Daybreak - India has more tourists than ever. So why is tourism in trouble?
Episode Date: September 9, 2026India's foreign tourist arrivals slipped by about 8% from the year before to about 9 million in 2025, and a wave of recent reporting has finally made it a talking point. If you take out the b...usiness travellers and the diaspora visiting family, the number who came just to holiday in India may be closer to 3 million. And yet Indians have never travelled their own country more. Domestic trips have crossed 4 billion. The government is pouring thousands of crores into tourist circuits and temple towns like Varanasi and Ayodhya while spending almost nothing to bring foreigners in.In this episode, host Snigdha Sharma asks who Indian tourism is really being built for now, and what India loses if the foreign visitor drops off the itinerary.Tune in.Daybreak is produced from the newsroom of The Ken, India’s first subscriber-only business news platform. Subscribe for more exclusive, deeply-reported, and analytical business stories.
Transcript
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For several years now, India's Prime Minister Narendram Modi has been telling us Indians to see our own country before we see the rest of the world.
My dearer, my dearer, people, I'm a small thing to ask you.
Can you tell can you?
That 2022, in 202, we, at least, our own family,
that we, at least,
our family with
our country,
Bahra,
we're at least
15 tourist destination
to go ahead.
There's
there,
there's a good hotel
not going to go
to be going.
Sometimes,
the difficulties
do you know.
That was him
making a passionate appeal
for the same
seven years ago
during the annual
Independence Day address
from Red Fort
in Delhi when India had turned 72 years old. So travel within India, spend your holidays here,
have your weddings here, rather than in some foreign country. And so far it looks like his appeals
are working spectacularly. Indians are traveling inside India like never before. Domestic trips
jumped 46% in a single year to more than 4 billion. It is close to double of what the
country recorded before the pandemic. But here's the thing.
That was only half his message.
The other part, which he also most recently brought up again during his visit to Kyrgyzstan in a social media post was this.
The Prime Minister also asked Indians to avoid foreign travel and to keep those rupees at home.
And on that count, Indians seem to be politely ignoring the Prime Minister.
Foreign holiday travel has held up.
Roughly 13 million Indians took a foreign holiday in 2025.
And this is close to what they took the year before and well above anything seen before the pandemic.
So Indians are traveling more at home and they're traveling more abroad.
I mean, they're just traveling more.
But somewhere underneath all of this, something else is always.
also moving. Foreign tourists have been coming less and less to India. The country counted
around 9 million foreign arrivals last year, a number that is also falling down, about 8% from
the year before. In fact, even that 9 million needs a footnote. In an interview with Bloomberg,
the head of India's Tour Operators Association estimated that once the medical travelers and
the diaspora returning to see their family are set aside, the number of foreigners who came simply to
holiday in India may be closer to 3 million. So on one hand, you have a country that has never
been more full of travellers and at the same time, it is also attracting fewer and fewer
travellers from other countries. And that raises a question that the arrival figures on their
own cannot answer. When India builds a hotel now or restores a temple town or designs a holiday,
who is it really building for? Welcome to Daybreak, a business podcast,
from the Ken. I'm your host, Nika Sharma, and I don't choose the news cycle. Instead, every day of the week,
my colleague Rachel Vargheese and I will come to you with one business story that's worth
understanding and worth your time. Today is Thursday, the 10th of September. When foreign tourists
stop coming to a country, there's usually no shortage of explanations and India has many. This year's
budget, in fact, tells a strange story. Turns out, India has almost stopped spending money to sell
itself abroad. It's set aside just three and a half crore rupees to promote India to foreign
travellers, which is down from about 32 crores that it actually spent two years earlier.
This is a cut of nearly 90%. It has also cut, by the way, its domestic tourism promotion budget
to nothing. But the government has not stopped spending on tourism. In fact, far from it.
It has raised the tourism ministry's total budget to nearly 2,000.
500 crore rupees. Of this, nearly 2,000 crore rupees is going towards developing tourist circuits
and almost 250 crores to pilgrimage and heritage projects. So the money is there, it has simply
stopped going towards persuading anybody to come and it has gone towards building. And then, of
course, there are other problems as well. Foreign governments often warn their citizens about
scams and sexual violence in India with specific advice for women and solo travelers.
Visas are another source of friction.
This is not just an industry complaint.
In fact, in its June tourism report, Niti Iogue itself identified restrictive visa access
and friction in the application process as problems, and it proposed moving towards a targeted
visa on arrival system.
And this year brought a new problem.
The America-Israel war on Iran disrupted air routes and raised travel costs.
India recorded a more than 14% fall in foreign tourist's arrival in April and ICRA says that
the conflict contributed to this contraction.
So, yes, there are plenty of reasons for a foreign tourist to think twice about coming to India.
And the government's own numbers suggest that the problem is real.
In 2024, India earned about $35 billion from international.
international tourism. Now, that number sounds quite nice until you compare it with countries like
Turkey, Thailand and Saudi Arabia, which have earned more despite attracting far fewer people
than India has the potential to serve. Nityayy Oaks says that India accounts for less than 1.5%
of international tourist arrivals worldwide. And the official foreign tourist number tells
the same story. India recorded close to 11 million foreign tourist arrivals in 2019, before.
before the pandemic. And then it got back to nearly 10 million in 2024 and then fell to just
over 9 million in 2025. This is an 8% decline in a single year and 16% below the pre-pandemic peak.
Now, you may argue that a big chunk of this was because of COVID. But international tourism
globally had recovered to around pre-pandemic levels already by 2024. So we cannot say the same for
India. The obvious conclusion then is that India has a tourist problem. But there is something odd about
that conclusion. Because while foreign travelers are proving difficult to attract, Indians, like I
told you earlier, are traveling around in the country in numbers that we have never seen before.
Domestic tourist visits nearly reached 4.5 billion in 2025. And that is about 85% above the 2019
pre-pandemic level.
Hotels are full, prices are rising, I'm sure you are noticing it too when you make your own travel plans.
So basically, there are two stories that are playing out at the same time.
The country is getting better at attracting its own citizens to travel within.
But it is also getting worse at getting foreigners to come here.
Now, the first part is what you would expect anyway from a country whose incomes in general are rising.
But the second part is harder to explain.
The familiar problems, marketing, visa, safety, airfare tells us why a foreign tourist might choose
somewhere else. But it still does not tell us how India's tourism economy is still expanding
so rapidly without that foreign tourists. And that suggests that maybe this isn't simply
a competition in which India is losing customers to Thailand or to Vietnam. Maybe the more
important change is who the customer is. Because when most of your tourists are no longer coming from
abroad, the tourism industry itself starts building around the people who are already there.
And once the customer changes, the product usually follows. More on this in the next segment.
Stay tuned. You know, you can actually see what this exactly means in Goa. Between January and July this
year, Goa received about 60-lack domestic tourists and about 2.5-lac international travelers.
That is roughly 25 domestic tourists for every one, four-in-one. At this ratio, the domestic
traveler has become the one that matters to the market the most. Hotels can fill rooms with
Indians traveling for holidays, weddings, work, restaurants, tour operators and attractions
have a dependable, familiar pool of customers to sell to. And the government too, is a government too, is
going after the same crowd. Now, to understand this better, you have to widen the lens because
it goes beyond Goa. Take religious tourism, for example. It has become one of the biggest drivers
of Indian travel and the government has been building for it. In fact, there is a dedicated scheme
which was launched way back in 2014 to 15 called Prashad. It stands for pilgrimage, rejuvenation
and spiritual heritage augmentation drive. Prashad, by the way, if you don't know, means the blessed
offering handed to worshippers at a temple. And that kind of tells you who this is for.
Under Prasad, the centre fully funds states to build the infrastructure around pilgrimage sites,
roads, sanitation, parking, walkways. So far, it has sanctioned about 54 projects worth roughly
1,700 crore rupees. Take Varanasi. In 2021, the government opened the Kashi Vishanath corridor,
expanding the temple complex from about 3,000 square feet to over 5 lakh. Since then,
more than 325 million people have visited.
And here is a detail that tells you who it is for.
A state survey found that domestic visitors to Varanasi spent around $7,000 to $8,000 a trip.
Foreign visitors, on the other hand, spent about $20,000.
But India is now building for the smaller spender,
because a smaller spender arrives in tens of millions.
Or even Ayodhya is a good example.
The Rham Temple opened in January 2024.
That year, the city drew more than 160 million visitors, which was up from 6 million only in 2020.
It now pulls a bigger crowd than the Taj Mahal itself.
And only a fraction of this number is foreign travelers.
And this is what the arrival numbers were hiding.
You can see the scale of the demand in these places where governments have invested heavily
in roads, public spaces and transport.
The private sector too is following the same demand.
One hotelier, in fact, told TTG Asia,
instead of investing in international marketing,
we are channeling our resources towards the domestic leisure wedding and
MIC segments.
This is a pretty revealing sentence,
because it tells you how a hotelier looks at the market now.
And that brings me back to the Prime Minister's 2019 appeal
in the clip that I played for you at the beginning of this episode.
He had asked Indians to travel within India,
even if the hotels were not as good
and the infrastructure needed to improve.
Basically, us Indians should compromise to travel within the country.
But for how long?
And more importantly, what happens to the standards in that case?
Indian travelers are not going to accept everything like this forever.
As incomes rise and more Indians travel abroad, which they are,
they have more experiences to compare with.
But foreign tourists introduce another kind of comparison.
They arrive with expectations formed elsewhere,
and they have chosen India over dozens of other countries.
So what they encounter here becomes a part of the story that they take back home.
And that in turn puts pressure on the industry here to get the basics right.
The hotel, the taxi, the road, the airport, the monument, the service in general.
It also matters to the country itself.
And that is where I think the falling foreign tourist numbers
deserves a little more attention than it is getting.
India has finally built a tourism market of extraordinary scale at home.
Nearly 4.5 billion domestic tourist visits were recorded last year.
And that is a remarkable economic opportunity.
But it also changes the incentive structure.
If Indian travellers can keep the hotels full, the planes flying and the destinations busy,
the industry has less commercial dependence on the person who has flown 5,000 miles to get here.
And that person has something that the domestic traveller does not.
The option to take their money somewhere else and tell the world what they found here.
So the question that I keep coming back to is not whether India should want more domestic tourists at all.
Of course it should.
But it is whether as India builds the tourism industry increasingly shaped by its own travelers,
it keeps enough pressure on itself to meet the standards of the people coming from outside.
Because the foreign tourists bring more than foreign currency.
They bring an outside measure of what India feels like to the rest of the world.
And that is all for today.
Thank you for tuning in.
And if you have any feedback or thoughts on this subject,
please write to me at Snigda at theken.com.
It is the hyphenken.com.
And you could also leave a comment on our YouTube channel.
With that, thank you, and we will catch you again tomorrow.
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Today's episode was hosted and produced by my colleagues Niktha Sharma and edited by Rajiv CN.
