 They're the most expensive they've ever been. Huh. What about staying at hotels and eating out at restaurants? I mean, all of this has come down. surely because of all the illegal labor. No, that's more expensive than it's ever been. Right. Right.
Starting point is 00:33:26 Yeah, I mean, I think that explicitly proves the point. He's talking about housing, how it's most expensive. Everything is very expensive. It doesn't seem like things are getting better. He's talked about how Alex Jones warned for years in the past about mass agents in the streets. He's like, that's what's literally happening right now. I mean, you're watching all of this all take place. And then in that same context, I do want to give a shout out to my good friend, Dave Smith.
Starting point is 00:33:47 Let's put E4 up here on the screen. Again, look, I think Dave was a very influential, prominent person in a podcast discourse in a lead-up to the 2024 election subsequently on foreign policy and more. And here's what he says, quote, I'm an immigration restrictionist. I believe we have the right to remove any and all people who enter our country illegally. Also, ICE is out of fucking control. A bunch of pussies drunk on power going around intentionally escalating violent interactions, intimidating U.S. citizens.
Starting point is 00:34:13 They create these tragic situations. and after this gigantic show of force, they won't deport a fraction of the illegals who entered under Biden. This is simply not worth it. And I do think that, you know, this sentiment is very common amongst a lot of people.
Starting point is 00:34:29 It includes me. I think this sentiment is very, very common. Again, for a lot of people who are deeply concerned, upset about the chaos of the border under Biden, about, look, and do fundamentally have a very different view of immigration than others.
Starting point is 00:34:43 and while it may be true that some 250,000 people have been deported, let's say and look at it as a fraction of the tens of millions of people who enter the country illegally under Biden and or were present in the country. And then, though, you have to ask the question about not just the tactics, but now the two subsequent deaths in Minnesota and then this latest one, which is as egregious as it possibly gets, and to say, yeah, no, no, this is not the correct response. As Tim lays out very clearly and he's correct, is that the biggest beneficiaries of illegal labor are big corporations, hotel chains, and all these other people.
Starting point is 00:35:19 Fine. Use the IRS. You can find all of them 250,000. I can guarantee you if you start fining and arresting people who employ illegal labor, you don't even need E-verify. It will be over tomorrow. You could end remittances. You could end all remittances, put 100% tax on remittances, let's say sent by Wells Fargo. It would collapse the economy of Mexico overnight, as well as a lot of these other Latin American countries. And a lot of people would just leave. of that makes it so that you don't need a single ice agent in the street if you did something like, nope, can't do that. Why? Because of a big donor. So that is the egregious part of all of this. Not only could it have been avoided, I think it's politically set back the cause of immigration restriction for decades, most likely as a result of this bullshit. But most importantly, what you're all watching these canaries, Tim, Marjor Tiller Green, Dave, all of these others who speak out on this. What you should notice is not just that they're willing to speak out, but that those are popular
Starting point is 00:36:13 positions. Those are people who are starting to make ground independent voters, others, people who potentially may have voted for Trump. That is fundamentally the demographic, Ryan, that really helped Donald Trump dominate the culture and win the White House in 2024. Yeah, exactly. And I think that's why it's important to hear from people like Tim Dillon and Dave Smith on these questions because because of who they are, they're not, their brains have not been soaking in this like partisan soup. And so they're a, they care about issues. Like they, like, which is a crazy way for like people to think, wait, you can actually, it's not about it. It's not a team sport.
Starting point is 00:36:49 You actually have an issue you care about and you vote on that issue. And one of the issues for these folks was the immigration restriction. What they're saying is if you do it this way, you're not accomplishing your own agenda. Now, what I think, there is an opportunity for the Trump administration here to say, to declare some form of victory. Because, okay, let's say there's only been 250,000 deportations. I would suspect, and we don't have the numbers yet, the number of self-deportations. because of the fear that is like ripping through immigrant communities, yeah, is a lot. If they then transition, say, okay, you know, we're going after violent criminals.
Starting point is 00:37:27 And we're not going to go through Home Depot parking lots and ask every brown person that we see for their papers. We're going to kind of passively investigate and look for violent criminals. And we find them, we're going to deport them and we're going to make sure the border is secure. within a period of time, they would be back to probably having a mandate again for that position. What they don't have a mandate for is this, like, whatever they're doing.
Starting point is 00:37:56 This is like violent crackdown on the American public and killing, you know, two American citizens within three weeks and shooting three people within three weeks. And I think we're at seven deaths in ICE or CBP, DHS custody in January. alone and the month isn't over yet. Like that's more than the public is willing to bear.
Starting point is 00:38:19 Yeah. And look, at a certain, especially in the wake of the shooting, like, yeah, they shouldn't bear it. Like, no, you can't. And that's where public opinion and watching these signifiers, like, again, like for not just influencers and others. By the way, even Tim Poole, you know, who has been very supportive of the administration. He was like, guys, I don't think he's a good shoot. He says, what do he say? just like Trump ain't winning this one or something like that. I was like, yeah, obviously,
Starting point is 00:38:46 he's right. You know, by the way, Tim also somebody who's very pro gun. You can't remotely be somebody who's pro the Second Amendment and then look, again, not just the shooting, but the government, their narrative, the standards they're trying to be set. And then you put all that stuff together. And if you're like, look, if this is what they're willing to do, then no, no, no, right? Then that's something that's going to be a real break point, I think, for the culture in all this. But, you know, we'll see. I could be wrong. But maybe we'll be right. right back to Trump domination. I can only speak for myself and to look at, you know, people like my friends, Dave and, and just say, wow, you know, first of all, credit's Dave.
Starting point is 00:39:21 It's not exactly, it's easy to put that out on Twitter and inevitably get piled on by some of the low IQ commentariat. But it is, you know, courageous for him to be able to say something like that, especially considering the positions he took before 2024. And it's also, again, though, I think the fact that his popularity in the interim, when he's been on our show and denounce Trump over Iran and now this, these are important, important, important things. Okay, let's get to China. New year, new goals, and in this economy, a better money plan is more necessary than ever. I am Matt, and I'm Joel. We are from the how to money podcast.
Starting point is 00:39:58 And every week we help you to spend smarter, save more, and make sense of what's going on out there. If you want 2026 to be the year you finally feel in control of your money, money, we're here to give you the tools and advice to help you make it happen. Listen to how to money on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey there, this is Dr. Jesse Mills, director of the men's clinic at UCLA Health and host of the mailroom podcast. Each January guys everywhere make the same resolutions.
Starting point is 00:40:27 Get stronger, work harder, fix, what's broken? But what if the real work isn't physical at all? To kick off the new year, I sat down with Dr. Steve Polter, a psychologist with over 30 years experience helping men unpack shame, anxiety, and emotional pain they were never taught the name. In a powerful two-part conversation, we discuss why men aren't emotionally bulletproof, why shame hides in plain sight, and how real strength comes from listening to yourself and to others. Guys who are toxic, they're immature, or they've got something they just haven't resolved. Once that gets resolved, then there comes empathy, as in compassion.
Starting point is 00:41:04 If you want this to be the year, you stop powering through pain and start underwent. understanding what's underneath, listen to the mailroom on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your favorite shows. This season on Dear Chelsea with me, Chelsea Handler, we've got some incredible guests like Kumail Nanjiani. Let's start with your cat. How is she? She is not with a thing. Okay, great, great, great way to start.
Starting point is 00:41:30 So this is a great beginning and hopefully you'll be able to, I don't know, maybe you will cry. Amanda Seifred. life is so short. If you feel something like that, you have that fire in you for this experience, it's not for a guy. It's for the experience of being in love and like it's bigger than a guy.
Starting point is 00:41:47 Elizabeth Olson. I love swimming naked so much. And I know you love taking pictures of yourself naked. I love to be naked. I just want to be in my brown underwear all the time. Ross Matthews. You know what kids always say to me?
Starting point is 00:42:00 Are you a boy or girl? Oh my God. That's so funny. I know. So I'm always like, hi. I try to butcher it up for kids, you know, so they're not confused. Yeah, but you're butching it up is basically like Doris Day. Right?
Starting point is 00:42:12 No, I turn into Be Arthur. Listen to these episodes of Dear Chelsea on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, last thing here that I just had to get out here in the show. Again, enormously consequential. Huge shakeup at the top of the CCP. Let's put this up here on the screen from the Wall Street Journal. China's top general accused of giving nuclear secrets to the year. U.S.
Starting point is 00:42:38 bribery allegations have leveled against General Zhang. I'm not going to try and say it. I apologize. I'm just going to call General Zhang, whose downfall carries implications for the country's military readiness. I mean, this is literally his senior most general. So the equivalent of like kind of like the vice president or the joint chief of staff who is being accused by Xi Jinping of selling nuclear weapon seekers to the U.S.
Starting point is 00:43:01 of accepting bribes for official acts, for including the promotion of an officer to defense minister is shocking, shock it, because it is part of an ongoing kind of military purge at the very top level by the CCP. Let's, look, there's a lot of various theories kind of behind all of this. Why don't we start first with the coup rumors? Let's put F4 up here on the screen. No one is taking seriously the idea that he actually leaked nuclear secrets. It was more that they're willing to accuse him, Ryan, of leaking military secrets. So here's what he says. So the best compilation of coup rumors circulating amongst a Chinese diaspora. Again, these are rumors not confirmed, but there's no leaks to come out
Starting point is 00:43:46 of China. That's part of the difficulty of dealing with all this. He says, democracy activists posted on social media revealing a conversation from inside the Great Firewall, where they disclosed that they had planned to move against Xi Jinping and capture him on the evening of January 18th, Beijing time, when he was set to stay at a hotel in Beijing. Now for the fast few years, quote, he has been homeless changing locations every few days. Details of the capture Xi operation siding sources originally planned to strike on that evening. However, two hours before the operation, they were betrayed by an informant, and Xi Jinping immediately evacuated and set up an ambush or a counter capture. And allegedly,
Starting point is 00:44:21 he's even claiming that there was some sort of gunfight. Now, this is, again, this is something from beyond the firewall, but it was elevated by some China, like some China watchers, whom I respect. It would be absolutely extraordinary. Right, exactly. Literally like serious people who take But they weren't saying it's true that, but it is a, it's a story that's being told. It is a story that's being told, you know, in the activist community and others. Our other friend, Arnaud, Bertrand, who you contacted Ryan, has shot that down. I do want to make sure that we put his up here on the screen if we can. Yep, here we go. I've got it available. One, he's saying the idea that he actually sold or gave nuclear secrets to the U.S.
Starting point is 00:45:08 is pretty preposterous because in order to do that, this general would have had to, vice chairman, second most powerful person in China, would have to somehow do it. Like, and how you do that under the mass surveillance, you know, you have mass surveillance, but you also have very specific surveillance of every. who's at the very upper echelons, not just for, you know, controlling them, but looking for foreign, you know, foreign adversarial efforts to, you know, penetrate and surveil those officials. Like, so they are, the idea that they'd be able to, like, get some burner phone, like, get to the nuclear center and, like, download the data and then somehow exfiltrated is,
Starting point is 00:45:59 like something out of like a Jason born like type of situation that isn't like remotely believable the the idea that there was that chairman she doesn't have a place to stay in Beijing are no also argued was kind of preposterous right and so dismissed the the coup rumors all you can do is say the fact that these are these investigations have been announced bad news for the people being investigated very rarely do you use you get these investigations announced and there's oh we cleared them what's going on here is that this is some type of power struggle the for whatever reason uh she is moving against these figures uh there appears to be some corruption angle to it she has made like rooting out corruption
Starting point is 00:46:49 kind of a centerpiece of his uh his attempt you know his his effort here and so 2012 you know 2012 on, he's going after enormous amounts of corruption within the party and within, you know, the economy writ large. Whether and, you know, these folks, you know, have power bases that go back many, many decades. The vice chairman goes back to, you know, his father was like a hero in the, you know, the People's Liberation Army, like the founding of it. That means they have their networks. And if those networks have been engaging in some sort of soft graph,
Starting point is 00:47:28 either he found that out or he didn't think he was cracking down enough or it's just a straight up power play as he's continuing to concentrate power and and put loyalists underneath him so that that's that's our no bertrands right i mean look both both perspectives are very important and i think his his main point of we have no idea is potentially the most important i think though what we do know is extraordinary enough to remove the top general is just crazy. I mean, again, like, you, I can't even think of an American parallel of just coming in and arresting the chairman of the joint chiefs. Arnault even noted that the language that they used in the arrest or in the charging statement was that he trampled on, like the, he trampled on, like, directives from the chairman, which he was saying is just like, I mean, it's very, very extraordinary language more than they've used in even other prior corruption investigations and departures. We have multiple members now of this military committee over the last few years who have
Starting point is 00:48:35 now been purged and or are either in jail or have been removed. By the way, my favorite Wall Street Journal euphemism is could not be reached for comment when talking about people who have been purged. I'm like, yeah, that's one way of putting it. It's certainly true. We have no idea, you know, whether it could be in prison, could be dead, exactly, what it all looks like. But let's all keep an eye on it.
Starting point is 00:48:55 The world is still very unstable. Who knows? Yeah. This could have implications for Taiwan, right? This could have implications internally. We have no whether it was a coup or not. I tend to lean against coup just because it doesn't even seem possible at this point. Right.
Starting point is 00:49:13 Within the Chinese system. Like, that's not how the system. She is so overwhelmingly powerful. Like, the time for a coup would have been years ago. It wouldn't be now when he has an ironclad control over not just the country, but over the CCP. obviously, though, it could be totally wrong. There could be competing power centers, and there always have been within their power structure. But look, this is a nuclear-armed potential, almost superpower here in age that, undeniably the great power that even remotely rivals the United States.
Starting point is 00:49:42 And so it's not just political turmoil. What ends up happening as a result of this and what the potential implications behind it might be for their military, for their posture, for how and what they're thinking about? I tend not to think it is an accident accusing him of nuclear secrets, which could mean that it could lead to some change in their nuclear posture, right, or some sort of command and control change over that. So because they say that it's been compromised by the U.S., all of that, very, very significant. So we need to pay attention to all of this. Just want to make sure that we mentioned it because it could have, you know, major, major implications. Ryan, thank you so much for today for being here with me, man. value more than ever,
Starting point is 00:50:24 especially in such an insane time. Value the show, Crystal, Emily, the ability for all of us to work together. And thank you to the audience for everybody. We're probably going to be remote tomorrow. Guys, I was just looking, I don't even think my roads or any of that are even going to get plowed. We're not yet high on the priority list.
Starting point is 00:50:40 So very likely another remote show. Also, we have a crew. We have to worry about their safety and all of that as well. So we'll see you all tomorrow. You know, hard for them to get in too. Right. See you some way or another. We'll see you.
Starting point is 00:50:51 Hey, it's Joel and Matt from How to Money. If your New Year's resolution is to finally get your finances in shape, we've got your back. Prices, they're still high, and the economy is all over the place. But 2026 is the year for you to get intentional and make real progress. That's right. Yeah, each week we break down what's happening with your money, the most important issues to focus on, and the small moves that make a big difference. Kick off the year with confidence. Listen to How to Money on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:51:35 This is Ryder Strong, and I have a new podcast called The Red Weather. In 1995, my neighbor and a trainer disappeared from a commune. Those nature and trees and praying and drugs. So no, I am not your guru. Back then, I lied to everybody. They have had this case for 30 years. I'm going back to my hometown to uncover the truth. Listen to the red weather starting on January 28th at the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:52:05 And the winner of the IHeart Podcast Award is you can decide who takes home the 26 IHeart Podcast Awards podcast of the year by voting at IHeart Podcast Awards.com. Now through February 22nd. See all the nominees and place your vote at IHeart Podcast Awards.com. Audible is a proud sponsor of the Audible Audio Pioneer Award. Explore the best selection of audiobooks, podcasts, and originals all in one easy app. Audible. There's more to imagine when you listen. Sign up for a free trial at audible.com.
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