Conversations with Tyler - Neal Stephenson on Depictions of Reality

Episode Date: July 17, 2019

If you want to speculate on the development of tech, no one has a better brain to pick than Neal Stephenson. Across more than a dozen books, he's created vast story worlds driven by futuristic technologies that have both prophesied and even provoked real-world progress in crypto, social networks, and the creation of the web itself. Though Stephenson insists he's more often wrong than right, his technical sharpness has even led to a half-joking suggestion that he might be Satoshi Nakamoto, the shadowy creator of bitcoin. His latest novel, Fall; or, Dodge in Hell, involves a more literal sort of brain-picking, exploring what might happen when digitized brains can find a second existence in a virtual afterlife. So what's the implicit theology of a simulated world? Might we be living in one, and does it even matter? Stephenson joins Tyler to discuss the book and more, including the future of physical surveillance, how clothing will evolve, the kind of freedom you could expect on a Mars colony, whether today's media fragmentation is trending us towards dystopia, why the Apollo moon landings were communism's greatest triumph, whether we're in a permanent secular innovation starvation, Leibniz as a philosopher, Dickens and Heinlein as writers, and what storytelling has to do with giving good driving directions. Read a full transcript enhanced with helpful links. Recorded June 14th, 2019 Other ways to connect Follow us on Twitter and Instagram Follow Tyler on Twitter  Follow Neal on Twitter Email us: [e-mail] Subscribe at our newsletter page to have the latest Conversations with Tyler news sent straight to your inbox. 

Conversations with Tyler is produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, bridging the gap between academic ideas and real-world problems. Learn more at Mercadist.org. And for more conversations, including videos, transcripts, and upcoming dates, visit Conversationswithtyler.com. I am here today with Neil Stevenson, who is arguably the world's greatest author of speculative fiction and science fiction. Welcome, Neil. It's good to be here.

Thanks for having me on your program. Let me start with some general questions about tech. We will get to your new book. How will physical surveillance evolve? So there's facial surveillance, gate surveillance in China, coming to many airports. What's your vision for this? When you say physical surveillance, you just mean...

They record your face, they know who you are. Actually, recording you while you're wandering around somewhere, as opposed to, like, tapping your phone, that kind of thing. And if you jaywalk, they'll find your bank account, and you'll get a text message two minutes later. Right. Right. Well, I think, you know, it's just going to be based on what people are willing to tolerate and put up with. I think there's already something of a backlash going on over the use of facial recognition in some cities in this country.

And so I think people just have to kind of be diligent and be aware of what's happening in that area and push back against it. Is there a positive scenario for its spread? for it spreading. Right. So is it possible it will make China a more cooperative place and more orderly place and in the longer run

they'll be freer or is that just not in the cards? I'm not sure if cooperative, orderly and freer are sort of compatible concepts, right? I mean, cooperative and orderly, definitely, right? I mean, it's people who are in internment camps

are famously cooperative and orderly. but I mean freedom freedom is a funny funny word it's a hard thing to talk about because you know to a degree if if this kind of thing cuts down let's say on random crime then it's going to make people effectively freer especially if you're a woman or someone who is vulnerable

to being the victim of random crime and some kind of surveillance system renders that less likely to happen, then effectively you've been granted of freedom that you didn't have before. But it's not the kind of statutory freedom that we tend to talk about when we're talking about politics and that kind of thing. Other than satellites, which are already quite proven, what do you think is the most plausible economic value to space? You know, it's tough making a really solid economic argument for space. There's a new book out by Daniel Swede. Fourez called Delta V in which he's advancing a particular argument, which is pretty

abstract idea based on how debt works and what you have to do in order to keep an economy afloat. But I think it's a thing that people need to do because they want to do it as opposed to because there's a sound business argument for it. Do you think socially we're less willing or able to do it psychologically than say in the 1960s? Well, the 60s was funny because it was a Cold War propaganda effort on both sides. The whole story of how that came about is a really wild story that begins with World War II when Hitler wants to bomb London, but it's too far away, so he has to build big rockets to do it with. And so rockets advance way beyond where they would have advanced.

had he not done that, and then we grabbed the technology, and suddenly we need it to drop H-bombs on the other side of the world. So again, trillions of dollars of money go into it, and then it becomes so dangerous that we can't actually use it for that, so instead we use that rocket technology to compete in the propaganda sphere. I once knew a kind of grizzled old veteran of that 60s space program who said that the Apollo moon landings where communism's greatest triumph. So that's how that all happened, and it happened way earlier than any kind of rational economic argument could be made for it.

And I still think it's kind of the case that if we're going to do things in space, it's more for kind of psychological reasons than it is for money reasons. If we had a Mars colony, how politically free do you think it would be? Or would it just be like perpetual martial law? Like living on a nuclear submarine? I think it would be a lot like living on a nuclear submarine because you can't, it's like being in space is almost like being in an, you know, an intensive care unit in a hospital in the sense that you're completely dependent on a whole bunch of machines working in order to keep you alive. And so a lot of what we associate with, with freedom, with personal freedom, becomes sort of too dangerous. to contemplate in that kind of environment.

Is there any Heinlein-esque-like scenario? Moon is a harsh mistress where there's a rebellion. People break free from the constraints of planet Earth. They chart their own institutions. It becomes like the settlements in the New World were. Well, the settlements in the New World, I don't think, are a very good analogy because there it was possible

if you're a white person in the New World and you kind of have some basic skills, you can go anywhere you want. And a sort of unheralded part of what happened there is that when those people got into trouble, a lot of times they were helped out by the indigenous peoples who were already there and who knew how to do stuff. And so none of those things are true in a space colony kind of environment. You don't have indigenous people who know how to get food. and how to get shelter. You don't have that ability to just freely pick up stakes and move about.

Now, you saw some of the downsides of social media earlier than most people did in Seven Eyes. It's also in your new book fall. What's the worst case scenario for how social media evolve? And what's the institutional failure? Why do many people think they're screwing things up? I think we're actually living through the worst case scenario right now. So it's kind of like, look about you. That's what we've got. I think our civil institutions were founded upon an assumption that people would be able to agree on what reality is, agree on facts, and that they would then make kind of rational good faith decisions based on that. They might disagree as to how to interpret those facts or kind of what their political philosophy was, but it was all founded on kind of a shared understanding. of reality, and that's now been kind of dissolved out from underneath us, and we don't have a

mechanism to address that problem. But what's the fundamental problem there? Is it that decentralized communications media intrinsically failed because there are too many voices? Is there something about the particular structure of social media now? I think the problem seems to be the fact that it's algorithmically driven and that there are not humans in the loop making decisions, making editorial, sort of curatorial decisions about what is going to be disseminated on those networks. And so as such, it's very easy for people who are acting in bad faith to game that system and produce whatever kind of depiction of reality best

suits them. And sometimes that may be something that drives people in a particular direction politically, but there's also just a completely nihilistic, let it all burn kind of approach that some of these actors are taking, which is just to kind of destroy people's faith in any kind of information and create a kind of gridlock in which nobody can agree on anything. So if we go back to the world of 2006, where there's Google Reader, there's plenty of of blogs, RSS is significant, algorithms are much, much less important. Does that work well in your view? Or is the problem more deeply rooted than that? Well, I think at the end of the day, people are not going to agree on facts unless there's a reason for them to do so. So I've been

talking about a really interesting book called A Culture of Fact by Barbara Shapiro, which is a sort of some of academic style book that discusses how the idea of facts kind of entered our minds in the first place because we didn't always have it. And eventually algorithms or procedures were developed that would enable people to agree on what was factual. And that had a huge impact on culture and on the economy and everything else. And now that's, as I said, going away. And the The only way to bring it back is first to have a situation where people need and want to agree on facts. Your idea of the smart book, which is in Diamond Age, do you think that will ever happen? It will be a primer that people use and it's online and it will educate them and teach them how to be more disciplined?

A lot of different people have taken inspiration from the Diamond Age and worked on various aspects of the problem. And it's always interesting to talk to them because it's sort of a classic six blind men and the elephant thing where I hear from someone who says, oh, I'm working on something inspired by the Diamond Age. And I ask them what that means to them. And it's always a little different. Sometimes it's how do we physically build something that could do what that book does. Sometimes it's how do we organize knowledge, how do we set up curricula that are adaptable to the, the needs of a particular reader.

So I think it's really not just one technology. It's a whole basket of different hardware and software technologies. And people are definitely coming at that from various angles right now. What do you think stops it from happening? We don't have the tech or just users aren't interested or what? What's the constraint? It's just kind of distributed among a large number of different projects. There's not any one big centralized, this is it kind of version of the thing, which isn't necessarily bad.

I mean, that's a great way for people to spawn a lot of ideas and do a lot of decentralized work on a project. But nothing is pulling it together into the primer. In your early novels like Snow Crash Diamond Age, it's a sense that states often have become quite weak. Do you think in reality the state has ended up staying more powerful for reasons which are surprising, or you foresaw that? I didn't, I certainly didn't foresee anything. I, in Snow Crash and Diamond Age, I'm kind of riffing on a way of thinking that I saw quite a bit among kind of basically libertarian-minded techies during the 80s and the 90s that was all about getting rid of the nation state and reducing the power of nation states. And if that was

happening, I think it got flipped in the other direction basically by 9-11. So when something like that happens, it immediately creates a desire in a lot of people's minds to return to a more centralized authoritarian nation-state kind of arrangement. And that's the trajectory that we've been on ever since. One of your very early books was called In the Beginning, Was the Command Line, About Software. How do you think that's held up? Well, if you keep in mind when it was written,

I think it's held up okay. It's a lot of what's in there is somewhat perishable. So, for example, I talk about an operating system called B-O-S, which isn't really a player anymore. So in that sense, parts of it are dated, but it's good for what it is. What will people wear in the future, say 100 years from now? Will clothing evolve at all? I think clothing is pretty highly evolved, right?

I mean, if you look at any garment like, you know, say a shirt, you know, I was ironing a shirt today in my hotel room. And, you know, it is a freaking complicated object. We take it for granted, but you think about the fabric, the way the seams are laid out. Yeah, that's just one example, of course, but you take any, you know, shirts, shoes, any kind of specific item of clothing you want to talk about. Once you sort of take it apart and look at all the little decisions and innovations that have gone into it, it's obvious that. It's obvious that people have been optimizing this thing for hundreds or thousands of years. So, I mean, new materials come along that enable people to do new kinds of things with clothing. But overall, I don't think that a lot is going to change.

Is there anything you would want smart clothing to do for you that say a better iPad could not? The thing about clothing, you know, is that you change your clothes all the time, right? And so if you become dependent on a particular technology that's built into your shirt, that's great as long as you're wearing that shirt. But then as soon as you change to a different shirt, you don't have it. And so what are you going to do? Are you going to make sure that every single one of your shirts has that same, technology built into it. It seems easier to have it separate from the clothing that you wear

so that you don't have to think about all those complications. How bullish are you on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies? Do they have some kind of killer application? Or are they a novelty? So far it seems like they're kind of a bit of a solution in search of a problem. I think that the non-monetary applications of distributed ledgers seem to be more interesting than just making money. When people want to talk to me about a new cryptocurrency, I tend not to be super interested in continuing that conversation, but when they want to talk to me about using distributed ledgers to enable some other kind of initiative, then frequently can get. very interesting indeed.

And I just had a conversation last night with a friend of mine here who's looking at a really cool, possible new application of distributed ledgers. Whether that distributed ledger is based on blockchain, I think, is a separate question. This is a blockchain seems to be a pretty complicated and expensive way of doing that. Here's a reader question, and I quote, are you in part or in whole? Satoshi Nakamoto. No, and I saw that article last week on this topic and I realized that the guy who's writing it is largely just goofing. I hope nobody takes it seriously. It's flattering that anyone imagines I've got the mathematical know-how needed to make something like blockchain, but I think if you

look at how that system works, it requires a very high degree of cryptographic knowledge and coding skill that is beyond my abilities, certainly. And I definitely do not have the lifestyle of a person who has that much money. Now, you're Neil Stevenson. What is the fundamental unique ability you have that maybe others do not? Well, I think it starts with storytelling. And the ability to tell stories in prose. And then the particular angle that I bring to that is having a background in kind of science, math, engineering that enables me to write stories that are kind of driven by those kinds of ideas and that can take advantage of inherently. interesting things that I stumble across in those areas. How did you train yourself to learn storytelling?

I think that it's a, that part of it begins with empathy because in order to tell somebody a thing, you need to know and understand what it's like to not already know that thing, which seems kind of obvious, but a little bit of a tangent here. I, for a while, my kid was on a soccer team and we had a group of parents who would organize the, you know, going to these different soccer games all over the city, each one in a different field. And so these different parents would write emails. This is kind of before mapping systems were good. So parents would take turns writing emails telling you how to get to the soccer field. and the range of skill was amazing.

You would get people who just couldn't do it, couldn't make a very simple description of how to go from point A to point B and others who wrote these amazing, almost like little short stories about it. So I started thinking about it then and thinking that the thing that distinguished the people who were good at it was that they were capable of putting themselves in the shoes of somebody who didn't know how to find that field

and imagining, you know, what it would be like to try to navigate that route. And those people were good at it. So I think that storytelling does begin with that kind of empathy. And then there's more related skills that you can pick up over time by practice, just having to do with how you organize words on a page, how you edit, how you pace things, and so on.

It seems we've entered an age of permanent secular innovation starvation. Why did that happen? I think there are a lot of institutional barriers that have arisen. A lot of it, I think, seems to be well-intentioned, but somebody was pointing out to me a little while back that the Golden Gate Bridge was built in a shockingly brief period of time compared to almost anything that we try to build today. So another good example would be the Hoover Dam, which went up in no time. It also killed a lot of people. And so as we become more cautious about not killing people, let's say, during a given project and not creating other bad side effects, that slows things down pretty radically.

and they're institutional systems in place now, most places to sort of limit those kinds of bad side effects. So it's kind of a mixed bag. If someone says, well, tying everyone together with smartphones that you can Google to any piece of information, you know, within seconds, that that was a big project, it's quite new, we succeeded at it rather spectacularly. It was not actually innovation-starvation.

What's your response? You're sort of talking about a project that I, worked on a couple years ago called Hieroglyph, which was all about this topic. And I guess my general stance on it is that, yeah, when it comes to networks, computers and so on, the amount of innovation has been unbelievable. It's just been spectacular. And it's because there's still a little friction. When you want to innovate in those areas, if you know what you're doing, you can sit down you can write some code. You can you can achieve great things just on your own or just with a small team and and then the cost of shipping that manufacturing and shipping is basically zero

because bits are free. So innovation in those areas is definitely amazing but I think it's had the side effect that if you are a kind of innovation-minded person and you want to do something new, you always end up kind of finding your way sooner or later into implementing whatever it is in software. And if you can't do it in software, then things slow to a crawl comparatively. And you've got to be ready for a lot of frustration and obstacles. Will the arrival of some future general purpose technology fix that, say robots, or is that just how the world will be forever? Well, we have to make innovation in the physical sphere into something that we're good at.

And I think that is happening. I mean, I personally enjoy working with kind of modern makerish technologies like 3D printers and other, let's call them, physical technologies that have been greatly enhanced and sped up by mixing. software into the tool chain. So that is definitely going on. But it seems to me sometimes that hobbyists, people who do things, who build things because they're passionate about it can get a lot done in a hurry, but that as soon as you start to involve capital and profit and loss statements and so on, that again, the rate of

progress can slow down quite a bit just because people are so concerned about patents and protecting IP, you know, how do we turn a profit from this? How do we create shareholder value? Given your focus on Puritans in the Baroque cycle, do you think Christianity was a fundamental driver of the industrial revolution and the scientific revolution? And that's why it occurred in northwestern Europe or not? One of the things that comes up in the book, you're talking about is the existence of certain kind of out communities that were weirdly overrepresented among people who created new economic systems, opened up new trade routes and so on. So I'm talking about Huguenots, who were the Protestants in France, who suffered a lot

of oppression, talking about the Puritans in England who were not part of the established church. And so also came in for a lot of oppression. Armenians, Jews, Parsis, various other, sort of minority communities that precisely because of their outsider minority status were forced to kind of form long-range networks and so go about things in an unconventional, innovative way. So I guess my answer is sort of cautiously yes, but maybe not in the way you're thinking. It's not the big established churches that necessarily led to this.

But it's the, and it's not Christianity per se, because not all of these people were Christians. But it's the circumstances that made it possible for these weird sort of outsider groups. to find footholds in various niches and do new things. Why did God knock down the Tower of Babel? And if we build a very, very tall building today, will he do the same again? I don't think so. It could fall over for a number of reasons, but probably not because God knocks it down. Although there's only one way to find out, I think we should totally build that tower.

I have to use this opportunity to quote Dana Boyd, she's a researcher at Microsoft Research. And I was corresponding with her last week, and she made the point that when Snow Crash talks specifically about the Tower of Babelmouth and that Dana was saying, A lot of people who started tech companies kind of were inspired and wanted to build something like the Metaverse in Snow Crash. But it turns out that instead they built the Tower of Babel. They created a situation in which we're unable to talk to each other. Here's another reader question, and I quote, The Major Stevenson Trope seems to me to be the single person or small group that is wise to tech or science. overcoming large, tech-based adversaries who are blind to their vulnerabilities,

from the hero of Zodiac to the rating team and Anatham, with many others in between. What is his theory of why large organizations are so bad at managing the low-level tech? Or is it just a literary device that does not hold true in practice? I think it's largely the latter. It's a great literary device. It's hard to write compelling story about a giant organization, but it's a lot easier to write one about a small group where you've got different personalities interacting with each other and you get to know them as individuals. So, you know, I think actual real world examples of that happening are somewhat few and far between. In the middle of all these conversations, we have a segment overrated versus underrated. I'll toss out some nominations.

You give us your response. You're free to pass. Okay. But the first one is Leibniz as a philosopher. I have to say underrated on the whole, mostly because of the backlash that he got from people like Voltaire who didn't get him and Kant, who kind of took him down. So I think he's enjoyed a resurgence more recently. but definitely underrated in the couple of centuries after he died. But given that today, there seems to be no coherent theory of quantum gravity,

is it possible that his core hypothesis of windowless monads his whole cosmology? Could it in some way turn out to just be correct? Well, there are physicists who are working on ideas that are inspired by that. it's not an idea that he reduced to a mathematical theory in the way Newton did with his. And so you have to sort of question whether it's really a theory at all or just sort of a cool idea that could lead to a theory. But I guess time will tell. Survivorists, overrated or underrated. And there's plenty in America, plenty in the Pacific Northwest, right?

Yeah, it depends on what aspects. of them we're we're rating here um i mean the uh you know i i know some and they they definitely uh have got a wide range of of skills above and beyond just shooting things with with guns um so um i don't necessarily agree with their overall take on just about anything the charles dickens novel bleak house I would say underrated because it's got just crazy random stuff in it that you almost can't believe that you're reading it. Like there's a case of spontaneous combustion. There's a character who with no warning just dies from spontaneous combustion. No explanation.

It just happens. Is Dickens an influence on you? Oh, yeah. Yeah, no, he's totally an influence as a prose stylist and as someone who's, I mean, we think of Victorian novels as a kind of stodgy old school way of writing, but he was kind of all over the map in terms of nutty random things that he would put into his books. The science fiction writer, Olaf Stapleton, underrated or overrated. Pass. The novels of Robert Heinland, are they still readable today, or are they simply of their time? Well, there's certainly of their time, but I find that of all of the science fiction writers that I read when I was a kid, his stuff has stayed with me more than others because he had this knack for capturing little moments, little human interactions and images that produced really vivid memories in my head that are still with me. Morse code, overrated or underrated.

Currently underrated, I guess, because people aren't really using it much, but very important in its time. Which ideas or which areas of life do you feel right now are not sufficiently thought about, not enough pondered? People have a hard, hard time, even pretty fairly educated, smart people have a really hard time with statistical thinking and probability. And so there's any number of, well, I mean a classic example is global climate change where people have a hard time distinguishing between climate and weather. But that's just one example of a really common thing, which is that there are a lot of things that really the only rational way to think about them is to think about them in terms of statistics.

but that just doesn't come naturally to people. Why are so many people so lonely today, as David Brooks often suggests? We have the Internet. There's more people than ever before. More people live in cities or populous suburbs. Yet. Yeah. Well, I guess I'm not convinced necessarily that they are more lonely than they were before.

I mean, that might be true. It sounds plausible, but I don't know that for a fact. definitely more traditional societies, you're kind of living together in more crowded places with family and community, which is all well and good if you happen to like those people and they treat you well. There's many cases in which that doesn't happen. And so if that's the situation you're in, then being able to live alone may be a big improvement. When a society becomes more secular, as has been happening, what replaces religion for the average person, if anything? Superhero movies?

And are those good superhero movies? Well, they're not all good, but they, I, you know, seriously think that pop culture, Lord of the Rings, is... Neil Stevenson, perhaps? Well, I don't know about him, but the Lord of the Rings, that whole world has become. something approaching a secular religion for a lot of people. It's not that they literally, some kind of literally believe it, but even those who don't draw from it a lot of the same lessons and inspirations that say a devout Christian might draw from reading the Bible.

Now, in your new book, Fall or Dodge in Hell, what do you see is the implicit theology of that book? Well, it's based on the question of, could it be the case that the world we live in is a digital simulation, which is something that people have pondered. And what happens in the book is that a new digital simulation is created as a sort of digital afterlife for people to live in. And it raises the question of, you know, is it turtles all? the way down. Are we living in a digital simulation and creating our own digital simulations inside of it? And if so, you know, how deep does that stack go? What happens when these people begin, these dead people begin to create a virtual world to live in in the afterlife is that they end up

recapitulating a lot of the myths and the legends and the religious tropes. This, that they sort of dimly remember from this world. So it gets to the question of, do we have a psychological need for those things such that when they're taken away from us, we have to kind of rebuild them from scratch. What do you think of the Bayesian argument that we probably are, in fact, living in a simulation,

that if every society of a sufficiently advanced level creates a large number of simulations and you work back using the Bayesian calculus, then we're probably in one. We're more likely simulated than a future simulator, or maybe we're both, but at least we are in a simulation. Well, I'm not sure if it makes a difference, right?

I mean, we're definitely here either way. So it's definitely an interesting notion, and in a way it's the jumping off point for fall or dodge in hell. I also drew a lot of ideas from a book by David Deutsch called The Fabric of Reality, which talks about a number of things, but one of the things he talks about is how much computing power would be needed to simulate the universe that we see around us to a full level of fidelity, such that we never see glitches, we never see anything that's imperfectly rendered.

And you sort of heads in the direction of saying that it would, would take the entire universe to do that. That's in essence like the medieval cosmological argument that we're all a simulation in the mind of God, and that is the universe. Yeah. And it's all devoted to a kind of calculation of what we are ontologically so and necessarily so. Yeah.

So it's that kind of recast in a more physics-based computer science-based mold. And if you were somehow convinced that was true or thought it very likely to be true, would it change anything in your being? behavior? I don't know. I think a lot of this kind of philosophizing can just have the effect of pulling you back, zooming out from the day to day. Particulars of your life and thinking about things in a more detached, let's say, maybe calmer frame of mind. What's your favorite poem by John Milton? Well, Paradise Lost is the basis really for fall. or Dodge and Hill.

And so that's the, I mean, that's the big one. It's almost, seems weird to call it just a poem because it's a book-length poem, but it is a poem. And he was a really interesting cat. John Milton had a very strange life and produced a really strange and interesting poem. Do you agree that Satan has all the best lines in the poem and that he's a pretty sympathetic character?

Well, that's what makes the Paradise Law so interesting is that Milton was a sincere Christian, and yet when you read the thing, Satan and the other fallen angels are highly relatable. I mean, they talk and act and are motivated by considerations that we all kind of can recognize and sympathize with. and the good guys, God and Jesus and so on, up in heaven are kind of boring, as they would be. I mean, how do you, you know. Jesus doesn't even seem that important in the book. Yeah. For an English Christian of that time.

Right. I mean, he hasn't been born yet. So it's a very strange, it's thousands of years in the future that Jesus is going to become Jesus. You know, he's a son of God who hangs out in heaven. And we kind of know, spoiler alert, that who he's going to end up being. But in Paradise Lost, he doesn't have a lot to do. Samuel Johnson once said that when you read Paradise Lost, there is no man who wishes it were longer than it is.

Basically, he was happy when it finished. Even if you think it's a great work, do you agree with Johnson? Yeah, I think that's a fair statement. You know, it's work. I mean, it's not just a sort of beach read by any stretch of the imagination. You have to kind of, you know, beads of sweat pop out in your forehead as you make your way through this thing. Because you've got to really get it, you've got to appreciate all of the beautiful language that he's using. And it is beautiful, but, you know, you've got to read the thing line by line.

Now, both philanthropy and the idea of being frozen or held in suspended animation or themes in the book, is it a problem if there's a future world where you've saved some assets? You simply, you know, freeze yourself in some manner, turn off for 400 years, and you wake up and you're a megatrillionaire? Is that a sustainable equilibrium if a lot of people are doing it? Or is it just a wonderful thing? We all get to be megatrillionaires. Yeah, yeah, why not?

Why not just do that, right? and yeah, just take a little time out and wake up and be rich. Well, I mean, it gets to the question of excess wealth in general and, you know, what is it good for? So there's, you know, we're hearing now what we've all kind of suspected, which is that wealthy individuals and corporations have amassed just enormous amounts of cash that in a lot of cases is just sitting around not doing anything because you can only spend money so fast. So beyond a certain point, having more of it

doesn't really change your life. You can't, even if you want to give it all away, you need to do that in a thoughtful and competent, you know, an accountable way. And that means you've got to find people that you can trust to handle that responsibility and there aren't enough of those people. But maybe the privilege of the future

will be the wealthy become sleepers and they become far wealthier. Someone still has to keep on working for the rate of return on their assets to be positive. Yeah. But that would be the new split in society, a bit like Wells's, you know, Morlocks, the people living above and below the earth,

but it would be sleepers versus non-sleepers. And the non-sleepers would always be wanting to rebel and the sleepers would have to set up something to control them before they went to sleep. Right. Yeah, there's a, there's definitely room for us of like Kafka-esque novel there about someone who's working as an accountant for an asset manager for a bunch of dead people. And that's their whole existence. But there was a similar question that was raised a few months ago. I saw someone, a bunch of these super wealthy

people had started thinking about how to make preparations for, you know, the fall of civilization. How do we, you know, we can build bunkers. We can, you know, stockpile supplies and weapons and kind of set up a survivalist kind of system to live in. But at the end of the day, we have to have people to help. We have to have soldiers, you know, we need manpower. and how do you, if you're that rich person, how do you make sure that they don't just take all your stuff? And it's a, it's not an obvious, there's not an obvious answer to that.

Are there any of your fictional worlds you actually would want to live in? Hmm. Well, I find it fascinating to go back to the era of the Baroque cycle, just because so much was going on there. I'd want to definitely take all my vaccinations and bring some antibiotics with me if I could, but that would be a really cool world to see. But if your first choice is to go back to this world of extreme poverty, does that mean that you too are a kind of dystopian writer in a way that you've said other people

have created dystopias? Dysopia is an interesting idea because a lot of times what science fiction writers are really doing is writing a kind of metaphorical story about the present. And so I think that we're in a dystopia now in a lot of ways. I mean, there's a lot of things have gotten better, but what's happening politically right now, what's happening socially, is definitely trending in a dystopian way.

So that's what we should be, I think, concerned about right now. What's the thing that's getting worse socially? The, just the fragmentation, the thing we talked about earlier, the people no longer having a common basis to have conversations with each other. But is that kind of fragmentation bad? If we can run a society on less consensus, because it somehow is more robust. Say we all get transfers from a central authority. We don't want to knock over the apple cart. And then we each go our own merry ways and we talk to people who are in our niche, but otherwise there's no common conversation like on network TV. Does that have to be so bad? Well, I guess we're going to find out because that's where we're going.

And so, you know, it is an odd thing that we've seen the normal expectations and standards of how the constitutional system of checks and balances is supposed to work. That's completely the wheels have just come up. off in the last couple of years and no one in a position of power seems to be capable or willing to do anything about it. And yet, day-to-day life seems to go on without any obvious change. You can read that as we're in the calm before the storm and it's all going to just collapse pretty soon or, you know, maybe this is how things are now that DC is just a kind of side show, and it doesn't matter. Now, you grew up in Ames, Iowa. Is that correct? That's correct.

When it comes to the Midwestern College Town, has that itself become a dystopia? So some critics charge, well, they're engines of inequality, they're more racially segregated than they used to be college towns, or is the Midwestern College Town a dream that's still pretty much alive and well? I think it's as close to a utopian society as I'm aware of actually happening. I mean, it's definitely, it's fair to say that the racial balance doesn't reflect that of the country as a whole, but there's, it's more racially diverse than the surrounding countryside, let's say. When I was growing up there, it was a very flat income distribution. I mean, there were a few people that were considered to be wealthy because they drove

Cadillacs instead of Chevroles. Maybe sometimes they would go to Colorado and go skiing. So that was extreme wealth where I grew up. And the emphasis on education was so transformative of that whole kind of culture in those towns. Everything's pretty simple, everything's cheap, everything's easy in a lot of ways. And a lot of those towns still have those characteristics. Now, for our final segment, we turn to what I call the Neil Stevenson production function, your life, how you got to be what you are. How did partaking in construction work help your writing?

By taking my mind off of writing for several hours a day. So it's an activity that requires focus and attention. You can't just drift off while you're doing it. So it occupies the kind of front room of your brain for a while and allows interesting, creative things to happen in the back. Did driving a funeral car help your writing? Well, that was before I was doing a lot of riding. I was delivering chairs, rental chairs for a funeral home and kind of rattling around town in a 1948 Chevy pickup. This was in, this was like the late 1970s, so it was a pretty old vehicle. And it did sort of give me freedom to roam around and to interact with a bunch of people, basically anybody in town who needed to rent chairs. When it comes to swords, what is your dream?

My dream is to be good at it, which I'm not. It's actually been a really interesting thing to pursue in that it's informative to spend so much time working on something and still be so bad at it. What would you do if you didn't write? I would probably have ended up working in some kind of tech company. I would probably have ended up writing code somewhere and then over time I would have migrated into something that was a little more physical, actually building robots or something that had code in it.

And if you meet a tech person and they're thinking of becoming a writer, what's the question they should ask themselves as to whether they should do tech or writing? How much money is in your bank account? It's a terrible choice economically. If you've got an actual career in tech, then that probably means financial security and then some. and it's extremely unlikely that you'll be able to have anything like that level of income if you're starting out as a writer. As a writer of speculative fiction, you almost certainly have a very large number of white male nerds as your fans.

It would appear so. But that aside, what do you think is a common element that binds a lot of your readers together, either demographically or mentally or emotionally? It seems to be this desire and willingness to spend a lot of time in a big story world. And so I also see a lot of people in the military who are readers of these books. I signed a copy of Snow Crash last night that had been around the world a couple of times in nuclear submarines. I've talked to people who read these books in Afghanistan.

So there are big books. There's a lot in them. You kind of need to have the time and the willingness to kind of sit back for a while and be immersed in a big story universe in order to enjoy these books. And what else do you think that's correlated with, that desire to spend a lot of time in a story world? What are the other empirical correlates? So people in the military, maybe people,

nuclear submarines. Yeah, people in tech. I think it's just people who think about things, who have a kind of complicated inner life and who derive satisfaction from reading big stories with lots of ideas in them. Now, a lot of writers and also science fiction authors, they seem to become less visionary as they age. That doesn't seem to have happened to you. How would you account for that? Well, it may be economic pressures in some ways. If your livelihood derives from working on a particular series of books and there's an expectation from your publisher that that's what you're going to do, then that's what you're going to do. So you might still be visionary, but that's kind of not where the money is.

So that might be part of it, but beyond that, you know, it's hard to speculate. What's the worst aspect of marketing a book? I actually enjoy book tours more than people assume that I do. So it's not that. But overall, I would say it's the – none of it's terrible. But if you're asking me to pick out one thing that doesn't agree with me, it's just that there's a lot of – in a run-up to the publication of the book, there's a lot of little interruptions that happen that basically make it impossible for me to work on writing the next book.

Last two questions. First, what is your most unusual writing habit? I don't know if it's unusual, but kind of a peculiarity is that when I stop writing for the day, which usually happens at something like 11 in the morning, and I... And you're starting around when? Oh, maybe 8. Okay. As I'm walking around, for the next 15 minutes or so, sentences will come into my head that are, by and large, they're the best sentences.

and so I've learned to carry a recorder with me. Now it's just the voice recorder app on my phone because I know that if I jump in the car and start driving somewhere, I'm going to have a few of these lines that I don't want to lose. And finally, what is it you think you'll do next? The writing-wise, I've got a couple of ideas that I've been working on for a while, And so what I need to do is go home and calm down.

It takes a while. Like after my first book tour, I think it was six months before my eyelid stopped twitching. So I need to kind of calm down, get back to normal and then take a good look at this project I've been thinking about and figure out how to reboot it. Neil Stevenson, thank you very much. It's good to be here. Thanks. Thanks for listening to Conversations with Tyler. You can subscribe to the podcast in iTunes, Stitcher, or your favorite podcast app. And if you like this podcast, please consider rating it on iTunes and leaving a review.

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