Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast - Effectively Wild Episode 2414: You Can Go Home Again

Episode Date: December 16, 2025

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about a smattering of transactions, featuring (among others) Jorge Polanco, Tyler Rogers, Kenley Jansen, Isaac Collins, Angel Zerpa, Merrill Kelly, Josh Bell, and ...Adolis García. Then (49:03) they talk about MLB’s move to regulate and standardize the use of in-game technology across the minor leagues, baseball content (sans spoilers!) in new Netflix films Wake Up Dead Man and A House of Dynamite (1:04:50), and MLB players who could come out of retirement after long layoffs, à la Colts QB Philip Rivers (1:15:20). Audio intro: Jonathan Crymes, “Effectively Wild Theme” Audio outro: Dave Armstrong and Mike Murray, “Effectively Wild Theme” Link to FG post on Polanco Link to Petriello on Polanco Link to FG post on Rogers Link to team RP projections Link to FG post on Brewers/Royals trade Link to 2025 team OF stats Link to FG post on Kelly Link to FG post on Kenley Link to R-JAWS leaders Link to Ben on the Lester trade Link to MLBTR on Bell Link to Trueblood on Bell Link to MLBTR on García Link to new MLB regulations Link to 2023 report on team spending Link to report on Monfort’s spending Link to EW Episode 1489 Link to EW Episode 1490 Link to Ben on Elementary Link to baseball in Knives Out Link to blog about baseball in WUDM Link to Reddit on baseball in WUDM Link 2 to Reddit on baseball in WUDM Link to Lindor references Link to Vonn’s win Link to Rivers post in FB group Link to Rivers game story Link to Seahawks tweet Link to Gainwell wiki Link to EW Episode 1928  Sponsor Us on Patreon  Give a Gift Subscription  Email Us: podcast@fangraphs.com  Effectively Wild Subreddit  Effectively Wild Wiki  Apple Podcasts Feed   Spotify Feed  YouTube Playlist  Facebook Group  Bluesky Account  Twitter Account  Get Our Merch! var SERVER_DATA = Object.assign(SERVER_DATA || {}); Source

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello, I'm just a fan who wants. Nothing less than Effectively Wild. Oh, wow. A wild. A wild. Nothing less than Effectively Wild. Hello and welcome to episode 2414 of Effectively Wild, a Fangraphs baseball podcast brought to you by our Patreon supporters. I'm Megrelli of Fangraphs, and I am joined by Ben Lindbergh of the ringer, Ben, how are you? Not bad. How are you? I am tired, but I am otherwise well. You just had a whole weekend to recover.
Starting point is 00:00:43 It was not restful. I mean, it was full of diamond backs, but otherwise rest. fall. You know, it's just like, there's a lot of travel this time of year. We got stuff to do. My mom said to me on the phone the other week, she's like, you're not like a teacher. You don't have, you're not a seasonal employee. And I was like, only been doing this job for almost 10 years. But yeah, mom, that's right. That is correct. Yeah, I get that comment fairly often from friends, family. I got it even when I was covering baseball exclusively, which I understood a bit more because if you don't know that much about baseball, you think, okay, off season, sure, you're off then
Starting point is 00:01:23 if you're a baseball person, but of course, that is not the case. If you do a year-round podcast and you edit a year-round website, essentially. And then also as I do other things, but baseball, it's even less of an off-season. But yeah, I'm pretty sure close family members have made similar remarks to me, and I have realized how closely they actually pay attention to my career. Right, yeah. And it's like, you know, know, it's fine, but also, I'm sorry, there's a news component sometimes, Mom. So anyway, here we are. Well, we will talk a bit about the Diamondbacks today, I imagine, because they made a move or two. We have a smattering of transactions to talk about, nothing quite as momentous as the Pete Alonzo signing from last week or some of the big winter meetings moves.
Starting point is 00:02:09 But some after effects of the winter meetings, some ripples. And we can discuss that. And then a bit of other ben. enter that we will get to. So, yeah, I guess maybe we could start with the most directly related to Pete Alonzo move, which was the Mets signing Jorge Polanco, former Mariner, player who... Best baseball player I've ever seen. Yes, as I recall, player, you have never said anything negative bell. Not even one thing. Yeah, I didn't really see this coming. Palanco as more or less direct replacement, at least on paper, for Pita Lanzo. It's kind of an interesting cast. But we talked last time about the Mets moves and departures, and we said incomplete, there's a lot of offseason to go, more moves to be made. So still incomplete, but more complete in that we now know who is evidently slotted in to replace Pete at first base.
Starting point is 00:03:05 And it's a guy who has played first base for one professional pitch as an injury replacement. So he's going to have to pick up the position. But I don't doubt that he can. Yeah. It's not incredibly hard or anything like that. Do you think that first basemen are like, hey, so we know, you know, we're realistic about where we stand relative to, say, a center fielder or a shortstop? But you guys are a little loosey-goosey with assuming just anybody can do it over here. Yeah, that's a good article idea if it hasn't already been done, just pulling first baseman about what they think of that money ball meme. So like you said, my instinct is still to kind of render onto the method. an incomplete. I like the fit of the bat fine.
Starting point is 00:03:52 You know, I think that the top end of Jorge Polanco's production is like sort of a baseline expectation Pete Alonzo season. So in that respect, I think there's more downside potential relative to Pete. 132 career high WRC plus in 2025 for Polanco, which is Pete Alonzo's career or WRC plus. Right. Bang on. Bang on for Pete. So, you know, I think that there is an understanding that the, the likelihood of him
Starting point is 00:04:21 exactly matching Alonzo's production on his own is low, but that's reflected in the fact that he's making $40 million over two years and Pete Alonzo's making $155 million, right? So not over two years. That would be a large contract by a, probably a record, by a considerable margin. You know, I think that Polanco, especially when he's fully held. healthy is a perfectly capable bat and by all accounts like a steady eddy good clubhouse presence and you know i here i am defending the honor of first baseman but it is a position that that many a baseball player has learned as he has tumbled down the defensive spectrum which has
Starting point is 00:05:02 certainly happened to polanco if there had ever been a time when i had said anything negative about Jorge Polanco, which remember, the record clearly shows I have never done. It would have been watching him try to man second base. But the thing about the Mets is that they don't need him to do that. They have a Marcus Simeon for that purpose now. So I think that defensively, a first base with, I would imagine, some DH in there is a fine fit, assuming he can take to the position. And I do think that for all the luster attached to Alonzo's bat and sort of the well-deserved regard in which it's held, like he is a bad defensive first baseman.
Starting point is 00:05:49 The numbers bear that out. The watch in him bears it out. You know, there's an argument to be made that like, gosh, God, I sang a half a season. So I don't know that it can get like appreciably worse in terms of the actual value contribution. It could certainly look dofier, you know, as he's getting up to speed. But we've seen guys, as I said, sort of learn to learn to man first base as a means of extending their career when they can't play the field anymore. But their bat is still productive. And I think Polanco's drifting into that territory.
Starting point is 00:06:25 He has those great sunglasses, you know. He's got those cool specs. I bet they'll love those cool specs in New York. People in New York love cool specs, you know. Sure. For that. Yeah, playoff hero. Playoff hero.
Starting point is 00:06:38 I mean, like, look, I've been goofing a little bit here. Enough cannot be said as a Mariners fan about, like, the very narrow but deep place that Polanco will occupy in Mariners' lore, right? Like, his tenure, largely unremarkable, good bat, you know, certainly helpful and productive bat. And at times when the rest of the lineup wasn't hitting very well, and then when he was hitting, well from July onward and like Julio got going and you have Cal and Naylor's there and you're like, wow, you're really cooking with gas. We got something here. This is a lineup, a real lineup. But the thing that I will always remember is his postseason performance and the role that that played in, really literally launching them into the ALCS, yes, among other things. So yeah, I don't
Starting point is 00:07:29 know. It seems, I mean, it's weird because he doesn't play the basis he's at the position he's being signed to play, at least not yet, but fine. They really do need to go sign a premium bat though now. I think that they got to go get a Kyle Tucker, I think. Yeah, that would be nice, or a top of the
Starting point is 00:07:49 rotation pitcher or something. Or both. We did say last time that Happy Birthday Mark Viento, suddenly you have a position open. Not so fast. No, so I guess they're not big believers in a Viento. does bounce back or don't want to count on that at least.
Starting point is 00:08:06 And Polanco can, he can be a backup if you need him to be. If you have injury absences or something, a second or third, you could slot him in there if need be. But I guess if you're a Mets Finn, you might think, well, we've cheaped out a little, we went a little cheaper for slightly worse replacements. We lost Diaz, we got Devin Williams, we lost Alonzo, we got Polanco. And you're still spending a fair amount for those guys. It's not exactly cheap. It's two years, 40 million for Polanco.
Starting point is 00:08:41 So it's like two-thirds of Pete Alonzo on an average annual value basis and then obviously a much shorter term. But, yeah, maybe you're getting two-thirds of Pete or something on paper. So you might say, well, we're the Mets. We should just go get the premier high talent and high-dollar value guy. But they might yet do that. I guess if that's the whole off season is just kind of getting slightly cheaper versions of the guys you lost and slightly less good, probably versions of the guys you lost, then that would be a bit disappointing. But if you then repurpose those savings for some other top pre-agent, yeah, that makes it go down a little bit easier.
Starting point is 00:09:22 Yeah, this is why I think it's like incomplete. And, you know, it's December 15th. We don't need to be, we don't need to have a completely don't. list, you know? And there's a world where Devin Williams bounces back and is just as good as Diaz. And there's a world where Jorge Polanco's
Starting point is 00:09:42 offensive improvement this year proves to be real and sustainable. And he did make some changes to his setup and swing and everything. And it seemed to pay dividends in exit speeds. So maybe they're believers in him managing to keep up that performance
Starting point is 00:09:58 more or less from last season. So, okay. Yeah. there you go there's a move i don't know that that will satisfy metz fans for now but uh it fills a spot i suppose other moves to talk about well there was the twins also signing a well i don't know can we call josh bell a first baseman sure dh first baseman yeah i guess a d h but yeah josh bell is going to minnesota he's another guy who made some changes and improved his swing speed, et cetera. And it didn't really change his overall numbers very much this past year. And really, he has not been a valuable player for quite some time if we're being completely honest about it.
Starting point is 00:10:42 And why wouldn't we be? But it's been a few years since he has at least war-wise been better than more or less a replacement level player. So there were some changes that you could kind of talk yourself. I think Matt Trueblood wrote about this recently for baseball prospectus that maybe you think there's some sort of bounce back late career breakout kind of thing coming, but he's five and a half million for a year. And we know the twins not exactly break in the bank these days in general. I also think that like a suspicion that I have now about Josh Bell is that he just must be like the best hang. Because he keeps getting work, you know.
Starting point is 00:11:22 And to your point, hasn't been a particularly productive player for a little while. but he's a guy who's been who's been traded for, you know, a number of times over the last couple of years, and he keeps getting work. So I don't know. I think he must be a great hang because people keep wanting to give him some jobs. And sure, is the caliber of club in terms of their current aspirations, although the twins project weirdly well for next year. But, like, given their aspirations, you'd expect a club like Minnesota to be in the Josh Bell business. But, I don't know, they're in the Josh Bell business. So, there you go.
Starting point is 00:12:02 Yeah. Okay, a couple reliever moves. This one broke last week after we recorded, but the Blue Jays have signed Tyler Rogers, revamping their bullpen. It's interesting because the Blue Jays and the Dodgers both matched up in the World Series and both had bad bullpens. And that was kind of their weakness in the postseason. And they've both taken some steps to address that.
Starting point is 00:12:26 Edwin Diaz. was the more noteworthy step, the more prominent step and a record's contract or salary for him. And Roger's going to the boojays, it's a little less headline grabbing because he has basically been a setup guy and will continue to be, but he's a really good pitcher,
Starting point is 00:12:45 and he's coming off maybe his best year. And so the brewers have, they've made a few more minor moves to shore up that bullpen. And of course, they've made big moves in the rotation and, you know, signing Dylan Sees and Cody Ponce, and they now have too many starters for a starting rotation, so I don't know if they will hold on to all of those guys. I know Jose Brioz has been mentioned as a trade candidate and was mentioned as a bullpen
Starting point is 00:13:13 candidate last year before he got hurt, so I don't know if he ends up being bullpen depth or on some other team or what, but they did trade for Chase Lee, who's a side armor. So they got the side armor, they got the submariner. I love it so much. Every possible arm angle. You got Trey Savage going extreme over the top. Yeah. All the possible release points.
Starting point is 00:13:36 Got to catch them all. I like that. They took Spencer Miles in the Rule 5 draft. Yeah, they did. They're just stockpiling some arms. And the Dodgers, they currently, according to the Fangraph's depth charts, project to have the best bullpen in baseball. We will see.
Starting point is 00:13:53 I'm sure they projected to have a good bullpen last year, too. They sure did. things fell apart. The Blue Jays, though, they project to be top ten. Currently, they're number eight because they have Hoffman and they've got Rogers and they've got everyday Louis Varlane and you have Jimmy Garcia coming back and Eric Lauer postseason heroes slotting in there and various other guys. So, yeah, it looks like it could be a decent pen, especially if it's bolstered by depth from
Starting point is 00:14:24 the starting rotation. but yeah yeah i'm liking that staff as a whole yeah i just appreciate that so the the dodgers were fourth in positional power rankings entering the season yeah yeah didn't work out that way did it i just appreciate the obvious ambition being demonstrated by toronto and by the dodgers too right like it it would be understandable if they were to come to rest on their laurels a little bit having just won the world series and they don't seem to have much of an interest in doing that. And the Blue Jays, having been, you know, on the receiving end of a devastating loss, have just been like, let's go make our club better in a lot of the ways that made us
Starting point is 00:15:07 vulnerable last year. Let's shore up some obvious weaknesses. And I think, you know, they have rightly assessed that there is ambition in the AL East. It's not as if it's not there, but you don't have the Yankees in a spot where they're, like, dying to go spend a bunch of money. The Orioles have a lot of work yet to do. No offense to Pete Alonzo, but, you know, famously not a pitcher. So there are inns to be had here. And they, I think, want to be taken seriously in a division that even if it's not quite as robust from a spending perspective in some respects as it's been in recent years, is going to still project really well and be hard. And so go go get them.
Starting point is 00:15:50 I like that. I think it's great. I wish that more clubs, you know, we've seen some. World Series losers in the last couple of years be like, I'm going to try to go get better. I hope it goes better for Toronto than it's gone for, say, the Diamondbacks, whose attempts at doing that have largely been wait for it, snake bit, and we'll get to the debacks in a moment. But I like it. I think, you know, they're trying to go do the thing.
Starting point is 00:16:15 And I think that that is an admirable pursuit and one that's well within their capability as a, you know, a club that has the means to spend. So good for them. Yeah, use that Rogers money on Rogers and some other guys. You know, I think Rogers is really fun. I love the like arm slot diversity that they're assembling because it's just cool to watch, right? Like the rays used to do this a lot where it was like you could kind of make a peacock's tail out of all the different arm angles. There have been suggestions and some studies research about whether that helps, whether there's some sort of effect of just varying English.
Starting point is 00:16:54 I think Depoto has talked about this in the past, just wanting like a bullpen octopus, just sort of coming at you from every angle. And I've seen some studies that, if I recall, weren't completely conclusive. But it seems like it could help to give guys different looks. And even if it doesn't help, it is fun. It's fun. Yeah, it's fun for fans, visually. And Rogers is a good, I think a good arm. And as we talked about when we had Clemens on to discuss the top 50, like an arm who,
Starting point is 00:17:24 who I think is better than his projections would necessarily suggest. I think, you know, the projections sometimes have a hard time knowing what to do with the submariner, and mariner, mariner, mariner, submariner, submariner. I always puzzle over that, yeah. I have surveyed actual members of the submarine service to figure out what they do, and I've been puzzling this for years. Like if you serve on a submarine, are you a submariner or submariner? I think in the baseball context, at least, I think it's a mariner. I think it's mariner. Yeah, we typically say mariner.
Starting point is 00:17:58 Yeah, yeah. I would say submariner if I were a submariner because you're a mariner, not a marine, right? From a pronunciation anyway, that would be what I would do. Although, are there Marines who serve on submarines, but you say submarine? So where does that leave you? Now where it leaves you nowhere at all. No, I don't think you'd have a Marine on a submarine. but you might have a submarine of some sort.
Starting point is 00:18:25 I don't know. Right. Anyway. Namor, the superhero, Submariner, that's typically submariner. But. You doing, you doing, you're doing dork shit on a Monday? You do it so dark shit on a Monday? I respected. You know, they were.
Starting point is 00:18:39 But all that to say that I think that he is better than he projects. And as, as Ben noted when we were talking to him about the top 50, like, I think that the way he is valued by teams, particularly in trade, sort of reflects that, and that he has been traded for actual guys. And he got a reasonably sized contract. So I like it quite a bit. I think it's a nice fit for them. And yeah, that's what I say about that. Yeah. And I mentioned on a recent episode that it does seem like the AL East is really stocking up. I mean, what else is new? It's the AL East. But even so, Boston has gotten better. Toronto's gotten better.
Starting point is 00:19:22 The Yankees haven't been that busy yet, but you figure that they will be. And there was even a report this weekend that Michael King is choosing among the Orioles, Red Sox, and Yankees as his finalists in Free Agency. So if that turns out to be true, that could be another addition. So someone asks that we stat blasts just like an influx of talent in an offseason to a division. Maybe we'll get around to that at some point. But yeah, it seems like the Yankees. are sort of the sleeping giant of the off-season unless you count resigning Ahmed Rosario,
Starting point is 00:19:57 but probably most people wouldn't really count that as a major move. But, yeah, it's good to see good teams trying to get better. Yeah. And even some teams that are not coming off tremendously disappointing seasons like the Orioles are. Okay. Well, we've been dancing around the diamond back, so we will mention that they did bring back Merrill Kelly. Yeah. Many people may have even forgotten that he left at all because he wasn't gone for very long.
Starting point is 00:20:23 He was traded to the Rangers at the deadline, but now he is back. Long time, Diamondback will be a future Diamondback as well. And clearly he likes being there and they like having him there. So now he's signed up for another tour of duty on a two-year deal. So, yeah, I don't have a huge amount to say about that just because it's two years 40. It was the same as Polanco, right? But, yeah, you know, I guess I think of those two teams. I kind of lump the Diamondbacks and Rangers together in my mind lately just because of the 2023 World Series matchup and then the subsequent disappointment.
Starting point is 00:21:01 So he's been on both now. Yeah. And, you know, to that point, been doing some trades back and forth. I like it. I like Merrill Kelly a lot. I think it seemed like an obvious fit. He's from here, you know. And I think I suspected that he would be on him.
Starting point is 00:21:18 his way back. And also, you know, they, they're in such a strange in-between spot. What are the, what are the young people call it a liminal space? I think as, as Michael Rosen maybe referred to it, in his write-up of the signing, a liminal space between sort of contention and rebuilding where, you know, they've sunk all this money into the rotation and then all those guys have gotten hurts. And Corbin Burns is still coming back from Tommy John. You're not going to have him right away. Zach Gallen is gone now. And so you have to think that they need reinforcement there, but they probably didn't want to spend too too much money. And Kelly might have, you know, had some combination of hometown discount and age-related discount incredibly effective, despite
Starting point is 00:22:07 like not throwing very hard, but he just has such a great diverse arsenal and he commands it so well. So I like it as a fit for them. I also wonder what it might tell us about, sort of how their talks to potentially move Catel Marte have progressed because, I mean, they could have used reinforcement in the rotation even if they flip Marte for, you know, a frontline starter. But you have to think that what they were asking for in these potential Catel Marte Talks was pitching and basically big league ready pitching, which I understand, but also think that like the odds of them finding a fit that make Marte worth moving were pretty low. And I wonder if this signing kind of bears that out a little bit, that they just haven't been able to find the right trade partner.
Starting point is 00:22:56 They go make Catel Marte Seattle Mariner again. That'd be fine. But then they'd get some pitching. I don't know if I care for that, Ben. So I like it. I think it makes a good bit of sense for all involved. And I enjoy watching Merrill Kelly pitch. So I'm excited to have him back in town.
Starting point is 00:23:13 How nice. Yeah. Another thing I like is the trade a player at the deadline and then re-sign him immediately after the season. That gambit. Yeah, it's very satisfying to me. And it doesn't happen that often. And this would have been a good thing to Stap Blast, except I sort of pre-stap blasted it a decade ago because I wrote about this phenomenon for Grantland back in 2014 because the Red Sox had just traded John Lester to the A's. And immediately there was speculation that the Red Sox would just resellas. sign him after that season. And I said, not so fast. History suggests that he won't resign with the Red Sox. And indeed, he didn't. He signed with the Cubs instead, which I guess was a reunion in a sense. He went to another Theo Epstein team and worked out for the Cubs and for Lester.
Starting point is 00:24:01 They won a World Series together. But he did not, in fact, return to the Red Sox. And I looked up how often this happened. And I was looking for the narrow case of actually being traded midseason, trade deadline-ish, not like before a season, because sometimes that happens to like Kenny Lofton in maybe it was 97, I guess, was traded away from Cleveland, and then he subsequently resigned the following off-season, went back to Cleveland, so there's that kind of case. Yeah, it was 97 in March he was traded to Atlanta, and then that December he signed back
Starting point is 00:24:42 with Cleveland, but I don't even mean that kind of case. I mean, during the season. I guess Cliff Lee was another one of those, I think, where he was, yeah, he was traded by the Mariners. Yeah, he was, well, he was traded by the Phillies in December to the Mariners. And then the Mariners traded him at the following deadline. And then he signed with the Phillies in December 2010, which was a year after they had traded him away. So that happens. every now and then. But I found that this specific thing, trade a player at the deadline and then resign him over the following offseason, happens about once a year, on average. I went back. This was in 2014, but I found 35 examples dating back to 1978, I think, was when I started,
Starting point is 00:25:29 close to the advent of free agency. So it was, on average, about once a year. And the most notable case then, and I guess still, though I have not rerun the numbers, was Ricky Henderson. The A's traded Ricky Henderson, well, multiple times, I guess, but specifically they traded him July 31st trade deadline in 1993. They traded him to Toronto, and then they resigned him in December. They brought him back. And, yeah, he was the best player to have this kind of thing.
Starting point is 00:26:03 Harold Baines also went through something similar. Mike Bordick, Rico Cardi, Sydney Ponsonso, and Austin Cairns. Yeah, I have not refreshed this. sample. But I like this. I like when this happened because it's sort of nifty. It's like, well, we got something out of him. Like, we got something back. We traded him. We got some talent. And then we got to keep him, too. You have your cake and eat it too. And you get maybe some prospects back or something. And then you still have the player at the end. It's sort of satisfying. But it doesn't happen all that often because once you deal someone, I actually, for that piece,
Starting point is 00:26:40 I spoke to Sandy Alderson, who I guess was still with the Mets then, but he had been the one who traded Ricky Henderson, and the A's had already traded Henderson once to the Yankees in 84, and Alderson said, so that wasn't the first time, referring to 93, given the fact that he was from Oakland and had strong family ties there with his mother, having been traded to New York and brought back once, the possibility of bringing him back a second time wasn't out of the question. So I guess that's what you're saying with Kelly that he's from the area. So I guess a lot of baseball players are from the area who at least have settled in the area. But that helps. And Alderson told me the likelihood of convincing a player to come back such a short time after you've traded them away. Depends on the relationship that existed before the transaction and the circumstances of the transaction. Right. Where if everybody sort of understands why it makes sense for a deal to be made, then I think there's a greater possibility that the player can return.
Starting point is 00:27:37 But if the relationship wasn't terrific to begin with, or if there's a misunderstanding or disagreement over the circumstances of the trade itself, then I think that also diminishes the chances. So, yeah, you could imagine there being some bad blood over that or some hurt feelings. Hey, you just got rid of me. And I asked Alderson, he told me that bringing a player back usually doesn't come up before the deal goes down because I was wondering, what, do you talk to the guy and say, hey, you're about to be a free agent. we could bring you right back, but he said that he didn't remember ever engaging in a discussion like that when he was going to trade a player. And then, of course, once you do trade them, you can't talk about it anymore. You can't tamper, right?
Starting point is 00:28:19 So he said in conclusion. They do get mad about that. Yeah. There are a lot of forces at work in free agency that a club can always anticipate. And I think that's probably why it's so rare that a player does actually resign with a team that recently traded him away. Once you sever the relationship, you've got to be prepared for the play. to move on based on how the market reacts to agency.
Starting point is 00:28:39 And Dan O'Dowd, wow, I talked to a lot of people for this piece. How about that? Former Rockers. Yeah, Rockies GM, Dan O'Dowd said, when dealing with players' trades, it is always difficult to squeeze the toothpaste back in the bottle once you have squeezed it out. Even the best of intentions and world-class communications does not matter, in my humble opinion, unless your offer is higher than any other on the table.
Starting point is 00:29:00 So, yeah, that helps too. Yeah. To everyone's point about, like, the circumstances of it matter. Like, I can imagine, you know, this was sort of true. It didn't end up bearing fruit because, you know, the Rangers weren't able to get it done. But, like, I do think it matters when you're trading a guy. First of all, if you're trading a guy who's about to be a free agent, like, the stakes of it going wildly off the rails for him seem low to me because it's like, you're only going to be there for a couple of months, right? It's not like getting flipped to the, well, let me just be rude.
Starting point is 00:29:30 So, like, you know, if you'd been flipped to the white socks, it's like, well, this is a bad baseball team. But you're only going to be there for a couple of months. So, like, go have some good hot dogs and enjoy yourself. But when you're being flipped to a team that is, like, ostensibly trying to compete, I think sometimes that washes over veterans in a nice way, particularly if you're, like, in the process of tearing down. It's like, well, here, we're going to, we're getting something out of this. We're not doing it out of the goodness of our heart, but also you have an opportunity to potentially, like, get playoff time and go chase a ring. And I think, guys react to that differently than they do we're we're dealing you to some you know bottom of the
Starting point is 00:30:11 division club that can only play spoiler or what have you so yeah although i guess as it turned out the diamond backs ended up closer to the playoffs than the rangers did yeah they did that was kind of unexpected yeah it didn't quite work but the idea was that they were gonna kind of go for it a little bit so yeah yeah i also talked to doug glanville for that piece and he talked about the psychological aspects. Yeah, look at me, the shoe leather reporting for this post-trade deadline blog. But it takes so much emotional energy, he said, to leave a long-term team relationship. And it's worse when you didn't initiate it. Once you settle in and get a taste of leaving, it's a lot easier to keep going and make more detached decisions. So yeah, you can't kind of make
Starting point is 00:30:53 it a clean break. But not in this case. No, it's a happy reunion, hopefully. Yeah, I just, you know, I was talking about this with someone at one of winter meetings. And, you know, I would hate to be traded. I would hate it so much. I hate moving. We've talked about this. It would be so profoundly destabilizing. Whereas, like, signing in a new market,
Starting point is 00:31:14 sure, maybe you're, maybe you're having to move. I mean, not in Merrill Kelly's circumstance. I'm sure he's like, this is great. We don't have to buy boxes. They take up so much room when you're getting them home, you know? Like, so much room, getting them home. And then they're like, we'll deliver the boxes. But then that's very expensive.
Starting point is 00:31:32 So then you're doing all these trips to Lowe's or Home Depot or whatever. The expense might not matter as much if you signed a $40 million deal. I hear you on that, but it's about sometimes it's about the principle of the thing, you know? And you just feel like I know I'm getting ripped off. And even if I have the money to afford to be ripped off, I don't want to be ripped off. Like I'm not enjoying being ripped off anyway. But I think that if you're like getting ready to sort of launch and to, a free agent signing. Well, then you can think about it as like a new adventure for you and your family, right?
Starting point is 00:32:07 Like, I would, if I were married to a ball player, like, I'd hate to be traded, but like if he were to tell me, oh, we're going to go to, let's go to Japan for two years. I'm going to play an MVP. I'd be like, awesome. Let's go. That sounds like an amazing adventure. Like, get to go live in a totally new place and experience a new culture. And, you know, Phoenix has culture. It's not new to Merrill Kelly. But anyway, I just think the circumstances of it do matter a good bit. Like, they would wash over you in a really different way, depending on how much agency you have in the whole thing. What else? A couple other reliever related moves. Kenley Jansen, continuing the late career itinerant portion of his journey here. Yeah, he's now on the Tigers. So the Tigers have brought
Starting point is 00:32:52 back Kyle Finnegan, as we discussed. And now they've added Kenley Jansen to the mix. along with Will Vest and others. So I don't know, I kind of like that. I guess I like that Kenley is still a productive pitcher and a decent sort of save-getter. I don't know how the bowpen hierarchy will work out there. I assume if you have Kenley Jansen just in deference to his age and his career save total and everything,
Starting point is 00:33:17 I'm sure he's motivated to keep adding to that total. And perhaps he received some assurances about what his role will be, assuming he performs. but, you know, it doesn't even matter so much who's actually getting the saves and who is in a set-up role and maybe it's a mix and match bullpen by committee matchups kind of deal.
Starting point is 00:33:38 But I'm glad that Jansen is still good and that contending teams still want him and understandably so because it looked for a while there like maybe his career was winding down and he has sort of salvaged it. He's coming off a really strong year for the angels, the peripherals,
Starting point is 00:33:56 not quite as impressive as the surface stats, but he did get the job done. And he's 38 now. And, I mean, in terms of his Hall of Fame case, you've got to say, like, he's, I don't know if he's a no doubter, but just going by other relievers who have been inducted, he's right there.
Starting point is 00:34:16 Like, if you go by R.Jaws, the reliever adjusted jaws, which, according to the tool tip at baseball reference, an adjusted Jaws figure that attempts to offset the starting pitcher war from some of the candidates by incorporating win probability and leverage. The average of war, win probability added, and win probability added over leverage index. Kenley Jensen ranks sixth all-time in that metric. He is sandwiched between Trevor Hoffman and Billy Wagner, two other Hall of Famers,
Starting point is 00:34:49 trailing only Rivera, Eckersley, Wilhelm, and Gossage, and Hoffman, All Hall of Famers, he's ahead of lots of other Hall of Famers, ahead of Lee Smith, who I think he trails by two career saves, ahead of Raleigh Fingers, ahead of Bruce Souter. Like, he's got the longevity and the consistency in the counting stats where if you are a relievers deserve to be in the hall person, then I don't know how you could keep Kenley out at this point, but he's just, he's continuing to compile and burnish the career stats. I like Kenley Jansen, and I do not want this to be read as an anti-Kenley Jansen take. I am simply saying to your point, I imagine that Kenley Jansen has expectations about his role. And I don't know if he is the perfect fit to be a closer anymore on a team that maybe has the ambition that I hope the tigers have. That said, who knows what Kenley Jansen and the Detroit Tigers have sort of agreed to. And also, maybe Canley Jansen will be like, I'm so glad to not be an angel.
Starting point is 00:35:55 I'll pitch whenever you want me to. You know, that's a possibility, too, that we simply must allow for. When you say R Jaws, it makes me want to go like, Our Jaws in the middle of the street. Don't you like it when I make up little funny songs? Isn't that one of your favorite things about me? No. Yes.
Starting point is 00:36:12 Yeah, yeah, you're right. You know, it's, I don't know that I would necessarily want him on the mound in October 2026. We'll see how he does between. between now and then, but it was a weakness for the Tigers last year, the bullpen. Yes. And there was a point at which Vest and maybe Finnegan were just about the only reliable guys out there. And they really had a problem missing bats. They just did not have a huge amount of whiffs for a modern bullpen.
Starting point is 00:36:40 And they still don't, I guess, because Finnegan and Jensen were fairly effective last year, last season. But they were still just sub-strikeout per inning guys, which is not great for a reliever in 2025, especially a late-inning reliever. So they have their other merits and good control and grand balls and all the rest. But, yeah, they're not really like lights out fire-breathing bullpen monsters at this stage of their career. So it's kind of a bulk approach. It's like we'll get a bunch of decent guys, but is there that one guy that you're? scared to face. Right.
Starting point is 00:37:19 Yeah, not necessarily. Not necessarily. But who knows? Maybe freed from the burdens of the angel's bullpen. Who knows? Maybe he'll fly again? I'm really grasping for a... Yeah.
Starting point is 00:37:32 On the surface, I guess he sort of had a better year with the angels than he'd had in some time. But under the surface... He had to be an angel, though, Ben. He did have to be an angel. That carries with it a burden. Yes. It was his worst FIP, at least his worst FIP since 2018.
Starting point is 00:37:52 That was a while ago. He's still chugging along. It was a while ago. Yeah, it's like, yeah, he's had this phase of tacking on, of still being a pretty productive pitcher, which is often, I mean, there is that maximum about like you become a Hall of Famer in your 30s, which, you know, I guess it's kind of true. It's kind of true. You also usually have to do a lot of good work in your 20s to get to that point, but it's
Starting point is 00:38:15 true that the thing that sometimes sets apart the players who get in and the players who don't is what they do post-peak. Yeah, just as Felix. Yeah, exactly, as productive players. And so Kenley's having a pretty long and good post-prime period as a reliever, as evidenced by the fact that, yeah, someone still wants him saving games or at least playing a crucial part in saving games at this stage of his career. Okay, what else do we have? we had a signing by the Phillies who added Adelis Garcia, another ex-ranger, to the mix. This is an interesting one, because the Rangers actually non-tendered Adelis. And I think that his projected salary in arbitration from Emily Trade Rumors and Matt Swartz was in the 12 million range.
Starting point is 00:39:06 Yeah. And so the Rangers said, no thanks. But the Phillies have signed him to a one-year $10 million. deal just not all that much less and and i guess more meaningful than the money really is the fact that he just was not a good player last year this year darn it it's almost january we're almost there but bro the the amount of time and look this is going to sound like i'm calling out my coworkers and i don't mean it to but the amount of time i am spending in copy on last year yeah the closer we get to new year probably the more prevalent it is but we're we're almost
Starting point is 00:39:43 there. Almost there. But he has not been good since 23. Now in 2020, he was very good. And he helped lead the Rangers to a World Series. But since then, below average bat,
Starting point is 00:39:55 significantly below average bat this past year and just not, yeah, like replacement level ish player. And so the Phillies are sort of signing him to, hopefully just like slot in and
Starting point is 00:40:09 hit for a year and replace Nick Castion. I guess who's going to be shipped out somewhere and I mean, I don't know. I don't love it because you're kind of banking on a bounceback to what he was a few years ago for him to be useful for a Phillies team that hopes to go deep into October again. Oh, look, I don't want to overreact to a $10 million signing because it's a $10 million signing. And as we've noted with the Mets, incomplete, offseason, right?
Starting point is 00:40:42 we don't know. We don't know. Have they concluded all their business? I think Phillies fans probably hope they haven't. It just seems like a lot of money to have tied up in that position that isn't anticipated to be very productive because they're trying to get out from under Cassianus's deal. Dolis Garcia is like, not very good. It hasn't been very good for long enough that we can maybe have some confidence in it. There's still some very loud tools on offer here. but he's not being a particularly useful guy from an outfield perspective, although the arm is still great. But it's not as good. You know, it feels like it should be as good, but it hasn't manifested in the same way.
Starting point is 00:41:25 And the power is still there, presumably, but he's not making contact enough for it to matter. Yeah, he's still an okay right field. I mean, certainly compared to Nick Castiano's just about any way. Not that he would be playing that much out there. But, yeah, even probably compared to Max Kepler, they hope that he would work out and he didn't this year, not last year, this year. So, yeah, they usually say, you know, no such thing is a bad one-year deal. And it's true. It's not disastrous or anything.
Starting point is 00:41:58 But it's more so than the money. It's the playing time you're tying up in him. And as a team that hopes to make a deep run and is going to be in a tight race, presumably in that division again, then you don't. want to give plate appearances to a guy who's not going to make much of them. So evidently, they think that he can get back to some semblance of what he was or it wouldn't really make sense to have him on any term. But why, you know? Like, I think about the, and again, it takes two to dingo.
Starting point is 00:42:27 It's going to cost more to get him than it is going to cost for Adola's Garcia. But like, do you just want to resign here or some baiter? You know, isn't that a better roster fit for what you need? also vibes you know you've had the vibes I don't think that my sense is not that Adoles Garcia has bad vibes but he just has unproven Phillies vibes you know what I mean whereas we've seen the Bader vibes and they were magical very distinct clubhouse as we have covered so
Starting point is 00:42:54 right and you need some good vibes but who knows maybe maybe the real motivation behind the signing is that they met with Adolis and he's like look pasteurization number one priority for me. And they were like, this is our guy. What kind of look do you consume? We're going to get more than $10 million worth of value just out of him changing Bryce Harper's mind. Every time I look at Bryce, I feel like it's getting worse, which is unfair because I'm looking at like the same photos of him.
Starting point is 00:43:22 They're not new photos. But every time I feel like I notice a new alarming characteristic. Ben, it's bad. So anyway, I don't really get the, I don't really get this one. But, you know, again, incomplete, but also, what are you guys doing? I don't get that one. Yeah, it's not like he had some great underlying numbers or quality of contact or something. He really didn't. A little bit better than his surface stats, but not that much better. Not that much better.
Starting point is 00:43:51 Even if he had performed right up to the quality of contact, it still would not have been very good. Oh, and have been very good. Yeah, he's, you know, not particularly patient hitter. Walks were never really his strong suit. And if he's hitting for less power. Right. Yeah, I don't know. Right. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:44:09 I don't get that one. I guess they see something, but I don't know what it is exactly. Yeah, I'm not sure I get that one. Yeah. Okay. All right. And then there was a trade. There was a Royals Brewers deal.
Starting point is 00:44:20 Yeah. So Isaac Collins and Nick Mears, the reliever going to Kansas City for Anheelserper, who is or was a reliever, though maybe the brewers see him as a starter. Might be a starter for that. But yeah, well, speaking of outfield upgrades, the Royals really needed one because they're coming off the worst outfield in baseball, worst hitting outfield in baseball. Goodness. Also worst overall. Their entire outfield was negative 1.1 more last year.
Starting point is 00:44:53 It was really bad. And that was primarily, though not exclusively, just because they could not hit, just could not hit at all. Yeah. It was really bleak. 73 WRC Plus from all Royals outfielders last year. So Isaac Collins, who was one of many Brewer's rookie of the year candidates or finishers. And what did he finish fourth, I think, in the run? Yeah, he was fourth.
Starting point is 00:45:20 And, you know, he was kind of a fun player. He was 28. And that was his rookie year. He debuted briefly in 2024. A little five guy. Great story. Yeah, very fun. And I don't know that he will play as well again as he did in 2025.
Starting point is 00:45:40 But even if he's kind of close, I guess it's an upgrade. It can't get much worse. I like this. I like this on both ends. The brewers have a real excess out there. I think any time you're able, like, we'll obviously see what they're able to make out of ZERPA. But like, anytime you're able to turn a Rule 5 guy into like, if they have their way, a big league starter. I think you're doing pretty well.
Starting point is 00:46:04 I like the notion of Collins in Kansas City. I think that that's a, you know, to your point, even if he's not as good as he was last year, probably just by default an upgrade for their outfield situation. I still think that, like, if they want to be serious in that division, they probably would benefit from signing, like, a real sure thing than Collins. They, you know, they also took the flyer on Lane Thomas, like, you know. So they clearly know that they have an issue out there, but they are banking on some guys that either have been injured or don't have a super proven track record.
Starting point is 00:46:41 But I voted for Collins on my Rookie of the Year ballot. I mean, I voted for Drake Baldwin, number one. But I think Collins was my second pick. I thought he'd finish a little bit better just because I thought the narrative would be compelling to people. But, yeah, I don't know. This could be like kind of respectable. It could be. And it was so bad.
Starting point is 00:46:59 It was just so bad last year. So can't be that bad again, right? Nope. Yeah. And, you know, you kind of hoped and thought it might improve potentially after Jack came up. He did not. It didn't really show. Got worse, in fact.
Starting point is 00:47:16 Hopefully he makes some strides this coming season. But Collins is a good complimentary piece or good starter for them. And, you know, if he doesn't suffer too much of a sophomore slump decline, then he should help, at least. It does, seems like, sort of a lot to give up, I guess, for the brewers. If you look at Mears and Serpa's sort of similar, comparable, then it seems like, oh, you just kind of did a reliever for reliever, but then you also threw in a pretty good player who's under team control for a long time. But I guess Collins is pretty blocked with the brewers because they don't have the same outfield depth issue that Kansas City does. Sure not. I guess they seem to see Serpa as a potential starter, who's also controllable a little longer
Starting point is 00:48:04 than Mears, and then he's a ground ball guy, which helps on that roster, good defense. There's also definitely, like, you know, I don't want to oversell it. Like, there's definitely a brewersness to this that I think should be remarked upon where it's like, yeah, we get an extra year of team control. And it's like, well, okay. But I think that, you know, as we said, like, they have a number of guys. I think they're probably right to think that they've maybe caught all the lightning in a bottle they're going to with Collins. They could definitely be wrong about that.
Starting point is 00:48:36 And if he's a three-win player again, like, that might end up looking pretty bad for them. But I do like Zerpa as a name. I feel confident in that. And, you know, I don't often feel great betting against the Brewers player dev machine. Okay. Well, I guess that kind of covers most of the noteworthy transactions that have had. happened since we last spoke. I have a couple other things to bring up. One, there was a report at the Athletic by Enosaris. I don't know if you saw this. This just came out. This was the
Starting point is 00:49:10 buzz of winter meetings. Ah, you know. Okay. Well, yeah, this just came up on Monday at the athletic aiming to level playing field MLB to regulate use of data and tech in minors. So this is something not minors as in younger players, amateurs, but the minor leagues. This is something that has come up now for a couple years. There was a report, I believe, at the Athletic, maybe in 2023 years ago, that some owners were interested in having some kind of cap on spending, not on player payroll, but overall spending, front office spending, technology, various data providers, and a subsequent report that Dick Montfort was maybe one of the ones leading the charge.
Starting point is 00:49:53 shocker. And now we're seeing some movement here where basically everyone is going to have access to the same tech in the minor leagues, which will mean that some teams will have more than they used to. And other teams will have less that teams that are kind of on the cutting edge might have to actually trim some things and sever some relationships. Assuming that their providers don't get approved for years. Right. Yes. Yes. So it's sort of subject to who kind of gets officially greenlit as a data provider technology partner here. So part of it, I guess, is just the Hawkeye, the basis of the stat-cast system, will be extended to all the minor leagues, to all the teams and sort of standardized, and that that will be centrally operated. So MLB will just handle all of that.
Starting point is 00:50:47 And teams have had Hawkeye in the minors, but to varying degrees and at different. times and maybe not at all levels and everything and yeah it's kind of been a case by case thing so now that's going to be just MLB operated and centralized and standardized and then yeah it's if you have other relationships if you get your biomechanical data from kinetrax let's say instead of hawkeye then well subject to whether kinetrax gets approved as an official league partner maybe you'd have to change that or you know other things that maybe some teams we'll see as edges, competitive advantages, will now not be. So the ostensible reason for this is that it's going to lead to parity in competitive balance
Starting point is 00:51:36 because supposedly some teams, big market teams, have flexed their financial might in this area as well. And so by putting everyone on a level playing field when it comes to this particular thing, you might give other teams a leg up. The primary reason, I assume, is just to cut costs, you know. It's because owners just don't want to spend, even if most of this stuff is kind of a pittance compared to player payroll, they still want it to be an even smaller pittance than it was. So, you know, they're still going to be the differentiator of what do you do with that data
Starting point is 00:52:13 and what sort of analysis can you conduct and how do you store all of it and how do you actually have people who can produce actionable insights from all of that and then communicate it to your players and coaches at various levels. So it's not as if there aren't still going to be differences in how teams handle information at that level. But it is a change, definitely, from this era of player development and data-driven player development and how you really could kind of get ahead of the pack by forging these partnerships early. And now it's just the ultimate, like if you're the late adopter, if you're the laggard, then you're just going to get what everyone else gets. But if you were early to all of this, then you might sort of get slapped down.
Starting point is 00:52:59 Hey, you can't actually have this special info anymore. Back a couple years ago, there was a trend of big league teams paying for Trackman installations at colleges. And then they would get exclusive data rates to things that were. to the data that was produced on those trackmans. Track men? Track men's. And the league put a stop to that and said that all data had to sort of be centrally shared. And I understood the rationale in that decision where it doesn't seem particularly fair for like, and I don't remember who had Vandy's unit, but like, say the Dodgers to have exclusive rights to Vanderbilt's trackman unit or LSU or whatever.
Starting point is 00:53:47 This strikes me as anti-competitive behavior. I'm not a lawyer, but I'm also curious, like, if I were one of these vendors, I would be getting ready to sue the shit out of the lake. Because it's like if you're Kinnatracks, and I guess Kinnatracks maybe is a bad example because they have the same parent company as Hawkeye, right? But if you're one of these data providers and you've built a business and you have existing relationships with the business entity that is, say, again, the Los Angeles Dodgers, and you're supposed to be able to. operate in the marketplace? Well, what if you don't get approved? You had, aren't these supposed to be independent business entities in theory? So that piece of it, I don't quite understand. I also think that, like, it depends on who's really advocating for this, and I hope additional reporting kind of gives us insight into that, because Montfort and the Rocky seem like
Starting point is 00:54:38 the exact right kind of team to think that this is a good idea. Because, you know, we, we tend to differentiate between like big market and small market, cheap and large payroll. But smaller market teams with less payroll to work with tend to really like this kind of stuff because to your point, the return on investment is super high. Right. If you can turn Isaac Collins into a viable big leaker through player dev, well, that's a huge win for your organization, even if you're the brewers and you don't have a ton of money to spend. And so it is a way for clubs that do don't have huge payroll resource. And I'm just like, for the purposes of this conversation, going to take everybody at their word on that for a minute. But if you are Major League Baseball
Starting point is 00:55:24 and you have advanced a narrative that, no, there's a real difference. There's a real difference between the small market teams and the big market teams and what they're able to afford. You want small market teams to invest in tech like this because it allows them to compete with the big market teams to a certain degree. So I just think it's, I think it's cheap. I think it's anti-competitive. I think that it will have a chilling effect on the kind of innovation that we see in player development. And I think it sucks. So there's that because it isn't, I don't think that the real differentiation is big market to small market on this one. It is to a certain degree because infrastructure and tech costs money and those data agreements cost money. like figuring at hiring people to run you know a tech stack takes money and all this stuff but like dollars to donuts it's a pretty cheap way to improve your club and i wonder if the real detractors of this kind of spending aren't i mean maybe it will prove to be and i again i'd love to see
Starting point is 00:56:35 additional reporting on this maybe it'll prove to be cleveland or tampa but i'm skeptical of that i think it's yeah i think it's the rockies yeah i really think it's probably the rockies and like in in conversations with with player dev folks i think you'd have to to go a long time and work pretty hard to find advocates at the the lower levels um in any club i think that like everyone understands that this is a very often money well spent which isn't to say that it's always money well spent and i have definitely talk to, you know, team folks who are like, you know, it's garbage and garbage out and you have to be able to know what to do with it to your point. And some, you know, there are a lot of clubs that take meetings with data providers where it's like, oh, well, this is vapor. You
Starting point is 00:57:27 know, what they're selling isn't useful. But that's not true of Kinetrax, right? Like, so I don't care for it. Yeah, that was the way that it was framed in the piece at the athletic. It's Starts deep-pocketed organizations have gained an advantage in recent years by flexing their financial muscle in the minor leagues, by spending freely on cutting-edge tools like high-speed cameras and motion capture technology to gather data in-game. Those teams widened the information gap overrivals with fewer resources, not anymore. Beginning next season, MLB will regulate the in-game technology available for use across all minor league parks. The move is designed to bring parity and quell what until now has been an unchecked arms race. So, yeah, those things do seem to be
Starting point is 00:58:08 sort of in conflict because, okay, maybe it's an unchecked arms race, but that doesn't mean or doesn't have to mean that it's the deep-pocketed organizations gaining an advantage in that arms race, because unlike in the player payroll arms race, where it really does take a lot of money to win that one, comparatively speaking, it does not take nearly as much to be a big spender on data sources and coaches and minor league information. And I guess it follows a similar sort of progression in a lot of cases with these sabermetric overhauls where it's like with money ball it started as a way to save money or compete without spending much money and so it was the smaller market teams that were early to that and then it gets co-opted by the rich teams too
Starting point is 00:58:57 because they see oh this worked well for the a's well we're the red sox let's see if we can hire billy bean oh we couldn't hire billy bean but we'll hire bill james and theo upstein and we'll spend lots of money. And, you know, so it's not the A's and the Rays and the Guardians forever. It then becomes the Yankees and the Dodgers and the Red Sox or whoever else. And I guess there's been a similar progression here, maybe, where, again, like the raise were one of the earliest kinetrax teams, if not the earliest. Right. And so it's not as if they're the deep-pocketed raise gaining an advantage by flexing their financial muscle in the minor leagues. It's just that they saw that the return on investment there in
Starting point is 00:59:37 their opinion was far higher because if you can use that technology to spot or develop a player, then that saves you a ton of money in the long run. So this could be, and maybe has been to some extent, a tool to level the playing field of anything. Now, maybe it's now moved to the phase where it no longer is, really, because the Dodgers and whoever else are outspending everyone in this realm as well. But the mismatch there can't be as big as it is in terms of player payroll. Like, you can, you could still afford to keep up if you're a smaller market team in this realm much more readily than you can when it comes to spending on big league teams. And it would be one thing if, like, the, the project was, okay, we're Major League
Starting point is 01:00:22 Baseball. We recognize there's a gap here. We're going to make it so that, like, every minor league facility has Hawkeye installed. Because those installs are expensive. Like, it can be, you know, to do a ballpark in those arrays can, or cameras. risk can like that's probably a couple million dollars so I don't want to under I don't want to like say oh well it's nothing it's like jump change because some of these there's a real spectrum right a real range in terms of the expense and that's before you again factor in like the people required to make anything of that data if the league wanted to pay for that piece fine do that that sounds like good level setting that sounds like good you know parity to have but to to sneak in and
Starting point is 01:01:07 And sneak is maybe a little unfair on my part. But to make as part of that, well, we're going to have this approved list of vendors and we're going to, you know, you're going to be able to get some of this stuff, but not other stuff because we've decided that it's too expensive. Well, that's not level setting, you know, I just think that at some point, and they're never going to do this because ownership interest is what's being guarded here and that is more important than the on-field product. But at some point, you just, I think the league has to say, and again, they're not going to, but they should. should say you have to spend money somewhere right like if you're not going to spend it on players if you're if we're going to entertain a version of major league baseball that has room for the pirates we have to say there needs to be an avenue for you to spend something somewhere because what's the point otherwise you know at what point did they have to have some like investment in agency in their club
Starting point is 01:02:03 And if you're not going to, if you're not going to spend it on, you know, a viable free agent, if you're not going to invest, you know, if you're in the range where you're doing the bare minimum to try to avoid a union grievance, we'll spend some money. Like, come on. It's just like how much. And if I were, if I were a big market club, and again, you don't have to be that big market of a club for this to be true. I'd be pissed. Like at some point, how much of this is just you're given chair. to the teams that are either too cheap or too uninterested in innovation to do something for themselves. Like, come on, you know? Yeah, it's, you know, obviously they want a player cap to govern all spending, player caps of all kinds, but they can't unilaterally impose a player payroll player cap, but they can, I guess, impose a cap on their own spending. I do wonder, yeah, I wonder what it means for the. solidarity of owners in the upcoming round of bargaining? Like, will this help or will this
Starting point is 01:03:09 hinder the fact that some teams probably aren't so into this and don't want to cut back and maybe have invested in other operations that now they will have to divest themselves of and maybe they will resent the cheapo owners who are getting revenue sharing money and are now saying, oh, and you can't get this advantage here that doesn't even cost you all that much, relatively speaking, so I could see that further fracturing the owners or, I don't know, maybe the owners themselves don't care all that much about this. Maybe it's something that front office folks are more kind of zeroed in on, actually, what the vendors are and what the data sources are. And, you know, maybe owners don't care or are mostly fine with this.
Starting point is 01:03:50 It just suggests this, like, understanding of sports ownership that is completely, and not that they're not trying to necessarily stiff their workers in other avenues as well, but, like, is totally incongruous with the understanding of, like, operating a business. Like, they want to have all profit, no expense. And it's like, that's not how any of this works. And you know that because you're a billionaire. And I know that, like, part of how you get to the point of being one of those is that you're constantly trying to wiggle out of having to spend any money on anything. But, you know, that's just not how bit of if you owned a tire shop you wouldn't have this expectation and you wouldn't expect if you're you know i don't know would discount auto parts that mineke is going to
Starting point is 01:04:38 subsidize your payroll i mean have some self-respect you know they're out here pretending they're titans of industry and i'm like some of you are barely capitalists okay i do want to note just because we've gotten many emails about it Oh, oh, can I? Okay. Sure. I haven't seen the new knives out. And I am not going to see.
Starting point is 01:05:01 I'm not going to be able to. I told my mom that we would wait to watch it until we were in Washington for Christmas. So this is my plea to our listeners. I understand that it is a baseball movie. But please don't include any details of the plot in your emails about it. I am so excited to talk about it with you, Ben, after Christmas. But I will not be seeing it before then because, and I'm the one who suggested it's mom. I was like, you know, we do these Christmas movies and I like them and you like them.
Starting point is 01:05:39 But sometimes Linda gets bored of them and she loves whodunits. So let's watch the new one together. I will not say anything that will spoil anything. But since we have gotten many emails about it, since the movie premiered or earlier this month, and now it's on Netflix, and it's the most popular thing on Netflix this past weekend. I watched it. Jesse and I watched it. We liked it. I liked it more than Glass Onion, the second Knives Out movie, which I was not a huge fan of, but... Yeah, you were kind of lukewarm on that one. I enjoyed it, but I remember you being like, nah. This one held my interest,
Starting point is 01:06:14 maybe because there's more baseball in it. There was less baseball and Glass Onion. There was baseball in the original Knives Out. And Sam Miller and I discussed that. that actually, back in early 2020, if you're just watching that movie now or want to go back and revisit it, episode 1489 and 1490, we discussed the significance of baseball and the baseball. There's an actual physical baseball in Knives Out. And it is fairly significant. Yeah. Yeah, it's, I wouldn't say integral to the plot, but it's closely connected to the plot.
Starting point is 01:06:49 And there's sort of a sequence of events that's hard to describe and not very interesting. describe if you haven't seen the movie, but you sort of follow the baseball traveling. There's a baseball that's thrown out a window, and then it's retrieved, and then it's brought back to a desk, and there is a discovery that is made that is adjacent to the baseball, and then maybe there's also some larger significance to the fact that it is a baseball at all, as opposed to some other object that could have been on that desk and what that says about the relationship in the movie. So there's some baseball content there, and there's some baseball content in Wake Up Dead Man,
Starting point is 01:07:24 the new third Knives Out movie. And I haven't been moved to talk about it that much because there's not actually that much to say about it, I don't think, because usually when we talk at length about the baseball in a baseball movie or a baseball show, and by baseball movie baseball show, I mean, by the effectively wild Sam Miller definition where there's any baseball in it at all, I think Sam argued that Knives Out was an actual baseball movie. Most people would not agree with that. but there is a lot of baseball in Wake Up Dead Man.
Starting point is 01:07:56 It's just that it's fine. It's done well. I have no notes almost. And so basically it's, you just see some baseball scenes. You see some clips of baseball broadcasts in various scenes. And there's even one scene where baseball is like front and center. And they're syncing up some baseball footage with some footage of something else that happened. And Nico Horner is prominently featured on screen briefly.
Starting point is 01:08:24 Amazing. Yeah. And Kyle Tucker, Cubs Kyle Tucker. And the impressive thing about it, and kudos to director Ryan Johnson and the care that was clearly paid to this, it is actually fairly accurate. Because often when you see clips of baseball broadcasts on shows or movies, if you actually pause and zoom in and figure, oh, when did this come from, if it is a real game, which it isn't always. But if it is, it's often like a juxtaposition of different games kind of just jumbled up and, you know, different parts of the game and it's all out of sequence. I wrote an article about this way back when with baseball prospectus that was, I think, also syndicated at Deadspin about an episode of the TV show, Elementary, another detective show, Sherlock Holmes show. And I talked about this half inning that you see in that episode of Elementary. and it's all over the place, really.
Starting point is 01:09:18 It's like the actual footage that you're watching comes from like different times and different games and, you know, they don't expect anyone to care or pay very close attention to it. But it knives out, it actually holds up pretty well. And the time passes in the movie and the clips that are shown in those scenes sync up quite well with when the movie is supposedly taking place.
Starting point is 01:09:43 And it's all pretty impressive and good attention to detail because there's this groundskeeper character in the movie who's played by Thomas Hayden Church and he seems to be a Cubs fan because basically every time you see him he's watching a Cubs game and he just has a Cubs game on TV
Starting point is 01:10:00 usually on like an old school sort of grainy CRT TV. You're getting terribly close to more detail than I want to know. Okay, yeah, but yeah, that's all you're done to know. There's some baseball and it plays a part in the plot. I wouldn't say it's like a integral part. There's one part that's semi-pivotal maybe that's kind of baseball connected.
Starting point is 01:10:21 But I appreciated it. You know, Ryan Johnson, he's a Dodgers fan, I believe he's a baseball guy and clearly really paid attention to this. And yeah, there have been various people online on Reddit and Cubs blogs who have scrutinized this closely and have done that legwork. So we kind of don't need to. And we got a very detailed email from listener, Stephen. and I want to respect Stephen's legwork. So maybe in the outro for anyone who's interested, it's not very spoilerish either,
Starting point is 01:10:50 but it's probably more spoilerish than you want me to get into right now. So I'll save that for after if you've seen the movie or when you do and you want to revisit that. I definitely want to talk about it because you know I love a good baseball flick and I am looking forward to, but I just keep getting these emails and I'm like, please stop, please stop, please, please, please. And I don't, I don't, as soon as I can tell that it's about,
Starting point is 01:11:11 that i close it right out you know as opposed to all the other emails i answer directly yeah yeah well i just i just want to compliment it because it's a job well done and so yeah yeah usually when people are like you got to talk about this it's you know something screwy something wrong and then we say why didn't you ask us and we could have helped but i don't think we could have helped that much this is fine i have a lot of confidence in um in ryan johnson as a filmmaker in terms of detail stuff. And also, like, you know, we know, for instance, that his wife, Carina Longworth is a huge Dodgers fan. So I think there is a general baseball appreciation sort of permeating his sphere that would make me think he would be a reliable, you know, a safe pair of hands for
Starting point is 01:11:53 that sort of thing. Maybe unlike Jorge Polanco at first baseball, we will see. Right. Brought it full circle. Yeah. And if you have a movie that's sort of an homage to the locked room mystery genre than you want attention to detail. That's pretty important. So you've got to bring that to the baseball too. But it's always heartening to see baseball just pop up where it doesn't necessarily need to be. And we got some emails I may have mentioned in a House of Dynamite, the Catherine Bigelow film from a couple months ago. Yeah, it's the one about like there's an ICBM and there's a nuclear scare and how will various parties react. And it's all very sobering and scary. Yeah, I deemed that not good for Meg's anxiety and haven't watched it.
Starting point is 01:12:38 Probably, probably a good call. But there's an extremely just kind of tangential and random baseball reference in that where Tracy Letts's character. So Tracy Letts plays General Anthony Brady, combatant commander of the United States Strategic Command. And multiple times in the movie, he just has an aside about Francisco Landoval. And he'll just be like, did you see that play Lindor made last night, like, for no apparent reason? And I have no problem with that either. He refers to, like, seeing Lindor make some amazing play in an All-Star game. My only note, really, is that he pronounces it two different ways.
Starting point is 01:13:19 So he says Lindor once and then he says Lindor another time. Yeah, you do hear both of those. I don't, generally, I guess, people pick one. Francis is to Lindor. Yeah, it's Lindor, but I do hear Lindor sometimes. But I don't know if the same person would say it both ways at different times, maybe. How do you say the chocolate one, Lindor? Isn't it the same way?
Starting point is 01:13:41 Don't you say Lindor like the chocolate? I guess I would. Yeah, I don't have called a pun to say it as often. You know? Yeah. Too many white chocolate ones of those in their mixed pack. I'm not a white chocolate person. It's not controversial.
Starting point is 01:13:55 It's not. There's no cocoa in it. It's, I mean, there might be some, but it's mostly. It's mostly almond extract that gives it the flavor. How can you not be pedantic about chocolate composition? How can you not be pedantic about chocolate? You know, two big Netflix movies late this year from renowned directors and both have baseball in them. And it's just, it's always nice to see baseball just appear.
Starting point is 01:14:21 And it furthers my belief that baseball is overrepresented in popular media and that even though we don't see many certainly wide release, big budget, true blue, baseball movies anymore, we do see just a lot of baseball appearing in non-explicitly baseball movies just because of like what it signifies to the filmmakers, to the audience, to the characters. There's just something to that national pastime idea that's still kind of clinging to the national consciousness at this stage. It tends to have like cocoa butter, but not cocoa solids. Okay, so I'm just heading off. I'm just heading off the emails.
Starting point is 01:15:00 Okay? Okay? Yep. Everybody, relax. If you like it, I'm so happy for you. It's not for me, though. It's too sweet. For me, Mac.
Starting point is 01:15:07 It can be whatever you want it to be. Too sweet, sweet enough, not sweet enough. Who knows? Maybe you've got a real, I'm just saying, for me personally, too sweet for you, your own adventure. Fair enough. And the last thing I'll say is that comebacks have been on my mind with Allman Rivers, Philip Rivers, returning to the field for some reason. Are we going to talk?
Starting point is 01:15:30 about this or are we do you just for a sec? Actually, let me rephrase this question. Which version of me do you want to talk about this with? Do you want to talk about this with the version of Meg? Seahawks fan Meg or Right, or a more hinged individual?
Starting point is 01:15:47 That's an important Well, I'm bringing it up mostly as a peg to talk about baseball so we don't have to dwell on all the football implications, but if you need to get anything off your chest as a Seahawks fan, having Philip Rivers go up against you after having been out of the game for five years
Starting point is 01:16:05 and coming back at age 44 as a grandpa and, you know, having a credible performance on Sunday for Indianapolis, just, you know, he was around. Did you say incredible? Credible, not incredible. Okay. Yeah. Okay. No, it wasn't, I mean, it was kind of incredible that he came back at all.
Starting point is 01:16:25 On some level, yes, but I was like, I, I, okay, we're on the same page so far. Yes, yes. And ultimately, the Seahawks, they triumphed. It was perhaps closer than one would have imagined with the cults down to their third string quarterback who was recently retired for a very long time, but knew the system, came back to his old team and fit right in to the scheme and almost actually won one, which was a, you know, they're pretty important. Like the cults are now eight and six. They're in the play. off hunt. This is not like some sort of stunt or feel-good story. This is just like they actually need a quarterback. And they're hoping that Philip Rivers, who was pretty good the last time he played, but it was a long time ago. And he's, you know, kind of a bubble Hall of Fame guy probably should be a Hall of Fame or probably will be at some point. But, you know, I'm just showcasing my football knowledge here. I know. Ben, to be clear, I don't have a, I don't have a developed take on Philip Rivers Hall of Fame or or not. You're just jumping.
Starting point is 01:17:30 this is a fraught discourse. Farrot discourse. He's very much in the, he's like, he never won a Super Bowl until now, you know, he has another chance. Never an all pro, never an MVP. What? Oh, you know what an all pro is.
Starting point is 01:17:47 That's crazy. I've learned a lot. The point is, I didn't even mean to talk this much football. I mean, maybe it was too close for comfort that it was a two point margin for your Seahawks managing to triumph with the 44-year-old's reclamation project, you be here i okay here i'm gonna give me give me you can set a timer if you want then you can cut me off i think the seahawks have a really fantastic defense i think that it was it was there to backstop
Starting point is 01:18:12 them yesterday i have tremendous concern about their ability to move the football of the right and i'm not enjoying it um i do wish that they had like a viable run game because it's a real problem. Their inability to run the ball. And look, I'm not one of, I'm not a Luddite in this way. I understand you want to be able to pass the ball, but sometimes you do have to be able to run it a little bit. That Colts defense is good, but when in a game with no touchdowns, that's got to make everybody very nervous. What I really think is that the Mariners have made me the saddest about sports, but the Seahawks have made me feel the most insane. And that, that, was definitely true yesterday. I want people to know I was not really yelling at the Colts. I did
Starting point is 01:19:05 invite Philip Rivers to throw a pick and he waited a long time, but he did it right at the end when, boy, was it useful. But I was mostly saying things to the Seahawks that I'm glad they couldn't actually hear because they were pretty rude if I'm being totally candid. And I was in a real grumpy mood as a result of it. It also is my fault, though, because my dad went to that game and he sat in our seats and he's been very busy with work and travel lately so i i didn't know if he had seen the philip rivers news so i was like well boy you're going to see a real show and then he did in a way in a way i texted him at halftime i'm like i'm really sorry i think this is maybe my fault i don't know man i don't i don't i don't is that the is that the performance that you
Starting point is 01:19:49 want to see from the seahawks right before they face the rams on thursday on a short week i mean i mean i mean ben ben is it no no no no not really it's it's not really it's not really it's It's not, but I did appreciate the part of Philip Rivers' performance where he just fell down for no reason. I was like, that's real relatable, dude. But it's good. It's good that the Seahawks won because, you know, Philip Rivers, I think, has his fans, and there have been times in his career where he's been, like, really, he was a really good
Starting point is 01:20:16 quarterback. But when he's, you know, older than me and, like, kind of beating my football team, I'm in dangerous territory. I'm, like, real close to posting about. how like he endorsed Rick Santorum for president and what I imagine his views on abortion arm. So it was a rough day for me. You're like, didn't you get to relax this weekend? No, Ben. Even the parts that should have been relaxing, very stressful for no reason at all. I'm sitting here and the Rams are winning and the Niners are winning and that makes no sense. Anyway, I think I've
Starting point is 01:20:51 said enough about football. That's Meg's Seahawks Corner. I guess it recalls my old colleague. You didn't answer the question and so I just defaulted to the mode that was most natural, which is the one that makes me want to eat my own hair. Well, it recalls my old colleague Kevin Clark's evergreen tweet from before Philip Rivers's first retirement, which was the Seahawks have literally never played in a normal game. Never. And this certainly wasn't one. But the point wasn't just that Philip Rivers came back and returned to the NFL.
Starting point is 01:21:18 And a salute to Lindsey Vaughn also, who is also undertaking a comeback of her own downhill skiing legend, won a race and came close in another one, tuning up for the Olympics in her 40s as well. So 40-somethings are coming back. And I was thinking of who could come back in MLB, who would be kind of equivalent to this. And I was not the only person thinking this because there was a very popular post in our Facebook group, asking what would be the present-day baseball equivalent of the Phillip Rivers comeback. And there were many responses to that. Of course, you could just have Rich Hill, who is older than Philip Rivers and has not yet retired. Just keep on trucking. But if we were going to have a baseball equivalent, I think one complication, so I don't think they have to be as old as Philip Rivers, because baseball players, they often do tend to play longer. And so if you're coming back after an equivalent time, I'm not going to hold it to the exact age range exactly. But I was thinking of who would be sort of similar, who would evoke a similar feeling a player who's been out of the game roughly as long as,
Starting point is 01:22:27 Philip Rivers, who was maybe roughly as accomplished as Philip Rivers, doesn't necessarily have to be as old, but sort of baseball-adjusted age. And there are precedents for this in baseball. Of course, there are plenty of people who've come back after long layoffs. Lots of pitchers have done it. You know, Jose Rejo and Dave Steeb and Jim Bouten and Jim Palmer at least attempted it. So I was thinking of, yeah, who could come back now? And some of these ideas were proposed as well by listeners, Facebook group members, Discord group members.
Starting point is 01:23:00 So I think one important condition, I think, is that you have to either be a Hall of Famer are ready or be on the verge of. So you have been out long enough to maybe have appeared on a ballot or be about to appear on a ballot. Because Rivers was a semi-finalist for the Hall of Fame this year. Like he was still in the running. So now that clock is reset. So I think Jim Palmer attempted to come back. after he was in the Hall of Fame. So, you know, that happens.
Starting point is 01:23:27 But Tony LaRousseau, right? But Cole Hamils was one name that came up. I think if he last played in 2020 also, and he did have a comeback attempt after that, and he didn't complete it, he didn't make it back. But if he were to come back now, having just hit the Hall of Fame ballot for the first time, and, you know, kind of a borderline Hall of Fame type,
Starting point is 01:23:51 I think that would be a pretty good one. and there's kind of a pitcher quarterback equivalent maybe. Someone proposed Felix, who, you know, is younger, obviously, but burned out. Importantly older than me. Yeah. It's important. It's true. He will turn 40 in April.
Starting point is 01:24:13 Uh-huh. And I don't turn 40 until June. So he's older than me. That's how time works. Felix has been out since 2019. I guess 2020, he opted out during the pandemic, although. His performance in 2019 perhaps opted him out. But if he were to come back after a long layoff, you know, maybe the long rest helped his arm and suddenly he came back firing or something, that would be kind of an equivalent one, I think, maybe even a bigger name, if anything.
Starting point is 01:24:41 Who else would fit? Oh, I was thinking Buster Posey. Can you imagine, like, say the Giants need catching help. Yeah, like Patrick Bailey gets hurt or something. And Buster Pobo says, I'll strap on the gear again. And again, he's only 38, but he's been out. So he didn't play in 2020 either, but he did play in 2021. And the thing about POSI is that he was good his last year.
Starting point is 01:25:08 Like he was still a really good player last time we saw him in the majors. And then he retired and he was raising twins and wanted to spend more time with his family. And then I guess wanted to be a Pobo. So he's busy. But if we had the post playing the player to Pobo to player transition, that would be pretty spectacular. You know, it would be tough, I guess, for a catcher to come back in his late 30s after a long layoff. But given his – and he'll be on the Hall of Fame ballot next year and might just sail right in to Cooperstown. But, yeah, that would be a good one, I think, if he managed to come back at this stage.
Starting point is 01:25:48 Because it's not like a enforced injury retirement. that I'm looking for. Like, Busser Posey, he walked away, you know, no one forced him out of the game or anything. And so if he came back of his own volition, was just like, I think I can still play. We haven't seen any evidence to the contrary. So, yeah, give him a chance.
Starting point is 01:26:07 He has one of the best final seasons ever for a baseball player, especially a player who, you know, wasn't forced to quit for some reason. Yeah, I think that that's right. I think that one would be, plus it would be the most fun story. It would just be the most. He's like, I got to get down to the field. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:26:26 I'm envisioning him like midgame, and I know that from a roster perspective, this wouldn't be allowed. But I'm just imagining him like up in the suite. He starts to like loosen his tie. He's like, I got to go get the gear on. I got to go get it on. Go get it on. It's not what I meant. But you know what I mean.
Starting point is 01:26:44 Imagine if he played for a different team. He's like, I'm leaving the Giants. Yeah. And I'm signing with some other rival team because they've offered me a roster spot or something. Right, yeah. That would be, it would be, I mean, it would be quite surprising. Don't think I tell us just like, what am I supposed to do now?
Starting point is 01:27:02 Like, I've just got here. Yeah. Or if he, like, recused himself. He's like, well, it would be sort of self-dealing if I gave myself a roster spot with the Giants. So I want to do this legitimately. I don't want to hire myself as a catcher. But if some other team wants to bring me back, then I'll do it.
Starting point is 01:27:19 Who else? Albert Pujols on retiring was mentioned as one. He hasn't been gone as long, but he has the age, at least, going for him. And, you know, I wouldn't want him to unretire because we got our fill, I think, of old Pujols. I think we saw enough of that. And also, he had the storybook final ending with the Cargels. And it's tough to improve on that. Well, and he seems quite committed to the idea of managing.
Starting point is 01:27:46 Like, I really do think that he is going to. to try to make a run at that, you know, he's managing, he's definitely, I think he's serious about that. You know, he's going to manage some games in the DR and he's, isn't he managing their WBC team? Yeah, and speaking of, yeah, I guess Yadi would be another possibility, another guy who has some managerial aspirations and has been out of the game, well, he was a teammate of Poole's as the 2022 Cardinals. So that would be one, Zach Granky, he just. He just kind of slipped out, you know? He hasn't been gone as long, obviously. He pitched in 2023, but has he even officially announced his retirement?
Starting point is 01:28:29 I mean, he clearly is retired and has, like, thrown out first pitches and stuff. But I don't even know if he filed the papers, perhaps. But I'd like to see him come back. That would be kind of nice. I miss Zach Granky. And, you know, people were joking about Jamie Moyer, bring back Jamie Moore, right? And there's, like, the famous old players who, you know, satchel Page and Minnie Munozo and others who just kind of played forever and kept kind of coming out of
Starting point is 01:28:54 retirement, partly as a gimmick and partly because they could still perform. But yeah, I'm interested in. Another one who has proposed Robinson Canoe, that'd be kind of fun because he's about to be on the Hall of Fame ballot right next year, is it? And, you know, obviously, I don't think he'll get in because of the PD stuff. But yeah, he was a pretty productive. old player until 2022 and then he was not anymore but for a while there he was aging
Starting point is 01:29:27 pretty well and then he missed all of 2021 with the suspension and then came back and didn't seem to have much left in 2022 and then has gone on to star in the Mexican league so good for him I guess but yeah someone like that or if Cici Sabathia had come back this
Starting point is 01:29:43 past year or something that would be kind of fun or Eichro you know Eitro would come back if they've let him. He's still around. He's still in uniform. He's still practicing and staying in shape. So he's showing up at random games in Japan.
Starting point is 01:30:01 So, yeah, Iitra would be happy to suit up again, I think, if anyone offered him the chance. Oh, yeah. I mean, it's sort of shocking. It's sort of shocking that he's not. Yeah. Okay. Bartolo Colon was a popular suggestion as well, just because it sort of seemed like he was ageless for a while there. Lots of Julio Franco.
Starting point is 01:30:19 jokes as well. R.A. Dickey, etc. I'll link to the thread if anyone wants to see it. But if anyone has other suggestions for someone who realistically could come back and sort of fits the profile,
Starting point is 01:30:32 Ioannis Cespitus, you know, not quite that caliber of player, but has been gone a similar length of time. Oh, I could come back. I'm always, you know, Venus Williams comes back. There was some buzz about Serena returning. Doesn't seem to be happening
Starting point is 01:30:47 at least as of yet, but people hope that it happens. And so many times it's a disappointment and you don't actually want to see them playing at that age and there's a reason why they walked away or it's sort of sad and, oh, they can't let go of their glory days or something. But, you know, sometimes it's sort of sweet. So good for Philip Rivers, taking the fields, not getting demolished, throwing an actual touchdown as a grandpa. It makes us all feel young. Sure, or very stressed depending on your perspective. Okay, meant to mention earlier that when we talked about the Royals' outfield situation, we didn't specifically call out Lane Thomas, I don't think, on this episode. We mentioned his acquisition on a past episode. He might help, too. I don't know that either he or Collins can be an everyday player for the Royals or a good
Starting point is 01:31:34 everyday player, but when you're starting from such a low point, every little bit helps. Collins was kind of the Chad Patrick of position players, if that makes any sense on the Brewers this past season. Important contributions, but by the end, his role. was reduced, and he significantly outperformed his batted ball stats, so there could be some regression coming there. And yeah, I generally bet on Brewer's player development over Royals' player development, though the Royals have had their successes, primarily with pitchers. Also, since we were talking about the Rangers and X Rangers, could have included in our transaction roundup
Starting point is 01:32:06 a few Rangers editions, Danny Jansen, Alexis Diaz, Tyler Alexander, but I don't know that I can muster much commentary about Danny Jensen versus Kyle Higashioka. Also, since on I'm paying attention to football now, got to say, on the nominative determinism front, tough to beat a running back named Kenneth Gainwell. I mean, come on. Okay, I promised I would read listener Stevens' email about Wake Up Dead Man. This is spoiler light, I would say. And if you haven't seen the movie and have no interest in the movie, it might not mean much to you.
Starting point is 01:32:35 But I appreciated the research, so I will share this. It's not going to ruin the movie or anything, if you're worried. But Stephen says, I was super excited to watch the new entry in the Knives Out series, Wake Up Dead Man. but Chicago Cubs second baseman Nico Horner was maybe the last person I expected to get an extended close-up of in this movie. Seeing various shots of Cubs games set me down a rabbit hole, both as a Cubs fan and someone who obsesses over meaningless sports details and movies. This is just reminding me that I had on a guy who does sports clip sleuthing on TikTok or used to Ian Arrugio on episode 1928. We talked about how disjointed some of these clips can be. Back to Stephen's email, I have to give this movie a ton of props for using date action.
Starting point is 01:33:15 accurate baseball footage based on when the events of the movie are happening. When Father Judd first visits Samson at his groundskeeper home, Samson is watching an August 7th, 2024 broadcast of the Cubs versus the twins. The Cubs win 8 to 2. This makes sense, as this scene takes place a couple of weeks into Judd's time in Chimney Rock. He first arrives there in late July of 2024, nine months before Good Friday of 2025 on April 18th. We got to see Drew Smiley pitching for the Cubs with brief glimpses of Willie Castro, Future Cub, and Jose Miranda hitting for the twins.
Starting point is 01:33:46 The other two games we get footage of are from April 18th, Good Friday, and 19th of 2025. Both are Cubs versus Diamondbacks games with the Cubs winning 13 to 11, this being the game where the team is combined for 16 runs in the eighth inning, and I miss the ending to attend my church's Good Friday service. Thankfully, less murder happened at that service, and 6 to 2, respectively. We see less footage from the Saturday the 19th game, just shots of Kyle Tucker facing off against Diamondbacks pitcher Zach Gallen. It's going to be very weird to have Kyle Tucker, who was traded to the Cubs in his walk year and will assuredly sign with some team other than the Cubs this offseason, forever memorialized as a cub in this movie.
Starting point is 01:34:24 We see more footage from the Good Friday April 18th game, which Samson had taped on VHS, and Judd, Blanc and the police watched together in the station, synced up with the Good Friday Church Service. First, we see Cubs left fielder Ian Hap hit a single up the middle to lead off the bottom of the first against Diamondback starter Corbyn Burns. the very next shot, where the most in-movie screen time is spent and replayed, jumps forward to a second inning at bat between Nico Horner and Burns that ends in a Horner fly out to left. The weird thing about this footage is that what we see is a specific close-up angle filmed from the first base camera well of Horner adjusting his equipment and stepping into the box. This shot is from the Diamondbacks broadcast rather than the Cubs broadcast. I watched both broadcasts of this at bat to confirm. Samson, who never explicitly
Starting point is 01:35:07 says he is a Cubs fan, but we have to assume so, since he canonically watches three Cubs games has traditional rabbit-ear antennae set up to get the broadcast, but this seems almost impossible since the film is set in a fictional town in upstate New York. I call BS on getting a local Diamondbacks baseball broadcast through these means. Finally, we see footage that plays directly after the shot of Horner of Cubs catcher Carson Kelly hitting a home run that occurs after the end of Horner's at bat and after a PCA double. No time passes in the movie, but we've skipped a couple minutes forward for no reason in the game footage. Lastly, on this shot, I love seeing Mila Kunis' police chief character
Starting point is 01:35:41 lean into the screen and say, damn, she is clearly talking about the latest fact they've discovered in the case, but if you've been focusing on the baseball instead, it looks like she's impressed by the power display put on by the Cubs backup catcher. It was fun finding out that the filmmaker sought out footage from games that matched
Starting point is 01:35:57 the internal timeline of the movie, even though receiving the Diamondbacks broadcast in New York seems unrealistic and the clips from the Good Friday game bounced around. I'm still happy with the baseball representation here. Hopefully you enjoyed more baseball and movies and Wake Up Dead Man can join the ranks of classic baseball movies like Night Swim.
Starting point is 01:36:14 So yeah, it's not perfect. But by the standards of clips of sporting events used in movies that are not themselves sports movies, pretty solid. A blogger at Bleed Cubby Blue also noted that in at least one of the screenshots, there's no scorebug. So maybe isn't exactly what you would see on TV.
Starting point is 01:36:29 Oh, and also, there's a Joseph Gordon-Levett cameo. He always appears in Ryan Johnson movies. Even if he's not in the main cast, here he cameos as a baseball announcer. So that was a nice touch, too. And by the way, while we are recognizing directors who are big baseball fans, RIP Rob Reiner, just a brutal loss, both literally and figuratively. Big baseball fan, Dodgers' season ticket holder for many decades.
Starting point is 01:36:53 Also appeared in a 2006 animated baseball movie called Everyone's Hero, in which he played Screwie, a sarcastic, wisecracking, talking baseball, who bickers with his counterpart, Darlene. Darlin, played by Whoopi Goldberg, was a loyal but egotistical talking baseball bat owned by Babe Ruth. I must have missed everyone's hero, and I probably will not be watching it now. Far from the most celebrated work in the life of Rob Reiner, a man who made many classics. You can support Effectively Wild on Patreon by going to patreon.com slash Effectively Wild and signing up to pledge some monthly or yearly amount to help keep the podcast going,
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Starting point is 01:38:03 If not, you can contact us via email. Send your questions, comments, or intro and outro themes to podcast at fangraphs.com. You can rate, review, and subscribe to EffectivelyWild on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, music, and other podcast platforms. You can join our Facebook group at Facebook.com slash. You can find the Effectively Wild sub-edit at our slash Effectively Wild. And you can check the show notes in the podcast posted Fangraphs or the episode description in your podcast app for links to the stories and stats we cited today. Thanks to Shane McKean for his editing and production assistance. We'll be back with another episode soon.
Starting point is 01:38:35 Talk to you then. If baseball were different, how different would it be? And if this thought haunted dreams, well, stick around and see what Ben and Meg have to say philosophically and pedantically. It's effectively wild. Thank you. Thank you.

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