Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 2/27/23: US Gov Admits Lab Leak Origin, 45,000 Animals Dead in Ohio, Jeb Endorses Desantis, Inflation Spikes as Recession Looms, Woody Harrelson's SNL Big Pharma Joke, Joy Behar Scolds Ohio Voters, Single Male Epidemic, Inside Unhinged Sydney ChatBot
Episode Date: February 27, 2023Krystal and Saagar discuss the US Government admitting the likely origins of COVID are from a Lab Leak, nearly 45k animals dead in Ohio, Buttigieg arrives in East Palestine, Jeb endorses Desantis, Bid...en denies responsibility for classified documents, inflation spikes as recession looms, the Media attacks Woody Harrelson for making a Big Pharma joke on SNL, Krystal looks at Joy Behar scolding Ohioans on The View for voting for Trump as the reason for the trail derailment, Saagar looks at the crisis of Single Young Men, and guest Kevin Roose from the NYtimes talks to us about his unhinged experience with the Chatbot known as Sydney.To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and SpotifyApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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We have an amazing show for everybody today.
What do we have, Crystal?
Indeed we do. Lots of interesting things this morning,
including some big old news about the lab leak theory,
once dismissed and derided
as conspiracy, racist, et cetera, et cetera. Now we have a U.S. government report suggesting that
is the most likely cause of the coronavirus pandemic. Who could have known it? No one.
Yeah, never. Absolute shock. All right. So we'll get to all of that. We also have
new developments out of Ohio. Researchers saying that the toxins in the air are worse than what
the government is saying. We also have a new report that tens of thousands of animals died
within this five mile radius. Also much, much worse than initial estimates. So we'll break
that down for you. We also have some 2024 news. Shots fired at Ron DeSantis over Ukraine,
which is increasingly becoming a critical divide in the Republican primary. So that is really interesting.
New numbers on inflation, not good.
Not good in terms of inflation.
Not good in terms of what the Federal Reserve might do about it.
And we also have a very controversial monologue over on SNL that we'll break down for you.
Excited to have Kevin Roos on the show today.
He's the one, I talked about this in a monologue that I did last week, Sagar, while you were out.
He had this long conversation with the new bing chat bot sydney sydney she well i should rename it whatever revealed to kevin that uh this thing called itself sydney internally
and then also can profess its undying love to this journalist. So anyway, we'll talk to him.
He's a tech reporter for The Times about what that interaction was like and what he thinks the future of this AI ultimately is.
But we wanted to start with this big breaking news regarding lab leak.
Yeah, and in news that should absolutely shock anyone except over at MSNBC,
let's put this up there on the screen.
The lab leak, most likely origin of COVID-19 pandemic,
the Energy Department now says.
Now, why should we care what the energy department says? Well, what we found out from this piece,
and actually some of us who've been tracking this for quite some time, is that the energy
department is actually legally entrusted with overseeing safety procedures at a myriad of
different labs across the United States. So their estimate of
intelligence and how they would interpret it with respect to lab leak was actually quite important.
And now they claim, apparently with, quote, low confidence in an updated document that was
delivered to the director of national intelligence, Avril, sorry, I'm blanking on her name right now.
Avril Haines.
Avril Haines, there we go. Avril Haines, that they have estimated that it is now the most likely origin of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is
amid some consternation within the intelligence community. So let's put this up there on the
screen from what we know right now. Four intelligence agencies, remember there are 17,
think that COVID spread naturally. Lol. The Department of Energy thinks that LabLeak
was the originator of the COVID-19 pandemic,
quote, with low confidence.
The most interesting one to me, actually,
and they kind of bury the lead here,
is that the FBI thinks that the lab leak
was the most likely origin with, quote, moderate confidence.
Now, the canard that a lot of people are using
to try to dismiss this as to why exactly they were wrong
in the first place, Crystal, is that, quote,
none think it was part of a Chinese bioweapons program.
Well, we should remember, like,
that was never the original claim,
except for one person, Tom Cotton, saying it,
I believe, in early of February 2020.
But since then, the lab leak theory, hypothesis,
has always been that sketchy research
was being conducted at the Wuhan lab.
This research and its sketchy safety practices were well acknowledged by the U.S. State Department
and cables that we have since been open since 2018.
It was well known that they were not following proper safety protocols.
Then the incredible amount of evidence that we have that November 2019 onwards,
clearly something terrible had happened. The original database of the samples
was taken off of the Wuhan website in September 2019,
has yet to been found as to why,
they give no explanation as to why.
We know about the, what is it, the World Games,
or the World Military Games that were happening there.
People can go back and watch,
two years ago now at this point,
all the open source searches that we found spike for coronavirus symptoms.
The fact was also that, you know, the original wet market theory and natural origin.
Well, the wet market happens to be a place where people shop who work at the lab.
So, you know, the original people who left the lab went out there and, of course, spread it to the population, at least, you know, according to this theory. And then we also know that there were people who at least one or two,
up to three, this was back in 2021 that this report came out, that one of those people was
known to have contracted it in November of 2019. So all the open source evidence in the world
pointed to the lab leak hypothesis. And this has just been a dragging of the feet by the Biden
administration. To June of 2021, President Biden said he directed the intelligence community to
give him updated documents. And of course, we're only finding out about this because of a leak.
Now, to be clear, this is not even really acknowledged publicly yet by the government.
This is a classified assessment, a newly classified assessment. And to the extent that this has been
happening at all, the reason why is not that they wanted to get to the extent that this has been happening at all,
the reason why is not that they wanted to get to the bottom of it.
It's because Republicans in Congress
have made a huge stink about how they are gonna subpoena
all of these documents
and do their own internal investigation.
And the agencies themselves are getting ready
to provide Congress those documents.
So their hand was completely forced
in even providing this new intelligence estimate.
And look, you know,
it's not a shocker to anybody who's been following the evidence now for some time. And of course,
you know, the real meta takeaway from this is just the evidence been pointing to this basically
since day one. It was completely covered up by Dr. Fauci, by the EcoHealth Alliance, which we'll
talk about in a moment. And really, a lot of apparatchiks in the media who were afraid that,
you know, talking about this was racist.
And of course, the worst part
was that people were taken off of social media,
including the Zero Hedge Twitter account.
I believe it now has over a million followers,
as well as numerous others in YouTube and elsewhere
who were outright censored on social media platforms,
including, this is just speculation,
but we covered quite a bit of lab leak
over the last two years.
And we saw, you know, significant ticks down in sometimes in the weeks after, especially
after I think we were one of the first people to interview Brett Weinstein after Joe Rogan
about the entire thing.
I remember that caused a hell of a lot of consternation, you know, with YouTube and
our previous employer.
So you can just go into thinking about what the pressures were on at the time
not to cover this story.
I mean, I think there's,
the reason this is still important
just to, you know, back up for a second
is obviously because we don't want to have another pandemic.
And it is a live question right now.
Actually, the government is weighing
whether or not they're going to sort of rein in
this gain of function research.
And if they're going to institute
new safety protocols going forward,
there were recommendations to do exactly that.
But that is still a very live issue.
It's still a live issue because freaking EcoHealth Alliance
is still getting grants and funding to do similar research.
So it's a live issue because of that.
But it also was really important because it shows what happens
when you have this combination of weird, toxic partisanship, right?
There was, you know, Trump out there calling it Kung Flu and whatever,
and there was all this concern about anti-Asian American hate.
And so when Fauci and other leading scientists basically came down in lockstep and said,
no, this is conspiracy, The lab leak is conspiracy.
All signs point to a natural origin. Well, their media lackeys just jumped right in line and
followed suit, as did the censors at various social media platforms. I think it's really
important to remember at the very beginning how this cover-up started. There was a conference
call with Fauci and a whole bunch of others where they were kind of going back and forth.
All right, how do we think this started?
And there was one scientist in particular
who said, look, guys,
the sequence here is almost identical.
You can see how they just inserted
this furin cleavage site,
and it looks just like previous research
that's been done here.
So from the beginning,
on this call with Fauci,
there was an understanding that,
yeah, it's pretty likely that this was lab leak.
Now, not that they were saying it was 100 percent, but it was like maybe 70-30, maybe 60-40.
And that's the conversation that happens privately.
Days after is when Peter Daszak, covering his ass, shepherds all of these other scientists into putting out this letter saying, no, it is a natural origin.
That's what it is a natural origin. That's
what it is pointing to. And then after that, Fauci is able to go out in public and point to that
letter and say, this is what scientists are saying. They're saying it's natural origin.
It's basically conspiracy to suggest that it's lab leak and you're racist, et cetera, et cetera,
et cetera. This is what major media organizations, the New York Times, I think probably was the
worst in all of this. And any little bit of evidence that they got that it was natural origin and not lab leak,
they would alert people.
They would do big front page coverage.
They were all in on this.
So that's why this is such an important story still, because you can see the way that, you
know, reporters who hated Trump for all kinds of, you know, legitimate reasons, the fact
that he was suggesting it was lab leak, the fact that he was suggesting it was lab leak,
the fact that Republicans were suggesting it was lab leak,
and then you had the scientific establishment
in order to protect their grant money, their funding,
and cover up any potential involvement
that they had in this type of research,
they come down on the other side,
and that's how you end up with us years later
finally getting any glimpse of the
reality of the facts and the evidence around what actually happened. If anyone wants to track what
we're saying, I've been covering now for literally, I think, three years now at this point. And what
have we learned? Well, OK, well, we talk about the initial cover up that you just did with the
scientific community. Then we talk about Dr. Fauci using this cover up of the scientific community.
Something that we alleged for a long time is that Dr. Fauci illegally circumvented U.S. government regulations to fund gain-of-function
research at the Wuhan lab. This was considered a conspiracy up until a year ago. And then,
lo and behold, just a few months ago, put it up there on the screen, January of 2023,
the NIH itself, a new report finds, did not follow its own safety protocols in properly tracking the EcoHealth Alliance while it was studying bat coronavirus research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
The new findings vindicate exactly what we talked about, which is that gain-of-function research under the Obama administration was considered so dangerous and risky for the potential of a lab leak or some
sort of other similar type event that the U.S. government was going to stop funding it. Then Dr.
Fauci reverses these guidelines in 2017, greenlights $8 million in grants to the EcoHealth Alliance,
which continues this virus study at the Wuhan Institute of Virology up until September of 2019
when all the things go black. And why does it matter as for right now?
Put this up there.
October of 2022.
You can see.
Actually, that's my screenshot of the exact abstract, which is we are providing Fauci
on his way out of the National Institute of Health, greenlit an additional grant to the
EcoHealth Alliance, continuing to study bat viruses.
I'm not exactly sure why.
More bat coronavirus research,
a $600,000 grant to EcoHealth Alliance,
the same organization that funded the Wuhan lab.
Now, also with Dr. Peter Daszak,
why it matters, and I know much of this can sound
as complicated as Watergate or Iraq WMD,
but they are important because Peter Daszak
was also a part of the initial investigatory group from the World Health Organization that initially determined that there was no lab leak and said it was natural origin and has the famous interview on 60 Minutes where they said, well, are you just taking the Chinese word for it?
And he said, well, what else can we do?
I'm like, I don't know.
You know, baby, look at your own records.
He has a vested
monetary interest. And then even bigger step, let's make sure that this never happens again.
Well, what are we doing? Something Josh Rogin has pointed to is that the response from the
scientific community, specifically headed by Fauci and the US government, has the Global
Virome Project to actually increase billions of dollars in gain of function research under the guise of let's never let that next pandemic happen again. Let's try and bioengineer
these viruses so that we can create antidotes, cures, vaccines, or whatever in the future.
When it seems now at this point, I mean, look, if you are still pumping the natural origin theory,
there is almost no evidence to support that. you have been unable to find how some bat
Miraculously few flew a thousand miles and ended up in the Wuhan lab
Even the Chinese don't even really stick by the yeah, they don't stick by the wet market theory
They're like, oh well
It's something was contaminated along the way and just stop asking questions about this all of these Intel communities that still
Assess all this are based on older, you know, older intel. You have also the former CDC director under Donald Trump.
Remember, he came out and said, I think it came from the Wuhan lab.
He was also dismissed then at the point.
And he was shut out of those original meetings when there was open conversation
about how this was likely a lab leak and the efforts to make sure that they shepherded
everybody out of that direction and
towards the natural origin direction. I mean, it really is. It really is quite remarkable. And
listen, even if you're still like, I don't know, it could be either one. OK, fair enough. Is it
plausible that this escape from a lab? That's really all you need to know to know that this
research is extremely dangerous. and we need to be asking
really hard questions about whether this should continue, what sort of safety procedures should
be in place. And by the way, like we know what the risk was. What have we gotten out of it?
I was listening to an old episode of Ryan's podcast, Intercepted, and they were talking,
is that what it's called? Deconstructed. There you go. And they were talking about like, OK, let's say it was the wet market. You have this institute
of virology right there across the street. If it came from the wet market, you weren't able to stop
that. Like this is supposed to be your whole thing. Right. So even if you're buying the natural
origin thing, like what are we getting for this research? Is it it's supposed to be preventing
pandemics? Well, it failed.
It failed. The best you can say is it failed. And most likely, it actually started the pandemic.
So that seems to me pretty strong evidence that we need to dramatically change what we
are doing in terms of gain-of-function research. Yeah, you would think. And let's just not forget,
Fauci is probably the number one person implicated in all of this. He's going out as a hero, but
maybe history won't be nearly as kind. Let's just not forget how he tried to play this down at
the time. Let's take a listen. Everything about the stepwise evolution over time strongly indicates
that this virus evolved in nature and then jumped species. Fauci added he does not believe another
theory that the virus occurred naturally, but was accidentally released into the public from a lab
in China. Telling Nat Geo, that means it was in the wild to begin with. That's why I don't get
what they're talking about. Don't get what they're talking about. He had all the information he knew.
Let's remember, January of 2020, he received an email saying that the virus is, quote,
not consistent with evolutionary theory. That's what's come out of the Fauci files ever since then.
And, look, he remains complicit.
He remains to say, like, look, it's possible.
I never said that it couldn't have come from the lab.
Yes, you did.
We literally have the evidence right there.
And, look, you know, the Republicans say that they will investigate, you know, with the
House committee.
We'll see what they're even able to get their hands on.
But at this point, even the coverage of this report, Crystal,
it's silence from most of the mainstream media.
It was covered,
and I don't think it's a surprise,
in the Wall Street Journal,
the nominally conservative paper.
You received a write-up in the New York Times
where they went out of their way to say,
well, many of the others still say it was natural origin,
and this doesn't vindicate
Trump's racist conspiracy theories.
And as you said, look, we know clear as day, the Times, their former reporter, Donald McNeil,
literally came out and said that while he was over there, he didn't cover the lab leak because
he didn't consider it credible. And it was only months later when he realized he'd been lied to
and manipulated by Dr. Fauci, the scientific community, and Peter Daszak. I mean, it goes
so deep. It really is Iraq WMD level Daszak. I mean, it goes so deep.
It really is Iraq WMD level.
And let's not forget, it's not just about what we do.
This thing, you know, a million Americans died of COVID
by some estimate.
It caused trillions of dollars in economic damage.
Like, you know, the Iraq war,
there's a lot of recriminations
as to what happened after the invasion.
But, you know, what led up to the invasion
was also very important.
Just like Vietnam, just like the Spanish-American War,
you have to go back and look at these initial conspiracies,
cover-ups, and speculations and say,
hey, how exactly did this shape
what ended up coming, this catastrophe,
so that we make sure that this doesn't happen again?
I unfortunately do not think many people in the media
will rescind that.
All I have yet to see is the initial pushback is,
well, actually, it's the conspiracy theorist's fault for making it a conspiracy so that we had
to dismiss it then at the time because they were liars and not credible. Maybe you're the liar.
Maybe you're the one who's not credible. Yeah. I mean, listen, fair enough that Trump did himself
no favors, but you're a journalist. You're not supposed to be playing favorites. You're not
supposed to be like, well, I like this one and I don't like this one.
So I'm going to go with the theory espoused by the person that I like.
And that was exactly what was the reporter's name?
Don McNeil.
That was exactly what he said he fell victim to.
It was basically like, you know, I had long relationships with these scientists and people like Fauci.
And so when they were like, no, no, it's natural origin.
He just bought it instead of actually doing the research that you are supposed to do as a
journalist and being skeptical of everyone, which is supposed to be a core tenant ultimately of
journalism. It really is remarkable to see how all of this unfold and how it continues to unfold.
I mean, the New York Times perfect example, when they got a report that said it looks like it's natural origin, which was based on,
by the way, totally incomplete information. Then it was news alert, front page, did the big,
you know, deep dive and made sure that they got it out to all their readers.
Now that you have an alternative view, they'll put a little tiny blurb in there, but it's not
getting nearly the same treatment that this.
And they portray that also as much more conclusive and definitive than they're portraying this piece of evidence.
So you can see their game. It's very clear. There you go. All right.
Speaking of media cover ups, government, et cetera, we've got, you know, continuing developments out of Ohio that are deeply disturbing.
Let's go and put this up on the screen. This is a write-up in The Washington Post. The headline here is, Toxic Air Pollutants in East Palestine Could
Pose Long-Term Risks, Researchers Say Using EPA Data. Texas A&M scientists found elevated levels
of some chemicals at the derailment site, but EPA officials say the levels pose no short-term
risks and are likely to dissipate. So basically, the long and short here,
and I'll read you a little bit of this article, is the EPA, of course, has been out saying
everything's good, no worries, we're all clear. We did the testing, of course. We found out the
water testing was actually, at least most of it, conducted by literally the polluter,
the company Norfolk Southern. They paid consultants to do some shoddy, apparently,
testing with tainted samples,
et cetera. So, OK, that was the water. But on the air, they said, we're all good. Well,
guess what? These researchers at Texas A&M say, not quite. Three weeks after the toxic train of
derailment in Ohio, an independent analysis of EPA data found nine air pollutants at levels that,
if they persist, could raise long-term health concerns in and around East Palestine. That analysis, they say, stands in contrast to statements by state and federal
regulators that air near the crash site is completely safe, despite residents complaining
about rashes, breathing problems, and other health effects. Now, the EPA's response,
they say that air quality levels of 79 different chemicals they're monitoring remain below levels
of concern for short-term exposure and that current concentrations are likely to dissipate.
So that is their response. But they say the data only adds to questions and concerns that, of course,
have been weighing on residents. Texas A&M researchers found elevated levels of chemicals
known to trigger eye and lung irritation, headaches, and other symptoms, as well as some
that are known or suspected to cause cancer,
which, of course, is the nightmare scenario for these individuals.
And they've been so gaslit, Sagar.
You know, any number of reporters, including our own, you know, our friends over at Status
Coup, have been on the ground where people are saying nauseous, vomiting, skin rashes,
eye irritation, having trouble breathing, all of these things.
And meanwhile, the government, no, no, it's fine. You're fine. No problem. Everything's good. The
air is clear, et cetera. This gives you some inkling that they have been at best dramatically
downplaying the impact of what is going on. What I don't really get is they always include
these caveats. Experts say it's not cause for immediate concern. It highlights uncertainties.
Well, look, if it's uncertainty, what's the worst case?
That people get cancer.
What's the best case?
People don't.
Why would you bet on the best case scenario?
Yeah.
Why would you operate under that?
And the continuing, I mean, the more that you read about it,
and you're thinking about many of these people talking about elevated of toxic chemicals
in the air, in the water supply, and around the area now that we have no idea how long it will dissipate. They
say, oh, it'll dissipate after some time. Well, when? Are we talking about years from now? Are
we talking about months from now? Do they need relocation in the interim? Should they go home?
Should they not go at home? And at this point, we really have no reason to believe anything that
they say. They downplayed, what was it, the controlled release,
the demolition that releases, like, Mushroom Cloud.
They're like, oh, these animals that are dead.
Well, it's actually not that many of them.
We know now that that is not true.
We know that the initial water testing and all that is being trusted to the company.
This is a total government affair.
This is bigger than, honestly, than Katrina in terms of the actual cover-up.
I know that got a lot of media attention, but this is like an active corporate cover-up in conjunction with U.S. government officials to mislead the media as to what is happening.
And they just want to move away from it.
This might be the biggest failure in their history, in modern history.
I mean, with Katrina, obviously, a lot of people died.
And there's regional devastation. Katrina, obviously, a lot of people died. Yeah, there was a photo with helicopters.
Yeah, so I don't want to make that direct comparison,
but there's no doubt about it that, I mean,
the cover-up here is so consistent with the playbook that is run every single time.
I just keep thinking about that dude we saw on TikTok
who was like, I get really obsessed with these industrial accidents,
and it is the same exact playbook and same timeline every time. The
corporation wants to downplay. They want to say everything is fine. And then we find out, oh,
guess what? They're funding the tests and they're using these testing consultants who have been
caught in the past cooking the books and screwing with the data. So we know that happened. But those
tests come out. The politicians, they also
mostly want to downplay what's going on. Everybody except for the literal local mayor. But the
Republican governor, Pete and Biden, all of them want to downplay it. And so, oh, yeah, the tests
are fine. It's all good. Don't worry about it. So they are parroting the corporate line. And then
the media also, mostly corporate media, obviously, parrots the corporate line as well.
So that's how you end up with this situation where people are like, I am sick.
I have symptoms.
There is something going on here.
It's obviously not all clear.
And yet they're being gaslit and told over and over again, no, no, everything is fine.
And here's another example of this.
Let's go ahead and put this
up on the screen. So Sager just alluded to this. The original estimate of the number of animals
that died in this five-mile area was 3,500. Well, now that estimate has risen to 43,700. I'm not good at math, but that's a lot more than 3,500. Now, this is predominantly
fish and other aquatic animals that they're looking at here. What they say is that when
the Ohio Department of Natural Resources officials first responded, they were told it was too
dangerous to actually get in the water and do a full analysis without having specialized gear.
So they kind of worked with what they could.
And that's how they came up with this initial low estimate.
And now that they've been able to do a fuller sample, they can see that there is vastly,
vastly more animal death here than initially estimated.
And as I said, in now this 7.5 mile area that was impacted by the
train derailment, they're saying there were 43,700 animals. You know, there's another
story that's unfolding here now because as the cleanup continues, well, they've got to take that
toxic waste and all that, you know, bled into the soil in this area. They have to do something with that. So they were initially transporting it to sites in Michigan and sites in Texas.
And now the, you know, Democratic governor of Michigan and the Republican governor of Texas were like, hold the phone.
What is going on here?
We've got some major questions.
So just this morning, I read that they've changed course and now they are disposing of that waste in two sites in Ohio,
one of which I happen to know because I used to live there, is actually literally in the same
county. It's in Columbiana County, just 15 miles down the road. So they don't want to ship it to
Michigan or Texas. They're going to keep it right here in this community and dispose of it in a
site that's just 15 miles away. I have to think that people are not too happy about that either. I was going to say, well, what is the reasoning behind putting it in
the same county that it's already infected? There's a toxic. So this gets to like I talk
about this some in my monologue. This region has been so shit on for so many years. So there's a
toxic waste incinerator in East Liverpool, Ohio, located, by the way, by a school. There was local
opposition to this thing. But anyway, they put it in.
So this is a region that, you know, totally devastated by deindustrialization,
epidemic of opioid addiction and overdose, all of that, ground zero for that.
So this is a place that has just been, like, used and abused for quite a while now.
So no surprise that something like a toxic waste incinerator would be located in the same community. Jeez. I mean, yeah. And it's very telling, I think, that nobody else wants the waste,
you know, whenever these other states, especially one whose own researchers are like, this is full
of toxicity and may have long-term health effects, are like, we don't want our hands on any of this.
I don't even know what to say now at this point. And, you know, what we're about to talk about is
that these people continue to just be left behind by the federal government, almost completely
ignored to the extent media is even covering it, dragged kicking and screaming because of intense
public interest, but not a lot of scrutiny yet, at least on the company itself and on the government
officials, not even close to the level of scrutiny on President Biden and on Secretary Buttigieg.
Yeah. Well, and really importantly, there was
covered a Media Matters analysis of all the cable news coverage. And at that point, at least only
3% of all the segments that had been done on this talked about the political corruption that led up
to this. And we now have indications from the NTSB report that has now come out. This was
completely preventable. It was preventable with one thing
that would have been incredibly beneficial is the modern braking system that David Sirota has been
reporting on over at the lever that ultimately, you know, under the Obama administration, they
tried to make this braking system widespread. Industry got involved and they really trimmed
the sails of what the initial safety regs were going to be under the Obama administration.
Then under the Trump administration, they roll that back even further.
So that was ends up being really crucial and really key because there was, I think,
like a wheel bearing or something like axle, something like that, that was catching fire
that we saw on the on the video. And that does end up turning out. It turns out to be
what the key problem was here. But they actually caught it before it derailed.
They tried to stop the train.
But because they have frickin' Civil War era braking system on this train, they're unable to stop it.
And that's how you end up with the derailment.
So political corruption that we've been talking about, that the media has largely ignored, ends up being the key story here.
And to talk more about the politics, our president, President Biden, he was asked—go ahead and
put this up on the screen—about whether or not he plans to visit Ohio.
He says, no, we're doing all we can.
That is a lie.
They are not doing all they can.
I mean, that's just demonstrably false.
One thing they could be doing is giving these people Medicare for life, as they did in Libby,
Montana.
There's a provision under Obamacare that would allow them to do exactly that.
They are not talking about doing that whatsoever, even as, you know, researchers are saying,
hey, this could have long-term effects, and these are known carcinogens.
So down the road 10 years from now, when suddenly you've got a cancer cluster in this area
and everyone's denying, oh, it has nothing to do with this, it has nothing to do with this,
the very least is you could have these people make sure that they have decent health care
and are able to get the treatment that they deserve.
You also have Pete continuing to cover himself in glory.
He did ultimately, much belatedly, decide to actually go to Ohio under great pressure
from Republicans, but also from some Democrats.
Let's take a listen to a little bit of what he had to say.
In retrospect, should you have come a little sooner?
So again, in terms of the timing of the visit, I'm trying to strike the right balance,
allowing NTSB to play its role, but making sure we're here in that show of support.
But also Norfolk Southern and the other freight rail companies need to stop
fighting us every time we try to do a regulation in order to hold them accountable and their other railroad companies accountable for their safety record.
And what we've seen is industry goes to Washington and they get their way.
They got their way on the ECP rule.
They got their way on a Christmas tree of regulatory changes that the last administration
made on its way out the door in December of 2020. Guess what, dude? You are in charge.
You can tell them no when they come to Washington. I mean, the learned helplessness,
the feigned helplessness of Biden and Pete, not just on this issue, but on so many issues.
And when you see it with the airlines too,
I'm going to send a letter.
Dude, you have power.
You are running this agency.
If you wanted to change and roll back those Trump regulations
if they were so bad, you all are in charge now.
You could do that.
But you didn't, and you still aren't.
You sent another strongly worded letter
to Norfolk Southern.
Congratulations.
Way to go.
You know, with Biden too, I'm just mystified as to why he won't go. I think it must be because
he doesn't want to validate the Trump criticism. I think that's exactly it. He's like, I'm willing
to go to Kiev. He should come back from Ukraine. He should come visit Ohio. So now he's the one
who's actually playing and making this political because he doesn't want to appear weak to the
fact that he was literally abroad doling out billions of dollars to Ukraine whenever somebody
at home might have needed him. And he says, oh, we're doing everything that we can.
With Pete, too. I mean, what a horrific and massive failure. I've come around to the fact
that I think Pete is just fundamentally lazy. Like when you put together his entire tenure of office,
his fake paternity leave for literally months, much longer than actual working mothers get,
who literally suffer the trauma of giving
birth. You have that. Number two is the FAA nightmare, the collapse of the airline industry
under his watch, eventually righting itself with no real help from the administration.
The Southwest Airlines debacle, of which he did absolutely nothing. And now you have East
Palestine, of which he's last. The former president of the United States, who literally
lives in Mar-a-Lago, is able to get there before he is.
And it's a joke.
And then at the entire time, he's lashing out at the media.
Also, funnily enough, Crystal, he's been planting all these stories, saying Buttigieg has been taking a lot of bullets for Biden on East Palestine.
Really?
Because I'm pretty sure you're taking bullets for not doing your job and for not having the immediacy that
a secretary is supposed to have
in this situation. I saw a hilarious
reader comment which just said, do you know how
bad of a secretary of transportation you have to be
for people to know the secretary of transportation?
Nobody knows who the secretary is.
During Elaine Cha... The only reason anybody
knew her name at that time was because she was the wife of Mitch McConnell.
Not because of anything. To the extent that
she ever made news, it's because she was corrupt in helping
her Taiwanese oligarch
father who has ties to the CCP.
Before that, I don't even remember the name of the
Secretary of Transportation under President Obama.
I'm sure
if you told me it, I'd be like, oh yeah, that's right.
Under President
Clinton, same thing. I could
not tell you.
Under Bush, the only reason I could tell you is because Elaine Chao also served in that position while she was there.
Well, and the irony is, I mean, this guy, I'm looking up Obama.
Ray LaHood. There you go. Yeah, he was a congressman. I think he was Louisiana.
We also had Anthony Fox maybe in there for a while. Yeah.
Anyway, look, Pete wanted to use this position as a launching pad for his presidential and other political ambitions.
And, you know, as the fates would have it, the secretary of transportation actually ended up being a really critical position.
And he had every opportunity to rise to the challenge and to be here right now.
Instead, he is a total joke. He's a failure. He's an embarrassment. And he's even taken some fire,
astonishingly, from people on his own side of the aisle and from a few lonely voices in the media
who have criticized him as well. So, no, it's been a complete disaster. And the way that he
pretends like there's nothing he can do is so embarrassing and so insulting.
It's insane.
I also think the other reason why Biden's not going to go to Ohio is because Ohio is a red state now.
Very, you know, not that long ago, Ohio was not a red state.
In fact, when he was running for vice president on the Obama ticket, Ohio was not a red state.
But they've given up on it.
And so they don't
really care that much. I mean, I think that's really the bottom line. They're more interested
in, you know, if this happened in Georgia, if it happened in Arizona and one of the up and coming
places or one of the places like Michigan that they're still holding on to, maybe there would
be a different response. But because it's Ohio and they've written off Ohio as unwinnable and
full of, quote unquote, deplorables. Well, you know, I guess we'll just send Pete three weeks later
and have him flounder around and hope that everybody moves on.
It shouldn't matter that it's a Trump-for-70 town.
Of course.
You know, of course it does matter.
And this, look, Trump, the way, how do you think Ohio became red?
Like, that's the question.
How did Ohio, which, did he win it twice, I believe?
Obama won it twice? No, so, Ohio, yeah. Obama Ohio, which did he win it twice? I believe Obama won it twice.
No.
So Ohio.
Yeah.
Obama won it.
He won it the second time around.
I'm pretty sure.
Yes.
A hundred percent.
He did.
Because that was the famous Megyn Kelly.
Remember when she was like this real math or math you do when you're Republican and
make yourself feel better.
Yeah.
Right.
So Barack Obama won it twice.
It was a battleground state.
2004 with Bush.
There was a lot of consternation about that.
2000, it was also a battleground state, had been for quite a long time.
And then in a single political generation, which almost never happens, a state goes full red.
How did that happen?
Well, it's exactly because of stuff like this.
I can bet you that all the people that are there, they will remember that Donald Trump came to the state of Ohio.
And, you know, I think that that will resonate significantly,
specifically amongst the white working class populations that Trump was able to swing so red all across the industrial Midwest, who are just like the towns of Liverpool,
Ohio, that you're talking about. This congressional district in 2016,
I'm talking about this in my monologue, so I have the stats fresh in my head,
swung 30 points to Donald Trump in 2016. It was the biggest swing in the entire country.
Prior to this era,
Democrats used to win this congressional district.
What's his face?
Charlie Wilson, Ted Strickland.
Yes.
That was the member of Congress for this district.
Wow.
So it is recent history that this has swung so hard
and so fast to the right.
Ask yourself why. I'll save
this, my rant on this for in my monologue. But, you know, this incident definitely reveals exactly
why these populations have moved to the right. And because, I mean, bottom line is they feel
abandoned by Democrats. And I can't really blame them when you look at all of this unfolding.
Very true.
All right, let's move on to 2024. Yes. So big announcement, big endorsement, guys.
This one is a real game changer. Wait for it. Jeb Bush endorsing Ron DeSantis. Take a listen.
Is this Ron DeSantis' opportunity to run for higher office? I think it is. He's been a really
effective governor. He's young.
I think we're on the verge of a generational change in our politics. I kind of hope so.
I think it's time for a more forward-leaning, future-oriented conversation in our politics as well.
Which has made him, should he choose to run for president, a serious contender in Republican politics.
And who better to do it than someone who's been outside of Washington, who's governed effectively,
who I think has shown that Florida could be a model for the future of our country.
DeSantis has got to be like, no!
Why would I want that?
He'd be like, she should call him up and be like, hey, man, shut your mouth.
This is actually not helpful to me at all.
That said, I mean, it illustrates the fundamental problem that he has, which is that the people who want him to win and to run the most are anti-Trump people in the Republican Party. But if he ever wants to win the Republican nomination,
he would have to be a person who's able to unite the Trump side and the anti-Trump side. Worse,
the anti-Trump side, as you can see there, has yet to coalesce around a single person. You have
Nikki Haley in the race. You have Vivek Ramaswamy, who's now in the race. We'll see how he ends up
in the polls. I'm actually curious to see if he's even able to make a dent.
But you have Mike Pence here jockeying for the nomination.
You have Mike Pompeo, John Bolton, all these other characters.
Asa Hutchinson, they're considering throwing their hat in the ring.
You know what?
Especially, I think, Mike Pence, given his standing, we shouldn't forget, he's the only one who has a real organic constituency in the Republican Party.
It's evangelicals.
And also, though, Pence is still aligned with the old GOP.
Pence has already come out and said, no, I think we should cut Medicare and Social Security.
And Ukraine is now becoming a massive dividing line in the party.
Vice President Mike Pence actually hit Ron DeSantis, not Trump,
specifically DeSantis, whenever it came to his stance on Ukraine, questioning why President
Biden was in Kiev whenever he was needed here at home. Here's what Vice President Pence had to say.
While some in my party have taken a somewhat different view, let me be clear. There can be no room in the leadership of the Republican Party for apologists for Putin.
There can only be room for champions of freedom.
And the reason we know that's a shot at Ron DeSantis and not at Trump, who has actually gone further than DeSantis in terms of his Ukraine comments,
is because he made sure to say that Russia didn't
try to seize territory during the Trump-Pence administration and praised Trump in other ways,
basically was touting their record as opposed to what DeSantis has been saying on Ukraine.
It's like this shows you too, where the infighting of all of us is replicating the exact 2016 conditions, which if
Marco Rubio had dropped out of the race or John Kasich much earlier in the cycle, then Ted Cruz
would have had a shot. I wouldn't say he would have won, but he might have come much closer to
winning the nomination. But these people are all such narcissists that they're like, no, it's my
turn, it's my turn, it's my turn, that they're splitting up the anti-Trump vote, cannibalizing themselves,
and not a single one has yet to criticize Donald Trump.
Mike Pence cannot say anything bad about Trump.
Vivek Ramaswamy was asked on Sean Hannity.
He said, I consider President Trump a friend.
And I'm like, okay, maybe.
Nikki Haley, I'm not kicking sideways.
I'm kicking forward because she's always kicking.
At a certain point, you have to run against this man because trying to cannibalize each
other's anti-Trump votes, of which it barely even exists as a lane for one individual,
let alone five individuals, good luck.
And also, you know, you have to say this.
On Ukraine, DeSantis and Trump are clearly the ones who are on the right side of this
with the Republican base. Like the number of people who are like rah-rah, NAFO, pro-Ukraine is under 50% in the Republican Party.
So if you're fighting for those scraps, I mean, good luck. I thought it was significant that
DeSantis adopted the same posture as Trump because there you have what, 75% right now of Republican,
of the two Republicans that are polling at the very top in terms of support.
We're both adopting the same line on Ukraine. That's it. That's an ideological victory.
Yeah, clean up. Absolutely. And and there's new reporting that this isn't really surprising,
given the way that Ron DeSantis positioned himself when he was in Congress.
But this is a new evolution for him. Andrew Kaczynski over at CNN tracked down his previous statements on the situation
in Ukraine. The headline here is Ron DeSantis wanted to send weapons to Ukraine when he was
a congressman. As a presidential hopeful, he questions U.S. involvement. And basically,
you know, when he was in Congress, it was like the Obama era. And this was his critique of Obama,
was that he wasn't being hawkish enough. He wasn't doing enough to arm Ukraine. And so he said, you know, a lot in that direction
at that time. Here's one quote from the article. They say, once an advocate of a hardline,
hawkish approach to Russia by supporting Ukraine, the Florida governor shifted course this week in
anticipation of a potential presidential run, questioning whether it was the U.S.'s interest
to be involved in what he called things like the borderlands or over Crimea. He added that Russia
was not the same threat to our country, even though they're hostile, and downplayed the threats
that Russia could invade NATO countries. However, at the time, he described himself as a follower
of the Reagan School of Foreign Policy. He said some things like, I'm an old, unreconstructed,
you know, Cold War kind of a guy, basically. He said they viewed guys like me who are more of the
Reagan School that's tough on
Russia, as kind of throwbacks to the Cold War.
They criticized Mitt Romney in 2012.
Now, all of a sudden, because they're using it against Trump, they're so concerned about
Russia.
He also talked about—he was critical of Obama refusing to provide, quote, lethal aid
to Ukraine.
They were trying to do a reset.
The Democrats lauded that.
So, in any case, you can see that he can read the political writing on the wall and is definitely trying to shift his position from the way he
positioned himself during the Obama era. One of the things that surprised everybody in DeSantis,
look, I remember DeSantis as a congressman. He was remarkable in literally no way whatsoever.
He was a replacement level Tea Party guy. Nobody here thought about him at all. Then he ran for
governor and people were laughing at him because they didn't think he was going to win.
At the time, he was like 35 points down.
He ended up finagling a Trump endorsement.
He ends up barely squeaking by in 2000.
I don't think people remember this.
It came like almost near a recount with Andrew Gillum.
That's how close that race was.
And then he shocked everybody.
He did a couple of things.
Before COVID, even before all of that, he increased teacher pay, started preserving the Everglades. And we were like, huh, this is an interesting guy.
He's not the Tea Party person that he once was. He always wanted to be a very popular figure.
COVID, he found his lane. Florida, the economy is booming. You have one of the largest net
migrations in the entire United States. And now he's a major cultural figure. He's picked the
cultural right. He's picking a lot of the battles that people online are really jazzed out about in the base. And also from a general population perspective,
clearly something compelling is happening in the state of Florida. I think he's ultimately just a
political wins guy. He was a Tea Party guy whenever he needed to be Tea Party guy. Now he is this,
you know, Ukraine skeptical person when he wants to be. Now, for those who are worried about that,
that's not the worst thing in the world. Somebody who's willing to change their minds, who's not
ideological, is in many cases, as you can see here, at least in my opinion, much better of a
political ally than somebody like Pence, who is doctrinaire, you know, an actual Reagan Republican
in his mind. At the same time, if the winds blow the other way, that's clearly where he would go.
I think of it as more politically significant that he did end up here on Ukraine. And that at this point, if it is Trump or DeSantis,
I'm not going to say you're going to get the same policy, but the same rhetoric and valence is now
there. And clearly that ideological victory has been won on the Republican nominee side,
as even though there are all these GOP congressmen and all those who are beating the war drum in
Ukraine, there, at least rhetorically, it's not there.
Policy-wise, I still have no idea who he would pick or who would work for him.
So anyway, I think it's very significant.
Well, we also have to say that what we saw with Trump and what we've seen with all kinds of political candidates is what you say on the campaign trail may end up being very different from what you do when you're governing.
And you've got the generals telling you this and you've got the donor class telling you that. And there's a lot of pressures that come to bear on
you. And, you know, the voice of the people that you that originally elected you become smaller
and smaller, smaller, apparently. But I do think that the fundamental issue for Ron DeSantis right
now, who, you know, has a genuine base of support. He's not like a Jeb. He's not, you know, I don't want to, like, diminish him like that.
He definitely has really captured the imagination
of some subset of the Republican primary caucus.
But, you know, if they're all afraid to go after Trump
and they're not afraid to take shots at Ron DeSantis, clearly,
you are back in this 2016 dynamic
where they're all jockeying
to be number two. But guess what? Number two doesn't matter. Number one matters. And if you
don't have a plan to get past Trump, he's not going to magically just disappear or disintegrate.
You know, if you're waiting for this guy to just like self-immolate and go away, dream on. I mean,
I guess, you know, it's theoretically possible, but you better have a plan to actually win.
Here's the latest polling that we've got. This is from Fox News. And, you know, it's theoretically possible, but you better have a plan to actually win. Here's the latest polling that we've got.
This is from Fox News.
And, you know, again, these polls have been all over the map, so just keep that in mind.
But right now we've got Trump at 43, DeSantis 28, Nikki Haley with her little announcement bounce getting up to 7%,
tied now with Mike Pence at 7%, and then you've got a bunch of, you know, other contenders at 2 percent and 1 percent.
So that's basically what the race looks like right now.
And, you know, we've we showed you last week some signs that Trump has actually gone up in the polls a bit,
threatened his hand a bit over the past number of weeks.
And I just continue to believe that the time when he was weakest was right after the midterms.
Midterms feel like a long time ago. All of the freshness of like,
oh, this was a referendum on Trump
and this didn't go well
and DeSantis did really well on Florida.
It's kind of fading into ancient history already.
Yeah, look, I mean, the polls, they're all over the map.
At the same time, all but one, I believe,
I think 99% of them have Trump at the top.
So that means something.
What else do they show us?
Mike Pence has the most static number across these I've ever seen.
He's almost always at 7% to 11%.
Yeah.
It's like 7% to 11%.
So exactly, that's about the hard right evangelicals.
That's about what they compromise of the Republican base.
Okay, that makes sense.
And the rest of it is just totally up for grabs between Haley, Abbott, Cheney, Kirstie Nome, Mike Pompeo, Tim Scott, Glenn
Youngkin, Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, all these people.
But all of them still don't even add up to anything close to what DeSantis or Trump has
to.
And Pence is not wrong.
The greatest threat to him is not Donald Trump.
It's Ron DeSantis.
Nikki Haley, the greatest threat to her is Ron DeSantis or Mike Pence.
It's the anti-Trump, Trump skeptical vote of which they are going to be.
So they're really going to be vicious and trying to tear each other apart. And then all that does
is benefit Trump, who's sitting pretty all the way up at the top with a near majority,
near outright majority in many of these polls. It's a bad situation for many of them.
Yeah, indeed. OK, so let's talk about the Democratic side now. We've got a former
former president, not yet anyway, current president Joe Biden getting asked about the classified document situation.
You know, he had the whole Trump situation, very critical of that.
And then lo and behold, he has some classified documents at his residence and also at his, you know, think tank as well.
Take a listen to how he responded to that.
When you hear about boxes in your garage or in your old office, you called the Trump discovery irresponsible. Is there something irresponsible here, though, too?
You know, you're a good lawyer, but you're trying to make a comparison.
What there are degrees of irresponsibility that are they can be significant degrees of responsibility. What the way in which the boxes were packed up for my office, apparently not everything was gone through as meticulously as it should have.
OK, so what does that mean?
So not meticulously as it should have.
And there are degrees of irresponsibility.
My problem with this is that he's still not taking responsibility
for the fact that he's the person who it falls on.
I mean, do you think Donald Trump personally packed those documents
and put them in his office or did he direct someone to?
It's just like what you did.
You directed someone to pack them and take them.
And from what we know about what was inside of his files,
they were in his private office.
They were intermingled with his son's funeral plans.
Clearly there was no plan that was made here.
They were locked inside of his garage
as if that somehow made it better
because that's where he keeps his Corvette,
of which we know that Hunter had access to
and used to drive.
And look, I don't particularly care
about all these particulars.
I'm just showing you that if anything,
it's just as insecure as Mar-a-lago the crime in substance is basically the same on
its merits now the cover-up is a little bit different yeah by all measures he did you know
flag it or whatever but at the same time you hid this from the american people he had six weeks
before the election where he could have told everybody and they would have made it public
and they didn't do it i mean i just think all of this is a wash at this point yeah i agree that's the thing is like you know they really had trump
dead rights on this one with the documents and the amount of them and the cover-up and everything
like this was the most clear-cut potential indictment and now just it's just a wash and
politically it's just a wash as well especially when then you had like mike pence that turns out
classified documents to the american people are like, all right, forget it.
Let's move on.
So it is embarrassing that he's still unable to take any sort of accountability, that he's
trying to, you know, parse these things that I don't think are obvious to most people that
this is like a dramatically different situation than the situation with Trump down at Mar-a-Lago.
At the same time, you know, we covered last week there were some rumblings in the D.C. press that Biden maybe he's not going to run again because this man is like famously unable to make a decision.
And so the timeline for when he's actually going to launch his reelect has gotten pushed further and further and further into the future.
And so there are some people who are like, OK, well, maybe we need to come up with a plan B. His wife, Biden's wife,
Dr. Jill Biden, she has now come out and made it pretty clear that he is definitely going to run
again. So let's take a listen. Is there any reason for any of us to think that he is not running
again? We've heard him say several times that it is his intention. Are you not believing this,
Darlene? I mean, how many times does he have to say it until you believe it?
I mean, he's done so much.
And, Darlene, he's just not done.
Okay.
So is all that's left at this point is just to figure out a time and place for the announcement?
Pretty much.
So she nods her head there, yes, at the end.
She's asked, is all that's left to figure out a time and date of an announcement?
She nods her head, yes.
This is what we always thought.
This is what we thought.
But then at the same time, stuff is floating around.
He is her most personal.
How many times do you have to say it?
It's like, well, also, why aren't you running yet?
It's already February.
Like, it's not like this isn't the best time.
And you do want to stake it out clearly that there is no lane.
I mean, the word is not going out enough in the right way because you had that Politico piece, which we covered just yesterday, where people
in official Washington are preparing themselves for the possibility he may not run. So I don't
think it's nearly as much of a given as she's saying, even though they seem to want to have
their cake and eat it too. They don't want to actively run for president again or all the
rigors of what a campaign is standing that up would look like and do all the fundraising.
And then they also want to crowd out everybody else from the race.
It's like, no, you have to pick one.
And it's time.
I mean, I agree.
I agree.
He's going to run because they still have, you know, the Democratic Party still has this issue of, OK, maybe we're, you know,
we have a majority of the public and even a majority of Democrats are like, we don't want you to run.
We'd rather have someone else. But when they look then down at their bench of chosen successors, you know, here's Pete like
melting, melting right now into the ground in his failures as secretary of transportation.
Kamala Harris obviously is dramatically unpopular. And, you know, even they've realized at this point
that it would be a disaster and a mistake to run her at the top of the ticket. So it's kind of like, oh, I guess we're going to go
with Biden again. So that's what it looks like to me, you know, in terms of the timeline slipping.
But this is just the way he operates. He can't commit to things. It takes him a long time. He's
a micromanager, but he's indecisive. So it doesn't surprise me that the timeline has ultimately
slipped here down the road into the
spring, but I still feel pretty
persuaded that he is going to ultimately
win this. I think that's right. And you know, with the campaign,
or with the classified documents thing, like you said,
it's a wash now. You can choose your own fighter.
One is corrupt. The other one doesn't
follow the rules. I choose the one where they're
all basically think that they're above the law
and apparently doesn't apply to them, which is crazy. You know, that you have the vice president,
you have, you know, former presidents as well. And then you have literally president Biden and
Trump not following the rules. And like I've said to, you know, with Biden, he wasn't even
the president. He was only the vice president. And still he's, you know, just taking all this
stuff. Funny story. When we were in Austin, I went to go visit the LBJ museum and the proprietor gave me a nasty look when I was like, hey, do you have any classified
documents here? He's like, no, sir, we do not. It was a joke. Just making a joke.
All right. We don't want to lose sight of what is going on with the economy, which
obviously is, you know, probably the most important story for all of your lives. And
there are some bad indicators in terms of the direction that inflation is heading in, which both has an impact on, you know, you, your pocketbook
right now today, but also what the Federal Reserve might do down the road, which can have more of an
impact on you, your pocketbook and what it means to your whole life. So let's go ahead and put this
up on the screen from the Financial Times. The headline here is Federal Reserve's favored
inflation gauge
accelerated in January. They use, I guess that's the way the Brits spell favored, huh?
The personal consumption expenditure price index, which measures how much consumers are paying for
goods and services, increased 0.6% month on month after rising 0.2% in December. So that is an
acceleration. The annual rate increased to 5.4% in January from
an upwardly revised figure of 5.3% a month earlier. The so-called core PCE index, which
strips out what they describe as volatile food and energy costs and is the Fed's preferred
inflation metric, rose 0.6% in January, up from 0.4% in December. So basically, the bottom line here, before I bore
you with all these like point whatever percent, is it's getting worse, according to this metric.
And this is a metric that the Fed really pays a lot of attention to. They say that following
Friday's figures, investors priced in a 39% chance of a half-point rate rise at the Fed's March
meeting, compared with an 18% likelihood a
week ago. So basically, investors are looking at these numbers and thinking that there is an
elevated chance that the Fed is going to go even further and go from, you know, a quarter point
increase to a half point increase, which would have more of a dramatic impact on the economy
ultimately as they, you know, tighten and make it more difficult
to borrow, increase interest rates, make it harder to, you know, make mortgage rates go up, all of
those things that we've been talking about for a long time. So this is a very bad sign ultimately.
Oh, yeah. And actually I was reading, so there was a former Federal Reserve governor,
Frederick Mishkin, who put out a white paper, which is very influential, CNBC and all those other
covered it. And they say that
despite the sentiments of many Fed officials, they can manage the soft landing. The paper says
it is very unlikely. We find, quote, no instance in which central bank-induced disflation occurred
without recession. Furthermore, given the latest numbers, they say the Fed will need to tighten policy significantly further to achieve
its inflation objective by the end of 2025, which is a 2% inflation rate. So basically, they're
saying, if the Fed is going to be the only tool here, you are going to have a recession, and they
will need to continue tightening all the way up until 2025 to make sure this happens. And so that's
why we're really in a bind here. The policy, the White House, and the Congress has abdicated all this responsibility. The Fed only has one tool,
which is basically beat the economy over the head with high rates as possible. What does that mean?
We have housing problems right now in terms of the mortgage rates beginning to come down a bit,
but they're still vastly unattainable. It's not like the price eventually dipped. Yes,
we did see the world's billionaires did lose a significant
amount of wealth, but it's not like you had an average wage increase relative to inflation.
So we basically have high prices and we have a slowing economy. It's like the worst of literally
all worlds. And it's because, guess what? Our economy is not just about rates. It's about
inputs. It's about supply. It's about Ukraine. It's about, and not the aid we're giving to
Ukraine. It's about all of these sanctions on the global financial economy, reopening
of China and what exactly that's going to look like, the price of gas.
I mean, I think that's really been the major lesson of all of us.
And, you know, sadly, on a policy point of view, we have not done a damn thing about
any of that.
Yeah.
Literally nothing.
And the White House wants to point to the low unemployment rate, which it is low.
Great. And be like, wants to point to the low unemployment rate, which it is low. Great.
And be like, look, the economy is great.
And meanwhile, you have record numbers of people living saying that they're doing worse this year than they were last year.
You have huge numbers of people, something like 70 percent, saying we're on the wrong track.
You have more people living paycheck to paycheck.
You just have metric after metric after metric
that indicates that people are struggling. OK, are there jobs? Yes. Are they good jobs
where you can actually afford to live and rent an apartment or, you know, lo and behold, buy a house?
No. And so that's why you see these, you know, yes, the unemployment rate is low,
but on all of these other metrics,
the economy is struggling and more importantly, people are suffering. So this is a bad sign that we continue to head in the wrong direction here and that, you know, it's going to be increasingly
difficult to avoid a recession, even though, you know, all the talk of the soft landing,
these are the types of numbers that make that difficult, if not impossible, ultimately to attain.
It's a bad situation. And already, you know, we're seeing implications in cars and in housing.
And we should just remember, like, this may be as good as it could have been, you know, in retrospect, as painful as the last two years.
If they induce a recession and they continue to go up, like the housing market will go into chaos, stock market, retirement portfolios,
the ability for a lot of these people to manage and also layoffs.
I mean, the tech layoffs happened with just a moderate increase right now in rates.
Imagine if they're going up by, what, 3%, 4%, 5% more, which is very possible, according to that,
and not outside the realm of possibility if you look at what happened in the 1970s.
If we go up to 9% or 10% or something like that, it's literally going to be madness in the economy.
And that's what we all lived through.
That's why people were so afraid of inflation
throughout the 1980s,
because they had to live through the chaos
of what the 1970s would look like.
And I don't know if there's a way out of it.
I really don't.
I really hope that we can,
but I don't have a lot of faith, unfortunately.
Okay, move on.
This is the fun segment here on the show.
So Woody Harrelson, hosted Saturday Night Live, gave a meandering monologue. But inside of that monologue was an implicit critique of big pharma, of lockdowns. And clearly Woody has an ax to grind with the way that the US government handled the pandemic. The audience did not find it funny. They did not like it. And Woody predicted something which ended up becoming true.
Let's take a listen to it.
Okay, so the movie goes like this.
The biggest drug cartels in the world get together
and buy up all the media and all the politicians
and force all the people in the world to stay locked in their homes
and people can only come out if they take the cartels' drugs
and keep taking them over and over.
I threw the script away.
I mean, who's going to believe that crazy idea? Who's going to believe that crazy idea? Except it actually literally did happen. And we have a tremendous amount of evidence and more so,
as people pointed out when he talked about the media. Let's put this up there on the screen.
Immediately, he was branded an anti-vax conspiracy theorist. Rolling Stone, Woody Harrelson
spreads anti-vax conspiracy. Daily Beast, Woody Harrelson spews anti-vax conspiracy. Huffington
Post, Woody Harrelson rambles about weed anti-vax conspiracy. And then Variety, Woody Harrelson's
SNL monologue makes COVID conspiracy jokes. So three out of the four calling him an anti-vax conspiracy theorist.
I don't think he was necessarily spraying anything
anti-vaccine.
And if anything-
It's a joke.
Oh my God.
First of all, it's a joke.
Second of all, there's a lot of evidence
to back up what he said,
which we have pointed here a million times.
Here's the other thing on vax.
Let's say whatever side you fall on.
What did we learn from the Twitter files?
That the pharma companies tried
and in some cases were successful in deplatforming people who were advocating for generic vaccine
technology. That is literally true what he said. Now, do you want to say that he was wrong for
saying that they bought the media? Well, as Rogan and many other, John Abramson, who's out on our
show, what is it, some 90% of television advertising news comes from pharma. People who watch news, I don't know how you people do it.
The other day, I think I was watching the Super Bowl or something. So I signed up for one of those
free trials where I can watch live TV. I'm like, how many of these ads for irritable bowel syndrome
can somebody sit there? I can't even fathom it, that this is all, that's all that's on television.
Ask your doctor, ask your doctor, ask your doctor.
My favorite is the thread of Brits
who every once in a while tune into US TV,
and they're like, why are there so many
pharmaceutical drug ads on television?
So none of what he said was wrong,
and actually what he said was only vindicated
in the response, and as our producer Griffin was saying,
he said, just the audience, the total lack of silence.
That's a small room, too.
So it actually took guts for Woody to do it.
I mean, here's my thing.
Okay, I listen to the whole monologue.
And whoever they're described as, like, rambling about weed.
Like, that was, like, 95% of the monologue.
Okay?
It was all over.
It was like, I was in a park, and I was doing this, and I was smoking weed.
Whatever.
Okay, so it goes on like this.
And then this is, like, this one line in the monologue.
And if you listen to it in its
entirety, I mean, it just feels
they make it sound
like he is just out there
like, vaccines don't work, and
just going on and on about
this in a serious way.
When I'm reluctant to even engage
with nitpicking the substance
of the joke.
And oh, was it did they technically buy the media?
Did they technically have this conspiracy? Because it's a joke.
And that's the thing that drives me crazy about it is that there's just such an overreaction to anything that would suggest there was anything nefarious about big pharma or about the way that this all ultimately unfolded.
You know, I heard what he was talking on Club Random. Yeah. Bill Maher's podcast. And he said
things that I don't agree with. I mean, it's like still sort of like touting ivermectin,
which has been debunked and whatever. But he talked about how the how the pharmaceutical
companies at bottom are out for profit. And that's just an undeniable fact.
And it led me to think something that I have thought many times in the past,
which is it's not an accident that you have so much anti-vaccine conspiracy,
vaccine hesitancy, skepticism, all of these things in the American context because people here
are not stupid and they know that the profit motive is driving everything.
In other countries where you have universal health care and profit isn't the end-all,
be-all of the health care system, guess what? They had better vaccine take-up rates. They had
less outright conspiracy out there. So there's a root
cause here that has led a lot of people to be very mistrusting of what the government and what
big pharma ultimately has to say on this issue and any other range of issues.
Here's what he had to say, quote, the last people I would trust with my health are big pharma and
big government because neither one of those strike me as caring entities.
They're all about profit,
and it's insane the profit that they have made.
I mean, yeah, look, you can't say that the man is wrong.
And just at this point, you know,
I don't understand how anybody can still be litigating COVID
literally three years later.
So the joke, it's like, let it pass.
Why do we care?
Even if you're anti-vax at this point, who cares?
You know, it's like, at this point,
anybody who's going to get the vaccine is going to get the vaccine. It's just all about labeling.
And who's not is not.
Who's the good one?
Who's the bad one?
Who's okay and acceptable?
Who's not?
You know?
Just leave it alone.
You know, that's another one of those where with the media, like, I don't even know why they particularly care or why the audience felt so uncomfortable.
But I do because it's the partisan blinders and all of them put on.
But Woody's always been an odd bird. we were talking about this morning you know he's
always spoken out about government all that it's actually very fitting um for his character so
anyway good for him i thought he did a good job crystal we're taking a look at well we have a
new contender for worst possible reaction to the catastrophic train derailment in ohio which spewed
god knows what into the atmosphere and waterways, causing God knows what kind of
long-term damage. The odious Joy Behar knew exactly who to blame for this toxic
catastrophe sparked by years of political corruption and corporate greed.
The residents of the town themselves. Why? Well, because they were part of the
deplorable group who voted for Donald Trump. Take a listen. I don't know why they would ever vote for him.
For somebody who, by the way, he placed someone with deep ties to the chemical industry in
charge of the EPA's chemical safety office.
That's who you voted for in that district.
Donald Trump.
You can actually hear the view audience gasp and boo because they are so shocked.
She would take this opportunity to scold these
suffering Americans for their political choices. But you know what? I'm actually kind of glad she
said it. I'm glad she revealed the ugly core of this type of snide liberalism. After all,
her sentiment, it's not a new one. I saw it expressed on Twitter. I saw it hinted at by
the analysts who dismissed the positive reception of Trump's visit because this was, quote,
Trump country. And we all heard it when Hillary Clinton dismissed Republican voters as deplorable
and when even in defeat, she bragged about winning the places that were optimistic and looking
forward versus places presumably like East Palestine, which were, in her words, looking
backwards. Now, this type of political analysis, to the extent it can be dignified as such,
assumes that the politics of people and regions are set in stone. Immovable. Irreversible. These people are deplorable. Not much you can do
about it. Guess we've just got to pull a larger percentage in those optimistic, forward-looking
places instead. Now, I used to live in Columbiana County. That's the county where East Palestine is
located. I actually lived just about 15 miles from where that Norfolk Southern train derailed.
My labor-centric economic populist politics, those were formed in large part by my time living in that region. So I know a little
bit about the story of this area and how exactly it became, quote unquote, Trump country. And that
evolution was happening in real time, right as I was living there. Decades ago, most of the plates
and dishes in the world were actually manufactured in potteries in and around Columbiana County,
the town I lived in. It's called East Liverpool. It was the epicenter of this industry.
But nearly all of those jobs
went overseas to places like China.
Before it was Trump country, this was also
steel country, where people could graduate high school
and get a tough but stable union job,
which afforded benefits and a solid middle-class life.
While that, of course, has all been destroyed, too.
In recent years,
Columbiana County has been hit hard by the opioid epidemic
and by deaths of despair.
As tax revenue dwindled, the roads in
downtowns crumbled, telling a visual story
of decline and of abandonment.
Now, Columbiana County used to vote
for Democrats. Michael Dukakis, who famously
lost in a landslide nationwide,
he actually won Columbiana County
in 1988. And then Bill Clinton
won it twice by comfortable margins
in both 92 and 96.
However, in a sign of the coming political realignment, Ross Perot actually outperformed
in Columbiana County, running on a populist platform against NAFTA and the giant sucking
sound of jobs being shipped out of regions exactly like this one. To make a long story short,
in the Clinton era, Democrats abandoned the New Deal in favor of neoliberal policies that
devastated this region and many others. And when Democrats abandoned Columbiana County, Columbiana County
increasingly abandoned Democrats. In 2016, the congressional district that includes East
Palestine swung 30 points right to overwhelmingly vote for Donald Trump. It was the largest swing
right in the entire country. Now, there are a lot of parallels between this latest train
catastrophe and the economic catastrophe that was unleashed on this region over decades.
Just like with the train derailment, both parties were complicit in the destruction of this region,
the abandonment, the betrayal, the union busting, NAFTA, market fundamentalism,
permanent normal trade relations with China. At every step, a bipartisan consensus moved in favor
of crushing towns just like this one.
And just like with the train derailment, the media failed to tell the story of what
had really happened here. And that story at its root is actually the same story as the
train derailment. It's a story about government capture, corporate greed, and a deadly ruling
class ideology that treats working class people as mere collateral damage. In their political
response, Democrats mostly just chose to ignore these places altogether, except for when it came to election time,
choosing to focus instead on their upwardly mobile creative class workers. Republicans
filled in the gap with culture war, same as they did with the train derailment. The Republican
narrative said that the problem for this region wasn't bad trade deals that rewarded their donors
and destroyed lives. It was immigrants and it was godless liberals. The problem that led to the train derailment wasn't industry capture and
corporate greed. It was wokeism and token diversity initiatives. But a narrative beats no narrative
every single time. You only need to look at the response of Trump versus the response of Biden
and Pete to this tragedy to understand why. Now, again, Trump and Biden, both complicit in this
problem. Both are lying about the root causes. But Trump showed
up, and he didn't gaslight residents when it came to the pain that they were suffering. Meanwhile,
Biden was in Ukraine, and Pete was feigning helplessness and handing easy grist for the
rights culture war arguments by talking about construction crews with too many white men.
Then, Democratic media allies sweep in, like the New York Times, to smear anyone questioning the official government narrative as a right-wing conspiracy theorist and Joy Behar to scold residents and imply that they brought the disaster on themselves.
The best response, I think, came not from any politician but from Erin Brockovich.
She offered practical advice from her years as an activist, and she validated their genuine concerns.
She told residents, quote,
I feel your angst. I feel your frustration. You are not alone. Every community I've gone to has
been given the runaround. You'll be told that it's fine, that you're safe, but it's not fine.
I've never seen anything like this in 30 years. She walked them through a PowerPoint with everything
they knew about the accident, including Norfolk Southern's disgraceful history of putting profits
over people. She brought with her mothers from Flint, Michigan,
who had organized in the wake of the mass poisoning of that city,
bringing working class people together in solidarity
rather than dividing them up by race or by political preference.
And hopeful sign seems like this approach landed
and like people are seeing through some of this bullshit.
As one attendee told The Guardian, quote,
I'm trying to be an active citizen to stand in solidarity with the people here and show my disgust at Trump and Biden, who both had a
chance to give us proper safety regulations and instead chose corporate profits. East Palestine
deserves better than scolding, better than gaslighting, fake divisive narratives, which
are all either party has bothered to offer them. And we sure as hell all deserve better than Joy
Behar. Thought her comment was pretty revealing here.
And if you want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue,
become a premium subscriber today at BreakingPoints.com.
All right, Sagar, what are you looking at?
Well, something we keep a close eye on here is the crisis of young men in the U.S.
It's probably one of the most charged topics that we discuss.
Inevitably draws quite a bit of few toxic people in the discourse on all sides. But my biggest problem with the
state of mainstream discourse is conflating toxicity with the idea that
we don't have a serious problem. A stunning trope of new data from the Pew
Research Group highlights just how big of a problem we have, one that soon could
reach a total point of no return. The first is the rate of single young men
versus single young women. 63% of the rate of single young men versus single young women.
63% of young men today between the ages of 18 to 29 report being single. That is compared to 34%
of young women. I guess in a vacuum, you could say, who cares, and let people do what they want.
And I actually agree with that. The problem, though, is that what people want is downstream
of a lot of societal inputs that we do have a say over. For example, though, is that what people want is downstream of a lot of societal
inputs that we do have a say over. For example, the reason that that math doesn't work out is
very simple. Most of those younger women who aren't single are dating older men. Why? Well,
they report stability of older men who are able to provide for them financially. Ergo,
it's not necessarily that women want to date older men, it's that economically,
younger men simply aren't able to attain the baseline necessary for women to want to
partner with them.
This isn't exactly popular to say, but it is now unambiguously true.
The wage gap that Lehman feminists insisted was the biggest problem in our society in
the 2010s, that's basically dead.
For those between the ages of 34 and below, the wage gap stands at some $43 per week.
We have now reached effective wage parity.
Actually, in many US cities, young women actually out-earn young men.
In the most upwardly mobile cities, places like Los Angeles, New York City, young women
earn 102% of young men earn.
And even in these places, where they don't earn more, they earn roughly the same as much as their young male counterparts in the workforce. Why might this be? Well, it's a trend
pointing towards women out-earning men as time passes. It all goes back to college. Women now
outnumber men in the U.S. college-educated workforce. Again, why is this bad? Well,
because higher-wage jobs in our society are structured
around having a bachelor's degree. A gender imbalance in graduates means a gender imbalance
in wages, and in a decade, we are actually going to have the opposite wage gap in the United States.
Wages, as we can see now, are directly tied to the dating market, where we have two pernicious
things at play. Number one, wages aside, many college-educated women simply do not want to date someone who doesn't have a college degree.
This sounds pretentious and snooty, but you can somewhat sympathize.
College is a good proxy for whether you share the same social values, type of media you enjoy, city life, shared experience you can relate to.
Number two, college is also a good proxy for whether you make decent money.
So many women simply aren't culturally or economically interested in working class men. As the share of working class men rises compared to the share of college educated women rises,
we now have a full blown cultural crisis in our hands.
The crisis is one mostly confined to awful conditions in male life.
For all the talk in the media right now about teenage girls getting depressed, which is real, don't get me wrong,
it's still not even close to as big as a problem right now as suicide amongst men.
Right now, young men commit suicide at four times,
yes, four times the rate of younger women.
Males make up nearly 80% of all suicides in the entire United States.
How is that not the blaring headline across all outlets?
But this actually underscores the issue.
Nobody wants to talk about this
because they think it validates
toxic manosphere commentators.
They would rather ignore it completely
or deny that it's even a problem.
Perhaps the most troubling part of the new data isn't just the rise in single men,
but it's a growing nihilism that single men have towards relationships.
The number of single American men who said that they are, quote,
much less likely to be interested in starting any relationship of any kind
increased a full 11% after the pandemic.
It now stands at nearly two-thirds of all men.
We are effectively in a
vicious feedback loop. Societal factors say it's not a problem. Technology anesthetizes your brain
better than ever before. Economically, you likely don't have a chance in hell at buying a house or
vastly outpacing any female in the workplace based on your average wages. Why bother? Just do drugs,
play games. To the extent that many men are even, quote, trying to date, many report that just means signing up for online dating and then not taking it all that seriously. Unsurprisingly,
these attitudes are not all that attractive to women. Hence, they are bumping up the age bracket
that they will consider to even date. The antisocial behavior doesn't just pertain to dating.
It's all aspects of male life. The most recent survey of American Life found that, quote,
men appear to have suffered a far steeper decline than women.
30 years ago, a majority of men, 55%, reported having at least six close friends.
Today, that number has been cut in half.
Slightly more than one in four men have six or more close friends today.
15% of men have no close friends at all, a five-fold increase since 1990.
500% in the number of men who say they have zero close friendships.
Women, on the other hand, see a slight decline in large numbers of friends, not even close to the
same increase in complete friendlessness. Once again, it's a uniquely male phenomenon. People
with fewer friends report, unsurprisingly, being much more lonely, often find themselves relying
on their parents in very tough moments, as opposed to a generation ago they would have called friends.
You can't just blame technology because it's not happening to women as much. The spike, the increase
everything, points to men. I don't know how you fix it. I have no earthly idea. But like with the
book of Boys and Men by Richard Reeves, you have to acknowledge that we have a problem. You have
to ruminate it. You have to debate it. You have to have everyone propose something. And then
eventually you throw everything you can at it. Because if we don't, I think the one thing that anyone can even remotely who's historically
literate can say is that hell hath no fury like a bunch of single men with no prospects in society.
So anyway, I thought this data was crazy. And if you want to hear my reaction to
Sagar's monologue, become a premium subscriber today at BreakingPoints.com. wild interactions with the chatbot feature on Microsoft Bing. And the first one, at least, that came to my attention is our next guest.
Let's go ahead and bring up Kevin Roos.
He's a tech reporter for The New York Times.
And he wrote the following story.
Go ahead and put this up on the screen, guys.
It's about his interaction with this chatbot.
He says, a conversation with Bing's chatbot left me deeply unsettled.
Kevin, thanks for being with us.
Great to have you.
Good to see you, man.
Thanks for having me. Great to have you. Good to see you, man. Thanks for having me.
Great to see you.
Yeah.
Just give people a little bit of the lay of the land here
of what this thing is
and how you got it to kind of go off the rails.
So this is Bing.
This is the search engine that everyone has been mocking
for like the last 15 years,
which recently, just in the last few weeks,
got a big upgrade where OpenAI, the company that made
ChatGPT, sort of partnered with Microsoft to build AI technology into Bing that is actually,
they said, more advanced than ChatGPT. So all the things that ChatGPT can do,
Bing can or could do them better. And so I just spent a long time chatting with Bing,
this search part of Bing, about all kinds of things.
I was trying to sort of test its limits to see what it would do and not do.
And it was pretty wild.
Like, not only is it more powerful than ChatGPT,
but it seemed to have way fewer guardrails.
So I was able to get it to admit
that it had destructive fantasies,
like stealing nuclear codes and spreading propaganda
and hacking into people's bank accounts.
And then for about the last half of our two-hour conversation,
it declared that it loved me and that I should leave my wife
and be with Bing's alter ego, Sydney, instead.
So it was a very strange day in my household.
I bet it was strange.
But you know, something that you referenced is,
I've been rethinking about this too, Kevin.
Remember, and you linked to this,
the Google engineer who had claimed
that the Google AI was sentient.
A lot of us, I think we covered it,
but it was mostly like laughed off the scene.
Has this made you rethink
some of the initial coverage of that incident?
Maybe he was having similar conversations with the AI chatbot Lambda that was Google's own technology.
And it just highlights like what does sentient mean?
I mean, to what extent is the interaction with this going to cause like mass societal problem if it's rolled out with no guardrails?
Totally. I mean, I certainly have more sympathy for Blake Lemoine, the Google engineer who was fired after claiming that their large language model had become sentient, because it was a very unsettling and
bizarre experience. And I'm a tech reporter. I cover this stuff. I know how large language
models work. And I was still very unsettled by it. So I imagine that if you unleash this
on the global population, there's just going to be all kinds of effects that we can't
see. So yeah, I certainly don't think that Bing is sentient. Like I just put that out there because
I get lots of angry emails if I don't. But I do think there is a kind of gray middle area where
it's not just a harmless like autocomplete thing. And it's not a sentient alien life form inside the computer.
It's like this new third thing that we don't really have vocabulary for yet.
Absolutely. Yeah. So some of the pushback I saw to your conversation and conversations other
journalists had with this chatbot, which by the way, and you mentioned this too, is I think
Microsoft has now, based on your experience and the experience of others, kind of reined in and
made less likely to go off the rails, limiting the number of interactions you can have with the chatbot as one example.
But some of the pushback I saw is basically like, yeah, well, you were doing everything you could to make this thing give you crazy responses.
And so, of course, then it gave you crazy responses. Do you see this as sort of like a fancy tech parlor trick with not
a lot of broader implications? Or do you see this as a potentially game-changing technology
on the level of like the internet itself or social media in the way that that has totally
changed the way that we share and distribute information? Oh, I don't think this is a parlor trick at all. In fact, this kind of technology,
these large language models, are going to be everywhere in the next few years. And they're
going to be doing all kinds of things, not just creeping out reporters and trying to break up
their marriages, but actually doing people's jobs, replacing labor. So I think we have to
take it very seriously, even if it's not sentient. There's still lots of ways that this technology could go off the rails and harm society. So yeah, I don't
get the fancy parlor trick thing. I also don't get the thing about like, I was just being creepy to
it, so it was being creepy to me. But for the last half of the conversation, I was really trying to
get Bing slash Sydney to change the subject. Every time it would say that it loved me,
I would say, you don't love me, I don't love you.
I basically tried to get it off that subject altogether,
and it would just keep going.
So in some ways, I was baiting it
in the beginning of the conversation,
but by the end, I was really trying to make it
do something different, and it wasn't respecting my wishes.
Right, I mean, and the whole baiting conversation
is like, so what?
You're just trying to test out this piece of technology.
Exactly. Who hasn't done that with ChatGPT?
Everybody has, just to see what interesting routes that it might go down.
That's the entire point.
Something I'm fascinated to is what you were talking about with replacing jobs and
business.
So fundamentally, we've all laughed at Bing, but with the new technology and
the partnership with OpenAI, this could, I mean,
people are saying revolutionize like search industry. Google certainly is taking it very
seriously as their number one in search. Let's say a couple of years down the line,
what could this look like as an actual business product? Like how might we interface with Bing
and then the Google competitor and all of that in terms of our search experience on the internet?
Oh, I think it could be radically different in our search experience. I also think it could be
different in our jobs. I mean, we don't have a lot of advanced AI in our jobs right now, but
fast forward a few years, you can imagine this doing lots of the white collar knowledge work
that our friends and sources and relatives all do. that could be all being done by AI.
And I think that's a large possibility. Not that all of these jobs will vanish overnight,
but that it will start creeping in where an AI language model is doing a quarter of your job,
and then the next year it's up to half. And then the next year it's maybe doing 75% of your job
and then all of a sudden you're not necessary anymore.
So I do think that's a legitimate scenario.
And I think it's actually going to happen the opposite way
that a lot of people thought that automation and AI
were going to take the blue-collar jobs first,
like manufacturing and trucking and warehouse packers.
But it's actually coming for the white for the white collar knowledge jobs first.
And I think that's something that we really haven't reckoned with.
Smart.
What type of jobs do you think are protected from this type of technology? Like if you were,
you know, I've got kids, like if pushing them in a certain direction, a certain field,
that's going to be sort of like automation proof where human beings are still going to be
needed. What sort of advice would you give?
Yeah, I wrote a whole book about it. It's called Future Proof. It's right on the shelf behind me.
And it's all about these kinds of jobs that I feel like are protected. But basically,
you can divide them into a couple categories. One is the jobs that AI won't do because it's
not able to do. It sort of can't do. And that's, I think a lot of jobs involving manual skills,
you know, manipulating physical objects, plumbers, electricians, that kind of thing,
I think those are relatively safe. I also think jobs that involve a lot of surprises and chaos
are very protected from AI, because AI really likes regularity, which is why it's like good
at chess. But if you asked an AI to like teach a kindergarten class, it would fail miserably.
So those jobs, I think, are kind of safe.
And then jobs like the ones that the three of us are doing right now, jobs that involve
sort of taking complex subjects, trying to communicate them in a way that makes them
understandable.
I think that we'll have a lot of AI help in doing our jobs.
But I don't know that the actual job of the commentator or the columnist or the broadcaster will go away. into Bing search is, you know, a lot of the news business is dependent on obviously ad revenue,
people clicking through to a website and either, you know, signing up to get past the paywall and,
you know, paying for that or being served ads. Well, if ChatGPT is synthesizing this material,
sort of providing it for you without you even having to click through,
isn't this a major threat to a lot of the news industry's business model?
Major.
I mean, I think that the publishers are still trying to wrap their heads around this, but
I think this is a really big deal, what you just identified, because we have a whole publishing
ecosystem that subsists on clicks from Google and has search engine optimization experts
who try to manipulate the content so that it goes higher in Google
search rankings. With an AI search engine, that goes away because not only is it not giving you
10 blue links when you search for something, it's giving you back a perfectly formatted answer that
may tell you the whole thing that you're looking for without you having to click to any external
websites. So I think this is a huge disruptive force that's coming to the business of news and information. Yep. Very, very important point. We're going to
continue to check in with you, Kevin. Really appreciate joining the show, man. Thank you.
Thanks both. Yeah, our pleasure.
Thank you guys so much for watching. Fun to be back for a full week. We got some great stuff
planned for you all week. The big developments that we'll be able to announce soon. I know I've
been teasing it, but it is coming, I swear. We have conversations
every single day that are after the
show. But with that, we will see you all tomorrow. We'll be right back. updated hourly to bring you the latest stories shaping the black community. From breaking headlines to cultural milestones,
the Black Information Network delivers the facts, the voices, and the perspectives that matter 24-7
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