Digital Social Hour - 2024 Crypto Bull Run Predictions with Todd Green DSH #370
Episode Date: March 24, 2024Todd Green comes on the show to discuss this upcoming bull run in the crypto space. APPLY TO BE ON THE PODCAST: https://forms.gle/qXvENTeurx7Xn8Ci9 BUSINESS INQUIRIES/SPONSORS: Jenna@DigitalSocial...Hour.com SPONSORS: Opus Pro: https://www.opus.pro/?via=DSH Deposyt Payment Processing: https://www.deposyt.com/seankelly Hostinger: https://www.hostinger.com/DSH LISTEN ON: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast... Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5Jn7LXa... Sean Kelly Instagram: @seanmikekelly Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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If you really want to make some good money and cut the emotion out and try to stick to charts,
there's this theory that I've been using and there's a lot to the theory. It's called the
5.3 theory. Math is absolute. The theory behind it is that every four years you can divide it
by 5.3 and get the future four year prediction and it has never been wrong.
Wherever you guys are watching this show, I would truly appreciate it if you follow or subscribe
it helps a lot with the algorithm it helps us get bigger and better guests and it helps us grow the
team truly means a lot thank you guys for supporting and here's the episode guys we got a
great friend of mine today super knowledgeable in the crypto space i honestly don't know anyone
more knowledgeable and has been able to predict almost everything in crypto my friend todd green
thanks for coming on man hey how Hey, how you doing, man?
Good timing, too.
It's a pleasure to be here, dude. Yeah, Bitcoin's about to hit all-time high right now.
Yeah, we've been talking about doing this for years now.
And I think that's kind of why I ended up here
is because you were seeing those predictions
and I just wanted to come on here
and kind of explain how I got them.
Absolutely, yeah.
You were one of the first people I hit up,
but you're so low-key in that crypto space.
Yeah, yeah.
Even now, I'm not here to get followers.
I'm not here to sell anything. I'm not a financial guru. I'm just here to kind of
open light to technical analysis and how it could work and a specific theory that I've been using
to get those prices that's been predicting Bitcoin's price since the inception of Bitcoin.
Yeah. And the way you do technical analysis is so unique because so many people try to do it,
but they fail, right? Yeah. A lot of the things do technical analysis is so unique because so many people try to do it, but they fail, right? Yeah.
A lot of the things with technical analysis, it's trial and error. Like when I first started, I'm not by any means like when I first started, I've been through my depressions.
I remember making when I was like 18, I first started, I opened up a Roth IRA and I didn't know anything what I was doing.
I was just kind of every year I would just add to it.
And then five years went by and I opened
it up and it was 30 grand and it was five grand gains. And I was like, I only made five grand in
five years. And then that's when I was like, I need to take control of it. So after 25 K, they
let you, you know, trade willingly. You can do whatever you want. And, uh, I just started doing
that. And you, you kind of, you kind of dive into, uh, finance with, finance with uh um optimism at first and you get wrecked pretty
quickly um you know just by emotion emotion controls a lot when it comes to trading and uh
you know i bet at first i was making a ton of money i and i wasn't losing for like a year two
years and i was like holy like or you know i was just i was i was uh pretty excited and um and
after a while it started going down and then i was like 22 23 and you start to you
get to a point where you're like am i gonna let this beat me or am i gonna learn and figure out
what's happening and then that's when i got introduced to technical analysis got it and
because i was really big on fundamentals i was buying because of news articles i would hear about
tesla coming out with a new car or are supposed to have good earnings then you'd buy into that
yeah and then you'd get wrecked and you're like wait like what happens and you it out, or you give up. And a lot of people give up. But but I
just I couldn't, I don't like to be defeated. And that kind of stuff. So I just I kept doing it kept
doing for years. I mean, now I'm going strong for 15 years. And I feel like I've really figured out
a really nice system that cuts all emotion out or as much as you can. And it's all through TM.
That's awesome. Yeah. Because they say like, buy the news, right? Yeah, it's all through ta that's awesome yeah because they say like buy the news right yeah because it's all emotional trading yeah yeah a couple examples of that too um you know ftx
crash when ftx crashed you've seen my my instagram post i posted i was like look guys it's 15.5 right
now the charts are i mean the the news is telling you to sell and everyone's freaking out they're
calling 10k 10k but i was like no 15.5 is the bottom the bottom, and we're here now, and it's 65.
And then I even got the buy at 3K.
I called the top at 65K.
We got the rebuy at 15.5, and now we are entering a really interesting state.
Today, Bitcoin's at, I think, 68,000.
Kind of good timing for us to have the podcast and talk about what's coming up.
And a lot of that, too, is specifically if you really want to make some good money and cut
the emotion out and try to stick to charts there's this theory that i've been using and and there's a
lot to the theory it's called the 5.3 theory and i don't think anyone's ever talked about it publicly
on any podcast anywhere ever um there's a couple of youtube channels that i follow that i've made
brought it up um uh this guy Steve from Crypto Crew University.
He's done a lot of research into it.
The 5.3 theory, what it does is if you take the first every four year cycles, because you have four year cycles in Bitcoin.
If you take the first four year cycles and you measure it from like a penny to the top and you can see the tops to bottom on all the cycles, all four cycles, because it's already happened.
So you can back engineer the algorithms and you can see the tops to bottom uh on all the cycles all four cycles because it's already happened so you can back engineer the the you know the the algorithms and the patterns
so you if you measure the first the first four years back in 2008 9 when it started 12 you get
around 320 000 percent roi roughly depending on what exchange you use because there's different
prices and you know liquidity but you know roughly around 320 000 if you divide that by 5.3
you you get 62 000 62 000 was the next run up, up to 20K
from that part, from the bottom to the top. And then when we came back down and ran to 60K,
if you divide again 60,000 by 5.3, you get 11,500. 11,500 was the next four years ROI.
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a discount on your order back to the show or why top or bottom to top you can literally just pull
out calculating measure yourself math is absolute when it comes to when it comes to ta it's all math
algorithms you know pattern recognizing, indicators.
You use your indicators to find the strength in the patterns that you're watching, things like that.
And then, again, $11,500, if you divide it by 5.3 again, you get $2,100.
$2,100 was the first run-up when we went from $3K to $69,000.
That's 2,100%.
So the theory behind it is that every four years, you can divide it by 5.3 and
get the future four year prediction. And it has never been wrong. And me coming here and talking
about it today, I'm not actually saying that it like it's going to hold true from now on in the
future. But from how I've made most of my predictions was using the 5.3 theory. So the
issue with the 5.3 theory coming up to where we're at now in the
market is, is so now we're at 2100% in the last, you know, run up 3k 21 or 3k to 61,000 or 69,000.
If you divide that by 5.3, you get around 400 420%. That says, you know, according to the
5.3 theory that that from from from bottom to top and 15 five is the bottom for this cycle,
that the top is only going to be 78K, 80K.
That should be the top.
A lot of people are talking about 100K, 150K.
They're talking about, I mean, you remember four years ago,
they were talking about million-dollar Bitcoins.
If you go to 99BitcoinObituary.com,
you can literally look at most of the articles by chart, by price.
Oh, Insider Info, Forbesbes at three dollars bitcoin's doomed this
ever since the inception you can literally look how many times china has banned bitcoin which is
like 10 times they do it every other year and and uh and and the amount of times it's died
like it'll show you every article since it was a penny and they just you know they just
it's just non-stop news that just kind of strays people from what's really happening
wow so knowing that information i mean it's pretty much a money printer. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Just to be clear,
like about the five minute theory, because it's one of the main reasons I'm trying to share
something today is when you if you just get a calculator out, and look at every four year cycle,
draw up and down, get the 325,000 to start divided by 5.3, and it equals $61,000, $62,000. Measured from bottom to top of that next
cycle, it's $61,000. You divide that cycle again by 5.3, you get that 11,000 percent. And then
that's the exact number from bottom to $20,000 that we got. And then again, like from $15,000
to $69,000, that was from what happened a couple of years ago. It's literally all the way through.
So the prediction for the next top of Bitcoin is around 78 to 80K. And when that happens,
you're predicting it to drop to 15K? Not 15. I see support around 30, 35K. I don't think it's
really going to get deep down there. We could have a wick down to 25, but, you know, it'll be
very short lived if it is. Wow. That's probably an unpopular opinion because most people are saying Bitcoin to a hunter
This year. Yeah
I usually this whole time in trading for 15 years most of the time when I talk about my opinions there
I've never had people on my side
It's it's all waiting in the smartest people like you know
The people that were in my DMS telling me that I was wrong about 15k and I was going to 10 were multi millionaires
Very smart people and like I don't blame them but for them to understand charts and patterns and recognize
patterns like that through through indicators and and Fibonacci and understanding that whole sector
it's like it's a whole other game like there's fundamental people and there's technical analysis
people and you're one of the other I enjoy fundamentals I'm not I'm not I don't like I
don't care about fundamentals too much but I I enjoy good fundamentals with good T.A. But I mean, like that helps. But how many times
have we had good earnings and then it tanks on an options just to manipulate the option players
and then mess up the short term option players and then they go right back up? I mean, like that
happens all the time. I mean, do you think crypto is manipulated in that sense? Because with stocks,
I think six companies own 80 percent of them, right? Yeah. With crypto, you want to believe that not everyone is involved on a bigger scale of
manipulation.
But something that really turned my thoughts on certain people, like Elon Musk, I really
wanted him to be different.
But what really messed with me was the day, I remember the exact day, I called my friend
Mike.
And I was like, hey, Mike.
I was like, Elon, we were in Doge.
And I was like, hey, we're up a a lot i know it's at 65 70 cent we were like uh he's going on
the daily show to talk about doge i remember that for the first time ever they were like oh he's
going on the daily show this moment i was like we're selling as soon as he sits in that chair
and we said we sold right at 65 cent and the next week came down straight down to 10 cent
that's a perfect example and ftxX, again, was 15.5.
And they were screaming 10K.
And they were screaming 10-year recession.
I mean, what happened?
The Dow was at 40K.
What happened to that 10-year recession?
You scared everyone out of positions.
And now those people that were scared because they didn't have charts to help them guide themselves through the noise of the news, now they're wrecked.
And now they're watching the bull market, and they're in disbelief.
So now they're wrecked and now they're watching the bull market and they're in disbelief. So now they're wrecked both sides. That's the danger of listening to news
when you're making investments. You just, you can't. Yeah. The cool thing with what you do is
it doesn't matter the market conditions. You can make money during a recession too, right? Yeah.
Yeah. Yeah. Up and down. You can. The way down is a little bit more risky and a lot of it,
you have to practice risk management because it is easy to get overexcited, you know,
hitting things all the time. I've been that person as well. I've lost, I've made a lot of it, you have to practice risk management because it is easy to get overexcited, you know, hitting things all the time.
I've been that person as well.
I've lost.
I've made a lot of money and I've also lost a lot of money, too.
I'm not perfect at all.
But over the years, I have figured out a way to increase my probabilities on trades.
Yeah.
And that is 100% through TA.
I'm at the point.
There was even a point where I was I was guessing when it was around, you used to be able to
go on TradingView and you could pull up the death chart so you can measure death rate and i was charting it and i and
i was predicting new spikes of of uh of new spikes i was pretty i did i did it twice to the t like to
the exact week i was like hey you know i was like you know i have a discord and i was just telling
everyone i was like hey that yeah it's looking like we're gonna get another spike this weekend
and literally to get it just through like patterns.
You could chart it.
Yeah, you can't get the data anymore.
But back then you used to be able to chart it and you could you can see the momentum and the MACD and the RSI is moving and flowing.
And then, you know, when it turns bullish, you can see that the news articles come out.
Typically, when you know with TA, a lot of the times you'll have like a descending wedge, which is just a triangle descending.
It's a pretty bullish pattern comes down and breaks up. But typically at the tip of wedges or the tip of bull flags that are
they look like flags. I mean, the end of wedges and flags and those kind of things are right when
things are squeezing. That's when news comes out. And you have to think like when things happen,
how do all these news articles have all this stuff ready and going every single person like,
you know, so the manipulation is very high. You have Elon Musk in it. You have almost everyone
is part of it, whether you want to
believe it or not. Do you think Elon's fighting against it a little bit, though? He is. And
honestly, on two sides of the story, it might not even have been him being the manipulative,
because he was just invited to a show. Maybe it could have been the person that invited him to
the show that planned it for that exact day to pump up the exit liquidity needed on Dogecoin.
Was Elon going on to the talk show? That was the exit liquidity they needed to provide to those people getting out that knew better are there any news
outlets that you trust um i am honestly at the point where i don't watch any news uh i have a
few youtubers that i watch very consistently that speak the same way i do they stick to charts they
stick to facts the patterns graphs technical analysis that's that's really the i have a couple youtubers that i watch but i'm the same way dude i grew up every
day watching the news and now i don't watch yeah and it's sad and you know whether or not it's
politics or not or this and and the market's ever changing it's it's you have to adapt to change
constantly like even the things i'm talking about right now with the 5.3 theory the the the so what
i also believe the 5.3 theory was because everyone
knows the first Bitcoin transaction that was ever pushed out had a bailout message attached to it,
the bank bailout that happened back then, he attached that to it. So we kind of understand
his incentive or whoever's incentive to create this currency Bitcoin. And the first message was
the bailout of Bitcoin, right? So we have to think that
there's a hyperinflation scenario coming. The hyperinflation scenario, everyone's been talking
about for 10, 20, 30, 40 years. It's always been in talks. But I truly think what Bitcoin's purpose
was, was a timer. With the 5.3 theory, you diminish into nothing. If the 5.3 stays true,
it's been true since the inception of Bitcoin. but if it stays true then then it'll go sideways
for five ten years and i failed i failed to understand that an asset that's so big right now
with a set supply with like a million and a half circulating that it's going that it's just going
to go sideways when everyone's eating out of it like i just you know like so what i believe the
bitcoins uh true intentions are to to time the hyperinflation scenario. So when so it's like a
it's like a 15 year timer. It's like it's like, OK, going we're timing, we're timing, we're
squeezing, we're squeezing and then boom, hyperinflation. So I think I think that's truly
what Bitcoin's purpose was is to time the hyperinflation scenario, because we already
have all these crazy things against the dollar. If you go to the dollar on the T.A. side of it
and you go to the monthly chart, just any TA guy out there, like, just take
a look at it. Do you see any higher highs ever in a cycle? Do you see lower lows? Of course you do.
So and then we're constantly printing money at a crazy, crazy rate that's just going up
constantly. That's why, you know, Bitcoin's going up, there's set supplies to it. There's,
there's just, there's not enough. So, so the hyperinflation scenario could literally happen
this decade.
Because you got to think like in every four-year cycle, we're on the last year of this four-year cycle.
Around 2025, first quarter, we should have another bear market rolling into that next year, into 2026 of September, roughly.
That should be the next bottom of the market.
And so you got to think like when the ROIs start to just squeeze, is that a timer for the hyperinflation scenario right who do you think invented bitcoin um i've seen a
lot of theories and stuff out there the the main thing that uh helps me with uh you know not can
because there's a lot of there's a lot of theories that it's cia or um you know like just like bad
stuff you know what i mean but there's also a good theory that i've heard is the guy that he worked at tsa i believe and they have they have certain algorithms and
code and security that they say don't have back doors but they all do all the registered
codes and securities and things they have that like that in the tsa they are all um they they
pass their qualifications and the guy that and the guy that used this certain this certain formula for Bitcoin's price action, then the security of it.
He used the only the only the only algorithm that doesn't have a backdoor.
Like TSA, they have backdoors to all their things.
And when you think they don't, they can see all your banks.
Yeah, just like the government, you know, people up there there they have all access to all your stuff they really do wow but but when it comes to bitcoin
it's one of the only things that they use a specific algorithm that they didn't have a back
door to so so it's it's kind of a it's an interesting thing just to add to the mix because
if he really was trying to pull a rug pull in the future they wouldn't have used the code they used
is pretty much you know right yeah i've had, so my friends are founder of coin market cup and he told me it was three
guys.
One of them's dead.
Um, but he said there's two guys that are still alive.
Gotcha.
He's pretty confident about it.
Pretty confident.
Pretty credible source too.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I'm not, I'm not sure, you know, completely, but, um, you know, it's, it's an ever changing
market.
You just have to adapt to the change.
And, and honestly, a lot of the things that I'm even talking about, a lot of the TA and things like that, a lot of people are getting into TA.
And a lot of people are learning it.
And once people do start learning everything that they know, then they start changing it up.
So, like, they're always a couple steps ahead.
You have to think like that.
Yeah.
Does TA work on altcoins?
Because you're not going to make a 10x on Bitcoin right now.
So, the 5.3 theory only works on Bitcoin.
I've tried it out on a couple other ones.
Ethereum has a very interesting pattern,
but I haven't found anything.
It's just Bitcoin that this applies perfectly
to the exact percent since the inception of it.
And you have to think if this algorithm
or this 5.3 theory has been true since the inception,
then why were they blaming?
So like out of all the things they've blamed in the last 14 years of why Bitcoin went up or why it went down, why is it following its
exact price no matter what? You know, like once you have it, once you have this math.
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Thalgren with the 5.3 theory. How can you not think that? You know what I mean? If price action
was set in stone the whole time, then how can you blame FTX? Or how can you blame the Luna crash
that just took it to where it was supposed to go? It it didn't take it under the 5.3 theory stayed true.
I'm like the whole time.
It's never changed.
It's pretty crazy to the exact T.
Everyone said Michael Saylor was crazy when he was buying Bitcoin during the bear.
Yeah, I've been buying.
I mean, I've been buying since 2018 almost every week.
Like every every I buy as if it's like my last my last chance at financial freedom.
That's crazy.
Yeah, it's just when opportunities come like this,
and I'm pretty good at, you know,
when opportunities come around,
I try to attack them and get them handled.
And this is just one of the financial opportunities
that I feel like is just going to change everything.
Yeah.
You study the flow of money,
especially with these bigger companies.
And you mentioned Grayscale Assets.
Yeah, Grayscale.
So if you want some solid picks and you're new
to crypto and you want a set, like a beautiful selection of assets, if you go to grayscales
assets, grayscale trust investment, they own a bunch of different crypto tickers and all that
stuff. Like my main, my first one was ETC, Ethereum Classic. I got it like 350 and I sold it like 100,
120. And that was one of my main incentives for getting that was when i learned about grayscale and and i i learned when you when you got to think if you have a big hedge
fund that's already singling out certain coins on a list they have a list that they have there's
like 20 of them and then they have a a list of potential acceptings if you and those are like
the higher risk you know but but they're already looking at it's on grayscale right so if you if
you go on grayscale and look at the assets in consideration and you look at those and see all those,
I'm telling you like at this point,
everything's kind of moving up right now.
But if you would have followed that,
which was what I've been doing
and you just bought every single one of those
and accumulated those,
every single ticker in that thing is up.
All of them, not a single one is down right now.
They're all up one, two to a thousand X to 2000.
Even the comparables,
like so ETC has ETCG, uh, Bitcoin has LTCN and ETH Ethereum has ETH E. So when you look at those
and like Grayscale, like Grayscale was at $8 at a point, it was at a super discount. Typically
Grayscale sells at a premium of Bitcoin's price. Like if Bitcoin's at 50 K GBTC is 55. But for some weird reason, when it
was down to 15K, it was only $8. I'm like, it should be 15. Why isn't it $8? The discount was
heavy. So I loaded up at $9. It's at 60 right now. But you have to think. So now it caught up. It was
50% less, $16, and I was only $8 at $16,000. But now we're at $60,000 and it's at $60. So it caught
back up. So on a lot of that, like Litecoin, Litecoin didn't we're at 60,000 and it's at $60. So it caught back up. So like, so, so on a lot of
them, like Bitcoin, Bitcoin didn't really move at all this year. Maybe one X, if you go to LTCN,
it's up a thousand percent. BAT, basic attention token, one of my favorites. It literally like
jumped up like another thousand. I have some of that. Yeah. Bitcoin's are BATs only up like 50%.
So, so like the grayscale assets seem to have just jumped up like way more than the
owns but but the idea is like those grayscale assets if you like those that's a beautiful
portfolio if you pick those and then say well like i said right now it's a little hard because
you're buying in while it's going up and you know right now i am looking for you know a retracement
down to 30 35k within the next couple months or it could even be in next year because i did have these i had 78 to 80k targets
when it was 15k and i even talked about it and um and if we if we hit that now the difference
between this cycle and the other cycles that's just kind of kind of concerning is we've never
hit higher highs before a having before it's always at the having and then it goes up and
after but we've we've almost priced in our move for the having it's almost like they priced it
in automatically so they're you know like just you know be cautious of that rolling into the
having we could actually get that retracement and it's a healthy retracement you don't want
things to keep going up and down the way bitcoin moves on four-year cycles you have two-year bear
and two-year bull and on those two-year on the bear from the accumulation year and then the
bull year you have three phases you have the first phase which was 15 to 35, or 15 to 30.
And then when we broke up 35, we had to retest that 30.
That's why we went to 40, then 30.
That's phase one, phase two.
And now we can potentially be in phase three.
But with TA, I am waiting on one final confirmation,
which is the monthly close of this exact month.
Because right now, we're still not out of the woodworks.
I know we're at a triple top right now.
No higher highs up.
RSIs are extended.
MACDs are extended.
The TDI, Trader Dynamic Index, all super like overbought.
They're ready to sell.
So just the idea that it comes down.
And I'm a bear and a bull.
I'm not like, you know, I'm bullish at 15.
I'm bearish at 69.
Like, so I stay bull and bear.
But if that happens, you know, just expect a little bit of a dip over the next couple of months.
And like I said, I'm not a bull or a bear.
I'm a bull and a bear.
But you just want to be cautious because you don't want to buy when things are going up.
And if we do get this retracement I'm speaking about, just know that that's when I'm going to be loading up again so we can enter phase three much more healthy.
We have to come down to retest that phase two.
Or we could really be – the thing about the hyperinflation scenario too
is there's two sides to it.
Like I was projecting 2026, 2027 hyperinflation scenario,
but there could also be the chance that it happens now.
I'm gonna be out by a couple of years.
You know, it's either this cycle or next cycle.
So like just depending on really this month is the key.
If we close above 61,000 this month by April 1st,
then it's bullish. If it's under 61, then expect April by April 1st, then it's bullish.
If it's under 61, then expect April and May to be a bloodbath.
I love it.
Wow.
So Grayscale is like the Nancy Pelosi of the crypto world.
Yeah, Grayscale is the Nancy Pelosi for sure.
And especially those assets under consideration.
I'm telling you, if you want those 20 to 50 Xs, you get in before they're accepted.
And they're already on the assets of consideration.
And if you look at any of them, I literally have them all charted. Every one of them is up right
now. So if you would have stuck to that strategy that I've been sticking to, you know, the 5.3
theory, the grayscale assets, it was it was just an easy win. Any altcoins you think are here for
the long run? With altcoins, I try to so I'm just using altcoins to make Bitcoin right now
at the end game. I don't want any altcoins. I just want to stick to the big guys.
But right now, I am playing the alt season like everyone should be or at least be aware of it.
It's a lot of easy games.
You just make more Bitcoin.
That's the whole point.
Yeah.
With altcoins, I think that there's going to be a couple that do hit.
I like to invest in a little bit of every sector.
Like for gaming sectors, I have Gala and a couple other ones.
Gala's up like 300% right now.
I got in at like 1.5, 1.2.
It was pretty much the dead bottom.
I have EOS for like the structural idea of just something you can build things on.
I have Dogecoin, SHIB for the meme sector.
BAT is a really good coin.
I'm pretty sure they produced revenues already
it's a you know an ad company that you use brave browser you search your internet and they pay you
in crypto it's a beautiful company it's it's nice and the pattern looks great um so i try to stick
to a little bit of every sector you have defy you can invest in which is is great you know just you
want to you want to learn all the sectors and then try to you know hand pick them so learning all the
sectors is to start and then go to grayscale and see if those sectors are in their portfolio and then handpick them.
Those are the ones I believe that are really going to hold.
We've talked about the good side of crypto. Let's talk about the dark side. There's some scammers.
Yeah, the scammers are very strong. If you if you notice a pattern, speaking of patterns,
pattern recognition, when meme coins go up, you got all the people crumbling out of the woodworks,
you know what I mean? Like everyone, like all the gurus and stuff. And they'll all talk about
their little lucky picks and this and that. They'll never post their screenshots of the ROIs.
And one thing you really have to watch for when it comes to people promoting things on Instagram
and social media, if they don't speak like me, I'm not lying. If they don't speak like me talking
about charts, data, graphs, pattern recognition, pattern recognition cycles phases then you're talking to the wrong person if you
talk to them and they're like oh buy tesla they're coming out with a tesla truck you're talking to
the wrong people they're just a hundred percent those are the wrong people to talk to what's your
opinion on bitboy bitboy um i don't really have too much opinion on bitboy it's around i haven't
dove too deep into it.
He's had a roller coaster of a time.
Yeah, I've seen a little bit of his stuff.
Everyone's on their own path.
It's hard to trust some of these crypto promoters because they're getting paid a lot of them.
Yeah, and like I said, when I first came here,
I'm not doing this for reviews.
I'm not sharing my Instagram.
I'm not trying to get promoted on any way, shape, or form.
I'm just trying to share this pattern recognition formula that I've been using for crypto specifically. Crypto has a
beautiful way of respecting Fibonacci levels, respecting patterns and algorithms. It's just
beautiful. The one thing that's beautiful about crypto is one thing that I really got that got
screwed on in the regular market is reverse splits, issued shares, you know, splits the other
way, you know, just weird stuff
like that. CEOs tweets this, that when it comes to crypto, at least for the higher value assets,
most of them are a decent amount of them have anti inflationary and inflationary tools to where
they burn coins or do certain things where they have set supplies like Bitcoin, or they reduce
supply even, you don't get that in the regular market. Do you know how many times I've been
screwed on a reverse split and issued shares and like've so many times that i'm just i'm literally
100 done with the market the only things i buy in the regular market nowadays are grayscale assets
just because it's correlated with with crypto yeah it's kind of ironic how you've found a way
to have more control in the crypto space than stocks even though it's way more risky yeah it's
um it's just the the patterns they're just much more cleaner. If you know how to do Fibonacci,
and Fibonacci is all around us.
In layman's terms,
Fibonacci is the measurement of patterned human behavior.
So if you can measure patterns of human behavior
and take a step back,
and we know how big emotions are.
I mean, people at the top,
we understand how emotions work
and how it controls other people
and how that's possible.
So to be able to take a step back and use Fibon fibonacci if you use any indicators i like the rsi i like
the tdi the trader dynamic index is a beautiful indicator uh the macd i use squeeze momentum ttm
squeezes are beautiful to show supports and resistances and um and the fibonacci if i could
just pick one thing then take all the indicators away it would be fibonacci, if I could just pick one thing, then take all the indicators away, it would be Fibonacci.
Wow.
I would just use Fibonacci, and I could do almost just as good as I do now.
The indicators just help you see the power behind the patterns.
There's only about 15, 20 different patterns. You know what I mean?
Descending wedges, descending wedges, bear flags, bull flag.
You know, it's just all – there's 15 of them, 20 of them.
Once you learn them, then what?
Now you have to go to the indicators.
Once you learn the pattern side, then you go to the indicators, which will provide power to your patterns you can see the power the state the
state of your pattern you know is your descending wedge in a bullish state you can check that by a
low rsi or a low macd or higher so you know through the indicators yeah how much leverage are you using
uh i don't really do leverage oh you don't do leverage at all you just do like uh shorter um
no i i just buy right now until my targets are hit until Bitcoin doesn't hit 78K.
I play options a little bit.
I use BITO.
BITO is kind of something that they let you short and long Bitcoin, you know, through the through the regular markets.
But why don't you use leverage too risky?
Yeah, it's too risky.
I'm just I'm trying to I'm trying to stay focused and leverage to me feels like it'll it'll induce some gambling feelings or something like i've been there i've like when i first started
trading crypto like i said like i i didn't just like become knowledgeable overnight it took 15
years of trial and error i was in a six month depression at one point when i was like 23 i
remember sleeping face first in my couch for three days straight at one point like you know i i and
at that point i was like 2022 and i saved up like 20 35 grand and it went down to like 10 after i turned it to 10 to 30 40
50 and then went back on 10 i was like i was like my account was about to get locked i was in a
like it was it was a mess damn so yeah that's the side of trading people don't really disclose so i
appreciate that you just you want you want someone that can just like you know talk to you this way
i'm telling you like i'm not i'm not trying to peep my own horn but like i'm so tired of watching my friends and family and like i've seen so many
people get screwed over by these gurus and this and that and it's just like like and none of them
are talking ta one thing you'll notice about my my calls when i post it's very specific and very
non-biased and i'm bullish and bearish that the bulls can't hate me the bears can't hate me
yeah you know and typically when i'm bullish everyone hates me because they're bearish or i'm bearish because everyone's bullish
i mean so that's can't win yeah there's gonna be an opponent on either side right do you know
your win percent overall um my win percent i'm up right now like drastically uh it's not really
about the win percent because um it's more about the roi on the total account because uh like the
win percent like i could lose
10 and then hit one and make it all back and you mean so like then i'd be not 10 win win ratio but
like you know so but but my roi is uh way i mean from where i started i'm probably up
10 000 percent damn yeah from 2018 that is crazy you can't do that in any other no other sector
yeah the the first year that um that i i hit it that the first year was
about two three thousand percent ry and then in between there was a lot of crazy things like
finance coin i got finance coin at four dollars and that thing went crazy uh etc i talked about
um you know i remember dogecoin it was three zeros in front of it uh you know so there was a lot of
like moves but i also lost a lot too like i mean i was i was probably up like 10 maybe 20 000 and
then i lost like almost over half, to be honest.
Because the bear market hit.
Yeah, because of the bear market.
And back then on the first, you know, because I just got into crypto around 2017, 18.
Yeah.
So it was kind of a learning curve.
That was your first bear?
Yeah.
Yeah.
That was why I experienced the bull and then the bear.
And after that, it brought me, you know, to TA.
This was my first bear, the recent one.
And I wasn't prepared, to be honest.
Yeah.
And that's OK.
Because honestly, like, everyone has to go through it you just you just you need a friend or someone to like help you
stay focused and keep your emotions in check because you don't want you don't want to see
your friends lose you don't want to see them sell because of a news article on cnn or something you
know like yeah my mom sold because of news yeah bro if you held like yeah and i'm not looking down
anyone who does that i understand i've been there you what I mean? Like, it's a rough.
Emotions are crazy.
Even mine.
I personally still have emotions that I'm fighting every day.
It's an everlasting battle.
Yeah.
There's a couple conspiracy theories I want to close off with.
You've got some interesting takes.
So you tracked the flow of money after 9-11.
You said there was a lot of money that was made.
Yeah.
So America and United Airlines.
So just like in the sense of money and like the FTX thing we were talking about the dogecoin thing we're talking about a couple other examples is you
always follow big money like with when covet hit i was looking up monera and all the big
covid vaccines and i was seeing when the big first month of big money flow was was started
and that'll typically give you an idea when they really knew because you always followed the money
and it was like eight ten months before they even talked about COVID. It was like a year before. Like, you know what I mean? And so like with 9-11, America Airlines and United,
I think America had 25 times the volume of shorts
two weeks before the crash.
And then America Airline had 100 times the volume in shorts
two, three weeks before the crash.
Someone made a killing.
Damn.
It was crazy.
Yeah, with stocks,
don't you have to disclose who's making those?
Yeah, and another thing too, like with that specifically, George Soros, the Route 66 shooting that happened here in Vegas.
Yeah.
MGM, he shorted MGM for that specific week.
He shorted for $42 million MGM, and it was during a billion-dollar buyback program that MGM was going through.
Buyback programs are bullish for companies.
They're buying their own stock back.
That's a fundamentally bullish thing.
And he shorted it during that exact week during the billion-dollar buyback program.
And then he killed it.
Auto-p*** coincidences, dude.
Yeah.
So when you have people that are like – and you have to think.
It might sound crazy to say, but do you think that these people care about 60 people passing away in an event when they're making hundreds of millions do you think that like the 9-11 thing do you think that the people that
are involved they really cared when they're making billions you know i mean like there's it's just
there's there's a lot of money that i don't think soros would care no he's a very known person for
destroying countries and yeah didn't he short the the pound the uk yeah he destroyed countries in
the past so he probably affected millions of lives just doing that he's an evil person for sure there's evil out there man
he might even get this video taken down yeah and the main thing too is like like the whole idea
behind trading is you want to provide for your family you know i mean my main goal i all any
money i make which i haven't since i started trading i haven't withdrawn one dollar what
not not even a single dollar why yeah i've just i goal, and I'm not going to stop until I get there.
Because that goal involves me taking care of my parents,
taking care of all the day ones that were there and stuck with me.
My to-do list for me is on the bottom.
I don't care about it.
I'm so happy with making people happy.
That's my main drive.
And for people that want to learn ta to help become financially
free you have to learn ta you there ain't no nothing around you have to learn how to chart
and i'm telling you if you're a gaming if you're a gamer um where i start what really inspired me
to like if you have a gaming mindset and you're quick and you can solve things and make irrational
choices i was big on world of warcraft i was one of the best i was glad i was killing it i was one
of the best still am and and uh and i would I would barter and trade on the auction house with gold and so and I had a system and everything and like
You know, I'd like it was a whole system and that's kind of when I got interested in the whole idea of bartering
You know, I mean and then so I got really into that and then when I turned 17 18
That's when I opened up the roth air rain and just kind of trickled in from there
Yeah, I don't get anyone with a gaming mindset or or a drive
you can you can do ta you just just do some i'm 100 youtube taught you'll find the right youtubers
you'll trial and error and you'll figure it out how long did it take you to master it you said
um it took me about three years i think okay yeah because i had to go through a first bear market i
think everyone needs to yeah to to get that experience you want to go through a bear like
it doesn't feel good but if you go through a bear market. It doesn't feel good, but if you go through a bear market
with the assistance of technical analysis and charts to kind of guide you,
you almost get excited because then you're calling bottoms.
Because you get freaked out.
It's hard to call a top, but once you hit a bottom,
then you see your support like the 15.5 bottom and where we're at now.
Those kind of things, they feel good.
Even right now, we're at 69.
I honestly want to crash to 30.35 so I can buy a little bit more like those kind of things that they they feel good like even right now we're at 69 i i honestly
want to crash to 30 35 so i can buy a little bit more because long term i am i am bullish but but
right now i think we're a little overbought i feel uh todd it's been fun dude anything you want
to close off with uh that's about it you have a discord uh i'm not here to promote anything i just
want just here to share a little message and have a good talk with you and it was great damn
appreciate it man thanks so much for coming on thanks for watching guys as always see you next
time