Cheeky Pint - The economics and trends of the restaurant industry, with Tony Xu of DoorDash

Episode Date: April 21, 2026

Tony Xu, cofounder and CEO of DoorDash, joins John for a pint to discuss how they won a crowded market by obsessing over retention and the reality of fighting fraud in the physical world. The...y cover the harsh economics of the restaurant industry, why DoorDash succeeded where Google failed, and the harrowing story of spending 40% of their remaining cash on refunds to save the company’s reputation. Tony introduces Dot, their new autonomous delivery robot, and explains why true autonomy requires solving for the “last two feet” of delivery. Finally, he shares lessons from the early days, including why customer obsession sometimes means baking cookies.Timestamps(00:00:25) Why did DoorDash win?(00:10:50) China(00:17:10) Restaurant trends(00:27:59) Loyalty(00:30:40) Stripe Issuing(00:44:09) Delivery modalities(00:51:11) Fraud(00:58:32) New products(01:13:26) Dot

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:01 Tony Shoe is the co-founder and CEO of on-demand delivery giant DoorDash. He's grown the business from a Stanford side project into America's dominant food delivery platform and is now pushing into everything from grocery to retail to autonomous vehicles and financial products for gig workers. Great, great. Cheers.
Starting point is 00:00:16 Cheers. Cheers. Cheers. As I think back to that era where you guys got started, what year was DoorDash founded? 2013. Okay. Yeah, as I think back to 2013 in those early days,
Starting point is 00:00:28 the iPhone, And the apps that were made possible by the iPhone was kind of the defining tech trend of the era. You know, Uber and Lyft and ride sharing, Instacart, you guys, all of the kind of magic wand apps that made your iPhone useful for bringing things to you and kind of manipulating the wider world. And loads of people were going after food delivery and way more than are around now. As you look back on that journey from, again, it was really kicked off by the iPhone, in my opinion. not that wasn't food delivery before the iPhone, but that really massively increased the market size. As you think about from then to today,
Starting point is 00:01:09 why did you guys win? Well, the short answer is we got more customers than other people. Sure. But let's have five ways here. Yeah, I mean, I think these are very tough things to study because many things are happening in the same moment. But I'll just talk about it, you know, from the perspective of things that I think we got right.
Starting point is 00:01:29 when you think about, you know, something like restaurant delivery, you actually get judged on multiple dimensions as a service. We get judged on what restaurants we bring you, certainly, whether it showed up on time and the quality and condition you expect, how much did it cost, if we screwed up, what did we do about it? It's not one thing that you have to be good at, actually. It's all of the above. Unfortunately or fortunately, this is literally the game that we're playing where customers are judging us in all of these dimensions. I think getting that right better than anyone else as measured by whether or not people were coming back to the app and using us, using us even when we had no money to market to them or discount offers to them, things
Starting point is 00:02:14 like that, I think was the tell. Are you saying it was a very complex, multivarius, you know, challenge even from early on. And you guys just embraced that complexity and said, okay, this is going to be super complex to get right, whereas maybe others took a bit more simplicity. I think if I were to become overly reductionist and purely looked at it. That's what I like to do. From the product perspective, yes, because at the end of the day, any consumer product is judged very simply by its retention and its usage. That's how you know whether you have a differentiated product.
Starting point is 00:02:48 And it's very easy to have differences in opinion about whose app do you like more or whether or not certain apps look similar or different. At the end of the day, though, if our app is performing at a higher retention, much higher retention and frequency of use than others, that's how we know whether or not the things that we say actually are making a difference to customers. And so getting, I think, all of that right very, very early, and then building the systems to actually instrument that as well as to repeat that over and again, I think was very, very important in the development of the company.
Starting point is 00:03:24 Do you think you guys were more focused on retention than others? I don't know if we're more focused. I mean, I could tell you, though, you know, one of the things that was happening, especially when you see a competitive fight is you see everybody race towards it, right? Everybody is going to try to make offers, you know, to customers, try to give discounts, try to give coupons, you know, free this, free that. One of the things that we had looking backwards is we actually did not have a large budget. In fact, you know, between 2016, 17 and 18, we barely were able to raise it up.
Starting point is 00:03:54 relative to our peers. As a result of that, that made it a constraint. One of the constraints is, okay, you can grow, but you cannot spend in order to do it. So in order to do that, you effectively have to actually come up with ideas in the product to actually stand out and make a difference and have organic growth, you know, carry you. And then once we were able to, you know, demonstrate to ourselves first that we had a product with higher retention, you know, than other people in higher frequency, and then we were able to raise capital, then we actually made the decision to pedal to the metal and actually go and acquire customers because we had an unfair advantage.
Starting point is 00:04:33 Were you more customer obsessed than others? I think it's very difficult, you know, to measure us against, you know, other people because, you know, I didn't really work at those companies. But again, I really just, you know, look at the early DoorDash crew and what were the things that we did that were very, you know, useful. We all did deliveries. We all did customer support. We all made menus.
Starting point is 00:04:55 We all sold restaurants. We all customer service restaurants. We all worked inside restaurants. And I think, you know, at the end of the day, I think the term customer obsession can be fairly generic and vague and applied. And it really just goes to show, like, well, what actions actually demonstrate that? You know, for us, some of the ones that came to mind, and frankly, the story that actually inspired the value in the first place was when our backs were against the
Starting point is 00:05:21 wall and we had, I think, less than two weeks of cash runway. And we had a terrible night where every single order was late. This was a Stanford football game in 2013 and I had trouble raising the seat round. We made the decision to refund everyone. That cost us over 40% of the bank account. So when you have two weeks of runway, 40% of the bank. Did you issue a refund that was 40% of your funds? Yeah, maybe a little over that.
Starting point is 00:05:47 And we baked everyone cookies and delivered them at 5-8. before everybody woke up, look, this was like maybe 100-ish customers or something like this. But I think it demonstrates that this was a real value. And it's actually my test, really, which is, like, what are the actions that are naturally occurring? Where are the behaviors that are actually occurring inside of an organization? And then how do you actually articulate it versus, you know, the inverse, which is you start with maybe some articulation and maybe some of the times it matches and other times it doesn't. And so I've always believed that, you know, these cultural norms or behaviors are really 80%
Starting point is 00:06:26 of what you've done. And I think that's the best way to actually, you know, find what they are for your company. And we're the only platform today to take care of dashers when there is, you know, these increasing gas prices and making sure that, you know, we have their back and that we're actually trying to help them save $1.40 to $1.90 per gallon for dashers. or in COVID, we were the only company to cut commissions by 50%. When we were not yet profitable as a company, that was an expense over $100 million. We then, on top of that, spent millions of dollars buying national TV campaigns to tell people to order, whether it's on us or our competitors,
Starting point is 00:07:03 because restaurants have on average 17 days of cash on hand. So you need to order. This is do or die for them. And so I can give you many of those examples where I think at the end of the day, whether the actions first speak and then you can articulate, you know, word, the actual words and norms and cultural behaviors that the company is trying to speak, that that's ultimately, I think, how I think about customer obsession. And if I try to draw what these values are, it seems to be a very clear-eyed focus on the best product experience. and taking care of dashers. I didn't realize you guys had a time when you had only two weeks of cash in the bank account.
Starting point is 00:07:47 We had several moments where we ran out of money. So we had, you know, that moment, obviously, in the fall of 2013, we had three very difficult years, 2016, 17, and 18, where we had two rounds of financing that were incredibly difficult for us, the series C and series D.
Starting point is 00:08:06 And COVID was interesting because, you know, COVID started actually, again, I think it's easy to forget these things because I think humans, we adjust very quickly. COVID, you know, the first week, actually, the business tanked 80%. It tanked massively because everything was shut down. And then, you know, the next week, you know, everything, all of the dining rooms were closed, but the kitchens were open.
Starting point is 00:08:31 And so, boom, we see this massive, you know, doubling of the business in a week. So it was a, there are a lot of these, I mean, you've seen this. at Strait, obviously, a lot, where you have these moments as an entrepreneur where you have very, very low lows. The highs don't feel as high as, you know, maybe they get, but that's what you get. Yeah. As I think about the funding rounds, you mentioned being hard, one of the investors I know who has consistently had the most steadfast belief about DoorDash as Michael Abramson, who was at Sequoia back in the day. Why was he so convicted?
Starting point is 00:09:13 Like, what was it? I think you're going to have to have him on the show. Okay, yeah, we will. To ask him, but I think Michael always had a fairly simplistic view of the company, where if, you know, three things worked, the business kind of works. It's actually reminded, when I met Michael, actually reminded me a lot of our journey in Wycombinator. Because I think in White Combinator, you know, I think we're just happy to be there. But a lot of people were really racing towards Demo Day where the objective function was to raise as much money at the highest possible valuation.
Starting point is 00:09:49 For us, actually, the objective function was answering three questions. It was, would consumers pay for this product, you know, pay a premium for delivery? Would merchants actually work with us and pay us commission? And would Dashers partner with us for a wage that we could afford? And I think Michael had a very similar set of very simple questions about the company. And I think so long as those dimensions looked right to him, he kept down investing. And then he said, you have to do the math and work out that the economics of this business do work. And they do.
Starting point is 00:10:20 Therefore, a more compelling product experience will win. Yeah, that he believed that if the unit economics were there, that we could secure enough dashers. And, you know, I think is, you know, a third comment was really that we can continue executing into the market opportunity that things will work out. Yes.
Starting point is 00:10:40 He turned out to be right. Yeah, yeah. Thinking more about this ecosystem, food delivery is very popular in the United States. It is even more popular in China. I feel like the experience of just being in a major Chinese city is one of seeing food delivery. You know, you go to a restaurant and there's, like,
Starting point is 00:10:57 mopeds, everywhere, whatever. You're on the roads and those, just like wild flocks of mobeds everywhere delivering food. You know, the apartment buildings and the office buildings have dedicated zones to streamline it. Yes, yes. Why is food delivery so much bigger in China than it is in the U.S.? Yeah, there are a few things. This is one where, you know, I'm always on the one hand so impressed by how far ahead sometimes behavior is in markets like China.
Starting point is 00:11:26 And then on the other hand, I have to remind myself, you know, that there are differences. and why you can't just, you know, clone, you know, some of these markets. Well, one of the first big differences is, you know, the eating out culture in China is very, very high and very, very affordable. Eating out in China is about as affordable as cooking, you know, at home. And as a result, nobody cooks. And as a result, nobody cooks, exactly. And there are a lot of reasons for this, but, and we can go super deep on retail history
Starting point is 00:11:57 and grocery history in China. But anyways, but that's a huge phenomenon. You know, I think second, you know, because of labor market dynamics, you know, both the availability as well as, you know, the cost of labor in the Chinese market, that's allowed, you know, a lot of these businesses to make this activity almost as affordable, you know, as if you were to pick up, you know, the orders yourself. I think third is that especially, it's not every city in China, but more and more, you know, the, you know, the The Chinese, you know, it started really with the eastern seaboard cities where the density just allowed a very easy delivery kind of set up almost like every city was like New York City. I think in America we think New York City is very special. It has millions of people.
Starting point is 00:12:45 In China, there are many dozens of cities over a million in population. And the population density is even perhaps higher than that of Manhattan. And now that's actually morph to the western cities too. It's not just the eastern seaboard cities. If you actually studied this over, you know, a time series, whether it's the 80s to the 90s and certainly to today, you know, because of how fast China is able to manufacture things, city plant things, deploy things. I mean, literally they can, you know, build a train station an entire day because they can do things like this, that the market potential has really expanded, even as people moved now from eastern seabor cities to other cities. So you're saying a big part of it is lower labor costs mean food delivery is quite inexpensive. Does that affect then?
Starting point is 00:13:35 Well, the cost of the food, I would start with that. It is a lot lower. Then you have lower labor costs. And you also have mass availability of labor. Yes. And then now you also have a rising incomes because of how fast cities are getting developed. It used to be that most of the income for consumer discretionary spent, if you studied as a percent of China's GDP,
Starting point is 00:13:59 was along the Eastern seaboard, say, take circa the early 2000s even, or even, you know, up to the 2010s. But if you've looked over the last 15, 20 years, that has now become a lot more uniformly distributed, kind of like the U.S., actually. Kind of like the U.S., whereas this is not true, you know, in other parts of the world.
Starting point is 00:14:17 Well, where I was going with this is, does that then predict the behavior of other markets where is there also a lot of food delivery in other markets where food is cheap and labor is cheap? and whether or not there are a lot of, you know, restaurants and, yeah, yeah, people who can afford delivery, sure, but also the production of food. Yes, yes. Right.
Starting point is 00:14:38 I think one of the things that I've always thought about is, you know, restaurants have two very special properties about them. And I do think that more and more they are almost going towards the ends of these two spectrum. Same thing with retail. And we can talk about that too. But restaurants, on one hand, I think are, you know, you know, centers of hospitality.
Starting point is 00:14:57 And it's incredible, like, the level of attention to service they have. And I think that will never get replaced, you know, by AI, that the human-to-human connection. On the other hand, where technology and autonomous technology can make a difference is actually, restaurants are almost like manufacturing production sites. Yes. There are a third space and a factory. Yes, yes. And so, and it's no different in retail.
Starting point is 00:15:20 You have showrooms and warehouses, right? And so I think in the case of back to your point around China, China has a lot of restaurants, you know, over 7 million restaurants, you know, versus what we have here in the U.S. at about a million restaurants in comparison, for example. And so, you know, and in China, you also have a very deeply capitalistic society in the sense that wherever there is opportunity, you're going to see lots of people go and fill that. It doesn't have to be a restaurant. It could be a kitchen. It could be coming up with different merchandising. If you're a restaurant, you can sell not just food. You can sell T-shirts and you can sell hats and you can sell, you know, cookbooks.
Starting point is 00:16:04 And I think there's a lot of that commercialism also in that industry in a way that is much more advanced than other countries. Yeah. Restaurants are very hard businesses and they're one of the most frequent, like they're one of the most common businesses that people start. and yet they're incredibly sophisticated, even at a small scale. Yes, and they are also incredibly sought after. In fact, if you looked at the census data in America now, and this is also true in China, but if you looked in America, in the last 60 years,
Starting point is 00:16:36 I think there's only a couple years where the number of restaurants in the current year didn't exceed that in the previous year. And even though they're such difficult businesses because of our love for food, for socializing, being with each other, and what a meal represents and how it can, you know, connect different people, it's, you know, continues to grow. In fact, it's the number one, you know, type of establishment that malls and, you know, a lot of shopping centers want the most of.
Starting point is 00:17:04 Talk to me about the trends in the restaurant industries these days. Like if I think about what people talk about, there's, you know, dark kitchens. So that was more a few years ago people talking about dark kitchens. There's the fact that high-end restaurants can't make any money these days because no one drinks. There's maybe the emergence of new fast kitchens. casual trends, but also some criticism of, you know, the slop balls and everything. But I don't know. That's just what people are, you're in it. So tell me what's actually going on in the restaurant industry. One of the most difficult things is how do you actually staff
Starting point is 00:17:33 your restaurant? This is the number one challenge. This has always been the number one challenge. And I think, you know, there's no easy ways around this, really. And I think because the cost of labor only goes in one direction and only goes up, restaurants are increasingly making this choice of on the continuum of service to manufacturing, where do I want to sit on that spectrum? I think that is one very big trend that more and more restaurants feel like they have to go towards the ends of the spectrum.
Starting point is 00:18:05 Whereas before... You have a local restaurant, thus, people were sitting and eating their dinner and also is fulfilling a few take-out orders, and you're saying that's becoming less common. Yes, because there's a lot more pressure in order to make sure that everyone, you know, deservedly gets paid what is required to actually, you know, work there, especially inside some of
Starting point is 00:18:22 these city centers. So I think that's a perennial trend. I think a second perennial trend, and this is why I think people love restaurants is there's, the innovation in restaurants is a little bit different than innovation in, you know, say, software, where the innovation restaurant is just like different types of cuisines and food. And so you're always going to see the next type of restaurant. And I think this is, you know, best shown in what I was saying earlier around the number of restaurants. The number of restaurants always gross. That's a perennial trend. That's something that is not changing, even though the types of maybe food is changing or what's hot, what's not, that's changing. What's not changing is, you know, the consumer's appetite for actually, you know,
Starting point is 00:19:04 these restaurants. I would say number three is restaurants are thinking about increasingly how to scale, you know, and this takes on different forms. So, you know, in the case of, you know, some of these large brands, you know, the big QSRs that you've heard of, which, you know, represents almost 50 cents on the dollar of restaurants spend in a place like the U.S., they're thinking about how do I take my economy on scale and just keep going, right? Because I have, you know, that as kind of a big advantage. But you also see, you know, smaller restaurants who are trying to figure out how do I open up location number two. And it's really difficult. It's actually really, really difficult in a lot of
Starting point is 00:19:52 cities, even for the most popular restaurants, the hottest chefs in town who you'd be shocked at how hard it is for them to, you know, raise the capital for location number two, or even get the permits to start construction on location number two. And so I think that's another perennial trend that you see happening in the restaurant ecosystem. So those are the ones that I kind of think a lot about, which are, what are the things that are not changing that are incredibly difficult that if you can solve these big rocks, you can unlock even more value. Now, I kind of like presented a lot of obstacles, but if you actually look at the totality of the data, you would see that the amounts spent on restaurants for eating out has increased over the last 75 years
Starting point is 00:20:43 every single year. It used to be that in the, you know, these are rough numbers, but in the, you know, the 1950s when the government was measuring this, we would spend in this country in America maybe 75 to 80 cents on the dollar on groceries versus restaurants. In present day, you know, those numbers are almost reversed where it's, you know, almost 60 cents on the dollar on takeout and 40 cents on grocery. And that number has only kind of gone in these proportions or this direction. So even though it is so difficult to make it as a single restaurateur, especially So when I think about the days of washing dishes in my mom's restaurant, the totality of the industry continues to remain very strong,
Starting point is 00:21:25 and they're moving in one direction. When you talk about permits, famously, a lot of cities do a bad job of, you know, make it harsh to open a restaurant. San Francisco people have a lot of complaints. And, you know, one of the innovations that you see these days in restaurant culture is the food truck gardens and food truck collections. And I always find those kind of bitter sweet. where often you have like really cool new concepts and stuff,
Starting point is 00:21:49 but we have societally lost the ability to allow people to open restaurants and therefore, you know, we're reduced to a collection of food trucks in a parking lot somewhere. Are permits getting better or worse? I think in general, kind of similar to building things, they've gotten largely worse on average, right? That doesn't mean there aren't cities who are green lighting and making it a lot easier.
Starting point is 00:22:11 In fact, if you look at some of the fastest growing cities in the country, they tend to also be the fastest growing cities for restaurants. Not a shock, right? It's probably not San Francisco. Or like Phoenix and Austin in these places doing a good job of permits? Yeah, like if you look at, you know, places in Arizona, like the tri-city area, Phoenix being one of them, you know, Scottsdale and the Tempe area there, you look at the tri-city area in Texas near Austin, or you look at, you know, what's happening in Dallas and the Dallas Plano area. There's these pockets in the, actually, in fact, if you look at the country, you know, a lot of this growth is happening in the south of the country. And that's been true for a couple of decades now.
Starting point is 00:22:55 And they tend to be correlated, meaning if it's easy for me to build apartment units and to build just construction in general, it tends to be a bit easier to also get the licenses to open up a restaurant. That's good. That's some bright spots amidst nationwide, maybe negative trend when it comes to permitting. Yeah, look, I think when you're in any business, certainly the restaurant industry or even our line of work out, you kind of have to be an optimist. You kind of have to see the silver lining on the way out of how to get there. But it's a slog. And I do think that one of the responsibilities we now have as a company, as we're a little bit bigger now, is to help on behalf, particularly of these small businesses, to represent them almost as a class. and actually try to even the plane field a bit
Starting point is 00:23:45 and make it a bit easier to actually be at a small business. What do you argue for on behalf of small businesses? Like when you talk to someone in Washington, what are you saying? Well, one of the first ones is actually making it easier to actually open up location number two. So permitting reform. Permitting reform is one of those things
Starting point is 00:24:05 that we certainly stand for. You know, making sure that, you know, labor laws are changed or when they are changed that they take into account the restaurants. You know, we're talking about like one of the largest sectors of job creation here that is always growing, by the way, every single year, which is a rarity. But a truism in every economy to take into account, you know, what the restaurateurs, you know, have to say. Those are some of the, you know, big topics. Again, I look at the things that aren't changing in terms of the different.
Starting point is 00:24:41 challenges of being a restaurateur and we try to fight on their behalf. Where has technology meaningfully changed how restaurants work? Like a very visible example to people might be in fast casual restaurants. They have managed to change the labor equation, it seems. You might know the actual number is because it's self-serve ordering and pick up at the counter and stuff like that. That's much more common than it was. And so you need fewer people for the same volume of,
Starting point is 00:25:11 orders or you can run much more scale, the same number of people. I'm guessing there's supply chain stuff, but it's less visible to us as people who visit restaurants, but you'd know. But just as you think about where tech has made the biggest impact versus 10 or 20 years ago with restaurants, what would be your top three list? Yeah, well, I mean, not to speak our book, but like, you know, one of the first things that comes to mind is actually something like delivery. Sure. Right. When you look at the economics for a restaurant, right, rough math, you know, for every dollar of food that if you and I bought inside of a restaurant, you know, from the cost structure, you're going to have 30% of that in the food and the packaging. You're going to have
Starting point is 00:25:48 30% of it in the rent. You're going to have 30% of it in the labor, something like that, rough math. And on that dollar, a restaurant can net 10 cents. On a takeaway order, you're still paying for the food and the packaging, but you're, you know, largely speaking, using the same labor and you're paying the same rent. And there are some exceptions where, you know, some restaurants have become delivery only and things like that. But by and large, on average, you're going to make, you know, three to five X the margin, you know, the incremental margin. I think number two, I think restaurants, you know, recognize that they need to build relationships that are with customers that are not just over the telephone or over, you know, in-person visits where they're relying on their memory. And so I think, but that area is still, I would say, somewhat incomplete, where there are products where you can manage your social media pages and maybe have a database of relationships that you recall.
Starting point is 00:26:52 The challenge, however, though, is you don't get to see everything. You don't get to see the full visibility of your online orders, your in-store orders. Another challenge is your staff turns over. You know, the average staff may turn over every other day. Yeah. You know, not every other week, every other day. And so I do think that there's still a long road ahead there and both making that product a lot more robust for restaurant tours
Starting point is 00:27:15 to be able to have those relationships. Because, you know, back to one of the things we talked about in this conversation about, you know, the importance of retention in a consumer business is so important for a restaurant to build the concept of a regular. Yes. Which is a retained customer, right? You and I, I know we travel a lot for work, And so we wouldn't always be great customers, you know, for a restaurant.
Starting point is 00:27:35 What's more important, actually, is if they knew that there was a regular, you know, that is actually coming, that may, you know, may, may be, it should be prioritized. And so those are the kinds of, you know, things that I think, hopefully we DoorDash can help and actually solve. Don't most restaurants do a bad job of recognizing regulars where you think about like the airlines as an industry. They've made it where it's highly irrational as a frequent traveler to travel not your preferred airline. Like they've really created a lot of lock in there. Whereas as I think about restaurants, there is like the supermass market, punch cards, you know, 10th coffee free stuff. And then there's the like really old school restaurant where the owner might greet you and, you know, might comp your dessert or something. But it's very sporadic and very dependent on the owner being there because, as you say, when, you know, the new,
Starting point is 00:28:30 waiter or waitress is there, they don't know you. But there's kind of nothing in between systematic, and it feels like some kind of way of rewarding regulars is missing. Yeah. Well, it's a hard problem. I mean, let me ask you. I mean, what has your favorite food to eat? Depends, but at the weekend, we went and we got good Taiwanese food. Okay. All right. But how often do you eat that? Once a month, once every two months? Once a month. Once every two months. That's the challenge, right? Even your favorite food is probably not something you're going to do every single day. When you're talking about an activity,
Starting point is 00:29:00 like eating, which is 20 to 25 times a week. It's not like coffee. Yeah, it's not like coffee. It's even different from travel where the product may be the same every single time. I think it is tough to create what you're describing, which is this program in which, you know, you'll be known as regular. But that I think is the opportunity that at least we're thinking about at Dordash. Because if you think about it, our product with now, you know, over 100 million plus annual customers, tens of millions of monthly customers,
Starting point is 00:29:32 they shop at various frequencies. And they're building relationships with all of these businesses sometimes many times a day, sometimes once every other month, sometimes once a year. And I think because there's 20 to 25 moments per week, I think that there is an opportunity in which we can create that. And now, you know, we recently acquired last year
Starting point is 00:29:54 a company called Seven Rooms that manages a lot of the in-store bookings of restaurants, particularly of higher-end restaurants, if we can democratize that and give that to everybody, and then also layer on the DoorDash dataset, and actually kind of tell you that John is a regular, and he tends to like the following things, and here's other things that he tends to do,
Starting point is 00:30:17 perhaps we can crack open that question. So you want to help restaurants take care of regulars? Yeah, because that is how you build a great consumer business. Yes, yes. Right? You need the retention. that is true for every restaurant, every consumer business. That's interesting. A core challenge for marketplaces like DoorDash
Starting point is 00:30:37 is streamlining courier operations, like letting their network of couriers and shoppers make specific purchases for customers. Think about it. You can't use a traditional corporate card here. You don't do the right permissions. You don't actually get to interface programmatically with the card in real time.
Starting point is 00:30:52 So, Stripe issuing is our answer to this problem. With Stripe issuing, you can use Stripe to create virtual or physical credit card. They can be single use, single vendor, programmatically controlled, whatever your use case needs. People are even these days giving their open claw a credit card so it can spend money on the internet. So if you need to create credit cards to manage spending in the real world, see what you can build with Stripe Issuing. We were talking a lot about ghost kitchens, I don't know, five or seven years ago. You don't really hear about them that much.
Starting point is 00:31:25 How big have ghost kitchens become? They're relatively small. People thought the model was kind of. going to take over, right? Yeah, look, the model sounds really reasonable and anything logical on faith value, where if you can, you know, on that spectrum of restaurants where you have, you know, high-end service on one end and hospitality only to perhaps delivery only
Starting point is 00:31:48 or more of a manufacturing concept on the other end, it seems reasonable that you can actually just borrow a small square footage of space, not incur a lot of, not just the fixed costs, but also the labor costs. of actually running your restaurant in quotes and then selling through a delivery platform or acquiring your own customers or doing something like both. It just turns out it's extraordinarily difficult,
Starting point is 00:32:12 however, unless you're a large brand or a house of brands, someone like DoorDash, to be able to attract enough customers to make that math work. So is another way of putting it this, it's hard for a Ghost Kitchen to be as efficient as a restaurant that is also churning out orders across both, you know, in restaurant and delivery, like it's just hard for them to compete on the economics?
Starting point is 00:32:43 Yeah, it's slightly different. So perhaps we can look at two types of examples. So you can have one type of example, which is perhaps, you know, my mom's Chinese restaurant. You know, it's an SMB where the name value outside of perhaps it's literally its locale isn't that well known, it's very difficult for that restaurant to acquire enough customers to make that math work because they still have to, remember I mentioned that staffing was the number one challenge that restaurants face. They still have to staff these kitchens. You know, that's one of the challenges. Now, you go all the way to the other side. So pretend you are a large QSR with a big brand
Starting point is 00:33:23 presence. You certainly can attract lots of customers. But you're going to have to think for yourself, well, what's my opportunity cost? My opportunity cost might be to open up another restaurant. Why not do that and take my economies of scale and actually apply it to more orders, in-store orders as well as to-go orders because I can do that with a restaurant, hard to do that with a delivery-only kitchen.
Starting point is 00:33:43 And so I think because of that, it's a tricky model, you know, to scale to every type of restaurant brand. Yeah. I think people maybe thought this big chains we're going to do it more, where you're right, like the billboard effect for an actual retail presence is hard to compete with where, like,
Starting point is 00:34:03 you get this very cheap customer acquisition from the fact that people know your name from the high street or maybe have been to you, and as a ghost kitchen, you know, you need to make up for that awareness gap. But if you're Chipotle, maybe people thought that the orders get fulfilled out of a dedicated Chipotle central factory, and then the retail space are separate.
Starting point is 00:34:24 But also, that hasn't really happened. that much. That happens occasionally, right? And it's because I think these are not decisions where we're accounting for all of the variables. You know, one variable we're not accounting for is, well, what else could I do with the space? You have to remember for, you know, for businesses like Chipotle, who tend to identify real estate in fairly expensive areas, there's high opportunity cost of what you do with that space. Yes, you're right. One, choice is to turn it into a kitchen or a delivery-only kitchen. And sometimes that happens. But there's also a massive opportunity to recoup the expense. And if you start introducing, for example, franchises,
Starting point is 00:35:09 for Chipotle is not really franchised, but if you look at other types of brands where it is franchise, you know, I think that the economics become even trickier. So there's the next best use kind of math. Which restaurants have actually invented something that's hard to copy? Well, I actually think any restaurant that's been around for, let's say, two plus decades probably has very interesting IP. And obviously, you know, some of this information is not public. So, you know, but you can imagine, you know, when you go into a McDonald's around the world, that French fry, you know, perhaps they don't sell the same exact items in every single store in every country, every city, but the French fry almost always tastes the same. That is an extraordinarily difficult feat.
Starting point is 00:35:54 to accomplish. There's a lot that goes behind the scenes, just like there's a lot that goes behind the scenes at DoorDash in terms of getting you, you know, one order on time to make that sentence true. And the same can be said about a lot of other businesses that have been around for very long periods of time. That's on the, you know, big brand, you know, QSR side where a lot of the innovation, if you will, is in the process innovation. And then also how do you run large groups of people, and have very high and consistent standards of service. Extremely difficult, extremely difficult. And that's the IP, I would argue, for a lot of these large brands.
Starting point is 00:36:35 Now, on the other side, there are small restaurants, you know, some of whom have been around for almost a century, actually. There aren't that many of them. But when you look at what makes them special, it tends to be the same things that actually makes startup special. Tends to be a small group of people that really believe in a certain, idea, some commitment towards some standard of excellence. It could be excellent towards the food, the service, or takeout. There are some takeout-only businesses that have been around for many
Starting point is 00:37:03 decades. And as a result, they have high retention, high usage, and they're very efficient. Can you speak about any specific examples of just the impressive IP that these chains have conducted over the years? Like, it could be the McDonald's French fry, how they actually make it taste consistent. I don't know the answer to that. Or, any other of your favorite restaurants? Yeah, well, one of the things that I'll never forget was I went through a hospitality training at Chick-fil-A. And I want to say it was 2017, maybe it was 2018.
Starting point is 00:37:41 And, you know, I don't remember everything on the checklist, but one of them that stands out is that the floors must be so clean that babies would lick them or could lick them. And the babies will lick them regardless of how team they? Is Chick-fil-A still the highest-grossing fast casual restaurant per square foot? I don't know, actually. Yeah, but it's definitely up there. People talk about it. Yeah, yeah, but it's definitely up there. Why is it so successful?
Starting point is 00:38:09 Well, it actually goes back to, I think, the standard ingredients of a great consumer business. It has a highly retentative following, which it spends very little money acquiring, and they come back often. And they're extremely efficient with all of the scale economies behind the scenes around equipment, which is quite custom, you know, to that company, to the service training, to how they treat their staff. I mean, one of the most impressive facts about that business is that, you know, many people actually that that I met with have spent over two, three decades of their careers at Chick-fil-A. And, you know, I think we find that to be a novelty, actually, here in Silicon Valley or in technology. I'm in the restaurant industry. And in the restaurant industry, one where we described all of the churn and the difficulty of staffing, Chick-fil-A has extremely high retention of staff.
Starting point is 00:39:09 And it has, you know, so many repeatable stories of where, you know, it gives somebody who comes from not a lot of means, frankly, to become the general manager of one of these stores and earns a really healthy living, pays their entire family through college and beyond. And I think it's, you know, many ways a lot of these restaurant stories, Chick-fellie being one of them, have a lot of the essence still of the American dream.
Starting point is 00:39:39 We're talking a lot about QSR chains here. And people often like to ask the question of, why is there not a Chipotle of, you know, my preferred cuisine? where it's slightly elevated versus like regular fast food, very good consistent quality, good execution. There is no chain that serves you really good Neapolitan, you know, thing crust pizza in whatever city you're in, or Indian food,
Starting point is 00:40:04 or again, pick your favorite cuisine. Why don't we have more chains delivering just a really good standard version of a cuisine? Have you ever cooked for a large group of people? or do you cook often? Yeah, we cook, but not for huge groups. Yeah, and one of the things I found is that as the number of people you have to cook for grows, the difficulty to keep the standard of service,
Starting point is 00:40:31 whether it's the taste, the temperature, the speed in which you receive the food, goes up exponentially. And that is what's so hard about exactly what you just said around keeping that quality control really high. It's maybe easy to build you the Chapulte for one type of cuisine for one restaurant. And that's just on the skill perspective,
Starting point is 00:40:55 although I do have some ideas on how perhaps you can do that. But the second reason also is think about who you're competing against. Right. So you have to now, okay, let's say that you want to make a Neapolitan pizza. You mentioned or any kind of pizza. I do. Okay, great. I can't wait to taste it.
Starting point is 00:41:13 I can't wait to taste it, John. Okay, well, did you know that? that there are over a thousand different pizza choices in the Bay Area on DoorDash, just on DoorDash, right? And we don't have all of the restaurants. And, okay, that is just one, like, of the many things that you're going to have to do to be able to create this concept and actually scale it.
Starting point is 00:41:36 It's not to say, and then don't forget all the other challenges we talked about, the staffing, the permitting. But, no, this, like, what determines whether change, succeed versus whether they don't. Because there's a lot of pizza restaurants in the Bay Area, but at the same time, there's a lot of Mexican restaurants in L.A. that are really good, and yet Chipotle still has plenty of locations there. And so it doesn't just seem to be, you know, do there exist local options? Sometimes a chain can break through. And I also don't think it's a skill issue because it's very processizable to make a good Neapolitan pizza. It's about,
Starting point is 00:42:10 you know, the ingredients and the temperature and humidity control in the proofing the dough. And then the, you know, cooking it at very high temperature. But it's not rocket science. You could make a process around this. Potentially. But I think the fact that there only exists so many of these QS accountable number of these brands who have actually scaled to the size that we're talking about where they're ubiquitous, I think, you know, should be some evidence. It's harder than you think. You know, that it's a lot harder than you think. And because of what I just said, there's a lot lot of process skills that you have to be extraordinarily good at. In fact, I remember we partnered with one brand where we launched this brand to great fanfare, great fanfare, and sold a lot of
Starting point is 00:43:01 burgers actually on a weekend testing this idea. Can you make a healthy tasting burger if you put a brand name around it? The answer is yes, and the answer is really hard to retain any of those customers. Why? No, because half of the reviews said your burgers were great and the other half said that they were inconsistent in quality. And it's because it's extremely difficult. You know, that exponential challenge as you try to, you know, grow scale and keep up the quality is very, very, very difficult. I mean, you have to get right the service. You have to get right the production. You have to get right the pricing, the packaging. There's lots of things you have to get right. think reliability is the thing that people underestimate about the restaurant industry?
Starting point is 00:43:49 Yes, or about service like DoorDash. You know, I think when you have high volumes of activity, I think keeping the reliability as reliable as the electricity we have or the water, you know, inside of our building, that is extraordinarily difficult. Going down with the future of delivery and how you see it playing out in 10 years' time, there's a few different modalities being discussed. There's drone delivery, there's sidewalk robots. delivery and you guys have dot. I'd love you to talk about dot. I don't know how much you're doing
Starting point is 00:44:18 in drones. Maybe you can talk about that too. Maybe there's autonomous vehicles like autonomous cars. People don't talk about that that much, but maybe in the suburbs it would kind of work. That's what we have at the moment. Just like, what's the mix in 10 years time? Yeah, well, I think even before we go there, I think the first question maybe what might be delivered, because I think that's actually still not that well understood. You know, so today, yes, DoorDash is probably most known for food, potentially, you know, now increasingly groceries and household items. But that is a fraction of the tens of millions of items inside every single city. You know, one of the biggest things that, you know, we're going to have to do before we can
Starting point is 00:44:59 just fulfill the items, which is, you know, what we'll get to is where are the items and what are the items? There's tens of millions of items literally inside, you know, these cities, whether it's in the U.S. or different countries with the United States. than Europe, other parts of the world, they're not catalogued. There's no structured data that you can scrape in order to figure that out. And I think that's going to be a long journey. Sometimes the inventory is not even close enough. And so you may have to house the inventory, you know, so that you can actually bring those goods,
Starting point is 00:45:30 and even have the right, a lot of what I believe makes for great logistics is you need a great setup. Because if you're always trying to figure it out on the fly and you're pulling some magic trick out of thin air and you have to be the hero. That is not a system. You know, that is an exception. And I think great logistics or great reliability, they require building systems. And so, okay, you have the catalog,
Starting point is 00:45:55 you got maybe the inventory close enough to where people live. Now we can talk about the fulfillment, right? But the entirety of that is what you have to build before we can get into the great technologies and the aging. The staging of what it is for your delivering. Because if you don't know what where to get the items, or if you can't get the right item,
Starting point is 00:46:15 what difference does it make if you have the right vehicle? And you're talking about the fact that, like, you don't actually know what's on a supermarket's shelves where the fact that you have to actually be able to predict when the restaurants will have the stuff ready, like all that kind of knowing what is ready to be delivered. Yeah, or, I mean, take when the cheeky pint becomes an established bar and maybe Dorash can deliver from one day,
Starting point is 00:46:40 what's inside the cheeky pint? You know, what's on the actual menu? What's off menu? And actually, you can order. I mean, these are complicated issues before we even get to the fulfillment of the actual items. And so, okay, then you can get to fulfillment, right?
Starting point is 00:46:55 And I think that's one where we're still exploring. And to me, the most important question we always ask on any, frankly, technology, but certainly a technology like this where there's long cycles of development, is what problem does it actually solve? Obviously, in the case of drones, you mentioned it, it can cover a lot of ground very quickly.
Starting point is 00:47:17 So longer distance orders, that seems to be a great job for it to solve. In a busy high-rise area where you got short, dense orders, which is the majority of these orders, maybe not the best solution for such product, right? And this is actually what led us to the creation of DOT, which was when we started the autonomy project in 20, 2018, 2019, we actually did not set out thinking that we needed to build anything, that we would, surely, there would be someone who would... We'll just pick the best one, and I'm sure we can buy some tech off the shelf.
Starting point is 00:47:51 Yes, we were out there raising our hand, you know, asking for a partner to the dance, so to speak, and someone, you know, who could specialize in that, and we could specialize in the operations and things like this. And it turned out that, well, no one was that interested. A lot of people were interested in building robotexies. A lot of it, and obviously we've seen that kind of come to free. A lot of people did build, to your point, sidewalk robots, but we found those to be too slow. So back to what problems are you solving? Because you got to remember, you know, back to opportunity costs, humans are very good at delivery, actually. It turns out. We're also very good at driving, too. And so the bar is actually a fairly high bar.
Starting point is 00:48:31 It's not as simple as just saying, oh, we can make the technology let a rip. And so then we said, well, okay, well, it has to be fast enough. It probably doesn't need to be the size of a car because cars aren't very good at parking inside these busy locations where a lot of these restaurants are. And so we had to think about all these things. We had to think about how to load the vehicle. We had to think about unloading the vehicle because unlike Robotaxi, the passenger solves all of those problems. But in our case, we have to solve that. So that's kind of how we ended up on this.
Starting point is 00:49:02 Where are you enrolling out that? We're primarily testing right now. We really want to get it right in, you know, one month. market. We're doing a lot of this in Arizona. Because it's not just the technology. Yes. And one of the things I've learned and come to appreciate about building something like Dot is that these autonomous vehicle companies are almost many companies inside one company. And certainly many different types of skills you have to be good at. Yes, I think everyone obsesses over the autonomy. Okay. But there's also the hardware. There's also the manufacturing. There's also the operations.
Starting point is 00:49:39 There's hardware reliability Also the maintenance. Yeah. There is also the regulatory. Yeah. There are a lot of different components that you actually have to be good at. And then we can talk about the stack required
Starting point is 00:49:49 to actually build the inputs to some of these things. Like, for example, there's also understanding how do you procure supply when you have sometimes geopolitical tensions or when you have supply chain disruptions. Where do you do assembly versus where do you do, you know, construction? Not super obvious answers to some of these questions at times,
Starting point is 00:50:13 especially when you have to make these decisions sometimes years out. And so I think that's the stage that we're in right now, which is, okay, we've got to figure this out correctly before we can actually scale it. Where do drones fit in, if at all? They definitely do. I mean, as I mentioned, back to jobs to be done, I think drones obviously can do a lot of these longer distance orders. And so we've been doing drone dealers actually for a couple years now.
Starting point is 00:50:37 mostly outside of the United States, outside of the U. Peripats? Places like Australia. You know, we're going to bring them to Europe, bring them to the United States as well. But again, you have all of those problems you have to solve. You know, the autonomy is a little bit easier. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:50:52 You know, you still have a routing problem. You have hardware problems. Obviously, you still have permits and regulation. Yeah. Set up, loading inside, you know, different stores, things like that. Very interesting. We're talking a lot about some of the, scaled tech problems. And one of the ones that people might not think about is fraud, but I feel like,
Starting point is 00:51:15 you know, Stripe and DoorDash obviously worked together in many ways, but one thing we work together on is fraud. Yes. And I feel like the number of potential fraud vectors is much more complex than people think. Maybe you can just talk about, you know, trust in safety at DoorDash, all the different ways that people try, like, you're running this complex system that people try to game and what it takes to run that. Yeah, I mean, many times I kind of think about my freshman year electrical engineering course on state machines and where Dornash in some ways is like a large state machine, right, where you have many systems in place and they're kind of observing, you know, what's happening. There are things that must happen when things are green to keep them green. But as we start
Starting point is 00:52:05 degrading gracefully, you know, from green to yellow to orange to red, you know, something like fraud, as you mentioned, other systems have to kind of kick in and do things like exception handling. Obviously, you're spending most of your time building prevention systems, but of course it's tricky. You also have to have the 911 response system that literally responds, you know, within minutes because sometimes we're talking about physical safety. We're not just talking about fraud, right? I mean, given the volumes that DoorDash carries billion to doors per year, the one in a million incident unfortunately does occur. And so that's DoorDash, this is a system. Now, in fraud, you're right. We partner, for example, a lot on online fraud. I mean, you have the largest database,
Starting point is 00:52:49 right, of all of these transactions, and therefore you can give us lots of information that we ourselves couldn't do on our own. On the flip side, there's also offline fraud, which is very tricky, you know, to catch. Okay, for example, for example, let's say that, um, a consumer suggested that an order was never dropped off. Let's say that a Dasher said that an order at a grocery store was already shopped and picked. But we're not sure. Or let's say that a Dasher said an item is missing inside of a store, any kind of store, maybe perhaps an apparel store.
Starting point is 00:53:25 All of those, I would argue, have offline components that are difficult to verify. This is building the e-val, if you will, for this set of conditions. In use cases, it's actually extraordinarily difficult. And so a lot of what we're trying to do is we have to build those signals ourselves. There is no perfect science here. I wish there were. But in many ways, we kind of have to invent this. This is actually why, you know, I'll give you a few examples.
Starting point is 00:53:50 So one of the things that we shipped, this is actually a couple years ago, was called Safe Chat, where we noticed that prior to any physical altercation that may unfortunately happen between audiences, 90-something percent of the time it's always preceded by a verbal. altercation. Knowing that alone, you know, allows us to prevent a lot of tough situations or building alert systems. For example, sadly, there are shootings, particularly in the United States. And there was one shooting in Manhattan where, you know, several people died in the lobby of a large office building. But within minutes of a dasher seeing the shooter walk in to the building, you know, we have an alert system that doesn't just alert all dashers and consumers and merchants
Starting point is 00:54:44 within that vicinity, but also all local law enforcement. And actually, we were the first to report that to the NYPD who tried their best to respond in time. But, you know, there are a lot of those events. And so it's not always about fraud, I guess, is what I'm trying to say, and that you have to build extremely responsive systems, and you also have to build as many signal detecting systems, too. Yes. You're running a fairly large slice of the economy, and you're trying to have everything run smoothly, and there's quite a lot of failure modes that people might not think about that are possible when you're just seeing. Yes, we're trying to be the, exactly, we're trying to be the digital representation of these cities, whether it's a city, a suburb, a neighborhood, a rural area.
Starting point is 00:55:36 And sometimes it's not always of what's transacting, but it's just what activities are occurring. Yes, yes. One of the hardest kinds of fraud to prevent is, like the classic, say, with credit card fraud, when the people think about is, you know, your car got stolen and it's actually someone overseas buying stuff for themselves rather than you buying it for yourself. That we've actually now got very good at detecting. It's quite hard to do. And there's just so much data we can bring the bear on that problem.
Starting point is 00:56:06 A much harder one that we see that businesses face is the kind of saying, the industry term of ours, which is funny, is friendly fraud, which is a bit of a euphemism. But the customer buys something and just says it never arrived when it actually did, and they're just straight up lying. But you don't really want to call them on us. You also don't have proof that they're lying. But it definitely does happen to.
Starting point is 00:56:29 at to some degree. And so how do you deal with, I mean, maybe there's a photo of the Dasher having delivered it, but I'm curious how you deal with people just kind of defecting from the system. There's no one answer, as you know, with fraud, because as soon as you figure out how to, you know, measure the risk and contain the risk, obviously the incentive for the fraudster goes towards the next axis of breaking in. Exactly, exactly. And so I don't think there's a perfect solution to the problems that you're describing. But you're right. And I mean, a lot of this is about a lot of how you build systems, I think, you know, where obviously the metric is around reliability and consistency and great customer outcomes. The inputs are a lot of measuring things before things happen.
Starting point is 00:57:13 You know, I talked about, you know, I think one of the most important things about logistics is the setup. That happens even before a delivery. If somebody hits place order, right? The setup is extraordinarily important. Did you get the right catalog? Did you actually, you know, label correctly the catalog? Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. A lot of that sort of stuff.
Starting point is 00:57:29 Okay. Now, in the case that you're describing, you know, we can track several things. We obviously can track what is happening with the Dasher. You mentioned some of these ideas. Taking photos of receipts or orders being dropped off. We have our own mapping system, for example, that we built. Why do we build our own? Well, it's because we care much more than any, you know, third-party mapping system of exactly where the last two feet, forget 20 or 200 feet of some apartment unit door is. You know, for example, and we know if we reliably delivered to that door and that we saw the pin actually hit exactly where we have a little bit more fidelity in whether something was dropped off. We build profiles of customers, I'm sure you do too, of their behavior and what they tend to say. So there's lots of things that we're trying to do behind the scenes to build these signals to figure out what is the likelihood here of fraud. Yeah. It's not a sense. Tell me about DoorDash tasks. DoorDash tasks is something that we shipped recently where actually, you know, it started with a project where we were trying to solve our own problems.
Starting point is 00:58:37 So it started with trying to figure out where is every item, you know, inside the city. And so we have millions of dashers and they're usually frequenting different types of stores. We know that consumers move around items a lot, which makes it. extraordinarily difficult, you know, for any store to track their own inventory. And so, you know, Dasher sometimes are collecting this information, right? That was one of the problems that we were solving. Interestingly, while we were doing this, we started getting calls, actually, from, you know, people you probably would expect. Retailers and CPG companies who might be interested in this information. And then, you know, especially as companies, um, at, at, at, you know, at,
Starting point is 00:59:25 I think it's well known at this point that a lot of the large LLM companies have been building lots of repositories of online information. Well, what about the offline information, you know, to bolster, you know, some of those models or just to help some of these companies building robotics and things of the sort? Well, we said, oh, interesting. Well, okay, we're building a catalog for ourselves, but we ought to be able to help other people, too. And if it's an opportunity to help dashers earn more or give them more choices to earn more, great. Why not, you know, build that solution. And so that's really the story of DoorDash tasks, which started organically, you know, probably a couple of years ago as we were solving our own problem. And we started realizing that there may be other people who have similar tasks.
Starting point is 01:00:09 And so it is a platform for having kind of fairly small tasks done. You can give the task to DoorDash and you guys go complete it? Yeah. Do you guys excited about an AR angle for DoorDash where are you on the, you? best use cases of the meta glasses where, no, you can get directions within the store and everything, like you actually speed things up quite a bit rather than wandering around last. I think we could be, but I think we definitely could be. But again, back to the question of asking, what problem does this solve?
Starting point is 01:00:37 Right? That the human is pretty good with their eyes at some of the stuff. So the bar is pretty high in order to do some of the things you're talking about. As I just kind of think through AI applications for DoorDash, One thing I'm struck by is that the LMs are pretty good recommenders just by tossing things into context. You don't need to train a custom model, but I don't know if you've ever tried for like book recommendations or TV recommendations. You just like tell it a bunch of the stuff you like already. Restaurant recommendations, it's like, here are 15 restaurants we like to go to.
Starting point is 01:01:10 Give us other recommendations, and it'll do a really nice job. And yet within products, you know, if I open DoorDash, it's kind of the same categories and things like that. And it's less personalized to me than if I took my DoorDash history. and put it into an LLM. Isn't that, like, shouldn't we be somehow using the fact that LLMs are pretty good recommenders within products? It's not just DoorDash.
Starting point is 01:01:32 It's every product I use. It feels like those recommender capabilities are underutilized. No, I think you're definitely right that there's an opportunity here where there's almost like the traditional school of thought, which is to use the information that you have, right? And you build the best personalized models that you can. And, you know, one of the things that LLMs obviously does is it kind of throws efficiency out of the wall, right, right, from the wall, and it kind of throws as much compute towards it.
Starting point is 01:01:59 And interestingly enough, one of the things that spits out, you know, when you put in enough tokens and have big enough context windows is you're right. It has actually better models because it's, I mean, it's just using much larger, you know, data sets. And it's a world model. And it's a world, exactly. And so I do think there's an opportunity. what you're saying, which is that, you know, products like DoorDash, like consumer products, will definitely, you know, have their own ordering agents. And I think we're all trying to figure out what is that right modality, right? Because it's not obvious to me that everything's going to
Starting point is 01:02:37 be done through text. You know, we don't buy things through text. You know, and we don't always get inspired through text either. And so I think it's something that we're all figuring out. What else are you excited about these days from a product point of view? Like what's a new part of the product that is close to your heart, or where do you want to take things? Well, we have a few missions, right, that we're on. And we talked about several of them, I think, in this conversation. One of them is we've got to bring you everything inside the city. And we're a long, long, long ways from that.
Starting point is 01:03:07 You know, we can go super deep on restaurants and food. But as you start going into category N plus one, you know, we are just a smaller and smaller and smaller drop in the oceans. We got a lot of work to do. A second mission, obviously, is we also want all of the businesses that we support to have their own software. You know, I mean, DoorDash's goal is not just to grow your business by sending you customers. We also want you to learn how to do it on your own. And that's why, you know, we have products like DoorDash Drive or Storefront or Seven Rooms, which are really B2B products, which is probably why consumers don't think of us for them, and help you build your own Omnichannel business.
Starting point is 01:03:46 we have a mission in which we want to actually bring you inside stores. That's actually something that we're trying to do, right? And we started that about a year ago. I mentioned earlier that one of the perennial challenges or trends for restaurants is, how do you grow your own brand? Well, if we can also help you with that, both by helping build for you a CRM of a 360 view of guests where we can also, you know, send you customers,
Starting point is 01:04:16 inside stores, we'd love to do that. We're starting with restaurants with two products. One is going out. The other is reservations. That's a big mission that we're on. And so we have several of these missions that I'm pretty excited about. Yes, yes. You measure reservations.
Starting point is 01:04:34 There's a number of quite established companies in that space. And restaurants are famously, you know, they're not exactly just eager to wake up and switch all their systems, you know, one morning. So how do you plan to unseesheat the existing guys in, reservations. Well, I think it starts with the idea that I believe that, you know, no restaurants should own their own reservations, you know, ideally technology. It starts with that. The reservations book, we can get into super deep here. It's actually quite complicated, you know, to run a book, actually. I mentioned earlier this idea that, you know, restaurants,
Starting point is 01:05:05 North Star, really should be to build regulars. Yes. Right. But that's not how every reservation system is designed. And so, so, I actually think the most important things that restaurants can have reservations on any platform, actually. That's actually what I believe. And so, you know, that's one of the, the main, you know, premises behind, you know, seven rooms, too. It's that it's agnostic, you know, to who generates the demand for you. What it's trying to do is to make sure it achieves your objective function. It may be to grow profits, you know, one year. It may be to locations the next year, maybe to get a certain type of customer, the next year, so on and so forth. And so I think it starts by building what's best for the merchant. And then, you know,
Starting point is 01:05:51 hopefully DoorDash can make a difference, you know, too, where we just have more customers, you know, than, you know, people that play with restaurants and, and also more information that we can supply to these restaurants on how do you make more money to achieve whatever, you know, outcome you want. And so if we can help achieve a, restaurant's objective function, you know, better than anyone else. Well, then hopefully, you know, we have a seat at the table. Talk in reservations, they carved out a successful niche in high-end reservations. And I think about one of the beliefs that informed their products most strongly was that no-shows are terrible for restaurants. And a restaurant to reservation should be like a flight
Starting point is 01:06:32 reservation where you don't just get to decide you're not going to go to the restaurant. Yeah, you put a little deposit down. Yeah, exactly. You put a little deposit down. Do you subscribe to that philosophy? Do you think it's maybe less relevant? Like, again, they were really dealing with very high-end restaurants. Do you think it's less relevant for regular restaurants? I'm just curious what you think of that viewpoint that we're doing reservations all wrong. I think kind of one of the founding insights of talk.
Starting point is 01:06:55 I think it makes a ton of sense. The implementation of the idea is what's difficult. And, you know, restaurants that have very limited seating and very long seating, you know, the opportunity cost for a cancelation. is very high, you know, versus a restaurant that may have infinite production capacity, if you will. So I think the implementation idea, yeah, I think the implementation of the idea is what matters, but I think the idea itself makes a ton of sense. How do you, with reservations, plan to ensure that people aren't kind of no-showing to restaurants? Well, we're working on that
Starting point is 01:07:30 problem right now, but like, I don't think there is, you know, one thing. I think the first thing is we have to help you find reservations that you want to go to. I think there's a lot of room left in the space to innovate there. I don't think there's been that much innovation in that area. So discovery is almost a bigger problem. I think discovery is very difficult. I mean, like, how do you find out about restaurants today? I'm curious.
Starting point is 01:07:55 My wife finds them on Instagram. Yeah, okay. Yeah, and I think that that's right, because there are so many different sources now. Instagram is one. I'm sure other social channels are another LLMs. you mentioned earlier about throwing, you know, things in there and getting something out. Friends, I'm sure.
Starting point is 01:08:11 I think it's really difficult still. You know, when I think about no matter the sources of input, most restaurants still struggle, you know, generating their own demand. Yeah. And so I think that that's, you know, so long as that's true, I think that we have a shot at, you know, making a difference. Yes. You talked about your European expansion. you just acquired delivery. In what ways are the delivery and DoorDash businesses different?
Starting point is 01:08:40 Well, fundamentally, they're more of the same. I served that, actually. Hence the acquisition. Instead of the, yeah. But, okay, well, we talked a lot about systems and logistics. Have you been to London? I'm sure you probably been there many times. You probably know it better than I do.
Starting point is 01:08:55 But it is an interesting city in that it doesn't actually have a lot of the grid-like, you know, hub and spoke properties of a lot of cities. And there's a lot of reasons for that. I know we can go into the history. Mostly age, but yes. Yeah, but well, no, no, there are other cities that are actually designed differently in other parts of Europe, actually.
Starting point is 01:09:15 We can get into other countries and cities. But like, age is one of them. Obviously, it's not meant to be a city where you drive a lot of vehicles. No vehicles advantage. I think it's older than even a lot of other European cities. It is. Even as European cities go,
Starting point is 01:09:28 than it's really old. Yes. And as a result, you know, that alone makes the logistics problem very, very different. And the logistics, not just the algorithm, which I think is just one part of the system, but the signals that you'd want to collect are very, very different. Vehicles are very different. We predominantly are non-autos in the city of London, which is very different in the states,
Starting point is 01:09:52 as an example. That's very different. The regulatory setup is different. It has parts that rhyme with. you know, the U.S., but as you well know, each country is slightly different, even though, I guess, the U.K. is not under the EU, but even within the EU, each country kind of has their own local version of regulation. That's very, very different. You know this probably better than anyone in the world. Payment processing is very different. There are many more card types in parts
Starting point is 01:10:23 of Europe than say in the U.S. So industry dynamics on retail are very different. the U.S., we have a fragmented retail industry that has a lot of different players. That's more concentrated in the UK? Yeah, in the UK, in Germany, in France, in a lot of European countries, actually, this is more the norm than the exception, whereas in the U.S., you have maybe hundreds of different big brands that are strong in certain regions, but in Europe, that's less true. Those are some of the immediate differences that come to mind. A mystery to me is why the pharmacies are so much better in the UK versus the U.S.
Starting point is 01:11:05 You go into a boots versus you go into a CBS or Walgreens, and it's like night and day. Yeah, well, one of the things I would say, just as a standard matter, is because of the concentration. And it's really concentrated by category. You know, pharmacies, it could be a category, certain apparel can be another category, et cetera, et cetera. And this is true in, you know, Australia. this is true in Germany. The standards are higher and they're more consistent of that service. But we're in the U.S. when you have tens of thousands of supermarkets,
Starting point is 01:11:39 hundreds of big brands, it's different. It's different. And then if you look even more upper funnel, say CPG, there's a lot more CPGs in the U.S. market that are competing than, say, in some of these other countries, which make things like inventory management, the skew count, The size of the stores, you know, all of that, therefore, is different. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:12:03 You're offering some of the stuff we're doing together. I think of Stripe and DoorDash as almost having grown up together, you know, found it at very similar times. And then you guys were early users of all manner of products. Yes. Type Connect or radar or issuing for cards or things. What would you like to see Stripe do that it doesn't today? Either because you guys would like to use it or just because you think it's something we should be doing.
Starting point is 01:12:25 I've been giving you all my Sili's products. suggestions. This is where you get to turn the tables and king of me yours. I would always start with what our teams would say. So probably the first piece of advice always is, you know, what problems are you solving, you know, for us, right? Because I think especially as companies grow in size, success, variety of products, I think there's a natural temptation to start imposing what the company wants to do or want to solve or want to sell versus to say, what problem does it solve for the customers? So, you know, I am sure, you know, one of the things that, you know,
Starting point is 01:13:05 could be true is making sure that you're solving our top problems versus just introducing, you know, the range of products. That's probably, you know, one thing that we probably both share as advice on one another. Oh, wow. We got dot coming. Oh, awesome. So this is dot?
Starting point is 01:13:26 This is dot. Well, there you go. Wow, it's kind of like a TARDIS. Oh, yeah, we're talking about what were we talking about? One of the things I'll never forget talking to you and Patrick about, as we kind of grew up together in the years of building our companies was, you know, I think you've always, both of you've always had the idea that, you know, Stripe is a technology company that happens to be in payments.
Starting point is 01:13:50 It's not a payments company. And, you know, you've always challenged, I remember, you know, your customer. to think about, don't just think about accepting payments and, you know, there's more that you can do. So I am curious, what more can we do, should we be doing with things like crypto or stablecoins? Two topics that are on the minds of all our customers today are, yes, stable coins and then AI specifically with respect to changing buying, you know, agentic commerce. On stable coins, I think maybe Dordash is not where I would start, two places that were seeing tons of interesting stuff is one, any kind of cross-border use case where if you want to
Starting point is 01:14:33 send money to 100 countries, it's already the case that Stable Coins is a much better way to do that than anything else. And that's where we're seeing a ton of adoption, where just that long-tail coverage, and they really work for that. The second, and this is where Tempo, our new initiative, that you guys were nice enough to work with us on, is coming in, is very scalable crypto payments and obviously agents is what we have in mind as we're developing tempo where if you want to pay for your API consumption or if your agent wants to be able to pay for things around the internet, you actually need a really good scalable blockchain for that. Okay, so that's all the crypto side of things.
Starting point is 01:15:16 The other thing that we're thinking about a lot is just how does commerce change? Now thus, people's expectations are increasingly, they ask their AI for stuff. And so it feels like you should be able to ask your AI, whether that's, you know, chat GPT or Gemini or whether that's Siri or like whatever your interface is to AI. Sure. It's like, let's just order again what we ordered on Sunday. You should be able to make that natural language query and have it take care of interfacing with DoorDash and payment and everything like that. And I'm curious how you guys think about the interface changing. I mean, I thought a lot. Do you want to like enable people to order within the AI apps? Do you want to, like, enable people to
Starting point is 01:15:54 order within the AI apps? Do you want to have just more of a natural language input to DoorDash? How is that going to happen, given this? That is presumably what people want in terms of the low friction AI experience. Yeah, well, I think what people want is definitely low friction, but I think people also want the products to show up, you know, on time and think they want... You only get a right to do this cool UI stuff if the logistics is right. And the challenge with the product like a DoorDash is you kind of have to do the whole thing into end, or you have to have, you know, great coordination or communication mechanisms. And so, you know, we definitely agree with you that I think there's definitely going to be a place where in the future as these AI has developed
Starting point is 01:16:36 their whatever we want to call them app ecosystems, I think, with companies like ourselves that can exactly what you just say, like do the jobs to be done in your regular life. I think that will be a source of top of funnel, you know, for us. I think the hard part is making sure that, we can actually deliver on the promise. You know, sometimes in a cautionary tale of the past, you know, I remember services, you know, Google food ordering launched in, I forget, 2015 or 16, and they allowed you to order delivery, for example, from various Google services, you know, Google Maps, Google Search, et cetera. And while on the one hand, it was low friction and they could send lots of traffic, they couldn't get the retention.
Starting point is 01:17:22 And this is where we were talking about consumer businesses and retention kind of be the name of the game. And the reason was because they didn't know how to contact the driver. They didn't know if the driver couldn't find you, if something was taking a little bit longer, if something was out of stock. So there's a lot of things that happened after the checkout button. And I think this is one thing, you know, back to what we're talking about earlier about what is the correct UI. It's not obvious to me that it's just a chat interface and that there are, you know, all of these different components. that have to be solved. And so I think, you know, the way I think about it is, okay, regardless of whatever we ship,
Starting point is 01:17:58 whether it's on our own, you know, surface, other people's, you know, surfaces, are we solving the end-to-win job? If we are not solving the end-to-win job, it's not going to matter. Last question. What is food that you can get in other places when you visit London, when you visit some other city that you wish you could get in the Bay Area, but you can't? Actually, I really like tea sandwiches. I was literally in London.
Starting point is 01:18:23 And for whatever... Like afternoon tea? Yeah, like little... Like little cucumber sandwiches. Like, I'm always looking for like a healthy snack in the afternoon. Today I had an awesome thanks to you. Healthy snack. No, delicious, delicious, delicious.
Starting point is 01:18:35 Have you done the proper afternoon tea with like the free level platters and the little cakes and everything? I did it once with my, I took my kids, you know, a couple of summers ago. That was an experience. I think in part because it was new to me and my kids, in part because I had... kids with me, you know, playing with all the different things that they gave us. But yeah, no, I think, I think this, yeah, one of the things that's really interesting about some of the grocery stores, for example, in European markets is, you know, prepared meals is a massive focus, massive. And, you know, we have some of that here in the U.S., to be fair. But in London, I just
Starting point is 01:19:15 found myself finding that in every stores I went to shop, you know, you would see so many. No, there's a few of these things that I find that are so much better back home in Ireland, the UK, Europe. And prepared food is one of them. Like a sandwich you get in Heathrow will probably be pretty good. A sandwich you get in JFK, don't go there. And like, you know, on a shelf in a shop. And, yeah, some of the stores we have. The cookies, obviously, much better back home.
Starting point is 01:19:42 There's some delicious cookies, yeah. There's some, the teas, there's a lot more choices of teas inside restaurants. I found. Yeah, it's been, I think one of the coolest part and, you know, greatest privileges, frankly, that I have at DoorDash is, you know, because we get to interface with all the businesses, you know, of all these different wonderful cities and really, like, get to meet the people who are building the GDP of those cities. It's not just like the cool economic impact that they're having, but you get to find out about all their passion projects. Yeah. You get to find out whether it's passionate about this stuff. Everyone's passionate about something. And that's one of the coolest thing
Starting point is 01:20:19 about my job where I don't just, you know, you ask me a bunch of questions about, you know, different IP and process and things like this. I promise you there is that for every single business inside every city. Yeah, yeah. It's a cool job where, yeah, you get to work with people who are incredibly passionate about what they do all day on. Yes. Yeah. Tony, thank you. Thanks so much, John.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.