Cheeky Pint - Satya Nadella describes how lessons from Microsoft’s history apply to today’s boom
Episode Date: November 18, 2025Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, sits down with John to discuss the diffusion of AI inside the enterprise. He explains why “all your data at your fingertips” is the evergreen pitch, why t...his AI CapEx cycle is different from the .com bubble, and his vision for "agentic commerce". They also cover Microsoft's product bundling strategy and how he "wanders the virtual corridors" of Teams to run the company.Links[Read] Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle, Matthew Symonds[Try] Superwhisper[Read] The Internet Tidal Wave, Bill GatesTimestamps(00:00) AI adoption in the enterprise(07:47) How Satya runs Microsoft(13:45) New UIs(20:44) Microsoft tackling the early internet(25:58) Are we in a bubble?(31:35) Data sovereignty(38:10) Excel(42:01) Agentic commerce(52:45) AI brand loyalty(59:44) Product bundling(01:08:18) Microsoft’s culture(01:12:12) The law of very large companies(01:16:20) What’s in the water in Hyderabad?
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Satya Nadella took over as Microsoft CEO in 2014,
but he's been with the company for more than 30 years,
and has seen a lot.
Microsoft has grown by 10x in the time that Satya has been running it,
and he's credited with Microsoft's success,
first in Cloud and now in the AI boom.
Cheers, John.
That was great.
So what should people be excited about as Ignite?
The Ignite conference for us more than anything else
is about making sure that AI is getting diffused inside of the enterprise.
right? I mean, if there is one thing, it's more about, hey, what does it mean not to just admire
somebody else's AI factory or AI agent, but how to build your own AI factories? Organizing the
data layer turns out to be probably the most complicated thing, which spans the enterprise
such that it can meet the intelligence. And so that's the stuff that I think we'll probably do a lot of.
We still don't really have deep research in a corporate context. We do. That's what co-pilot
it's about. But most people day-to-day do not have this. So are they just underusing AI that
exists? Yes, see, in fact, it's interesting you brought that up because to me that is the
killer feature, right? So the biggest thing we did was we took this graph that is underneath
what is what I think is the most important database in any company, right, which is underneath
your email, your documents, your teams calls, what have you. It's the relationships that, by the way,
People are not working in an ad hoc fashion in an unstructured way, but they're all doing it in relation of some business event.
Yes.
That semantic connection is in people's heads and it's lost.
And for the first time, there's much better recall of that.
Why do you think this is underpenetrated than the enterprise?
Because I feel like people are using lots of, you know, LLM tools.
They are uploading individual documents maybe.
But I don't think most companies have the all-singing.
all dancing, all of the company's context is plugged into their everyday AI.
Yeah.
In fact, I would say there are two sets of things.
One, it's starting, right?
I mean, you know, I always say at least compared to anything we have done in terms of all
the office suites over our history, this is the fastest.
Yes.
In that sense, because it's change management.
At the end of the day, you've got to get it in.
People have to use it.
Oh, by the way, in the enterprise setting, it has got to mean all lead discovery has to
work.
all of the data governance has to work.
We have had to plumb this purview into co-pilots such that any time I'm trying to retrieve
something that's confidential, it's labeled confidential, it's IRM and so on.
So there's been a significant amount of work, and that I think is where we're starting to see
the uplift.
The other thing I'd say is, you know, it's one thing to do, have it work across the Microsoft
365 graph, right?
But then the next thing is, oh, what about your ERP system?
The connectors kind of work, but they don't, really, because they're too thin straws, right?
You just need a much better data architecture where you have to essentially semantically embed all of these into one layer.
Okay.
There's been a vision for decades of your company's data at your fingertips.
My favorite example of this is I really like the book Software on the History of Oracle,
and it talks about Larry Allison doing EBCs.
I think they're talking about one in Japan in the 1990s.
So it's the late 1990s.
And he is pitching executives on all your company's data in one place.
Part of the reason this is an evergreen pitch
is because companies don't actually have all their data at their fingertips.
Companies do not eat their data infrastructure vegetables.
And the pitch to executives is always,
you can go answer your questions yourself at the touch of a button
as opposed to sending a request to an analyst
who goes and does an investigation for you.
Will we finally this time eat our data plumbing?
You can push back on the premise, but that's my question.
No, I think, in fact, I think if I'm not mistaken, Bill coined this term,
information at your fingertips at a Comdeck speech, I think, in the 90s.
I think that's right.
Yeah, and that is kind of where it, you know, and so we, and for the longest time,
Bill was always obsessed about, like, he felt, in fact, he, I remember him distinctly saying this in the 90s,
which I picked up in one of the reviews I was in as a junior guy sitting around,
and he said, there's only one category in software.
It's called information management.
You've got to schematize people, places, and things, and that's it.
You don't have to do anything more because all software.
And that was the dream Bill always had, which is he wanted, like, for example, he hated file systems because they were unstructured.
He would have loved it if everything was a SQL database, and he could just do SQL queries and program against all information.
Like that to him was like an elegant solution to information in your fingertips.
The problem is people are messy.
and even if data is structured,
it sort of is not truly available in one index, right?
Or one SQL query that I can run against all of that.
So that has been the fundamental challenge of the old world, I would say.
I would have not thought, none of us thought,
that somehow this AI thing and a deep neural network at some scaling
will suddenly become the thing that figures out the patterns, right?
not some schematized data model.
In fact, one of the longest time
used to always obsess about,
oh, how complex do the relationships have to be,
or the data model needs to be to capture
the essence of an enterprise, right?
And it turns out it's lots of parameters
in the neural network with a lot of compute power.
Dorcash talks about this really smart
remote employee who started five minutes ago,
getting at the point that the models can be arbitrarily smart,
and they can do rag,
and they can have access to everything in your enterprise,
but it's not quite the same as the model actually knowing something as a model.
And so the models, unless you train custom models inside your company,
cannot actually get smarter at what it is that you do.
And, you know, the 1,000th query is not any smarter than the first.
Where do you think that goes?
I think there are two things there.
I think, I mean, I think if I understand his thing,
it's all about in-context learning or continual learning, right?
I mean, that's sort of the ultimate thing.
And it sort of speaks to the thing I was saying, which is if you kind of have the models cognitive core separated from its knowledge, then you have essentially the continual learning formulas, so it's called the algorithm, and then you just unleash it.
At least there are three things to me that are outside of the model at runtime that I think you kind of have to crack.
Right. One is memory and all forms of memory, right? Short, long, right? Even like these big challenges of very.
humans are great at long-term credit assignment, right?
Which is how does intuitively, like somebody said to be,
hey, the day, you know, AI models can both reward and remember that you, you know,
how to punish for some mistake because they have the ability to do long-term credit assignment,
that's when you'll know they have real memory.
But in any case, memory is one.
The second one is entitlements, right?
So which is they have to really respect all of the permissioning system.
at runtime, right? Because this is where because they're roles, what access do I have? And so the
model needs to meet that. And then the action space all has to work. So if you bring those three
things, because after all, that's the environment. So if I have actions, entitlements and memory with
these models, and they are, by definition, have to be outside of the model, but be built into
the model. And I think that's, and so for example, in co-pilot today, you use open AI models,
you use even cloud, right? I need the system to work across both of those.
And that, I think, is where the frontier has to move to.
Yes, yes.
I've been a more AI questions, but I want to ask you some questions about your way of working.
So what does your day-to-day look like?
And in particular, how are you managing by walking around what virtual corridors are you wondering to just get a sense for what's going on Microsoft?
What are your customer engagements actually look like just for a normal day, not earnings or not a board meeting or something?
Interestingly enough, my normal day is it, it's the two ends of it, which is the customer stuff.
So there's not a day that I would say I'm not having, many of them are remote.
I mean, there's teams calls for me most of the day, at least two or three of them with some customers.
It's sort of the most helpful way for me to stay most grounded, I would say.
So I have at least one or two of those each day.
And then I'd say there is a lot of meeting time.
You know, as a CEO, one of the things I've recognized is there are two types of meetings, right?
One meeting is where I'm just supposed to convene and, you know, keep my mouth shut because convening was the real thing, right?
It is like, don't overperform and just sit and because all the work would have either happened or will happen after.
So that's kind of one.
And then the other meeting which are the important meetings where I do need to learn or I need to make a decision or communicate something.
So meetings is another spot.
Then I must say it's kind of like all over for me, Teams channels, right?
I am lingering around Teams channels.
And they're most helpful.
In fact, if anything, I learn the most there.
I meet most people there.
So wandering the halls, I wish I can tell you that, you know, that is the form.
No, but I think Teams is the new wandering the halls, right?
You know, looking around those channels.
100%.
And then I meet, the most beautiful thing is for me to be able to, that's where I make the most connections, right?
I get to know, wow, he's the person working on Excel agent.
Oh, that's the e-val that they're looking.
I mean, I learn so much out of it than anything else have done.
So are teams at Microsoft just working away on their product and then Satya pops up and, you know, has a question on their product?
Some of it.
Like, I wish.
They give a little yell.
I wish, yeah.
Well, I wish, you know, sometimes I feel like we're way too permission to, you know, I wish I had more access sometimes.
In fact, my biggest complaint is that I can drop it everywhere I want to.
But yes, it's fun to be able to just go in there.
And it sort of normalizes it.
And then people are also, like, today's workforce is not shy of sharing their opinion with you.
I've noticed, yeah.
You are famous, at least in small corners of the valley, speaking of being with,
for staying very connected to what's going on in tech here.
And I remember you came and visited the Stripe Office.
Remember that one in the mission?
Yeah, when we were a Pipsqueak company, I mean,
we were probably right after you took over a CEO, I'm guessing.
But Stripe was very small and Microsoft was very big.
Actually before, I think the first time I came to your offices
was when I was running Azure first.
Okay, yeah, yeah, yeah.
So it was even before that.
So that would mean very early in Stripe's journey.
why do you think you do this much more than most other CEOs?
Because other CEOs should want to meet all the startups too.
I've always grown up in some sense.
I grew up even in a Microsoft which had,
I have that developer relations, evangelism sort of gene in me.
I kind of approach, I think a lot of it as,
hey, if you don't follow developers,
there are two sort of things that are ingrained in me.
One is if you don't follow where developers are going,
it's hard to sort of be relevant in terms of tech platforms.
And then you really need to understand the new workload
in order to build a tech platform.
Those are the two things that at least I've kept.
And so therefore, the only way, if you're not following startups,
it's very hard to know what is either the platform or the workload.
So that's sort of a thing that I've indexed towards.
The other thing is it's just, you know,
I derive so much energy out of it.
I mean, I've always thought founders are just magical people
who create something from nothing.
I mean, it just sort of feels like a magic trick.
So I always think, how the heck does one do that?
It's funny you say that about following what the startups are doing.
We always conceived of what Stripe was building as it was important to build for startups,
both because today's small startups are tomorrow's public companies,
and we've seen that again and again on Stripe.
But we just felt at an intuitive level,
and we felt this before we could prove it,
that what the startups were interested in were often better product experiences.
And so if the startups want stable coins or usage-based billing or what have you,
we should build for those needs, not just because we'll have a good startup business,
but the enterprises will come around.
And it took us, I would say, many years to kind of prove out that model, but now we're really seeing.
In fact, I think you guys are a bit of a gold standard on that.
In fact, one of the things that I learned from you guys was that I did,
rediscovering at some level what Microsoft was very good at,
which is following the developer,
being where the startups are.
And so that's what sort of led me even to GitHub and Nat and all of the rest,
which is to some degree the GitHub asset, right?
Obviously it is a great asset.
We needed to one be good stewards of an open source ecosystem.
But it also, the place where every startup,
like the one thing that everybody does have is their repos in GitHub.
And I felt like, hey, being in that loop was important for us,
not just, oh, it's strategically great to have some position there, to learn, simply,
and to build better product, I think is sort of well said, because you lose sometimes the aesthetic
of what is required, what's that friction-free way to deliver? Because the least amount of patience
is there, and the time to value, for example, has to be maximized. Is Microsoft thinking about
generated UIs that are personalized to, like when you think about it, software is stuck in the old
paradigm of, you know, we write a bunch of software and it goes to Goldmaster and it goes out on
disks. And now that same kind of software is delivered in the cloud. But the UI you want is probably,
you know, we can render that exact UI in real time. Is that a direction you guys are going on?
I think for sure. At some level, what's happening is on one side, our ability to generate,
I mean, if you sort of say you can generate all code, so therefore you can generate some U.X
scaffolding around anything that's a lot more custom, right?
So especially, in fact, for the longest time, one of the things at Microsoft was,
what's the difference between a document, a website, and an application, really?
And so to some degree, yeah, exactly.
So you can generate any one of those at any time, depending on what format you want to present it.
But at the same time, interestingly enough, for all the talk of, hey, all these apps go,
take even our good old IDs.
In some sense, IDEEs are back, whether it's Excel or VES code,
because the reality is AI generates output.
I need to make sense of that output.
In fact, I need a fantastic editor that lets me do diffs and iterations on it with AI.
So the IDE, I think, in fact, one of the most exciting things is new classes of highly refined ideas.
that have even a sort of a telemetry loop with the intelligence layer,
but also they kind of act more like heads-up displays, right?
I have thousands of agents going off.
How am I going to make sense of the micro-steering of thousands of agents?
And that is what IDs slash inboxes and messaging tools will be, right?
Which is I'm not messaging one type, you know,
or dealing with triage the way I deal with it today, but it's going to be different.
Okay, interesting.
So you think right now,
programmers spend all their time in an IDE,
but they're one of the few professions that does that,
and your vision is the accountant IDE, the lawyer IDE,
what is the metaphor of how I will work with agents?
So it's kind of like massive macro-delegation.
So there's lots of agents.
I go and give a bunch of instructions to,
and they go off and work sometimes for hours, days, let's say,
as the models get better.
But they are checking in,
and so it's macro-delegation, micro-steering.
So if you take that,
How does one do micro steering with context?
It can't come back like my, it can't be in the next notification hell, right?
Which is it sort of notifies me.
It has like five words.
I don't know exactly what the real context is or what have you.
That, I think, is where.
And that has to be multi-app-like, right?
So that's where I feel like all software finally when it grows up.
It looks like an inbox and a messaging tool and a canvas with a blinking screen.
Except this time around, a lot of work got, you know, when it happened.
Is that one app?
Is that 10 different apps?
Like, it's kind of interesting.
If you think about the productivity suite that emerged,
there was, you know, three big apps in Word, Excel and PowerPoint.
But it's interesting that that number was not one and was not 40.
It was three.
And so how do you think about this?
I think that's right.
I mean, to me, it will be a few, I think.
And, in fact, the reductionist person, you know, in me, says,
man, they'll be the same things, except the job they do is going to be different.
Because I think, you know, a table, at least as the human level, right?
Because we can all talk about like what tools will agents use to communicate with each other, right?
That's a different thing, right?
Right now, for the RL loop, they are simulating our production environment.
But they will ultimately be more efficient in creating their own production environments to kind of RL themselves.
But let's just leave that aside.
But in order to communicate with us, I feel like we have discovered some good things that we like.
We like spreadsheets and tables and we like documents in sort of linear form.
We like inboxes or messaging tools.
So these are like reasonable UIs.
Except the question I think you asked is, how does this thing have when it shows up in an IDE with like a set of changes?
you have to help me more than just say,
okay, now here is a file, go to that file.
Like that directed plan, not just to execute,
but for me to do my workflow.
One of the things that we are experimenting
with this mission control and GitHub co-pilot is that, right?
Which is, the idea is you go have five, six different branches
in which you fire off all these autonomous agents.
They all do their work.
They come back.
And then your ability to do PR triage
is where, I think,
next IDE is born. I'm struck by in technology how frequently you see the pattern of excitement
for and a vision around a technology being so much earlier than the technology actually being
ready. Like the movie 2001 Space Odyssey, which was in the 60s, like that was a voice activated
AI with tool use, you know, capabilities. And, you know, it just took 50 years. And then, you know,
people were excited about the idea that you could speak to your computer and your text to speak
speech to text. People were excited about that in the 80s. And like only now, I don't know if you
Super Whisper or anything like that. But it's really, it's finally really good. But like it wasn't
good three years ago, you know, 40 years after the vision. Yeah, it's crazy how you bring that up.
In fact, I used to have an apartment right next to the Microsoft campus, that old campus.
And I was working on interactive television. This was in 94. Yeah. The Information Superhighway.
That's right. You know, and there are multiple things that are stunning. My, my
management chain was Rick Rashid, who reported to Craig Bundy, who reported to Nathan Merwold,
and there was Bill Gates that was saying, man, that's a lot of IQ.
And of course, we all missed the internet.
That was the only thing that happened.
But I had interactive television,
switched ATM, I think, to my home in my apartment.
So I had, I remember doing this demo.
One of the high stakes things I did as a young guy at Microsoft was a demo of our first redundant
file system, which was a video server where John Malone was the one who came and sort of Bill
was sort of saying, hey, here is the future of interactive television. And guess what? It's even
great because the disks can go, you know, hair wire and still stream. And so my job was to
remove the disc drive and have the stream continue. But we built essentially a distributed file
system and a streaming server and had an ATM switch network to the house. And I had like five
movies I could watch, and I watched them all multiple times.
Okay, so I want to ask you about this, because I've thought a lot about this, and you're the
perfect person to ask, which is Microsoft saw the internet future that was coming in the 90s.
And in particular, the famous Bill Gates' Internet Title Wave memo said, the Internet is the one big
thing Microsoft needs to focus on.
It wasn't like we're not thinking about the Internet.
It wasn't that it was priority number 7 of 15.
It was like, hey, guys, listen up.
The only thing Microsoft should be thinking about is the internet.
But the vision for the internet at the time was this information superhighway, which was subtly different from the internet, because the thinking was, and it was very sensible thinking.
No one has internet to the computer in their home.
Like a lot of people don't have a computer in their home.
So what people do have is a TV and what they have is cable, which is a high band with connection.
And so we're going to do these set top boxes on the TV, and that is how people will use the internet.
like, paying a huge amount of attention to this coming wave, pretty sensible, well-thought-out solution,
and yet, not the right approach.
And so obviously bring that up in the context of the giant AI, like, what should one take away from that?
See, if I look at even my interpretation, it'll be actually interesting.
I've not spent as much time talking to Bill about that era.
But I felt they were at least, as someone as sort of an entry-level employee at that time even,
my reading of history was that we kind of got the internet, but we didn't.
Because we wanted to deliver.
Remember, the quality, like, I don't think we believe that TCPIP would work.
All right.
I mean, at some level, the information highway, when I look at what we were trying to do,
was, man, this quality of service is a thing, this TCPIP, it just is not going to work.
And so, therefore, we were competing against AOL.
on dial-up, and even that sort of, you remember,
like MSN was an X.25 network,
the first version of it.
Yes.
And so then, but that's when Bill, like, pivoted, right?
So the thing that Bill did was in 95, I guess,
in fact, it's funny that Windows 95 was launching,
and then he says, you know what, it's all going to change.
So I feel between 92, which is when I think all of us maybe got our first demo,
right. 93 November is when mosaic, right? I think something like that. And so we all, you know,
we're kind of dancing around it. So from 93 to 95, there was that two-year period where it was
unclear whether this was going to be the protocol and the full stack and the stack emerged. And by 95,
it was clear. Right. And then we pivoted. Interesting. Okay. So just at that time, it wasn't actually
clear that the open internet would win. Yes. And in fact, there's one.
One more lesson, the interesting thing that I've always watched,
because I think we can parlay this into AI,
one is to get the paradigm right.
Yes.
Then it's not clear, even if you get the paradigm right,
that you may not get what is the killer app,
or even the business model, or what, like,
that's always been the case, right?
Which is, you know, with the internet,
who would have thought that, you know, for the open web,
an organizing layer would be one proprietary
or one network effect search engine, right?
Because the organizing layer of the web, I always say,
there's no such thing as the open web.
There's the Google Web.
And just because they just dominated it.
Should one reflect on the fact that maybe there was some motivated thinking
around our proprietary solution, the Liberty Media, Microsoft Joint Venture, will win,
whereas the open web is what won.
and you should maybe caution organizations
where if they're following two possibilities,
you know, our Information Super Highway proprietary system
or the open web,
companies will somehow have happy thinking
towards the proprietary solution.
So interesting what I think the way, you know,
when I look back again, it's interesting, right?
So AOL and MSN kind of, you know, lost out, let's call it,
to the open web.
except they were replaced by new forms of AOL and MSN.
They're called search engines.
They're called app stores.
The mobile web, in fact, is fascinating.
The open web was a moment in history.
A moment in history.
And so the thing that maybe, the matter thing for me is,
organizing layers will always emerge even in an open ecosystem.
And a lot of the category power moves to that organizing layer.
And it's always unclear.
Like the last paradigm of, whoa, this last time it has search engines.
Today, it's chat bots, is it?
Is it? How long-lasting is that?
Yes.
No one knows.
But it's definitely today, I mean, ChadGPT's success cannot be denied in terms of what it
means as an aggregation point.
Yes.
need to be litigated.
Well, I want to talk about that and I want to talk about commerce.
But actually, first, while we're on the topic of,
while we're still in the 90s,
everyone is making comparisons to the dot-com bubble right now.
It's almost a cliche.
And I think it's actually a reasonable comparison.
You know, it's cliche for a reason,
which is it is a very CAPEX intensive build-out
for a new paradigm that is, in fact, a big deal,
and yet there's an awful lot of CAP-X.
You were there at Microsoft during the,
2000.com bubble. And it really was, you know, Microsoft's share price peaked in the late 90s,
early 2000s and then didn't surpass it until 2016, I want to say. What did it feel like in 1999?
In particular, did you know you were in a bubble or was it like, oh, this is the new, this time
it's different. It's interesting, yeah. In fact, I remember, I think we probably became the largest
market cap company in 2000. We crossed G. I remember that. You know, we were capital.
Capitalite, let's say, right?
That time around it was like, I guess I was more like Sam at that time, which is somebody else's capital was being spent.
It is quite honestly, when I look back at it, at that time, too, the financial cycle aside, it was clear.
The secular trend was clear that this is going to.
Because even by then the business models were also emerging, right?
Even for Microsoft, the biggest lesson at that time was, oh, my God, like even our first order play,
oh, we got to build a browser, we got to build a web server, we've got to, you know, have internet protocols everywhere.
Oh, we got to be, you know, we had a website builder inside of office with front page.
We did all the obvious things, but we realized that just doing the obvious things didn't make sense.
We needed to reinvent what we were doing, plus what are the new business models was clear.
So in an interesting way, that cycle kind of came out of nowhere.
I mean, it came out of, you know, what was just, you know,
whatever irrational exuberance or what have you.
But the correction in some sense washed away a bunch of stuff,
but I would say the ideas persisted.
Totally.
Right?
And so to me, I think about what's happening here.
I mean, there are two things, right?
The infrastructure itself that's getting laid out,
I think it's got a lot more immediate.
Like, it's not like even the gestation period of, okay, I built up, you know, dark fiber,
which, you know, some internet company will first scale to a billion users and use.
Yes.
This time lines out the door to buy this stuff today.
Exactly.
And so this time around, quite frankly, we are behind, right?
It was not that, like, when I look at our infrastructure build, right, and demand today.
Yes.
That's the thing that when people say it's all a, you know, there's a bubble, like when I look at my
earnings. I can have, like, I mean, this is the last, when was the last time I was so supplied
constrained on PowerShells? I haven't heard that comparison before, which is, let's not forget
that the dot-com bubble, which again was a telecom's bubble, it was a fiber bubble in a big way,
like it was dark fiber. It was, the screws in the name, it was dark, it was not lit up yet,
and this is anything but dark fiber. Yeah, it's not like any one of us is sitting there
and saying, hey, I have all the GPUs wired up, right, and nobody's using them. I don't
have a utilization problem. I may have a P-U-E. I mean, I want higher utilization because it's mostly
because it's memory bottleneck or what have you. But that is a different, but there is not a thing
that I have that's not sold out. In fact, my problem is I got to bring more supply. And in that,
will we perfectly get it? No one does, right? There's no supply chain operation that perfectly
matches demand and supply. But this time around, the build out, you know, given the long lead,
Like, for example, one of the things we study a lot is, even when we talk about our capital, we try to describe it even to the street.
Hey, you've got to remember these assets.
Some of these assets are 20 years.
Some of these things are four years or five years.
And in fact, you kind of have to make the decisions on those things differently, right?
Having a coal shell that's unused is nothing.
Right.
It's like, yeah, it's kind of like having a campus with five buildings.
It's not sort of going to be a problem on Microsoft.
balance sheet. What is a real problem would be, hey, not having warm shells that we can
kind of light up. Where is the bottleneck these days? Like, is there electricians? Is there shells?
Yeah, I mean, so the product that is the bottleneck is just a bunch of powered up shells.
Right. So if I don't have enough shells that are powered, that I can then roll in my racks and then
break them operational. And that's the long lead part, right? Which is you kind of have to have
the land permits, the power permits, get all that done in time. And by the way, location, right?
So I think one of the things that's glossed over, of course, stateside, United States,
we're building a lot. But we have to build all over the world. And there are related regulations,
in fact, more every day. People care about sovereignty in a major, major way. And
And so therefore, for us, we have to make sure that the fleet is a global fleet, a fleet that kind of can deal with all types of workloads, training to data gen to inference.
And so it's sort of complex multivariable thing.
Who should care about data sovereignty, where, you know, Ireland has a bunch of data centers, but is not particularly wound up on the idea that, you know, data should only be in Ireland.
And I don't think it should be super wound up about that fact.
But, well, I guess, do you guys just go with whatever the country wants,
or do you try to advise on whether you should want data sovereignty or not, and who should?
Yeah.
So I think it's obviously a topic that's top of mind for pretty much every country, every policymaker,
and they care.
And there is obviously real legitimate reasons.
The thing that I would say in the AI age, I'm now thinking a little bit differently,
even about sovereignty.
What I mean by that is the ultimate sovereignty question is more of the,
what's the future of a corporation?
Right? Like, I mean, if you sort of start by, you know, if you go to the core of the
Coase theorem, you say, wow, what the heck, you know, if the model is the thing that knows
everything, why do I even, like, I'm supposed to have some tacit knowledge that makes the
transactional costs inside my organization lower than just being in the marketplace.
So that's a mindbender. So in fact, one of the ways I think is the sovereignty that matters is
your company's sovereignty in a age where there are continual learning increasing returns to a
model. So I'm increasingly thinking that, hey, company's ability to have that intelligence
layer that's a scaffold or even weights embedded in the model. So it's not somebody else's
foundation model. It's about do you have sovereignty in your foundation model? So my new concept
is the future of a company is that company has its own foundation model that captures a
that tacit knowledge that makes the transactional costs of how knowledge gets accrued and
diffused inside the organization faster.
So that's sort of a long speech on sovereignty.
There's two versions.
That's very interesting.
The idea that AI maybe just changes the nature of companies.
And you're saying that if companies, some companies are already collections of IP, right?
you know, Disney or
which said Dave Ricks from
Eli Lilly here
that is an IP company
in a big way. And
some companies already collections of IP
but right now that IP is in
all the emails and documents and people's heads
most importantly, whereas
maybe the
IP could be
in a single model over time.
Where I thought you were going to go with that
is just
maybe the
you know, people
point out a lot that current companies are modeled after, you know, manufacturing companies and
Alfred Sloan type stuff, despite the fact that, you know, we're doing knowledge work today and not
running a little manufacturing line. And do you get more just weird-looking companies? Do you get the,
you know, the famous really tiny billion-dollar company? Do you get more highly distributed internet
companies? Do you get some Dow's? I thought that's where you're going to go with that.
I think that those are also possibilities. So the structure itself could change and it's going to be more
possible for, you know, whatever the few, you know, the one-person billion-dollar company,
what have you.
That may not happen or Dow's could happen.
But the interesting question, at least for me, is where does tacit knowledge reside?
Yes.
Right.
Clearly, it resides in people's heads, and it's the classic know-how that accrues and
compounds.
Yes.
I think it will also reside in compound as weights in some laura.
layer that is unique to your company.
Yeah.
So that's kind of my, so in fact, I feel like, hey, you know, the new intellectual property
at Eli Lilly or at Microsoft or at Stripe at some point can be also besides all the humans,
besides all the other artifacts we have.
Yes.
I think we'll also say, oh, they are in some embedding.
Yes.
Okay, it's funny to say this because Stripe, Stripe is interesting because it does not really
have strong network effects as a company. You know, when we started building up Stripe,
is very much a single-player API experience, and we make it easy to start using Stripe.
But ultimately, you kind of, you'd never know that anyone else was using Stripe. What's happened
as we've scaled up is we now just have a trust network where we can prevent fraud by virtue of
the fact that we've seen most internet users. And so we have a knowledge for what good and bad
looks like. And even the fact that we haven't seen you before is inherently a little bit suspicious
because we've seen most people. And so it becomes a reputation network, kind of like a recapture
for Google, similarly became kind of a reputation network. Anyway, what we're now doing is training
a payments foundation model where we're using all the data that we have in the Stripe Network,
and you have a much larger, more capable model taking a drag out. So anyway, we are trying to do
exactly what you're saying. So one of the questions for all of us who have, so how do you
protect that from sort of essentially leaking over to the base foundation model. Is it just like
one capability hop away because it learned how to even do fraud detection? Yes. Yes. Is it just
some other multidimensional or not? And that I think is the key question. To me, I think we,
there are two arguments, right? One argument is it's that, you know, argument that, hey, the models
are going to eat the world. Yes. You can kind of easily, oh, yeah, after all, everything is just a pattern.
and I'll learn it all and what have you.
So, but then the thing, though, is you could, to your point about Stripe,
can take multiple models, build this unbelievable sort of, I'll call it fraud detection layer.
That is, you know, model forward.
And then there is this memory and tools use and action space that's all unique to Stripe.
That, to me, is the future of a corporation,
whether it's a pharma company, a payments company, or a software company.
That, I think, is the work that we all are doing and will do.
And I think that that's, to me, that is sovereignty, right?
I'm still thinking about this discussion we're having about the IDE for people who are in
software engineers.
And again, I feel like there could be a product in the next 10 years for finance people,
where in hindsight, it is obviously the correct UI.
But just like the spreadsheet kind of came out of nowhere as a UI.
It may feel like it came out and nowhere at that time.
Let me struck with that.
Speaking of the spreadsheet, it's like a right of passage for certain software companies to try to take on Excel.
And it seems to be doing pretty well 40 years in or what have you.
Why is it so durable?
Yeah, it's unbelievable, right?
I mean, at some level, you know, the idea that a tabular,
I mean, I think it's the power of lists and tables.
Yes.
It's just a perfect, and the malleability of software, right?
That was, I think, the combination.
So I think that's where the, what's the durability of a, that's why a blinking canvas, right?
It's sort of like, it's always going to be there.
We may add lots of bells and whistles to it.
And the same thing with spreadsheets.
The other thing about the spreadsheet is it's Turing Complete.
Right.
I mean, that's the other, you know, we sort of don't give it enough.
credit. It's like I can make it do everything. I think it's the world's most approachable programming
environment. 100%. I mean, it's kind of like, you know, and you get into it without even
thinking your programming. And that is the other beauty, right? Which is like, you know, like AI still
mystified it. You and I talked about, oh my God, we meet change management. When next spreadsheets
came, nobody talked about change management. They were just using it. Right. And that to me is the
other thing, which is, you know, like somebody was describing to me, I was meeting the CEO of General.
he joined General Ali during the fax machine era,
and he was managing all their insurance agents.
And he said to me, like, look, I still remember the day when email showed up,
Excel showed up, and the entire workflow of how things happened completely were upended
and evolved and changed ground up.
And so to me, I think that that's, to your point,
what are those things of this era that will discover that will allow,
the ground-up relitigation of the work, the work artifact, and the workflow.
It's such an interesting time to be in software.
I mean, compared to, you must feel this.
Like, it's just a much more interesting time now than five or ten years ago.
You know, it is interesting, right?
Which is what happened was we were like, you know, cloud, cloud, cloud.
Yes.
And, you know, if you had to ask me, what was the hardest thing in, you know,
2019, we had built this fantastic multi-region or region-less database.
that was multi-format, right?
Cosmos DB, which was like,
we had, you know, basically a JSON database.
We had, oh, we had a SQL in there.
It was the everything database,
and we were thinking, oh, and there was region less and blah, blah, blah.
And then the pandemic happened.
And then Cloud went into another hyperdrive.
I mean, teams, thank God, just became like the thing.
And then, so that was the exciting thing.
And lo and behold, you come out of it and you sort of say,
oh, I thought, oh, after the pandemic,
we're going to get to some stable state.
In fact, I remember a forecast of the cloud.
You know, we were saying, what do we do?
We overbuilt during the pandemic.
And there was a good eight months where we were, oh,
and then this thing now has come through.
There's a lot of charts of the shape of the stripe.
I don't know if it's this way of Microsoft,
where obviously in March 2020, you saw this discontinent,
annuity, right? Much more e-commerce activity happening. We saw the rate of online business creation
because, you know, you had businesses that were offline only saying, oh, you know, we got to switch
to selling online. And it just stayed at that elevated level forever. Obviously, since it's gone up
from there, but there was no matching decline as people went back to, you know, into physical offices
and things like that. It was just a step change and that it stayed at the elevated level forever.
I'm sure you saw similar things in Azure and things like that. Yeah, it never came down.
We're talking about commerce. So we might as well, we're talking about commerce. So we might as
I'll talk about what we're working on together.
So we're very excited about it.
I mean, I think the idea that has always been there is, which is what's the best way
for a merchant-friendly set of rails and what is a customer-friendly set of rails, right?
Is there a perfect matching?
Conversational sort of commerce is a thing that people have talked about.
And now, I think, with the work that you all have done and others have done, we can
kind of can really bring the merchant and the end user and have this agentic sort of experience.
So it's early days. It has to be tastefully done. It has to be done in a way that you earn the
user's trust. And so I'm very excited about it. Yeah, we see two differences here because
there have been previous attempts, as you know, buying on Twitter or buying on Instagram and
you know, these kinds of things. But what's different here is, one, you have AI. So all the
Integrations for the merchant are much easier.
It's much less of a lift than previous times when things like that, this have been tried.
But then secondly, I just think the experience is so compelling as an end user.
We're already seeing this in the early data from the super early customers that we have.
We launched a few weeks back in chat chitia as well.
That just it has to work.
And again, the data is already bearing that out because it's so much easier as an end customer.
Yeah, I've been talking about it, like, you know, I'm a bit of a cricket nut, so I kind of, I'm always searching for something.
And, you know, the problem is, you know, whether it's Amazon or Walmart or what have you, the search experience sometimes is hard on the site.
So, interesting enough, these chat experiences first are fantastic, right?
And the fact that they point back to the catalog.
I mean, the catalog is still king.
Yes.
And but now if I can marry the checkout and the catalog, and that, to me, is where I think the seamlessness.
Well, Ann, do you have any experiences?
I've my own versions of this.
I'm curious if you've had experiences where for product research, using an AI app is so much better than keyword-based search.
It's amazing that up to last year, we thought keyword-based search was an acceptable way to hunt for anything.
Yeah, that is, and the bottom line is it's kind of like it is creating a custom catalog for you, right?
I mean, the response is not like a SERP, right?
We were buying furniture in our house, and we were just saying, oh, yeah, we have this much space available in this spot.
What do you think is a good piece that would look good in that spot that meets these dimensions and things like that?
But it's crazy that we weren't doing that previously, you know what I mean?
And so all this kind of customization, being able to give vibes, general aesthetics.
I'm looking for like something slightly higher end, but not super fancy.
you know, it's crazy that you weren't able to...
By the way, that's just the other crazy, crazy thing.
I know my wife was an architect.
And so she sort of has this, you know, co-pilot notebook
in which she has all these architectural pictures and so on.
And you can ask it quite high-level reasoning questions
on what I should put in there.
Yes, yes.
So it's able to take an architectural sketch or drawing
and then take a public catalog or furniture
and put those things together and reason about it.
And that type of stuff is.
pretty magical. Like, our view on this, we are, as you know, really AI-pilled when it comes to
commerce at Stripe, and we think a huge amount will move here, and all the merchant conversations
we're having our bearing that out. And the way I think about it is that if you are doing open-ended
discovery, oh, I'm interested in an outfit to buy for this occasion, I don't know exactly what I
want, AI will be so much better at helping you with that than the current experiences where, you know,
you're clicking through a list of search results or something like that.
And then if you're doing targeted search,
where I'm looking for a specific object that meets these needs,
I want this component for my bike,
then also being able to specify with AI,
the exact parameters of the search you have will be much better.
You're like, wait, if you're taking all of the undirected discovery,
and if you're also taking all of the highly directed search,
isn't that just like all commerce that happens on the internet?
I think the only thing that's left that's out of that is like recurring staple,
I need to order more pet food.
That feels to me like the least affected.
Though, of course, you have to discover the brand of pet food at some point originally.
But, yeah, that's kind of how we're thinking about it.
And, again, the Etsy has been an awesome first partner because all the products are custom, right?
There's no...
Yeah, that makes a ton of sense to me.
I mean, the discovery part, which obviously people like Instagram and others have done a great job.
So the question is, what's the discovery layer?
We have like, that's one of the, you know, obviously personalized discovery layer, inspiration for product, you know, what Pinterest is done is interesting.
So some layer like that is married with this conversational interface.
Well, and, of course, it'll be a rising tide that lifts all boats where part of what we're doing with this is making merchants product catalogs remotely discoverable and inventory and everything like that.
and then remotely purchasable,
where you don't necessarily have to go
through the whole flow on their side
and everything like that.
You can just do it inside the Magic Wand
co-pilot experience.
And so that is at like the raw nuts and bolts level
what we are doing and what we're wiring up.
I think then what's exciting is that, again,
Pinterest played with commerce
quite a few years back, maybe 10 years back.
It hasn't taken off as a huge thing.
But now if you have all the merchants
who are offering their product catalogs
as part of this protocol,
then social sites,
like, you know, Pinterest and Instagram and Twitter,
get another run at this kind of commerce experience
because you've way more merchant support and adoption
for us than you have the first time around.
Yeah.
Now, and we have a project called the NL Web,
and the idea is that, which is to really take every catalog
of every merchant and give it like essentially a website,
an NL web interface, that then an agent can talk to
to be able to interrogate and get the deep search, so to speak.
Yes, yes.
Because today, in some sense, one of the biggest challenges is the quality of the catalog
and the ability to use reasoning to do a deep search.
And if you can solve that, then to your point, every product will find its query.
Yes.
So we're building out this platform in agenetic commerce where we have some open source
protocols like our agenda commerce protocol.
We obviously have the regular Stripe products.
You know, people are using us for, you know, and this, it's particularly kind of tricky
from a payments point of view, because you're looking to have an AI app do payments on behalf
of other people across all these different sites on the web without probably sharing all your
payment details, like all across the web.
This is interesting payment things that we're doing.
Anyway, we're looking to build a platform business in agentic commerce.
You guys seem to know a thing or two.
What advice would you have for us as we build in this very nascent space, but when they clearly
is product market fit?
I mean, I think, I mean, you have done that, right?
which is one of the things that I would think is,
what does it mean to participate in this agentic workflow, right?
For every merchant, right?
So every merchant now will have to sort of come to someone like Stripe
and say, hey, I have a catalog, I have a checkout.
Please get me to meet agents in the most friction-free way.
And that done tastefully is why I would think I'd hire Stripe for.
And I think the merchant onboarding,
because I'm assuming the long,
tale of merchants being able to click and say, hey, enable me for agentic commerce is going to be
the thing that's going to drive, because the good news here is there is going to be multiple.
I mean, obviously, chat GPT is the big one, but there's going to be.
I mean, Google's going to be there, we're going to be there, meta will be there, perplexity.
There's going to be a lot of competition.
Yes.
There's going to be a lot of front doors as aggregators.
But the more interesting thing is they themselves will, on their website or on their mobile app,
will want to support natural language queries.
And so all of that being enabled for,
or my own agents will go interrogate those things.
So I think that that's the key thing to be challenged,
you know, I would rather really solve well.
Yes.
Because going to a small merchant and saying,
hey, you go stand up an MCP server,
do this protocol, that protocol.
What's the easy button?
I think the other thing that we're going to see is,
you're probably seeing this already,
emerging of a bunch of the agentic experiences.
So we're talking about agentic commerce here.
We had DEST trainer from Intercom.
They're now doing customer service AI mediated and just like replacing humans doing customer service with AI.
But what they're seeing, obviously, is a huge amount of induced demand where people initially come for the help desk type queries.
And then it's like, wow, this is honestly a much better way to navigate the website.
And it's almost like a command line for, you know, it can't quite take as much actions now as it will be able to.
But I also wonder how much all these experiences merge where, like, we're in the buying.
stuff over here that is growing and expanding and, you know, maybe there's some discovery and
things like that. They're doing the customer service stuff over there. It's universal. Yeah.
And just when does it become a command blind application? Again, my example of this is I find
the fashion space interesting where how incredibly poor the tech is with a lot of websites out there
where people are trying to do this very aesthetic vibe space. I'm looking for something like
the app, but like a little more fancy, you know, whatever. And it's all keyword-based search and
manual tagging and things like that. And things like that feel to me perfectly set up for having an
interactive AI-based experience where, again, like your mid-jury prompts, you're like, no, the
image wasn't quite right, changing this way. Just doing that with commerce, I think it would be really
makes sense. And I also, I mean, intuitively, like, I mean, all of us are inside sales is also,
or other, customer service is also inside sales. Exactly. Yeah, yeah. And so intuitively that makes sense
And definitely in the agentic world, you can stitch these things together so that the seams are not like to what they are today.
Maybe what we're describing is a bunch of swim lanes have been established by random accidents of software and org charts and everything like that.
You do customer service.
When people come with a query is of a non-commercial nature, you are an SDR, you do whatever.
And all those distinctions are probably going to get.
Right away, yeah, yeah.
We're talking about kind of the AI apps that people use and copilot and chat GPT and
Gemini and all these kind of things.
There's a debate about how much model quality matters.
And is it the case that people pick a brand and, you know, they've been drinking, you know, Coke for the longest time?
And even if Coke's a bad example because it was a revolt about the change in the formula.
But, you know, even if they change the formula, you know, people, they still have a preferred brand.
You know, I use 03.
My wife uses GPT5.
I'm always horrified because I'm like, you know, you deserve more intense.
intelligence than that. And, you know, you take O3 from a cold-dead hands. Where do you stand on the debate of, do people have loyalty to it? And there was also the revolt when they tried to take away 4-0 was it? And people were really attached to that model. Do people have loyalty to a model or do they have loyalty to an AI brand? And how does this affect your business strategy? I think that in the consumer products, this was the first time we saw that, right? When you changed models, they're not sort of uniform changes. And they,
impact people differently, right? And personality is one such thing, or style, or what have you.
And so it just sort of is a new dimension. So in other words, it's also an argument that, oh,
wow, this is a new dimension of perhaps differentiation, right? People will, you know, it's sort of,
there's the IQ side of it. There's the EQ side of it. And then there is all these style points.
and maybe that's kind of one of the things that people will steer things towards.
But long term, for me, I think you have to kind of make sure that the models are most capable for the hardest high value tasks.
And then you continuously optimize after you have access to that for what the task had had this.
So as a product builder for us, my thing is you have the model drop, which is the most capable.
but then what's in production is multiple models.
And my favorite new thing in GitHub, for example, is auto,
which is I want to keep, you know, people still love sonnet,
whatever, they want to use it.
But at the end of the day, I really want the model picker.
And it just can't be a dumb model router.
Yes, yes.
It has to basically have the intelligence to know that this task deserves this kind of
cogs or this type of intelligence, and this is my complexity of my repo or my PR task.
That ultimately is where, you know, the future of agents would be, right?
And so therefore, you want the model, in fact, you want an ensemble of models that then,
you know, you have agents intermediating that ensemble so that it meets your needs.
Yes.
And then you'll have preferences.
Will everyone's preference not just be for more intelligence?
Like, I'll go into the picker and manually select O3 for, like, where should I go get ice cream query?
Like, I always thought the most habit, don't you think?
But that is, you know.
But it's also an important considered decision.
But it is true.
I mean, it's very hard for any of us to take our, that's why defaults matter and we love our defaults.
We don't love the cheese to be moved.
You know, even the model selection stuff, you know, it's kind of like, wow, if you now took away the model selection.
You know, it's a problem, and so therefore, you have to be careful.
But I do think in the long run, if I can trust, that's another one, right,
which is if I can trust something to always do something for me
while it's making a selection that somehow is delightful,
then that's when I'll hand off.
Okay, and so you think that's what you need to get to,
is me trusting that you'll pick an appropriate model for security.
Yeah, yeah.
And then, I mean, my mental model of Microsoft is that you just play at every,
part of the stack in that there is the, you know, you have co-pilot, you have your stake in open
AI, you have, well, we can get to vertical applications in AI, you have the Azure layer,
you have chips, everything I'm leaving out a whole bunch of stuff. Are some more important
to you than others? What is the must win? Will you do verticals? Yeah, I mean, at some level
at the core, at the core, the way I kind of conceptualize it is our infrastructure business,
we have to be fantastic at building what I'll call the token factory, right? This is the
tokens per dollar per watt, really being super efficient in that. Then I'll say we have another layer
of it, which is the agent factory. And the difference between the token factory and the agent factory
is use the tokens most efficiently to drive a business outcome or a consumer preference outcome,
right, which is that's a value per token or something. Yeah, the value per token. And as evaled by
sort of the specific domain that people care about. And that is, to your point, it has
tooling around it, it has a whole host of it's kind of the new app tier or the app server, right?
Every new platform has always had.
There was the web and there was a web server.
This is the AI server in some sense or the AI cloud.
Then we will definitely want to build our own, I'll call it systems of intelligence or AI systems,
that is the family of co-pilot, whether it's for information work.
That's kind of what we've done.
For coding or software development, that's the GitHub co-pilot, our security is in another domain
where we are absolutely going to be a primary.
Those will be the three horizontal.
We will also have business applications.
The other one that is, we're doing a lot in health and science.
So in health, we had bought nuance,
and now we have something called Dax Co-Pilot.
And this is the note-taking diorization for physicians, right?
So the ability to be able to have a doctor spend more time with their patients
and then the AI do everything else in terms of everything from
to taking the notes.
So that's one place.
We have a great close partnership with Epic.
It's embedded part of Epic.
So that's kind of what we're doing in health.
And then we're also doing stuff in co-pilot for consumer health
that sort of docks to it.
But the other one is a science.
And the science, it turns out, it's a big domain for what I'll call the outer loop orchestration,
right, which is the scientific method in some sense requires you to create a
the hypothesis, then run these multiple experiments in silico, come back, refine, and so on.
So that, to me, is another tool chain.
It's kind of like we're trying to discover some combination of the GitHub copilot meets
Microsoft 365 COPA, knowledge work, if you will, for the scientist, where they have
the authoritative sources of knowledge.
they have even the interfaces.
Tools used could even be,
the MCP server for the Wet Lab, so to speak.
Can I interface with it?
And then how do you orchestrate all of this
such that the scientific loop can go faster?
As a platform company,
you always have decisions around
when should you try and bundle products together,
when should you try and staple them
and mandate they be used together,
and when should you not?
And I think the classic example,
for some reason that everyone talks about,
despite it being quite minor,
is the fact that Apple originally only let's use an iPod with a Mac
and tried to use it to drive Mac sales,
and then gave up and shipped iTunes for Windows.
And my understanding reading the Apple China book
is it was like a totally random decision
that someone just made it one day,
but it's often held up as one of these examples.
Obviously, Microsoft, the entire history is full of these interesting examples.
I don't think people realize how open,
Microsoft was in the early days where in 1985, most of Microsoft's revenue was from Macintosh
applications.
And then for the Microsoft operating systems, most of the applications were third party,
you know, like Lotus 1, 2, 3 and things like this.
And so it was like a fully open strategy.
And then you had the Windows era of the tight coupling between Office and Windows and those
kind of mutually reinforcing each other.
then early on I get the sense
Azure and Cloud was
oh it's a place you can run your SQL server
and then fully embracing Linux later on
and things like that.
I'm curious just to
because again we think about this as a platform company
and we've been of late embracing
much more modularity where Stripe Radar
you can use it even if you're not using Stripe for payments
and things like that.
How do you in general think about your framework
for when products should be coupled
versus when you sell them independently?
Great point.
And then I've AI-specific versions by question.
By the way, a reason about this, I think we overstate many times how many of these battles
are quote-unquote zero sum.
So at some level, one of the pieces of analysis that I think that you want to be sharp
at is what are by definition going to be multiplayer?
Like cloud is a classic example, right?
Which is, I remember even back in the day when I got started, obviously Azure got started
much later than AWS.
People would tell me, oh, God, isn't AWS?
so far ahead, whereas is there a room for a second cloud?
And having competed against Oracle and IBM on all the middle tier servers and so on,
I felt like, no, this enterprise customer and commercial customers by and large are going
to demand sort of multiple.
And so that was the structural understanding that drove us to even just be at it, and the rest
is history.
So a little bit of, to me, if you over-package things, you might, in fact,
sort of reduce your tab and not compete.
For example, if we built Azure,
in fact, Azure's called Windows Azure.
Oh, well, that's a problem because Azure makes no sense
just for Windows.
It's sort of got to support Linux as first class.
It's got to support MySQL and Postgres as first class.
And so that's what sort of allowed us to make sure
that you actually have to do a great job with SQL server.
But you've got to do as bang of a job as, like,
or you know, Amazon would do with Postgres or my SQL.
And so it was driven primarily by, hey, that's the TAM.
That's what customers expect us.
And we're going to have tough competition.
But so to me, that's kind of how I define my modularity.
Yes.
Right.
What's the thing that maximizes my stack's market opportunity?
Then, yes, we are a firm.
And the reason we're not a conglomerate.
And so therefore, there should be a theory of some integration benefits.
and platform effects.
And so therefore, what is that and how do we do a great job of it?
But each layer of the stack, even in, let's say in Azure, the token factory,
somebody should be able to come and say, I just want to use Azure for its bare metal
services.
I just need Kubernetes, you know, cluster all over, but I just need you to do the management part
and I'll bring all my software.
No problem, we've got to win that workload.
Maybe then after that we'll at least have a shot someday when it becomes a real pain
to manage sort of your multi-relead.
database on your own, then you'll say, oh, let me just use Cosmos.
But it's a separate decision.
But isn't there always a debate between if we have Linux on Azure, we'll sell more Azure,
but in the Windows people say, yeah, but you're hamstring Windows server.
And there are some places, like you're describing, where Microsoft's open,
there are other places.
Microsoft Flight Simulator is not available on the PlayStation.
It's available on the Xbox.
And that makes sense.
You know, it feels kind of natural to be integrated that way.
I don't know this might be a bit of a stretch, but, you know, teams chat and teams video are not sold separately.
They're just part of one thing, and that makes sense.
It makes the bundle more compelling.
And so don't you always end up in these debates as to does the bundling cost outweigh the bundling benefits?
Yeah, I think some of those, like, for example, Teams thing is a classic order, which is teams was born as a product that brought those four things.
Like Outlook, right?
Outlook was brought, you know, there was a PIM before.
There was an email client and a calendaring was separate.
And Outlook was the first scaffolding that said, hey, we bring these three things to get a job done, right?
So that was, and same thing with teams, right?
We brought chat and channels and video and what have you into one.
So the bundling was the product to some degree, right?
That was the product scaffolding.
And so then, of course, you can then say, hey, that needs to have an open marketplace
and it needs to integrate with other things or what have you.
So the modularity has to be thought through in ways that makes sense.
at the atomic level, then you don't want to over think about the synergies or sort of integration
effects and you're not competitive, right? A classic thing would be if we built an unbelievable
public cloud, except it only ran Windows workloads or SQL workloads, that would be
essentially a very small sliver of the market. So it was in our sort of interest and definitely
in the interest of the meeting the customer needs. And so being able to sort of really click in the
AI stack, that's kind of how I look at it, right?
We have an infra business, we have an app server business, and we have an apps business.
It's just simplifying.
I want those three things to stand for their own merits.
We ourselves, of course, want to have the feedback loop across these three layers, but customers
and partners will choose which door they enter through.
This impression I have is that when you took over Microsoft, you shifted the culture from a
highly bundled, you'll buy your Windows machines, and they're running Microsoft Access,
and, you know, they're a SQL server and everything is like neatly packaged together in
this Microsoft life to moving towards more of an open and interoperable strategy.
I think that the way I would say is my thing was to go back even to the Microsoft of the 80s,
perhaps, right? Because most of what happened was really in the 90s, there was Microsoft
and there was pretty much nothing else.
And so there was sort of a lot more of our things coming together, whether it is on the client or on the server.
The 80s, to your point, right, you know, we built Office on the Mac.
Windows came later.
In fact, the concept that Bill had when he started Microsoft was it's a software factory.
I'm not in love with any one category.
I'm just going to build the best software factory, and it's going to churn out whatever problem.
Flight sim, flight sim.
You want, you know, a basic interpreter, no problem.
We have one.
You want an operating system?
We have one too.
So in some sense, that was the idea.
And at one point, we got into a lock between four or five parts of that,
that became the Windows and Windows NT and client server and what have you.
And so I sort of realized that when, you know, I became CEO and even when I was running
our cloud business, that, hey, this is a time where, you know, the market's going to be
a lot bigger and a lot different.
And we didn't.
Like, we didn't have the mobile platform at that time.
And so, therefore, we really needed to make sure we,
would stay relevant in the largest markets that we could address by bringing our products
together in configurations that made sense.
So there's actually a lot more, less dog, there was not that much dog.
In fact, I would say, you know, if it was not in the core DNA of the company, I don't
think just because I showed up as a CEO and I said, I want to do this, we would have
executed well.
It was in the core DNA of the company that we can, in fact, take our software to every
platform.
Yes.
of the company, this is the famous cartoon of Microsoft with all the guns pointing at each other.
How much cultural tweaking did you have to do? And how do you actually do that when you get down
to brass tax? Because you can say all the nice things, the all hands and things like that.
But ultimately, culture comes down to what you will and won't tolerate and how decisions are made
and things like that. Yeah, I would say there are two things that I learned from an entire episode,
because I always say, look, I'm a consummate insider, right?
Anything good and bad about Microsoft of the last 35 years?
I lived through them all, and I'm part of it, right?
So I can't deny any of it.
The thing that I felt was a little bit of that was just we lost our own belief
because we lost the narrative.
That cartoon is a great example of someone else defining what became the cultural narrative
more so than reality.
Yes.
Right? So I...
People started to identify with the cartoon.
That's right.
I mean, that's kind of one of the...
I think that one of the fundamental issues of today's social media and the zeitgeist
is you can absolutely lose narrative.
It's reflexive.
Yeah, it's completely reflexive.
And it's so...
Like, so one of the interesting things is, of course, all of these things have signal, right?
So this doesn't mean, oh, wow, we were all perfect divisions and we were all sort of, you know,
in great harmony.
That is not the case.
But, you know, in some sense, some of these divisional tensions are real issues that need
to have tension, right? You can't have. Like, this is not a, but social cohesion is not a goal.
Winning in the marketplace is a goal. But at some level, you have to orchestrate these
large organizations. In fact, you may even have two competing teams by design. And just because
somebody sort of said, hey, I'm going to read the New Yorker and there's going to be a cartoon,
that's a, that's the type of stuff that I think leaders and how to communicate in today's world,
where your employees read about you outside and form opinions about you
is one of the toughest leadership challenges, I think,
which is how do you earn the trust,
how do you really make sure that they can, in fact, feel the reality,
shape the reality?
Like the other thing is, everybody thinks it's the system.
It's that guy at the top or, you know, my VP,
and they have all the power and I have none.
The reality is power is a lot more diffused and distributed.
And so, therefore, how do you really help people especially get hold of that and reshape, right?
Culture, like, you know, one of the other famous things people say is, hey, I never leave companies.
I leave managers.
And, you know, I believe that, right?
And so it's kind of microcultures.
And they can be shaped.
In fact, when I look back at my Microsoft career, I was lucky to fall into these people.
people who created these unbelievable environments in the company, right?
And that's kind of why I stayed and that's how I thrive.
Yes.
And so to some degree, you know, I feel that the more culture you need at the top,
a narrative, then you have to live and be consistent, right?
So that's where this growth mindset or learn it all versus know it all has been super
helpful for us as just a frame because nobody thinks of it as my dogma, right?
Thank God it's sort of not, you know, it's a well-none.
understood child psychology thing that appeals to people outside of work.
And so cracking something like that and then living it, but also somehow I would say the
challenge for all of us in today's world is let the social media memes not define us.
What's that inner strength that is there in an organization that can in fact resist the social
meme?
That I think is the key.
How many people have five thousand?
I think around 200,000.
Okay, so rough numbers, you know, Microsoft is 200,000 people, Stripe is 10,000 people.
Maybe there's someone who's listening to this, who runs a company that's 500 people or something like that.
A lot of the things that we do are probably fairly scale independent, where you're trying to make sure that you're talking to customers, you're holding leadership off-site, we're looking at the numbers for 26, we want the revenues to be a bit higher and the cost to be a bit lower.
You know, there's a lot of activities in companies that are kind of the same, regardless of the, the, um, this.
size. That said, there's also probably things that only show up at the, you know, 200,000-person,
you know, city-state size. That, you know, I wouldn't be aware of the 10,000 person size.
What effects only show up when you're that big?
There are two things I would say, quite honestly, having only worked at Microsoft, it's not that I'm
like an expert. But the one thing I would say, taking over for a founder,
Steve and Bill built a company.
I mean, Pauline Bill started, and Steve and Bill scaled it.
And I was sort of the first, quote-unquote, non-founder person.
The thing I realized quickly, or in fact, I got into the job and I realized that I need a team.
And just to have the ability to manage the scope.
But then, you know, that A.G. Laffley thing that we put.
out there, which I think is a great one.
Being clear about what does the CEO clearly need to do, though, in that, right?
Which businesses are you in?
Which businesses are you out?
Synthesizing the outside, having the standards, setting the standards for culture.
And then the ability, to your point, about having that performance culture, that you
can't say, hey, I'm only about the long term or I'm all over the short term.
You've got to deliver both.
Getting a real grip of the four or five things that only, you're only, you're not.
you can do and then building the team, building the team.
You'd say even at a 500 person, that's what do you do.
But quite frankly, you can keep in your working memory, right?
Growing up as a developer, right, there was a set of things everybody would talk about.
How many lines of code do you know, right?
Personally.
At some point, you sort of say, oh, that's the person who knows that module or that library.
That becomes more.
Like, and everybody starts where they know every line of code.
Yes.
At some level, then you have to get to the person who knows.
knows, oh, I know the person who wrote that. And I think that that modularity and team building
and the cohesiveness is, I think, they must have. Am I understanding you correctly that maybe
at stripe scale or at a smaller scale, you can still reason about the product to the product
and know everything that you're shipping and everything like that. But I also think founders are
unique in that sense. Because the founders are, you know, that's kind of what is singular
about them. Because they've grown up with it from day one.
See, it's kind of hard to take the working memory of a founder and say, oh, let me take it and imprint it on sort of a professional CEO.
Yes.
It just doesn't work because even for me, I joined company in 92.
I was not there in the early 80s, right?
You know, and so to some degree, it was a continuous scale.
that only the quote-unquote the founder CEO or the founders see it.
And so that's why I think having respect for what founders can do uniquely,
and founders having respect for whoever comes next,
that they can't be like doing exactly the same thing that they did.
So that's why I think this founder-mode thing is interesting,
which is clearly there is, you know, the culture personality of a founder is unbelievable, right?
And you use it, maximize it.
then mayor-model CEOs like us have to sort of also be, you know, you can sort of be in the
re-founder mode, but don't think you're a founder.
And that nuance, I think, is an important one.
Last question, we're running up against time as we talk about cultures in building them.
What's going on the water in Hyderabad where, you know, the school that you went to, also Shantanoo went there.
AJ Banga went there, a bunch of good chess players are similarly from there and southern India more broadly and things like that.
But do you have any theory on the local outperforms?
Yeah, the high school we went to, in fact, until I would say Nvidia and Jensen, because Jensen has hidden outcovered for all of us.
between me and Ajay and Shantanu.
In fact, the CEO of Proctrin Gamble
today is also from my high school.
See, it's a cabal.
It's kind of a cabal.
I would say one of the fascinating things
growing up in Hyderabad and going to that school
in the middle of nowhere at that time
in the late 70s, in the early 80s,
I would say, I think it gave us a lot more space.
If you look at each of us, right, academics was a thing,
but quite frankly, we mostly, all of us,
had things which were, we excelled at a lot of other things beyond academics, in fact.
That was a pretty rare thing at that time in that country.
And so I attribute it a lot to my high school because I feel that it is a place where
it gave us a lot more space and room to follow what really became your passion, but you
were able to take your time to discover it versus sort of feeling that it.
I had to join some kind of a race.
It wasn't those tracked.
That's right.
What was your passion in high school?
Cricket.
In fact, this, by the way, the Samuel Beckett.
Yeah, so I want to know this story.
Sure.
You know, if you asked the question, who is the one sports person who played actually professionally,
I guess he played one or two matches for the, I guess, the Dublin University, and he played
first-class cricket.
And so he's the only person who played professional cricket and won a Nobel Prize.
Really?
That's really funny.
So you can't have it all.
There you go.
The chess boxing of its day or something, you know.
A Nobel Prize winning professional cricketer.
That's awesome.
Well, you, you know, you came close, but another life, you know, that could have been you.
Thank you so much.
Thanks, Satya.
It's such a pleasure.
