Chapo Trap House - 612 - Half Baked (3/21/22)
Episode Date: March 22, 2022We continue to look at the domestic media response to the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine. This time, we’re talking about “the left” and how some of their “half-baked” ideas about foreig...n conflict lack serious intellectual rigor and nimbleness, curtesy of an article by “fully baked” author Eric Levitz. Please follow and support the Amazon Union drive: https://twitter.com/Amazonlabor https://www.amazonlaborunion.org/
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breaking news for the listeners Felix did not sleep well last night and is not
repeat not feeling submissive and breathable this morning okay give some
backstory here we're in the ringed city where they keep the dark soul of Houston
and someone woke Phillionore because there's like a hurricane today and you
know we knew it was coming it's never really a surprise but by that I mean it's
if you if your home is destroyed by a hurricane it is your fault of course
because you can always tell when it's coming and you should just move your
house yeah but anyway like we were talking about it yesterday I was like
well I want I bet I can go to the gym before it gets bad and you know sure
enough I woke up this morning and I did not go to the gym now there was a
secondary factor going to the gym that wasn't just fitness there was a theory
agreed to by many at the time that if I went to a high-end gym in Equinox and
we were you know I was kind of trapped there by a hurricane it would just but
because of the time of day I would go around 10 am the only other people there
would be you know 32 year old Milps yeah and the thinking was is that that like
we're just trapped there and I have to repopulate the earth with them because
everyone else is dead in Houston but I woke up this morning and I didn't feel
like doing that so I just went to the hotel gym and did pull ups were there
were there were there were no Milps there there is no one there was no one
there yeah by the way there is this is like I don't know like the third or
fourth largest city in America it is massive Houston is is mega city one
it's I went out this morning to just like to have a little constitutional walk
around see what's up this is like you know Midtown Houston maybe I don't know
enough about the neighbor but I felt like the fucking Omega man there was no
one on the street and you know on our tour here in Texas Felix has been
auditioning for the role of Don Johnson's character in a boy and his dog
he wants to he wants to repopulate the post-apocalyptic landscape with just
sort of like sort of like a very very tanned southern women yeah yeah just
women whose faces look evil because of like they didn't they got filler when
they didn't need it you know now they just keep getting it it's okay you know
I would we were in Dallas and I went to a pretty evil neighborhood in Dallas
Highland Park but I have never felt the level of there's the hurricane I've
never felt the level of evil swag that Houston has well I mean we pulled off
the highway first of all we get work of course you know highway right downtown
really right next to everything first thing we see downtown is that there is a
ferris wheel and one of those rides where you just go up and then come back
down right next to the highway yeah it was a ferris wheel and one of the
like they're the rides where you go up and down and it would just like pop up
and they're just be like 30 kids strapped waving at the busiest section of
freeway in the United States and then you come off the highway and we're down
at Midtown and our neighbors are literally the headquarters of Chevron and
Aramco yeah and I think we have to paint the picture of like how the building
seemed because it's like you know we live in New York and other major cities but
like something about the buildings in Houston is just they're built in order
to terrify you yeah it's like a new like even the parking garages look evil and
hostile to humanity and like there's there's there's no zoning here so like
right as we go up the freeway right before we get to the evil building
district there's a house the architecture style I could only describe as
stupid this is a traditionally stupid house you know it's like oh this is
Victorian the two-door real housewives style house that I built in 2017 it was
one of those houses that look like if you like kicked one of the fence posts on
the garden the entire thing would come down but everything everything in
downtown is built it's an Orlando the two styles of architecture here are an
Orlando and undead settlement because they don't everything that isn't like
the headquarters for like the Contras or or the Bilderberg group is it's like a
basketball court that's never had any people come on it people just like
glitch just wander in and out of traffic it's interesting because we were in
Dallas which also gets accused of being a very evil city and I certainly understand
that but the buildings first of all there's you know they've actually got
some older stuff and they got some pretty interesting brutalism in Dallas but
even they're in pain they're yeah they're newest they're newer skyscrapers
we're all built in the 80s by people who are just absolutely suited on coke and
they have a fun coke whimsy to them like hey let's make this into a giant
triangle yeah let's make this one look like a
Cubert level we're having fun let's put a hole in the middle of this building
but every skyscraper in Houston it's like it was designed by oil yeah like
they just they they consulted a simmering like deep pocket of like crude
that just vibrated like the cube in Prince of Darkness and then it gave it
just like psychically communicated the plans to them and then they just built
them yeah Dallas is the city that Coke built but Houston was built by people
who like for religious reasons can't even drink soda but like but but are like
are allowed to have sex slaves like that exact intersection of religion yeah
yeah I'm walking around I just see a few guys walking around you know in there
in their business casual outfits and look like they were having a great time
and see downtown Houston anyway seems like fun time if you've ever tried to
blow up Michael play well yeah we've been having a having a blast here on our
trip through Texas you know just just meeting and greeting all the all our
prized hogs and bring them to fare up slapping a big blue ribbon on all of
them here down in Texas it's great though we're doing a show tomorrow night in
Houston but fellas it's Monday March 21st let's get into let's get into the
swing of things yes and I suppose that means we have to talk about Ukraine again
oh boy and you know they're still at it over there yeah it's it's uh it's you
know like thousands of people are dead it'll be war continues to grind on
like I don't know what the situation is in terms of like it like it seems bad it
seems terrible yeah but let's talk about like you know just reactions to it here
in this country and once again folks the left is being taken to account yeah the
left is being brought to you finally anyone who's most responsible for the
current situation it definitely is the left when I look at when I look at the
left in this country I think you know I'm like basically powerful enough right
yeah like basically powerful enough but we need someone who loves articles to
take them on who is who's the who's the biggest article head they can tell him
what's for well here's the one that's burning up burning up burning up my
timeline today it's a Eric Levitt's writing in New York magazine headline
the left has half baked answers on Ukraine I'd like some fully baked I want
to be fully baked I'd like them to be crisp and golden brown how about you
know what honestly I don't take longer but it's worth it give me some twice
baked ideas yeah there needs to be like fully cooked ideas like just send them
weapons with no preconditions or anything great years and just see what
happens fully baked ideas like like what our former secretary of state explicitly
said turn it into Afghanistan that's the fully baked idea I've ever heard one I
mean like I mean yeah like the premise of this article is that there are fully
baked ideas to be had here but I mean I think that's I mean it's starting off
I mean like no cap game continues to take massive losses in Q1 Q1 2022 do you
realize that two countries who were both doing no cap November have never gone to
war with each other I mean like this is the thing here I mean that this is why
this is why articles exist here is that nobody right left or center has any
good no baked ideas when it comes to I don't know how to deal with Russia trying
to create their own empire or it basically had there is no good answer to a
nuclear a nuclear armed state yeah it's deciding that like okay we're just gonna
go to war with a country that doesn't have bombs yeah no it's so it's I mean
there was no answer for America doing that no no one else in the world could
stop us doing Iraq this is what the collapse of the precious and beloved
international order looks like and wishing it went the other way doesn't
change it that's not fully baked either well that's just that's just whining well
yeah I mean right now is the it is the greatest time to just say the most
decontextualized things possible I've seen people go I'm you know I'm against
American intervention and and the war obviously but like doesn't Ukraine have
agency to join NATO it like just as much as did like like it's a apartment
building co-op but the this specific type of article which you know the left
has no power in America why would you write this article because your point of
view has won it's the only point of view that we've ever fucking seen this
article completely because of that it cannot talk about the past at all so
that anyone anyone even tangentially associated with the SA talking about it
maybe saying that like maybe this strategy of escalate and of escalation
and like expanding NATO past 1991 maybe we're looking at its failures right now
right that is just that's holocaust denial basically you can't say that you
can't talk about the past because if you're writing one of these articles we
are seeing the fruition of your worldview was there a time was there a
time in the Obama administration when like the DSA international committee
was in charge of foreign policy did Trump give something did Trump give like a
Twitter Stalinist an important post at state no this has been running the show
the entire fucking time yeah and you know like I could I I sort of like I
understand that the need for these kind of articles in a 2020 context when
people like could credibly or at least in a fantastical sense will trick
themselves into believing that like the Bernie Sanders left the dirtbag left the
bros the DSA whatever you want to call it could exercise some influence over the
course of events so they had to have a fully baked foreign policy so but that
certainly isn't the case now and you know like the DSA international
committee is not fucking isn't it's not bending the ear of the Biden
administration in any way but you know when you were like look when you are
holding out the leftmost position at sort of credentialed media institutions
you got it you got it you got it got to earn your keep somehow yeah and you have
to show them that you're normal yeah as they said there's no good answers and
none of them want to write like the full hog version of this which is yeah some
fantasy about arming Ukraine and fighting to the last Ukrainian and and all
that like ringsmanship that is of course icky and and and as a good liberal
leftist you wouldn't want to do so what can you write and the only answer is I
can show everybody how serious I am by chastising these these unserious people
who have no power and more importantly than anything are not under any kind of
institutional authority don't answer to anybody have are not part of any like
large-scale structures of power which means that there is nothing you can
tell them that even if they agreed with you they could do about it yeah and you
know here here here's a fully baked idea and this was one of the most
attractive prospects of Bernie 2020 was the idea that at least a lot of the
people on on his side in foreign policy who would have had top jobs would have
understood that the time of America's the soul superpower is coming to an end
and when negotiated would have negotiated our exit in a way that would
have avoided calamities because guess what it's going to fucking happen one
way or the other it's already happening yes and now we're the people in charge
both parties the blob are the serious people who take or who bake things all
the way through are all completely enraptured with this fantasy that we
have the ability to assert control over these situations well I mean it's just
like it's a it's another round of like you gotta you gotta gotta gotta gotta
do you gotta purge the cranks and conspiracy theorists and the nuts you
know you have to like define yourself in opposition to these people even though
I don't know how anyone can look at the events the last 20 or 30 years and just
categorically dismiss all nuts cranks and whack yeah mostly yeah they've been
way right or they've been way they've been way more like if you like play out
there like like theories or I believe some matter how outlandish over like
830 40 year time period and compare that to the the smart sensible decent crowd of
people who and they're fully baked opinions and see which fucking which
adds up better way those out on the scales so let's dive into what Eric
has to write here it begins he writes as Russian missiles rain down on Ukrainian
cities the American left has come under a more figurative kind of fire in recent
weeks a wide variety of publications and politicians have taken us left us to
task for their collective response to the crisis in Ukraine collective response
which has been derided as blinkered pro-Putin and worse things besides these
critiques have prompted rhetorical reprisals from socialists who contend
that their factions analysis the war has been unerringly sound both morally and
analytically more ambivalent fellow travelers meanwhile have vacillated in
the crossfire and there's like a billion hyperlinks all this shit like I'm not
sussing who cares yeah article heads I'm not addicted article heads oh I need
eight more articles while I'm writing my articles just so I can feel a buzz the
debate over the American left's position on Ukraine is confounded by
disagreements over what constitutes the American left and its position on
Ukraine the impetus for most the most discourse on this on this subject were
statements published by the Democratic Socialists of America's International
Committee yet that committee does not represent the views of all DSA members
let alone Americans who identify with the left and the DSA IC's policy demands
the lifting of sanctions against Russia the denial of military aid to Ukraine
and America's immediate withdrawal from NATO directly contradict the positions
held by Americans America's most prominent socialist politicians he's
referring to you know like Bernie Sanders and AOC if conservatives have
allotted this complexity to declare the entire US left weak on Russian aggression
some socialists have done the same for contrary purposes no they can't but I'm
sorry that is the one like I guess the argument here that is not like buying
this guy bullshit is like well you how's it gonna look to the other people what
are the conservatives gonna say which of course is always dumb but is extra dumb
here since the most vocal and most unapologetic pro-Russian people are
fucking members of Congress for the Republican Party yeah and I mean like
Florence called Zelensky a thug yeah now being featured in commercials on Russian
TV there are tens of thousands of bodies just from the last decade from
Democrats who wanted to look serious to make it look like they had fully baked
ideas we can just go back last year to Brandon when after taking a bunch of
shit for the Afghanistan withdrawal and not predicting the MI6 inside job just
kidding am I you know to show he's serious and has fully baked ideas about
security he killed at least 13 civilians yep in a drone attack in
Afghanistan there was also during the Biden presidency one of the fucking
dozens if not more annual african operations that took out 60 people in
Somalia who all turned out to be fucking civilians these are all trying to show
that you're serious that you care that you are very conscious of how things look
to the other side do you think that they they they stood back and said well you
know I don't like Brandon but he's serious about America's security no
instead instead Boebert and MGT were just hooting and hollering at the space
State of the Union at the man and give him any credit for killing all those
foreigners um Eric Levitz he goes on to discuss Elizabeth Brunig's article in
the Atlantic yet another article we're talking about here I mean your dog I
heard you like articles yeah damn I'm just gonna skip ahead a little bit and
you know Brunig was defending at least the like as Levitz describes it the
Bernie Sanders position of what he thinks is like a like a normal humane
response which is that we should do everything possible for to help the
Ukraine but help Ukraine sorry to help them without triggering a Russian
military response but you know I mean like it's a question of where you draw
the line yeah you know like it's and you know it's difficult that again I'm not
baking here I'm not a baker I don't got buns in the oven here but you know like
everyone's trying to figure it out as best they can but okay I'm just gonna
skip ahead a little bit I mean like how do you how do you look at this and how
do you look you know at the last eight years not conclude like anything I
propose is meaningless now yeah the bad things already happened which is not
just your provocation NATO's provocation was answered as so many people
actually fucking wanted with tons of fucking innocent people caught in the
front crossfire fighting their war for them we already did the near decade of
unaccountable weapons shipments and we will I mean really Ukrainians will live
with the consequences of that for decades to come it's already happened
the bit all the bad things have already been done and there is nothing you can
do well the one thing you can do is if you're a journalist looking to advance
in your career as with the left brand is show the people who might hire you that
you're a serious person who is not gonna be a in during crises like this is not
gonna be a liability and so you got to write this article everybody's got to
write this fucking article it's literally like an audition tape I don't
see how you can have a clear understanding of the world no no what
time it is sort of see yourself as a realistic person brand yourself is this
acceptable left liberal and suggest anything but free passage and citizenship
for anyone from any of these countries that you know what America does to them
which is most countries that's the only thing that should be on the table but
instead you're showing maybe 9,000 people who read this article how normal
you are Levits continues within the small world of self-identified American
leftist however the DSA's substantive positions are far from marginal indeed a
large contingent of prominent left-wing writers activists and organizations have
argued in recent days for ending indiscriminate US sanctions against
Russia withholding military aid from Ukraine and immediately dismantling
NATO this contingent's perspective deserves to be taken seriously for one
thing it's analysis spotlights many inconvenient truths that few other
American political factions wish to acknowledge as importantly however the
weakness of some of the fits arguments reflect genuine pathologies within the
US left's foreign policy thinking above all an ideological rigidity that leaves
American socialists ill-equipped to interpret this emerging multi-pole
multi-polar world order and therefore to change it many on the American left were
ideologically unprepared for Putin's invasion as 9 to 190,000 Russian troops
massed on the Ukrainian border in January and February conventional wisdom
among US leftists held that no war was in the offing there were they were hardly
alone in that assessment the Ukrainian government had itself argued that Western
officials were overhyping the threat it faced some mainstream criminologists
believe the same they noted that Russia's state media was not preparing its
populace for a major war and that a full-scale invasion of Ukraine made
little strategic sense Vladimir Putin might be ruthless the reasoning went but
he was not reckless many leftists echoed this these premises but their widespread
if hardly universal failure to anticipate Putin's intentions was not rooted in
such dispassionate analysis alone the vehemence with which some socialists
automatically dismissed the US government's narrative which is to say
it's over the top prediction that Putin was intent on marching to Kiev and
toppling the Ukrainian government betrayed ideological discomfort with
that possibility okay so we want to go with this one because like you know
Levitt's right like I didn't expect Putin to go full full war in Ukraine and
you know like I'll cop to that but I mean like whatever I don't have a
fucking crystal ball here I mean I don't know what what Levitt's thought was
gonna happen but well as usually they're doing the thing the same thing with
Iraq only I guess flipped in this one where it's like well yeah you were right
you were wrong for the right or you were right but for the wrong reasons and now
it was you were wrong and everyone was basically wrong but you were extra wrong
because you didn't have the rigorous analysis behind your wrongness I'm sorry
if everybody got the wrong clue if we got the wrong answer what the fuck
differences make especially since you're on the outside what else do you have to
go for by ideology nobody is going nobody who is not in government and not
has act doesn't have access that like actual like intelligence wherever the
fuck that is is going off of anything other than their preconceived priors and
you know the mood the vibe because nobody fucking knows and you know as long as
you're talking about priors here I mean like for Eric here if I can if I can
cop to my own reasoning the VM it's with which I dismissed the US government
narrative was simply based on the last three plus decades of being alive and
observant yeah I've just tried paying attention as best one can to how current
events play out and what the US government says about them yeah I have a
personal policy that I followed for a long time of I do not make predictions
this bookie does not take bets in Eastern Europe and that you know kept me
from too many bad screenshots of me predicting otherwise but is there gonna
be a tongue wagging at Zelinsky who is basically saying the exact same fucking
thing yeah but he wasn't doing it because of ideological rigid right in the
realm of foreign affairs America's left-wing activists and intellectuals
are at our most cogent and self-confident when holding the US
government to account for his if for offenses against the peace and before
right Putin's invasion it wasn't that hard to see the Russia-Ukraine crisis as
a byproduct of America's overweening imperial ambition if you cock your head
to the left as socialists have emphasized in recent weeks the US back
NATO's expansion in the 1990s and 2000s in defiance of both its promises to
Russian authorities and the Council of its own national security elite
nevertheless the US carried on projecting power eastward eventually
extending an offer of NATO membership to Ukraine itself this drew objections from
the socialist left but also from the likes of Henry Kissinger who warned
that trying to turn Ukraine into an outpost of the West would risk its
very survival since to Russia Ukraine can never be just a foreign country sounds
like they were right sounds like they were fucking right like what is the
counterpoint to this what other fucking policy was put in place in America
America proceeded to seek influence over Ukraine's domestic policy politics
using soft power to channel Ukrainian's domestic discontents over corruption
and economic stagnation towards a movement for Western integration
following 2014's Maidan uprising the US lent its back into a Ukrainian
government that undermined the language the language rights of Russian
speakers and other minority ethnicities the US did all of this knowing that one
there were profound divisions within Ukrainian society over the question of
questions of language policy and whether to align with Russia or Europe to that
Russia had repeatedly signaled that it considered a Western aligned Ukraine
intolerable and three that NATO wasn't actually prepared to fight in defense of
Ukraine sovereignty should it come under a Russian attack I mean I don't know
like what argument is Eric advancing here and I mean like the question of
whether Ukraine aligns with Europe or Russia the language that that is all
obviously completely their fucking business I mean now it seems like things
are quite settled thanks to the most genius invasion of all time but the
moment you introduce American institutions the moment that you put
every fucking tentacle of the American Empire in place the moment that you pump
money in from world institutions and it goes into companies who kind of just
create positions just for the sons and daughters of American politicians to
siphon out you taint those questions you taint the natural political processes
of the nation I guess in some the left in the left's account US foreign policy
placed the advancement of Western influence above the welfare of ordinary
Ukrainians who security and domestic stability would have been maximized by
an embrace of neutrality between the great powers to its east and west this
remains a worthwhile critique of Americans Paul America's policies
towards Ukraine indeed Putin's war of aggression only underscores America's
recklessness in declaring that Ukraine would one day join a military alliance
hostile to Russia only to refuse for more than a decade to actually grant
Ukraine that alliance's protections so I mean like is Eric saying that we
should have let Ukraine join NATO or we shouldn't have offered it to them I think
he's saying that all this stuff was right but then once the war starts it
becomes irrelevant and you're doing you're doing war crimes by bringing it
up right once the once the bad thing that you said will happen as a result of
this happens it shows how wrong you are and you have to you have to you have to
shut up and wave the blue and yellow flag I don't know how this is different
than any other any other emergent crisis caused by American imperial overreach
that that we then are told like I don't know how this what's how this is not
just more of the same this how this is differentiable in any way from the
Atlantic monthly line on it I just just because he's willing to like grant it
everything they said was right before he just says but you still have to shut
up and do and follow this fucking line because you're yet even before Russia's
invasion the left's dominant narrative about the crisis in Ukraine had its
awkward aspects it is perfectly natural for foreign policy realists like
Kissinger to disdain heedless affronts to Russia's sphere of influence or to
insist that Ukraine must give Putin's kleptocratic regime veto power over its
foreign policy but socialists do not generally recognize the legitimacy of
imperial orbits nor counsel acquiescence the relations of domination for the sake
of do they acknowledge reality yeah do they acknowledge that Russia is a
country with nukes and the and a perceived like national interest that
it's gonna pursue you're gonna pretend that's not real what is the good guy
position to fight to the last Ukrainian yeah I mean or just that like now not
like not the good guy position is not to say Ukraine the Ukrainians must fight
to the last the last man against Russia but you you can think that you don't say
it but then you scold the people who are saying otherwise yeah or saying that
like maybe don't dump more weapons into this fucking thing meanwhile the notion
that Russia's opposition to NATO expansion was rooted in legitimate security
interests as a segment of leftist routinely avow is hard to credit
surely a nation's only legitimate security interests are defensive ones and
Russia's nuclear arsenal was always sufficient to deter the threat of
invasion as we are now seeing that arsenal is menacing enough to stop
Western leaders from entertaining so much as a no-fly zone for Ukraine never
mind an offensive invasion of Russian territory what difference does it make
if I think it's legitimate or not yeah who gives a shit that the legitimacy is
is determined by the power that the state has to affirm its legitimacy that's
what makes it legitimate is that if you don't agree they will do something about
it there is no legitimacy that exists outside of power projection and force
projection you're supposed to live in a fantasy land and to assert that the this
cut this hypothetical notion of legitimacy on a foreign country and
again that is the signal difference is because you're talking about you're
talking about values versus like an analysis of of you know just reality
and and and they're always pointing out like well you have these values when
you're talking about America but all of a sudden when you talk about these other
countries you're embracing realism and you're not using you're not using
languages of morals and all that well the reason people talk about their own
country morally is because they're trying to affect a political change yeah
they're trying to make a pitch for a politics that other people can sign on
to and do something about that project is totally pointless when referring to
other countries and doing so insisting on larding on moralistic language only
makes it harder to actually understand and discuss what the fuck is going on to
avoid giving Russia the dreaded legitimacy rune that they can take to the
tower and boost their stats by 20% the left is giving them you know I think
this invasion is completely criminal and awful and it's undeniable that innocent
people are dying as a direct result of Russia's actions that if your concern is
as of which I think is a very real concern a not just as of but other
similar groups that this is the best thing you could have done for their
recruiting that said if they if Mexico had joined a union of states backed by
nuclear power with a bunch of other Latin American states and a defense pact
that we were specifically excluded from as as Americans you would be you did
they would write this article about people on the left who are against
invading Mexico but just for reality's sake and they're writing articles in
Bloomberg right now that Amla's decision to just buy back one of Shell's
refineries and have the Mexican state refine their own oil and gas is is
economic imperialism yeah what the fuck do you think we would do if they joined
a defensive alliance with like China or Russia yeah we don't even have to go
into hypotheticals because we are doing things just as bad every fucking day
that we will never see these people talk about every fucking day I'm gonna
skip ahead a little bit to the next subhead of Eric's article it says when
reality turned against left-wing orthodoxy some leftists turned against
reality once Putin validated the Western media's predictions the American
left's ideological orthodoxies cease to provide it with it with unambiguous
policy guidance socialists generally support the self-determination
determination struggles of nations victimized by imperial aggression they
are also typically wary of flooding war zones with American munitions DSA
supporters of the boycott divestment and sanctions movement against Israel
affirm the legitimacy of economic sanctions as a means of liberating
people from military domination yet such leftists also know that sanctions are
a form of collective economic punishment against civilians and routinely decry
their use the American left disdains NATO for its destructive humanitarian
inventions yet it also prizes solidarity with socialists in less
fortunate corners of the globe and many Eastern European leftists consider NATO
a vital bulwark against their republic's subjugation to a
re-reactionary autocracy a conviction be that became difficult to dismiss once
Putin launched a war of imperial conquest instead of grappling with these
complexities however many leftists simply pretended that they do not exist
okay so like now that they are now that Eric has acknowledged that they do exist
I'm waiting for him to just say like what's what what to do what do you want
to say what does that what's what's the correct course of action and I think
the correct course of action is basically one that the US government has
already undertaken well I mean we'll see we'll see how many more fucking
javelins they throw in there what that leads to on Wednesday the the DSA I see
votes voiced its opposition to US military into Ukraine arguing that the
provision of weapons to the Ukrainian government would escalate the conflict
and prolong the war instead of the instead the committee argued that the
progressive anti-war voices should pick push for a diplomatic resolution to the
crisis this basic line is shared by many progressive commentators and
organization in an otherwise slotful piece the left-wing reporter Ross Barkan
argues that liberals have fallen prey to crackpot realism meaning a maniacal
moral fervor for dead escalating a deadly conflict on the grounds that they
support sending arms to Ukraine rather than aiding Ukraine self-defense
Barkan implores progressives to demand peace which can only come with an
agreement that both Ukraine and Russia can live with a prospect that Western
talking heads do not want to accept and Jacobin Bronco Marsetic offers it
offers a tellingly elliptical version of the same argument instead of making a
forthright case against providing military aid to a democratic government
suffering an imperial invasion Marsetic chooses to invade against the purely
hypothetical prospect of arming a future Ukrainian insert insurgency against a
Russian imposed puppet government in Kiev this maneuver shifts the terrain of
debate into the left's comfort zone rather than confronting the tensions
between socialist historic commitment to national national struggles against
imperial aggression and its wariness of flooding war zones weaponry after they
talking about like is he talking about like the the Spanish Civil War when you
actually had like a international coalition of like communist and like a
popular front governments that were coordinating actions and and and like
sending troops as opposed to now when you have posters it's people just it's
just posters that's all we have here what is our what is the historical
obligation to post and you like I mean like when he said like an imperial
aggression against a democratic state and look like any country whose you know
his borders are transgressed upon by like a foreign military and they're under
like invasion and occupation I think has the like you know moral and political
right to resist it by any means again they're gonna do it they're gonna do it
one way or the other if they don't want to get invaded they will resist it if
they can but like to call it this is like you know like this is an imperial
autocracy invading a democratic country I mean like this is getting harder for
Levitz's side in the context of Ukraine banning like I don't know pro-russian
political parties several of whom hold like 44 seats in parliament or something
like that yeah when all you have is a hammer though I mean that the only
policy suggestion here is again the same thing we have done for nearly a fucking
decade which is weapon weapons shipments I don't think they have a problem with
not having quite enough guns I don't think that's fully the problem here by
column is that somebody somewhere is suggesting powerlessly maybe don't give
them guns but yeah and like and again like I don't understand here because like
the weapons are gonna continue to flow they're gonna keep getting military aid
for the United States yeah but he says by columns and marxetics case against
turning Ukraine into another Afghanistan starts shading into an argument
against providing arms to a sovereign government under siege insisting that
peace cannot be achieved through a military solution but only through a
mutually acceptable negotiated settlement that guarantees Ukraine's
territorial integrity and gives Moscow a road back from what at this point is
looking like a disastrous miscalculation while addressing Russia's long-standing
security concerns what all these analysis is willfully ignore is that the clear
relationship between Ukraine's military strength and the plausibility of such a
settlement three weeks ago Russia had no interest in a diplomatic solution that
guaranteed Ukraine's territorial integrity it aimed to dissolve the
Ukrainian military and install a puppet regime it was the Ukrainian armies
unanticipated success and fending off a much larger Russian force that led the
Kremlin to abandon those demands and entertain settling for Ukraine's
neutrality nevertheless Russia is still insisting on large territorial
concessions and its refusal to agree to a ceasefire calls the sincerity of its
diplomatic posture into question should the fragile military stalemate between
Ukraine and Russia breakdown decisively for the latter there is good reason to
believe that a mutually agreeable settlement will become impossible I
remember like I saw a little bit of the back and forth between Bronco and Eric
on this piece and the question of Bronco asked of Eric is that like in the
context of the Iraq war would you regard would you regard America as like a
reactionary imperial autocracy invading a sovereign nation and if that's the case
would you've been in favor of China and Russia selling weapons planes and you
know anti-aircrafts batteries to Iraq right because you know it would
strengthen their hand into like you know reaching a diplomatic peaceful solution
with the United States which had you know invaded it in a war of conquest well
the thing is Eric's answer by the way was yes that would have been good damn
okay all right so I mean like I seems like I agree more with Eric than I have
a feeling though that if if somebody in his position looking to have a future in
media wouldn't no matter how consistent it would have been and how fully baked
it would have been would have put that one out there for our consumption I
find it hard to believe that like that anyone in Eric's position would have
advanced the case that China sort of sold arms to Saddam Hussein to fight
American imperial conquest and invasion would Eric argue that we should have
zero zero sanctions zero anything on Iran because I mean it's obvious the real
reason that we you know have any any real distance animosity towards Iran is
how they humiliated us in Lebanon in their own country their proxies making
an asshole out of William Buckley not the writer but the CIA but I mean is that
you know a reactionary force occupying Lebanon 400 Marines dead would he have
supported that would he support just rolling back any sanctions we have
against Hezbollah in Iran and of course right now I mean you don't even have to
get historical or hypothetical we have the Yemeni war telling you that this
ironclad commitment to countries resisting reactionary invasion that
means nothing yeah because like we're literally helping them do it and I mean
Eric if you want to be serious and fully baked write a fucking article not not
about how we need to stop helping the Saudis boring that's that's absolute
bare minimum not not even sufficient given our position you know the same
position that makes it necessary for us to help the Ukrainians not only do we
need to stop helping the Saudis we need to switch sides to the Houthis yeah we
need to send them we need to send them well not F-35s we're trying to help
them we need to send them you know like all the drones we got all the goodies we
need to help them just level Riyadh to in order to defend themselves yeah maybe
that's why our frigates keep crashing into Iranian shores we're trying to give
them shipments there's a bunch of Eric Levitt's in the military I mean yeah
like this this goes back to you know like a just aren't give Iran nuclear
weapons yeah that's my position on this and like by the way talking about it
um could there be a better time than now to just switch sides to the Venezuelans
in the Iranians because like the Saudi will not getting the high well they
will not even pick up the phone to us getting the hi-hat and we're still
giving them Patriot missile cats in the cradle with the silver spoon in 2045
we're going to put a man on the moon Saudi Moon project 2045 yeah now we
were we're getting absolutely we're getting just Sun every day by these
motherfuckers yeah no I mean to roll back a little bit yeah again to bring it to
a more recent example I mean I would have to say that Gulf monarchies versus
the Syrian government which is the more reactionary force yeah would just more
of an imperialist autocracy right would Eric support sending Marines to
Damascus to fight on the side of the Syrian army you know I just I doubt
these things uh Eric continues my point here is not to assert that arguments
against arming Ukraine should be beyond the pale thanks for that oh thank you
very much Eric thank you you're he's putting he's putting his discourse gun
I mean yeah no it's just like like you know like I'm not trying to be too hard
on Eric because he clearly believes that I am in the pale and not beyond it
because you know I mean if he said if he said if he had said positions you know
certain positions that I hold that we've watched on the show are beyond the pale
then I'd be real sore oh my god you can't get back in that's what's tough
such policy entails real harms these weapons will not disappear on the day
peace is declared many will find their way onto black markets and from there to
places where they kill and maim innocence further if one deems Russian
military victory a foregone conclusion then there is a case that minimizing
needless death requires a betting Ukraine's swift defeat that is a grim
argument and one that seems much less credible now than it did two weeks ago
but it isn't ludicrous what is ludicrous however is to speak as though
there is a button marked mutually agreeable diplomatic settlement that
Joe Biden could press today if only he weren't mashing the more more guns
button instead the left's argument against America's sanctions policy has
been more worthwhile the risk of waging near total economic war on the nuclear
superpower are vast and unprecedented and the immediate impact of US sanctions
is to amiss rate many Russians who are powerless to influence their autocratic
government while also exacerbating hunger crises in the global south given the
routine failure of sanctions to deter aggression it is hard to say with
confidence that the benefits of economic welfare will outweigh its costs yet
the socialist left is the one of the only factions in the US politics that's
interested in subjecting our sanctions policy to cost-benefit analysis
nevertheless it is doubtlessly the case that sanctions make it harder for
Putin to finance his war machine and the DSA IC has not made much of an effort
to explain why this is an unworthy goal nor has it tried to reconcile its
moralistic objections to sanctions against Russia with its support for BDS in
theory there are plenty of ways of rationalizing these stances one could
believe that broad-based sanctions are more likely to work in Israel since the
Israeli governments is democratically accountable to much of its population or
that economic warfare against Russia carries a nuclear risk that economic
warfare against Israel would not well I mean Israel's got nukes yeah yeah
democratic accountability that is a funny way to describe the Israeli
government accountable to whom I guarantee you guarantee you if America
really put Israel under an economic blockade some of their nukes would wind
up and let's just say certain hands that are ready to use them in a major
American city yeah some some characters you may have missed from the 90s and
even 2010s that last argument strikes me as dubious it is hard for me to believe
that if the United States decided to kick Israel out of the dollar-based
financial system until it withdrew all settlers from the West Bank the American
left would mobilize in opposition on the grounds that sanctions severely
impact working-class people regardless fail or to acknowledge and explain a
parent contradiction invites the suspicion that the DSA's foreign policy
stances derive less from considered principles than ideological reflex the
American left contains multitudes some of its factions have navigated the
present crisis with humility and curiosity no hyperlinks and by no
hyperlinks great given in that no treats no no article treaties boys and girls
what the fuck article plug closed up and the left's more dogmatic members have
also made some valuable contributions to the discourse on Russia Ukraine
socialist polemics remain a better guide than mainstream reports than many
aspects of the conflict on the questions of refugee resettlement and
debt forgiveness meanwhile the left solidarity with Ukraine is more robust
than that of more mainstream political tendencies well there you go well there
you fucking go we have to get all the way to the end of the article the left
wants Ukraine in the best of all worlds to be its own nation that can control
some of its own destiny you know reality permitting meanwhile the forces
actually in power want Ukraine to be this thing that you stick IMF money into
and that your son can take it out of or your friend or whoever whoever it is
whether you would are a Democrat or a Republican whether you're Brandon or
you're uh what did he call Trump uh president president president Trump or
president Trump or or or Hillary's son-in-law you know getting all those
in Hillary's son-in-law got all this inside info for Ukraine for his hedge
fund and lost money by the way remember that by going along on Greece yeah good
work you know how to pick a man and by the way as long as we're talking about
um just taking money out of the Ukraine got number hundred Biden's natural gas
job that's not patronage okay he found that job and indeed he knows look he
smokes crack but he knows a lot about your Ukrainian natural gas markets that
way I want to say that I love the Bidens because it's they are they're in the
fold of like Clintons and all these evil families but they they always fuck up
they all like Joe gets to be president but in a time where he's only living in
his own memories after he's gone hollow Hunter gets like the patronage job that
like every like Clinton relative and friend gets any one of these fucking
families Chris Dodd's families but like fucks up so bad everyone sees his dick
somehow as a result of it everyone sees the memes that he made on his computer
on his imager account of his dad saying the n-word like they're like
just a regular Delaware family made good yeah you know I love them I love them
I'll admit I love the Brandon's and Matt say the thing about the way that you
phrase the thing about Hunter's kid yeah somebody pointed this out is that he
knocked up a stripper right so that means that there is a woman out there
whose mom is a stripper and whose grandfather is the president hey well I
mean I mean good for her I hope she's getting some of that Biden money
absolutely natural gas money she's off that guest but like you should get the
the special jewel that the Chinese yeah just still on the Bidens
Bo Biden is like another Bo Bo Jackson he was gonna take that family into like
D1 evil families yeah he had it all he like he got that Dupont off on that
disgusting case oh god at it all but in perfect Biden fashion he goes into a war
that his dad voted for and later when you ask him about it is like oh I got
tricked and instead of getting like the plumb assignment that even Pete
Buttigieg God he's next to the burn pits yeah and that's probably where he gets
the brain cancer that kills him yeah a mate like no one can fuck it up like the
Bidens yeah amazing family yeah how do you do that and like speaking of like
the senators the fact that like the UAE and Saudi Arabia are not even picking up
our calls about oil prices and while we continue to sell them weapons and like
they're not just look the other way while they do a genocide in Yemen but
like actively refuel their fucking jets after they triple tap a wedding party
yeah I think we got a thing like Ukraine must feel a little bit of the way we do
now and that they've been giving these fucking make-work jobs to every fucking
like every crack-addicted fucking cocaine-addled son of like in politics
political fail kid of the American ruling political class for years yeah just
all expecting that like when it comes time we're really gonna have their back
we're gonna let them join NATO and I think like this is the fucked up thing
about this is cuz like even if you believe that like the NATO expansion is
good or that like right or Ukraine should be in like this European or Western
sphere of influence it's just like what are we talking about again like we gas
these poor fucks up with me had never not even the most hawkish person had any
intention ever of allowing Ukraine into NATO yeah we just want to shift them a
ton of weapons and like create this sort of buffer zone where yeah like this
horrific conflict could be waged out between Russia and Europe and our
dipshit kids could huddle and just get just literally siphon off the national
gas pipelines running through the country what does that tell you though about
like all this like chastising is that like nobody on the other side of this
argument seriously ever considered allowing Ukraine into NATO ever I will
go back to what I said in fucking January where I you know I don't think
this war will happen I hope it doesn't but it is horrifically tragic for me to
think about 18 year old and 19 year old Russians and Ukrainians dying for either
of these fucking places but especially Ukraine after it has been just a
playground for the worst fucking Americans gassed up into fighting our
war for us that we want that we publicly all the time say we're not yeah you
can't join NATO we're not putting troops in it's horrific and you you're just we
won't see any condemnation about this for another 10 years maybe we'll be like
Libya where you get a brief acknowledgement then we go on with
business as usual and now these and now you got the Levitzes of the world
deciding actually the Ukrainians are epically owning Russia completely and
they're winning the war they're gonna win on the battlefield which I'm sorry
that's just a fantasy that's what you want to tell yourself so that
continuing to fucking stoke the flames of conflict is a moral good because it's
gonna lead to a better outcome and more freedom the freedom index is gonna go up
like no the country's just gonna keep getting fucking reduced to fucking
rubble and in the day that it does stop which I really fucking hope it's as soon
as possible as it rebuilds the worst people in that country yeah all are
gonna be all the more all the more powerful well thanks in part to us
thanks in part to Russia thanks in part to the worst forces in both countries
that is the reality also considering that like I said they just literally banned
like all the left-wing political parties in Ukraine from being in the
government I mean yeah but you wait so it's martial law baby what are you gonna
do it's it's it's a Samo hungs and the martial law yeah running at the essay you
know what's gonna look to restate it on questions of refugee resettlement and
debt forgiveness meanwhile the left solidarity with Ukraine is more robust
than that of more mainstream political tendencies nevertheless some of the most
prominent left-wing writers and organizations in America have proven
too ideologically rigid to see the conflict through clear eyes that might
like me not like precious little Eric Levitz who has all of these real
material interests that align with holding the the consensus line on this
thing but have no impact on the clarity of his vision clear eyes realize clear
lies I loved Eric song on the final cut behind clear eyes their arguments have
been less offensive for their substantive content than their
intellectual carelessness so like this we talk about like cuz he he goes to
this whole article and he says over to get over and over again well like
substantively like much of what like even a position I'm like I seem to be
characterizing it's actually like quite right but it's their intellectual
rigidity and carelessness that's what really bothers me that that's what
compels me to write this article that does not need to exist that has nothing
okay what if they fucking dragged no chance he's old-ass out and had him say
on a YouTube thing I was wrong the whole time actually about you know
criticizing your own country and all that stuff you slavage you glory to the
heroes or whatever the fuck what would that change about anything what would
what would be different in the slightest about anything happening I think they
could notch a little victory in the in the in the posting war yes they could
notch a little victory about like you know like they could feel like they
have a power of discipline a disciplinary power look I could keep
these hogs in line please put me another rung up under the trough
events have been less offensive for their substantive content which Eric has
just outlined was like you know more or less correct but their intellectual
carelessness obvious counter arguments go unaddressed apparent contradictions
it's unexplained falsified predictions unaccounted for oh man well we went into
the argument haunted house all these things are terrifying bring it bring it
bring in this bring in this jumbo jet in for a landing here so let's go this
apparent aversion to acknowledging complexity and moral ambiguity should
trouble anyone invested in the left's political project policy proposals are
generally relatively binary what the what why is this obligation that you
have to have acknowledged every possible shade in what is like a supposed to be
political speech when that is never expected out of anyone else because it's
impractical it's ridiculous you know you say that but honestly until we can
acknowledge complexity and moral ambiguity I have serious doubts about
the left political project I know they better again they better if only they
could get some of that complexity and ambiguity in there I think they have a
shot that's why the right wing has been so powerful in the last six years just
really complex and ambiguous they really embrace and the thing is they embrace
and acknowledge the complexity and ambiguity at all times yeah guys if we
can look at successful political projects in America for the last decade
look at what works kicking out the cranks holding them accountable in front
of everyone yeah socialist forfeit all hope of persuading anyone outside their
esoteric circles if they call for choking off military aid to Ukraine and
demanding demand a mutually agreeable diplomatic resolution to the conflict
without one addressing the obvious objection that Ukraine can only hope
to secure such a settlement through force of arms to offering an evidence-based
theory for how Russia can be persuaded to respect Ukraine's territorial
integrity through sheer diplomacy or three explaining why the left why the
left would oppose sending arms to a democratic government struggling
against domination by a for a far-right autocracy given its historic support for
arming the second Spanish Republic and the Sandinista government yeah the
American left can't begin to fulfill its vision for change without
dramatically expanding its ranks associating itself with undercooked
defenses of toxically unpopular positions on the world's most salient
geopolitical crisis seems like a poor way of going about that task well I mean
obviously it's correct that they need to get more numbers done but the idea
that's what preventing the left from gaining popular currency and like
numbers is is their lack of seriousness on the Ukraine policy is something you
can only believe if you are completely up your own ass yeah I think you if you
actually had I mean if we had a like a politically engaged population that
could be you know engaged realistically from a few you know relative
commanding heights of of media that were consistently putting out a left-wing
perspective I think the idea of this isn't your problem you shouldn't have
to pay $10 a gallon gas for this would probably go over pretty fucking well
yeah only not if you're talking about serious people but guess what serious
people are never gonna fucking care about do your leftist shit because they're
against it they are they are their interests are in opposition to it the
failure of the Bernie 2020 campaign I hope everyone or most people saw the
same thing that we did which is that the way that Bernie could have succeeded was
by activating a critical mass of non-voters and the states where he won
where he did very well he did that or he came close to it where he fell short he
failed to do that when someone is a non-voter but it otherwise amenable to
these types of policies I do not think it's a lack of seriousness in Ukraine
policies if you think that if you think that the fucking woman cleaning up
hotel rooms the the the guy busing tables the people who have never voted you
want to vote if you think they did not vote for Bernie because they're like
ah he's like kind of ambiguous on like on slobby Ukraine you are you are an
article addict you are so addicted to articles it's insane yeah you need to go
to a 12-step program yeah you need to go to articles immediately yeah you need to
go to article inpatient yeah like you know like like Eric you want to talk
about like like yeah like we said like the problem left from this country is it
does seem cloistered in esoteric circles there is no more esoteric circle
than that of foreign policy the sensible foreign policy wonks and and and good
sensible liberal thinkers in America that circles even smaller than the fucking
DSA circle if the left was in power and affected foreign policy but that only
foreign policy was just like a sort of vulgar non-interventionism at least a
million more people would be alive today yes but even if it wasn't consistent
and nuanced the yeah no so it goes here of course the hazards of ideological
inflexibility aren't merely reputational the American left inherited many of its
present and verities from the Cold War era and the ensuing period of US global
hegemony but the tradition of all dead generations ways like a nightmare on the
brains of the living incisive analysis of incisive analysis of the emerging
multi polar order and the challenges it presents to egalitarian change will
require nimble thinking coming to dogmatism will not only undermine the
left's capacity to win power but also its fitness for wielding it you know the
way he's talking about this like oh it's all this ideological rigidity I mean
another word for that is principles you know like actual like sustained
principles and he's basically saying like look it's so fine and dandy to
believe a thing in abstract but you know when when a foreign policy emergency
happens and it's all hands on deck and it's all anyone's talking about and it's
number one priority you know amongst the media class well then all of a sudden
your precious little ideology ideological priors and and principles they
have to be adjusting you have to adjust to the new reality that there's a war on
and you need to pick a side yeah show you're serious by changing your mind
the second someone yells at you yes yeah you know like our friend Dan said this
the other day but it's just like I mean this is the same as it ever was the same
as it ever will be and it's just like you know the left opposed the war in Iraq
when that happened and did that help their electoral chances yeah by being
by having adopting the morally and analytically correct position on the
war in Iraq no yeah it did not and the idea now is like it's not even a matter
like of like you know actively opposing Ukraine or like rooting for Russia just
a matter of like just simply not taking sides in this is not good enough no you've
got you've got to you've got to you have to be sensible you have to be nimble you
have to be morally ambiguous you have to be a smart little smart like a grand
green character and like and if if the fact that that nimbleness is rewarded
by the Malak demon state that we all agree is what the United States is well
that's just a coincidence and you know like I will cop to a certain amount of
ideological rigidity that you know did prevent me from thinking it was likely
that Russia would invade Ukraine as fully as it did sure but like I will cue
to I'm not I'm not going to get more limber on this because anytime the US
fucking State Department or fucking like just the the mandarins of foreign
policy in this country every time they're counseling for this country to
adopt a course of action in any regard it is never ever going to be the benefit
of the flourishing of human life on this planet right I do not believe them for a
second I do not believe that their their priors or ideological commitments
are making render them capable of judging or acting in the world in a pop by
positive way and I'd say that for myself my failure to see that Putin was gonna
invade is I think they have a piece with my failure to really absorb the
Trump was gonna win in 2016 and it was both of those I think looking back or
for the same reason that I did not think that we were there yet you know like
these things are all possibilities until they occur and some part of you wants
to put off the reckoning but what we're seeing in the last decade certainly is
that everything that you know that that people kind of mused about in terms of
what what what crisis would stand for in in the 21st century are having to come
to terms with the fact that the timetable is much much shorter than that
that they wanted it to be but that doesn't change the analysis I mean I
said this a couple weeks ago but I mean like well I think what Levitz is really
going for here as he auditions for like you know the Jonathan Chait chair at
New York Magazine is this idea that like yeah they all took it on the chin
because of Iraq and what they really want the the ideological you know
limberness that they're going for here is this sweet swat of just being like
yes America has done some very evil things and very recent memory but Russia
is actually more evil than the United States and what we're like what we're
seeing what they're doing to Maripole right now or like they're bombing
hospitals full of people like shouldn't that be proof positive enough that there
are still countries more evil in the United States give us a break come on and
I'm saying no yeah sorry like at the very best I'm willing to say that we are
about as evil as Russia is but the problem is we're a lot more powerful
well that's the thing is that like every government is pretty much equally evil in
that all of the incentive structures and power structures pull the worst people
into positions of power and and kind of cannot allow anyone else to hold power
the only real differentiation is the degree to which they can assert power
over others and that's where the actual like execution of evil does and since
we're the most powerful country by definition we're the most evil sorry
and they just they don't want to give up the ghost on like you know like the 90s
era of like of America like post-Cold War having to have a reason for why we're
still a military hegemonic power and that is humanitarian intervention they
still don't really want to give up the ghosts on that because they don't like
to protect baby they don't want to give up I mean even if you believe that like
it's horrible that like you know genocides and abuses against civilian
policy populations occur they don't they can't give up the ghosts on this
idea that like well America we always mean well you know like it's just like we
just we can still do some good in this world but the power all the bad that
we're supposed to be fighting that we're morally obligated to fight is all in the
context of a global order that we enforce yeah no people say they hate
subway you made the sandwich all right let's let's leave it leave it leave it
there for that all right Houston we'll see you tomorrow night yeah
yeah great all right Matt I'm going to go to the Cavendish food store 15 minute
ride from here my brother in Christ please come with me and buy a pair of pants okay
Texas is a place I nearly love to be but all my exes live in Texas and that's
why I hang my hand in Tennessee