Daniel and Kelly’s Extraordinary Universe - How many generations of stars will there be?
Episode Date: October 7, 2021Daniel and Jorge break down the life cycle of stars and estimate how many more stars will be born in our Universe. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystud...io.com/listener for privacy information.
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Hey, it's Horhe and Daniel here, and we want to tell you about our new book.
It's called Frequently Asked Questions About the Universe.
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So get your copy of Frequently Asked Questions About the Universe.
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Hey, Daniel, how far back do you know your family story?
Oh, you mean like where my family comes from?
Yeah, you know, like how many generations back do you know?
Well, actually.
met my great-grandfather when I was a kid. And I know some family history back a couple more
generations than that. So I guess that makes like four or five generations. How about you?
That's pretty good. I actually have only met my grandparents. They're the four of them. But then it
gets a little fuzzy. You know, they're all immigrants. And we know at least one future generation.
I mean, like our kids. Yes. Children are the future. And hopefully there are enough future generations
that one day we become fuzzy memories. Well, I'm not sure if I will have great grandkids, but if I do,
I'm sure they'll remember us, right? They can always listen to this podcast.
If nothing else, they'll remember us as a cautionary tale.
Assuming they care.
Hi, I'm Horham, a cartoonist and the creator of PhD comics.
Hi, I'm Daniel. I'm a particle physicist, but I'm the first person in my family.
family to get a Ph.D. You're the first doctor or the first academic doctor? I'm definitely the first
doctor of any kind in my direct line. There is another Daniel Whiteson out there somewhere who I think
has a degree. Oh, interesting. It's like your long-loss twin, maybe? Another version of the
multiverse version of you. There's another Daniel Whiteson, which is a distant cousin of mine who's an
excellent artist and lives in London, actually. Oh, you should switch places. Sounds like he has a
cooler life. I'm pretty happy with my situation.
thanks very much. Do you think you'll be the last PhD in your family?
I don't know. My brother got a PhD, but that might be it. I'm not sure which direction
my kids are headed. But anyways, welcome to our podcast, Daniel and Jorge,
explain the universe, a production of I-Hard Radio. In which we sum up the knowledge and the
thinking of many, many generations of deep thinkers and scientists and philosophers and
explorers who are trying their hardest to understand this incredible, beautiful universe that we find
ourselves in. We talk about everything that we know about science, things that we don't know about
science, the way the universe works and the way the universe definitely doesn't work. We talk about
the latest results, the craziest thought experiments, and everything in between, and throw
in a few banana jokes to keep you awake. And hopefully not to slip you up, but it is a pretty big
universe, pretty amazing, and science has discovered a lot about it. We know a lot about how the
universe started, how it's evolved, and what explains everything we see today. And a big job of science
is also to think about the future and what's going to happen to this crazy cosmos.
That's right, because one thing we know about the universe for sure is that it's not static.
It's not just hanging out like this forever.
It's evolving.
It's not quite alive, but it's definitely developing and changing and has different modes to it.
Yeah, the universe hasn't always been the way it is right now, and it's not going to be the same wave in the future.
It's always changing, evolving, and growing, hopefully getting more mature.
Do you think the universe is getting more mature?
I'm not sure it's getting better behaved, but it's definitely getting older, if that's what you mean.
It's still getting to trouble.
Is you thinking the universe learns its lessons?
I'm not sure who's teaching the universe anything.
But I think it's fun to realize that the universe seems sort of static on our time scale.
Like the universe is not going to look any different the day you die than the day you are born,
but that these processes are happening on a much, much longer time scale.
And that if you look at the universe over like millions of years or billions of years,
or billions of years, it's very much dynamic.
It's changing.
It's growing.
It's evolving.
It's going to look very different at 5 billion years than it does today.
Yeah, or not even billions of years, like millions of years.
I mean, the Earth looked a lot different.
And even our solar system looked pretty different, right?
Even a few million or hundreds of millions of years ago?
Yeah, that's something we're learning about.
You know, the planets are doing a dance where they're moving in and they're moving out.
And we think maybe Jupiter spent some time near the sun and then Saturn swooped in and saved it
and pulled it back out to the colder parts of the solar.
system where it can survive.
So there's definitely a lot of stuff going on.
If you looked at the solar system or our galaxy on like a super time lapse,
you would think it was crazy.
Yeah, it's a big action movie,
but only if you hit the fast forward button a couple of times.
And then don't forget to rewind it before you return the tape.
Just, you know, be kind.
Hopefully some people out there get that joke.
Probably not if you're under 30 or 35.
You would get that.
At least, I guess maybe what's the equivalent now?
You had to take it off your Netflix queue, maybe, as a courtesy to nobody.
But yeah, it's a big beautiful universe.
And we often wonder what's going to happen in the future and in particular to the things we see around us.
You can think about the sort of age and cycle of the stuff around us.
Not just the planets are spinning around the sun, but the solar system itself is moving around the galaxy.
It takes like 250 million years to do one loop around the center of the galaxy for the sun to orbit the center of the
galaxy and came back to where it started. So from that point of view, you know, the galaxy itself
is not that old. Like it hasn't done that many spins. It's like, you know, 30 to 40 galactic
years old. It's still searching for itself, maybe. It still hasn't figured out what it wants
to do with the rest of its life. It's like running through cosmic fields towards the
endromeda galaxy. This is going to be a very dramatic moment there where they both learn who they
really are. They're going to find themselves. You're going to become one with the cosmos. And with
each other. Exactly. And then within those galaxies, there's stuff happening. Stars are being
born. Stars are dying and exploding. There's all sorts of crazy stuff. Yeah, stars are probably
the thing that people most notice or think about even when they think about space and the entire
universe. And it's a big part of the universe. There are a lot of stars out there. And we kind of have
to ask what's going to happen to all those stars eventually in the near future and forever, perhaps.
Yeah, because stars do not live forever. Some of them last millions of years.
some billions of years, some potentially trillions of years,
but there are stars that formed and burned and died
even before our solar system came to be.
The things that you and I are made out of
and that our solar system are built out of
are remnants of ancient stars,
which shine to the universe and no longer exist.
So we can look into the past and think about
like how many generations of stars
have there been so far that burned and died
before we even came to being.
Yeah, it's kind of like people, you know,
we humans have generations
that come and go
and each time
they're a little bit different
hopefully.
And if we're made of star dust
then by analogy
are you made out of
grandparent dust?
Yeah.
Yeah.
So there have been
a lot of generations
of stars
since the beginning
of the universe
and so today
we'll be tackling
the question
how many generations
of stars
will there be?
I guess, Daniel,
that number could be finite.
Is that the idea?
Like maybe they're
aren't that many generations of stars that can happen? Or is that number infinite perhaps?
Yeah, exactly. That's what we're going to dig into. There's a lot of different ideas about the
future of the universe and how this might happen. A lot of things we still don't even really
understand about the conditions for star formation, where it's happening in the universe, where it's
not happening in the universe, and all that's going to come together to give us a picture for how many
times stars can burn and then explode and reform. Yeah. I guess it's interesting what you said earlier
is that maybe a lot of people don't realize
that stars kind of have a lifespan, right?
Like, you know, the sun is not going to be there forever.
It wasn't always there since the beginning of time.
It sort of came about at some point in the past
and it's not going to be there forever into the future.
And in its place, maybe there'll be another star.
Exactly.
The sun came around sort of late in the universe.
You know, universe 14 billion years old,
the sun is only like four and a half billion years old.
So there was nine or so billion years of stuff happening in the universe.
before our son even existed, right?
That's a lot of time for stuff to happen.
Stars formed and died.
And then our star formed from the leftover bits of other stars.
And also, you know, untouched material from the Big Bang.
And our son will not last forever.
It's only got a five more billion years or so.
And so it's a fun question to think about like,
how many times can you gather stuff together to make stars,
burn it, blow it up again, and then repeat.
Can you do that forever?
Or is there some fundamental limit?
to how many times the universe can get bright.
Yeah.
And if we run out of generations of stars,
well, does that mean the universe will be dark forever?
It's at the end of light of sunny days in the universe.
That's a dim weather forecast, man.
I know.
It's a cloudy future.
Zero percent chance of radiation forever.
You won't need sunblocks.
That's a positive.
Don't invest in sunscreen companies, people.
At least not in the billion-year bond market.
But anyways, we're wondering how many people out there
had thought about this idea of solar or star generations
and how many there will be in the future?
So as usual, Daniel went out there and asked people,
how many generations of stars do you think there will be?
And as always, I am deeply grateful to those of you
who are willing to answer these crazy questions online.
If you'd like to hear your voice speculating
on difficult physics questions on the podcast,
please write to us to questions at danielandhorpe.com.
Here's what people had to say.
I think I heard somewhere there's been three generations of stars.
So if we're supposed to, the universe is supposed to last for billions of years more, at least four or five more?
I'd say possibly an unlimited amount of generations.
We don't really know what's going to happen in the future exactly.
You might.
You're smarter than me.
But, yeah, I don't know.
I don't know.
It depends if the time is infinite.
I don't know.
Probably they can be a lot, a lot of generations.
11.
Why?
I just think that.
Okay.
How many generations of stars will there be?
I think, so I know that we've got the original and then we've got the next generation.
I'm going to say we're going to have all the generations of stars.
I have no idea.
Well, we're in the third generation.
of star at the moment, even though this generation is called Population 1, I bet Jorge has something
fun to say about that naming logic. But I'm not sure how much of the matter in the universe
has now been used to create stars. So let's say it's 10%. I'm not sure it is, but let's say it's 10%.
And we're three generations into the universe. So 10 times as many, let's say 30 generations.
I've thought about this, because we know how long the year.
universe is going to last and how long it's going to be dense enough for new star formation our
sun is like four billion years old and the universe is like 14 so maybe there's been two or three
generations there and sun's got another four billion years left and it's kind of an average star
oh so maybe that's we're just on the second generation right now so maybe 10 more generations
That's my best guess.
Or 500 billion seems like a good number of star generations.
I mean, if we're taking the average lifespan of a star to be somewhere around 5 billion years.
And at some point, you know, all the stars exploding are decaying.
So we're going to kind of reach a point where gas and dust is too spread out to create more stars.
Yeah, we're going to reach a plateau.
So I'm just going to guess 500 billion years.
I guess infinite until the universe ends because, and you can't really count them because different star generations end at different times because the lifespans of stars are so different.
All right. A lot of guessing. I mean, everyone seemed to have sort of an idea maybe. They're like three, infinite.
500 billion. I like that as a guess. That's a good guess.
They said that sounds like a good number. Like, why not?
Like a good number.
Yeah.
Next time they ask me if I'd like a raise, I'll say, yeah, you know what?
500 billion seems like a good number.
Pennies or centi dollars?
Nano dollars or something.
All right.
So that's a pretty interesting question.
How many generations of stars will there be?
Are we going to have stars until the end of time?
Or are we going to run out of fuel or ability to form new stars eventually in the future?
Start us off, Daniel.
I guess, how do you define a generation of a star and how did those kind of come about?
Yeah, it's a good question.
question, how do you even define a generation of a star? It's actually not that easy to like
crisply say what generation a star is in because every star is made out of a bunch of material
that just happened to be around. And some of it could be like leftover pristine material from
the Big Bang and other bits could have been in other stars. But I think it's important to
understand this sort of process of how stars are formed and then burn and then die so we can
think about how often that can happen. And so, you know, the way that stars form,
is that you have these big clumps of gas and dust,
these things like these giant molecular clouds.
And I think the thing that people might not realize
is that for stars to form, you need cold stuff.
Because what you need is gravity to pull this stuff together.
Remember that stars are a delicate balancing out between gravity
that's trying to pull things together to make it more dense and pressure
that's like resisting being compacted too much.
But gravity is really weak.
So to get a star to form,
you need like a really pretty cold, pretty huge clump of stuff near each other.
And it gathers together to form a star and reach that critical density where fusion can start.
So you need to start with something like 10 to 20 degrees Kelvin.
And it has to be cold because if it's too hot, it won't clump together.
Like it'll just kind of keep missing itself and it won't compress.
Yeah, because if it's too hot, that means the particles are moving around too fast.
And so gravity just can't slow them down.
Exactly. So they need to be like basically motionless so that gravity can gently tug on them and pull them together into a star.
If it's too hot, it just won't happen.
Right. And we've talked about in other episodes about how you need like a certain minimum amount of stuff, right?
Like more than Jupiter's worth of stuff. And also it's about kind of the kind of stuff it is, right?
Like the only certain kinds of stuff will clump and form into a star.
Yeah. In order to get fusion going, you need like at least like 80 times the mass.
of Jupiter. You can get clumps forming that are smaller than that. They just won't necessarily start
fusion. But typically these clouds where stars are formed are like a thousand light years long and they
have a huge amount of material like thousands to millions times the mass of our sun. And inside that you
have like denser regions, which astronomers refer to by the technical word clumps. And then inside that
are like slightly denser regions they call cores. And that's usually where stars are actually
formed. But it's not something we understand in great detail. You know, like what actually makes
those cores, what triggers them to collapse into a star. Some people think like a nearby supernova
has to come through and the shockwave there can trigger the collapse to make the star. But you're
right. It can also be a variety of material. But you know, when the big bang happened, it made
mostly hydrogen. And so most of the stuff in the universe is still hydrogen. There's a little bit of
helium also. And so most of the stars in the universe are made of mostly hydrogen and helium.
And then there's heavier stuff.
Right.
And it's important that it's hydrogen or helium because those are sort of the lightest elements, right?
And so to make a proper star, you need fusion.
And so it's easier to sort of merge together the lighter elements than it is to merge together
like the heavy elements.
That's right.
To fuse hydrogen, you need a lower temperature than you do to fuse helium, which is a lower
temperature than you need to fuse lithium, et cetera, et cetera.
So if you want to start a sun, you better start with a lot of hydrogen.
And something I think is funny is that astronomers,
refer to anything that's not hydrogen or helium as a metal, by which I think they just mean like,
oh, this is a serious, heavy element. But, you know, like chemists or like oxygen is not a metal.
You know, carbon is not a metal. But according to astronomers, it's helium, hydrogen, or metals.
It's like there's only three elements on the periodic table for astronomers.
Hydrogen, helium, and metal.
That's it.
It's sort of like musical taste.
Like someone who's really into classical music thinks anything not classical is like heavy metal.
Intense. That's right. It's either Mozart or it's hip hop, exactly.
Yeah, so you need a lot of hydrogen and helium, which is good because the universe started
with a whole bunch of hydrogen and helium, right? But you can also make, like if I have a whole
bunch of oxygen, can I make a star out of just oxygen? You could make a star out of just oxygen.
And if you had enough of it and it was cold enough and near enough to itself, then it could
pull itself together with gravity and you could even, you know, get oxygen fusion happening to
make heavier stuff. That certainly is possible. Could that happen naturally? It wouldn't happen
naturally because the amount of oxygen in the universe is tiny compared to the other stuff in the
universe. So, you know, most of the stuff in the universe still hydrogen. You know, we've been burning
stars for billions of years to make, quote unquote, metals like oxygen, but we haven't made that
much progress. You know, it's still overwhelmingly hydrogen. So you make a random star, it's going to be
mostly hydrogen and helium. Now, the like fraction of metals in star,
has been increasing as the universe goes up just because there's more of that stuff around.
But to get like a star-sized blob of oxygen by itself, that's never going to happen.
Well, I mean, I guess in an infinite universe somewhere it's happening.
Right.
Or like we could maybe engineer it maybe somehow.
Does that sound like a fun project to you?
Let's make an oxygen star.
Why don't you do that?
What are you doing this weekend?
Oh, I got some, you know, house projects going and make an oxygen star.
Yeah, I clean my bathroom and also make a star.
All right. So then that's kind of how a star's form. And I think we've talked in other episodes about kind of what happens then, right? Like eventually all of that hydrogen and helium merges into heavier elements and those merge into even heavier elements. And at some point, the star burns out or kind of implodes, right? There's a couple of possibilities there.
Yeah. As fusion happens, it creates heavier elements. And those heavier elements are then fuel for the next round of fusion, which are fuel for the next round of fusion. But at some point, it stops. When you get up to.
iron, then iron can't fuse and create energy. If you fuse iron and iron, you actually lose
energy. And so that cools down the star. And so it's sort of like it creates ash and eventually
it snuffs the star out. And so the star is no longer able to resist the gravitational forces
because it's not producing enough radiation pressure to resist that collapse. And then depending on the
mass of the star, it either, you know, just like cools down into a white dwarf or maybe it goes
supernova and blows its material out, or maybe it goes supernova and the core becomes a black hole.
Depends on exactly how much stuff you started from. But yeah, eventually stars do fizzle out.
Right. So a star is born, it lives and it dies, and that's one generation of star. And then how would
the next generation of star form then if it just snuffs out or if it turns into a black hole?
Because it doesn't capture all of the materials into the star and sort of hold onto them forever.
even in the scenario where you create a black hole,
a large part of the material of the original star is blown out into the universe.
Like our sun, for example, it won't go supernova and it won't go into a black hole,
but still it's going to have this big red giant phase when it's burning helium
and it puffs up to be really, really huge and a lot of the material gets really dispersed
and then it blows that stuff out into the universe.
So when you end up with like a core that's left over from a star,
doesn't have all the material of the star.
Some of the stuff from the star is blown out into the universe
and then can get remixed into the basic ingredients of hydrogen and helium
to form the next stars.
So that's how you can sort of recycle material that's made in a star
into other future stars or planets or people.
Oh, I see.
It's like when a star dies, most of its materials go out back into space.
Like you compost it kind of, you know,
you don't throw it all in the trash.
You know, it doesn't all get buried in a coffin.
is put back into the soil.
Yeah, some of it is sort of lost to black holes
or maybe to a white dwarf
that eventually will cool into a black dwarf
and can't really be used again.
But a lot of it is tossed back out there
as fodder or ingredients for the next generation of stars
which will have a higher metal percentage
than the previous generation,
just because this star has now made more metals
out of the raw ingredients.
Right, there'll be heavier metal, more extreme.
But I guess, you know, one question I have
is like, you know, stars are so far apart, like, do you actually get mixing of like, you know,
leftover stuff from one star, mixing with leftover stuff from another star? Or is it mostly like
it all stays within the same, you know, recycling's area? Stars are far apart, but you know,
they tend to be made in clumps. So you have like stellar nurseries, these big gas clouds where
stars are made. And those gas clouds are collected both from like the interstellar medium and
the intergalactic medium and also from old stars. So,
Along a long time scale, this stuff really does move around and gather.
And so stuff doesn't just like stay in one place.
There are flows and ebbs and currents of all of this stuff.
All right.
Well, so that's one generation of a star.
And so you can have multiple generations as the stars and the stuff goes out and it comes back in.
And so let's talk about how many generations there have been of stars in the universe.
And then let's talk about what the future holds.
But first, let's take a quick break.
Get fired up, y'all.
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All right, how many star generations have there been and will there be in the universe?
Daniel, we talked about one generation of a star, and we know that a star eventually dies and all this stuff kind of goes out into space.
and then it maybe gets combined
and then that stuff then by gravity, I guess,
it cools off and then comes together again
and then maybe it ignites
and then creates a new generation of a star.
But eventually that star will die.
And this happens over, I guess, millions of years or billions of years?
It depends a lot on the size of the star.
So a larger star will burn hotter
because its core has a lot more pressure on it,
so its temperature is higher.
So it burns through its material,
much, much faster. So the bigger the star, the shorter its lifespan. Like, if a star is a few hundred
times the mass of the sun, it might only live like two to five million years. If a star is really,
really small, like much smaller than the mass of the sun, like right on the threshold,
it might burn for a trillion years. Whereas our star, you know, the sun is going to burn for about
10 billion years. So the serving size you get at the very beginning totally determines how long
you will burn for.
Interesting.
Sort of like rock stars.
Some of them, you know,
flame out after one album and some of them have a long and a nice career.
I guess Bob Dylan is very low mass, right?
Because he's like on album 50.
Yeah.
Whereas, you know, Rigasli was a supernova.
But so you're telling me that each generation of a star,
there's sort of no fixed time period.
Like in human years, you can think of a generation as being roughly, I don't know,
30, 40 years.
But in a star, it could be like one year or 100 years.
Yeah, but it is sort of similar to humans, right?
Some humans live a long time and have kids in their 90s like Charlie Chaplin.
Some people have kids when they're teenagers.
And so over 50 years, you might have like three generations.
It's sort of similar with stars.
And that's what I was saying earlier, it's not exactly clear, you know, to say like which generation a star is in.
Because they can have material from all sorts of sources, including two generation stars or three generation stars or even pristine material left over from the Big Bang.
So it's tricky, but you can sort of organize roughly into a few generations when we look back into the cosmic history.
You mean sort of like on the average or maybe just looking at like our sun, we know how many generations it's at?
Yeah, well, we don't know actually how many generations the history of our sun features because in theory you could have a series of really, really massive stars, hundreds and hundreds of times the mass of the sun that die and burn out and die and burn out, die and burn out.
you could have, you know, material that's been in a hundred of those stars that's around there
in the universe right now. So we don't actually know for any given piece of material how
many stars it's been in. What we can do is look at the stars we see in our galaxy and in other
galaxies. And we notice something interesting. We notice sort of like two rough populations of
stars, stars that seem to be sort of a lot older and have less metals in them. And then star that tend
to be younger and bluer and hotter and have more metals in them.
But then each of those would be in a sort of different generation, right?
Like some of it might be, you know, 110th generation and some of it might be, you know, 15th or 5.
That's right.
But the interesting thing about these two populations, so we have like the older ones and the younger ones.
The older ones we call population two stars is that they all seem to be really, really old.
They all seem to have formed like 11, 12, 13 billion years.
years ago and to still be around. So those stars probably are a second generation stars at most
because they formed very, very early on in the universe and they're still around. So that limits
like how many generations of stars there could be before them. The other population of stars we see,
which we call population one, they're still forming today. Oh, I see. You're sort of categorizing
what you see out there in the universe. You're not categorizing by generation. You're just sort of
looking out there and categorizing by age.
wow, those over there look pretty young, so they must be later generation, but these over here
look really old, so they must be kind of like one of the OG generation. Yeah, it's just like
looking at humans. You're like, well, this bunch of people all are similar and come from a similar
era and act the same way. So we'll call them boomers, right? And these folks will call Gen Zers.
And, you know, there's not a crisp delineation between generation, between millennials and Gen Xers
and whatever. But it's sort of a rough rule of thumb, especially when we look out there, we notice
just like we notice in human populations, these sort of clusters of stars that have similar
property.
All right.
So then you can categorize kind of by age out there by what we see right now.
And so step us through what are the different populations?
So what we've seen are these two populations, population one and population two.
And these are historical names given by a German astronomer back in the 40s when he was
looking at these stars and he saw that a bunch of them were bluer stars.
And these were tend to be like in the galactic disk, right?
far from the center, and that closer to the center, you had more red stars. So we called them
Population 1 and population 2. He didn't understand at the time what it meant that population
two stars were probably much, much older, and population 1 stars were more recent. But we know that now.
And it makes sort of sense because, you know, as stars live in the galaxy, they tend to slow down
in their orbit and sort of fall towards the center. So the center of the galaxy is mostly these older
stars that formed like, you know, 11, 12, 13 billion years ago and they have less metals in
them than the other stars because they were formed in the time when the universe had less metal
in it.
It was more hydrogen.
So those are the population two stars.
They tend to be like making up the bulge of the galaxy.
And then also they're in these weird globular clusters that sort of orbit the galaxy that we
had a whole fun podcast episode about.
I guess maybe a question is how do we know how old they are and how do we know how much
metal is in them? Like is it from like the spectrum of the light that comes from them or the distance?
Like do we know their age from how far they are or like how can we tell their age? And is that polite to ask?
That's a little tricky their age. What you can do is you can look at the color of the star.
Stars tend to be bluer when they're younger because bluer means hotter. And so hotter stars don't
last as long. They don't live as long. And so if you see a star that's blue, that means it must be younger because they just
don't have that long a life cycle. Like if you see a cat, you know that cat is not 100 years old
because they just aren't any 100 year old cats. So if you see blue stars, you know that they tend to be
younger. Red stars are either old stars or they might be smaller stars. So it's not exactly clear
always when you look at a star's color to tell its age. But what we do see is that population one
stars tend to have a lot of blue stars in them, which means that they're young. Whereas in the bulge,
there aren't very many blue stars.
So that's suggested there aren't many young stars there.
And most of those are pretty old.
Oh, I see.
Wait, you're grouping them by location or by how old you think they are?
Well, both.
And there's a correlation there, right?
The stars in the center tend to be redder and older.
And the stars in the disc tend to be bluer and younger.
All right.
So then I guess you can assume that the younger stars are maybe a later generation, right?
Because they were born more recently.
Whereas the older stars, they might be even with.
one of the original generations, right?
Because if you were saying they're 14 billion years old, that's when the universe started.
Yeah, we don't think that they're part of the original generation.
They are like, you know, 11 to 13 billion years old.
So we think they formed like, you know, a billion years after the start of the universe.
He also asked about how we can tell what they're made at it.
That's another clue.
When we look at the spectrum from the stars, how they're glowing, we can tell what's inside
the star because different elements glow at different temperatures.
They tend to like get excited at different energy levels.
so they have like a characteristic fingerprint.
So just as you said, we can look at the spectrum of light that tells us like, you know,
how much light is in there at this frequency and how much at that frequency tells you exactly
the composition of the star.
And what we see is that these stars tend to have a lot less metal in them than the stars that are
forming today, like even our sun.
So these population two stars can have like a hundredth or a thousandths as much iron in
them, for example, as our sun.
So that also suggests that they were formed earlier in the universe,
when the universe had less metal in it.
Oh, I see, right?
Because as the star progresses through its life, it makes metals, right?
But then if it's been alive for that long or burning for that long,
wouldn't it have made a lot of metals by now?
It makes metals, but, you know, not that much.
When a star burns, it's mostly burning helium and hydrogen.
It doesn't convert all of that into iron, for example.
But the fast burning ones do create metals more quickly, I guess.
Or as each generation burns and is born,
then you sort of increment in metallicity.
But not every star makes it all the way up to iron.
Like you need enough stuff in the star to create the conditions
so you can get hot enough so you can fuse the stuff to make iron.
Some stars stop after making helium or lithium or carbon or neon or whatever,
depending on how much mass they have and the temperature that they achieve.
All right.
So then what does that tell us about how many generations there have been in the universe since?
We know that, you know, the older stars are only a few generations in,
but do we know how many generations the younger stars are or what generation they're in?
Yeah, we're not 100% sure, but the current thinking is that there are roughly three generations.
So the stars we call population one, these younger stars like our sun that are out there on the disk,
including stars that are just forming and stars that are a few billion years old.
These are the ones with a lot of metals in them.
Like they start with like 1 to 4% of them are made out of metal.
So that's population 1.
And then the population 2, the ones sort of in the bulge of the galaxy.
the older ones, we call those population two. And we think that there was a population
before that very early on in the universe, before any of the stars that are burning today were
formed, that there was an initial star forming phase, but that all those stars are gone now.
Those stars didn't last very long, just a few million years, maybe tens or hundreds of millions
of years, but that those are all gone. And we call those population three stars. So we've never
actually seen one because they're so old, they'd be very, very distant and so very hard to make
out. So that's sort of the rough timeline. Population three stars were the first, then population
two, and now today we're making population one stars. I feel like you picked the opposite order,
like the higher number of population, the first in order of time. I know, because the next
generation of stars can be what, population zero. Zero and then minus one. I think you named
yourself into a corner there, physicists. I think we certainly did. It's sort of like, you know,
deciding the charge of the electron. I'm like, whoops, that was not the best choice. But I don't think
at the time we really understood the context of sort of the historical sweep of all of this stuff
or we definitely would have named it something else. All right. So there was an original generation
of stars, but those stars you're saying they're all gone because I guess in the early universe
things were sort of like hot and volatile until all those stars burned out pretty quickly. Yeah,
we think that those stars were really big. The very, very first stars were like hundreds
of millions of times the mass of the sun. It was harder to make smaller stars early on because
there wasn't as much metal. So it was difficult to get like a big blob of stuff to cool.
Like if you have some metal that can seed a core to gather stuff together, it's like a heavier
spot. But if you just have a big cloud of gashes hydrogen, it's harder to get like a small
clump together. So these first stars were probably like hundreds of times the mass of the sun
and then burning for only like a few million years and dying as supernova after making a little
bit of, you know, what astronomers would call metals. But again, we haven't seen those.
So they're hypothetical.
Like we've seen really, really distant galaxies, some of the first galaxies that have ever formed.
But we can't resolve the stars in those galaxies.
So we can't say we've ever seen a population three star.
Interesting.
They're only sort of in our imagination or in our, I guess, theories about where the second population of stars came from.
Yeah.
It's like the oral history of your family, right?
Maybe you don't have any pictures of great, great, great grandma, Janine or whatever.
But maybe your family knows something about what she looks.
like for breakfast.
And that she was a rock star maybe.
It was very bright.
Back in Lithuania or whatever.
So then that first generation burned out and that gives the population two,
which are redder, but a little bit cooler.
And then some of that population burned out.
And that's where the population one that we see now, like our son comes from.
But our son, right, it has a mix of stuff in it.
It has some stuff certainly from population two stars that burned out,
probably some stuff from population three stars,
but also it has a lot of stuff that hasn't done anything since the Big Bang.
Because our sun is 70% hydrogen and 28% helium.
So it's only like 1 to 2% metals.
Most of the stuff in our sun is basically on its first act since the Big Bang happened.
But we still think it's a third generation star?
Yeah, because it has stuff in it that was created from other sons.
Like that 1 to 2% that really changes what a star is.
and that stuff was made by other suns.
And, you know, like most of the Earth is that kind of stuff.
Like, most of the Earth is not hydrogen or helium, right?
So basically everything on our planet came from the death of a star,
whereas the sun is mostly pristine stuff from the Big Bang.
Still got a lot to go on and possibly more generations.
And so I guess the question is, how good is that stuff in the sun?
Like, it's good for one more generation or a billion more generations?
What will the future hold?
So let's get into that.
But first, let's take another quick break.
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All right, how many generations of stars will there be in the future?
We know that our son is sort of like the third generation star.
in the universe's history.
And so the question is, is this like the beginning of the history of stars or, you know,
or do we only have a few more generations left?
Yeah, it's really fun to think about what the future might look like.
And you have to like think deep, deep into the future of the universe.
And I think there's sort of two big questions.
You know, one is like, if you had perfect conditions for making stars so that you could always
gather the hydrogen together and helium together to burn it, how long would it take to burn all
that fuel and convert it all to iron, for example, you know, that's one question. But the reality is
that the universe is not a perfect laboratory for making stars. You need very specific conditions.
So I think we should also think about like how long the universe will be conducive to star making.
You might have the ingredients you need to make stars unburned hydrogen, but that does necessarily
mean that you're going to be making stars. Well, let's think about maybe just our star. Like what's
going to happen to our star? We know, we talked about how it's going to burn out and sort of blow up.
get big and then cool down eventually.
But then do you think another star will take its place eventually?
Well, our star is probably going to turn into a white dwarf, right?
Which is just like a hot lump of stuff.
No longer fusion is happening, but it's still really hot.
And so it's glowing, which is why it's called a white dwarf.
And white dwarfs are stable.
Like, we don't think they really do anything else.
They just sit there and gradually cool off until they become a black dwarf.
And that could take, you know, trillions of years.
We don't think there are any black dwarfs in the universe right now.
There's a bunch of white dwarfs sitting there glowing hot, but none of them have had enough time to cool to black dwarfs.
But that doesn't mean that our sun won't contribute to the next generation of stars because the white dwarf doesn't take all the material from the sun.
There's a lot of the material from the sun that will get blown out into maybe a new planetary disk for that white dwarf or just out into the interstellar medium and contribute to another generation of stars.
So our star, it's going to become a white dwarf and then blow out its stuff out into space,
which then is going to maybe combine with the hydrogen and helium from other stars that burned out and then make other stars.
Yeah.
And this happens because the sun before it burns out, before it stops fusing, it gets really, really big.
And the outer shells tend to get blown out while the inner part collapses.
So it's these outer layers of the star that are going to get blown out.
And they can definitely contribute to future stars or a planet.
There could be aliens 10 billion years from now that are eating their cereal and thinking, wow, this could have been in another star billions of years ago.
And they would be right.
I see.
When you're eating your cereal, you are maybe, I mean, everything is made in the core of stars, right?
Anything above hydrogen.
Yeah.
Unless you're eating hydrogen for breakfast, what you're eating was made in a star.
Interesting.
Not recommended, but not as filling.
Or it is, I guess, pretty filling.
Hydrogen, the cereal.
Oh, the humanity.
Oh, I see. So it's not like a star blows up and then in its place, a new star forms. It's like you need this
kind of like mixing between the spaces of stars, right? Yeah, it's more like, you know, when a tree dies and it
gives its nutrients back into the ground, you don't automatically just get a new tree in exactly the
same spot. It just provides nutrients for a future plant to gobble up and to build something else.
So you're saying one scenario is that this keeps happening for a long time. You know, you get more
generations of star but eventually like all of the hydrogen and helium in the universe is going to have
been consumed maybe could be consumed by stars and turn into heavier metals yeah i don't think that's
likely to actually happen in our universe and we can talk about why it'd be difficult to arrange that
but in theory if you engineer the universe to be a perfect star making laboratory then yeah you could
eventually burn all the fuel like it's one directional we're not making more hydrogen right we're just
decreasing the amount of hydrogen in the universe as years go by. It's not an unrenewable resource,
right? Right. Yeah, because I guess you can fuse things together, but it's kind of hard once you
made all this iron. Eventually, it's hard to like turn it back into hydrogen. Yeah, these things are
stable. Like if you go far enough and you make uranium, then that stuff is unstable. It'll break down,
but it'll break down into something else stable. It's not going to go all the way back down to
hydrogen. Helium is pretty stable. It doesn't split spontaneously into hydrogen.
So, yeah, hydrogen is not a renewable resource.
Like, you know, we got a lot of it.
It's going to take a long time to burn through all of it.
But as the years go on, the hydrogen fraction of the universe is dropping.
So like if you made a whole universe made out of iron, it wouldn't do anything.
Like, you would just sit there.
It depends on the distribution, but it probably would form a lot of black holes.
That's pretty dense stuff.
So, you know, if you had like a solar-sized blob of iron, it would collapse into a black hole.
All right.
So then, I guess, technically, if you were to engineer,
the universe? How many generations of stars do you think we could get in? It's hard to know. And I asked
some astrophysicists this question. And they were all just like, whoa, such a big number. I can't even
imagine. You know, hydrogen depletion, I got some estimates of between 100 trillion and 10 to the 100
years to deplete all the hydrogen in the universe. Years, but how much is that in generations?
Well, it depends, right? Stars can burn for maybe 10 billion years or a trillion years.
depending on their mass, or they could even burn shorter amounts of time if you have more massive stars.
We don't really see a lot of really, really massive stars.
So if you say, for example, the average length of a lifespan of a star is maybe 10 billion years,
then that's still a lot of generations, right?
Then a trillion years has 100 generations in it.
A hundred trillion years, right, has 10,000 generations in it.
If it's even longer, time spans, and we're talking thousands and thousands of generations.
So from that point of view, like we're on generation three, we're really just getting started.
I would have thought that you could maybe just compute it from the fact that, for example, we're on, our son is in the generation three and it already has one to two percent of other stuff.
So wouldn't each generation sort of take up another one to two percent of the hydrogen and helium?
Yeah, that's a good question.
I don't think the stuff that gets thrown out in the universe is an equal sampling of the stuff that the star made.
Like the stuff in the core is the stuff that's most likely to get kept into the white,
warfront. So the heavy stuff is less likely to get distributed out into the universe. So the next
generation of star is not going to have like all of the iron that was made in the previous generation.
Most of that stuff is going to end up either in the black hole or the white dwarf or the neutron star
that's left over. But I guess if you're engineering it though, like, you know, I'm going to burn my son.
My son's going to burn until it has one or two percent of other stuff. Then I'm going to throw out all
that one or two percent of stuff and take all the hygiene and healing and make an e-star.
eventually that's how I'm going to run out, right?
Because I'm going to be losing one or two percent each generation.
Yeah.
If you were optimal about it, then I suppose you could spend one generation burning about a percent
or so of the stuff in the universe.
In which case, maybe we would run out at some point, right?
After 100 generations, maybe?
Yeah.
So it depends a lot on how this stuff is distributed and how you organize it
and the mass of the stars that you are making,
how long it takes for these things to happen.
But yeah, somewhere between hundreds or thousands of generations of stars.
Wow. And then that's it. No more stars.
And then that's it. No more stars, exactly. And in that scenario, the universe is dark.
You know, it's just like populated by a bunch of white dwarfs that are slowly cooling to black dwarfs.
And it's basically not generating any light.
And that's just like the ideal, you know, Jorge magical engineering scenario where you are able to extract all the hydrogen and helium.
You're saying that in real life, the physics of like forming a new star are actually much harder.
Exactly. But before we leave that, I want to throw out one thing, which is that in that
future really dark universe, there won't be any stars made. But occasionally you might get a
bright flash of light because white dwarfs can actually create light. Like if two of them
come together, they can combine and give you like a type 1A supernova. This is very special kind
of supernova. And so for a few weeks, they can like brighten up the neighborhood it's in before
dimming again. So the deep, deep, far future would be mostly dark with these like occasional
a few week long bursts of light.
And then again, this is still like the optimal scenario, right?
So it could be 100 to 1,000 generations of star optimally, but really it could be a lot less.
Really, it could be a lot less.
And when you look around in the universe, you notice something, which is that the rate
of star formation in the universe is dropping.
Like we used to be making more stars sort of per year a billion years ago than we are now.
Like the rate of new star creation is falling in our universe.
So meaning what would you put the estimate of the number of generations ever add?
Like, would it be, it might be less than 100 then?
It might be less than 100, absolutely.
It might be less than 20.
You know, a lot of it depends on what's going to happen with dark energy.
In order to form stars, what you need is a bunch of stuff near each other, like these cold gas clumps near each other.
But what dark energy is doing is that it's pulling galaxies away from each other.
And so that makes it harder for like gas to clump together.
to fall into these galaxies and create new stars.
And what we see around us is that there are lots of dead galaxies,
galaxies with lots of material in them,
but there's just no more stars being formed.
That's kind of sad, I guess.
They're like graveyard galaxies, nothing but embers.
Yeah, because they don't have any, like, more gas falling into them to stimulate star formation.
And also sometimes in the center of these galaxies,
the black hole that's formed, these super massive black hole,
can be emitting so much energy that basically heats up those gas clouds so that they don't
form stars. Because remember, these gas clouds have to be cold. So you can get in these configurations
where you have this huge amount of mass stuck in a galaxy, but no light being created, no stars being
formed. And that's not something we understand very well. It's called star quenching. It's a really
active area of research. But it might be that every galaxy is headed in that direction. It might
just be a few more generations before all these galaxies sort of die and stop forming
stars. Oh, wow. And then what's going to happen after that? Like, won't the black hole
eventually cool down? And won't things cool down for that galaxy? And maybe stars could
kick back up again? We don't know. We don't think those black holes will cool down. We think
they just keep absorbing stuff. You know, stars will keep falling into them. They'll get bigger and
bigger. Some stars might get thrown out of those galaxies, right? The way that stars fall into the black
holes that they're basically like sort of bumping against each other, not physically bumping,
but like exchanging kinetic energy. One of them slows down. The other one's
speeds up. So you'll throw some stars out of the galaxies into intergalactic space. And then these
galaxies will just become bigger and bigger black holes. And if dark energy takes over, then you'll
have these black holes separated by larger and larger distances. And so that's the future of the
universe is these galaxies collapsing into ever-distant black holes. So it sounds like the answer
then to the question of how many generations of stars will there be is maybe not that many. Maybe
only less than 20 to go before the whole universe is completely dark.
And it all depends on what happens with dark energy.
Like if dark energy decides, hey, we're done with this expansion,
let's turn everything around and bring galaxies together.
Remember, we just don't understand dark energy at all.
We have no mechanism to explain what it's doing,
which means we can't predict its future.
And it might, for example, turn around and bring everything back together,
which could stimulate whole new periods of star formation,
you know, before the universe is squeezed back down into a new big crunch.
So really our ignorance of the number of future generations,
comes from our ignorance of the overall fate of the future of the universe.
So I guess the lesson is don't invest in sunscreen,
maybe invest in flashlight batteries.
Or anti-dark energy devices.
I guess if, no, you're saying that if dark energy reverses or goes away,
then you might get possibly more stars in the future.
But right before the universe crunches down.
So it's not that useful.
No, but it'd be a bright ending.
We'll go out with a bang, with a flash.
It'll be our goodbye tour.
All right.
Well, I think that answers the question.
It kind of makes you appreciate the sun right now.
Like it could be maybe only in the middle of its like universal lifespan of stars.
That's right.
We don't know how many times this magical thing will happen
that this blob of gas and dust and a little bit of heavier stuff
will collapse into this incredible bright ball of heat
that's capable of burning and burning and burning so stably
that life has a chance to evolve on the surface of planets near it.
We don't know how many more times that will happen.
So we should definitely cherish this one experience.
Yeah, that means like you said,
it's the only reason life exists at all.
So, you know, maybe the universe won't get that many chances in the future to make more life.
That's right.
So we better figure out space travel before that happens.
And better flashlight technology as well.
All right.
Well, we hope you enjoyed that.
Thanks for joining us.
See you next time.
Thanks for listening and remember that Daniel and Jorge Explain the Universe is a production of iHeartRadio.
For more podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.
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