Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 8/22/24: DNC LIVE: Kamala Speech, Warmongering, Trump, Abortion
Episode Date: August 23, 2024Saagar, Krystal, Ryan and Emily live react to Kamala Harris' DNC speech in Chicago. To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: ...https://breakingpoints.com/ Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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it just means the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that. Let's get to the
show. All right, everybody, we are coming out of Kamala Harris's speech. Officially, it doesn't seem like there will be a special guest.
And we'll give you all of our reactions.
Not as long of a speech as I initially expected.
I think I've rolled in roughly around a half hour mark or so.
Started with biography, had some economy, foreign policy, and then some of the generic wrap-up there.
So Crystal, overall, what was your impression?
I can't get away from the Gaza portion,
which just absolutely sucked.
You know, I mean, it's one thing.
The key thing here for me is the language around October 7th
is appropriately evocative, right?
It's visceral.
It's about the horrors.
There is responsibility ascribed for the atrocities that were committed on October 7th by Hamas.
When it's Palestinians, suddenly they're just suffering. By who? Why? For what? She doesn't say.
And I mean, that's typical, right? I guess she said more about them than probably joe biden would have but if you're looking for any indication that there would be
a different policy here with regard to israel like there's zero indication of that and the entire
foreign policy portion so you were making this point of like you know hillary clinton sort of
leans into trying to be super hawkish to overcome like of like, you know, Hillary Clinton sort of leans into trying
to be super hawkish to overcome like the sense of, you know, oh, because I'm a woman, people
won't.
The entire foreign policy section read to me like that, you know, going in like sort
of basically like warmongering against Iran.
And I will create the most lethal military that has ever existed, et cetera, et cetera.
It's like, all right, calm down, lady.
Yeah, lethal military.
I will never give Israel,
I will never stop Israel's right to defend itself.
I'll always give them the arms.
I will bomb Iran if I need to.
Oh, actually, Kim Jong-un,
who we would hope to make a deal with.
Oh, no, no, he's actually cheering for Donald Trump.
It was very classic neoconservative rhetoric
in that respect.
Go ahead.
David, do you have a...
David Sirota of Levered News, by the way,
since we're posting this separately.
I completely agree.
But I also think that
again, what we were talking about
before, the idea that
she reflects the center of the Democratic Party,
that was a very center of the Democratic
Party speech. And on the economy as well. Yeah. And I by the way, I also think that she has
recognized rightly so fair or unfair that her economic. The views people view her as different
from Biden as a vessel for economic policy. Yeah. Which I'm not exactly sure is completely fair, but she's benefiting from it.
Right.
Right.
That she gets to say, I'm going to do that.
I'm dealing with affordability.
I'm going to deal with costs.
She talks a lot about prices.
Without having to answer for the criticism aimed at Biden.
Yeah.
And we should actually ask David while he's here for your thoughts on, there were a lot of references tonight to Kamala Harris post 2008 and the recession. And they're building this myth of Kamala Harris as a basically an economic populist in the midst of the recession back in 2008 and the aftermath of 2008. Haven't seen a ton of media fact checks of that other than from people like you David yeah I mean I thought the AG said this gets wonky so I'm gonna ask the
audience to stick with us but it is important because she made it a central
part both of her speech oh we top oh we and we had Roy Cooper who uses it to
introduce her so many others yeah I mean the background is is that she was part
of a national mortgage settlement that was essentially a giveaway to the banks that created the financial crisis.
Without getting into all of the details, the banks should have been prosecuted criminally.
The settlement was what essentially the banks wanted to be given.
To get them off the legal hook.
Exactly.
Steve Mnuchin.
Yeah, she did not prosecute Steve Mnuchin
despite people in her office wanting him to be prosecuted.
To your point, David, though,
it is very telling that she has decided
this is an area of her image
that not only is she going to rehab,
but the center of the Democratic Party
and I think the center of American politics really, is to create this image as I'm taking
on the big banks. I'm delivering specifically for homeowners. And she has leaned into
housing policy and read the tea leaves there in terms of where people are.
A few things with regard to just- One other detail on the lie there,
and correct me if I'm wrong there,, they talk about a $20 billion settlement.
My memory is that the banks got credit towards the $20 billion for the losses that they suffered in the banking crisis.
Wow.
That's right.
Wow. bothersome about it, although I can see it from her political advisors, is that they can tell a
story that is not just untrue, but that is the opposite of the truth. And very few people will
know that or care about that, which is probably realistic and also bad.
Yeah. That's why sites like yours and Dropsite News exist.
Emily, what do you think?
What was your overall reaction?
So overall,
I think it's very clear
that Kamala Harris is good
and she's not great.
And one of the things
that hurt her in 2019
is she had a lot of hype.
And as she started talking
more and more,
there was a sort of myth
of Kamala Harris
that had been promoted.
It's almost like
it doesn't do her favors
to get covers
like that Time Magazine cover. Yeah, that's a good point. Because now the entire public has been primed to
see her as some Obama-esque figure. And while I do think we've been talking about it all week,
this convention has been well choreographed. It has looked good. They've hit a lot of good notes
while avoiding some dicier elements. We're sort of talking about like so-called wokeness and
how they managed to sort of thread that needle. Kamala Harris did a good job tonight, but she is not Barack Obama.
And when you're telling people she's Barack Obama, you do run the risk of as soon as she
has to debate Donald Trump, as soon as she has to start doing more things without prompters,
more interviews, it's possible that actually really backfires on them ultimately.
That's an astute point about, I mean,
clearly like they're very intentionally leaning into even, you know, adopting the hope piece.
Yes, yes, she can chance.
The way that she can, exactly.
Yes, she can.
Like, you know, they buried Hillary Clinton
and Biden on day one to be like,
we're just, go ahead guys.
Okay, let's not talk about that anymore.
And one of the things in terms of a contrast with the way Hillary ran her campaign in 2016 that I
found noteworthy is Kamala Harris spent a lot of time, which I don't love, but I thought worked
effectively enough in this speech on her bio at the beginning. And what I noticed about the way she set up herself,
unlike Hillary, where it's like, I'm special, I'm breaking the glass ceiling, like you're helping me
basically realize my grand dreams and aspirations. The whole point of Kamala Harris's biographical
narrative was to say, I'm just like you. I'm coming from the same neighborhoods that you're coming from.
I had the same middle class upbringing that you either had or would like your children to have
and aspire to. I grew up with the same nurses and teachers and firefighters that wanted to
have their lawn look nice and work hard and play by the rules, et cetera, et cetera.
And it's a very different biographical
narrative than the narrative of, you know, I'm the first female, I'm the first black woman,
I'm the first biracial woman that was much more heavily leaned into in the Hillary Clinton
campaign. I think that is very smart. We can all we all know you're a terrible. We can see that
that's that's there. You don't have to say it. And so that strategy, which was evident throughout the week, I think was was very effective.
I thought the way she talked about Donald Trump was also very effective.
And when she had that line, she was like, you know, in a lot of ways, he's not he's unserious.
He's an unserious man, which gets to the weird and belittling him.
But she says the things he wants to do are serious. She talks not only about, you know, January 6th
and all of those sorts of things
but she also then immediately pivots to,
hey, here are the things that he wants to do to you.
He wants to take away your social security.
He wants to take away the Affordable Care Act.
He wants to get rid of the Department of Education.
He wants to cut Head Start programming.
So both the sort of Education. He wants to cut Head Start programming. So both the
sort of grander, legitimate grievances against Donald Trump were there, but she also made it
very concrete to people's lives in a way that I thought was smart and connected.
I don't think it was bad. A lot of her economic stuff was more negative than it was positive,
as in like, here's what Trump would do to you, and here's something that I would try and do contrast.
Obviously not a lot of specifics,
that's not really what you do.
I didn't think the January 6th part of the speech
was all that strong, actually.
I thought that was part of the more like classic liberal,
kind of like the classic hits,
like, oh, he wants to, January 6th was bad.
But those hits work.
That's definitely true.
So I mean, I mean, but-
People don't like that about her.
I just felt like to me,
I was like,
I feel like the country's heard that before.
They're already voting for her.
I will say this was not as good of a speech
as I thought she was going to give.
I thought it was like,
I don't know,
almost like a C plus
or something like that for her,
just relative to the expectation
because she's been pretty decent on the stump.
I mean, compare and contrast this to Tim Walz.
I don't think you can even look at the two.
Well, listen, I mean, I think Tim Walz is an extraordinary talent.
I would be very happy to skip over the Kamala Harris era
right into the Tim Walz era, but that's not on the menu.
That's not what we're working.
Yeah, I want to get Ryan in here.
Unless I miss it on your point about her economic arguments
being negative rather than positive,
she easily could have done, you know, he's going to try to repeal the ACA again.
He's going to cut your Social Security, though he's been saying on the stump repeatedly,
he's not going to do that and he's going to expand Social Security.
But because he tried to do it, and when he was president, she's going to take that clean
shot.
She could have added, and I'm going to expand Medicare, so it includes dental and vision,
or I'm going to add a child tax, I'm going to add a child tax credit.
Did she do any of the care stuff that she rolled out?
Well, there was this opportunity economy thing.
She did touch on some of those pieces.
She did talk about some of those pieces.
I'd have to go back and look at the transcript to see exactly which policies she name-checked.
I know she did talk about, like, you know, housing, expanding the housing supply. She could have
added expanding social security. She hasn't come out with anything to respond to Trump because
Trump is out there saying that he's going to cut your taxes on social security. Yeah, he literally
said, I won't cut your taxes on security. Oh, and that was one thing she definitely said was that
he wanted, and she's talking about his tariff policy. He wants to raise your taxes, the Trump
taxes. I'm going to give
the working class a giant
tax cut. Go ahead. Yeah, and I also think that
one thing that's concerning
about the whole election is that the
I think it's a smart thing
to do and worthwhile
to take apart Project 2025,
but the mix of
taking apart Project 2025
and not really offering a fleshed out agenda,
what's the takeaway from the election?
The less you say, the less you offer,
the smarter your politics.
But I think that's true.
That was the Obama.
I mean, right.
I do think it's accurate to a point.
Yes.
I think there's a middle ground between here's a 925 page point by point ideological treatise.
Right.
And here's like one concrete policy.
Right.
I mean, she did give, you know, she gave a policy speech.
Yeah.
We do have some concrete policy.
So I don't want to pretend like there's nothing that we know.
She talked to, you know, there's a whole freak out of, oh my God, price controls, blah, blah, blah.
28% corporate tax hike,
she said.
But to your point,
even the price gouging,
price control conversation,
like,
she left that pretty vague
about what exactly
that would actually look like.
Also,
congratulations to the Democrats
for it taking 40 years
of Heritage Foundation mandate
for leadership
to figure out that that's a good target.
Literally.
They said in the 80s, they were like,
let's get rid of the Department of Education.
And nothing about it.
I do find this ironic too, because, you know,
I was thinking about it.
There's not a policy section of our website,
but all of Project 2025 is actually on our website.
And I was thinking just about that.
She's like, if you go to kamalaharris.com
and read Project 2025, but I'm like,
but where's the policy section of your website?
The unfortunate point I'm taking away from this election
is that that's probably the correct play.
If you're an Amala, is that you let everything
kind of float into the ether, you go off the vibe
and you just kind of let people absorb and project
what they want. It is the Obama model.
This is the Obama model. But she's not
Obama. That's the interesting thing.
Let's be honest, the Trump 2016 model too.
I'm going to give you the best healthcare in the world.
Absolutely. Everyone will be covered.
Everyone will be covered.
It's still the Trump model.
I mean, he'll say,
for example, he'll criticize
Project 2025, but he won't say he'll say like, some parts are great he'll criticize Project 2025, but he won't say he'll say like some parts are great and some parts are terrible.
But he never elucidates which parts are the parts that are great and which parts of the parts that are terrible.
Comrade Crystal.
But this is the you know, this is the she the most the legitimate, very legitimate.
One of many legitimate hits on her is she is a chameleon.
She has been all over the place ideologically.
And she's trying to turn that into an asset of then if you are progressive, you look at how she ran when she was running for president and how she voted in the Senate.
And you're like, oh, she's a progressive.
And I think the choice of Tim Walz adds some credibility to that framing of her because he kind of comes with a ready-made agenda.
It's an agenda that she has some track record, you know, the care economy stuff that she has some track record of actually caring about.
It maybe is the one thing you could look through on her career and say has been pretty consistent.
And so you can project that onto her.
She's obviously leaning very much into, like, Kamala the cop.
Yeah.
That was big. Going after the transnational gangs. And the cartels very much into like Kamala the cop and you know
going after the transnational gangs
and the cartels Crystal. Don't forget the cartels.
You know tough on crime
and all of them. They did a whole
montage of her with you know with
a cop jacket on and with the cops
and all that stuff right. So you can project
that. If you
are just if you're like
the Adam Kinzinger types
who are just looking for
a kind of return to normal, you know,
I mean, she's Joe Biden's
vice president, and that's just this very sort of
like normie, you know,
decorum-driven
type of politics. So she's
hoping she can pull off to Election
Day what Barack Obama did,
which is allowing people
to see in her what they want to see in her.
But to Emily's point, she's good out there.
I thought she did.
I thought she gave this speech.
Well, she's obviously not Barack Obama.
I mean, he is a generational political talent.
We saw that on the stage this week, him and his wife, exceptional political talents like
she is not that level.
So it becomes a much more difficult trick to pull off.
Then again, it's a short campaign and she doesn't have to do it for all that long.
Yes.
And it's worth just mentioning that she's on the brink of the presidency without ever having really won any competitive elections.
Like she was a machine politician.
I wish Dan was here because he knows the California politics better.
You're a little closer to California.
So maybe.
And her name is David.
The last really competitive election she had
must have been.
AG, I think.
Yeah, the AG primary.
Right.
Yeah, the AG primary,
where she had the support
of the entire Bay Area machine.
So she had the advantage there.
When she ran for Senate,
it was against, what,
Linda Sanchez's sister?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Who was just a totally hapless candidate.
Yep, yep. Whose seat was she? Barbara Boxer? Is that right? it was again what Linda Sanchez's sister. It was just a totally hapless candidate. Yep.
Whose seat was she?
Barbara Boxer?
Is that right?
Yeah.
Yeah.
Who, Linda Sanchez?
No, no.
Whose seat was Kamala?
I think it was Barbara Boxer.
It was Boxer.
Oh yes, right, Boxer.
So she didn't, there was no Republican,
no serious Republican running
and she beat a hapless Democrat.
And then she runs for president and just gets absolutely wasted
and drops out in 2019 before any votes are cast.
And then she gets picked as vice president.
Yeah.
And now here she is.
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I did think opportunity economy was very weak.
Something that both David Sirota and I both flagged was the VC shout out.
I'm sure you did as well.
When she was like, we're gonna give funds
to small businesses and entrepreneurs and founders.
And I was like, oh, I was like,
I know what this little bat signal is out there.
That's the Bay Area.
Yeah, that's the Bay Area Congresswoman
that we all love.
Hey tech guys, you're gonna get some special loans.
Keep the money blowing in, let Reid Hoffman,
you know, I need a few more dollars.
Once a California machine politician.
Yeah, exactly.
You know where your bread is buttered.
Totally.
I'm looking a little bit more.
I thought the abortion, I wrote in my notes about the abortion section that I thought
that actually was probably the strongest.
One of the things I've been trying to remark on here is that I found it remarkable democratic
embrace of social libertarianism at this convention.
And so for me, I mean, A, I think that's very, very popular in this country.
Absolutely.
And so for her, when she says he plans to create a national anti-abortion coordinator,
the freedom to love who you love, like this very social libertarian language is extremely popular.
Going after the Barstool Conservatives.
Yeah, we're in the Barstool studio. Barstool conservatives, right? And it's like, that
actually thought out of almost everything she said, that probably might be the most impactful
part of her entire speech, just because that is the number one reason why a lot of Democrats came
out to vote. I mean, the half a billion dollars that she's raised so far. And I just think the language calibration by Tim Walz and by her and really all Democrats, they've had
a lot of party discipline over this last week. I've frankly been impressed by it. I'm like,
these people, they are playing to win. That's what I think. Yeah, I'll steal Ryan's point on
this because I think it's the right point. The thing about abortion politics that makes it so
powerful is that it's so tangible.
Yeah.
Like, it's very clear.
It's a, you know,
very clear promise.
It's very clear, you know,
the direction of the Republican Party
and who is responsible
for the current state of affairs
that's overwhelmingly unpopular.
You know, it's very clear that,
I think it was genuinely jarring
and shocking to a lot of people
that, like, we had this right and now we don't like
holy shit that means anything's on the table so i also you know she's obviously much more credible
on the issue and much more comfortable talking about the issue than joe biden ever even at his
best right even 10 years ago joe biden would have been and uh I do think, you know, a key piece of of this is I saw
this. I know you guys may have seen read into this more, but I saw Schumer was floating potentially
a filibuster. We talked about, yeah, getting rid of the filibuster, maybe just for Roe versus Wade.
So I think it is possible that they actually do deliver and put a focus on that issue. But even
if they don't,
just not having the Republicans in charge
is very motivating to a lot of people on that issue.
It's a very powerful negative case.
It's a very powerful, tangible thing
that you can very quite easily do.
He owns Dobbs.
It is.
He owns Dobbs.
Yeah, there's no way.
He cannot run away from it.
She read the quote.
She said, he said, I did it.
I'm glad I did it or I'm proud of it
or whatever the language was, you know, very unequivocal. And it's undeniable, obviously. to come back was crazy. It's like that really was. I mean, I think there's something in there for everybody to hate, especially if you watch the show, the Ukraine and the NATO stuff, which
was like very clear that she will escalate the war and will continue what's going on on Israel.
I mean, it was basically, I think Biden could have given that speech and maybe she spoke a
little bit differently on the Palestinian issue, on Iran. He said, those protesters out there have a point.
Yeah.
That's what he said the other day.
I apologize.
You're right.
I mean, you know, on the Iran stuff, I mean, for me, it was a very, it was almost like
a Hillary Clinton-esque speech.
And I saw one of Tim Miller, who works over at the Bulwark, one of the never Trump types,
and he just said something I think is astute and true.
He's like, the border and foreign policy section of the never Trump types. And he just said something I think is astute and true. He's like the border and foreign policy section
of the speech could have come
from the John McCain convention.
And I was like, yeah, I think that's actually,
that's very accurate and fitting
because I don't know if you guys caught this.
Did you see Ruben Gallego,
who's running for Senate in Arizona?
He was like, John McCain was an American hero.
And I was like, oh my God,
we have an Arizona Democratic Senator on the DNC state.
Who's running against Carrie Lake.
Who's running against Carrie Lake.
Who trashed McCain.
Praising John McCain on the Democratic stage.
So there is some ideological fusion that's happening.
I am of the opinion, I've said this before,
Democrats, in the same way that Republicans
just should try to avoid talking about abortion
because they are not gonna win on abortion.
And I also think that for them, the landscape of like who's going to be better, you know, family policy and like social welfare policy for families.
I also think that's dramatically losing territory for Republicans.
I don't think Democrats, especially given the current framing and the fact that they've completely accepted Republican framing on immigration, like you just shouldn't talk about immigration. Like the best thing you can do is just not have this election be about immigration.
That is what your opponent wants this election to be about.
So the amount that they affirmatively brought it up and they had their little like montages
ready and she had a significant part of her speech in here and they think it's such such
a brilliant strategy to be like,
actually, we came up with the toughest border strategy ever and adopted all of,
you know, the Trumpian tactics and the Border Patrol loved it. And I, you know, I I hate it
from a moral perspective. I think it's wrong, but I also think it's stupid politically. And I think
there's a lot of data to back that up. So the best thing that they could do on immigration is just
try to change the subject, in my humble opinion.
I have a question.
Yeah, and this is Ryan, David, maybe you, Crystal.
You guys have been to a fair amount of Dem conventions.
I'm guessing 08, 12, 16.
I was at 16.
Ryan's been there since 08.
Yeah, yeah.
Not there longer, right?
Whoa!
Okay.
Clinton's still got your beat, though.
So in terms of nominee,
you can just see David Sirota hating Bob Dole.
Yes.
Seething, seething.
Seething over the Dole. But actually, that's really interesting.
Dole!
That's interesting,
given what you were talking about earlier
when you were saying
the center of the Democratic Party looks different now.
It's a shift.
But in terms of nominee speeches, how did this one compare to what you guys have heard before?
It was like pretty standard.
A little shorter, right?
Shorter.
Clinton loved to go forever.
And like everything's judged now by Obama.
Yeah.
So it's like hard to.
Hard to measure up to that.
Yeah, it's like you can't measure up to
he's a great speaker.
David, I wanted to ask you
to pick back up on the comments
you were making earlier
when we were so rudely interrupted
by, I don't know,
Ruben Geig or whoever
we decided to jump to.
Eva Longoria.
You were talking about
how the center of the Democratic Party
had shifted and that, you know,
that's something for the left to take heart in because what i thought was maybe the most notable
line at the entire convention was freaking gina raymondo who was like the most corporate of
bc lady right right was singing from the lena uh con hymnal yes talking about anti-monopoly
actions and i wow, that means
this battle is over.
Like if even Gina Raimondo is on this
tune in the Democratic
Party, this is the direction they're going in.
I am old enough to remember the DLC.
Oh yeah. Ryan Grimm
is probably old enough. Oh, I remember the
DLC too.
They were a big... Why don't you explain to people
The DLC was the sort of corporate wing of the Democratic Party,
and it had its own explicit think tank.
It had its own explicit movement.
It wasn't kind of camouflaged, underground, the new Democrats.
And the divide between the, back then, basically the liberals and the DLC was a definitional battle or divide in the Democratic Party.
And that divide, brand-wise, maybe in practice it still exists, but as a branding thing, it basically doesn't exist anymore.
There's still Third Way that tries to carry the torch.
Third Way is pretty like right in the middle of the party now.
Exactly.
So I do think there's this closure now where there was this upsurge in or a culmination in that divide in 16 between Bernie and Hillary, and that there might have been a continuation
of that divide had Biden not unexpectedly, in some ways, taken up some of the Bernie
agenda or a kind of Bernie-ish agenda.
Right.
But because Biden did do that, it doesn't feel like that divide defines this convention or this party anymore.
I wish I could remember who wrote the piece because I would like to give them credit, but my brain doesn't work.
So I can't. Someone wrote that. Have some high news.
It was it was remarkable how unremarkable Bernie's speech was that a lot of his rhetoric sounds just like what Kamala Harris said,
and Gretchen Whitmer, and Tim Walz,
and everybody else, right?
This much more populist orientation towards economics,
also the much more accessible language
than the way AOC was talking a few years ago.
That has just become the way Democrats talk about economics now.
And not just that, but as you're pointing out, Joe Biden, who was on, this was the guy
who was like doing the bidding of the credit card issuers.
He was basically a DLC Democrat.
Yeah.
Terrible track record ends up taking on labor and antitrust in particular
being a true break from the neoliberal era and i wonder i've asked a few people this question
because i find it kind of fascinating like why do you think that happens with biden
that i mean a lot of reasons i think one I think he realized the center of the party had shifted.
In the 90s into the 2000s, the center of the party,
or at least the cool thing to be in the party,
was the guy who would kick the left.
Yeah.
That's no longer the cool thing to be in the party.
And I think that's a credit to Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, groups like AELP, the American Economic Liberties Project, the antitrust movement.
I think there's a lot of the revived labor movement. has worked together to say punching left on economics is no longer the way you advance
in the Democratic Party. It's no longer the way to build your brand in the Democratic Party.
And that seems sort of nebulous and kind of intangible, but it's also really real. That's
why then in 2024, Bernie Sanders gives a speech
at the Democratic Convention
and it now sounds like
just a Democratic speech.
That's a huge victory for him.
Another material point,
I'm curious for your take on this,
is money.
Obama showed that you can raise
hundreds of millions of dollars from small donors.
Howard Dean showed first, then Obama,
then Bernie raises 200 plus million dollars.
Chuck Schumer watched that and he was like, whoa.
Because Chuck Schumer is like an amoral operator.
He's like, wait a minute.
So I can hold these big fundraisers for Wall Street
and they can write $100,000 checks.
I can raise $15 million for every single one of my Senate candidates
just from people making $50 donations,
because the upper middle class Democrats can do more than just $27
to Bernie Sanders once a month, once every couple months.
When they get angry, they can do $50
to all eight candidates
that Chuck Schumer wants them to fund.
Kamala Harris has raised, what, $300
million or something? $500 million.
An enormous amount of that money
is from normal people.
Yeah.
And it doesn't come with any donor
obligations either. You don't have to invite them to the
Christmas party. You don't have to take a photo or pretend to care about their concerns or actually care about their concerns or whatever.
Yeah, exactly.
And even here, which is so interesting given what we're talking about with the shift at least tonally, is there's tons of corporate interests represented here.
Lee Fong had a great story about it.
We were at a thing the other night.
They underrate this whole thing.
A big picture of Cori Bush, all kinds of different congresspeople.
There's a big picture of Cori Bush, all kinds of different congresspeople. There's a big picture of Cori Bush.
And next to it, they were like thanking FedEx and Salesforce and MPAA.
And so that stuff is still here despite Democrats talking more populist.
And they foolishly got rid of public funding for conventions.
And so, you know, this is a corporate event.
It literally is a corporate event.
I mean, the RNC is too, let's be clear.
Of course.
And I think what they're trying to say is
all the corporate branding is
we are stakeholders.
Yes.
Right.
And I think where does that,
where does that actually operate?
I think it operates one level below
the top line.
I'm for X, Y, and Z.
The more granular you get on any policy,
the more those corporate brands that you saw up in those suites,
that's where they're watching.
You mean they're riding these little car bounds and spills
that no one's paying attention to,
but means everything to them and their bottom line.
That's right. And they bank on no one noticing.
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I think we should hear from Trump, maybe.
He called into Fox News.
Oh, for real?
Yeah, I just put a clip.
I went ahead and put it in the rundown, Mac,
if you want to go ahead and take a listen.
Apparently, he was rambling.
They literally had to cut him off,
and they effectively hung up on him.
Are you serious?
Yeah, that's what I'm hearing.
So let's go ahead and put it up.
Let me ask you this, sir.
There has been a huge appeal and momentum for women voters.
She's trying to pull the youth vote, the Hispanic vote,
the black vote back in her direction.
Polls show that she's having some success in that at this point.
So what are you going to do? What's your strategy to rebuild the momentum that you had with
those voters no she's not having success I'm having success I'm doing great with
the Hispanic voters I'm doing great with black men I'm doing great with women
because women want safety they want safety and they don't have safety when they have somebody allowing 20 million people into our country,
many of them very dangerous people.
No, it's only in your eyes that they have that, Martha.
We're doing very well in the polls.
We're leading in most of the polls.
And in the swing states, we're leading in almost every one of them.
Mr. President, let me interrupt.
The auto workers are voting for me because you're not going to have an auto industry if she gets elected they're going to
all electric cars yeah so it was basically like that uh uh the report was that he sounded like
one of those c-span or random cars came in on the independent line. Donald, what did you think? Interrupted to ask.
Yeah, Donald, what did you think?
He literally has always told me.
He's always sounded like that.
Let's pull his truth social feed up.
Because he was truthing all throughout.
That's not so different from most of his calls to Fox News.
Fair enough.
I agree.
And actually, the reduction in those has probably been a good thing.
So let's see.
Look, it's Crazy Nancy Pelosi. Where's Crooked Joe? There will be a future under Comrade Kamala.
No future under Comrade Harris.
She has led us into a failing nation status. She talks about compassion, doesn't talk about
all the people she's allowed into our country. Keep going. She's done nothing for three and a
half years, but talk and what she's doing tonight. She talks about other countries border, nothing
about our borders.
Stands for incompetence and weakness.
Our country is being laughed at.
Do you guys think he was actually tweeting these?
She caused October 7th.
What does that say?
She caused the attack of October 7th.
So here's how you know he is doing the tweeting.
Look at the random capitalization.
Oh, here it is.
Is she talking about me?
Gee, I don't know.
Probably, Donald.
It makes sense.
This would be actually a good time to talk about something we haven't fully addressed yet,
which is that it does look like RFK Jr. is dropping out tomorrow and endorsing Trump.
Let me see Trump.
Yeah, let me pull that up.
It is here.
I can put this into the rundown. Officially, the RFK Jr. campaign
has filed paperwork in the state of Arizona. Well, they didn't. They're dropping their claim
to try to get withdrawn from the presidential race. Mac, I just put it in the rundown. There
we go. Maybe zoom in on the image so that people can see withdrawn from the presidential race in
Arizona, in the state of Arizona. So there'd be no reason to withdraw all the ballots
that you connected if it didn't mean that you weren't,
at least at the very least, dropping out.
J.D. Van, what was it?
Griffin, yesterday we were watching J.D. on-
Jake Tapper.
Jake Tapper.
Didn't he make a comment about RFK?
He was like, I'm not sure if it's gonna happen,
but of course we would welcome that.
We could talk to him about vaccine mandates
or something like that,
but it's looking more and more,
prediction markets have it at like 88%.
Yeah, I mean, it looks like it's happening.
And there's been this flirtation going on for a while now,
you know, that's been reported out.
I don't know how much of a difference
it really makes electorally at this point
because he was down about 5% in the polls.
But it's definitely a positive development if you're Trump because he was taking – he was serving like a kind of a Jill Stein role for the Republican Party.
If you saw Michigan, I mean, in my head, RFK was – if Trump lost and he lost in a narrow election, it would have been RFK 100% to me.
If RFK was
still in the race. Because if you looked at Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, he was on
the ballot in all the battleground states. Arizona, which he just withdrew out of. These are
states he barely won last time around or lost. So to me, I mean, 5%, 5% is a ton on the margin.
So I actually would put, like RFK dropping out and endorsing Trump to me
actually puts it fully back a coin flip
because I'm like the margins now are so slim for Kamala
and it will have to be a full on battle to the death
of get the voters out,
turn out as much as humanly possible with your faithful.
Whereas with RFK in the race,
the Democrats did not have to perform at an A plus level. And I think now that they do.
One thing that I really, that I hate about this is now all the people who always say every third
party is just about helping Republicans. Like they get a lot of ammunition. I'm not happy about it
either. Because I mean, he, yeah, he really claimed he really claimed like no no i can't stand i can't stand by and i want to defeat both of them etc etc
and um you know it certainly looks like from the way that his running mate was talking about it
the the the real like ultimate core of this was always i want to hurt the democrats and so when
it came down to it and it was very clear, OK, you're not hurting the Democrats anymore, then, you know, he makes makes the move.
And it was it was the right that was nice to him in the beginning.
And so he feels some common cause with them or whatever, his own ego.
He wants to get some cabinet position, et cetera. And they offered him the best deal. credence to this talking point that in reality all of these third party candidates are just you
know republican plants trying to hurt the whoever the democrat is at the time you're absolutely
right uh while we've got the writer of don't look up here i did want to ask what your thoughts about
the pretty much total absence of any climate change there was a tiny bit tonight was for
the future there was a line in there.
They did.
They had Deb Haaland on
to talk about it
and then Maxwell Frost
was talking about it.
I don't know if there were
other speakers,
but other than those two,
it's been notably absent.
I think the Republicans
have done a good job
with making the issue
almost like, yeah, almost unfortunately like immigration for
the Democrats.
That every time the Democrats now talk about it, it gives the Republicans an opportunity
to talk about higher energy prices, to talk about, you know, they want to control.
Paper straws.
Yeah, they want to control the economy.
Paper straws.
I do hate the paper straws.
They've done a really good job of making it into like,
to use a Tim Walz term, like a weird issue.
Yeah.
Which is really terrifying.
Lifestyle.
Exactly.
Like it takes away the,
or the Republicans have done a good job of taking,
of making it as a weapon against the social libertarianism.
They're going to control what, you know, how you use energy, why you drive.
And I think what's obviously tragic about that is that the crisis is actually getting worse.
It is real.
So how Democrats can break that is kind of like the biggest political question.
I think it's just up to China to just figure it out.
Move to Beijing, go and get it.
Move to Beijing, go and get it.
Let's let them figure it out.
It's really terrifying that there's this huge problem that both parties don't really want to talk about it. Well, the only good news is that I think,
I believe between Tim and Trump,
we now have two pro-nuclear candidates
which are in the race.
Tim Walz is pro-nuclear.
Trump is endorsed nuclear.
We'll see.
But I mean, if Elon is there,
it's like it's possibly one of the only good things he would do.
Well, and then RFK Jr., head of the EPA.
Oh, no, but RFK is very anti-nuclear.
Remember?
Yeah.
He went off on it. But he Yeah, I mean, that's right.
He went off on it, man.
But he's pro, but he's obviously a,
he's not a climate denier, he's.
When I interviewed him on environmental issues,
he was like, well, yeah, I believe in climate,
you guys should go and watch it.
Yeah, no, he's so bad.
It's obviously paraphrasing, it's been a little while.
He's kind of, he's kind of.
But he was like, well, I believe in it,
but I'm not really gonna talk about it because I think it turns
people off. And then he goes
into this whole thing about
the free market. The answer is
the free market. It's like, what?
And I was like, well, why not nuclear?
And he was like, well, it's just too dangerous.
It's the opportunity economy.
It's the most boomer position ever.
It's almost like there's an asteroid headed towards Earth.
No one's going to do it. It's almost like there's an asteroid headed towards Earth. No one's made that decision.
It's a good metaphor.
Sure.
Emily? I'll start by saying good, not
great. Bubbles likely to pop
soon and sugar
rush could end.
Crystal? I think
it's very hard for me
to separate
my horror at what's happening in Gaza from this
overall convention and direction of the Democratic Party. But I think the real star of this ticket is
actually Tim Walz in terms of his messaging intelligence and credibility of having a
positive, affirmative economic agenda, I think is a much more effective political actor than Kamala Harris is. And, you know, so my takeaway is that a lot of the most successful framing and articulation
from this convention was courtesy of the way he talks about politics and the way he operates in a
political context as well. Yeah, I mostly concur with Emily. I think it was good, not great. I
mean, I mean, I think I said C plus earlier. I think it was good, not great. I mean, I think I said C plus earlier.
I think that's probably where I stand.
I really don't think it was her best,
even since she became the candidate.
She did certainly throw enough of what she needed to.
I think she gave a replacement level speech. It's the political chameleon that we all know and love,
I guess, at this point,
for people who cover politics for a living.
But let's not forget that that is popular.
The vibes are still good.
People here were really enthusiastic,
like almost messianic, you know, in the convention hall.
And that's probably the single best reason
I'm really happy that I was here in Chicago
to imbibe that because that's not something
that necessarily may come through enough on the screen.
But to be within the convention
and talk to people and see all the enthusiasm,
I'm like, no, my main takeaway,
I keep saying it all tonight,
is I'm like, these people are playing to win.
I really think they are in it to win it,
and I think Republicans should be afraid.
You see that from some people who aren't here,
who are just like, this is fake.
Oh, it's fake, I wish you were here, bro.
No, it's not.
It's really not.
Go ahead. I was just trying to do the math,, it's not. It's really not. Go ahead.
I was just trying to do the math and it looks like about 11 weeks-ish
until the election
and many fewer than that
until the mail ballots start to go out.
So she just has to avoid interviews,
avoid press conferences.
She's been doing a great job of that.
She's hung in there so far.
It'll be interesting if she can just hold it together.
That's her whole thing.
She just has to hold it together for not much longer.
Yeah.
74 days till election day.
It's a wild process.
The funny thing is, because she is very,
people don't feel like they're not seeing,
it's not like Biden where he was just in the basement
and we didn't see him at all.
And it was notable his absence.
Like she feels very present.
And so I don't think she's paying any price
with the public for,
and the media is certainly not like,
you know, outraged.
Yeah.
And also the media is not even mad.
Not that upset.
The media is not mad.
Yeah.
So yeah, I don't think,
unfortunately I don't think she pays any real price
for failing to do press conferences, talk to the media, et cetera. Go ahead, David. I don't think, unfortunately, I don't think she pays any real price for failing to do press conferences, talk to the media, etc.
Go ahead, David.
I guess my only, I think the main takeaway is they have a first do no harm strategy.
Yeah.
They are implementing it really well tactically.
It is frustrating if you want to know more because any more that you would know is a threat of doing harm to the campaign.
Right.
And I think we should expect that
until
if the bubble bursts
or the vibes go bad,
they'll have to shift strategies
out of a first do no harm.
They'll have to take more risks.
But until there is a perception
that something's gone wrong,
this is what it's going to be.
It's not broke. Don't fix it. All right. Don't forget, everybody, this is what it's going to be. Got it. It's not broke.
Don't fix it.
All right.
Don't forget, everybody, we have a promotion going on right now.
Mac, can we put that graphic, please, up on the screen?
We are having a free month trial for Breaking Points.
So breakingpoints.com.
The promo code is DNC free.
All right.
So here's a question for BP.
Would you guys consider doing live panels in the future for the regular show?
The energy and the vibe with everyone there is so fun
and so is the engagement with the live chat.
Crystal?
I mean, maybe.
I've been having a good time.
It is, it's always fun.
Especially having Ryan and like all of us together
and of course having the great David Sirota with us as well.
Thank you by the way, David.
Thank you for coming.
Is super fun.
I don't, It's like technically complicated
to change the way we do the show
on a day-to-day basis.
But there's a lot of debates coming up
and then election night.
Stay tuned for debate night.
And so we'll be doing obviously lots of this
for those events, which is always fun.
And we really missed Crystal all week.
We really did.
That's nice of you guys to lie like that.
As did the friends.
If you're not here, I gotta talk more.
It's a pain in the ass.
We had a very funny encounter
with one viewer last night who
just was like, where the F is Crystal?
She was really old.
She was stuck on a plane.
Shout out to Enraged Cog, by the way.
Enraged Cog was at the thing. Good shout out. I'm giving her a shout out. We met her in person to Enraged Cog, by the way. Yes. Enraged Cog was at the thing.
Good fan.
That's what I'm saying, I'm giving her a shout out.
We met her in person.
Enraged Cog was very nice.
She's extremely kind and very funny and I love her.
Tons of excitement for Dropsite.
Tons of excitement for Dropsite.
It was a good party.
Here's an interesting one that I did.
I didn't honestly catch this,
but they say, how do you all feel about Kamala messaging
as being inevitable when I'm president
versus the traditional, if you elect me messaging?
I think that's normal.
The next president of the United States.
Yeah, speaking now,
the next president of the United States.
I would say that's extremely, extremely-
Tim Walz is gonna be the best vice president.
Yeah, it's-
Yeah, exactly.
Yeah.
What about from Tara
Alberon? Will there be a post-DNC
bump? What are your estimated guesses
on the bump range?
Traditional is one to two. I was reading some
Nate Silver analysis. It was about one to two points
that you usually get out of the convention. It is unfair
to Trump. He asked for a refund.
He deserves it.
It feels like Republicans didn't get a convention.
Yeah, it's true. It's like they did their convention. Now, they could have seen that it was coming. Ezra saw it. It feels like Republicans didn't get a convention. Yeah, it's true. It's like they did
their convention.
Now, they could have seen
that it was coming.
You know, Ezra saw it.
We saw it.
Yeah.
We thought it was going to happen.
I went.
But go ahead.
I went back and read
J.D. Vance's speech.
It was all about Biden.
Yeah.
But there were a bunch
of right wingers
who were saying
stop focusing on Biden.
Stop focusing on Biden.
So in real time,
it was obvious
that they were making
a tactical mistake. Because I was gone for the wedding.
Was that in the discourse at that time?
It was, yeah.
Some, some.
Yeah, like, yeah.
I mean, what happened, if we want to relive the timeline, is, you know, the Trump assassination attempt happens.
It shuts down for just a few days all the discourse about pushing Biden out.
And for a minute there, it really did feel like,
oh, well, that's it.
Now this is over.
But it quickly got rekindled
while they're doing-
It was still old.
Yeah, while they're doing the RNC,
this quickly gets rekindled.
And so there was discourse at the time.
Like I frankly was kind of shocked
that they were still just focusing on Biden
versus, yeah,
there was a little bit of an attempt
to Biden-Harris, Biden-Harris.
But you can see even now Trump is having trouble shifting to not focusing on Biden, to focusing
on Kamala Harris.
It has taken him time.
He is also an elderly individual.
And I think his brain had locked into this one model of the election and has had a very
hard time shifting.
It still has.
Tonight he was truthing, where's Crooked Joe?
Yeah, that's right.
That's right.
And he hasn't figured out
what the best line of attack
with Kamala.
He's kind of all over the place.
You know,
he workshopped this like,
oh, she's not really black thing.
That didn't really work.
You know,
he didn't get the,
he's expecting
the typical liberal freak out
and they just were sort of like
rolled their eyes
and moved on.
Emily, the chat is offering $20
if you shotgun the beer.
The beer's gone.
Oh.
Too late.
That's a good comment.
There's not much left in that crystal clear.
Let's do one more.
All right, one more.
Yeah, what are we?
Well, another thing to remember, by the way, on the sugar high is that we are right.
The Dems did their convention so late that we have a week until Labor Day.
And a lot of the campaign strategies
are to hit the ground running after Labor Day.
So their bump and their sugar high
will absolutely last another week, no question about it.
Okay, let's continue to keep looking.
Oh, here's a good one.
What happens after Trump?
I've actually been thinking about this a lot.
Is there going to be an after Trump?
For my man, JD, it's not gonna be good.
I'm really worried about it
because what I think will happen
is I think that MAGA will turn,
Trump has no loyalty, right?
So Trump will be like, it's your fault.
Your childless cat lady bullshit is the reason I lost.
Even though it's like, well, hold on a second, dude.
Like your name was on the thing.
And you picked him.
And you picked, yeah, so it's like, okay.
And then the other problem
is that the right wingers,
like the establishment people,
they already hate him.
People like Lindsey Graham
and all these others.
And so I think it will be
like the most brutal defenstration
that modern politics has seen.
Heritage Foundation,
Kevin Roberts will be gone.
A lot of the people
who are aligned with,
oh, I do. I think they'll fire
his ass. It's got to be one of the biggest
political fuck-ups. They've raised so much
money off of it. Yeah, okay, but if you
cost Trump the election, he will turn on
you. Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's true.
What I'm saying is there will be a brutal
internal civil war. National conservatism
and anybody who believes in
child tax credit and all that, Ukraine
skepticism, you're done. I don't think so. No, I don't think so. Because I'm so certain they will go full
Glenn Young. No. So here's my position on it is we genuinely have absolutely no idea because
anything could happen to Donald Trump. Donald Trump to MAGA people could quite literally get
martyred. And we were within millimeters of that happening. Like there are all kinds of black swan
events that could change what actually, and how Trump ends up
like before January 6th.
Yeah.
Nobody knew January 6th
was going to,
like it can go
in a lot of directions.
I mean, you're right.
I'm saying current prediction,
like my general thing
is I think they will come
for JD
and they will try
to absolutely destroy him.
They will,
but Trump has this incredible,
like it's like 30%
of Republican voters.
They just love Donald Trump.
But it's more than DeSantis.
It's more than Nikki Haley. It's more than any
other person is able to capture right now
as a proportion. And so he
will, he's not going anywhere.
See, that's my question is, okay, let's
say he loses.
Is he just going to run again?
He'll be the godfather. I agree.
Don't you guys think he'll be the godfather
down in Mar-a-Lago?
I think he keeps going.
I mean, I have such a hard time envisioning him
being like, I'm done seeking power.
I'm done with the spotlight.
I'm gonna anoint the next person.
I mean, that's the possibility.
Well, hey, he also could go to jail.
Yeah, he's gonna go to jail.
If he loses, I think there is a,
I would bet, like I would actually put money that he will spend time in prison. But, he's going to jail. If he loses, I think there is a, I would bet,
like I would actually put money that he will spend time in prison.
But what for at that point?
That would actually be crazy.
I mean, they're all getting thrown out.
Well, okay.
No, his sentencing is. Georgia?
The Georgia case.
What happened with the documents one?
That's pushed to 2026.
And yeah.
So there are still things.
She threw most of it out, right?
There are still things with the January 6th related
election interference one that
my understanding
is that are prosecutable even with the
Supreme Court's ruling on immunity, but it
has to go back through the process and figure out what
those things are. So there may
still be something, some there
there that they could go after him for that
would carry some decent penalties and i don't i have to go back and refresh my memory and where
the documents case stands it's the brag case um so the falsifying business records case there that's
34 felony counts and the sentencing that's not gonna be jail the sentencing right now is on
september 18th and this judge uh mershon desp despises Donald Trump. So I would really be quite shocked
if they put him in prison for that.
Nonviolent first-time offender.
We'll see.
It'll be interesting.
So, all right.
Well, and he's violent.
He's killed a lot of people.
He's a justice-impacted person, Ryan.
Don't forget that.
The lack of that language, by the way,
is why I think Democrats
are actually trying to play it.
They're in it to win.
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