Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 5/12/25: Trump Folds On China Trade War, Trump Bypasses Israel In Hamas Talks, Qatar Shocking Plane Bribe To Trump
Episode Date: May 12, 2025Krystal and Emily discuss Trump folding on China trade war, Trump bypasses Israel in Hamas talks, Qatar shocking plane bribe to Trump. Jeremy Scahill: https://x.com/jeremyscahill To beco...me a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.com Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Hey guys, Sagar and Crystal here.
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Good morning, everybody.
Happy Monday.
Welcome to Breaking Points.
Great to see you, Emily.
I'm back.
I'm so sorry to the haters.
Three lady shows in a row.
It's been a while.
See if the audience can handle it.
We did say that Ryan is going to have to compensate
with extra masculinity this week.
Yeah, so he's mentally preparing for that.
Tomorrow we have, should I reveal the special celebrity guest host?
Absolutely.
So Tim Miller of The Bulwark.
So we can talk about, you know, his evolution, which I'm curious to hear him talk about
and get his, of course, opinion on news of the day.
And he and I may have some disagreements about where the Democratic Party should head from here.
So it should be fun.
I'm looking forward to it.
Yeah, because he's really a convert.
He's not just a never Trump Republican.
He's actually like had an ideological transition
to really to the left,
or at least the center left, not the left left.
So he has a fascinating story.
This was really exciting.
He's also fun and he's a great sense of humor.
Yeah, so I don't know him at all.
So I'm looking forward to, you know,
having a dialogue with him and see where that goes.
A dialogue? Should be good.
Okay, tune in tomorrow for dialogue.
For dialogue, that's what everybody...
That's why we put in the headline,
Crystal Dialogues with Tim Miller.
That'll be a hot, hot ticket for that one.
Listen, I would still click.
I would still click.
Thanks, Em.
You're welcome.
Appreciate that, you and my mom.
Thank you.
Okay, there is a lot of breaking news this morning.
We have, I don't think you can call it a China deal, but a major step back from the
tariff regime.
Some may call it complete capitulation.
But we can talk through the details of what we know after those meetings.
We've got big news coming out of the Middle East as President Trump has the region this
week, confirmation that we are now in direct talks with
Hamas and a U.S. American citizen hostage is going to be released as sort of like a, you know,
attempt by Hamas, sign of good faith, something of that nature. So Jeremy Scahill is going to
join us to break down all of that. He has some new reporting. So always great to talk to him.
Yeah, no, I mean, he has fresh reporting. So we are going to get updates straight from
Jeremy in just a bit.
So make sure to stay tuned for that.
Yeah.
We also have Stephen Miller floating the suspension of habeas corpus, so that seems pretty significant.
We have President Trump out with a big truth social about prescription drug prices.
This is big.
This is big.
We'll see what happens.
Maybe.
I mean, we can talk about it.
He did the same thing basically in the first term.
It's just an executive order. Blocked happens. Maybe. I mean, we can talk about it. He did the same thing basically in the first term. It's just an executive order.
Blocked it.
Yeah.
Right.
So it may not be something you can do by executive order.
It likely is not.
Although I think Ro Khanna has legislation on that front.
So there might be something they could do through Congress if Trump has the will and if congressional Republicans want to get on board.
And that is a big if.
Giant if there.
In addition, we have a new Kanye West song.
I regret to inform you, it is everything you would expect it to be at this point in his
life and career.
And I recorded yesterday an interview with the mayor of Newark.
He is the one who was arrested outside of that ICE facility charged with trespassing.
He, of course, denies the charges.
Trump administration is now threatening the three Democratic members of Congress who were
there at that ICE facility as well with, you know, threatening them with arrest and claiming that they assaulted ICE agents who were there, federal agents who were there.
So in any case, I asked him all the questions about that, his timeline, what his experience of what went down there was as well.
And we had some video, too, that we could take a look at.
And then after the show for our premium subscribers, Emily and I are going to be doing that AMA live.
So if you want to participate in that, breakingpoints.com.
Thank you so much to everybody who has been signing up
and supporting the show, making that Friday show happen,
which I personally really enjoy doing.
So much fun.
I think it's really fun.
So much fun.
Also, you and Kyle last week just taking the second half,
and it was like cathartic, I think, for everyone.
Was it?
Yeah, you know, it's fun.
I feel like the opinions are divided on that, but yeah.
No, it's good.
I enjoyed it.
Kyle enjoyed it.
Of course.
I mean, it would be bad if you didn't.
That would be a bad sign.
The worst.
That would be a bad sign.
So in any case, thank you for supporting us and making that happen.
And thank you guys also to those of you who are just liking, sharing, subscribing.
All of that really makes a big difference as well. So with that, let's go ahead
and get into what we know about these China talks. All right, guys, we have some huge news with regard
to the Trump administration's trade war vis-a-vis China in particular, where negotiators met over
the weekend. In particular, the specifics as we know them are there's going to be a 90-day pause on the full 145% tariffs that have been levied against China.
China is going to drop their tariff rate for us down to 10%.
We are going to drop our tariff rate on China down to 30%.
Trump administration officials were out making the case for this temporary pause and deal.
Let's go ahead and take a listen to that.
Joe, this is going to go where the president wants it to go. I was in touch with him over
the weekend and he wants free trade, free and fair trade. We've had free trade. And as you said,
that has not worked for the American people. There's something called the China shock, which has gutted our manufacturing sector.
And China has a different form of government for us. They have a different economic model
where they subsidize labor, they subsidize capital goods, and they have exported that to us
and the rest of the world. We have put up tariffs to push back on that. So it will be a matter of what is the
equilibrium level on tariffs and also getting China to open their markets for American companies,
because China actually has a low tariff regime, but it is the non-tariff trade barriers that can
be the most difficult to overcome. So we will be focusing on the non-tariff
trade barriers and the subsidies and the idea that China can become more open to American business
and the things that are sold into the U.S. can not have the same level of subsidy. And no one wants to do a generalized decoupling,
but we are going to do a strategic decoupling because we realized during COVID
that efficient supply chains were not secure supply chains. So with steel, with semiconductors,
with medicines, with a couple of other strategic categories, we are going to have to become
self-reliant again. So, Emily, he's calling this a strategic decoupling. Let's go ahead and put
New York Times up on the screen. We've got a great chart here showing the levels. First, you had 10%,
then you had 20%, then you had 54%, then you had 104%, then you have 145%. I'm just going to read a little bit of
this article as well so you can hear the specifics as we know them at this point.
The U.S. and China said Monday they reached an agreement to temporarily reduce the punishing
tariffs they've imposed on each other while they try to defuse the trade war, threatening the
world's two largest economies. In a joint statement, the country said they would suspend their
respective tariffs for 90 days and continue negotiations they started this weekend. Under the agreement, the U.S. would reduce the tariff on Chinese imports
to 30 percent from its current 145 percent, while China would lower its import duty on American
goods to 10 percent from 125 percent. We concluded that we have a shared interest, said Treasury
Secretary Scott Besson at a news conference in Geneva. The consensus from both delegations is that neither side wanted a decoupling, he said. So this is really being
interpreted as, I mean, I think you have to call it effectively a capitulation on the part of the
Trump administration. And some of the numbers, Emily, that came in that I think have to impact
them is number one concern over the bond market, concern over the stock market and how dour things were looking there. But in addition, China seemed much more able to
withstand this extraordinary trade war than perhaps the Trump administration anticipated.
We covered, mentioned last week, numbers just came in that actually showed Chinese exports rising
even as these punishing tariffs had been levied against
them. So that indicated that they were kind of in it for the long haul. They took some initial
retaliatory actions, including, you know, one of the things they instituted, export controls on
these rare earth minerals that are really critical. I'm seeing some indications on Twitter, but I don't
have it confirmed yet, that those are actually going to stay in place. But they got to a certain point where they said, basically, we're not going to
do anything else. And you're going to have to come to us when you're ready, when you're ready to act
responsibly here. And I think the Trump administration realized between the stock market,
the bond market, and also the Chinese government's ability to withstand these tariffs better than
they had previously expected,
that they needed to act or there was going to be an imminent economic catastrophe complete with shortages, empty shelves, inflation. And it's also not clear that all of that will be forestalled
because 30% tariffs is still a very high number. I was going to say, yeah, I think whether this
is a capitulation is going to play out over the course of the next 90 days because this is a 90-day pause.
And if you are a small business owner, that's still really terrifying.
That's still a lot of uncertainty.
I'm perfectly, like, prepared and eager to be pleasantly surprised by this.
I think the idea of a strategic decoupling is directionally exactly accurate.
The confusion and chaos that reigned for a couple of weeks after Liberation Day, if it
goes down in the, you know, analysis of history as being a, you know, month of chaos and confusion
that led to a quote unquote strategic decoupling, it's interesting to see Besson saying on the
one hand we realize we have multiple interests that align, and that at the same time, nobody wants to do a general decoupling, so we're doing a strategic decoupling.
It's really interesting.
And his number here is that both sides de-escalated by, quote, 115%.
That's more from his interview on Morning Joe.
Very interesting, by the way, that they sent Scott Besson on to Morning Joe the day after this announcement was made.
He was on Bloomberg as well, I think.
But for him to go on Morning Joe was actually pretty interesting to make a big trade after this announcement is made. He was on Bloomberg as well, I think.
But for him to go on Morning Joe is actually pretty interesting
to make a big trade announcement.
Yeah, true.
I mean, we'll put that aside for now.
So what this actually accomplishes,
I just think it's still completely out in the open
for the next 90 days.
I hope it's good.
But 90 days from now,
we could be back where we were tomorrow.
Let's say the 90-day pause an 89 or a one day pause.
You know, like we actually still don't really know.
Yeah. So you so, yes, you still have a high level of uncertainty that hangs over this whole trade war.
Charles Gasparino, who's the Fox Business senior correspondent and who's been the beneficiary of a lot of leaks from the Trump administration.
So he's been really important to read. He says, breaking Trump raised tariffs on the world,
the markets, particularly the bond market, which we need to finance our debt, rebelled. Trump then
was forced to back off. End of story. Film at 11 of the president spinning this as a major victory.
Okay, sorry, I couldn't help myself. But what we've seen is a little lesson on how markets
exert their power, how when you have to depend on them, as we still do, and remember it's really the budget deficit that's causing the trade deficit and we need the budget deficit to maintain our standard of living, you can't go to trade war with the world without bad stuff happening.
So this is someone who's been very sympathetic, I would say, to the Trump administration.
He's on Fox Business.
So he has those ideological inclinations saying basically Trump folded.
And I think you have to look at it. He's definitely a free trader.
For sure. Yeah, true. I think you have to, though, look at it in that light, just given the fact that
there really was not much here in terms of, quote unquote, face saving gestures, even from the
Chinese government. You know, there was some discussion of fentanyl
and, you know, some talks about how they may do more
to curb the, you know, production export
of the ingredients that go into making fentanyl.
So there was some discussion around that.
That's really about it.
So the Chinese government's calculation
that they could basically do nothing
and that the Trump administration would have to fold and come to them to back off of this ends up pretty much being
correct. Now, again, that doesn't mean that I think the most dire possible circumstances of
a complete economic collapse, I think that will likely be forestalled by this announcement and
scaling back. Because when you are talking about 145 percent, you are talking about a complete cutoff.
And you all know how many things that we need in this country that you have in your own households that are made in China.
So that is forestalled.
You know, so the very worst of a potential economic calamity at least gets pushed off for the moment.
But we also shouldn't underestimate that 30 percent.
I mean, if you think of like if they directly hiked your taxes, 30 percent or even 10 percent,
that is really significant. So if we had started Liberation Day, if we well, I think what was the
initial tariff that was announced on Liberation Day vis-a-vis China? It very quickly escalated.
But if we had started from a position
of 30% across the board tariffs on China, that was more than what Trump ever floated during his
campaign. So it's still quite a high and very significant number. And I think you still have
to worry about the inflationary impacts, both of this 30% tariff on China and the 10% tariffs that,
you know, are sort of across the board.
Howard Letnick was out saying effectively that he thinks 10% may just be the going rate,
tariff rate going forward.
That alone could have significant inflationary effects.
But there's no doubt some of the most potential catastrophic fallout here should be forestalled
by walking away, by effectively blinking vis-a-vis this
trade war with China. One last thing, Emily, before I get your reaction too, is I think it's
also an indictment of the strategy that they deployed of pissing off everyone in the world
going into this. If this really is about China, then you would want to have Japan on your side.
You wouldn't want to make sure Europe's on your side. You wouldn't make sure Canada's on your
side. You would want to gather your allies and have some sort of a unified front. Instead,
those allies were increasingly uniting against you and with very few exceptions, actually,
sort of holding the line together in a relatively unified front.
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I want to say also, I mean, there will be a lot of people coming out afterwards. If this—if, let's say, 90 days from now, there is a—this is fine, things have stabilized,
and, you know, maybe if you're a free trader, you're still upset with this, but things are stabilized,
and they aren't the, you know, chaos that people felt on April 2nd, Liberation Day.
There will be a lot of people saying, you know, you were—Trump was right all along.
The haters were wrong once again.
But I think also in this case,
it's very clear that the haters put up guardrails. I think the good faith haters,
let's say on the right, at least probably convinced people like Besant and Trump himself to take another look at the execution of these policies. Now, the 10% tariff was before it was
actually implemented, seen as insane and extreme.
And now because the reciprocal tariffs across the board were even crazier, Trump has successfully,
at the very least, numbed people to the idea of a 10% tariff across the board.
The Liberation Day announcement was a 34% tariff on China, so reciprocal tariff on China.
So to Crystal, that gets to your point about capitulation.
He's coming down pretty damn close to that level.
Now, the Dow has surged more than 1,000 points as of when we're taping this.
So big market jump.
I think CNBC in some coverage this morning used the word explosion.
The markets are exploding.
So we'll see to what extent the Trump
administration touts that. I will still say, you know, this is Joe Weisenthal, S&P 500 only down
1.25% this year. I'm sure some people in the Trump administration actually will tout that.
But the point that they made actually remains when the market was plunging that that has limited
impacts on the working class compared to the wealthy. And so they still have a long way to go
to dig themselves. I shouldn't say dig themselves out of the hole, but to prove that the strategy
is more stabilizing than chaotic, because these 90 day pauses, if I'm a small business owner,
these are just they're killing you. Horrible. Yeah. And 30 percent is still quite significant.
But you also have to ask, like, OK, so you did all this. OK, the market isn't down
catastrophically, but it's still down. The likelihood of recession is still up significantly
from where you started the administration. And for what? What did you accomplish?
You know, so for the people who thought that there was a grand plan that was being executed here, who were all on
board for a kind of, you know, very radical reorienting of the global economic order,
that's decidedly off the table, at least for 90 days. That is very much off the table at this
point. This will, if anything, be, you know, a mild sort of tinkering around the edges.
So, you know, I think that theory that there was a grand plan, maybe there was a grand plan,
but they had to back away from it in the face of realizing that they had made some faulty
assumptions going in. I think the grand plan was chaos. Like, I think that's really, I think that
my theory of the grand plan was always just power for Trump being able to do whatever he wants.
I think he wanted to be able to set off global chaos. And with the belief that
that was his leverage, that his leverage is that we're the United States, we can upend your systems,
we can upend the global financial system with the flick of a pen from the President of the United
States, with this chart that we printed out that has tariff, penguin tariffs on it. Like, I think part of his strategy was actually just throwing everything into chaos. And I think when
the bond markets started freaking out, the realization is that that leverage only goes so
far because it ends up hitting your own people at some point. Yeah, no, that's exactly right.
And I do think there was just a fundamental miscalculation, both with launching the trade war against everyone in the world and with thinking that the Chinese, that we were in a stronger position than the Chinese were.
And we just weren't.
You know, we just weren't. as evidenced by their exports actually rising during this period, than it was for us to be
able to replace all of the goods that we rely on importing from China at this point. Now,
that could be done over a longer period of time, which will require, as we've discussed many times
on the show, significant investments in industrial policy. And yet they were going the opposite
direction of that. And I know they had big hopes for the tax cut that was supposed to be in the reconciliation bill.
But none of that has even come to pass as of yet.
I wanted to read because we've relied on his analysis a fair amount for a read on how the Chinese may be viewing these events.
Arnaud Bertrand had an initial reaction to China's statement on the agreement with the U.S.
He says they highlight that besides the fact that tariffs would be reduced, he says to 10 percent, there the agreement with the U.S. He says they highlight that besides
the fact that tariffs would be reduced, he says to 10 percent, there was some confusion about this.
We went and checked. It's actually to 30 percent. But in any case, he says a key outcome of the
meeting is that both sides, quote, recognize the importance of bilateral economic and trade
relations to the two countries and the global economy, recognize the importance of sustainable
long term and mutually beneficial bilateral economic and trade relations, and continue to advance relevant work in the spirit of mutual
openness, continuous communication, cooperation, and mutual respect. This is indeed perhaps the
most important outcome. Trump's tariffs mark the apex of Washington's decoupling illusion,
and this reversal should deter any future attempts of doing the same. To use the card analogy that
the Trump administration
loves to use, Trump went all in with his extreme tariffs. But when China called his bluff,
he was forced to fold and accept that his approach could not be sustained. It is now clear when it
comes to severing economic ties with China, the U.S. simply does not have the cards, no matter
how aggressively they try to play them. So with that in mind, you're left with only one viable strategy, cooperation and mutual respect. So that's his
reading of the, you know, the contours of the at least temporary agreement that we have at this
point. Yeah. And I wonder to what extent China was reacting to other deals that the Trump
administration was working on with places like, like you said, they had already found some willingness in that region, particularly, to have, you know, Timu ship things over to Cambodia or Vietnam.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And I wonder to what extent actually they saw that some of those countries actually do rely so heavily on U.S. business that the Trump administration was coming to, if not, you know, great deals for the American people, at least deals.
So I'm curious to what extent they were reacting to that. I'm also really curious what this does to the crackdown on De Minimis. And I'm really curious for how this
pertains to the Hollywood announcement last, what was that, Sunday? Yeah, last Sunday, so a week.
And then that's another thing I always thought was fake. TikTok. I'm really curious what this does for the TikTok deal, because remember, China's retaliation about a
month ago, it scuttled that last minute deal that the Trump administration allegedly was very close
to working out for a sale of TikTok from ByteDance to a U.S. company. And by the way, I've always
thought that that was fake, because not that there aren't buyers here that'll snatch up TikTok very eagerly, but that I don't think China has any serious intention of actually
selling TikTok because guess what? They have the freaking leverage because Trump doesn't want
TikTok to be sold to a U.S. company over and over again. I mean, that's why he's delaying it over
and over again. He knows that they have the leverage on that point. So that's just a huge
section of the economy and of the average young American's daily life that's on the table here.
And we don't really know what's going to happen going forward.
Yeah, no, that is a good point.
So, you know, all of the and this has been the overall trend of the Trump administration trade war because we've had all these fits and starts first with regard to Canada and Mexico. And you'll have his defenders, you know, defend these extraordinarily maximalist policy positions
of 145 percent tariffs and total decoupling of China. And they're all in on it. This is
delivering for Main Street. And then they get rolled back and it's out of the deal.
But, you know, with this, it's hard to even point to what was actually achieved here,
because you still now they're they're backing away from the total
decoupling so if you were in the we're going to do this hard reset and it's going to re-industrialize
america that's not happening apparently the tariffs are not going to be you know paying
for the budget deficit that's not happening and you're you have not actually gotten any real concessions from the Chinese government out of this.
You've just made it more likely we're in any way better off and not worse off
from before Liberation Day was originally announced. I mean, the lack of even any real
face-saving gesture here, I think, is pretty extraordinary. But, you know, I mean, I'm glad
to see that the worst of the potential economic calamity is at least for the moment being put off the table.
At the same time, just to conclude here, I don't want to underestimate how there still,
first of all, will likely be reverberating impacts from this pause in trade that we did have.
We saw in COVID how the supply shocks took a long time to work out. So I think you could have
reverberating impacts from that.
And then the continued, you know, tariff regime that does exist around the world impacts from that.
And to your point, Emily, the continued uncertainty because this guy, if he doesn't like the headlines that come out of this and he's feeling a certain kind of way and he wants to reassert his authority or whatever, they could be hiked back up to 200 percent tomorrow.
We just have no idea.
When China has a very long, long, long, long, long-term strategy in its economy and its society more broadly.
And right now, by the way, if you're a foreign investor, not even in China, you don't even
know how the next United States president is going to handle this question, let alone
the next three years.
The level of uncertainty in the U.S. market right now is just dramatic.
And to underscore that, Crystal, even as we were talking here, Trump is giving a press conference.
And he has said that he's not looking to hurt China, that he plans to speak to Xi Jinping maybe by the end of the week.
And also that the China deal does not include tariffs that are already on.
So we're learning more about this by the minute based on what the president of the United
States says. But it's really, really, really hard not just to understand what's happening.
To get the exact numbers, we had to sift through just this morning before Trump started speaking,
we had to sift through a lot of different reports because the flow of information is confusing.
So that's just day by day, let alone trying to project out into the future.
The uncertainty is so, so significant.
Yeah, indeed. So I'm sure I'll be covering this more tomorrow as we get more information and we'll be able to play some of those clips from Trump's press conference today and figure out what exactly
the hell is going on. Speaking of figuring out what exactly the hell is going on, Trump is also
headed to the Middle East this week. There are a lot of reports coming out of Gaza.
One thing we know in particular is that IDF soldier who's an American Israeli citizen,
Adan Alexander, is being released by Hamas in sort of a gesture of goodwill as the Trump
administration is doing something that the Biden administration never did and talking
directly to Hamas bypassing Israel in, you know, in negotiations moving forward. We don't know what that exactly is going to lead to
or what it means, but if one person can help us understand what is going on,
that would be Jeremy Scahill, and he joins us now.
Camp Shane, one of America's longest-running weight loss camps for kids, promised extraordinary results.
Campers who began the summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left.
In a society obsessed with being thin,
it seemed like a miracle solution.
But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed children
was a dark underworld of sinister secrets.
Kids were being pushed to their physical and emotional limits as
the family that owned Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was right. It was really
actually like a horror movie. In this eight-episode series, we're unpacking and investigating stories
of mistreatment and re-examining the culture of fatphobia that enabled a flawed system to continue
for so long.
You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame one week early and totally ad-free on iHeart True Crime Plus.
So don't wait.
Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today.
DNA test proves he is not the father.
Now I'm taking the inheritance.
Wait a minute, John.
Who's not the father?
Well, Sam, luckily, it's your not the father week on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon. This author writes, my father-in-law
is trying to steal the family fortune worth millions from my son, even though it was promised
to us. Now I find out he's trying to give it to his irresponsible son instead, but I have DNA proof
that could get the money back. Hold up. So what are they going to do to get those millions back?
That's so unfair. Well, the author writes that her husband found out the truth from a DNA test they were gifted two years ago. Scandalous. But
the kids kept their mom's secret that whole time. Oh my God. And the real kicker, the author wants
to reveal this terrible secret, even if that means destroying her husband's family in the process.
So do they get the millions of dollars back or does she keep the family's terrible secret?
Well, to hear the explosive finale, listen to the OK Storytime podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts.
Have you ever thought about going voiceover?
I'm Hope Woodard, a comedian, creator and seeker of male validation.
To most people, I'm the girl behind VoiceOver, the movement that exploded in 2024.
VoiceOver is about understanding yourself outside of sex and relationships.
It's more than personal.
It's political, it's societal, and at times, it's far from what I originally intended it to be.
These days, I'm interested in expanding what it means to be voiceover,
to make it customizable for anyone who feels the need to explore their relationship to relationships.
I'm talking to a lot of people who will help us think about how we love each other.
It's a very, very normal experience to have times where a relationship is prioritizing
other parts of that relationship
that aren't being naked together.
How we love our family.
I've spent a lifetime trying to get my mother to love me, but the price is too high.
And how we love ourselves.
Singleness is not a waiting room.
You are actually at the party right now.
Let me hear it.
Listen to VoiceOver on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Happy to be joined this morning by co-founder of Dropsite News, Jeremy Scahill. Great to see you, sir.
Thank you, Crystal. Hey, Emily.
Yeah, of course. So let's go ahead and put this first element up on the screen.
There's a lot going on this week as President Trump heads to the Middle East.
We got this announcement that I'll just read from
President Trump's true social here. I'm happy to announce that Idan Alexander, an American citizen
who's been held hostage since October 2023, is coming home to his family. I'm grateful to all
those involved in making this monumental news happen. This was a step taken in good faith
towards the U.S. and the efforts of the mediators Qatar and Egypt to put an end to this very brutal
war and return all living hostages and remains to their loved ones. Hopefully this is the first of those final steps
necessary to end this brutal conflict. Look very much forward to that day of celebration. So Jeremy,
just to start off with, can you break down some of the context in which this agreement and this
ability to return Adan Alexander was obtained? Well, I mean, one of the aspects of this that is truly
extraordinary is that this is the first time that the United States has made a direct deal
with Hamas that does not involve Israel. That's a major step away from Biden-era policy,
for instance. There were a number of people with U.S. citizenship who were taken captive on October
7th during Operation Al-Aqsa flood. And the Biden administration, you know, stood by and refused to
actually negotiate directly with Hamas and constantly deferred to the Israelis. So what
we're seeing is a kind of unorthodox aspect of Donald Trump's presidency. He recently made a
deal with what the U.S. considers to be a
foreign terrorist organization and a non-state actors, Ansar Allah, the Houthis of Yemen. Now
you have the U.S. beginning in February engaged in direct talks with Hamas that is now leading to
the release of a dual U.S.-Israeli citizen. The other aspect of this crystal that's really
significant is that during this entire 19-month period, there has not been a single male Israeli
soldier that has been released from captivity in Gaza. And it's important to remember, a lot of the
coverage of this implies that Idan Alexander was a civilian that was kidnapped. Well, Hamas considers him to be
a prisoner of war because he was an active duty soldier in the Israeli military on October 7th.
He was captured by Palestinian fighters in uniform while serving in a military that the
Palestinians view as an occupying force that is operating on behalf of an apartheid entity. So, you know, there are
details of this that I think we need to remember factually. Recently, when I was meeting with
senior officials from Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, they indicated that for months,
they have told the United States that they are willing, as what they call a goodwill gesture,
to release Idan Alexander. And part of this is that Hamas
views Trump. They know that Trump's administration is filled with Zionists. They know that Trump's
administration is very pro-Israel. That's the big picture of this. But on a sort of technical level,
they feel that they have a better shot with negotiating something with Steve Witkoff and
Adam Bowler than they did with Antony Blinken or Bill Burns when
Biden was president. Well, let's put the next element on the screen, Jeremy, because this
kind of gets to exactly what you were just saying. I mean, you pointed out that this was the first
deal brokered directly between the United States and Hamas without Israel. And I mean,
there've been some interesting comments from the Israeli right in the last 24 to 48 hours,
and I just wanted to see what you make of all of these developments.
Does this signal maybe the next chapter in the United States' relationship with Israel?
Is Israel realizing sort of the hardcore Israeli right, realizing that maybe they want to disentangle from the United States as well?
I mean, basically, what's the reaction been like the last 24 or 48 hours politically from Israel?
Well, you know, I mean, last week you saw Mariam Adelson, who is a U.S. and Israeli citizen.
Her husband, of course, was Sheldon Adelson. She gave $100 million to Trump's re-election
effort in the last election cycle. And she owns a newspaper
in Israel. And that paper really was kind of fanning the flames of this, the idea that there
are indications that the Trump administration is sort of kicking Netanyahu under the bus,
is distancing itself from Israel. I think we should be really careful about embracing that
narrative too much. There's a big picture here, which is that Trump's agenda
is an extremely pro-Israel agenda. He puts Mike Huckabee in as the ambassador. Their rhetoric
on the West Bank indicates that they're moving toward recognizing a full Israeli annexation of
the West Bank. We could talk for hours about the ways in which the Trump administration has
facilitated Netanyahu's agenda, including taking the leash off and letting Netanyahu go scorched earth ever since March 18th,
killing upwards of 2,600 Palestinians, many of them women and children, including really
indiscriminate attacks on camps housed by housing displaced persons. But on a micro level, yes, Emily, there's something really
interesting going on, which is that Donald Trump, of course, is a transactional guy. He also thinks
very highly of himself. He thinks very highly of his legacy. And he is right now on his way in a
day to the Middle East where he's going to meet with Saudi Arabia and try to secure this more
than trillion dollar deal that involves weapons sales and other economic matters. Similar deal being made with
the United Arab Emirates. Of course, there's going to be a lot of focus on the airplane that Qatar
is reportedly going to be giving Trump. Trump seems to really want the Gaza war to be done.
He called it a brutal war and said that it's time to wrap it up in that
Truth Social post that you cited earlier. So I think what we're seeing here is have no illusion
about the fact that Donald Trump wants to facilitate a horrifying agenda on behalf of
the Israelis. But on the technical aspects where Netanyahu starts to mess with, let's just say,
America's business as Trump views it, which is also Trump's business and his family's business, then I think we have some space that opens up
where people like Witkoff and Adam Bowler become quite interesting to the Palestinian negotiators.
And I've said on this show many times before, and I'll say it again, there is a chance that
Trump's interests align enough with stopping that war that it benefits the Palestinians of Gaza who have endured a horrifying genocide under both Biden and Trump.
How does this square with the reporting we saw last week from Reuters that there were high level discussions centered around a U.S. occupation of Gaza that would be based on the Iraq government, you know, our occupation of Iraq after and during the Iraq war.
How does how do these talks square with that square with Trump previously floating?
You know, we're going to clear out all of the Palestinians.
We're going to let the world's people be in Gaza.
You know, his big real estate development plans there.
How are you making sense of those things?
And how are the Hamas officials you're speaking with making sense of those things?
Yeah, I mean, this morning I was communicating with a leader within the Palestinian armed
resistance. And he was saying, look, Hamas is taking a gamble here by making this deal for
Edan Alexander because they're not getting anything on paper in return that we know of.
None of my sources have said that the U.S. committed to anything. And the calculus
here on their part relates to what I was saying earlier. They feel that their best shot right now
is to try to accentuate the divisions on a tactical level between Netanyahu and Trump
in the hopes that Trump then will ultimately force Netanyahu to end the war. That's the gamble that
Hamas has taken.
Their broader position is we will not release a single Israeli captive unless there is a
deal that leads to a permanent ceasefire and the full withdrawal of Israeli forces.
I spoke to a senior Hamas official last week about these aid plans that you're talking
about, and he said no one has consulted with us about this.
We're not involved with this.
And the dime's worth of difference between the Israeli position and Trump's position on how aid should be administered ultimately plays to Israel's agenda. 89 years old, incredibly unpopular, is viewed by Hamas and in fact, many Palestinians as a
collaborator with Israel, it's possible that Trump is going to try to make some deal that
circumvents both Israel and Hamas and Islamic Jihad and try to say, well, we're going to make
a deal with Mahmoud Abbas. There's a lot of complicated politics behind that. So I would
say, Crystal, that what Trump is trying to do
with his proposal for having a so-called NGO, which really isn't an NGO, it seems, as you
indicated, it's more like a Paul Bremer coalition provisional authority type Iraq 2.0. What Trump
is sort of trying to do is get enough aid to say, I'm doing something into the country,
but not really linking it to an end to the war, which ultimately is what Netanyahu wants. So, you know, let's see. I mean, Hamas, I think,
has shown an ability to really hold out despite the massive human consequences. And I don't see
them just folding because Donald Trump wants photo ops in the Middle East. I think we're still in for
quite a battle, both diplomatically and potentially militarily on the
ground. Net, look, Net, what Netanyahu has responded to all of this in public, you know,
all of these reports, uh, about Trump and Hamas, Trump and Ansar Al-Allah, uh, Ansar Al-Allah in,
in Yemen as, as sort of, uh, saying, well, we're going to go in and conquer all of Gaza.
We're going to take all of Gaza. We're going to force the Palestinians into the South. And then we're going to have to try to figure out what third countries are going to take
them. So he's really telegraphing. I want to continue this genocide. The question is, is Trump
willing to actually rein him in in a in a serious way? Or is Trump going to try to have it both
ways, let it be a little bit calmer for some months, and then it all blows up again, which
is basically what happened with the January ceasefire deal.
And it seems like a lot of that rides on what he hears from Steve Witkoff. So we can go ahead and
roll B2B on the screen. These were celebrations from Palestinians in the aftermath of the news.
You can see this on your screen. This is a spontaneous march that was in Gaza City after the announcement yesterday.
And when that's finished, we can put B3 on the screen.
This is from Steve Witkoff.
It is a drop site tweet noting that Israel's Channel 12 reported that Steve Witkoff's meeting with hostage families,
he said that basically, quote, Israel is prolonging the war even though there's no path forward,
which is what a lot of the hostage families actually already believe as well. So, Jeremy,
this brings us to the momentum, at least, if people are looking for a glimmer of good news.
The momentum is at least in a positive direction towards a ceasefire. But what could a potential
timeline look like? I mean, if we put B4 on the
screen, Jeremy, you had, and we talked to you about this last week, you had an interview with
a top Hamas official last week in dropside on May 5th. So you have a sense of what might be on the
table right now. In the next week or so, while there is this sense of momentum, what could maybe what is the best case scenario?
What is the worst case scenario?
I mean, you know, first of all, it really is heartbreaking.
And this has happened a number of times over the past 19 months when Palestinians in Gaza hear any sort of good news or something that feels like a step forward.
You know, people people are so desperate for an end to this that they do go into
the streets and they do celebrate. And sometimes it's real and sometimes the deal is in the works.
And other times, Israel just responds by escalating the attacks. I mean, just in the last 24 hours,
we've had a couple of dozen Palestinians, most of them women and children, killed in
heavy attacks that were conducted by Israel. So, you know, on that
front, it continues to be very heartbreaking, but understandable why people are so desperate for
this. On the issue of Witkoff, Witkoff is saying what is basic common sense now among the families
of Israeli captives and that they've been saying for a very long time. So from their perspective,
you now have an American official in Steve Witkoff and to a degree in Donald Trump
that are willing to openly criticize Netanyahu for not prioritizing the freedom of Israeli captives.
This is a departure from the way Antony Blinken or people in the Biden administration were
conducting themselves. They were very reluctant to publicly criticize Netanyahu. At the end of
the day, I think the best case scenario is that the United States recognizes that Netanyahu. At the end of the day, I think the best case scenario is that
the United States recognizes that Netanyahu's agenda is totally counter to what would be good
for the United States in the world, is totally counter to what would be good for stability in
the region. And that means actually being willing to speak with organizations and movements like
Hamas, because whatever one thinks about Hamas,
they were the last democratically elected government in Gaza. They're not particularly
happy about continuing to be the government. But if you are able to work with them to try to
stabilize the situation, I think that we would find that the Middle East would, that there would
be steps in the right direction. And that Donald Trump's sort of accidental way in which he could end up making
a deal ends up being a good case scenario because it ends war, because it gives some
opening to talk.
The worst case scenario is that Trump is very crassly and cravenly trying to secure these
deals, give the facade that he actually wants peace, and at the end of the day, washing
his hands of it and allowing the Netanyahu's and the Mike and at the end of the day, washing his hands of it
and allowing the Netanyahu's and the Mike Huckabees of the world
to determine what American policy is going to be.
That would be a catastrophic series of events.
I think it's more likely we'll have some sort of a deal.
Whether that deal is going to be acceptable to the Palestinians
and make it more likely that they're going to get liberation or self-determination
is a very, very serious question that remains unanswerable right now.
To that point, Jeremy, if it ends up that Hamas committing to demilitarize,
if that ends up being a red line, where are they on that question?
You know, I mean, it often gets thrown around in the media in a simplistic way. What does it
actually mean?
Let's not just talk about Hamas.
In a broader sense among Palestinians, the idea that Palestinians are supposed to just hand in all weapons and trust that the world is going to somehow keep Netanyahu or Israel
at bay is a farce that history shows is a total lie.
So it's not just about, oh, Hamas has some weapons stored
somewhere that they want to use to go attack Israel. We're talking about the very existence
of the Palestinian people. There have been suggestions that if there's a hudna, the Arabic
term for a long-term truce, that Hamas would be willing to make concessions on how weapons would
be stored, how weapons would be held. But right now,
they're not really engaging much with that discussion outside of a technical framework
that results in a U.S. guaranteed end to the genocide and full withdrawal of Israeli forces.
So, of course, Hamas is going to say this is a million red lines at present, but the devil will
be in the details. If the international community ensured that
Palestinians were going to have sovereignty and were going to be able to constitute an armed force
capable of defending its territorial integrity, then I think that the rationale for groups like
Hamas or Islamic Jihad having the weapons goes away. When people get their freedom and they get
their stability, they don't need to be engaged in resistance movements,
armed resistance movements. That's the core of the story. So from their perspective,
weapons aren't the issue. The issue is their rights as a people. And you can make the resistance movements irrelevant by respecting the rights of Palestinians as all other people in the world
are supposed to have under international law. And go ahead, Crystal.
Last question for you, Jeremy. We're about to talk about the Air Force One replacement from Qatar
and the extraordinary corruption of this administration.
But I wanted to get your opinion on, you know,
the reason why Qatar wants to gift this plane to the Trump administration
and how that ties into the various negotiations that are going on here.
I mean, I have no idea what the actual,
if there's like a specific policy motivation for it. But, you know, Donald Trump, the store of
Donald Trump's presidency is wide open for business. And that's very clear. You know,
Qatar is obviously an increasingly powerful player in international diplomacy. It is a major figure
in the Gaza negotiations, but also in other regional issues. So, you know, Qatar is subjected
to a lot of smears. Qatar also is playing its own game here and recognizes that it is increasingly
an influential player. And I think that it's symbolic of the fact that we have a man in the
White House who views the White House as a business that can benefit himself and his family. And,
you know, at the end of the day, maybe we'll do something good for America. But let's be clear
about it. Donald Trump is an open store ready for more business. Yeah, I know Ryan was pointing out
on Twitter that in the first Trump administration, there was apparently some sort of real estate
bailout that Jared Kushner's dad was looking for from Qatar, and they declined. And then they felt
that they really screwed up by not just, you know, giving the, you know, the Trump administration
whatever grift and gift and corruption that they were asking for at the time. So apparently they
learned that lesson. Yeah, I mean, it is extraordinary.
It's Presidency Inc., you know, no doubt about it.
But, you know, I'll just go back to actually what Hamas people have told me.
They recognize all of that.
And they realize in that kind of specific kind of kind of institutional corruption,
there may be opportunity to accidentally get something better than they would have gotten,
you know, from the adults in the room under Biden.
And I think they're right.
Who were ideological, committed Zionists.
So we'll see where all of this goes.
Jeremy, thank you so much for taking the time to break it all down for us.
Great to see you.
Thank you, as always.
Camp Shane, one of America's longest-running
weight loss camps for kids,
promised extraordinary results.
Campers who began the
summer in heavy bodies were often unrecognizable when they left. In a society obsessed with being
thin, it seemed like a miracle solution. But behind Camp Shane's facade of happy, transformed
children was a dark underworld of sinister secrets. Kids were being pushed to their physical
and emotional limits as the family that owned
Shane turned a blind eye. Nothing about that camp was right. It was really actually like a horror
movie. In this eight-episode series, we're unpacking and investigating stories of mistreatment
and re-examining the culture of fatphobia that enabled a flawed system to continue for so long.
You can listen to all episodes of Camp Shame one week early
and totally ad-free on iHeart True Crime Plus.
So don't wait.
Head to Apple Podcasts and subscribe today.
DNA test proves he is not the father.
Now I'm taking the inheritance.
Wait a minute, John.
Who's not the father?
Well, Sam, luckily it's your not the father week
on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon.
This author writes,
My father-in-law is trying to steal the family fortune worth millions from my son, even though it was promised to us.
Now I find out he's trying to give it to his irresponsible son instead, but I have DNA proof that could get the money back.
Hold up. So what are they going to do to get those millions back? That's so unfair.
Well, the author writes that her husband found out the truth from a DNA test they were gifted
two years ago. Scandalous.
But the kids kept their mom's secret that
whole time. Oh my god. And the real
kicker, the author wants to reveal
this terrible secret, even if that
means destroying her husband's family in the process.
So, do they get the millions of dollars
back, or does she keep the family's terrible
secret? Well, to hear the explosive finale,
listen to the OK Storytime podcast
on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast,
or wherever you get your podcasts.
Have you ever thought about going voiceover?
I'm Hope Woodard, a comedian, creator,
and seeker of male validation.
To most people, I'm the girl behind voiceover,
the movement that exploded in 2024. VoiceOver is about understanding yourself outside of sex and relationships. It's more than personal. It's political, it's societal, and at times, it's far from what I originally intended it to be. These days, I'm interested in expanding what it means to be voiceover, to make it customizable
for anyone who feels the need to explore their relationship to relationships. I'm talking to
a lot of people who will help us think about how we love each other. It's a very, very normal
experience to have times where a relationship is prioritizing other parts of that relationship
that aren't
being naked together. How we love our family. I've spent a lifetime trying to get my mother
to love me, but the price is too high. And how we love ourselves. Singleness is not a waiting room.
You are actually at the party right now. Let me hear it.
Listen to Boy Sober on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Well, as we just mentioned in our conversation with Jeremy, if we put B6 on the screen,
news broke yesterday that—kind of the details of this news broke yesterday, to be clear. Some of
this we kind of already knew, but then Jonathan Karl at ABC broke the story open, and there were some follow-up reports that Qatar is essentially giving the United States the gift of a, to be fair, beautiful luxury plane.
They call it a flying palace.
A flying palace.
And Semaphore has pictures of it, and it is indeed a flying palace.
They came out with that, I think, late last night or earlier this morning. Actually, we have some pictures here. If you put B7 on the
screen, we can go through them. So the way this arrangement is going to work is basically that
you have the plane being gifted to the Department of Defense, used as Air Force One because this will come as a shock to no one. Boeing has been
mired in delays and all kinds of problems with their efforts to rehaul the plane for the
president. So this is what you're seeing side by side on the screen. Last week, the Trump
organization unveiled a new $5.5 billion golf resort project in Qatar. Today, ABC reports that Qatar is set to gift Trump a $400 million
luxury Boeing 747. And then if you're looking at those things side by side, Crystal, the dates are
just incredible. April 29th and then May 11th. Not even two weeks later. And the true story of
this, like how Qatar has worked out this deal with the United States government, the details are still
a little bit unclear. We do know that Pam Bondi, who is the obviously sitting attorney in general,
she used to be a lobbyist for Qatar.
She was at Ballard Partners.
And what she was doing, the filing, you can look at the filing,
it was to help Qatar basically improve its approach to human trafficking. It was in the lead-up to the
World Cup. She left and then came back and re-picked up the contract. But it was to help
them message and deal with the United States, all of that stuff as it pertained to human trafficking.
So we just have a web here of conflicts of interest. And before I toss over—
She was making $115K a month working for Qatar.
Those Qatar contracts are good, which is why Kash Patel, Lee Zeldin, and Pam Bondi are members of the Trump administration who have previously taken money from Qatar before going into the administration.
This is an intercept story back from February that
I highly recommend everyone read. Obviously, Qatar is sort of infamous for doing this with
Western countries. But this is, the arrangement of this, the Trump administration says,
put BIA on the screen. This is the actual text of the emoluments clause, which Crystal demanded we
put up on the screen. She was like during the Tea Party,
like the libertarians walking around with their pocket constitutions.
That's right. Pull out your pocket constitution, friends. This is the emoluments clause.
So the way they're getting around it with the gift of the Boeing 747-8 is that it is going to
the Defense Department. So the emoluments clause prevents gifts to rulers, officers,
or representatives. So Crystal, their way around that is saying it is a gift to the Defense Department.
From what we can tell—
And then it's being given to the Trump Presidential Library.
Yes, yes.
So it will only ever benefit him.
It's not like whoever the next president is, AOC or J.D. Vance probably, is going to benefit from it.
It's just going to be Trump.
But technically, because it's going to the Defense Department, not directly to the person of him,
that's how they're getting around it.
In a memo authored by Pam Bondi, who had previously been paid hundreds of thousands of dollars by Qatar.
Yes, exactly.
And so, Crystal, this is their way around it, is saying that it is a gift not to the president himself, but to, A, the Department of Defense, which Cutter says is just temporary.
So, you know, the next three years, temporary, quote unquote, and then it goes to the Trump library.
So in neither of those cases is it going directly to Donald Trump.
That's the line.
Okay.
Yeah.
I mean, it's so cliche to say at this point, but imagine if Barack Obama, you know, and,
you know, so many Republicans, too, they, you know, they consider Qatar to be just like
an agent of Hamas and, you know, run by terror, like the language around Qatar that comes
from the right.
And then to have them making this extraordinary, just brazen gift of corruption,
this $400 million plane to Donald Trump is, I mean, what can you even say about it? This is what I was
referring to with Jeremy, what Ryan said on Twitter, which I think is good sort of like context
for how this and why this all is happening. He says, during Trump won, Jared Kushner's dad shook
down Qatar for a real estate bailout. Qatar turned him down.
The U.S. then let Saudi Arabia and the UAE blockade Qatar, and they very nearly invaded.
Secretary Tillerson tried to stop them and defend Qatar, where the U.S. has a major military base.
But Kushner intervened against Qatar.
Qatari officials told us at the time they understood it all to be payback for not making the investment and said if they'd have known the consequences, they would have just paid it. Clearly, they've learned from last time. And that's where you are
is like, you know, it's very clear he's for sale to the highest bidder. So they're like, okay,
you have this. He's always had this fixation on Air Force One and wanting a new Air Force One
and upgrading Air Force One, blah, blah, blah. So they picked up on this and they're like, okay,
well, we can play that game too. Yeah. Trump put out a truth social on it as well. And yeah, it's just completely, the word is
shameless. So he says, so the fact that the defense department is getting a gift free of charge of a
747 aircraft to replace the 40-year-old Air Force One temporarily in a very public and transparent
transaction so bothers the crooked Democrats that they insist we pay top dollar for the plane.
Anybody can do that. The Dems are world-class losers. MAGA. Crystal, so this introduces an
interesting question, which is, to his point, they are so shameless about this. We are just seeing it transpire completely nakedly in public.
So maybe there's a benefit in a weird way to Trumpism, which is literally just we are treating—Jeremy just said this, actually, when we had him on.
We are treating the American government as a business, and we're doing it out in the open in ways that other presidents hadn't previously done it.
So I guess it's A, on another level of just money going back and forth.
But B, at least we get some more insights into it as it happens.
I'm sorry.
I can't get on board with the positives of the American presidency being for sale to the highest bidder.
I mean, and that truly is what it is.
And I think, you know, to zoom out to the meta perspective,
because you see these things, you see this,
you see, I will never get over the Trump crypto coin
and the way that that is just a direct pipeline for bribery.
And it has already been utilized.
We don't even know by how many people
and to what ends, we have no clue. So to the point
about, you know, oh, at least it's transparent. It's not transparent. We know that the vast
majority of the largest purchasers of Trump shitcoin are foreign nationals. We have no idea
who they are, what they want or what they're going to ask for when they get their little private
dinner with him. We know that some people who are involved in various crypto scams have used that
in order to get their enforcement dropped against them. So, you know, I think you have such a brazen
ramping up of outright theft, corruption and bribery in this administration. And it can
sometimes boggle the mind as to why there isn't just this mass public reaction
against it.
Because obviously,
the public is disgusted
with corruption.
And I do think
that it's this thing
where, number one,
it's just become
sort of accepted with Trump.
Like, well, yeah,
he's just what it is.
And number two...
Because he ran on it.
I know the system.
I alone can fix it.
Blah, blah, blah.
Well, he ran on draining the swamp. He did not run on I'm going to be the swamp times one million.
But I think because he just does these things out in the open and because there are so much to get outraged about, people get sort of fatigued over it and it just becomes kind of like baked into the cake. I think that's number one with regard to him. But number two, I do think because you have this sense and reality of a granted much lower level, but still
significant and outrageous and unacceptable levels of corruption that have been endemic in the
American government across both parties for so long, it's hard to make plain how much of a
different scale we're talking about here.
You know, even if you consider what I think are, you know, some of the most grotesque
abuses like the insider trading of Nancy Pelosi and things of that nature, that cannot come
close to getting a direct $400 million gift from a foreign government.
It doesn't come close to getting literally billions.
I mean, I saw recently a huge percentage of Trump's net worth is now because of his crypto coin, which is just about overt bribery.
It's a huge chunk.
In history, there is nothing that compares to this level of corruption. corruption that was already endemic to the American presidency and American politics with the floodgates being opened under Citizens United and how big money flows and courses through the
veins of our political system, I think it becomes very difficult for people to really wrap their
minds around how much of a different scale we're talking about here with Donald Trump.
Yeah, no, I mean, I think that's true. And I was sort of being tongue-in-cheek earlier, so forgive me for that. I mean, it is, with Trump, kind of interesting to see his justification for these things as they happen, that he is merely getting the Trump plane, or he's merely getting the plane back when Boeing couldn't to that is to make Boeing get its shit together.
You have all of the, as Trump would say, you have the cards. Make Boeing get its shit together. But yeah, I mean, I think with him, it's easy to, I guess, forget that he can say these things are
transparent. What we do not know is what's happening behind closed doors. So Ryan putting
out that point about the Kushner family and Rex Tillerson, a lot of that is known in retrospect after the first Trump
administration. A lot of the, like even the broad contours of that, we understand post-presidency.
There's always, there are always things happening that we don't know about. And right now, Donald
Trump is going to the Middle East. He's attempting to broker a ceasefire. He's attempting to calm tensions. But how you get from point A to point B, we would be foolish to think that we
know everything that is being negotiated with Qatar and with other countries that also may be
engaged in soft levels of corruption. And by the way, I don't know that this will actually be called illegal.
Like I don't know that this will, I'm sure it'll be challenged in court.
Yeah. I don't know that they'll actually, I think, I think they have found a pretty good loophole here legally,
but it's obviously on its face corrupt.
So something not technically being against, there are things all the time, like actually a lot of the stock trades that happen,
you just mentioned Nancy Pelosi. Yeah. A lot of the stuff,
sometimes they don't comply with the law, but a lot of the stock trades that happen, you just mentioned Nancy Pelosi. Yeah. A lot of the stuff, sometimes they don't comply with the law, but a lot of the stuff actually is compliant with the law.
They're trading and they disclose it, but it's still completely unethical.
Well, the Supreme Court has made it basically so that, you know, corruption or bribery literally has to be like, I am taking this bag of money from you in exchange for this thing, which I then actually accomplish. I mean, they have narrowed it extraordinarily so that, you know, the general baseline level
of corruption in D.C. is wildly unethical, to your point. Yes. But much of it not illegal.
And so in terms of how the courts will view this particularly, I have no idea. You know,
I haven't read any legal analyses of what direction they could go in with this.
But I think it's important to think about why the Malumens Clause is in the Constitution.
And it's because, listen, zooming out from, look, it may end up that the $400 million plane here actually helps secure a better deal for the Palestinians and ends in a place where I'm glad that they, you know, that the thumb was put on
the scale in that direction, that we're a long way from that. As opposed to Democrats taking a
bunch of money from AIPAC and then pretending that they are unbiased. Well, he's got, on the other
side, he's got Miriam Adelson giving him $100 million. So maybe the $400 million plane, you
know, comes out in the back. I don't know. But I'm just saying, zoom out from these particular details.
You don't want an American president to be operating foreign policy based on what is in their own personal financial interests. The ideal here is that you want them to be representing the
interests of the country, not the interests of their own bank account. And with Trump,
this has always been a problem because his business obviously has tentacles all around the world.
You raise the element here of they just did a business deal in Qatar as well.
He's got the Saudi live golf deal, real estate developments all over the place.
Gaza, he wants to be a real estate development.
Apparently, yeah.
And the level of foreign entanglements with this president has always been extraordinary, always really truly been unprecedented, I think, in American history. I don't think there's any parallel that
you could really point to with this. And now you layer on top of that just these totally outright
brazen bribery schemes. In Trump 1.0, you had the Trump Hotel. And the way to get in his good
graces here in D.C. was to come with your foreign delegation and book a large block of rooms and
spend wildly and lavishly at Trump Hotel. That was your way to signal, you know, that you were
helping him out personally and financially with the crypto coin. And then that's just like brazen
fierce 400 million dollar luxury palace in the sky plane that we know that you'll be really excited
about. Those things are, you know, are just on steroids in a way that we could not have possibly imagined.
And you can never know when he's making decisions, are these actually the decisions he thinks are good for the American people, American interests, and good for, you know, whatever goals we would want to establish?
Or is this just about who came in as the highest bidder?
Well, and it's also not about money.
Like, this is, it shouldn't be about money.
Foreign policy shouldn't just be about money, obviously. And that's another problem with this is, you know, the blend in his true social post, I think is genuinely a very interesting glimpse into how he views these things. It is
this Trumpian pragmatism, which is that it's not corruption. It's this pragmatic way to get around
Boeing and do what's in the best interest of the United States. And how could you possibly
be upset about that? But it's not just about getting a new plane. It's about what Qatar
thinks it's getting for giving you the new plane. And that's why we talked about this on the show
last week. The problem with conflicts of interest, which we cover here all the time, whether it's
Republicans or Democrats, is the appearance of the conflict of interest. It is not merely whether someone acts
in a way that exposes their conflict. It's actually, this is what the United States
for a long time was at least slightly better than some other countries in,
actually cracking down on the appearance of conflict of interest. And by the way,
I said slightly better. The bar in global politics for this is low, such as the nature of humanity.
But we used to take that much more seriously.
And now there's just a complete shamelessness to it, at least around Trump.
And I mean, I hope that Democrats being scandalized by this and even like the center and everyone basically being scandalized by this.
Laura Loomer is also scandalized by this.
As it would be consistent.
And so I hope people being scandalized by this
means that in the post-Trump era,
we go back to being scandalized by these things in general
because it really is the appearance
that gives other countries the idea
that maybe something happened,
that he can be bought,
that the United States can be bought.
That in and of itself, just the appearance of it,
whether or not he actually
acts in their interest. I mean, obviously it's worse if he does, but the appearance in and of
itself is part of the problem here because it erodes the reputation of the United States and
it erodes the credibility of whatever deal is ultimately reached. And that's the sort of
long-term damage. Obviously, I'm worried about the immediate damage
with the Trump presidency,
but I also am worried about the long-term damage
because typically when these things get put on the table,
then you don't walk back from it.
Like what president, future president,
Republican or Democrat,
is gonna look at the opportunity
to become massively wealthy
and take these sorts of corrupt bribes from foreign
countries and is going to turn away from that. You're talking about people who are, you know,
extraordinarily ambitious and power hungry who ascend to those levels. So I think that post-Trump,
I think it's going to take more than just a sort of return of norms. I think you're going to have
to codify. You're going to have to have some
new laws. Like, you know, post-Watergate, post-Nixon, there was a rash of legislation
that was meant to ensure, okay, we're not doing that again. We need to return to good governance.
Some of that was campaign finance reform, by the way, that has been, you know, completely destroyed
and decimated by this point. But you're going to need some actual like legal teeth and legislation
to put this toothpaste back in the tube. Yeah, no, I think that's right. I think we saw that
with Joe Biden refusing to acknowledge his mental capacity after Trump won and a lot of establishment
Democrats helping him cover up the state of his health, no matter what they say now. I think a
lot of it was because of the first Trump administration, which, by the way, we have to acknowledge in and of itself, Donald Trump was
elected because of, in part, Clinton corruption, because people were so disgusted by Clinton
corruption. So we can keep pulling back the layers on this. But there has never been. I mean,
Clinton Foundation, I think, was utterly egregious. I think Joe Biden's part in the Hunter Biden and Frank Biden and James Biden and Valerie Biden lobbying scheme was grotesque.
I think it was undercover.
All of that is true.
But on the scale of what's happening with Donald Trump, you mentioned the net worth.
I looked that up while we were talking.
CBS reported on it.
This is a Norm Eisen, Richard Painter thing from sort of left of center nonprofits.
So take that for what you will.
But they estimate the Trump family's net worth has increased by 2.9 billion because of the crypto
holdings. And that represents about 40 percent of Trump's net worth. 40 percent of his net worth.
So this is a man who has spent decades in business. These meme coins launched in January.
We're five months in and 40 percent of his net worth is now tied up in those meme coins. This
is remarkable.
Remarkable.
Tells you everything right there.
That statistic.
DNA test proves he is not the father.
Now I'm taking the inheritance.
Wait a minute, John. Who's not the father? Well, Sam, luckily it's your not the father. Now I'm taking the inheritance. Wait a minute, John.
Who's not the father?
Well, Sam, luckily, it's You're Not the Father Week on the OK Storytime podcast,
so we'll find out soon.
This author writes,
My father-in-law is trying to steal the family fortune worth millions from my son,
even though it was promised to us.
He's trying to give it to his irresponsible son,
but I have DNA proof that could get the money back.
Hold up.
They could lose their family and millions of dollars?
Yep.
Find out how it ends by listening to the OK Storytime podcast on the iHeartRadio app,
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