Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 6/19/25: Trump Approves Iran Attack, Trump Ices Tulsi, Israel Censors Damage, Israel Low On Interceptors
Episode Date: June 19, 2025Krystal and Saagar discuss Trump approves Iran attack, Trump ices Tulsi over nuke warning, Israel censors damage as interceptors run low. Sohrab Ahmari: https://x.com/SohrabAhmari ...To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.comMerch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Hey guys, Sagar and Crystal here.
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Hello everybody happy Thursday another day another day that we're at least not yet offensively involved in this war
But all signs not pointing in particularly good direction. What do we have crystal?
Yeah, we've got all the latest obviously Trump made a bunch of comments yesterday in the Oval Office
So we'll show you a mashup of that and everything else that we can pull for you to give you
an indication of where things may be headed.
We're also taking a look at DNI Tulsi Gabbard and what is being reported as an increasingly
strained relationship in the White House.
Some interesting things to dig into there.
Inside of Israel, they are ratcheting up the censorship.
In fact, we have a report this morning that an Al Jazeera photographer was detained over
daring to show some of the missile damage
that Iran was able to inflict.
Also, a hospital inside of Israel was struck,
and there's a bunch of other details there too
for us to get into.
The full Tucker versus Ted Cruz interview is out.
We've got a bunch of clips for you.
I know you've already seen Ryan and Emily
covered a few of them.
There's a number more that are, if anything, even more extraordinary.
So we'll break those down for you.
I think you'll enjoy watching all of that.
I certainly did.
We also have pulled the latest polling to try to read the tea leaves about how
people feel about potential offensive war, like us getting directly, directly
involved in terms of war with Iran.
So some very contradictory indications there.
Sohrab Amari is going to join us.
He wrote a fantastic piece about what people should know about Iran
and how a regime change or regime collapse would go, would likely go,
given his extensive knowledge of that nation.
And we had to get to this one.
Obama has joined the chat.
He has some comments to offer us from on high.
So you always have to pay attention to that.
The great sage, Obama has joined the chat. He has some comments to offer us from on high. So you always have to pay attention to that.
The great sage, the great sage has decided
to descend back amongst his people and to issue an edict.
He thinks he's like a pope or something like that
and not an elected leader.
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We really, really appreciate it.
But yeah, let's go ahead and get to the latest comments, what we know right now from Donald
Trump.
Yeah, so Trump making a bunch of different statements, some of them somewhat contradictory.
Let's go ahead and take a listen to a bit of what he had to say.
They should have made the deal.
I had a great deal for them. They should have made the deal. I had a great deal for them.
They should have made that deal.
60 days we talked about it and in the end they decided not to do it and now they wish
they did it.
And they want to meet, but it's a little late to meet, but they want to meet and they want
to come to the White House.
So they've been coming to the White House.
So we'll see.
I may do that, but it's a shame.
It could have been done the easy way.
And it's interesting, because I did ask Tucker,
I said, well, are you okay with nuclear weapons
being in the hands of Iran?
And he sort of didn't like that.
He didn't want to, but he sort of didn't like that.
And I said, well, if it's okay with you,
then you and I do have a difference.
But it's really not okay with him.
Therefore, you may have to fight, and maybe it'll end,
and maybe it'll end very quickly.
But there's no way that you can allow,
whether you have to fight or not,
you can allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon
because the entire world will blow up.
He said I was going back home to make a ceasefire. Not a ceasefire.
We're long beyond ceasefire. And I said, why do you say that? Why would you say ceasefire?
It's a bad term to use. Because a ceasefire means like everything's going swimmingly,
we'll take a little time off. It's not. We're not looking for a ceasefire. We're looking
for a total complete victory. Again, you know what the victory is.
No nuclear weapon.
It's Iran and their proxies who have threatened to retaliate against you and your team by
killing you guys or taking out Soleimani.
Well, they haven't done that.
And that would be a terrible thing for them to do, not because of me. If they did that, they would be obliterated. That would be a terrible thing for them to do, not because of me.
If they did that, they would be obliterated.
That would be the end.
I've left instructions.
It's about anybody.
They even suggested they come to the White House.
It's a big difference.
But they've suggested that they come to the White House.
That's courageous, but it's not easy for them to do.
So he says there he wants total and complete victory.
And we could actually jump ahead to A2,
some of the latest reporting.
And guys, I want you to take everything
that comes out of his mouth,
comes out of literally any media outlet
with a million grains of salt,
because all of this is incredibly strategic.
Is it the truth?
Is it not the truth? Who knows? But this is incredibly strategic. Is it the truth?
Is it not the truth?
Who knows?
But this is information that the White House wanted to be put out there.
Trump privately approved of attack plans for Iran but has withheld the final order.
President Trump told senior aides late Tuesday he approved of attack plans for Iran, was
holding off to see if Tehran would abandon its nuclear program.
People familiar with the deliberation said Iran's well-defended Fordow enrichment facility is a possible US target buried under a mountain, generally considered by military experts to be out of reach of all but the most powerful bombs.
So, Sagar, that is the latest in terms of White House statements.
Look, nobody knows. And this is the thing with Trump himself, you know, simultaneously he's saying, let's go ahead and invite the Iranians to the White House.
The Iranian mission at the United Nations denied that report, saying that actually that's
not happening.
We do know the Iranian foreign minister has been in somewhat intermittent communication
with Steve Witkoff to what end, again, very unclear.
There was two planes that took off yesterday from Tehran to Doha carrying some Iranian
negotiators.
There's been no announcement from the United States
that Steve Wittkopf is meeting with them.
The Iranian foreign minister will meet
with European Union foreign ministers today at some point
in a public forum and Iran has requested a meeting
at the UN Security Council, basically to connect.
None of that is going to necessarily do anything
but we knew that there's some diplomacy.
Basically every single day that the sun rises on Tehran,
I'm like, okay, maybe, but at the same time,
you do see some very troubling statements here
from the president, and let's just put,
this whole Trump has greenlit the attack
but hasn't given the final order.
I mean, let's listen very carefully
to the words that he is saying.
He's saying, clearly, I want unconditional surrender.
Unconditional surrender to Donald Trump means,
say, he said, put your hands up and say,
I've had enough and let us bomb your nuclear facilities.
That's his version of unconditional surrender.
Not even saying put your hands up and saying,
okay, fine, we agree not to enrich
any more uranium whatsoever.
And we can get into the whole IAEA thing
and all of that if we would like to, but this
is a very important point.
And here again, I ask for strategic empathy.
This is not in any way empathetic on a personal level to the Iranian regime.
The Iranian regime participated in a nuclear deal with Obama that was thrown out.
Then they participated, maybe in good faith, maybe not, but at least in some serious negotiations
with the United States of America.
And then our president basically publicly acclaimed that those negotiations were a ruse
for an Israeli military campaign.
Now as we know right now, the Iranian nuclear program has been degraded, but is in no way
shut down.
So put yourself in that situation where you're being asked for, quote, unconditional surrender
when your regime is basically under attack
These are all Israeli military action at this point points in only one direction, which is straight-up regime change
We saw everybody yesterday
All of those strikes that you know the hacking of their broadcast systems that which will show everybody in a little bit
But I just think we should all put that together and say look
It's pretty clear here that the Ayatollah
doesn't have a lot of political maneuver
in terms of the validity of his own regime
to accept some sort of unconditional surrender.
And Israel actually came out with a public statement
telling the United States there is no need to negotiate.
Right, telling us what to do.
So I think we should put all that together.
Look, I mean, there is a box
that we have been painted in now by the Israelis.
There has, it's probably never made more sense for Iran
to sprint to a nuclear weapon than right now,
because that would be the only credible deterrence
that they have.
So they have sped up the calculus,
both on their part and on our part.
Again, this is not, like, this is not to say this is good or bad.
This is just purely analytical, and we can look through a lot of history to show us why
various actors might act in a certain way.
So you put all that together, and I continue to think I do not see a way out for offensive
military action.
I just don't. it would genuinely have to be
a true black swan event.
And then we also have to think about the Iranians.
I mean, at this point, if you did, you know,
accept so-called unconditional surrender,
I mean, what would stop Israel
from attacking you in the future?
You have no credible deterrent threat.
You're just a rump state.
And actually you're ripe for takeover from within
because what segment of the Iranian military
or hardliners would even accept that level of humiliation
on a national level?
I mean, you really do have to put all this together
and be like, look, everybody's acting rationally,
like in their own interest.
Baby's doing this to preserve his coalition
and because he wants America to support him.
America, you know, Trump says,
I don't want them to have any nuclear weapon
and Iran is like, well, you've boxed this into a corner
and right now there's only one regime on the planet
threatened by the United States for having a nuclear weapon
that survives to this day.
Its name is North Korea.
Why does it survive?
Because it has a nuclear weapon.
You know, the logic of it all is circular
and it all points to war.
Yeah, skip ahead to A6.
This is Ken Klippenstein's report about regime change
and according to Ken, you know,
the decision has already been made.
He says, Trump here, Trump secretly greenlit Iran war.
Israel wants regime change.
The US is fine with that according to his sources.
I spoke with Ken yesterday to see if he had any updates here and he said, listen, it's
possible that Trump decides that he, rather than the US being directly offensively involved,
loads Israel up with all the weapons they would need and just lets them do it.
And it kind of depends, and this is like the insanity of this particular president, it
kind of depends on if he thinks that it'll look like cool and tough
for it to be us doing it,
or whether he wants to just let the Israelis handle it.
In the end, the difference makes no difference.
It is us, ultimately.
If we're providing the weapons,
if we're giving the go-ahead, it's us,
whether it's our pilots or their pilots
directly dropping out of our jets or theirs.
So that's, I think, the direction that we're heading in.
That's the only question.
And the reason I say that is because you guys probably saw that report
that the reason he decided to more aggressively take credit
is because he saw the coverage on Fox News and he thought it looked cool and badass
and he wanted to claim credit.
So that's that's the level that we're dealing with here.
I mean, totally unserious, just based on a whim,
based on vanity.
And the real original sin is when he gets out of the JCPOA
in his first term.
But the more immediate sin,
and this is according to Trita Parsi's analysis,
which I think is correct, is when he shifts,
allows himself to be shifted from,
okay, we can work with you on uranium enrichment.
Wittkopf had some genuinely creative ideas
about a regional consortium,
and okay, how can we make this work,
to adopting the hardliners position
of absolutely zero enrichment.
There was only one reason that the Israelis
and the hardliners were trying to put
that requirement into place.
They knew it would be a poison pill.
They knew it would kill the negotiations,
and they knew it would bring us to exactly the place we are in right now. But I do not want anyone to be under
any illusions that we're like being dragged into it or whatever. Ken also has an interesting part
in this report where he says this is something the Israelis have been planning for years now.
And under the Biden administration, they tried to get the green light. Biden said no, because he was concerned about what the fallout would be.
And maybe he actually knew that there were 90 million or someone around
who knew that there were 90 million people in Iran.
You kind of got to think about how this is all going to work out.
He at least had enough concerns to hold the Israelis off from launching these attacks.
Trump, I think, held them off for a while and then got to a place where, okay, go ahead, do it.
And then decides he wants to get all the way in
because it looks cool and badass.
There's only two options.
He either got suckered in or he approved it, you know,
at a level of like conscious thinking.
Both are terrible, actually.
I would say suckered in is probably worse
just because that says a lot about his own judgment.
Let's put A3, please, up on the screen.
I just wanna continue to point everybody
in the precipice and the direction of where we are.
You know, Keir Starmer, the Prime Minister of the UK,
put his own cabinet on alert
for a potential U.S. attack on Iran.
It is very likely that we would alert our NATO,
or at least some very, very close Five Eyes allies,
about this.
There's been some speculation
that it would require the United States
to take off from a British military base for the B-2 to actually
succeed in some sort of attack on the Fordow facility if we wanted to
relaunch via the Indian Ocean so it's very possible there as well. Remember the
UK also existed in shooting down missiles in April against Iran and it's
obviously somebody who has been supporting the United States and by the
way Keir Starmer also just met with Donald Trump, you know, a few days ago
in Canada at the G7.
Another major indication, let's put A4 please on the screen, U.S. diplomats have been authorized
to leave the U.S. embassy in Israel and are now being flown out of the country by U.S.
military.
So that's a very troubling sign in terms of where things are, basically in a total evacuation at a military level here
of the actual, the non-essential diplomatic corps
inside of Israel.
You also see the beginning and the resumption of some flights
for US citizens who are inside of Israel
via United States planes and others.
So they are preparing at the very least
for a full-blown military campaign.
That is not even to mention
the multiple military assets on the way.
I mean, I don't think people understand
that we have three carrier strike groups
on the way to the Middle East.
That's crazy.
Like that is a level of military force
that you would expect for an invasion of Iran,
just in terms of all of what we had around there, because that is just the full force
of all of these guided, you know, the missile destroyers
and others and the platform, the aircraft,
refueling tankers as well as the naval base in Bahrain.
There's been some stuff going on at the air base in Qatar.
I mean, there is just, this is stuff we have not seen
in the region since Iraq, like this level
of military equipment and sheer presence in the Middle East.
I would also tell you, it costs about
a quarter million dollars per month
to sustain a single carrier strike group.
Just over the, so let's factor that into the bill.
And also there is the, you know, the case also
of these had jobs elsewhere.
One of them is literally brought from the Indo-Pacific.
So okay, glad nothing important is going on over there
in terms of this region.
So the cost benefit on this is huge.
And even just the sheer cost of actually sustaining
the deployment and also the things
that it is pulling away from.
Yeah, so I wanna emphasize something
because I think it's really important.
The question if you watch cable news,
or if you listen to President Trump,
is well, do you want Iran to have a nuclear weapon or not?
And there's been this assumption that's just been accepted
that they were sprinting towards a weapon,
that they were weeks away or months away
or only a year away from having nuclear weapons.
There is simply no public evidence that exists that indicates that's the case.
Our own intelligence community said, no, it is our assessment that they are not pursuing
a nuclear weapon.
And if they were to begin, that it would take three years before they even were to achieve
that.
But we see no sign that they are.
Now, we have the IAEA director general coming out
and saying the same,
we don't have proof of any sort of systematic effort
by Iran to pursue a nuclear weapon.
This was on CNN, let's take a listen.
I go again to the beginning of my comment.
These things we don't know,
because if there was some activity
which was clandestine or hidden or away from our inspectors,
we couldn't know.
What we informed and what we reported was that we did not have, as in coincidence with some
of the sources you mentioned there, that we did not have any proof of a systematic effort to move into a nuclear weapon.
So let's be really clear what we're talking about here.
They're using nuclear weapon development as a pretext.
That is not what this is about.
This is about regime collapse.
The Israelis have been pretty upfront about it.
All the cheerleaders are cheering on regime change in Iran.
If you put this A5 up on the screen,
you actually had a satellite that was hacked
in Iran for their state-run television.
And what they played was this anti-regime messaging videos
calling for people to rise up and for freedom
and revolution against the regime.
I mean, it kind of gives up the game that this is the ultimate goal which again they're
not really making particularly hard to figure out based on the military targets
that we've already seen if it's all just about the nuclear program why are you
striking all these why are you hitting all these targets in Tehran okay number
one and number two they out and out say it I mean it. It'd be great if that was the result,
is ultimately a regime collapse.
That's what we're contemplating here.
Don't be distracted by this question,
oh, they're racing towards a nuclear weapon.
There is no evidence that's the case.
The reason this is happening now
is because Bibi was able to convince Trump
to go along with it,
and they're using the nuclear weapons
as a pretext to try to effectuate regime collapse.
That's where we are.
Yes, and look, on the IAEA front,
there are actually, it's really worth going into this,
because this will be the pretext
under which all of this is launched.
Let's remember this right now.
There are two principle, or three principle actors
who are involved in the conflict, Israel, the
United States, and Iran.
Two of them are IAEA compliant and or members.
One of them is not.
It's called Israel, okay, just so we're all aware, which is in direct violation of the
nonproliferation treaty.
It is an undeclared nuclear power with hundreds of nuclear warheads under its command and
control independent of the United States
of America.
So are we really going to allow a non-compliant NPT and IAEA member to attack another for
not being in compliance with the IAEA?
It's preposterous.
It makes absolutely zero sense.
And look, I mean, this is a case that the vice president, JD Vance, made on Twitter.
He's citing the IAEA.
He's talking about non- Vance, made on Twitter. He's citing the IAEA. He's talking about noncompliance,
about civilian enrichment.
Iran, as a member of the IAEA, has the actual right,
because of its acquiescence to those,
to at least have some level of enrichment.
Now, we can quibble about the high,
what is it, highly enriched uranium, et cetera,
for civilian purposes, nuclear medicine, and nuclear power.
This is really getting in the weeds.
But the bottom line is clear.
IAEA, of which at least has some limited visibility
into the program, says it's not happening.
The United States intelligence community,
the director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard,
as of three months ago,
said that they are not close to a nuclear weapon.
I also point everybody to the original announcement,
because these things should live in history
and words matter.
Benjamin Netanyahu, even in his bullshit intelligence world,
said they could be a few months to a few years.
He does not even offer that they are days away
from a nuclear weapon, which begs the question,
why couldn't we allow, just the next day,
24 hours later, to allow Iranian diplomats
to meet with the United States diplomats?
I know that none of this will ultimately matter at the White House
level, but for the historical record, like, I want people to know, on Iraq, the Bush
administration made its case. Now, its case was bullshit, but they went to great lengths
to manufacture the intelligence. Remember, curveball, Niger, yellow cake, the
national intelligence estimate
where Dick Cheney was driving over to the CIA
and basically forcing them to make their own conclusion.
But they had a document, right?
They had a document.
Colin Powell in front of the UN.
It's BS, but they had Colin Powell
present his case to the world.
They had this fake intelligence
that they presented to the United States Congress.
And look, you have to give them credit.
One of the reasons, again, they survive
is because the entire Democratic and Republican
establishment bought into the lie
of the Iraqi nuclear program.
Here, they don't even try.
They're just like, trust us, right?
Trump literally said, I don't care what she said.
That's extraordinary.
About Tulsi Gabbard.
About Tulsi Gabbard.
Director of National Intelligence.
I mean, here, again, Bush held up his,
I'm forgetting the guy's name is George something
The CIA director at the time George Tenet
That's his name and he's dragging his ass out before Congress and before the media and Condoleezza Rice
I mean they had all of this fake intel again
But at the time it seemed real to a lot of people and that was part of the legitimacy of this in this case
It's just trust Donald Trump trust the word of Benjamin Netanyahu
And when you look at the entire public case, it's just trust Donald Trump, trust the word of Benjamin Netanyahu.
And when you look at the entire public record, it is complete bullshit. And that is the part
where you put together the Israeli action here, you put together the very basis of this
attack. Oh, we have to stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. This is honestly worse than
Iraq. I really believe that.
Well, because here's the other thing is, and they know this, this is honestly worse than Iraq. I really believe that. Well, because here's the other thing,
and they know this, this is part of the calculus,
the actions that have been taken create a logic
that makes it much more likely that they do race
towards a bomb.
The reason these attacks launched when they did
is not because the diplomacy wasn't working,
it's because the diplomacy was working,
because it did have a chance at succeeding.
And there's no way that the Hawks could allow that, because they want this war.
So that's why we are where we are.
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I think that we have, that's a good transition actually to talk about Tulsi Gabbard and whatever's
going on inside the White House with her.
Let's go and put A7 up on the screen.
We've got some reporting from supposedly inside of the administration here from Politico inside
the clashes between Trump and Gabbard.
Let me read the first portion.
They say, as President Trump privately mulled,
joining Israel's campaign against Iran this month,
one member of his cabinet sent what he viewed
as an audacious attempt to steer him
in the opposite direction.
At 5.30 a.m. on June 10th,
DNI Tulsi Yabard tweeted a cryptic three-minute video
warning that political elite and warmongers
are carelessly fomenting fear and tensions
between nuclear powers and the world is on the brink of nuclear annihilation.
Trump saw the unauthorized video and became incensed, complaining to associates of the
White House.
She had spoken out of turn, according to three people familiar, two of them inside the administration,
all granted anonymity to describe sensitive dynamics.
So Emily and I actually were trying to get to covering this video she put out because
it was kind of like, what is going on?
It was kind of out of left field.
And she had just visited Hiroshima, and she opens the video with that.
And then she goes on to talk about, you know, the potential disaster of nuclear conflict.
I think the assumption was that she was probably talking about Ukraine and Russia, and maybe
she was talking about Ukraine and Russia.
It's still not entirely clear but the Trump administration effectively after this
video came out that he took as being a shot at him for contemplating getting
involved in a war with Iran they kind of iced her out she was not involved in the
big Camp David discussions and apparently you know she's not being
included in many of the most significant meetings at this point so just to give
you a flavor of what this was let let's play a portion of this video that
she had released.
I recently visited Hiroshima in Japan and stood at the epicenter of a city that remains
scarred by the unimaginable horror caused by a single nuclear bomb dropped in 1945,
80 years ago.
It's hard for me to find the words to express what I saw, the stories that I heard, the haunting sadness that still remains.
This is an experience that will stay with me forever.
This attack obliterated the city, killed over 300,000 people, many dying instantly while others died from severe burns, injuries, radiation sickness, and cancer that set in in the following months and years.
Nagasaki suffered the same fate. Homes, schools, families, all gone in a flash. The survivors, the hibakusha, they carried the pain
of extreme burns, radiation sickness, and loss for decades.
Yet this one bomb that caused so much destruction
on Hiroshima was tiny compared to today's nuclear bombs.
The bomb that was dropped on Hiroshima had a yield
of just 15 kilotons of TNT.
Whereas today's nuclear warheads range in size from a hundred kilotons to over
one megaton. A single nuclear weapon today could kill millions in just minutes.
Just one of these nuclear bombs would vaporize everything at its core. People, buildings, life itself.
This isn't some made up science fiction story.
This is the reality of what's at stake,
what we are facing now.
Because as we stand here today,
closer to the brink of nuclear annihilation than ever before,
political elite and warmongers are carelessly fomenting
fear and tensions
between nuclear powers.
Perhaps it's because they are confident
that they will have access to nuclear shelters
for themselves and for their families
that regular people won't have access to.
So, Sagar, what did you make of that video at the time
and what are you reading into what's going on behind the scenes?
I was fully in a newborn world when that came out.
In retrospect, it's pretty, look, I don't know,
yeah, maybe she was talking about Russia.
Here's the other thing, you know,
for people who are not familiar with Tulsi,
I mean, we've interviewed her multiple times.
Tulsi always talked about the reason why she wanted
to run for president was because of that false missile alert
about an incoming ballistic missile from North Korea,
on Hawaii, and how impactful that was to her and to her constituents.
So look, I'll take her at her word.
I mean, she definitely changed a lot of her positions,
but you do have to say, like, one of the main reasons
she's ever in politics was because of her experience
in Iraq and Afghanistan, or I think just in Iraq.
Iraq as a combat medic.
As a combat medic and seeing the cost of war.
That's something that she talked about over and over again.
And, you know, I wanna take her at her word for that.
So I assume that's part of the reason
that she put out that video.
I wish I'd gotten to go to Hiroshima.
And look, you can even think that it was a justified decision
to drop the atomic bomb, but one of the reasons why
I think it's always important to remember
is exactly what she said about the yield on that weapon.
By the way, I've been looking at the yield
on what this bomb would be, the Fordow facility,
the massive ordnance penetrator.
It's roughly half the size of what was dropped on Hiroshima.
I think it's a six kill, it's a different, okay,
it's not for civilian purposes,
and it's targeted to go down,
but you're gonna have to drop it over and over again,
just the sheer size of what that explosion is like
and the power of destruction.
And this is a conventional non-nuclear device.
That's what's so insane about it.
But really what I come back to is that it is clear now,
guys, let's go and put eight, nine on the screen,
is that Tulsi is really being iced out
by a lot of senior members of the Trump administration.
Her Senate intelligence briefing was postponed yesterday
amid these Iran tensions.
She was not included at all in that Camp David meeting
where apparently that Camp David meeting
was about the Israeli imminent strike on Iran.
Tucker called that out on Steve Bannon's show
and he's like, you know why that she wasn't there.
She's like, because it's a regime change operation.
And apparently John Ratcliffe, the CIA director,
is somebody who's much more comfortable with that.
And this is how it all works, guys,
is that now, because she works for Trump,
she has to keep her mouth shut.
The White House, by the way, just yesterday,
put out a bullshit video actually editing her testimony
showing-
It was a cheap fake.
It was a cheap fake.
It was actually a cheap fake.
It was a cheap fake where they cheap faked it
to make it look like she was warning Iran was close to a nuclear weapon. It was a cheap fake. It was actually a cheap fake. It was a cheap fake where they cheap faked it to make it look like she was warning Iran
was close to a nuclear weapon.
It's completely not true.
Look, the historical record lives forever.
Sorry, it's 2025.
We can go and watch it for ourselves
and say between the signed statement
and her statement before Congress,
it could not be more clear.
I saw JD trying to pour, he's like,
a lot has changed since March.
I'm like, yeah, what?
Go ahead and tell it.
Tell us, tell us. Again, he's like, a lot has changed since March. I'm like, yeah, what? Go ahead and tell us, tell us, tell us.
Again, with the rack, they told us.
So careful, it doesn't specify what's changed.
Just a lot has changed, okay, yeah.
With the rack, they did lie to us,
but they tried to tell us.
They said this, oh, yellowcake, uranium,
this is the progress, this is the estimated amount
of chemical and biological stock, tell me now.
Let my congressman vote, yes or no.
And I will call his ass before he does, okay?
All of us should be able to call our congressman
and all that and actually hold them accountable
for their vote in the future.
And by the way, that's why they're not doing it
before Congress, because then you would actually
have to tell the world and the United States.
Again, there's no Colin Powell.
Who's our, I don't even know where
you're an ambassador right now.
Is it Elise Stefanik?
All right.
No, because remember they decided not to with her.
I can't remember either.
Somebody can correct me about who it is.
Nick Waltz.
There you go, Waltz.
All right, so, all right, Mr. Waltz.
I think you're a fucking liar and all this,
but fine, you know, go convene a meeting
of the United States, UN Security Council,
lay out the evidence.
Adlai Stevenson before the Cuban Missile Crisis.
Remember, he had the slides,
and he called out the Russian ambassador
in front of his face.
He said, look, Mr. Ambassador,
are these nuclear warheads or not?
You know, this is real life,
and they want to launch a war on this pretext.
So, I mean, people can tell I'm going crazy,
but this is why.
It's like genuinely the Iraq invasion
was more justified than this one.
And what they're also trying to downplay,
this is like in Jurassic Park when they realized
the velociraptors are smart, is that they're like,
the smart ones are like, no, no, no,
it's not about regime change.
It's just the tip.
It's just taking out the Fordo facility.
Yeah, but what happens after that?
You know, it's like, and then what happens after this?
Right?
Well, and that's what we wanna have Zorab on
because he's laid out in great detail
how this could all unfold.
Because yeah, that's the cope now
that you're hearing from people.
It's like, oh, it's not gonna be, it's gonna be fine.
Like, it's not gonna be any big deal.
It's just a limited drop.
We'll drop some bones on Fordow.
We'll get in and out, no big deal.
You guys are all just worrying.
I hope you're right.
I hope it ends up being no big deal.
I really hope that that's the case.
I would love to be wrong,
but if you aren't taking this seriously
of what could unfold here,
I just, I don't know what planet you're living in.
I don't know what history you've studied.
I don't know what events you've lived through,
because every time we've engaged
either in the full regime change and occupation model
with Iraq, or in the Syria model or the Libya model, like take your pick, tell me which
one worked out well.
Tell me which has been good for the US, which has been good for the region, which has been
good for the world, which has been good for humanity.
Tell me which one.
Because every one has been a total and complete,
horrific, monstrous disaster.
And that is where we are right now today
with so many people, once again,
going through the same exercises,
accepting even thinner propaganda as reality.
It's truly mind-blowing.
And Tulsi did come out and sort of cover for Trump.
So yeah, we're in line in terms of the intelligence.
He's right about everything he's saying.
And if we could jump back up to A1B,
because we have a new,
he came to me tears in his eyes, that just dropped.
I mean, this is the other piece,
is like, even as you have Tucker and Bannon
and Marjorie Taylor Greene, who are are sounding the alarm Bannon just told the Financial Times
listen ultimately whatever Trump does we're gonna be good with it and MAG is
gonna be good with it and he's right and that's why Trump also doesn't care what
they have to say because he knows at the end of the day they're gonna come
they're gonna come up with whatever justifications they need to they're
gonna go along they're gonna say he up with whatever justifications they need to. They're going to go along.
They're going to say, he must have intelligence that we don't have access to, so we just
have to trust him.
Already you've got Charlie Kirk saying, oh, thank God we've got Trump.
This is, we have to trust Trump.
Trump is made for this moment.
So let's go ahead and take a listen to A1B.
Trump saying that Tucker called him to apologize for his comments going, quote unquote, too
far.
Let's take a listen.
Have you seen the Tucker Carlson, Senator Ted Cruz interview?
It seems like this issue on whether or not
the United States should strike is kind of dividing
a lot of your supporters.
No, my supporters are for me.
My supporters are America first,
they make America great again.
My supporters don't want to see Iran have a nuclear weapon.
Tucker's a nice guy. He called and apologized the other day.
Because he thought he said things that were a little bit too strong, and
I appreciated that.
And Ted Cruz is a nice guy, I mean, he's been with me for a long time.
I'd say once the race was over, he's been with me ever since, right?
But very simple, if they think that it's okay for Iran to have a nuclear weapon, then they
should oppose me, but nobody thinks it's okay.
People that don't want, I don't wanna fight either, I'm not looking to fight.
But if it's a choice between fighting and them having a nuclear weapon, you have to
do what you have to do.
So as we've covered here, Tucker went out of his way to not directly criticize Trump.
I think the most aggressive thing he said
was that Trump is complicit.
Which he didn't even say.
In a newsletter, right?
And so when Trump came out and called Tucker Kuckey
and went after him a couple of times in a single day,
that was a message to them all, like,
you better get in line.
And so now you've got Bannon saying,
oh, we're gonna be with him no matter what.
You've got Charlie Kirk saying the things he's saying,
Marjorie Taylor Greene,
where is she on that War Powers resolution
she hasn't signed on?
There is one Republican who has signed on
to the War Powers resolution,
and that is Thomas Massey,
who is already at odds with MAGA.
So that's where you are.
I mean, Trump put that out,
basically it was like, okay, it's time to bend the knee.
And there's also reporting that calls were made
from the White House directly to Charlie Kirk
to say you need to temper down the criticism of this,
and he fell in line.
Look, they're all going to fall in line.
I mean, actually, Tucker, I'm not so sure,
given that we'll talk a little bit now about this interview,
but yeah, it's complete bullshit, by the way,
this whole apology or whatever,
but part of the reason that Trump does it
is basically to assert his own dominance over MAGA.
And I'll save some of this for polling
and all of that as to where things will go.
But things are grim, things are very grim.
It's not good.
We have basically a full-fledged lie being perpetrated
from the top of the US and Israeli government,
and all of it points in the single direction
of military operation and regime change.
I was also thinking about, you know,
even if they do get to that whole,
to that point of a deal, I mean,
they're gonna hold up their hands and say,
oh, we've saved, you know, the world,
we've saved us from the brink of war,
but I just, it's not true.
Like, they created this horrific crisis,
there's been real costs, but there's almost no way
that the actual end of this would be today,
given what has now happened.
There will be a resolution at one point.
It will either be regime change in Iran,
it will be an Israeli attack, it will be a US attack,
or something like that of some kind,
but what we have now unleashed,
we will be living with now for years and years to come.
The only question is a great gradation
and how bad, you know, they can continue to be.
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Let's get to the next part here,
and this is about some of the stuff going on inside
of Israel.
And look, a lot of this is very counter-narrative, and it's definitely counter to a lot of what
you're going to hear on national television.
Let's start with the first one, because this is very important to me.
But let's put it up there on the screen.
Israel is now running low on defensive interceptors.
So this is according to US officials, quote, raising concerns about the country's ability
to counter long-range ballistic missiles.
Now this actually fits with something
we're about to show you,
which were some strikes by the Iranian
on downtown Tel Aviv,
or sorry, in populated areas of Israel
in the middle of the day.
Now why does this matter?
And actually, I put this out on Twitter, Crystal,
you know, there's been a lot made on cable news
about the, you know, stupendous Israeli operation
against the Iranians and the incompetence
of the Iranian military.
You can't deny that.
When you have guys in a single bunker
and your whole command and control structure
is getting taken out, yeah, that's pretty embarrassing.
Not even embarrassing, it's just basic incompetence
at that level.
Their ability to basically be penetrated
by Mossad and all of that, humiliating.
But what does it say about Israel
that they launch an operation and less than a week later
they are already running out of interceptors?
And so what does that say?
Well it says that, you know who does have some interceptors?
Oh, me actually.
And me and the rest of you, our fellow US citizens.
So the plan was basically, we can't handle this on our own.
They knew it from day one. Remember, they're running low on interceptors,
and according to them, they've taken out
two-thirds of ballistic missile launchers.
So what if they didn't take them out?
They would have run out three days ago.
And so you're actually already seeing panic inside of Israel,
because they know.
They can look at the math and say,
hey, this is not good.
And already we're watching ballistic missiles
hitting various different targets.
So with all that said, guys,
can we put some of this up here on targets. So with all that said, guys,
can we put some of this up here on the screen
and just show people, you know,
this is some of the latest that's coming out of Israel.
I mean, these are crazy ass images.
This is in the middle of the day,
and this is a major hospital.
It's called the Soroka Hospital,
which according to the Israelis,
it's in southern Israel, direct hit by Iranian missiles.
Apparently it services over a million people.
We don't yet have some of the casualty figures
and all that that has come out,
but I mean look at this, in the middle of a city,
you have a ballistic missile that's come down in the middle
and is basically leveling this entire thing.
These are crazy images, and these are in the middle
of the day, not even launched at night.
It just goes to show that the more that Iran,
even with its very limited capacity, is able to fire,
they are beginning to get through.
The Israelis claim they still got about one third
of them left.
They're trying to take them out
because they have air superiority there.
But look, the Iranians, they may be dumb,
but they're not that dumb.
One of the things that the Iranians
and the North Koreans have done
is they have these mobile launchers,
which they just drive all around constantly
and have camouflage and all.
That's specifically to maintain strike ability,
even if they do lose their air defense.
So this is very, very devastating inside of Israel.
You know, suddenly, Saagar, people seem to care again
about hospitals being used as military targets.
Suddenly, now that Israel had a hospital hit,
which I condemn, I don't support that at all,
I don't think hospitals are legitimate targets,
but suddenly people are concerned about that again.
So, you know, wish that would get applied across the board.
And here's the thing, Israelis,
this is the world you authored.
Congratulations, this is the world you authored
where any civilian target is totally legitimate,
where there are no rules, no norms,
nothing that's out of bounds.
That is the world that you created.
So, I mean, it's horrific, but that's where we are.
So, you know, save me until I see a single one of you
condemn the multiple attacks on
the entire medical system in Gaza.
I'm sorry, I don't want to hear it.
Yeah, I mean, look, I completely agree, and I'll just say, falls a little bit on deaf
ears when I hear about civilian casualties and targeting civilian facilities like hospitals
and all this.
Look how many civilians they've killed in Iran.
Vastly more.
Is there even a hospital standing left in Gaza?
Whatever, somebody can go and can check that one for me.
None that are undamaged.
What I do know is that they're, of course though,
using this as a propaganda campaign.
The Israeli foreign minister came out today
and said that they're gonna begin ramping up
even more targets on Iranian facilities
in retaliation for this attack on the hospital.
And you know, you do see some of that going on.
But at the very least, I mean, the fact that they can't keep one of their largest hospitals
safe from an Iranian ballistic missile is crazy.
That is just not what was offered up.
And keep in mind that a lot of what we're able to show you is very limited because of
some censorship.
Now, let's also get though, you know, to some of the other things that are going on
inside of Israel.
And this is always, you know, very whitewashed
by the United States and the Western press,
but let's put B4, please, up on the screen.
The Israeli economy is really suffering right now,
and also a lot of foreigners who are inside of the country
are doing their absolute best to get out.
So here, birthright Israel, apparently the trip has collapsed as some 2,800 participants were
boarding cruise ships from Israel to Cyprus and in some cases under the protection of the Israeli
Navy, basically trying to get the hell out of there. Keep in mind, remember, that there's been
a lot of shutdown of civilian aviation inside of the country. And, you know, looking at stuff like this,
like let's put B-5 as well up on the screen
just to show you what's being broadcast.
You can see here a huge banner for those who are listening
is just Mr. President finished the job.
A massive banner across one of the,
I think it's a train station,
which has Donald Trump's face and a major appeal here
to Americans, but also-
To him in particular.
Yeah, to Trump in particular.
Let's keep this in mind as well.
You know, Israeli society in life right now
is pretty crazy.
I mean, let's think about this.
You know, basically every single night,
and sometimes during the day,
their phones are going off about ballistic incoming missiles.
They're basically living in bomb shelters
and coming up and out, you know, variously.
Society is completely and totally disrupted.
Just imagine, you can't run an economy like that
or run a society only for a very, very short period of time.
It also has revealed some pretty, you know,
some social schisms, is that a polite way of saying it,
about some of the things that are going on?
Let's go and put this up there on the screen.
For example, B2, please, and just to show everybody some of the things that are going on. Let's go and put this up there on the screen. For example, B2, please.
And just to show everybody some of the video,
you saw some videos that were coming out of Israel,
actually of settlers and others who were locking out
other settlers of shelters.
Here she says, we're going, soon there was going to be
a siren, we went to the next door house to a bomb shelter.
We were not allowed in.
They had closed the doors and closed the parking lot.
We were knocking on the door.
They came out and said, we don't have to let you in.
We have no space.
So really like dystopian scene, right?
So being locked out.
And I believe that woman is actually Ukrainian.
Yes, a refugee.
Yeah, who was locked out because she's not Jewish.
And the Palestinians who live inside of Israel
and are citizens of Israel, I mean, first of all,
there's just vastly less infrastructure
in predominantly Palestinian areas,
vastly fewer bomb shelters.
And then you can put V3 up on the screen
just so you know this isn't just like a couple TikToks.
There's reporting about the way that there is a,
you know, systematic discrimination.
It's an apartheid society.
There are some 65 laws on the books that discriminate explicitly against...
I'm not even talking about the West Bank and Gaza.
I'm talking about the Palestinian citizens of Israel.
There are 65 laws on the books that discriminate explicitly against them.
And then you have the endemic social discrimination of, not for you,
Israeli shelters exclude Palestinians as bombs rain down.
So yeah, the ugly underbelly of Israeli society
really being exposed in this moment of crisis.
Yeah, look, you can see it very clearly for yourself.
And actually there have been some Palestinians
who have been targeted in Israel
and apparently they didn't have as many bomb shelters.
Finally, let's put B6 up on the screen. This is another very important point.
This is only what we're able to show you. Keeping in mind with all these Western journalists who are inside of Israel,
they're gonna get their asses kicked out if they report too much.
So the IDF has officially updated its restrictions on reporting on any missile drone impact sites.
Quote, any person who prints or publishes printed matter or a publication regarding
the location of a strike hit by the enemy or war material
will be submit to the military censor for approval.
So military censors are running everything
that we are seeing out of the country.
The only reason we know about this hospital
is because they want to publicize it as being hit.
We have no idea some of the other stuff that's actually
been hit inside of the country.
We have to rely on some open source reporting.
And already that policy has been put into effect.
Put B7, please, up on the screen.
Israel has detained a photographer for Al Jazeera after police say that he revealed
the exact location of one of Iranian missile strikes.
Remember what they did to my friend Trey Yanks, who had the temerity to do his job and show
that the Israeli Pentagon, which was located in the middle of downtown Tel Aviv,
was hit by an Iranian missile
and they freaked out at him on camera.
And then multiple members of the Israeli police
or the IDF and others started targeting him,
saying that he was doing the enemy's
battle damage assessment for him.
So just keep that in mind.
Look at his mentions.
In terms of what the stuff
that we are looking.
Go look at the replies to when he posts stuff on Twitter
and you'll see the reaction to him daring to be a journalist.
Right, yeah, they hate him.
They hate his guts.
So that's what's going on inside of the country.
It's chaos, it's absolute chaos.
And you know, they're projecting a vision of, you know,
we're winning the war and all of this.
But this is always what I say, is look,
it's only been less than a week.
What if this goes on for a month?
What if this goes on for months?
Well, it's not going to, because Big Daddy,
the United States is probably going to come
and solve all of this for you,
but this really, in my opinion,
shatters the image of this country which can stand alone.
It's like nothing could be further from the truth.
The fact that you can't even go a week
without running out of interceptors,
even after you pulled off these spectacular
sabotage operations inside of Iran.
This is not, look, I'm not gonna downplay the IDF's
combat strength and all that on the ground,
but there's a level of technological sophistication
and of independence of the country,
which is being sold right now to the American public,
which is very unfortunate.
And it just could not be further from the truth.
You can't last a week.
Right, and that also exposes the fact that at any time,
any American president, whether it is Joe Biden
or Donald Trump, can come in and say, we're done here.
You're done with the genocide.
You're not starting a war with Iran because they are dependent on us.
We shipped, what, like hundreds of Hellfire missiles in advance of this attack.
Yes.
Don't play dumb.
We wanted this.
We are involved in this.
This is our war.
They cannot do anything without our support.
And if we decided we were going to pull that support,
it would end, it would be over.
So, you know, there's often an attempt to be like,
oh, well they're a sovereign nation
and that we can't just tell them what it,
yes you can, no you actually can.
Because without us, they're out of interceptor missiles
in a week apparently.
And I mean, of course they are,
because they picked a fight
with every neighbor around them practically, you know?
Actually these are just Iranians.
That's the thing is about the high level interceptors.
You know Hamas got things that you need to use
for intercept, that's Iron Dome,
that's like pedestrian stuff.
This is, look, this is the thing.
Whenever you have a relatively sophisticated military,
yes even one that is pretty embarrassing, you know,
like Iran, you still have some military capacity,
and it shows you, it actually does show you
how incredible the United States and British,
and you know, like NATO armed forces are
in the level of capacity that they have,
but Israel is always held up,
it's like somehow equivalent to that.
It literally could not be further from the truth.
So keep it in mind, you know, an American president literally can end this at any time.
This is just like Ukraine.
This is just like any of these other literal client states.
I mean, they owe their entire existence to us.
And it's pretty shocking, both the censorship and the level of capacity that they have after
just less than a week of war.
I can't get over it.
I think that parallel with Ukraine is an important one to draw out
because in the same way that the right in particular
understands correctly so,
Ukraine as a proxy war, US versus Russia.
This is a proxy war.
Right now, Israel versus Iran.
And it's even more direct just given our overwhelming
yearly budget of supporting Israel over many decades.
And so, you know, even if we're not yet directly involved
in offensive capacity, make no mistake about it,
this is our war.
We are right now engaged in a proxy war versus Iran.
And the only question is whether or not we sort of,
you know, fully engage offensively
and don't just do it through our proxy client state.
I know a lot of cops, they get asked all the time, have you ever had to shoot your gun?
Sometimes the answer is yes. But there's a company dedicated to a future where the answer will always be
no. This is Absolute Season One, Taser Incorporated.
I get right back there and it's bad.
Listen to Absolute Season One, Taser Incorporated on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your
podcasts.
Jeff Pearlman I'm Jeff Pearlman.
Rick Jervis And I'm Rick Jervis.
We're journalists and hosts of the podcast, Finding Sexy Sweat.
Jeff Pearlman At an internship in 1993, we roomed with Reggie
Payne, aspiring reporter and rapper who went by Sexy Sweat.
Rick Jervis A couple years ago, we set out to find him.
Jeff Pearlman But in 2020, Reggie fell into a coma after
police pinned him down and he never woke up.
Well, then I see my son's not moving.
So we started digging and uncovered city officials bent on protecting their own.
Listen to Finding Sexy Sweat on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Over the years of making my true crime podcast, Hell and Gone, I've learned no town is too small for murder.
I'm Catherine Townsend.
I've heard from hundreds of people across the country
with an unsolved murder in their community.
I was calling about the murder of my husband.
The murderer is still out there.
Each week, I investigate a new case.
If there's a case we should hear about,
call 678-744-6145.
Listen to Hell and Gone Murder Line
on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get
your podcasts.
This is an iHeart Podcast.
