Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast - Effectively Wild Episode 2426: The Hot (Stove) Corner

Episode Date: January 14, 2026

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley break down the Cubs’ big Alex Bregman signing, Nolan Arenado’s trade to Arizona, Kauffman Stadium’s soon-to-be-cozier confines, and a former GM’s ...dismissal of advanced stats, plus a few follow-ups. Audio intro: Josh Busman, “Effectively Wild Theme” Audio outro: Ian H., “Effectively Wild Theme” Link to Andrews on Bregman Link to Baumann on Bregman Link to Langs on draftees Link to Montgomery on Boras Link to Kennedy comments Link to Sheehan on the Sox Link to Tucker rumors Link to team depth charts Link to team payrolls Link to Baumann on Arenado Link to Passan on Kauffman Link to Royals announcement tweet Link to ballpark homogenization Link to LA Memorial Coliseum info Link to Statcast park factors Link to Pasquantino take Link to Rooker retort Link to Mack piece at BP Link to Sam on where to put a pit Link to Amaro wiki Link to Amaro tweet 1 Link to Amaro tweet 2 Link to Bichette report Link to Collins report Link to stream Stove League Link to Stove League pods Link to Sea Unicorns article  Sponsor Us on Patreon  Give a Gift Subscription  Email Us: podcast@fangraphs.com  Effectively Wild Subreddit  Effectively Wild Wiki  Apple Podcasts Feed   Spotify Feed  YouTube Playlist  Facebook Group  Bluesky Account  Twitter Account  Get Our Merch! var SERVER_DATA = Object.assign(SERVER_DATA || {}); Source

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 For the 2,000 episodes retrospectively filed, and at each new one, we still collectively smiled, that's effectively wild. That's effectively wild. Hello and welcome to episode 24, 26 of Effectively Wild, a fancrafts baseball podcast brought to by our Patreon supporters. I'm Meg Rowley of Fangraps, and I am joined by Ben Lindberg of the ringer, Ben. How are you? I am nourished by the sweet nectar of transactions, providing us with offseason life and fodder to discuss our cup overfloweth, runneth over.
Starting point is 00:00:45 Suddenly we have stuff to talk about. It's a nice change. Yeah, I'm grateful for that. I am weirded out by your particular way of introducing the idea of it, but I agree. What deals have been done, what transactions have transacted, this is. Infield Market. It's hard, hot, at heart. Just when you thought we were going to have to do an episode on The Braves bringing back Tyler Kinley,
Starting point is 00:01:09 fortunately, we have been obliged with a couple of big third base moves and some interesting rumors and some fence dimension changes and more. So I guess we can start with Alex Bregman, who is now a Chicago Cub. A Chicago Cub. How about that? So it's a five-year, 175 million dollars. deal. That's a big number, but 70 million is deferred roughly. So it's more like 150 million in present day value. So 30-ish annual value roughly on average. So what do you make of the terms
Starting point is 00:01:47 and the fit? The Cubs, they splurged. We talked last week about, hey, Cubs, you know, you're able to spend some money, too. You don't have to solely subsist on trades. You can also wait into free agency. You are after all the Chicago Cubs, baseball powerhouse. And I guess they heard us. Yeah, they did. You don't sound bold over. So, okay, I'm struggling with this,
Starting point is 00:02:14 with this contract, Ben. Yeah. I'm struggling. Because here's the, here's, here's, here's the source of my struggle. Here are the, the parts of my struggle. I think that Alex Bruegman is a very good baseball player. I think that Alex Bruegman, will make his next team, in this case the Chicago Cubs, a better team. I am heartened to see the Chicago Cubs remembering that they have money and can spend it.
Starting point is 00:02:45 And that money is fungible. And baseball players are not, you know? So those are good things. We talked last time. Well, was it last time? We talked a time. recently. We talked a recent time
Starting point is 00:03:02 about how, you know, the Cubs have some needs and, you know, we were sort of bemoaning where they ranked in terms of their third base defense, although, you know, also, and I don't know
Starting point is 00:03:18 if I articulated this quite as sort of directly as I ought to have, like, really an issue with the other people who played third base for the Cubs last year, not Matt Shaw, who grazed out fine, but is a less good, player, or at least the less good player right now, than Alex Breggman. So an upgrade at the hot corner.
Starting point is 00:03:35 But also, it's a little weird, right, as a roster fit goes, and also a lot of money for a guy, his age, which is fine, except I worry about, well, I maybe said something to this effect about the other team that plays in Chicago when they signed Andrew Benintendi.
Starting point is 00:03:55 And we can acknowledge the limitations of this comment. There are several. But if you're a club that isn't in the habit of spending big money, I wish you would just spend more. But it does mean that how you spend the money you spend is fairly important because who knows if you're going to spend more of it. So I don't dislike it in a vacuum.
Starting point is 00:04:19 And I don't think that Bregman, you know, he has injury issues. And we should also say something about the fit of Bregman and his swing for that park. but you know he's a good player and I think he'll make them better even if um I think as as Dave Andrews noted in his write-up of the deal like you you think that Wrigley is going to be a good fit for Bregman and then you remember there's that weird little cutout and so it's not quite as flush a fit as you would necessarily think say you know um the Crawford boxes were in Houston or Fenway was for him there are those limitations but at least you a good player and one who's likely to make them better. But also, I don't know if signing Bregman
Starting point is 00:05:04 addresses the team's biggest offensive need. And I still wish that they would sign one more starter. Yeah, I had a sort of similar reaction, actually. So maybe we're aligned, fairly aligned. My reaction sort of proceeded in stages. I saw the news. And I thought, hey, kudos to the Cubs. Cudors to the Cubs. Yeah, they landed a big fish. This is a tool. in their toolbox now. They know that free agency exists and not just for rebuilding a bullpen, but they can actually go get one of the top free agents available. That's great. And then I saw the terms and I thought, wow, 175. That's a, that's a pretty big number for Alex Bregman, a player who is, I think it's fair to say in decline, you know, in decline from a high peak
Starting point is 00:05:51 and still a very productive player, but probably on the downside. You turn 32 just after opening day. Right. And some skills slippage and production slippage. And that was kind of addressed by the deferrals. When I read about the deferrals, I thought, okay, 30 million a year over five. That sounds a bit closer to what I would have thought than 35 million a year over five. And there are no opt-outs, by the way, this time around. And there is a full no trade, right? So, okay, that sounds like kind of a lot. But then I, I, yes, they eventually landed in the same place you did, which is glad to see the Cubs, remembering that they can spend this kind of money. But if they were going to spend it on someone, it just seems like they would have had better bang for the buck without Bregman.
Starting point is 00:06:45 That's a lot of bees. But yeah, I don't know if Bregman gives them the biggest bang for the buck. So it did sort of perplex me that this is the guy who convinced them to spend because if you could just kind of do the whole offseason over and just say, well, we have this 35-ish million a year to spend on someone, where would that be best applied to make our roster better by the most? I don't, yeah, I don't know if it would be at third base, partly because of the kind of player Bregman is and the ballpark fit and partly because of the personnel. And just, you know, even though they didn't get much third-based production last year, Shaw was pretty good. And Shaw presumably is getting better as Bregman is presumably getting worse. And maybe they will kind of converge in the not too distant future.
Starting point is 00:07:38 And so, you know, there might be another move to be made here. And no one would be surprised if Nico Horner is traded and if that then opens up a spot and Shaw could shift over there. because if this relegates Shaw to a utility role, well, he'd be a good utility, he'd be a good bench guy to have. But just the projected upgrades from Shaw to Bregman. And I know that Bregman's like a, you know, potential Hall of Fame type player
Starting point is 00:08:07 and Matt Shaw has barely accomplished anything and is better known for his politics, probably than his play at this point. But, yeah, just in terms of pure projected production, marginal upgrades, kind of that cold calculation, it wouldn't seem to be the biggest leap. And so, yes, if you had, you know, and we talked about the trade that they made last week,
Starting point is 00:08:34 and we were pretty complimentary about acquiring Edward Cabrera. But if they had said at the start of the off season, we're going to put this money toward something, someone, then, yeah, maybe going and getting a top of the rotation starter or even bringing back Kyle Tucker perhaps or yeah, it just so that's, I am also similarly conflicted, I guess. And they are currently like right on the knife's edge of the lowest competitive balance tax threshold, which is what, 244 for this year. And Ruster Reosource has them at 243 right now. No, I want to be fair. I mean, it sounds like to your point, like there is,
Starting point is 00:09:17 likely to be a trade out of the rest of that infield group. Horner makes obvious sense insofar as, like, he's coming off his best year as a big leaguer. He was very productive. He's a good defender. I think the Cubs are better as a team if they keep Horner and Ship Shaw, just from their current, the way that they're currently constituted for 2026. Shaw might net a good bit more from a prospect perspective because there's so much team control. remaining. He is, you know, a good player. It also sounds like, you know, some of the reporting is that
Starting point is 00:09:54 the stuff this past number has made him, you know, there's, he might not be the most popular guy in that clubhouse. And I don't even mean like specifically about his politics, but just his absence. Like, it doesn't seem like that's necessarily a group that's shelling around him. I don't want to overstate the cases on my reporting, but it does seem like, you know, there's some possibility that he's on the move, right? So maybe when we think about roster, we should think about it from the perspective of those two guys in addition to Bregman. I am fascinated and dying to know, does something happen with Kyle Tucker and the Cubs? It's weird to me that if they're willing to spend this kind of money, and we're seeing some of the rumored AVs that are surrounding Kyle Tucker and some of the...
Starting point is 00:10:42 Yes, Mets reportedly offering 50 million average annual value for a short... A short-term deal. And so it's like you're going to spend what amounts to $150 million in sort of real present money, right, because they have the deferrals with the Bregman deal. And Tucker is sort of in this weird, he's maybe entertaining. And who knows what Kyle Tucker will end up doing, but perhaps entertaining these very high AAV short-term deals. It's like, well, don't you just want to bring Tucker back? And again, it takes two to tango. Maybe Kyle Tucker doesn't want to be in Chicago.
Starting point is 00:11:22 So, I don't know. That part of it's odd. I do like the piece of this that is bringing some sort of like long-term stability to the position player group in Chicago because they do have a couple of guys, not just Warner, but Suzuki and others who are kind of in line to become free agents in the near future. And so maybe this gives you good continuity. And like, I do feel like we're underselling how presently productive Alex Bregman is. You know, it's not like he's a bad player.
Starting point is 00:11:52 And like he was really good with Boston in the first half before the, it was a quad injury, right? Yes. And then a slump. And it's like, well, was he fully healthy? And, you know, that cuts both ways. You could say like, oh, maybe he wasn't fully healthy. You could also say he's going to be 32 right after opening day and is starting to get hurt. So maybe you worry about that.
Starting point is 00:12:12 So I just feel a variety of ways about it, Ben. I don't dislike it, but I don't know if from a pure, like, optimal allocation of salary dollars perspective, if it's like the best that they could have done. But we also know that the Cubs have kind of wanted to be in the Alex Bregman business for a while. They were one of the heavy players for him last offseason and they couldn't get a deal done. And so, like, some of this is maybe them just getting their guy. but I do think that there's value in front offices not being stubborn around that stuff sometimes because maybe it leads you to be like overcommitted to a dude. And again, I feel like I'm
Starting point is 00:12:51 underselling Bregman again, present Bregman. And, you know, there are parts of his profile as a hitter in particular that you could say will probably age well. But also you could say, as Davey did in his piece, that like he kind of has old man profile now. So like how much room for error does he have on the back into the seal. I don't know. So it's a lot of money for a guy who I think is good right now and will help the Cubs be a better team in 2026, regardless of how they kind of shuffle that infield. Boston, I guess, has to go get Boba Chet now, right? I wonder, well, yeah, we can talk about the they're not trading for Nolan Aeronado. We know that. No, that's true. Yeah, I see, in a way, this signing would make sense, like in retrospect even more, or make Bregman look like a bigger upgrade
Starting point is 00:13:45 if they do trade Horner and they have that vacancy. I don't think they should trade Horner. I don't think they should trade Horner either. No, it reminds me very much of when they traded for Tucker last year, and then everyone sort of assumed that they would trade Bellinger. And I was thinking that they could just keep Bellinger. Like, it'd be better to have both. And the idea was, oh, they'll trade Bellinger and then they'll be able to put that salary towards something else and sign someone, but they didn't really. They just kind of kept that cash. And I know that at the time, it seemed like, oh, where's Bellinger going to play? And they have people at all these other positions. But he's versatile and flexible and he's good. And it just can't hurt to have Cody Bellinger if you
Starting point is 00:14:27 can afford it. And I thought they could. And I feel that way about Horner, too, where, yeah, if they want to trade him now coming off a really strong season with only a $12 million salary for 2026, even though he's a one-year rental, they could probably get a pretty good haul for him. And if they think that he might leave, okay, I understand the temptation. And of course, they could get something back that is valuable for him, too, that could improve the roster. So, but I hope that if they do trade him, it's not because they want to ensure that they stay under the competitive balance tax threshold now that they have signed Bregman. I know I saw some reporting that ownership had given. the go-ahead for them to be over that limit. But, yeah, if they do trade Horner and it's not for an immediate upgrade in the rotation or somewhere else. And I know it's a pretty crowded rotation. So it's not as if there are obvious vacancies. It's just that you could do a bit better at the top of that rotation.
Starting point is 00:15:21 As we said, they need a dude. Yeah, it would help to have like a real rotation topper. And I don't know whether you then trade someone else you already have or it's kind of been a problem in a sense for the Cubs for a wiser. while now, not even so much in the rotation as position players, but they've kind of had, like, decent players everywhere. And so there haven't been, like, really obvious just gaping holes on the roster where, oh, we can get better here.
Starting point is 00:15:47 And sometimes it's, it's like a pretty good problem to have, to have, like, a high bar, a high baseline. But also sometimes if you have an obvious area of needs, then you can get a whole lot better with one move. Whereas with the Cubs, it's like, sign Alex Breckman. Oh, that's good. but oh, maybe it doesn't make you that much better. So I think they should keep Horner and they should just figure it out and someone will get heard.
Starting point is 00:16:11 And if Horner leaves in a year, well, yeah, then you have Bregman under contract and Shaw and you can figure things out then. But I say if you're a cub like the cubs, then you should use your financial wherewithal to just keep someone who might possibly be dispensable or a luxury for some other organization. you can afford to keep that person as depth and redundancy and just added strength. So I think they should unless they find a perfect fit that makes them better in the present elsewhere. And you look at their offseason as a whole. I think you have to be pretty encouraged, probably if you're a Cubs fan, because you know, you come off of the playoff loss and then you're thinking, oh, you know, Tucker's almost certainly going to leave. And are they going to do anything, really?
Starting point is 00:16:56 and they've been pretty busy, obviously. So, you know, they have made significant upgrades both via trade and via free agency, and that's what you want. But, yeah, after they went and got Tower Austin, and I understand, like, he's been abroad for a while, and who knows how it will translate. And then you had Shaw, it just felt like it's not the area of most acute needs for them. But still, you look at it as a whole, and you have Cabrero, and you have Bregman,
Starting point is 00:17:25 and you have Austin and you have Harvey and Mayton and all these guys. And you have to be pretty happy, I think. And don't forget Hobie Milner. Never forget Hobie. Don't forget Hobie. Don't you dare. Don't you dare forget Hobie. How would you forget Hobie? How could you possibly?
Starting point is 00:17:40 His name is Hobie. It is. She's an adult man named Hobie. Yeah. And you keep Shoda Imenaga and it's, you know, just it's a good strong offseason. And maybe they project to be the best team in that division. though I certainly wouldn't count out the Brewers and they have learned that lesson before, but they've they've strengthened their position. It is funny how quickly these things can change though because and you know I don't know what the consensus like Cubs fan opinion is of the roster now that these two big you know high profile moves have have been finalized bringing in Cabrera and and signing Bregman.
Starting point is 00:18:21 But my impression at least was that there was a good bit of discontent. As people were saying like, hey, remember how you can spend money, though? And now maybe people have less discontent, but also maybe they still have some. It's a discontented time. So it's easy to have discontent. And at least it opens the possibility of future signings now that they have shown that they are, in fact, capable of this and willing to spend that kind of cash. And even if you have some quibbles and some notes on how they spent it, still, it's good to see them acting that way again within moderation, at least. And yeah, as for the park, that's also kind of confusing because on the one hand, Minutemade and Fenway have been the perfect places for Alex Breggman because you've got the Crawford boxes, or excuse me, Dyken Park, or though when he was playing there, I guess.
Starting point is 00:19:21 It was minute made when he was there. And I'm going to hold on to that, Ben, because you know what has not been able to penetrate my mind space? Dyken Park. Yeah. Well, let's just call the whole thing off. Let's call it and run. We'll just agree on that. But those have been perfectly tailored parks to his swing, which is, you know, he's not that big a guy.
Starting point is 00:19:47 He doesn't hit the ball that hard. Right. And so, you know, he's kind of like a Isak Pritz. a slight, like just, you know, get the ball in the air, pull it. And so this is a less favorable place for him, perhaps as evidenced by how Paredes played in his short time in Wrigley. But you look at Bregman's career splits. Right. And it's like neutral, home and away. Right. More thump on the road, in fact. Yeah, he has a 134 WRC plus at home career and 133 on the road. So it's not like he's some sort of mirage or purely a product of his environment. Obviously,
Starting point is 00:20:23 he has been able to make it work away as well. So maybe it would be discounting him to think that he can't adapt to this environment. It's all very confusing, Ben, mostly. I find it quite confusing. But it did give Bowman an excuse to write another college baseball ephemera. piece. So in that respect, I am a big, big fan of it, actually. I think it's the perfect signing, because we should get more of those pieces. I know that they're your favorites because of how big of a college baseball head you are. Huge. And as many people have pointed out, Alex B. Spragman will be playing with Danzy B. Swanson right alongside him in the infield, in fact, and they were drafted first and second overall in their draft class. And Bregman, because he's Bregman, and this is the
Starting point is 00:21:16 kind of gahy as he wears number two because he wants to remember that he was drafted number two, not number one, and now he will be playing next to the guy who was drafted number one. And there are four previous pairs of teammates who were selected first and second overall in the same draft. And that's most recently, Carl's Correa and Byron Buxton the past few years for the twins. prior to that, Tim Beckham and Pedro Alvarez for the 2017-18 Orioles. Paul Wilson and Ben Greve for the 2001-2 Tampa Bay raise, or Devil Raise, I guess, at that point. And B.J. Surhoff and Will Clark for the 1999 to 2000 Orioles. Credit to Sarah Langs and possibly others for the blasting there.
Starting point is 00:22:04 So save your stat blasts questions because it's been blasted already. Or just go read Bauman's piece about how they need to sign Brennan Rogers. So they have the top three. Oh, was that the thrust of his post? I have not read it yet. Yeah, okay. I don't think there have. Disrespect.
Starting point is 00:22:21 Disrespect on the pot. Yeah, I should have said draft. We were waiting for you to finish editing that so that we could record. So it's not disrespect. This was published six hours ago. Oh, this was the earlier post. I see. He's been busy, busy Bowman blogger.
Starting point is 00:22:38 Yeah. My apologies to Mr. Balman, then I will catch up with that. But, yeah, there's never been a one, two, three draft pick teammate triumvirate. Right. So, yeah, they should make that happen maybe. They should. Yeah. And as for the Red Sox, I had Breggman going to the socks on our mocked free agent destination episode last week.
Starting point is 00:22:59 Not thinking that I would necessarily be right about that or about anything, but it did seem to make some sense to me that he would go back there. And I know they kind of have a. positional logjam too, especially in the outfield. But even in the infields, they're young players and you want a place for them to play and everything. But given some of the uncertainties there, it just seemed to me like he would still be a fit and that there was some mutual interest and that he had fit in well there, both with the ballpark and with the clubhouse and the mentorship and all the rest.
Starting point is 00:23:29 And so I don't know if I'm shocked or surprised that he didn't go back there, but I'm sure that some Red Sox fans are somewhat disappointed that they didn't. bring him back. Yeah. And the Red Sox and the Cubs have been in sort of a similar boat spending-wise recently, I guess, when it comes to like both being big baseball juggernauts that, in theory, should have huge payrolls. And in the Red Sox case, have had huge payrolls, but have kind of cut back a bit lately.
Starting point is 00:23:58 And as Joshean noted in his newsletter, he just wrote about the Red Sox. And they had a comment just recently from team president Sam Kennedy. defending the team's offseason because, you know, sometimes they talk a big game when it comes to the offseason and they have not always delivered. No, you know, this offseason, I think they've done fairly well for themselves
Starting point is 00:24:19 and they got Sunny Gray and Wilson Contreras and that's nice. But if someone was expecting them to break the bank with a big budget signing, they have also worked via trade in kind of a Cubs-like fashion prior to the Bregman signing. And Kennedy said,
Starting point is 00:24:33 if you go back a year ago to this date last year, I believe our organization has taken on close to $500 million in contractual commitments. We've added $40 million in payroll through trades. And as Joe noted, when you cite the lump sum, just the $500 million, that's commitments, but it's over many years. So it's not as if they just forked over $500 million, signed a $500 billion check. That will be distributed over quite a long time. Plus, some of that spending was signing young guys to extension. which is good. That's absolutely something they should be doing and laudable. But if you're signing Christian
Starting point is 00:25:12 Campbell or Roman Anthony, you're hoping and expecting that you're going to get a good deal on those guys. It's going to be below market rates, if anything. And then also, you know, you should be doing those things. You're the Red Sox and it's an investment in your roster and being good and putting a compelling product on the field and everything. Anyway, not saying the Red Sox are cheaping out by not signing Bregman and perhaps there are other teams that would have been even better fits for him. But I do think that he would have worked well there too. Yeah, I agree. So it'll be interesting to see what they're pivot is now.
Starting point is 00:25:47 I think we'll just go get Popesh up probably. Maybe, or maybe they'll just live with what they have and they'll trust Campbell and Meyer and Story and hope that that works out for them. They already have a couple players who I just don't know where they fit, really, with Tristan Cassus. and after the contraris trade Casas doesn't really seem to fit that well and then Masataka Yoshida hasn't fit there
Starting point is 00:26:10 for a while really if there's like one player I could just kind of port to another roster it might be Yoshida because I like Yoshida and I'd like to see him be able to play but I don't want him to like block the Red Sox young guys and don't want Raphaelah to have to play out of position and and Yoshida just seems like
Starting point is 00:26:31 if he were on the pirates or something, he'd be good for them. Like, he'd be one of their best hitters or the Rockies or whoever, right? But with the Red Sox, if anything, they should just, I mean, ideally they would trade him for pitching or something, but they might just be better off without him, even if they just released him and took the hit, just in terms of being able to devote playing time to other people who are part of their future. But I hope he gets somewhere else where it just kind of fits more efficiently for
Starting point is 00:27:01 all involved. Yeah. Okay. Well, our other third base move, this one was a long time coming. Nolan Arnato has finally been traded after being a trade candidate for more than a year. It's just a long time. They have found a taker that he is okay with and he is going to Arizona. He is going to play for the Diamondbacks. And this is just about a straight salary dump. So it's a trade technically. But it's mostly a trade for salary relief. It is a minor league right-hander Jack Martinez, who was the Diamondbacks eighth round pick last year. He has not even made his pro debut yet, but this is mostly about opening up playing time and reducing the payroll. So the Diamondbacks have to pay about
Starting point is 00:27:50 11 million of the 42 million owed to Aronado over the next two seasons. So the Cardinals will owe him about 26, and the Rockies are still paying some of the... If no one has no salary, they're paid about $5 billion. So I guess these days we mostly talk about the fit from a performance standpoint more so than the salary. I mean, even when we were just talking about Bregman, we were like, oh, that seems like a lot of money. But we kind of focus more on just does he upgrade their roster? And who else will play there? And how does the playing time all shake out?
Starting point is 00:28:24 Because it's like the opportunity cost these days. It's more about playing time than it is about payroll. as much as some teams insist that they can't spend, we kind of tend to fixate on that less because there's just an understanding that a lot of teams probably are not spending as much as they conceivably could. And so we tend to evaluate,
Starting point is 00:28:43 well, is this player a good fit for the park, for the team, for the roster? And I guess if you play that game with Aronado here, well, maybe a couple different ways to analyze this. Because in terms of the salary, the diamondbacks are just paying him a pittance. So it's really not about the salary for them. They're paying him $11 million over two years.
Starting point is 00:29:06 If he gives them anything, then that's a bargain. But there is some question about how much he'll give them. He's 34. He's turning 35 in April, and he is much more clearly on the decline than Alex Breggman. So it then becomes not so much about a risk of salary and payroll expenditure, but the playing time that you're devoting to Nolan and. and what he's going to give you. So, I know you haven't had a chance to read Michael Bowman's analysis yet, and so I could
Starting point is 00:29:38 pretend that this is just my own, but I have to acknowledge his because you'll have read it by the time this goes live and then you know that I was a pillfer. But I thought the Bauman put it well, which is, I like this fine for both sides. You know, the downside playing time risk in Arizona, I think is like really quite low. They are not paying him so much that if he is like, God, God, awful, no thing I can't just cut him. Yeah. But they really needed third base help when we were doing our find a fit for everybody. I noted that the Diamondbacks were a really good fit for Bregman, and they were rumored to be sort of heavy in his market because they did not have an alternative on the wrong.
Starting point is 00:30:26 Now, you could argue that perhaps that they would be better served sort of using third base the way that I think the Cardinals will use third base now, which is to see really with extended playing time, hopefully, when healthy, what they have in Jordan Lawler, who has been hurt. He is finally no longer prospect eligible. Thank God. You know, you get these guys where you're like, I don't even have. have anything against you. I hope you have a long and productive career, but I simply cannot edit another blurb about you. I can't. I can't. Get out of here, you know. And Lawler, who came up as a short stop and he was a very good near and then didn't have a place to play at Schwarz anyway because Pardomo emerged and has been so spectacular for them. You know, he's been hurt just constantly and hurt in a way that I think has really limited the industry's ability to property. evaluate him and has probably limited the Diamondback's ability to evaluate him to some degree. He's certainly trying, you know, he goes and plays Warnerball every year and he might play some
Starting point is 00:31:37 center field for them this coming season because they do have knee down in center. He's clearly a good athlete, but he's never healthy, and he hasn't hit at the major league level yet, but he also hasn't really had much chance to do so. So you could argue, well, shouldn't they just give Lawler run? But I think that this roster is good and enough even with the shakiness that is present in their rotation as it's currently constituted, certainly before Burns comes back and even after he does, that they kind of just need to try to be a contending team. You know, the rest of the players they have in-house, you don't want to waste another year of Cotell Marte, especially now that you're keeping him.
Starting point is 00:32:17 You don't want to waste a year of Corbyn Carroll. They should try to do something. They're an interesting enough club to do so. So I like trying Aronado and just seeing what you have in him it's so low
Starting point is 00:32:32 cost I think you're right that we tend to evaluate these things in a you know purely in terms
Starting point is 00:32:38 of the roster fit and I think that's often the right move but like part of why giving him
Starting point is 00:32:44 playing time is so appealing is that like from a cost perspective it's just it's so low stakes so I have
Starting point is 00:32:52 what I think are reasonable expectations for Nolan Aronado in 2020 which is like the best case you're probably looking at is him being a league average bat and a reasonable defender at third. But hey, a league average bat and a reasonable defender at third is very useful to the diamondbacks.
Starting point is 00:33:06 That's what they need. So I like it from that perspective. They're not having to spend very much from a money perspective. And in terms of the prospect, they gave up who I swear for different people. I was like, wait, do you mean Justin Martinez? Because like before the return got reported, I was texting people to try to find out what it was so that I, could get Bauman and the prospect guys going on sooner. And I was like, I was told Jack Martinez, and I was like, but don't you mean, Justin?
Starting point is 00:33:33 So anyway, to your point, an eighth round senior sign, folks should go read the sort of extended scouting report on him. He's an ASU guy, so Eric wrote it. He didn't make our Diamondbacks list, which was like 56 guys long because he was an eighth round senior sign. But he could be interesting and, you know, it'll be interesting to see what St. Louis does with him. But really, from their perspective, they're getting $11 million in salary relief. As Bowman put it, I think, a living man with a head, four limbs and a head. And the opportunity to see what they have in some of their young guys, certainly Nolan Gorman, potentially Weatherholt, which might be true at some point this year, regardless, but particularly if they trade Donovan as well.
Starting point is 00:34:16 So, you know, seems fine. Yeah, Aronado is not good or expensive enough to block anybody at this stage of his career, really. So if he stinks, then no harm done. They won't have lost much. And he was still, at least stat cast graded him as an above average third baseman last year. Actually, somewhat similar to Bregman. I think both of their skills have slipped defensively. Aronado obviously was an elite all-time great type third baseman in his prime.
Starting point is 00:34:46 So he has probably slipped more relative to that prime, but had further to fall and still be. pretty productive. So he's definitely still playable over there. They both are. And if Aronado could even just be league average-ish bat, then that would be worth playing. And that's kind of what he was 2023, 2024. And that was not a great player. And that was maybe not what the Rockies banked on when they signed him or even what the Cardinals banked on when they traded for him. But, you know, he was still like a three-year-ish win player. If you pair kind of a league average-ish bat with an above-average glove at third base, then that's valuable. But last year he just kind of cratered and missed some time too, but just was not offering really anything offensively.
Starting point is 00:35:35 And across the board declined and, you know, nothing really about the quality of contact or babbip or luck or anything that would make you think that there's a bounce back coming. Yeah. I would just hope that there's some regression for a player who is as great as he was for as long as he was. It's not always just a straight path linear decline. Sometimes you might have a down year and then a partial bounce back. And so if the downbacks get the partial bounce back, then they'll be happy. And if they don't, then they won't have lost a lot. So it was kind of inevitable, I guess, that he would be moved somewhere.
Starting point is 00:36:11 Maybe the only surprises that it took as long as it did. And they got something, which wasn't always a given, given. given how much he's owed. Yeah, and I guess in the opposite of the Bregman signing, the ballpark change probably benefits Arnado somewhat going from St. Louis for him. So that's nice as well. Another thing about Bregman that I meant to mention, and I think it's appropriate that we talked about the team and the player
Starting point is 00:36:36 before we considered the implications for the agent. But this is another little vindication of Scott Boris, right? Yeah. But if you take the longer view, Bregman did quite well. And he's the latest in a string of Boris clients who seemingly suffered setbacks. And then they re-entered the market and they did better because Boris left them with the option to test the market again. And the players performed well enough to get themselves a better deal. So, yeah, you mentioned that the Cubs had been interested in his services last winter and had offered him, I think, four years in 120.
Starting point is 00:37:14 with opt-outs it was reported. The Tigers had offered him the biggest deal, which was 171.5 over six years with an opt-out after 2026. And ultimately, he took the deal with the Red Sox that was much shorter and a smaller amount. He was three years, 120, but with an opt-out after each season and some deferrals in there. And he took that so that he could have a pretty good year, hopefully, and reenter the market. and make more. And that's exactly what happens.
Starting point is 00:37:47 So if you look at it as one big contract instead of a couple that he strung together, then it's sort of the equivalent of a $215 million deal over six years, which is better than what the Tigers offered him last time. So it did kind of work out. It worked out. Yeah, you could lump Pete Alonzo and Blake Snell and maybe Matt Chapman in that group. and I guess we'll see about Cody Bellinger soon enough. But, yeah, the whole Boris is washed and maybe he doesn't understand how the market works anymore.
Starting point is 00:38:23 The market has passed him by probably premature, which I think was our thought at the time. It was our thought at the time, yeah. Yeah, and he continued to do well with some signings during that period. It was just certain guys who had some sort of strike against them, whether it was injuries or some perceived flaw of some sort. And sometimes it's just about the vagaries of that particular market and who's interested and who has money to spend and who has a vacancy and what the platform year for that player was. And then you jumble things up a year later and the player did something different. And there's a new mix of teams that might be in the hunt for him. And suddenly you do fine.
Starting point is 00:39:06 So not the case for every player. Some players, they actually do get sort of screwed in free agency and things just don't work out well for them. But yeah, you know, I'm not saying that like, Boris planned this all along and he knew that this was going to happen and this was his strategy that they would just take the short-term deal. If he could have gotten the bigger deal last winter, then I guess that might have been even better. And probably they would have done that. So, but maybe those offers just weren't out there. And it wasn't necessarily Boris misreading the market and overestimating the player's appeal. Like it could be. I guess it could be all of the above. It could be that he misplayed things and got bailed out anyway.
Starting point is 00:39:46 Right. But given his track records, I'm kind of inclined to think that he more or less knows what he's doing. I'm hesitant to use one off-season's worth of performance in either direction, to be clear, to sort of have our say about how good an agent, a good of a job an agent is doing, right? Because sometimes we'll look at guys who sign really big contracts and you're like, oh, my God, Boris, he's so amazing. I'm like, well, it's Juan Soto. You know, he was going to sign a big deal. It's Aaron Judge.
Starting point is 00:40:17 It's, you know, and not everybody's, you know, it's O'Donnie, and he's not a Boris guy, but you know what I mean? Like, sometimes the player is just on their market is unscrew up a bowl because they're so impressive of a player and they're the best guy. And so I think that you really need a lot of time to assess these things. And sometimes the way that agents do with mid-tier guys, I think is more of an indication of their skill, at least in a positive direction than it is with the really big names. Because those are the guys where you could imagine the agent both properly gauging the market and also, you know, assessing fit and being able to make a compelling case to a potential front office about the way that their guy is sort of the missing piece. even if they're a slightly less high-profile player, you could see sort of the value add there being more obvious or at least easily attributable.
Starting point is 00:41:21 So I always just think that we ought to exercise a bit of caution, which isn't to say that there's not some signals to draw from the way that particular profiles of players do or how a particular agent's approach to the market and making a case for their guy, you know, what that says about their acumen or what have you. But I think we tend to overreact to these things or at least prematurely react to them maybe. Yeah. And a lot of people don't like Scott Boers. Sure.
Starting point is 00:41:53 And some of his former clients don't like him either, right? Like, it's not like he has had defections. And that's been true for a variety of reasons. It's not just because, you know, he hasn't been able to get a deal done sometimes. It's like you're just not getting attention. from this guy the way that like his highest profile dudes are. That's that's not not a reason to go with a different agency, you know? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:42:17 But most, not all of the clients who didn't do as well. Like Jordan Montgomery dropped Boris, right, and criticized how he handled his free agency. But most of his clients, even the ones who didn't do well initially, did stick by him and benefited in the long term, I guess. But yeah, I'm just saying, you know, in general, fans. maybe some media members, I don't know, but there are people who just don't like Scott Boris because they see him, and not purely because of the punning,
Starting point is 00:42:47 but just because they sort of see him as the, I don't know, the personification of avarice in sports or something, as if he invented free agency or whatever, or that he's like, you know, some puppet master behind the scenes, like orchestrating everything at the union. And I don't know. Like, obviously he's one of the most powerful figures in the sports, but he does generally, I think, have the players' interests at heart
Starting point is 00:43:13 because his interests in a lot of cases are aligned with the players. He was a player himself, but also he stands to profit from a lot of players profiting. And yes, maybe disproportionately from the elite guys who make them mega deals. But even so, I tend to think that he has mostly good ideas about baseball and also some bad ones like NeutralSight World Series. Yeah, that is a weird thing that he thinks is a good idea. What's up with that? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:43:44 But mostly, I guess for him, maybe it'd be nice. He could plan a big Boris Corp. Shindig or something around knowing where the World Series is going to be. You can plan events in other cities, and often on a short notice, especially when you're Scott Boris. I think they're pretty excited to have your event contract, you know? Yeah. But usually when there is some sort of dispute between the league and the PA or something, and Scott Boris is quoted or weighed in.
Starting point is 00:44:11 I tend to agree with him most of the time on the big picture things about baseball. And also think that he didn't create the system. So if for some reason you don't like the system, he has been among the best and the most successful at exploiting or leveraging the system. But the system predates him, really. So there would probably just be worse agents doing the job if he weren't doing it. Okay. So those are the major transactions. that have happened. Another announcement this week is that we are getting an outfield dimension
Starting point is 00:44:45 change. It's always some good fodder for discussion. So the royals are changing the dimensions at Kaufman Stadium. And this has been one of the biggest parks biggest outfields and they are trying to make it, well, it's interesting. They're trying to make it play more neutral as a home run park, but they want it to be a neutral park really overall. The way that the Royals put it on Twitter, they said a new feel to the K, we're bringing in the walls at Kauffman Stadium, creating more potential for home runs, extra base hits, home run robberies, and bringing fans closer to the action than ever before. I don't know whether it creates more potential for extra base hits.
Starting point is 00:45:31 I mean, home runs are extra base hits, and it does create more potential for those, but I think Maybe it decreases the potential for other kinds of extra base hits. But what they are doing here, they're moving most of the outfield fence in by 10 feet. Okay. So they're keeping the center field fence at 410 just straight away. But then they're going to taper the fences in the power alleys. They're shortening those from 389 to 379 so that they can actually lead to more power. And then the fences will just continue to be 90.
Starting point is 00:46:06 to 10 feet shallower, almost all the way to the corners, where they keep the 330-foot foul poles. So it's sort of like, I guess, the same at certain discrete points, but they're moving it in elsewhere. And then they're also lowering the fence from 10 feet to 8.5. And they seem to want to make it more neutral, just across the board. So I'm quoting here from Jeff Passon's piece at ESPN, and he talked to the Royal's front office folks, who had a hand in planning this. Kaufman has played as a slightly above-average offensive park because the size of the outfield,
Starting point is 00:46:42 which was second only to Coors Field, promoted more doubles and triples. The distinct suppression of home runs, however, left the Royals concerned that hitters were changing their approaches on the road consciously or subconsciously, and that altering the dimensions for the 81 games played at Kaufman
Starting point is 00:46:57 without turning it into a bandbox would aid in Kansas City's efforts to build a perennial playoff contender. And their top baseball exec, J.J. Piccolo says it's not that we're trying to jump start our offense. The more neutral it is at home, the better success we'll have overall. So, yeah, this is not the first time that they have done something like this. As Passon notes, they also at Kansas City, moved the fences in about 10 feet between 1995 and 2003, and it became a better home run park. but then they returned to the original dimensions in 2004, and after that they've just seen a lot of warning track power,
Starting point is 00:47:40 not a lot of home run hitting, and that prompted them to make this move. And we talked about how this past season was the first time in Royals history that they had had two hitters hit at least 30 homers and 100 RBI in the same season, Salvi and Vinny. And, you know, they have a history of just not hitting for much power or at least more home run power. And they're trying to make the park a little less distinctive in that sense.
Starting point is 00:48:08 And Pacolo said, we want a neutral ballpark where if you hit a ball, well, it should be a home run. The second they start feeling like they can't get the ball out of the ballpark, they start changing their swing. I watched it for years and years and years, and I just felt like this is the time to try to push it and see if everything we felt for however many years is accurate. I mean, I think that it makes a good bit of sense. I think that upgrading their existing group directly is also a good thing to do, maybe. Yeah. But I do think that when you have a group where the bats are kind of weak, any extremity in the park is probably going to make it play worse. So maybe it's fine.
Starting point is 00:48:52 Yeah. I don't know that they're doing it primarily to be better in the short term. like they're trying to tailor the dimensions to their roster's characteristics right now, though it does say that they project that they will win a game and a half more at home in 2026. That feels like a lot. Yeah, I don't know. Obviously, you can't actually win half a game, but that's the projection. And, you know, they have their quants, quanting it up and there are all sorts of data sources you can use for this now that are more precise than every people.
Starting point is 00:49:27 because you have all the stackass stuff, and you also have weather and wind and all these things that you could probably get a pretty precise sense of how it will play. New this year, wind. Yeah. Yeah. So I lament this only because it's just the latest manifestation
Starting point is 00:49:46 of a long-term trend towards ballparks being less distinct. And I don't like that because we've talked about it's a nice thing about baseball. It's an unusual thing about baseball, and it's a charming thing about baseball. Sure. That the ballparks have different dimensions and often very different dimensions, and that in theory, you can tailor your roster and your play to that. And in practice, it seems like everyone just wants neutrality. They just kind of want to be boring. And that's bad, I think. I bemoan that. I also understand it. But it is a long-term trend. There's an article that I've cited and linked to a lot from the Heartball Times back in 2017 by John LaRue that was called
Starting point is 00:50:30 the homogenization of ballparks. I will link to it yet again on the show page. And John tracked this over the course of more than a century and just showed how things have become less idiosyncratic and just more similar across the board just in terms of fence dimensions and depth and also height. And that's not great, I think, from an entertainment. value standpoint, I think ultimately what matters more than anything is whether your team is good and whether your team wins and whether your players play well. But I think it's entertaining from an analytical standpoint, at least, to have to really consider ballpark effects. And this is kind of a weird one because it's like Kaufman is a decent hitter's park. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:16 It's, you know, a little bit better than neutral. But that's entirely because it's a good park for doubles and particularly triples. And that's another sort of sad thing because the good triples parks are going to be the ones with the big outfields. So it's like Coors and Chase and Kaufman. And those are kind of outliers when it comes to their triples factors at baseball savant on the park factors leaderboard. That's another long-term trend, the suppression of triples. And triples are fun. Everyone agrees that we like triples.
Starting point is 00:51:47 But to get triples, you have to have big outfields and weird ricochets and carums. And so if you just have sort of. symmetrical everything, then you're not going to get that in just less real estate. So it's kind of a weird one in that they want to juice the home runs. And according to the park factors of baseball Savant, only PNC and Oracle are worse parks for home run hitting. But those are pitchers parks overall, whereas Kaufman is, if anything, kind of a hitter's park at this point, just without the homers. So there was a tweet by Vinnie Pasquantino, who obviously will be directly affected by this that he kind of had mixed feelings it sounded like, because he wasn't sure
Starting point is 00:52:29 exactly how that would affect things. And I saw multi-time effectively while guest Brent Rooker, who is pals with Pasquantino, then kind of trolled him by being like, yeah, you're not going to be able to hit triples before, like you totally could before this change. But, so maybe that doesn't really affect Vinny all that much. But, but yeah, it's not a clear case of, oh, no one could hit here. It's just sort of a different. shape of production. And I guess their theory of the cases that like guys are trying to swing for the fences because it was hard to hit balls over the fence. And so maybe they were screwing themselves up. So they're aiming for neutrality. And sometimes teams overshoot and we sort of saw that with
Starting point is 00:53:11 Baltimore at Camden and you, you know, you move things one way and then it's too extreme and then you move things back a bit. And I guess it's ultimately sort of low stakes aside from the construction costs. You know, like, I don't know how much this will affect just like where the bleachers are and everything. I guess part of the tweet that the team put out is you'll be closer to the action. So maybe it's not, you know, snap your fingers and you can move everything 10 feet. But Piccolo at the end of Passens piece says, you know, in the end we might go, you know what? We shouldn't have done that. But I think it's a five-year window to give it a shot and see if we like how it plays. So I guess you can model it as much as you want, but there's still some uncertainty. But, It's probably not going to have a huge effect because ultimately your opponent has to play in the same environment. I know that they're not going to, I know that they can't do it because they can't be willy-nilly about it because like it costs money, you know, cost money to like change your ballpark and you configure your roster to it to a certain degree, although not dramatically because you got guys. You know, you already got your guys. But I think that the way for us to have our cake and eat it too is for teams to just be changing their perks all the time.
Starting point is 00:54:27 You know, like I want more experimentation with outfield configurations. I want to see the rise and fall of more Baltimore's. I think Baltimore should be born again and again and again, but then die, but then be born again. because it would be fun. It would be stupid. It would be a good way to approach these things. But sometimes people should do stuff for our amusement. They're so often doing it to improve their ball club to win baseball games.
Starting point is 00:55:02 I understand not digging a pit. That's dangerous, you know, because a guy could fall in the pit and he could really hurt himself, especially if you, like, put something at the bottom of the pit, like a sharp object. or an alligator or, you know, whatever. But the wall, they'll learn it. They'll learn it quick enough. They're not going to hurt themselves probably, you know? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:55:23 Yeah. And right now they have some power guys. They have Widd and they have Vinny and they have Jack and they have Carter Jensen and other guys. I guess some of these guys are people who could hit home runs even at Kaufman, but they could maybe put up bigger numbers now. Right. I think the thing holding Cags back from hitting for power.
Starting point is 00:55:43 for power is the hitting part less than the actual configuration. Like he needs to, his issue is much closer to home, literally. It's about making contact. You know, it's not about being able to clear the wall. Yeah, what I have reluctantly learned, though, over the years is that teams do not want to stand out in this respect. They don't. They don't. Yeah, much to my dismay.
Starting point is 00:56:09 They want to be very normal. They want to be very boring and vanilla. They don't want you to know. anything amiss or unusual. And that's kind of a bummer. It's almost like, you know, in pitching, people talk about the dead zone, just like the way that your stuff moves. You don't want to be in the thick part of the bell curve, basically. You want to be an outlier because you want to show hitter something that they haven't seen. And so it's death basically to be like everyone else, to be average.
Starting point is 00:56:35 But when it comes to ballparks, that's what everyone wants. They just kind of want to be average. They want to be neutral. They want to be fair. Fair is another way that the royals are presenting it here. And the most common email maybe we've gotten over the course of this podcast existence and have sometimes answered is like, how would you construct your roster to take advantage of an unusual ballpark configuration? Or how would you configure your ballpark to be able to take advantage of that unusual configuration? And people are thinking of some of the outlier, weird, lopsided parks of history.
Starting point is 00:57:10 and you'd think that there might be an advantage there. Yeah, okay, we'll have the weird park and then we'll be able to construct our roster to make the most of the weird park. And no one else will be able to do that because they'll be planning for their neutral park. And meanwhile, we will be the only ones who are trying to target players
Starting point is 00:57:27 who will thrive in this environment and therefore we will have a competitive advantage. But it seems like in practice, that is just the opposite of the way that teams operate. Yeah. And granted, there are parks that play less neutrally than others.
Starting point is 00:57:45 I mean, we've spent a good amount of time over the last year talking about the way that T-Mobile plays and the sort of benefit that it seems to lend to the pitching staff of the Mariners, but also we talked about how they can't hit a lot of the time
Starting point is 00:57:59 sometimes, you know, sometimes they can't overcome, they can't overcome their own peculiarities. And so I think that the way that, teams tend to think about it is we want the peculiarity of the player to dictate how they perform rather than something specific to the ballpark. And again, that's not true of every team, but I think you're right seem to be the prevailing perspective on it. Yeah. And it's hard to
Starting point is 00:58:32 compare across eras because it's always kind of a moving target with park factors. You're always comparing parks to contemporary parks. But if you could adjust it over time so that you could put past eras parks and their park factors on the current scale, then things would just be way out of whack, like, you know, because popping off. Yeah, because relative to that era where there was just a wider distribution of possible park factors. And I guess you could look at it in terms of just what's the maximum or the minimum in any
Starting point is 00:59:07 given year. But yeah, it's like, you know, course, field now is, is not what it was back in the day because you had no humidor and now you have the human ore. And it's like, let's make conditions consistent as much as we can. And I think one reason why it always comes down to teams not wanting to tailor their roster to a certain park or not have their park be so exploitable like that is just because they feel like players don't like it when it's skewed one way or another. And so if it's hard to hit a home run in a particular place, well, yeah, you could just construct a whole lineup of guys who will just hit the ball off the wall or hit the ball down the line and they'll bounce around and you'll just be a doubles and triples team or something.
Starting point is 00:59:54 But everything is so home run-centric in this era that those players will probably feel some anxiety about not being able to keep up in the home run department or they won't get paid or whatever it is and you know teams can adjust for these things but there's still a real significance to the surface stats so i wish that teams saw it the way that effectively wild listeners and emailers did and we get weird parks but i think they feel that from a recruiting standpoint and just from a team morale standpoint that it's better for everyone to feel like they are on a fairly level and symmetrical and not weird looking playing field that it's you know hitters or pitchers aren't particularly disadvantaged, that hitters don't have to change anything in order
Starting point is 01:00:39 to get the ball over the fence, that gets them all out of whack mechanically, that pitchers don't feel like they're just giving up a bunch of cheapies, and then they get frustrated, and then they start pitching a different way. So I don't know whether they're right or wrong, but that seems to be the prevailing perspective on it, that it is actually advantageous to not be noticeably different in any way. That bothers me a bit. I wish it weren't so. And I'm not saying, I don't want to bring back parks that are like making a mockery of things like sort of a, you know, Baker Bowl or L.A. Memorial Coliseum or something where you have to erect some wall and you get a bunch of like rinky dink homers and it's extreme home road splits or whatever. Or even a polo grounds. You know, maybe it's worse when it's lopsided and asymmetrical. At least the polling grounds was just like super deep to center, but it was sort of symmetrical. But it doesn't have to be that. weird because that kind of weirdness was often done by necessity because you were trying to fit a ballpark into the geography of a city and a city block. And if you just concocted some strange
Starting point is 01:01:44 structure like that now, it would almost seem to try hard because like you don't have to do that. Right. So it would be sort of self-consciously retro in a way, kind of like a Tal's Hill situation in Houston maybe. But I don't know. I wish there were more room for that because I fear greater and greater conformity to the point where it's just not even really remarkable. Like, you know, we hardly even have to adjust for anything or factor this in when someone signs in one place instead of another. It'll just be sort of a negligible difference. And I think something will be lost there.
Starting point is 01:02:17 I agree. You know, it is one of the distinguishing characteristics of our sport relative to other pro sports. So that part of it is sad. But I also, I do think that there's something to the notion of, you know, a team's fortunes sort of rising and falling with the dudes on the field more than the particular construction of their ballpark. So I'm enamored with that. Plus, like, the ones, the bits of ballpark oddity that I liked the best, we got rid of for good reason. Like, Tall's Hill, what was that about? That was a terrible idea. Who, who even, I mean, tall, but why, you know? Like, why?
Starting point is 01:02:56 Yeah. It was, you know, in idiosyncrasy, it was, hey, will, have something that's kind of a throwback. And I'm not saying like, yeah, let's have flagpoles and monuments in the outfield in playable territory like they used to have. But you do want a pit. Maybe, but I don't actually want like great injury risks and health hazards. I just want a little character. Right.
Starting point is 01:03:17 But it has to be kind of. You don't want it to be like Marathon Man. Wait, Omega Man? Marathon Man. Marathon. But it has to be kind of. You don't want it to be like Omega Man either, to be clear. No. Or Mega Man.
Starting point is 01:03:28 But it has to be like, or. organic and natural, I guess. And if it's just too self-conscious, then it's maybe it just seems artificial. And yeah, you don't want things to seem cheap, I guess, right? You don't, you want to feel like the performance is earned. It's earned, yes. Yeah. But I still want it to be weird, though.
Starting point is 01:03:50 Wait, which was the one? Omega Man is the 70s one. With Charleston. Yes. And Marathon Man is the spy. Running Man, you don't want it to be. like running man. I don't want it to be.
Starting point is 01:04:01 You don't want us to be like marathon man either. No. You know? No. All the men. All the man's. Yeah. Probably,
Starting point is 01:04:09 probably bad regardless. Right. Yeah. Why are they're so hard to keep separate from each other? Well, there is one commonality in the name. Watch out there, brother. That's how they talk to know,
Starting point is 01:04:19 Mega Man. The one guy. Anthony's Zerby. Mm-hmm. One other thing. I don't know how to segue from that. Let's move on. Yeah, but my attention was drawn recently to some tweets that Ruben Amaro Jr. was making,
Starting point is 01:04:39 and that's probably where I messed up just to know what he was tweeting. I was about to say, what a cursed sentence. Yeah, I know. But Ruben Amaro Jr., who was a major league GM as recently as about a decade ago, like until late 2015, he was in charge of a baseball operations department, specifically, the Phillies. and he was going on kind of a Twitter rant about how he doesn't care about WRC Plus and it's nonsense and it's a bunch of hooey
Starting point is 01:05:10 and I guess this came about because he was talking about you know it was kind of like an old school sort of rant about various things I don't know there was like a Facebook post that John Vanderwall was completely like I enjoyed John VanderWall as a pinch-hitting specialist, a breed of player that's kind of gone, but, you know, talking about how the technology is run amok or whatever, right?
Starting point is 01:05:35 And, you know, you had Ruben Amaro Jr. quote tweeting to say, not all the ex-major league baseball players are wrong, so sort of seconding what he was saying. And, you know, like talking about velocity and pitchers and denying that pitchers are throwing harder, and that always leads to kind of a useless, fruitless debate. And then there were some more recent players like Trevor May, jumping into support some of what was said,
Starting point is 01:06:01 but Amaro was differing from that. Anyway, people were kind of dunking on Amaro a little bit, and then he was going back and forth with them, and he was casting doubt on the value of some of the stats that we tend to use these days, right? So someone was tweeting about how he gave Ryan Howard a big extension, you know, and I'm sure Ruben Amaro Jr.'s sort of sick of hearing about that. And then he said, yep, I did.
Starting point is 01:06:30 Best offensive player in the game at the time, that is Ryan Howard. Sadly, he blew out his Achilles, unfortunate, makes me done. So he's essentially saying, you know, like it wasn't my fault. He was the best. And he just happened to get hurt. So, you know, not accepting any responsibility for the way that Howard's performance in that contract return went south. And then someone started citing some stats at him and denying. denied that he was the best offensive player in the game at the time,
Starting point is 01:06:59 and said from 2005 to 2008, he ranked 12th in WRC Plus, minimum 2,000 plate appearances, and 16th in overall offensive value by fan graphs. The only stat he led in this period was in home runs. And then, Ruben Amaro, and this had quite a ratio on it, if you give a crap about WRC whatever,
Starting point is 01:07:21 to me it was about driving in runs, scoring runs, producing runs, and winning games. And then someone said, Ruben, you do know WRC is a stat that measures everything you just listed. And Ruben Amaro Jr., channeling Bryce Harper, said, clown show numbers.
Starting point is 01:07:38 So, you know, it was sort of the standards, just old school kind of trolling, you know, just intellectual lack of curiosity. Yeah. Someone pointed out WRC is literally about producing runs. And Ruman Amaro said, right, end all be L. seeming to misinterpret that someone is saying that there's value in weighted runs created or weighted runs created plus that all you need to know is just the runs.
Starting point is 01:08:04 And then, you know, someone else said, well, a lot of GMs today seem to care about stats like WRC Plus. And then said, okay, like, you know, we'll go with your definition. Howard was still 31st in runs scored from 2005 to 2008 and 67th in average and 24th in OBP. He was second in RBI. But that's also indicative of the lineup around him, not just himself. and then Ruben Amarro Jr. just tweeted wins. That's all just wins, and obviously not wins above replacement. Anyway, this is the sort of standard refrain that we used to hear all the time.
Starting point is 01:08:38 And in a way, it brought me back a bit to hear someone taking this tack and striking this stance in the year 2026. But also the fact that Ruben Amar Jr., who is a fellow member of the media now, I suppose, you know, He's been like a pregame, post-game color commentary guy for NBC Sports Philadelphia. And he's been a MLB network analyst. And he's been a sports radio talker in Philly and, you know, does a podcast and stuff. So I guess he's in the same line of work we are now. But he's kind of done it all. Like we could kind of call him a baseball lifer, you know.
Starting point is 01:09:15 He's 60 now. He meets the minimum age that I sort of set. But he's done it all. He was a player in the big leagues. He was a GM for years. And then he went from GM to first base coach, which was, you know, you'd think of that as a demotion, totally different roles, one uniformed one not. But like to go from GM to first base coach was you don't see that every day. And then like went back to a front office advisory role.
Starting point is 01:09:41 So clearly likes being in baseball in all sorts of capacities. But it does drive home. Like if you're a fairly baseball fan of recent vintage and you might think that the whole idea of like old. old school versus new school and stats versus scouts and all that stuff was overblown or you kind of weren't there for the peak of the baseball stats culture war. The fact that this guy was a GM at the time. And, you know, to be clear, was not thought to be a successful or forward-thinking GM at the time. But still, you know, maybe he was like the last of his kind in a way. But he's not that far removed. It's just about 10 years ago that he was actually a decision maker and he was in charge of
Starting point is 01:10:23 things and he's just outright dismissing any kind of advanced number and just being like, runs, that's all that matters, wins, that's all that matters. It's like that mentality was pretty prevalent and did exist and you could be the top ranking member of a major league organization and a recently successful major league organization that he maybe helped run into the ground for a while there with this sort of thinking. But you could get that just. job, you know, and you could hold that job for a while with that sort of attitude toward the game. And things have changed pretty dramatically in a fairly short time frame. When I hear stuff like that, I always wonder, was there like a weird game of telephone that went on where what they heard coming out of Moneyball was the only thing that Statenards thinks matter are walks?
Starting point is 01:11:18 You know what I mean? Because it's just so far afield from what actually goes into those statistics. Like, if you get on base and you hit a bunch of home runs, you're probably going to do pretty well from a WRC plus perspective, right? I just wonder sometimes, like, what do they really think is in there? And it's such a strange, it's an odd spot for me to occupy, not to make this about myself, but, you know, I wasn't in the content minds back in the day, Ben.
Starting point is 01:11:53 You know, I wasn't part of the posting wars. And in the trenches, yeah. Yeah, I didn't fight an offensive in the FIPTRA war. I just didn't. I wasn't in that war. That wasn't my war. I'm a post-war baby. And so sometimes when people are, like, getting really exercised about it, I, I'm a little taken aback because I,
Starting point is 01:12:16 I am like, everybody chill, it's okay. You know, we're okay. We're all okay. You know, everything's okay. I also, not just like, well, I know someone I don't know, I'm always like, hey, I think your reaction about this is about something else, friend. Like, I think you're maybe carrying the weight of a failed GM term with you. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 01:12:37 Talk to something about that. So, yeah, it's always kind of an odd. It's always an odd bit of business. But I do wonder sometimes if it is the result of a, just a complete misunderstanding of what goes into those stats because it's also such a what an outburst, right? Like, why are we getting mad about this right now? You know? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:13:00 Right? There were people, I think, expressing their frustration about that signing and just generally Amaro's work. And I'm sure that there were people tweeting some things at him that perhaps weren't kind. But nonetheless, yeah. I mean, when it's a stat like that that's fairly straightforward, and it's not even some sort of hypothetical adjusting for this or that. It's just kind of measuring your offensive production. And, you know, I guess that's not flattering to Ryan Howard relative to just using home runs and RBI. So if that's the mindset that you're stuck in and that's what you were looking at, just, hey, this team has won a lot with Ryan Howard and he has a lot of dingers and he's driven in a lot of runs, then you're probably not going to want someone to come along later and say,
Starting point is 01:13:46 actually this isn't just a second guess or this isn't just, oh, yeah, smart signing, but it didn't work out. But also, you should have known better at the time, which, of course, plenty of people did and said at the time. So I guess I can see how that might raise your hackles, but it shouldn't. Like, you should have been receptive to that information in the first place. And then you wouldn't have to defend the signing because maybe you wouldn't have made it. Not that I have anything against Ryan Howard, you know. good for him getting paid. Right, I know.
Starting point is 01:14:17 This is the other thing where I'm like, can we just leave Ryan Howard out of this? I like Ryan Howard. I don't need to make this an indictment of Ryan Howard. Like, you know. Yeah, right. And that's the whole conversation about like, is Sabermetric secretly about sort of saving teams money? And it's not exactly, but maybe in some individual instances it is. You know, you might have had saber matricians saying.
Starting point is 01:14:39 I wouldn't say secretly. I think that there are definitely arguments to be made that part of the. project is that. But I don't think that was the initial intent. I think it was about, you know, the initial promise was, hey, if you know that this guy is good and other people don't and he is maybe able to be signed under market, that you can then reallocate those resources to other players and have a really good roster. That's not how it has been practiced, you know. Moneyball was money was in the title and it was very much about. trying to operate on a tight budget for the A's, but yeah. So I don't know. I don't know. I don't wish that
Starting point is 01:15:24 that contract hadn't been signed or anything. Maybe some Phillies fans do because they would have like to see that money go toward someone else or just a different philosophy. But I think the dismissiveness with which he is treating those responses, and this is years and years later. He could have said, hey, I've learned a lot since then. You know, everyone has. The sport. as a whole has, and I've re-evaluated certain things, but instead he's doubling down and digging in his heels, and maybe that's indicative of the mindset that led him not to embrace that way of thinking or just be receptive to more information in the first place. But the point is, you could have that attitude and still be a baseball decision maker until the fairly recent past. And also the dismissiveness
Starting point is 01:16:09 with which he is greeting those comments, you know, if anything, he's sort of escrowed. escalated it. Oh, yeah. And that's what led to a lot of the animosity, the, the fieriness of the war of words that would happen there because it could have just been a free exchange of ideas. And each side could have learned from the other. But it wasn't that because it was seen as a threat. And in some ways, I guess it was, you know, new thinking and new types of people coming into the game. And maybe it forces out people who aren't adaptable. And so there's part of that. It's just like, oh, who are you to come in and tell me, I don't know how this thing that I've done my whole life works. And we know that in a lot of cases, that was true, that people came in not with the
Starting point is 01:16:53 same playing background and were able to discern things that players, coaches, baseball lifers had not known or applied for all of baseball history. There are also cases where the reverse was true. And maybe the stat heads got a bit too big for their britches and failed to consider some things that they could have listened and learned. But I think that's, I think that's a that's what led to the escalation and how nasty and bitter that sometimes got and how kind of reverse trollish sometimes the statheads would be because, you know, they were the outsiders and no one was listening to them and people were being very dismissive and demeaning also, you know, and that's kind of, it's a time capsule. It's like Ruben Amaro preserved in Amber somehow.
Starting point is 01:17:35 It's still thinking and talking, still fighting that war from a while ago. But it was that type of attitude that then caused writers at baseball prospectus or wherever to ramp up their rhetoric because it's like, oh, you don't just politely disagree. You are demeaning and dismissing me and calling into question the quality of my work. Okay, well, then I'm going to raise the temperature too and I'm going to fire back. And, you know, then it leads to sort of this cycle, this escalation. So that's how it happened. That took me back, you know, and I wasn't there. at the start either for the worst of that or participating in the most animosity, but, you know, I was around or reading, I guess, not too long while that was still kind of a going concern.
Starting point is 01:18:24 And so to see it now when it's, it's quaint, it's a relic, it's a vestige of a bygone era that I guess Ruben Amaro Jr. is still sort of living in, but it does, it goes to show just like how much things have changed in such a short time that he really was running the show. very recently and thinking that way. And it was maybe not the norm at that point, but it was kind of common. So it happened. Yeah, it's so tiresome, really. It's just a...
Starting point is 01:18:57 Yeah, I'm glad we don't have to fight that battle anymore. Yeah, it's just like a sea of very confident men. I find it the whole thing so tiresome, to be honest with you. I think in the case of them, like, I have, I do have sympathy for the unpleasant experience of, like, the online pile on. But also, I think that, like, in the case of Amara, you're a media member, man. Like, you get on the TV. Part of your job is to help, you know, fans interpret the Phillies and, like, the ways they're good and the ways that they're wanting and how they could be better. and I think that it is an obligation
Starting point is 01:19:40 that media members should take seriously to try to engage with this stuff and it doesn't mean that you have to be like some soulless beep-boop machine and phrase everything and put everything in terms of dollars per war and what have you like, no, you're telling a story about the team that's your job is to tell a story and inform
Starting point is 01:20:01 and you can't do that without understanding how front offices construct their rosters. And so if you want to have sort of a head-in-the-stand approach to this stuff, well, you should be in a different line of work. I'm sorry. You have to be able to tell fans, why is that guy on the field, you know? And sometimes it's going to be really easy and obvious. And guess what? The things that make a guy good at baseball in a way that's easy and obvious tend to be things that are valued by advanced metrics, right? Like this is the game of telephone point I was trying to make earlier. Like, guess what? War likes it when you hit a home run. It doesn't dislike that. That's not a bet. It's not like we're like, actually, that doesn't have any value. Like, no.
Starting point is 01:20:45 Home run's good, you know? Like pro home run over here. And so was war. So, you know, if you have a pitcher who strikes out a bunch of dudes, like, that's good in a way that's going to be obvious. What you're trying to do is help fans account for who they're seeing on the field, why they're there, what they're doing well and where they're struggling. And there are times where you don't need advanced stats for that, but there are times when you do.
Starting point is 01:21:13 And certainly to answer the question of like, why is this roster put together the way that it is, you know, advanced stats are going to help you tell that story. So it's just, you're just not doing your viewership any favors. You're not living up to your responsibilities as an analyst. And that doesn't mean that you can't have an appreciation for the beauty of the game and the lyrical parts of it and the same. stuff that, like, is more akin to literature than math.
Starting point is 01:21:40 But you have to have the other part, too, you know. And if you don't want to and you want to appreciate the game in a very old school, you know, kind of way, purely back of the baseball card, which is a funny expression now, because guess what's often on the back of a guy's baseball card now? But, you know, traditional back of the baseball card stuff, okay, fine, but then don't, then you should be watching TV instead of making it. I'm sorry. Yeah. Or I guess you could be a first base coach. That's probably all right. Or you could be a first base coach. But I think that first base coaches are probably, you know, up on their advanced stats, even though you think all of them should be out of a job for reasons that have nothing to do with what they think of WRC plus is a statistic. Yeah. The other thought I've expressed is there was something kind of intoxicating, addictive about those flame wars just because if you felt like you were in the right and you kind of felt like you had a cause. you were advancing and now it's like, you know, Sabermatrician without a cause.
Starting point is 01:22:40 It's like the battles over that way of thinking mostly came out on top. And there was that time where you still felt like you were in on sort of a secret or a minority view. And you were maybe being an advocate and you were helping explain it to people who didn't know and they might have their eyes opened or their mind blown and you might too. And now it just, it doesn't quite feel that way. It feels like there's a little less possibility in terms of just our understanding, being completely overhauled or being able to amaze someone with something about baseball. They didn't know because we all just, we know too much. Not that we know everything or that we ever will, but we have learned some things. And so, yeah, I do, I don't know if it was healthy to feel that way like you were, you know, going to some sort of battle when you were blogging or whatever.
Starting point is 01:23:31 but there was something about it that felt kind of empowering, I guess. Sure. And look, there was a lot of skepticism of advanced stats in the beginning. And there were a lot of, you know, rhetorical shovings of nerds into lockers. And so, you know, I don't want to say that, like, it was just a bunch of, like, snobby intellectuals, like, you know, disrespecting former players. there was a lot of animus on both sides, in part because I think people were cognizant of the fact that if this was the direction for an offices were going, well, they might not have a job soon, right? And that tends to put people on the defensive. So, you know, there was a lot of nastiness sort of all on all sides. But as I have said on this pod, many, many times, the stat nerds won. So you should be gracious in your victory because nobody likes a sore winner. And as we have seen from some of the. of our sort of advances in understanding in the last little bit, some of what's, some of what advanced analytics is doing is putting statistical rigor to the insights that baseball lifers have had for a long
Starting point is 01:24:44 time, right? And so having humility about what we're able to quantify now versus what we might be able to quantify in the future and how that is really just giving expression to ideas that baseball folks have had for a long time. Like, there's value in that. You know, this isn't, this doesn't need to be stats and scouts. This doesn't have a liberal arts perspective on these things because there's value in all of it. And if, you know, I think the real project for a lot of front offices is being able to figure out how to utilize those insights as actual data. And that doesn't mean that every old school scout knows what they're talking about or every former GM clearly. But I think it's foolish to say that there's no value to that perspective, just like it's very silly to say that WRC Plus doesn't like quantify the offensive production of a guy.
Starting point is 01:25:41 You know, like let's all just not be silly. Let's all be humble and silly in like a put a pit on the field kind of way. Not in a yeah. Needless, reckless endangerment. I don't want there to be a pit on the field. to be clear. I think that's a really bad idea. I think that that would get a lot of guys hurt, you know? Like, it would be... I'm using article, but... It was great. I mean, really an all-timer. That's sensible in practice, yeah. Definitely not sensible. One more thought I meant to mention in the piece
Starting point is 01:26:10 Passon wrote about the Royals move. He's quoting Daniel Mack, who's the Royal's VP of R&D and an assistant GM, and I think wrote a piece for baseball prospectus back in the day when I was there. But he was talking about the neutrality of the park. What we wanted to focus on was how we could find dimensions that would create a more consistent approach for us as a team. It's one thing when you say, okay, well, Kaufman's so large, it's great for pitchers, you can't really bring in power hitters? Can we find dimensions that make it so that regardless of when we're at home or on the road, we don't have to worry about the spectrum as much? And one thing that he says a little further down here, you know, talking about how as they were working on the analysis throughout the season and they were
Starting point is 01:26:53 watching deep fly balls that were caught and then someone would say that that'll be a homer next year that needs to be a homer and then pass and talks about how they have these power hitters now but quote the instinct to target players whose skill sets fit better in the old dimensions will no longer be necessary and mac says i feel like that's just chasing lightning i don't think that's smart in general it's certainly not smart for a smaller market team that needs to be adaptable to the personnel that you can acquire and i thought that was interesting because I think, yes, on the one hand, you probably don't want to construct your ballpark just given the characteristics of your roster right now because how long will those guys still be there and still be good. Although, as you said, you could just change your outfield fences every year if you want to.
Starting point is 01:27:39 You could change it up all the time. But this is why I think that there is a move toward sort of an average, right? Because you don't want to have to be goofing with your roster year to year. You want there to be some durability to a team building. approach that isn't so dependent on finding, like, productive extremes, right? Yeah, I guess. And, you know, you're not allowed to make these sorts of changes in season. I don't think, obviously not in game. That's banned that was tried by Bill Vec and others. But this idea that, like, it's not smart for a small market team that needs to be adaptable
Starting point is 01:28:14 to the personnel you can acquire. I see what he's saying that you want to just take the opportunities as they come and you don't want to be bound by a certain profile. of player who will play up in your park. And maybe that's particularly true with power, because power you tend to have to pay for power on the market. But what if it were some other quality, then might it not benefit a smaller market team? Because if you're acquiring something that is currently undervalued
Starting point is 01:28:43 or not highly valued, like triples hitting or speed or whatever, right? Like if you're a great triples park and you're just going and getting guys who could be great triples hit, and no one else really cares because there aren't a lot of great triples parks out there. Like it could be, depending on the configuration of the park and the type of players who would play well there, in theory, it could be something that would benefit a small market team because you could get some kind of player.
Starting point is 01:29:09 Other teams aren't interested in getting, maybe. So I don't know if it's a hard and fast rule, but maybe if the idea is, yeah, we would have to really pay for power to get anyone who could hit the ball out of Kaufman, then maybe that's not ideal. Just a final few follow-ups. We talked about Boba Chet and the Phillies' interest in him, speaking of the Phillies, and we talked about how it had been reported that he did a video call with them instead of visiting. And we were talking about whether this is more prevalent now.
Starting point is 01:29:37 The new normal is not to visit and take a tour, but just remotely talk to the team. Evidently, some people pointed out that he seems to have just gotten married earlier this month. And so that may have played a part in why he did not. visit because he's busier, he's honeymooning, or he had other events on his schedule. So in his case, at least, the video call may have been just for convenience because he was booked up. So that might explain that. Also, we got, well, another email about coaches on retiring. This will probably be the last time that we talked about this, but listener Dennis submitted just a couple more famous examples of coaches on retiring as players in 1965.
Starting point is 01:30:25 The Mets talked Yogi Berra into being added to the active roster, aside from some exhibition games he had last played in 1963 with the Yankees and spent all of 64 as the Mets' first base coach. Also in 1934, Charlie O'Leary of the Browns was in his 22nd years a coach when he asked into the final game of the season. Manager Hannes-Wagner granted the request and as a 58-year-old pinch hitter, O'Leary became the oldest player in MLB history to record a hit and score a run in an MLB game. And a couple more examples involving Hall of Famers, which are a little more borderline.
Starting point is 01:30:58 Charles Bender didn't play baseball in 1918, but returned as a player coach in the minors from 1919 to 24. The White Sox hired him as a coach in 1925, and he pitched in a game of July that year. I couldn't find a great source saying that he had quit as a player prior to 1919, though. And Big Dan Brothers also quit as a player at one point after the 18. 1896 season, but seems to have come back as a player coach simultaneously, toiling in the minors for a few years before making it back to the majors with the Giants for the final game of the 1904 season. I guess things were a bit more amorphous in those days when you had not only more two-way players, but also many more player coaches and player managers and everything. So those distinctions were a little less clear cut than they are these days. And you could kind of have it both ways be a coach and a player at the same time. And also, maybe the latest. example of this Brit Joroli of the Athletic just tweeted this week, Free Agent Lefty Tim Collins is pursuing a comeback. Collins, 36, last pitched in spring training 2020,
Starting point is 01:32:00 and was a minor league baseball pitching coach for the Phillies in 2024. He'll throw for scouts this Wednesday at the Cressy Sports Performance Pro Day in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. So we just went back to the 19th century and now also in the 21st, Tim Collins trying to become the latest to become. become a coach and then become a player yet again. And an email from Rebecca about Stove League. Remember Stove League? I do remember Stove League.
Starting point is 01:32:28 Yeah, I told people earlier this offseason, it's now on Netflix. So you don't have to sign up for some streaming service that you might not have heard of before you can go watch the single excellent season of the K-Drama Stove League, great baseball show that we covered in some depth a few years ago. and Rebecca says I just finished watching Stove League on Netflix and then went back and listened to your episodes from 2021 about them. The first episode that discusses Stove League also discusses Show Hay's MVP year, as well as Frot Hall of Fame voting, more evergreen than you may have thought. My reason for emailing, though, was about the discussion regarding the match fixing in Stove League. You discuss it in episode 1792, around the 5830 mark. The pitcher in question was asked to walk the first batter for what you estimated to be, $4,000 U.S. dollars. In the wake of the Class A Ortiz scandal, it was very interesting, listen.
Starting point is 01:33:21 Almost felt like foreshadowing. You say things like that amount of money should be trivial, even for a KBO player. And in the event of micro bets, I guess this is possible in MLB. Obvious difference of a walk versus just a first pitch, but the amount of money is so spot on for what Class A and Ortiz were receiving per bet that it is noteworthy. Thanks for the recommendation. I've been listening to Effectively Wild for only about a year, so I was not around during the 2021 watchalong. My partner and I were obsessed with Stove League. I got my partner hooked on baseball this past season. He is now letting me know about free agent news regarding players he had never heard of a year ago.
Starting point is 01:33:57 I haven't quite got him hooked on effectively wild yet. However, hopefully you will soon. But yeah, I had forgotten about that. I had forgotten. Yeah. And, you know, there's been game throwing and fixing in other leagues like that. So it is quite a realistic show by the standards of baseball shows. But I had forgotten that for a relative pittance that.
Starting point is 01:34:15 someone did a walk on purpose. I mean, I think you'll be forgiven because that show had so much plot. Yeah. How could possibly happen in baseball happens in the course of that single season. I kind of want to rewatch it when I don't have the, you know, sort of time pressure of getting through a couple episodes a week so that we could talk about it on the pod because I'm sure I would watch it again and be like, wait, what? Was this in here the first time we watched this? So much happens. It's like the OC, but for baseball and also in Korea.
Starting point is 01:34:47 Exactly. Yeah. And they never made a second season, which is sad. Yeah, not uncommon for K-dramas, but I don't know how much they've left themselves. Right. What could you possibly do? Yeah. It's 16 episodes, as I recall.
Starting point is 01:35:01 And they were like substantial, meaty episodes. And they just covered every aspect of the baseball organization. Jam packed. Yeah, tons to talk about it. I think we did four pods on that, just four episodes of Stove League per pod. Lastly, we can. we got several emails standing up for sea unicorns. I'm so happy about this correction.
Starting point is 01:35:21 I'm so delighted to learn this as a nickname. I'm so excited. Because we were talking about the coaches on retiring, and I was talking about Eric Campbell, who had been named the manager of the team, the sea unicorns, and then had unretired and come back as a player. And so, what, we had some aside about how, yes, it was C, unicorns,
Starting point is 01:35:43 was sea unicorns, not regular unicorns, and we were kind of mocking the idea that there was a meaningful distinction there because they were both fictional creatures, right? But as many people pointed out, sea unicorns, that's a nickname for a real being, a narwhal, right? So it's, you know, it does look like a sea unicorn. It's got the thing sticking out of its nose. So, you know, I guess we sold the sea unicorns shorts. they're real and spectacular. That is so delightful. Sea unicorns.
Starting point is 01:36:18 I looked up the origin of sea unicorns as a name, and when Norwich unveiled its new identity, this was 2019 a story on MLB.com. And it's interesting because the story says, on Thursday afternoon in Norwich, Connecticut, there was a confirmed sighting of a here-to-for, apocryphal aquatic creature. Sea unicorns have arisen from the briny deep,
Starting point is 01:36:42 and at first I was thinking, Oh, so they're saying it's an apocryphal creature. It's not real, in fact. And then it later in the second paragraph calls it a quasi-mythical maritime moniker, which beat out four other finalists in a name-the-team contest. So it could have been the golden roses, the mill mules, the salty dogs. Salty dogs is pretty good. Salty dogs is great.
Starting point is 01:37:08 Yeah, I'm sort of disappointed that it's not the salty dogs. But they did consider just... Just naming them narwhals, but ultimately they went with the nickname. I've heard it pronounced narwhal, by the way. No. Usually narwhal, right? Every time I think of a narwhal, I think of, bye, buddy, I hope you find your dad. Yeah, well, so I'm going to go with narwhal.
Starting point is 01:37:31 My daughter's a fan of the narwhal and also other unicorns, but, you know, they have the tusks, and so the name fits. But, yeah, this story was saying, you know, quasi-mythical and apocryphal. I was sort of at first thinking that this supported the stance that sea unicorns are not a real thing. But then later in the story, the team is quoted saying that there's a long maritime history and Norwich and that it is, one quote says sea unicorns and another finalist, Narwhals, are essentially the same thing. Narwhals colloquially known as sea unicorns are a living species of whale residing in Arctic waters. Yes. They're not in Connecticut, but Norwich was once heavily dependent on whaling. And also they felt like there was just a posity of whale-related team names since the Hartford Whalers. And they wanted to bring that back to Connecticut.
Starting point is 01:38:28 And they thought it resonated and that there was a history of sea captains in Norwich coming back and telling tales of tall tales of creatures real or imagined that they had seen. But, yeah, it's kind of like a trash panda. What's a trash panda? Well, it's a nickname for a raccoon. It's a raccoon. Sea unicorns also nickname for narwhal. So our apologies to narwhals for selling them short. We were aware that narwhals were real, to be clear.
Starting point is 01:38:59 Oh, yeah. I didn't think that a narwhal was a fake thing. Yes, but I guess we just had not made the connection or looked at the logo for the sea of unicorns. Yeah, I hadn't seen a logo. I didn't. thought it was some sort of goofy bit of business. But I'm so happy to be wrong because then I got to think about, bye, buddy, I hope you find that.
Starting point is 01:39:18 Yes. We appreciate the aquatic corrections. That will do it for today. Thanks, as always for listening. You can support the podcast on Patreon by going to patreon.com slash effectively wild and signing up to pled some monthly or yearly amount to help keep the podcast going. Help us stay ad free and get yourself access to some perks, as have the following five listeners.
Starting point is 01:39:39 Tim White, Bradley Guys, Gordon Michael, Maddie C. Dinsdale, and Caleb Northrop. Thanks to all of you. Patreon perks include access to the Effectively Wild Discord group for patrons only, monthly bonus episodes, playoff live streams, prioritized email answers, potential podcast appearances, shoutouts at the end of episodes, personalized messages, discounts on merch and ad-free fangras memberships, and so much more. Check out all the offerings at patreon.com slash Effectively Wild. If you are a Patreon supporter, you can message us through the Patreon site. If not, you can contact us via email. Send your questions, your comments, your intro and outro themes to podcast at fangraphs.com. You can rate, review, and subscribe to Effectively Wild on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube music, and other podcast platforms. You can find the Effectively Wild subreddit at R slash Effectively Wild.
Starting point is 01:40:25 You can join our Facebook group at Facebook.com slash group slash Effectively Wild. And you can check the show notes in the podcast posted Fangraphs or the episode description in your podcast app for links to the stories and stats we cited today. Thanks to Shane McKeon for his editing and production assistance. We'll be back with another episode a little later this week. Talk to you then. Baseball is a simulation. It's all just one big math equation.
Starting point is 01:40:52 You're all about these stats we've compiled because you listen to Perfectively Wild. With Ben Lindberg and McRolle, come for the ball, binter's free. Baseball is a simulation. It's all just one big conversation. Effectively you are.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.