Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - 9/10/25: Dems Call For Gov Shutdown, Rand Paul Shreds JD On Venezuela, UFO Hearing, Tim Dillon Roasts AOC
Episode Date: September 10, 2025Emily and Saagar discuss Dems call for government shutdown, Rand Paul shreds JD on Venezuela, explosive UFO hearing, Tim Dillon roasts AOC. To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/...listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.comMerch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Well, with a government funding deadline coming up on September 30th, shut down brinksmanship
now finds itself at the center of populist politics once again.
But of course, Sucker, we're not talking about Ted Cruz and Mike Lee, although we'll get to them
in just a moment. We're talking about Ezra Klein. We're talking about progressives in the House
and in the Senate who now face quite an interesting decision to fund the government or not
to fund the government to cooperate with Republicans or to push for a shutdown and rally the troops.
Let's go ahead and put up on the screen this Ezra Klein op-ed, which was everywhere. You've probably
already seen it, actually. This is C-1. Actually, we're going to play a sot of Ezra Klein talking about
the op-ed.
He wrote in the New York Times, the headline was,
stop acting like this is normal.
And towards the end of the piece,
Ezra Klein says,
I'm not a political strategist.
I hope somebody has better ideas than I do.
But it's been about six months since Schumer decided
that it wasn't the time for a fight,
referring back to the brief moment
where Democrats considered in March a government shutdown
that neither he, Ezra continues,
nor the country was ready.
Democratic leaders have had six months to come up with a plan.
If there's a better plan than a shutdown, great.
But if the plan is still nothing, then Democrats need new leaders.
So let's go ahead and bring Ezra in himself via the SOT from the New York Times.
We are no longer in the muzzle velocity stage of this presidency, where Donald Trump is trying things and seeing what sticks.
We are in the authoritarian consolidation stage of this presidency.
I want to be very clear about what I'm saying here.
Donald Trump is corrupting the government.
He's using it to hound his enemies, to line his pockets.
and to entrench his own power.
He is corrupting it the way the mafia would corrupt the industries it controlled.
You could still, under mafia rule, get the trash picked up by cement.
But the point of those industries had become the preservation and expansion of the mafia's power and wealth.
This is what Donald Trump is doing to the government.
This is what Democrats cannot fund.
I think the case for a shutdown is this.
A shutdown is an intentional event.
It's an effort to turn the diffuse crisis of Trump's corrupting the government into an acute crisis that the media, that the public, will pay attention to.
Right now, Democrats have no power, so no one cares what they have to say.
A shutdown would make people listen.
But then Democrats would have to actually win the argument.
They would need to have an argument.
In my head, the argument is something like this.
Donald Trump won the election.
He is the legitimate president.
His government should be funded so long as it is acting
the way the government is supposed to,
serving the people being held accountable.
But there are red lines that cannot be crossed.
ICE can conduct legitimate deportations,
but it can't be masked men roaming the streets,
refusing to identify themselves or their authority.
Remember your right to remain silent?
The Trump family cannot be hoovering in money and investments
from the countries that depend on us,
and fear our power and our sanctions.
There have to be inspectors general and jags
and career prosecutors watching to make sure the government
is being run on behalf of the people
rather than on behalf of the Trump family.
Democratic leaders have had six months to come up with a plan.
If there is a better plan than a shutdown grate,
but if the plan is still nothing,
act normal and hope for the best,
then Democrats need new leaders.
So what Klein is calling for there is Democrats to use some of their votes in the Senate
to say, no, Trump, you have to come to the table or this is a government shutdown.
We are going to be okay with this idea of taking the blame.
We're going to get into that in a moment because it goes back deep into Republican politics
over the last 10 plus years because it's worth it on our end to hope the messaging that comes
out of all of this is that, yes, we want the blame for shutting down the government
because we're trying to have Donald Trump come to the table unreasonable demands about very unpopular measures he has taken.
So maybe that involves ICE.
Maybe that involves, you know, making the issue about some of these government agencies that have been defunded.
You could come up with a million different ways that Democrats can message this, but they didn't want to do it at all back in March.
And Klein's argument is the world has changed since then.
what he's saying doesn't apply now for Schumer's case is the judiciary has not stopped
a lot of Donald Trump's priorities. That's the Ezra Klein case, but let's go to Capitol Hill
where Mike Johnson was addressing some questions about it just yesterday. How's Speaker Mike Johnson
about a potential shutdown and the funding battle. This is C-2.
House Republicans continue to work through regular order to fund the government for FY26
for the next fiscal year. We're working closely with the White House and the Senate to ensure we made
our deadlines, and Chairman Cole, Tom Cole, the appropriators, continues to diligently work
towards getting all 12 bills out of committee, and they're almost done with that.
And as we get closer to the funding deadline, though we recognize the shutdown chatter
from the left is growing louder. Some of these people seem to enjoy this. It seems
Democrats may take the path of maximum resistance and try to shut the government down.
If Democrats are willing to work with us, we have our sleeves rolled up and we want to do this
in good faith. We just have to think responsibly how to spend less money
than we did last year.
And if they're willing to do that,
and it's incumbent upon all of us to do it
with the high national debt,
we're open to that.
But the ultimate question
of whether there's going to be a government
shutdown at the end of the month
is going to be up to congressional Democrats,
and that's just the way it is.
Was that Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid
and John McCain?
Circuit 2014 or 2013 that I was hearing?
No, of course.
That was Mike Johnson,
saying Democrats are looking like they want to choose
the path of, quote,
maximum resistance.
Maximum resistance.
Okay. Now, this came on the heels of report from Punchbowl, so this is John Bresnahan, next element we can put up.
He said, news, House Democrats had an angry caucus meeting this morning, so that was yesterday, over government funding and possible shutdown.
Rank and file Dems want party leaders, especially Schumer, to be willing to shut down the government in order to get what they want on Obamacare and Medicaid.
That post in and of itself, I mean, if you just reversed the parties and put it up verbatim in 2013 would be such a parallel to what's happening right now.
A number of Democrats stood up to complain at the meeting.
Most of the anger was aimed at Chuck Schumer and Senate Democrats, but Breznihan reported.
So let's then get in our time machine and go back to 2013 and listen to the way some Republicans,
Mike Lee. We're going to have a clip from Mike Lee and then we're going to have a tweet from
Ted Cruz that we're going to put up on the screen. We just want to revisit the tone that
Republicans were taking back in those battles because what Democrats are actually talking about
right now is the potential substantive effect of a fight, but more than anything, the effect
that a fight would have on morale and on Democrats' national messaging strategy because we have
covered here poll after poll showing the Democratic Party's brand is absolutely in the tank. It is
a total crisis level for national Democrats, and they need a better messaging strategy, obviously.
So some of the argument from Ezra Klein and others right now is this is your opportunity to say
what Democrats are for in a way that actually puts the onus on Donald Trump to do something.
And that is what has been debated for the last 10 years, because the Washington establishment
said all of these shutdown fights made Republicans look like, you know, foolish obstructionists.
And we remember how the Jeffersons were treated on VEP, right?
They called themselves the Jeffersons.
That was part of the joke.
The, like, Freedom Caucus group that was parodied on VEP.
You probably remember, well, this was the cultural treatment of the Tea Party.
They're, you know, obstructionists who cared more about shutting down the government
than making the government work for people.
And that's, you know, powerful argument as far as it goes.
But at the same time, Obamacare, we forget, went through a very unpopular phase around this time period
in ways that Democrats.
can reflect on now. So here's a little gift. This is a flashback to Mike Lee during the 2013
shutdown battle. The position taken by the Democrats is not defensible. What they're saying is
unless you fund everything in government, including Obamacare, we will not let you fund anything.
That's crazy. The American people know what's crazy. President Obama said he would be willing
to negotiate if you reopen government and if you raise the debt ceiling. What would you say to
that? Well, I'd like to know what it is that he's willing to negotiate on. I mean, first of all,
the fact that he's even willing to negotiate at all is itself a welcome change. But it is a change
because so far what he's been telling us is, you do it my way, you do it exactly my way,
or we will not do it at all. You can't do that. He's not a dictator. He's not a despot.
He does have to deal with Congress. So if he's willing to negotiate, that's great. I'd like to see where he's willing
back in early July was when I saw that he was changing the law, when I saw that the president
himself was saying this law is not ready to implement and he's not going to follow it.
I thought, well, Congress shouldn't fund it if it's not ready, if he's not going to follow.
He's not a dictator.
He's not a despot referring to Barack Obama at the time because Mike Lee said he has to work
with Congress.
So if Senate Democrats deprive Republicans of the 60 votes that they need to pass a bipartisan
continuing resolution because this is the ridiculous way that we fund our government, which, by the way,
Mike Johnson was opposed to. But if that's what we are doing, then Senate Democrats can force Donald
Trump to come to the table or, I mean, the cost of forcing Trump to come to the table is taking
the blame for shutting down the government. But Democrats can use that as an opportunity to say,
if Donald Trump wants to fund the government, exactly what Mike Lee is saying there to Barack Obama,
If Democrats want to fund the government, if Donald Trump wants the government to reopen,
he can actually accede to some reasonable, popular demands about X, Y, and Z.
Maybe it's USAID, whatever it is, I don't think that would be a popular demand.
But just one example of the many things that Donald Trump has changed, not all of them are popular.
Some of them are, but not all of them are.
And so then Democrats have an opportunity to make the fight about that and say,
Donald Trump is not a dictator.
He has to work with Congress.
we are Congress, and we're asking for these things to be done.
So let's put this next element on the screen.
It's Ted Cruz.
I went deep back into Ted Cruz's Twitter history.
This is 2013.
Obama admin chose to shut down government rather than defund slash delay Obamacare not long ago, yet here we are.
So listen to the verbiage there.
Obama admin chose to shut down the government rather than defund slash delay Obamacare.
Obviously, of course, we all knew at the time.
I mean, even in that Mike Lee clip, we just ran the Chiron, was.
Peter King. There's a flashback. Republican Peter King referring to them as the quote
suicide caucus. That was the internal battle happening among establishment Republicans and
Tea Party Republicans at the time. And look at this, C6. This is from the Peter Sosnik memo
that went super viral, always does whenever it comes out. When it was published in Politico a couple
weeks ago, it's Gallup data. It goes back to January of 2008, and it shows Republicans' favorability
with their own party and Democrats favorability with their own party. The Democrat level right now
is at 73 percent. 73 percent Democrats favorable of their own party, 91 percent Republicans
currently favorable with their own party. The only time either party has had any level of favorability
that low, I guess one it is, 2009 Republicans in 2009. And if you argue that the Tea Party wasn't a
successful populist takeover of the Republican Party. You're wrong. You're wrong. Donald Trump
completely showed that. In fact, Donald Trump learned from that. So if you are a populist progressive
Democrat right now, it is abundantly obvious saga. And this block was your idea. It's like 20 minutes
right now. That's why I asked you to do it. But it is so obvious for Democrats that they have a golden
opportunity on a platter in front of them. And if they are too bitch ass to take it.
it. They definitely are, by the way. Well, I think there are a lot just, they're just like the
Republican leadership of that time. The Bainers and the others, they're like, look, that's
not how we do stuff. Even Bainer went along with it at some point. That's true. I mean,
eventually did cave. But, you know, for, I'm trying to think about the original Republican leaders,
they're like, well, that's not how we do things in Washington. John McCain. Process. And we have
the committees. And they were like, bro, you're not listening. You're not understanding how
angry people are right now. But I mean, it is an open question. Did it work? Like, what is
the legacy of shutdown politics for Republicans. I'm not sure it did. Like, right, the original,
what was the big shutdown, 2013? That was after 2012, pre-DACA. It kind of inspired Obama to do DACA,
so I would say a bit of a backlash. But my point, though, is that I kind of think Obama won
if you go back and you look at some of the polling. Now, look, you could make an argument in
the long run, because in the immediate term, remember Obama shut down the national parks,
people freaked out, they blamed Republicans. I remember Boehner shutdown was trending. You know,
the Democrats were very sophisticated at that time.
And also they had the media on their side.
I guess this time around, the media probably would be on the Democrat side.
Oh, totally.
And it would satisfy, like, the bloodlust for a lot of the Democratic voters.
But, you know, people get real mad whenever they don't get paid or there's not basic government services.
And I'm not sure who they would blame.
It's a different political...
Except fellow workers right now despise Trump.
That's true.
Yeah.
And so maybe they would eat it.
I'm not so sure.
You take two paychecks away from somebody, and that's a little dangerous.
Trump did buckle, to be fair, in the first shutdown under his administration.
I covered that extensively.
It was like a 17-day shutdown, and he basically caved to Nancy Pelosi and to Chuck Schumer over border.
Because he knew it was bad.
He's uncomfortable with it for himself.
And that's where I think Mike Johnson, the thought of him, the sound that we played of him earlier, saying, we don't want to do this, we don't want to do this.
We want to work with Democrats.
It's actually interesting because he sounds sincere in that to me because I think he knows the president does not want this battle.
Yeah, that's true.
I mean, yeah, I don't know who would fall on.
at this point. But yeah, I wonder, I do wonder if it's worth doing just purely politically
for the Democrats solely to show, yeah, we can do something. We're not just going to give them
well, you have to extract some pound of flesh. The thing is, though, as you and I know,
is when the Republican leaders would eventually cave to Obama or they would do some sort of deal
where Obama supposedly caved to them. It was never enough for the Tea Party caucus or any other
people. They were like, no, we can't go all in. Because that wasn't the point. Right. The point was
radical. I'm saying, though, 10 years later, 12 years later, actually, do you think it worked out
for the Republicans, like in the legacy of shutdown politics? I think it worked out for the Republican
politicians. So a lot of people from that era have gone on to be the heavy hitters in the Trump
administration. I don't think Republicans would look at this generational change of the party with
Trump without these shutdown fights, because what they did was show national Republicans that the
base, the people are in the county party headquarters, making the calls, knocking on the doors,
were so, so, so very mad at the party.
And that was a lesson that I think eventually is why Republicans gave way to Trump in a way
that Democrats didn't give way to Bernie to their benefit.
That's very true.
But that said, I think Republican voters continue to lose because look at this administration.
Is there an actual populist will in the administration?
to do what Republican voters really wanted with the Tea Party, which was not all that different,
despite at the time people thinking it was, between Occupy Wall Street and the Tea Party.
It was the sense of injustice and unfairness.
And that has not been remedied, nor will it be remedied in the near future, even if Democrats,
I mean, that's where this could be a politically disastrous decision for Democrats, because
based on their class bubble, they could end up picking the absolute dumbest battles to shut down
the government over it.
Like I was joking earlier about USAID.
Right.
Are they going to shut down the government to bring back USAID?
Don't put it past them.
They actually are that stupid.
Are they going to shut down the government to protect some of the 30-year-old single men
who are taking jobs away from poor Americans by being here illegally or entering the border?
I mean, there are some things on deportations they could do that I think would be popular,
but watch them choose the dumbest popular.
Yeah, it's possible.
I don't know.
I mean, yeah, I think that they care more about process and all that stuff more than anything.
You're right. We would not put a USAIDD shutdown past them.
I have no idea, actually, which way they will go.
But I enjoyed your trip down memory lane.
Thank you for updating us all.
All right, let's go to, you are the shutdown expert.
We always will.
We'll keep you that.
And we'll keep you that resonant here at breaking points.
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Let's go to Venezuela, shall we?
So I've been wanting to cover this for a while.
I know it's a little bit dated, but it is an important conversation.
Let's go ahead and put this up there on the screen.
So there was a big debate amongst Republicans about the strike by the United States
military on these purported drug dealers off the coast of Venezuela after the designation of
Trende Aragua, a gang in Venezuela as a foreign terrorist organization for trafficking drugs.
So that was the justification for the strike that it was an imminent security threat to the
people of the United States.
So J.D. Vance tweets, quote, killing cartel members who poison our fellow citizens is the highest
and best use of our military.
Brian Krasenstein, who for some reason is back on Twitter, says, killing the citizens of
another nation who are civilians without any due process, is called a war crime.
J.D. responds, I don't give a shit what you call it. So this kind of ignites a libertarian versus Republican Civil War that erupted with Rand Paul entering the fray. Let's go to the next part here, please. Ran Paul responds, quote, J.D., I don't give a shit, Vance, says killing people he accuses of a crime is the highest and best use of the military. Did he ever read to kill a mockingbird? I'll return to that. Rand, we need some better references. Did he ever wonder what might have.
happen if the accused were immediately executed without trial or representation. What a despicable
and thoughtless sentiment it is to glorify killing someone without trial. He goes on and gives
several interviews expounding on this as to why he decided to pick this fight. Let's take a listen.
The reason we have trials, though, and we don't automatically assume guilt is what if we make a
mistake and they happen to be people fleeing Venezuela, the Venezuelan dictator? I think probably
that, you know, we had the facts correct, we got bad people here. But that's the reason,
like, off our coast, it isn't our policy just to blow people up. And it's hard because
obviously they're bad people. So people are like, they want something bad to happen
them. But typically, even the worst people in our country, if we accuse somebody of a terrible
crime, they still get a trial, basically. They get a lawyer, they get their day in court.
But if we're at war, you know, we blow up bad guys all the time. I think that's what they're
saying this is a war. And our country, war is the exception. So when we have a war, we have a
It was intended that we would declare war, it would be a big vote of our Congress.
And then at that point in time, we say if that enemy, if we are at war, let's say with Venezuela,
then we say their ships are, you know, free to shoot them anywhere they are anytime.
And so we kill them off their coast.
We kill them in their country.
But we've declared war on them.
It's a little harder here because this is a crime and this is a criminal syndicate.
As it's not as simple as it may sound that, well, let's just kill drug dealers because
Because sometimes you have to figure out who people are before you kill them.
Right.
It's a problem.
All right.
So, Emily, what do you think about the...
So, you know, I've been kind of rolling over this.
And I want to give Rand credit because the guy spoke up about the killing of an American citizen
who was drone struck by the Obama administration back in 2013.
When it was not popular, he brought up to...
By the way, that is by far one of the craziest things that's ever happened.
Because it was basically an extrajudicial killing of a U.S. citizen.
abroad where they gave him, quote, due process, like inside of the executive branch without
ever bringing in to the judicial system. But he talked about it broadly, and this is something
that a lot of libertarians and others have been talking about. You know, with the original argument,
I think what I find most despicable about it is conflating that these cartels are the ones
who are killing Americans because it's not even true. In the case of Venezuela, that's what is
like, you are hijacking a legitimate sentiment, 100,000 people a year dying from fentanyl.
99%, this is from the U.S. government DEA figures, 99% of all fentanyl that enters the United
States comes from Mexico, and originally the precursors come from China, 99%. 90% of all, I think
93% of all cocaine, which enters the United States, is from Colombia, transited via Mexico
through the border here into the U.S., which is obviously also tainted with fentanyl.
The cartels that are responsible for this
are the Sinaloa cartel, you know, whatever,
the New Generation Cartel, all of these,
whatever, there's various subgroups
and others that exist inside of Mexico.
It's one thing to say, those are the people.
But Trend de Aragua?
I mean, this, we had Juan David Rojas here
on the show, and he's like, guys,
like these are engaged in human trafficking,
which is a horrible, despicable crime.
But, you know, to the extent that they're doing drug dealing,
it's street dealing.
And to me, I said this to end.
It's not an industrial drug.
like drug dealing, fentanyl.
Which Ceyloa and others are.
Yeah, they are. They literally are. But we're not doing
anything presumably about that.
It's like, this seems
cover to me as
this literally just seems covered to me as
a regime change operation. Yeah, 100%.
We have a $50 million boundary on Maduro's head
because he's engaged in drug trafficking.
Again, and Texas did not rule that out.
Right. 7% of all
cocaine, not from Colombia and Mexico,
transits via all
of these other countries, including
Venezuela. So this is like, even calling it tertiary is not even fair. And we have this huge
U.S. military presence. We have a $50 million bounty on Maduro's head. We struck this speedboat,
which allegedly was carrying cocaine, whatever. We don't, we don't even know if any of that
is true. Because they will not say. They will not release the evidence. They won't even say.
They won't reduce the evidence. So I'm like, well, you know, for me, and I think Glenn Greenwald
brought up a great point. It's like this looks like a Noriega style regime change operation all over again.
And I think it would be a different story if it was about the Mexican drug cartel.
By the way, you want to know why they haven't struck the Mexican drug cartels?
Because what is it?
50% of trade, maybe 40% of trade moves across the U.S.-Mexico border.
And they're not going to do anything to jeopardize that because it would destroy the entire U.S. economy
for Mexico and Canada.
There's no way U.S. military strikes are going to happen in Mexico and they're not going to shut
the border down.
Shine bomb and others, it's never going to happen.
And for them, what they allow, basically, is like, you know, we have all this new cooperation.
It's not bullshit if you ask me, but my point is just that the actual cartels that are doing this are facing nothing, like nothing.
Yep.
But then the sideshow with Venezuela, all of a sudden their cartels and their poison, it's like, guys, it's not even true about what's happening here.
And this is use of the United States military, regime change, literally openly being crowd about by our current Secretary of State.
In Venezuela.
In Venezuela, which is like the neocon wet dream, everything about this stinks to high heaven.
And that's taking it out of the first principles due process type stuff.
This is, because, you know, that's a good argument, too.
It was, hey, the U.S. Coast Guard intercepts these ships all day long.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
We prosecute people.
We have international agreements, et cetera.
Why didn't you do that?
It's to send a message.
It's like, okay, send a message to whom?
And send a message for what?
To the Maduro government, who then overflew U.S. military sites.
And then Trump tells generals, oh, you can go and shoot them down.
Do we want to be in a hot war with Venezuela?
Again, over a country which zero percent of fentanyl enters the United States of America,
from, but that's the problem. Nobody even
does enough cursory Google search
to look at, even the mainstream media when they cover
this, they're not giving you the facts about the
They're like, oh, it's Trenda-A-Ragua. They're
Aragua, they are
involved in drug trafficking and you're like, well,
what kind, you know? I mean, it doesn't take
a genius to figure this stuff. I mean, technically
the drug trafficking is accurate, but to your
point about Wanda B. Inside of Venezuela,
by the way, I don't give a shit who drills drugs
in front of Venezuela. Definitely not to the point
of using the U.S. military for to do it.
Yeah, so, I mean, and you get into these
process arguments, and it sounds like from J.D.'s perspective, so when you're talking like
J.D. Vance's here, I don't give a shit. That is probably not that difficult to sell definitely
to Republican voters. That's, you know, I was going to say, I mean, it's perfectly consistent from
many people in the Republican Party who never really changed their mind on, for example,
the AUMF. I went back and looked to see what Matt Gates has said about this. And he's tweeting
his interview with J.D. Vance and saying
no apologies, American flag emoji
where Vance is saying, if you are engaged
in war against the American people, you were at risk
of having your entire operation literally blown
to bits. By the way, that can be
perfectly true. And also
not for example, while also
for example not having the Secretary of
Defense slash War, Pete Hegg said,
by the way, I don't have
any problem with the Secretary of Defense
changing the name to the
Department of War because it's much more
honest. We've talked about it here on the show. I agree.
I totally agree.
But anyway, all that is to say, this is like Matt Gates was against the authorized use of military force being used in Africa when he was a congressman and all of that for a good reason.
Now, Pete Hexeth has recently said it's no different than Al-Qaeda, right?
Did you see that from him?
No different from Al-Qaeda or the Taliban.
If you're in a boat, you're going to get struck.
And of course, again, we haven't seen the evidence that this is, you know, not a potential.
mistake, as Rand Paul cited. Maybe it's not. Maybe these were actual narco-terrorists. Maybe let's just
say it was Sinaloa. Let's say it was actually the people who are bringing fentanyl into the United
States. The argument from a lot of conservatives who started to rethink the neoconservative policies
that got us into quagmires in Iraq and Afghanistan is actually that the process is really important
Because when you start to paper over the process, you give oligarchs essentially power to do regime change wars without democratic buy-in and in ways that end up being, well, let's use the word again, quagmires, because they were not well thought out and they were based on crazy levels of intelligence.
I've been reading the Michael Isikoff, David Korn book called Hubris, about how we ended up getting to Iraq.
And it's funny that those are the two authors
who wrote that book about how we cooked up the intelligence
case. But when you then look at
how the Trump administration now
is connecting Trende Aragua
to Cartel of the Sons to Maduro
and say that Maduro...
Oh, it's literally just like Iraq.
It's the same shit. It is. It is.
And look, no one's claiming here
that hundreds of thousands of troops are going to go into
Venezuela, okay? I don't think they're that dumb.
Hopefully.
But if there is a military strike in Mexico,
which I don't necessarily agree with you won't happen.
I can see some type of precision action or whatever,
but if troops die, if American troops die in Mexico...
Right. Yeah, people are going to freak out, and they should.
What happens then?
Well, okay, why do you think that the Mexico thing would happen?
I just don't see.
If they were going to do it, they would have done it.
The Shine bomb government has made it entirely clear.
Nobody is set in foot on Mexican soil.
We have the greatest Trump card of all,
literally card of all time,
which is the vast majority of the goods that you rely on.
You know, I mean, could go on forever in terms of the amount of stuff that the crosses the U.S.-Mexico border on a daily basis.
Is that really going to be put into jeopardy?
That's why I don't think it's even happening.
It's not even in the conversation.
They made, they beat their drums hard about we're going to go after the cartels.
And it's all bullshit.
You know, none of it, not a single one of those things has materialized.
I don't think you're wrong about that.
But I think what we're seeing with them building this cartel case, I feel like part of it is that they're trying it with Venezuela and trying to build a case potentially for Mexico because I think Hegseth actually.
They have all these ideas about precision-type strikes that they could do in Sinaloa in a way that Shinebaum, for example, might actually welcome, which she wouldn't right now because this is like about Mexican sovereignty or whatever.
But what happens when they start turning the screws to the Mexican economy or threatening to turn the screws to the Mexican economy in a much more serious way?
But also what worries me most is like what happens if a CIA guy doing anti-narcho-terrorism stuff in Sinaloa gets killed?
what happens when
there is some type of
like we've already seen drone action since Trump's
come to office on the border
what happens when there's
you know in Ray Nosa
some type of drone activity
from CIA or DOD or whatever
do we get pulled into something
that possibility is what does worry me
definitely and by the way
all of this is not exactly out of the realm
and remember there's some crazy stuff they went down
with the U.S. and Colombia back in the 90s
And they even made movies about it.
We're clear and present danger.
All right, let's go, let's end with some words from Glenn Greenwald,
who did a great job of breaking this all down.
Let's take a listen.
Maga was supposedly a movement, principally of younger people
who booked all these wars and said,
why are we keep bombing people all over the world?
Why do we keep getting involved in these foreign conflicts?
Why don't we focus on our own country that's falling apart instead?
And yet it's been amazing for me to watch
how easy it is to convince most Trump supporters,
not all, but most,
to just start cheering for the very words they said they were against.
You just tell them, these are bad guys.
I think he's right.
I think people should have a lot more scrutiny
and not just take people's word for it
about fentanyl or any of this.
It takes, look, go on chat GPT, go on Google.
I mean, do we just sit here?
Are we mindless drones?
It's not that difficult.
You know, and I did this for all of the,
Remember, anytime there was some strike in Yemen or any of this, they all fall apart like this,
almost every single time.
But, you know, that's what politics says.
And by the way, you also end up killing civilians and enraging their communities against the United States often.
That actually happened.
You know, I used to think that was a leftist talking point.
I started looking into it.
I was like, no, they're actually right.
It's true.
100% true.
Well, great.
And Glenn's in a position to know that because over the last 10 years, he's talked to many people on the right,
including both of us, who hopefully will remain consistent on that.
But he's talked to many people on the right.
I'm probably thinking of Matt Gates.
We'd have to ask Glenn if that's someone he has in mind
who made these cases to him and with him.
Right, that's right.
On the basis of constitutional law.
Very important point.
Did you hear that excuse?
I don't know if you don't lie about that, right?
Lauren came in.
From viral performances to red carpet looks
that had everyone talking.
The podcast, the latest with Lauren the Rosa,
is your go-to for everything be amazed.
We will be right here breaking it all down.
I'm going to be giving you all the headlines, breaking down everything that is going down behind the scenes,
and getting into what the people are saying.
Like, what is the culture talking about?
That's exactly what we'll be getting into here at the latest with Lauren the Rosa.
Everything, VMAs.
Let's get to do it.
I'm a homegirl that knows a little bit about everything and everybody.
To hear this and more, listen to the latest with Lauren the Rosa from the Black Effect Podcast Network on the IHeartRadio at,
Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcast.
Imagine that you're on an airplane and all of a sudden you hear this.
Attention passengers, the pilot is having an emergency and we need someone, anyone to land this plane.
Think you could do it?
It turns out that nearly 50% of men think that they could land the plane with the help of air traffic control.
And they're saying like, okay, pull this, do this, pull that, turn this.
It's just, I can do it my eyes close.
I'm Manny.
I'm Noah.
This is Devon.
And on our new show.
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Join us as we talk to the leading expert on overconfidence.
Those who lack expertise lack the expertise they need to recognize that they lack expertise.
And then, as we try the whole thing out for real.
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Listen to No Such Thing on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
washed up a shoe with some bones in it.
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Let's get to a UFO.
Crystal's not here.
We can do a UFO.
I'm joking.
She never holds me.
Mom's away.
Yeah, she doesn't hold me up anytime.
I want to cover this story.
There was a big UFO hearing yesterday.
Again, I'm very sorry that I could not attend.
One of the major headlines out of it is a new video that was released,
ostensibly showing a UAP in which a hellfire missile was fired,
and it seems to glance off.
Now, I'm going to give you some countervailing evidence.
I want to be clear that shows that it could be a balloon, but I do want to at least give it some credit for the video being released.
Let's go ahead and put it up here on the screen.
So you can see here, this is a 2024 incident, allegedly, according to the congressman who released it,
and you can see the object moving over.
Soon you're actually going to see a hellfire missile come.
It glances off, and you can see that it continues basically dodging.
So that is the alleged evidence that was included there.
from the congressman, there's a couple of other angles that you can see from it.
What's important, though, I think, is not just the video that was released, but actually
some of the testimony, including here from U.S. Air Force veteran Dylan Borland, who testified
on witnessing a, quote, silent 100-foot equilateral triangle that rapidly ascended to commercial
jet level in seconds at Langley Air Force Base. Let's take a listen.
From 2011 and 2013, I was stationed at Langley Air Force Base, Virginia, conducting 24-hour operations via manned and unmanned aerial vehicles for special operations forces and the Global War on Terror.
During the summer of 2012, my team was on standby for weather and I returned to my barracks on base, and at approximately 0.130, I saw an approximately 100-foot equilateral triangle take off from near the NASA hangar on the base.
The craft interfered with my telephone
did not have any sound
and the material it was made of
appeared fluid or dynamic.
I was under this triangular craft
for a few minutes and then it rapidly ascended
to commercial jet level in seconds
displaying zero kinetic disturbance
sound or wind displacement.
Some years after that experience,
I was further exposed to classified information
from the UAP Legacy crash retrieval program
through a sensitive position I held
within a special access program.
During this time, intelligence officers approached me and fear for their own careers, citing misconduct within these programs and similar retaliation that I was already enduring at this time.
That was followed up also with testimony from George Knapp, who is one of the best journalists on the UFO subject, has been for decades here.
And here was some of the testimony that he offered.
It's been widely reported and suspected that Lockheed Martin is one of the contractors, the defense contractors, that has held this stuff, stored it away in secrecy.
and tried to figure out how it works.
I have confirmed on the record that Robert Bigelow and a trusted colleague from OSAP
met with and negotiated with senior executives at Lockheed Martin
and hammered out a deal wherein Bigelow's company, Bass,
would receive a quantity of unusual material
that had been stashed away and protected at a facility in California.
That material was not made here.
That has long been part of some of the UFO community,
reporting is basically that defense contractors are used as cutouts so that you can have plausible
deniability. It also goes to the fact that Pentagon can pass an audit because nobody knows
where some of this black money and all this other stuff goes. I do want to give some credit
to some of the people who are saying that this video is not actually showing a UFO. Now,
again, I will let you make up your mind for yourself, but this actually comes from a guy who I very
much respect Joe Mersia, UFO Joe. Let's put it up here on the screen. And so what he says is that from
one of the, basically he looked into it, they talk about the hellfire missile. What he says specifically
is that, quote, contact occurred with a missile passing through. The apparent deflection was a
guidance system searching for a laser spot again causing control services to thrash. The three
trailing objects align better with debris or internal components ignited by electrical damage rather
than missile fragments. Artifacts are possible, but unlikely. Let's go to the next
part here. And they say, the overall conclusion is that the evidence is most consistent with
a slow-moving or stationary balloon carrying an electrical payload struck by a hellfire that failed
to detonate. Anomalies arise from fuse mechanics, et cetera. I will let others determine the
facts, but that was some of the original kind of, quote, debunking that I saw on it. You can make up
your minds for yourself in terms of what it comes from. It was Representative Eric Burleson,
by the way, who is the person who revealed it. And it's one of those where it was presented
as received from an independent, from a whistleblower, according to him.
But the circumstances are a bit weird.
He said he received it without any metadata or any of that.
And he says, independent review is ongoing.
So I do think it's important to at least present the fact that some analysts and others
are saying that it could have been a balloon, which they say about all of them.
And so, you know, to be, I want to be totally fair about that part of the reason
independent review is very important, part of the reason throwing it to the experts,
et cetera, and actually taking this stuff seriously.
But nonetheless, it was great to see George Knapp and some.
some of the others. They're recounting some of their experiences. I do think some of us are still getting
very fed up with the fact that it's still so slow-moving. I attended the first UFO hearing, what,
two years ago, you know, at this point? Yeah, this is the third one. But I'm saying the very first one with
Dave Grush, right? I was there. You know, I was in the room. I thought it was a big moment. I thought
something was coming. And then, you know, the NDAA continues to not have some of the UFO disclosure
pieces, even though it's been pushed by members of the overall U.S. Senate. So we rely on Anna Paulina Luna or
other people are making extraordinary accusations. I'm very willing to believe, but we've got to see more
evidence. We got to see more stuff come from the government.
Interesting disagreement playing out on X right now between UFO Joe and Lou Elizondo, who
on News Nation last night, made a very interesting argument, which is that the hellfire missile
UFO is evidence of, quote, technology that is making our premier missile system completely
useless. And if you're wondering why, in relation to what soccer just described about the NDAA,
why are our members of Congress, and even remember Marco Rubio as a senator,
why are mainstream members of Congress interested in getting answers to questions like these?
Well, it's because they're seeing videos and hearing analysis from people like Lou who worked at the Pentagon.
You can debate Elizondo, whatever, but saying this is evidence of technology that's making our premier missile system completely useless.
Now, UFO Joe disagrees. He says, early on, I agreed right now I do not. I retain the right to change from my mind,
present any analysis or mention anybody who has done analysis besides the stuff shared on here by
us but that gets to what's auger was just saying which is that years into this third task force
meeting uh the bombshells are highly disputed you know it's not like this bombshell dropped
yesterday and everybody was like when that new york time story originally dropped uh back in what
2017 oh yeah 2017 that's what that's why i'm here it all broke into the yep that's the only
reason that's what got me in yeah but we haven't had another moment like that really it's
been a while. Dave Grush was very important, I think, as well.
That's true. That's true. I just got to see more. And, you know, credit to Jeremy Corbell
and George Knapp and all these guys. They're the ones who are at the vanguard. They're
pushing the conversation. They're singly focused. Responsibly. They're getting, you know, responsibly
vet. And I do, that's why I include all of the information. You can make up your mind for
yourself. I think more scrutiny pressure on these, you know, the Democratic, the Democratic,
the Republican establishment to get the stuff out there is just so vitally important. If you want to
get to the truth. Because at this point, you know, you have Congresswomen and others, people making
major accusations, or allegations, which I'm totally willing to believe, but we have to see
more evidence in the future. That's the number one important thing. So yeah, call your congressman,
tell them to our senator, get them to make sure the NDAA is going to have that. What's it to
them, right? You know, to the U.A. It's like so low on their priority list that if even 20 people
call about it, maybe they'll do something. You never know. You truly never know.
All right, let's get to the Tim Dillon segment that we had been, we'd put off yesterday because we talked too much.
Luckily, Emily and I still did talk a lot, but luckily we still do have a few minutes here that we can go over it.
Let's go ahead and play this.
It's Tim Dillon and Joe Rogan talking about AOC and J.D. Vance, quote, not having it for president.
Let's take a listen.
Now, why is AOC shutting her mouth about Israel?
Because AOC's donors are big Israeli tech people.
She's been silenced
And she's trying to run for president, too
Really?
Yeah
She'll struggle
She's not going to win
She's a goofball
She'd be making mojitos
She's a goofball
She doesn't have it
She's a goof
But here's the reality
She's shutting her mouth about Israel
Is AOC out there about Israel?
No
No
Because she's a fraud
But the smelly
Gross
Anarcho communists
in Brooklyn, to their credit,
know she's a fraud.
They know she's a fraud.
In between their, you know,
whatever, open mic nights and whatever,
they figured out...
Poetry slams and dog walking.
They figured out that this bitch is a fraud.
Big time.
Yeah.
I don't think she was when she first started.
She wasn't, but she was probably...
She's realized she has...
She's ambitious.
She likes nice bags.
She likes nice bags.
That's what it is.
She's ambitious.
She won't.
to be the president.
You realize that job can get you hundreds of millions of dollars.
Look at what happened to...
Can you get up who her donors are, Jimmy, these Israeli tech people?
It's kind of interesting because this actually just kind of came out.
Israeli startup entrepreneurs played roles in the rise of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
She pulled out of an event commemorating Rabin.
Some concluded that AOC doesn't like Israelis, but two were instrumental in the lawmakers' early career.
That's where it gets weird.
They find you when you're young.
They find you when you're making mojitos.
They find you when you're young and promising, like, JD.
Well, that's the thing.
J.D. is going to have to, if you want to be the present, he's going to have to say Peter Thiel, I'm not, he's going to have to say Peter Thiel is and here's why that's good.
J.D. has to get out there and go, wouldn't you rather know who Satan is and be friends with him and have dinner with him than have it be like, who's Satan?
Right.
So he's got to get out there and say, I happen to be friends with Satan.
Satan. And I want that to be
misunderstood. I want it to be
destigmatized. Right. If Satan
could go on the Nulk Boys, maybe they could straighten
it out. That's right. The
Dog Boys, that was good. So what do you think of
Tim's? We've got to be a little, look,
I'm not on the business of defending
AOC, but like, I wouldn't say that
she shut her mouth about Israel. I mean,
she said genocide, right?
You know, the one thing that we've hit her for
here on the show with Ryan
is about her vote
to fund the Iron Dome. Right.
Because, I mean, her, she had this whole convoluted explanation of it.
And the D&C.
Oh, I support defensive.
Yeah, exactly.
Look, I mean, the part about how she was legit in the beginning and has become a tool of
a Democratic establishment, I think it's totally fair.
I don't think it's totally fair to say it's about Israel, though, per se.
Yeah.
That's my only thing.
I mean, I don't think he's wrong.
I don't think she could be president either, specifically for those types of reasons.
She did basically co-opted.
And remember, she wanted to be the oversight chairman.
Yeah.
And she played ball.
She shut her mouth about all kinds of stuff.
They still wouldn't give it to her.
Played ball with Pelosi.
Right.
Polos's entire tenure. Those are all fair criticisms of AOC, as as, I mean, basically at any point,
if at any point in your career, you have, you rely on donors from the American donor class,
you are going to end up coming into contact with people who have close ties to Israel. That's
just how it works. Well, it's not like. The worst thing she did at the DNC was saying that Kamala was
working tirelessly versus E-smart. That's pretty fair because- That was insane. Well, you know,
now maybe the Israel thing is,
making sense to me. Because when it came, yeah, she put out the words, but she actively worked
for Kamala to get elected and gave her cover on Gaza, which she did not have to do, right? And you
and I were there, we were at the DNC. You remember all those activists. We met some of them.
They were treated horribly, and they were kicked out. Horrible. It's still pretty crazy in
retrospect to have experienced that. Ryan and I interviewed a couple of them on the street,
and who literally were kicked out, like not joking. It's a great memory of mine, by the way.
Just you and Ryan with microphones falling, like, falling the hippies around the DNC.
We had a good time.
Oh, it was a blast.
Maybe we'll do it again.
But the point is just that that's a fair criticism.
But to say that she's been bought off or whatever, I'm not entirely sure that is accurate.
On the JD point, though, here's what's interesting.
J.D. had dinner with Tim very recently by Tim's own admission.
And Tim seems to be truly, like, captured by the Palantir Teal.
He spent a long time going off on the Antichrist.
He's like, why do you need four lectures?
One wasn't, it was good.
It was funny.
I guess I'm just, I'm curious for him.
I'm like, so what?
Like, who is the good politician?
He said some nice things about Marjorie Taylor Green.
Yeah.
Which, you know, I mean, okay.
I mean, I like some of the things MTV says.
Definitely, I think she's very courageous in standing up on Israel and a few other issues.
But, you know, with presidential material.
I guess the reason why I thought it was important to cover is like, where does this podcast
thing go. Yeah, right? Right. Trump was the perfect vehicle for them because he's entertaining,
fun to talk to, good stories. You could project whatever you want onto him, even though he's
literally been the president before, and you can be like, no, but he's different, you know,
this time we're right. But where does it go from here? Like, to me, it just seems like pretty
nihilistic, but I really have no idea. Well, yeah, this question of who has it or who doesn't is
the reason we're asking it in a way that's not like, oh, Al Gore, he's very charming, is because
we've entered a new chapter in media history, which is if you're in Gen Z, you grew up
expecting politics to look like reality television through no fault of your own, but because
politics started to merge with iPhone, smartphone, and social media in a way that it's hard
if you're younger to trust people who don't come across well on the popular mediums
in smartphone world.
So if you can't have a normal conversation, right, it used to be the sit down at a bar test, right?
But now it's more like sit down on an Instagram live, which, by the way, AOC does a lot of Instagram lives and others don't.
But that's just because there's something about speaking in real time in a way that feels authentic to people.
I think that's really what Tim Dillon is talking about with Marjor Taylor Green or Thomas Massey is another example.
who, you know, Massey had success on Theo Vaughn.
Like, that's gotten tons and tons of views.
I think the reason is to sound authentic right now,
you have to absolutely flame the donor class.
You have to be willing in ways that Gavin Newsom is not.
In ways that, what, Hakeem Jeffries or these other guys are not.
And that's a lesson for AOC too.
Yeah, I understand.
You know, she used Instagram and X successfully
to take a seat away from Joe Crowley
when nobody thought it was possible.
So Ramam Dani did the exact same thing.
And it's just about leveraging those mediums
in a way that resonates.
And that's what I think Tim is saying
when he's like, can Dady do that?
Well, no, and I think part of the reason why
is Trump is the Republican establishment.
So how can you be against the Republican establishment?
You can't be anti-establishment
and speak out against the person.
Peter Thiel is now the Republican establishment.
Well, it's not, I really,
I think the teal thing is a proxy for
whenever he was on Theo Vaughn's podcast.
And J.D. gave it.
He was like, well, I take money.
from a lot of people.
Theo came out and he was like,
yeah,
I just thought that was like
some typical political bullshit.
And I was like,
yeah,
I mean,
it is kind of a problem.
Like,
I do get,
like,
you know,
you don't want to talk badly
or whatever about friends
or people who've donated to you,
but,
you know,
it makes you look bad.
Or, and look,
personal loyalty
and all that stuff is important.
And it is hard.
You know,
I can even speak from experience.
You have to cover people
who you literally personally know.
It's weird.
Yeah.
But at a certain point,
like,
you have a higher and better calling
to your job,
right,
and just say kind of what you think.
That seems to be the issue.
And part of the reason I think Republicans
are really going to struggle post-Trump
because you can't say anything
that's bad about Trump
if he's still alive.
It's not possible in the age of the cult.
Maybe especially if he's not still alive
and he's a martyr.
Right, yeah.
Well, I don't know what's harder.
I actually think if he's not alive, it's much harder.
But, or sorry, if he's alive, it is much harder.
Because he can literally sit there from...
Destroy you.
Yeah.
If he wants to, he's never going to leave the political stage.
Whereas Democrats, they have no sacred cows anymore.
Kamala's done. Her book excerpt just came out, and she's trashing Biden, right? It's over. You know, that all the Obama, Kamala, Biden worship, etc., this is permission to say, I wish more of them would. Go weapons free. Flame, you need to. That's what people want to see. Exactly. That's what people want to see. And this is the question about, I actually thought JD did fine in that Theo Vaughn interview, but the problem is the clips, right? If there's a clip that comes out of you, it doesn't matter if the two hours, I mean, it does matter if the two hours is great, but it can be sort of offset.
the time. Yeah, exactly. And I thought, and that means you have to be, now, that means you have to
be basically, like, doing reality, TV honesty at all time. And that's what politicians
need to get used to is saying stuff like, listen, I'm just friends with Peter Thiel.
Right, that's right. That's the way you have to handle it. But all that is to say,
we're also in a transition period right now. So there are still people, boomers, whomever
voting, probably some elder millennials, for example, who grew up in a different time than
Zoomers and are deeply uncomfortable with voting based on who's good on a podcast and don't like
Mom Donnie, and don't, you know, that's,
Mom, Donnie's pulling at what he's
amazing polling levels for the
politics that he brings to the table, but he's
still under like 50%, right? Yeah, people,
somebody asked me, they're like, do you think politics
will ever go back to normal? And I was like,
I don't. I really don't know.
Yeah, I agree.
Because look, we did try it under Biden.
A lot of people were like, exhale of fresh
fresh air, let's gut Biden in there, he's
normal. But it was a disaster because normal
is bad. I've been trying to tell people that my entire
political career. Normal is actually way worse than
normal. We need to be very, very not normal. To the extent Trump is bad because he's not
normal. He's too normal. Actually, he's too normal of a normal Republican, like acting like
George W. Bush while he's in office, but just with mean tweets or whatever. So what comes next?
I don't know. I mean, I could see easy return to, I could see a fighter under Gavin who rhetorically
is just like Trump, rhetorically a fighter, policy level like very similar. Yeah. I can see that
happen easily. I mean, I believe he's one of the top polls. The alternative is,
is a Trump-style figure who comes in and just
knocks everything over. I hope for the
ladder. Or a Bernie style figure, by the way.
Maybe. I'm not sure if that's even possible anymore.
I would like, I'd like to think so. I'm not sure.
But Bernie is actually really good in new media,
which people, like he crushed Theo Bonn because
he's generally honest. He doesn't cover
for donors. I just think he's one of one.
I don't see anybody else. Same with Trump.
I do not see. And that's why, I was like,
maybe we'll go back to normal because nobody's as talented
as he's people. I think that's an absolute
possibility, right? And, and
And again, like, it'll always be a tug of war between the Marjorie Taylor Greens and now the Marjorie Taylor Greens and maybe like the Ilhan Omar is on the left.
And then the traditional politicians, you know, even if the presidency kind of goes back to normal and Washington feels like, you know, it's 1999 again.
If that happens, it'll still, there'll still be a tug of war in the background between the new media stars and the old ones.
Well, in a way, it's still downstream of our circumstance.
We can't go back to 1999 politics because it's not 1999.
1999. 1999 was a great year. The S&P 500 was booming. No 9-11. We had the early days of the, the optimism, man, I mean, I was so young. I wish I could have been an adult in the year 1999 with my Nokia phone. I mean, I've just been cruising.
Dude, a beeper maybe? What a world to live in and to think about the, what a world to live in and to think about where things could go. And then it just all comes crashing down. Dot com and 9-11. I guess that was part of the point.
That was part of the price that you pay for that moment.
But it must have been awesome to live through.
I'm genuinely envious of the adults.
You and I share the exact same theory.
I think it's possible that civilization peaked in 1999 or 2000.
Oh, absolutely.
Yeah, 100%, I think that.
In America, specifically, the peak of the American Empire was 1999.
All right, there you go.
We've given you all of our thoughts.
Emily, thank you very much for having me on your show.
I appreciate it.
No, it's wonderful.
But we haven't given you all of our thoughts,
because we will still give you more thoughts.
We're doing the AMA.
Don't worry.
Yeah, don't worry.
Stick around for that.
Thank you guys so much for watching.
I'll be on tomorrow with Crystal.
We'll see you that.
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