Chit Chat Stocks - Coupang In Free Fall; Uber and Snap Stock Pitches; Gold + Silver All-Time Highs $CPNG $UBER $SNAP
Episode Date: December 19, 2025The Investing Power Hour is live-streamed every Thursday on the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast YouTube channel at 5:00 PM EST. This week we discussed: (00:00) Introduction (01:15) Meet new guest Aria Radni...a (02:29) Diving into Uber: The Elevator Pitch (17:05) Transitioning to Coupang: The Data Breach Impact (28:36) Netflix's New Strategies: Podcasts and Gaming (44:11) Snap's New Monetization Strategy (52:20) Turning Point Brands: A Deep Dive (57:33) Lululemon's Earnings and Market Position (01:04:11) Bubble Watch: Current Market Trends Aria's Twitter: https://www.youtube.com/@QualityInvest5 Aria's YouTube: https://x.com/QualityInvest5 ***************************************************** Subscribe to Emerging Moats Research: emergingmoats.com ********************************************************************* Chit Chat Stocks is presented by Interactive Brokers. Get professional pricing, global access, and premier technology with the best brokerage for investors today: https://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Interactive Brokers is a member of SIPC. ********************************************************************* Fiscal.ai is building the future of financial data. With custom charts, AI-generated research reports, and endless analytical tools, you can get up to speed on any stock around the globe. All for a reasonable price. Use our LINK and get 15% off any premium plan: https://fiscal.ai/chitchat ********************************************************************* Disclosure: Chit Chat Stocks hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to Chit Chat Stocks, the podcast that helps you discover your next great investment.
I am one of your hosts, Ryan Henderson, and I am joined as always by the one and only
Brett Schaefer.
And today we have a special guest, Aria Radnia.
We are going to be talking Uber, maybe some Adobe.
We've got Nike earnings, Lululemon.
This is our Power Hour episode where we talk all things financial markets.
Plenty of stuff on the docket for this week.
for anyone that is new to the show we do these episodes live on thursdays on youtube at 5 p.m
eastern time usually we had some technical difficulties getting started today but we are
live now so let's introduce you aria i'll give a little bit of a introduction and then you can
tell me where i'm wrong but aria was he worked with me at fiscal ai as a research analyst and
He is self-taught, if I'm not mistaken, and runs a YouTube channel of his own where he
discusses primarily Uber, but some other stocks as well.
Plenty of good coverage over there.
But maybe tell the audience a bit about yourself and what type of investor you would categorize
yourself as.
Yeah, absolutely.
First of all, thank you guys for having me on.
I've been a longtime listener, I think, since 2021, 2022, something like that.
It's a bit of a surreal experience now.
the show. So this should be interesting. Yeah. In terms of investing, I've done a video on this as
well, but I wouldn't necessarily label myself or bucket myself into a specific category. Oh,
I'm a quality investor. Oh, I'm a growth investor, whatever. I've described it as
sort of the Bill Ackman style of investing, where I would say it's strong moat businesses. It doesn't
have to be the widest moat of all time. Strong moat businesses, usually pretty well-known
companies. And you kind of invest in them at a reasonable price and hold until egregiously
expensive. And a bit of emphasis on that last point where I completely allow myself to sell
these businesses if I find a drastically better opportunity. This whole notion of never sell and
this and that and whatever, it works for some people, keeps it simple, less tax implications
and whatnot. I don't shame you for going that route of things. But I would say me personally,
more so strong businesses at a reasonable price ideally try to buy into them and hold until
egregiously expensive or you find a drastically better opportunity yeah it's always nice if you
can hold until they're egregiously expensive that's usually a sign things have gone well
i think we should start with uber because people have actually asked us to talk about this
brett you can cut me off here if you want to start somewhere else but i'm thinking uber aria you are
a vocal uber investor uh so i guess maybe give us the elevator pitch why do you like uber in general
and then of course we will talk about the quote-unquote waymo threat yeah absolutely um
so i mean we could we could start i mean in all honesty we could be spending the entire podcast
on this so i'll try to keep it somewhat brief uh but in general you know the the business is a very
dominant network effect business. It has a verb moat. I think we've all seen the free cash flow
chart just go up into the right lockstep without failure. It's a fundamentally great business and
it's been dragged down by this sort of AV fear. And I'm of the belief that very wrongfully it's
been dragged down over this. And there's a lot more implications that people generally don't
consider when kind of just chalking it up. Oh, it's a Tesla roadkill or it's Google's roadkill
and Waymo is going to come around. And sure, it doesn't maybe look like that right now,
but this is just like Blockbuster in 2007 when Netflix came out, or just like Nokia or Blackberry
when the iPhone came out. So sure, you don't see it in the fundamentals today, but over time,
this is a business that's going to have its moat eroded, consequently the profitability for cash
flow, whatever the case is, and it dies a slow death in essence. I think that's a good job of
keeping it brief what what do you say to the person and i'm silently pointing at brett here
because i know he's said this before as well to the person that says yes waymo is small now
but they are driverless vehicles that are going to expand to a whole bunch of cities and it's a
very real threat to Uber's business. What would be your rebuttal? Yeah, absolutely. So we really
need to kind of dissect it in the sense of like, what is it that you ultimately believe the AV
industry? And by the way, for reference, just so the audience is on the same page, AV stands for
autonomous vehicles, not to be confused with EVs because sometimes it sounds like that. But yeah,
with AVs in particular, what we really need to kind of get on the same page with is where do
you think this industry is five to maybe 10 years down the line? If you're of the belief that there
will be a sort of pseudo-monopoly player, whether it's a Waymo, a Tesla, or somebody else that has
a dominant market share, a 70%, 80%, 90% market share five years down the line, that is the
scenario in which they completely cut out Uber altogether. Eventually, all if not most of ride
hailing goes onto this theoretical AV company, whether it's a Waymo or whoever, and obviously
that spells bad news for Uber. Now, I'm personally of the belief, and we'll kind of dive into some
details here, but I'm of the belief that this will be a very fragmented market, similar, but not
necessarily exactly like the sort of models, like the AI model race that we've recently seen.
I personally think that you'll have a lot of players where, for example, it's a Waymo,
Tesla, whoever, where they do have a dominant-ish sort of market share. They have their own app and
whatnot. But in order to maximize utilization and maximize revenue per car, they'll also list
on an Uber to be able to maximize the utilization and revenue per car.
All right. Let me hop in here again. I should say, Arya, thank you for joining the show. I was
trying to be patient and also you know testing uh apologies to anyone watching the live stream
my video is not the best and for starting a little bit late there that is my fault to the
listeners but we're getting the we're getting the technical difficulties kinked out uh for
my new laptop here but aria back to the topic at hand i see i guess on the one hand you can
talking circles about uber's network effect its dominance in the industry its dominance
i wouldn't say dominance but market share leads many many countries globally right i mean north
south america europe what have you on the other hand i just see and we had someone in the chat
here saying that waymo raised 15 billion dollars i believe or is in talks to raise 15 billion
dollars in capital at 100 billion dollar valuation yes that is a high valuation but
But do you think the fact that Waymo may be able to, I don't know how to say this, operate unprofitably just because they have the alphabet backing, is that something you're concerned about?
And maybe what are the KPIs you're looking at to say, hey, look, I'm wrong here because as of now, you look at the numbers, I can pull up some stuff on fiscal AI here.
I mean, they look phenomenal.
Earnings ratio looks decent.
What are you looking at as kind of the big risks?
And I guess that's kind of a double question, but thoughts on the heavy capital investments that Alphabet can put in here.
Absolutely. Yeah. So, I mean, I don't think there's any denying that, you know, with the Alphabet backing, they can essentially throw infinite money at this thing.
I mean, that is the most profitable company on earth.
I think the AV disruption fear, and let's just talk about Waymo in isolation for a little bit here.
I think, how about we play this? What would it take in order to actually disrupt Uber?
And to answer that, it's not as simple as, okay, this car comes along, the technology is solved,
and they keep on expanding into new cities. They offer a car ride at a cheaper price than what it
would cost on an Uber, and it immediately becomes obsolete because they cut them out eventually,
even though there's a partnership between Waymo and Uber at the moment, right? Eventually,
they cut them out quote unquote right the issue is it is like many things not that simple um uber
in order to actually replicate the service that uber provides you would essentially need to connect
in this case 9 million drivers with 190 million monthly active users across 70 countries in 10,000
cities that's what you need to do so it's a massive scale issue but again we're operating
under the presumption that eventually they do scale and um you know go to a lot of these different
cities. The technology is solved. There's question marks around, does this work in all different
types of weathers? Because at the moment, it's only like the sunshine belt, right? It's only
in cities where there's not much snow or rain or whatever. Let's just say all of that is eventually
solved by technology, which it likely will. You still have one very clear issue, which is the
supply and demand dynamic of it. So guys, I put a couple of different charts from the Uber. I think
it's the Q4 of last year. Yeah, I can share them while you talk.
Investor slide deck? Yeah.
Yeah. So I put these in, I think particularly the second one, if you could show that. And this,
or excuse me, the third one that I put in there. And this one essentially shows throughout an
average week what it would look like in terms of the supply and demand against the baseline. Now,
for audio listeners, this may be a little bit hard to visualize. So I do recommend
to take a look at this chart maybe on your own time. But essentially what the chart is showing
is there's a baseline of, let's just say, and we'll throw some numbers at this to kind of
maybe help it land a little bit more. There's a baseline of like on average per hour Uber in the
city of Toronto, for example, does a thousand rides per hour. Right. And so a little bit after
midnight that falls all the way down to like 0.3 times. So on average, on hour after, excuse me,
on average per hour after midnight, there's only 300 rides being requested. And then there's
actually a peak near rush rush hour. So, you know, between the hours of eight and nine or between the
hours of four and five, for example, where the demand for that is massively higher. So what you
have with Uber is this sort of like supply and demand dynamic. It's one of the clearest sort of
supply and demand businesses that you can kind of analyze. And essentially there's a sort of
volatility, if you will, or there's this variance in terms of the supply and demand for vehicles,
depending on the hour, the time, if there's a concert happening that night, all these different
things. And so because of that, if you are an AV company that is going to do this independently,
which we're assuming that Waymo in the future, that's what they're going to do. Or if Tesla
comes online, that's what they're going to do. You have a fleet of let's say 500 cars.
Now, if there's a thousand cars on average being requested per hour, well, you're underutilized,
you're under monetizing. But at some point, a little bit past midnight, there's only 300 rides.
So now you have more cars than there's rides being requested.
So again, you have a handful of cars that are sitting idle.
The point is you either have too much supply or you have too little supply.
And so the real value that Uber would be able to provide is you have this like sort of baseline
number of cars on the platform, Waymo or other.
And then you would be able to supplement that with actual drivers coming online and offline
the platform, depending on those hours.
I personally haven't ever driven for Uber.
but if you've ever seen the map of an Uber driver, there's multipliers. So if there's a surge in
demand in a certain area, a certain neighborhood of Toronto, for example, then there's multipliers
that are applied that drivers go to this area, you'll get 1.5 times earnings, surge pricing.
You know what I mean? Yeah, it does. In an open marketplace,
you're able to balance the supply better because you can give those incentives and say i know you're
not driving right now but if you want a 25 bonus or whatever it is here's a two mile ride near you
so i agree with that and the other thing to chime in here is there's this narrative that google will
spend whatever but if google will spend whatever why are they raising outside capital for waymo
Why are they raising $15 billion from outside investors?
Why aren't they just keeping all that in-house?
Like I think there is not – even though Google of all the companies, maybe Amazon, seems the most willing to invest in moonshots, I think there's still ceilings to how much they're willing to throw at these things.
$15 billion is a lot though, I will say.
it's not open ai a lot but pre-ai we might have said that was an insane amount of money the last
thing i'll say on uber because as i already mentioned we can we could talk about this for
the entire episode right now i'm pulling up on fiscal ai the ev to ebit and tell me if this is
not the best way to look at it tell me if you look at the valuation differently i see ev to ebit
trailing of 37. Now, how are you valuing the stock? Because I guess the stock's not a huge
drawdown, but maybe you're not someone that's buying today. But does that seem cheap to you?
Is that cheap for their long-term opportunity? Yeah. So valuation with Uber is a bit of a weird
one because they're still on the income statement valuation ratios. They're still kind of ramping
their margins. So on a trailing basis, I think just off memory, that's like 8% operating margins
or thereabouts. Free cashflow margin of this business, which is a little bit overstated
because of the insurance reserves, it is significantly higher. It's roughly 18, maybe
20%-ish. There's a couple of different ways you could do the valuation. You could value it on
free cashflows, which in that case, I think just off the top of my head today, it trades at 24
times excluding stock-based comp. So roughly a 4% free cashflow yield on a trailing basis.
and then if you want to do it i think my new preferred way of valuing uber is either just
the basic four pe um because there is actually like a trailing tax deferral thing that also
happened which throws off that number so we can't use that either um and then you could either do
it like that or you could use ebt earnings before taxes on a trailing basis so essentially take it
as a proxy of you know price to earnings it trades at like about 30 times trailing earnings
which for a business that is growing revenues at 18%, a little bit margin expansion, a little bit
buybacks, you're looking at comfortably north of 20% earnings per share growth, essentially for 30
times earnings. And I know maybe some people in the audience don't love to hear that. Immediately,
they hear 30 times earnings and equate that to being an expensive multiple. For a growing business,
in my opinion, wide moat business like this, I think that's totally fair. If I can quickly add,
by the way ryan to your point about um raising outside capital that's an interesting point you
bring up and a new development for us as well is google has bigger battles to fight particularly
with cloud um they are dumping what a hundred billion dollars of capex there so uh sure there
might be like a runway of you know high returns on investment for this new av business um but i
think the bigger tam and the bigger long-term roi for them would be to uh fight and be competitive
for the cloud business okay all right i think we've got before we go on ryan let me share go
ahead let me talk about the yeah the chart i'm sharing here for the audio listeners and it was
a little bit surprising compared to what i thought beforehand pause brett no one no one can see your
screen i don't think i i can't see oh really so um yeah it's not showing anything for me
uh maybe try to reshare and i don't know it was the operating margin chart everyone's gonna have
it was the long term last whole month operating margin chart of let's say it was negative like
50 five years ago but now it's 10 i was actually shocked at how low that was because of the
business this mature and given their unit economics i would have thought they would be at
like 20 30 by now and it seems like that is doable over the long term especially because that revenue
and again correct me if i'm wrong you know the business better than me is post like that's their
take rate not their gpv okay when i sell my business i want the best tax and investment
advice i want to help my kids and i want to give back to the community oh then it's the vacation
of a lifetime i wonder if my head of office has a forever setting an ig private wealth advisor
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yeah that's that's that's exactly right um did you guys have more questions about kind of how
they're going to fend off avs because uh you know i have a whole bunch of other stuff uh we can talk
about here as well but uh it's up to you guys if you want to keep going we have a question on
coupon and a lot of people wanted to talk about the thing i had like 10 people ask about this
especially since the stock is down 30 in the last month or so and it seems like it's falling every
day. Sandeep says in the chat, why do you find Coupang compelling? How do you value it? Because
I am struggling to see it. I think that's a good lead into really why Coupang is in free fall.
Let me just kind of go through the summary here. Coupang stock hit a nearly high in mid-September.
It's down 33% from that high since. I think we're at about $23 a share. What happened here is they
had a major data breach from a Chinese national working at the business. And that's important
because politically in South Korea, given the relationship with North Korea and China,
having that specifically happen to one of their national champions is turning into a bit of a
political scandal. And it exposed the personal information of virtually every citizen in South
Korea. And what's making matters worse is that the founder, Bom Su Kim, is apparently not choosing
to attend hearings that the government wants him to go to. And I guess people are not happy about
that. You can kind of see how that looks a bit smug. Not sure exactly what's happening in that
situation. We're looking at a foreign country here that I've never been to. But from the news
stories, that doesn't smell great. They may get fined about $500 million or so, give or take,
depending on what the government's decided here. And yeah, that's a big chunk of change for this
business, but long-term, I really don't think that's going to affect the terminal value.
There's a lot of news articles out there about people being, quote unquote, upset at Coupang
in South Korea. And that can drive a lot of fear. That can, I think, drive people away from the
stock. And there's even an article in the Wall Street Journal this week covering them. They
usually never, really none of the financial news covers them at all. But at the end of the article,
And what kind of caught my eye was that there was, I hope I'm saying her name right, Zhang Jihe, 34.
She says that, and she has a one-year-old child, she's finding it difficult to make a break with Coupang despite disappointment after the data leak.
At home with a one-year-old child, she said that finding time to go out shopping is difficult and that she buys nearly everything on Coupang.
It's just too convenient and there isn't a better alternative.
of i i think that sums up my opinion yeah do you want a data lake in your business no do you want
it to be in one of your geopolitical rivals to create all political scandal no do you want to
get fined 500 million dollars no but at the end of the day coupons mode i think is still
very very wide has the potential to widen their trading at you know some people sigh and roll
their eyes at this sort of multiple use but they trade at 3.8 times trailing gross profit when
gross profits growing at, I think, close to 20% to 25% year over year, should be able to grow at
that rate for a very long time here. And they're showing pretty good signs of operating leverage
within their core business. They have a clean balance sheet, the free cash flow positive.
They have a lot of opportunities to reinvest into new kind of adjacent commerce categories
within Korea and reinvesting in Taiwan. I feel like it's very cheap here. I nibbled a bit
on the stock this week maybe even a bit more than a nibble maybe a full bite of adding to the
position and that about sums it up i think yeah it feels like a buying opportunity here's a question
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December 31st, 2025. I had the same thoughts. Obviously, a data breach isn't great and there
will be probably more than a slap on the wrist. There'll be true impact to the cash in their
balance sheet i think some people estimated a trillion won which they can stomach that like
they have enough cash in the balance sheet to stomach that but the at the end of the day this
is a fulfillment business so they do like if amazon gave away my email i'd be upset but it's
five days till christmas and i can't get packages in time anywhere else so i'm still gonna go to
Amazon. So like, I think at the end of the day, even after the data breach, most of the customers
are going to say, where do I get the most value? They still get the most value from coupon. And
you saw that with the excerpt you pulled from the Wall Street Journal. Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe this
is a more sensitive pain point for Korean consumers. But my guess is that the service,
the best service in a year two years will still win out like people don't stop using instagram
because of the enormous data breach five years ago it's the best service ends up winning out so i i
think can i yeah can i just put it yeah i didn't even i didn't even know there's a data breach for
instagram but yeah in in the long term like realistically if the you know the value that
the business is providing to its customers is there you know it's 24-hour news cycle i think
eventually people just kind of forget about it um at least that's what i'd like to believe but
um yeah this is more your guys's domain anyways yeah i agree uh feels like and yet it's tough a
little tougher because we don't have boots on the ground in south korea i actually asked a bunch of
people on twitter hey anyone living there shoot me a dm i kind of want to discuss see what the
see what people are saying but generally especially when like social media google all that stuff their
business model is data breach like they have all your information of korea if this is the first
time it takes the people in korea to understand that this sort of information is not a private
well maybe that you know maybe that's the case but i don't think it's going to change
their shopping habits typically same with like you know advertising scandals except for that
bud light one any sort of scandal around data breaches any sort of scandal around like political
like left or right hatred on some sort of brand.
Typically, it is way, way, way overblown in the news
and can temporarily impact a stock price
when long-term, as Aria mentioned,
six, 12 months from now,
is that what we're going to be talking about?
I don't think so.
And it's tough because Coupang itself
isn't very public with any press releases.
If they were an American company,
maybe they would be doing videos on social media.
Maybe they're doing a bunch of press releases, but right now, at least on their IR page, they've been completely silent.
So that probably doesn't help from an investor perspective because no one likes uncertainty.
But I kind of think you have to go, all right, this is a founder that's had an incredible track record.
He's sticking around.
Yeah, they had to get rid of the CEO as a sacrificial lamb of the e-commerce business in Korea.
And second, you have an emerging competitive advantage here that's probably already pretty wide. So you have a great founder-led company, reasonable price, really wide moat business. Feels like a good time to buy. Is it going to work out? I don't know, but I think the risk-reward is solid at these prices.
I'm still in a question here from the chat.
I'll repeat it here.
Brett, what do you think operating margins can be like in steady state, normalized, if we want to call it that, because they're obviously reinvesting a lot into CapEx at the moment.
Long term, what do you think operating margins can look like for Coupon?
Okay, let's give some context here because, yes, if you look at the blank EBIT multiple, you look at the blank PE ratio, it doesn't look that cheap.
But I will say, and it's not the worst metric, but you got to maybe take it down as to true
earnings when they claim adjusted EBITDA margin on their core commerce business of 9% already
in South Korea. Now, the consolidated number is much lower because of the reinvestment in Taiwan,
other initiatives like Coupang Eats, what have you. But they already say 9%. They say the goal
long-term is 10 plus percent. I think if you knock that down to maybe a true free cashflow margin or
a true operating margin, you could probably knock that down a little bit. So I think if they say 10
plus, and I think for adjusted EBITDA, they can get higher. I think 10% operating margin is well
within reach. If we look at the numbers and maybe one of you can pull up the market cap here, but I
think it's about $40 billion. And correct me if that's wrong. The EV is going to be about five,
maybe $4 billion lower than that, so say $35 billion. The revenue within a year or two should
get to $40 billion. So if you have 10% margin on $40 billion, that's $4 billion in earnings.
The EV is $35 billion. I mean, you get down to 10 times earnings. If they wanted to
quite quickly here they're they're not going to show it for a while but i think the value is there
and it can continue to compound i i hate to even mention it but people talk about the demographic
bust in korea look yeah that's a concern 20 years from now but their population is projected to be
down 10 20 over the next 30 years i i'm not really i'm concerned about the next three right now
yeah and look they could have a massive business in taiwan by that point but by the time that
really starts to matter not to mention the wallet share they're increasing the wallet share from
within their korean customers and it's more than offsetting for the population decline
sharing the ev to gross profit here yes your market cap figure was about right roughly 40
billion dollars enterprise value to gross profit is at 3.87 close to its lowest ever 3.6 is its
lowest ever it i like coupon here i i took a bite as well to steal uh what's his name's quote as for
me i like the stock we do have a lot more questions in the chat though so maybe we jump to some of
these do we want to talk netflix or should we get to any of the news pieces from this week
i guess netflix is kind of a news piece but yeah it is it is all right well let's read the question
thoughts on entertaining a netflix position assuming the next year will be rocky with the
acquisition but they could make the company more interesting i also mention that they are making a
large push well they're down some sort of fifa soccer game which we'll see how that goes those
those tend to be underwhelming uh to put it mildly but something that is a little bit of a bigger
move and kind of a new content license strategies they're going after a lot of sports entertainment
comedy news podcast in mainly the united states they're licensing existing podcasts some that
are actually owned by Spotify, pulling them, I think, for at least some of it, off of YouTube
and putting the video podcast exclusively on Netflix. Maybe we're thinking this is a bigger
deal because we are a podcast. And I'll say, Netflix, if you want to add another one to the
mix, we got some Zoom video calls that we can put up on the big screen. Feels like a weird
licensing strategy especially when the fact that it's just people talking i'm curious your guys
thoughts here and if it kind of from my one thought was that it shows the power that youtube
has on netflix is maybe not scrambling but a little bit worried that they're losing kind of
the quote-unquote talk show to youtube uh if i can chime in here um i'm cautiously optimistic on this
but i feel like you have bigger fish to fry as netflix i mean so for example you just did the
warner brothers deal but also they've repeatedly talked about and this is only something i recently
found out they've repeatedly talked about wanting to getting into gaming and so there's a stat out
there where it says um the entire music industry the entire film industry is half the size of the
entire gaming industry the music and the film industry are half the size of the entire gaming
So the gaming industry is massive. And there is a gaming tab inside of Netflix. And you could imagine, if the Warner Brothers deal particularly goes through, I believe they actually own a gaming studio inside of that, which has a couple hit games. I think Injustice is one of them and something like that. You can imagine with the financial power of somebody with the financial backing of a Netflix, all of a sudden, not only are they making, you know, spinoff shows, like Game of Thrones and Superman and this and that and whatever, you can also start making very good games, right?
Like you can start making AAA games and this and that and whatever, using the distribution of Netflix, maybe you start to kind of advertise it to a certain extent. I feel like that could maybe be a better point of opportunity for them in the future. And it's something that they've talked about repeatedly. It kind of seems random to me that now all of a sudden, they're deciding, we're going to start tracking up podcasts on here and whatnot.
knots i feel like that battle is uh largely decided between you know like spotify and um and
youtube over the past give or take four or five years whatever the case is maybe i'm wrong but um
i don't know i think you have bigger fish to fry having had an off again on again said that
backwards but on again off again relationship with video game companies for the last five years
i would be discouraged if netflix really started plowing money into video game development
it is a difficult industry and it doesn't really press their advantage like when you think about
what is netflix's advantage it's distribution in video content
and primarily good shows and movies like high quality productions this move to podcasting
feels desperate to me it feels like they're chasing youtube and going it feels like they're
seeing all the same charts everyone else's about youtube's increasing streaming time or market
share on u.s streaming tv and thinking we need to catch up and in order to do that we have to
have podcasts, but they can still win. They can still have a great business without going after
the YouTube strategy. And the other thing I'll say here is Spotify did this. Spotify already
tried this out for you. They went in, they paid $200 million to Joe Rogan and they gained a little
bit of share in podcasting, but I'd still argue that that worked. Okay. When I sell my business,
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Yeah, but we still get most of our listens on Apple Music or Apple Podcasts.
I know that's a small sample size, but they kind of curtailed a lot of those investments.
I got a feeling they got more data than we do, and for them to have slowed their exclusive licensing, that tells me that it wasn't maybe working out the way they thought.
the i think the beauty of youtube is that it's open and any podcast can win we're doing this
on youtube right now it draws people to it i don't love the like taking shows exclusively to netflix
and if if you are a show obviously they're paying you a a wonderful check i assume to go exclusive
but unless you're like a joe rogan i would be a little worried that you're going to have a
huge drop in listenership yeah you're probably right and yeah spotify put a lot of their
video podcasts quote unquote back up on youtube if we look at i'll just pull if anyone's curious
our data data over the last 30 days 48 apple podcast 33 spotify so slight bump to apple
podcast but still i mean as someone who as a platform that has not necessarily tried that
hard i would say compared to spotify youtube or what have you or the last decade that's still
great and then the rest you know overcast eight percent other nine percent plus some plus a few
others there that is probably proving point correct here ryan i don't know unless it's a
giant show who's going to tune into netflix to pop on a podcast it feels strange to me it feels
like a weird strategy i i don't understand it at all we'll see what happens it's their their smart
company yeah it does i don't get it i honestly don't get it i now to go back to the initial
question would i entertain a position in netflix i think i would and i mean we talked all about
we're talking about the licensing strategy with podcasts we're talking about gaming and maybe we
should mention that they're spending 82 billion dollars on warner bros and becoming netflix 2.0
in the process i i have kind of come around to being somewhat optimistic about this acquisition
if i were a netflix shareholder if this deal goes through at the quoted price if they don't have to
raise their bid which it seems like it probably will i brett's given us the maybe if it goes
yeah i i would not be too upset and part of that is because the stock's already sold off
in reaction to this but i remember going through it and thinking like
what they needed to get to where they are today is maybe not what the business needs now like
they had a global strategy build a bunch of content license a bunch of content create your
own content that fits specific niches all around the globe maybe it's lower cost productions than
some of the Warner Bros or the big studios, but they gained massive scale, constantly had
something to offer on a regular basis that kept people from churning. Now I don't think they
necessarily need that as much. Now they can go out and they can go buy big catalogs and it's going to
be way more successful on Netflix than it was on any other platform. You saw it with Sex and the
city which i think like had a massive boost in viewership when it came onto netflix they could
probably do that with hbo's back or warner brothers back catalog they could just release
one one new show from their catalog each month for the next five years and probably retain a
whole bunch of customers in that process and attract new ones it's and obviously they're
going to continue to invest in it and they're getting some other assets like the production
studios but i i kind of like it and i didn't think i would say i like an 80 billion dollar
acquisition for a company of this size but i kind of do it compared to the last 10 years
they're at more of an uncertain time already mentioned the gaming you have licensing
podcasts you have licensing video games you have licensing sports you have live events you have
this acquisition potentially here. Yeah, that does add a lot of uncertainty versus, all right,
we're just going to expand around the globe, do some of our own content and kind of just reinvest
in that for a long time and just be a market share taker. I agree, though, Ryan, it's probably
you got to trust this culture. They have just crushed the competition for the last 15 years.
But I look at even with this stock drawdown, EBIT is 32. Is that going to get me going
like at a market cap of 400 billion dollars that's such a large business is is that really
where your multi-baggers are going to be from maybe it'll be a good performer the long term but
yeah doesn't doesn't doesn't get me going so if i can very quickly uh rebuttal on that um
you can run the math a variety of different ways but you know we know that they said that they're
going to keep the hbo brand independent and then if you kind of accept that i you know some people
may argue, okay, there's too high of a cross-sell number to throw around, but there's roughly 200
million, quote-unquote, in theory, Netflix subscribers that are certainly not HBO subscribers,
right? If they can convert, say, 25% of that, and I'm assuming it's at a reduced price,
something like that, all of a sudden, including the synergies, which I know the two of you are
not too sold on, but anyways, including the synergies and including the new cross-selling
ability, just on day one, you back into a number where it's somewhere between $8 to $10 billion
of instant free cashflow boost to the business if this acquisition goes through.
Are you talking if HBO customers subscribe to Netflix?
So if they buy HBO, so HBO has 100 million subs, Netflix has 300. Let's say there's
quote-unquote the 200 million tam of cross-selling ability um of those we say only 25 of them
subscribe okay to to the new hbo discounted tier following so far i'm i'm don't know if i'm
entirely following so like netflix offering this within their subscription so i would assume well
we don't know for certain but i would assume they literally just pull a disney plus and when disney
bought Hulu, where it's like either packaged or there's a discount to get HBO.
Oh, bundle up.
One, either or both.
Yeah.
Okay.
Yeah.
So if you're an existing Netflix sub, you get like a 30 to 50% call it discount on HBO.
And so if they're able to do that, and we say 25% of Netflix subs subscribe to HBO within
like, say the first year, that's roughly $8 to $10 billion for cashflow boost on year
one without even dumping any money into new content, whatever.
So sure, on the surface, it looks like, oh, $80 billion acquisition. They're doing only $3 billion of free cash flow. That seems expensive. Even if you factor in the synergies, whatever, the reality is the distribution potential, if they're able to cross sell, is massive here. You might be buying this at like eight times cash flow, essentially.
Fair point. Fair point. All right.
But you know what? Discussing all this, what it makes me realize is that the whole this acquisition is anti-competitive claim makes zero sense because it seems like it's – I can't think of a more competitive industry.
Grocery. But yeah, there are some. But it's super competitive.
It's more competitive than grocery. Grocery is like four players.
Yeah. Okay. Maybe apparel, whatever you want to pick. There are probably some more competitive industries, but I mean, everyone is just trying to find a way to compete with YouTube. It feels like, and you see them spending all this money to stay competitive and doing all these licensing deals to try to stay competitive.
I think this will pass with any regulatory concerns with flying colors.
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you can add on at-home entertainment which is social instagram stuff like that tiktok
as well as video games which i would say match up pretty well for what are you going to choose to do
in your leisure time all right another topic here i'll let one of you take the floor ryan
made some notes and ari has been talking about this a lot lately snap they've made some
developments i will say i'm someone that feels a bit like a geezer talking about snap but i never
i never really had it uh as a service i don't understand why people are saying this is such
a lucrative opportunity but aria snap it's been a hated stock uh for a long time now so tell us
why you think things might be changing what's this new product here and you know kind of what
you like potentially the opportunity yeah absolutely so i mean um let's just start out
by saying this has been a awful business for the entire existence of it on the public markets it
has done nothing but destroy shareholder capital. Management is terrible. SBC is through the roof,
right? So let's just establish that. I'm not pitching this as like, oh, this is
some misunderstood, perhaps a little bit misunderstood in terms of future prospects.
Yeah, I think maybe a decent place to start, because I would assume most listeners are kind
of 25 plus, whatever the case is, you've definitely, even if you had Snap previously,
you've kind of aged out of the product. I'm starting to age out of the product and I'm only
20. And essentially the kind of quote unquote thesis with maybe they kind of turn on the
monetization lever is that they're starting to basically sell you iCloud. So part of Snap on
top of being able to send pictures to other people and whatnot, you can save the pictures or videos
and whatever into your memories. And it's essentially exactly what it sounds like. Like
it's literally like a form of cloud storage for your videos. And so most users, I would assume
um have you know accumulated more than five gigabytes of worth of videos and pictures
personally i've accumulated 30 gigabytes in i don't know five years ish give or take of of uh
using the app and essentially it's it's literally your camera roll so uh the the kind of uh ultimatum
that they've given you now is okay you have 12 months to decide either you either these videos
get permanently deleted which again this is like memories and and whatnot of you know videos uh
whatever. It's literally like your camera roll. Either you lose your camera roll or you pay us
$2 a month. And that doesn't seem like too big of a hurdle. I would imagine, again, people already
pay for iCloud. I can see, and I kind of anecdotally talked to, you know, within my circle
of friends, roughly 10, 15 different people. And some of them have already subscribed. They also
have like a snap premium, which I'm not sure exactly what it gives you, but I think it's like,
no ads, custom wallpapers. Maybe you could pin people. There's a couple of cool, I guess,
ish, neat little features like that, custom Bitmojis or whatever. So one of my friends
in particular was like, oh, well, yeah, if I'm going to pay $2 for this, I might as well pay
$5 for Snap Premium and get all those other benefits as well because the iCloud thing,
there's no restriction on how much storage you have with Snap Premium. So the thesis essentially
relies on this ultimatum roughly 12 months down the line where snap today has 500 million daily
active users i would assume a large majority of those people maybe 70 80 plus of that cohort of
people they have more than five gigabytes of data stored in their snap camera roll they either need
to go through and manually export all of that out or pay two dollars a month essentially as a
another form of icloud and so if you run the numbers on that even if we say 10 only 10 of
daily actives subscribe to this that instantly flips them into profitability if you get 20
they are all of a sudden like 10 uh operating margin positive and then obviously scales from
there so i'm gonna try to be provide some pushback here and the i'm pretty sure they
said in a press release that the vast minority of their daily active users are above five gigs so
they're saying that like not that many of their users it could just be 30 maybe uh have above
five gigs but it seems like it would be about like i feel like anyone that's been there for a few
years is has a good amount of videos and content stored on there the thing with like the icloud
analogy is that i know i'm going to be generating more stuff that needs to be stored so i'm willing
to subscribe to icloud to continue to you know add my storage with people it feels like right now
snapchat snapchat i still call it snapchat is trying to monetize nostalgia they're trying to
monetize i guess at a minimum at least they're not hemorrhaging money storing these for for old
users but i'm picturing the people my age that have maybe some old videos of them in college
doing stupid stuff stored on their snap accounts it seems more likely that they'll go through rip
through export them unless they're still active users so i i mean i don't think it could hurt
them this this seems kind of like a no-brainer but i don't know if i see this being like
the second you know the biggest revenue driver for the business i just maybe it's just the fact
that everything evan spiegel does i seem to be pretty skeptical of but i'm wary that this is
going to be a big driver yeah i agree it's not perfect yeah i mean it's it's definitely not
perfect like the thesis does rely a lot that's why i don't have a position i don't have any plans of
opening a position um i'm just saying like the opportunity is there i had some anecdotes that
kind of lined up with it um we'll kind of see and as you mentioned it doesn't hurt them so it's
either these people, they're given the ultimatum, they either do subscribe to it or they export
all that data off. And in that case, that would actually help Snap. They do have pretty low gross
margins for a social media business. They only have 50% gross margins. I would assume if they
offload a lot of those videos en masse across roughly a billion people, whatever the case is,
maybe that could help the gross margin. So there's some cost savings involved.
in general, we should be able to see maybe they come closer to a profitability inflection,
something of that sort. Okay. When I sell my business, I want the best tax and investment
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I don't know. The one thing I will give to Evan Spiegel and maybe just the Snap team in general,
I don't know if I've ever seen a management team care so little about investor pressure
or pressure from the investment community to do something. They seem to just not care one bit
that they have had 10 years of operating losses as a public company and have one of the most
absurdly high operating expense lines for a business that probably doesn't need it dual class
dual class share structures upside and downside to those if you don't trust that founder yeah
one of our episodes i think it was the money.com episode we talked about how technical founders and
And just big shareholder founders, usually, eventually, as a public company CEO, there comes a time when they're like, all right, I kind of hate this, and I'm just going to step into a technical role.
Or they evolve, the company gets profitable, and they just continue to enjoy the ride, like a Mark Zuckerberg or a Bezos or whatever.
Spiegel just doesn't care.
He just rides it out.
I mean, he just – investor pressure, stock going absolutely nowhere,
employees probably all mad that their RSEs are underwater.
He doesn't care.
It'll be interesting to follow the story nonetheless.
I want to talk – Ryan, I know you got Lou Lemon here.
I'll tease that.
I do want to talk Turning Point Brands because I've had a listener.
Thank you, George, in the Substack chat that has asked me approximately 10 times to discuss this one.
so I want to give a little time to it.
He's wanted to talk about it.
He has an interesting pitch.
I'm going to quote him directly from the Substack chat.
Anyone, for anyone, the link is in the show notes,
Emerging Notes newsletter.
It's where you can discuss a lot just in kind of our free forum there.
You can, I usually ask questions.
What should we talk about this week?
Free to join.
Free to join.
Free to join the chat there.
It's fun.
We have a lot of comments.
It's growing and a lot of interesting conversations.
Here's the quote from George.
TPB is nearshoring its production, which is all currently in India.
They currently spend about $1.30 per can to produce nicotine pouches.
When they nearshore, that will be about $0.60 per can.
It will exit 2025 with 55 million cans per year runway.
This is nicotine pouches.
Also, one of the biggest complaints among ALP users is that it is produced in India
because they are a big right-wing brand.
That will not be the case by the end of next year.
Also, among nicotine pouch players, they have the most exposure to the U.S. market.
for pm phil morris international nicotine pouches are six percent of sales british american tobacco
and ultra group under two percent tpb turning point brands nicotine pound sales are 30 percent
and growing much faster than the industry the nicotine pouch market is the fastest growing
consumer product in history and tpb is the most levered way to play it stocks up 400 in the last
three years looks like we missed this one um we should have talked about this when he first
recommended it in the chat well he's been recommended it 10 times in the last two weeks so
urgent he still thinks there's a 10x from here i mean they have 40 percent gross profit growth
coming from these cost savings they've had i think 600 modern oil sales growth they are raising money
through an atm uh common stock offering at these prices so maybe wait for a pullback i'm just
thinking out loud here. The EV, when I wrote this down, about $2 billion adjusted EBITDA guide of
over $100 million. So the growth runway is supposedly longer than this, but you're about
20 times adjusted earnings. And the big questions I'd have is, can they keep taking market share?
Why will their oral pouches have brand durability? Is the brand damaged to the conservatives who
don't like the outsourced manufacturing because it's supposed to be a quote-unquote america first
brand is that going to ruin their brand reputation it looks like not so much right now but we'll see
it feels interesting i mean if they can keep growing pouches and improve those gross margins
look it feels cheap here yeah i kind of like the pitch i like the nicotine pouch business it feels
like the cigarette business a century ago where maybe not a century ago but before all the
yeah i guess and you don't have to be the winner to have a good business
it's a sticky product cost five cents to make sell it for a dollar you know you've got wonderful
margins and there's literally an addiction to and usually like an addiction to a specific product
like brand so i would probably have some of the same concerns as you brett around the
competitive landscape but if they're continuing to grow despite what seems like an already hyper
competitive space more so than i think when people look at nicotine pouches they sometimes
comp it to like vapes and we saw what happened to like jewel when illicit vaping became so mainstream
i don't think it's going to be like that i think there's a lot more brand stickiness with consumers
so i i'd be interested in taking a deeper look at this thank you george for recommending it to us
do you know where they're near showing production too is this a chance to uh
is this a money thing no i have no idea i think it's somewhere in the united states i am guessing
i don't know it's interesting that they're able to make it cheaper here i think it's because of
tariffs no all right yeah it makes sense yeah and the fact that you probably don't have them
you have transportation costs as well aria any thoughts on this if not we're going to be moving
to lululemon nothing in particular but i am generally bullish on the whole nicotine pouch
uh wave i think uh definitely has a lot of room to grow i did miss out on philip morris i know
you guys definitely enjoyed some nice gains on that but uh it was all my hope and i didn't catch
it still time yeah let's hope let's let's uh pray for a pullback huh i say this now there's a tin
of zins on my desk right now as well so i'm glad the younger generation portfolio yeah
Yeah, I'm glad the younger generation is still on the nicotine pouches.
Yeah, $157 for Philip Morris International.
Who knows?
Who knows?
I hope we get a little pullback where the earnings kind of grow into this.
But, Ryan, we're running up on time.
I do want to hit some fun bubble watches after this.
Lululemon earnings, my psychological long that I've made no money on, is now working.
And we may have some forceful pressure in here with Elliott Management bringing in a
new executive yeah so lululemon reported earnings last week actually probably should have talked
about them then but we did not they the numbers were okay the the headline numbers looked better
because of a massive acceleration in china so china revenue grew 40 43 i think year over year
Does that count? Those count, right? Those sales count?
I don't know. Do they?
I think they do.
But those revenues get a discount in the eyes of the investment community here.
Right? I mean, or else we'd be valuing Chinese, or else Alibaba would be traded closer to the other hyperscalers.
Well, okay, that's fair. That's a longer discussion, but continue.
It – anyway, yes. If you're optimistic and – I think there's nothing bad about them growing in China. Like it's better than them just – if they just had the North American business, this would have been a much worse earnings report because comp sales in the US declined at their lowest rate in a decade excluding COVID.
it so comp sales are really weak in the united states right now the china business also had like
some temporary um like a holiday that was not in last year's quarter so it made it look a little
better so china accounts for 20 of the business now what i keep thinking is like i worry about
lululemon in the u.s but if they're seeing a ton of growth abroad that's great however what was
that company that just got erased from japan or from china the h&m h&m right don't say anything
you don't say anything bad about the chinese communist party ryan or you will get erased
from the internet yeah that i mean that is a concern and i think that's why investors are
somewhat skeptical about the china business for lululemon is just that they it's more at risk
and potentially less durable but the the results were fine i should say that the news that came
out i think yesterday was that elliot management the massive fund started by paul singer i don't
know if he's still involved or not interesting guy though they are taking or they have taken a
$1 billion stake in Lululemon, and they are working with former Ralph Lauren CFO and COO
Jay Nielsen as a potential candidate for the new CEO of Lululemon. Does Elliot's involvement
make you any more interested in this business? Because I'll just go ahead and give my opinion
real quick i don't think i love i love active i love activist investors usually especially in
like a software business because usually they just have to do the hard stuff that management
is unwilling to do in an apparel business i worry that paul singer and his team might not know
exactly what needs to be done in order to drive growth for for a consumer facing brand
could be right
the
you just have to get the right
creative team involved and
that's kind of describing how it's not a
wide mode business maybe this Ralph
Loren person is the right person
we'll see I think there's
just some uncertainty here but
given how the stocks reacted to these
terrible numbers excluding China
I feel like that it shows that there was
such poor expectations
for that stock and
And I should have bought, at least I bought Crocs at the same time
as my kind of apparel play that turned into a real long,
and it's done okay at kind of the same little bottom trough there.
But Lululemon, yeah, I just felt good about it.
Seven times earnings, the numbers were terrible.
And I guess the stock's working, and if they turn things around
and the numbers actually get somewhat healthy to average,
I mean, the stock's going to go up quite a bit from here.
Yeah.
I mean, it's cheap.
On trailing numbers, it is cheap.
How much of – I guess Crocs kind of has a similar exposure to China, right?
Somewhat.
It's growing quickly in China.
It's not growing as quickly.
Yeah.
Here's similar.
The Christmas list indicator.
i got some my family does like christmas lists and send each other what they want kind of thing
wow that's unsurprising didn't see much lululemon on there i did however see a whole lot of viore
and we have a comment here from tyler ferris clean house and fill up with aloe and viore execs
i fair i do think this is i don't know if they're going to be any different than what we've seen
throughout history i think they pioneered the athleisure category and now they've got a whole
bunch of copycats that are slightly better priced yeah that's fair are you are young people wearing
lululemon you have you have better boots on the ground actually this is amazing this quarter zip
is from lululemon uh so this is quite funny uh a bit too expensive uh in my opinion i uh at least
in in so i'm from toronto but uh the main sort of hot brand you know particularly more catered
towards women is uh aritzia so i believe actually no i think they're in the u.s now but uh i'm not
sure you guys have even heard of it ryan looks like yes i'm just heard of the stock yeah heard
of the stock yeah so that is kind of like the the hot uh sort of new new-ish brand like they've been
around five-ish years whatever the case is um but no i don't know just speaking based off anecdotes
i don't think lulu has the same sort of prestige that they once used to have um they make great
clothing though tell you that much yeah it feels like it's a stronger brand it's like a rising
brand among men women which is more important is not so much anymore what do we have brett for our
bubble watch because i know we're running up on time let's go through this quickly because we had
quite a few things. I think Coinbase and Robinhood are... One, Coinbase is adding
stock trading, which I think that's admitting defeat. Second, Robinhood, I think, is offering
the ability to do prediction markets within your IRA slash retirement accounts.
Feels a bit much. We have... I'm just going to roll through a bunch of these.
this is pretty much all just today uh trump media stock which i don't really know what they're doing
is merging with a fusion energy company which i think makes sense it's like two companies that
aren't actually doing anything they're kind of just shell corporations merging together to do
the same thing truth media brett it's true it's true at least there's something
fusion is for anyone that doesn't know it it's never worked whatever nasdaq is going to be
offering 23 hour trading which i'd actually like to do an extended segment on one time
because i think there could be some beneficiaries one interactive brokers robin hood all those
companies with training fees second all right i have two more here gold and silver at all-time
highs. Price of gold up 68% in the last 12 months. Silver up 126%. Okay. When I sell my business,
I want the best tax and investment advice. I want to help my kids and I want to give back
to the community. Ooh, then it's the vacation of a lifetime. I wonder if my head of office
has a forever setting. An IG private wealth advisor creates the clarity you need with
plans that harmonize your business your family and your dreams get financial advice that puts
you at the center find your advisor at idprivatewealth.com it's a fun time in markets
i would not have predicted that i know sometimes we make fun of them and call them the pet rocks but
hey nice little run this year it's a good call for any investor and last one is the outcome of
the Fermi IPO. It's one that I may have even talked about on the show. It's one I saw. I thought
this is a completely ridiculous company. It's really a lesson in red flags. The stock IPO'd
on October 1st. It's down 72%, still has a market cap of $5.4 billion. I'm going to close things
out for the listeners to read out what they do. Fermi is pioneering the development of next
generation private electric grids to deliver highly redundant power at gigawatt scale required
to create next generation artificial intelligence. It combines cutting edge technology with a deep
bench of proven world-class multidisciplinary leaders to create the world's largest 11 gigawatt
next-gen private grid anyone to guess if they're doing any of that today so what they're just a
utility private utility yeah but they're working with ex-us energy secretary rick perry ryan
they don't have any revenue it's just all theoretical oh they don't have any i was
assuming it was just like uh trying to put a spin on like a normal utility uh just riding the ai
bubble it's a new private utility for data centers for ai they also have similar similar full
disclosure i am short oklo or oklo former they also were working with former co-managing partner
of quantum energy so they got some quantum in there too which is lovely these words mean nothing
to me we are like two years into this absurd like okay i don't want to boom maybe bubble
it's like it was the same with 2021 in this back graze and how there was like all these
horrible companies that got bit up and that's that's what i would describe as the bubble
you could have your own opinions on whether or not the ai is boom or bubble but we're two years
into this and every time every single time i read a business description like this i just
toss it away instantly like that the words mean nothing to me yeah i mean let me just sum it up
the president's media company is fusion merging with a fusion energy company which doesn't do
anything 23-hour stock trading on the nasdaq gold and silver at all-time highs coinbase and robin
that are allowing you to bet on any aspect of your life 24-7
and all of these potential bubble stocks, legalese,
just going public like crazy.
I'd say it's – again, I've been saying this for the last three months.
It's time to batten down the hatches.
Opportunities may present themselves later,
but I do not know if they're presenting themselves today.
This is definitely what the founding fathers would have wanted.
An active president.
Merging with a fusion energy company.
It's entertaining.
When I saw that, Pablo, in the Wall Street Journal app, I didn't know what to say.
But I was not surprised, I guess.
It's fun, though.
All right.
We're going over time.
Arya, since you joined us today, thank you.
And tell the listeners, I know you do some videos on YouTube, Twitter, stuff.
Tell them if anyone wants to follow you, interact with you, where they can find you.
Yeah, absolutely.
Thank you guys for having me on again.
Hopefully, we could do this sometime soon.
Just Arya Radney on all socials.
I'm mainly on YouTube and Twitter.
And that is about it.
Yeah.
What's the YouTube channel called?
Just Aria Radnia now.
I simplified it.
Oh, all right.
I thought it was Investing with Aria.
Changed it.
Yeah, I changed it.
Just the name.
I'll put the direct links in the show notes on both YouTube and Spotify slash Apple.
And thank you.
We went a little long today.
Thank you for Aria for taking the time.
I guess I'll take us out of here with the disclosure.
We are not financial advisors.
Anything we say on the show is not formal advice or recommendation.
Ryan, I, or any podcast guests may hold securities discussed in this podcast,
may have held them in the past, and may buy, sell, or hold them in the future.
Thank you, everyone, for tuning into the live show.
Thank you, everyone, for listening, and we'll see you next week.
