Dwarkesh Podcast - Andy Matuschak — The reason most learning tools fail

Episode Date: July 12, 2023

A few weeks ago, I sat beside Andy Matuschak to record how he reads a textbook.Even though my own job is to learn things, I was shocked with how much more intense, painstaking, and effective his learn...ing process was.So I asked if we could record a conversation about how he learns and a bunch of other topics:* How he identifies and interrogates his confusion (much harder than it seems, and requires an extremely effortful and slow pace)* Why memorization is essential to understanding and decision-making* How come some people (like Tyler Cowen) can integrate so much information without an explicit note taking or spaced repetition system.* How LLMs and video games will change education* How independent researchers and writers can make money* The balance of freedom and discipline in education* Why we produce fewer von Neumann-like prodigies nowadays* How multi-trillion dollar companies like Apple (where he was previously responsible for bedrock iOS features) manage to coordinate millions of different considerations (from the cost of different components to the needs of users, etc) into new products designed by 10s of 1000s of people.Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platform. Read the full transcript here. Follow me on Twitter for updates on future episodes.To see Andy’s process in action, check out the video where we record him studying a quantum physics textbook, talking aloud about his thought process, and using his memory system prototype to internalize the material.You can check out his website and personal notes, and follow him on Twitter.CometeerVisit cometeer.com/lunar for $20 off your first order on the best coffee of your life!If you want to sponsor an episode, contact me at dwarkesh.sanjay.patel@gmail.com.Timestamps(00:00:52) - Skillful reading(00:02:30) - Do people care about understanding?(00:06:52) - Structuring effective self-teaching(00:16:37) - Memory and forgetting(00:33:10) - Andy’s memory practice(00:40:07) - Intellectual stamina(00:44:27) - New media for learning (video, games, streaming)(00:58:51) - Schools are designed for the median student(01:05:12) - Is learning inherently miserable?(01:11:57) - How Andy would structure his kids’ education(01:30:00) - The usefulness of hypertext(01:41:22) - How computer tools enable iteration(01:50:44) - Monetizing public work(02:08:36) - Spaced repetition(02:10:16) - Andy’s personal website and notes(02:12:44) - Working at Apple(02:19:25) - Spaced repetition 2 Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe

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Starting point is 00:00:00 We under appreciate the role that memory has in our lives. If what you're trying to do is to understand something pretty difficult, your ability to understand that thing is still absolutely going to be bound on your memory of the constituent material. For the median student, the education system mostly wants to make the student do things they don't want to do. It's not about helping them achieve their goals more easily or more effectively, for the most part. It's about achieving goals that aren't theirs. The histories in educational psychology that I'm most aligned with are the
Starting point is 00:00:30 like the most robotic, authoritarian kind of histories, and also the ones that are most like kind of unschooling and Montessori-esque. Do LLMs make memorization more or less valuable? LLMs depend on our ability to externalize things and to make them legible. Basically, everyone in the educational space are focused on really like the bottom quartile, like not even medium. Today I have the pleasure of speaking with Andy Matushak, who is a researcher, engineer, and designer working on tools for thought. In addition to this podcast on Andy's YouTube channel, we did an interesting collaboration,
Starting point is 00:01:06 which I encourage you all to check out, where I just watched Andy try to learn some new material. So it was just an intro chapter of quantum mechanics. And I honestly, I was expecting to see some cool techniques or be impressed, but I was way more surprised than I expected to be by the deliberateness, the effortfulness, of the practice, how, what was really, I mean, it was like 15 minutes a page in this textbook.
Starting point is 00:01:35 And any small thing that Andy thought, like, I don't fully understand this. The author is trying to say something here. He's trying to draw an analogy or relationship. I'm not sure I totally comprehend the relationship between this, you know, classical mechanics equation and the quantum mechanics equation the author thinks is analogous. Just really delving deep in that. So I was super, I thought that was really interesting that this is. a way to approach a new material.
Starting point is 00:02:00 Yeah, so in this conversation, I'm looking forward to talking with Andy about not only that experience, but a whole bunch of his other research and the other tools he's built. Let me ask you this. So that experience made me think, listen, this is somebody who actually cares about understanding the material, like we're going through it this deliberately. Do you think people in general care about actually integrating and understanding the material they're consuming in books and textbooks? Don't you think they'd make more an effort to actually
Starting point is 00:02:28 assimilate that information if they cared to get it? Yeah. I mean, I think the statement is just a little too general, probably to comment on. I mean, so I think it's certainly the case that most students don't actually want to do this because they're learning stuff that they don't actually care about learning, or even if they do care about learning it, often, like, there isn't a clear connection between whatever reading or activity they're doing in the moment and, like, the thing that originally inspired them for the subject, like what they actually want to do. And so there's always something tenuous going on. I think on the other hand, like, it's amazing to look at, say, subredits and to look at the level
Starting point is 00:03:07 of nerdery and fascination that will be brought to bear on, you know, gardening equipment or, like, knots, for instance. You know, people are competing to tie some very obscure, you know, 18th century knot or whatever, and they're flipping through almanacs from the period. So, like, when people are interested in it connects to something that's truly meaningful for them, I think they really do want to absorb, and we see that in their behavior. There's a second thing that I think it is relevant. Well, to explain this, I will reference Mortimer Adler and Van Doren's How to Read a Book, which is a great guide on serious reading.
Starting point is 00:03:43 And they consider the case of people who often have books on their bedside table, and sometimes they're very difficult or demanding books. These are kind of aspirational, like, oh, I wish I could read King Lear. I want to be the kind of person who reads King Lear, you put it on your bedside table and people will like read it before bed. And they'll find that they like fall asleep while they're reading it. They're not really absorbing or understanding this book. I mean, it's not just an issue of memory. It's like they simply are not apprehending the words on the page.
Starting point is 00:04:12 And the authors of how to read a book make the case that like the issue here with these people who are falling asleep reading King Lear is in many cases, it's not that they don't want to stay awake and to really deal with that. text, in many cases it's that they actually don't know how. They butt their heads up against this very difficult wall of material. It's almost like maybe a rock climber who's not very experienced going up against a wall that all it has is these like really subtle notches. To an experienced rock climber, those subtle notches are like a ladder, right? Like they can get right in there and start like making some progress and seeing what's up with this wall. But if you're an inexperienced rock climber, it just looks like a solid wall. So the claim, maybe, maybe this is an optimistic claim. You can take me to task is that there is such a thing as being a
Starting point is 00:05:05 more skillful reader. And being a more skillful reader, well, actually in practice, in many cases, when the reading is aligned with your actual interests, produce a more serious, more understanding forward kind of reading. Right. So there's like two models of why people might fail to retain the material they're consuming. One is they got it at some point, but they forgot it. And the other is they never understood it in the first place. And they just never noticed that they never understood it. And what was really, what I found really interesting was you going paragraph by paragraph,
Starting point is 00:05:37 sentence by sentence, have I got this? And by the way, this was material that I had tried to go through the week before. And there were things when you dwelled on something. I'm like, actually, I don't understand that either. And I didn't notice I didn't understand that. How are you able to notice your confusion while you were going through? This is, again, a habit. It's a skill that can be built.
Starting point is 00:05:59 Adler and Van Doren suggest that the first and most important rule of skillful reading, active reading, is asking questions and trying to answer them. And that really, if you just dwell on that and dwell on well, what kinds of questions should I be asking and how should I go about asking them? How should I go about answering them when the author isn't present? and so on and so forth, they'll get very far. And they also say conversely, and like, this isn't meant as a criticism, an undemanding reader asks no questions and gets no answers.
Starting point is 00:06:28 And I certainly have read many, many books that way, particularly before I developed this habit. And I often found myself falling into that second category of, you know, the issue was not that I failed to remember things, but rather that my eyes just kind of skidded across paragraphs without even realizing. You're halfway through a chapter and you're thinking, what is the chapter about? Okay, so a brighter question is now that we have all these online resources, some of which, you know, you've helped develop Khan Academy and elsewhere, it seems that the value of conscientiousness as a trait has dramatically increased.
Starting point is 00:07:07 If you can motivate yourself to learn these things, the world is out there for you to absorb. What are the sort of design or UI or even content modifications that can be made to give you a conscientiousness boost? Where in the past, you have a professor, you have peers, you have in-person deadlines that motivates you. Is there something equivalent to a pen and paper, how that boost your mathematical IQ for conscientiousness? Right. So one enduring result in education psychology is that when you're doing a lot of cognition, metacognition is difficult. So what I mean by that is like when you're thinking really hard about the stuff on the page, it's very difficult for you to like plan, regulate yourself, figure out what the best next action to do is reflect and evaluate, you know, whether you're understanding things, you know, all the stuff that we're talking about, about asking questions. That all that gets harder as the material gets harder and as it gets less familiar.
Starting point is 00:08:05 So one common thread, at least in learning science stuff, has been to outsource metacognition. So some of the ways we outsource that are actually very familiar. They're things like somebody gives you a syllabus and tells you what to read when. You reference that. So that is a user interface. That is a design practice. If you're a self-motivated student, one thing you can do, and that I've done is just go appropriate a syllabus from some graduate level course that corresponds to the text that you're reading and say, like, well, that might be a good guy. as to what's most important how to approach this.
Starting point is 00:08:39 There are also lots of things that one can build directly into the interfaces. Just as one example, in quantum country, which was a textbook that Michael Nielsen and I developed to explore some ideas around augmented reading experiences, we embedded a bunch of review questions every, say, 1,500 words or so in this text on quantum computation. And our primary intention in doing this was to help people remember what they read. And we had this theory that part of what makes it hard to learn a complex subject is that there's all these new definitions and notation and terms and things being thrown at you at once, and you're being asked to combine these things which are still unfamiliar.
Starting point is 00:09:24 And so you're constantly having to retrieve these elements and struggling to do it, either it's taking a while or your success rate is low. So anyway, that was our motivation. But it had this other metacognitive benefit that was really important, that you read 1,500 words and now you're being asked these questions. That is an opportunity for you to notice that you did not, in fact, absorb what was in that thing. Not that you don't remember, but that, like, you know,
Starting point is 00:09:50 there's a word in the question that is apparently important that you simply didn't even notice. And so not only does that give you feedback, so it tells you, oh, maybe you need to go reread that specific section, but it may also change your behavior towards future sections. So in interviews, readers told us, for instance, that after they reach the first set of questions or a particularly difficult set of questions, they found themselves slowing down and reading more attentively or realizing actually that their reading practices were ineffective in general. you're kind of in the way that you were mentioning towards the start of the conversation. There's been a bunch of research on the key phrase here is something like adjunct questions, questions that go along with a text. That's kind of like what I was just talking about. And they have all kinds of effects.
Starting point is 00:10:41 So the adjunct questions have the kind of effects on forward material I was just describing. And they also have the effect of making you kind of reflect on what you've just learned. And in addition to the questions being asked, you might. find yourself pondering while I'm being asked about this, but why does this matter? Yeah. On the point of adopting a syllabus from somebody else, I mean, one problem you might have as a self-learner is you have some goal, this is the reason I'm learning this, and then you start thinking, well, do I really need this chapter?
Starting point is 00:11:10 Do I really need this content? At this point, you're doing the metacognition that you were using, you're trying to use a syllabus to avoid. Yeah. If you are trying to self-learn and there is a resource that is a close approximation, of the syllabus you want. Should you just like, hey, I don't know why I need this chapter or I'm just going to go through it? Or should you use your own judgment there?
Starting point is 00:11:32 This is, I think, like a pretty classic issue for learning in general. You have this problem where you have to sort of, to bootstrap yourself in a domain, you have to outsource the question of what is necessary to know. You might know, for instance, that you really want to build, you know, a model that can generate images given descriptions or something like that, like mid-journey. But you don't even know what you need to study to do that. So you know, you pick up some textbooks on machine learning. You're kind of outsourcing the answer to this question to the author, like what is necessary to know to build things. Maybe you can find a book that's actually labeled what you need to know to make an image
Starting point is 00:12:12 generating model. But even then, you're outsourcing your answer to the author. So you can take that answer as a start and treat it as tentative and, you know, revise it iterative. And as you become more skilled, you can lean less on it. And you probably should. I think, like, a very common mistake that people make is to feel like they need to do the thing the right way. And that is exhaustive and completionist or something. If they fail, because they find themselves bored or unmotivated, because the material
Starting point is 00:12:47 doesn't actually seem to relate to what they want to know, but they're just kind of going on faith that, like, well, if I follow what the author says, you know, everything will be good. anyway, they find themselves having trouble for that reason, and then they just stop. So this is bad. And they would be better off just skipping around according to their interest and continuing. One of the thing I'll say about this is that the role that these syllabi play is as a scaffold. This is sort of a term of art from learning science, but it's actually, it relates to the thing we're familiar with. If you want to get higher up a building, you may not be able to climb it yourself, but
Starting point is 00:13:24 but you can build some scaffolding around it, and then suddenly you can reach that top shelf or the top of that building. Where the metaphor breaks down is that although scaffolding is ubiquitous in education, we give you simpler versions of questions first. That's a kind of scaffolding. We partially work the answer first.
Starting point is 00:13:44 That's a kind of scaffolding. We give you worked examples first where we might ask you to predict the next step of the worked example. That's also a kind of scaffolding. Where the metaphor breaks down is that once you become more capable, we try to remove the scaffolding. It's called fading. The idea is that once you have solved a lot of calculus problems, you don't need half of it worked out, and you're just like filling in one of the blanks anymore.
Starting point is 00:14:10 And in fact, doing that would not be as effective a learning experience. So the application with the syllabi might be something like, if I'm studying something in computer science, which is a domain that I know really well, I don't need those syllabi, not in the same way for most subjects. And I think that's mostly just because the amount of cognitive demand that's placed on me by the subject is just much lower than it is for other subjects. So much of it is familiar already that I can deploy my own planning more effectively as I go. But it's also the case that because I know so many things about the subject, I can do a better job from the get-go of making a plan. Because making a plan requires kind of modeling a path or predicting a path or saying, like, well, I guess I'd need to see how this connects to that or something like this. And if your destination and your starting point are very far away, then you can't necessarily see all the things in between or how to draw those.
Starting point is 00:15:16 lines, but if those things are only a couple hops away, you can maybe kind of infer pretty accurately. Right. I guess this maybe implies that if you do want to learn about a subject, it might just be helpful to just do an intro to X subject course or textbook, not necessarily because it is instrumentally valuable to, I don't know, whatever problem you're interested in, but because it'll give you the context by which to proceed on, like the actual learning. Yeah. That's true. It's also. the case that like you don't even know, like you don't know all the stuff there is. Right. And this is another key problem. There's another reason why we outsource stuff.
Starting point is 00:15:55 Like, there's a fundamental tension in unschooling, for instance. Like, just let the kids pursue what they're interested in. And like, that's cool. There's a lot of good things about that. But also, like, say that a kid's like true passion turns out to be like, I don't know, ocean geology or something. And they're in a landlocked country and there's just no one around them that talks about ocean geology, then they're like missing out on some great opportunity. But, you know, if the school had a program where they are like bringing in guest speakers or whatever, and then there's a special lecture on ocean geology from this person and it lights up the kid's world, even if they wouldn't have chosen that lecture, like, that's a good thing.
Starting point is 00:16:33 Yeah. On schooling is actually an interesting subject to talk to you about. We'll get back to that. But before that, I want to ask you about this excerpt from a Paul Graham block post, how you know is the title of the post. and it says reading and experience train your model of the world. And even if you forget the experience or what you read, its effect on your model of the world persist.
Starting point is 00:16:55 Your mind is like a compiled program you've lost a source of. It works, but you don't know why. So it's a compiled program, you don't need the source code. Is it okay that we're forgetting so much of what we're reading? Yeah, yeah. I mean, what he's saying is true to some extent, whether or not that extent is sufficient is going to depend a great deal on the situation and on what you need.
Starting point is 00:17:16 If your aspiration actually depends on having a deep, detailed understanding of the material, then the kind of imprint on your worldview or on your automatic responses or something like that made by the book may not be sufficient. On the other hand, if what you want is to absorb a lot of different ways of looking at the world, knowing the details of these, isn't necessarily important. Maybe you just want to know, like, well, Confucius emphasizes community and society as a moral patient in contrast, maybe to be individualism of a bunch of humanist philosophers.
Starting point is 00:17:56 And, like, that's kind of the level that you feel like you need to make decisions in that domain. Then I think that's fine. Very practically speaking, it's funny that he uses the word compile. Because, like, one of the prominent theories of cognition, that is, like, how we come to know and learn things is this theory called Actar by John Anderson. And a key part of it is this process that he calls knowledge compilation. This is the process by which we take individual facts and turn them into higher level patterns that we can generalize and apply in more contexts.
Starting point is 00:18:38 And I think that's what Paul is gesturing at, that you read a book, it can contains like a story, a case study. And by reading it, you learn to generalize to some extent, and you apply it in other contexts when it seems relevant. The reason why I bring up Anderson's theory is just that, like, he has a bunch of specific claims about, like, what's necessary for knowledge compilation to happen, and like what you'll be able to do as a consequence
Starting point is 00:19:05 of certain degrees of knowledge compilation. I think, like, he'd probably respond to this by saying something like, you know, actually in order to effectively compile things that you've learned, into schemas that will match feature scenarios effectively, then you need to be exposed repeatedly to those things. You need to use them. You need to do a variety of things that will basically show your brain that is relevant to apply these things in combination.
Starting point is 00:19:30 And simply reading probably won't do that. But if you read and you have a lot of conversations and you're in a context where it's kind of demanding and it's drawing on what you read, then you may naturally do that kind of compilation step. I've actually been thinking about this in preparation of talking with you where I look back on some of my old conversations. And, you know, I've had the pleasure to talk to a lot of interesting people across a lot of different fields.
Starting point is 00:19:53 And at the time I interviewed them and had done all the prep, I actually kind of had a lot more context than I can remember now. Sometimes I'll listen back to a conversation. And I won't even remember the content in the conversation. And I know I remember thinking after the conversation, I knew so much more about this field and was compressed into this one hour interview, right? I had to prep other things that might come up. And afterwards, I'm like, I don't even remember the things that were in this one hour.
Starting point is 00:20:17 But then the other part of me thinks, well, I'm getting better at doing the podcast. That might imply that, you know, I've picked up something. But it is a shame that I didn't have some sort of rigorous practice throughout the time of, you know, retaining the material that I was keeping. Well, yeah. I mean, I expect the main way in which you're getting better is actually not really about any of the details of those materials. I think it's about your practices as an interviewer.
Starting point is 00:20:42 the way that you generate questions, like you probably have a bunch of patterns, whether you know it or not. Like, you read a thing that a person has written in hopes of generating good questions about it. And even though you don't have this habit for textbooks yet maybe of constantly demanding things of the textbook, you have, I think, started to develop this of essays or blog posts that interesting people you're interviewing have read. And to point to this Anderson theory, like in the course of repeatedly doing that, you've made it automatic, parts of it automatic, so that you don't need to do it consciously. You can focus more on the material. You can probably take on more difficult material or actually understand material at a higher level than you could have before because less of yourself is engaged in this kind of question of how do I make the questions from the material. Yeah, I certainly helps it. Otherwise, there's a question to be asked when I've been doing all these years.
Starting point is 00:21:42 So, you know, having interviewed some of these people who are infovores and have consumed and continuously consume a lot of content, this is something you also noticed and pointed out in your notes. But, you know, Tyler Cowen, for example, I don't think he has any sort of note-taking practice. No. No. You know, just devours information. Yeah. What is your theory of how these people are integrating things? Right.
Starting point is 00:22:06 That they're... Tyler's a good example. I think he's actually a little easier than some others we might discuss. So let's talk about Tyler for a second. One of the other things that's so interesting about Tyler is his writing obligations. So this is a man who's blogged every day since, I don't know, 2007 or something like this, and has a Bloomberg column, I think weekly, something like 1,500 words. And also has published something like a book a year for, I don't know, a decade or more,
Starting point is 00:22:33 and occasionally publishes some academic articles. plus like a bunch of other collateral. So like that is notes. And I think it's also important to note that like the way that Tyler writes these blog posts and the way that Tyler does these columns and even the books is very different from the way that many other book authors work. Like Tyler, the blog posts often have this like real first draft mentality to them. Like he's just thinking out loud.
Starting point is 00:23:02 Right, right. And he's got decades of practice thinking. thinking out loud and like writing down a decent take the first time. And so he, you know, he gets something pretty good the first time much of the time. And that works for him. So like, that kind of is a note, right? Like doing the thing, I guess like your initial thoughts on the subject is kind of what you would write in a note. Yeah. One of my former guest, Scott Young, was comparing Brian Kaplan into Tyler Cowan's books. And he said, you read a Brian Kaplan book. And it's like a chess game. Right. Like the opponent is, if you try to move a pawn up on this case
Starting point is 00:23:34 for education. I've got this, you know, rook that I can move here. With Tyler, it's more like, you know, he's like shooting the shit on a subject, basically. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Pangladeshi train stations. Yeah, right, right. On a separate question, do, um, do LLMs make memorization more or less valuable, right? So there's a case you can make for both, but on net, are you, is it more important to have more on key cards in your deck, not that cheap B.C.4s out. Maybe this is a good time to talk about what memorization is or like what it's for. So we could use that word to refer to the practice of like learning more trivia, for instance. So for instance, a thing that I and some people I know have done
Starting point is 00:24:12 is gone through this book, Cell Biology by the Numbers, which says all of these things. Like, how big exactly is a nucleotide? Like, how much volume does it take up? It's kind of helpful occasionally to know that it's about a nanoleter and that that can help you model things. So you can just, like, commit all of those things to memory, right? That's one kind of memorization.
Starting point is 00:24:30 And we could talk about how LMs affect that. But I just want to make the case. case that so much of what you do and experience day to day is memory bound or is memory influenced in important ways. So just for instance, your ability to understand a difficult argument, even in the course of a text is memory bound. Some of that's working memory, but your ability to understand an argument that has many steps in it, more steps than you can keep in your working memory, depends on your ability to think of some of those steps in terms of some stuff that you already know so that you can kind of reduce it or abstracted.
Starting point is 00:25:14 Likewise, in creative work, there's a bunch of studies trying to catalog case studies of how it is that people have flashes of insight. You know, it's a little hard to talk about that. But one of the things that's a pretty consistent source for insight for people is noticing a surprising connection or a surprising contradiction, probably feels pretty familiar. right? Like you're reading through the newspaper and you see like, you know, people have finally figured out how to do X and you're like, wait a minute, that means if I combine it with this other thing, like we'd be able to do Y or something like that, you know. Now that's only possible
Starting point is 00:25:48 if the other thing is in your memory. Like if you have to think to look up the other thing, then the newspaper wouldn't seem so salient to you. Likewise, like, in just really boring ways, early on in my time in Khan Academy, I just, learned in a very thorough way using memory systems, just a whole lot of details about the education market. And this let me be in high-level executive kind of conversations where we're trying to figure out strategy stuff and somebody would propose a particular direction
Starting point is 00:26:22 or what about this, what about that? And I could say, like, well, you know, the total budget spending for instructional materials is this. And like that market is growing by this percent per year and 10 percent of students in the U.S. are in this place and, you know, and so on and so forth. So basically, like, on the fly, I can evaluate ideas in a way that others can't. So anyway, this and other things are kind of just part of my rant about people.
Starting point is 00:26:48 I think in general, we underappreciate the role that memory has in our lives. So just to come back to the question, explicit memorization or explicit making sure that you can recall the thing reliably, we can test it against these things. So for the case of the creative instinct, for instance, noticing the contradiction. noticing the connection. I imagine that we will have future notebooks that will do some of this noticing with us and that will decrease our need
Starting point is 00:27:17 to be able to rely on our own sense of salience or something like that. But I guess I don't know how much. I'm skeptical that, like, my own experience coming up with weird ideas that feel very new, is that it feels very personal, if it feels very inquiet,
Starting point is 00:27:39 I often haven't been able to describe textually the constituents of the thing very clearly. There's just kind of a feeling that something in this general direction is connected with something in that general direction or there's a tension, and so that makes me a little hesitant. LLMs depend on our ability to externalize things
Starting point is 00:27:57 and to make them legible. Back to the learning point about the rule of memory, if what you're trying to do is to understand something pretty difficult, your ability to understand that thing is still absolutely going to be bound on your memory of the constituent material. Do you think there's value in, there's pedagogical value in forgetting? So I guess some sort of anecdotal or unrelated evidence is in, you know, neural networks, sometimes you can improve performance by pruning some of the weights. Obviously, we forget things, right? So clearly we don't remember everything.
Starting point is 00:28:30 when we sleep, we lose a lot of our memories. Is there possible that if we're getting the details and only getting the gist, that actually helps us better generalize the insights we're getting from texts and things like that? What do you think of that way of thinking? Yeah, it could be. So memory is very connected to attention,
Starting point is 00:28:44 and we can't attend everything. So one of the roles of memory is to help guide us to the things that are important. So like maybe I happen to know the magnitude and energy of an electron volt. That's something I can draw on because of the memory system stuff. But I also don't want that to be front and center in my mind all the time.
Starting point is 00:29:04 I don't want to be hyper-salient the way that, I don't know, some very important design principle is to me. So, yeah, there's some role there. There's some theories that the reason we have forgetting is that our environment, our ancestral environment, was very traumatic. And so our episodic memory in particular, we would like to maybe not be all that faithful. I actually, I don't know the status of those theories.
Starting point is 00:29:30 Probably where you forget dreams as well, right? Like, dreams are pretty traumatic if you thought of them are the same as a real life experience. Yeah. So, I mean, another weird thing about memory is that as far as we can determine, memories aren't lost exactly, at least not completely. There's a bunch of, there's a series of interesting experiments that people have used to demonstrate that, you know, decades later, like,
Starting point is 00:29:50 things are still there. If you can cue them right, people can bring things back, even things that they feel are lost. and of course, like, you can also cue people in ways that are hallucinatory, so we need to be careful about that. I guess the reason why I bring that up is that it flies in the face of this view that, like, there's a limit. Like, one of the things that I think is kind of weird about this memory system stuff or like memory champions, ships or something like that, is people like, oh, if you do these things, like, will you start to forget other like normal human stuff? And what's weird is, like, no.
Starting point is 00:30:25 You know, I've been doing this memory system stuff for years. Like, I just know more stuff now. And this is aligned with the experimental literature, which seems to suggest that, like, there's probably upper bounds, but we're not close to them. And some of these memory champions have memorized, I mean, truly absurd, you know, orders of magnitude, maybe two orders of magnitude, more things than I have practiced. Certainly people who are multilingual have really, really absurd numbers of things memorized. So there isn't, like, a resource.
Starting point is 00:30:58 course management argument. Huh. Well, if there isn't, why do we forget so many things? Is there some reason the brain just... Yeah. Some of the things we're doing across. Maybe they're just not... We were training the ancestral environment to find certain things salient
Starting point is 00:31:14 that just don't map on to books. No, it's a good question. So we're getting to a part of the cognitive science space that I'm less familiar with and also that I suspect we simply know less about. But let me just riff a little bit. it. One of the things that we sort of know is this idea of spreading activation. So when you go to try to look something up or when you try to deal with a particular situation, there's something almost kind of like DNS exchanges or like routing on a network or something where, okay,
Starting point is 00:31:48 like we start from some point that it's like a stimulus and just speaking very informally, like we kind of expand outwards from there. And there are effectively like weights on those connections and by tuning those weights effectively we like route the packets on the network effectively memory is encoded in these weights at least partially so if you didn't forget things then you might just have this like weird cacophony on the network and in particular like what's salient what to do next like which response seems most appropriate to this question like you might answer those kinds of things very ineffectively because all this stuff is coming up for you that is much less relevant.
Starting point is 00:32:30 Like one of the theories about how well we remember stuff in what circumstances is actually called predictive utility theory. And it suggests that like the probability of retrieval of a particular item in a given situation actually does correspond with basically a model of how, like to what extent the brain predicts it will be useful. Right. And then the prediction doesn't necessarily map on to... Doesn't necessarily, exactly.
Starting point is 00:32:55 And so like, you know, when you repeatedly access them, thing. When you practice retrieving it, the prediction of the utility of the thing goes up. Yeah. And when you do it in a variety of situations, it goes up across a broader distribution. Okay, so this is interesting. When did you start your memory practice? Presumably it was after Apple? Yeah. Okay. So let me ask you this. So at Apple, you were in charge of a bunch of important flagship features on iOS and I'm guessing other things. Presumably, you didn't have some sort of practice, but since you were encountering these things day to day, that natural frequency
Starting point is 00:33:31 and way in which problems came up, did you have a worse understanding of this problems and the things now knowing what you do and having the practices you do, you're able to comprehend now? I don't know if that question made sense. No, that's a great question. So, I mean, like, here's a fun thing.
Starting point is 00:33:47 I was much better at what I was doing than I am at what I'm doing now. That's pretty funny. So, I mean, it was just totally different. Let's talk about this a little bit. This feels very, very juicy for me. Most of what I was doing was engineering, some of it very difficult engineering, but mostly engineering, mostly on, like, things that were fairly well understood. So I wasn't trying to decide what should be done usually. Sometimes I was from a technical perspective, but certainly rarely from a product perspective,
Starting point is 00:34:22 was that a relevant question for me. I was kind of like a somewhat design-minded engineer, and I did a bunch of kind of engineering and design-ish things on tasks which were set out for me. At that point, I had been programming for a really long time, I don't know, 13 years maybe by the time I joined Apple, longer, and programming in Apple's ecosystem for probably two-thirds of that time, three-quarters of that time.
Starting point is 00:34:51 So everything was just really familiar. And like, it was mostly flow all the time. Every day I was kind of like I was just in it. I knew the stuff that I needed to know. I was very well practiced. And the space didn't change that much. You know, like engineers, most engineers at Apple most of the time are not like pushing the frontier of what is known, like trying to discover.
Starting point is 00:35:16 They're like doing very difficult technical work, mostly applying things that they already know and understand quite well. To problems, which are usually, not always, moderately well and pretty well understood, let's say. Memory was essential to me doing that job well, but I had already built most of it by the time I got there. I'd already built just tons of stuff for Apple's platform. And I had to learn a lot of stuff. I learned a ton of stuff about the internals of those systems. But because I already had such a rich understanding, both of Apple's platforms and of computer science and engineering in general,
Starting point is 00:35:48 I had this really rich network for stuff to slot into. So learning stuff is easier when you have other stuff to connect it to. It's a nice principle. Metacognitive load on me was lighter because others were figuring out what we should be doing. So just like by contrast, now I'm doing research. Like I'm trying to discover things that are not known. I'm trying to make things that didn't exist. The hard questions that I answer are mostly like what should be done or like what should I do.
Starting point is 00:36:15 And that question is not just a technical one of like, how should you? should I implement this feature that needs to get built, but like what intervention on a reader should be taken? That requires synthesizing lots of different unfamiliar literatures. There's two different threads I want to go on. Maybe I'll just mention the other one. This is also related to the thing we're talking about a few minutes ago with LLMs. And there's this thing that I'm sure you've talked about yourself as well, the Swanson linking,
Starting point is 00:36:41 where this guy was just, if you... I don't know Swanson. Okay. Actually, Michael Nielsen has ruined about a minute as well. Okay, cool. But this guy was just somebody who read the medical literature. And he was just like familiar with a lot of esoteric results. And one of the, so different things would come up and he would be able to figure out
Starting point is 00:37:01 what different things are connected. For example, I think he noticed in one case that headaches are linked to some other symptom and that other symptom is linked to magnesium deficiency. And so apparently a whole bunch of people's headaches were solved once they were given a magnesium supplement. And you notice that connection. Again, this is the kind of sort of combinatorial thing that you wouldn't notice otherwise. But on this, on this subject itself, so listen, there's this natural way in which you're able to get up to speed in all the things that are happening at Apple.
Starting point is 00:37:33 Is it possible and maybe advantageous to do similar kinds of things in other fields? For example, instead of doing an explicit space repetition system when you're trying to absorb material from books, you just read a cluster of books. and hopefully things will just come up that are relevant to get him again. Or is there value in having an explicit practice of sitting up cards and so on? Yeah, right. So again, the answer is going to be, it depends. I think that maybe the most familiar example of what you're talking about is immersion learning a new language. So immersion learning is like a great thing.
Starting point is 00:38:05 And it's going to be more interesting and more effective than doing space repetition practice. It's going to be integrative. It's going to be socially. There's a bunch of stuff about social learning that's relevant. A problem, though, is that, like, say that you decide you want to learn Swahili today, and you, like, go down to, like, the local Swahili community center, and you're like, cool, I'm going to immerse myself. Like, good luck.
Starting point is 00:38:29 You know, yeah. You can't even get started. So through this lens, explicit practice is a way to bootstrap yourself. Right. Likewise, a great way to become a better musician. all of the best pianists at sight reading that I knew in university played with churches. They were so good at sight reading because, you know, they had to show up every Sunday and they're playing a different thing. New him every Sunday, right?
Starting point is 00:38:54 So this is immersion also. And, you know, over time, they're learning all these cadences and these things that are really common and whatever. But, like, you can't show up and be the church pianist every Sunday in the first place if you don't already have, like, some decent foundation. So this is sort of a bootstrapping argument that like one role for explicit practice of this kind is to get yourself into a position where you can more naturalistically reinforce. I see. Okay, got it. But there are still going to be instances where the naturalistic reinforcement isn't going to work. So for example, the linking that you brought up, one issue for doctors is rare diagnoses.
Starting point is 00:39:30 So if it's only going to be once every couple of years that you see a patient that's going to present with these symptoms, that's not going to be frequent enough to naturally reinforce your memory of that. And you're going to need some out-of-band mechanism. And unfortunately, I think for many kind of creative leaps and creative insights, that may be closer to the regime that we're in. Yeah, that makes a lot of sense where in many fields you just have the things you're regularly doing is the thing you need to reinforce. It makes a lot of sense that if you're a long tail of events that might come up
Starting point is 00:40:00 is a thing you're, you know, it might happen once every few months. But the regularity is not a thing that matters, right? that sort of effect on your work. Here's a question I actually have. So when we were doing the practice, or when we were doing the quantum mechanics textbook, it was like three hours. And afterwards, I was just exhausted.
Starting point is 00:40:18 And I was actually surprised that you went the entire three hours with that interruption. And so afterwards, I was packing up and you were like, hey, I'm about to actually go to my piano lesson. I was so confused that how you had the stamina to keep going, is the stamina just inherent in you? or is that something you did to develop? So one of the things that I think is funny about stamina
Starting point is 00:40:39 is first off, there's some kind of weird, grass is always greener kind of situation where I often feel struck by other people's stamina and feel like I have very little of it. I struggle with energy. I've actually written extensively about all my struggles with energy and ways of managing energy. I spent a lot of time thinking about it
Starting point is 00:40:56 and managing my energy levels, structuring my day around it. So I think there is something where, like, one often feels maybe lower stamina than one actually is because one misapprehends other stamina. Okay, so in that particular situation, how do I explain why three hours of studying, et cetera? First off, social.
Starting point is 00:41:14 So if I were alone and studying that book for three hours, and I weren't effectively trying to perform for you, D'arcad. It wouldn't have been nearly as energizing for me, and I definitely would have taken breaks. I still would have been able to go for three hours, I think. And part of the reason for that is, that it's simply way less hard than things I normally do.
Starting point is 00:41:39 In some sense, learning quantum mechanics should be much harder, and it kind of is cognitively demanding in a lot of ways. It's much more cognitively demanding in kind of a direct way than what I actually do day to day. But it's much less demanding on what William James calls the energies of men, which is something like a life force that permits you to act according to your will or something like that. Maybe it's gumption, maybe it's willpower,
Starting point is 00:42:09 maybe some people call it spoons. I don't know. These aren't all the same thing exactly. But sitting and staring at a page and deciding what you should do next on a research project is incredibly draining on that resource. The not knowing, sitting in not knowing,
Starting point is 00:42:25 is like the hardest thing that I do in my work. And so there's something, it's like a wonderful vacation to be presented with, oh great, somebody else is going to tell me what to do. Right. This is great. So although it might be less demanding than our usual work, it is definitely more demanding than the way in which I or most people approach textbooks or other material in the sense that, you know,
Starting point is 00:42:51 I would just like read through and then once I get to the exercise, I'm like, let's see what I didn't understand. Whereas just the attention and the intensity to go through sentence by sentence and constantly being paying attention. Seems like way more exhausting than... Yeah. I mean, so this is sort of true. Like, and it's definitely the case that I will occasionally do some of this like before
Starting point is 00:43:12 bed reading where I think like, oh, like, you know, let me just do a little bit more. You know, and it's like it's basically useless. Yeah. But I want to make the case that there is a kind of pocket that you can fall into. Maybe you call it flow. I don't know. Where like the demandingness that you're bringing to bear is matched to your ability. The book is not overwhelming.
Starting point is 00:43:31 Like, you feel like you can make your way through it. And this is actually more engaging. So I occasionally will find myself reading as an undemanding reader and finding my attention kind of slipping because I feel like I'm just not that attached to the text emotionally. I'm kind of reading dutifully. I'm like trying to get through it. That produces sometimes like an adversarial aspect
Starting point is 00:43:59 where the text is in my way. or it's kind of something to be, I don't know, like accomplished. And often then I will find that I need to bring more gumption to bear to kind of power through and make myself sit there and keep flipping the pages that I need if I actually just like open my curiosity and open my attention and really start engaging with the book. There are sorts of ideas that people have come up with for different pedagogical tools which are mediums that give closer connection to the reader. One is, you know, you have
Starting point is 00:44:37 some sort of fiction account where a concept is introduced and reinforced or you have a video game with characters who care about. And as far as I know, there isn't something that has really taken off using these sorts of new mediums. What do you think that is? Is it just an inherent limitation of everything about to text and lectures or people who just haven't given it the right content and design. Yeah. I'm fascinated by this question. Let's see. I can say a few things about it. One is that I would argue that one medium is taken off in an absolutely enormous way, and that's video. People love video. People will watch Grant Sanderson spend, you know, an hour going through some explanation of an esoteric math problem. People who would never crack
Starting point is 00:45:20 like a Springer graduate textbook in mathematics or something like that. The issue is that, like they will in general not walk away from that interaction with much understanding. Yeah. But they're much more engaged. Yeah. So that's cool. That's suggestive. You know,
Starting point is 00:45:37 and it suggests the question like, well, but like is there a version of that that actually produce detailed understanding? Maybe one approach to producing that might be like a game. My favorite example of this is The Witness by Jonathan Blow. You played The Witness? Okay. I think The Witness is an absolutely extraordinary work of art.
Starting point is 00:45:55 So it's a game that has no text, at least no text that's relevant to the game elements. In kind of classic mist style, you wake up on an island and figure out what's going on. And the game proceeds to explain to you without using words, but just by shaping your environment, a series of extremely complex mechanics, basically, of a system that exists in this world. So you learn a bunch of stuff, and it gets to the point where it feels like you're in conversation with the game's designers. It's like, ah, he's asking me to do this here. No one's asking you, right? There's no text, but you can feel that you are being asked.
Starting point is 00:46:43 And you perform some interaction in the environment, and you feel that you have answered. And the game responds in kind. This is very, very interesting. It's like it's a medium of action. Some people have tried to make educational games, games which are explicitly about arithmetic or something. Jonathan Blow's game is not about that. The mechanics that you learn are they're like about the environment. I don't think anybody has yet really succeeded in doing this about explicit subjects.
Starting point is 00:47:10 There are, for instance, things like Kerrple Space Program. Maybe people learn some things about project management or orbital mechanics from that. Zachronics has a bunch of games that are sort of about assembly language, roughly speaking. Maybe you can learn some things about that. The issue seems to be that games are ultimately, they're an aesthetic form. The purpose of the game is to have an experience that feels a particular way. And so they're sort of serving a different purpose than Grant's videos or a text. Grants videos are also serving a different purpose from the text.
Starting point is 00:47:48 Like the text you might pick up because you're like, I want to be able to build a robot. So you pick up a textbook on robotics or something. And so is there something that you can pick up as sort of like a game insofar as it's an active environment that you use in a similar situation to, I want to learn to build a robot? Maybe, kind of. We don't quite have those yet. We have some things that are kind of like that. I don't know if you've seen like from NAND to Tetris. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:48:16 This is a very interesting project that's kind of along these lines. And what characterizes it, like games, is doing. It's active. So when I was asking all those questions of the book, that was active learning, active reading. NAND to Tetris is naturally active. So this is a course in which you kind of start with basically nothing. You start with memory and you build a virtual computer and you build Tetris. You build a processor and stuff.
Starting point is 00:48:44 And so the whole thing's active. The whole time you're making the computer grow. This is doing a similar job to the question asking that I was doing, except that you don't have to regulate all of that yourself. The regulation, the choice of what activity to do is in the course, is in the structure of the material. I think there is waiting to be created some kind of mass medium that is like that, but that can be applied in many, many circumstances. We have the non-mass medium version of it already. and it's apprenticeship. If you want to be a good yoga teacher,
Starting point is 00:49:22 you like go hang out in yoga studios. If you want to be a good surfer, you go to the beach when the other surfers are there and you like participate peripherally and you talk to them and you learn about their tactics. They might give you some feedback eventually and you'll start to participate
Starting point is 00:49:39 less and less peripherally over time and eventually you'll be part of the community. This isn't a mass medium. We can't print a billion copies of it. We can't with a book. What is the experience of watching George Hotson's stream, a quote of Tiny Grad? How does that compare to just being in an office with him? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:55 Because even if you're in office with him, there's, you know, there'd be constraints on his time and how much engagement there would be. So why isn't video a scalable way to increase the apprenticeship? I'm incredibly excited about streaming, actually, as a medium for this. So we're kind of gesturing at a particular kind of learning that needs to happen. it's often called tacit knowledge. So, like, one of the things that you have to learn to do as an engineer is to learn to deal with 100,000 different, like, weird situations where something is not behaving the right way.
Starting point is 00:50:28 And eventually, you learn a kind of pattern recognition. You learn ways of dealing with this. And much of this is, like, not described in any book. It's not explicitly taught. You just kind of learn it by doing it over a long period of time. So by watching George do it, I think that people do absorb stuff. they can absorb some of that knowledge. That's part of how apprentices absorb that knowledge.
Starting point is 00:50:51 There's a few things that are missing. You know, you're not getting feedback. There's a whole lot of chaff there. Like there's a whole lot of stuff that probably isn't all that meaningful. It's also true for apprentices. So I'm pretty, actually, I'm pretty excited about streaming videos. I have complained loudly that there aren't more designer streamers. So one of the things that I think is really interesting is that we have
Starting point is 00:51:14 some disciplines like programming, where there are like a million books on courses about how to learn to program. And they don't give you everything you need. There's this tacit knowledge stuff that you need to develop. But like, you know, like if you work through these courses, if you go through the MIT Open courseware for computer science, like you'll be able to build some stuff. And you'll be able to leave yourself up. This is not true in all domains. You know, if you're looking at, well, in particular, design. But lots of other domains that are sort of like that,
Starting point is 00:51:47 like musical composition, architecture, something like this. Nope, like it's normally done in studio classes. Lots and lots of hands-long feedback. Stuff has, like the feedback is highly contingent. It's highly contextual. We just haven't figured out how to communicate this. And so it's good to see lots of programmer streamers, but I really want to see the streamers in these other domains.
Starting point is 00:52:10 Right. On the point about the more programming books, Ironically, the reason why there's some more resources on programming is that it's just so legible, but it already makes it easier to understand in the first place. So you just have this reinforcement. But so, you know, the mantichesteris is, let's say it's like a video game analog to learning, maybe not just programming, but how things in the internals of a computer work. Yeah. But programming has an element where it already feels like a video game. I have a friend who has a sort of intense sort of manic energy, and he used to be.
Starting point is 00:52:42 addicted to video games when he's a teenager. And now he just stays up all night in these coding binges, which is the same part of the brain. Are you optimistic about things like video games and fiction being able to work in fields that are not already kind of like a video game, like programming? I think what makes programming feel like a video game is this sense of instantaneousness, this sense of direct contact with the environment. you're learning about a kind of a conceptual world,
Starting point is 00:53:13 but that world is right underneath your hands. And as you manipulate it, you're constantly getting this feedback, the red squiggly, you're pressing Command R regularly, and you're seeing it fail. And that feels great. Like there's this feeling that's very common for programmers
Starting point is 00:53:32 and it's laden with doom. The feeling is it's like 9 p.m. and you've been working on a thing all day, and it's almost working. It's almost working. And you know, like, if you just debug this one thing, then, like, your project will be, like, done, and you'll be able to, like, go to... So you're like, well, I'll just stay up and, like, I'll debug this one last thing. And then you start debugging it, and you get it and you solve it, and that feels great.
Starting point is 00:53:58 And then immediately you, like, run until, like, one more thing. Like, oh, it's almost running all the way through. It's almost going end to end. And you're like, well, I'll just stay up a little bit longer. And, you know, before you know it, it's like 2 a.m. And you keep going. because it feels so good. Like you feel the sense of forward progress.
Starting point is 00:54:13 You're not just staring at a wall. I think like for the programming problems where you are at a brick wall, it doesn't feel like this. It feels bad. So can every field be transformed into something where you can feel the sense of forward progress?
Starting point is 00:54:26 You can get this rapid feedback cycle. I think that's really hard. I think some fields, like it's not clear to me that they can be transformed in that way. I think we can, get a lot closer in most cases than we're at right now. So what's hard about designing a user interface is that often there's this feeling of
Starting point is 00:54:52 exploring kind of a combinatorial search space. Programming often feels like a search problem too. You have a sense that there's like there's some right way to solve the problem. There might be some set of right ways to solve the problem and you're kind of looking for it. And you have some heuristics that guide you to like, oh, this might be a dynamic programming problem. Or this might be something that is solved well by, you know, separating concerns or something like that. Design often feels less like that. You have those heuristics too.
Starting point is 00:55:20 You have those patterns too. Often it just feels like, nope, I just need to try like 300 things. And so there's this like characteristic where you'll look at a designer's Figma file. And like what you do in Figma is you press Command D. this is like the core action of Figma is to duplicate. So you have an art board, you tried something, and you're like, that didn't work. You select it and you press Command D.
Starting point is 00:55:44 And what you end up with, and you look at Design Twitter, and it's just all these screenshots of people's Figma's with like a million artboards. They're just trying stuff. And you don't have this feeling, or at least I don't, and I think many designers don't have this feeling of like progress. It's like you're just kind of exploring parts of the search space and like you're learning that parts of the search space don't work.
Starting point is 00:56:06 And, you know, eventually you stumble on one that does, but you don't have this feeling of like getting closer often. Often there will be like weeks that go by without feeling like you're getting closer because what you're doing is just kind of like narrowing the search space. Interesting. Although there are people who are obsessed with design in their, and what is the sort of loop that keeps them obsessed with? a process that doesn't feel intrinsically forward feeding.
Starting point is 00:56:35 So to some extent, I think they are skillful. So the people that I know who are like this, it's a combination of their skillful often and the nature of the problems that they're solving are highly tractable. So an example of a kind of thing that designers will often rabbit hole into is like designing a poster. It actually often used to be kind of a cliche.
Starting point is 00:57:00 that at Facebook, there were all these posters up on the wall of the office. Very, very elaborate, beautifully designed posters for like a talk that someone was coming to give at Facebook. And it's like, why did somebody put all this effort into it? Like, well, it feels really good. Because a poster is this like really constrained, it's like finite, it's ephemeral. You can start it. And within a few hours, like, yeah, there's a search. space, but you can find a decent part of the search space pretty rapidly. And once you're there,
Starting point is 00:57:35 there's this beautiful and very enticing feeling of turning the crank and making it better and polishing it and trying this or that. But when you're trying this or that, all of the options are kind of okay and you're kind of trying them out of curiosity or like maybe it can be even better. And that's very different from the kind of design where you're just like, I simply don't know how to do this. And I think it's part of why those designers loved making those posters. It's like it's a snack. It's a treat. It's also something they get to control, whereas ordinarily they don't.
Starting point is 00:58:11 Just don't tell the manager how many software engineering hours were used up in the poster designing at Facebook. Well, it's no software engineering course. It's only designers. But for the software engineers, I mean, code golf is the equivalent, right? What is code golf? You know, in golf, like, you try to get the lowest score. So code golf, you try to solve the problem as minimally as possible, right? Like, ah, I don't need this.
Starting point is 00:58:36 I can combine this. I can do it in three lines. If I use Haskell, I can do it in one line. That's a kind of thing programmers do that's like this. But just endless refactoring is another thing that's kind of like this. You have the thing working, but it could be more beautiful. Right. So it seems like the tools and the ideas you're developing,
Starting point is 00:58:54 thing, especially geared towards very intelligent and very motivated students. If they would be different, what would the tools that you would develop for a median student that the education system look like, both in motivation and in other, you know, other traits? Yeah, they'd be super different. I kind of got out of the educational space in part because I don't like the framing of this problem. For the median student, the education system mostly wants to make the student do things they don't want to do. It's not about helping them achieve their goals more easily or more effectively for the most part. It's about achieving goals that aren't theirs.
Starting point is 00:59:39 Obviously, that's not always true. But for the median student, I think it kind of is true. I become very interested when I was at Khan Academy. I was kind of thinking about this problem. And one of the angles that I found really interesting was, so at Khan Academy we were mostly thinking about not just the median learner, but like maybe the 25th percentile learner. One of the angles that felt most relevant,
Starting point is 01:00:03 maybe not from an efficacy perspective, but for me from like a breaking out of this, getting them to follow goals that aren't their own perspective, was to focus on inquiry learning and to focus on transforming the learning experience into something that actually is related to their goals. That is, we're asking questions that are authentically interesting, that they authentically want to answer,
Starting point is 01:00:27 and that they can participate in in a way that feels natural. We did a lot of experiments with dynamic media, representations of things, the idea being that, like, you've probably seen, you know, maybe these plastic blocks or things that people can play with when they're kids to get an idea of numbers and number systems, kids will play with these things unprompted because they're fun. Like, it's just a pleasure to handle them. It's a pleasure to manipulate them.
Starting point is 01:00:57 When you have them in hand, it's very natural to suggest, like, ah, can you make a pattern like this? Like, why you can't seem to make patterns like that? Why is that? So, you know, for instance, you can start to play. point out things like, so quezonair rods is the name for a set of 10 rods that have basically unit length 1 to 10 and they're all different colors. And so you can do things like take 8 and like the rod that represents 8 and put two of the
Starting point is 01:01:33 rods that represent four up next to it and show that like this one you can you can like divide into two rods effectively. But then if you take seven, like there aren't, there is no other pair of rods. that for the same color you can put it next to it. So you get these different patterns. So things kind of naturally suggest themselves by experimenting with these materials and having conversations with people around these materials.
Starting point is 01:01:57 And so one of the things we were interested in was, well, are there things that are like that that are for more advanced topics? Like can we create something that's kind of like those rods but that is about, you know, like a more advanced topic in math? or are about debates in history or something like that. One of our tactics was to lean heavily on social interaction.
Starting point is 01:02:25 People like talking about stuff with people if it's like a real conversation. And for the same reason that I had to use less willpower to study that quantum mechanics text because you were there with me. A student who's engaged in like a real activity with a peer will need less willpower as well. They'll also learn from their peer if you structure things right. So social learning becomes interesting. But I think at a high level, I mostly have abandoned this question to others. Basically everyone in the educational space, this isn't totally true, but like 90 plus percent of people in the educational space are focused on really like the bottom quartile, like not even median.
Starting point is 01:03:09 And there's a good reason for this. Like many, not quite as many people who are in education, they are motivated by arguments of equity and opportunity. And they want everybody to have the opportunities they had. They're very motivated by the injustices that they see in the differing access and the differing support that different people have. And they're very motivated by the very real disadvantages that accrue to the bottom quartile performing students. It's also true that the marginal impact that you'll have on that student's life will be much greater, probably, than the marginal impact on, say, an 80th percentile performing student. Or so the argument goes, like, that student will be fine, which is, like, probably true. But there's a big marginal difference between fine and, you know, supercharged.
Starting point is 01:04:03 Yeah. Yeah, I mean, that's true. But anyway, I mean, like, I say all this to say, like, I understand why the vast majority of people in education. are focused on what they're focused on. And I think it is good, and I'm glad they're doing it. And I'm mostly have decided to let them do that to focus elsewhere. Yeah, yeah. I see tremendous value in focusing on the, realistically, like, the cool new shit that's coming out, you know, where's that coming from?
Starting point is 01:04:30 And what's the way to increase that? Yeah. Okay. So it's interesting to know that the same tools might not just work across the spectrum. Yeah. I mean also say, like, part of the trouble here is that, like, the cool shit is very likely to come from students who are, like, performing at the 20th percentile in school because they're, like, disaffected and bored, and none of this stuff
Starting point is 01:04:49 matters to them, right? And so, like, part of the trouble here is that by, like, opting out of helping these people learn, there are all kinds of interesting inventions that could probably occur that aren't occurring. So I don't quite know how to contend with that. I guess, basically I'm like trying to bite off a piece of a problem that feels maybe tractable. Once, you know, all the tools are built, you know, when you're at the end of your career, would the learning process, is it supposed to feel fun? Or does it have to feel fun? Is there an element of even when all the tools are there, that there's just like a level of David Goggins,
Starting point is 01:05:29 you know, this is going to be miserable, but I've decided to learn this in this way and I just had to go through it. Where does misery come from? Hmm. Where does it come from? I guess I'm asking this honestly, not really rhetorically. Let me try to answer my own question. I mean, so let me say first off, like, I think I am broadly speaking, very opposed to what I understand to be David Dageness' attitudes towards almost anything. In this particular instance, I think what I think is something like, if I ask, why is it miserable to learn a particular subject? The answers that come to mind are things like, first off, I don't care about this subject.
Starting point is 01:06:04 And I think that's not what we're talking about. Like you're asking about a world in which these great tools exist, and someone's using one of these tools to try to do something they really care about. So another reason why it could be miserable that I think is pretty common is that you have some idea about like you're not going fast enough or like you're failing or you're struggling. And the misery comes from resisting that. It comes from feeling like you're doing poorly and like you shouldn't be doing poorly.
Starting point is 01:06:32 Like it's bad that you're doing poorly. And maybe you're feeling fearful, like others are going to judge you or like you don't have enough time or something like that. And I think that's basically like an emotional problem that needs to get healed rather than like a practical problem with learning. In the case of something like organic chemistry where like you truly do just need to learn like, you know, 200 names or something. One answer is that like, okay, that can be done very cheaply using modern memory systems actually. So like organic chemistry students suffer through this and they don't need to. But even with modern memory systems, like you're probably going to spend a total of, I don't know, call it 100 minutes across some weeks, studying all of these formula.
Starting point is 01:07:19 And that still is unpleasant. So can that be resolved? And I think the answer is yes, actually. So I was thinking about this in the context of the cell biology by the numbers book I was telling you about where there's all of these things like that. volume of the nucleotide I said as a nanolator. So to like study the flashcard, what's the volume of a nucleotide is like not terribly pleasant. I'm not sure it constitutes suffering exactly. It's fine.
Starting point is 01:07:46 You know, I'll do it while like waiting in line. But I think there is a better version of that, which is like solving an interesting Fermi problem, which involves that term. So something like, if I have a vial of the COVID vaccine, like how many, copies of the COVID RNA are likely to actually be in it, if the vial is a milliliter large or something, that's like kind of a fun little question. And I can enjoy sitting and noodling on that. And in doing so, I will need to retrieve the volume of the nucleotide to help me make that approximation. So I think there's moves like that that you can use to kind of paper over any remaining stuff that feels kind of necessarily unpleasant or wrote. I'm actually surprised
Starting point is 01:08:31 to hear you say that because one way in which I read your stuff is some of your stuff is that this is actually a way of endorsing the traditional way of thinking about education but using new tools to get the traditional ones to give you an example of what I'm talking about you know you go back to like a headmaster from the 1900s and you say is it important to have the taxonomy of a subject memorized right of course it is that's right to spend a year memorizing tectonomy and then you would say, you know, memorization is actually important so that you have a dictionary by which to proceed on the subject. So in those ways, but you have sort of, you know, new systems or doing that same kind of thing. So I'm not just surprised to hear you say on this. And the reason
Starting point is 01:09:11 in this particular case, I was expecting you to say that, no, that you have to be disciplined if you decide to learn something is I expected that, you know, in the case of the three hours of intense learning followed by an intense piano session, you were just like really tired at the end. And you're like, but no, this is something I have to do this evening. So, yes, I'm actually kind of surprised to hear you say that. Yeah, yeah, no, I really enjoy this tension. And I'm probably overstating my, I'm probably, like, reacting to the, you know, the Gagons reference. Right.
Starting point is 01:09:42 Like, like a bit of an over-extreme over-correction or something. But this really is how I feel. And I feel this tension all the time. Like, the histories in educational psychology that I'm most aligned with are, like, the most robotic, like, authoritarian kind of histories, and also the ones that are most, like, kind of unschooling and Montessori-esque. Like, I really have a ton of sympathy for elements of both of these directions. And there's kind of a weird synthesis of this in my head that I can't, I guess, fully externalize. I guess part of what I'm saying is aspirational. Like, I mean, it certainly
Starting point is 01:10:19 is the case that I do, in practice, use willpower to make. things happen. So, just as an example of something that's totally contrary to everything I was saying, I use a tool called B-Minder, which charges me if I don't do certain things, right? This sounds, I don't know if it's, you know, kind of military, but it's certainly more authoritarian than this kind of freewheeling butterflies kind of gesture I was making the moment ago. And I use it to make sure that I do my memory practice. Shouldn't my memory practice be so joyful? It's at the center of my research, right? It should be like the most interesting, exciting, part of my day, but often it's not. And so I use this to do it anyway. So there's some tension here.
Starting point is 01:11:01 I think I do want to say, you know, the reason why I'm willing to endorse this headmaster's view about the taxonomy has to do with the price. I did a bunch of memorization in high school, and it was very inefficient, and it was very uncertain. So it was like it was emotionally difficult because I wouldn't even feel confident that I'd learned this stuff. I didn't know what it was to learn something reliably, like to be confident that I'd be able to recall it. And it also, like, it was hugely time-consuming. Because I didn't have techniques or tools.
Starting point is 01:11:32 And now, you know, part of why I respond so favorably to, like, yeah, just learn the taxonomy is that, like, for me, it's just trivial. Like, yeah, sure, whatever. Throw it in the deck, you know, like, it'll consume a total of 15 minutes over the next few weeks, and then I'll know it. You know, it just doesn't cost anything. So, like, yeah, okay, fine. other things in learning do still have real costs and those are maybe more difficult to negotiate.
Starting point is 01:11:57 Actually, this is a good place maybe to ask you about unschooling and your attitude towards. Let me ask, I think somebody on Twitter had this question, which is your kids as they're growing up. How are you structuring their education? Well, okay, so to be clear, I don't have kids. Right. Have methodical kids. And so, yeah, so you're going to hear the foolish response of, you know, like a person talking about what one would do hypothetically. This is very difficult.
Starting point is 01:12:27 School, of course, has many purposes other than instructional, right? It has a social purpose. It has a societal purpose. It has a behavioral purpose. And it also has, like, a pragmatic purpose of basically babysitting. Those things can be unbundled. I think it's pretty interesting to consider that. if I actually did have a kid, I would probably consider that project pretty thoroughly.
Starting point is 01:12:48 I think it's pretty likely that some kind of homeschooling situation would occur. It probably wouldn't be be be the teacher, but it would probably be the people I would hire. I have some resources. Like, I'm not wealthy, but I have some resources. So, like, that is maybe a difference. But during the pandemic, I was struck by Brian Tobol started a company, which is now defunct. And so this is a fun example to bring up. but it's called schoolhouse.
Starting point is 01:13:15 And the idea was that he noticed that people were getting together in pods, right? That was the thing we did during the pandemic. And in particular, they got together in pods with, like, their classmates from school, maybe five or six kids. And some of these pods started hiring elementary school teachers who were not working because of the pandemic. And the elementary school teachers would, like, come to the backyard of one of these people's houses.
Starting point is 01:13:38 And the five or six kids would get together with the elementary school teacher. And, like, they do stuff all day. buying this one teacher's time split five or six ways was actually really very tractable. You know, say you want to pay the person $50 an hour, maybe that seems reasonable for a teacher. This is not that hard to do and actually cost substantially less than a private school. I think the schoolhouse costs something like a fifth or whatever, the cost of an elementary school. Once you got to older grades, you need maybe specialists. It's actually not clear if you do.
Starting point is 01:14:08 my friend Alec Resnick is working on a and a very interesting school called Powder House in Somerville, Massachusetts, that does something like the model I just described where you have adults who are in more of like a coaching role and they aren't necessarily domain specialists but they'll connect people with domain specialists. So anyway, I would explore something like that model.
Starting point is 01:14:31 I'm sorry, this is a little bit vague. If you want to ask about specifics. Yeah, sure. Let me ask go, you got a 12, this child grows up and it's 12. So at this point, you know, it's not just like, of course, you have taught them arithmetic and reading and everything. Are there, do you proceed and you have to learn your biology, you have to learn chemistry, or do you just say, what are you interested in?
Starting point is 01:14:52 Are you interested in Roman history? Oh, let's learn about the aqueducts. Or is there an actual curriculum that proceeds until they get to college? Yeah, this is really challenging. So one of the sort of the heroes of the reform school movement, is this philosopher named John Dewey. And he has a lovely book called Experience in Education, sort of written near at the end of his time,
Starting point is 01:15:14 looking back on all of his efforts to reform schooling in a kind of unschooling-ish direction. He was never as extreme as that. But broadly, looking for freedom on the child's part. And he makes this wonderful argument that because these kids, a 12-year-old, doesn't have a fully developed prefrontal cortex, certainly doesn't have a fully developed kind of sense of self.
Starting point is 01:15:43 To let them do whatever it is that their whim commands them to do in any given moment is actually not freedom, but rather is chaining them to whatever that impulse is. It makes them the subject of these tides of impulse. And I think that's a pretty compelling argument. It doesn't authorize tyranny, but it also suggests that, you know, you've got to be a little bit skeptical about the planning, the plans of 12-year-olds, I guess. How skeptical should bone be? I don't know. I think I would probably have stronger opinions on that if I had a 12-year-old. But my instinct, as a foolish non-parent, would be something like a kind of mix. I would be interested in exposing the 12-year-old to lots of topics and possibilities. I would be valuable in expressing the consequences of any particular actions.
Starting point is 01:16:40 Like if they just want to compose music all day, we could talk about, like, well, what does that mean? What kind of life does that look like? I would try to be non-coercive in this as much as is possible. And I think to some extent the student should or the child should be allowed to feel the consequences of their choices. This is complicated by the fact that, like, you know, I, Again, like, I'm not wealthy, but like any child of mine would like have chances, I guess. You know, like if they made some weird choice about a career path when they're 13 and so they didn't get into Harvard or whatever, like that would be okay. You know, like they could do, they could be 24 and finally figured out then or 32 and finally figured out then.
Starting point is 01:17:28 Then like it would probably turn out fine. And so this doesn't seem like reliable guidance. You should notice, I'm feeling very confused about it. Yeah, no worries. Yeah, okay, so one question I have is historically, and maybe even to the modern day, it seems like improving education has been a very intractable problem. And you did reference this earlier when we were talking about gearing towards the median student versus the whatever percentile you're working with.
Starting point is 01:17:53 But I don't know, do you feel like there's been progress even in the percentile you're gearing your stuff towards? And if not, what is the explanation for the relative stasis? I mean, this is something you've talked about. We have so many new tools with IT. Where is the, well, what explains the broader sort of stagnation here? Well, the fun answer to your question is actually there's been a ton of progress. Like, actually, things are pretty good.
Starting point is 01:18:16 One thing is, I think the stat is in 1900, 6% of teenagers graduated high school in the U.S. Now, that doesn't mean that 94% like didn't have. an education that we regard as a high school education. But it kind of means that. It roughly means that. Now, many of these people are homeschooled. It's also the case that a high school education meant something lesser to them. A substantial fraction of high schoolers now study AP courses and complete them in high school.
Starting point is 01:18:48 That's at the high end. On the low end, illiteracy was a very live situation a hundred years ago in the U.S. and is emphatically not now. Now, it is the case that something like 10 to 15% of adults, depending on which poles you use, are maybe what would struggle to perform like simple kinds of number manipulation or reading or writing kind of tasks. But our bar is basically moved.
Starting point is 01:19:20 It used to be like, can you read it all? And these tasks are like maybe a little artificial, they're maybe not relevant to their day-to-day, and that's actually why they're experiencing this. The number of people, the fraction of the population, who graduates at 17 or something, knowing a particular amount of stuff has basically moved up monotonically.
Starting point is 01:19:43 And this is mostly about the bottom portion of the population. It used to be the majority were effectively uneducated past age 10 or something. other than informally and in their trade. And really, the story of the 20th century has been in part one of mass education, where part of why we have a service economy, IT economy, is that basically all of our populations educated at a particular level. If you look at there are these national tests of fourth, eighth, and twelfth grade math and language proficiency,
Starting point is 01:20:23 you'll see really like pretty slow movement in the 75th percentile and like practically none at all in the recent decades. But you'll see like absolutely enormous movement in the bottom quartile. And so in some sense the story, especially the last 20, 30 years, has been closing what's often called like the performance of the chief in gap where certain groups or part of underfunded schools or who might have households that are unsupportive. or difficult, you know, we're just not having anything like the educational attainment of their peers. And that story has changed. One thing I'm curious about is every other part of the distribution has been moved upwards. Has the ceiling been raised significantly? Yeah. Well, it depends on what we mean by the ceiling. Because you can go back like hundreds of years and the most learned people around. It's just incredible. You look back on how many books Thomas Jefferson read.
Starting point is 01:21:22 There's some story where Kennedy had a bunch of Nobel laureates who was I was thinking a bunch of Nobel laureates in the White House in 1963 or something. And he says, this is the greatest collection of genius and insight and wisdom that has been collected into this room ever since the time that Thomas Jefferson dined alone. Right. I think it's very hard to raise the ceiling. So the ceiling has aristocratic tutors.
Starting point is 01:21:51 the ceiling has whatever family dynamics and heritable propensities produce tremendous intellectual greatness. Early 20th century schools produced von Neumann. And it's certainly not at all clear that they are now producing more von Neumanns or something like that. In fact, von Neumann's production seemed to have probably very little to do with any kind of mass schooling that we would recognize. As far as the very top, I think that's difficult.
Starting point is 01:22:29 We're talking about an institution that was created for, I guess, the masses. I guess there have always been people who have been using resources outside of those kinds of systems. So the mass system doesn't seem to help those people, I guess. That doesn't seem surprising. By the way, on the Von Neumann thing, okay, a mass system doesn't help him. What is the production function for Von Neumann? Yeah, so lots of people have studied this.
Starting point is 01:22:55 I actually am not a student of Von Neumann's history. I know that many of his peers, the 20th century greats, got something like aristocratic tutoring or came from small Eastern European incredible schools, that there's stories about these things. I actually don't know them. I'm sorry. I mean, you actually heard about that one high school. Yes, yes.
Starting point is 01:23:18 Okay, interesting. Are we getting worse at the Von Neumann production, or is it just static? Well, maybe. I mean, so I don't know. So let's see. Here's the theory that seems kind of plausible. If someone was going to have aristocratic tutors in the late 19th century, would they now go to a fancy private school? And would that experience now actually be less good for them?
Starting point is 01:23:43 I don't know. I think it's probably more likely that they'd go to the fancy private school and also still have fancy tutors. and then go to a very exclusive university where they're going to get a bunch of highly hands-on kind of interaction with professors. Although the reason that might not be the case is the opportunity cost for people who might become teachers or aristocratic tutors is much higher now,
Starting point is 01:24:05 whereas the kind of person who would be, you know, your tutor can now directly be making lots of money on Silicon Valley or Wall Street. That's interesting. Okay, so that would be an argument that maybe, it's not so much about the 20th century that we've gotten worse about this, but more like over history,
Starting point is 01:24:24 maybe Aristotle was a tutor to Alexander the Great, and now Aristotle would be like a full professor and would need to take that job. That might be so. I mean, I think it may be the case that some tutors have been priced out of the market, but it's not clear to me that the most expensive tutors actually would be the best.
Starting point is 01:24:43 There is a bunch of empirical research on tutoring and like one of the questions they ask is like what kind of experience level do the tutors need to have? And it's interesting like how far you get in tutoring efficacy when the tutor doesn't necessarily know anything. So like just having like another warm body there actually contributes a very large effect. No, I mean things get better as you get an expert. And and I also I have a kind of healthy skepticism of these studies. Like I think part of the role of having Aristotle as a tutor is communicating a worldview. It's not something that would show up on a, you a test or something that these studies would be measuring.
Starting point is 01:25:19 So having an extremely inspiring individual might actually be the important component, and inspiring is going to be highly correlated with expensive. I think, not necessarily. I don't know. That feels complicated. I mean, especially today, the material is available. What the tutor is ringing is the inspiration and the motivation. Not the exclusively, but one of the large parts of their...
Starting point is 01:25:41 That's right. They're not really responsible for instruction. I mean, I'll say also, like, I know lots of people who have postdoc tutors right now. You know, these people as graduate students, they're very pleased often to have, you know, a $60 an hour, say, tutoring kind of commission. And that's a little sad, but, you know, the pool of available postdocs to hire as tutors, I think, is very large now compared to how it would have been 100 years ago. The pool being bigger doesn't mean that the top 1% are getting more, though. So I think that's undecided. There is a question of, like, have teachers gotten better at their jobs, like, over the last 50 years, say?
Starting point is 01:26:27 And, like, there are some ways in which maybe they have. There have been a bunch of projects of trying to disseminate certain research results, like ways of instruction that are more effective in other ways. Like, it's good to interleave stuff, for instance. like rather than doing blocked units where it's like, okay, like we're going to talk about the Civil War and then we're going to talk about women's suffrage. You know, it's better that those are somewhat far apart, but it's better to kind of weave these things into each other and not just in history, but in general.
Starting point is 01:26:57 So that kind of dissemination has been happening more systematically in the last few decades. I actually, I'm unaware of any kind of studies or results trying to establish anything about the efficacy of teachers now versus long ago. Well, I'm sure you've seen the claim that one of the consequences of the very unfair circumstance of the 20th century or the mid-20th century was that one of the very few occupations an intelligent woman could pursue was teaching. And now that other options are available, which is obviously on that hugely, hugely good. You know, there's other competition for those same very intelligent women. Oh, that's interesting. I haven't heard that claim.
Starting point is 01:27:37 Yeah, I think I'd have to think about it. I guess it's not clear to me how much intelligence matters, like, if you want to think of that as some kind of separable quantity. Or whatever trade is relevant to just that, you just had a population that was hostage to either housework or teaching. I guess what I'm saying is something like, if that were true and there are like a bunch of people who are now, you know, astrophysicists or something, you know, it's not clear to me, actually, that they would have been the good teachers.
Starting point is 01:28:06 Like being a good teacher is often about empathy and effective communication and care. It's very personal. It's very intimate. Like you need to understand the subject, but to teach a 15-year-old or something, you actually don't need to understand it at a like a postgraduate level necessarily. It's very interesting to see that there's a bunch of studies of kind of the impact of domain knowledge on teaching efficacy. I've read some in math. I'm sure they exist in all fields. And one of the things that comes up is like,
Starting point is 01:28:41 if you aren't very familiar or comfortable in math, then you will struggle specifically to do like inquiry-oriented classes, classes that are more about like creative ways of thinking with math or open-ended problems as opposed to like, here's how to do this algorithm. Because to conduct those kinds of classes, is you have to be able to think on your feet. Like, you pose a difficult question
Starting point is 01:29:07 to which there may not be just one appropriate answer, and your students will throw all kinds of stuff at you. And you have to be able to take that stuff and integrate it and show how one student's answer relates to another student's answer and show how those conceptions can be built upon in order to produce some useful understanding for what you had in mind. Anyway, this kind of improvisation requires a mathematical familiarity and ability, but I don't think it requires anything like an extraordinary ability.
Starting point is 01:29:38 Yeah, yeah. But more than the extraordinary have been pulled out of teaching as a consequence. Yeah, I guess I'm just wondering what the correlation is. Like, if it's the case that actually effective teaching is mostly about empathy, then maybe it's anti-correlated. Like the people who are going to be good particle physicists are actually like they wouldn't have made good teachers anyway. Interesting. Maybe.
Starting point is 01:29:59 Why hasn't hypertext changed how people write more? You know, so often, you know, I write a blog post and I actually do wonder how much different it is with the knowledge that I can add footnotes and I can link to things. But you just hope that, you know, I'm actually kind of a fan of how Wikipedia organizes content. It is genuinely surprising how often the best explanation of a subject is just this like resource that is trying to explain every single subject. Because I think there's just this practice of you don't need to do exposition in every single topic. You can just hide it behind links and things like that. Anyway, so why hasn't hypertext change writing more? online writing, at least.
Starting point is 01:30:34 This is a really good question. So I think the reason why Wikipedia works as well as it does is that encyclopedia entries are already forced to stand on their own. And that was true before hypertext existed. In fact, encyclopedias were already hypertext-ish before there was hypertext. There are some other interesting kinds of hypertexts that existed pre-computers. There was this very interesting book called the Centopicon from Adler that if you want to understand what classical authors had to say about a topic like the father's responsibility to a daughter,
Starting point is 01:31:17 you can look that up in the syntopicon and you will get references across Rousseau, through the Bible, and so on and so forth. And those are kind of hyperlinks. I mean, they were printed on dead trees, but you're expected to get the books down and look up the appropriate pages. The Centopacon wasn't that successful. I think it's in part because those concepts, unlike the Wikipedia entries, they don't quite stand in their own so cleanly. You kind of need sinews. You need linkages.
Starting point is 01:31:46 And actually, I want to make the case that while Wikipedia is an astounding resource, I find it rarely to be the best available introduction or explanation of a topic. I find it often to be a good jumping off point. It'll help me know the right thing to ask about. It's good as a reference. So hypertext is a very effective navigational aid. It can help you get to a spot that you're looking for very quickly because it's about automating, flipping through pages. And so for a reference, it's very effective.
Starting point is 01:32:16 If what you have is like a table of chemical compounds and their properties, like a book of chemical compounds and their properties, hypertext is going to let you navigate that book very effectively. Likewise, dictionaries have been revolutionized by hypertext. So navigating around thesoruses by clicking on links to say like, oh, shaded a little bit more like that. It's like a much better thesis. So I guess I'm making the case that like there are certain kinds of text that are more amenable to hypertext because they are more amenable to having the reader dropped in the middle of them.
Starting point is 01:32:49 Encyclopedias are like that. Dictionaries are like that. Most text is not like that. And I guess like most concepts are not like that. I guess most ideas are embedded in something kind of holistic or richer. They require a narrative arc. They're difficult to excerpts. Not everything, but things that are not so raw and atomically informational.
Starting point is 01:33:14 So there were all these dreams of hypertext novels, for instance, and some people wrote them. And one of the problems that a hypertext novel has is actually can be seen in a choose-your-own-adventure book that existed before there was digital hypertext. And that's that the author is forced to write something like a lowest common denominator story. The page that is the destination of a hyperlink, it has to work as the endpoint of all of its reference. And so it can't establish any kind of coherent or consistent arc unless there's a kind of sameness to all of the reference. And the more that there's sameness to the reference, like the less useful hypertext is. So a lot of people have been disappointed by this conclusion. I am among them.
Starting point is 01:34:03 I'll say that I do find hypertext very useful in my own notes, not really for reading. I actually don't think it makes for a very good reading experience for others. But being a reader, you have a separate webpage where you have your working notes for the audience, by the way. It actually is like a very cool UI in the format to explore your thoughts. Thanks. It does an interesting thing for me as a writer. It lets me build stuff up over time.
Starting point is 01:34:31 So today I was working on, I was reading this very old cognitive psychology paper on the topic of adjunct questions, which we discussed earlier, the effects of asking questions while you read, not on remembering the information covered in the questions, but actually just on kind of the general effect that it has on stuff that isn't touched by the questions. I have some notes on the design decisions of the mnemonic medium, this quantum country thing that I was talking about earlier, interleaving the interleaving. the questions into the text. And those notes are kind of partial. They evolve over time. What was the impact of doing this? My notes about that, they've come from interviews with readers. They expand when I read a paper like this that's relevant to them.
Starting point is 01:35:20 And it means that when I go to design the next system and I'm thinking about the role of questions in text, I'll have sort of a place to look. the role of hypertext in this is roughly as a kind of navigational aid is possible to do this without hypertext you just end up with like what Luman had
Starting point is 01:35:42 a giant something like a dresser but made of card files rather than drawers for clothing this actually goes back nicely to the original conversation we had about why people like Tyler are able to integrate so much information without an explicit no-taking system And in fact, I just remembered another person who comes to my mind immediately when I think
Starting point is 01:36:03 about a person like this is a Bernhill Bart. And again, you have an example of somebody who is extremely prolific, a daily finance newsletter with, there's like a tremendously detailed that insightful daily financial newsletter. So it's like all, it is like a daily note taking practice in some sense. Nothing quite accumulates for either of them, at least not in the same way. Right. It's very interesting. Like they're doing the whole thing over again every day.
Starting point is 01:36:27 One thing I found kind of interesting about Matt Levine's newsletter is that when he's talking about a topic repeatedly, like something that comes up, like the recent bank collapse or something, he will have to explain some concept like interest rate risk over and over and over again for days. Like every day he has to explain it. But every day he explains it anew. And every day the explanation is colored a little bit by that day. And this is an argument against the kind of note-taking that I do. it's an argument for ephemorality for like recreating the thing every day because it will change and it will become kind of inflected by what you're thinking about now and your experiences. I think it's pretty interesting.
Starting point is 01:37:11 I find myself these days doing the kind of mix. I have, you know, kind of like a journal that's about today and I'll do a bunch of writing. And often I'm recapitulating stuff I've written before. And I have these other things that are trying to be more done. durable, be like a useful reference that can stand outside of time. The combination feels useful. I don't yet have like a clear model of like one is better than the other. Actually, an interesting way to tie in what you just said with the hypertext is.
Starting point is 01:37:44 So Burns newsletter is I doesn't give that much context on, you know, often you'll find yourself lost about what, you know, what is the concept being talked about here if you're not familiar with the topic. And in fact, I asked him at some point, have you considered doing narrations of your blog post like Scott Alexander has somebody who has a podcast where they narrate his blog posts? And he said, I don't think it would work out as well for mine because I heavily rely on the old blogger Spears norms around hypertext where you can add jokes and sarcasm based on one example of this is he was talking, he had to write up about SPF and his collapse.
Starting point is 01:38:22 and he said, you know, he had a bunch of links. Like, you want to learn more about margin calls, read this, you want to learn more about this. And he goes, and if you want to learn more about the psychology of utilitarian bets, read this. And it's just a link to the Amazon page of crime and punishment. So just that kind of stuff is harder to do. Yeah, you're right. So he's leaning more on his past explanations, which is interesting because he can't update them. Like that format of writing a newsletter and then linking to past newsletters, or as you say,
Starting point is 01:38:49 this is sort of a former blogosphere. thing to do. You have a series of six words and each word is a link to a previous post on the topic. I certainly have written stuff like that. It's kind of funny. I mean, it's approximating the durable note thing I was writing about, but without the ability to revise it over time. And maybe for many topics, like you don't need that ability. It's certainly the case that, well, I wonder now what fraction of my notes are basically in the state they were when I did my first major revision of them, it's probably at least a third. It might be more than a half. What person's written notes have you published? I don't know. You know, by word count, by by
Starting point is 01:39:31 note. So like for instance, my journal notes are not published and there's one of those every day, so there's a lot of them. So if we're looking by note, we're excluding all of those. I also have like a note about all of the people in my life. And those are for the most part not public, unless they're public individuals, you know. And so there's a lot of, notes that are not public, but they're mostly not durable. They're like, they wouldn't be all that meaningful to others. The journals might be, but they're also intimate. Are they written in a way that would be intelligible to, if you were to give that to
Starting point is 01:40:04 somebody else? It depends. But usually, actually, my journals are like complete sentences, complete paragraphs, usually. Sometimes bullets, sometimes kind of veering and breaking and changing to new subjects suddenly. but they tend to be filled with links to the things that I'm talking about, in part because I'm trying to accumulate context in those things. How come there? Why not just shorthand? It's partially because past me is another person. It's kind of a cliche, you know, but like I am routinely looking at journal entries from a year ago.
Starting point is 01:40:40 This is partially like, you could view that as a failure of this net writing system. Like maybe in some ideal sense, I shouldn't. be looking at these journal entries because if something's important and it's going to be something I refer to a year later, it should be in some durable evergreen note. I don't know. Like, you don't always want to do that. It feels like, it feels like prepping. Maybe there's an amount of prepping that's good. We live in California and like maybe everybody should have like an earthquake kit, right? Like maybe that's good. But maybe you don't need to like hoard 300 cans of beans. So there's like an amount of prepping that feels like a reasonable amount to do.
Starting point is 01:41:19 There's an amount that feels kind of dutiful and unpleasant. As a researcher who is in these sorts of Silicon Valley circles, what is your opinion on the startup advice of, you know, do things fast, fail fast, get to users immediately with an MVP as somebody who is making products but is also in a sort of in a different mode than a typical startup kind of making products. How do you think about advice like that? I have complicated feelings about this. I need different advice on different days. And of course, different people need different advice on different days. But when I was getting into this kind of work, what that kind of advice led me to do, practically speaking, is to not think all that deeply about the ideas I was exploring and to look to
Starting point is 01:42:03 basically like an idea would come up. And I think like, oh, I can try that. And then I would try that. And then I'd learn something. And then I'd repeat. and there wasn't this sense of building a theory of like what the problem is and what it would mean to solve it. Instead, it was just a theory of action. Like a theory of action as opposed to a theory of changes, if you imagine like you're at some point, your current position,
Starting point is 01:42:30 and eventually you want to get to some goal state, a theory of action is you look around you and you say, well, what can I do? What can I build? What do I see is possible? And a theory of change is to look at the endpoint to try to work backwards. Now, the metaphor is imperfect because in research, you actually usually don't exactly know what the endpoint is, and you certainly don't know how to work backwards. But I guess what I'm saying is that following that advice historically often has led me to try things that were straightforward. I think the most powerful design work has ideas in it.
Starting point is 01:43:08 what makes a nonlinear text editor that is like the text editors that we all know and love so powerful is this observation that writing is a nonlinear process but writing with a pen uh linearizes it and many many other observations like that and on the nature of what it means to have a thinking environment is how we got that particular interface. Likewise, the way that we got powerful programming environments insofar as we have them is by people thinking very hard about what it means to specify a system and coming up with new primitives that express those ideas. I think the most powerful interfaces are often the expression of new ideas or new primitives that capture new, new ways of doing new kinds of objects that can be manipulated.
Starting point is 01:44:10 In Photoshop, for instance, you can manipulate a photo by means of a construct called a layer. This is a very strange idea. It has some precedent in dark rooms where you could potentially have kind of like sheets of film. I don't mean like the negatives, sheets of like gels that you could potentially put over the lights to to affect the exposure and to make there be more exposure here and less there. But in Photoshop, they're non-destructive and they're continuously manipulable. And the layers, like, it's a new primitive that is introduced into the activity of photo editing. And it utterly changed what you could do in photo editing.
Starting point is 01:44:58 So I guess what I'm saying in a very long-winded and confused way is that I think it's difficult to have ideas by means of building an MVP very rapidly. Now, if you have an idea that you think is interesting, it is good to test it rapidly. And so part of why I'm confused in my response here, is that it's good advice once you have something worth testing. It's just that for me, adopting that mindset, and I've lived in it for so long that it's very ingrained in me,
Starting point is 01:45:32 it makes me not sit in stillness and in confusion and in contemplation with the ideas long enough for them to be good. I mean, very concretely, so Michael Nielsen and I made this quantum country thing. When I was trying to think about what to do next, the most obvious or natural idea was like, well, what if we just tried that with lots of other things? And that idea occurred to me, and the pandemic had just struck. So I was feeling a little timid, I guess, creatively or emotionally. I wanted something that felt kind of safe. And I knew that I could do that. Like, okay, I can build a platform that, like, generalizes this thing that we did for this textbook.
Starting point is 01:46:10 So I did. And I did it relatively quickly. I did it in a few months. And that wasn't the right thing to do. It wasn't really the right question to be asking. The idea wasn't that strong. It wasn't the right way to test it. Like building this highly general version of it, I would have been better building more one-offs.
Starting point is 01:46:27 rather than like a self-serve thing that anyone could use. And this comes down to like the difference in aim. Like I'm not trying to build some kind of scalable thing for the world at this moment. I'm trying to build the idea. The prototype is an expression of the idea. And once it arrives at a good place, then maybe there can be some scalable solution. But it's not necessarily at that place. And until it's at that place, there's like a lot of thinking and sketching that goes along with the building and prototyping.
Starting point is 01:46:57 I think part of my confusion here is that often I still need to hear this advice. Like often I will just tie myself in knots in theory land. And like what I really need to do is to have a friend sit me down and say like, is there a piece of this that you can carve off and like build next week? And so you're hearing a lot of tension. Interesting. And so what was a consequence of shipping orbit out, I guess, before it felt ready to scale? I mean, I learned some things.
Starting point is 01:47:23 It was fine. Like it taught me a lot about where. that particular format succeeds and fails in other venues, it was just not a very effective way to find those things out. I built this very general. It was an MVP in the sense that it has very few features, and it's very simple, but it was highly general. I mean, it's a deployed thing that has infrastructure,
Starting point is 01:47:48 it has accounts, it has, like, all this stuff that you do when you're building, like, a real thing. And that's very different from, like, well, let me, like, work with this. one author and see if I can make it work with this one other book that's very different from quantum country. It's a form like a specific question or specific theory about like, well, it worked for this text, like what's the next kind of text that would be good to test with? And then to do that, I could potentially do it.
Starting point is 01:48:13 I certainly could have done it much more rapidly. Why do you think of this idea of tools of thought has nerd sniped so many people in Silicon Mali? Well, it contains this message for technologists that, they can potentially be very powerful, and that's always tantalizing for people, I guess. I think it also feels very actionable for people in a way that's actually super misleading. I mean, so I meet tons and tons of people who tell me that they're interested in tools for thought, and 95 plus percent of them are engineers.
Starting point is 01:48:47 And the problem with this is that building an interesting tool for thought is basically entirely a design problem. and their design ideas are usually not very good or are troubled in a variety of ways, and yet they can make a thing. They can make a thing that solves a problem maybe for them in their lives, and that feels very tantalizing or encouraging. It feels like something they get their hands around it, I think. I think we in Silicon Valley are very, very interested in thought.
Starting point is 01:49:19 We are like a thinky people, and people are very interested and engaged. also with anything they could potentially expand our capacity there. And so that, too, is tantalizing. Like, what if I could think better? It's also tantalizing because it's meta. So there's all these cliches about people, you know, tinkering with their dot files endlessly or, you know, tinkering with their blog website, which has two posts on it, but they have to rewrite it because, you know, they want to do something else.
Starting point is 01:49:46 And now the new one will have three posts on it before they rewrite it again. Tools for thought also scratch that itch. it's work about the work. This sounds very cynical, by the way. I don't mean for it to be. I'm just trying to earnestly answer the question. But, okay, here's a more optimistic and generous response. I think many of us got into computing
Starting point is 01:50:08 because computers portray a sense of personal empowerment and possibility. We maybe remember growing up and, you know, being locked in our bedrooms at midnight or whatever, like fooling around and we have this very powerful tool at our disposal and it's opening up these worlds for us and I think for many people here that was like a formative part of their personal development and so anybody pointing to that and saying we can we can do more stuff like that is going to be pretty compelling I think okay this was an interesting question from Matt Clancy on Twitter what are the characteristics of a
Starting point is 01:50:51 a good crowdfunded research project. One of the maybe unfortunate things that I've learned in my crowdfunding experience is that there are some dynamics that seem hard to change. So one of them is at churn rate, you know, like any subscription kind of revenue business model, I guess that's what I have. You lose subscribers every month. In my case, it's about 2%. And it's not that large.
Starting point is 01:51:18 But it does mean that I need a certain number of, of new subscribers all the time. And one thing I've learned that's kind of interesting is that the turn rate is surprisingly insensitive to anything that I do. I've experimented with a variety of things, and it really hasn't meaningfully changed the turn rate. What does change things is getting more people
Starting point is 01:51:36 into the top of the funnel, in other words, marketing. And there are some things that have maybe affected like the fraction of those people in the top of the funnel who convert or whatever. I really hate this way of thinking about it. In summary, the thing that I've discussed that's kind of sad is that I end up having to think about this a little bit. And in particular, I realize that this project only even slightly works, the one that I'm doing, for crowdfunding,
Starting point is 01:52:02 because it's understandable to others and it's interesting to others. And it's already in a place where, you know, there's some results that maybe look kind of promising or people are like, oh, more like that. But it's very easy to imagine other projects that, like, are not broadly applicable. If I were doing marine geology stuff, I probably wouldn't have a big crowd of internet people not nearly as large anyway. We're excited. So that's one property. This work is very general. It applies to many, many people. It applies to people who have disposable income. So if I were doing a research project on, I don't know, like writing practices of disadvantaged artists, like, I don't know, like I think my audience might not have as much disposable income.
Starting point is 01:52:48 I have already made some progress. I think that's probably important, unfortunately. So it's probably very difficult to use crowdfunding in the very early days of a research project. I've already sort of chosen a research agenda or direction, and I can kind of express it. So I think this says that, like, crowdfunding applies probably after the first few stages of research have been completed. There's probably something like the standard grant advice where, like, at some point here, I'm going to be using this crowdfunding, like, to figure out.
Starting point is 01:53:18 the next thing, and I won't be able to explain it to anybody. There certainly are seedlings like that, but you have to have something in flight. I probably need to be able to say something about my progress with some kind of regularity. So, for instance, my wife is working on this study of biological markers of age in association with delirium and traumatic brain injury. And to do this, she is basically signing up patients who show. up to the hospital who have traumatic brain injury and once they agree to participate in the study, taking various blood samples and things like that from them. And recruiting enough patients to get
Starting point is 01:54:01 like the significance that she requires will take like, you know, two years or something like this. She can report a little bit of intermediate stuff, but like certainly not a monthly update or something like that, right? Be a weird Patreon post. Yeah, I mean, I can't quite report monthly updates either. But I think like there's there's a cadence that's necessary. Why bother with it at all? I'm sure there is many wealthy individuals would be happy to single-handedly fund your research. Is there a reason you shows crowdfunding? Well, those wealthy individuals are very welcome to reach out and offer to do so. You know, I will say I've been I've been fortunate to have many high net worth individuals as sponsors. But I guess each of them is, you know, providing a
Starting point is 01:54:47 I guess on my Patreon, a sponsorship is $100 a month. So, like, that is, you know, what I get from these people. And, you know, I'm certainly not getting, you know, wild offers for more. I think you're using the wrong tool, giving the wealth distribution of your audience. Maybe. There's a couple ways to interpret your question. One question is, like, why crowdfund when I could appeal to high net worth individuals? And another version is, like, why crowdfund at all, like, as opposed to raising grants or
Starting point is 01:55:15 talking to philanthropy or whatever? Are you mostly focused on the first of those? Yes. If I'm kind of be honest, it's because it has worked. The history of the crowdfunding of this project is, like many things in my life, the result of goading from Michael Nielsen. Early on when we were working on this Quantum Country project, he suggested we set this up, and I kind of hemmed and hawed and hot,
Starting point is 01:55:38 and I said like, ah, you know, it's going to be a distraction. Like, we don't really need this right now. Like, let's deal with it later when we have something to show. And he's like, no, no, no, let's just get started. you know, it's going to be a long time to get enough subscribers and so on. And it turned out he was right. You know, the process of crowdfunding a project is, it takes like maybe a couple of years, at least in my experience, to, you know, build up a subscriber base.
Starting point is 01:56:00 And starting earlier was better. And if that hadn't worked or if we hadn't started early, I think I probably would have just reached out and asked for individual help. And I probably will if it fails on me. I'll say also, like, when there have been specific, projects that I've wanted to do that require, say, hiring people. I have reached out to high net worth friends, and they've helped, but, you know, and kind of like the low five-figure, four-figure kind of range.
Starting point is 01:56:32 And that's great. And I'm very grateful. So I guess the answer may be a mix. One of the big limitations to the crowdfunding thing is it seems pretty clear to me it can't sustain a team or an institution or anything like that. they can barely sustain me. I earn somewhere between like a grad student and a junior faculty member, you know, and like that's kind of okay, I guess.
Starting point is 01:56:54 And there's like a variety of reasons why that's okay for me that are like pretty particular to my circumstance. But, you know, it certainly wouldn't be okay for everybody. And even for me, it doesn't allow me to support others. Right. And it's even more, I guess, striking because in terms of the success of what, what a public intellectual is basically, in some sense you're like a public researcher in the sense of like some of your research is public, or you publish your research in a public-facing way.
Starting point is 01:57:22 Even in a context in which you're like pretty well known, especially amongst the, you know, the kind of audience would be happy to fund this kind of thing. If, uh, if the LeBron James of, you know, independent public research is like between a grad student and, uh, yeah, it's a, it's a, uh, it's not a great sign in general for that. I think it's worth considering that I'm also maybe not very good at this. Like, I mean, so first off, like, I'm not that success. as a researcher. I guess I kind of object to the LeBron James characterization. It's true that I'm maybe the most successful crowdfunded researcher in tech stuff, and that's kind of weird. But like the last couple of years, you know, I've like figured some stuff out, but I guess
Starting point is 01:57:57 I wouldn't say I've had any like spectacular hit kind of publication kind of things. One thing that is true of this is that, you know, when I have big publications, I get a lot of new subscribers. So I think like there is some kind of market force that could be higher if were, you know, like having a more spectacular success or whatever with my research. I think it's also true that I pretty systematically avoid marketing it. That's kind of a self-protection thing. Like, I am really worried about the corrosive influence of audience and marketing on inquiry, honest inquiry.
Starting point is 01:58:35 Okay. It is very easy, very, very easy to distort my work. It's almost a default to try to make it be something that people would be more likely to like rather than the thing that I actually want to investigate or to do the boring, simple version of it rather than the interesting deep version so that I can publish more stuff more often. Like one thing that I've chosen not to do that is a choice that's definitely cost me financially is to publish what academics would call like minimum viable units of paper or something like that so that they have a pithier phrase than that.
Starting point is 01:59:15 Minimum viable papers. It's very common to take any new marginal insight that is kind of above a particular bar and publish that as a little thing. And I just haven't done that. Like, you know, I've written little informal letters to my patrons and like, hey, I figured this thing out this month. And like, if I were an academic, I probably would have published that as a paper. And if I were a marketing-oriented crowdfunded researcher, I probably would have, like,
Starting point is 01:59:41 done some glossy thing and, like, promoted it and whatever. Like, look at this thing I figured out. But, like, actually, I just don't think it's that big a deal. And I'd rather get on to the next thing. I have that choice, I guess, of waiting to publish. But that's not really what I'm worried about. Really what I'm worried about is, like, marketing, man, marketing. It makes it so hard to be honest with oneself, at least in my experience. Not only, to be honest, as I said, with, like, what I think is interesting and what I think is important. But even to be honest about the results, like every paper is in some sense a little marketing piece trying to make the case that it's significant, that its results are really exciting or really important. And that is really corrosive to discovery.
Starting point is 02:00:24 I mean, it's true that you need to, you need a really strong emotional connection to the work, I think, in order to do good work. And part of that emotional connection comes from a sense of excitement of maybe being hot on the tail of something really good. But there's a temptation to kind of portray what you found in the best possible light and to kind of downplay its limitations and to take up space and to totalize. And all of this is just, I think it's just death for discovery. It is interesting to hear that from somebody who inadvertently and without intentionally trying to do so has done a good job of spreading your material.
Starting point is 02:01:07 Well, you know, I've known about you for a long time. But I do wonder if there's an element of, I think if you get to a certain level of quality, after that, trying to market your stuff, not only doesn't help, but it probably hurts you. If you can try to think of somebody like, I don't know, Goren trying to, like, post YouTube shorts of his blog photos or something like that, it would just be like, what are you doing, man, right? It's just so good that he doesn't need to promote it. Goren is an interesting example because there's a simpler failure mode. And that's that I still routinely run into people who will tell me like, oh, I've really liked your work for a while.
Starting point is 02:01:40 I didn't know you had a Patreon. And that's kind of like a simple failure of a certain kind of marketing on my part. And I think Gwern actually has this even worse. I adore Gwern. Like, I have learned so much from him. And it is the case. Like, you can go to his Patreon page and he actually makes public his revenue. He makes on Patreon like a tiny fraction of what I do.
Starting point is 02:02:05 I think this is inappropriate. Like Quirn is a much more impactful researcher than I am. And he has a much bigger audience than I do. So the fact that they aren't converting into patrons, I think, is mostly a matter of like the way that he talks about it and the way that he presents it. And like, it's not that he needs to market more people to his webpage. I expect he has plenty of traffic and plenty large audience. I think it's much larger than mine.
Starting point is 02:02:31 I think it's more just like there are a bunch of variables about the way that you talk about this membership offering and none of us really want to think about them. And I've ended up at a slightly more effective part of the space, but I'm pretty sure that there's like much more effective ways to do whatever it is I'm doing. Yeah, this is a really interesting problem because I have a substack where if people choose, they can help contribute to the podcast. And while it's broaden enough revenue to help pay for certain episodes in traveling, in comparison to now that I'm going to be doing ads, in comparison to while we'll be making an ad, it's just like a small fraction. And which is, some people might say it's unfortunate that you have to do ads.
Starting point is 02:03:13 And maybe listeners will just be finding out for the first time that there was an option on substack. But also, you don't want to be in the position where you're asking listeners for money every episode. Yeah, I hate asking people for me. I think this is a common issue for creative people. I hate it. I really hate it. I probably need to get over this. I do want to make one point, though.
Starting point is 02:03:35 I had much more success with my Patreon when I recast it as like, oh, please, like, support me, like, subscribe to support my work, like the thing you were describing, to something that I guess feels slightly more like, I don't know, an offering, like, become a member. And, like, when you become a member, like, the thing you're. these things will happen. We're like, these things are not terribly substantial necessarily, but I guess what I'm saying is like, there's a difference between a tip jar and a membership in people's minds. And,
Starting point is 02:04:06 like, becoming a member means something. And if you could offer something small that feels membership-ish, you might get very different results. And Guern has the kind of tip-jar vibe. And I, these days have kind of like a member vibe. And my instinct is that if you were to move to like a,
Starting point is 02:04:24 you know, become like a member of Gwern's Lab kind of thing, he would have better results. Well, he has a thing on Patreon where it's like if you donate five bucks or eight bucks, he will read an entire book and review it. Yeah, this is crazy. I don't know if anybody's ever taking him up on this. Yeah, but I mean, that's like valuing his time at a dollar. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 02:04:44 I don't quite understand this. I mean, I think it's also the case. Like, you'd probably have an easier time asking for subscriptions if you had a larger audience first. Like, you can build the audience for free and then kind of have some bonus offering or something that's behind a wall, maybe. I feel very conflicted about this, actually. Maybe you can help me think about it. Well, I just, I have all these patron essays. It's like where most of my writing is these days, because I'm kind of waiting until I can collect enough things for the next big public piece. I have a couple of like big public pieces in various stages of flight. And so anyway, I mean, I'm writing
Starting point is 02:05:24 a lot for patrons. And I think probably much of my audience or people out there don't even know that's there. So like one challenge of member only content is even making clear that it's there to others. And often people will try to achieve this by like tweeting about or sending newsletters out about this subscriber only content.
Starting point is 02:05:46 And I just can't bring myself to do it. It feels terrible to say like, oh, here's a link, but you can't view it. Yeah, I can't do it. I don't know how you think about this or if you think about like subscriber only material for lunar society. I was actually just about to mention this to you, which was, you know, I'm a patron and I got a chance to read all your patron only, patron only essays. And they're great. And I was actually thinking while I was reading them, it's like really unfortunate that a person might not know they exist or if they're not familiar enough with their work to go ahead and sign up.
Starting point is 02:06:18 It's just like behind the Patreon. So it's a shame that the way to fund public. work is, or one of the ways for fun public work is to make some of that work less public. I think it would be, yeah, there was some way to make those. I think there are better ways to do this. I think there are like design solutions. So for instance, like if it were the case that my work was kind of mostly all in one place rather than in these separate places and the subset of the work that's public was kind of visually and structurally adjacent to the subset of the work that's private, it would be
Starting point is 02:06:52 clear that there's like this additional stuff that's available and perhaps you can see the first bit of it. You know, substack has this kind of stuff as to get some sense of what it is that you'd be seeing. I just, I've invested like zero effort into figuring out an appropriate presentation of this stuff. Right. And also another thing to consider is to the extent that this may not be the largest thing you care about, but it is a factor is that a big part of the impact of at least your writing
Starting point is 02:07:17 work. One of the things in that equation is how many people will actually consume it. Yeah. And the expected value on that is dominated by the probability it goes viral. Sure. And it just can't go viral if it's on. Like, for example, I think your recent post on, you had this really insightful post on based on your experience in industry at Apple about the possibilities of a vision pro. In what ways it's living up to and not.
Starting point is 02:07:41 And I think like that would have just gone huge. I mean, I did make it public. I put it on Twitter and it was on the front page of Hacker News. Oh, right. I think you're right. And like usually I don't want this stuff to go viral. Like it's in Medias Race. It's, uh, I think that the primary value that most of it has for people is kind of
Starting point is 02:07:59 opening up a window into a particular, very unusual kind of creative work that they don't normally get to see the behind the scenes of. And most of it is kind of context laden. It's, it's not really freestanding. And I don't really want to write it, uh, as if it could be freestanding. I've occasionally had the experience of one of these kinds of things getting widely distributed and then getting all these comments of people like just like being kind of angrily confused about what I'm even talking about.
Starting point is 02:08:29 That's kind of discouraging. I guess all of this to say when I want to write something for broad public consumption, I write something for broad public consumption, you know? Okay, I've got some questions for Twitter from Twitter. Okay, bring it on Twitter. This is actually another question from Matt Clancy. Are there other examples of beneficial knowledge work practices that perhaps mostly work because they are a form of space repetition practice, where the participants
Starting point is 02:08:51 don't realize it. Yeah, I mean, I think this is like, this is embedded in our, in our working world. So for a researcher, when you need to write papers regularly and you're writing those background sections and you're repeatedly explaining the history of a particular line of research and citing the appropriate sources, like that is a kind of space repetition. when you have students and you're mentoring them in conversation about like, oh, in this kind of situation, you really need to remember to do X. That is a kind of space repetition. And all of this stuff is, it's kind of accidental.
Starting point is 02:09:29 Doctors have grand rounds when, you know, even when they're not seeing patients regularly, they're still exposed to other patients. And there's often a structure in this where, like, while the patient is being presented, you're supposed to be kind of trying to think, like, what would I think to ask? like, well, what my differential be, you know, before you hear it? There's like covert retrieval happening. So I think it's like it's everywhere in our world. And it's spaced and it's repeated.
Starting point is 02:09:57 The thing that differentiates the kind of formal practice that I've been exploring, I think is mostly it focuses on material that you wouldn't otherwise normally have repeated, either because you're too early with it to have a consistent practice or because it's just not firmly tethered enough in anything in your life. This is a question from Ian Bonagos. What is the optimal amount of effort that should go into a personal website? And I think you might have noticed the amount of CSS that exist on atushat.org. Yeah.
Starting point is 02:10:30 Which is very beautiful, but... I don't like it. Oh, no? This is what everybody says about their website, right? You know, it's three years old. That means I want to redesign it, but I will not allow myself because it feels like a distraction. That's the right amount of effort. You know, I mean, there's no general answer.
Starting point is 02:10:46 answer to that question. Of course, that's going to be my answer. But what can I say about it? What's the job of the website? What's it trying to do? I think many, especially engineers, do themselves a disservice by fretting over their websites unnecessarily building vast technical infrastructure when really what they want is like a place to post a markdown files. And they're better off just like getting a ghost installation and going to. I think the main thing to think about is like what is it that you want to put out in the world, what is the ideal form of that thing? And to try to find some way of organizing and expressing that. We have these common patterns, like a blog or a portfolio.
Starting point is 02:11:29 And often people end up kind of forcing themselves into these patterns. People will end up using blogging software to make something that's kind of durable. And I think, like, very interesting personal websites often come from people who are thinking about that question, the shape of the thing that they want to put out into the world and making something
Starting point is 02:11:49 that speaks to it. Often once you'll understand the shape, making the thing is not that effortful. My website was not an enormous project for me probably should have been
Starting point is 02:12:00 a slightly larger one given that my income depends on people coming through it. The working notes with the, I mean, that was a weekend. Really? Yeah, I feel kind of bad about it
Starting point is 02:12:09 because it's made its way into tons of commercial projects now and people are like, oh, this is like, this is the way to present network notes. And like, there's actually, I think it's not very good in a variety of ways. I spent like a couple days on it. Wow.
Starting point is 02:12:21 Because I thought this is where the question was alluding to is you have to spend months on this. Nope. Wow. I mean, it is a little bit of like the thing about the mechanic, like, you know, hitting one thing and kind of knowing the thing. Like, okay, I have design intuitions that led me in a particular direction. But there's lots of things I don't like about it. I just haven't allowed myself to spend any more time on it because I just don't think it's important enough. I have a question about actually your time at Apple before I asked the final
Starting point is 02:12:47 Twitter question. You know, like everybody have an iPhone and from the outside, there must be so many different tradeoffs and constraints when a thing like this is being designed, you know, what is the supply of certain components and the cost? What are different consumers want? What features is the R&D team ready to put forward? And then at your time at Apple, you were like responsible for a lot of these cornerstone design features. features. What like how is all that information integrated where guys like, all right, taking all of these constraints into account, this is the design. Like how does that happen? I mean, one thing that's very interesting is that it's very compartmentalized and like basically
Starting point is 02:13:25 none of what you just said was relevant to me. Like it was all pre-specified. So like the thing at Apple is is like you have a little domain that's like your own and like the boundaries of that domain are determined by like everybody else's little domain. And so like there's a person who's responsible for thermals. Actually, there's a team that's responsible for thermals. And they kind of figure out, like, you know, okay, like, how can, I guess, like, what is our thermal budget? Like, what, how much can we have the CPU on during what kinds of working situations? And I basically can't argue with that. Like, those are just my constraints. But aren't those constraints informed by what's differential problem? It is iterative. So we'll run into stuff where, like, oh, there's a thing
Starting point is 02:14:08 we really want to do. We can't pull it off because it drains power too much. So, Hey, Siri is an interesting example. To be able to activate a voice command at any time without interacting with the device is great. And people prototype that just like having a thing listening in the background and like watching for it. But that requires having the main CPU on all the time, like processing audio buffers. And like you simply can't do that. It drains the battery. And so that attempt, led to eventually having this dedicated co-processor that runs at a lower power and it's very limited and restricted and it can be on when the main CPU is not on and it can listen for that sound. So is there a person who's job it is to take all things into account and like I decided
Starting point is 02:14:57 given the memos from everybody that thermals, you guys need to work on this, you know, you guys work on this? Not exactly. It's a little more push and pulse. So like a given team, usually some of their priorities will be internally determined. Like the thermals team has its hobby horses and it knows what it thinks is important. And some of them will be externally determined. There is an executive team that makes ultimate decisions about like, you know, the main priorities for next year's devices or whatever.
Starting point is 02:15:25 Like, ah, next year we're going to do this like face ID thing to unlock the phone. And we're not going to have a home button. Like, okay, as soon as you like, if you want to not have the home button and you want to have the screen go edge to edge, this has all of these impacts, like top to bottom on the device. So that decision creates lots of necessary work for lots of teams. But some stuff is kind of handled at a, I guess, a more local level. So for instance, more locally to the iOS team rather than at a top-level executive team, the director of iOS apps might decide, like, we have this problem that because the apps were built at the same time as the
Starting point is 02:16:06 system frameworks, we end up building our apps using this like weird Frankenstein, like partially internal framework, partially the public one that our developers use. And the internal one is always like a little bit different and like it's not always maintained reliably. And so we have all these problems about the skew between the two. So like a big priority for us is going to like, you know, rewrite all the pieces of our apps to only use the public bits and like, you know, so that they could be distributed on the app store. And that's kind of like a more local decision. What I find really interesting about this is that it's possible for a $2 trillion company to integrate all this information to have a cohesive hierarchy where so many different
Starting point is 02:16:48 products, so many different tradeoffs are being made. Does that make you think that over time these very well-functioning tech firms will get bigger and bigger, that they can actually handle the cost of having this much overhead? Let me first just respond to this observation about the normanated company, and then maybe we'll talk about the other firms. I think the reason Apple is able to do this is because of the way that they delegate. So while there is a very strong command and control structure and for important decisions that they really are made by a small group of people at the top, the individual leaders in the various areas at all levels of the hierarchy have an enormous amount of latitude.
Starting point is 02:17:31 And that's the only way that any of this can work. So individual people are given very, very strong responsibility and authority within domains to make decisions. And that's how you can have all of these disparate products like Craig Federigi is head of software at Apple. What does that mean? How can you be head of software? Like they have, how many platforms do they have? You know, iOS, iPad OS, watchOS, Vision OS, Mac OS. Also, there's like an operating system running in a bunch of the cables, like on little chips in the cables, right?
Starting point is 02:18:00 And like, all of that is under Craig. What does that mean? In practice, what it means is there is a set of software concerns that he's actually super concerned with, and he's thinking about day-to-day. Like, when I was at Apple, I had Craig Federigi in my office talking about gesture-recognizer heuristics with me because, like, that was something that was hyper-saliant to him. At the same time, he was basically completely ignoring, you know, 95% of software-related decisions, and he just fully delegated those things to others. there's a really interesting Harvard Business Review piece from a few years back about Apple's management structure and about how they have a couple of different concentric rings of kinds of responsibility for any given leader. There will be, I don't remember exactly the breakdown, you know, call it 5% of things that you're responsible for that you have your hands on at all times
Starting point is 02:18:51 and you are like directly manipulating and controlling. And then there's, you know, a ring outside of that that's a little bit bigger. those are the things that you're keeping an eye on, right? So they are salient to you. You're getting reports on them. You are checking in on them. You're thinking about them. You're coming up with ideas and sending them down the chain,
Starting point is 02:19:06 but you're not directly controlling them. And then there's a bunch of stuff that you've figured out how to delegate and you want to hear if there's problems. And they talk about how that structure's evolved over time. It's been now eight years since I've been at Apple. And so I'm sure it's practically unrecognizable to me. This is a question from Basil Halperin. on Twitter, is the lack of space repetition adoption a market failure or is a lack of adoption
Starting point is 02:19:34 efficient? I think it's probably mostly efficient. So in places where space repetition, as it stands, without substantial, like novel cultural knowledge that's difficult to transmit and isolate, where all of that is valuable, we see a lot of space repetition usage. So among medical students who are highly motivated, have lots of reason to study and the material is shaped in a way it's highly amenable to space repetition usage. There's tons of space repetition usage. In fact, the med student Anki subreddit is like bigger than the Anki subreddit. Likewise, among language learners, space repetition in various forms is extremely common.
Starting point is 02:20:14 Duolingo has space repetition integrated into it. And space repetition is kind of naturally present in the process of immersion learning. In fact, modern space repetition tools between the Lightner box and, uh, Wozniak's super memo, they were both originally motivated by language learning. So in language learning, there's like a substantial market for space repetition. It could probably be used in a variety of more creative ways. For instance, Russell Simmons has pointed out to me that studying individual vocabulary words on flashcards often misses kind of integrative opportunities,
Starting point is 02:20:49 which you really want is to kind of study lots of sentences or something like that or possibly to build up towards that. And dual-lingual does something kind of like that. And people in space repetition for language learning subreddits mostly don't. Some of them do. It's kind of complicated. So there's edges at the market, right, where you need early adopters to kind of try things that have rough edges.
Starting point is 02:21:09 And the early adopters sometimes they get cut and they bleed a little bit. And so that's why people aren't rushing into it. As to why space repetition isn't widely used, for instance, to like learn quantum physics. I think it's basically correctly priced. You know, I can use space repetition to learn quantum physics. bit faster. It doesn't make it a fait accompli or anything like that. It's not like learning anatomy where basically if you study the deck, you'll be done. You need some more stuff, and I'm working on some of that stuff. And also you need like an incredible amount of very unusual knowledge that's
Starting point is 02:21:41 largely tacit at the moment in order to use it in that way. That's part of what motivated recording this other video is to kind of show some of that in action. So the fact that the market isn't acting on this thing that it kind of can't really act on seems pretty appropriate. I think it's a good place to tie off that other collaboration and this project. This is really interesting. Thank you so much. Yeah, yeah. This is many hours of just insights and lots of food for thought.
Starting point is 02:22:10 Wonderful. Thank you. Yeah, if things are coming on. Hey, everybody. I hope you enjoyed that episode. As always, the most helpful thing you can do is to share the podcast. Send it to people you think might enjoy it. Put it in Twitter, your group chats, et cetera.
Starting point is 02:22:24 Just splits the world. Appreciate you listening. I'll see you next time. Cheers.

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