Daniel and Kelly’s Extraordinary Universe - What's the best way to measure the expansion of the Universe?

Episode Date: May 23, 2023

Daniel and Jorge talk about how to use different cosmic rulers to measure the expansion of the Universe.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an I-Heart podcast. December 29th, 1975, LaGuardia Airport. The holiday rush, parents hauling luggage, kids gripping their new Christmas toys. Then, everything changed. There's been a bombing at the TWA terminal. Just a chaotic, chaotic scene. In its wake, a new kind of enemy emerged, terrorism. Listen to the new season of Law and Order Criminal Justice System
Starting point is 00:00:33 On the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. My boyfriend's professor is way too friendly, and now I'm seriously suspicious. Wait a minute, Sam. Maybe her boyfriend's just looking for extra credit. Well, Dakota, luckily, it's back to school week on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon. This person writes, my boyfriend's been hanging out with his young professor a lot. He doesn't think it's a problem, but I don't trust her. Now he's insisting we get to know each other, but I just want or gone.
Starting point is 00:01:01 Hold up. Isn't that against school policy? That seems inappropriate. Maybe find out how it ends by listening to the OK Storytime podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Every case that is a cold case that has DNA. Right now in a backlog will be identified in our lifetime. On the new podcast, America's Crime Lab, every case has a story to tell. And the DNA holds the truth. He never thought he was going to get caught. and I just looked at my computer screen.
Starting point is 00:01:31 I was just like, ah, gotcha. This technology's already solving so many cases. Listen to America's Crime Lab on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. It's important that we just reassure people that they're not alone, and there is help out there. The Good Stuff Podcast, Season 2, takes a deep look into One Tribe Foundation, a non-profit fighting suicide in the veteran community. September is National Suicide Prevention Month, so join host Jacob and Ashley Schick as they bring you to the front lines of One Tribe's mission. One Tribe saved my life twice. Welcome to Season 2 of The Good Stuff.
Starting point is 00:02:07 Listen to the Good Stuff podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Hey, Jorge, how tall are you these days? What do you mean these days? Well, I don't know. It's been a while since I've seen you in person and measured you up. Maybe you've had that popular leg lengthening surgery. Well, I haven't. And even if I did see you, how do you know you didn't shrink also?
Starting point is 00:02:40 Because it's all relative. But no, I seriously haven't measured my height in, like, years. Well, it might be that you're headed in the other direction. People tend to shrink as they get older. So maybe your greatest heights are behind you. It could be. Are you saying I peaked already? It's all downhill from here or down Jorge.
Starting point is 00:02:57 Well, I heard that you're tallest in the morning, so, you know, that's why I try to sleep all day. Is that still true if you don't get out of bed until the afternoon? Nah, just a tall tail. Hi, I'm Jorge and a cartoonist and the creator of Ph.D. Comics. Hi, I'm Daniel. I'm a particle physicist and a professor at UC Irvine, and I'm very happy to be half an inch taller than my older brother. But how happy is your older brother? Less happy, but who cares?
Starting point is 00:03:41 What about your younger brother? He's a half an inch taller than me. Oh, boy. Yeah, I remember when we were kids, we realized that my older brother might not always be the taller brother. He had a moment of terror. Yeah, yeah, that's tough. I am taller than my older brother as well. And so now you get to look down on him.
Starting point is 00:04:01 I know. I still look up to him. Only figuratively, though. But I just stood from a higher vantage point. But anyways, welcome to our podcast, Daniel and Jorge, Explain the Universe, a production of I-Hard Radio. In which we try to climb the heights of understanding in the universe. We look at this great cosmic mystery as a journey to some kind of understanding.
Starting point is 00:04:21 We want to slowly make our way up the path towards understanding the universe a little bit better, wondering if there is some sort of final illumination at the top or if this mountain even has a top. That's right. We stand tall and try to take a view of the universe from this little vantage point we have in our little planet floating around in space, wondering how big is this giant universe that we live in. And what's it doing after all? The more we look out in the universe, the more we are surprised by what's going on. on, not just in our cosmic neighborhood, but in the farthest reaches, the deepest parts of
Starting point is 00:04:57 space that we are just barely able to see. Every time scientists look out with some new kind of technological marvel, they come back with news that shocks us about what's going on out there in the furthest reaches of space. It seems like the universe is destined to keep surprising us. Yeah, it is a very surprising universe still full of giant mysteries. There seems to be a lot that we don't know about the universe at a very basic level still, you know, just basic facts about the universe we still don't know. Yeah, on one hand, we feel fairly accomplished because of our incredible technology and everything we have learned and all of the science that we have mastered. On the other hand, there are still very basic things about the universe that we don't
Starting point is 00:05:37 know. How big is it? Where did it come from? What's it doing right now? What is its future hold? It feels like scientists or even children in a few hundred years will look back in this time and think, boy, those folks really didn't know what was going on. Yeah, like we don't know basic things. Like, how tall is the universe? You know, and like, how tall is it in comparison to its brother or sister? Is there another universe in the multiverse that our universe has like a sibling rivalry with? I'm bigger than you are.
Starting point is 00:06:06 Maybe, yeah. But then the question would be, is our universe the older sibling or the younger sibling? Is it trying to get attention? Or is it the mediator sibling? And if you're a universe, where do you go from? therapy anyway. Boy, it'd be interesting to be like a universe psychologist. Those would be big problems to solve for sure. But I think that every universe should be judged on its own merits and not relative to some other kind of universe out there that could be bigger or smaller or
Starting point is 00:06:36 faster or taller or able to get higher scores on math tests. Now, I'm sure our universe is our grand universe's favorite. I like to think we're all the favorite in some way. Although it's always good to have a favorite uncle or aunt. Maybe there's like a cool universe out there that's our uncle or aunt. Ooh, I know. Like a universe that doesn't care so much about the rules. Maybe like flaunts causality, doesn't care about locality. It's just like the rebel universe.
Starting point is 00:07:04 Yeah, just showers you with gifts and stuff. Takes you out for ice cream. Well, we are still trying to figure out which universe we are in. We don't really know what the rules of the universe are. All we can do is turn our heads skywards and gather the internet. information that it sends us. By looking at photons and other particles that arrive on Earth, we do get little bits of information, little clues that tell us what's happening out there in the universe.
Starting point is 00:07:28 And they tell a really fascinating story, but one that we are still unraveling. Yeah, it is a pretty amazing universe full of interesting stuff out there like antimatter. Do you think our favorite universe is our anti-matter universe? I think that's definitely like our other twin universe. That's our rival. But as you said, it is a giant universe and it seems to be getting bigger, right? That's the idea. It's a huge universe and not only is our view of it expanding every day, but the universe itself, space itself, seems to be getting bigger and bigger.
Starting point is 00:07:59 Yeah, we are about 6 billion years into a growth spurt where we have been getting bigger and bigger, faster and faster. And unlike your children, it doesn't seem like that has an end. Scientists suspect that this growth spurt might go on forever until the universe. is almost unfathomably large if it isn't already infinite. Well, I guess that's the big question. How fast is it growing? And does it seem like it is going to keep growing forever? Exactly.
Starting point is 00:08:28 That is the question. And we look out into space, which allows us to look further and further back in time. It's sort of like looking at the marks you make on that door jam as your kids grow up. You can see not just how tall they were, but how fast they grew based on the spaces between the marks. We do the same thing by looking out into the universe and seeing how big it is now and how fast it was expanding in the past and trying to tell the whole story of the universe's expansion and extrapolate that into the murky future. So today on the podcast, we'll be asking the question, what's the best way to measure the expansion of the universe?
Starting point is 00:09:11 Definitely some kind of cosmic door jam. Oh my gosh. That would be a gigantic door. Where does that door lead to? And how big does your pencil need to be to make those marks? Exactly. And is that door jam part of the universe or part of some metaphors or multiverse or multi-metaverse? Well, it's a door, I guess. It's a doorway. Our doorway's part of things? I suppose if it's just sort of a dotted line. But if you're going to make a mark on it, it's got to have something in it that can hold that information. So I guess. then it would still be part of the universe. So, yeah, it's a tricky problem. How do you use the universe to measure the universe? That is a pretty tricky question. Because I guess if you think about it, we're just floating on this tiny rock called Earth
Starting point is 00:09:54 in a little corner of a galaxy, which is in a corner of some giant super cluster of galaxies. Like, how can we possibly even think that we can measure the size of the universe from this little vantage point? It is kind of incredible and almost fantastical what we can do. And astronomers are really clever. As I was prepping for today's episode, I was reading some recent papers about really amazing ideas astronomers have for how to measure how far away things are.
Starting point is 00:10:22 And boy, those are some clever folks. It's almost like they are magicians. Yeah, because I guess we're used to in our everyday lives of measuring things directly. You know, like if I want to measure how tall my kid is, you just, you know, line them up against the wall and make a mark and then use a ruler. Or if you want to measure how far away another town is, you kind of have to just drive there and see how long it takes you, right? Mm-hmm. Even when we measure the distance to the moon, we do it by bouncing a laser off of a mirror that astronauts left on the moon and measure the round-trip time. So even that is kind of direct. Yeah. And although we also had to go to the moon to put that mirror there, right?
Starting point is 00:11:00 Yeah, exactly. It's sort of like we went to the moon and unfurled a huge measuring tape on the way. It's just that measuring tape is made of laser beams. Ooh, nice. But with the universe, it's kind of harder, right? I mean, you'd kind of have to go to the other side of the universe and then put a mirror there or at the end of a measuring tape in order to directly measure how big the universe is. Yeah, we'd love to be able to do that. But without such a cosmic measuring tape, astronomers and cosmologists and I guess cosmetologists have figured out ways to measure the expansion of the universe over time. Did you just say cosmetologist? Did you just loop them in in the same sentence as a cosmologist? I did because I was watching this hilarious video clip this morning of news coverage of the James Webb Space Telescope where they said that it was a very powerful tool that helped cosmetologists understand the universe and I've been chuckling about that all morning.
Starting point is 00:11:53 Oh my goodness. Does it like the news anchor said that? Yes, exactly. Cosmetologist and astrologists all over the world are excited about the James Webb Space Telescope. Well, that could be true, I guess. You never know. I'm sure there are many cosmetologists, listeners, listeners. to us right now who are fans of the universe and excited about the James Webb Telescope.
Starting point is 00:12:13 Yeah. And they're very interested in the makeup of the universe. Ha, ha, ha. Nice. And foundational questions in science. Yeah, they're ready for us to lay on some base and blush at the amazing mysteries of the universe. But anyways, as usually, we were wondering how many people out there had thought about this question and we're curious about what is the best way to measure the expansion of the universe.
Starting point is 00:12:35 So thanks very much to those of you answer these questions for this fun segment. of our podcast. If you'd like to hear your voice, please don't be shy. Write to me to questions at danielanhorpe.com. Think about it for a second. What do you think
Starting point is 00:12:49 is the best way to measure the expansion of the universe? Here's what people had to say. What we do is we analyze the red shift of a particularly distant galaxy and we compare it from the previous data. The difference is how we calculate
Starting point is 00:13:04 the rate of expansion. It's got to be something to do with redshift. Like, see how much something really far away, maybe the farthest thing away we know is redshifted, and then check again in a couple months, see how far it's gone and, you know, carry the ones. I guess you could build the universe's longest measuring tape, or maybe those pulsars, I don't know. As far as I know, the best way to measure the expansion rate of the universe is using redshift. You know, you look at the red shift of galaxies very far away and compare them to the
Starting point is 00:13:36 redshift of galaxies that are closer, and it can probably give you the rate that way. All right. A lot of people think maybe using some kind of light and redshift of the light seems to be the best way. Well, of course, there was the cosmic measuring tape answer and definitely the right approach in the sense that, like, what is the best way? We didn't ask what's the best possible way. So in terms of like the most impossible ideas, cosmic measuring tape is definitely the best way.
Starting point is 00:14:04 Hmm. I wonder if that's even possible. Like, hmm. Like, is there enough material in the universe to make a universe long measuring tape? You wouldn't even have to make it universe long, even if we could just measure the distance to other galaxies. That would be very helpful. But, you know, galaxies are millions of light years away, sometimes billions. And so that would be a pretty incredible construction job. By the time you finished it, the galaxies would have already moved. Well, I think I know what you're saying. You're saying that maybe to measure the expansion, of the universe, we don't actually need to measure the size of the universe. Oh, that's right. The size and the expansion are different. The universe could be infinite when it started and infinite now and could still be expanding because the expansion is an intrinsic thing. It's a relative thing. Measures the growing distances between things in the universe. And many of the listeners commented about Redshift, which is an important tool understanding
Starting point is 00:14:58 the relative velocity of things, but we also need to know their distances. That's going to turn out to be the bigger challenge. But it's weird that you don't need to know the size of the universe to know how fast is expanding. Like, don't you need to know how big it is before you can tell how big it's getting? Well, what we're interested in is sort of the relative expansion. Like if you're inside a blob of raisin bread, you can use the raisins to measure how fast the raisin bread is expanding, even if you don't know if there's a crust to it and if you're near that crust or if the raisin bread goes on forever.
Starting point is 00:15:29 You can just measure the sort of local expansion and then speculate that the expansion might be the same everywhere else. Well, that's kind of what I mean. Like, how do you know that your universe is not just expanding around you, but maybe it's shrinking everywhere else, in which case, the universe itself as a whole is not expanding. Yeah, you're absolutely right. We don't. All we can do is measure the expansion in the part of the universe that we can see and then we can wonder what's going on in the parts of the universe that we can't see. It would be really weird if our part of the universe was expanding and the rest of it was like contracting or doing something else weird and frothing. But that's actually one of the ideas people have to explain the strange
Starting point is 00:16:06 results we get when we do try to measure the expansion of the universe. All right. Well, let's dig into it. Daniel, what exactly do you mean then by the expansion of the universe? This is a bit of a counterintuitive idea because people think about the expansion usually relative to something else. Like if you were baking raisin bread in your oven, you might measure the expansion relative to some ruler or your oven and hope that, for example, the raisin bread still fits in your oven and you You didn't make too big a loaf. In our case, though, because we're inside the universe, there is no outside the universe. There is no ruler outside of it that's not also affected by the universe.
Starting point is 00:16:42 All we can do is measure the relative expansion of the universe, meaning how far apart are things? So if we're here and there's another galaxy at a million light years away, what we're interested in is how far apart is that galaxy in a year or in 10 years or in a thousand years? And this is a little bit different from any sort of relative velocity our galaxy might have to a different galaxy. Like our galaxy could be moving away from or closer to the Andromeda galaxy, but that doesn't mean that the universe is getting smaller. It just means that we're both inside of this universe and we both happen to be moving towards each other. Exactly. We're talking about an expansion of space itself. I think you're talking about like what is the average rate at which everything is moving closer or farther away from us.
Starting point is 00:17:25 Because, you know, we're all sort of moving inside of this universe. But on average, if things are getting further apart, that kind of means that the universe is expanding, right? Yeah, and there's sort of two ways to think about it. One is to think about space between us and other galaxies expanding, like that the universe is creating more space between us and other galaxies. And it's happening faster and faster every year. So this expansion is accelerating. The weird thing is that in those galaxies, you don't feel that acceleration. It's not like there's this force that's pushing on those galaxies and accelerating them away from us.
Starting point is 00:18:02 If you had like an accelerometer in that galaxy, you wouldn't measure any acceleration. And yet you see the velocities between these galaxies increasing every year. And so like the distances are increasing and the velocities are increasing, but we don't measure any acceleration because space itself is expanding. It's not like there's some explosion that's pushing us further and further apart. faster and faster every year. But I guess that made me think about, like, how do you tell the difference? Like, how do you know if space is expanding between the two of you?
Starting point is 00:18:33 Or if you're just moving further and further away from you faster and faster? Maybe they're repulsed by us. They're trying to get away from us. And they're like, it's not you. It's just the space between us. We're just growing apart. You can think about it in two different ways. One way is to think about space expanding between the different galaxies and say, like,
Starting point is 00:18:51 we have a little frame here and within our galaxy, everything makes sense. and they have a little reference frame there, and in their galaxy, everything makes sense. In between it, space is expanding. And there's another way to think about it, which is to put the whole universe in a single reference frame and say, look, I'm just going to measure the distance to stuff, and I'm going to measure the distance to stuff later,
Starting point is 00:19:10 and I'm going to compare them, and I'm going to call that velocity. And if you do that, you get weird results, like things that are super-duper far away seem to be moving away from us faster than the speed of light. And that second view of, like, thinking about everything in terms of our frame doesn't really work. because you can't extend our frame to the entire universe, because between us and them, space is doing weird things, it's expanding, which is why you get strange results like things
Starting point is 00:19:35 seem to be moving away from you faster than the speed of light if you try to extend our frame all the way to the end of the universe. So there are two ways to think about it, and in some sense, they're equivalent, but cosmologists and cosmetologists prefer to think about space expanding because then you get to have like a nice little frame at each galaxy and think about it expanding between frames. What about astrologists? No comment. Or comicologists? No comment. But I didn't really answer your other question, which is how can you tell the difference? And you can tell the difference in terms of acceleration. Like, acceleration is something you can measure locally. You know, like if you have a box with the ball inside of it, it'll tell you whether you're accelerating because the ball will get
Starting point is 00:20:14 like pushed to one side. Like if you're in a spaceship and you have a box with the ball inside of it and the spaceship accelerates, right, the ball will roll to one side of the box. And if the spaceship It breaks, the ball will roll to the other side of the box. So you can measure your own acceleration. And if you're in that distant galaxy and you have that accelerometer, you won't measure any acceleration. And yet, your velocity relative to other galaxies is increasing. So that tells you that it really is the expansion of space itself and not some like force
Starting point is 00:20:43 that's pushing these things apart and accelerating them. But would you know? How do you know that other galaxy is not being accelerated? Like, what if everything in our local galaxy is being accelerated at the same time? Well, you're right. We haven't measured accelerometers in distant galaxies. We do have accelerometers here, and we can tell that there's no, like, grand force pushing us all in some direction.
Starting point is 00:21:04 There's no overall acceleration of the Milky Way. And so either we're very, very unusual as a galaxy, we're the only one not being accelerated and we're like at the center or none of those galaxies are being accelerated. And so in general, we prefer not to assume that we're at the center of the universe. universe. You can make the same argument for the expansion, right? We look out in every direction and we see things moving away from us. So either we happen to be at the center of all the expansion of the universe and everything is moving away from where we are, or everything is expanding from every point simultaneously, which we think is a simpler explanation and less suspicious because
Starting point is 00:21:41 it doesn't put us at the center of the universe. Right, right. I guess you don't want to believe that we are that repulsive, that the whole universe is just trying to get away from us. Maybe we need a better And so we prefer to think about it in terms of space expanding between us and other galaxies because that's also something that we can measure. We can look at the space between us and other galaxies and we can measure their velocities right now. We can look further and further back in time and we can see how that velocity changes with time. But it seems like it's all kind of based on the idea or the discovery that things are moving away from us faster and faster in time. Like things are it seemed to be accelerating away from us.
Starting point is 00:22:19 And then you're saying that because there's an acceleration there, we have to assume that space is expanding. Exactly. But what if we had not measured an acceleration? Could we tell the difference? Like what if space happened to be expanding at a constant rate or a rate that makes the velocity seem constant? Would we then know if things were moving away from us or if space was expanding?
Starting point is 00:22:41 If there was no acceleration, no dark energy, then essentially everything would be in one big inertial frame and those two pictures would be equivalent. But because there is acceleration, you can't put everything into one big inertial frame. So they really would be equivalent pictures if there was no acceleration. The acceleration is what means those things really are in their own separate frames. All right. Well, thank you, dark energy. I guess for giving us a clue that space itself is expanding. Otherwise, we would not know at all that it could expand maybe. Yeah. Otherwise, there'd be lots of different ways to think about it. And you know, we would love to measure the expansion in the universe by like trotting out a ruler to other galaxies and measuring it and then waiting
Starting point is 00:23:21 a thousand years and measuring it again. But number one, you could never really build that ruler. You'd have to like stop the expansion of space as you stretch out the ruler, which is like not practical. And of course, you don't want to wait a thousand years for measurement number two. So that sort of measurement of the expansion of space and its acceleration is not like a real measurement that you could make. It's not something you could actually measure. Whereas thinking about it from the other point of view and just thinking about how distant galaxies are moving away from us and measuring their velocity and then looking further and further back in time, the way you look down the door jam to see how far away things were further back in time is the best way
Starting point is 00:24:00 to measure the expansion history of the universe. Interesting. All right, well, let's get into how you actually make that measurement, how we can confirm that the universe is expanding, and what does that mean for the future of our cosmos? But first, let's take a quick break. December 29th, 1975, LaGuardia Airport. The holiday rush, parents hauling luggage, kids gripping their new Christmas toys. Then, at 6.33 p.m., everything changed. There's been a bombing at the TWA terminal. Apparently, the explosion actually impelled.
Starting point is 00:24:45 metal, glad. The injured were being loaded into ambulances, just a chaotic, chaotic scene. In its wake, a new kind of enemy emerged, and it was here to stay. Terrorism. Law and Order Criminal Justice System is back. In season two, we're turning our focus to a threat that hides in plain sight. That's harder to predict and even harder to stop. Listen to the new season of Law and Order Criminal Justice System.
Starting point is 00:25:15 on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. My boyfriend's professor is way too friendly, and now I'm seriously suspicious. Well, wait a minute, Sam, maybe her boyfriend's just looking for extra credit. Well, Dakota, it's back to school week on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon. This person writes, my boyfriend has been hanging out with his young professor a lot. He doesn't think it's a problem, but I don't trust her. Now he's insisting we get to know each other, but I just want her gone. Now hold up, isn't that against school policy?
Starting point is 00:25:47 That sounds totally inappropriate. Well, according to this person, this is her boyfriend's former professor, and they're the same age. It's even more likely that they're cheating. He insists there's nothing between them. I mean, do you believe him? Well, he's certainly trying to get this person to believe him because he now wants them both to meet. So, do we find out if this person's boyfriend really cheated with his professor or not? To hear the explosive finale, listen to the OK Storytime podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
Starting point is 00:26:13 Have you ever wished for a change but weren't sure how to make it? Maybe you felt stuck in a job, a place, or even a relationship. I'm Emily Tish Sussman, and on she pivots, I dive into the inspiring pivots of women who have taken big leaps in their lives and careers. I'm Gretchen Whitmer, Jody Sweeten. Monica Patton. Elaine Welter-off. I'm Jessica Voss. And that's when I was like, I got to go.
Starting point is 00:26:34 I don't know how, but that kicked off the pivot of how to make the transition. Learn how to get comfortable pivoting because your life is going to be full of them. Every episode gets real about the why behind these changes and gives you the inspiration and maybe the push to make your next pivot. Listen to these women and more on She Pivot's now on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Don't let biased algorithms or degree screens or exclusive professional networks or stereotypes. Don't let anything keep you from discovering the half of the world. workforce who are stars. Workers skilled through alternative routes rather than a bachelor's degree.
Starting point is 00:27:19 It's time to tear the paper ceiling and see the stars beyond it. Find out how you can make stars part of your talent strategy at tear the paper sealing.org. Brought to you by opportunity at work in the ad council. All right, we're talking about the expansion of the universe and how we would measure that. You can't just kind of like loop a belt around it or a measuring tape around it and see how much it's in lately. If you have the funding for that giant measuring tape, I suggest we spend it on other science projects. I guess what's tricky is that like there's no edge to the universe, even from our vantage point or any vantage point. So you can't just kind of like look out in one direction and look at the other direction and see how far apart the edges of the universe are.
Starting point is 00:28:09 We have to kind of go by what's inside of the universe. Exactly. What we have to do since there isn't like a ruler laid out for us is we have to find rulers. We have to like find things in the universe where we think we know how big they were a long time ago and see how big they are now. Or we have to do things where we figure out how far away things are and how fast they're moving, which lets us sort of make a picture backwards in time of how fast things have been moving away from us as time spools back to the very beginning. And so those are the basic ideas is to like try to put down. some measuring points where we can look back in time and see how things have changed. But I think the main point you were trying to make before is that it doesn't make sense to measure like distances or how those distances are changing between us and other galaxies. It makes more sense just to look at their velocities, right? Because space itself is expanding. So if you sort of try to measure space between us, you're going to run to trouble because
Starting point is 00:29:03 that space is changing. That space is changing. But we do want to know the distances to things. And that actually turns out to be the crucial thing we're trying to measure. because the distance also tells us the time, right? Things that are really far away, we're getting information from them from a long time ago. A galaxy that sent us light a billion years ago
Starting point is 00:29:21 and that is just now arriving on Earth is telling us about its velocity a billion years ago. And we're curious about how that velocity varies with distance now in the universe and also how that velocity varies with distance as we go backwards in time in the universe. Like are the expansion velocities changing? Are they getting faster? Are they getting slower?
Starting point is 00:29:40 these are the kind of measurements we want to make. And so knowing that distance is crucial also to understanding the time and history when that measurement left that object. All right. Well, let's dig into it. Daniel, what are some of the ways that we can measure the expansion of the universe? In the end, we want to look out into the universe, find a bunch of objects, and know their relative velocity and their distance.
Starting point is 00:30:00 If we know their relative velocity, we can tell how fast they're moving away from us. That's just what the velocity is. And if we know their distance, we can tell when that light left them. so we can put it in the right spot in history. And so those are two things we want to know. We're going to look at the sky, point at the galaxy and say, how far away is that and how fast is it moving away from us? Turns out one of those things is pretty easy,
Starting point is 00:30:22 and the other one is very, very hard. So measuring the velocity is pretty easy because galaxies shine at us and that light we look at has a certain spectrum, meaning the colors of that light are things we understand. It's like a lot of green light or less blue light or more red light. If you plot like the intensity of different colors, you get like a certain wiggle. We call that the spectrum. But that spectrum is shifted based on the velocity.
Starting point is 00:30:48 So the galaxy is moving away from us really fast, then the wavelength of the light that comes towards us is stretched out. It's shifted towards longer wavelengths. It's red shifted. And because we have a pretty good idea what the spectrum looked like when it left the galaxy, because it just comes from like basic physics of atomic emission spectra, we can tell how much it's been shifted. So the velocities are pretty easy to measure just using red shifts. Because I guess you're assuming that all the life from every galaxy should basically look sort of
Starting point is 00:31:18 the same when it leaves the galaxy, right? Like you're assuming that other galaxies are made of the same kinds of stars that we are with the same materials. And so when light in general leaves a galaxy, basically all galaxies look the same is what you're saying. Almost. Like not exactly that all galaxies look the same, but that all galaxies are made of the same kinds of stuff. And we know how that stuff shines. We know how hydrogen shines. And we think it shines the same way in Andromeda as it does in other galaxies. And we know how oxygen shines and nitrogen and carbon shines.
Starting point is 00:31:49 Different galaxies have different mixtures of those kinds of things. But they all shine the same way. So when you look at the spectrum of a galaxy, you can measure what's in that galaxy. Oh, look, there's water there. Oh, look, there's nitrogen there. And because each of these things shines differently, you can break it apart and say, oh, look, that galaxy is a lot of water. This one has a lot of nitrogen.
Starting point is 00:32:06 and you can tell how much they're shifted. So there's an incredible amount of information just in the spectrum of light from these galaxies. You can tell the components they're made out of and how much they're all shifted. I think technically like oxygen doesn't glow, does it? It blocks light. So there's a couple of nuances there.
Starting point is 00:32:23 Some of these things glow and some of these things absorb light. In both cases, there are characteristic lines to it. If it's glowing, it's giving off light at a certain frequency. If it's absorbing light, then it's subtracting that frequency. from the spectrum. So you're looking for like dips in the spectrum
Starting point is 00:32:40 and also peaks in the spectrum. All those things astronomers can use to figure out what's in that galaxy. And based on the location of those lines, you can tell how much they're shifted because of the velocity of the galaxy. So yeah, there's a mission and absorption going on. So we get these wiggles of the light
Starting point is 00:32:56 from other galaxies and it has like certain markers to it. I think that's what you're saying. Like you get a wiggle from a galaxy, there's a certain like a little spike or a little dip. where oxygen usually is, for example, and you can tell if that's in the same spot as the oxygen wiggle from our galaxy,
Starting point is 00:33:14 then it's like not moving relative to us at all. But if it is shifted, then it's moving at a certain velocity away or towards us, right? Exactly. The more light you can gather from that galaxy and the broader the spectrum, you can like a better handle. You see more examples of this.
Starting point is 00:33:27 This is why, for example, recent images from the James Webb Space Telescope of very, very distant galaxies have a lot of uncertainty in their recession velocity. because they haven't measured a whole lot of light yet, and they don't have a very long curve. They only have seen a part of the spectrum. If they point Hubble at it and they get like a longer spectrum and more light,
Starting point is 00:33:46 they'll get a better measurement of that recession velocity. Right. And so this method tells you the relative velocity of those stars and those galaxies, but that doesn't tell you like where it is or how far away it is from you, right? Like if I measure something with a certain redshift that's moving away from me, that could be like right next door to us or it could be a bazillion light years away, right? Exactly. we're interested in this relationship between distance and velocity and how that relationship
Starting point is 00:34:11 is changing over time. So we really need to know the distance to these objects. And that's hard because in general, if you don't know how bright something actually is, you can't tell the difference between it being like kind of dim and close by or really, really far away and super duper bright. Those two things look the same if you don't know how bright it is originally, like what the true brightness is of these objects. And so measuring the distances is much more challenging. And that's where people have been doing a lot of creative work coming up with really clever techniques. Right.
Starting point is 00:34:43 Because like if you just get a photon from a distant galaxy, like you don't know where that photon has been, basically. Right? That photon could have come from a star really, really, really far away or close by. Like the intensity of the photon doesn't tell you much, right? It could be from a dim star that's closed by or a super bright star that's really far away. Like you wouldn't know just from the photon. Yeah. Well, intensity is the key and intensity of light comes from the number of photons, right?
Starting point is 00:35:10 A single photon isn't intense or not intense. It just is a photon. It's really about a blob of photons, a bunch of photons. You got 10 photons from this star. Is that because it's pretty close by and it's sent 100 and you got 10 of them? Or is it because it's super far away and it made a zillion of them and you only got 10 of them? You can't tell how many went other directions. How diluted is this packet of photons?
Starting point is 00:35:34 As you get further and further away from a star, you get a smaller and smaller fraction of its number of photon outputs, the intensity of your viewing dims as you get further away. So that's the whole ambiguity. You can't tell if you're nearby to something pretty dim or really far from something really bright. All right. Well, what are some of the ways that we can use to measure distance out there in a big old space? The classic way is a distance ladder. We use a bunch of different methods to try to extrapolate from here to other galaxies.
Starting point is 00:36:02 very very close by stuff we can actually measure pretty directly how far away it is just by seeing how it wiggles in the sky as the earth goes around the sun because as the earth goes around the sun we get sort of like a different view of a star if it's pretty close by then we'll sort of see a different side of it it look like it's in a different part of our sky if it's really really far away then it won't change just the same way that you can measure the distance like a basketball somebody has thrown you because your two eyeballs get different views of it. They see, like, different parts of it. And your brain automatically reconstruct that and tells you, oh, that basketball is really
Starting point is 00:36:39 far away or the basketball is pretty close by. Or if you hold up your finger and look at it with one eye and then the other eye, you see that it changes. And that change is greater as the finger gets closer to your face and the change is smaller as the finger gets further from your face. So that's called parallax. We can do that for pretty nearby objects. It's also called triangulation in a way, right?
Starting point is 00:37:01 Because you're making a triangle between, for example, in the basketball, you're making a triangle between your left eye, your right eye, and the basketball. And because you form a triangle there and you can measure those angles, you can tell how far away the basketball is. You can sort of do that with, like, the earth in one side of the solar system and the earth and the other side of the solar system, you kind of form two points of a triangle. And then depending on where the star looks like it is,
Starting point is 00:37:27 you can make that triangle and measure its distance. Exactly. And if the star is super duper far, way, you won't notice any difference. But if the star is pretty close by, it has a pretty big effect. This is actually a really fun story about how the Greeks got it wrong. You know, the Greeks thought that the Earth was at the center of the solar system because they figured if their Earth was moving around the Sun, they would see this parallax effect. Like they were masters of geometry. Triangles were not going to escape them. And they figured, look, we look up in the
Starting point is 00:37:53 night sky and we don't see any stars wiggling. Therefore, the Earth is not moving. And their mistake was that they thought the stars were all pretty close by. So they figured they should all be wiggling if we're moving. They didn't realize the stars are much, much further away than they actually were. And that's the thing about parallax. It only works for pretty close by stars. Even still, the wiggle is pretty subtle. We didn't detect it until like the 19th century. Yeah. And it's also tricky because what if there's like a giant 3D glasses out there in space? Then you get fooled into thinking things at a certain distance. Always a concern. So that's the sort of like most direct way we can measure the distance to pretty nearby stuff. And then about 100 years ago, Henrianna,
Starting point is 00:38:31 Leavitt figured out a way to measure the distances to other kinds of things, that there's special kind of stars called sephids. Sephids are stars that do something really cool. They vary in their brightness. Like they get brighter and dimmer, brighter and dimmer. Because of something that's going on in the stars, right? Like there's some process that seems to happen, not just in one star, but in a certain kind of star. Exactly. It has to do with the internal, like, dynamics of the star. They get opaque, and then they absorb their own radiation, which puffs them out and they get dim and then they collapse and they get brighter again and then they absorb that radiation. So there's this cycle that goes on. And the really interesting thing is that there's a close connection between how long that
Starting point is 00:39:14 cycle takes to happen between like the bright and the dim moments and how bright it is at its origin. So if you measure the period, if you measure how long it is between like peaks of brightness, then you know how bright it actually is, which means you can tell how far away it is because you measure how bright we see it and you know how bright it is if you were really close by and you can extrapolate. I guess we had to know how far away they were before to make that connection, right? Exactly. So to calibrate this to make sure this really works, you need some sephids whose distance
Starting point is 00:39:47 you can measure using parallax. So there's a few stars where it overlaps or a few sephids that are close enough where we can measure their distance using parallax and we can measure their distance using their period and we see that the two things agree. So that's why it's called a distance ladder, because we have like a little bit of overlap. And then we assume the sephids and like other galaxies operate the same way. And that way we can measure the distance to other galaxies where parallax doesn't work. So it's thanks to these sephids that we have a better view of how far things are, right?
Starting point is 00:40:18 Because it just so happens that because of the mechanics of the star, those two things are related, the period of their blinking and kind of like their size or how bright they are. Exactly. But, you know, it's a big extrapolation, right? We are talking about like things we measure in our galaxy and we're extrapolating to distant galaxies. And we're assuming that we understand how this works, but we're relying on those stars where we can check it,
Starting point is 00:40:40 those sephids where we can have parallax measurements and there's not a lot of them. There's like 10 or 12, right? So this whole distance ladder is calibrated on like a handful of stars in the overlap region. And we have pretty good measurements of that parallax where we're confident we know where they are, But I guess maybe you're not confident that 10 sephids really represents all sephids in the universe.
Starting point is 00:41:02 Yeah, there's a lot of uncertainties there. Like there's uncertainties on the parallax for those sephids and are those typical? And is there some uncertainty due to like how much medallicity there are in these sephids? So there's a lot of work going on to try to like nail that down more precisely. And then there's another step in the distance ladder because sephids are great and they're in distant galaxies. But they're not that bright. So for like really far away galaxies, you can't see them. And then about 20 years ago, people found another element to add to the distance ladder,
Starting point is 00:41:31 which were type 1A supernova. Sort of like Cephids, you can tell how bright they are in reality, like if you were close by, by looking at how their brightness fades. So these are stars that are very, very bright because it's a supernova. It's like as bright as the galaxy that contains it very, very briefly, and then it fades away. And by looking at the rate of which it declines, you can calculate how bright it is in reality. I guess you're assuming that, you know, the laws of physics are the same here as they are in other parts of the universe and other galaxies. And so you're saying that when a star goes supernova with this type 1A, it usually happens the same way.
Starting point is 00:42:09 And it happens in a way that tells you like, oh, if it's decaying, if it's the brightness of that flash is slower or faster, it tells you like how explosive that supernova was. Exactly. All these techniques have the same basic strategy, which is find some other way to predict how, bright it is at the source, assuming that the physics is happening the same way there and here. And if you can do that, you can predict how bright it actually is and you can compare it to how bright you see it to be, then you can tell how far away it is. And people knew this for a long time. People understood type 1A supernova might be a good technique for this. But again, we didn't have enough overlap.
Starting point is 00:42:46 It wasn't until Hubble launched and we got a bunch of like far away sephids that we could calibrate these type 1A supernova. So now we have again just a handful of galaxies that have. have both sephids and type 1a supernova in them where we can cross-calibrate and add like another plank to our distance ladder. I feel like it's not so much a ladder that you're building, but like it's a stack of stool. You know what I mean? Like you start with a short stool or stepping stool and then you're not attaching another step. It's like you're just putting another stepping stool on top of your first stepping stool. And the whole thing is kind of shaky.
Starting point is 00:43:21 The whole thing is pretty shaky. Yeah, exactly. And there's a lot of uncertainty in how these things overlap because there's not a lot of data where we have things on both kinds of stools right and another big uncertainty is dust like there other ways things can get dim it's not just being far away there's a big dust cloud between us and one of these galaxies that'll make it look dimmer which would make it look further away so unless you know exactly where dust is in the universe that really complicates these measurements interesting all right well let's get into other ways that we can measure distances out there and let's see how shaky this ladder of stepping stools can get and what that tells us about the expansion of the universe but first let's take
Starting point is 00:44:03 another quick break December 29th 1975 LaGuardia Airport the holiday rush parents hauling luggage kids gripping their new Christmas toys then at At 6.33 p.m., everything changed. There's been a bombing at the TWA terminal. Apparently, the explosion actually impelled metal glass. The injured were being loaded into ambulances. Just a chaotic, chaotic scene. In its wake, a new kind of enemy emerged, and it was here to stay.
Starting point is 00:44:47 Terrorism. Law and order, criminal justice system is back. In season two, we're turning our focus to a threat that hides in plain sight that's harder to predict and even harder to stop. Listen to the new season of Law and Order Criminal Justice System on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. My boyfriend's professor is way too friendly, and now I'm seriously suspicious. Wait a minute, Sam. Maybe her boyfriend's just looking for extra credit. Well, Dakota, it's back to school week on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon. This person writes, my boyfriend has been hanging out with his young professor a lot.
Starting point is 00:45:29 He doesn't think it's a problem, but I don't trust her. Now, he's insisting we get to know each other, but I just want her gone. Now, hold up. Isn't that against school policy? That sounds totally inappropriate. Well, according to this person, this is her boyfriend's former professor, and they're the same age. And it's even more likely that they're cheating. He insists there's nothing between them.
Starting point is 00:45:47 I mean, do you believe him? Well, he's certainly trying to get this person to believe him because he now wants them both to meet. So, do we find out if this person's boyfriend really cheated with his professor or not? To hear the explosive finale, listen to the OK Storytime podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. In sitcoms, when someone has a problem, they just blurt it out and move on. Well, I lost my job and my parakeet is missing. How is your day? But the real world is different.
Starting point is 00:46:16 Managing life's challenges can be overwhelming. So what do we do? We get support. The Huntsman Mental Health Institute and the Ad Council have mental health resources available for you at loveyourmindtay.org. That's loveyourmindtay.org. See how much further you can go when you take care of your mental health. I'm Simone Boyce, host of the Brightside podcast, and on this week's episode, I'm talking to Olympian, World Cup champion, and podcast host Ashlyn Harris. My worth is not wrapped up in how many things I've won. because what I came to realize is I valued winning so much that once it was over, I got the blues, and I was like, this is it.
Starting point is 00:46:57 For me, it's the pursuit of greatness. It's the journey. It's the people. It's the failures. It's the heartache. Listen to The Bright Side on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, we're talking about the expansion of the universe and how you would actually measure how fast the universe is expanding because I guess we're nosy people, Daniel.
Starting point is 00:47:33 We want to know if the universe is getting bigger or smaller. We definitely want to understand because it affects the fate of everything. You know, is the universe going to collapse into a big crunch and squish us all? Is it going to tear us all apart? Is it going to leave us as isolated? islands to collapse into our own individual black holes like it matters plus we're curious well it doesn't matter to us because you're talking about things that would happen billions of years from now but you know our great great great great great great great great great grandkids might need to think about their
Starting point is 00:48:03 retirement plans and i care about my super super great grandkids you know in fact there's almost certainly going to be some kid deep in the future who's going to have both me and you as an ancestor Oh, boy. Hopefully I'll be their, its favorite ancestor, or at least a taller one. Well, if it listens to the podcast, it'll learn that you don't really care about their future, but I do. I didn't say that. I said it wasn't my problem, but that doesn't mean I don't care about their problem. Well, great, great, great grandkid, your problems are my problems. All right. Well, we're talking about different ways to measure distances out there in a big space with all this uncertainty and all of this dust in the universe. these unfathomable distances.
Starting point is 00:48:46 So far, we've been using 3D glasses, a certain kinds of stars called sephids, and type A supernovas. How else can we measure distances in space? So this is a big cottage industry recently. So people have been figuring out lots of different ways to measure it to try to understand whether these measurements are correct or not because it tells a different story. So another way people have been measuring distances
Starting point is 00:49:09 is not looking at supernova, but looking at moments when red giant stars get really, really bright. Red giants are stars near the end of their life when they've been burning hydrogen for a long time and collecting helium ash at their core, but they aren't hot enough to burn that helium yet. Then near the end of their life, suddenly they get hot and dense enough to burn that helium and it all happens very, very quickly. There's a huge flash of light from this helium burning. So these are peaking red giants. And when they do that, they're almost always the same. Similar to type 1a supernova or similar to sephids, you can tell basically how bright they are
Starting point is 00:49:46 from other characteristics you measure about them, like their spectrum. So these are called tip of the red giant branch because astronomers think about all these stars on like a big branch of luminosity versus size. And so they use these stars to measure the distance to those galaxies that contain them. Because I guess all red giant stars are basically the same. Like if you have a red giant, it means they're a certain size. Like there aren't an infinite number of kinds of red giants, right? Yeah, exactly.
Starting point is 00:50:14 They tend to do it in basically the same way. These things are a little harder to find, so there aren't as many examples. But recently people have been working really hard on this, using it to measure independently the expansion rate of the universe. It's also sensitive to dust, like the first measurement we talked about, but it's differently sensitive to dust because the best red giant candidates are old stars that are on like the outskirts of galaxies, which tend to be less dusty.
Starting point is 00:50:41 And so it's like less sensitive to dust, people think, in that distant galaxy. And you can actually see these in distant galaxies? Because, you know, usually when you look at a distant galaxy, it just looks like a fuzz. You can actually make out little pinpoints in them. Yeah, you can actually make out these pinpoints because they're very bright when it happens and it's sudden. It doesn't last for very long. So if you're watching that galaxy, you can see a change in the galaxy, that sudden peak of brightness.
Starting point is 00:51:05 The same way you can see a Type 1A supernova in that galaxy. or you can see sephids in distant galaxies because they have a period. I see. But you're still looking at the overall light from the galaxy. You're not looking at like, oh, that little corner of this galaxy flashed up. That must be a red giant. You're looking at the whole thing, right? Or not?
Starting point is 00:51:23 You're looking at the whole thing, but you can resolve these individual red giants. Yeah. Not all galaxies are so far away that you can't resolve them. All right. Some other ways that we can measure distance. So people are trying to develop ways that are independent of this that are like less sensitive to dust, for example. A one really cool way is to use gravitational waves
Starting point is 00:51:43 because this doesn't use light at all, right? It just uses gravitational waves. And if you watch two neutron stars, for example, and you see them spiraling in towards each other so that they're gonna collide, you get a gravitational wave signature. Remember, everything in the universe that accelerates makes waves in its gravitational field
Starting point is 00:52:02 and we can measure those on Earth with very powerful interferometers. And as they spiral, they go faster and faster and faster so the gravitational wave gets faster and faster and by watching that frequency change you can calculate the mass of those objects you can tell like oh this is a neutron star of that mass or that was a black hole of the other mass and from knowing the mass of those things you can tell how big the wave should be so you watch sort of the speed of the wiggles which tells you how big the objects are which tells you how high the wave should go and then you measure how high
Starting point is 00:52:35 the wave is that you got, and that tells you how far away it is. Because just like with light, as the wave gets further and further away, it gets dimmer and dimmer. So by measuring the gravitational wave frequency, you can sort of predict the intensity of the gravitational wave as it was emitted and compared to the intensity you measure here on Earth. So if we get a gravitational wiggle wave from two neutron stars crashing, you're saying that we can tell how far away it is, because they all always happen kind of the same way. But then how do you know where it happened? Because we're just listening to these gravitational waves. How do you know where in the universe that crash happened?
Starting point is 00:53:10 We can tell the direction these things come from because we have multiple ears, essentially. We have one in Louisiana, one in Washington, and one Italy. And as the wave passes over the earth, it doesn't arrive at all these things at the same moment. So you can use that to tell the directionality. But the distance measurement is different. The distance measurement comes from the intensity of it. Like how loud was it? By looking at the frequency of the wiggles, you can tell how loud it was when it was created.
Starting point is 00:53:34 and we can measure the loudness as it arrived on Earth. And so we can tell how much it's been quieted by its flight through the universe. And that tells us the distance. It tells us the distance between us and where those two neutron stars crash. But what does that tell us about anything else? It just tells you that two neutron stars crashed at a certain distance from us in a certain direction. But does that tell you like the velocity or how, you know, galaxies around there are moving? Well, if you know where it was in space, you know which galaxy, those neutron
Starting point is 00:54:04 stars were in so you can point to that galaxy and say oh it was in this galaxy and now we know how far away that galaxy is in the same way that if you spot a galaxy and you see a supernova blow up in that galaxy you know how far away that galaxy is now if you spot a galaxy and you see two neutron stars collide inside that galaxy you can use that to measure the distance to that galaxy do we know the directionality that with that much accuracy like is our stereo hearing of gravitational waves that accurate to tell like, oh, that wiggle came from that galaxy. Because there are so many, there's billions of galaxies out there in space, right? There are lots of galaxies out there in space. And the directionality of this is not great. You're right, because we only have three
Starting point is 00:54:44 ears and sometimes they're consistent with like a few different directions. So there's a lot of uncertainty in this measurement. It's one people are excited about because it's very independent from the other measurements, like not affected by dust at all. But it's not one that yet provides a measurement that's competitive at all. It's like has big error bars for all reasons you laid out and also because we just don't hear many gravitational waves compared to other things. So it's something that we think in the future is going to help. It's a cool new technique, but it hasn't yet provided a measurement that compares with the uncertainty of the other measurements. Right. What are some other ways that we can measure distance? One of the ways that's
Starting point is 00:55:19 most amazing and impressive is using something called a mazer. So a mazer is like a laser, but it emits in the microwaves. So what they do is they see these blobs of water orbiting a black hole in a distant galaxy. And so for these blobs of water, what they can do is they can measure the distance between the blob of water and the central black hole. And they do it in two different ways. And one is that they look at how these microwave light from this water blob changes as it goes around the black hole. Like as it's going around the back side of the black hole, it's accelerating away from you. As it's coming around the other side of the black hole, it's accelerating towards you. So it's either like red shifted or blue shifted as it goes around this black hole. So by measuring that acceleration and
Starting point is 00:56:00 doing like a little bit of like Kepler's laws, you can figure out what is the radius of its orbit around this black hole. And then they actually point telescopes at these things and measure the radius. They can like see these spots orbiting black holes in distant galaxies. So they know the true radius from like the wiggles and then they can actually measure the radius in a telescope and they can compare those two things and tell how far away that galaxy actually is. Whoa. Wait, how do you measure the radius of something? orbiting a black hole in another galaxy it's hard they have these very long baseline interferometers that can actually resolve these things they can like measure the locations of these
Starting point is 00:56:40 water blobs when i was first reading about this i didn't believe it had to go back to the papers and see but in those papers you can see they actually do measure like the distance of each water blob from the black hole itself it's incredible what we can do with very long baseline interferometers and by water blob you don't mean like an actual like blob of water probably You mean like a cloud of H2O molecules, right? Yeah, exactly. You have some big cloud that's hot and it has a lot of water in it. And so it's emitting light at a characteristic frequency.
Starting point is 00:57:10 It's more like a cloud maybe? Yeah, like a cloud of water, like water vapor. And by seeing how that frequency is shifted, we can tell whether it's like going around the backside or accelerating towards us or on the front side. So these mega mazers, they're called, are a totally separate way to measure the distance to these galaxies. Cool. But how many of these can we see or have we seen? Enough of them to like calibrate this method? There are enough of them to calibrate these methods, but it's not as accurate yet as the other one because we haven't seen that many. I mean, in order for this to work, the mazers can't be that far away or you just can't see these water blobs going around the black holes. But it's useful because it's a very independent measurement.
Starting point is 00:57:50 And the problem is we have lots of different ways to measure the expansion of the universe, but some of them don't agree. A whole other way to measure the expansion of the universe is to look for evidence. very early on in the universe from like the cosmic microwave background radiation and compare that to what we measure from these kind of measurements like in the universe today we make those measurements and they don't agree and we don't understand the difference so having as many independent measurements as possible is really important right you want to stack as many stepping stools on top of your stepping stools as you can right the more stepping stool the bigger the structure of stepping these tools you can construct. Well, if it is one universe and it all makes sense to us, then it should be
Starting point is 00:58:31 telling us one story. But right now, it's telling us several stories. Like measurements from the cosmic microwave background radiation, say the universe is expanding at one rate. And measurements from quasars and cephids and type 1a supernova and mazes and all these other things, tell us a different story. And the tip of the red giant branch, that tells us a story that's right in between them. So we have like three different groups of measurements that kind of overlap, but kind of disagree with each other. It's a big problem right now in cosmology. People don't really understand what story this is telling us. Are we measuring these things incorrectly or is a story more complicated than we imagined? Right. But except the cosmetologists are all unified and they're
Starting point is 00:59:11 telling us the same story. So they don't have a problem. They just want to cover up these blemishes with more makeup. That's all. That's right. Just lay on that foundation. Well, you just kind of confused me because it seems like there's different things giving us different stories. So you're saying that one story is being told by this idea of measuring objects out there, how far away they are, and then measuring their velocity using the red shifting of their light. That's one way, but you're saying there's sort of a second general class of methods to measure the expansion of the universe that uses the cosmic microwave background. Yeah, the cosmic microwave background is light left over from very early on in the universe,
Starting point is 00:59:49 right? When the universe cooled down so that photons that had been emitted by the hot plasma, all of a sudden saw the universe as transparent so that light is still flying around today. And we can measure it. And it tells us something about what was going on early on in the universe, including the expansion. It has encoded in the wiggles of those photons, in the hotspots, and in the cold spots, how the universe was expanding back then. It's very useful because it captures like a really wide swath of the universe, which since then
Starting point is 01:00:17 has expanded very broadly. So it's sort of like looking at a baby picture of the universe, and we can measure from the wrinkles on how much it was expanding back then. And we get a different number. And so we don't understand why the early universe measurements like the cosmic microwave background radiation tells a different story about the expansion than the late measurements, like the ones we've been talking about with all these different distance ladders. Wait, the cosmic microwave background radiation tells us how the universe was expanding
Starting point is 01:00:44 when it was little, when it was a baby, not how it's expanding today. That's right, exactly. But we can extrapolate and we say, if it was expanding at that rate back then, what should we be measuring today with type 1a supernova and sephids and red giants and all that stuff and those two things don't agree but how do you extrapolate yeah you extrapolate using your model of how the universe expands and maybe that model is wrong that's what i mean by we need to tell a different story we have a model for how the universe should expand using various components matter radiation dark matter dark energy etc you mean they're just guessing well it's a pretty simple model but
Starting point is 01:01:21 It's been working really, really well so far, and this is the first sign of strains it's really been showing. So maybe that model that compares what happened early on and what we should see today is wrong, or maybe one of these measurements is wrong. We're just not sure. All right. So then what are the two stories that we're getting? You're saying that there's conflicting stories between all these measurements. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:41 So the late measurements, the ones from Type 1A supernova, they measure a Hubble constant of like 73 kilometers per megaparsec per second. Whereas the early measurements from like the cosmic microwave background, and radiation and other measurements from the early universe that agree measure like 67 kilometers per second per megaparsec. What do these numbers and units mean? That means that for every megaparsec, that's like a measurement of the size of space, the universe is expanding 73 kilometers each second. Is that what that means?
Starting point is 01:02:12 That's velocity. That's not an acceleration, is it? It's not exactly velocity. It's velocity per size, right? Kilometers per second is velocity. This is kilometers per second per second per minute. megaparsec. And so it's a measurement of the expansion rate of the universe. Every second, every megaparsec grows by 70 kilometers. But a megaparsec is really, really long. Oh, I see. You're
Starting point is 01:02:34 assuming that locally, space is expanding at a constant rate, like 73 kilometers per second per megaparsec. But overall, because the whole universe, this is happening everywhere, are you saying that this expansion is accelerating because you're kind of like aggregating all of these local measurements? But Locally, it's a constant, or you think it's a constant. We think it's a constant in space. We think everywhere in the universe has the same expansion rate. We don't think it's a constant in time. We think it varies in time because it depends on the density of stuff in the universe.
Starting point is 01:03:06 Like how much stuff is in the universe affects how the universe is expanding. So as the universe gets less dense, this number decreases. But it is a number that we can measure. And 70 kilometers per second sounds a lot, but a mega parsec is 3 million, like, light years. So every second, a chunk of space that's three million light years long gets bigger by 70 kilometers, which is like a tiny, tiny, tiny fraction of a megaparsec. But over very, very long distances, it does add up. Because there are a lot of megaparsecs in the universe. Oh, yeah. We got lots of megaparsecs. Okay. So what does that tell us that that all these measurements are
Starting point is 01:03:45 disagreeing? Does it mean that things have been changing with time or it just means that there's too much uncertainty in our measurements. It means that maybe our measurements are wrong, but people have been refining these measurements over time. They've been getting better and better. And now we have like alternate ways to make some of these measurements which agree with each other. And so the story is getting more and more precise, but the disagreement is not going away. Sometimes you get a bunch of measurements and they're all kind of sloppy and they don't really agree with each other. And then people make the measurements more precise and they sort of like come into line. That's not what's happening here. As we resolve these things more finely, the disagreement seems to be
Starting point is 01:04:21 growing, which means there's something basically misunderstood, like maybe there's some reason we're making a mistake in these measurements. That seems unlikely as we get more and more like very different ways to make the measurements. Or there's something wrong about this story about the universe expanding. And maybe it expanded faster early on than it is now because something else happened. We had an episode about early dark energy, which might explain it. Or as you said very early on in the podcast, maybe we're extrapolating from our bubble, maybe our part of the universe is expanding more slowly than everything else because it's less dense than the rest of the universe. So something has to change in our story of the universe to make sense of these measurements. Interesting. Well,
Starting point is 01:05:02 I guess the answer then is kind of stay tuned, right? We're refining our measurements of the universe. And with that, we are getting a better picture of how the universe is expanding, which might tell us how the universe might end eventually. Exactly. And as we keep building better. better and better facilities, we develop more techniques for measuring this expansion. We come up with clever ways to see things happening in other galaxies that we can calibrate and so we can measure the distance to them. And so our picture of what's happening out there in the universe gets more precise. And as things get clear, more mysteries always emerge.
Starting point is 01:05:35 Yeah, because it's very important. We really want to know, is our universe growing faster or slower than our brother or sister universe? The sibling race is on. That's right. we want our common great, great, great, great, great, great, great, great, great, grandkids to have a leg up over the ones in our sibling universe. All right, well, we hope you enjoyed that. Thanks for joining us. See you next time. every you listen to your favorite shows. December 29th,
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