Fantasy Football Daily - 10 BOLD Predictions That Could Win You Your 2025 Fantasy League w/ Andrew Erickson

Episode Date: June 11, 2025

Use code SCOREMORE10 at checkout for 10% OFF any subscription. Dominate your league. Win more bets. Level up your game Get ready for some scorching hot takes on today’s episode of Fantasy Football Daily! Theo Gremminger and Andrew Erickson unveil 10 bold predictions that could completely shift the fantasy landscape in 2025. We’re talking league-winners, late-round steals, and breakout stars that’ll leave your league-mates stunned. 🔮 Predictions Include: Drake London finishing as the WR1 overall Jayden Daniels wins NFL MVP and finishes as QB1 Derrick Henry breaks the all-time PPG record for a 31-year-old RB Jameson Williams explodes for 115 targets, 10 TDs, and WR1 status Jordan Mason leads the NFL in rushing TDs Tucker Kraft finishes as a top-3 TE Plus: 5 rookie RBs finish as RB1s, Drake Maye top-5 QB, and more! 🔥 Bonus takes on Year 3 RB dominance, Calvin Ridley’s ADP-smashing upside, and why 2025 might be the Year of the Tight End. If you love flag plants, bold calls, and sleeper upside, this is the episode you can't afford to miss. Where to find us: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://twitter.com/TheOGFantasy⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://twitter.com/AndrewErickson_ Join the Discord here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/discord#/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to Fantasy Points for FREE: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Fantasy Points Website - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ NEW! Data Suite - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://data.fantasypoints.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Facebook - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@fantasypts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ #fantasypoints #nfl #fantasyfootball #dynastyfantasyfootball #FantasyFootballAdvice #dynastypoints #dynasty Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

When planning for life's most important moments, sometimes the hardest part is simply knowing where to start. That's why we're here to help. When you pre-plan and prepay a celebration of life with us, every detail will be handled with simplicity and professionalism, giving you the peace of mind that you've done all you can today to remove any burden from your loved ones tomorrow. We are your local Dignity Memorial provider. Find us at DignityMemorial.ca. The Dignity Memorial brand name is used to identify a network of licensed funeral cremation and cemetery providers owned and operated by affiliates of Service Corporation International. 10 bold predictions for the 2025 fantasy football season. Theo Greminger, Fantasy Football Daily, over here at Fantasy Points. Today, I'm joined by Andrew Erickson of Fantasy Pros. We've been breaking down a lot of analytics, a lot of statistics, taking a look at different positions.

Today, we're going to have a little bit of fun. Andrew and I are going to drop some bold predictions that we think are going to happen this season in the fantasy football season. Andrew, how are you doing today? and are you ready for this? Dude, I've got my milk on standby for these super hot spicy takes, and I'm ready for the comments to be, oh, this is the worst take ever. What are you thinking?

And then the people that are with us, they're like, hey, we love the spiciness of the state because if you come here and they're cold takes, right? They're not hot enough, then they're not all going to come true. And that's the case because they're not all going to hit. But the ones that do hit, we're going to have the receipts ready to go. Yeah, and you might have to pour milk literally all over your face and head. that's how hot some of these takes are going to be.

And we have a couple of takes like co-independently. We covered a couple of the same players, which is just wild. So we're simpatico on some of our bold takes. And I'll start out with it. You know, every single show I feel like I'm singing the praises of Drake London. And my first bold take of today is that Drake London is going to finish as a top three wide receiver this season. He's going to take his scoring to a whole other level. level and Drake London will be one of the best picks you can possibly make inside a round two

and will end up being a 2026 first round pick based on his incredible play this season. Drake London is only 23 years old. Last year in Michael Pennix Jr. starts, Drake London had a 39% target share. He had a first read rate of 45.1%. This is a player who went absolutely bonkers in the games that Pennix. started and we have the analytics to back it up. You also have with Michael Pennock starting, I think Atlanta is going to be a lot less turnover prone than we saw with Kirk Cousins. Pennix is younger. He has a lively arm. He has an absolute cannon. And his favorite target by

a mile is Drake London. Drake London to the moon this season, Andrew. Drake London is going to be an absolute smash. Top three score at the wide receiver position. I absolutely love the call. I think that he's one of the easiest picks you can make in round two of fantasy drafts. I think that's crazy about Drake London. This is ADP in some of these best ball drafts. Same as it was last year. Yeah. But last year, it was projection.

It was it, how's it going to work? We think he's getting quarterback upgrade, which was only half true because Kirk Couss was really bad, but Drake London was really good still. So I love the call here, but I'm going to raise the ante. I'm going to raise the spice level with my bull prediction. I think it's not just top three for Drake one. I think wide receiver won overall is in the cards. for wide receiver Drake London for the Atlanta Falcons.

And it goes back to how do we find the wide receiver one overall? I know you've done a lot of work on this as well, citing certain amount of targets that a player will see. Obviously, we could see Drake London and seeing a boatload of targets in this offense with really Star-Nal Mooney and then who else is there. You know, the running backs out of the backfield, palpits, who knows how his footsoe. Who knows he's going to be on the team? So for Drake London, I think that the key for him is these red zone targets.

The last six wide receiver one overall finishers have all led the NFL. and red zone targets. And despite Greg London's ups and downs throughout his young career, the one thing that's always been a staple has been his red zone target rate. Led the NFL and red zone target rate over the last three seasons. Last year, 23 red zone targets that tied third most in the NFL, 14 end zone targets that was also top 10. So I think that his path to touchdowns is very high. I think he could have double digit touchdowns. Again, we saw last year he had the receptions. He had the yardage, 100 catches, over 1,200 yards. He had nine touchdowns in year three. So I think that entering his, his fourth season here, that Drake London, the ceiling is

just so high for him. I think he really could be the number one wide receiver. And I think to your Pennix point, you laid out how good London was, how effective he was when Pennix was under center. Michael Pennick showed us at Washington that he is a talent elevator. How did all the Washington Husky receivers do year one? Not so great. Not so good. Not so great because, hey, they lost their quarterback. None of them had Michael Pennex as rookies. Well, so Michael Pennex entering year two, I think that this is a really sealing spot for Drickland. And the last point I want to make, you have Zach Robinson, the OC for the Falcons coming over, obviously, from the Sean McBay tree. And something that I looked at with London in terms of his usage just last year was he played

more in the slot than he has done traditionally. And it reminded me a lot of some of these other receivers where Apooka Nakua, right? Cooper Cup is always in that slot role, but occasionally the Rams move him inside. Same thing with Nico. Collins, right? Again, viewed as a primary X wide receiver, but they would intentionally move him inside to get him free looks. And those guys both dominated last year when they were healthy and on the field. And as you could see the exact same thing with Drake London, where, you know, the Falcons, they just decide, hey, let's just move away from Ray Ray MacLeod. Like, let's not have him be a thing anymore. Move some more of those opportunities towards Drake London.

And I think, man, if he stays healthy, I think wide receiver one is fully in the cards. Yeah. And it sounds spicy. But I mean, my top three take was spicy. enough, but you took it to another level, but I think you're on to something. And when it comes down to it, like we saw two seasons ago, C.D. Lamb was the wide receiver one overall going at about the one to turn. London, you're getting a few picks later. So we've seen this be sort of a trend. We haven't had a really shock wide receiver one overall finisher since Cooper Cup's year, where Cup was like a fourth round pick, a third round pick at times. And then he sort of just died. dominated fantasy that year. For the most part, this has been a first round and second round bet. So I love it. I love that you're going there. You bring up the red zone targets. It's targets and catches. The wide receiver one overall is going to lead the NFL in targets and catches. We've seen it for every single season over like the last five years. You bring up six years with the red zone targets. It's a pretty static number. And when we actually look at the total

number of players who can actually be the wide receiver one overall, it's a pretty short. short list. Jamar Chase, Justin Jefferson, Cedilam, Hookanakoua, Malik Neighbors. Isamon Ross St. Brown sort of out of that mix with the potential knee injury and the fact that his targets took a step back last year, maybe. And I'll throw Nico Collins in the list, Brian Thomas Jr., Drake London, and then I think I'd go, the lowest possible drafted wide receiver that I think has this in the range of outcomes would probably be Ladd McConkey. Would you agree on that one? Yeah, I think that's a pretty good list. I'm glad that you mentioned Nico. I think that Nico is probably the other dark horse,

dark horse candid again, their first round, second round picks for a reason because they all have really high ceilings. But Nico is top five in receiving yards per game over the last two seasons. And his competition is significantly worse. And I think than it was last year between, again, they're rookies that we think could be exciting between Noel and Higgins,

but they're still working at the end of the night. It's not digs and tankdale for more established players, at least entering last season. Yeah, Nico, the big argument for Nico is the rookies, kind of usurp Kirk and it's competing against two rookies every single week. And even if it is Kirk, I mean, Kirk is just miles and miles away from Nico. So you heard it here. Drake London, wide receiver top three score from me and the wide receiver won overall from

Andrew. Let's take it to the running back position. So we have to go all the way back to 2004. Curtis Martin at 31 years old, average 19.95 points per game. in PPR. He had 319 total points. And this year, Derek Henry is 31 years old. Derek Henry last year had this unbelievable season. He had nearly 2,000 rushing yards. He had his second highest rushing yardage total of his entire career, 1,921 rushing yards. Yards per carry was the best he's ever had, 5.9 yards per carry. He had 18.8.5.5.5.5.5.5. He had 18.

total touchdowns, which tied a career best, and he averaged 19.8 points per game. Derek Henry is in the second round right alongside Drake London at 31 years old. And I get it. I'm usually an agist when it comes to running backs, but when it's a running back that's attached to Lamar Jackson in a Todd Monkin offense, I'm willing to pull the trigger. Derek Henry, I think, is a strong pick at ADP this season. And I'll take it even a step further. Derek Henry will set the all-time record for points per game by a 31-year-old running back. Just by a hair, he'll average 20.1 points per game. He's going to be a massively good pick for you inside a round two. Bet on Lamar Jackson, bet on Derek Henry, and shout out to

Curtis Martin. Your record is going to get broken this year by Derek Henry. And I'll put a little Asterix here. Priest Holmes averaged a ridiculous 26 points per game, but it was only over eight games. So Priest Holmes doesn't count for this one. So full season, best scoring season ever by a 31 year old running back is about to happen in 2025. Your thoughts on the big dog. I love this call here. I mean, if there's anyone that's going to break this, I mean, it's Derek Henry, right? He's the only guy that really checks the box. We don't, you know, it's funny. I think I was, I was going down a rabbit hole looking at. you know, I think Todd Gurley.

It's like, how old is Todd Gerley? Todd Gurley's younger than Derek Henry. Yeah. But he hasn't played in multiple seasons. Just Derek Henry, again, we, I think we throw out the quote unquote built different label a lot, probably more than it deserves. Derek Henry is built differently. I think that, yes, anyone that can do it, it would definitely be him. Yeah.

And it's, it's, this might be the last time we ever see a player this age score this amount of fantasy points. And Saquan Barkley, of course. he'll turn 29 in February, but asking for him to kind of hold up for the next two years, sort of like the big dog, that's a really, really, really tall task, especially when you consider the amount of volume.

And I'll say with the Todd Munkin offense, Todd Munkin's offense was so good in year one with Lamar Jackson and even better last year, where Lamar had over 40 passing touchdowns alongside of Derek Henry's unbelievable production, there's a chance at this offense just, completely leads football in scoring by a comfortable margin, creating even more touchdown scoring opportunities for Henry. So everything's there for a massive season. But your running back

take here is even spicier. Maybe the spiciest one of the entire show. Yeah, this is as far away from low-hanging fruit as you'll find on this Bull Prediction show. So for me, I'm going towards the touchdown rushing touchdown market. And last year, if anyone that had followed me, I was very vocal about Rocheon Johnson as a dark horse to leave the NFL in rushing touchdowns. Now, that obviously did not pan out. Maybe it was just a year too early. So still holding out for RJ to deliver in Chicago. But this year, I'm pivoting.

I'm going towards a much better offense, offensive ecosystem with the Minnesota Vikings. And my bold prediction is Jordan Mason leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns. And there's a couple of reasons why I think that this could happen. It's not just a bold prediction. I love Jordan Mason in fantasy drafts where he's going. And it's because I like the upside of him in this offense. that I think could be a little bit more dependent on the run. I know that we've traditionally seen this Vikings offense just throw, throw, throw,

throw, but Gajie McCarthy, young quarterback coming off, a season ending injury. Okay, maybe they ease him in a little bit. They reinvested, revamped the interior offensive line. Ryan Kelly, Will Fries, Donovan Jackson. So you got some veterans in a rookie up front to really bolster the interior because they struggled to run the ball in between the tackles last season. Aaron Jones was really bad at the goal line. Worst of his career in terms of EPA.

14.4 EPA goal to go dead last among all running back six touchdowns score below expectation. So I think that the Vikings went out and acquired Jordan Mason for one reason, one reason only, hey, this is going to be our grinder back that we're going to use at the goal line. Now, Mason had his own struggles at the goal line last year too. So it's possible that neither guy ends up being the goal line back. And they just McCarthy dropping back to throw it. It's touchdowns to Addison, Hawkinson, and Justin Jefferson. I don't think anyone would be surprised by that.

But for me, if Jordan Mason can take advantage of a goal line, role, which I think that he's going to open up the season with, if this offense does what it always does with O'Connell calling the shots, I think that he could definitely flirt with double-digit touchdowns. And hey, if you're getting double-digit touchdowns, you're going to end up being at the top of the leaderboards when it's all said and done. So give me Jordan Mason to leave the NFL in rushing touchdowns. Yeah. And when I read this, like, we exchanged our bold predictions before we recorded. When I read this, I'm like, I wish this was my bold prediction because it's so spicy, but it's also one where you could really squint.

And you've got some history behind this. Similar situations where a player just has an outsized number of rushing touchdowns. Last year it was like the cream of the crop. It was Derek Henry 16 Russian scores. Jamir Gibbs tied him with 16. And then of course, James Cook had that incredible touchdown scoring efficiency last year in Buffalo. But if we go back to the previous two seasons,

what were the odds of Rahim Mostert leading the NFL in Russian scores in 2023, about probably the same as Jordan Mason's now. And Jamal Williams in 2022 was a shock, an absolute shock. He was being drafted well behind DeAndre Swift. So both of those guys are sort of a great, a great sample size of it can actually happen. Go back to 2016 in your neck of the woods, the Lagarin Blunt, huge touchdown season, 18 rushing scores that year. So we have three of the last 10 years have been a surprise touchdown leader among all running backs in terms of rushing score. So I absolutely love that one, Andrew. Yeah.

And your point about the Moester and Jamal Williams corollary. So something that's interesting with those guys. And this actually goes against Jordan Mason, but actually works in favor of Aaron Jones. I mean, I could be wrong about Mason. Let's say he flames out against the goal line. They decide, well, we're just going to give Aaron Jones the goal line roll again and see if it works better this year. Maybe hits on touchdown regression. Jamal Williams and Rahim Moster, it was both their same.

second seasons with those teams. So it was a second season with Detroit. Jamal didn't do a lot his first year and then blows up the next year. Rahim Moster, I believe was traded. He got traded to the Dolphins mid year. And then it was that first season fully under that offense that then he took off and scored all those touchdowns his second full season with the Miami Dolphins. So again, just I think there's an opportunity here with his Vikings back to where we're

really excited about McCarthy in the past game and the weapons. But Aaron Jones is not expensive. And he's an efficient player. He catches passes. Jordan Mason, not expensive. player. I just think this run game overall is being a little bit undervalued. Yeah, and I think the offense is being undervalued because I think J.J. McCarthy is going to come in and be really, really, really, really efficient. He's also got the added mobility. That's sort of

an X factor for him. It could also open some things up for the running back. So an absolute ton to like here. Let's take a quick break. When we come back, we're talking even more bold predictions. Welcome back, Fantasy Football Daily, Theo Greminger, with Andrew Erickson of fantasy pros. Andrew, what do you have going on this time of year? And where can people find your work? Content, content, content. You're looking for more content outside of fantasy points. Fantasy pros has got you covered. We have the best ball draft kit, which features a lot of my articles on best ball content. So if you want to start drafting right now, you can't wait for redraft. We've got you covered in there from underdog draft kings and to our favorite partner,

FastDraft, who is sponsoring the best ball draft kit. That's all covered. And then we're also releasing our redraft kit. So focus a little bit more on those season. season-long leagues, managed leagues. So yeah, if you're looking for stuff to do, read some articles, watch some videos, Fantasy pros has got you covered. Yeah, and I highly recommend Andrews' work. It's always fire, and our podcast always turn out really, really well. So a big shout out to you coming on Fantasy Football Daily.

Let's keep this thing going. We drop some really, really hot takes, and let's keep it going here. For me, it's Jameson Williams season. He's steamed up to wide receiver 25 overall on Underdog. He's steaming up in FFPC. there's a ton of positive coach speak here where John Morton, the new offensive coordinator and Dan Campbell, have both signaled out Jameson Williams as a player who's going to take his game

to a whole other level. Morton said that this is going to be his breakout season, which is very interesting because most fantasy managers would say, you know, coach, Jameson, he broke out last year. He averaged over 14 points per game. He had over 90 targets. He really took his game to another level. So for them to say that there's a lot of room for run for Jameson,

that gets me very, very excited. I think that he's going to average 16 points per game. Jameson Williams is going to finish as a wide receiver one for the first time in his career. He's going to have way more consistent usage than last year. Last year we saw the usage spike compared to what we saw in years past, but I think there's a lot more room to run with a new offensive coordinator and a new confidence level in Jameson. there were multiple teams who called on Jameson Williams throughout the NFL draft trying to trade for him.

The Lions stood pat, and they probably could have gotten a first round pick out of him by moving him. So this was a huge one. I think he has 10 touchdown catches. He has 115 or more targets. A massive year for leap in terms of targets, in terms of touchdowns, in terms of everything. James 16 points per game and finishes as a. wide receiver one. I love it. But again, we're overlapping here with with bold prediction. So I'm going to up the ante again, break out the ghost peppers.

I'm going to make the prediction that he not only finishes as a wide receiver one, but he actually outscores his teammate Amon Raus Saint Brown. That's so spicy. Jameson Williams becomes the the Lions de facto wide receiver won this season in 2025. And I thought about this before we had this knee injury thing with Amon Rae St. Brown. So that's not something I was really considering. I'm just looking at a player that has continued to ascend. And to your point about the lines talking about this is another breakout year,

I was taking aback by that comment because I'm thinking, man, this guy already broke out. But it just seems like all of the baggage, the injuries, the off the field shenanigans, what he's doing. I think it's all behind him. And he is ready, locked in, dialed in, and ready to go and ready to be the guy that the lines took 12 overall. Like that's the thing that I forget with Jameson where,

I was super high on him as a prospect, but it's been such a slow burn with him because of all these other things that have kind of derailed his career, but slowed it down a little bit. But right now, I think it's all gas and no breaks for James and Williams. You know, what we saw last year after week 10 after he came back from suspension, so his target share was almost a near dead split with Amman Rass St. Brown, except for that one game against the Bills in week 15 where Amman Rass St. Brown got 18 targets. So that one game really skews the target share in terms of the sun god versus JMO. But every other game, you look, it's 8, 7, 7, 7, 10.

It's very, very, it's much, it's cleaner. It's not so weighted towards one player, the sun god. And I know we're all trying to figure out. We're all pulling our hair trying to figure out, okay, who's going to be the slot received for the Bears? And Ben Johnson's offense. But then we have to take a, you know, kind of step back and think, well, maybe that means this new offense in Detroit is not going to be centered around the slot. receiver anymore. Maybe it's not so sun god centric. And the fact that

they're talking about James Williams as a focal point of the offense. I mean, this is John Moran's offense. I mean, yes, he wants to take what worked in Ben Johnson's offense and continue to do those things. But hey, if I'm John Moran, like, I want to put my own wrinkle on certain things. I want to show that I can deliver something new and something different. And what does that mean? A breakout season for Jameson Williams. So,

I don't know. I'm getting vibes of that Chris Godwin year where everyone's like, it was Matt Kelly who was like pounded in the table for Chris Godwin's going to take over a wide receiver one in Tampa Bay, even with Mike Evans healthy and exactly what he did. Like that's how I feel about Jameson Williams this year. That I think, again, the price, it seems like it's a lot right now to pay. But if he's going to finish as a wide receiver one and outscore Amman Rahsaid Brown,

I think he's worth making the pick on. Yeah, I love it. And it's, this is one where you're going to get a lot of pushback. And I certainly will as well. But Amman Raul Saint Brown, I hate seeing the knee injury this time of year. And I understand it was a cleanup surgery. And a big shout out to the Detroit line. beat reporters for letting us know it was going down before all of these best ball drafts we've been drafting.

That was really, really helpful, you guys to let us know that that actually happened. But neither here nor there. I think there was a couple of things with Amun Ross St. Brown's usage last season, where he finishes as the wide receiver four overall in points per game, the same as he did in 2023. But the points per game went down two points per game. And that's despite him having two more receiving touchdowns. but a number of metrics took a step back. He was 164 targets in 2023.

That went down to 142. Still elite, but not like otherworldly like 2020s, 164. Very efficient with his receptions, had 115 receptions, tremendous player. But again, we saw regression in the receiving yards. We saw regression in the yards per reception. The air yards went down by over 200, despite playing. an additional game. So this is a player in Among and Ross St. Brown that I think is being drafted a little bit towards his peak this year. Somewhere right in the top 10 on Underdog, any day of the

week, he's either nine or 10 in most drafts. Whereas James, there's a lot of room to run and I'm able to get him at wide receiver 25. Really, really fun profile for Jameson and a player that I'm really betting on. And hey, you can still be in on Amon Ross St. Brown and go and get yourself some Jameson Williams. I think that there's a lot of sharp people on Jamo right now and for a very, very good reason. Let's keep this one going. Let's pivot over to the quarterback position. And I'm going to talk about Jaden Daniels. So Jaden Daniels, we've seen unbelievable play from him. He had the second most rushing yards among any quarterback in fantasy last year, trailed only Lamar Jackson. Daniels had the second most fantasy points ever at a rookie quarterback besides Cam Newton.

He had a stronger rookie season than rookie year Justin Herbert, just a stronger rookie year season than anyone historically besides Cam Newton. He was fifth overall in fantasy points per game at the quarterback position. He was one of the better picks you could have made at the quarterback spot in terms of getting ADP wins. And then we look at the wins and losses. unbelievable, took Washington to the NFC championship game in his first year as a pro, and he did it under a first year offensive coordinator and a first year head coach in Cliff Kingsbury and Dan Quinn.

Jaden Daniels also did that last year, Andrew, with a middle of the pack to lower half offensive line. This year, Washington acquires Laramie Tunsell. Washington also drafts a lineman in round one. they also went and acquired Debo Samuel making a significant upgrade at the wide receiver two position and adding a player who can contribute through his yak ability. Washington was completely devoid of any wide receiver who offered anything in terms of yak. Terry McLaren led them in yak with like 300 yards. I mean, very, very low levels. Austin Echler led the team in yak. So getting Debo, you improve the wide receiver two spot, you improve their yak ability, you make

exponential gains on the offensive line. You have more continuity in the coaching staff. And when I look at Jaden Daniels, this is a player who's going to finish as the QB1 overall and is going to win the NFL MVP. And when we talk about chasing history, the trend is your friend. Second year quarterbacks who are elite talents have done the exact same thing that I'm predicting out of Jane Daniels to do this year. fantasy football's QB1 overall and the NFL's MVP.

We saw it in Patrick Mahomes' second year as a pro. We saw it in Lamar Jackson's second year as a pro. Jaden Daniels is the quarterback you want to draft at ADP, and he is the one who's going to win the MVP trophy. This is a double bet. You can win money in fantasy, and you can win money with a futures bet on the MVP. We're basically giving it away for free here at fantasy points.

Book it with Jayden Daniels. I love this call a lot because I think that a lot of the rhetoric and narratives around Daniels now are more about the sophomore slump, where, oh, no, the guy he's going to regress. And I think it's probably either between him and Bo Nix, one of them is probably going to end up not actually improving and kind of, you know, plateauing a little bit. Maybe we don't see this significant growth. And if I were to bet against one of them not doing that, it would be Daniels. Like, that's the side I would be on where I would see him. No, he's just going to continue to get better because of the way that he is structured. the way that he prepares.

The guy lives life and practices at 2x speed. So when he goes on the field, it seems like everyone else is underwater. So it's easy for him to make all the reads, make all the throws. And to your point, even if he regresses as a passer, you know,

in a little bit, maybe his touchdown interception ratio isn't as efficient. Well, he's got the rushing to fall back on. And that's not something that we didn't have with Stroud last year, where Straub regressed as a passer,

he had a bunch of injuries, and he didn't have the rushing to make up for it, whereas Daniels does, has that. And he's going to get credit for creating all those rushing problems for defenses, and that's going to be in the voters minds when, oh, the commanders win the NFC East. Like, that's a big win.

And why do they win because of Jayden Daniels? Not because of Kingsbury, not because of Quinn, because of Jane Daniels. So I think that when you're writing a narrative, you're trying to get into the voters' minds, it makes a lot of sense that Daniels would be the guy there. And I guess, I want to follow up with one last think, Theo, before we go to the next one, would you be opposed to then taking him, number one, in Superflex format, redraft, Jane Daniels, number one. So that's a, that's a, I think there's really no wrong answer here at number one in Superflex.

Like, as bullish as I am on Jaden Daniels, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson are also going to score a ton of points. You could make an argument here because Daniels is going to end up being somewhere as like the third or fourth pick in most home league Superflex drafts. So it's not like a massive, massive leap. I have taken Jane Daniels at number one in like the puppy Superflex on Underdog. And Jane Daniels, if the dynasty marketplace is correct, you're seeing Jane Daniels as the number one pick in a lot of sharp dynasty super flex drafts here. So a lot of times the dynasty marketplace, which banks on breakouts, banks on talent is kind of where we should be as redraft managers. So I think it's fine. I think it's completely fine.

But again, if you disagree with me, I also think Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are going to score a lot of points. in my top 50 at at fantasy points i have all three of them uh higher than adp uh in single qb leagues right now i think it's a it's a very strong tier at the top for us we're going to take quick break we come back andrew has a very very bold take on another second year quarterback all right Andrew let's get it going what is your bold take here you've got a quarterback take here and it may or may not be for your new england patriots i like how you laid out there May or may not be. Drake, way.

That's the hometown. The hometown of Andrew Erickson is the state of Massachusetts. So there you go. Drake May for me, he's going to be a top five fantasy quarterback this year. And it starts with the rushing that he can offer. So last year, among the seven passers that recorded at least 30 rushing yards per game,

including May. So five of them were top six in terms of scoring on a per dropback basis. So he's already checking off the minimum requirements, those thresholds of, okay, he's already running enough to be a top six. fantasy quarterback. Now it's just a matter of, okay, can we get the touchdown numbers up? Can we get more designed rushes for him? And just the other things I looked at with Drake May, again, watching him every single week, seeing what he was able to do with absolutely nothing at his disposal.

I mean, Kishon Booty was a guy we were talking about playing in DFS because he was the only guy they had in the Patriots office that was doing anything for Drake May. So I don't think that what he did as a rookie can be understated. And he threw at least one touchdown pass in all 10 games that he played fully in his rookie season. Again, he was QB 15 in terms of points per game in those games that he was healthy, 18.1. And he threw at least one passing touchdown in eight consecutive games. He threw at least.

So that streak of touchdown passes thrown by a rookie that tied Justin Herbert since 2020, basically, a 10-game streak. So he's checking off so many different boxes of things that I'm looking for in quarterbacks making that second year leap, fifth and quarterback scramble efficiency. and when you look at his scramble efficiency compared to the top tier quarterbacks in the NFL, the only other guys that he was behind were the quarterbacks of the final four teams

in the conference championship games. Like, that's the territory. Those are the conversations, the other quarterbacks that were talked about in the same day with Drake made when it came to quarterback scramble efficiency. So when he's taken off, making plays with his legs,

looking down field, he is making it work. So I think that he's being undersold when it comes to Josh McDaniels. Josh McDaniels, I think, is a terrible head coach. But as an office of play caller, we've had him had success with young quarterback, Mack Jones, his rookie year.

He was really efficient. Quarterback, mobile quarterback, Cam Newton. Again, it seems like it never happened because it was during the COVID season, but Cam Newton was the quarterback for the Patriots at one time. And he had a really fun season for fantasy because of the mobility that he was able to offer, especially around the goal end at the red zone. So I think this is the year that Drake May finally gets unlocked, and I think takes a massive sophomore leap.

Yeah. done a lot for him. They draft a offensive lineman in round one and Will Campbell. They draft Jared Wilson in round three, the center. They acquire Stefan Diggs, see how much he's got, how much gas is left in the tank for Diggs. But Diggs was 15 points per game last year in Houston. Draft Kyle Williams in round three. And of course, Trayvion Henderson in round two was the big one, giving him really explosive back with a home run hitting ability. But I think it's interesting. You talk about Drake May as a runner. And that's really how he's going to crush his ADP, going right around quarterback 14 in FFPC draft.

So like I'm talking about Jaden Daniels and I'm telling you to draft him. He's QB3. Andrew is giving you QB 14. So if Drake May breaks fantasy this year, I mean, all it's going to take is him beating his quarterback ranking in ADP by about five spots. If he gets into like the top six scores, you're talking about a massive ADP win, considering the gap we see between like the big five. quarterbacks and everybody else. So I love that. And Fantasy Points Data actually put this out on X

today. Shout out to Ryan Heath. Jaden Daniels average 33.9 scramble yards per game last year. Number two was Drake May at 31.3. So the scrambling is there. He's got a big arm. He's young. This is an unknown upside type pick to make. I absolutely love this one. Yeah, I'm all, it's, it's fun because I used to never be able to draft the Patriots quarterback. because Tom Brady would always go way too high in every single draft because there was always a lot of homers and he never run. He was not a rushing quarterback. So I always knew it's the value is never there to take Tom Brady. But finally, I can be in on a Patriots quarterback for fantasy football because he's checking all the boxes.

And I can't wait to watch him play. Yeah. And so for me, the next one is we've talked about wide receivers. We've talked about running backs. We've talked about quarterbacks. Let's take it over to the tight end position. And I think this is going to be the year of the tight end. end. Last year we saw Brock Bowers break through have the best rookie season ever by a tight end,

broke Pooka Nukuha's record for receptions, unbelievable year from Bowers. He's now the tight end one in ADP. Trey McBride also had just an unbelievable season. He was neck and neck with Bowers in terms of points per game. Along with Bowers, they both had these absurd catch total seasons. Bowers ended up with 112 receptions, McBride with 111. Those are two of the top four reception totals all time at the tight end position. Both of these players really put a challenge into the all-time target total as well. Like you're talking about guys who average 8.6 targets per game and 8.8 targets per game, elite target earners at the tight end position.

McBride, of course, is going off the board as the tight end two. And then you had George Kittle. And last year, Kittle was unbelievable. He had eight games of 18 points or more. He averaged the most fantasy points per game of any tight end. He actually outscored McBride and outscored Bowers in terms of fantasy points per game. He averaged 15.8 points per game, an unbelievable season. And Kittle was rewarded with a contract extension this past off season.

So San Francisco is really banking on elite tight end scoring numbers from Kittal for many years to come, despite his age. I think this is the year of the tight end. All three of these players are going to score more points than they did last year. You're going to see three tight ends average 17 points per game or more. And the answer to which one should you pick is any of these three. Kittles the cheapest. So of course he probably has the biggest returns.

But Brock Bowers in an improved offense with Ashton Genty, Gino Smith, with rational coaching with Chip Kelly as the offensive coordinator, Pete Carroll is the head coach also takes a big step forward. And Trey McBride, any threat that Marvin Harrison Jr. is going to sort of flip the script on him in year two will quickly go out the window. Harrison Jr. will be improved, but Trey McBride will continue to be special. All three of these tight ends are going to be awesome. Three tight ends averaging more than 17 points per game in fantasy football.

It does really feel like there is a big three at the tight end position this year. And even though the order, I think in most rankings in ADP, is Bowers McBride Kittle, it seems like there is a tear falloff to the next guy, whoever that may be, maybe it's the border for some people or one of these other tight ends.

But I have trouble with poking holes in these guys' games in terms of their projection. And Brock Bowers, what he did as a rookie, the quarterback, again, if they didn't get Gino, I think you could have been like, okay, like, this isn't going to be able to, this isn't going to be able to repeat.

But the fact that he has Gino, who has shown to fuel fantasy success with all these receivers in Seattle through multiple seasons. So you feel good about that. Tray McBride. He did what he did last year without scoring any touchdowns.

So even if, like you said, Harrison improves, I mean, Trey McBride, come on, man. I can't see all my anytime touchdown bets just continue to burn because this guy needs to score a touchdown.

And then Kittle, he does it every year. He's always a top five tight end. And this year, in particular, with all the receiver question marks for the 49ers with a yukes injury, Debo's gone.

They mainly on Kittle more than ever. So I think this is a really sharp call, Theo. Yeah, and a question for you, I did all these podcasts with, with Graham Barfield, which were fantastic, where we broke down trying to identify the top two target earners on each team. To your, to your comment about Kittle, with all the wide receiver turnover that we've seen in San Francisco, Debo Samuel, of course, now Washington Commander. I like Joanne Jennings a lot. I know there's a lot of people in on Ricky Purcell. There's Brandon Iuke enthusiasts. And certainly Christian McCaffrey coming back this season is going to get his fair share of the targets. But what if this is the year that George Kittle is a 120 plus target player? We haven't seen that since 2018 from him.

It's been all these years with 95 targets, 90 targets, 95 targets, 90 targets. And he's just obscenely efficient with them. What if we sacrifice a little bit in efficiency in order to improve the target volume? And some of those manufactured looks for Debo end up being kiddle around the line of scrimmage and just let him boogie with the yak. Where would your take be on Kittle if we knew the target ceiling was going to be an unkidl-like 120? I think that he can probably finally finish as tight end one as opposed to, you know,

what's the phrase always a bridesma, never a bride? Like that's the thing with George Kittle, right? Where he's always in that top five conversation. That's where he always finishes, especially in terms of points per game. But when if he gets that accompanied volume to get him over that tight end three stats, I think that's really fairly in playing. You can see it in his ADP, which I do think still is,

is a really good value, especially in half PPR, where yes, Kittles sometimes will disappear some weeks, but the weeks where he blows up and scores three touchdowns, it goes for 150 yards. Like, he's going to be your tight end.

He's going to be in your flex spot. It doesn't matter. He's hitting your line of the best ball. Yeah, 100%. And so I've given you like the cream of the crop, top three tight ends, scoring a lot. So I'm not really finding you an ADP win here.

I'm just finding you guys that are going to exceed their expectations and points per game, you have a tight end that you think is a really, really strong value that can deliver a top five scoring season. Yeah, so I'm going to go with Tucker Kraft. So if one of these guys falls out of the top three, whether it's an injury or something else happens, I think that Tucker Kraft for the Green Bay Packers could enter this conversation

because he gives off a lot of George Kittle vibes to me when it comes to get this guy the ball and just watch him make plays. Number one in the NFL, and yards up to the catch per reception. 8.8. He led the NFL among tight ends and broken tackles last year. He was second to only the aforementioned George Kettle in terms of 20-yard catch rate. So all this guy does is make play plays. And he plays in an offense where the head coach, every time he talks to a, every time they put a mic in front of LaFleur's face, he says, oh, wide receiver one, and then he vomits.

Essentially is what he's doing here. So maybe in an offense that doesn't want a wide receiver one, well, maybe they want a tight end one. Because what LaFleur has said in some of these pressers is, yeah, Tucker Kraft could be a George Kittle, Travis Kelsey type player. And that perks up my ears as, oh, man, there's a path here where Tucker Kraft, especially based on how often he's used in the red zone, you have touchdown upside. You have, hey, a healthy Jordan Love under center going to his favorite checkdown option. It's Tucker Kraft who can make big plays with the ball in his hand. He used heavily in the red zone.

Again, the other red zone guy that used is Romeo Dobbs. That's the other guy that Tucker Kraft is competing with for Red Zone opportunities. I am not afraid of Dobbs whatsoever. So again, in a pool of wide receiver fours in Green Bay, the guy who's going to step up is Tucker Kraft. And that's why he's going to be the top three of top five tight end in 2025. I love this one. And when we were trying to unpack Graham Barfield and I were trying to unpack like Green Bay, this is a team where no one had more than 75 targets on the entire team last year,

which is just shocking. Jaden Reed, Matthew Golden are going back to back on Underdog, whereas Tucker Kraft is a guy that's going as a low-end, tight-end one, high-end, tight-end two, depending on the format you're drafting in. Kraft last year took a big step forward. Seven receiving touchdowns had 70 targets. Why can't that number take a big step forward heading into his third year as a pro? I love this one.

And one of the most simple ways for us in fantasy to find huge wins at the tight-end position is simply to identify tight-ends who can lead their team in targets or finish as the number two target earner. And I love that you bring up the yak because a lot of like Tucker Kraft is truly, truly special with the ball in his hands in terms of his yak ability. A lot of people pushed back on that last year as sort of a sample size thing. But I think it's going to be sustainable where Kraft is going to continue to be a yak king this year.

So I like that one a lot. That is a lot of fun. Tucker Craft certainly a very, very affordable tight end and one with some real unknown upside. And one more thing to unpack here, Andrew, and you're curious, your thoughts on this. We saw Green Bay this year take a wide receiver in round one and take Sabian Williams in round three. So they get golden.

They get Sabian Williams. Last year they were the third most run heavy team in football. We're about 50% rush attempts versus past attempts. So they were right down the middle, up with Philadelphia and Baltimore. I don't think that's what they want. The year before, they were a 58% pass attempt team. I think they want to get a little bit back. more towards that balanced approach.

Do you agree with that? I do. I think that Jordan Love was constantly banged up with different injuries. What they did with Malik Willis worked when he was in at quarterback as a rushing mobile threat alongside Josh Jacobs. Josh Jacobs scored a bunch of touchdowns was very productive last year for fantasy football. I don't think that this means Jacobs falls off a cliff because the offense I think can be still good.

But Jordan Love is their franchise quarterback. And I think that he is what he showed his first year as the starter. He's more than capable of doing what happened last year, where I think, he was battling through injuries constantly. And I think that the receivers obviously did not help him out. And you know who was not dropping passes left and right? Tucker Kraft. So that's why he's going to get the rock.

Love it. And we're actually going to give you a couple of bonus bold predictions here. Some of these are pretty bold. And I'll get us started. Calvin Ridley top 18 score at the wide receiver position. You get Ridley right now somewhere between wide receiver 32 and wide receiver 35 in ADP. It's the, it's the Terry McLaurin, Cortland, Sutton Corollary, where a rookie quarterback comes in with improved play than the quarterback the

year before, you have a clear alpha wide receiver one in the offense. Ridley's not anything dynamic or special at this point in his career, but what he is is far and away the best thing the Tennessee has going. Ridley has over 250 targets over the last two seasons combined. Ridley's going to benefit from an aggressive, lively armed Cam Ward. is going to have his best fantasy football season since 2020 and finishes a top 18 score at the position. The volume's there. The opportunity is there for him. He should have favorable usage in Callahan's offense. So yeah, I mean, it's just on Ridley now, right? You just kind of make the plays,

man. And I think Cam Ward showed at the college level how he improved every single year that he is one of these other quarterbacks that's an elevator. I think he's going to get the most out of what he has at his disposal. So I think Ridley is just a no-brainer. Even if really doesn't ascend to what you have him predicted as, he's just a no-brainer pick as outside the top 36 receivers in ADP is a clear-cut number one with the upside attached to Camboard if he hits. You've got a couple of divisional winners that people can make some futures bets on

that could pay out handsomely. Yeah. So, yeah, I want to propose a question to you first, though. Are you familiar with the worst-to-first narrative when it comes to the NFL? So essentially what it is is teams that finished last in their division, the next year will finish first in the division. It actually happens very, very frequently. But last year, it didn't happen. It broke a four-year streak.

But how often has this actually happened? So since the 2002 realignment, only twice has one team not at least finished first in the division the following year. And considering it didn't happen last year, one of these teams is going to finish first in their division. So the way I look at it is the Titans, I think are an option again, the AFCCC. South's pretty weak. 49ers, again, they were all injured last year, so they're another low-hanging fruit. But then the two that I like the most, Patriots, Chicago Bears, both finished fourth in the division last year.

But history says, one of these teams is going to finish first in their division. And when I just look at who has the weakest division from top to bottom, it's the EFC East. Yes, the Buffalo Bills are by far the toughest team that they would have to get over. But not afraid of Miami, not afraid of the New York Jets. So I think that the Patriots have at least number two set in sight. And if you look at the bills last year, very healthy overall. Are we dealing with injuries?

Joey Bosa, he's already hurt, guys. Justin, Joey Bosa's already hurt. James Cook's not a practice. We know he's going to show up. So if they don't have a grade of injury luck, the Patriots last year were very injured, had the toughest schedule in the NFL, neither the case this year. I think they're going to be much better in terms of health. They have a much better schedule.

I already talked about loving Drake May as taking that second year leap. And if the Buffalo Bill suffered a few more injuries than anticipated, then I think that maybe the Patriots could push them for the division title. So it's been a while since the Patriots have been AFC East champs. Used to be every year, basically, around like week 14, week 15, they'd lock in the division and we'd be good to go. But I think this year, the Patriots take it back. The Patriots will be AFC East winners and will go from worse to first. I mean, I love it. And I think I ribbed you a little bit in the pre-show because, of course, you are a New England Patriots fan.

But I think when you back it up with the historical trend, makes a lot of sense. And it's sort of a double bet on your Drake May enthusiasm, Mike Vrable, Josh McDaniels, a lot of like positive vibes in New England right now. So I think it's going to be Buffalo, but maybe New England gets number two and gets a wild card. And sort of to your argument,

it's also a lot of what we talked about. I think a big narrative for this season is just how special the 2024 quarterback class. is. I talked about Jaden Daniels. You talked about Drake May. You referenced Caleb Williams. Well, I talked about Michael Pennix elevating Drake London. Then, of course, Bo Nix was fantastic last year. And we get J.J. McCarthy stepping into an ideal situation in Minnesota. So there's really all of them could hit. We love finding like a bust out of every single class. This is a year where we might look back and say, whoa, this 2024 class is truly, truly special. I'll give you a

couple of my bonus bonus picks. Really the last one for me is the year three running backs. We're talking about Bijon Robinson. We're talking about Jemir Gibbs. We're talking about Devon A. Chan. And we're talking about Chase Brown. All four will finish as top eight scores at the running back position. Bejohn Robinson will finish as the RB one overall. Jamir Gibbs running back two. Derek Henry running back three, Devon A. Chan, running back four. Chase Brown sneaks in there as well. Ashton Gentie and Sequin Barclay both sneak in as well. So for me, it's all of these players are fantastic. We talk about the 2024 quarterback class.

It's the 2023 running back class as well. Fantastic, fantastic class. I know you have a great deal of enthusiasm for this year's rookie class at running back as we do at fantasy points. But I think the year three backs are going to be the ones who really, really drive the needle in fantasy football. We both love London, but that Atlanta offense could take a huge step forward. There's potential that we get the RB1 overall and wide receiver one overall out of that offense. Javier Gibbs, I think the X factor here for me is we really have to just go back to last year's fantasy playoffs.

With a new offensive coordinator coming back, just coming in, just how much of the David Montgomery usage was spurned by Ben Johnson versus Dan Campbell. Now, a lot of people assume this is Dan Campbell's guy. We're going to see everything being the same with a healthy DeMonte. But what if it's DeMonte having 10 to 15% fewer opportunities? Those go to Jemir Gibbs. That would open things up for Jembeer Gibbs to be a massive ADP winner. And of course, Devon A-chan, I have to say something positive about every single podcast, had to sneak him in as well.

And we love Chase Brown. I think the point that I was taken away from those third year running backs is, What do they all have in common besides entering year three? They all catch passes. They all catch passes. And that's, again, simplest form to cheat code. Again, we overthink things. We go into all the advanced metrics at the end of the day.

Does this guy catch passes or not? And those guys all do. And that's why they have such high ceiling. So I almost kind of forgot that they were all in the same draft class. It's awesome. It's awesome. Because they don't think, like I don't think, but I think Bejohn and Gibbs, I always kind of grouped together.

And then A Chan is the other player that was taken later. And then again, oh, yeah, Chase Brown, another year three guys. So, yeah, I like that a lot. A lot of fun today. Andrew, let everybody know once again where they can find your work. Yeah, so I am over on X at Andrew Eric's underscore. That's my handle basically across all social media platforms. There's Instagram, Blue Sky, TikTok.

So doing it all, fantasy content across all platforms. You can find all my written content over at Fantasy Pros. Again, if you want to check out the Best Ball Draft Kit. We have Best Ball articles up on there. And also the Redraft Kit, which is coming out next week, June 15th. So if you're already prepping, looking for cheat sheets, looking for avoids, player targets, it's all going to be in there because what else you're going to be doing in the middle of June is getting ready for your August fantasy football draft. Let's go.

It never ends. Make sure you check out school of Scott Jacob Gibbs joining Scott Barrett and I this week. Check out Dynasty Life. Joe Dolan's going to be joining me this week. And then the two recent episodes besides Andrews on Fantasy Football Daily with Graham Barfield are absolute fire. Make sure you fall on Andrew everywhere. Stick with us here at FantasyPoint. we're going to help you crush your fantasy football leagues this season.