Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 4/19/24: Israel Strikes Iran Risking WW3, David Sirota On Biden 2024, Saagar Interview w/ Arta Moeini
Episode Date: April 19, 2024Krystal covers the breaking news on Israel striking Iran and the risks of WW3, then Krystal speaks with David Sirota about Biden 2024 economics and David's re-launch of The Lever Time podcast, and fin...ally Saagar speaks with Arta Moeini about Gaza and International Moralism. To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/ Check out David Sirota's Lever Time: https://open.spotify.com/episode/5JGVBTzwXHKlrbDhU54NqD?si=8b70b025dab746cfSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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I'm Clayton English.
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it just means the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that. Let's get to the
show. Hey, guys. So we had some major updates that could not wait for Monday. So wanted to go ahead
and bring the news to you. The headline is this Israel striking Iran. This in retaliation for the
Iranian strikes on Israel. Those strikes, of course,
in retaliation for what was the beginning of this whole escalatory chain, the Israeli
strikes on the Iranian consulate building in Damascus. So let me go ahead and pull up
what we know at this point. And there are still some question marks about what exactly has
unfolded. So let me
show you how the New York Times is reporting this. They say Israel strikes Iran, but scope of attack
appears limited. I'll read you a little bit from their report. They say here are the latest
developments. The Israeli military struck Iran early on Friday, according to two Israeli and
three Iranian officials in what appeared to be Israel's first military response to Iran's attack last weekend, but one whose scope at least initially
appeared to be limited. And that is the good news here. You got to love how the New York Times
leaves out how this all began with the outrageous Israeli strike on the Iranian
consulate building in Damascus, a violation of international law and the Vienna Convention.
Moving on, they continue, the Iranian officials said that a strike had hit a military air base near the city of Isfahan in central Iran. Initial reaction in both Israel and Iran was muted,
and Iranian leaders did not publicly blame Israel for any strike, which analysts said was a sign
that the rivals were seeking to de-escalate tensions.
For nearly a week, world leaders have urged Israel and Iran to avoid sparking a broader war in the region.
Let me go ahead and show you some of what they're talking about in terms of the Iranians
downplaying this strike or attempted strike.
In fact, the Iranians are even claiming that this was just drones,
that the Iranian air defenses hold, that they shot everything down, that there actually wasn't
any sort of an impact in Iran proper. Whether that's true or not, I don't know. It could be
that they are just saying that because they don't want this wider war. And frankly, they're acting
like the most responsible party in this whole conflict. Let me show you a little bit of what Iranian state media is reporting,
how they are reporting this, just to give you a sense of the way
that they're trying to downplay what happened here, thankfully.
Here we go. That's the one.
Okay, so this is one analyst saying Iran state broadcaster in Isfahan this a.m. is saying cities in complete calm and security.
People are going on with their normal lives.
One to two hours ago, sounds were heard in the sky.
We understand several miniature UAVs were overhead, which were shot down.
So very clearly here, you've got Iranian state broadcaster in the city that was allegedly
struck saying nothing really big happened.
Everything's fine.
Everything's calm.
Yeah, we had a little few UAVs overhead.
They were shot down.
Nothing actually hit and trying to project calm and hopefully de-escalate this situation. You know, it's impossible to underscore just how fraught and perilous this whole thing has been.
And, of course, the context here is the U.S. under Joe Biden has claimed since post-October 7th that they wanted to keep Israel's assault on Gaza from spreading into a wider regional war.
They have failed on all counts.
You know, not only do we have now these direct strikes traded between Israel and Iran,
with Israel beginning this provocation with the strikes on the Iranian embassy, which, you know, you can imagine how the U.S. would respond if our embassy
and a number of our top military commanders were assassinated. You can imagine how the U.S. would respond if our embassy and a number of our top military commanders
were assassinated. You can imagine how we would respond. So then Iran responds with what appears
to have been calculated to be a large show of force, but intentionally calculated to avoid
significant casualties. So just as this sort of presentation of force.
And we can say that because they gave the U.S.
and our allies 72 hours notice
so that we would be in position
to shoot down a majority of what they were firing,
which we did.
And by the way, I do mean in a majority
because the U.S., apparently, according to the reports,
was involved in shooting down a majority of what U.S., apparently, according to the reports, was involved in
shooting down a majority of what was shot at Israel.
So it was meant to be a large show of force, but calculated to not actually create significant
damage and not to cause any significant casualties, which it did not.
So the reports are, and this is all, you know, very difficult to say what actually unfolded.
Reports are that the U.S. tried to talk Israel out of doing any sort of response to that and basically saying, listen, take it as a win that the Iranian offensive here that they this attack was all, you know, your defense is held.
No significant damage done.
Declare victory and let's move forward.
Bibi Netanyahu, who has for decades wanted this big war with Iran, of course, couldn't just, you know, leave well enough alone.
He started this provocation to begin with. There were also reports, and I can actually put this up on the screen because this is, you know, you can make
of this what you will as well. There were reports that the U.S. actually agreed to Israel's plan
for a ground invasion of Rafah, where a million Palestinians are currently sheltering,
in return for not carrying out a large Iran strike.
The U.S. is denying this report. Is it true? Is it not? We don't really know.
But the fact that we're in a position where we're having to like bargain and beg the Israelis who are wholly dependent on us,
who rely on us for diplomatic protection, military aid, etc.,
that we're having to bargain and beg and basically, you know, sacrifice the lives of Palestinians
to try to keep from getting dragged into this broader regional war directly in conflict with
Iran is such a testament to just how failed the Biden policy has been with regard to Israel
this entire time. You know, the whole idea from Biden was I'll do the Bibi Netanyahu bear hug.
And then since I'm showing all this public support for him, it'll give me more leverage
behind the scenes to try to coerce this conflict in the direction that I want.
And one of the primary goals, again, from the beginning, according to the administration and, you know, leaks to reporters, was to avoid exactly the situation we find ourselves in now.
But since at every turn, when pressed, the U.S. says there are no real red lines, we'll do anything for Israel, we stand with Israel no matter what.
Of course,
Bibi feels enabled to do whatever the hell he wants to do, including creating a wildly dangerous
situation for our own service members, for the entire region, and dare I say, for the entire
world. That's what our policy of nothing but enabling whatever the Israelis want us want to do.
That's what that policy has ultimately brought us to. So, you know, it's a strange situation.
The best possible news that I could wake up to this morning is that the Iranians are trying to
downplay and say, hey, listen, nothing really happened here. Hopefully giving them enough, like saving enough face for them to avoid feeling like they now have to respond again
and taking once again up the ladder of escalation. But it's small comfort that we've come to this
place where we are so on the brink that the best news we can hope for is that they're pretending that, you know,
this additional strike wasn't a big deal, that we have direct exchanges between Iran and Israel.
That's where the Joe Biden policy has ultimately led us. And again, you know, we'll see what
happens with regard to Rafa. Bibi has been making it very clear that there is no avoiding their
ground invasion.
He set the date.
He said he's got the plans in place.
Apparently, Joe Biden, who has expressed at least some hesitation or some reluctance about
this ground invasion into Rafah at a time when not only have you had already mass civilian
death, mass destruction of civilian infrastructure in the Gaza Strip. You also have this all out humanitarian crisis, people starving to death, a famine officially
set in, at least in northern Gaza.
You've got a million plus displaced Palestinians in Rafah.
And if the report is true, Biden basically capitulating and saying, all right, because you brought us to the
brink of this hot war with Iran, we're going to let you invade Rafah. Go ahead to avoid this,
you know, to have a more limited strike on Iran. So there's a lot of questions here this morning.
There's still very open questions about
where things go for him here. You know, the other couple of things worth mentioning are number one,
this retaliatory strike on Iran comes on the same day that our U.N. representative vetoed in the
Security Council, U.N. Security Council vetoed the recognition of a Palestinian state.
So doing Israel's bidding on the very day that they do the exact opposite of what we had wanted them to do.
Not to mention that vetoing a Palestinian state seems to be at odds with our purported policy of supporting a two state solution.
So there's that.
It also comes at a moment when our representatives are busy pushing through
a record-breaking amount of aid both to Ukraine but also to Israel
to continue shipping them the weapons that they are using
not only to massacre Palestinian civilians, women, children, and innocent men,
but also that they are using to put our own service members and national security interests at risk.
So extraordinary developments.
Thank God the Iranians seem to be wanting to downplay this, wanting to end this escalatory chain.
You know, if this is where it ends, we all honestly owe them a debt of gratitude because
you can only imagine if it was our military commanders assassinated at our embassy, I
doubt we would be so restrained.
I doubt we would be so measured.
So that's where we are today.
That's the most I can tell you about where we are.
Obviously, still incredibly fraught, incredibly risky situation. If there are additional
developments, I'll make sure to bring them to you this weekend. Otherwise, we'll give you all the
very latest on Monday. Hope you guys enjoy the weekend and I'll see you soon. I know a lot of
cops and they get asked all the time,
have you ever had to shoot your gun?
Sometimes the answer is yes.
But there's a company dedicated to a future where the answer will always be no.
Across the country, cops call this taser the revolution.
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Cops believed everything that
Taser told them. From Lava for Good and the team that brought you Bone Valley comes a story about
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This is Absolute Season One, Taser Incorporated.
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Listen to new episodes of Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated,
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Binge episodes 1, 2, and 3 on May 21st and episodes 4, 5, and 6 on June 4th.
Add free at Lava for Good Plus on Apple Podcasts.
I'm Clayton English. I'm Greg
Glod. And this is Season 2 of the
War on Drugs podcast. Yes, sir. We are back.
In a big way. In a very big way.
Real people, real perspectives.
This is kind of star-studded a little bit,
man. We got Ricky Williams,
NFL player, Heisman Trophy winner.
It's just a compassionate choice to allow players all reasonable means to care for themselves.
Music stars Marcus King, John Osborne from Brothers Osborne.
We have this misunderstanding of what this quote-unquote drug ban is.
Benny the Butcher.
Brent Smith from Shinedown.
We got B-Real from Cypress Hill,
NHL enforcer Riley Cote,
Marine Corps vet,
MMA fighter Liz Karamush.
What we're doing now isn't working
and we need to change things.
Stories matter and it brings a face to them.
It makes it real.
It really does.
It makes it real.
Listen to new episodes of the War on Drugs podcast season two
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Over the past six years of making my true crime podcast, hell and gone,
I've learned one thing.
No town is too small for murder.
I'm Catherine Townsend.
I've received hundreds of messages from people across the country,
begging for help with unsolved murders.
I was calling about the murder of my husband at the cold case.
I've never found her.
And it haunts me to this day.
The murderer is still out there.
Every week on hell and gone murder line, I dig into a new case,
bringing the skills I've learned as a journalist and private investigator
to ask the questions no one else is asking.
Police really didn't care to even try.
She was still somebody's mother.
She was still somebody's daughter.
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There's so many questions that we've never gotten any kind of answers for. If you have a case you'd like me to look into, call the Hell and Gone Murder Line at 678-744-6145.
Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Excited to be joined this morning by one of our great partners over at
Lever News, David Sirota, founder of that great outlet who has a bunch of new exciting projects
to talk to us about. And David, I was saying to you, I was so excited to see that at a time when
a lot of news organizations are struggling and having to lay off staff that you all are actually
expanding, which I think is a real testament to the need that you serve and the unique reporting that you all have done on, you know, frankly, compared to the giant
corporate media outlets, a fraction of the budget. So congratulations on that.
Thank you. Thanks so much. And what I'm really excited about is we've been able to hire
journalists, journalists to do the digging, the investigations that we do. I think there's, we're losing a lot of journalists right now.
And I know people have some criticism
of the media industry generally,
which I share that criticism.
I think one thing I'm most worried about
is the loss of people employed
to actually report and surface original information.
So that's what we're investing in.
Yeah, well, we've really relied on your work. We relied on it with regard just recently to
the Baltimore Bridge collapse and the machinations to try to limit liability for this giant shipping
company. I know you all are relaunching the Lever Time podcast, and you're taking a look
at what has been very perplexing to a lot of the media class, which is why in spite of the fact
that there is low unemployment and high stock market
and some other sort of macroeconomic indicators
that are positive for Joe Biden,
his economic numbers continue to be so poor.
We actually have a little bit of a trailer
for the relaunch of that podcast.
Let's take a listen.
I think that the more rough and tumble, the more debate, the more vigorous exchange,
the more you are battle testing your party, the more you are battle testing your ultimate
general election nominee for that battle with the Republicans. And I look back to 2008.
You talked about Ronald Reagan being a transformative political leader. that battle with the Republicans. And I look back to 2008.
You talked about Ronald Reagan being a transformative political leader.
I did not mention his name.
Your husband did.
Well, I'm here. He's not.
Okay, well, I can't tell who I'm running against sometimes.
Yeah, that primary was vicious. I feel like people don't remember just how tense things got between the Clinton and Obama teams. Like if you read accounts from back then,
you see just how much vitriol there was between both of them and personally too.
Absolutely. And the same thing with the 1992 primary. I mean, that was a brutal primary
between Bill Clinton and Mario Cuomo was potentially going to run and Jerry Brown.
I don't think those primaries weakened those general election nominees. I think they battle tested
those general election nominees. And I think those general election nominees came out stronger
and better and more suited to win the general election. But I feel like, honestly, I feel like
that view is in the minority of the Democratic Party. So bold stance there in favor of actual
democracy. And it ties in with the economic
conversation because I think anyone who's tried to understand, okay, well, why do Americans still
have legitimate upset around the state of the economy at this point has been met with this
sort of derision of like, oh, well, what do you just want Donald Trump to get reelected again?
Yeah, I mean, I think there's this perfect storm, perfectly bad storm for the Democrats in this way, that they've suppressed a primary,
which means that they've suppressed a debate, a discussion about, for instance, economic issues.
And the White House has gotten comfortable just saying, hey, listen, these are your choices,
take it or leave it. We don't have to actually use a primary process to sharpen our message.
So in other words, Biden hasn't, in not having a primary, hasn't faced the kinds of questions
in a day-to-day basis that he will face in the general election, for instance, about the economy.
So there's been a year or two of the White House just sort of
trying to flip it off. But those questions about the economy aren't going away. Now,
you said you're right. The macroeconomic data is decent. And look, the country would be in
worse shape if the macroeconomic data was worse. But that doesn't mean people's day-to-day lived
economic experience is particularly good.
And Biden, up until very recently, I don't think, hasn't really had a really sharp message to say to voters, to address those concerns to voters.
And those are real concerns. Yeah. Instead, a lot of the approach has been, at least from the sort of like Biden supporters
and spokespeople, has been to gaslight or to tell you, you know, your experience isn't
real.
You're just being tricked by media coverage that's negative of the economy.
So what are some of the pain points that you have been able to identify that are real and
are contributing at least to the fact that
many Americans are not happy with the Biden economic record. In spite of the fact that
some of the things he's done, I think are a really positive step forward economically.
Labor and antitrust really stand out to me. We covered with Emily on CounterPoints,
covered the new DOJ suit of Live Nation Ticketmaster.
That direction is really promising, but doesn't necessarily impact Americans right now today.
Well, look, there's two things going on. In the people's lived experience of the economy,
there are things that are bearing down on them. Housing costs, the cost of money itself,
interest rates creating higher costs for auto loans,
transportation and the like.
Grocery prices have up until recently been going up.
So these are real pain points,
basically pain points on the necessities of life, right? Like food, housing, shelter, et cetera, et cetera.
And there is an argument to be made that no one president in the course of one term can
solve all of those problems immediately, problems that were developed over multiple, basically,
generations of neoliberal economic policies.
So you have these pain points here that are real. I think the reason any
incumbent gets blamed for that is because they're the incumbent. But I also think that the incumbent
can do things to combat being blamed for that. Let's go back to, let's remember that Franklin
Roosevelt ran for re-election in the middle of the Great Depression. Re-election in the middle of the Great Depression, right?
He didn't run around saying, hey, listen, all you people are just, you know, you're
misled about how bad the economy is.
You know, the media is gaslighting you, right?
He positioned himself instead as the sharp tip of the spear against the corporate forces
that were creating that pain, as opposed to
saying, hey, everything's getting better.
So Biden has not really done that.
He has not really positioned himself as the sharp tip of that spear.
And I think if we're being honest, part of it is a White House messaging problem.
They haven't faced a primary that's prompted them to have to actually really engage day to day. But if we're also being honest, part of it, I think, is the fact that he's
an 81-year-old guy, and it's hard to communicate a strong, tough economic leadership message as the
sharp tip of the outrage at corporate forces bearing down on people. It's hard to do when you're as
old as he is. It's not to run him down for being old. It's not to say it's his fault for being old.
But I think almost inherent is that part of the job of being president is using the bully pulpit.
And look, when you're 81 years old, it's probably harder to use the bully pulpit
by virtue of the fact that you're an older person.
I think there's that, which I noted actually when these latest inflation numbers came out that were hotter than expected.
And people like you and me who have been talking about greenflation from the beginning and
were initially dismissed as fringe until it was kind of undeniable.
And you've got these CEOs admitting on earnings calls like, yeah, that's what we're doing.
There was an opportunity
there for him to come out and not try to downplay that, you know, groceries cost more than they did
last year and they're that significant for people, but to really call to task the corporate price
gougers who are contributing to that state of affairs. But that would mean he was a completely
different person with, frankly, a different
ideology and a different level of vigor that he's able at this point to bring to the table.
Look, I totally agree. And I think the sad part about this, among other things,
is that I actually do think that the Biden administration has a story to tell. I think
when you look at what's going on at the FTC think when you look at what's going on at the
FTC, when you look at what's going on at DOJ Antitrust, when you look what's going on at the
NLRB, when you look further back to what happened with the American Rescue Plan, now granted that
expired, but the American Rescue Plan, a huge investment in the working class of this country,
the Biden administration does have a story to tell.
They just haven't told it very well.
And you're never going to tell that story only through your FTC chairperson
or only through your deputy or assistant attorney general for antitrust.
The president has to be the one telling that story.
And I don't think the story has been
told. But I think there still is time here. And what I'm saying is that I think when you look
at the State of the Union address that Biden just delivered, the themes of that State of the Union
address, I do think were right on. He really was trying to position the administration as a counter to corporate power. Is it a little too
late? I don't think it's exactly too late yet. Is it going to be enough? I don't know. Can he
deliver that message in the noise of the general election? I'm not so sure. And will they actually
sharpen the message enough where enough people will believe that they
are really serious about being that challenge to corporate power? These are all the unanswered
questions. Yeah. And that's my last question for you, David, is how much are people even
processing politics at this point about being about economics? Because they have the sense of
like, well, whether it's a Democrat or Republican, things don't really
change much for me personally. So I guess I should just vote on like who signals the right way in the
culture war or how I feel about Donald Trump, which I don't want to dismiss those things as
illegitimate, by the way. I mean, I think the looming threat of Trump is real and it is
legitimate to be concerned about that. But how much has economics just sort of vanished from the landscape of what people even expect
politicians to deliver at this point?
Well, this is the part now you're really getting to my personal pain point, because it's the
thing that I get depressed and demoralized about, that it feels like, at least right
now, we're in an ahistorical moment in this way, that in the past, are you better off than you were four years ago?
Used to be kind of the defining question of presidential elections, or as James Carville had put it, you know, it's the economy, stupid. living in a society anymore where economics is considered salient and germane to elections and
how we pick presidents, which I think is actually a problem, right? To me, that should be the first
and foremost question of what does this presidential election mean for the economic
future and destiny of this country and the economic experience of people in their daily lives?
I think that's the first and foremost thing that we actually do have the most control
over as a country, right?
Like the policies directly affect us here and now, economic policies.
And if those policies aren't part of how we're making a decision in these elections, we're
basically saying we can't change the economy, that both parties, all of the candidates are
just simply uninterested in making any kind of change that would benefit the majority
of the population.
I don't want to be in that place.
I think that's a really, that is, in a sense, that is the democracy crisis.
If we simply say economics is just not part of how we pick people. I don't want to believe that
we're there. It would really be a break from history if we are there. But yes, it does feel
like we now live in an era of vibe elections that are almost exclusively about the culture war and nothing about the class war.
David, where can people check out Lever Time?
You can find it at levernews.com. Just go right there. You'll find it right there.
All right. Great to see you, my friend, as always. Thank you.
Thank you so much.
I know a lot of cops, and they get asked all the time,
have you ever had to shoot your gun?
Sometimes the answer is yes.
But there's a company dedicated to a future where the answer will always be no.
Across the country, cops called this taser the revolution.
But not everyone was convinced it was that simple.
Cops believed everything that taser told them.
From Lava for Good and the team that brought you Bone Valley
comes a story about what happened when a multibillion-dollar company
dedicated itself to one visionary mission.
This is Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated.
I get right back there and it's bad.
It's really, really, really bad.
Listen to new episodes of Absolute Season 1, Taser Incorporated, on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Binge episodes 1, 2, and 3 on May 21st and episodes 4, 5, and 6 on June 4th.
Add free at Lava for Good Plus on Apple Podcasts.
I'm Clayton English.
I'm Greg Lott.
And this is Season 2 of the War on Drugs podcast. Yes, sir. We are back.
In a big way.
In a very big way.
Real people, real perspectives.
This is kind of star-studded a little bit, man.
We got Ricky Williams, NFL player, Heisman Trophy winner.
It's just a compassionate choice to allow players all
reasonable means to care for themselves.
Music stars Marcus King,
John Osborne from Brothers Osborne.
We have this misunderstanding
of what this quote-unquote
drug ban.
Benny the Butcher. Brent Smith from Shinedown.
We got B-Real from Cypress Hill.
NHL enforcer Riley Cote.
Marine Corvette. MMA
fighter Liz Caramouch.
What we're doing now isn't working and we need to
change things. Stories matter and it
brings a face to them. It makes it real.
It really does. It makes it real.
Listen to new episodes of the War on
Drugs podcast season two on the
iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts
or wherever you get your podcasts.
And to hear episodes one week early
and ad-free with exclusive content,
subscribe to Lava for Good Plus
on Apple Podcasts.
Over the past six years of making my
true crime podcast hell and gone,
I've learned one thing.
No town is too small for murder.
I'm Katherine Townsend. I've received hundreds of messages from people across the country
begging for help with unsolved murders. I was calling about the murder of my husband
at the cold case. They've never found her. And it haunts me to this day. The murderer is still
out there. Every week on Hell and Gone Murder Line, I dig into a new case,
bringing the skills I've learned as a journalist and private investigator to ask the questions no one else is asking.
If you have a case you'd like me to look into,
call the Hell and Gone Murder Line at 678-744-6145.
Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line
on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcasts.
Joining me now is Arta Moeni.
Dr. Arta Moeni is the research director
at the Institute for Peace and Diplomacy.
Thank you so much for joining me, sir. Appreciate it.
Thank you, Sagar. Glad to be here.
So, Dr. Moeni, you caught my attention. You had a long Twitter thread and was backed up by an article.
I wanted to put it up here on the screen.
It is the Gaza war and the twilight of international moralism. So without getting too in the weeds,
I think the takeaway that I had at the very least
is that using moralistic language,
genocide being one very much in vogue at the moment,
but in general that we deploy in international politics
is in some ways counterproductive
and doesn't achieve the moral outcomes
that those who use the term want. So why don't you give us your argument for why?
Yeah, sure. I mean, so I think proponents of international law often sort of have very good
intentions. They want to end conflicts. They want to minimize casualties. And they have this sort of attachment with this construct, which for me is a construct, an unnatural construct called international law. ideologizes conflicts, politicizes conflicts, demonizes others, and makes a kind of actual
conversation that's required for diplomacy impossible. So I think by shaking or shedding
our moralistic frames, by shedding our sort of needs for these kinds of ideological framings,
we can actually, and prioritizing national interests
and real power relations,
we can develop a certain strategic empathy
and either prevent conflicts from happening prior
or to find solutions to them and resolve them more easily once they do arise.
So why don't you operationalize that to, let's say, the Israel conflict, like we said,
using the word genocide, apartheid, all of these things, whether or not they're technically true
or not. But even the definitions, the game itself, you view as counterproductive,
let's say, to achieving an end, which I think we all want here, which is a piece to the conflict.
What would your approach be then?
Yeah, so my framework is that if we adopt an actual sort of realistic view of the world and not look to demonize the other side.
So, I mean, this happens on both sides. So when we think about Israel, I mean, I think it's very clear that the sort of opponents of Israeli policy use a certain framework of,
you know, genocide language labeling to demonize the other side. And I think that is very unhelpful
because it actually kind of dehumanizes and discredits the other side, making them actually dabble down on
the policies that I have a lot of problems with, and maybe many others do as well. But I think by
doing that tactic actually is very unhelpful to getting them to change their policies.
And it happens on the other side as well. This is not just a problem that, for example, the left has. I mean, the pro-Israel right, for example, uses similar kind of human rights
discourse or moralizing language by trying to connect its own opponents to Hamas or calling
them anti-Semites or whatnot. I think these kinds of rhetoric
are a sort of a framework that come from ideology and actually thinking about a realistic
understanding of how and why states do what they do and why you know our relations and how that
that's important in the sort of in world, that can really change the dynamics
on the ground. I mean, think about, for example, I mean, I would just say this. In America,
we have had a tradition of statesmanship, going back to George Washington, that emphasizes what
I call, and with a colleague, Washingtonian realism, going back to George Washington. And it prioritizes national interests and looking at things as they are instead of
focusing on ideology. And we can fast forward to the Cold War, and we have another classic
realist like George Kennan, who also, while some hawks in Washington would like to read him as the force behind sort of military containment,
actually understood that ideology cannot be fought through military force.
And actually, you need to find the real sources of conflicts and the political appeal of the ideology.
So both of these can be applied to the Israel-Gaza scenario, because you can see how the very idea of Israel thinking that it can eliminate Hamas,
as we know from our experience in Afghanistan with the Taliban, it's impossible to physically eliminate a sort of a non-state actor that is steeped in ideology.
You have to find the reasons for their ideology
and the spread of that ideology.
So that's one thing.
And then at the same time,
you have to understand that, yes,
Israel does have significant ontological insecurities
and physical insecurities.
And by trying to deal with them
and telling them, for example,
that, hey, it is not in Israel's long-term interest,
a long-term national interest to engage in this kind of behavior.
And this is going to actually have fundamental consequences for the future of Israel itself.
This will actually, I think, make the conversation on realist ground much better and much stronger towards a ceasefire or towards whatever resolution we can try to imagine.
Yeah, I get a lot of criticism when I talk in this way.
People say that it's cold-blooded.
And one of the things that I liked and took away from what you said is that you can actually achieve more moral outcomes if you actually try and engage with this.
If you look at things on a level playing field and you're not always using moral outrage or anger or, you know,
for example, I think the perfect example here is that the Biden administration is branding Russia's
actions in Ukraine as genocide. But then they deny that it is a genocide whenever it's Israel
and it's Gaza. And it's like, well, now you have a selective application of rhetoric to a term that
was supposed to mean something. Now it actually means nothing. So arguably, you have a selective application of rhetoric to a term that was supposed to mean something.
Now it actually means nothing. So arguably, you have made a disservice to any future ability to
say anything about what is or is not a genocide. Whereas if instead that we look at it as like,
this is bad, this is counterproductive to Russian interest, Israeli interest,
and others, then possibly the Russians would listen to us or the Israelis would listen to us and vice versa if we were to look at things
actually level. Yeah, I mean, that's certainly true, I think. And it actually, I think what
you're bringing up is something that I also brought up in the article, which is the,
you know, yes, there is this sort of idea of hypocrisy in terms of selective application of U.S. policy in regards to international law.
But that really shows a different question, which is the fundamental problem of enforcement in international law.
There is no real global hegemon now once we shifted from unipolarity to multipolarity.
And so we don't have an ultimate arbiter and ultimate enforcer.
So for so long as the United States was, we were in the unipolar moments of sort of American triumphalism,
and the United States could select and pick and choose how to interpret international law,
how to apply international law in different
conflicts to serve its interests.
Now, in the condition of multipolarity, we are now in a great transition.
And within this great transition, we are seeing various different regions of the world.
I don't like the term global south, but global south is the common term for it.
The various multiple regions of the world are basically doing the same thing.
The specter of interpretation is open to everyone.
And so that actually means that what the United States specifically did since 1990, after
the fall of the Soviet Union, we sort of shifted in the 90s to this sort of selective politicization
of the international law framework using human
rights and using, you know, human rights as a weapon, using responsibility to protect,
you know, all of those things that we did, now others are doing as well.
So almost for any conflict that you can think about in the world, you have the situation
where Russia, for example, uses the very same argument that America used for NATO intervention in Serbia
to justify its own intervention and aggression in Ukraine.
And Ukraine also uses the same principles of the UN Charter in terms of self-defense and territorial integrity
to make its own claim be sort of shrouded in legitimacy.
So again, all of these states are engaged in power.
I mean, again, the relationship of power is key.
And I think by not looking at the power relations
and the fact that nowadays international law
is used as an instrument
for rhetorical and reputational influence and prestige
and basically once you basically, once you
do that, you get your side, your partisans, to accept your side of things and basically have
legitimizing arguments for your side of things. And your opponents will have the opposite view
and opposite interpretation. This is the problem of lack of enforcement that's inherent to international law as it is constructed. Because again, the international law, the first word is
international. We know, as any good realist would, that the international system is not actually a
monolith. It doesn't have a sovereign, and therefore it is anarchic.
The condition of anarchy is returning.
There is no unipolar order and no global sovereign like the United States that can get away with doing those arbitrations,
still according to its interests, but it cannot get away with it anymore.
And other countries are doing the same thing.
So it means that effectively the dawn of multipolarity shows the tensions inherent to international law because we cannot see it in an international way.
We don't have that sort of enforcement mechanism.
But that takes us to the second problem of international law as well, because international law is, again, the category of law is sovereign and sovereignty that's at a domestic category.
But also that implies that there are certain conventions, traditions, and shared heritage,
let's say, that has given way to codifying those traditions as law. However, what we have now, this construct, this
sacred cow of international law, it basically was premised on a particular code that was a
European code that came out of the 19th and 20th century, but then it was codified in post-1945.
So it's a particular parochial viewpoint of the world in a world that's actually diverse.
So it doesn't have enforcements, but it also tends to universalize from a parochial position and basically try to make its position as the universal position.
And the rest of the world that has different conceptions and different forms of life and different philosophies and different norms and values fundamentally now rejects that,
but it increasingly has the power to say no and interpret it differently. So I think
we need to get away from this international law framework because it's unhelpful for a peaceful
and I would dare to say ethical relation between states that's based on some sort of regularity
and rules, as proponents of the rules-based order like to say, that actually would happen when you
prioritize power and think about power in that way. This mockery of power politics and real
politics as something that's fundamentally immoral blinds us to the fact that seeing the world as it is, instead of through
the lens of ideology, and again, international law, by definition, is ideological, because it
reflects only one perspective of the world, and then it universalizes it. And it was contingent
as well. So there's nothing natural about it. It was always ideological. And it gives us this framework which can be abused and instrumentalized and politicized
and actually makes the cause of peace much harder to achieve.
Really well said.
My favorite is when people are like, the Russian invasion of Ukraine is illegal.
I'm like, wait, is there a legal invasion?
There's no such thing as a legal invasion.
Invasions are invasions.
It's like, it doesn't mean anything.
And if it is illegal, now what? Who's going to enforce it it's like it doesn't mean anything and if it is
illegal now what who's going to enforce it oh you can't do anything about it well then
international law is fake uh so i really appreciate you sir i really recommend people go
you can i'll put your twitter account and everything in the description very interesting
thinker one who wants i think the same outcomes as many of the people who use this rhetoric but
is advocating for a different course one that i I endorse wholeheartedly. So thank you very much. We appreciate you. Thank you, Sagar. Glad to be here. I know a lot of cops.
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