Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 2/6/24: Schumer Threatens Boots On Ground If Ukraine Aid Fails, AI White Collar Mass Layoffs, High Grocery Prices Explain Economic Doom, Biden Lies About Iraq Strikes, Media Runs Israel UNRWA Claims With Zero Evidence

Episode Date: February 6, 2024

Krystal and Saagar discuss Schumer threatens boots on the ground if Ukraine aid fails, AI white collar mass layoffs, high grocery prices explain economic doom, Biden caught lying about strikes in Iraq..., and media runs Israel UNRWA allegations with zero evidence.   To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/   Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an iHeart Podcast. is still out there. Each week, I investigate a new case. If there is a case we should hear about, call 678-744-6145. Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Stay informed, empowered, and ahead of the curve with the BIN News This Hour podcast. Updated hourly to bring you the latest stories
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Starting point is 00:01:32 or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey guys, Ready or Not 2024 is here and we here at Breaking Points are already thinking of ways we can up our game for this critical election. We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade the studio, add staff, give you guys the best independent coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, it just means the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that. Let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody. Happy Tuesday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. What do we
Starting point is 00:02:07 have, Crystal? Indeed, we do. Lots of interesting things unfolding right here in the nation's capital. We finally got the text of that border plus Ukraine plus Israel deal. And there is something for everyone to hate. Apparently, we will get into what's in it. And also, it's increasingly long odds of actually passing. At the same time, we're taking a look at the fact that AI is already taking white-collar jobs. In spite of the fact that tech has in many ways recovered this year, record revenues, all that kind of stuff, they are still shedding jobs and AI appears to have a lot to do with it. We're also going to do a little review, possibly debate, I'm not sure about the
Starting point is 00:02:45 Apple Vision Pro. Sagar and I, I believe, have different assessments of the utility and the future of this thing. Jeff Stein is coming in studio to give us a breakdown on a very simple question. How is the economy? Actually, a very challenging one to answer. I wish it was simple. Yeah, it should be a simple question, but it actually is really not. We have an American general who is saying that Israel is completely failing in their stated objectives in Gaza. This comes as the U.S. has been caught lying about whether or not they actually gave Iraq pre-notification about those strikes over the weekend. And we're also taking a look at one provision in that border Ukraine-Israel bill that would permanently ban funding from UNRWA,
Starting point is 00:03:26 that is the main aid agency on the ground, to benefit Palestinians. What that could mean, and also actually got a little bit of a look at what the allegations are. And let me tell you something, guys, those allegations against UNRWA employees, completely devoid of any evidence. So a lot to get to this morning. Yeah, I'm really excited to talk about everything for today's show. Before we get to that, though, we did have our RFK Junior focus group that just happened last night in the state of Michigan. It was really interesting. We've already got some amazing results. And I think you guys are going to be really struck and in some cases, honestly, moved by some of the reasons why people support RFK. A lot of it having to do with just a rejection
Starting point is 00:04:04 of the two-party system. So I think it's really going to resonate. And for our premium members, you guys get to watch it early and you get to support work like this. Breakingpoints.com, we have a discount currently available for our annual members. But it's always good to hear from people directly, Kristen. Yeah, absolutely. Griffin was there on the ground during the focus group, so he gave us a little bit of a preview of what to expect. And I'm personally really looking forward to watching it and hearing from these folks why they have decided to throw in with RFK Jr. And he also said they're very optimistic. Yeah, very, yes. Very optimistic that he could actually win and be the next president. So that'll be really interesting to listen to. It's going to be exciting. I think you guys will enjoy it. We'll release it as a podcast, again, exclusively and
Starting point is 00:04:41 early available to our premium members. So breakingpoints.com if you want to take advantage. Now let's move to the areas of the border bill, which were paired with aid, military aid, to Ukraine and to Israel. Senator Schumer had a stunning pronouncement on MSNBC yesterday in his advocacy for the bill, where he said that if the bill is not passed and money is not given to Ukraine, America will regret it because then American troops will have to be sent to fight in Ukraine. Here's what he had to say. Well, if we don't aid Ukraine, Putin will walk all over Ukraine. We will lose the war,
Starting point is 00:05:15 and we could be fighting in Eastern Europe in a NATO ally in a few years. Americans won't like that. If we don't help Israel defend itself against Hamas, that perpetual war will go on and on and on. If we don't help humanitarian aid to the starving Palestinians in Gaza, hundreds of thousands could starve. And the border, everyone has said it's chaos. A speaker, you just saw Speaker Johnson, he said it's chaos. We have to do something legislative a few months ago. But what has happened in answer to your question. so this is crucial for America. It's a turning point. History is going to look over our shoulders and say, did we rise to the occasion? To his credit, Mitch McConnell did.
Starting point is 00:05:55 But too many Republicans, including Speaker Johnson, are just scared to death of Donald Trump. It is insane that the way that they act like they would have no choice in the matter. I know. But to send our sons and daughters to die in Ukraine if you don't give them even more money than they've already given. And you know what's amazing in this bill that I think it was Michael Tracy that pulled this out. One of the provisions of the bill is that the Ukraine funding includes that we have to come up with a strategy for Ukraine for the future. It's like, wait a second, aren't you supposed to have a strategy already? We've been at this for years at this point, and you're admitting you just literally have no strategy for
Starting point is 00:06:35 how this is going to end? Guys, we actually have that. Can we put A7, please, up on the screen? I will read directly from the text of the bill. He says that the House of Representatives will have a strategy regarding the United States or Ukraine against aggression. That such strategy must be provided for a multi-year established specific and achievable objectives defined and prioritize U.S. national security interests. This will hasten Ukrainian victory against Russian invasion forces. I do want to spend time on this because it's one of the most dishonest things that people who are pro-Ukraine say. They're like, well, if Ukraine is defeated, then American troops will have to fight. Why? Ukraine's not in NATO. It actually doesn't change anything. If Latvia's
Starting point is 00:07:14 invaded, then yeah, that's a different story. Then yeah, we would be in a fight because they're in NATO. Ukraine's got nothing to do with NATO. Ukraine is a former Soviet state which has no security obligation, zero from the United States. I would also say it is the most stupid argument because it's one of those where it's domino theory in reverse. For example, Crystal, currently the line is to support Taiwan, we have to support Ukraine. And the reason why is because if Ukraine falls, then China will be emboldened to support Taiwan, to invade Taiwan. And my friend Elbridge Colby always points out, if you think Taiwan is under threat, then you should support weapons to Taiwan and more Navy destroyers in the South China Sea. That has to do with Taiwan. But don't try and do
Starting point is 00:07:58 all of this convoluted jujitsu about, well, if this happens and this may happen, which may, you know, invite somebody to do this. No, no, no, no, no. Make the argument on its face. And the reason they can't is because the Ukraine war is a failure and a disaster. Since the day of that spring offensive, if you want to call that from the Ukrainians, they haven't advanced a single inch of territory. They have squandered probably up to a million of their own citizens. They are currently undertaking a draft, which includes people who are blind, disabled, and barely functional in their 50s, throwing them into a meat grinder. So sad. Begging us for more bullets as they sacrifice
Starting point is 00:08:37 their own people. And at the same time, have been completely militarily inept to apply any tactics that have even remotely worked in retaking their territory. It's their fault. They decided not to take that peace deal back in 2022, many supported also by the United States. And now the two of us are in this death grip where we're watching the failure of our policy just go apart. Zelensky, by the way, I should say, is in free fall. He's firing his top commander. Why? Because the guy admitted to The Economist that it's a stalemate. That's why he's firing him. He's- For the crime of being honest. The crime of being honest. He's firing many top ministers. He's finally allowing some of the tip of the iceberg corruption to come to light.
Starting point is 00:09:25 Who knows how many billions were squandered and were stolen, you know, by the Ukrainian oligarchs now at this point. The only humanitarian thing and strategically important thing you could do would be to sue for peace as soon as humanly possible. But honestly, at this point, they have squandered their chances such that the Russians just yesterday retook a city. If I were the Russians at this point, because America is so distracted and all this thing, I would take the whole thing. I would roll through the whole country as much as I could. And it's their own fault that they got themselves into this position. You know, good luck with your drones and your F-16s and all that. It's about men.
Starting point is 00:09:56 It's about bullets. And you were never going to be able to do it. I mean, it's really our fault, too, for pushing them into this war and giving them all the assurances that we would be there forever and we would back them forever and give them what they needed in order to succeed. So I mean, our hands are incredibly bloody with this entire conflict. And so I do think it's very revealing that within this document, within this bill, pledging additional support to Ukraine, it's like, oh, and let's also come up with a strategy. The only strategy at this point is how do we possibly get to another place where there can be negotiations and diplomacy?
Starting point is 00:10:30 Yes, that's right. Because that's the only way this is going to end. And right now, it's already a complete disaster. We already missed the best moment that would have achieved for Ukraine the best deal that they were possibly going to get out of this situation. That's just the sad truth. Absolutely. And then they can't complain is that, oh, we sacrificed so many people. It's like, well, welcome to the logic of the First World War. You should have tried to settle it whenever you could. You should have listened to the wrong guy.
Starting point is 00:10:51 Honestly, it's heartbreaking. On Israel as well, there's just, you can't even make some of this stuff up. Let's put this up there on the screen. Again, flagged by Michael Tracy. He says and points out, all of the $17 billion appropriated for Israel in this bill, any congressional notification requirement applicable to funds made available under this
Starting point is 00:11:11 heading in the Act for Israel will be waived if the Secretary of State determines so in the national interest of the United States. In other words, it specifically exempts Israel and Ukrainian funding from congressional oversight, meaning that you are not allowed to, as we saw in the past, ask any inquiries about corruption, ask any inquiries about whether this is compliant, this military aid with US law, like for example, violating the Leahy Act and not being misapplied against civilian forces or any oversight whatsoever. So what is the point? Imagine Congress coming in and being like, we want to abdicate our responsibility. But it actually makes sense because they don't want to know what the money and the weapons are being used for. They just want to turn them over and
Starting point is 00:11:59 then look the other way and just pretend that it doesn't exist. It's just codifying what has already been reality with this White House because we've covered how multiple times they've skirted congressional authorization to rush through. They've skirted their own State Department policies to rush through whatever weapons shipments that they want to. So this is just codifying what has already been reality and what the overwhelming majority of members of Congress have already accepted. And to that point, put this next one up on the screen, it also has a provision here that would skirt any authorization debate about the ongoing US operations in the Red Sea, in Iraq and Syria by simply handing over $2.4 billion to cover those operations, no questions asked. So they wouldn't have to go to Congress for anything,
Starting point is 00:12:42 wouldn't have to go even to ask for additional money to continue these illegal operations, bombing three different countries. This would tie that up with a bow as well. And by the way, kudos and great thanks to Michael Tracy for reading through the entire bill and pulling out these key provisions, which of course were not getting covered by the mainstream press. No, I didn't see a single – everyone's focusing on the border. Sure, we did too. We did a whole hour on it just this morning. But guess what? It's not the only thing that's going on in there. All of this is what the national security complex, this is their thing of wildest dreams, free money, no oversight. It's like the continuation of the Pentagon budgets. And just think about it too. When you fund a foreign war,
Starting point is 00:13:22 you may want to know what's actually going on inside of that war instead of issuing empty threats like Senator Schumer did in the beginning. Camp Shane, one of America's longest-running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary results. Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left. In a society obsessed with being thin, it seemed like a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children was a dark underworld of sinister secrets. Kids were being pushed to their physical and emotional limits as the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was
Starting point is 00:14:03 right. It was really actually like a horror movie. In this eight-episode series, we're unpacking and investigating stories of mistreatment and reexamining the culture of fatphobia that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long. You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame
Starting point is 00:14:20 one week early and totally ad-free on iHeart True Crime Plus. So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today. I know a lot of cops, and they get asked all the time, have you ever had to shoot your gun? Sometimes the answer is yes. But there's a company dedicated to a future where the answer will always be no. Across the country, cops called this taser the revolution. But not everyone was convinced it was that simple.
Starting point is 00:14:53 Cops believed everything that taser told them. From Lava for Good and the team that brought you Bone Valley comes a story about what happened when a multi-billion dollar company dedicated itself to one visionary mission. This is Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated. I get right back there and it's bad. It's really, really, really bad. Listen to new episodes of Absolute Season 1,
Starting point is 00:15:21 Taser Incorporated on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Binge episodes one, two, and three on May 21st and episodes four, five, and six on June 4th. Ad-free at Lava for Good Plus on Apple Podcasts. Over the past six years of making my true crime podcast hell and gone,
Starting point is 00:15:44 I've learned one thing. No town is too small for murder. I'm Katherine Townsend. I've received hundreds of messages from people across the country begging for help with unsolved murders. I was calling about the murder of my husband at the cold case. They've never found her. And it haunts me to this day. The murderer is still out there.
Starting point is 00:16:03 Every week on Hell and Gone Murder Line, I dig into a new case, bringing the skills I've learned as a journalist and private investigator to ask the questions no one else is asking. Police really didn't care to even try. She was still somebody's mother. She was still somebody's daughter. She was still somebody's sister. There's so many questions that we've never gotten any kind of answers for.
Starting point is 00:16:33 If you have a case you'd like me to look into, call the Hell and Gone Murder Line at 678-744-6145. Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Let's move on now to the discussion around AI. This is something, Crystal, which, by the way, tease. We answered a question in our AMA about UPS workers. There was a major story about how UPS is laying off 12,000 people. Now, many people who were anti-union picked that up, and they were like, so you had to fire a bunch of people after they negotiated a contract.
Starting point is 00:17:05 Guess what, though? It turns out, let's put this up there on the screen, that many incorrectly assume this is going to affect delivery drivers. No, no, no, no, no. It turns out that the larger group, quote, of white-collar workers are being fired because UPS is now testing artificial intelligence and machine learning tools, ramping up its use of both across enterprise. This fits with larger firings that are happening all across the white-collar market, most importantly in big tech. Let's go to the next one there, please. Because what's very important is this question. Why is big tech still cutting jobs, as they flag in the New York
Starting point is 00:17:43 Times? The economy is doing well. There's stock prices that are all-time highs. Metastock just made records, all these others. So what's happening? Well, what they say is that instead of hiring thousands of people every quarter, the companies are now spending billions to build AI technology they believe could one day be worth trillions. Not only that, they're not only investing in AI, Crystal, they're in many cases are trying to replace as much as their workforce. The reason we're flagging this is that this is just totally counter-narrative
Starting point is 00:18:13 to the 2010s discourse around AI and around machine learning. Everybody assumed the truck drivers would be first out of work. Oh, it's actually the truck drivers who are getting paid and still have their jobs. It's the white collar supply chain logistics guy who was directing routes from one place to the other, which was automated out of business in a matter of two years after the invention of this technology, which is stunning. And it's totally counter to the way that everybody expected the economy to go. And it does show us, I think a white collar apocalypse is absolutely on the horizon. Like a decimation of HR,
Starting point is 00:18:52 anything low level starting out, things that are Excel jockeys and all that stuff, that stuff is gonna be gone. It really is. All that can be automated already. You know, I mean, some of the harder things to automate as like care work, you know, some of the harder things to automate as like care work,
Starting point is 00:19:06 you know, some of the manual labor that really requires the human touch, the whole delivery drone idea hasn't worked out, right? You still need those delivery drivers. Exactly. So it's ironic because it is the opposite of what people were originally thinking. They were originally thinking that blue collar workers would be hit hardest. I do think there's still some risk for truck drivers based on California and Texas and some of the autonomous vehicle technology and the development of that, although it appears to still have some major issues. But there's still a push in that direction. But I do think that this is really a harbinger of things to come. And in many ways, this so-called apocalypse is already upon us,
Starting point is 00:19:46 given the fact that the tech companies, many of them struggled last year, and revenue was down, and there were mass layoffs. Many of these companies had massively staffed up during the pandemic because, of course, there was a tech boom during the pandemic years. They had way too many people on board. Then when people went back to more normal behavior and there was a loss in their revenue, they had to adjust. Well, now revenues are back up. Many of these companies are doing extraordinarily well. And yet the layoffs in some instances continue. And it's not because they can't afford to hire the people. It's because they would rather have a robot who, you know, can't call in sick and doesn't have all the like human being issues and maybe faster,
Starting point is 00:20:28 ultimately, depending on the task and more efficient than the human being is. So they'd rather move in investing in that direction than investing in human capital. Yeah. And it's interesting too, to consider the layoffs. Let's go to the next part where we have a slide here, which shows all of the companies that have had mass layoffs in 2024. You'll notice names like Salesforce. You'll notice like SAP. You'll notice Vroom. A lot of technology companies are included that are on the list. In addition to major retail, the reason that you're seeing names like Microsoft, TikTok, Google, eBay, and Sports Illustrated, Discord, Amazon, Pixar, NBC News, almost all of that crystal can be traced back to either too big expansion during the pandemic or artificial intelligence. And I think AI, especially in big
Starting point is 00:21:22 tech, is the number one story because it's not that they don't have the money. They're printing money more than ever before. Their stock prices, like I said, are at record highs. But they're investing specifically in technology, which will replace their overall workforce, and they see it as superfluous. You see the same thing actually in some of these news organizations, which is it's the same problem. And we'll probably do a story about this soon. The mass layoffs in the media industry are about one single thing, the collapse of the original click model. And the reason why that the BuzzFeed model and all that no longer pays is because of a fundamental change in advertising. But what you
Starting point is 00:22:01 have seen too, what have those companies done? They're investing in chat GPT, AI-written articles because they realize having to pay salary, HR, and, you know, all these other benefits for these human beings, which can be, you know, relatively easily changed, is one that they're going to make that trade every single day. So I think this is the biggest story in white-collar work. And many people, I think, have a lot story in white collar work. And many people, I think, have a lot of hubris. They're like, well, I got a college degree. You know, I can't be replaced. It's like, well, it turns out a lot of you can. And you know,
Starting point is 00:22:32 you should really, if you're 18 years old, I urge you to think about this. The physical world is not going anywhere. People will be needing to build things, repair things, HVAC, plumber, trade school, and all that. And if you want to go to college, you better damn well be studying something that cannot be automated out or make yourself indispensable somewhere. And it's honestly difficult to predict. It's very tough. Who could have said this five years ago?
Starting point is 00:22:53 Yeah, that's exactly right. So the other thing that I'll say is if, you know, it also shows why it's not just blue collar workers who need worker job protection and unions to be able to advocate for them and to try to, you know, prevent as much as possible the layoffs that we see. White collar workers obviously in need of that as well. Okay, we have a great guest standing by, Jeff Stein. Let's get to it. Camp Shane, one of America's longest running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary results. Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left. In a society obsessed with being
Starting point is 00:23:31 thin, it seemed like a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children was a dark underworld of sinister secrets. Kids were being pushed to their physical and emotional limits as the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was right. It was really actually like a horror movie. In this eight-episode series, we're unpacking and investigating stories of mistreatment and re-examining the culture of fatphobia that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long. You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame one week early and totally ad-free
Starting point is 00:24:08 on iHeart True Crime Plus. So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today. I know a lot of cops, and they get asked all the time, have you ever had to shoot your gun? Sometimes the answer is yes. But there's a company dedicated to a future where the answer will always be no.
Starting point is 00:24:32 Across the country, cops called this taser the revolution. But not everyone was convinced it was that simple. Cops believed everything that taser told them. From Lava for Good and the team that brought you Bone Valley comes a story about what happened when a multi-billion dollar company dedicated itself to one visionary mission.
Starting point is 00:24:52 This is Absolute Season 1. Taser Incorporated. I get right back there and it's bad. It's really, really, really bad. Listen to new episodes of Absolute Season 1. Taser Incorporated on the iHeartRadio app It's really, really, really bad. Plus on Apple Podcasts. Over the past six years of making my true crime podcast hell and gone, I've learned one thing.
Starting point is 00:25:31 No town is too small for murder. I'm Katherine Townsend. I've received hundreds of messages from people across the country begging for help with unsolved murders. I was calling about the murder of my husband at the cold case. I've learned as a journalist and private investigator to ask the questions no one else is asking. to even try. She was still somebody's mother. She was still somebody's daughter. She was still somebody's sister. There's so many questions
Starting point is 00:26:07 that we've never gotten any kind of answers for. If you have a case you'd like me to look into, call the Hell and Gone Murder Line at 678-744-6145. Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line on the iHeartRadio app,
Starting point is 00:26:22 Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Joining us now to answer what in theory should be a simple question is actually a very politically fraught one of how is the economy actually doing is our friend, Washington Post economics reporter, Jeff Stein. Great to see you, sir. Thank you guys. Before I jump in, also plug your podcast about John Brown, which is fantastic. If you guys like Dan Carlin, long form history podcast, American radicalism, check out American carnage. Thank you everyone from breaking points who found the show and listened and subscribed. Great subscribe five stars share with a friend. Yeah, it's fantastic. I really do. And it's very relevant. I mean,
Starting point is 00:26:59 history is always interesting, but relevant to current times as well. All right, so let's put this up on the screen. We had a big jobs report on Friday, some 300,000 plus, 353,000 jobs added in January. Of course, the White House is saying we're back, baby. The economy is actually amazing. We're going to run on it. Americans less certain that they feel so great about the economy. Just give us a sense of how you analyze these numbers and what you think the overall picture of the economy is like right at this moment. I think it's a little hard to describe the economy without running the risk of sounding like an MSNBC show. Well, give us both sides then. Well, I think from the perspective of the White House, you've had two consecutive years of sub 4% unemployment, which is the lowest and the longest consecutive streak below 4% since the 1960s. The job market continues to surpass that of any other major industrial
Starting point is 00:27:53 country. You had a recent report with very strong wage gains outpacing inflation for over a year now. You've seen the number of Americans working as a share of the labor force continue to be extremely strong. And yeah, I think that there's really no doubt at this point that the economists like Larry Summers, who were adamant that bringing down inflation would require millions or tens of millions of Americans to lose their jobs, that that was just fundamentally wrong. Inflation has come from 9% to 3%. It's not solved. We can get into the rebuttal and the counterargument.
Starting point is 00:28:29 But we have seen huge declines in inflation to the point where I don't want to get too into the weeds, but this idea of core PCE inflation, which sort of strips out like volatile measures and looks at like the underlying fundamentals of inflation, those numbers have come down sort of to where they were in 2019, 2018. And that is huge at a time where the economy is adding jobs, where payrolls are continuing to grow, where you're seeing increases in private and public sector employment, retail, white collar work, manufacturing up to above where it was under Trump, healthcare. All of these sectors are growing really fast. And it seems like the investments that the administration made in green energy,
Starting point is 00:29:09 in chips, in infrastructure is beginning to really buoy the economy in a very important way. Should I get into the flip side? I think is the American public is still catching up to the pain of inflation. And that's probably the number one reason that people still don't give buying a lot of credit the hangover from inflation You may have seen inflation go to 3% But as you guys know when you go from 6 to 9 to 3 You're still cumulatively way up from where you were before and so people don't necessarily measure things in the same time Horizons that economists in Washington do and that that is, to my mind, completely rational and completely understandable. You've also seen when the COVID safety net disappeared and the inflation raging at the exact same time, the hardship indicators,
Starting point is 00:29:57 and I think this doesn't get nearly enough attention in Washington that's so focused on the labor market. But hunger, poverty, those kind of lack of insurance, the safety net has really frayed in important ways and ways that contradict the increase in wages that have outpaced inflation. And you've seen, I think, 2022, according to Feeding America, the biggest food bank in America. They said that 2022 was the biggest spike in hunger in American history. 44% increase in hungry kids. I mean, that is tremendous suffering at the bottom and lower middle class. And a lot of those people are not, you know, some people will say that, look, the middle is doing okay, but the bottom has done very well. And there's some indicators that wages at the very bottom have grown the most, but people who are making 70, 60 K a year who have suffered and have not seen their wages rise
Starting point is 00:30:54 on trend with where they were before, before the pandemic, they are still not like, you know, the rich, rich, you know, rich people. And to say that that's like the privileged of America, I think is really misreading the current moment. So I've filibustered for too long. No, no, no. This is great because that's exactly what I wanted to get to, which is that you have a narrative about how the economy has gotten better. And on paper, people are like, yeah, at least the White House and others. And if you're in the top 25% or whatever, it's probably fair. But then you also have, as you said, sticky inflation. Inflation time horizon extends years. We don't measure prices in quarters. We think about the most of our lives for 2% inflation, and then we have 20%
Starting point is 00:31:38 inflation. You're like, what the hell happened? So it's one of those where the experience of the economy is different. Now, at the same time, we do see things that are trending up in terms of consumer sentiment and others. So what indicators can we look at for how people who are experiencing the economy feel about the economy going forward and how that's going to impact politics? Because I know the Biden White House is probably tracking that the most closely. Yeah. I mean, so sentiment, like how people feel about the economy is at a three-year high, highest it's been since 2021, since before inflation. And that seems to be primarily driven by gas prices staying low and the stock market being high. If you're asking like, what is the last mile there for getting people to actually feel good about the economy? We looked at a survey recently that found that the number one reason that people still say that inflation is hurting them is at the
Starting point is 00:32:29 Grocery store that they still feel every time they go and I don't know if you guys do your grocery shopping But yeah, it just feels incredibly random to people where it's like yeah this thing that was like I remember in my you know Very recent memory was like $2 and now it's six and. And then it goes down and then something else goes up. For me, it's chicken. It's like seeing the price, I'm just like, I cannot believe this. Poultry prices actually were a huge thing that exploded even last year when grocery prices overall plateaued. Guys, put C3 up on the screen while Jeff is talking about this because he just had a piece at the Washington Post. The headline is, inflation has fallen.
Starting point is 00:33:02 Why are groceries still so expensive? So what did you find there? Well, what the White House has been saying is that corporate profits continue to rise. We're seeing basically the producer price index, not to get into the weeds of econ talk, but the producer price index, which measures the input costs for firms, has fallen dramatically. And that has not necessarily resulted in consumer prices declining subsequently. And what the White House put out an analysis saying is that corporate profits in this sector are at a 20-year high and remain two percentage points higher than they were before the pandemic.
Starting point is 00:33:42 And that's a lot of money. That's billions of dollars on the table. Most economists I talk to will say that the overwhelming driver remains two percentage points higher than they were before the pandemic. And that's a lot of money. That's billions of dollars on the table. Yeah. Most economists I talk to will say that the overwhelming driver remains things related to climate change and supply chain shock. So that's everything from avian flu, which killed like 80 million birds or something insane. Florida got ravaged by hurricanes and you had like a crippling of citrus production. So there's all these like weird idiosyncratic things. But as long as natural disasters keep striking different parts of the world in weird ways, you're going to have these like weird price volatility in grocery stores. And I think, Sagar, to get back to your point earlier about like how people view the economy, one thing that like economists who are
Starting point is 00:34:20 more sympathetic to Biden will say is that people externalize price hikes. They like view those as outside their control and they internalize wage gains where they're like, I did that. I got that job because like, of course, people earn their raises and they feel like they should get credit for them. And I totally don't think that should be taken away from people. But it's also understandable that people don't see that often the same factors that push up inflation are the same reasons that their pay goes up. That's interesting. So they're not like Joe Biden gave me a raise, which is very understandable that people would not think of it in that particular way. No, but it's also like,
Starting point is 00:34:55 it's a, it's a problem for like, as you guys know, there's this school of macroeconomic policymaking that's like taking over the reins of the Democratic, Democratic party that said we need massive Keynesian stimulus. And if that leads to a political situation where people are mad because they don't see the inflation as their responsibility and they see the wage gains as something they did, that is an untenable answer politically to the next time we have a recession. So some of the theories that I have seen of why Joe Biden, I think the latest poll had him at, I think, 36 percent approval on the economy. He's still dramatically underwater on the economy. People give Donald Trump much higher marks on the economy in terms of his economic stewardship in spite of, you know, the labor market and the low unemployment rate and wage gains and even consumer sentiment being at a multi-year high. Here are two theories that I've heard about why that's
Starting point is 00:35:45 happening. One of them is it's the media's fault. Like people are being tricked into thinking the economy is bad because of all the doomerism. A lot of people are saying that. And then the other one is that it actually is just another indicator of people are like, the student's too old, and I just don't really think he's capable of doing anything. I don't think he's capable of handling the economy. I don't think he's capable of handling foreign policy. I don't think he's capable of, like, doing a Super Bowl interview. And so the perception, and I would say reality, of him as this, you know, very aged man is weighing even on his economic approval numbers. I don't want to be too normative or didactic.
Starting point is 00:36:28 I don't want to take too firm of a view because I think as a reporter, we can fairly evaluate these kinds of theories and other theories and give them respect and treat people who are making these arguments, like take their arguments seriously. But I think I'm one of the few people who has taken Americans at face value and
Starting point is 00:36:45 understood and seen good reason for some of the things that they believe. Like we had, as Sagar was saying, the fastest inflation in 40 years. And then there's this question of like, why are people upset? Like their wages were not keeping up with inflation at the worst level that we were seeing in decades. And your point, Crystal, is like, well, if economic sentiment is up, then why isn't that leading to Biden's approval in the economy going up? And someone could throw this back in my face in a few months, but I think with sentiment going up, we're going to see Biden's ratings on the economy also go up. It's still so recent.
Starting point is 00:37:30 Like the increase in consumer sentiment is just a few months old and it took a very long time for cooling inflation to lead to better sentiment. So it makes perfect sense to me that it will take time for better sentiment to lead to better economic ratings for the president. If they don't, I don't think it's implausible to say like, maybe like they don't like this guy because he's so old and that's it. You know, like that seems like a plausible theory. The idea, I mean, maybe I've been too defensive about this, but what you're alluding to is, you know, there's Will Stansel and others have said, like, it's the fault of the media. You guys hate Biden. And that's the reason people are sour on the economy. And maybe like, it's rational for me as a reporter to be like,
Starting point is 00:38:13 I'm not responsible for that. But like, at the same time, like your argument is that the media would have been more friendly to Trump. Like if inflation had happened under Trump, we would have been, I don't know. That is hard for me to countenance, but some people argue it. Yeah. Excellent points. That is a great point. Yeah. Excellent points, Jeff. It's always great talking to you, man. Everybody go and subscribe to his John Brown podcast. And thank you so much for joining us. Appreciate it. Great to see you, Jeff. Thanks so much, guys. Camp Shane, one of America's longest-running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary results. Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left. In a society obsessed with being thin, it seemed like a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children was a dark underworld of sinister secrets.
Starting point is 00:39:06 Kids were being pushed to their physical and emotional limits as the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was right. It was really actually like a horror movie. In this eight-episode series, we're unpacking and investigating stories of mistreatment and reexamining the culture of fatphobia that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long. You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame one week early and totally ad free on iHeart True Crime Plus.
Starting point is 00:39:36 So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today. I know a lot of cops and they get asked all the time, have you ever had to shoot your gun? Sometimes the answer is yes. But there's a company dedicated to a future where the answer will always be no. Across the country, cops called this taser the revolution. But not everyone was convinced it was that simple. Cops believed everything that Taser told them.
Starting point is 00:40:07 From Lava for Good and the team that brought you Bone Valley comes a story about what happened when a multibillion-dollar company dedicated itself to one visionary mission. This is Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated. I get right back there and it's bad. It's really, really, really bad. Listen to new episodes of Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated, on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:40:38 Binge episodes 1, 2, and 3 on May 21st and episodes 4, 5, and 6 on June 4th. Add free at Lava for Good Plus on Apple Podcasts. Over the past six years of making my true crime podcast Hell and Gone, I've learned one thing. No town is too small for murder. I'm Katherine Townsend. I've received hundreds of messages from people across the country begging for help with unsolved murders.
Starting point is 00:41:06 I was calling about the murder of my husband at the cold case. They've never found her. And it haunts me to this day. The murderer is still out there. Every week on Hell and Gone Murder Line, I dig into a new case, bringing the skills I've learned as a journalist and private investigator to ask the questions no one else is asking. Police really didn't care to even try. She was still somebody's mother. She was still somebody's daughter. She was still somebody's sister. There's so many questions that we've never gotten any kind of answers for.
Starting point is 00:41:36 If you have a case you'd like me to look into, call the Hell and Gone Murder Line at 678-744-6145. Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, guys, a stunning admission on Sunday TV this weekend when former CENTCOM Commander General Frank McKenzie made this revelation about how the Israeli operation is going in Gaza. Take a listen. U.S. intelligence estimates Israeli forces have killed about 20 to 30 percent of Hamas
Starting point is 00:42:09 fighters since October. That is far short of destroying Hamas. How would you judge the level of success of Israel's campaign? It's very limited so far. I think they set themselves a goal of removing the political echelon and the military leadership echelon of Hamas when they went in. They have not been successful to date at doing either. And these campaigns are nonlinear, so they don't necessarily go from day to day. You could have a big breakthrough here and things could change suddenly on the ground. But I think the larger issue, at least for me looking at it, is you have to have a theory for what it's going to look like when it's over. What's going to happen in Gaza? And we've had some people that have talked about it earlier on the show today.
Starting point is 00:42:50 And I think it's important to consider that. You need a vision of an end state when you begin a military campaign because everything you do then subtracts or adds to your ability to get to that point. And I would argue that needs to be something like a two-state solution. You're going to need help from the Arab nations in the region to go in there and do something in Gaza. I think Israeli occupation would be the least desirable of all outcomes. So just think about that, what he's saying. He says their success, military success, is, quote, very limited so far. This in spite of the fact that somewhere around 30,000 Palestinians have been killed.
Starting point is 00:43:26 The bombing campaign has been more devastating than historic devastating campaigns like Dresden. A majority of buildings in all of Gaza have been damaged or destroyed. And yet in spite of all of that, their actual stated objectives, which as I have talked about many times, do not appear to be the real objectives of the operation. But in terms of the stated objectives, the success has been, quote, very limited so far. Yeah, it's really crazy. And then in terms of the overall US military, we have some crazy new reporting from Ken Klippenstein and our own Ryan Grimm. Let's go ahead and put this up there on the screen. It appears, Crystal, that the White House falsely said that it had warned the government of Iraq of impending airstrikes. The reason that this is very important is, number one, they lied and they straight up said at the press conference
Starting point is 00:44:16 that they had done it. And then only later on did they claim, quote, for operational security, we do not provide any official pre-notification with specific detail on these strikes. The reason why this is really important beyond the fact that our government just straight up lies to us about whenever they bomb countries is that many of, and this is part of the even crazier political element to this, the groups which bombed and helped kill these Americans, many of them are officially part of the Iraqi government. And in fact, the Iraqi prime minister has been visiting militia members who were wounded in US airstrikes in the hospital. Just to show you the level of convoluting here, because he has
Starting point is 00:44:58 deep ties to Iran and the Iranian militias have run the country now for 20 some years. It's been an incredibly important aspect of that. But it just gets to some of the craziness. Right now, the Biden administration is engaged with the Iraqi government to keep our troops in the country. So at the very same moment that we are bombing said country and bombing elements of that country, which have ties to that government, we are also trying to keep our troops in that country all because of a war in God. Make it make sense to me. It doesn't. Somebody please make it make sense. Of course, because when you explain it, people are like, what? What are you talking about? But they don't
Starting point is 00:45:32 want you to know. They don't want people to ask any questions about this. They just assume you can drop bombs on. There was a time when I was a child where we actually weren't bombing anybody. It was, you know, it's interesting to consider. It's only a very modern phenomenon where there's things just happen and people die in a far-flung place and you go, what were they doing over there? And then you go back to watching The Simpsons or whatever and you just forget that it happened. And the US government can't even really tell you why they're there or what they're doing. And consider, I mean, not to go back to the Iraq war, but consider the utter failure of the real goals of that war, which was in part to serve as a check on Iran, and now Iran is basically running the country.
Starting point is 00:46:11 Basically, they are running the country. So great job on that one. Once again, guys, way to go. You really did what you meant to do and meant to accomplish there. And that's the part that just drives me insane is they know that there is no military solution to Hamas. They know that these strikes are not going to do a damn thing to deter these militias, to keep our service members safe. They know all of that, and yet they do it anyway. They know that the only way that tensions actually de-escalate in the region and can return to some sense of normalcy and stability
Starting point is 00:46:43 is through a ceasefire in Gaza. And yet instead they pursue this policy of just sporadic bombing and apparently lying to the American people about what they're doing and who they told about it. Reuters confirmed, we can put this up on the screen, that the US did not give pre-notification to Iraq ahead of strikes. This reporter from Reuters says, hey, this is directly contradicting what the White House said on record on Friday, that the Biden administration did indeed notify the Iraqis ahead of time. And put the next one up on the screen as well, to the point of they know that this isn't gonna work, that it's not gonna deter anyone or keep any of our service members safe.
Starting point is 00:47:23 The Iran-backed groups have continued to target American bases as the US plans further strikes. And yet these are the same people, Sagar, who wanna tell us that, it hasn't spread into a wider war. It's still contained in Gaza as we literally bomb and take incoming in three different countries. It's just, you know, it's absolutely preposterous. So a U.S. military official confirmed there were fatalities from an attack on the Al-Omar oil field, part of a complex that includes a U.S. base and is jointly controlled with the American military. Those casualties were not Americans. They were some allied militias that took that incoming and, you know, suffered fatalities from these attacks.
Starting point is 00:48:07 Syrian Democratic Forces, U.S. allied Kurdish militia said six of their fighters had died in that drone strike on Al Omar. So the bottom line is here, we've taken, we've seen more than 165 attacks on American bases with rockets, missiles, drones, or mortars since October 7th. As I've said 100 times, the only time when these attacks stopped was when there was a ceasefire. For six days, when there was a ceasefire, these attacks stopped. And the Houthis all but stopped what they were doing on the Red Sea as well. It is plain as day what the correct strategy is here to protect our service members and to actually achieve de-escalation in the region, and yet they refuse to actually pursue the policies that would lead in that direction. Yeah. I mean, it's stunning whenever you read this because it just shows that
Starting point is 00:48:52 the expansion is likely. Also, you know, increasingly, we just, we only, unfortunately, we're only paying attention when people get killed. And obviously we should pay attention. But there are a lot of these service members who have been wounded, who have been suffered traumatic brain injuries. Also these Syrians, they were under our protection, just so everybody knows. They were on an American air base and six of them died. I mean, you should think our troops are not that far away. It's probably a miracle that our people didn't get killed in that attack. And once no one can answer this question, why are they there in the first place? Why are they sitting ducks? The Iranians have the luxury of being able to move about the country as they please and go back to their country if they want
Starting point is 00:49:37 to. Our people are sitting on the same base with no change in strategy, a government that is lying to their own people. And, people, and even the troops there. How could you have any confidence in the Biden administration right now? Oh, yeah. After what's happening. I cannot tell you how badly I feel for them to just be sitting there without the support that you need, a populace which is basically distracted as to your plight. And, of course, as we said, it all comes back to Gaza. At the same time, let's put this up there on the screen. Netanyahu saying that the war in Gaza will not be over before the killing of Hamas leadership, quote unquote, stressing it will take another few months.
Starting point is 00:50:10 So doubling down on the strategy, Crystal. And really, I think they're coming under intense military pressure, maybe at home. You can tell me if I'm wrong, to try. They're like, hey, you said you're going to kill the Hamas leadership. You haven't killed the Hamas leadership. You haven't, you know, what's his name? Sinwar. He remains inside these tunnels, surrounded by hostages, allegedly by the Israelis. It's like, well, if you know where he is, what are you going to do about it? And then it comes to the question of, well, clearly you've
Starting point is 00:50:37 been doing this now for, what, it's February 6th. So tomorrow is what, the four month anniversary, I believe, of the attacks. So it's a quarter of a year that we've had this happen. And you haven't been able to, with the world's most advanced technology and a ground invasion and all that, you haven't rescued a single hostage. So what are you going to do about it? The hostage situation now is almost certainly going to be resolved through maybe ceasefire negotiation. It remains up in the air as of today. Secretary Blinken met with MBS yesterday, but that's all the progress that we have so far. Yeah, and I mean, I think this cuts against the idea of a ceasefire being negotiated right now. As we covered yesterday, Netanyahu is under intense pressure from the far right, Ben Gavir and Smotrich's of his coalition,
Starting point is 00:51:21 who are threatening to blow the whole thing up, blow up his entire governing coalition if he were to take some sort of deal of the type that Hamas would be willing to accept. The more, quote unquote, moderate parts of his coalition are on the other side of that. So he is being pulled in both directions. And outside of his own ideology, which has been very clear over time, his number one interest is in his own political self-preservation, which again cuts in the direction of placating the right, keeping that coalition together, trying to keep the war going for as long as possible. And in lieu of achieving actual military success, bringing to the people these images of horror and destruction in an attempt to cover for
Starting point is 00:52:05 the fact that the goals they claim to support of destroying Hamas are never going to be achieved. Even if they get Sinwar ultimately, which may happen, I don't know. The actual goal of eradicating Hamas was always a fantasy from day one, something we've been talking about the entire time. It's not difficult to predict. Yeah, absolutely. Camp Shane, one of America's longest-running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary
Starting point is 00:52:34 results. Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left. In a society obsessed with being thin, it seemed like a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children was a dark underworld of sinister secrets. Kids were being pushed to their physical and emotional limits as the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was right. It was really actually like a horror movie. In this eight-episode series, we're unpacking and investigating stories of mistreatment and re-examining the culture of fat phobia that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long. You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame one week early and totally ad-free on iHeart True Crime Plus. So don't wait. Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today.
Starting point is 00:53:27 I know a lot of cops, and they get asked all the time, have you ever had to shoot your gun? Sometimes the answer is yes. But there's a company dedicated to a future where the answer will always be no. Across the country, cops called this taser the revolution.
Starting point is 00:53:47 But not everyone was convinced it was that simple. Cops believed everything that taser told them. From Lava for Good and the team that brought you Bone Valley comes a story about what happened when a multi-billion dollar company dedicated itself to one visionary mission. This is Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated. I get right back there and it's bad. It's really, really, really bad. Listen to new episodes of Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated on the iHeartRadio app,
Starting point is 00:54:21 Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Binge episodes 1, 2, and 3 on May 21st, and episodes 4, 5, and 6 on June 4th. Ad-free at Lava for Good Plus on Apple Podcasts. Over the past six years of making my true crime podcast hell and gone, I've learned one thing. No town is too small for murder. I'm Katherine Townsend. I've received hundreds of messages from people across the country begging for help with unsolved murders. I was calling about the murder of my husband. It's a cold case. They've never found
Starting point is 00:54:56 her and it haunts me to this day. The murderer is still out there. Every week on Hell and Gone Murder Line, I dig into a new case, bringing the skills I've learned as a journalist and private investigator to ask the questions no one else is asking. Police really didn't care to even try. She was still somebody's mother. She was still somebody's daughter. She was still somebody's sister. There's so many questions that we've never gotten any kind of answers for.
Starting point is 00:55:21 If you have a case you'd like me to look into, call the Hell and Gone Murder Line at 678-744-6145. Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. So at the same time, there was one other aspect of that
Starting point is 00:55:39 border Ukraine-Israel bill that we wanted to dig into with regard to Israel, which is that the bill officially permanently cuts aid to UNRWA, which is the primary humanitarian organization to the benefit of Palestinians, not just in Gaza and not even just in the West Bank, but the entire Palestinian diaspora around the region. I can put this up on the screen. It has the text of the bill. So the commentary here is bipartisan border Israel-Ukraine package blocks all funding for UNRWA from the US, its biggest donor. Let me read you the text. It says none of the funds
Starting point is 00:56:14 appropriate or otherwise made available by this division and division B of this act and prior acts, blah, blah, blah, may be made available for a contribution grant or other payment to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency, otherwise known as UNRWA, notwithstanding any other provision of law. So you will recall that on the very day that the ICJ, relying in part on some of the testimony and some of the analysis of UNRWA officials. When they ruled that Israel may be plausibly committing genocide on that very day, the U.S. suddenly jumped to and said, oh, we received these quote unquote highly credible allegations about a dozen UNRWA employees out of, I think, 30,000 participating in October 7th, allegedly. And they described this as intelligence that
Starting point is 00:57:05 they got from the Israelis that was highly credible. Okay. So on the very day that the ICJ says we need to increase humanitarian aid to the Gaza population, which is literally starving to death, we, the main backer of UNRWA, pull our funding. And that triggers a cascading effect where some 13 other countries or something cut their funding as well, dramatically dealing a blow that will further starve and impoverish the Palestinian population in Gaza. So I actually was able to look at the allegations that were made by the Israelis. A source sent me a copy of what has been passed around to various news outlets like the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal that they just now run with. It is incredible to me.
Starting point is 00:57:49 I didn't think I could be shocked by this, Sagar, but it is actually incredible because it is literally just a evidence-free list of allegations. Literally a list of names and this person did that and that person did that and they say, say, it's based on identification cards and other intelligence. But no actual evidence is provided. Now, maybe they did participate and maybe they didn't. I can tell you there's definitely not enough that has been provided to say anything about this. Again, zero evidence provided.
Starting point is 00:58:19 But second of all, these people have already been fired just based on the allegations. And so they are collectively punishing the entire Palestinian population over evidence-free allegations against a tiny handful of employees of a large organization. It's truly stunning. department spokesperson yesterday was pressed on the funding of UNRWA and is using this text in the bill, which hasn't even been passed yet, in an attempt to justify their cutting of the aid to this vital humanitarian organization. Let's take a listen to that. Obviously, there is text in this pending legislation that would preclude us from doing so. We are an administration that follows the law. That being said, in this pending legislation, there is $10 billion for humanitarian assistance, of which $1.4 billion is for humanitarian aid for Gaza.
Starting point is 00:59:26 This is an issue we take very seriously. We also believe, even prior to this conversation about the supplemental, we have, as I told Simon, been unambiguous, in my opinion, about the critical work that UNRWA does, not just in Gaza, but in other parts of the region as well. So amazingly, he says, oh, we're an administration that follows the law, which, by the way, is a complete lie. When it comes to Israel, they just do whatever they want, clearly. Or when it comes to bombing random countries, they clearly do whatever they want. They do not follow the law. But also, again,
Starting point is 00:59:58 this bill hasn't even passed yet, and they're using it as some kind of cover to justify their unilateral decision based on zero evidence to cut funding to this agency. Yeah, Crystal, after reviewing the dossier, which you so graciously helped share with us and we can provide for everybody else, I just want to say you're really not exaggerating. I will not read because there's some identifying details, but they literally just say, quote unquote, was a Hamas operative. He entered Israeli territory on 7-10 and participated in actions. That's it. I just read a direct quote. There's no like photographs or here's the cell phone. Literally nothing. I mean, not even on the level of remember those supposed audio intercepts that were so laughably like
Starting point is 01:00:40 fictitious that they would say nothing. It's's just so-and-so did X. Baseless, no evidence, nothing. I truly am stunned by it. Not because I don't put it past the Israeli government. And I guess I shouldn't have any sort of expectation for our news outlets at this point. But both the New York Times and Wall Street Journal just ran with this. Zero evidence. I mean, we're just YouTubers over here, podcasters, and we would never run with something that had no basis whatsoever other than the Israeli government says X, Y, Z. No, you're absolutely right. It doesn't fit that editorial standard at all. And it just goes back to a question about like just straight up belief and also why, you know,
Starting point is 01:01:20 you have to really, you have to evaluate what people are saying. And you have to see, like, you can't just take their word for it just because, you know, you may be friends with them or in the Wall Street Journal's case, you may have once been a soldier for them. But it's when, yeah, I mean, some interesting questions too about the people who are reporting this stuff and about their own, you know, some scrutiny in their own background, which look, you know, if you want to, if you are from Israel or whatever, that's fine. But it should probably be disclosed, no? Like in the report, if you're going to pass off something as exclusive, and then in terms of the evidence, not provide any within that, especially when it
Starting point is 01:01:55 has major humanitarian ramifications. And that's something that we can put the fourth element, please, up on the screen. That was something that the head of the World Food Program, who, by the way, is Cindy McCain, just to note in terms of her former, like, most pro-Israel senator in human history. Yeah, I also want to know what her conversations with her daughter are like these days. Yeah, I would be curious. She says, quote, No other entity currently has the capacity to deliver the scale and breadth of assistance the 2.2 million in Gaza urgently need.
Starting point is 01:02:23 Withdrawing money from UNRWA is perilous. We appeal for these decisions to be reconsidered. I found that interesting just because she technically is a part of the Biden administration, was appointed by the president to the World Food Program. So there does seem to be, I mean, maybe at least consternation amongst the people who actually work in the space as opposed to people who are looking at this purely in political terms. That's probably what it is. No doubt about it. No doubt about it. Just so you know, it's not just us saying that there's no evidence.
Starting point is 01:02:50 Put this up on the screen from the Financial Times. This is a quote from them. Israel had not presented any evidence of its allegations to UNRWA, adding the UN agency had been forced to respond to leaks in the media of an Israeli intelligence assessment that at least 12 of its Palestinian employees had taken part in the Hamas raid. These included one accused of kidnapping a woman and another said to have seized the body of a slain soldier. The intelligence assessment, which has been seen by the FPT, provides no evidence for the claims, which it says are based on smartphone intercepts and captured identity cards. But the US has said it found them highly, highly credible.
Starting point is 01:03:23 And then we have one more element that we can put up here from Owen Jones, but breaking down a Sky News report. We were told originally there were 12 UNRWA employees out of 30,000 involved in October 7th. Now it's down to six. And Sky News reports that the Israeli intelligence documents make several claims without proof, and many claims do not directly implicate UNRWA anyway. I can read a little bit of this Sky News report. They say that many of the claims have no evidence, has not seen proof of, and many of the claims, even if true, do not directly implicate UNRWA. The agency also never received any concerns about their staff members. And they are required, UNRWA is, to share a list
Starting point is 01:04:06 of their staff with Israel every single year. And Israel never raised any concerns about any of these staff members. In addition, it's worth noting UNRWA, as they write in Sky News, has paid a heavy price during the war. 152 of their staff have been killed in Gaza and 145 of their facilities have been damaged. It's important to keep in mind as we go through these claims against UNRWA that Netanyahu and the right but many other sectors of Israeli society have long had their sights set on the destruction of UNRWA. Because they believe since UNRWA, their mission is to serve, they do schools and aid and humanitarian assistance to Palestinian refugees wherever they are, that they basically keep the Palestinians
Starting point is 01:04:53 from giving up on their claims to any of the land. And so they've long wanted to destroy UNRWA because they just disagree centrally with that mission. And they think they sort of keep the problem alive and keep Palestinians from ultimately giving up. So that's also the context for these claims that are being made. The context is important because UNRWA has been largely— I mean, in general, the Israelis— what is smart is that you want to attack anybody who is counter-narrative and showing people what you're doing
Starting point is 01:05:19 so that you don't have a complete monopoly on information from the situation, and you don't have a monopoly on media coverage, etc. So you attack the people and the credibility of those who are against you. UNRWA has been a major party, which has been very counter to many of these really claims about civilian casualties, etc. So what do you do? You go after them. But overall, what I would really say is that this is the bigger media story to me because the U.S. government clearly did not do any due diligence that was based on this. They provided no evidence. And it's up to the media, Wall Street Journal and others. I already see Ben Shapiro out there being like,
Starting point is 01:05:53 unreal, it's full of terrorists and all those other things. As you said, we're not going to sit here and be like, it's not possible. It's certainly possible. You just need evidence whenever you're going to support a claim, which also has a secondary organization with an aim that is overall humanitarian and clearly is undermining at a strategic level the Israeli government. So we should just treat that with skepticism. To me, this is a massive media story. The fact that the U.S. press – and, you know, why is the – look, it's not like the British aren't pro-Israel. Why is their press just willing to employ basic journalistic standards? The FT, great paper, is just like, yeah, I don't see it. Channel 4, same thing. Listen,
Starting point is 01:06:30 they're not liberal by any means. They're just like, I don't see the evidence here. This is the dossier. It wasn't that hard, Crystal, like you said, for us to get our hands on it and just look at it and be like- It's literally a page long. That's it. There's nothing provided with it. Look, when I was a political White House journalist, I was provided with these fake dossiers all the time. I never printed them once, you know, ever, because I was like, this is just propaganda. You have to check it. You just have to be like, okay, he said this. So you call the guy and you're like, hey, is this what actually happened? And nine out of 10 times, I'm like, no, that's a total misrepresentation about what is happening.
Starting point is 01:07:04 Well, and it's not like UNRWA, I mean, probably really kind of unfairly given that no evidence was provided, but they just immediately fired these people because of the gravity of even the allegations. So it's also like, what do you even want them to do? And the Israeli government also, they said, hasn't shared with them any of the purported evidence. So they've already fired the people. The UN has undertaken an investigation to see if there's any there there. They've already said if there's grounds for prosecution, they will be prosecuted. So it's also like, what else do you want them to do? And why does it make sense to collectively punish not just this entire organization,
Starting point is 01:07:42 but the entirety of the Palestinian people on the alleged actions, evidence-free allegations, but alleged actions of six UNRWA employees or a dozen UNRWA employees or whatever. It really is outrageous. And the last thing I'll say about the timing, because the timing is so critical here that it came on the same day as the ICJ ruling a plausible genocide. It's also punishment for the fact that unruh analysts and employees and staff members were quoted and were used in order to achieve that plausible genocide ruling. So there's also a direct line between the fact that they were quoted in the report, in the ruling, and that they were attacked on that very day. Like, I don't think that those two things are a coincidence. I think it's direct retaliation for the fact that they were cited at all in the
Starting point is 01:08:36 judge's ruling there at the ICJ. You're very likely correct. All right, guys, we had a great show today. Thank you so much for supporting us. We had that RFK Jr. focus group, as we mentioned. We'll have a great counterpoint show for everyone tomorrow. Hopefully, Crystal and I's throats are going to be rough here. I'm not going to lie. I need a break here. I'm going to let Emily speak on our behalf. Thanks for bearing with us, guys. As you can see, we do work through sickness, as you can see here over at Breaking Points, and we'll have a great show for everybody on Thursday. I'm Katherine Townsend. I've heard from hundreds of people across the country with an unsolved murder in their community. I was calling about the murder of my husband. The murderer is still out there.
Starting point is 01:09:30 Each week, I investigate a new case. If there is a case we should hear about, call 678-744-6145. Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I've seen a lot of stuff over 30 years, you know, some very despicable crime and things that are kind of tough to wrap your head around. And this ranks right up there in the pantheon of Rhode Island fraudsters. I've always been told I'm a really good listener, right?
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