Disturbing History - The Fair Tax
Episode Date: July 15, 2026Taxes don't sound like Disturbing History territory, until you learn the trail of blood and power behind them. This episode traces the entire violent history of taxation in America, from the Stamp Act... riots of 1765, when Boston mobs tore apart a rich man's home and tax collectors were tarred and feathered in the streets, through the Whiskey Rebellion, where George Washington personally led nearly 13,000 troops against American citizens, to the Supreme Court case where a lawyer called the income tax communism and won.Then comes the great backfire of 1909, when Senate conservatives proposed the 16th Amendment believing it would die in the states, and instead unleashed a taxing power that climbed from 7 percent to 94 percent within a single lifetime. Along the way you'll hear the connection almost nobody makes: how the income tax quietly bankrolled Prohibition, industrialized organized crime, and then became the only weapon that could cage Al Capone.From there the story turns to the machine we live under today.Donald Duck propaganda films commissioned by the Treasury, the 1943 withholding scheme that means most Americans have never once held their full paycheck, a tax code no living person has read, and more than 6 billion hours of compliance paperwork burned every year. And finally, the plan that was built to kill it all. In the mid-1990s, three Houston businessmen, Leo Linbeck Jr., Jack Trotter, and Bob McNair, each pledged $1.5 million and commissioned economists from Harvard, MIT, and Boston University to design a full replacement for the income tax.The result was the FairTax, the national retail sales tax with a monthly prebate that has been introduced in every Congress since 1999 as H.R. 25, championed by John Linder, propelled to a number one bestseller by Neal Boortz in 2005, carried into the spotlight by Mike Huckabee's 2008 campaign, and never once given a floor vote.I break down exactly how it works, why I believe it should replace the income tax, and I give you the strongest version of the criticism too, because that's how we do things here. By the end, you'll understand the FairTax better than most of the people arguing about it, and you'll never look at your pay stub the same way again.Have a forgotten historical mystery, disturbing event, unsolved crime, or hidden conspiracy you think deserves investigation?Send your suggestions to brian@paranormalworldproductions.com.Disturbing History is a dark history podcast exploring unsolved mysteries, secret societies, historical conspiracies, lost civilizations, and the shadowy stories buried beneath the surface of the past.Follow the show and enable automatic downloads so you never miss a deep dive into history’s most unsettling secrets.Because sometimes the truth is darker than fiction.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Some stories were never meant to be told.
Others were buried on purpose.
This podcast digs them all up.
Disturbing history peels back the layers of the past
to uncover the strange, the sinister,
and the stories that were never supposed to survive.
From shadowy presidential secrets to government experiments
that sound more like fiction than fact,
this is history they hoped you'd forget.
I'm Brian, investigator, author,
and your guide through the dark corner,
of our collective memory.
Each week I'll narrate some of the most chilling
and little-known tales from history
that will make you question everything
you thought you knew.
And here's the twist.
Sometimes the history is disturbing to us.
And sometimes, we have to disturb history itself,
just to get to the truth.
If you like your facts with the side of fear,
if you're not afraid to pull at threads,
others leave alone.
You're in the right place.
History isn't just written by the victors.
victors. Sometimes it's rewritten by the disturbed. There's a bill sitting in a filing cabinet in
Washington, D.C. right now that would fire the IRS. Not reform it, not trim its budget,
fire it. Shut the doors, turn off the lights, and shred the file the federal government keeps on
you, your marriage, your kids, your medical bills, and every dollar you've ever earned.
Under this bill, April 15th becomes just another spring day. You never file a tax return again
for the rest of your life, and your paycheck, the whole thing.
The number you actually earned before somebody reached in and helped themselves lands in your
account untouched by Washington for the first time since 1943.
The bill is real.
It's been introduced in every single Congress for more than a quarter of a century.
It was designed by economists from Harvard, MIT, and Boston University, paid for by three Texas
businessmen who wrote seven-figure checks and asked for nothing back.
It has co-sponsors, a movement, and a name you've probably heard shouted about on cable news by people who couldn't explain it if their lives depended on it.
It's called the Fair Tax.
And in 27 years, it has never once been allowed to come up for a vote.
Not defeated.
Not debated and rejected on the merits.
Just quietly buried, Congress after Congress, by both parties in the same committee, like clockwork.
I know what you're thinking.
An episode about taxes on this show, the show that covers murder cults and government cover-ups and children buried behind reform schools.
And tonight, I want to talk to you about tax policy.
But stay with me, because here's what this episode is actually about.
It's about mobs dragging government agents out of their homes and pouring hot tar over their bare skin.
It's about an army of 13,000 men marching into the Pennsylvania Mountains under the personal command of George Washington.
to put down American citizens.
It's about a lawyer who stood in front of the Supreme Court,
told the justices that the income tax was the first step toward communism,
and won.
It's about a constitutional amendment that its own sponsors believed would never survive,
a wartime propaganda campaign starring Donald Duck,
and a payroll trick invented in the middle of World War II
that quietly rewired the relationship between you and your government
so completely that most Americans alive today have never ever been
today have never once held their full paycheck in their hands.
Think about that for a minute.
The money you earn, all of it, resting in your palm before anyone else touches it,
is something most of us have never seen in our entire working lives, not once.
And then, at the end of all that history, this episode is about three wealthy businessmen
sitting in Houston, Texas in the mid-1990s, who got so fed up with the whole rotten machine
that they each wrote a check for $1.5 million
and handed the money to a team of economists
with instructions that boiled down to this.
We don't want your opinion.
We want the data.
Go find out what it would actually take
to kill the income tax
and replace it with something a human being can understand.
What came out of that research is called the fair tax,
and by the end of tonight you're going to know exactly what it is,
where it came from, who built it,
what its critics say about it.
and why I think it's one of the most important ideas in American public life
that almost nobody can explain correctly.
Full disclosure before we start, I have an opinion on this one, and I'm not going to hide it from you.
I think the fair tax, or something very close to it, should replace the income tax,
and I'll tell you why as we go.
But I spent 16 years in law enforcement building cases,
and I know the difference between an argument and evidence.
So you're going to get both sides tonight, and when we reach the law enforcement building cases,
And when we reach the criticism, I'm going to give you the strongest version of it.
Not some cardboard cutout I propped up just to knock down.
You can weigh it yourself.
That's how we do things here.
One more thing before we light the fuse.
This is not really a story about numbers.
Numbers show up, sure.
But every tax in this episode is at its core, a story about power.
Who has it? Who wants it?
And what ordinary people do when they decide the people taking their money have finally gone too far.
Americans have burned houses over taxes.
We've hanged effigies from elm trees, run men out of cities,
and founded an entire country on the back of a tax revolt.
Then we turned around and built the most complicated tax system
in the history of human civilization and pointed it at ourselves.
How did that happen?
That's tonight's story.
To understand why taxes make Americans crazy,
you have to go back before there was an America.
It's August 14th, 1760s.
in Boston, Massachusetts.
The sun comes up over the harbor and hanging from the branches of a huge old elm tree
at the corner of Essex and Orange Streets is a stuffed dummy swinging gently in the morning air.
An effigy.
And pinned to its chest is the name Andrew Oliver.
Andrew Oliver is a real man, and he's about to have the worst week of his life.
He's a wealthy Boston merchant, well-connected, brother-in-law to the lieutenant governor of the colony,
and he's just accepted a job from the crown.
He's going to be the stamp distributor for Massachusetts.
Here's what that means.
Earlier that year, the British Parliament passed something called the Stamp Act,
which required that nearly every piece of paper used in the American colonies
carry an official government stamp, and that stamp cost money.
Newspapers and legal contracts, wills and land deeds, playing cards, even dice.
If it was printed or written for official use,
you paid the crown for the privilege of using it.
Now Britain had its reasons.
The seven years war, the one Americans called the French and Indian War,
had nearly bankrupted the empire,
and a good deal of that fighting had happened defending these very colonies.
London's position was simple enough.
You benefited, so you pay.
And honestly, the amounts involved weren't crushing,
which is exactly what makes what happened next so instructive.
Because it was never about the amount.
The colonists had no representatives in parliament, not one.
A legislature sitting 3,000 miles across the ocean,
had reached into their pockets without asking,
and the tax touched everything,
so that a man couldn't sell a cow,
settle in a state, or print a newspaper without paying it.
The lawyers were furious, and the printers were furious.
And when you managed to enrage the lawyers and the printers at the same time,
you have created a public relations catastrophe,
because those are the two professions that own all the megaphones.
So there hangs Andrew Oliver's effigy on that August morning,
swinging from the tree that Boston would soon start calling the Liberty Tree.
The sheriff comes to cut it down,
and the crowd politely informs him that doing so would be a mistake.
The sheriff, being a man who wants to keep living, leaves it alone.
That night the crowd cuts the effigy down themselves and parades it through the streets,
past the government offices, down toward the waterfront,
where Oliver has just put up a new brick building
that everyone assumes will become the stamp office.
They tear it apart with their bare hands, board by board,
then carry the wreckage up to Fort Hill near Oliver's home,
build a bonfire out of it, and burn the effigy on top.
Then they turn to the actual house.
They smash the windows and break down the fence,
and they pour into Andrew Oliver's home,
wrecking his furniture,
helping themselves to his wine, hunting through the rooms for the man himself.
Oliver had already fled with his family, which was the smartest decision he made all year,
and he got off easy because 12 days later another mob gutted the mansion of his brother-in-law,
Lieutenant Governor Thomas Hutchinson, stripping it down to the interior walls
in one of the most complete destructions of a private home in colonial history.
The next morning, Andrew Oliver announced he was resigning as stamp distributor,
but it didn't save him.
Four months later in December, a crowd came for him again
and made him resign a second time, publicly,
in the pouring rain,
standing under that same elm tree and swearing an oath
before 2,000 people that he would never enforce the Stamp Act.
They made him do it twice because the first time
hadn't been humiliating enough.
And understand, Boston was the polite version.
Across the colonies, stamp distributors were burned in effigy,
their homes ransacked, their families threatened,
until every last one of them quit.
And in the years of tax resistance that followed,
the colonists perfected a signature punishment for the crown's revenue men.
Customs officers and informers were stripped naked,
painted with steaming pine tar that blistered the skin,
rolled in chicken feathers,
and carted through the streets so the whole town could get a look.
Tarring and feathering was not a prank.
Getting the tar off took the skin with it,
and men carried those scars for the rest of their lives.
lives. Within months, there was not one single official anywhere in the American colonies willing to
distribute stamps. The law was dead before it ever really lived, and Parliament repealed it
the following year. But here's the part that matters for our story. On the very same day it
repealed the tax, Parliament passed the Declaratory Act, which stated that Britain retained the right
to tax the colonies in all cases whatsoever. In other words, we're backing off, but we're not
conceding the principle. The colonists noticed, and the fight over that principle, taxation without
representation, kept escalating through the townshend duties on glass and paint and paper, through boycotts
and street brawls, through five colonists shot dead on King Street in Boston in 1770, until finally,
on a cold December night in 1773, a crowd, some of them dressed as Mohawk warriors,
boarded three ships in Boston Harbor and spent three quiet methodical hours smashing open
342 chests of British East India Company tea and dumping more than 90,000 pounds of it into the black
water. The tea, by the way, was cheap. That's the detail everybody forgets. The Tea Act had actually
lowered the price of legal tea in the colonies, and the colonists destroyed it anyway, because
accepting cheap tea meant accepting Parliament's right to tax them at all, and they understood
something that I'd argue we've forgotten.
Once you concede the principle, the price goes wherever the taxing power wants it to go.
That idea is going to come back around like a boomerang about 140 years later,
and when it does, the people it hits will be us.
Britain answered the Tea Party by closing the port of Boston
and stripping Massachusetts of its self-government.
The colonies answered that with the first Continental Congress.
Then came Lexington, then conquered,
then eight years of war.
The United States of America exists because of a tax revolt.
That's not a slogan.
It's the historical record.
So you'd think the new nation, born screaming out of a fight over taxes,
would handle the taxing power with a little humility.
It took about eight years to find out otherwise.
The new federal government under the Constitution
had inherited a mountain of war debt,
and Treasury Secretary Alexander Hamilton had a plan to pay it down.
Part of that plan passed in six.
1791 was an excise tax on domestically distilled spirits, a whiskey tax. Now, if you were a wealthy
merchant on the east coast, that tax barely touched your life. But if you were a farmer on the
western frontier, out past the mountains in western Pennsylvania, whiskey wasn't a luxury. It was your
entire economy. The roads back east were mud tracks, and you couldn't haul wagon loads of grain
over the Alleghenies without losing money on every single mile,
but distill that same grain down into whiskey,
and suddenly your whole harvest fit on the back of a packhorse.
Whiskey was how frontier farmers stored value and moved value,
and in plenty of settlements, it circulated as money itself.
Men got paid in whiskey.
Deats were settled in it,
so when the federal government taxed whiskey,
the frontier heard something very specific.
It heard a government of Eastern bankers taxing the one thing,
thing that made Western life economically possible in order to pay off bonds that Eastern
speculators had bought up for pennies on the dollar. And to sharpen the insult, the tax
offered a discount to big distillers who could afford a flat annual rate, which meant the large
commercial operations paid less per gallon than the small farmer with a pot still behind his
barn. The Frontier's answer came straight out of the 1760s playbook, and that's no accident,
because these were in many cases literally the same people.
Plenty of them had fought in the revolution.
They knew exactly how this was done.
In September of 1791, a tax collector named Robert Johnson
was riding through Washington County, Pennsylvania,
when he was surrounded by a gang of armed men dressed as women,
who stripped him, cut off his hair, tarred and feathered him,
took his horse, and left him in the woods.
When officials sent a man out to serve warrants against the attackers,
The mob whipped him, tarred and feathered him too, and left him tied to a tree for hours.
And for three years, that's how it went.
Collectors assaulted.
The stills of farmers who paid the tax were shot full of holes by night visitors who called themselves Tom the Tinker.
They left notes promising that uncooperative equipment would be mended, which was frontier humor for destroyed.
Stay tuned for more disturbing history.
We'll be back after these messages.
Barnes burned. Anyone who complied lived with one eye on the tree line.
Then in July of 1794, resistance tipped over into rebellion.
A federal marshal arrived to serve court summonses on distillers who hadn't paid,
and the frontier exploded. Several hundred armed men surrounded Bower Hill,
the fortified hilltop mansion of General John Neville,
the regional tax inspector and one of the richest men in western Pennsylvania.
And in the gun battle that followed, men died.
on both sides, including the militia leader James McFarlane, shot down under what the
rebels swore to their graves, had been a flag of truce. The crowd burned Bauer Hill to the ground.
Within weeks, 7,000 armed men had rallied at Braddock's Field outside Pittsburgh, and there
was open talk of marching on the town, of secession from the Union, even of guillotine,
because the French Revolution was in full swing across the ocean, and some of these men were
flying its flags, which left President Washington staring at a question nobody on earth could
answer for him. The last government that tried to tax these people got overthrown. Would this one survive
its first real tax revolt? Washington raised nearly 13,000 militiamen from four states, an army
roughly the size of the one he'd commanded against the British, and he marched it west, himself.
He remains to this day, the only sitting American president ever to command an army in the field.
The rebellion evaporated in front of him.
The leaders scattered into the wilderness,
and around 20 men were rounded up
and marched back east through the snow,
paraded through the streets of Philadelphia while the crowds jeered.
Two of them were convicted of treason and sentenced to hang.
Washington pardoned them both,
and that was the message,
delivered with a velvet glove wrapped around an iron fist.
This government will tax you.
This government will enforce its taxes with an army if it has to.
And this government will also show mercy because it wants your loyalty, not your corpse.
The postscript is pure history's sense of humor.
The whiskey tax proved hard to collect, wildly unpopular, and raised far less than hoped.
And when Thomas Jefferson won the presidency in 1800, his party repealed it.
The great whiskey tax, the tax that was worth raising an army over, lasted about a decade.
For the next 60 years, the federal government ran almost in time.
entirely on tariffs on imported goods, along with land sales and a handful of excises.
There was no income tax and no federal taxman in your books, and if you never bought imported goods,
you could live your entire American life without directly handing the federal government a dime.
Then the country tore itself in half.
War is the great engine of taxation.
Every major leap in the federal government's taxing power in American history happens during a war,
And I mean everyone, because that pattern is the skeleton key to this whole episode.
By the summer of 1861, the Civil War was going badly for the Union, and it was devouring money at a rate nobody in Washington had imagined possible.
Tariffs couldn't begin to cover it, not with Southern ports out of the system, so Congress did something that had never been done in American history.
In the Revenue Act of 1861, it taxed incomes at 3% on everything over $800 a year,
which was a comfortable living at the time.
The collection machinery barely existed and that first version was never effectively enforced.
So Congress came back in 1862 with a real one,
complete with progressive rates, withholding on federal salaries,
and a brand new office called the Commissioner of Internal Revenue.
The ancestor of the agency we now call the Internal Revenue Service was born in the summer of 1862
as a war measure, and its first commissioner, a Massachusetts man named George Boutwell, built it from a
handful of clerks into one of the largest bureaus in the federal government within just a few years.
And here's the thing. People mostly paid it. The union income tax was framed as an emergency patriotic duty.
It was aimed at the well off, and by the wars,
end, it was pulling in a serious share of federal revenue. Abraham Lincoln himself paid it,
but everyone understood the deal. This was a war tax, an emergencies end. And in 1872, Congress
let the income tax quietly die. The federal government went back to living on tariffs and on excise
taxes on liquor and tobacco, the way it had before. Here's the problem with tariffs, though.
A tariff is a consumption tax that hides inside prices, and it lands hardest on people who spend most of what they earn, which means working people.
Meanwhile, the gilded age was minting a class of industrial fortunes that the federal revenue system essentially could not touch.
Rockefeller, Morgan, and the Vanderbilt money, some the richest men in the history of the world up to that point, and as far as the federal treasury was concerned, they barely existed.
Farmers and laborers noticed, and the populist movement made an income tax on the rich one of its battle flags,
and in 1894 they finally got one.
Congress passed a modest 2% tax on incomes over $4,000.
A threshold set so high that it touched only the wealthiest sliver of the country,
well under one household in 50.
Barely attacks at all by modern standards.
The reaction from the moneyed class was volcanic.
The case against it reached the Supreme Court almost immediately, and the oral argument produced
one of the most famous rhetorical flourishes in the court's history.
When Joseph Choate, a silver-haired titan of the New York Bar arguing for the shareholders challenging
the tax, stood before the justices and called the income tax communistic in its purposes
and tendencies.
His warning was simple.
If the court blessed a tax aimed at the wealthy few, there was no limiting principle left
anywhere in the system. Two percent today, so why not 20 percent tomorrow? Why not 50? People laughed at
that argument for decades. Two percent to 50. How ridiculous. Keep laughing, because we'll circle back to it.
In 1895 in a case called Pollock versus Farmer's Loan and Trust Company, the Supreme Court struck down the
income tax by a vote of five to four. The technical reasoning turned on the Constitution's requirement
that direct taxes be apportioned among the states by population,
and on whether a tax on income from property counted as a direct tax,
and the opinion was a mess, and the dissents were furious,
with one dissenting justice essentially accusing the majority
of surrendering the taxing power of the United States to the rich.
But the bottom line was clean as a rifle shot.
A federal income tax, as written, was unconstitutional.
If you wanted one, you would have to amend the Constitution at stake,
And for 14 years, that's exactly where it sat.
A political impossibility.
Amending the Constitution takes two-thirds of both houses of Congress
plus three-quarters of the states,
and nothing that hard happens over something as dry as tax structure.
Until it did.
And the way it happened is one of the great backfires in all of American political history.
By 1909, the pressure for an income tax was back,
and it was building fast.
progressives in both parties wanted it.
The tariff system was widely seen as a racket that protected industrial monopolies
while taxing the working man's shoes and sugar, and a new generation of politicians.
Theodore Roosevelt, loudest among them, had turned the concentrated fortunes of the
gilded age into a public enemy.
The conservative old guard in the Senate, led by Nelson Aldrich of Rhode Island,
a man so thoroughly wired into banking money that people called him the general manager of the
nation, needed a way to kill the income tax without being seen holding the knife.
So they got clever. And this is the part of the story I love because you can watch the trap being
built in real time. The plan, worked out with President William Howard Taft, went like this.
Instead of letting Congress pass an income tax law that the Supreme Court might now uphold,
they would offer up a constitutional amendment authorizing an income tax. It sounds like surrender,
but it was designed as an ambush because the amendment would have to be ratified by three quarters of the state legislatures.
And the smart money in Washington was certain that enough conservative northeastern states would refuse.
The amendment would die out in the states.
The income tax would be constitutionally discredited for a generation.
And the old guard could stand back with clean hands and say, well, we tried.
And the people said no.
In July of 1909, the 16th Amendment sailed through Congress.
clearing the Senate 77 to nothing.
Men who despised the income tax voted for it, smirking,
confident they were shipping a corpse out to the states for burial.
Then the country double-crossed them.
State after state ratified,
because the populist and progressive fever ran hotter out in the country
than Washington ever understood.
The legislatures of the South and the West lined up fast,
and then even the northeastern firewall crumbled,
with New York ratifying after a government,
who opposed the amendment was replaced by one who supported it. On February 3rd, 1913, Delaware,
Wyoming, and New Mexico pushed it over the line, and later that month, Secretary of State Philander
Knox certified it. The 16th Amendment was law, and it is 30 words long. The Congress shall have
power to lay and collect taxes on incomes from whatever source derived, without apportionment
among the several states, and without regard to any census or enumeration.
From whatever source derived, without apportionment, no cap, no limit, no sunset.
The principle the colonists had burned ships over, the conviction that the taxing power must be
chained down, or it will grow without end, was formally released into the wild.
Congress could now tax income at any rate it could pass.
Its defenders said that fear was pure hysteria, and they pointed to the actual tax Congress
passed later that same year.
The income tax of 1913 charged 1% on income above $3,000 for a single person,
$4,000 for a married couple, at a time when the average American worker earned well under $1,000
a year.
The rate stepped up gently from there to a top bracket of 7%, which didn't kick in until half a million
of income, which was robber barren territory.
Fewer than one American in 100 owed anything at all.
The very first form 1040, and yes, it was already called the 1040, ran three pages plus a single page of instructions,
and you could read the entire federal income tax law of the United States in one afternoon.
7% on the richest sliver of the country.
That was the income tax as it was sold to the American people.
A little fee on vast fortunes, one that ordinary citizens would never pay and never even see.
It stayed that way for about four years.
Then the United States entered World War I,
and the machine the 16th Amendment had built
showed everyone what it could really do.
The top rate more than quadrupled in a single year,
leaping from 15% to 67 in 1917,
and by 1918, it stood at 77%.
Five years earlier, the top income tax rate in America had been seven.
Joseph Choate had stood in front of the Supreme Court
and been mocked for suggesting that rates might someday reach 50%.
And it took the unchained income tax exactly five years to blow past him.
Rates came back down in the 20s under Treasury Secretary Andrew Mellon,
all the way down to a top rate of 25%.
And the economy roared, and you can spend a whole evening arguing
over how much credit the tax cuts deserve for that.
Then the Depression hit, and Herbert Hoover,
in one of history's great examples of doing the wrong thing
at the worst possible moment, more than doubled the top rate to 63% in 1932, straight into the
teeth of a collapsing economy. Franklin Roosevelt kept climbing to 79%, and then the next war came,
and by 1944, the top marginal rate on the highest incomes in America was 94%. 94, from a starting
bid of seven, inside the span of a single human lifetime. There were still Americans alive who remembered
the promises of 1913.
But the top rate isn't even the real story of the war years.
The real story is what happened to everybody else.
And before we get there, I have to hand you two pieces of income tax history that this show
was practically built for, because they involve bootleggers, gangsters, and the strangest
unintended consequence in American fiscal history.
If you're a regular listener, you know I've covered this in detail in its own episode.
But just in case you missed it, here's a question almost nobody ever thinks to ask.
Why did prohibition happen when it did?
The temperance movement had been agitating for the better part of a century.
Preachers had thundered, hatchets had swung through saloon doors,
and decade after decade the federal government had politely ignored all of it.
Then, within six years of the 16th Amendment,
the 18th Amendment banned the manufacture and sale of alcohol nationwide.
Coincidence? Not even close.
Before 1913, one of the federal government's biggest revenue sources, rivaled only by the tariff, was the excise tax on liquor.
Roughly a third of federal revenue in the years before the amendment flowed out of American whiskey barrels and beer kegs,
which meant that banning alcohol was fiscally unthinkable no matter how many hymns the temperance society sang,
because it amounted to defunding the government.
The temperance movement understood this.
and its shrewdest organizations openly backed to the income tax amendment for precisely that reason.
Give Washington a replacement income stream, and suddenly the liquor money becomes expendable.
The 16th Amendment was ratified in 1913.
The income tax proved itself a revenue gusher during the war,
and in 1919 with the Treasury no longer riding on the saloon, prohibition sailed through.
Stay tuned for more disturbing history.
We'll be back after these messages.
So the income tax didn't just change how the government got paid.
It bankrolled the single most catastrophic social experiment in American history,
the one that industrialized organized crime,
corrupted police departments from coast to coast,
and put machine guns on the streets of Chicago.
Every episode I've ever done that touches the mob,
traces back, in some way, to the tax code.
History doesn't advertise its plumbing, but it's all connected under the floor.
And then, in the most poetic loop imaginable, the income tax became the weapon that brought down
the king of the very criminal empire it had accidentally created.
By 1930, Al Capone was arguably the most famous criminal on the planet, and he was untouchable.
Witnesses to his murders developed amnesia at contagious rates.
Juries could be bought, and the cops in his pocket outnumbered the ones who weren't.
The government could not convict Alphonse Capone of a single violent crime.
crime, and everyone in the country knew it. What the government could prove was that he lived like
an emperor and had never filed a tax return. The suits, the cars, the Palm Island Estate,
the betting slips, all of it was income. An income, the Supreme Court had ruled in a case against
another bootleggar, is taxable even when it's earned illegally, and the Constitution's protection
against self-incrimination does not excuse a man from filing. So in 1931, the man the whole
country believed had ordered the St. Valentine's Day massacre went to federal prison. Not for murder,
not for bootlegging, not for racketeering, but for tax evasion. Eleven years, a stretch that would
eventually land him in Alcatraz, the most feared man in America, brought down by an accountant's
ledger. People tell that story as a triumph, and in one sense it obviously is. But there's a darker
side to what it established. The government had discovered that the income tax was more than a revenue
tool. It was a universal crowbar. When the state cannot prove the crime it actually wants to
punish, it can nearly always find something in the endless, unreadable requirements of the tax code,
because a code that complex quietly converts every citizen with a checkbook into a potential defendant.
Prosecutors have swung that crowbar at mobsters, and God bless them for it.
They have also, across the decade since, aimed it at inconvenient activists,
political enemies and ordinary people who annoyed the wrong official.
A law that everyone is guilty of breaking is a law that can be enforced against anyone the enforcer chooses.
That fact sits at the center of why the men in Houston will eventually decide to burn the whole thing down.
Now, back to the war and what it did to every day.
everybody else. Before World War II, the income tax was a rich man's tax. In 1939, out of a country
of more than 130 million people, fewer than 4 million households filed returns with any tax
due, which means the overwhelming majority of Americans had never dealt with the income tax
in their lives. It was something that happened to bankers. The government needed to change that
because a World War costs more money than any tax on the rich can possibly raise no matter how high
you crank the rate. There simply are not enough rich people. If you want big revenue, you have to
tax the middle because the middle is where the money is, and economists have a name for what happened next.
They call it the shift from a class tax to a mass tax. Exemptions dropped, new brackets reach down the
income ladder and a special victory tax of 5% scooped up almost every wage earner in the country,
so that by 1945 the number of taxable returns had exploded from under 4 million to over 40 million.
In six years, the income tax went from something one American family in 10 ever thought about
to something nearly every working household in the nation paid, which created two problems for
Washington. First, tens of millions of people who had never filed a tax return in their
lives, now had to be taught how, and more than that, convinced they should want to.
Second, ordinary wage earners don't keep a fat pile of cash sitting around to hand the Treasury
every March. The first problem got solved with propaganda, and I mean that as a technical
description, not an insult. The Treasury Department went to Hollywood and Hollywood delivered.
Walt Disney, at the government's request, produced a short film called The New Spirit, starring Donald Duck,
in which Donald hears the radio tell him that paying his income tax is his patriotic duty,
gleefully fills out his return, and then races clear across the country to hand-deliver his payment to Washington,
while the screen shows tax dollars transforming into factories and guns and warships.
Taxes to beat the axis, the radio tells him.
Tens of millions of Americans saw that film in theaters,
and when the Treasury surveyed audiences afterward, it found the film measurably increased people's willingness to pay.
Irving Berlin wrote a song for the same campaign called I Paid My Income Tax Today.
This wasn't fringe stuff.
This was the biggest star power in American culture.
Deployed to teach the public that paying income tax is simply what a good American does.
And I'm not sneering at any of that, by the way.
There was a world war on, against actual fascism.
And if Donald Duck helped fund the arsenal of democracy, then fine.
Well done, Donald.
But you should know that the emotional...
reflex a lot of Americans still carry, that sense that the income tax specifically, in its current
form, is somehow synonymous with patriotism itself, was manufactured on purpose, with a budget
by very talented people. It didn't grow wild. The second problem, the cash flow problem,
got solved with the single most consequential piece of tax machinery ever invented in this country,
and it came from a department store executive.
Beardsley Rumm was the treasurer of Macy's and the chairman of the New York Federal Reserve,
a big, cheerful idea man,
and he understood something from the retail world that Washington hadn't fully absorbed.
People feel a lump sum payment, but they do not feel a deduction.
Nobody misses money they never held.
His plan adopted in the current Tax Payment Act of 1943 was pay-as-you-go.
your employer would calculate the tax on your wages and remove it from your paycheck before you were ever paid,
sending it straight along to the government.
And to grease the transition, most of the previous year's tax liability was simply forgiven,
wiped off the books, which made the whole scheme wildly popular because it felt like a tax holiday,
even as it installed the pipeline that would drain American paychecks forever after.
Withholding solved the government's problem brilliantly.
revenue flowed in smoothly all year long, collected by millions of employers acting as unpaid tax collectors,
and compliance soared, because the money was taken before the taxpayer ever touched it,
and you cannot fail to pay what you never possessed. But understand what it did psychologically,
because this is the hinge of the entire modern system. Before withholding, paying taxes was an act you performed.
You looked at your money, you calculated what the government claimed, and you wrote,
the check with your own hand and you felt every dollar leave. After withholding, taxation
became a condition of the atmosphere. Your paycheck simply arrived pre-shrunk and
millions of Americans stopped thinking about what they earned and started thinking only
about what they took home, as if the difference had never really been theirs at all.
And come springtime, when the reconciliation showed the government had
withheld too much, people actually celebrated getting a refund. They had loaned the government
their own wages, interest-free, for an entire year. And when the change came back, they treated
it like a gift. How do you get a nation descended from tax rebels to quietly accept rates their
great-grandparents would have rioted over? That's how. You make the payment invisible.
One of the young treasury economists who helped design wartime withholding was a man named
Milton Friedman, who would go on to become one of the most famous free market economists of the
20th century, a Nobel laureate, the intellectual patron saint of limited government.
And for the rest of his life, whenever he was asked about his role in creating withholding,
Friedman said essentially the same thing. It was necessary for the war, and he wished it could be
abolished, because it had made the growth of the modern Leviathan state possible in a way that
nothing else did. The man who helped build the machine spent his last decades warning people what the
machine was. So the war ends and the soldiers come home. And the mass income tax, the emergency
measure, the temporary wartime necessity, does exactly what the Civil War income tax did not do.
It stays. Of course it stays. Wars had always ratcheted taxes up and peace had always let some of the
air back out. But this time the machinery was too good and the appetite was too big. The Cold War,
the interstate highways, the swelling federal government of the 50s and 60s, all of it ran on the mass
income tax and on its payroll tax sibling, which had arrived with Social Security in the 30s
and would keep right on growing for decades. The Bureau of Internal Revenue even got a friendly
rebranding in 1953, becoming the Internal Revenue Service, and I'll let you decide for yourself
how well the word service has held up. And then for the next 70 years, the code grew.
I want you to really absorb how it grew because it didn't grow the way a law grows.
It grew the way a coral reef grows or a hoarder's house.
Every single year, Congress added, a deduction for this industry, a credit for that one,
special treatment phased in over here and phased out over there,
subject to limitations described in subparagraphs that cross-reference other subparagraphs.
The income tax law of 1913 ran a few dozen pages.
Today, the federal tax code itself runs into the millions of words.
The regulations interpreting it runs several times longer than the code.
And the standard professional guide that working tax practitioners actually used to navigate it all
sprawls across tens of thousands of pages.
Nobody has read it all, and I want to be precise about that word.
Not almost nobody.
Nobody.
No commissioner.
No senator.
No professor.
The tax law of the United States is,
in the most literal sense unknown to every single person subject to it.
And you are required to comply with it under penalty of law.
16 years in law enforcement taught me a simple rule about legitimacy.
People respect laws they can understand and see enforced evenly.
A speed limit works because everyone knows exactly what it is.
Now imagine a speed limit that ran 70,000 pages, changed every year,
meant different things depending on which expert you hired,
and put the penalty for reading it wrong on you, even when you had tried in good faith.
That's not law in any traditional sense of the word.
That's a hazard.
The numbers on what this costs are honestly hard to believe.
The National Taxpayer Advocate, which is the IRS's own internal watchdog,
has estimated for years that Americans burn billions of hours annually just complying with the tax code,
and recent estimates put the figure above 6 billion hours a year,
which works out to the working time of more than 3 million full-time employees.
A phantom workforce more than twice the size of the entire active duty United States military,
doing nothing but tax paperwork.
And the dollar value of that time, plus the money spent on prepares and software,
runs into the hundreds of billions every single year.
That's not the tax, mind you.
That's just the cost of figuring out the tax.
Its money and human effort dumped straight into a shredder,
Year after year, forever, and it produces nothing.
Not a road, not a school, not a missile, nothing.
So who benefits from that?
Follow the money and you find an entire ecosystem living in the folds of the complexity.
A tax preparation industry worth billions that has repeatedly lobbied against simpler filing.
Armies of accountants and tax attorneys.
And I mean no disrespect to them.
Because they're good people trapped in the same maze.
billing hours to guide citizens through a system no citizen should ever have needed a guide for.
And above all of it sits Washington itself.
Because here's the dirty secret of tax complexity.
Complexity is the product.
Every one of those special deductions and credits and carve-outs exist,
because somebody with a lobbyist wanted it, and a member of Congress could sell it,
which makes the tax code the biggest favor factory on planet Earth.
A significant share of the lobbying industry in Washington touches tax.
taxation, because a single sentence slipped into the code can be worth billions to a particular
industry. And both parties know it, and both parties fundraise off it. Tax reform in Washington
is a perennial crop precisely because it never finishes. You harvest donations from threatening the
loopholes, and then you harvest donations from protecting them. Meanwhile, the enforcement side was
generating its own dark chapters. The IRS became the federal agency with arguably the most intimate
reach into American life, entitled to know your income, your marriage, your dependence,
your medical costs, your donations, your business, your investments, effectively your entire
financial existence, every year, forever. Presidents of both parties were caught over the decades
trying to sick the tax authorities on their enemies, and Richard Nixon's enemies list found its
way toward tax audits, an abuse serious enough to land in the articles of impeachment, drawn up
against him. And in the late 1990s, the Senate Finance Committee held televised hearings,
where taxpayers and even IRS agents themselves testified, some of them with their identities hidden
behind screens and voice distortion, like mob informants, about heavy-handed collection tactics,
property seizures, and a quota-driven enforcement culture. Some of the specific horror stories
were later disputed. But Congress found the overall picture damning enough that it passed a major
Restructuring Act in 1998, nearly unanimously, to rein the agency in.
Stay tuned for more disturbing history.
We'll be back after these messages.
So here's the final shape of the thing we built.
A tax whose base is your income, meaning your work, your savings, your productivity,
the exact behaviors a sane society wants more of.
A code no living person has read.
Compliance costs in the hundreds of billions.
an enforcement agency with a file on every household in the country.
Withholding that keeps the true price of government permanently fogged out of sight,
and a political class for whom the entire apparatus is a fundraising perpetual motion machine.
The founders started a war over a stamp on a newspaper.
We file quarterly.
Now, having marinated in everything the income tax became,
you're ready to hear about the men who decided to kill it,
not trim it, not reform it,
kill it, root and branch, and salt the ground where it grew.
Houston, Texas, the mid-1990s, three men, all of them wealthy, all of them successful in that
particular Texas way where the money came from building actual things.
Leo Lindbeck Jr. ran one of the biggest construction firms in the state.
Jack Trotter was an attorney and investor with deep connections running all through Texas
business and politics, and Bob McNair was an energy entrepreneur who would later
become famous as the founding owner of the Houston Texans football franchise. These were not fringe
characters. These were establishment men, the kind who get buildings named after them, and they had
spent entire careers watching the tax code operate from the inside. Watching it distort every
business decision. Watching companies structure themselves around tax consequences instead of
customers. Watching the compliance industry grow fat off the confusion.
And somewhere along the way, they had arrived at a conclusion that was, for men of their position, borderline radical.
The income tax could not be fixed, because every reform made the code longer,
and every simplification sprouted new complexity within a decade.
And the famous bipartisan cleanup of 1986, the big one, had been re-complicated almost before the ink dried.
So around 1995, they formed an organization called Americans for Fair Taxation,
and then they did something I genuinely respect no matter where you land on the policy.
Something almost nobody in politics ever does.
They didn't start with an answer.
They started with a question, and they wrote checks.
Each of the three pledged $1.5 million in seed money,
and the organization would ultimately pour more than $20 million into the project,
with the money flowing to two places.
First, into large-scale market research,
meaning polls and focus groups with Americans across income levels,
ethnic lines and party lines,
asking not do you like our plan,
because there was no plan yet,
but what do you actually want from a tax system?
What would you consider fair?
What do you hate most about the one we have?
Second, the money went to economists
and not to a stable of hired guns from one ideological team,
but to a spread of serious academics from major universities,
including Dale Jorgensen, the chairman of the economics department at Harvard,
along with researchers at Stanford, MIT, Boston University, Rice, and elsewhere,
all tasked with working out what could actually replace the entire income and payroll tax system
and still fund the government at existing levels.
What came back from the public research was remarkably consistent.
People wanted a system they could understand.
They wanted everyone to visibly pay,
including the people gaming the current setup.
They hated the intrusiveness, the record keeping,
the sense of being presumed guilty every April,
and above all they wanted taxes visible,
out in the open, not buried.
What came back from the economists pointed at consumption.
Stop taxing what people put into the economy,
their work and their savings and their investment,
and tax what they take out of it instead,
meaning their spending.
Nearly any economist from any camp will tell,
you that consumption taxes distort an economy less than income taxes do. The direction was clear
and the result was a fully drafted plan with a trademark name. The Fair Tax. The Fair Tax
abolishes the federal individual income tax, all of it, along with the corporate income tax,
the payroll taxes that fund Social Security and Medicare, the ones labeled FICA on your pay stub,
the capital gains tax, the alternative minimum tax, the estate tax, and the gift tax.
Every federal tax on earning, saving, investing, and inheriting, gone.
And with them goes the reason for the IRS to exist as we know it,
because the legislation defunds the agency.
April 15th becomes just another spring day.
In their place, stands one tax,
a national retail sales tax on new goods and services,
collected at the cash register, at the final point of sale, one time.
Used goods aren't taxed because the tax was already paid once when the item was sold new.
So you can buy a used car, a used house, or second-hand furniture without paying a dime of federal tax.
Purchases between businesses aren't taxed either because the tax applies only at final retail consumption,
which by design avoids the cascading tax-on-tax problem you find in cruder systems.
The rate written into the legislation is 23 percent, measured the same way.
way income tax rates are measured as a share of the total amount paid. Critics prefer to state it
the way American sales taxes are usually stated as a markup on the sticker price. And measured that
way the same rate comes out to about 30%. Now for the obvious objection, the one already
forming in your mind, a sales tax hammers the poor because poor families spend everything they earn
while wealthy families save and invest most of what they make and any flat sales. And any flat sales
sales tax standing alone is regressive. The fair taxes designers knew that going in, and their
answer is the plan's most distinctive piece of machinery. It's called the pre-bait. Every legal
resident household in America receives a payment from the government every single month, in advance,
equal to the sales tax on spending up to the federal poverty level for a household of that size.
Every household, mind you. It's not means tested. There's no application essay.
and there's no proving your worthiness to a caseworker.
If poverty-level spending for your family size works out to a given amount for the year,
then one-twelfth of the tax on that amount lands in your account every month before you spend a dime.
A family spending at or below the poverty line gets back and prebate everything it pays in federal sales tax,
which makes its effective federal tax rate zero.
A family spending at double the poverty line pays an effective rate of about half the statutory rate.
The effective rate climbs with spending and only approaches the full rate for households consuming far above poverty level,
which means the fair tax as designed is not flat in its impact at all.
It's progressive with respect to spending.
The person funding the government at the full rate is the person living large,
and there's no loophole out of it, because the tax is baked into the register at every restaurant, dealership, and Marina in America.
Then there's your paycheck.
Under the fair tax, your employer pays you your wages and you keep your wages,
with no federal income tax withheld and no payroll tax withheld,
so that apart from whatever your own state does,
the number you earn and the number you take home become the same number.
For the first time since 1943,
American workers would hold their whole paycheck in their hands
and then decide by how they spend, when and how much federal tax to pay.
The comeback you'll hear immediately,
is. Sure. But then everything at the store costs more. So what's the difference? And here the
fair tax people raise a point. Most folks have never once considered, and it's the strongest
arrow in their quiver. Prices already contain hidden taxes. Every product on every shelf carries
inside its price the corporate income taxes, the payroll taxes, and the compliance costs
of every business in its supply chain, pass down the line the way all business costs are.
The economists working on the project, Jorgensen's research in particular, put those embedded costs at very roughly a fifth of retail prices on average, and the caveats are real here, because the figure varies by industry.
Economists still argue over the exact number and over how fast prices would adjust, and the math shifts depending on whether workers pocket their full gross pay or just their old take home.
But the core logic holds, strip the taxes out of the supply chain.
Let competition push producer prices down, add the visible sales tax at the register,
and the total you actually pay land somewhere in the neighborhood of where it started.
The tax doesn't appear so much as it comes out of hiding.
It stops riding secretly inside the price and stands out on the receipt where you can finally see it.
Visible.
That one word is the whole soul of this thing, and it's why I keep coming back to the colonists.
Every transaction, every American, every receipt,
seat, stating plainly, this is what the federal government just cost you. No withholding fog,
no embedded tax camouflage, and if Congress ever wanted more money, it would have to raise one
single rate that every voter in the country sees at every register every day. Try sneaking that
past the American people. There's more in the design worth a minute of your time. Savings and
investment go completely untaxed, which economists across the spectrum agree, encourages capital
formation, and which also ends the moral absurdity of taxing a dollar when you earn it,
taxing it again when it earns interest, and taxing it one more time, when you die still holding it.
The tax burden on American exports effectively disappears while imports get taxed at the register
just like domestic goods, which supporters argue would make America one of the most attractive
places on earth to headquarter and build. Tourists pay into Social Security with every hotel night
and every restaurant meal.
And the underground economy,
and this one's for my law enforcement listeners,
finally pays its share.
The drug dealer, the trafficker,
the guy running an all-cash business off the books.
None of them file income tax returns today,
and they ride free on the backs of everyone who does.
Under the fair tax,
the moment that untaxed cash buys a truck or a television
or a steak dinner,
it gets taxed exactly like everyone else's money.
You cannot launder your way out of the checkout line, and your privacy comes back. No income tax return ever again.
The only paperwork a household files is a simple annual registration listing its members, so the prebate arrives, and that's the end of it.
No annual confession of your income, your marriage, your investments, your medical bills, and no audit of your life,
because the government no longer has any business knowing what you earn.
Enforcement focuses on retail businesses, which already collect sales taxes in 45 states through systems that already exist.
That's the plan.
You now understand the fair tax mechanically better than most of the people who argue about it online, and it took about five minutes.
So the research was done and the plan was drafted, and now it needed a champion in Congress.
That came in the form of a Georgia dentist-turned congressman named John Linder.
Linder introduced the Fair Tax Act in the House in 1999, and it has been reintroduced in every
Congress since, coming to be known by its famous bill number, H.R. 25, traditionally among the very
first bills dropped in the hopper each new session. When Linder retired, his fellow Georgian Rob Woodall
carried it, and today another Georgian, Buddy Carter, carries it still. In all that time,
it has never once received a floor vote, and the question of why is the
last act of tonight's story. For its first several years, the Fair Tax lived in the
Wonk Zone, known to policy people and almost nobody else, and what blew it into the mainstream
was radio. Neil Borts, an Atlanta-based talk host with a huge syndicated audience and a
libertarian streak a mile wide, had been pounding the idea on the air for years, and in 2005
he and Linder wrote The Fair Tax Book, a short, punchy, plain language explanation of the
whole plan. It debuted at number one on the New York Times bestseller list. Rallies for the plan
started drawing crowds by the thousands across the South. The movement claimed hundreds of thousands
of grassroots supporters and Americans for fair taxation grew into what it billed as the largest
single-issue taxpayer organization in the country. Then came the 2008 presidential race,
and with it the fair tax's strangest and most electric moment in the sun. Mike Huckabee,
The former Arkansas governor running as a cheerful long shot,
adopted the Fair Tax as a centerpiece of his campaign,
and Fair Tax Volunteers became a visible chunk of his ground army.
And when Huckabee shocked the field by winning the Iowa caucuses,
the Fair Tax was suddenly being explained, usually badly,
on every cable network in America.
Other candidates endorsed it or flirted with it,
and for one campaign season,
abolishing the IRS was a live question in American for,
presidential politics.
The moment brought a backlash, and the backlash produced one of the weirdest subplots
you will ever hear in a tax story, which on this show is saying something.
In 2007, the conservative economist Bruce Bartlett, a former Reagan official who loathed
the fair tax, published a piece claiming the plan had originally been devised by the Church
of Scientology.
Here's the actual thread underneath that headline.
In the early 90s, there was a group called Citizens for an Authorization.
alternative tax system, which promoted a national retail sales tax and had roots among
Scientologists, whose church at the time was locked in a famous blood feud with the IRS.
Stay tuned for more disturbing history. We'll be back after these messages.
That group went courting Texas money, and there were meetings at one point involving Jack
Trotter. But the record, including reporting openly hostile to the fair tax, indicates that
nothing ever came of those meetings, in part because Trotter wanted no association with Scientology
whatsoever. Americans for Fair Taxation was founded separately, funded its own independent academic
research, and produced its own legislation. Linder called Bartlett's claim a case of confusing
two entirely different organizations, and Lindbeck stated flatly that Scientology played no
role in the founding, the research, or the crafting of the fair tax. Now,
Bartlett had real economic criticisms, and I'll give those their due in a minute.
But the Scientology framing was guilt by proximity,
and it tells you something about how threatened the tax establishment felt,
that the attack led with cult association instead of arithmetic.
Politics being politics, the fair tax has spent the years since as a football,
endorsed in primaries and disowned in generals.
Opposition researchers love it,
because a 30% sales tax makes a devastating,
attack at as long as you never mentioned the repealed income tax, the repealed payroll tax,
or the prebate, and whole campaigns have been built on exactly that omission. Every few years,
the bill resurfaces in Congress, draws a burst of coverage and returns to committee where it sleeps,
which brings us as promised to the honest part. Start with the rate fight because it poisons
every fair tax conversation within about 90 seconds. The legislation says 23 percent, and critics say
the real number is 30. So here's the actual math, made concrete. Say a new television carries a
price of $100 before tax, and the tax at the register is $30, so you pay $130 in total.
Stated the way American sales taxes are always stated as a markup on the sticker. That's a 30%
tax. Stated the way income taxes are always stated. As a share of the total that left your pocket,
$30 out of $130 comes to about 23%. Both sentences describe the identical transaction without one penny of
difference between them. The advocates argue that 23 is the honest framing for this particular debate,
because the entire question is how the plan compares to income taxes, and income tax rates are
quoted inclusively. If you're in a 25% bracket, you pay $25 out of every hundred you earn,
and under the fair tax, you'd pay 23 out of every hundred you spend,
which is the same yardstick.
The critics answered that ordinary people hear the words sales tax and think sticker markup,
so leading with 23 feels like spin,
and some have flatly called it deceptive.
My own view is that the advocates have the better logical argument
and made the worst marketing decision,
because they handed every opponent a free deception charge
in exchange for a talking point that takes a full minute to explain.
And in politics, if you're explaining arithmetic, you're losing.
But a framing dispute is not a substantive flaw in a tax plan,
and anyone who leads their attack with it is usually telling you they'd rather not discuss the substance.
First, the rate itself might not hold.
When President George W. Bush convened a bipartisan advisory panel on tax reform in 2005,
It examined a national retail sales tax and concluded that replacing the taxes in question
would require a rate meaningfully higher than the advocates claimed, particularly once you account
for evasion and for the political likelihood that Congress would exempt sympathetic categories
like food, medicine, and housing, shrinking the base and forcing the rate up on everything left.
Some hostile estimates ran far higher still.
The Fair Tax Economist fired back that the panel had quietly,
analyzed a plan that was not the fair tax at all, one with a narrower base and different assumptions
than the actual legislation, and researchers like Lawrence Kotlakov of Boston University
published work defending the plan's revenue math. I've read chunks of both sides, and my honest
summary is this. The 23% rate holds only if the base stays as broad as the bill writes it,
because every exemption is a rate increase on everything else, which means the plan's
biggest fiscal danger is Congress doing what Congress always does, carving out sympathetic
exceptions until the thing collapses back into the very complexity it was built to escape.
That's a real risk.
Notice, though, that it's an argument about Congress, not about the tax.
Second, evasion.
Skeptics point out that no country on earth runs a retail sales tax at anywhere near this rate,
and that nations wanting serious consumption revenue use value-added taxes collected in
stages precisely because a single point of collection at high rates invites cheating through
off-the-book sales, fake business exemption certificates, and gray markets.
That criticism has teep.
The fair tax answer is that collection concentrates in a relatively small number of retailers who
handle the overwhelming bulk of retail volume, that states already police sales tax collection
every day, that the current system's own evasion is gigantic, with hundreds of business.
billions in income tax legally owed and simply never collected every single year.
And that one tax at one visible point is inherently easier to police
than a system where every household and business in America self-reports its own liability
across 70,000 pages of rules.
16 years of law enforcement makes me sympathetic to simplicity as an enforcement principle.
Because every cop learns that you get compliance with rules people can understand.
But I won't pretend a 30-per-exharesby.
percent register markup wouldn't create smuggling pressure because it would. The real question is
whether it beats the fraud we already have, and nobody on either side can prove their answer,
because nothing like this has ever been tried at this scale. Third, distribution. Critics argue
the plan shifts the burden away from the very wealthy, who spend only a small fraction of what
they make, and onto the broad middle, who spend most of it, and Mitt Romney, of all people, once made this
case with a thought experiment about a billionaire whose investment income currently generates
an enormous tax bill, but who might spend only a sliver of that income, and who would
owe tax under the fair tax only on the sliver. The advocates respond that this snapshot ignores
time, because wealth is eventually spent, whether by the billionaire, his heirs, or his
estate's beneficiaries, and it gets taxed when it is, with no stepped-up basis games, no trusts, and no
loopholes, because the register doesn't care who you are. They also note that the current code
taxes billionaires far more gently in practice than it does on paper, which recent reporting on
the effective tax rates of the ultra-wealthy has made very hard to deny. Both points are partly right,
and where you land depends on whether you believe the fair base for taxation is what a person
takes out of the common pot, meaning consumption, or what they put in, meaning income.
Fourth, transition. Retirees who paid income taxed their whole lives on the money they saved
would now pay sales tax spending it, a double hit, softened but not erased by the prebate,
and by the disappearance of taxes on their social security checks and investment gains.
Home builders worry about new construction being taxed while existing homes aren't.
State governments would face taxable purchases and conformity headaches of their own.
These are genuine engineering problems, and the bill addresses some of them better than others.
And fifth, the one nobody has a real answer for.
The 16th Amendment would still exist.
Pass the fair tax by ordinary statute, and a future Congress could reinstate an income tax right on top of the sales tax,
leaving us with both, which is exactly the European experience and my personal nightmare scenario.
The bill's authors know it, which is why the legislation carries a sales tax.
sunset clause. If the 16th Amendment isn't repealed within a set number of years, the fair
tax itself terminates. Repealing a constitutional amendment takes two-thirds of Congress and three
quarters of the states, and it has been done exactly once in American history, when the country
decided it wanted its liquor back. Whether it would do the same to get its liberty back as an open
question. Every criticism of the fair tax is an argument that it might not work as advertised. Every
observation about the current system is a documented account of failure already in progress.
We are not comparing a risky proposal to a functioning machine. We are comparing a risky proposal
to 6 billion hours of annual paperwork, to a code no human being has read, to a compliance
industry the size of a war economy, to an agency with a dossier on every family, to a favor
factory that corrupts both parties on contact, and to a collection method deliberately engineered
so that citizens can't feel what their government costs.
Which leaves the last question.
If the idea polls well when it's explained,
if the research is real,
if the bill has sat in Congress for a quarter century
with co-sponsors and a movement behind it,
why hasn't it ever even come up for a vote?
You already know the answer.
You've known it since the Stamp Act.
Power.
The tax code is not a revenue system that happens to confer power.
It is a power system that happens to raise revenue.
The ability to reward an industry with a deduction and punish one with a repeal.
To trade a carve out for a campaign check.
To audit an enemy and comfort a friend.
To hide the true price of the state inside paychecks and shelf prices.
That is the deepest pool of quiet power in Washington.
And the fair tax doesn't reform that pool.
It drains it.
Every lobbyist who's living is the code.
Every politician whose leverage is the code.
agency whose reach is the code. All of them lose, together, on the same day. And there is no more
unified, well-funded, bipartisan coalition in America than the people who benefit from tax
complexity. Nobody holds a rally for it. Nobody has to. The three Houston founders understood that
from the very start, which is why they built a grassroots organization instead of simply hiring
lobbyists.
Lindbeck said it straight out.
The insiders tied to the status quo will never overturn it.
And if it happens at all, it will have to come from the American people.
None of the three men who wrote those first checks lived to see it.
Trotter died in 2009.
Lindbeck in 2013.
McNair in 2018.
And the bill they paid for is still sitting in committee.
Maybe it always will be.
But I keep thinking about that elm tree in Boston.
The men who gathered under it were not tax economists.
They couldn't have modeled revenue neutrality to save their lives.
What they had was a working pair of eyes and a principle.
The understanding that a tax you cannot see, levied by people you cannot reach,
under rules you cannot know, is not a fee.
It's a leash.
They spotted it in a stamp on a newspaper of all things.
A charge so small we laugh at it today.
And their descendants now sit still for a system that takes the
money before the worker ever holds it. Under a law longer than any human life is sufficient to read.
And we call that normal. The fair tax may or may not be the exact right answer. I think it's the
best one anybody has put on the table and I've told you why. And you've heard the other side.
But whatever you decide about the plan, decide something. Look hard at your next pay stub.
Find the gap between what you earned and what you received. And remember that the gap was designed
by very smart people, specifically so you wouldn't.
The colonists threw the tea in the harbor over a principle, and the tea was cheap.
The principle wasn't. It still isn't.
