Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 2/29/24: Trump Trial May Extend After Election, McConnell Retirement, Dearborn Mayor Warns Biden, MSNBC Cope After Michigan Rebuke, IDF Attacks Starving Gazans, NYT Stands By Debunked Hamas Report, RFK Qualifies In Swing States, Newsom Panera Corruption
Episode Date: February 29, 2024Krystal and Saagar discuss a major Trump victory that may push trial to after election, McConnell announces retirement, Dearborn mayor warns Biden after Michigan vote, MSNBC copes after rebuke in Mich...igan, 100+ killed as IDF attacks Gazans swarming aid trucks, NYT stands by debunked Hamas story, RFK Jr qualifies in swing states, Gavin Newsom caught in Panera corruption scandal. To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/ Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Good morning, everybody. Happy Thursday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. What do we
have, Crystal? Indeed we do. Lots to get to this morning. So a big legal decision goes in the direction of Donald Trump.
We will explain what this means, but incredibly consequential decision from the Supreme Court.
We also have the end of an era as Senator Mitch McConnell announces he is stepping down from leadership even as he keeps his Senate seat for now. So big ramifications there as well.
Democrats and their media organs are coping and seething over the results from the Michigan primary election and the large number of uncommitted votes.
So we'll talk about that.
We're also really excited to be joined live this morning by the mayor of Dearborn, who is going to react to those results and tell us where the uncommitted movement goes from here. A former Israeli prime minister is warning that Netanyahu wants to drag Israel into an
all-out war and cause Armageddon, pushing all of the Palestinians out of the West Bank.
So important to listen to his warnings, quite noteworthy there.
RFK is saying he's on the ballot in two more important states.
So we'll dig into that.
Very interesting there as well.
And Wendy's is under fire for floating surge pricing.
And we have some other various news about food prices that impact your wallet.
Yes, that's right.
Before we get to that, it is Leap Day.
So happy Leap Day, our first Leap Day actually here at Breaking Points.
And we've been speculating.
Some people are wondering where if you sign up for a yearly membership today,
who knows whenever you're going to get billed sometime in the future. So anyways, you can maybe
want to take advantage of that. You could roll the dice and see exactly how it plays out,
breakingpoints.com if you want to go ahead and help us out. We have a discount going on,
so you never know. You want to lock it in for the next four years? Maybe you could try it. We'll see
how that works out. I genuinely have no idea how the billing system will do it. So it's one of those where maybe we're screwing ourselves, Crystal.
You may as well give it a shot and find out. Find out what happens next year.
You might as well try it. All right. So let's get into this big Trump legal news. Let's put
this up on the screen. So the Supreme Court has decided to take up this question of whether Trump
has complete immunity for basically anything that he did
while he was president of the United States.
This is especially relevant to the January 6th-related Jack Smith case.
Trump's strategy all along has been to try to push these cases out as far as he can to
hopefully push them beyond Election Day.
On this immunity claim thing. Most of the legal scholars
don't believe that he will actually win this claim. The whole game is just to delay this trial
as much as possible. So let me read a little bit of what we have here. It says the Supreme Court
agreed Wednesday to decide whether Donald Trump may claim immunity in special counsel Jack Smith's
election subversion case, adding another explosive appeal from the former president to its docket and further delaying his federal trial.
The court agreed to expedite the case and hear arguments the week of April 22nd. That's still
a ways out, though. And then the expectation is after that, even after that's resolved,
even if they resolve that question in a relatively timely fashion, which would mean probably by like
the end of June, you would get that decision. You're flirting with already that trial starting near election day or
perhaps after election day, depending on the decisions that the judge makes. So this is
incredibly significant for Trump. Again, the expectation isn't necessarily that he would win
this challenge, but the very fact of buying some time here
is really, really important.
And Sagar, you've got a lot of other things going on.
The one case that appears to be going forward
is the weakest one in New York.
The trial there is actually set to start pretty soon.
So you've got that one, but that case is, like I said,
it's the weakest case
and has the least serious charges against him.
So you do have that one.
The Georgia one, you got the whole situation with Fannie Willis,
which has really thrown that one into disarray.
The Florida one, that one is taking forever.
I don't think there's any expectation that one is likely to conclude,
certainly before election day.
And now this one also getting pushed off.
I mean, these things are really falling in his direction at this point.
All right, listen, whatever we said before, he's touched. He's been touched by an angel,
the luckiest man alive. Because Crystal, as you said, and I confirmed this,
is that the trial could now start late September or October. The thing is, is that there is a
scenario where this is a possible own goal by Trump, because you have a parallel split screen going
into the election. We can imagine our own show where we're going to be talking about whatever
the major electoral news of the day and then the latest news out of the trial. And obviously the
trial that probably matters the most politically in terms of its consequences for Trump right before
the election. You could also imagine, I guess, you know, several versions of October surprises
like new witnesses and a delay tactic that would put this is the thing with trials in the legal system.
It's incredibly slow. The judge has been in charge. One of the reasons why it's going to start so late.
She has guaranteed preparation time of several months where even if the Supreme Court case does rule on an expedited timeline, that's what it pushes it back.
But all Trump needs now at this point is one more legal
Maneuver to go his way and this thing is not going to happen before the election which you know validates a couple of things
One is I think the major criticism of Jack Smith and of Merrick Garland was like dude
Everybody told you 2023 is too late because of the way our legal system you waited for so long to bring this case if it does
Get pushed past Election Day. I think that's on them. That's their fault
You know, the defense is gonna obviously to do everything it can. As you said,
it's very unlikely that the Supreme, in fact, one of the theories that I've seen about why
the SCOTUS took the case, regardless of whether you think they're trying to help Trump or not,
is actually to definitively rule on presidential immunity for all time. So we never have this
question ever again. They're like, no, the president's not immune ever, period. End of story. Decided by the high court. It is important to emphasize how insane what Trump
is actually claiming here is because, again, most people think that the Supreme Court is not going
to side with him, but there's no guarantees there. And basically he's arguing that not just him,
but any president could commit effectively any crime when they are
president of the United States. And as long as you could sort of loosely connect it to their
quote unquote presidential duties, they get off scot-free. That is a wild interpretation of the
Constitution. It would be an unprecedented interpretation of the Constitution and the
abilities of the president. I mean, it really would be giving, making them completely above the law in effectively all instances, which is why all of the courts up
to here have not only ruled against Trump on this, but issued pretty scathing rulings about this.
I mean, you remember last time people were talking about the judges were questioning
his attorneys of, OK, so if you use SEAL Team 6 to execute a political opponent, you're saying
basically there could be no accountability, there could be no criminal charges over that.
And the answer basically came back, as long as the president isn't impeached over it, then yes,
they could do whatever they want. That's an insane standard. That's why most people think
that the Supreme Court isn't going to go along with it. But we should keep in mind how wild it is that there's even a possibility that the Supreme Court could potentially agree with that.
But right now, the most important consequence of this is just the timeline.
I mean, it is important what you pointed out, Sagar, that there is a possibility that this actually lands the trial in the most politically damaging moment for Trump, the time when Americans are most tuned into the presidential
race, when he should be out, you know, primarily campaigning and instead is having to go through
these trial processes, new information coming out, everybody, you know, glued to the TV to find out
what's going on with this election interference case. This is the one that, you know, speaks most
directly, I think, to the reasons that so many Americans dislike Trump and don't want him back
in office. So listen, it's possible that it works out that way. But he also now has a chance,
a chance to basically push all of these things off until he's potentially president of the United
States again, at which time it effectively all goes away. Well, the other thing to remember is
being on trial and being convicted are very different things. One of the things that you
and I talked about previously is there's a lot of polling out there that shows if he's a convicted felon, that would be very likely to change people's
decision.
What I have here in front of me shows that if we have, and this because of the way that
the judge has decided the case, Trump is owed an additional 82 days of preparation time
after the decision by the Supreme Court, depending on whenever that drops. That's why
the September, October date comes into mind. Well, we doesn't, you know, it doesn't take
much genius to figure out that if you're the Trump team, even especially because they all
think they're going to lose in the first place, push this thing out and drag it out as much as
possible so that even if the trial's in full swing, you don't get a conviction or a jury deliberation until after Election Day, which is very early in November.
So there you go.
Now you have it so that we would have some sort of insane legal polycrisis where you have a president-elect, former president, on trial who then has the trial – who then has a conviction and appeals process that begins after that you're not even assuming
office, but preparing to actually swear in the oath of office, which has a whole other legal
ramifications as to how exactly that might work. But that immediately comes to mind as if I'm Trump,
I don't want to be convicted before, what is it, November 8th, I think is election day.
So that's it. I'd be like, my entire legal strategy is not even about defense on the
charges. Although, of course, we want to do that. It's let's make sure that this doesn't happen before that
time. And this effect, I wouldn't say guarantees it, but it makes it much more likely. It makes
it a lot more politically better. It makes it possible. It makes it possible. One other thing
I wanted to note, there was one other piece of legal news. An Illinois judge also removed Trump
from the ballot because of the insurrectionist ban. That is the case that
the Supreme Court has already heard arguments in. It seemed very skeptical of the idea that
Trump could be banned from ballots based on this clause of the Constitution. And so, like I said,
they seem very skeptical, including some of the liberal justices seem skeptical there.
I guess you never know, but unlikely that that particular challenge is going to go against Trump and just take him out
of the game altogether. But I did want to update on that, that, you know, I think this is the
third state that has decided that Trump should be removed from the ballot based on that clause.
You know, another reason why this is very significant is one of the legal justifications
they could have used possibly, you know, depending on the ruling is that if you haven't been convicted of, you know, anything, insurrection behavior or whatever,
and they can't be removed. Well, in this trial, this is the trial that would pertain to that from
a federal grand, from a federal jury as to deciding whether he legally had committed,
you know, crimes like this in the first place, which then means that you can't have a ruling
in many of these courts to try and remove them from the ballot based on a pretextual kind of
interpretation of the constitution. So there are actually a lot of ramifications for this one.
But yeah, like you said, very inconsequential. Trump, he's been touched by an angel.
We'll see. I mean, like you said, I do want to, it is possible that it does blow up in their face
and we're having this trial like in September, October, which would just be crazy. Who knows?
But anyway, right now he's got a chance to to in spite of the fact that there are so many charges against him in so many different jurisdictions, so many different cases.
You really do have to put this on Merrick Garland. It's not really Jack Smith's fault since he was brought in kind of late in the game.
It's really more Merrick Garland's fault. I don't I mean, January 6th was a long time ago. We all saw what happened.
If you were going to put together or expect that there could be this election subversion case, you could have started that right away. And so the fact that he dilly-dallied for no
apparent reason is really, it gave Trump an opening to potentially be able to get away
with all of it scot-free. So we'll see how it all works out. We'll see.
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Now I'm taking the inheritance.
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Who's not the father?
Well, Sam, luckily it's your not the father week
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This author writes,
my father-in-law is trying to steal the family fortune
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Now I find out he's trying to give it
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Mitch McConnell, this is the biggest headline news, you know, big, big deal here in Washington,
one of the longest serving Senate leaders in American history announcing that he will be retiring at the end of November.
He announced that on the Senate floor yesterday.
Let's take a listen.
Believe me, I know the politics within my party at this particular moment in time.
I have many faults.
Misunderstanding politics is not one of them.
That said, I believe more strongly than ever that America's global leadership is essential
to preserving the shining city on a hill that Ronald Reagan discussed.
For as long as I'm drawing breath on this earth, I will defend American exceptionalism.
So as I've been thinking about when I would deliver some news to the Senate,
I always imagined a moment when I had total clarity and peace about the sunset of my work. Even in that clip, Crystal is a frail man,
and he's clearly not even close to what he once was.
So a lot of Joe Biden vibes there watching him try to get through that.
It's, you know, I'm just putting it together with,
this is a larger global phenomenon.
It's kind of interesting to think about it in this context,
which is that 10 years ago,
there was only one world leader of the major, I think it was like
G20 countries, which was under the age of 70. Today, there's eight, eight out of 10. So 10
years later, eight out of 10 now of the global, like people like Modi, people like Biden, I forget.
So many of them are much, much older than the average president. I mean, we have to go back
and think, you know, that how, how much press conversation there was about 60-something-year-old Ronald Reagan running
for president. And he's a decade younger now, in this case, of the two people who are trying to
assume that office for another four years. And just a reminder, you know, that we all probably
need here about McConnell. Like, he's still retiring far, far too late. And don't forget,
he's still got, you know, up until November that he wants to serve out his term. We have all of this. We can show you.
We can't forget that we had a full-blown meltdown on a camera. And the craziest thing is it happened
twice, not to mention the bruised hands, which is often an indication of IV. It's something that
showed up on the queen before she know, before she died very,
very, very quickly. And when you have people who are in this state who are so clearly frail and,
you know, it's, yeah, in a certain point, great. I'm glad you're going for ideological reasons and
for health reasons, but he's still insisting crystal on staying up until November. I mean,
the honesty of it is the same thing with Feinstein, the same thing with Biden, where how do the people around him tolerate this?
Like, how can you allow somebody to just to continue in this job after you've suffered massive health events on camera?
And by the way, don't forget, the cope from the McConnell team is it's only happened twice.
They just happened to only happen on camera.
OK.
Which is like 1% of his life.
And we never got an explanation for what the hell was going on there either. I mean, they made up some nonsense, which is like 1% of his life. And we never got an explanation for what
the hell was going on there either. I mean, they made up some nonsense, which is ridiculous. But
yeah, do you have a theory of why that is that there are so many aging world leaders and it's
not just a U.S. phenomenon? Yeah. I mean, look, a lot of it is demographic. There was a huge baby
boom in the 1940s. Baby boomers here is not necessarily unique phenomenon. It's the same all across the world. So I think that they're very likely,
you know, you still have kind of the median voter theory, especially here in the West and a lot of
other voluntary democracies where people who are younger in general don't engage in the political
system. And people who are old like to not only people, elect people who are their own age,
but in some cases, the people that they look up to, which is what we'll have the older boomers or the silent generation people like
Joe Biden. So I think that's a possible explanation. And it does actually make a lot of
sense. Obviously, there's a medical thing that comes in here too, you know, life expectancy.
I mean, life expectancy in America, if you're in the top 10% of wealth is something like 92 years
old, which is crazy. I mean, because it averages out, I think at like 72. But that's, if you're in the top 10% of wealth, is something like 92 years old, which is crazy.
I mean, because it averages out, I think, at like 72. But that's because when you combine everybody.
But when you look at it by wealth, if you have money in this country, you're going to live for
a long time. So it's one of those where the life expectancy, especially among that top 10%,
has gone now so high that in some cases, many of these people are actually able to function
at much older than they would have been able to 20, 30 years ago.
Yeah. One thing I know you pointed to in a previous monologue that was focused on America,
but I mean, what happens here has reverberations around the world is sort of like
a democratic decline, you know, in terms of like small d democracy and the people actually having
choice and actually being able to like have some say over who their political leadership is and tying that to this increasingly aged political class.
And I thought that was very insightful and certainly ties into how you end up with, you know, Joe Biden and Mitch McConnell and Dianne Feinstein and Nancy Pelosi and Maxine Watt, all these people.
Right. Jim Clyburn. I mean, all of these people Maxine Watt, all these people, right? Jim
Clyburn. I mean, all of these people are way, way, way, way, way past their prime.
You know, there's a few things that are noteworthy here. First of all, noteworthy that McConnell is
stepping down from leadership at a time when very possible that Republicans are able to win back the
majority in the Senate. So that's noteworthy. It's also noteworthy, you know, he's not saying
he's stepping down from his Senate seat. So we can give him some kudos from stepping down for
leadership. But I mean, this very old man who's freezing and having all kinds of problems on
camera, and we don't know what's going on with his health, is still planning to stick around
in Washington for years to come. So don't worry, you haven't seen the last of Mitch McConnell.
The other thing is, I understand there's been conversation about like, oh, this is the last sort of denizen of the old Republican order.
And I understand that conversation in a sense.
But first of all, a lot of that old Republican order still really runs the machinery here in Washington behind the scenes. And second of all, you know, when push came to shove, Mitch McConnell and Donald Trump, when Donald Trump was president, he did everything that Trump
wanted him to. On policy, they didn't have a lot of significant divides. I know there's this idea
that they're like wildly different on Ukraine, but it's not even clear to me at this point
what Trump doesn't really talk about Ukraine a lot. It's not even clear to me at this point
what his Ukraine policy would actually be. So in an end and Trump, of course, when he was in office,
his signature accomplishment was a business friendly and rich people friendly tax cut.
That would be something that Mitch McConnell absolutely loved and was happy to bring to the
donor class. So in some ways, I think the ideological divide between them is really
overstated. There's more of like a I don't know, a vibe divide between them than I think there is
really, truly like ideological gulf between the two of them. It depends because the thing is, is that in 2017,
it genuinely was impactful to have Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell that were in charge. And the main
consequence of that really is border policy and specifically the border wall. So it was this huge
fight in 2017 that actually culminated in the TCJA over not only building a border wall, but something
called border adjustment tax. Now, I highly support this tax, regardless of whether it pays for that actually culminated in the TCJA over not only building a border wall, but something called
border adjustment tax. Now, I highly support this tax, regardless of whether it pays for
a border wall or not, because it's a trade adjustment in terms of goods that cross over
from Mexico. The number one opponent of the bat, as it's known kind of here in DC, are Walmart and
all these other people that are shipping all this cheap product across the border. It's a major
consequence of NAFTA. We tried to clean up some of it in the, what is it called? Whatever replaced NAFTA, I forget
off the top of my head. My point is that BAT is 100% at the feet of Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell.
So it's not that, yeah, you're right. The TCJA and all that definitely did pass,
but there were certain Bannon-esque type visions like a major infrastructure package, the BAT, border
wall, probably some immigration reform.
I can think of repeal and replace Obamacare and all of that that were marginal but still
important where McConnell certainly did have a difference.
Now, in terms of the leadership, I do want to highlight your point.
I think you are correct.
And we have this up here.
We can put it on the screen.
We'll just look at who the actual Republican leadership is. A lot of people forget, you know, number two is going to be John Th The conference vice chairman is Shelley Moore Capito, West Virginia.
And then the NRSC chairman is Steve Daines at Montana.
These are all dyed in the wool, very classic Republicans.
I'm off the top of my head.
I can't think of a Ukraine dissident amongst any of those six.
Now, something that has been flagged to me, though, by kind of some of the observers here in D.C.
is that a lot of this
does not depend on existing Senate leadership. A lot of this rides on November and that map,
which we have here actually up on the screen and people can see in front of you. You've got
in front of you where the actual toss up states from Ohio, Montana and Arizona, where you genuinely
have no idea what will happen for the actual Senate,
the Senate incumbents, Democrats specifically, in all three of those, whether they will be flipped
Republican or Democrat, a lot of that is going to ride on the general election on Trump and or
Biden and whatever the macro kind of determination there is. Let's say there is a Republican sweep
and you've got 53.
I could definitely see, you know, because in that case, I think Trump would get elected.
Then I think a more MAGA aligned figure might become the chairman of the Senate majority
leader in that case.
Let's say that all three of those go D, Trump gets defeated at the ballot box.
Then there could actually be kind of a movement against more MAGA types and John
Thune or Tim Scott or somebody like that might assume the leadership. And of course, in that
position, they would either be the leader or depending, it could go 51 like it is currently
for the Democrats, it would be the minority leader. Then I would definitely see them move
right back to McConnell status, who was most comfortable blocking things from Obama than
actually enacting legislation himself. That's really his legacy, right? I guess what I would say is this. First of all,
the idea that Trump is some like dissident renegade with wildly different views than the
traditional Republican conference is overstated. And second of all, the fact that the party has
already completely capitulated to Donald Trump. So I guess the only way it
matters on the margins is like, you know, no one's saying Mitch McConnell was a stupid man.
He was very intelligent in terms of knowing how to work the levers of power behind the scenes.
I don't know if John Thune, John Barrasso, Joni Ernst, or whoever might come up after him
has that same level of prowess. Of course, again, McConnell is going to be around so they can be
getting advice for him. If there are areas where they differ from Donald Trump and want to sort of like undermine
and undercut him. But, you know, I just I don't know if it's as consequential at this point as
you might think, because Trump already owns this Republican Party, whether you used to be,
you know, whether you're part of the establishment or not part of the establishment or whatever, has more to do with kind of like your attitude and your vibe than it does real
policy positions, as we've seen a million times. You know, I mean, you think about like a Jim
Jordan being coded as MAGO and he has the most standard issue Tea Party conservative Republican
views of all time. So it becomes more about vibe and attitude. And then, you know, they've already
decided that there's no way they can go up against Donald Trump on anything that he actually is going
to care about and actually like try to fight for. So I'm not sure in terms of what the next term
looks like, if Trump ends up being president, that it's going to matter all that much.
I do think Ukraine is the one where, look, I don't know what Trump thinks about Ukraine. I
don't think he knows what he thinks about Ukraine, depending on the day. That said, McConnell had such a deep
ideological commitment at many points, being the only member of his caucus willing to try
and to go past, you know, willing to try and work with the Democrats. That going away is actually
genuinely impactful, where you even had John Thune and all of them. Now, again, I don't know how it
moves on the margins. A lot of this depends on what the hell happens in November. A lot of it depends
on, you know, what it looks like at that point. But there is an ideology, you know, on McConnell's
part where I think the people who are coming up after him, again, depending on what actually
happens with the election where we could see some change, but don't overstate it either.
You're right. Which is, you know, some people think there's going to be some grand revolution.
I don't think so.
The only thing I think might change a little bit is immigration.
That's the one where to, where McConnell is not as ideological on that issue.
He's more of a get along, he doesn't have, you know, very strong views.
If anything, he's more of a big business type.
Where if he had somebody who's more hardline on immigration, I think things could change
a little bit, but I'm not sure.
I mean, maybe, but I think most of the action on these things is going to be through
the executive branch anyway. I mean, I don't,
because you're still going to have a filibuster. You're still going to have, you know, opposition
in the Senate, even if they're able to narrowly take in the majority. So I think, you know,
looking at Project 25 and these other efforts to like really figure out the limits and bounds of
their power, what they can do through the executive branch without having to go through the House or the Senate is probably more where you focus in terms of what's actually to
have. Just one last quick note, throw the Senate map back up there because I just want to make
clear for people that, you know, it's very, very close. A5, please. What's going to happen? Who's
going to have control of the Senate next time around. Basically, it comes down to these three toss-up
states. In order for Democrats to keep the majority, they'd have to win the White House,
and they'd have to hold on to these toss-up states, Arizona, Montana, Ohio. Now, you look at that,
it's not a great map because, first of all, Ohio and Montana are red states at this point. And so that is very difficult terrain.
However, for whatever reason, they seem to really love John Tester up there in Montana. He's got
like a 10 point lead in consistently in the polls that are coming out now. Who knows? It's a long
time to election day. Polls can be off, blah, blah, blah. But he seems to be holding pretty
strong there. The Sherrod Brown race in Ohio is
very, very close. The polling has it, you know, effectively a tie. I think Brown usually has like
a two point margin over his opponent who I think the Republican primary is still ongoing. So I'm
not sure who he's going up against, but that one appears like it'll be very, very close.
And Arizona also appears like it will be really close. Arizona, of course, a swing state at this point.
So, you know, you're looking at a landscape where you'd really kind of need everything to fall in Democrats' direction in order for them to hold on to the Senate.
But, I mean, they have a shot at doing it.
It's not like it's preposterous to imagine that they could hold on to it.
In November 2020, I'm sitting at a desk and telling you that there are going to be two Democratic senators from Georgia.
Like, what do we think?
We were really sure about that?
Oh, we were here. We were like, no way. Not going to happen.
Yeah, guess what happens. Anything can happen. Yeah. I really have no idea. Very true. Okay,
I think we have the mayor on standby. Let's get to it.
Camp Shane, one of America's longest-running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary
results. Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies
were often unrecognizable when they left. In a society obsessed with being thin, it seemed like
a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children was a dark
underworld of sinister secrets. Kids were being pushed to their physical and emotional limits as
the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye.
Nothing about that camp was right.
It was really actually like a horror movie.
In this eight-episode series,
we're unpacking and investigating stories of mistreatment
and reexamining the culture of fatphobia
that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long.
You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame one week
early and totally ad-free on iHeart True Crime Plus. So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and
subscribe today. Have you ever thought about going voiceover? I'm Hope Woodard, a comedian,
creator, and seeker of male validation.
To most people, I'm the girl behind VoiceOver, the movement that exploded in 2024.
VoiceOver is about understanding yourself outside of sex and relationships.
It's more than personal.
It's political, it's societal, and at times, it's far from what I originally intended it to be.
These days, I'm interested in expanding what it means to be voiceover,
to make it customizable for anyone who feels the need to explore their relationship to relationships.
I'm talking to a lot of people who will help us think about how we love each other. It's a very, very normal experience to have times where a relationship is prioritizing other parts of that relationship that aren't being naked together.
How we love our family.
I've spent a lifetime trying to get my mother to love me, but the price is too high.
And how we love ourselves.
Singleness is not a waiting room.
You are actually at the party right now.
Let me hear it.
Listen to VoiceOver on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
DNA test proves he is not the father.
Now I'm taking the inheritance.
Wait a minute, John.
Who's not the father?
Well, Sam, luckily it's your not the father week on the OK Storytime podcast.
So we'll find out soon. This author writes, my father-in-law is trying to steal the family fortune worth millions from my son,
even though it was promised to us.
Now I find out he's trying to give it
to his irresponsible son instead,
but I have DNA proof that could get the money back.
Hold up.
So what are they going to do
to get those millions back?
That's so unfair.
Well, the author writes that her husband
found out the truth from a DNA test
they were gifted two years ago.
Scandalous.
But the kids kept their mom's secret that years ago. Scandalous. But the
kids kept their mom's secret that whole time. Oh my God. And the real kicker, the author wants to
reveal this terrible secret, even if that means destroying her husband's family in the process.
So do they get the millions of dollars back or does she keep the family's terrible secret?
Well, to hear the explosive finale, listen to the OK Storytime podcast on the iHeartRadio app,
Apple podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts. So as Ryan and Emily covered very ably, I should say yesterday,
those Michigan results for uncommitted, that protest vote, very interesting. The protest
vote dramatically outperforming. You can put this up on the screen. So 100,000 Michigan Democrats went to the polls specifically to protest Joe Biden's
policy vis-a-vis Israel and their assault on the Gaza Strip. One of the local elected officials
who backed this effort is the mayor of Dearborn, Abdullah Hamoud, and actually residents of
Dearborn. Majority of them voted for Uncommitted over Joe Biden.
And Mayor Hamoud joins us now. Great to see you, sir.
Good to see you, sir.
Thank you so much for having me.
Absolutely.
Of course. So just give us your first reaction to this outperformance of Uncommitted.
I think it signals, you know, for me, it signals it's a sign of hope. The hope that the issue of
Gaza, the issue of Palestine is not an issue that only impacts Arabs or Muslims, but it impacts Michiganders and Americans from coast to coast.
When you have 100,000 Democrats coming out to the ballot box and casting their vote, they're casting their vote for a pro-peace future, for a pro-democracy future, for a pro-justice future.
And that's the message that we were trying to send. So, Mr. Mayor, I have seen some
attempts by the Democratic establishment to say, hey, this is a normal-ish amount of the percent
vote that votes uncommitted. This isn't necessarily going to be a problem for Joe Biden, regardless of
whether he changes course in Israel. Because you were on the ground and the uncommitted vote,
I believe, has now got two delegates behind you. What's your response to some of that?
You know, this is five times the number of votes that have been casted for uncommitted in the last three presidential primaries. You know, on average, typically uncommitted would
get about 20,000 votes. This is 100,000 votes and 10 times what we expected. Our goal was 10,000
votes. And we actually ultimately received 100,000 votes. You know, what I would say to all
the pundits is you can take the calculated risk. You can dismiss the 100,000 people who came out
and cast their ballot and wanting a president who does not back a genocide. But that is a risk
that they will take. And the outcome would be the unraveling of our American democracy.
And so for me, my message would be to President Biden to heed the concerns of Michiganders, to distance yourself from Benjamin Netanyahu, the war criminal and the
tyrannical Israeli government that's currently in place, and choose your American constituents
who are asking you to withdraw that support, to stop backing a genocide, call for permanent cease
fire, and restrict that military aid. One thing I found really noteworthy, Mayor, and really important and should be concerning,
at least for the Biden team, is that yes, in Dearborn, which is a majority Arab American city,
the vote for uncommitted was overwhelming. But you had pretty significant support for uncommitted
across all of Michigan. Yes, the college towns were the next, but there were a lot
of rural areas where uncommitted was getting more than 10% of the vote. You had a vast range of
demographics that wanted to lodge this protest vote. And I think it's almost like a sort of
racist assumption that only Arab Americans or only Muslim Americans would care about a genocide
being perpetrated in our names
with our tax dollars in Gaza. So I wonder if you could react to that particular part of the analysis.
I believe over 70 of the 83 counties across Michigan had over 10% cash their vote for
uncommitted, which really sends that message that this is not just an Arab or Muslim issue.
I think, again, we built a multiracial, multiethnic,
multi-faith, multigenerational coalition.
And I think that's what was demonstrated at the ballot box,
that there are 100,000 people who believe
in a simple value statement,
that no innocent man, woman, or child should be killed,
let alone should be killed utilizing US taxpayer dollars.
And I think that's the message that we're trying to send.
Do you have a sense of where this movement goes from here? Have organizers or local electeds in
other states, especially ones who have matches coming up here on Super Tuesday next week,
have they reached out to you? So they have reached out to the organizers of the Listen
to Michigan campaign. I know the state of Washington and the state of Minnesota are
trying to follow suit. There's only a handful of states that actually permiss the uncommitted box on the presidential
primary. And so other states, other organizers and other states are looking at alternatives.
What does that write-in campaign look like? You know, we saw New Hampshire actually try to lead
the way early on with a write-in ceasefire initiative, which is a little bit more difficult
because some secretaries of state don't actually count what was actually written in as opposed to just summing the total write-ins. And so each state is looking at their
own unique way of how they can organize on the ground and make sure that their voices are also
heard in a similar fashion. So Mr. Mayor, one of the other major questions here, we saw an MSNBC
focus group, for example, where you had some voters who were like, no, there's nothing he
could do now at this point, President Biden, to get my vote back. So I know that's not your position, but I'm curious then amongst your
constituents, what, where and how high is the bar for going from uncommitted to coming out in
November affirmatively to vote for Joe Biden, President of the United States? You know, I think
that's going to differ depending on each voter that you speak to. You know, for the residents
who I have, you know, for the many residents who I have who have lost loved ones, some who have lost a dozen loved ones in Gaza, some who have lost over 80 loved ones in Gaza.
I don't think the concern for them is how they're going to come out and vote in November.
I think some of those votes are lost and it's expected.
You know, you can't have 80 of your family members be killed and a president be silent, not even have the audacity to call for permanent ceasefire. And yet they're still to believe that you should be coming out
and voting for them in November. And there's another portion of my constituency who are
looking for a permanent ceasefire to be called and hopefully to be reached. But that just opens
up the door for further conversation. You know, I do not speak to a lot of my constituents who
want to see a Trump reelected as president.
We understand what Trump stands for.
We understand the rhetoric that he provides.
But at the same time, although we've recognized a shift in tone, a recognition of Palestinian loss of life by our president, we have not seen a symmetry in his actions.
And that's what the residents really want to see.
What actions will he demonstrate?
And we don't have between now and November.
Nobody's waiting until October to see what the president does. What we're hoping is that we sent a clear message at the ballot box just this week and that the actions should have been starting
four months ago. Have you heard from the White House or from anyone affiliated with the Biden
campaign post-Tuesday? And do you think that they did hear that message and may change policy based on the uncommitted vote?
At this point in time, I have not heard from anybody. But from my understanding,
based on the network and the relationships that we have, is that it was a resounding victory that
was heard across all the halls of the White House. And again, at this point, the ball's in their court. We did what we should
do. We utilized our primary vote in the process that we have here in Michigan to send a clear
message that we will not back a president who backs a genocide and that we want a president
who respects and dignifies Palestinian lives. Mayor, so grateful for your time. I know you've
got a lot going on. So thank you so much for taking the time to explain all of this to our audience this morning.
Thanks for coming back, sir.
Of course. Thank you so much for having me again.
It's our pleasure. So as we were just discussing with the mayor, Uncommitted,
really outperforming expectations, sending a message to the Biden White House about their
unconditional support for Israel. And we have some pretty important updates here. So put this
up on the screen. Looks like Uncommitted has actually won a couple of delegates to the Democratic Convention.
They would be sort of unobligated, not obligated to any particular candidate. But, you know,
especially if the Uncommitted movement continues forward and continues to potentially grow,
you could have some number, in addition to these two, of additional delegates
going to the Democratic National Convention who have been sent there from a group of Democratic
base voters who are disgusted with the Biden policy vis-a-vis Israel. So this could end up
being significant. It's certainly a huge win for this movement, which, you know, just started a
few weeks ago, shoestring budget, everything going
against them, and yet was able to get over 100,000 Michiganders, Michigan Democrats, to come out and
vote explicitly against this president's policy. Sagar, one thing that's noteworthy that they
talk about in that report, Super Tuesday is coming up next week on Tuesday, and eight of the states
that are voting on Super Tuesday have something akin to uncommitted.
A lot of the attention, as I'll discuss in a little bit, is going to Minnesota,
both because it is also a swing state and also because it has a significant Muslim population.
But as the mayor was just explaining, I mean, yes, the support for uncommitted was highest
among Arab Americans in Michigan, highest among Muslim Americans, but really cut across a lot of different demographic groups. So I don't even think you need
the specific demographics that you had in Michigan for uncommitted or its equivalent to have a
significant impact in these other states. A couple of places I'm really going to look out for in
terms of the ballot. Like you said, there are several states, but I really want to see his
performance in some of the more critical places where you could see signs of popular vote,
like California or Colorado, where you traditionally will have Democrats that come
out in force and it drives up the overall popular vote. It's a good view sometimes in the primary
of overall enthusiasm. Same thing at the same time, you know, you want to look in some of the red states, not only at the Republican Party, but in terms of Democratic
overperformance there, in terms of what that might look like in the same thing. It's always a sign
of like how enthusiastic everybody really is, like Texas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and some of these
places. So uncommitted, but overall the number two, like how much of Biden is able to really
run the table? Are any of these third party candidates, others, uncommitted? Some of his primary
challengers, Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson, who I believe is now back in the race, like,
well, how's that going to fare as well? So, you know, I don't think we're going to see as strong
of a Biden as a lot of people are thinking. Yeah, no, I think there's a lot to that.
It was interesting in that article about how they got the couple of delegates and talking
about what happens going forward. You got a quote from Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, who's a Democrat.
He said he expected a measure of Minnesota's Somali population, the largest in the country,
to vote uncommitted in his state's Democratic primary on Super Tuesday. More than 86,000
Somalis live in Minnesota. Walz, of course, is a major supporter of Biden's reelection campaign.
He said Michigan's uncommitted results were a healthy demonstration of democracy. And that sort of
echoes the line that Biden took, the line that Gretchen Whitmer took. The politicians are very
much trying to say they don't want to piss these people off even more than they're already pissed
off. So they're like, this is just great democracy. Thanks for coming out. However,
over on the cable news networks, their apparatchiks were a little more aggressive in dismissing this vote, trying to undercut it and basically coping in whatever ways
they possibly could. Case in point, you had Claire McCaskill, former senator and now just
all around Democratic hack and corrupt former official. She came out to say, you know what, those uncommitted areas,
they never really liked Joe Biden anyway.
So this really is no big deal.
Let's listen to her cope on election night.
But also, Chris, we have to remember, I mean, let's look at the Ann Arbor numbers.
Joe Biden didn't win Ann Arbor.
Bernie Sanders won Ann Arbor.
So some of these areas have never been Biden country. They have been really many more people that were further left and didn't like the idea of a moderate carrying the flag of our party.
Yeah. If you're the if you're the Democrat, if you're the elites of the Democratic Party, if you're the Biden White House,
how concerned are you really about this faction of uncommitted voters staying home in November?
Well, I think there's a danger on both sides here that people are going to stay home.
I think you've got traditional Republicans that no way they will vote for Joe Biden and no way they will vote for Donald Trump.
So there's going to be some people that are going to hold their nose and vote.
And then there's going to be people that just stay home.
The question is, will the Biden campaign be able,
and by the way, there are no elites in our party.
Yes, sorry.
No elites.
The term doesn't exist, actually.
I know you didn't mean that.
That doesn't exist.
But the question is, can Biden draw the kind of contrast
around some issues like guns and abortion
and frankly, autocracy and what Trump is saying he's going to do.
Yeah. I mean, he's going to tear up every dictator on day one. You got a lot going on there. So first
of all, I just have to comment on, oh, there's no elites within the democratic party. It says
a woman who is like a multi, multi, multimillionaire. So there's that one. Um, but you know,
you see some of the typical, you know, sort of explanations of how
this is really no big deal for Biden, exemplified there by Claire McCaskill. In particular,
it's basically like, but Trump, once they remember, this will be in the past. They'll
think about Trump. They'll think about abortion. And there's no, you know, oh, the policy is going
to change. It's just we think that people will get over it. And by the
way, we think we could win some of Nikki Haley's Republican supporters more easily at this point,
really, is what she's saying than these protest voters who are upset over our government funding
a genocide. But I really love how she's so dismissive of these parts of Michigan when,
again, yeah, the highest numbers came in college towns and
in majority Arab American and Muslim American places like Dearborn. But you had a pretty
significant vote across the entire state that you cannot just hand wave away and dismiss as like all
those crazy Bernie Sanders supporters, not to mention those crazy Bernie Sanders supporters were a vital part of your 2020 election victory.
They are also Democrats that you need to show up in order to succeed. So I really enjoyed all of
that. And I especially love the host like grabbing on. Oh, yeah. Yeah, you're right. That's a great
point. Grabbing on to whatever straws they could to try to dismiss the significance of what was
incredibly significant. There are no elites in the Democratic Party is one of the most insane things.
But the thing is, though, is that the actual elites in the Democratic Party do at least see some signs of panic.
Here's Morning Joe, for example. Let's take a listen.
Governor Whitmer, when we had her on the show earlier this week,
acknowledged that for some in the Muslim American, Arab American community in Michigan,
this issue is so personal that even she anticipated
that in November, because they're so angry,
they won't want to cast their ballot for Joe Biden.
They're not going to vote for Trump,
but they might find a third-party candidate
or they might just choose to stay home.
So this is something the re-election team
is going to have to deal with
and also try to find some other paths
to victory in that state.
Well, I mean, they need to be worried about it.
They obviously need to be concerned about it.
They also don't need to service these voters and stay in front of these voters between now and then.
Again, it's eight, nine months, a very long time in politics, a lifetime in politics.
Wow. Lifetime in politics. But at the very least, I think it's one of those where,
Crystal, they are acknowledging that things aren't necessarily good for the Democratic Party, where, look,
because that's Biden's show, he does have to listen now at some point. So I'm not quite sure
how much has gone through. My likely analysis kind of of the way they look at it is in the way that
they do almost every setback is it'll be fine because of Trump. They really believe it. I don't
think it's going to work, but that's what they believe at the White House. Well, what was
interesting to me watching the election night results and, you know, I delightedly watched
CNN all night to see the way that they would cope and see over all of this. But, you know,
the results would have been less significant if you didn't have the mainstream organs like MSNBC
and CNN really paying attention to it and really like covering it, really hand-wringing over it.
Now, there's this phenomenon that happens, and this is like classic sort of timeline of, you know,
of the cope where when the initial shock hits, they can't help but be a little bit honest about
this is a problem. And that's what was going on on CNN that night. But even a few hours into the
coverage, they already were bringing on analysts to be like, this is fine. It's no big deal. This is barely even more votes than uncommitted even usually gets, which is just a
complete lie and fabrication, by the way. But they had already moved on to trying to dismiss it and
trying to pretend like this is no big deal. But listen, the bottom line is, whatever you think
about what Israel's doing, a majority of Democrats think it's a genocide. A majority
of Democrats think it's a genocide. 30 more percent are not sure. So yes, that is going to
have some electoral consequences when the Democratic president is shipping the weapons
to be used in what a majority of the Democratic base thinks is a genocide. I mean, that is pretty much
as basic as it comes. So even if you have come up with whatever cope math you've imagined to dismiss
the 100,000 people in Michigan as it's really no big deal and we're going to be fine, et cetera,
et cetera, that basic reality is not going anywhere. And, you know, it is certainly possible.
Listen, it's possible
Michigan is the high watermark for uncommitted because of the demographic nature there,
because it was, you know, going alone. And so there was a lot of focus and they had a little
bit of time to prepare. You had Rashida to lead there. You had other local electeds who decided
to get behind the movement. And, you know, former Congressman Levin also getting behind the movement
could be that's the high watermark. Could be that this thing continues to grow and you continue to see some results like this in additional Super Tuesday
states and beyond. We have one more for you, which is just so amazing. Over on CNN, talking about the
youths and what Biden, all the great work Biden has been doing to reach out to the youth. So what
do they even want from him anyway? This, guys, is the sixth element in the block. Let's take a look.
But it was also the college counties, like around Ann Arbor, that you had high numbers
of people voting uncommitted.
What can President Biden do in terms of outreach to younger voters that he hasn't done already?
I mean, he's already forgiven all the student debt that he can.
He's already showing up on Seth Meyers and TikTok.
How does he reach the younger crowd? He's already showing up on Seth Meyers and TikTok. How does he reach the younger crowd?
He's already on TikTok.
He's already done a single TikTok and he went on Seth Meyers.
Don't think young people love Seth Meyers.
The student debt thing is also bullshit because obviously they could do a lot more on student debt.
But he's doing this, you know, little piddly efforts, which I do appreciate is better than nothing.
But, yeah, I love how they're just so exact.
What do these young people want? It's like, well, maybe they want our taxpayer dollars to not go to fund bombing babies in Gaza as a start. Perhaps that is even
more important to them than the theoretical possibility that maybe some of their student
debt will be slightly alleviated. The other funny thing about the Seth Meyers interview,
we have this, we can put up there
on the screen, is that actually, from Mediaite, please, is that the Monday night interview
with the president actually brought in 850,000 average total viewers, but only 181,000 in
the 25 to 54 age demographic, which is a 32% drop compared to the exact same day in the
last year.
Now, maybe that's just because
the show has a completely declining viewership. And, you know, again, just to think, 800,000 is
pathetic regardless for network television. But then to think even lower for 180,000 in the key
demo, I mean, don't have to say it, but like very, very basic YouTube people can surpass that
dramatically in with a median video, I would say, as opposed to
whatever the hell they're throwing up. But even amongst, you know, going on Seth Meyers, it's like
clearly if you think that's the way to reach young people, then you are living in the year like 1992,
which, hey, maybe Biden actually is, you know, he is. I mean, Seth Meyers himself is 50 years old.
Oh, my God. I would love to.
I mean, I'm sure the average age of his audience is probably like 50s.
I mean, yeah, you could see the math.
Yeah, I mean.
If 850,000 people are watching, only 180,000 of them are.
In the demo.
25 to 54.
Let's assume that the vast majority are not going to be below the Academo and they're going to be above it.
Then the vast majority of people who are watching you are old.
It makes sense.
I'm actually reading a book right now about the history of late night.
It's very interesting.
I mean, so much of this happened before I was even born.
But the wars between Jay Leno and David Letterman.
And Letterman at one time, Letterman and Arsenio Hall
were considered for our age.
People were like, they're young and they're hip
and we're staying up late to smoke pot
and watch David Letterman at 1230.
And I was like, is this really how people my age lived at that time?
Because that is lame as hell.
But, hey, I mean, in a no cable world news.
What else are you going to do?
I guess what else are you going to do?
Like pre-John Stewart, you know.
I mean, pre-everything.
You didn't even have cable television in some cases.
This was the very, very early days of all of that.
But he seems to think, like I said, literally 1992, that was the case for Letterman.
He brings in the youths.
They really love David Letterman and his impish style.
You know, for me, I'm like, Letterman's such a boomer.
I can't even imagine watching it.
But, hey, you know, it works for some people.
Listen, it was a different moment.
You know, there was fewer options.. Listen, it was a different moment. Yeah, it was a different time.
You know, there was fewer options.
You had to be there, et cetera.
But yeah, just, I mean, I know somebody, John Berman is a nice guy, but this is just hilarious
enough.
What more do they want from Joe Biden anyway?
He even went on Seth Meyers and put out a TikTok.
Isn't that enough for these young people?
Yes.
Don't think so, guys.
Camp Shane, one of America's longest-running weight loss
camps for kids, promised extraordinary results. Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were
often unrecognizable when they left. In a society obsessed with being thin, it seemed like a miracle
solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children was a dark underworld of
sinister secrets. Kids were being pushed to their physical and emotional limits as the family that
owned Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was right. It was really actually
like a horror movie. In this eight-episode series, we're unpacking and investigating
stories of mistreatment and re-examining the culture of fatphobia that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long.
You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame one week early and totally ad-free
on iHeart True Crime Plus. So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today. Have you ever thought about going voiceover? I'm Hope Woodard,
a comedian, creator, and seeker of male validation. To most people, I'm the girl behind voiceover,
the movement that exploded in 2024. Voiceover is about understanding yourself outside of sex and relationships. It's more than personal.
It's political, it's societal, and at times, it's far from what I originally intended it to be.
These days, I'm interested in expanding what it means to be voiceover,
to make it customizable for anyone who feels the need to explore their relationship to relationships.
I'm talking to a lot of people who will help us think about how we love each other.
It's a very, very normal experience to have times where a relationship is prioritizing
other parts of that relationship that aren't being naked together.
How we love our family.
I've spent a lifetime trying to get my mother to love me, but the price is too high.
And how we love ourselves.
Singleness is not a waiting room.
You are actually at the party right now.
Let me hear it.
Listen to VoiceOver on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
DNA test proves he is not the father.
Now I'm taking the inheritance.
Wait a minute, John.
Who's not the father?
Well, Sam, luckily it's your not the father week on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon.
This author writes,
Hold up.
So what are they going to do to get those millions back? That's so unfair.
Well, the author writes that her husband
found out the truth from a DNA test
they were gifted two years ago. Scandalous.
But the kids kept their mom's secret
that whole time. Oh my god.
And the real kicker, the author wants
to reveal this terrible secret, even
if that means destroying her husband's family
in the process. So do they get the millions
of dollars back, or does she keep the family's terrible secret?
Well, to hear the explosive finale, listen to the OK Storytime podcast on the iHeartRadio app,
Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts.
Let's go and move on to some breaking news.
Very disturbing coming out of Israel this morning.
Let's go ahead and put this first element up on the screen, guys. So the reports are that at least 104 Palestinians who were waiting for food aid were killed and 760 wounded
after being shot at by Israeli forces in Gaza. This is obviously horrifying news. We know the levels of starvation and desperation that have become completely endemic in the
Gaza Strip.
There is not a person there who is not undergoing severe food shortages and having to go without
meals.
Nutrition, malnutrition is now extraordinarily widespread and pervasive among young people.
So you have a huge number of people waiting for and attempting to get food off of these aid trucks.
And Israeli forces, according to Al Jazeera and other reports, shooting dead at least 104 Palestinians waiting for food aid and wounding at least 760.
Now, the IDF has responded. We can go ahead and
show this video that they put out, and I will go ahead and tell you what they are claiming
happened, which is at odds with other evidence and reports from on the ground.
They say, early this morning, during the entry of humanitarian aid trucks into the northern Gaza Strip, Gazan residents surrounded the trucks and looted the supplies being delivered. During the incident,
dozens of Gazans were injured as a result of pushing and trampling. The incident is under
review. As I said, this accounting by the IDF of claiming that the injuries were sustained by
desperate Palestinians looting and trampling over
one another is undercut by additional video from the scene. This is courtesy of Al Jazeera,
where you can actually hear the IDF gunfire surrounding this food truck and resulting
in the deaths of many Palestinians. Let's take a listen. So, Sagar, obviously, you know, you have an incredibly desperate people, literally starving
to death in certain instances, trying to get whatever food they can.
Food truck deliveries have been further curtailed and limited, especially as the Israeli government
has allowed those protests to continue, which have been blocking aid going into the strip. The ICJ ruling, they actually demanded that Israel increase humanitarian supplies. They have gone in
the opposite direction. And so now, especially in northern Gaza, you have just an absolute
desperation. And you also have prior reports, too, of the IDF firing on these aid convoys.
So this is not even the first time that it's happened,
but it appears to be the time that has had the most horrific and deadly results.
I mean, regardless of whether they were fired on or whether they died in the
trampling incident, as Israel has claimed, it's obviously a result of the same net effect
situation. Although we should say CNN, Al Jazeera, and others are all reporting that
they were fired upon now. But one of the things that's noteworthy to me is I'm actually, for the
first time, seeing bubbling up criticism in the Israeli press. And
they're specifically actually pointing to a major warning that came from the Biden administration
just earlier this week, which told them that, quote, Gaza is turning into Mogadishu. And that's
really all I could think about watching that video is you literally look at a swarm of people
who are going to the food because
several things, you know, one of the first and foremost is that demonstrates the massive
security vacuum inside of the strip. So if we have no Hamas or at the very diminished Hamas,
and we have basically complete chaos and then highly, highly, you know, constricted amounts
of food, it's going to be dog eat dog. I mean, I've seen reports of what is it, you know, constricted amounts of food, it's going to be dog eat dog. I mean, I've seen reports of, what is it, you know, hundreds of dollars to be able to buy a single plate of food
as we have malnutrition conditions that are sweeping the entire place. This is a preview
of the full-on future. And this actually, the death toll remaining so high, natural causes of
people starving to death, malnutrition and others, this is why, you know, the 30,000 some people who have
been confirmed now dead after the war, it's only likely to go way higher and exponential in the
coming months if these conditions don't change at all, specifically with the food aid. And I also
think that this is the humanitarian disaster where everyone kept saying, oh, why hasn't it come yet?
And it's like, well, it takes a long time to starve to death, actually. And one of the things that you could see is that, what, it's only
been 150 days or so. We are now full on to that phase of the Iraq style thing, where now you've
got looting, now you've got full on security back. Arguably, they had more of a security force in
Baghdad post-US invasion than Gaza does right now. So just imagine where things can get worse.
And I think this actually could have a significant impact in terms of just visibility for US
policymakers and others to try and to change their direction, because it's undeniable.
You can look at that video, regardless of the IDF saying they're trampling each other to death
or whether they were fired on. Obviously, there's a substantive difference. It's like, well,
you're the ones creating the conditions, so they got to change, period.
It's on you either way. Yeah, Yeah. We're literally on either way.
What Haaretz is reporting is that soldiers shot towards the legs of those in the crowd who began
advancing towards them. That's what they're saying. As I, you know, we played that video,
you can hear the shots. Clearly the IDF was firing on these people. Someone was firing, right? So there was possibly a stampede to start with because you have this mass caged in desperate,
absolutely desperate population starving to death. And then you add into that the IDF firing upon
them and the result is over 100 Palestinians now dead. And yeah, regardless of how many were stampeded, whether it was because
of the desperation, whether it was directly shots fired or some mix of all of that, ultimately,
fully the responsibility of the Israelis who have created these desperate conditions in Gaza.
And speaking to that, we're learning more this week about how horrifying those conditions are. You do have people, specifically
babies, who are beginning to die of starvation. We can put this up on the screen. We talked a
little bit about this before, but you had two children who just passed away in Al-Shifa Hospital
as a result of malnutrition. This is per the Ministry of Health. They say the number of
victims of starvation among children, and this has been primarily infants, I believe,
has risen to six.
We know that you have a huge proportion of children who are facing acute malnutrition.
You have a significant percentage that are suffering from severe wasting.
Their lives are literally in danger simply because of the lack of food,
the lack of water. We can put some of these images up on the screen of one of the infants
that sadly passed because of acute malnutrition. We showed you one, another one earlier this week.
So this is where we are. We are already past that tipping point where now we have people and babies
specifically literally dying of
starvation. And you understand the desperate circumstances that Palestinians are facing,
particularly in northern Gaza, where there has been almost no very limited food deliveries.
There's very little that gets past Rafah,, you have 1.3 million Palestinians who are clustered, also in abhorrent humanitarian conditions, you know, also with a lot of social breakdown that
we've showed you before, but very little gets beyond Rafah. And so northern Gaza is in the
most critical condition in terms of malnutrition. And it's just, it's just horrifying. I mean,
it's just absolutely tragic all the way around. Yeah. Like I said, I think it's only unfortunately very likely to increase the Mogadishu-like conditions or, you know,
that's exactly what created that full-on civil war. I mean, Somalia still has not recovered from
it. It's been over 30-some years since Black Hawk Down. So there you go. You can see where if there's
a vacuum that's created and there's a full-blown crisis, it also will lead to a lot of different
downstream, very scary conditions.
It's funny, you know, I was reading in the Axios about some of the ways that Israel has claimed
that they can establish security on the Strip without Hamas. They're like, oh, we'll partner
with the clans who were like opposed to them. And the U.S. is like, well, they don't have any power
and a lot of them hate you just as much. So why would they partner with you? It's one of those
where the population too now at this point, they will follow. If you can get food in there, they will follow anybody. That's the exact
same scenario that we saw play out during the Iraq war. Oh, you're ISIS, but as long as you can
feed me, cool. Okay. And it's one of those where this is going to be a real problem, I think. And
this is a real validator of a lot of the critiques of the way that they have run the war.
And it's one of those where they—incidents like this, this is exactly what sets the world on fire.
How do you argue at this point that this is not collective punishment?
I mean, how do you even argue that at this point?
Remember, we showed you the images.
These protesters who are blocking food aid coming in, being allowed to continue for weeks and weeks at this point.
Inside Israel.
Right. Inside Israel. Right. With bouncy castles and festive rave like I'm dancing with flags and, you know, setting up cotton candy stands and whatever for the kids, bouncy castles
to block food aid, to starve these people to death. And the IDF and the Israeli police force just sitting back and letting it happen.
Meanwhile, protesters in Tel Aviv who are trying to get hostages released and are in
favor of a ceasefire, they're getting their heads cracked and sprayed with water cannons.
Right.
Okay?
So you tell me what the explicit policy of the Israeli government is.
There has been a dramatic decline in food trucks and humanitarian aid allowed into the
strip even after the ICJ said you're plausibly committing a genocide.
This is I mean, there's just no words for what is being done to all of these people,
whether they loved Hamas or hated Hamas or were indifferent to Hamas,
just ordinary Palestinians who were trying to live their lives, babies who barely even had a chance
to live, who are now dying of starvation in the hospitals for lack of milk or food or because
their stomachs can't handle the donkey feed that they've had to resort to feeding their children or the leafy weeds, basically, that they're scrounging for around the Gaza Strip.
And you've got protesters with bouncy castles that are making sure that food aid doesn't get in.
And then when it does, of course, it's swarmed.
And it appears the IDF fires on these people.
And now more than 100 Palestinians are dead and close to 1,000 it appears injured.
Very tragic.
There's no words. There's no words.
Camp Shane, one of America's longest running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary results.
Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left.
In a society obsessed with being thin, it seemed like a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's
facade of happy, transformed children was a dark underworld of sinister secrets. Kids were being
pushed to their physical and emotional limits as the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye.
Nothing about that camp was right.
It was really actually like a horror movie.
In this eight-episode series,
we're unpacking and investigating stories of mistreatment
and reexamining the culture of fatphobia
that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long.
You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame
one week early and totally ad-free on iHeart True Crime Plus.
So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today.
Have you ever thought about going voiceover?
I'm Hope Woodard, a comedian, creator, and seeker of male validation.
To most people, I'm the girl behind VoiceOver,
the movement that exploded in 2024.
VoiceOver is about understanding yourself
outside of sex and relationships.
It's more than personal.
It's political, it's societal,
and at times, it's far from what
I originally intended it to be.
These days, I'm interested in expanding what it means to be voiceover,
to make it customizable for anyone who feels the need to explore their relationship to relationships.
I'm talking to a lot of people who will help us think about how we love each other.
It's a very, very normal experience to have times where a relationship
is prioritizing other parts of that relationship that aren't being naked together. How we love our
family. I've spent a lifetime trying to get my mother to love me, but the price is too high.
And how we love ourselves. Singleness is not a waiting room. You are actually at the party right
now. Let me hear it. Listen to Boy VoiceOver on the iHeartRadio app,
Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcasts.
DNA test proves he is not the father.
Now I'm taking the inheritance.
Wait a minute, John.
Who's not the father?
Well, Sam, luckily,
it's your Not the Father Week
on the OK Storytime podcast,
so we'll find out soon.
This author writes,
my father-in-law is trying
to steal the family fortune
worth millions from my son,
even though it was promised to us.
Now I find out he's trying to give it to his irresponsible son instead, but I have DNA proof that could get the money back.
Hold up.
So what are they going to do to get those millions back?
That's so unfair.
Well, the author writes that her husband found out the truth from a DNA test they were gifted two years ago.
Scandalous.
But the kids kept their mom's secret that whole time.
Oh my
God. And the real kicker, the author wants to reveal this terrible secret, even if that means
destroying her husband's family in the process. So do they get the millions of dollars back or
does she keep the family's terrible secret? Well, to hear the explosive finale, listen to the OK
Storytime podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts. Part of how this has been allowed to persist for this long is because they have partners
in propaganda among many media outlets. We brought you earlier this week the story of
Anat Schwartz and the New York Times and the story they put out about alleged systematic
rapes by Hamas on October 7th. That story had already fallen apart,
even by their own fact-checkers. They could not put out an episode of The Daily based on this
bombshell, supposedly, investigation that they put together that was bylined by three different
individuals. So even their own fact-checkers were not willing to stand by this report sufficiently
to put it in their premiere podcast. Then we learned, as I detailed earlier this week, that Anat Schwartz, one of the
co-authors of this piece, literally had never worked in journalism, had not a single byline
prior to joining The New York Times in November, gets put on this incredibly fraught, sensitive investigation. We also learned that
prior to her time on October 7th, just before she joined the Times, she was liking on social media
overtly genocidal posts calling for Gaza to be turned into a, quote, slaughterhouse. OK,
that post that she liked was so genocidal, actually showed up in the South Africa ICJ
filing, alleging that Israel is in fact committing genocide.
Well, now we have a report from Ryan Grimm and some of his colleagues there at The Intercept
that looks into how Anat ended up in this piece, how this investigation unfolded.
And it is really quite something.
Let's go and put this up on the screen. So the headline here from Jeremy Scahill,
Ryan Grimm, and Daniel Boguslaw, quite a powerhouse of byline there. Between the hammer
and the anvil, the story behind the New York Times October 7th expose. So a lot of this comes from
both talking to people inside The Times.
A lot of other reporters at The Times are utterly disgusted with the way that this all went down. And then part of it was, Sagar, they got their hands on a Hebrew language interview that Anat was able to do.
And so they have in her own words the way that she conducted this quote unquote investigation.
So here's a quote from her. She apparently, she herself was a little wary of being put on this
and felt herself to be unqualified, but nevertheless persisted. She says, quote,
victims of sexual assault are women who have experienced something. And then to come and
sit in front of such a woman, who am I anyway? I have no qualifications. In terms of reporting
about the internal turmoil at the New York Times, Ryan says the fear among Times staffers who've
been critical of the paper's Gaza coverage is that Schwartz will become a scapegoat for what
is a much deeper failure. She may harbor animosity toward Palestinians, lack the experience with
investigative journalism, and feel conflicting pressures between being a supporter of Israel's war effort and a Times reporter.
But Schwartz did not commission herself and her nephew, by the way.
That's the other piece of this is the third author of this piece was a relative of hers
who was almost similarly disqualified for any sort of reporting of this level.
So she did not commission herself and her nephew.
Senior leadership at The New York Times
did. Schwartz said as much in an interview with Israeli Army Radio on December 31st,
quote, The New York Times said, let's do an investigation into sexual violence.
It was more a case of them having to convince me, she said. Her host cut her off.
It was a proposal of The New York Times, the entire thing. And she goes on to insist that,
yes, it was. If you read through this piece,
Ryan tracks again through the narration of Anat about how she conducted this investigation,
how it was very much a hunt for justifying a conclusion they had already come to.
They wanted to find the evidence that systematic rape was used as a weapon of war on October 7th. And so she went out and effectively scoured the country,
talking to people at hospitals, at crisis centers, anyone she could try to find to justify the
conclusion she had already come to. Ultimately, and this is why the fact check fell apart and why
the piece itself came under such scrutiny, Ultimately, she ends up relying on the testimony
of some of these Zaka volunteers who were, that was the group that invented the 40 beheaded babies
hoax and a number of others, and the testimony of another individual who similarly has been proven
to have invented falsehoods to justify the barbarism of the Israeli assault on Gaza. And so, and even the one witness that she gets,
he changed his stories multiple times.
She ended up violating what was the one thing
that Jeffrey Gettleman, the lead author on this report,
had told her that you have to have multiple sources
to go with the word of this one eyewitness.
And so the whole thing is just an absolute mess. And her lack
of qualifications here are still the most head-scratching thing I can imagine. The last
thing that I'll mention here, put this next piece up on the screen, from Z Squirrel, who really,
by the way, total credit to this account, who did all of the initial digging to uncover her
lack of experience, her previous social media history, etc., and really set off a
firestorm. So her nephew, Anat's nephew, was the third author of this piece, Adam Sella,
who also had apparently only written a couple of prior articles on the subject of food and cooking
to be their lead on-the-ground reporter on this extraordinarily sensitive piece.
The first name on the byline, Gettleman, he's the one that I played you the other day who said that,
I'm not really, evidence isn't really what I'm doing here. I'm just looking to tell the stories.
Apparently, he was very little involved in the actual investigation on the ground. It was mostly
Adam and Anat, who are wildly inexperienced.
And then you end up with what is an absolute scandal and meltdown happening at The Times right now.
Yeah, I mean, well, I read the report and it's like, you know, you know, usually when there's this is why it's so difficult when there's you sound like a monster when you're like questioning claims of widespread rape or whatever.
But yeah, look, been questioning it since Rolling Stone article came out. So I might as well continue to do it.
But I read this and it's like, well, I called all 11 hospitals and they said that they didn't exist.
I mean, in my head, it's like, do you even need to keep hunting then if we're talking about the
claim of widespread? And again, I mean, why does this any of it matter? Because these are indelible
stories. They get lodged in the mind in which if you ask people on the street, they say it's
probably true. And it's one of those where it gets used as justification then
for some of the actions by, or disproportionate use of force or whatever, you know, by Israeli
forces. If you were to ask people inside Israel, they'd probably believe it too. And it all traces
back really to this. I mean, this is the other thing where I almost, you know, you again, you
want to scoff a little bit. When you want to look back at every time where rape was actually widespread. You don't have to go looking
for it. Okay. Go ask anybody in the Congo or go, you know, the democratic Republic of the Congo,
where rape genuinely was used as a weapon of war. Uh, go look at the Soviet invasion of Berlin.
Like you don't have to look for it. They will tell you. And the evidence of it all shows up
nine months later. And it's horrific. And it horrific in terms of the things that happened at that time.
It's like if it really was that widespread, then you wouldn't have to even go coax, like, what was it, a single individual?
Was it anonymous?
And then the claim doesn't work out.
It's like the entire thing.
It's just, look, you know, October 7th was bad enough.
Why do we have to go looking for bogeymen that don't exist?
You know, a bunch of people were killed, including kids.
Enough. That's it.
Like, why?
But, I mean, I think we know why for media purposes and others.
And I think that's kind of what, I think that is really what is disturbing about this entire thing.
Yeah, absolutely.
There were horrific atrocities that were committed by Hamas against innocent Israelis on October 7th. There is no
doubt about that. That is crystal clear. It's on video. Crystal clear, right? And I'm not saying
there was no rape on that day, but that's not the claim that has been made. The claim is that it was
used systematically as a weapon of war. And they just were not able to find the evidence that came anywhere close to backing up
that assertion. And at every turn, when they run into a roadblock, you know, oh, all the hospitals
say that they didn't find any. Well, they probably killed all the women that they raped. Well, okay,
what about forensic evidence from, you know, the bodies of the women who were slaughtered on that
day? Well, you know, there's because of Jewish custom, they were buried quickly. So we didn't
collect any of that forensic evidence. Well, what about,
you know, we went to talk to these crisis workers, you know, and they won't tell us anything either.
Well, it's probably just because they want to protect their patients, et cetera. There was like
they set off with we have come to this conclusion that this happened and now we're going to try to
backfill in the evidence.
And they have this line in Ryan's piece at The Intercept. He says, at every turn,
when The New York Times reporters ran into obstacles confirming tips, they turned to anonymous Israeli officials, not the most credible sources, or witnesses who'd already
been interviewed repeatedly in the press. By the way, those witnesses, again, were caught shifting their stories depending on what outlet they were talking to and what day it was.
Months after setting off on their assignment, the reporters found themselves exactly where they had begun, relying overwhelmingly on the word of Israeli officials, soldiers, and Zaka workers, again, that's the group that fabricated 40 beheaded babies and a bunch of the other things that have been completely disproven, to substantiate their claim that more than 30 bodies of women and girls were discovered with signs of sexual abuse.
On the Channel 12 podcast, Swartz said the last remaining piece she needed for the story was a solid number from the Israeli authorities about any possible survivors of sexual violence.
We have four and we can stand behind that number, she said she was told by the Ministry of Welfare and Social Affairs. No details were provided. The Times
Story ultimately reported there were at least three women and one man who were sexually assaulted and
survived, apparently, again, just based on the word of Israeli officials. There was one
particularly revealing anecdote here that I just think really gives away the game. So in that Times piece,
they center a lot of their storytelling around the family of a woman who was murdered on October
7th named Gal Abdush. And they claimed in the piece that she had been raped, that her body
bore the signs of having been raped. There had been some video that circulated of her
that where she had, you know, after she'd been slaughtered,
she didn't have pants on.
And so that's basically what they were basing all of this on.
And a third of the Times story details this story
of what they're calling the, quote,
woman in the black dress.
Well, after the report comes out, the family is furious
because the Times reporters, they're saying,
you never told us this was about rape.
You just said this was about October 7th and remembering Gal.
They actually have phone messages that they believe, you know, undercut the idea that there was time for her to have been raped.
Her family came out aggressively and said this is a lie.
You know, the media needs to stop spreading this, et cetera.
So that really fell apart. But Gal comes up in Ryan's piece here as
well, where that video of her that they needed to make central to the piece, the person who
was the owner of that video didn't really want to cooperate with them. And the owner says that
they called me, that would be Adam and Anon, called me again and again and explained how
important getting that video is for Israeli Hasbara, which is their term for propaganda.
So a New York Times supposed journalist telling this person, you have to cooperate with us,
not because it's in the interest of journalism and exposing the truth and the story that we know, because this will serve the interest of Israeli government propaganda. I mean, that is as much
of a clear cut as admission of what was going on here as you could possibly get. You know,
the Times is in their comment to Ryan here, standing by the story, not put out a statement
this morning. She says, I'm thankful to
the New York Times for standing behind the important stories we have published. The Times
didn't just stand behind me, but also behind many women whose stories needed to be told.
The recent attacks against me will not deter me from continuing my work. And she's got in there
a screenshot of Times International editor Phil Pan saying in a statement to Ryan in the Interstep
that he stands by the work, quote,
Ms. Schwartz was part of a rigorous reporting and editing process. She made valuable contributions.
We saw no evidence of bias in her work. We remain confident in the accuracy of our reporting and
stand by the team's investigation. But as we have said, her likes of offensive and opinionated
social media posts predating her work with us are unacceptable. As a reminder, a not liked genocidal post and
one's calling for propaganda to be used to conflate Hamas with ISIS. She also backed the
beheaded babies hoax in her social media posts. She had never worked as a journalist before. She
was like a small time film maker and previously had served in the IDF in an intelligence unit.
So there you go.
Extraordinary, extraordinary situation.
Camp Shane, one of America's longest running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary
results. Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left.
In a society obsessed with being thin,
it seemed like a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children
was a dark underworld of sinister secrets. Kids were being pushed to their physical and
emotional limits as the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was
right. It was really actually like a horror movie.
In this eight-episode series,
we're unpacking and investigating
stories of mistreatment
and reexamining the culture of fatphobia
that enabled a flawed system
to continue for so long.
You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame
one week early and totally ad-free
on iHeart True Crime Plus.
So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today. Have you ever thought about going voiceover?
I'm Hope Woodard, a comedian, creator, and seeker of male validation.
To most people, I'm the girl behind VoiceOver, the movement that exploded in 2024.
VoiceOver is about understanding yourself outside of sex and relationships.
It's more than personal. It's political, it's societal, and at times, it's far from what I originally intended it to be. These days, I'm interested in expanding what it means to be voiceover,
to make it customizable for anyone who feels the need to explore their relationship to relationships.
I'm talking to a lot of people who will help us think about how we love each other.
It's a very, very normal experience to have times where a relationship is prioritizing
other parts of that relationship
that aren't being naked together. How we love our family. I've spent a lifetime trying to get my
mother to love me, but the price is too high. And how we love ourselves. Singleness is not a waiting
room. You are actually at the party right now. Let me hear it. Listen to Boy Sober on the iHeart
Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. family fortune worth millions from my son, even though it was promised to us. Now I find out he's trying to give it to his irresponsible son instead, but I have DNA proof that could get the money back.
Hold up. So what are they going to do to get those millions back? That's so unfair.
Well, the author writes that her husband found out the truth from a DNA test they were gifted
two years ago. Scandalous. But the kids kept their mom's secret that whole time. Oh my God.
And the real kicker, the author wants to reveal this terrible secret,
even if that means destroying her husband's family
in the process.
So do they get the millions of dollars back
or does she keep the family's terrible secret?
Well, to hear the explosive finale,
listen to the OK Storytime podcast
on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast,
or wherever you get your podcasts.
All right, we got two quick stories
that we want to touch on.
Let's move on.
This is very political consequences, kind of bringing it back here. Let's go ahead and put
this up there on the screen. Some major news from the American Values 2024 PAC, which is supporting
RFK Jr. The number of signatures collected in the state of Georgia and in the state of Arizona
now passed the threshold that will be putting RFK Jr.'s name on the ballot as an
independent. That is very significant because obviously those are two of the most important
states for the Biden Electoral College victory back in 2020, where a matter of only 20,000 votes
literally combined in both states would have swung everything. Combine some of the chaos that we're
seeing right now with uncommitted and all of that. And he is in very, very serious trouble, not to mention, though, that RFK Jr. proven to
draw some votes away from Trump as well.
Same time, look at Michigan, where we just had that primary.
He's about 76% of the way there, likely probably even more after the chaos that's been happening,
22,671.
In the state of South Carolina, he looks to be about 60%.
The other updates that they have
are Maryland and Massachusetts coming soon. I believe in the state of Virginia, that is being
launched soon as well. So RFK Jr. did make a commitment on the show. He said he's going to be
on all 50 states. We'll see. I think that's incredibly difficult. But Crystal, if his goal
is to at least make a statement in battleground states, Georgia and Arizona is enough. I mean,
that's enough already to be able to draw enough votes in order to significantly change things. Let's put the next
one, please, up on the screen, just so everyone can see. They have a New York Times-Siena poll
that they flashed that shows Biden at 33%, Trump at 33%, Kennedy at 26%. So right up there,
you know, shouting distance of these candidates.
And that was specifically in Arizona. Exactly. Specifically in Arizona. I mean,
that is an extraordinary amount. Doesn't necessarily fit with what we've seen in some
others. Let's go to the next one that actually shows every major battleground state. And it
includes not only Trump, but it includes Biden, RFK Jr.,
Cornel West, and Jill Stein. So like a five-way matchup. Some of the noteworthy ones that I see
is that the Trump name is winning in all of them. So that kind of matters between Nevada,
North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, or sorry, Michigan, Arizona, and Wisconsin. And the margin of victory very much there includes
some problems for Biden that we can see directly amongst Kennedy, polling anywhere between 5% to
8% between all of these. So if we think about the variable results, it obviously kind of makes
sense. People are probably still getting to know RFK Jr. and others. But Crystal, if he's able to
get ballot access, especially in some of these battlegrounds, we already know he's going to be a very consequential
player. That's it. No question about it. Yeah. Even if he, even if the results do look more
like that second group of polls, which I think is probably more realistic just because we know
third party support usually declines as you get towards election day and people sort of sit with,
okay, well, it's going to be one of these two dudes. So, you know, I don't want to, quote unquote, throw my vote away is how a lot of people
think of it come to Election Day. But even if we're talking about six percentage points, who
that six percentage points comes from predominantly could be the difference maker in these key states.
So, yeah, if you are going to be on the ballot, even in Georgia and Arizona,
that could be a significant problem. Now, I do think if he's only able to achieve ballot access
in a handful of states, that is going to significantly diminish his support because
people will be able to see like, oh, well, you know, this guy's not even in the ballot.
Most places I don't really want to, you know, I don't see he doesn't have a shot to win.
Like it's basically impossible for him to be able to win. So I'm not sure if I'm going to stick with him, but there's enough people
who are so upset with these other two choices that I think they'll be willing to vote for him,
regardless of whether they really believe that he's got a path to victory just as a protest
more than anything. Same with Cornell West and Jill Stein. I think there are significantly
more questions about whether Cornell West will be on the ballot in these states versus Jill Stein, who with the Green Party should
have pretty significant ballot access. So, you know, there's a it's it's very, very significant
that even if it's only a handful of swing states, that he could be on the ballot in some of these
places. It's interesting to me, too, you know, and every time he sticks to this just basic,
like some of the basics of politics, things that people all think, I find that, you know,
I all see it organically everywhere. So for example, after McConnell stepped down, he just
says, Mitch McConnell served 40 years. Part of public service is knowing when to usher in a new
generation. It's time to promote leaders in DC who don't count out of military contractors or
push us deeper into foreign policy contracts. You know, it's like, we need representation who will prioritize American wellness over everyone else.
Yeah, it definitely does sound a little bit like a politician, but that's a very popular sentiment, right?
It's one of those where people hate, you know, especially Trump and Biden.
They hate the ageism. Yeah, RFK, or sorry, they hate their age.
And with RFK, yeah, he's only 70 something years.
He's seven years old, but he just looks a hell of a lot younger compared to these other
two geriatrics who are in the chair.
So I can see it being potent.
So anyway, we'll continue to cover the ballot access just because it is going to be so consequential
in the election.
And if he continues to be able to get on the ground and the ballots in these battlegrounds
state specifically, then, you know, regardless, you know, of whether he is on the ballot nationally or not, it's going to have some impact, as you said, even if it's three, six, eight or whatever percent.
So very, very impactful.
Finally, let's put this up there for our fun segment.
This is this.
Well, I guess it could be fun, depending on which way that you want to construe
it. Wendy's under major fire for floating, then retracting, but also still kind of sticking to
what they are calling their dynamic pricing strategy, aka surge pricing. This all goes back
to two weeks ago, the CEO of Wendy's who's new, Kirk Tanner, said that Wendy's, quote,
would begin testing more enhanced features like dynamic pricing as early as next year. To do so,
Wendy's has already invested $20 million to roll out AI-enabled digital menu boards in their
restaurants and add $10 million to the effort globally.
What this will entail, basically after they showed, is akin to the Uber surge pricing strategy,
Crystal, where dynamic pricing is code for when there's a lot of people in the restaurant,
you drive the price up. And when there's not a lot of people in the restaurant,
you drive the price down. Now, it's one of those, I think it makes sense for Uber drivers.
But whenever we're talking about food, really what that means is just because of the constraints of a lot of people's lives,
that whenever is most convenient or after work or for dinner, whenever people are going out to eat fast food,
that is when it's actually going to cost the most whenever you're trying to go to Wendy's.
And it's pretty dystopian because it's not even a human
based model. It's an AI based model to figure out whenever the most people are in the restaurant,
just try and squeeze as many dollars out of what is already the most accessible dining option
for the vast majority of Americans. Okay. If a Michelin star restaurant does this, whatever,
right? Most of the people can afford it. But Wendy's, Burger King, McDonald's, this is where most people actually
do go out to eat for a restaurant or to take a break and they don't want to cook any food. Now,
I wouldn't recommend it from a health perspective, but hey, Wendy's is actually pretty good.
And it's one of those where you can just see how this is the latest strategy,
squeeze every single dime there is of disposable income out of Americans' pockets.
It's just amazing how these people will say these things in public and not even think about the fact
that we can hear you on these earnings calls and you have no perception of how people are going to
take your idea of like, we're going to use AI to gouge you as much as we possibly can. And it fits not just with like the Uber surge pricing,
which even at times, I mean, they've gotten in trouble for that at times too, when there's been
like, well, and also there've been times when there've been like a mass shooting or a natural
disaster or something, people trying to flee the scene and they're charging them $200 or whatever
to be able to escape to safety. So they've even come under fire for surge pricing, even though that's been sort of like
accepted in their model.
There have been other instances, too, of airlines trying to do this where they've come under
fire as well.
So, you know, this doesn't go over well oftentimes with consumers when you try to do this.
But yeah, they'll just admit like we're going to use technology to price gouge
you as much as possible. It reminds me of the Kellogg CEO that we had on the other day that
was like, we're going to push cereal for dinner. And even CNBC host was like, I'm not sure that
that's really appropriate. And he just leaned into it and he was like, no, I think it's a great idea.
And we're seeing this market share and blah, blah, blah. They're so disconnected that they have no idea the way that their words are ultimately going to land.
We saw this also with all of the,
there were a bunch of CEOs that,
especially at the peak of inflation,
were just out and out talking about greedflation
and how they could use the excuse of inflation
to continue to hike up prices.
So this whole inflation situation was no big deal for them
and they could still have maximum profit margins. So they'll just admit it out in the open what they're up to. Now,
their backlash to this was so significant that they had to completely disavow it.
First, they came out with this sort of like, you know, statement justifying it saying,
oh, this is being misconstrued, et cetera, et cetera. But they finally were first forced to
specifically disavow surge pricing,
saying, quote, we didn't use that phrase, nor do we plan to implement that practice.
So apparently the public backlash, at least in the short term, worked here for us.
We'll see, right? Because even if they're offering, let's say, like deals at certain
times that don't exist at other times, there's still some other sketchy stuff. And I would not
put it past them in terms of what they're actually trying to do. We also wanted to highlight an insane corruption story out of the
state of California. Let's put this up there on the screen, which says they're like, pay higher
minimum wage unless you're friends with Gavin Newsom, which is a great headline. Basically,
California has a minimum wage for fast food restaurants. It's about to go into effect,
$20 per hour. We're like, oh, okay. Interesting. Well, except that the law has quote an exception for chains that bake bread and sell it as a
standalone item. Interesting. So it turns out there's only one franchise in the state that
qualifies and it's Panera bread who has has a franchisee in California who is one of the closest
friends to California Governor Gavin Newsom. His name is Greg Flynn, quote, the largest
restaurant franchisee in the US, if not the world, gave hundreds of thousands of dollars to the
Newsom election. Not only that, has a business connection with Gavin Newsom going back to 2014 when he personally bought a piece of property that was managed by Gavin Newsom's hospitality company.
And it says that the bread exemption is so narrowly tailored that it doesn't even include crystal bagels or croissants, meaning Panera is the only chain by the largest number in California that will benefit from this exemption.
So he basically raised prices, minimum wage prices, for McDonald's, for all these other places,
and had a specific carve-out written just for freaking Panera bread.
Okay?
Incredible.
That's nuts.
Now, of course, they go, oh, no, we had nothing to do with this.
This isn't corruption.
Come on.
Come on.
Give me another explanation.
Explain how this makes any sense outside of just out and out direct corruption. has caved to his big donors in the state, whether it is, you know, the Hollywood donors and siding
with them on a variety of things or the tech donors. He sided with them specifically over
some labor pushes in particular with regard to automated driving in the truck industry,
as one example. He's the one who really was behind the scenes making sure that single
payer health care never came up.
He's got a bunch of, like,
health insurance donors
he's got to worry about there.
So ultimately,
when it comes down to it,
when you ask, like,
what is Gavin Newsom's ideology,
this is it.
Yeah.
He will do enough to, like,
paint himself in the progressive
sort of banner
or wave that flag or whatever.
But if those values come in conflict
with the donor class,
he's with the donor class every single time, every day of the week. So it's an amazing example.
Just to give people a back story, I think we covered this here at the time. It's actually
quite incredible what they've done in California. It's not an out and out minimum wage law. This
was the result of a sectoral bargaining process, which is something that is done in
a lot of other countries and done in a limited extent here, like sort of like in the auto
industry with the big three.
But the idea is that you have this board that represents the fast food chains and only applies
to large fast food chains.
We're not talking about little mom and pop, whatever.
Large fast food chains, workers, labor unions, like all the stakeholders, and they negotiated
this deal. And the benefit of sectoral bargaining is then you have uniform standards across the
industry. You have a mechanism by which workers' interests can be represented so that you have a
genuine give and take here, which, you know, is a really good thing and very beneficial, I think,
for everybody involved. Because also, if you're those restaurants, then that means there's an
even playing field, right? You know your competitors are also having to pay those additional labor costs.
And so it sort of makes things even across the board unless you have a gigantic carve
out.
And that's why it's so wildly unfair is now Panera alone gets this huge competitive advantage
because they can like undercut and pay their workers less and not have to abide by the other safety standards. It's not just the labor costs. There's all additional
safety standards and requirements here and probably scheduling requirements, et cetera,
that they also get to not have to participate in. So just wild, wild corruption out in the open
here. Check this out, Crystal. Guess what Panera average salary for an associate is in the state
of California right now? 11 bucks an hour, 11.70 an hour. So everybody else has got to pay almost double what Panera
gets to pay. You're not going to tell me that's a huge advantage, a multi-billion dollar advantage
at scale. Also specifically for this one dude. Apparently actually President Biden planning on
bringing some of this up in the State of the Union. Let's put it up there. Biden targeting
a new economic villain, which is shrinkflation.
You actually saw some of that.
They didn't do an interview, but they sent out to surrogate before the Super Bowl to talk about how the snacks were getting more expensive.
Didn't he do like a TikTok on it too or something?
Yeah, apparently.
It's why the young people love Joe Biden.
He goes on Seth Meyers.
He's like, my scoops of ice cream aren't big enough anymore. That's his version of it. But this is something that an actually intelligent
politician would look and be focusing and hammering on because grocery prices are up
some 19 or so percent over the last five years. One of the segments that we did, Crystal, and
actually I was talking to someone at the Wall Street Journal. One of the biggest stories that they have done in months is that food story that
we covered here on our show about how food is now taking up more percentage of your income.
Apparently that went viral amongst people in a way that they very rarely see over like a trade
business publication. It makes sense to me because it's something that really affects people. But
this is one where everybody can personally feel it. It is so
deeply, you know, it's so deeply felt when every single time that you have to go to the grocery
store or whenever you open up a piece of package, you remember exactly what it used to look like
and what it looks like more. But all of it just fits with, you know, more hyper optimization,
more just in time and more squeezing money out of every single one of us as much as these people can. Yeah, that's right. And I also can't help but note that, you know, a lot of people on the left
and economists on the left, and by the way, I mean, CEOs, as I mentioned before, were out and
out admitting this, have been pointing to greedflation as a significant component of inflation,
not saying that was the only thing going on, but as a significant component. And we're basically completely laughed at and dismissed early on. And now you have even
administration economists who are like, wait a second, food production costs have gone down
by way more than actual costs for you at the grocery store. And all of these companies are
continuing to make massive, in some instances, record-breaking
profit margins.
So what is that?
They are just gouging you because they have the excuse to do it and they think they can
get away with it.
And shrinkflation is part of one of those strategies where it's like, we're not going
to jack up the price.
We're going to keep the price where it is.
You're just going to get less for your dollar.
You're going to get fewer Oreos in the package, fewer Wheat Thins in the package, whatever,
and we're just going to hope that you don't notice. Those are the sort of tricks that
they've been engaged in, which go way beyond. So their costs have gone down, but they're not
passing that on to you. And these are some of the mechanisms that they've used to do it. I mean,
it's pathetic that it's taken him this long to pay attention to this and really embrace it.
And reportedly this is going to be in the state of the union or whatever, but it really is utterly pathetic that it's taken this long
for him to realize that corporate greed is a thing and that this is a significant part of
what is going on for consumers. Absolutely. All right. We had a great show for everybody today.
I hope you guys enjoyed it. If there's anything breaking over the weekend, we will bring it to
you. Otherwise, thank you to everybody who's been signing up, BreakingPoints.com.
As we said, who knows what will happen on the leap year?
Maybe if you sign up, you won't get charged again for another four years.
I have no idea.
I can't make any promises.
We'll see you guys later.
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