Decoding the Gurus - Special Episode: Entering the Portal

Episode Date: December 18, 2020

Chris and Matt take a peak behind the curtain at Guru Community dynamics in the Web 2.0 era in an extended interview with Dan Gilbert, a self described 'Discord creature'. Dan provides insights from h...is long term participation in Eric Weinstein's 'Unofficial Portal' Discord and reveals the mystery behind the 'mentally unstable' community member!If you ever wanted to learn about the intricate distinctions between Geometric Unity, and Geometric Marginalism or the ill fated outcome of Eric's 'Experts only' forum... now is your chance.We will be back next week with our regular episode on Contrapoints.Dan's apology song to EricFollow Dan on Twitter (@thebadstats)Episode Art used with permission of Michael M. AKA Pineapplemikel

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello and welcome to this special edition of Decoding the Gurus. Listeners, I got a call on the bright red emergency guru's phone from my colleague, Christopher, letting me know that there was an important interview that we needed to do. It's with a fellow named Dan Gilbert, who got in touch with us because he wanted to share his experiences on the unofficial portal Discord server that is the portal associated with Eric Weinstein. God, is it Weinstein or Weinstein? We get this constantly wrong. It's Weinstein, like Einstein. Einstein. Yeah. So I had it right. I had it right. Hi, Chris. Welcome. How are you? I'm doing all right, as usual. And I noticed you called me Christopher,
Starting point is 00:00:59 which means that this is definitely serious. I don't think I've ever heard you call me Christopher before. Yeah, yeah. Christopher Cook, isn't your name? Is it Christopher Cook? No, it's Kavanagh. Of course, it's Kavanagh, isn't it? What is this, man? What is this?
Starting point is 00:01:17 Me and shaming. Is this a retaliation? Listeners, you may not be aware, if you don't follow Chris fan fanatically that he was interviewed on another podcast and in it was nice he gave a shout out to this podcast and mentioned me which was nice i thought but then he dropped the ball pretty badly by getting my name wrong listeners getting it wrong what did you call me temporarily temporarily wrong matthew smith you described me as now i that's the bit i don't understand chris because you know smith doesn't sound anything like brown like very
Starting point is 00:01:51 different names how did you get those two mixed up yes so i admit i did make a slight error in uh misnaming you i was gonna say dead naming you dead naming you, but that's the wrong term. That's not the right term. That's incorrect. Yes. So glad I didn't say that. I'll point that out. So Matthew Brown, it's fair to say, I think, is a slightly generic name. And Matthew Smith, although it doesn't sound similar, it has the same generic quality.
Starting point is 00:02:30 Yeah, yeah, I get it. No, I get it. You're saying my name is so boring that it's easy to get mixed up with other boring names. I get it, yeah. So I – Chris, you know, I figured it all out within five seconds of you making that mistake.
Starting point is 00:02:47 But thanks for explaining it again. Let me just confirm. So this was for anyone interested to give a plug. It's Embrace the Void. And Matthew already cheated with me on that podcast. So this was just a retaliation, really. And I'm not even sure if he gave a shout out to me or the podcast on that. Maybe you must've done because you were introduced as it,
Starting point is 00:03:11 but, but I don't remember you mispronouncing my name. So maybe you got it right. This is a bad, this is a bad line of argument to go down. So yes, I'm, I'm terribly sorry for that.
Starting point is 00:03:25 And I think the Christopher Cook shot was a sufficient retaliation because I don't like that. Are you saying we should let them at a rest now, shouldn't we? We should let it go. Yes. This isn't the normal episode, Matt. We can't just ramble on for hours and hours. People are expecting concise to the point well why are you interrupting my feed
Starting point is 00:03:47 a week early yes yes i mean i know people's time is valuable and we got to show our listeners respect by getting straight to the point no mucking around yeah and we were weekly with the last delivery due to scott adams being terrible and a and my schedule being horrible at that time as well. So this will be an episode that comes out this week. And then lucky listeners will hopefully have an extra episode or the normal scheduled episode next week. And we haven't announced who we're covering, at least not on the feed. We have on Twitter. So, do you want to repeat? That was drums.
Starting point is 00:04:38 Yes, we are covering ContraPoints, who is Natalie Wynn in real life. So, would you like to say a little bit about Natalie slash ContraPoints, Chris? Would you like to say a little bit about Natalie slash ContraPoints, Chris? Yeah, she's a YouTube personality who produces these quite high production videos touching on kind of culture war and political and philosophical issues. Unlike Scott Adams, I actually enjoy her content. And yeah, it's fair to say that the announcement of covering her has led to some mixed reactions she she won the vote online of the person that people would like us to cover and lots of people have suggested her as a kind of she she's significantly left-leaning and is also trans so she fits more on the genuinely left not id IDW left side of things and kind of inhabits around the bread tube community on YouTube, though I think there's all sorts of internal
Starting point is 00:05:33 conflicts there. But yeah, so people were mixed in our announcement that we'll cover her. Yeah, I think that there's a couple of good discussions there because we, you know because we're kind of making this stuff up as we go along. So it's not like we've got a manifesto or anything. But it caused us to have a bit of a think about exactly what counts as a guru and what is the – because we can't just cover anybody. We don't want just random politicians or talking heads covered or just someone we don't like or do like on Twitter. Yes, I'm talking about you, Liam. Yeah, look, I think it's fair just to note that lots of gurus are very annoying people,
Starting point is 00:06:15 as you have probably recognized if you have listened to the previous episodes. But that isn't the defining characteristic of the people that we're interested in. So we always fully intended, as we noted in the first episode, to cover people that we agree with or even admire. So yeah, this is not a hit cast, despite what some people may think. And I think it'll be more interesting if it isn't just always people that make us depressed and miserable. Yeah, I mean, I think it's understandable people could have gotten that impression because we haven't liked probably the majority of the people we've covered a great deal. But I think on one hand, what we try to do in the podcast is to i guess focus on those methods of persuasion and
Starting point is 00:07:06 those rhetorical tricks and i guess the less savory side of communication or guru-like activities but in i'm curious as to what you think about this chris because we haven't actually talked about this yet but i mean in my mind you know somebody being a bit of a guru isn't necessarily or regarded as a guru isn't necessarily a bad thing it can be it often is but it doesn't it's not necessarily so so someone like i don't know um noam chomsky is kind of regarded as a genius who's sort of qualified to comment on almost anything and could be thought of as a guru, it doesn't necessarily mean that they do the kind of naughty stuff that we like to criticize them for. Does that make sense? Yeah, I agree. I'm playing around with definitions here, but people can be stats
Starting point is 00:07:59 gurus or can be maths gurus or that kind of thing. and so i think that we're not using it exactly in that usage that definitional usage but just to say that like guru doesn't automatically have negative connotations although it often does yeah now the other thing too i guess is that part of our motivation in thinking of contra points to begin with too is wanting to get a bit of diversity in our cast, as well as getting a few women on as well. That would be good. Yeah, we've noticed that there is a heavily penis-shaped representation on the characters that we chose. And I don't just mean personality-wise, I mean their... Yeah, you know, we get it. We get it, Chris. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:09:08 This is such a terrible way to have said that there's too many men. But the issue is that, I think there definitely is a gender skew in the online guru space, which is heavily male. But not to say that there aren't females. It's just, we need to try to seek out a little bit more diversity also to give us a break. So yeah, it's inevitable that we'll end up with lots of, I don't want to say like old white men, you know, I don't want to be Sarah Jong, but yeah, you know, middle-aged white men make up a fair proportion of the people that we are covering it's just a just a demographic fact oh those middle-aged white men gee they really get up my nose i know what will they do next they're such scamps i know it's a good thing we're not anywhere near that category or online middle-aged white man with too many opinions. Good thing we dodged that narrowly with our accents.
Starting point is 00:10:16 Well, this has probably gone on long enough. So shall we draw a line under that and talk a little bit more about our interview. Yeah. So that was our really shortened version of that. We'll have a longer version in the actual episode of ContraPoints. But yeah, maybe one of us will edit down our waffle. In any case, so completely contradicting everything that we just said, we are again focusing on Eric Weinstein. And why are we doing that because it makes chris happy that's what we're doing no matt that's but that's not why although that's partly why but i the the reason is that on the previous episodes where we've covered eric we we hinted at some of the issues that we'd, or at least I'd observed in his Discord community and the potentially unhealthy guru-ish community management techniques and manipulation,
Starting point is 00:11:19 maybe, or at least the interaction that was going on there. And we mentioned during that Eric had labeled, he discussed kind of cryptically something about a mentally disturbed member of his community. And after the episode, the person that you will hear shortly that we interviewed, Dan Gilbert reached out to introduce himself as probably the person that Eric was referring to. And through our discussions and DMs, it turned out that he seemed entirely mentally stable. He did. He seemed entirely unmad. And to have very interesting insights about the experiences in the Eric's Discord communities and the kind of dynamics at play
Starting point is 00:12:02 there. So it seemed like an interesting opportunity to have a look at guru community management in the web 2.0 space with a bit of a different format, interviewing someone who has been a long-term member. And probably worth flagging that Matt and I are not expert interviewers. And so the interview that you're about to hear is slightly meandering in the logical structure.
Starting point is 00:12:30 But hopefully you get something useful out of it. And yeah, and Dan was a really interesting guy to interview. And I think he had a lot useful to say. Okay, good. All right. Just a note for anyone interested. We launched the Patreon.
Starting point is 00:12:46 It's going much better, I think, than any of us had hoped. Not hoped, expected. We currently have 27 patrons, which is really great. And we're going to be covering costs and we'll start giving shout outs from the next episode.
Starting point is 00:13:06 And we're already kind of posting up some content there but but yeah just a short thing to say like thanks for everyone signing up we we genuinely really appreciate it it's it's very validating yeah yeah no it really it really has been so thanks everyone um we. We really didn't know whether people would care at all. We're still slightly shocked that anybody's listening. So people are not only listening, but also liking it enough to chip in and helping it not cost money for us. So thank you.
Starting point is 00:13:41 Wonderful. Yeah. So more news to come regarding that kind of thing. And this episode will have an edited version of the interview to try and cut down our waffle. But the full version will be posted up on the Patreon. If people want to hear the complete unedited waffle, you can join the patreon and see it this is like this is like a pun this is like a punishment for subscribing this is for initiation ritual for the patrons they get the full waffle okay so here we are with dan Dan Gilbert, who has joined us to discuss the goings on in Eric's Discord communities he mentioned that there was a mentally unstable member of the community
Starting point is 00:14:50 that he claimed he was having issues with. And I had some speculations who that might be, but Dan helpfully reached out to me by DM on Twitter and said, actually, I think that's me. And we can get into why you were labeled the mentally unstable member of Eric's Discord community. But Dan, maybe a good start would be just to introduce your background and how you came to be a member of Eric's Discord. Cool. yeah. So I'm here to speak for the mentally unstable, I guess. Give the mentally unstable side of the story. Basically, I'm just sort of like a Discord creature.
Starting point is 00:15:37 So I used to be really obsessed with watching everything that Jordan Peterson made and getting angry about it. And then I guess the fun thing to do is then go talk to his fans because it's like the most satisfying way to be angry about a public intellectual is to argue with the people who are really devoted to them.
Starting point is 00:15:50 I feel like I'm talking to my shadow. I think we might suffer from some of the same complex. And so, yeah, so, you know, Jordan Peterson sort of went by the wayside for a couple of years because of health issues. So I'm really excited to see whether he makes a comeback or not, because to me, he's sort of the he's like the apotheosis of guru public intellectual.
Starting point is 00:16:13 But in the meantime, I've been following Eric Weinstein and I just kind of view him as someone who is popular for, I think, a lot of the same reasons as Jordan Peterson. And he does some similar things where he sort of occupies this political niche, which is really frustratingly hard to pin him on. He's just sort of like a political contrarian who denies having any kind of political affiliations or positions because actually everything is in service of some sort of larger philosophy. And the way he talks about everything, it's like a sort of entrancing way of talking where he cloaks everything in like three layers of like analogies and so everything sounds 10 times more profound than it actually is and then when you drill down and you say okay what argument is he actually making what is he actually saying it's either just like extremely inane just some trivial
Starting point is 00:17:01 obvious statement or it's just wrong and indefensible you're a man after her own hearts yeah you're definitely preaching to the choir here dan um you're we're on the same page with you there so i i'm on eric's discord at least one or two of them but i i only pop in and out on occasion and somebody mentioned that he was talking about us once and it might be worth popping in and due to my lack of experience with discord i didn't actually hear that i only heard the aftermath of him detailing low quality criticism and some guru-ish community management techniques that we we will probably get into So maybe it's just worth mentioning to people that discords are a little bit like personal message board forums with channels to discuss specific
Starting point is 00:17:53 topics or people can DM people. And they also allow you to do audio like mass group chats or smaller group chats. So that's my view about what a Discord is. And Dan, given that you are much more familiar with the Discord world, is that accurate? And also, how many Discords does Eric actually have? So Discord is basic. It's just a chat client, but it's sort of, you know, sectioned into servers. So people hang out in different servers related to different subject matters. And it's great because you form little communities around these servers for whatever the topic of the server is. Like usually it's very often the most popular ones are based around people. So there's like a Destiny, the streamer discord
Starting point is 00:18:35 that's big. There's some discords that are for just discussing politics in general, which are filled with all the loveliest people that you might imagine. What happened is this guy named Phil, he started a Discord that was basically just like a fan Discord for Eric Weinstein, because there was no Discord that Eric had for his Portal community or whatever. So a few people joined, trickled in or whatever, nothing much. And then one day, Eric Weinstein himself joined Phil's Discord. So this was never like an official Portal Discord. It's called the unofficial Portal Discord.
Starting point is 00:19:08 And then one day, Eric joined it, which caused it to effectively become an official Discord, even though it wasn't. And then people just started flooding into the server. So now there's thousands of people in that server. And it was really exciting because basically that server came up around the time when Eric had finished episode 19, which I think is an episode that you've talked about, where Eric and Brett are talking about how Brett was mistreated in his academic history. And they sort of just weave a whole story about how Brett's idea was stolen from him. And it was one of the most profound ideas in biological history. It's an idea that has enormous ramifications when it comes to medical testing. And because this idea was ignored and shoved aside because of the nefarious practices of
Starting point is 00:19:48 people in academia who are trying to suppress it, people are literally probably just dying en masse due to side effects from drugs that weren't properly tested, that kind of thing. Yeah, we have covered in detail on the first episode for anyone interested that particular revelation. in detail on the first episode for anyone interested that particular revelation and it's fair to say we probably share your skepticism regarding if if it is as revolutionary as cleo right so it was really a salacious podcast and people came on the discord because part partly their culture around there was just like we gotta you know man together and this problem. Like he made this claim that there's this huge problem. Here we are.
Starting point is 00:20:28 We're ready to, you know, fix it. And Eric Weinstein is always talking about how people, you know, there's the disk and we need to resist the disk and we need to somehow. Disk means distributed idea suppression complex. Right. A lot of his, the things that he says have a nature of just being kind of like a calls to action. So people on the discord were very motivated to sort of not just hang out and talk about Eric, but they wanted to do projects. They wanted to learn all kinds of math and physics and stuff so they could understand Eric's ideas, which he had led them to believe were changing,
Starting point is 00:20:56 revolutionary, and nobody would listen to him. And so Discord community full of people who were super committed to him were interested in putting together all these projects in service of Eric's vision. Yeah, I'm not surprised to hear about that reaction from his fans to be supportive about dealing with this purported injustice that was done. Yeah, Dan, I remember when I first came across Eric's Discord, and there seemed to be a lot of people, at least in the early stages, who were genuinely well qualified and well educated and were like enthusiastic about the project. And at the time, I was already fairly skeptical about Eric. So I was slightly dismayed that he seemed to be attracting a community of well-educated, intelligent people around what I would have regarded as fairly
Starting point is 00:21:47 insubstantial and ridiculous claims. But then as I dipped in and out of the server over the coming months, I noticed a shift from the earlier days when I was seeing lots of people introducing themselves with their PhD credentials or whatever, to more what Eric has leaned into the kind of anti-establishment conspiratorial stuff and much less technical expertise being apparent. But does that reflect my bias or misperception? Or is that reflective of your experience? I don't actually remember there being like a very large concentration of people who are particularly qualified in math or physics on the server. I think the people on that server probably are like more educated than average.
Starting point is 00:22:36 But a lot of the people on the server are programmers and people who maybe studied something in school and felt that school was like a waste of their time or that things didn't go well in their studies. I feel like there were a lot of grad students that like dropped out of grad school. And so they had in common with Eric this kind of like, oh, academia isn't a good place and should be changed to be more amenable to the way that I would have, you know, like to learn or do projects or that kind of thing. But over time, there are certainly notable examples of people who are extremely qualified to interface with Eric on the subject matter of geometric unity, which is his main intellectual contribution
Starting point is 00:23:13 that he's been promising to everybody. And I think everyone who's been in a position that's qualified to actually try to understand it has given up because well i can get into the reasons why yeah so that that just with the little i know or have heard about the expert commentary of eric's geometric unity theory essentially the impression i got from people who knew about this stuff was that the ideas were perhaps interesting, but not fully fleshed out and rather vague. So ultimately, a bit of a bit of a nothing burger. Would that be right, Chris? Yeah, so my, my impression from speaking to people that are much more qualified in me in the relevant areas is there's nothing much there for them to grapple with. There's the presentation he gave, which is not very easy for people to follow.
Starting point is 00:24:14 It might have interesting ideas possibly, but the reaction at the time seemed to be, okay, well, you're making like a lot of really big claims. So let's see the brass tacks right show us the equations and the paper and then we we can talk and actually people suggesting that they would be willing to do some of the like straightforward tests that could do the low level bullshit test i can't remember who it was somebody Somebody brought it up in the Q&A after his talk. But in any case, the general consensus from the people I spoke to was until he publishes something, there's nothing that they can look at. And it has all of the hallmarks of the usual pseudoscience conspiracy claims of a theory of everything that will revolutionize physics and
Starting point is 00:25:07 whatnot. Yeah, so well, I can give sort of the history of geometric unity on the Discord server. Okay. So in March, he was like teasing often when he would come on that he was thinking about releasing geometric unity, that he was, you know, trying to release some information about it. And then come April Fool's Day, he finally released it after for days just being like, oh, I don't know if I'm going to release it. I don't think I can release it. Or, you know, I'm going to really plan out something. So he released it one day. And then it's so hard to communicate the audacity of the claims that he made like the week after that he released that video basically he came on discord and just with you know the giddy excitement of everybody on discord and himself he would say things like
Starting point is 00:25:51 this is going to just fundamentally change the world like with basically no uncertainty he was talking about how this is it like you are you are experiencing history right now we're going to wake up tomorrow and the world is going to be a different place. And like, we're living through like the most, one of the most exciting eras in history, because this, I just released this and I don't even know what's going to happen. And that persisted, by the way, he, to this day, just whenever he talks about geometric unity, he says things like, I'm more afraid that it's true than that it's false. Yeah. Yeah. In fact, Dan, I'm sorry to interrupt, but I just want to support this by
Starting point is 00:26:25 in recollecting that he was darkly hinting that he could not release the details of the geometric unity theory because it could lead to such technologies of such unimaginable power that it would be almost irresponsible. He doesn't trust the powers that be. Those people are the disc. Those people are lying to us all the time. Everybody in the government is lying to us. They have these conspiracies. The CIA is up to this and that. There's no way he's going to put this theory in their hands that has the power to destroy humanity, destroy the universe, get us to different planets, bend space-time, that kind of thing. Because, you know, his theory has 14 dimensions in it, which means that we can just go around the first three dimensions. We can do whatever we want. Yeah, it's like it's taking
Starting point is 00:27:13 four-dimensional chess to the nth level. But yeah, I also remember Matt, where he had hinted in an interview that geometric unity could be used to create a doomsday device that's why dan when you mentioned that he fairly frequently mentions this in the discord um or these kind of grandiose claims i mean he it's not like eric is in general a wilting flower when it comes to making grand claims but he seems to let himself go more in the discord i just remember somebody asked him about the pandemic video on twitter and he said something like you know i'm not going to talk about that but i'm going to go on a walk in a couple of hours so you can join me on i think it was instagram he pointed that one but i didn't see that video but i heard from other people who did see the video
Starting point is 00:28:04 that he didn't endorse pandemic, but he went with the usual, you know, it's not all bad. It's not all good. There's stuff that's reasonable there and stuff that isn't. But he also warned the people watching that he couldn't talk about these kinds of things on his main channel. And people shouldn't ask. So that led me to believe that on the discord, maybe on the Instagrams that he doesn't keep recorded, that he was more forthcoming about his views. So it sounds like that's true. He's more willing to be just as hyperbolic as possible
Starting point is 00:28:35 about how important he is. He's more restrained on his podcast when he's talking about situating himself in human history. He tries to make it more about a political message, about how we need to fight the disc and that kind of thing, and how here's what the disc is up to. But when he's on the Discord, everything is about his historical situation as maybe the next Einstein. There was Einstein, and he gave us this universal speed limit.
Starting point is 00:29:01 And then there's Weinstein, and we're going to be able to get out of the prison that Einstein left for us now. He always talks about how geometric marginalism, his economics theory with Pia, is the most important economics discovery of the last 25 years. And everyone's ignoring it. And that it literally would revolutionize everything about economics. The reason that we have basically any of the economic problems that we have now, where the government is able to have some control over the social security, that kind of thing. That's just a symptom of the fact that our economics right now is bad.
Starting point is 00:29:32 And in the future, we're going to have geometric marginalism. So just to clarify, this means that Eric has a grand theory of everything for physics, right, which is geometric unity. for physics, right? Which is geometric unity. And with his wife, he also has a revolutionary theory of economics, which is geometric marginalism. Is that right? Yeah, it's almost like he did his PhD on geometry. He has a hammer and everything he sees is a nail. This also gets us to geometric marginalism and the conspiracies attached to it so well let's let's all step back a bit and i'll talk a bit more about geometric unity and then afterwards we can talk about the economic stuff uh yeah so so he released that paper and basically everyone was like okay we're here this is. Like we're ready for Geometric Unity to become a thing.
Starting point is 00:30:26 And he told the Discord after he released the video that he was going to start working on Geometric Unity full-time. He wouldn't be able to come on the Discord as much because he was just going to hunker down and he was just going to work on it. And then nothing ever came of that. It seems like he sort of stopped working on that. He never came back. He didn't come back to the server to like say, oh, I've, you know, I'm basically, he initially
Starting point is 00:30:47 seemed to be saying, I've released this video, you know, and I'm going to work on actually releasing a paper and fleshing everything out and that kind of thing. But he never did that. And so people would often ask him like, okay, yeah, so when's this paper coming? You know, everyone, all these other scientists are saying that they can't make much of this lecture. So you should write a paper. And you, and where's this paper coming from? And so he has just a litany of excuses that change over time
Starting point is 00:31:11 as to why he can't release a paper about it. Let's hear some of the excuses. That sounds good. So they contradict each other. Okay, so here's one excuse. Everything is already in the video, and if academics want to understand it, they can, but they just refuse to because they're being disky like if they just watch the video they would understand uh but they you know they don't want to understand because they're afraid of this idea well regarding that
Starting point is 00:31:35 excuse it does beg the question why all physicists don't uh release their findings via youtube i mean it would save a lot of effort It would save a lot of effort. It would save a lot of trouble, yeah. I was mucking around in LaTeX. Yeah. Anyway, let's go on. So I can't assess, you know, the contents of the video or everything.
Starting point is 00:31:54 And yeah, you guys have talked about it on my podcast, but basically all the physicists that I have talked to, or one physicist in particular, in the sense that I get from other physicists that I see online, is that basically, yeah, I mean, the lecture is not just like, you know, he wrote down all of the derivations and stuff from a paper. The lecture is kind of philosophical. It's kind of poetic. He spends a long time talking about
Starting point is 00:32:12 hands drawing hands. You know, that's like his main concern is sort of contextualizing it in terms of how profound it is philosophically before actually going on to give details of the math. The video ends with him writing down on the board, like, swervature equals dysplasian, or something like that, which I don't think means anything. So it's like an introduction to an idea. I don't think that there's enough specificity to it that any kind of physicist could take it and then flesh out the ideas into a full theory, especially since they're all ideas that are, I think, really unique to his particular area of study. So he seems to have taken all of his favorite geometric ideas and woven it into what he thinks is a theory of everything.
Starting point is 00:32:49 Okay. So what were some of the other excuses? Another excuse is that he tried submitting his paper to Archive in the past, but he couldn't because he wasn't affiliated with an institution. And most people did not take this excuse too seriously because they were like, well, I'm a part of an institution. I'll just upload it for you. Surprisingly, he did not take them up on that offer. Perhaps for the following reasons, one of which is academics don't deserve a paper after the way they've treated him. He's been so mistreated by academia that just, you know, like, you know, he was going to give them his paper that he's totally written. But now he can't because they don't deserve it.
Starting point is 00:33:21 You know, maybe they don't, you know, they'll be irresponsible with it or they'll try to steal it from him so that's another thing is that if he releases his paper then they'll steal his ideas i mean that's not we haven't got to the doomsday device yet but uh yeah it makes no sense that he if he released a paper then they would steal his ideas because currently he's in the most vulnerable possible situation for people stealing his ideas which is that he's like released a video of it but he doesn't have on record him writing down as a paper what he did. The reason that you publish a paper on archive, a preprint on archive, is so that you get credit for having originated that idea in case somebody writes something similar in the meantime, right? That's true, Dan. That's very true. That's a good observation.
Starting point is 00:34:00 So another reason that he can't do it is because he can't publish because he's too traumatized by academia. He would publish, but to the experience that he can't publish because he's too traumatized by academia. He would publish, but the experience that he had at Harvard is too traumatized. Another one is that he intentionally doesn't want to publish because his H-index is currently zero. H-index is like the maximum number of papers that you've published that have a certain minimum number of citations. So he has an H-index of zero, and he wants to keep it that way. So like us yeah as an fu to academia he wants to keep his h index of zero that's why he can't publish his paper understandable another one is that he can't release his geometric unity paper because first he needs to revolutionize academia and make a new institution in its place probably made out of people from his discord like he's very he's always sort of framed the Discord as if like, this is like our sort of grassroots thing that we're starting that is ultimately going to become
Starting point is 00:34:49 the new institution. We are like the beginning of the future. We're basically going to overturn all of academia. And from now on, like research and learning is going to happen like this in, I guess, a Discord
Starting point is 00:35:00 or something like that. But most importantly, with Eric at the helm of it. Yeah, it's quite an exciting mission isn't it i can i'm sort of put trying to put myself in the place of the the audience that you're describing which is perhaps people who who have some technical background and maybe didn't get as much out of education as they'd liked or didn't go as far in in higher education or research as they would have liked. So I guess kind of disaffected and disappointed people somewhat like Eric himself. Yeah. And it was a lot of people who were interested in like learning in a sort of
Starting point is 00:35:34 non-academic environment. They had like had finished school or something and they were older now and they were interested in going back and studying something again. So that part of it was nice is that there were a lot of people who were genuinely just interested in doing some kind of learning outside of a traditional environment. Yeah, I remember after the audio interaction I did hear on Eric's Discord, after he left, some members of the community started talking about alternative systems of education.
Starting point is 00:36:03 I think it was to learn physics. And they were essentially saying, you know, all the points you would expect that the university system is not fit for purpose, we need alternatives. But the thing that struck me was one, the level of optimism, because there was there was kind of genuine commitment that they would be able to organize like a replacement for universities for physics education, despite some of the people in that conversation having any relevant expertise or just basic things about who would teach it or these kinds of courses. But it was a very passionate discussion amongst people about what this alternative system would do and and you know thinking about the implications of
Starting point is 00:36:50 once it exists how the universities will be redundant and whatnot it but to be fair it was only you know a couple of people on the discord discussing it so yeah a very common type of person i want to say back in those days on the server was the person who like either had never learned any calculus, or they had never maybe they just knew a little bit of calculus or something who wanted to immediately go into learning gauge theory, which is something that Eric mentions a lot, and I guess is underpinning some of his theories and is important in like theoretical physics. And so they all felt the whole way like undergrad and grad school makes
Starting point is 00:37:25 you go through all these other classes before you can get there is just part of their like, you know, hopeless traditionalism. They're just wasting your time taking your money. And really, you should be able to just if you know, like a little calculus, or maybe even if you don't, you can just sort of jump into gauge theory. And very often, they'd ask Eric questions of that manner. I don't know any calculus. Can you explain gauge theory to me, Eric? I guess the dynamics of it would be, I'm trying to say this in a polite way, be supportive of Eric's impression of himself in the sense of having relatively naive or unqualified people to go to him and to be the teacher and to sort of help them.
Starting point is 00:38:02 Well, I don't know. to be the teacher and to sort of help them. I don't know. I can see the appeal of, especially people at that stage of life, going back to learning or who don't want to invest tons of money in the university system and whatnot. And I understand that.
Starting point is 00:38:17 And I also get that they might have the feeling that academics are just sneering at them and dismissing them. But the thing that strikes me about all of these discussions is it kind of ignores the existence of MOOCs and all of the freely available undergraduate and graduate level courses that you can access fairly easily now. Like I've took stats courses on Coursera and the level of learning is great. So there's never been a better time to be an independent learner. Yeah. Yeah. So I've got a similar impression that I have a bit
Starting point is 00:38:55 of a fascination with physics and astronomy. And even though I'm totally naive about it, so I listened to a podcast called the Titanium Physicist Podcast, and they are a couple of physicists and they have working researchers as guests on their podcast who talk about their research, for instance, in detecting neutrinos or something like that, and the implications of what they're doing. It's pretty technical stuff, but they really make an effort to explain it to naive people like myself. And it's absolutely fantastic stuff. So if you enjoy learning about these topics, it's a fantastic time to be alive. But that seems to be very different from what's happening in a group like Eric's. Can you comment on that, Dan?
Starting point is 00:39:36 Yeah, I think I have a personal bias against the idea of self-learning. I think maybe there's other people who can pull it off. But in my experience, the structure that's imposed on you by having a course where you have to do homework and you have to get problems graded, you're forced to show up. To me, that kind of structure was essential in actually being able to go in depth into learning something. And I think a lot of times when people feel that they could just self-teach something, very often by just watching YouTube videos. They're really underestimating the extent of what they don't know about the subject and just how long the journey is from
Starting point is 00:40:09 where they are to what they actually want to be able to know and how hard it would be to just self-motivate yourself through that every step along the way. Yeah, I think that's a really important point because there's a distinction between some sort of genuinely informative content or knowledge versus this stats version, which gives you the impression of getting knowledge. So the kind of thing that I'm describing, they really make an effort, even though the content might last for two hours, you know, that's as long as a pretty long lecture, for instance. They're very realistic about what their audience doesn't know. So they do, you know, try to give you a sense of what they're doing
Starting point is 00:40:47 and what it means and why it's important, but they're very much aware of what they can't teach us in a mere two hours. Whereas part of the deal with gurus, I guess, is to give the impression that you can dive straight in and grapple with the really deep and highly technical aspects of the material. Yeah. One of my favorite things that would happen on the server, especially early on, is so Eric would come on the server in order to sort of be regaled by his followers. They would ask him questions. He would get interviewed.
Starting point is 00:41:18 And people would ask him the question, I want to learn gauge theory. How do I learn gauge theory? And I think any reasonable person would say, OK, well, if you want to learn gauge theory. How do I learn gauge theory? And I think any reasonable person would say, okay, well, if you want to learn gauge theory, first, you need to learn calculus and analysis and algebra and that kind of thing. There's all these prerequisites that you need to build up both your prerequisites and your math sophistication in order to be able to get to the point where you can actually do the math of gauge theory. Also, it's a sort of a physics thing. So there'll be a lot of physics involved. But instead, the way he answers that question is by literally just starting to explain gauge theory to them. Like, I'm going to teach you right now what gauge theory is in the, you know, two minutes
Starting point is 00:41:53 that this answer is going to last. And so he gives some extremely metaphorical explanation of gauge theory, or he's sort of like describing objects in space. He's like describing maybe a cool object that's related to gauge theory or something like that. And then he'll finish with his explanation, which teaches nobody anything about what gauge theory is. You know, that's not what doing math or physics is. Like it's like a real analytical component. But then the person who asked the question is like,
Starting point is 00:42:17 okay, I think I get it. Yeah, it seems very performative, doesn't it? Yeah, I think they feel like they're sort of learning physics through osmosis, like by talking to people who know physics and asking them questions about it, that they're just sort of like learning physics. Okay, yeah. So there's one more reason why he said that he couldn't release his paper.
Starting point is 00:42:36 And I think this is like the most disturbing one. And this one's much more recent. So he said he was going to tell us about geometric unity, but he won't now because the community has let him down. The main reason being is that they have failed to get rid of the unbelievers. They've failed to excise the community of untrustworthy people. So he feels like he can't trust the community. So he can't release a paper to us.
Starting point is 00:42:57 I think you would probably count as one of these individuals, Dan. There's reason to believe that my continued existence on the server is one of the reasons that he said that. But it is just kind of disturbing to me that he's telling his fans that they haven't done a good enough job, like creating an environment in which like his ideas can be sufficiently private. And they're like failing to usher in the new age that he's been asking us to usher in. Yeah, this gets to one of the reasons we wanted to do this interview was that when I was on the Discord hearing Eric talk that one time
Starting point is 00:43:30 when he was complaining about us and all our low quality criticism people, I got a really quite unpleasant vibe based on the kind of the dynamic that you're talking about where he was expressing disappointment. I think at that time it was somebody had recorded audio and released it, but it was very much in the view
Starting point is 00:43:50 of you guys, I'm giving you something very precious here. I'm interacting and I don't want to, but I might have to pull back if I can't trust you. And one part of that can be related to, you know, releasing audio, which he wants to keep private. But the more disturbing side of it was in this low quality versus high quality criticism dichotomy. And the impression I got was that he put into low quality criticism, any form of criticism that would suggest that he is veering close to pseudoscience or that would not take his fundamental premises for granted was low quality criticism.
Starting point is 00:44:31 And it came across as like, I don't want to say cult leader because I don't think it's that extreme, but it was the same dynamic of chastising the community for lacking faith. And it was clear from some of the responses that some of the peopleising the community for lacking faith. And it was clear from some of the responses that some of the people in the community had a genuine emotional commitment to Eric. And so we're taking the potential for him to leave or withdraw as a serious threat that they needed to do something. And that whole dynamic just struck me as like really toxic. It was kind of bizarre because what happened is some random person who was there for when he was talking about his Harvard story on the Discord leaked the audio onto YouTube.
Starting point is 00:45:12 It wasn't me. And he said he was acting as if it was the Discord community's fault at large. And he kept saying things like, I just don't know if I can trust you. Like, I've really been let down here. I don't know. He never said, I know that it's impossible for you to make sure that nobody ever does something like that. So I know it's not your fault. Instead, he just kept saying that I don't think I can trust the community anymore. As if it was the community at large, their faltering trust in him had allowed
Starting point is 00:45:38 this random incident to happen. It was very bizarre. Yeah. In some sense, you may end up being the Neil on the carpet for community interaction. So speaking of low quality criticism, an example of what he considers low quality criticism is there is one person on the server who has a PhD in theoretical physics. And that person has on a few occasions talked to Eric about geometric unity and he's asked him the questions that he thinks he needs to ask in order to get to figure out if geometric unity is a thing or not basically and he he asked Eric you know can you produce or have you produced a Lagrangian for your theory according to this guy he felt that he figured that Eric probably already had a Lagrangian because it would be one of the basic things that you would do when you create a theory of everything in order to connect the theory to the actual physics and being able to predict anything about reality.
Starting point is 00:46:34 So he asked Eric, do you have a Lagrangian? If you have a Lagrangian and you can provide it, then basically I could assess whether your theory is working out or not. whether your theory is working out or not. And Eric sort of answered in a sort of roundabout, sort of poetic way about the Lagrangian. He went back to talking about hands drawing hands, which is one of his favorite things to do when people ask him a little bit too detailed questions about geometric unity. So a few days later, or weeks later, we saw he was on Brian Keating's podcast. And he went on a little rant on Brian Keating's podcast about how, when physicists see my theory, they just ask if I can provide a Lagrangian, because they just want to shut down my theory as fast as possible. They just want a Lagrangian so they can throw it out. So in his mind, even theoretical physics PhDs asking him questions about what could make this theory verifiable, He considers to be
Starting point is 00:47:25 low quality criticism. Yes. I mean, it's understandable that we get lumped into low quality criticism, but that seems slightly unfair. Dan, I hate to ask you this because of its self-indulgent nature, but I can't resist. I've never actually heard Eric discuss us. We've had run-ins on Twitter and whatnot, but is it just we just don't get it and we're just fixated on his hair? Our criticisms are just superficial and not getting to it? Yeah. Basically, he is obsessed with everything everybody says about him online. He name searches himself. And what he has said multiple times, he comes on the server and he reports to us everywhere
Starting point is 00:48:14 that somebody has said something bad about him. So one of the things he says is he was giving us a little lecture about what good versus bad quality criticism is. He knows every podcast where people have talked about him in a negative light. And so this is one of them. So he said, if you want to hear bad quality criticism, look up the Decoding the Guru's podcast. And so he directed us to the podcast that we could listen to, understand what kind of bad quality criticism is. And he didn't say much about it. He just sort of said that, yeah, basically, you guys just have a pathological obsession with tearing him down because, you know, you're not interested in real rigorous math or science
Starting point is 00:48:49 or whatever. You're just jealous or something. So I'm kind of surprised, though, that he did point people to the episode. His take is that he knows that he's doing a good job because when people are criticizing him, the criticism is so low quality that if he was really doing something wrong, then the criticism would be of better quality, right? And he's always talking about how he really is interested in criticism. He wants high quality criticism. He's seeking out criticism because he wants to better himself, so any criticism he's interested in. But of course, not low quality criticism, right? Yeah. So it doesn't sound like he's ever gotten any high quality criticism. It's weird how rare this high quality criticism is. I'm sure if you asked him for examples of high quality criticism, he would give some
Starting point is 00:49:32 bizarre esoteric example of something that isn't really even criticism. Okay, so I think we were going to turn now to a little bit about the story, which sort of led you personally to be singled out perhaps a little bit. The short version of the story is that he came on the server and he talked about something which he has also talked about on his podcasts, which is a conspiracy theory that he has about something called the Boskin Commission. And it involves certain people from Harvard, who he talks about by name as having colluded fraudulently mess with social security by their solution to the index price problem. And so after I talked to him, I emailed somebody who was involved in the story and asked them for their comment on it. I was just like, so Eric says, this is what happened at Harvard.
Starting point is 00:50:17 And this was a person who was Pia's advisor, but it's one of the people he mentions by name in the story as having been a part of the problem. And they just responded. They said, we can't answer questions about former students. And then they forwarded that email to Pia, Eric's wife. And then Pia showed Eric. And so somehow from that email, which had my real name attached, Eric knows who I am. He has somehow linked together my screen name and my real name. And he just knows who I am and is not a fan i sort of like this because in the worlds of internet forums and discords and stuff intercommunity drama is just a fact of life right like as it is on twitter but in this case like what often like causes problems in community in forums and communities is like when real life intrudes on the dynamics
Starting point is 00:51:05 and so i kind of like this not a nefarious way just in the way that it sounds like eric was weaving a rather strong conspiracy theory involving his wife and her supervisor on the Discord that alleges serious wrongdoing, as we'll probably get into. And when somebody then fact-checked that claim, right, by just reaching out to someone and saying, hey, is this true? It then returned, it got back to his wife, right, and the supervisor and burst the bubble of, oh, I can talk about whatever I want on the Discord without it having any impact. And I think this relates to me the way that Eric and Brett completely trashed Carol Greeter on their episode. And Eric's fans went after her on social media, essentially accusing her of suppressing Brett
Starting point is 00:52:08 and not giving him due credit. And I feel like in some respect, it's a case of his own medicine. Am I taking too much joy in this? That if you make conspiracy theories and you allege people do bad things, it's not unreasonable that somebody might ask one of the people, did you do that bad thing? But I can see why it would cause a lot of trouble for you interpersonally. Yeah. I mean, I get the sense that maybe his fame is catching up to him and he never really, like to him, he can sort of say things to his fans and it doesn't really interface
Starting point is 00:52:42 with real life that much, but he's become famous enough that if he makes claims about people that actually exist that he knows where he basically accuses them of having committed fraud or something then he can't just go around doing that and expect it it's going to be just sort of like some private thing that he told his friends or something or some sort of like i mean i don't think he's afraid of sort of relatively baselessly speculating about things and so i think it's sort of catching up to him now that when he accuses people of having like engaged in some kind of like coordinated evil, people are actually going to be interested enough to follow up on that and see if it's actually true. I say it's the same dynamic as outlining for two hours how nefarious and evil Carol Greeter is in how her suppression of Brett's insight may be costing millions of
Starting point is 00:53:27 lives from the lack of safety checks. But then ending by saying, you know, well, we're not sure like this is this is all just speculation. And we'd be happy to discuss it in detail. We're not saying anybody is actually a bad person. It's quite a remarkable, powerful disclaimer he has. actually a bad person. It's quite a remarkable, powerful disclaimer he has. Related to that, Dan, so I'm probably doing this completely in the wrong order, but your interaction there relates to the geometric marginalization, right? And the disc suppressing it through kind of Eric's wife and their dissertation. So maybe it makes sense to outline geometric marginalization and how it comes into things. Yeah, geometric marginalism. Oh, marginalism, sorry. Okay, so he and his wife wrote this chapter,
Starting point is 00:54:17 or worked on this theory when she was in grad school. I think he was like a postdoc at MIT at the time, so they lived near each other. And they were also not married yet. This was like part of their courting ritual. This is sort of how they met and fell in love while she was doing her PhD at Harvard in economics. And there's a chapter in the book, The Physics of Wall Street, about Eric Weinstein. It's just solely about Eric Weinstein and geometric marginalism and this conspiracy theory that he has, which makes me think that the author of this book must have just like interviewed him and just written down what he said about it. So you can read all about this story, basically, in the last chapter of that book, The Physics of Wall Street. I've read the chapters of her dissertation. That is basically all they've actually produced about geometric marginalism so far. that is basically all they've actually produced about geometric marginalism so far.
Starting point is 00:55:09 And basically, he's applying gauge theory to economics. More specifically, he's applying gauge theory to the index number problem. So he's like the most extreme version I've ever seen of math undergrad syndrome, which is like when people, they do math, and they just view every other subject as being a more trivial version of math or just applied math. And so if you understand math, the most fundamental study, the hardest, the most rigorous study, then every other subject is basically trivial. And the only reason other people do those subjects instead of math is because they're less intelligent. And they're all just kind of incompetent and sitting around and like
Starting point is 00:55:42 twiddling their thumbs until a mathematician comes and like saves them by showing them fancy math that will blow their mind and revolutionizes their subject matter. This sounds very familiar. He's working with Pia and he's telling Pia, economists have no idea what they're doing. They don't even understand math. They're pathetic. And then, you know, she was trying to convince him, oh, no, there's some there's some real stuff going on in economics. and said, oh no, there's some real stuff going on in economics. But anyway, so their project together was basically applying a very fancy kind of math, which is like some gauge theory, to the index number problem. And the chapter is written in such a way that they're deriving,
Starting point is 00:56:14 deriving, deriving this thing in a kind of interesting, mathematical, kind of impressive way. It's very interesting. And then right at the end of the chapter, they're like, okay, so what we did was we re-derived a solution to the index number problem, which has existed for a hundred years. We just sort of like gave a new interpretation to it using differential geometry. Dan, just to interrupt you, what is the index number problem? I'm not the right person to explain this because I'm not an economist, but basically the index number problem is like, if you want to calculate the amount of inflation, for instance, then you would take a basket of goods at a certain time and look at the price. And then you would look at the basket of goods at a later point in time and look at the price.
Starting point is 00:56:52 The most naive way to calculate inflation is just by like taking the price of the basket later in time, comparing it to the price of the basket earlier in time. But that has some problems because like depending on whether you use the prices as a reference point at the beginning of that time period or the end of that time period you get different results so like in practice there is some kind of it's it's ambiguous like what is the best solution to the index number problem and i think in practice what people tend to do not 100 sure about this is there exists sort of like indexes which are sort of like averages of those other indexes they take like multiple time points and they just sort of like calculate, they just sort of like average index numbers that you get from like fixing on certain time points. And that ends up being a bit of like an approximation to what the Divizia index is, which the Divizia index is basically just like a continuous time, or it's a solution to
Starting point is 00:57:39 the index number problem, which like takes into account continuous time changes into price and quantity. So if you know the functional form or the mathematical form of these changes in price and quantity, then you can solve a system of differential equations in order to be able to derive this index number. But because in real life, we don't have functional forms for the prices and quantities of goods, we just have observations at discrete point in times. Ultimately, what we end up using is basically approximations to the Divizio index, which take the form of these other index numbers. Yep. So correct me if I'm wrong here, Dan, but I mean, I can see how this is just a neat little
Starting point is 00:58:16 problem, an interesting challenge to estimate inflation when the basket of available goods and services is constantly changing. But it does seem like the kind of technical problem that isn't nothing, but it doesn't sound how even a new solution to that problem would revolutionize economics. Is there something we're missing? Yeah. He introduces nothing new except maybe a new perspective on something that already exists, which is totally fine. There are lots of papers like that. But the way that he presents what he's done in economics, first of all, he repeatedly refers to it as the most important breakthrough in economics in the last 25 years, at least. He's mostly on the Discord server, rarely on his podcast, as he says things like that. But basically, he believes, much like geometric unity is going to be a profound historical breakthrough in physics,
Starting point is 00:59:03 geometric marginalism, to the extent that they did it, was an enormous breakthrough in economics, except for the fact that it was ignored by the economics community because they're afraid of new ideas. And more importantly, they don't understand math. They're just not smart enough to understand it. This is a common theme, isn't it? Right.
Starting point is 00:59:21 We've covered physics with geometric unity, biology with the telomeres and now economics with the uh index price problem in each case it's a a situation in which the entire field purportedly cannot appreciate or is scared of these fundamental revolutionary ideas that are very hard to see how there's anything there. Well, and there's another reason why geometric marginalism was overlooked or disked, and it's much more nefarious. So Eric Weinstein has this conspiracy theory about what's called the Boskin Commission. The United States government is in the business of calculating an index number, like the Consumer Price Index. And it's important
Starting point is 01:00:11 because they actually adjust Social Security payouts based on the Consumer Price Index. So depending on how they calculate inflation, they're going to pay out more or less for Social Security. If you just calculate inflation in a relatively naive way, you'll tend to overestimate the amount of inflation because of substitution effects and goods becoming archaic. And I don't know, there's different economic effects that make it hard to estimate. And some of them were from Harvard, professors of economics, where Pia was. And they basically tasked them with estimating how much they were overestimating the Consumer Price Index. And so this commission met a few times. And, you know, there was some criticism of the commission and, you know, how good a job they did on this, just like I imagined there would be for any kind of like economic decision making like this. But they convened, and they ultimately came up with, okay, we believe that
Starting point is 01:01:07 the consumer price index is biased upwards by 1.1%, so we should adjust the yearly inflation that we're estimating downwards by 1.1% of what we had been estimating before. So Eric believes that the government basically did this as a way to reduce social security payouts in a way that would never be like politically feasible. They did it so that they could do it in secret. And basically they just put together this commission of like willing patsies from the Harvard economics department. The Harvard economics department is full of these willing patsies. They're just back at the beck and call of the government. We'll do whatever nefarious thing the government tells them to do. So they put together this commission of these six people who coordinated in order to be able to come up with the number
Starting point is 01:01:50 1.1%, which would result in about a trillion dollars over 10 years. So it's like a very intentional number that they came up with because they were tasked with just reducing social security payouts by a certain amount. Now, one of the people on the Boskin Commission named Dale Jorgensen was a very senior professor at Harvard. And Eric claims that he and Pia were working on her dissertation. It was going amazing. These ideas were deeply profound. It was incredible. They were revolutionizing economics. And then basically one day they go in and Pia's thesis advisor says, no more gauge theory, like no more of this geometric marginalism, which is not what it was called at the time. But like, you know, you stop
Starting point is 01:02:29 writing, stop writing dissertations about gauge theory. And so, you know, their project was thwarted, basically. And the first chapter remains intact. But the second chapter wasn't as gauge theory-like as he wanted it to be. You know, Pia's advisor, Eric Maskin, forced her to write it using just sort of like regular calculus so that it would be more understandable to economists. And then the third chapter of her dissertation is about something else entirely, because essentially they had to scrap their work on geometric marginalism because Eric Maskin, her advisor, told them that they had to stop. And the reason they told them they had to stop is because Dale Jorgensen told Eric Maskin that what they were doing was a threat to the Boskin Commission and what the Boskin Commission was trying to pull. That if this new revolutionary way of calculating the index number problem came to light, then the Boskin Commission wouldn't be able to get away
Starting point is 01:03:15 with their nefarious wrongdoings anymore because there would finally be a correct way to solve the index number problem instead of the nonsense that they were trying to pull. to solve the index number problem instead of the nonsense that they were trying to pull. This is the point where your fact-checking email comes in, right? Right, after that conversation. But to be fair, everything that he said in the server
Starting point is 01:03:36 about that conspiracy theory, he has also said on his podcasts or on his appearances on other people's podcasts. So this isn't like he let us know the name of this person that he wouldn't have let us know otherwise. So I sent a message to Eric Mask and be like, you know, like Eric Weinstein, I don't know if you know who that is,
Starting point is 01:03:53 is going around basically saying that you were told that you had to shut down Pia's research on gauge theory and economics. Is this true? Like, what's your take on this? My main wrongdoing is that I did describe Eric's claims as incendiary and evidence-less. So many of the denizens of the portal server found my actions to be really low because I described what Eric was doing as being evidence-less and
Starting point is 01:04:20 incendiary. That is a mortal sin. i suspect your appearance on this podcast will not go down but the thing that is quite striking about that is that again it's it's similar to geometric unity right in that the whole economic system in the u.s is hanging in the balance of peers like PhD thesis. Quite an achievement for a doctorate student. The other aspect of it too is that the absence of something is explained by nefarious forces. In the case of the thesis, it's the absence of going ahead and presenting something on this. With
Starting point is 01:05:06 geometric unity, it's the absence of an actual mathematically fleshed out, properly reported theory. Yeah, there's usually a big explanation for the lack of something substantial. So it doesn't really make sense what he's claiming about how the Boskin Commission would be so scared of this discovery. Because like I said the Divizia Index, which already existed? And then his answer to that, he gave two different answers. One is that they were just, that Dale Jorgensen just didn't understand gauge theory, and so he saw it and just didn't know what to make of it, and so he just saw that it was about the index number problem, so he just wanted to shut down any possible threat, even though he didn't understand it. And then another answer that he gave is that later, when pressed on it more, it's just like, well, you know, what we're doing is in the direction of making things more concrete so that there's less wiggle room. So, you know, if everyone just used this index number because we gave this perspective on why it's good, then the Boskin Commission wouldn't be able to have wiggle room in order to pull this nefarious scheme, which is also not true. Because even if you use the Divizio Index
Starting point is 01:06:29 in all of its continuity in order to solve this problem, there's still other things that you had to adjust for that the Boskin Commission was working on adjusting. That also doesn't make sense. In general, it doesn't make sense because a paper by a world-renowned economics expert would not necessarily overturn a commission's finding, right? Even from somebody with like really high standing, there can be like multiple perspectives on economics or scientific issues. And it strikes me as semi-delusional. It's just imagining that specific papers, and in this case, like a graduate thesis, has the power to undo so much. If it's anything like $99.9 graduate thesis, nobody would read it except for the supervisor and the student. Well, this is different because, again, he has the secret juice, which is math.
Starting point is 01:07:27 Most economics is absolutely nonsense because they don't use the specific math that he studied in grad school. He was asked, okay, so you were working on this during grad school. I guess this maybe was shut down by the professors of the grad school. They didn't want you working on too much gauge theory stuff. They thought it was too complicated for economics, or maybe this Boskin Commission stuff is true, whatever. But your wife now works at an economics think tank, which I believe that she has some control over. And you are Eric Weinstein. So why don't you guys, if you're constantly talking about how revolutionary that this set of ideas is, some of which you've exposed in the consumer price index problem, but some of which have yet to be revealed. It was shut down before you could write about them by the Harvard staff.
Starting point is 01:08:08 So why don't you just write about it now? Why don't you just put it out now? And you can imagine what his answer to this question is. It's exactly the same answers he gives about why he can't release his geometric unity paper. He's traumatized by academia. He doesn't trust them with it, that kind of thing. They don't deserve it now because of the way that they treated him. That's convenient. Convenient. That's, yeah. These kinds of responses, don't they lend themselves? Like I know from seeing people online that there are people who completely buy into his shtick, but it also feels like some of it must become a little bit transparent if you spend a significant amount of time invested on it. It feels like there's only so many times someone can say, I would show you that, but you're not ready yet before you kind of start doubting if there's anything actually there.
Starting point is 01:08:59 I would say there's a little bit of a split in the community about the reactions to this. there's a little bit of a split in the community about the reactions to this. So I think there are a good number of people in the community who do sort of see, oh, he said he was going to like release a paper about geometric unity, and then he didn't. And then he's making all these excuses why he can't, but why doesn't he just do it? He should really put up or shut up. There are some people in the community who have that position. I would like to think that some of that is due to me going around and screaming at everyone about it. But I think most of them would come to that conclusion on their own anyway. There's also just like, I'm constantly amazed that there's a significant number of people, especially in the
Starting point is 01:09:31 more like devoted, I would say like cultish sect of the people who are on that server, who just literally believe him. They just say like, well, you heard him. He's traumatized by academia. Have you heard the way they treated him? or or though often they just like well he's working on it yeah he's gonna release it he's working on it which is not what he says but that's their sort of rationalization i think related to this dan you mentioned in the dms for me that there was a one point a separate discord set up just for experts, right? Or people with relevant expertise, but it didn't go the way it was supposed to. Yeah. So I guess, so Eric likes to talk about how, you know, he wants people to ask more technical questions. So oftentimes on podcasts that he's on, like if
Starting point is 01:10:20 there's people super chatting in the questions, people ask a bunch of sort of fluffy questions about life or something. And then sometimes he'll very aggressively say, you know, come on, let's I want to get some real questions. Why don't we get some technical questions about geometric unity? And then almost nobody listening has any kind of like technical expertise that would allow them to ask an intelligent question about it. So they're just like, tell us more about the dimensions, Eric. And then he loves that. His favorite thing to do is to give fluffy, layman-esque, but kind of metaphorical answers to questions about what's going on with geometric unity.
Starting point is 01:10:49 So that's his favorite thing to do. But he's always talking about how what he's really looking for is someone who really knows what they're talking about to ask him really technical questions because he wants to go and dig into the details, which I don't know why a podcast would ever be the right, a podcast for general podcast would ever be the right, you know, a podcast for like general audience or whatever, be the right venue for that. How dare you, Dan? How dare you disparage podcasts and their ability to... True. Well, we're going to get on this podcast, we're going to get into the real nitty gritty details of my theory of everything. So he started this server that was like for experts only, which I guess is more of a move than I would expect towards like him actually
Starting point is 01:11:26 trying to get expert feedback. So it makes me think that he really does think that what he wants is like expert feedback, but I don't believe that's what he really wants. Because so he started the server. So one of the people on the server was, you know, the PhD theoretical physics guy. And one of the people on the server was a person who has a PhD in math, who's like, I think right now he's a postdoc. No, sorry. He has a PhD in math. And it's on a subject
Starting point is 01:11:52 that is very intimately related to something that Eric Weinstein claims. Eric Weinstein claims that he discovered the Seiberg-Witten equations when he was a PhD student in math, but that his professors told him to stop working on that because it wasn't interesting. And then of course, later it became a big thing. The thing that I find interesting is there seems to be a contradiction there. He says that he's really interested in technical questions to be dealing with the actual hard stuff. But at the same time, he won't write stuff down, won't publish papers. And when a physicist, as you said, actually does ask him for some technical details, for instance, the
Starting point is 01:12:34 Lagrangian associated with his theory, then he completely dismisses it and rebuts it. So there seems to be a contradiction there. There is a problem that Eric encounters a lot, that he makes grandiose discoveries that are then suppressed by him and his immediate family seem to have a very unfortunate time of meeting these suppression indexes. It's odd. Right. So this guy who has a PhD in math, he came on the server, he was kind of an Eric fan, he was interested. He wasn't an Eric skeptic, really, I don't think when, he came on the server. He was kind of an Eric fan. He was interested. He wasn't an Eric skeptic, really, I don't think, when he first came on. But he came on the server basically to ask Eric questions about this Cyberg-Whiton thing, because he had done his thesis on the
Starting point is 01:13:13 Cyberg-Whiton equations. So Eric is in the chat answering questions. And then this guy, he asked him questions about how he discovered the Cyberg-Whiton equations. Eric gives a sort of poetic answer, lots of metaphors, doesn't really say anything. And then he asks a question that's something like, you know, how did you discover the flipped sign in the Seiberg-Witten equations? It's something that I guess anyone who studied the Seiberg-Witten equations would know that it has this sort of interesting nuance that's kind of counterintuitive. So he asked Eric, you know, like, how did, you know, when you were discovering the Seiberg-Witten equations, how did you discover this interesting aspect of it? And the answer that Eric gave
Starting point is 01:13:47 convinced him that he didn't really have any idea what this mathematician was talking about. Eric just kind of waffled in response and, again, gave kind of a poetic answer that didn't really touch on it at all. So he, at that point, was kind of convinced that, you know, Eric's claim is almost certainly not true as stated. And then after Eric got offline that night, this mathematician was just excoriated by the community for having said things like, well, I think our default position should be that we're skeptical that, like, you know, geometric unity is true. So we should, you know, first not believe it and then see if there's evidence to believe it. And the community did not like that approach. first not believe it and then see if there's evidence to believe it. And the community did not like that approach. They were saying, you know, that's ridiculous. Like, why would you think that Eric would lie about this?
Starting point is 01:14:30 Eric doesn't lie, that kind of thing. So basically, Eric, so he created the server with like the more expert people on it. And I think he went on it at most twice. Basically, the perception of both the mathematician and the physicist is that whenever, like,ic will not be in a room with them anymore like whenever they're on the server eric leaves and whenever and they eric will not come on the server when they're there and they've tried to have conversations with eric since then and they're just not able to so they are both under the under the they both believe eric is essentially avoiding them on his own discord yeah there's something kind of funny about that.
Starting point is 01:15:05 This is all terribly suggestive, isn't it? Very suggestive. Yeah. So given your involvement with the Discord and Eric's community and your kind of contrarian role there, self-admitted, which I respect for various reasons. How do you view Eric in terms of, is he someone to be concerned about or is he a harmless person peddling a little bit of silly conspiracy theories? Do you think there's actually any harm that he does or it's all, you know, any harm that he does or it's all you know esoteric uh mathematical exaggerations and whatnot so i think with jordan peterson i felt more like there was like a real problem that that i felt
Starting point is 01:15:56 what jordan peterson was doing was like dressing up bigotry against trans people in particular in a sort of like grand narrative about how, you know, his way of seeing the world. And he had these like really, really passionate followers because he was able to really talk in a way that sounded so profound. It was like such a deeply interesting, new, profound way of viewing the world. And I don't think that that, I mean, to me, that's just like irritating because I feel like they're so full of crap. But with Jordan Peterson, I felt like it was kind of, it was bad because he had also had, I think, a pretty harmful political message going along with it. With Eric, his political messages are this diffuse conspiratorial anti-establishmentism, which I just think is not
Starting point is 01:16:37 particularly harmful because it's so unfocused. His political positions are just about why he has deeper insight into how the system works than everybody else. Like his political take on everything is just about how everything is really about like, the way that you know, these two sides are fighting, but actually, I have the deeper insight, which is that, you know, all this is part of a larger problem, which is, you know, like Eric's anti-disc stuff. But in terms of like his actual, like, the witching of his followers, I, like, I don don't know i don't think that this i haven't seen any followers who are so so possessed that i feel like it's particularly
Starting point is 01:17:09 harming their lives and if anything it just sort of encourages people to like take up a very short term hobby and trying to learn theoretical physics and then give it up after a week yeah that doesn't sound too bad does it no and it echoes matt the kind of point you made from your perspective the main thing that eric wants communicate with, even with his kind of political conspiracies and whatnot, is how insightful he is, rather than any specific position which he might hold mattering. similar, Dan, which was that his main agenda is about him, that the politics of the social impacts is kind of all over the place. And as you said quite well, I think if there's harm involved, it's really just promoting a general conspiratorial worldview, which endorsing one conspiracy theory kind of leads to another one and another one. It's a bit of a domino effect. to another one and another one it's a bit of a domino effect so yeah it's like the real point of brett weinstein conspiracy with with carol greider is not that medical testing is deeply
Starting point is 01:18:11 compromised it's that brett is a genius that's really the point of that story it's not like oh you guys need to go out now and fix like the pharmaceutical industry like it's just like oh you guys should know that brett is a super genius the like when it comes to like his political like his tweets that are sort of political that are like this is wrong with the establishment that his politics are so like unfocused and like non-specific that it's never really about the political issue that he's talking about because he doesn't have any like proposed solutions or like actual like policy desires it's really just about him and being smart and like how the problems with the world
Starting point is 01:18:46 are all related to bad things that happened to him in his life and how he was like rejected from academia. Yeah. And I would say like, I, I share both of your views about the relative impact on that on for most people, Eric is just a podcaster they listen to, right? And maybe some people have a slightly too much of an interest in his ideas, but are too much of an investment, but it's not that big of a deal. The only part that maybe I'm a little bit more concerned about is that Eric has a big audience, right? I'm not talking about the people on the Discord. I just mean in general,
Starting point is 01:19:25 he's got like a popular podcast and, you know, half a million followers or whatever. And he does have a habit of promoting or potentially laundering some people that I would consider more harmful, like Mike Cernovich or what's his name kardashian james yeah james the like when he had james o'keefe on his podcast and the entire podcast was about how he's going to have a really contentious conversation with james o'keefe and really and the whole his whole issue
Starting point is 01:20:02 with james o'keefe is that he thinks james'Keefe is too mean because his videos cause people to get fired. It's not about that James O'Keefe is an extreme liar, that his videos are extremely manipulatively edited to make it seem as if people are saying exactly the opposite of what they were actually saying in the raw footage. examples of those that you can watch that exist. He doesn't bring that up in the podcast. Instead, he's just like, now I think you're doing the Lord's work. You're bringing truth to the people, but I have to take issue with the fact that you're so mean. I don't understand the point of doing that unless you're trying to launder James O'Keefe's ideas. Why? Yeah. I mean, Peter Thiel certainly sees something in Eric. That's why he's hired him. And Teal is somebody I think with a much more nefarious, openly nefarious agenda. But that interview with O'Keefe to me was a really good example that if you just editorialize yourself as doing a hard-hinting interview, like if we were doing this interview and we kept saying, look, Dan, you know, I know we're pushing you hard here, but I think it's important that people get these kinds of critical engagements with people with
Starting point is 01:21:10 different opinions. Like that's, that's the kind of thing he says while he's agreeing almost entirely. I've never heard something presented as a hard hitting interview where they call the other person heroic so many times. I mean, the most hard-hitting interviews he's had is with Agnes Callard, who dared to suggest that she didn't think what happened to his brother was such a big deal. That really pissed him off. That was like the worst. So my last question for you, Dan, is stepping back a bit and looking at your experience with the Jordan Peterson community and also Eric Weinstein's community, just wondering if you could comment on what your sense is of those social dynamics. There were some hints of emotional manipulation or emotional control, and I don't want to put words in your mouth, but so I just want to ask you, how would you describe the common features of those social dynamics between the group and the leader? With Jordan Peterson, I felt like there was much more.
Starting point is 01:22:11 People really felt like he was changing their lives, that he had given them new purpose, and that they felt that they're sort of, I don't know, I don't think it was particularly parasocial, but that their relationship with him and absorbing his content was really making a difference for them. And that was a fundamental part of their lives. And it seemed like they were forming their identity around it a little bit. Which, to me, I don't think is indicative of dangerously cult-like behavior. I just think it's like, it just makes them into annoying people who go around. And when you talk to them, you can tell that they're Jordan Peterson fans because they have their sort of like Jordan Petersonisms and stuff. With Eric, I don't think many people fashion their lives in a way that they feel like is deeply, you know, because like Eric Weinstein
Starting point is 01:22:53 has shown them a new way of living. He's like shown them like what's really important about life. But what they do have in common, I think, is they both, I think, are super attractive to people almost exclusively because of of the way that they talk. They both have a way of talking that's just enrapturing and is fascinating. And I think it's just so interesting to me. I wish that I could emulate it, not because I want to build a cult following or anything, but just because they both have different techniques for doing it. And I do think Eric is exceptionally good at speaking in a sort of metaphorical way, using analogies, and roping in a ton of concepts into the things that he says. It makes me think that he sits around it. Every time he encounters a new concept in life,
Starting point is 01:23:37 and he's kind of a curious person, he thinks about that concept, and he puts it in the bank as something he can use as a metaphor later. And he's not even that repetitive with the metaphors that he uses. He'll always surprise us with new things. This is someone learning to play the guitar, and this is someone drafting on a bicycle. concept of, and he draws from all of these different areas of science and stuff that, you know, he has, you know, a cursory understanding of, but the main use that it has to him is of a metaphor. And when you just talk like an endless metaphor, I think it just has this effect of making things, everything that you say sound really profound. Like you're just sort of, everything you say isn't just like a factoid or an opinion. It's just kind of like a concept, you know, it's a concept that really brings different concepts in life together. And yeah, I think that's a really interesting reflection because in psychology, we distinguish
Starting point is 01:24:28 between intuitive styles of thinking, which is metaphorical, and work through making those connections between diverse ideas. And intuitive thinking is very satisfying because it doesn't take a lot of effort to grasp a concept that's been intuitively communicated in those ways you're describing, whereas analytical thinking is a lot more work and a lot less satisfying. So, you know, obviously, that style of speaking, and both JVP and Eric Weinstein are excellent speakers. Yeah, so yeah, I really think that's an interesting reflection about those commonalities. So yeah, I really think that's an interesting reflection about those commonalities.
Starting point is 01:25:05 Yeah. And Dan, I could continue talking to you all day about this because I think you genuinely also have actual, aside from your experience in the community, you've got good insight on the kind of guru figures that we cover because a lot of the points you're saying are very similar to things that we observe, like a lot of the points you're saying are are very similar to things that we observe like we can help you guide one last point to make um since time is pressing is that i know just to further establish your mental stability that you made a song for eric which people can see on youtube to apologize for getting him in trouble with his wife, basically. Yeah, I was having a conversation with Eric on the server that time that I was
Starting point is 01:25:52 asking him about geometric marginalism. And he kept, you know, he could tell that I was asking him kind of, you know, probing questions. And I was trying to get at something maybe he had done wrong or they over claimed too much about. So every time i would ask a question he would pause and he would respond by saying thank you for honoring me with that question and then he would continue to go on to try to answer it uh so i made a song called thank you for honoring me where afterwards you know he was refusing to come on the server and he you know he you know all the other members of the server many of whom i'm friends with were asking me to apologize to him so I made an apology video so I can link it to you guys.
Starting point is 01:26:27 I will say it's very good. Like I enjoyed the song. I don't know if you listened to it, Matt, but we'll put it in the link. But you're actually, you know, good. Yeah, I did listen to it. I enjoyed it a lot. So yeah, we'll definitely link to that.
Starting point is 01:26:44 Enjoy the song, everybody. Dan, thank you very much for coming on and having this long conversation. I'm sorry, I need to cut short because of work commitments and those kind of annoying things. But yeah, thanks for coming on a lot yeah yeah anytime i'm hoping to find more thought leaders to obsessively look into and watch all their content get mad about there's so many to choose from these days so yeah you might want to rethink some of your life choices though dad because i i think i'm spending too much of my life uh doing the same but uh yeah no thanks again i i completely don't agree with uh matt keep doing what you're doing um fight the good side you don't end up like Chris does no Bye.

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