Decoding the Gurus - Interview with Jonathan Howard on Covid Contrarians

Episode Date: June 23, 2023

The pandemic was a confusing time with public health messages from officials and institutions that were sometimes confused, conflicting, or misrepresented and anti-vaccine misinformation being spread ...widely. Into this mix, a new phenomenon emerged, that of the covid contrarian. Contrarian doctors usually possessed some relevant qualifications and positioned themselves as independent critical thinkers willing to challenge the dogmas of the mainstream and take a more nuanced perspective on the claims made by anti-vaccine advocates.These contrarian figures are the voices that you would usually hear on 'heterodox' podcasts. Figures like the medical doctor Vinay Prasad, the Stanford professor of Medicine Jay Bhattacharya, or the retired nurse, John Campbell. But did they really offer an alternative critical perspective? Our guest today, Jonathan Howard, a practising doctor and professor of Neurology and Psychiatry, argues no. And he should know, he has spent the pandemic not only treating patients but tirelessly documenting (and refuting) the claims made by the contrarian set. This episode is unfortunately topical due to the recent online fracas surrounding Joe Rogan's credulous promotion of RFK Jnr and the subsequent 'calls for debate' and targeted harassment of Dr Peter Hotez -a public health specialist and advocate for affordable vaccines. In any case, we learnt a lot and enjoyed the discussion with Jonathan and hope you will too. Also covered in this episode: How many pull-ups Matt can do, why Chris is drinking a chalky green potion, and the psychology of placebos.LinksJonathan's New Book- We Want Them InfectedJonathan's articles on the pandemic at Science-Based-MedicineJonathan's Older Book- Cognitive Errors and Diagnostic Mistakes: A Case-Based Guide to Critical Thinking in MedicineWhat the Heck Happened to John Ioannidis?Honestly with Bari Weiss: RFK Jr. Is Striking a Nerve. He Explains Why.Vinay Prasad at The Free Press: What RFK Jr. Gets Right—and What He Gets WrongVinay Prasad at Unherd: We need to talk about the vaccinesVice Article: Joe Rogan, Elon Musk Instigate Harassment Campaign Against Vaccine ScientistUncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps: "RFK, Joe Rogan & Vaccines" with Michael ShermerVox Article: Joe Rogan wants a “debate” on vaccine science. Don’t give it to him.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello and welcome to Decoding the Gurus, the podcast where an anthropologist and a psychologist listen to the greatest minds the world has to offer and we try to understand what they're talking about. I'm Matt Brown, with me is Chris Kavanagh. How are you doing today, Chris? You feeling healthy? Feeling chipper? I'm a regular Mr. Motivator. You won't know him, Regular Mr. Motivator. You won't know him, Matt. He's a celebrity from the 90s, I think, in the UK. He was like a kind of exercise, TV exercise man who wore bright rainbow clothes, black British guy.
Starting point is 00:00:55 Yeah, Mr. Motivator. I don't know of him, but you're my motivator because you have a pull-up bar in your office and you have been doing pull-ups and that inspired me to buy my own pull-up bar and attempt to do pull-ups. But I think the ratio of my arm muscle to belly fat is prejudicial and I've managed just a few and then I hurt my arm. So, some ways to go there, Chris. Some ways to go there chris um some ways to go i could be an evangelical person for pull-up bars because they're i think they're kind of exercise and there's lots of variations of stuff that you can do right but like they're easy to do in a set amount of time that's why i need my i need
Starting point is 00:01:40 efficiency i'm an optimizer i've got things to be doing so i need to and i you know have young kids have jobs and have a podcast and whatnot so i need to make my exercise time extremely efficient it is efficient i'll grant that because it totally fucked my arms in like three minutes yeah i you know i'm one of these people i like like the sense of progress, right? Like that you initially can do X amount and now you can do this amount and so on. So, yeah, that's good. I'm glad to see, you know, a man of your age getting back into the exercise world. That's the other disadvantage I have. So, we shouldn't be comparing how many we can do, stuff like that.
Starting point is 00:02:23 It's the wrong comparison. It's the wrong question to be asking. But I also do the virtual reality dancer sizing. Oh, yeah. What is it called? Audio trip is the app I like. So, you know, my sense of accomplishment is when I can do all the moves to a Lady Gaga song and I get to the end and I've hit all the little glowing
Starting point is 00:02:40 thingy. Things with your lightsaber sticks, virtual light. Yeah. I mean, i've played beat saber and as you know and i i think that is a proper workout there's a game called super hot which is like it's kind of like the matrix like this kind of highly stylized world but you know you're the bullets leave little trails and the mechanic is as you move the bullets move right but the thing is that game actually makes you constantly contort your body and do you know so it's actually i recommend that for you as a you also recommended that boxing game you're like you like the fighting games i like the
Starting point is 00:03:19 dancing games i think this says a lot about us because yeah that's a very good yeah what's that fight night that's a very good br boxing making the's that? Fight Night. That's a very good VR box. And making the Fight Night 2 was not out yet. But when that happens, Matt, they are claiming that they will allow multiplayer where somebody else can use their VR headset somewhere
Starting point is 00:03:38 else and fight them. So if that happens, we obviously have to do a fight. We have to fight. Yeah, we have to. I'll make my avatar suitably ridiculous. Yeah, that'll be fun. So we can do that. We can disagree and then go in and we can offer any of the gurus to come on.
Starting point is 00:03:57 Not an actual fight where people could actually get hurt. Just virtual reality exercise from middle-aged man who can't actually box properly that would be entertaining no i see you're sipping on a bottle of green goo there chris is that part of your health well yeah so that what to say about that i'll say matt that you know on this podcast i've detailed to the listeners joy and great fascination, my developing interest in mixed nuts, nuts of different varieties. I've talked about my struggles with sweet coffee from Japanese convenience stores. You know, the struggle is real. Jordan Peterson has a cider. Other people have chronic health problems. I have a slight tendency to drink too much street coffee
Starting point is 00:04:46 and i i did you know i didn't mention it matt but i was kind of went i think a month and a half or so completely off but i i managed to just switch my addiction to a different brand because there was a specific brand that i really liked and then i was like if i can just get off that i don't like the other brand so i'll i'll be good and then i tried get off that, I don't like the other brands, so I'll be good. And then I tried one of the brands that I don't like and I was like, yeah, I don't really like that, so I can take that because I'm not going to get addicted to that. Yeah, you do.
Starting point is 00:05:15 Of course you do. No, that's the only one I drink. I don't like the original one anymore. I'm such a fucking victim of psychology. But so, no, the green goop I'm such a fucking victim of psychology. But so now the green goop I'm drinking. So yeah, you know, people occasionally want to advertise on our podcast and there was a certain company that, you know, I think wants to entice us to allow us them to advertise and offer to send a sample of their wares now i'm pretty aware that we are not going to be advertising supplements on this podcast given
Starting point is 00:05:53 the theme but nobody you know the whole thing was pretty transparent i said yeah you can send the sample you know but we are a science podcast so it's rather unlikely and they said no strings attached you know just try but thing is matt so without naming names i have a a thing that creates what i would describe as a green potion right full up of all these basically multivitamin kind of thing now does it have does it have antioxidants i'm sure it does yeah it probably does it's removing my toxins and it's making my gut biosphere into a relative it's like a it's like a rainforest down there yeah but but so the thing is i'm a human matt right i might not always seem it but i and i'm somebody interested in like you know ritual psychology and that kind of
Starting point is 00:06:45 thing and crucially i'm someone that wants to curb my coffee consumption and i i can't do it by willpower so i've tried various things and it kind of works but not that well but this thing is kind of working because it takes me a long time to drink because it's like, you know, like a chalky green drink and it's not bad, but it's not good. So it's the whole thing of, you know, putting a powder in and mixing it around and stuff like that. It kind of, it takes up mental load and it, it ends up that it has reduced my coffee consumption. Now, that's what I wanted it to do.
Starting point is 00:07:29 So this is, but I do feel conflicted because I'm not sold on all the various health, you know, alleged health benefits from taking multivitamins. I think they don't, basically don't do anything unless you're deficient. Like, you know, you're a pregnant woman who needs iron or you're not getting enough vitamin d or whatever but like overall i don't think it does much but the kind of placebo psychological effect and the ability to
Starting point is 00:07:57 curb my sweet coffee drinking yeah you know i'm saying i get it i get it your problems are primarily psychological ones not health-related ones so it's the right thing for you yeah um personally after we talked before i felt a little bit peckish i marched to the kitchen i fried three pieces of bacon two eggs and lots of butter and made some homemade barbecue sauce and i made a barbecue bacon and egg sandwich. That's my attitude. And that's why your pull-up event is there. Max Rep will never but your life will be significantly
Starting point is 00:08:32 better. Yeah, I said this to you before but I also feel like, you know, in the Matrix or the Matrix, whichever version you've seen, the agent tells Neo that when they made the artificial human world, they made the initial version like a paradise. And they said human minds couldn't accept it
Starting point is 00:08:48 because you just don't like, you want grime and you want, you know, like kind of things to be bad. Basically Twitter. Yeah. But I kind of feel the same way with this whole category of healthy green drinks or whatever. Like if the drink was bright pink and it had the exact same ingredients, I feel like people wouldn't feel it's as healthy.
Starting point is 00:09:10 And also if it tasted sweet, right? Like if it was sweet and good and it didn't have this slightly unpleasant chalky residue, it wouldn't have the same effects. So like, because our minds are like medicine should be slightly unpleasant or things that are good for you shouldn't be that good. It's interesting. As you know, Chris, there's a big literature on the placebo effect and how to maximize it.
Starting point is 00:09:37 And obviously, the more intense you can make the placebo, the better it is. And I think that's got something to do with the chinese medicines they yeah yeah yeah which i took many times and you know it generally i'm sure you've had it yourself generally comes in a sachet of powder and it is always an intensely bitter foul powder that you have to put on your tongue and it's dry and it sticks to your tongue just to make it worse and and they could put it in a pill right so yeah you could swallow it without having to taste that but they don't but they don't because i my theory is that the suffering is part of it there's a supplemental side of medicine in japan which is actually very mainstream like you'll get it from the majority of doctors in japan will prescribe normal medication antibiotics whatnot but also this
Starting point is 00:10:31 thing called campo which is chinese herbal medicine in essence but it's i looked into it and it's sort of interesting because what they've done is they have kind of so you know one of the issues with chinese herbal medicine is that you don't really know what's there, right? Because like the kind of standards for how it's prepared are not very stringent, right? And so even if something says it's ginseng herb or whatever the case might be, it might not be, right? Or it might be a mixture of other things. But in Japan, it seems like the manufacturing is regulated pretty tightly, almost like, you know, pharmaceutical industry standards. And they've kind of restricted it to the, and some of them are, you know, not really
Starting point is 00:11:18 effective, but like they're all the ones that actually have physiological effects. And so like they do do things but but they're but they're always like you say in these little satchels with an extremely bitter taste to them and yeah and for the most part it's placebo or you know like a very mild effect in whatever the case might be so yeah they're like a lot of medicine does this like also modern medicine it's not like doctors are above exploiting the placebo effect they will often prescribe medications where the main thing they're doing is giving the person something that will set their mind at ease but actually they probably don't need oh yeah yeah that's right when
Starting point is 00:12:04 you're a gp and you've got you have people that will just keep coming in and wanting something. So you give them something that's not going to hurt them. Yeah. Yeah. This is how I feel about my green concoction. You know, maybe it's because of all the computer games. You know, like you drink the little green potion and go
Starting point is 00:12:25 I think that is part of the association in my mind but that's it, it's my confession it's my, I like all humans it doesn't matter if you know about ritual psychology or you know about association and all those kind of things
Starting point is 00:12:42 you're still a victim to your psychology so it does it does work i'm sure like if you took a like effect measure of me i'd feel more positive effect after like consuming my green group absolutely as a being a professor of specializers in addiction it hasn't helped me at all in resisting the various things I shouldn't be consuming too much of. What a can resist, Matt. What a can resist is accepting money to promote said products.
Starting point is 00:13:17 Yes. And I'd like to think we would not accept it even if we weren't doing a science podcast. If we were doing a podcast about movies or something, I'd like to think we'd like to think i don't know yeah but it depends it depends on the company or whatever but anyway that's my report on unnamed like green substance i'm consuming so So today we got a great guest who's going to talk to us about stuff to do with the COVID contrarians and another COVID vaccine contrarian who's been
Starting point is 00:13:52 making a splash recently is Joe Rogan. Hey, Chris. Shocking. He's usually so good on this topic that it's really surprising to see him engage in anti-vaccine discourse well how surprising yeah it's not surprising is it it is not surprising so he had on rfk jr yeah noted decade-long multi-decade anti-vaccine advocate yes he had him on and to be very presidential candidate and yes and to be clear this is not someone who, I don't know, has concerns about lockdowns or booster shot for the COVID vaccine. This is someone who thinks that the thimerosal or mercury in vaccines is killing us all.
Starting point is 00:14:36 He's old school. MMR vaccine, autism, Wi-Fi causes cancer. This is something he talked about. And all of the people, I want to ask all of the people, including Joe Rogan, and all of the people, the idiots that are sort of on the other side of this, have they stopped using their Wi-Fi? If they think this guy is so great and he's right about everything, have they turned off their Wi-Fi? No, they haven't. They haven't, have they, Chris? No, they have not.
Starting point is 00:15:03 So there's, I think they would just say, well, you know, I don't agree with him on everything that he says, but like that, again, it might be an indication that perhaps his standards of evidence are somewhat lacking. And yeah, so the one thing is, should you be interested in it,
Starting point is 00:15:22 debunk the funk has a detailed 40 plus minute episode refuting the various claims that RFK makes on the episode. Vinay Prasad, one of the COVID contrarians that Jonathan Howard, our guest, will talk about, on the other hand, has produced an article saying, oh, the things that RFK gets right and the things that it gets wrong. You know, it's kind of a mixed bag, 50-50.
Starting point is 00:15:48 Shocking. That was also his take with Robert Malone and Peter McCullough, who we covered. And I would say it's not exactly 50-50 on the amount that they get right and wrong. But if you're in the heterodox space, this is seen as the nuanced position to take. Edward R. Space, this is seen as the nuanced position to take. And Barry Weiss recently interviewed RFK Jr. Lex Friedman has announced that he's going to interview him. And yeah, they're framing of this, and particularly Barry Weiss's. Now, an incumbent challenger has never won the primaries in modern political history, and RFK Jr. probably isn't going to break that historical precedent.
Starting point is 00:16:29 But that he's doing this well, this early on, tells you a tremendous amount about the current state of our politics. Namely, that Americans are deeply dissatisfied with the options on the table, especially Democrats, who are desperate, it seems, for a Biden alternative. According to one recent poll, four in 10 Democrats, almost half of Democrats in America, want Biden to step aside in 2024. So that's the political aspect of this story. RFK's popularity also tells you, I think, something much deeper and perhaps more unsettling about what's happening in American life that goes well beyond partisan politics.
Starting point is 00:17:12 And that brings us back to Joe Rogan and the wager currently on the table. At the heart of that Twitter storm is not the question of whether or not this doctor or that one is going to go on Rogan for a debate. It's really about the broader and far more existential issue about who we trust and who we don't trust these days. And the fact is that many Americans seem to trust Joe Rogan more than they trust the New York Times, even more than they trust the CDC. And we should think deeply about the reasons why that might be. It also speaks to the question of what fits into the realm of acceptable conversation and acceptable disagreement in our culture. And whether the lines of debate have been drawn too narrowly, and whether RFK Jr. should
Starting point is 00:17:58 be in or out, and whether or not the questions he raises are legitimate ones. and whether or not the questions he raises are legitimate ones. He says things in public life that are considered by some to be out-and-out disinformation or conspiracy theories. But others hear what he's saying and hear a brave truth-teller willing to suffer the consequences of going against groupthink. So what you hear there, Matt, is her presenting it as some people have criticisms of his position. But is it just because he's asking questions that people would rather aren't looked at in the light of day? And is it just that people are afraid to address these issues?
Starting point is 00:18:41 And the fact that he's popular, doesn't that mean? But he's popular doesn't that mean but like he's he's popular amongst her audience and like the reason for him increasing profile stuff is because of people like barry barry weiss like you know it's kind of this weird thing where they act like how is he getting attention and you know why is he becoming like talked about while they platform him and promote him and talk about him and it's like you it's you guys yeah there is this process of like laundering from the absolute loony extremes and then there's this all of these figures that occupy points along that crazy spectrum up to the enlightened centrist just
Starting point is 00:19:27 keeping an open mind and let's hear all the arguments etc i mean where the the crazy stuff gets laundered along the way and becomes increasingly more mainstream and more and more supposedly within an overton window of reasonable conversation. It's really quite annoying. And the other thing you notice about this stuff is that, of course, Joe Rogan has demanded in his sort of great chief sort of way that Peter Hotez come on the podcast to debate RFK Jr. Because that's obviously how medical and scientific questions get sorted out via a one-on-one death match on the joe rogan
Starting point is 00:20:05 podcast between a prominent figure on one side a prominent figure on the other and um hotas to now has probably quite rightly resisted the temptation to accept that offer but the thing i wanted to mention chris is just how how their brains work like this obsession with fauci as if he's like this mastermind pulling all these strings and is responsible for all this stuff has now switched to hotels who is now as complicit and probably taking money from big pharma or whatever the idiots are saying like they have it's this thing that's intrinsic to conspiracy theories where they there's this pull for them to to focus on personalities and on individual characters
Starting point is 00:20:45 as if they are these instrumental figures, and the way to sort it out is by focusing on them. Has it ever occurred to them to look to the scientific consensus in the literature? That's just not something that they seem to be able to do. No, it's not interesting. seem to be able to do no it's not interesting and and also like a lot of this has now swirled around the discourse land about like whether or not to debate like conspiracy theorists or anti-vaccine people like whether that is strategically a good thing to do right because if you give the public the impression that you're afraid to debate them, right, it can garner them further support.
Starting point is 00:21:29 And other people are saying, actually, it is possible to debate people and effectively reveal that, you know, they are presenting like things in a inaccurate way and like kind of unmask them. And that is possible, but it's also not a skill that people automatically have developed. Like, you know, we've looked at like Peter Hitchens and Tariq Ramadan.
Starting point is 00:21:56 Christopher Hitchens, yeah. Christopher Hitchens and who was the other? Tariq, Tariq Ramadan, I think. Tariq, yeah. But in any case, like we've seen lots of people who are good orators, and a subset of good orators are also good debaters, right? I think the part where I agree with some of the heterodox folk is that I think there is value in critical debates that you can actually have effective outcomes. There's plenty of examples that people can point to historically.
Starting point is 00:22:26 But it's also true that winning a debate or being rhetorically more powerful does nothing to the underlying scientific evidence. So it is an approach which comes with the potential of making a position which is fringe seem that it's it's more valid and actually the evidence base doesn't change no matter what the perception of that is so you can understand why people are hesitant but i i also think it is true that there can be value to people debating cranks and conspiracy theories
Starting point is 00:23:06 if they're prepared to do the work in order to prepare for that. Yeah, I agree with all that. If anything, I'm probably a little bit more skeptical of the value of debates. I mean, people should by all means have them if they want to have them. But if you are somebody that is constrained by facts and evidence and basically being truthful. But I think that puts you at an intrinsic rhetorical disadvantage. When you're not constrained by that, you can focus on emotion-laden, hard-hitting stuff that sounds rhetorically powerful.
Starting point is 00:23:38 Not everything can be fact-checked in real time. Sorry, Jamie. And that puts the good guys at a bit of a disadvantage there. I know. I know. And I also want to highlight that, you know, this contradiction just so annoys me, Matt. Like, Joe Rogan was in the ownership position of some description for Onnit, the supplement company that he helped to find with Aubrey Marcus. They sold it last year, I think it was last year, to Unilever
Starting point is 00:24:15 for an undisclosed amount, but estimated to be 100 million plus for the company and potentially much higher than that. And undisclosed how much of that goes to Rogan, what his particular role in the company is. But the point is, they sold a supplement company to this large multinational global company, right, to make money. And Rogan's already a millionaire
Starting point is 00:24:41 making whatever million, 100 million deal with Spotify. Peter Hotez, in comparison, is someone who spends all of his time promoting public health and actually tried to develop or successfully develop an alternative low-cost vaccine to offer in low-income developing countries and whatnot. And you're just like him being vilified by the rich millionaires who are shilling supplements. It's,
Starting point is 00:25:10 it's, it's immoral. It's disgusting. Right. And people don't call Rogan on that aspect of it much, right. They kind of accept his framing and even whether, you know,
Starting point is 00:25:23 but I think it should be focused on that Rogan makes tons of money from multinational companies and then he rages against you know the machine and presents himself as like this guy fighting back against the mainstream but who else is the
Starting point is 00:25:40 part owner of like a multi-million supplement company in this discussion this is obviously a classic element of conspiratorially minded people which is that extreme suspicion of a certain type of group right the people that are the target of the conspiracies but this amazing naivety and total credulity when it comes to the motivations of the people that they're listening to. Like, it never seems to cross anyone's mind or any of their fans' minds that maybe what they say are their motivations are not entirely, you know, the right ones. Like, is Lex Fridman really motivated by extending the amount of love in the universe?
Starting point is 00:26:22 Is that why he's invited RFK Jr. on? Or maybe he's interested in the metrics of love in the universe is that why he's invited rfk jr on or maybe he's interested in the metrics of his podcast and maybe he likes the large amount of money he makes from his podcast and that's why he's doing it you see i do think that though i retain the view that like with people like lex that they're they are sincere in that they justified decisions that they made based on what they say like i think joe rogan does think that he is this like man fighting back against the machine even though he's taking millions from supplements from a multidash like it just that no i totally agree and to and to clarify this is connected to the thing that you often talk about which is that
Starting point is 00:27:02 lack of self-awareness i agree with you I don't think they themselves are aware of entirely of the mechanics that underlies their decision-making things. Like, you know, they legitimately see that a bigger profile, more viewers, more income, more people saying that they're great is an indication that they are doing the right thing. Yeah. The good thing. So, yeah. Yeah. and the last thing i'll say
Starting point is 00:27:27 on the the whole issue is that so there's all these tweets going back and forth between rogan and hotels and supporters and detractors and the various right wing pundits which are increasing the pot to see this to be it right and i think that speaks to a little bit like what this is about it's you know it's spectacle and it is polemical but the other aspect of it is that when you get that kind of attention peter hotez has already had like people approach him at his house right and he has already had somebody tweeting at him a box of ammunition or a packet of ammunition and then saying you know we know what to do with these with the nazi nuremberg people so like you know the rhetoric is very high and when rogan and the
Starting point is 00:28:22 larger right-wing ecosystem including anti-vax ecosystem, target someone, it's dangerous. Like, it can really disrupt a whole life. And Rogan doesn't get that, right? Like, he isn't having people, like, approaches him at his family house and send, you know, bullets at him. But he unleashes that ecosystem
Starting point is 00:28:47 on public health doctors and he does very little to like counteract it like he could tweet out now you know this isn't okay like i disagree but i don't want anybody threatening peter hotez like he's a you know or any doctor he could do that but he never will so yeah and for the people that are conspiratorially minded and that sort of see the world in terms of a struggle between you know independent free thinkers looking to help people versus you know rich and powerful interests i mean look at all of these people that are on joe rogan's side including joe rogan throwing offering hundreds of thousands hundreds of thousands of dollars i mean these people that are on Joe Rogan's side, including Joe Rogan, throwing hundreds of thousands of dollars. I mean, these people are rich.
Starting point is 00:29:28 And Peter Hotez, he's an academic and a researcher. He's the editor-in-chief of Neglected Tropical Diseases. He's not one of these rich and powerful bloody tech bros. His profile is that, and his entire career seems to be that of someone that is yeah i think he's a high profile public health advocate in the u.s so he's probably you know not just like a standard academic but if you compared the bank balances of him and the joe rogan or dave rubin and tim pool you're going to see a massive discrepancy, right? Exactly. I'm not saying he's a poor person.
Starting point is 00:30:08 He's not me, Matt. No, he's a successful academic, Chris. Yeah. Yeah. So, well, that's it. So, you know, it's topical because we're going to talk to Jonathan Howard now about the figures in the debate around COVID and the public health measures taken who are not necessarily your hardcore anti-vaxxers, but those that just framed themselves as offering the alternative perspective,
Starting point is 00:30:39 which wasn't allowed to be discussed in the mainstream, and just raising questions about some aspects of the vaccine for certain populations and you know potential dangerous side effects and whatnot and we'll we'll see from the discussion how accurate that framing is yep it was an excellent discussion with jonathan so let's hear from him now okay so with us we have dr jonathan howard associate professor of neurology and psychiatry at new york university langold is that right am i pronouncing that right it was terrible langone langone he's a big donor langone yeah and the chief of neurology at Bellevue Hospital. That's another thing that you've done. And you have written a book recently, We Want Them Infected, about COVID
Starting point is 00:31:35 contrarian doctors during the pandemic. But I also saw when I was looking around your bio that you wrote a previous book called Cognitive Errors and Diagnostic Mistakes, A Case-Based Guide to Critical Thinking in Medicine, and you're a contributor to science-based medicine blogs. So you've done a lot. I've been writing for a while, yeah, and it's funny. What I'm kind of most proud of is my neurology textbooks. No one reads those, but that's where I really put forth the most effort. I'll tell you, Jonathan, I think this is a secret sauce, though, to be a seeing person online. When you have actual life-worth achievements,
Starting point is 00:32:18 which isn't all based around the online drama. I mean, actually, probably we'll talk about that a bit with the covid contrarians and doctors and what appeals to them yeah so i think it's good that you're you have textbooks that people don't read they have no idea yeah some people read them but you know well not too many people know they exist but that's okay they're kind of niche i think the issue is neurology is hard it's very difficult it's a difficult topic so yeah popular popular science books tend to be tend to be a bit you know easier to digest maybe well also but also like students don't read textbooks why do you because i test them yeah they should read them more that's what i look at this professor's completing a voice institute's
Starting point is 00:33:06 lack of reading and that's that's all true but we'll probably touch on a whole bunch of other stuff but in particular we wanted to talk to you jonathan because of your not just your book but actually during the pandemic you've been someone I've followed online, read your articles and followed your Twitter feed. And it's fair to say that you've been pushing back on the kind of contrarian doctors as well as the outright anti-vax crowd throughout the pandemic. So I'm curious, like just first of all, is that something that primarily began with the COVID pandemic? Or have you, you know, long term been fighting back against anti-vaxxers and that kind of stuff? first got interested in the anti-vaccine movement, probably in about 2010, when an old friend of mine, someone I trained with at Bellevue Hospital, and really the only doctor in the book who I've met personally, a woman by the name of Dr. Kelly Brogan became one of America's most outspoken
Starting point is 00:34:15 anti-vaccine doctors. And when I worked with her and trained with her, you know, she was nice, we were friendly, you know, she kind of had a rebellious streak, but, you know, she still had to treat sick patients and therefore couldn't recommend coffee enemas and gluten-free diets to everyone. But when she left, you know, kind of like a lot of people, I started seeing anti-vax posts on Facebook. And it was a little bit surprising to learning that they were coming from her because she's smart. She went to MIT, she went to Cornell, I mean, she's not stupid. And at first they were very convincing. I didn't know exactly what was wrong with them and this sort of thing. For example, her ex-husband wrote an article in 2013 called 200 Evidence-Based Reasons Not to Vaccinate Your Children. And one of the articles was about a measles outbreak in a highly vaccinated population. And that's how he called this article. When you read the article, essentially what it said is that you can have measles outbreaks in areas where most children are vaccinated, as long as the 1 or 2% of unvaccinated kids all live in the same neighborhood or sort of clustered together. So it was really very pro-vaccine article, but he rearranged the words, he rearranged the title of the article to trick people.
Starting point is 00:35:29 And that was sort of really kind of an awakening moment for me just to realize, you know, how mendacious these people were. And I was never really interested in vaccines, which one's live, which one's inactivated, et cetera. But really, that actually has to go back with cognitive errors and diagnostic mistakes in the brain. Why do smart people believe these sort of weird things? And I got very fascinated by the anti-vaccine movement in particular. And I learned, thanks to a lot of people who taught me,
Starting point is 00:35:57 how to rebut all of their arguments. I wrote a book article, a book chapter in 2018 called The Anti-Vaccine Movement, a litany of fallacies and errors with law professor Dori Rees. I wrote a book article, a book chapter in 2018 called The Anti-Vaccine Movement, A Litany of Fallacies and Errors with Law Professor Dory Reese. So I've been doing this a while. And I think it unfortunately prepared me well for what we're going to talk about next, the pandemic. Yeah, that's interesting. And I think it is something that is worth emphasizing that people who can get caught up in not just anti-vaccine movements
Starting point is 00:36:28 but also you know other types of conspiracy movements and that that sometimes they're presented as very credulous gullible people but in in many cases it's actually people that are like quite creative and intelligent and they're able in a way to create more intricate explanations and alternative understandings of how the world works because of that so kelly brogan i became aware of because of the conspirituality podcast covering her but she it's interesting that you had experience with her before the turn towards kind of hardcore anti-vaccine thing because i think she was married and recently divorced to another guy sire g who was like another large anti-vaccine output so yeah i i'm curious just before we kind of move on a bit is there anything from that personal experience that like particularly stands out to you about kind of in hindsight warning warning flags or things that, you know, afterwards kind of saw as pointing
Starting point is 00:37:50 to a susceptibility? Or is it more that actually there wasn't and it could apply just as much to any other colleague that, you know, you wouldn't have singled her out as especially likely to go that route? I wouldn't have signaled her out. You know, at the time, I didn't really think about the anti-vaccine movement. It was kind of like the Bigfoot movement. I mean, whatever. Some people, you know, thought about this sort of stuff. You know, she was a little bit sort of rebellious, which is not a bad trait. But, you know, like I said, when I knew her, we treated sick people together in the hospital. And you can't use magical thinking when you actually have real world responsibility. But I also witnessed her sort of escalation. You know, when she first
Starting point is 00:38:32 started out, it was sort of, you know, vaccines cause autism. Ooh, oh my gosh, what a, you know, crazy wild thing for a doctor to say. You know, fast forward a few years, she's denying that viruses even cause illness. She is saying that vaccine campaigns are a depopulation campaign and just constantly, constantly escalating. And I just saw it repeat itself in fast motion, this pandemic with people who started out, you know, potentially realistic, now saying, you know, totally crazy things. Now, I'll also say it really engendered a passionate dislike for anti-vaccine doctors in particular. I sort of became obsessed is a strong word, but I got to read about all of them and learned about all of them. Sherry Tenpenny,
Starting point is 00:39:16 Suzanne Humphries, Bob Sears, Larry Pulesky, and obviously Andrew Wakefield. And I just developed sort of a bitterness almost in the sense that I think they're sort of like arsonist firefighters, which are a real thing too. And, you know, so I had a very strong dislike for doctors who spread anti-vaccine misinformation. I came into the pandemic with that fully formed. Yeah. Chris and I share your disdain there. Like with a lot of the people we cover, you know, sometimes they could have all kinds of personality problems, but if they're doing harmless things, you can give them a pass. But with the anti-vax stuff, and you can point to actual large numbers of people dying as a result of it, it's hard to have a sense of humor about
Starting point is 00:40:02 it. But before we get into the COVID stuff, Jonathan, I wanted to ask you about what's your personal opinion in a nutshell as to how and why intelligent, well-educated people can become so deluded about things that would seem to have a clear-cut evidentiary basis. Chris and I joke to each other that just highly educated people just, uh, just get the skills to be wrong in more complicated ways. But, um, what do you think? I don't have a great satisfy satisfactory answer. I mean, I think, you know, exactly what you said that you kind of have to be smart to come up with, with some conspiracy theories. I think a lot of it just has to do with the sort of psychological need to feel different, that if everyone else is saying A, you have to say B. In other words, let's say vaccines were banned tomorrow. I predict that there were, you know,
Starting point is 00:40:58 or let's say they had been banned, you know, in 2010, you know, Dr. Brogan and her ilk would be saying, oh, they're a suppressed miracle cure because doctors make more money treating disease than preventing disease. So I think it's a little bit just about being different for the sake of being different. Because nothing is more boring than saying you should vaccinate your children against measles, HPV, and polio. Like, no one came up to me and patted me on the back and said, oh, wow, you're such an amazing, brave, independent thinker for doing that sort of thing.
Starting point is 00:41:32 I didn't get spoken to by Gwyneth Paltrow. I didn't get, which she did. I didn't become sort of a mini celebrity up until, other than my books, the only thing I've ever sold. I don't have an online store, an online course that people can take. She does. She has all of that sort of stuff. So I think it's a combination of just the satisfaction of feeling that you're smarter than everyone else. You know more than everyone else while being able to monetize that is kind of a nice side effect. And none of these people, and this is a big theme of my writing, really have any real world responsibility for the consequences of their words. You know, Dr. Brogan is not the one
Starting point is 00:42:11 in the hospital treating children who got sick with measles in New York City in 2019. And very few of the doctors that I mentioned treated COVID patients. Yeah. And of course, Jonathan, you were at the front lines in a New York hospital treating the first wave of COVID patients, weren't you? Yeah. So that experience was brief, but intense. I volunteered to work on the COVID unit. And as did tens of thousands of other people, this was sort of nothing heroic. I mean, people traveled from all over the city to be here. sort of nothing heroic. I mean, people traveled from all over the city to be here. You know, the only reason I say, I stress that I volunteered is one of the doctors who I write about reacted to my book by saying that doctors were selfish for trying to stop the spread of COVID during the
Starting point is 00:42:57 first wave because we were doing it to protect ourselves and keep ourselves safe. And, you know, we were surrounded by COVID. We were, you know, you know, a couple extra patients here and there weren't going to keep us safe. And, you know, so I volunteered to work, you know, on the COVID unit. So I wasn't doing anything to keep myself safe. You know, and looking back a few things, I'm not really sure that I did a lot, to be honest with you, for my patients, other than be nice to them, which was very important because they were alone and they were without their families. So I, families. So I spent time and hopefully a friendly face behind a mask and glasses. That's what I did, number one. I made some really hard decisions, which were probably
Starting point is 00:43:37 not right. I mean, whether there's a 70-year-old man who had a blood clot in his leg and we decided to amputate that and he died a few days later. And I still think about that because it was probably the wrong decision. But I'm a neurologist and a psychiatrist. I treat multiple sclerosis. What do I know about amputating a man's leg who has a blood clot in it? I mean, that's what was going on at the time. So I don't really know that I did a lot, to be honest with you, but I saw a lot. And I think that makes a big difference because the people who I write about say things that no one who worked on a COVID unit would say repeatedly, just over and over and over again, say things that if you spent a day on a COVID unit, you would not just say what you just said. Yeah. And it's kind of ironic, isn't it? That the conspiratorial narrative is that
Starting point is 00:44:28 all of these doctors like yourself, though tens of thousands of you were brave enough to volunteer in COVID wings when the rest of us, when there was a great deal of reasonable fear about getting infected, there was no vaccines or anything. Supposedly this is the same cohort of professionals that are too afraid to challenge the orthodoxodoxy and the lies around covid right yeah i i also think jonathan like there's i'm gonna editorialize in in a way here but your kind of intuition or or like impetus to downplay you know the significance of what you did you know you're just a doctor who was one of many who were volunteering and your expertise is actually you know slightly different it's interesting how different that is to all of the people that we cover and most of the people
Starting point is 00:45:18 that you cover with covid contrarians where they would they're very clear that they are at the forefront and could save the world if only you make a terrible guru basically jonathan that's not a career path you should go for well let me let me let me tell you something that has served me very very well and let me tell you why because my critics level charges at me like he he wants us locked down forever. He wants schools closed. He wants to force vaccines on people. And they can go through everything I've written and everything I've tweeted and not find one statement of mine saying, we need to lock down, we need to close schools, we need to have mask mandates, we need to have vaccine mandates, all of the things they hate and try to say that I'm in favor of, they can't actually
Starting point is 00:46:11 quote me on any of those things. Because I've been very careful, I hope, I'm sure there's some stray examples out there, but I've done my best not to try to talk about stuff that I don't know about. So I don't know a lot about the effects of luck, you know, especially three years ago, exactly what the right thing to do was. So I kind of kept my mouth shut. So my critics are kind of coming up empty, because they can't really sort of they can put words in my mouth, but they really can't quote me on saying all of the things that that they hate. And so watch them flounder. I've got a question, Jonathan, that I think will be useful.
Starting point is 00:46:52 So I think for a lot of our audience, they're familiar with anti-vax rhetoric and maybe to a certain extent, the kind of COVID contrarian position. But how would you explain, you know, to someone who doesn't know, what exactly is the kind of approach of the people that you're criticizing? What distinguishes them from outright anti-vaccine? And how come they are not just, for example, reasonable minority position within a field? Like what made you want to specifically write a book criticizing them and single them out the perspective for criticism?
Starting point is 00:47:33 Yeah. So the book is not about people like Kelly Brogan, other than to sort of say her ideas pre-pandemic about measles and HPV kind of won the pandemic with regards to COVID and young people. Because the behavior of people like Andrew Wakefield and Kelly Brogan and Sherry Tenpenny, it was very predictable that these anti-vaccine doctors were going to do exactly what they did. But the doctors who I write about, number one, had stellar pre-pandemic reputation, some of them world famous, a Nobel Prize winner. That's number one. Number two is they were very influential. They influenced Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, and the UK and Sweden. They had a lot of influence. People like Kelly Brogan,
Starting point is 00:48:17 they saw their media footprint shrink. These people were all over the media writing editorials for the Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Washington Post, The Atlantic. They made thousands of podcasts and YouTube videos. So they were very influential. The third main difference in why I chose these doctors is they mixed good advice with bad advice. So the good advice would be, you know, we have to protect grandmas. It's very dangerous for nursing homes. You know, Kelly Brogan wouldn't say that. She would deny that the virus even caused illness in the first place. So they mixed very reasonable sounding
Starting point is 00:48:53 advice, which what I think is very bad advice, which is where the title of the book comes from, we want them infected. And at this point, I would pause and to my hypothetical listener and say, And at this point, I would pause into my hypothetical listener and say, I'm about to sound like a crazy conspiracist myself, but there was a very large, coordinated, well-funded, successful effort to purposely infect unvaccinated children and young people with COVID in the failed belief that this would lead to herd immunity in three to six months and the pandemic would be over. And this continued even after successful, not perfect, but safe and effective vaccines arrived. And that's where I sound like a crazy lunatic, but it's all true. And is that in the US specifically? It's not in the US specifically. This influenced, as I said, the UK and Sweden for sure. You know, our pandemic response was a little bit mixed. You know, you kind of had these two confiding forces.
Starting point is 00:49:53 You had people like Fauci and a lot of, you know, governors, you know, who took the virus seriously. And pretty much everyone did at the beginning, by the way. You know, there weren't too many people, you know, as refrigerated trucks were needed here in New York City to store the dead bodies, there weren't too many people sort of saying, you know, hey, this is all a hoax type thing. Although all of the doctors who I write about vastly, vastly underestimated COVID at the start of the pandemic, but their rhetoric about it hasn't
Starting point is 00:50:25 changed one single bit. What they said in March, 2020, it's only affects old people and it's all going away is exactly what they say today. Nothing has changed. A million bodies didn't change anything. So tell us a little bit more about this fallacious version of herd immunity that was getting pushed and enacted upon. Just foracious version of herd immunity that was getting pushed and enacted upon. Just for the listeners, herd immunity is usually what we refer to with respect to vaccinations, right? So if you can get, say, 98% of the population vaccinated, then there might be 2% that can't be vaccinated for whatever reason or might be particularly vulnerable and they'll be sort of protected by extension simply because it can't spread in the community. So what's the bizarro version of herd immunity that they were proposing?
Starting point is 00:51:11 Yeah, so this plan was articulated pretty early in the pandemic. The title of the book is a direct quote from a Dr. Paul Alexander, who is a Canadian epidemiologist and official in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services in the Trump administration. And on July 4th, 2020, before anyone had been vaccinated, he said, infants, infants, kids, teens, young people, young adults, middle age with no clinical, etc., have zero to little risk. So we use them to develop herd. We want them infected. So again, it was this plan, this idea that if enough young people, you know, what do they mean by young? I mean, sometimes under 60 and even 70, to be totally honest with you, went out and contracted COVID while older people and vulnerable people stayed home and,
Starting point is 00:51:59 you know, presumably had food delivered to them. I don't really know, that once, you know, I'll just use American numbers, you know, we have 330 million people here, that once 250 million were infected all at the same time, herd immunity would arrive and the virus would be gone. So it was this idea that you could get rid of the virus by spreading the virus. That was the plan, this sort of worship of natural immunity. And on that point, Jonathan, I think this maybe became a dominant narrative a little bit later, but you often hear people point out that the risk profile varies according to health profile and demographic features, but in particular, age, right? And it's a very dangerous disease for old people and very non-serious, non-dangerous disease
Starting point is 00:52:53 for young children and infants. And so part of that strategy or that position, I think, was that essentially we should protect the old people but allow young people and healthy people to go about their lives you know pretty much unmolested and i think that strikes a lot of people as a very you know reasonable position i think that's that's kind of the part of joe rogan's message and so on, and maybe the other COVID contrarians that you feature that a lot of people would have sympathy for. So I'm curious to hear, why is that wrong? Or what is that kind of narrative missing? Well, so a lot of it's right in that COVID is much more
Starting point is 00:53:41 dangerous for older people than it is for younger people. There's no question about that. An 80-year-old with cancer has a huge risk. A healthy 10-year-old has a very low risk, but not zero. And this is one of these things where sometimes I think the numerator matters more than the denominator. So a very, very rare event multiplied by 73 million American children has added up to around 2,000 children dead, potentially 200,000 children hospitalized, about 10,000 children with this condition miss multisystem inflammatory syndrome. And I don't have a good grasp on the exact numbers of children with long COVID, but suffice it to say it's not small. So I think COVID's toll on children has been pretty dramatic as a whole. And of course, here in America, we have about 200,000 orphans as well. So the risk of any individual child with
Starting point is 00:54:36 COVID is almost certainly going to do very well. My children had it, my nieces and nephews, and I was not worried about that. But the idea that to purposefully infect these children, to use them as human shields after a vaccine was available, you know, that's where I sort of really, my sense of offended comes back, my disdain, to even after a safe and effective vaccine is available, to continue to use children, to propose the idea of using children as human shields to theoretically protect grandma, which we all know is ridiculous now, I think is an abomination, to be honest with you. Yeah, agreed. It also seems like a very impractical way of trying to stamp out COVID, right? Because reinfection occurs, obviously,
Starting point is 00:55:24 trying to stamp out COVID, right? Because reinfection occurs, obviously, and it just seems totally unfeasible apart from being unethical. So, to return a little bit to the motivations and the sort of psychological and social factors that are driving this new wave of anti-vax feeling. I mean, like you, Chris and I have been very interested in anti-vax long before COVID, have published papers on the psychology of it, in fact, and I very much liked what you said about essentially the emotional drivers, right? You can have people that are very cognitively smart, well-educated, well-informed, but even if you are clever, then you're driven by, I guess, emotional drivers as much as the next person. So now what we're seeing is it kind of dovetailing into, I guess, a more generalized right-wing reactionary, conspiratorial, populist political opinion. Back in the day, anti-vax was sort of associated
Starting point is 00:56:18 with the crunchy sort of hippie type natural woo counterculture, but that, of course, too, has seemed to move right in terms of being politically violent. So this is a meandering question. But my question to you is, what's your take on how this is evolving? Because it seems a little bit new to me. Yeah, no, it's new to me, too. And it's a very scary time. I mean, some of the worst that we have to offer really influenced our COVID response here in this country and seems poised to gain more power. I mean, look at the normalization of Robert Kennedy Jr. I mean, it's a disgrace. The man is a disgusting human. And
Starting point is 00:57:00 one of the main people who influenced our COVID response by sort of formalizing this plan, known as the Great Barrington Declaration, I'm sure everyone has probably heard about this, but this was the document which was signed on October 4th, 2020, essentially saying, you know, end all measures to control the virus, except for older people who are going to magically seal in a bubble for three to six months while everyone else gets infected. Anyways, the organizer of this was a man by the name of Jeffrey Tucker, who was this sort of anarcho-capitalist type. And again, this is where I'm going to sound like a crazy conspiracy theorist, but he, before the pandemic was, and still remains, I think, overtly pro-child labor. He sort of saw pictures from 100 years ago of kids getting out of the
Starting point is 00:57:45 mines and was like, hey, that's great. And he's overtly pro-child smoking. He encourages teenagers to smoke cigarettes because they can do it while they're cool. It looks cool and they can stop before it causes damage. So this almost sort of cartoon type villain, you know, really profoundly influenced our COVID response. And the day after this document was signed on October 4th, 2020, its three authors were talking to the head Trump, US health and healthcare person, Alex Azar, in the White, in, I don't know if it was in the White House, but whatever, you know, they had private audiences with these people and influenced them greatly. So, yeah, it's really scary to see that these people are in charge.
Starting point is 00:58:32 And of course, Ron DeSantis and, you know, the state of Florida is officially anti-vaccine and his surgeon general, Joseph Ladapo, is faking data on a scale like Andrew Wakefield. And there sort of seems to be kind of a collective yawn, like, okay, we're used to this now, we're done with high standards, as opposed to know every doctor sort of saying how how can this man keep his job after having faked data which is the worst thing a researcher can do was he i don't know the details of that jonathan so was he like irrefutably caught to have manufactured data? Pretty much, pretty much. So he put out a report probably about three months ago saying that the vaccine caused more heart damage
Starting point is 00:59:16 than the virus. I forget exactly what it was, but essentially the vaccine was too dangerous for young men, this sort of thing. And it was later found that he removed data showing that the virus caused a lot more heart problems and a lot more death, which is, and it went through five sort of writings and people took their name off the report. You know, the Florida health officials, it was never published in any sort of scientific
Starting point is 00:59:40 journal, but yeah, I mean, he pretty much blatantly manipulated the data to get the answer that everyone knew he was going to get, which is the vaccine is more dangerous than the virus, which is, of course, not true. Yeah. So, you know, you mentioned Ron DeSantis, and obviously, the Stanford epidemiologist, is it Jay Bhattacharya also has been long time kind of collaborating but now i think has an official position associated with desantis and i noticed in from our neck of the woods brett weinstein somebody who was strongly promoting anti-vaccine rhetoric showed up on his post-COVID council of great minds. So the thing which I think is quite clear is that a lot of the figures that you cover, despite claiming to have been silenced and persecuted throughout the pandemic, a whole
Starting point is 01:00:41 bunch of them gained national profiles and received very positive coverage, not just from partisan, polemical, conservative media, which they were receiving coverage and invitations from, but also from websites which are seen as more balanced, like Barry Weiss's website, the Free Press. You would see a lot of the heterodox fear, kind of concerned that somebody of Jay Bhattacharya's standing was being silenced, as promoted by the people who released the Twitter files, for example. So I'm just curious about if you could speak to that, the silencing of Jay Bhattacharya and the extent to which it's an accurate presentation. Yeah, it's not accurate. One of my articles for science-based medicine was called Loud Silenced Doctors, and it just sort of listed all of the
Starting point is 01:01:40 publications and podcasts that they had been on claiming to have been silenced. And, you know, of course, this is a technique itself to silence critics, because what they're essentially saying is, anytime you disagree with me, you're trying to silence and censor me. And, you know, I don't want to be seen as a censor, holy smokes. You know, in their defense, YouTube removed one of their videos. And that seems to be sort of one of the most important moments of the pandemic for them. The same way, one of the most important moments of the pandemic for me was seeing a healthy 23 year old die the first wave. So you know, if I had to pick my sort of sole pandemic moment, that would be it. And I think
Starting point is 01:02:22 that they would pick YouTube removing one of their videos, or maybe Francis Collins calling them fringe in a private email. They were really upset that someone called them fringe. But no, these people have been ubiquitous. They've become many celebrities, for goodness sakes. And there have been doctors who have been silenced this pandemic. There was a vaccine expert by the name of Rick Bright, who accurately predicted the horrible, the worst part of the pandemic, winter of 2021, excuse me, winter of 2020 and December 2020, and then early 2021. You know, he accurately predicted that and was silenced by the Trump administration for that. And of course, the doctors and healthcare workers who have been the most silenced are those who died of it. We never hear from them. Their voices are completely absent. So anytime anyone claims
Starting point is 01:03:20 to be silenced, you know, my thoughts go to, you know, my co-workers, and I knew several who died of COVID because I don't hear from them anymore. Yeah, that's, I think, a very important point to emphasize. And it does bring up something that I wanted to ask you about, Jonathan, in regards to, there's a large cast of characters who fit into the COVID contrarian space, right? You have just to name a few like ZDogg, MD, Vinay Prasad, Jay Bhattacharya, Marty McCurry, a whole host of people. But in some respects, they do differ, right? And like, I'm a little bit curious about the contours of, you know, as you say, the mixture of like good and bad advice, because I'm thinking back to, I saw ZDoggMD and Vinay Prasad do a breakdown of Robert Malone and Peter McCulloch, their appearances on Rogan, right?
Starting point is 01:04:24 Now, I thought for a start that they were very far to both sides have valid points, right? I think they, at some point, said, you know, 50% of what they say is accurate, which was completely wrong because Matt and I went through Malone and McCulloch's appearances in depth and they were really, really dramatically dramatically you know conspiracy prone it wasn't a kind of 50 50 thing but to at least z dog md's credit there is one point where when mcculloch was alleging that doctors were scared and they were just trying to avoid getting sick and you know they didn't really care about their parents. He got visibly annoyed, right? And he's also been annoyed at Brett Weinstein.
Starting point is 01:05:08 And like, I believe, told him to shut the F up and stuff like that. So I'm curious about the kind of divisions within the people that you look at. And are there figures that you would single out where they're not doing as much harm as the other people or do you think you know that basically it's just a matter of time that everybody actually does become more extreme over time and they could start out better because i remember vinay prasad at the start of the pandemic kind of warning about people who just want to appear on media and give hot takes yeah boy that's all sort of heat turned into i mean i think so first of all let me let me get
Starting point is 01:05:50 the discuss uh their critique of malone and mccullough i i admit i didn't hear it but i think that this was a kind of disingenuous attempt to position themselves in the middle right it's the sort of fallacy in the middle right you know if one group says the earth is flat and one group says the earth is round, well, then the earth is probably an oval, something, you know, something like that, you know, and, and again, I think that's what made these guys sort of extra dangerous is they didn't say obviously kind of crazy things. They, they called themselves, they called themselves alt-middle. I think that sort of led them to be trusted more. So that's why they got platformed, again, not just by Barry Weiss Free Press, but in the Atlantic, in the Washington Post, in Stat News, you know, in, you know, mainstream press and
Starting point is 01:06:37 organizations. You know, I definitely think that some of the doctors that I write about, you know, came from different places. I think some of them, you know, were very, you know, actually well-meaning. I mean, there's a woman whose name appears frequently in a couple chapters, Dr. Monica Gandhi, and she appears very often. About 20 pages are just doctors declaring the pandemic over, basically, you know, starting March 2020 and ending when I ended the book, December 2022, you know, starting March, 2020 and ending when I ended the book, December, 2022, you know, about 10 quotes per month. And her name appears very frequently in that section, starting about two years ago, we're going to have herd immunity. Don't worry about the variants,
Starting point is 01:07:18 over and over again. You know, I don't think she was getting paid by sort of shadowy right-wing things. I think, you know, she, you know, really just wanted the pandemic to be over and, you know, almost thought she could kind of will it with her force of mind. I do think all of these people got a lot of feedback from social media. So if you look at some of her tweets from two years ago, you know, saying, don't worry about variants. This was before Delta arrived. This was before Omicron arrived, et cetera. You know, there's hundreds of messages, you know, oh, we love your optimism and your boundless, you know, positivity, and don't worry about the doom and gloom people, et cetera. So you really sort of see it be sort of a feedback loop.
Starting point is 01:08:01 And I think people like Vinay Prasad and Marty McCary have really been victims of this, of this audience capture. You know, they have kind of blocked on social media, any sort of voice who can disagree with them. And their sort of comment sections are just filled with some of the rankest, you know, anti-vaccine and even virus denial type stuff. And you can really sort of see in real time, slow motion, you know, over the course of the past three years is how they take positions now that would have astonished them before the pandemic. So in 2017, for example, Vinay Prasad rightly criticized a doctor who was anti-vaccine for the flu by calling him a quack. That was the correct thing to do. Now he is
Starting point is 01:08:46 suggesting that the flu may have hidden health benefits and maybe we shouldn't try to prevent every infection in children because that might lead to autoimmunity and cancer later in life. And this is funny. This is something that I have to be on guard on because for the first three years of the pandemic, my Twitter handle was just Joe Ho. My profile picture was a cat and my entire bio was just nothing but insults from this one, uh, epidemiologist. I don't know what he is. Francis Ballou over in the UK, you know, he just, you know, leveled all these sort of funny. Oh yeah. Yeah. You know, so my hope, you know, he just called me a shouty and idiot, a moron. So that was my hope, you know, for the, for three years, you know, you know, but now it's my face and my picture, you just called me a shouty, an idiot, a moron. So that was my hope for three years.
Starting point is 01:09:25 But now it's my face and my picture, and I'm getting all these people saying these nice things about me and it's nice, I like it. I can sort of see how it can get to someone's head. So all of these things that these people have heard the whole pandemic, oh, you're so wonderful and brave. I'm getting that every now and then, and it's nice. You can see how it can kind of become intoxicating.
Starting point is 01:09:46 And I think you're going to have to be constantly on guard against that. Yeah. The inclination is, we've experienced this, you know, from having a podcast and stuff as well, like these dynamics. But also just from following your content, Jonathan, whenever, you know, you unmask, so to speak, I think a lot of people knew who you were anyway. Oh, no, no, no. Listen, I was not trying to be anonymous.
Starting point is 01:10:11 I was trying to be fake anonymous because I want my words to be associated with my name and all of my science-based medicine articles are my name. No, I wasn't trying to hide, but I wasn't trying to put myself out there. No, but there is a difference because, for example for example the q anon anonymous host travis view right his his real name is all over the internet and he was quite clear it was a pseudonym and not his profile picture but it doesn't matter right like it just you know but one one thing just to say is that i i do remember this quite shannon freud-esque video of Monica Gandhi being questioned by, I can't remember who the reporter is. Mehdi Hassan.
Starting point is 01:10:52 Yeah, Mehdi Hassan, who basically pointed out all the mistakes she's made and asked maybe you should stop making predictions. And she did, at that time, seem sort of a little coy and apologetic for it but i i don't think it's it's impacted her that much in the long term but matt i know that you have an example perhaps of the kind of radicalization dynamics and in particular that as they apply to youtube that might speak to some of the points jonathan is raising yeah it's interesting jonathan the stuff you talk about, this gradient and the evolution of public figures of whatever kind. And I think this UK YouTuber, John Campbell, is a great example of that. He was making very normal, uncontroversial
Starting point is 01:11:39 nursing type lectures for his YouTube videos for a long time, was not attracting any kind of audience, wasn't very popular, and then started commenting on the COVID thing. And I actually first heard about him from a colleague, a professor at my university, who recommended him to me. So, this guy is really good. He provides a nice, clear explanation of what's going on with COVID. But he obviously changed, didn't he? He evolved. And I almost think that these people can be kind of more dangerous than the kind of more florid, conspiratorial, overtly wacky people, because they can draw in people sometimes with good information and good content, or just very, very reasonable sounding content. But those nuggets of lies can be very bad. So, like, I'm just inviting you to talk to
Starting point is 01:12:31 that because I'm very curious about it. No, I have nothing. I mean, other than the fact that I completely agree. And that's why I chose these doctors to write about. I mean, I could have written an article about the doctors who claimed that COVID vaccines made you magnetic, but they probably didn't influence anyone this pandemic. I don't mean to minimize the harm that they did, but their audience was built in. They didn't grow. They didn't reach new people for the most part. The people who they were speaking to and heard their voice weren't going to take the vaccine
Starting point is 01:13:05 to begin with, right? When the pediatric vaccine came out, it could have gone one or two ways, you know, if all doctors, you know, aside from the outright quacks and sort of band together and said, yeah, listen, it's really important to vaccinate children, you know, that we could potentially save hundreds of lives of children per year, which isn't as bad as for old people, but hey, saving 200 to 300 or 400 children per year is no small potatoes, right? Why not do it? We really could have had a very positive influence, but these folks who mix the good advice, vaccinate grandma, were very, very credible then when they gave the bad advice, let children get COVID. And that made them much more dangerous.
Starting point is 01:13:53 So, you know, one of the points that often gets brought up, especially around that, is that the vaccine side effects, in particular myocarditis for young men, right, is the reason not to vaccinate young children because the risks outweigh the benefits that can be gained. And this is also the logic that you hear with a lot of the booster shots, right? I just heard Sam Harris talking about, you know, diminishing returns and how, you know, he doesn't think he'll get any more boosters. But in so I know you've done a lot looking into this, Jonathan, and I'm just inviting you to answer that point that the that the vaccines are more dangerous for particular age groups than the infected.
Starting point is 01:14:47 Is there any validity to that point or is it complete bullshit? It's complete bullshit. And I could probably spend the next hour explaining why, but I'll try to do it in the next five minutes. So first of all, everything that we're going to talk about is pretty much looking backwards at this point, meaning the risk of myocarditis is highest after the second vaccine dose in young men. There are probably not too many young men about to get their second vaccine dose. So this vaccine myocarditis does not occur in children under the age of 11 or 12. And who's going to be vaccinated moving forward is mostly going to be infants, to be honest with you, who actually have by far, by far the highest
Starting point is 01:15:33 risk of any children. So anyone who claims vaccine myocarditis is not a reason to vaccinate children, they had better be very pro-vaccine for infants. And if they're not, that gives the game away. Okay. So when we talk about vaccine myocarditis, there's two things that matter, how often it happens and how severe it is. And then I guess three things, how does that compare to the harms of COVID? So, you know, the numbers for how common it is, they're a little bit all over the place. Between 1 in 5,000 is kind of a high. Between 1 in 20,000 or 30,000 is a low.
Starting point is 01:16:17 If we just estimate it, it's about 1 in 10,000, but there's a wide variety. Then in terms of how severe it is, well, I'm going to get in trouble for saying this, but pretty much I could list about 25 studies right now and just read what they report. And they all say that the outcome is favorable and mild in about 95% of people with it. There was a recent study from Korea, which just got a lot of attention because there were 21 deaths associated potentially with the vaccine. This was out of a population of 44 million. So the risk of death was about one in two million. Zero children died. The youngest death was around a 22 or 23 year old. There were about 12 young adults between the ages of 20 and 50 who died. And I don't want to minimize that. It's horrible. It's terrible.
Starting point is 01:17:06 Every life matters. That's one of the themes of my writing, that you shouldn't minimize the death of people just because it's a small number of people. But the people who are scolding me for minimizing vaccine myocarditis have spent the past three years minimizing death from COVID. And I mean this very literally, telling people, young people, don't live in fear of death. More young people die of suicide. I mean, these sort of irrelevant statistics as if that's a reason not to vaccinate children. And so I'm not going to let someone who has minimized the death of 2,000 children, that's how many children in America have died, tell me to worry about a vaccine side effect that has killed zero children. Or when we're
Starting point is 01:17:53 talking about young adults, about 70,000 young adults have died here in the United States. And in this Korean study, there were 12 deaths. So, you know, which is worse? And that number of 70,000 young adults would have been a lot higher if none were vaccinated. So, you know, we don't even have to compare what did happen. We would have to compare what would have happened, you know, if every American was vaccinated versus if every American was, you know, infected. And it's just not even close. And this is something that if in 2019, you know, I said, you know, we need to worry more about, you know, falling, you know, asteroids than we do about car crashes, you know, people would have looked at me like I'm insane because that would have been an insane thing to say. common for doctors to treat rare vaccine side effects as a fate worse than death. And I do mean that very literally. I mean, Vinay Prasad was very, very worried about subclinical myocarditis. So what that means basically is a child who gets a vaccine, feels fine, has no symptoms,
Starting point is 01:19:01 they do a blood draw and they find an elevated troponin, which is a marker of cardiac injury. He was very, very worried about that. And listen, maybe he's right. Maybe this is worrisome, but he mocked anyone who spoke about children killed by COVID. He called them breathless and said it was fear mongering. So he's elevating this theoretical vaccine harm over death, you know? And by the way, COVID causes subclinical myocarditis too, if that even is really such a thing. There was a couple of studies where they drew blood of children who had COVID and they found an elevated troponin. Children who have missed this multisystem inflammatory disorder, 80% of them have very severe myocarditis and there've been 10,000 cases of those. So it's just this ridiculous elevation
Starting point is 01:19:51 of a severe side effect. Again, I don't want to minimize it. It's serious whenever a child goes to the hospital or feels unwell, but I'm not going to be lectured about minimizing the side effect by someone who has minimized death. It is not a worse fate than death, and I'm willing to die on that hill. Well said. Yeah, cases of very selective attention and selective concern. Okay, well, we often get criticized, probably like yourself, for being mindless defenders of the institutional orthodoxy. So I'm going to score some heterodox points here by asking you whether you think any mistakes were made at all by the authorities during the pandemic,
Starting point is 01:20:35 any things that in hindsight could have been done better. Absolutely. And I kind of end my book with a suggestion for books other people should write. And one of them is on the failure of our health organizations, such as the World Health Organization, the failure to recognize that COVID was airborne. Our own CDC here famously botched tests early on. In the long run, it probably didn't make a difference, but we were fine blind in February of 2020. Our healthcare agencies became, they had a very hard job.
Starting point is 01:21:07 One theme of my writing is that people with no real world responsibility should be very careful when lecturing people who actually have real world responsibility, because it's very, very easy for me to sit here and say, here's what I would have done. You know, actually doing these things is a lot harder. With that in mind, you know, our healthcare agencies became very, very politicized. There was direct influence by the Trump administration in some of the CDC's reports. I think a lot of our healthcare leaders are ahead of our National Institute of Health. Francis Collins admits that he was caught blind by the deluge of medical misinformation. And I definitely over, you know, underestimated how much there was, but there was really sort of
Starting point is 01:21:51 no campaign to deal with this. And I'm not even talking about censoring people. I'm just saying, if they had a massive campaign with celebrities, you know, to get out the vaccine and, you know, and the booster rollout has been horrible as well. I think what is leading to the confusion is that we're having to deal with a pandemic in real time, right? We're having to make decisions with incomplete information about these sorts of boosters and this sort of thing. And I think that the CDC could sort of do a little bit better job of communicating that. Yeah, but their reputation took a big hit. Jonathan, related to that, I have a question
Starting point is 01:22:30 which might be difficult to answer. I don't think I have a fantastic answer to it myself. So there are people in the pandemic who had a lot of credibility and still do in various sectors like john i need these right the epidemiologist thing and kind of famed for his papers talking about questionable research practices and misreporting of results right he was a kind of celebrated figure in the open science movement. Then during the pandemic released papers that were widely criticized because they seem to be, I can't remember the exact error, but maybe you can
Starting point is 01:23:14 fill in the blank there. But I want to say that, you know, heuristics that people might apply is does this researcher have a history of being a critical voice in science and a respected figure in john i need is his case he has credentials he has a bunch of publications he's got a reputation for being a critical minded science reformer so how does that, like what are the public to do when someone like that comes out, gets a lot of coverage and is essentially saying, you know, that people are making too much of this and continues to persist with that people are receiving? Because a lot of the fairly straightforward heuristics would seem to feel the Ioannidis test. Yeah. So that's one of the reasons I wrote my book is how off guard I was by Ioannidis. He's the anti-Kelly Brogan in my mind, or at least he was, that he's entirely evidence-based. He's a genius. He's a guru. He's world famous. He featured very positively a couple of times, as did Vinay
Starting point is 01:24:31 Prasad in my past book on cognitive errors and diagnostic mistakes. But yeah, he really underestimated COVID at the beginning, and he did so in ridiculous ways, which were very easy to say how ridiculous they were. So for example, on April 9th, 2020, he gave an interview to the Washington Post where he said he predicted that 40,000 Americans would die this season. By that point in the pandemic, 20,000 Americans had died and 2,000 were dying per day. And so unless the virus vanished, his prediction would age very badly, very quickly, which is exactly what happened. Eight days later, we surpassed 40,000 deaths. On that date, he was minimizing the virus, which is what he's done the entire time, saying he thinks we're past the first peak.
Starting point is 01:25:27 It's only dangerous for people over the age of 65. For people younger than that, it's driving back and forth to work every day. And as the death toll piled up, he started spreading what I can only describe as conspiracies, that people were dying with COVID, not of COVID, that death certificates couldn't be trusted, that it was premature intubations that were killing people anyway, and it was lockdowns that were killing people. And the people who were actually dying of COVID were just 95-year-olds with metastatic cancer who had two days left to live anyway. And these themes persist to today. So how can you tell who's reliable and who isn't? Well, it took me a year to figure out that John Ioannidis was kind of not someone to trust. And most of that was just his reputation. It was
Starting point is 01:26:19 a very cognitively dissonant time for me because, you know, here, this very brilliant world famous epidemiologist making these very confident predictions. And what do I know? I'm just a neurologist. I can look at a brain MRI, that's for sure. But what do I know about an epidemiology during a pandemic? But so, you know, I was reading his statements on the one hand and hoping they were true. Oh my God, I was hoping they were true, that the pandemic was almost over in April 2020, but then sort of seeing, you know, how do I square this with what I see in my own eyes? And it took me a year to write my first science-based medicine article. And I think to answer your question, and this is one thing that I have observed about all the people that I write about, I didn't make this explicit, maybe I should, but is that they feel comfortable commenting on every aspect of the
Starting point is 01:27:07 pandemic, on masks, on vaccines, on lockdowns, on mandates, on steroids, on remdesivir, on every aspect of the pandemic. They can speak about it at length, right or wrong, you know, childhood speech development patterns due to masks. They're experts in that wrong, you know, childhood speech development patterns due to masks. They're experts in that now, you know, and I think that's, you know, back to what I was saying about me not being a guru. I don't talk about masks. I don't talk about ventilation. I don't talk about school closures or lockdowns or really anything because I don't really know that stuff. All I really talk about is vaccines. And again, I think that's one of the reasons that my critics are having such a hard time coming at me is because I quote them at length. They can't him some slack. Anyways,
Starting point is 01:28:10 March 2020, he said, I think this virus is going to kill about one-tenth as many people as the flu. Okay, that aged very badly, very quickly. And so what did he do? He said, he kind of made a joke, well, if you're going to be wrong about something, you might as well make an ass yourself in front of the whole world. I mean, he admitted he got it wrong. And that's the only reason that it's worth remembering is that this is a model of how scientists should be when they just botch something. So his credibility was enhanced. These doctors who I write about don't do that. So Marty McCary, who famously predicted we'll have herd immunity in April of 2021 in the pages of the Wall Street Journal, and then declared that herd immunity had arrived in May of 2021. Did he ever write a
Starting point is 01:28:52 piece of self-reflection and say, geez, what did I get wrong? How did I underestimate this? How can I do better in the future? No, he's just out there bashing Fauci and vaccines. So all the doctors that I write about will speak about the importance of admitting error and of humility and following the data. Again, that's what makes them more dangerous than Kelly Brogan, but they don't do it. They'll never, ever admit error. Yeah. Yeah. I think Chris has a question for you, but I just want to underscore those two points that you made, which is these two red flags, which is one, professing to have this unique, special insight that is, you know, everyone else is wrong. I'm telling you how it really is on a wide variety of topics, becoming supposedly an expert on an overnight or as someone like Brett Weinstein would claim using his unique evolutionary biology perspective to solve every single puzzle and that infallibility of never admitting being wrong and
Starting point is 01:29:52 in a situation like COVID we should expect people to be wrong all the time even though because it's a you know it's a novel situation it's a fast-changing situation every virus is different and so on so you know and and you see the other side of the coin, which is that any misstep or any inaccuracy or any public health advisory that isn't perfectly on point is held up as an indication that the authorities are lying to us about everything. So, yeah, Chris has a question. I just wanted to underline your comments. Let me just answer Chris's previous question about some of the papers that Dr. Ioannidis wrote, and some of the ones that got panned. So first of all, in March 2020, he told us not to worry about the virus because he didn't think that many people were going to get it. And he wrote this article in Stat News, and he's like, if we assume that just 1% of Americans are going to get it and it kills one out of 1,000, then
Starting point is 01:30:50 10,000 people are going to die. And he reiterated that point in another journal paper published in a journal in March 19th, 2020, where he talked about exaggerated community spread, this sort of thing. And this was a theme that people treated this brand new virus from day one as this very predictable sort of well-known entity. Anyways, back to the papers that he wrote. So a month later or so, he published a very controversial antibody study out of Santa Clara, California, which found a pretty high rate of antibodies about, I forget exactly what it was, about five or 6%, something like that, even though there were only two or three documented cases. And they concluded that the virus was very widespread. So Dr. Ioannidis in March, 2020,
Starting point is 01:31:38 said, don't worry about the virus. No one is going to get it. In April, 2020, he said, don't worry about the virus. Half the country's already had it. And he didn't say half, but he said the virus is much more widespread than we know about, 50 to 80 times more common than people think. The vast majority of people don't have any symptoms at all. So whether he thought no one was going to get the virus or everyone already had it, the core theme was don't worry about it. And he also published numbers that I think were impossible. For example, he published a study not so long ago claiming that the death rate for children was about one
Starting point is 01:32:16 in 300,000, something like that based on a survey of about 20 countries, including some with unreliable porting like Afghanistan. Anyways, so if you do the math, that's three per million. And there are 75 million children here in the United States. So what's 75 times three, 225. So that would mean a maximum of 225 children could die in America if every single one of them was infected. And in fact, about 2,000 children have died here, as I've said already. So he just made these calculations that would require America to have about 3 billion children, just these impossible calculations. I'm sorry, I hope I went through that not too quickly and everyone can pay attention and my numbers are right. But just these calculations that required more people to exist in a given area.
Starting point is 01:33:09 That's how much some of these people underestimated the virus. Yeah, and I think that is very important detail to give because I've tangled with people online who simply retreat to Ionides' reputation and kind of say, who are you to question him? And the comment that I was going to make that Matt was alluding to was actually a heuristic that I think was helpful to spot a potential problem of, and possibly with, you know, a lot of the people that we're commenting on is his reaction to the criticism from Gideon Merowitz Katz, right? Somebody who critiqued his paper was to respond very personally,
Starting point is 01:33:56 highlight the kind of imbalancing credentials because Gideon was still a PhD student at the time. And he wrote a kind of scathing rebuttal, right? But one that really came off as like more of a kind of grish dismissal that this is low-cultured criticism that someone of my stature shouldn't have to deal with. And I think those flashes where you see like the ego and the narcissism, the kind of like buying into your own legend kind of thing, that you saw that throughout the pandemic and you see it throughout the gurusphere that we look at.
Starting point is 01:34:38 And it just is a kind of indicator, unlike, as you rightly contrasted, Paul Offit's response, because Paul Offit is somebody who, at various times during the pandemic, anti-vax people have looked to, right, because he was skeptical about the need for, you know, additional boosters and so on. But he's always very clear about what he is arguing. And he comes back and says, you know, where he's been wrong, and is also constantly clear that he is not ever advocating that people don't vaccinate, right? Like he, he's talking about specific cases, you know, third boosters or whatever, but he's always been very clear that in terms of getting vaccinated versus not getting vaccinated, the evidence has always stacked up in favor of vaccine. So there's just such a clear contrast in that kind of response. Yeah, no, he's been a staunch advocate of vaccinating children, and at least with the
Starting point is 01:35:42 first two doses, and I think now the first three doses but he was initially skeptical of the booster i think that he a little bit did inadvertently give some ammunition to the anti-vaxxers you know he probably should have known a little bit better i think at one point you know he spoke about uh voting for this he's part of the fda advisory board and he said something like the fix was in something like that, you know, a little bit kind of, you know, and he has been on ZDogg's podcast, which I think is problematic because ZDogg has definitely platformed people like, you know, Jay Bhattacharyya and Marty McCary. And, you know, ZDogg has declared the pandemic over many times, and he has employed the technique of mockery to a perfection, just mocking people who have tried to avoid the virus.
Starting point is 01:36:27 So I think it was a mistake to appear on his podcast. But yeah, no, he's admitted error. You know, I don't think he meets your criteria for gurus at all. He's not, you know, out there saying, you know, everyone is wrong about everything except for me. I think when he has made errors, he's admitted it. And, you know, let me be very clear that one thing that my writing in my book is about is not silencing heterodox voices.
Starting point is 01:36:50 It's not about attacking people who question the conventional wisdom. And probably the best example of this, if you really want an anti-guru, you should discuss this woman, Karina Kariko. I'm probably butchering her name. I've said it enough times, I really should know it by now. But this is the Hungarian scientist who really did the pioneering work on mRNA vaccines at the University of Pennsylvania. And no one believed her. Everyone kind of called her a quack, and she was just kind of ignored and shunted away in her own lab. But
Starting point is 01:37:21 lo and behold, her research and her findings paved the way for the mRNA vaccines. And she was very briefly celebrated as a hero, but she hated media. I don't know, she hated, but she, you know, didn't want any media attention. And she's crawled back into her cocoon. She's just a scientist who wants to work in the lab bench and make discoveries, you know. That's an anti-guru for you right there. And we need those sorts of voices. Holy smokes, we need people to think outside the box and make brilliant discoveries and they shouldn't be silenced. But the people who I talk about, again, made these very basic math errors or there's really sort of no room for subtlety or again, you know, the pandemic ended two years ago type stuff. Don't worry about variants. Or they even spoke about the virus in
Starting point is 01:38:05 very positive ways. The triumph of natural immunity. That's an article written by Martin Kulldorff or Marty McCary tweeted a few years ago. Natural immunity wins again. Vinay Prasad wrote some very pro-viral pieces where he talked about immunity is built through illness. It's healthy and natural when children get sick and recover. So, you know, it's a really sort of very different sort of thing. And sometimes I have seen those voices just be called thinking differently when, you know, no, it's not thinking differently when you conclude that 2,000% of American children have contracted COVID.
Starting point is 01:38:45 Yeah, it sounds like the researcher you're describing, who I think I had remembered or heard of previously, is like the anti-Robert Malone, downplaying the level of credit and attention for their contribution to the mRNA vaccine development. contribution to the mRNA vaccine development. So one thing that we've noted, and a friend of the podcast, Helen Lewis, has floated as well, is that one of the reactions to the pandemic, and I actually think you can see this in Joe Rogan's initial content was, you know, fear. People were afraid because we didn't know how severe it was. We didn't know what the trajectory was going to
Starting point is 01:39:32 be. And it was spreading all around the world. And, you know, people were dying and there was a lot of legitimate fear out there. And then over time, it felt like for some people, And then over time, it felt like for some people, it came a point where like the vax, it's kind of that they're stating they're not afraid of the virus, right? The virus isn't a kind of threat to them because they're healthy and robust people. So maybe older sick people need to be afraid, but they don't. And that getting a vaccine, the conspirituality guys have talked about this too, is seen as like a kind of taking the weak thing, you know, it's the weak-willed, like sheeple response to the virus. Whereas, you know, if you're robust and healthy and strong-willed, you won't just fall in line
Starting point is 01:40:24 with what the government and health officials suggest you'll forge your own path and you will be able to weather the storm and so i know you're you're not you know like a psychologist but but you're a psychiatrist so what do you think about like that suggestion for at least motivating some of the hesitancy around vaccinations, like a kind of macho compensation in a way for being afraid? Yeah, no, it's a very sort of toxic masculinity. And, you know, by the way, I have a little bit of that. I didn't want to be seen as a weakling and not volunteer to work on the COVID unit.
Starting point is 01:41:04 that. You know, I didn't want to be seen as a weakling and not volunteer to work on the COVID units. And, you know, that's one of the reasons I call out all of these doctors who were trying to spread the virus while we were overwhelmed by it because they were sheltered and sat at home, you know, making our life harder. So I'm not immune to toxic masculinity myself. But again, I think there's part of that. And as we've discussed, what someone once called online obligate contrarianism, you know, again, just the sort of need to be different. And, you know, let me say this too, you know, I do not begrudge, you know, young, healthy, vaccinated people living their lives. We can't expect people to give up parties and weddings and funerals and eating inside forever.
Starting point is 01:41:48 You know, I have a daughter who's going off to college next year. She's 17. She's going to be 18. What am I going to say? Never, you know, be inside around your classmates without a mask? You know, of course not. That's ridiculous. You know, you just can't expect people, you know, to sort of lead these isolated lives.
Starting point is 01:42:06 And sort of back to what I'm saying about me not being a guru, and I make this very clear in one chapter of the book, I don't have all the answers. I say that very explicitly about how, especially at this point in the pandemic, about sort of how people should sort of balance risk. I think it was obviously much clearer in 2020. And that's what I write about the most, you know, those early stages of the pandemic and in 2021 as well. But yeah, you know, listen, we are obviously in a very different place and a much better place. The morgues of New York City have space for bodies and they've had space for bodies
Starting point is 01:42:41 for years. I'm not going to deny that. That's obviously true. Yeah. And there's lots of positives, probably the biggest positive of all being the speedy development of the effective vaccines. So yeah, I mean, this has been like super informative and it's been great to hear from you. And also just noting all of the interesting correspondences between the stuff that you've been writing about and talking about and the stuff that we focus on. I guess one of the themes of what we've talked about is that it's very challenging for a lay person out there who is concerned about an issue like viruses or vaccines and is looking to get information on it. And we've talked about how we have situations where people that are giving information are sometimes giving good information, then sometimes smuggling into bad information.
Starting point is 01:43:28 Sometimes they are good sources of information and then become bad. As Chris said, sometimes they have impressive resumes. So for me, this seems like an extraordinarily tough question. But how would you advise people to stay safe out there and somehow choose the right sources of information? Yeah. So I don't, you know, I'm not in the business of giving sort of personal advice to people, especially at this point in the pandemic. I just don't know exactly what the right answer is other than to say, you know, I don't judge people, especially at this point. I know some people who have sort of devoted their lives
Starting point is 01:44:05 to avoiding COVID and that's fine. It's normal to not to want to get sick. I don't judge these people. And are they doing everything that they did in 2019? No. Do their lives have meaning? Yeah. Are a lot of people who decided not to live in fear
Starting point is 01:44:22 no longer here to share their experience. Yeah. You know, if those people could come back to life, what would they say about living in fear? You know, other people, again, I don't want to talk about my children, but whatever, you know, I mean, they have sort of, they are leading lives that they led pre-pandemic and I'm not going to judge them for that either. Again, we just can't expect people to give up the joys of life forever that way. But so I don't have all the answers. So I'm not here that that's kind of what I explicitly avoid, to be totally honest with you. And, you know, but but I think that you just have to try to get your advice from people who speak on very narrow issues. So there are certain people who, you know,
Starting point is 01:45:03 I will trust on one or two topics because that's really kind of all they talk about. And then people who are willing to admit that when they get things wrong, those are really sort of my go-to points. Then people who sort of aren't looking to build a brand and a personality, you know, so do they have, you know, are they trying to sell anything? You know know again i i know i'm selling my book blah blah blah but whatever you know i'm not going to become a millionaire based on this book you know so so some of the doctors that i write about have very very lucrative sub stacks and patreons and there's nothing necessarily wrong with that but you got just
Starting point is 01:45:38 got to factor that in so people who really sort of aren't trying to become, you know, gurus. Yeah. Well, look, I totally respect your caution in giving firm advice outside of your speciality. Respect that. For what it's worth, the red flags you mentioned there, we wholeheartedly sign off on those. I don't think there is any magic recipe. And I'll say, and people who are willing to present information that weakens their narrative. For example, I have been a staunch vaccine advocate for children, especially during this pandemic.
Starting point is 01:46:15 Okay. So when vaccine myocarditis came out, it weakened my case to vaccinate children because it was a strike against the vaccine. But you can read my articles dating back two years where I have presented, they're way too long, but every study that I could find about the rate in the clinical course of vaccine myocarditis and how that weighed against the risk of the virus. And I have, I hope, not tried to minimize it. I've repeatedly said that it's a serious side effect and that it should be taken seriously. The people that I write about will never do that with COVID. They will never simply say, COVID has killed 2,000 children,
Starting point is 01:46:59 has hospitalized hundreds of thousands of more. you know, they just sort of hide information that disconfirms their position or undermines their position, all at the same time speaking about their nuanced and their balanced and their middle. So, you know, try to say, is this person really giving me both sides of an issue as best as they can, or are they really trying to push some agenda? So again, read my articles on science-based medicine on vaccine myocarditis. I link to and summarize every study that I could find on it. Yep. Well, we will certainly link to those articles in the show notes, and we'll also put a link in there to your book, We Want Them Infected, How the Failed Quest for Herd Immunity Led Doctors to Embrace the Anti-Vaccine Movement also put a link in there to to your book we want them infected how the failed quest for herd
Starting point is 01:47:45 immunity led doctors to embrace the anti-vaccine movement and blinded americans to the threat of covid for people who are who are interested in a bit of a look back in hindsight on that story is there anything else you you would like i know your main message is to get your kids vaccinated but apart from that one is are there any more selfish things you would like to tell people, Jonathan? Anything else you're working on? It's not selfish. I mean, I suppose that I'll just end with the conclusion of the book, which is sort of how do you sort of fight misinformation and medical misinformation? And I don't come down on the side of censorship. I mean, if Ron DeSantis becomes president, I don't want someone, I don't want him on the side of censorship. I mean, if Ron DeSantis becomes president, I don't want someone he, you know, I don't
Starting point is 01:48:26 want him running a so-called misinformation board staffed by Jay Bhattacharya and Ladapo. But I think that there has been a great, I'll just kind of say it sort of cowardice amongst some leaders of American medicine who have just sort of seemed to float above the fray as members of their department spread misinformation. And they didn't want to sort of get themselves dirty. They didn't want to get some of the hate that I get. My Twitter feed is filled with people saying I'm going to go to Nuremberg, whatever. I don't care. I'm used to this. But they want to avoid that. And I get that. I mean, who wants to invite that into their lives? But, you know, I really think that we need to say that as medical professionals and, you know, critical thinkers in general, that you do sort of have an obligation to speak out against
Starting point is 01:49:16 medical misinformation and certainly just not to tolerate it, not to look the other way or say that someone who says one plus one is three is just thinking differently. It's just a different opinion. And there was a lot of that this pandemic. So I just hope probably most of your listeners are the ones speaking out. So just know that, you know, your voice is valued, your support is valued, your kind comments are appreciated. You know, even if you think you're just small potatoes not making a difference, you are potentially making a difference. And it's going to be a long term, you know, fight the rest of our lives. And it's really a continuation of sort of history. And we just have to, you know, keep trying to correct misinformation and provide accurate information. Yeah, again, very well said, Jonathan. And I'll just add to that and say, I think that obligation
Starting point is 01:50:14 extends to academics as well. There's an obligation to promoting public understanding of science. It's particularly important with these flashpoint issues like vaccines but it's important across the spectrum chris any famous last words from you it's nice to see mark come out as an activist scholar at last but there may be selective like it yeah just i have a slightly self-serving note to finish on jonathan which is that I sense a kindred spirit in a sense in your you could frame it as obsessive documenting of you know people's previous statements and and what they positions that people have taken but I find that so important because what people often don't like to do is acknowledge what they've said right and and why people are critical of them they want to take a stance which is much more nuanced or you know like if if in a interview where there's there's kind of a critical response they'll kind of adopt
Starting point is 01:51:21 a more conciliatory tone and i i think one of the antidotes to that is just to have the'll kind of adopt a more conciliatory tone. And I think one of the antidotes to that is just to have the kind of record to be able to say, well, look, this is what you said. And a lot of what I see on your timeline on Twitter is, in essence, people being annoyed at having what they've said presented back to them And I, so I just want to say that I think that that is an important thing to do because often the easier thing is just not to pay attention to these annoying people that are grandstanding or whatever. But if nobody paid attention, then they'd be able to just waffle away without any receipt. So I appreciate what you do, Jonathan. Well, thank you so much.
Starting point is 01:52:08 That's not necessarily a good thing, Jonathan, that Chris senses a kindred spirit in you. But, you know, take the positive version of it. Well, and it's been an absolute pleasure to speak to you. Thank you for coming on. And, yeah, and hopefully, despite what you've said and i knowing that it will remain a relevant topic i hope it becomes irrelevant in the next couple of years as like the covid pandemic becomes you know at least more managed so yeah well thank you guys for so
Starting point is 01:52:40 much for having me on and i've learned so much from listening to your podcast about the sort of techniques that these gurus use and you know who they are and what motivates them you know it's it's just fascinating so thank you so much I appreciate it great to have you Jonathan well well that wasn't that good insightful journalism is it by us yeah well no you know Journalism? Is it? By us? Yeah. Well, no, you know, like mainly the insights came from one direction, but we listened to them. We asked the questions. We are the quiz masters.
Starting point is 01:53:15 We sat down and listened. That's an important role. Somebody's got to do it. No, thanks to Jonathan. That was, yeah, he really is extremely well-informed. That was a wealth of information. So this brings us to the most intellectually rigorous it's a battle of ideas i'm talking about the review of reviews oh yeah yeah you're right you're right that is it yes yeah so that's that's where we are and we had
Starting point is 01:53:37 an influx of our reviews and yeah so some of them are good some of them less so but i i that's what i want i want this mixture but that's what i need for this segment so one we've got one star and i have to mention this because it's just i feel philip marklin who tries to combat misinformation online deserves the blame for this so let me just just read this. One star. Because they give cover to liars like Peter Daszak. They're also friends with a guy named Philip Markle and one of the most useless photos on the internet.
Starting point is 01:54:15 And this is Don't Hurt Spidey. Give us one star. So, Philip. We hold you responsible for that one star, Philip. You should take a good hard look at yourself. One star because we're friends with Philip. We hold you responsible for that one stuff, Philip. You should take a good hard look at yourself. One sec, because we're friends with Philip.
Starting point is 01:54:29 That's harsh, but, you know, what can you do? That's it. Hate is good at hate. Yeah, now, here's another one. This is a two-star review. I'm going to, you know, I've got to keep you tough. I've got to condition you with these critical responses. Title is, Two Micro Gurus Attempt to Out-Guru Larger Gurus.
Starting point is 01:54:54 A lot of gururing going on. That's hard for me. So let's see. And this is by Nicolaus208. If you're looking for unoriginal thought, you've come to the right place. Two arrogant midwits tear down other cultural figures, most of which are not there to defend themselves.
Starting point is 01:55:16 They occasionally try to do their due diligence, but it's not enough, and the attempts and efforts are widely inconsistent. Arguments aside, it's abundantly clear they just don't like some people and it's wrapped in a gross, gleeful smugness that irreparably tarnishes the whole endeavor. The tone of this podcast comes across as spiteful, jealous hosts attacking other people, some deserving, in brackets,
Starting point is 01:55:41 to pull them down in order to take their place as the arbiters of motive and truth on subjects people they only tangentially know about. All with next to no original thought contributed by the host themselves. These two better gurus think they are smarter than everyone when really they are simply parasitical. They are jealous they are not recognized as the alpha gurus. They fancy themselves as so they try to pull down dollars to try to eke out a better position. What do
Starting point is 01:56:11 you think about that? You better guru cock. Nope, not better. Beta. Beta. Oh, beta. Beta, beta, beta. You are in no pronunciation position, Mr. Matrix. You are in no pronunciation position, Mr. Matrix. Yes, people in glass houses. Well, look, he, you know, said we, some of our criticisms were justified. You know, what's the omega rule? You look for the 5%. The 1%. The 1%.
Starting point is 01:56:35 The tiny sliver. The tiny sliver. Decent argument. Yeah, and he said that some of the people we criticized, you know, they were well-deserved. We don't do well, but that is something. But still. And he also said that we criticize other cultural figures,
Starting point is 01:56:52 and I want to emphasize the other. So they're implying that we are cultural figures too, Chris. Oh, yeah. We're wannabes. We want to slay the gurus, climb up over their dead bodies, and position ourselves at the top of the guru pool to extol our truth to the world. That's very accurate, I think. In terms of reviewing this critique, a bit unfocused, a bit repetitive in the message.
Starting point is 01:57:21 The conclusion was already stated earlier on. Could kind of cut it by 50% and make the same point. Again, people in glass houses. But I'm just saying, if I was to make that issue a critique on iTunes, it'd be a bit more concise. Yeah, the argument didn't build to a conclusion. It did circle around a few times. Very polemical but i think it was quite well phrased like i think the english usage expression was pretty good um
Starting point is 01:57:52 yeah good negative review i'll tell you the um last positive review it's a five star one by very smart person you know pleasant to deal with, just from the number of stars I can tell that. Annie Lim, 18. And it says, title is Harsh on Americans, but rightly so. And then they say, to be fair, I've only listened to one episode so far. I decided to listen to your show on recommendation from Brittany Page of I Doubt It podcast. Your QAnon episode jumped out at me and I just finished listening. It sounds like you're hard up for review, so I wanted to help you guys out.
Starting point is 01:58:32 We'll be listening to all your episodes. Yes, even the old ones. Deal with it. The QAnon episode sparked my interest. Great content. Well, so there's the request for reviews paying off. Thank you, Brittany Page, for the recommendation. Philip Marklin, you need to up your recommendations
Starting point is 01:58:51 to counteract the people that you're getting one-star reviews from. I liked that last review because it came across very much as like a review from a totally normal person. I listened to the podcast. I kind of enjoyed it. Not necessarily a fan, not a hater. No, you told me to review it. I do what I'm told.
Starting point is 01:59:12 There you go. That's good. Yeah, I like that. That's a normal person. That's a good person, Matt. A good-hearted, kind person. Now, the good thing is we don't do these in-group versus out-group dynamics where you create people who
Starting point is 01:59:26 give you positive feedback. It's not where we're about here. Not back, man. So that was the review of your views. There are two bad ones, like bad reviews. I gave them bad reviews as well, and one good one. Very reasonable and balanced and fair.
Starting point is 01:59:41 And then, now I'm at speaking of balanced and fair people with good insights to offer, the Patreons. The supporters. The wisest in our audience. People that make it all happen.
Starting point is 01:59:58 We couldn't do it without you guys. What are the other things people say about the Patreons? The people with money. The people with the most income. That's it. What are the other things people say about their patrons? You're the grease that makes. The people with the strokes of all income. Yeah, that's it. Look, I contribute to podcasts, all right? I do it too, right?
Starting point is 02:00:12 So you're not better than me. That's right. I'm a patron. I'm a patron of other podcasts. I'm a patron of this podcast. We all do it. It's an ecosystem. It's just the money.
Starting point is 02:00:23 We're feeding the economy. We're just nodes money we're feeding the economy we're just nodes in the economy it's all going round and round in circles and patreon and the credit card companies or whatever are taking their cut it's it's a beautiful system yeah yeah yeah so you know just think about it like that and even as you think of that remember that you do get rewards for coming and supporting us and one of those but you'll get them mainly in heaven mainly yeah you will get them according to any schedule or things like that you get them in a very haphazard way but today matt today i'm gonna go fast watch this you'll. You'll be shocked.
Starting point is 02:01:07 Conspiracy Hypothesizers. That's our $2 tier. Here they are. We have David A.S., Lauren Leinhardt, Kobe Winston, Dan, Quintus Macias, Pubskill, Joe Gahagahan, TW, T.W. Adam Whitehall, Sean Scotland, Jim Vernon, Misha Kanai, Molly Jacobson, Anton Somser, Andrew Goff, Ronald Hayden, Runar Brunsvettresen, 9 underscore 9, Tim Tripp,
Starting point is 02:01:43 Joseph Atrau, M, Adam Vandeley, and Callie. How was that? Very good. That's a great reward, at least for some of them, that get their names mispronounced and some sort of vague mocking of their names. You're valued. You matter.
Starting point is 02:01:58 Thank you. You matter. Thank you. Every great idea starts with a minority of one. We are not going to advance conspiracy theories. We will advance conspiracy hypotheses. Okay. Now, we will advance conspiracy hypotheses, won't we?
Starting point is 02:02:19 Now, Matt, we have revolutionary thinkers. These are the people that get access to the code in academia. That's what makes them revolutionary thinkers. We do these little episodes about, you know, papers once a month and, you know, so they get access to those. And they include Willem Korsen, James Gibson, Joshua Berrata, Gregory Mendel, isn't that the... No, Gregory Mando. Isn't that the...
Starting point is 02:02:45 Yeah. No, Gregory Mangle. Mangle, sorry. Oh, that's not as good. That's worse. Yeah, yeah. Well, yeah, yeah. Well, two famous people, nonetheless.
Starting point is 02:02:57 Not your fault, Gregory. Not your fault. Yeah, that was my fault. Sorry about that. Yeah, both significant figures in the history of science. That was my fault. Sorry about that. Yeah, both significant figures in the history of science. Now, Stephen Keenan, Joshua G. Ziegler, Felicia Baucom, Saul, could be Saul Goodman, Andres Håknens, xxx, AAA,
Starting point is 02:03:27 Gunnar, David R. Woody, Brian Schmein, Matt Salamone, and Matthias Bolton. Oh, and Robert Roots as well. Those are our revolutionary thinkers. Thank you, guys. Appreciate it.
Starting point is 02:03:44 Thank you. I'm usually running, I don't know, 70 or 90 distinct paradigms simultaneously all the time. And the idea is not to try to collapse them down to a single master paradigm. I'm someone who's a true polymath. I'm all over the place. But my main claim to fame, if you'd like, in academia is that I founded the field of evolutionary consumption. Now, that's just a guess, and it could easily be wrong. But it also could not be wrong.
Starting point is 02:04:10 The fact that it's even plausible is stunning. What does it say about me that I find it funny every time? Because it's just such a stupid response. I'm sorry, but it's impossible to not be struck by the stupidity of Fred's reaction there. That's the thing. Now, Galaxy Brain Gurus, they're a rarer breed. It's sometimes hard to spot them amongst the crowd because they're in spreadsheets. There could be more of them is what you're saying.
Starting point is 02:04:41 It wouldn't hurt. Yeah. They get to come and join us for the monthly live streams if they want burritos or do that kind of thing but there are some of them i've heard tale of tom he man or he he man i don't i don't know if that's an actual surname or a a joke name but if it's not a joke name i'm very sorry it's a good name ding that one's easy to say and then matt again you know they're kind of it gets at them lurking over there who do i see out of the corner of my eye oh yes i spotted one a wild timmer appeared so there we had a timmer appeared. So there we had a timmer. And last, just furtively scooting around the bushes,
Starting point is 02:05:32 there's a Brian Young and an Amidias Lysenko. Lysenko? There's another genetics related. It's not, but it's kind of close. I'm sure I got close enough. So thank you, one and all, you beautiful shrubbery themed galaxy brain gurus. You're sitting on one of the great scientific stories that I've ever heard. And you're so polite.
Starting point is 02:06:02 And hey, wait a minute. Am I an expert? I kind of am. Yeah. I don't trust people at all. I know you should not, Scott. You're right. Keep an eye on them. You know, Matt, that's us for this week. We've done our duty for the discourse. We will now retire. And what is it they say in Lord of the Rings? We'll retire and feed or? Diminish. Diminish.
Starting point is 02:06:30 That's right. We'll go to the West. Yeah. Diminish. Yeah. But we'll be back. We'll be back. I wish I was diminishing.
Starting point is 02:06:39 It might make it easy to do those pull-ups, but I'm doing the opposite of it. Well, get your green juice. Yeah. Sorry, no more bacon and egg. Chalky pie there. Yeah. I think I'll just accept being fat. That could work
Starting point is 02:06:54 for me. Yeah. Well, it's been a pleasure, Matt. That's all I can say. What a treat it was to spend this time with you, Chris. Yes, this week especially. Especially. So, as always, keep. Yes, this week especially. Especially. So, as always, Mike, keep an eye out. Gated Institutional Narratives.
Starting point is 02:07:12 Distributed Idea Suppression Complex Agents. They're always around. Always jingling around. Could be anyone. Could be anyone. Could be any one of us. Could be you. Could be me. Could be our patrons.
Starting point is 02:07:23 I've got my eye on them. Don't worry. I think and I keep your enemies close to shank them yeah so well that's it so chowdy bye okay bye Thank you.

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