Fantasy Football Daily - 12 WR Sleepers You SHOULD Be Drafting AFTER Pick 75 - Fantasy Football 2026

Episode Date: July 28, 2026

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Guessing is for game shows, not your business, especially when your margin for error is zero. Workday is the Enterprise AI platform for HR, finance, and IT, with a deep understanding of your organization's context and guardrails. So every AI action is permission-aware, giving you accuracy 24-7, and the ability to not just get work done, but get it done right. It's a new work day. My name is Peter Parker, but I'm also Spider-Man. This Thursday, we're faced with a threat. That can be anyone. The world may have forgotten Peter Parker.
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Starting point is 00:01:03 Series Furious follows FBI agent Alice Black, played by Emmy Rossum, on the hunt for a mysterious and calculating serial killer. Both walk their own paths toward justice, and as their lives start to intertwine, the line between right and wrong begins to blur. New episodes week over week, watch the Hulu original series Furious, now streaming only on Hulu on Disney Plus. Yo, what is going on? Fantasy Football Daily is back. We have a banger episode up for you today. 12 wide receiver deep sleepers should be drafting after pick 75. I've got my guys Joe Dolan. He's the managing editor here at Fantasy Points. And Tom Browley, he's our betting expert and one of our excellent fantasy experts here at the site. Tom was just telling me before the show, he has targets and league winners coming out here pretty soon.
Starting point is 00:02:04 That'll be our staff article where you can get all of, basically all of our projected based targets, league winners, values. Tom always crushes that article. So make sure you're on the lookout for that later today or later this week. If you have not already subscribed to the channel, you're missing out. Subscribe to the channel so you don't ever miss out on any of these videos. Hit the notification bell so you never miss when we go live like right now. Tom, Joe, what's going on, guys? Yeah, I'm excited to have this article almost done.
Starting point is 00:02:35 It is a big one. It's going to feature some of the players that we're going to talk about in today's video. But yeah, it's a big one. And we're going to have draft plans rolling out. We had the guru pumping out last week. I'm sure Scott Barrett sometime early in August. So it's that time of year. I was telling Joe, people, you know, friends of the site, friends of the radio program,
Starting point is 00:03:00 they're starting to reach out with their fantasy questions. So I think everybody is waking up from their fantasy football slumber and are ready to talk a little football now. Yeah. World Cup is over. There's no other sports on right now. Unless you want to watch baseball. I mean, come on.
Starting point is 00:03:17 Who wants to watch a baseball? It's time to talk fantasy. Joe, what's going on, man? Nothing much, brother. I am now 40, and I guess the world is the same because I'm still talking fantasy football, the way I've been doing since I was 20, years old. So I'm back, I'm back at it and ready, ready for a fun, fun show with you guys.
Starting point is 00:03:38 Joe, your, your fantasy football career can officially buy cigarettes, 18 years. There we go. Yeah. I'll bet you that puts it in perspective for you. This is my 18th season. This is my 18th season. Yeah, this is my season. Yeah, I was counting it up. I'm in, I'm in year 12 now. We got a bunch of veterans here on the show. What's up, chat? Jason, I see you. Bassman, I see you. Let's get into it here, guys. We'll talk 12 deep wide receiver sleepers on this pod. We're looking at players past 75 overall. So we're looking at, you know, players that are going at seventh round
Starting point is 00:04:08 or later in drafts, not wanting to give out too, too much, Tom, and from your targets and league winners article, but we will, like you, you tease, we will be talking through some of the players that are on the list. Why don't you go ahead and get us started?
Starting point is 00:04:22 I think this player is going to make the list. Yeah, I was going to start with Michael Pittman. Joe's going to probably feature some of the guys from our Mr. Relevant article, which we'll put out, in the middle of August. I went super deep on mine. He wants some deep sleepers.
Starting point is 00:04:34 I did a little mix of both. I got Michael Pittman, heading over from Indianapolis to Pittsburgh. Love the fit here for this new Steelers offense under Mike McCarthy. Aaron Rogers, it wasn't an awesome fit with him and D.K. Metcalf. Metcalf is more of a downfield threats and some of those deeper routes. I think Michael Pittman is probably going to fit Aaron Rogers, especially this stage of his career.
Starting point is 00:05:04 He wants to get back on a couple steps and throw it quickly on those slants and hitches and outs. I think this is going to be a good fit in the Steelers offense. And if we look at what Aaron Rogers was doing last year in our fantasy points data, quickest to throw last season. So he is going to get it out quick. And I think Michael Pittman is going to be the biggest beneficiary of that. We saw a lot of targets to running backs last year with Kenneth Gainwell, but maybe some of those targets start going over to Michael Pittman. And one other thing that we have seen with this, you know, with Aaron Rogers and with Mike McCarthy in Dallas,
Starting point is 00:05:44 both of those guys like to throw the ball a lot down at the goal line, especially down inside the 5 and 10 yard line. Michael Pittman has not been a prolific touchdown score so far in his career. But he also was playing with just. Jonathan Taylor, one of the best running backs at the goal line over the last five years. So, you know, I don't want to write him off as a guy that just can't score touchdowns. Maybe he develops, we'll see if it's him or DK Metcalf. That's probably going to be the ultimate decider who finishes higher in fantasy points this year.
Starting point is 00:06:16 But I'm not rolling out Michael Pittman having a little, a little bit of a small, you know, breakout here as a goal line threat in this offense with a coordinator and a quarterback. who like to throw the ball down by the end zone. Yeah, so here's the way I was drafting Michael Pittman. I mean, I've been drafting him almost exclusively among the Steeler receivers, although Jeremy Bernard has a little bit of value late that I like. And this is where you can see the differentiation between sharp rooms and square rooms. Looking at his ADP on FFPC, he's wide receiver 38.
Starting point is 00:06:53 He's going in like the late 7th, early 8th round. he is one wide receiver after D.K. Metcalf. You know, earlier this offseason, I was saying things like, I prefer Michael Pittman straight up to DK Metcalf, and DK Metcalf was going multiple rounds ahead of him. NFFC drafters, excuse me, FFPC drafters, have just completely determined that that might well be the case, because now they're going back to back.
Starting point is 00:07:18 But if you look at Sleeper, DK. Metcalf is going effectively two full rounds, three full rounds ahead of Michael Pittman. So I think there's an exploitable angle there for you guys in your home leagues where some of the high-stake drafters have realized that this has been a missed-priced market all off-season. Yeah, Joe, I'm just with you. I think Pittman does outscore Metcalf. That's kind of how we have it projected here at Fantasy Points. Pittman is 15th in terms of our targets at wide receiver. The volume should be pretty good.
Starting point is 00:07:46 I'm just with Tom that like the upside with Rogers and this offense like might be a little bit capped. But by expected touchdowns last year, he and Alec Pierce basically had the same value. right around seven last season. So, you know, it really is like with Pittman just, you know, having one of those, you know, monster seasons where he has like nine or ten touchdowns that could kind of take him from being a really good wide receiver three in fantasy to more of a, you know, high-end wide receiver two. I definitely like that call quite a bit.
Starting point is 00:08:12 Guys, I'll keep us moving here. My favorite deep wide receiver sleeper, and one of my favorite players is draft right right now is Quentin Johnston. And this is kind of the same thing that Joe is just talking about. In sharp formats, Quentin Johnson's going wide receiver 39. on FFPC. I looked this morning, sleeper. He's going wide receiver 44, wide receiver 45. He's picked up quite a bit of steam. But QJ has some real upside in this offense. Over the last two seasons, he's finished wide receiver 33 and fantasy points per game. It's been a lot of spiked
Starting point is 00:08:39 week production, lots of ups and downs with him. But that's actually tied with DJ Moore and Jordan Addison, two players who go ahead of him consistently in drafts. And by volume, he and Ladd McConkey have basically had the same role by expected fantasy points. Ladd is at 12.6 expected fantasy points for game QJ at 12.4 over the same time span. So the volume has been pretty good. Now he gets a huge play caller upgrade with Mike McDaniel. I know this is a player who's been memed constantly. QJ has been memed constantly, but we get a huge play caller upgrade here with Mike McDaniel. It really is like a confluence of factors. I think QJ has kind of gotten underrated on these crossing routes and kind of horizontally breaking routes. We think of him more as like a deep
Starting point is 00:09:19 threat. Here at fantasy points, we have our average separation score. And QJ has actually been very good over the middle, 74th or 75th percentile on crossing routes over the last two seasons. And he's actually been better than Ladd-McConkey in terms of his run after the catchability. I think there's some, like, significant upside here with QJ. He is getting priced up, guys. I think that is, that is totally fair. He's run. He's run quite a bit.
Starting point is 00:09:43 He opened the season at like wide receiver 48 and ADP. I think everybody's kind of seeing the same thing I'm seeing. But the price is still right, Joe. I know QJ has been a little tricky for a couple of years now, but one of these chargers receivers, either Ladd or QJ, I feel pretty confident saying it's going to smash their AP. Yeah, and if you believe in the offense, I think maybe you have to start to invest in, maybe somebody that you'd consider an unsavory player. As a matter of fact, I'm going to get to one a little bit later on in the program that I feel
Starting point is 00:10:14 they're not similar players, but I feel similarly like about the situation. So I'm completely fine with drafting Quentin Johnston. You know, he could be a touchdown scoring machine. I feel like the tight end position is kind of hard to suss out there with Arronday Gadsden the fact that they signed Charlie Colar. They have all kinds of things going on there. They added a fullback here. But I feel like Quentin Johnson is probably their best bet to be a perimeter wide receiver,
Starting point is 00:10:42 even if they go with the heavy tight end, heavy packages. So I'm okay with it. I totally am fine with Quentin Johnston, even if he hasn't been a player that I've really invested in in the past. Yeah, I'm kind of excited to see him in this Mike McDaniel offense. A lot of when he was coming out of TCU, it was a lot of crossers, a lot of after the catch stuff that was really impressive. So I think we're going to get more of those opportunities under Mike McDaniel. And we've seen the reports about Justin Herbert working on his quicker drops and working on his release to get the ball out quicker. I think they want to keep him healthier.
Starting point is 00:11:17 They don't want to necessarily do these seven-step drops where he's back in the pocket for three or four seconds and looking to get the ball downfield. I think they want to change it up a little bit here and get more of these quick hitters to QJ. So if we can just clean up some of these drops, I don't know if we're ever going to do that, but he is clearly over talented.
Starting point is 00:11:40 And as Trey will tell you with his own memes, He gets memed, but Trey has his own meme. He is going to the moon here this year, you know, up there with Wembe and Connor McDavid and Shoheetane. It's Quentin Johnston time. Yeah, when I think freak athletes, I think of Quentin Johnson. That's for sure amongst those players. Yeah, Quinn Johnson, he's real interesting, man.
Starting point is 00:12:05 I think there's a better chance than most people are giving him that he, like, is the wide receiver one on this team. last two seasons they've played Quentin Johnson, Ladd McConkey played in 27 games together. Ladd only has 27 more targets than QJ that's one per game. I think there's some nice upside
Starting point is 00:12:23 here with QJ. Tom, I'll kick it back over to you. Who's your next deep sleeper this season? Yeah, I'm going to that Colt situation. They traded away Michael Pittman and that's going to elevate here. Josh Downs as the maybe he's the number one receiver
Starting point is 00:12:40 in this offense now. News came out yesterday that Alec Pierce will be starting the training camp on the PUP list. That's not, it was kind of expected. They did talk a little bit about that in June that he had the ankle surgery in late March, that it was going to be a four to six month recovery. If they have any kind of doubts that if he could miss time early in the season, it makes sense to put him on that PUP list to give them a little bit of more flexibility once the season does roll around if they need to keep them on that list.
Starting point is 00:13:11 but so we'll see if Josh Downs and see if this ADP starts to rise. He is buried and depending on where you're looking, sleeper, you know, some of their ADP, but more of the sharper formats, he is much higher in the FFPC. So we'll see if it starts to take off here in the next couple of weeks if Alec Pierce stays on the PUP list. But yeah, this is just one of those situations where we're pulling Michael Pittman out of here with his 20% target. share those got to be spread around somewhere and they didn't really bring in anybody to really take up targets outside of like nick westbrook kine so it's going to go to these guys like josh downs and tyler warren alec pierce but uh getting michael pitman out of the picture also
Starting point is 00:13:57 gets josh downs on the field a little bit more uh in those two wide receiver sets so i think he's going to you know finally see like regular route shares up in the like 75 to 80 percent range He's kind of lived in that 60 to 65% range, which, you know, he's put up nice production as a kind of a part-time player. But now if we can get up into that more of a full-time role, that gives us a little bit more stability in our fantasy lineups. And maybe we can start to see some of those bigger performances from him. So I think he's going to be a pretty solid wide receiver three this season. But he does have like that touch of upside here. if Alec Pierce, if that ankle injury kind of hinders him all season, if we do get that big bump in
Starting point is 00:14:45 a route share for him. So give me some Josh Downs as a later pick as a potential breakout. Yeah, I mean, if we look at Josh Downs, you know, I was just editing the biggest fantasy injury questions of 2026, which was an article that Dr. Physical Therapy Jeff Mueller wrote for us. And, you know, he's a little bit concerned about Alex Pearce. This is what he said. I'm concerned about Pierce for the first half of the season due to anticipated regression and explosiveness and acceleration. By the way, this article is up there for Fantasy Point subscribers.
Starting point is 00:15:18 And Daniel Jones is coming off a right Achilles repair. These two factors place a high risk of their vertical connection being disrupted until they both improve health-wise closer to mid-season. Now, Jeff said he wanted to invest heavily in Tyler Warren. Well, everybody's investing heavily in Tyler Warren. Tyler Warren is one of the first tight ends off the board in FFPC, which is a tight end premium format. He's a third round pick. Can you get a much cheaper investment in Josh Downs?
Starting point is 00:15:44 Absolutely. You can get him in the eighth and ninth rounds of fantasy football drafts on FFPC. And quite frankly, I mean, on Sleeper, he's an 11th round pick. This is a, this is not Parker Washington, Christian Watson level of fantasy points, bro, Josh Downs, but he's in the next tier of fantasy points, bro, and has been for a couple of years now. Yeah, he's always been one of my guys, too. I thought last year would be the breakout season,
Starting point is 00:16:10 hand up, got that wrong. He got hurt in August. I do think that ankle injury he had in August did kind of slow him down. But all of the numbers underneath the hood, like on a per route basis, look great. Josh Downs is tied with JSN, actually, over the last three seasons. Wide receiver 20 and targets per route run at 25%. We just need to get this guy, like Tom was said,
Starting point is 00:16:31 we just need to get this guy on the field more, man. It's going to have to happen by hook or by crook, either with the Alec Pierce injury or just them not having really any depth. I did read one of the Colts beat writers earlier yesterday. I apologize. I forgot his name. Should have pulled it up. But he was basically speculating that they do bring in a veteran receiver.
Starting point is 00:16:48 If it is Stefan Diggs, not so great. If it's more Debo Samuel, I'm definitely going to be still in on Josh Downs. Right now, it really is just Stefan Diggs, if they do make a move. This episode is brought to you by. Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales, using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business. The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and
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Starting point is 00:18:35 the Colts might stink. They really might stink to start this year between Jones coming back from injury, them not having really any good receivers. It's a concern for sure. Could it be the opposite of last year with the Colts? Yeah, I know. To the hot start and then miss the playoffs. That schedule is nice and easy early in the season and then everything collided at the end of
Starting point is 00:18:52 last season. Much tougher schedule. Daniel Jones going down. At least we did get a piece of good news. Daniel Jones being ready to go at the start of training camp. But, you know, maybe that ends up working a little bit in Josh Downs' favor. They can't rely as much on Jonathan Taylor and maybe they're playing a little bit of catch-up in these games in the second half game. So I still really like Josh Downs, but I do worry about this offense overall and this Colts team. I kind of stink.
Starting point is 00:19:18 That's why I've been kind of pushing Jonathan Taylor down my first round list a little bit. Yeah, I didn't figure I would be in on Christian McCaffer. this year, but I mean, he's going six, seven overall. I'm straight up prefer him over JT. I just want, I want pieces of that 49ers offense. And even if CMC is a little diminished version of himself, I think it's still super valuable. It's a big concern to me for JT.
Starting point is 00:19:42 Colts have a seven and a half win total. That's down there with the Panthers and Saints and commanders, man. There's some downside risk with this Colts offense that's not really priced into JT, but the rest of the past catchers, even Tyler Warren. I know he's a little expensive, six-round pick in most formats, third-round pick like Joe is saying. in FFPC formats.
Starting point is 00:19:59 But the rest of this past catching group, especially Alec Pierce, is about to get a whole lot cheaper. I'll keep us going, guys. Ricky Pearsall is just good at the game. He's really good. He's just not been able to stay healthy. Obviously, he had the hard look rookie season where he gets shot and then he gets hurt and was never really fully healthy.
Starting point is 00:20:15 Last year looked incredible weeks one through four and then got hurt again, was not really fully healthy until late in the season. All of the metrics underneath the hood look really, really good. We chart average separation score. That's our ass metric here at Fantasy Points data. Ricky Pearsall, wide receiver 9 in average separation score last season. Wide receiver 3 and win rate, he had a yards per route run over 2. That's usually a value that we're looking at in terms of efficiency.
Starting point is 00:20:42 Anything over 2 is really good. Pierceaw was competing for targets last season with Joanne Jennings and George Kittle. And both those players, Jennings has gone. Kittle is hurt. Most likely not going to be ready for September. Mike Evans is awesome. He's going to be enshrined in the Hall of Fan. There's no doubt about it.
Starting point is 00:20:57 Mike Evans is one of the best receivers of this generation. That being said, he is getting older. He's 33 this season, and he is pulled a hamstring in three straight years. There's some significant upside here that Pearsall at some point has some contingent upside. And I was just mentioning, I want to draft pieces of this 49ers offense. I just want to draft Shanahan players, Shanahan receivers in particular. I'm all about Brock Purdy this season, and I think there's some spike deficiency. chances here with Pierceall.
Starting point is 00:21:26 Guys, he scored zero touchdowns last year. Like, that is completely crazy. He's been very unlucky on touchdowns. And in this offense, Brock Purdy has just been like a consistent 5, 6, 7% touchdown rate. So if we have some, like, finally, good, clean bill of health coming into this season for Pearsall. He is trying to rehab yet another injury,
Starting point is 00:21:45 but he should be fully healthy, ready to go in training camp. And like I was saying, man, there are some really good games at the end of last year as well. Like when he got back fully healthy, He had a six-catch, 96-yard game against the Titans. He had a five-catch, 85-yard game against the Bears. And he started last season really hot in the opening month. I just think we've seen enough, right?
Starting point is 00:22:06 We've seen enough small sample, good games from Pierce-Saw. We've seen enough from his separation score to think that he's good at the game. And at this ADP, man, he's going wide receiver 44. There's some, like, I really like this pick here for like a post-hyped sleeper-type pick. And like I was saying, I mean, if Mike Evans or George Kettle do miss any time, there's a chance. Pearsall might be their top receiver this season, Joe. Did you mention that Christian Kirk's already hurt, by the way? Yeah, and Kirk's hurt, yeah, yeah, Cass injury already.
Starting point is 00:22:36 So, yeah, he's already picked up an injury. Of course, it's the 49ers, so that should be anticipated at this point. So you have one of their receivers, one of their veteran receivers who people probably just kind of forgot about that he's there, but he's hurt already. They have been talking up DeJohn Stribling. The 49ers media machine is in full effect right now. Somehow they got all the reporters to bury the Kyle Shanahan car accident. And then they've got everybody out there saying, hey, by the way, this guy that everybody thought we reached on, the entire NFL wanted to draft them too. But Brock Purdy was talking up DeJon Stribling.
Starting point is 00:23:13 So if you want to invest a little bit later, Stribbling is a guy who is down the board. but Ricky Pearson has first round pedigree, has acted on the first round pedigree. That's the thing, Graham. This isn't just somebody who, well, he's going to get an opportunity now. So even though I don't really like him, which is we're going to get to that with one of my players, the opportunities there. No, we have seen him produce at a high level with all the efficiency metrics that you've seen. We just need him to stay on the damn field.
Starting point is 00:23:41 And that, of course, is the biggest problem with literally everybody in this 49ers offense. Yeah, I'll add that we'd love this 49er schedule again. They had a really nice schedule last year. They took advantage of it. They ended up finishing third in that NFC West. So they end up getting a pretty nice schedule again to get extra games against Miami, Minnesota, Atlanta, teams that they can put some production up against. So they have a couple games against the Cardinals overall.
Starting point is 00:24:09 So we like the schedule. So I'm with you guys. I, you know, this has been one of my most targeting. targeted teams. I just want to get pieces of the 49ers any way I can. George Kittle, a guy I thought I was going to be totally out on because he tore his Achilles so late in the season in the wild card round. But he is, you know, he seems to be on pace and he's really, you know, reasonably priced. Brock Purdy's cheap again. Mike Evans is cheap. Even Christian McCaffrey in the middle of the first round I want. So overall, I am just looking to get pieces of this
Starting point is 00:24:45 49ers offense. Yeah, Joe, you mentioned the Kirk injury. Grant Cohn, who's one of the 49ers beatwriters. He was speculating yesterday that they might end up cutting Christian Kirk, which would be very bullish for stripling. It would also probably be pretty bullish for Pearsall, too, to kind of condense some of the targets there. You know what's funny about the 49ers?
Starting point is 00:25:00 So you really have to watch their beatwriters because they have one guy. I think Grant Cohn is the guy who's like, you know, you ever watch the old cartoons and there's an angel on one shoulder and a devil on the other shoulder? Yes. He is like the devil of the 49ers beatwriters. he thinks Brock Purdy's overrated, he thinks Kyle Shanahan's a clown. And then they have that one guy who's holding the football in his profile pick who thinks Brock Purdy is the greatest thing since Joe Montana,
Starting point is 00:25:25 that Kyle Shanahan, like, you've got a really, they've got some characters on that beat. So you have to just, like, be very careful with, like, it hasn't been a great couple of days for their beatwriters either, though, Joe. It's not been a good couple of years for their beat writers, dude. How about them not know? The McCaffrey injury a couple years ago was insane. That was ridiculous. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:25:45 That was absolutely insane. I still can't believe that even happened. I'll keep us going here, guys. Jacobi Myers as well is one of the most mispriced players, according to our fantasy points projections. Our guy Chris Wecht has Jacobi Myers right there, like right with BTJ, Parker Washington. He's the wide receiver 48 in ADP,
Starting point is 00:26:05 Jacobi Myers. And I, you know, there's, I question the upside. I question the upside with Myers in a way that I don't really question it with, like Quentin Johnson. I think there's some big play upside with Quentin Johnson. Both these players kind of going similar ADPs. Guys, Jacobi Myers, wide receiver 24 in eight full games last year. I think the floor is pretty good. He did actually slightly underperform his role. He was wide receiver 16 in expected fantasy points. I don't know if I necessarily believe this to be like the case for this season. I don't know if I can project this out, but he actually led this team in Target chair,
Starting point is 00:26:38 led them in first read target share last season in those eight games. Brian Thomas, excuse me, Brian Thomas was hurt dealing with a really bad ankle injury. And Parker Washington was just, that was like when he was just starting to peak. Myers, again, wide receiver 48 and 80P. Tom, he's kind of been priced down. He's super boring, like super boring, like I said.
Starting point is 00:26:57 That's Jacoby Myers every year. But he is like a good technical value. No, if you're, he's going to be a wide receiver three most likely this season. he's going to put up those five for 60s most week. You just hope that he scores more touchdowns than he doesn't in those given weeks. But he's going to be probably pretty safe. And we saw this offense. It gets attributed a lot to Parker Washington.
Starting point is 00:27:21 But it was kind of that trade from Las Vegas when Jacoby Myers came over. He started doing a lot of the dirty work in this offense, doing those routes over the middle. And it kind of opened up the entire offense for Trevor Lawrence. So he is pivotal to the Jaguars this offseason. So I like it. It's not a sexy pick, but maybe it's one. Maybe you go kind of opposite and load up at wide receivers early in the draft and get a lot of high upside guys and maybe you attack some of the other positions.
Starting point is 00:27:54 And then draft, you know, Jacoby Myers as your wide receiver four. And you can easily plug them in most of the season as a wide receiver three or as your flex. And he's going to give you steady production. So are we forgetting, by the way, that Jacoby Myers, if you look at the Jaguars depth chart, that he's seven and a half feet tall. Like his head is in the clouds on the depth chart. So are we underrating this factor? Now, the thing about Jacobi Myers that I like is this is one of those offenses that I want to invest in, like you guys said with the 49ers, and he's the cheapest way to invest in the offense, right? I think he's, is he even cheaper than Chris Rodriguez?
Starting point is 00:28:30 Not right now. No, Rodriguez has come way down in price because of the injury. But, yeah, he's a cheap way to invest in this offense, just like Brenton Strange. My whole opinion all offseason has been, what if the answer to the test here is just to draft Trevor Lawrence? I know that's one of John Hanson's major quarterback targets this year. But Jacoby Myers is somebody who completely unlocked the offense when he came over. Yeah, Parker Washington, when he ended up playing more, obviously got all the targets. But everything kind of coalesced when Jacobi Myers was acquired and traded. they immediately extended him.
Starting point is 00:29:06 So I think this is a great pick, Graham, a boring pick, but a great pick of somebody who's a fine way to invest in the offense. Yeah, by EPA per pass attempt when Jacoby Myers was on the field, this was the best passing offense in the field last season. They were like league average, basically, by EPA per pass. When they didn't have Jacoby, he really did, like Tom was saying, did unlock this offense. And again, I question the upside here with Myers, right?
Starting point is 00:29:33 We've never seen him post a wide receiver one season like Brian Thomas Jr. did in his rookie year. Also, Parker Washington was, I mean, he was their best receiver at the end of last season. We can't put that cap back in the hat. But man, I really, really like Myers at this price. Wide receiver 48 is too cheap. And like Joe was saying, I mean, we kind of want to take shots on all these Jaguar receivers. And I know Scott Barrett is very high on the Jaguar's basically the entire team. But I think there's going to be at least. least one, maybe two league winners on this Jags team from last season. Guys, I mean, this offense closed the season averaging like 28 points per game would be one of the top offenses in football if they were able to repeat that. So, yeah, Myers, very boring, very, very boring. But he is, yeah, he's probably going to pay off his ADP. I, you know, I think with any sleeper in this, in this pocket, that's kind of, that's kind of the baseline is what we're looking for is just like a good technical value.
Starting point is 00:30:30 And Myers is certainly that. Joe, let's throw it back over to you. Who's your next sleeper? So this is a player. I was kind of alluding to this a little bit earlier that I don't necessarily like the player. We've never liked. We didn't love them as a prospect. Brett Whitefield thought he was an overrated prospect, did not think he was a first-round pick.
Starting point is 00:30:46 But this is now the range of drafts where I'm like, what if we're wrong? And what if the opportunity to just invest in what should be a better offense this year is worth the cost? It's Xavier Worthy, who's wide receiver 49 right now on. on FFPC formats comes off a year in which he caught just one touchdown pass. But remember, he gets hurt in the first game on friendly fire coming across the middle of the field. And never is right after that. He actually scored in his rookie season nine touchdowns, if you'll remember that. I would have taken the under on that.
Starting point is 00:31:24 But Xavier Worthy now goes into an offense. They did absolutely nothing at the wide receiver position this offseason. Just a really, really poor offseason, in my opinion for the Kansas City Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes coming off the torn ACL. And Xavier Worthy is a player they could very much need. Their number one wide receiver is a threat to pull the fire alarm at a daycare on any drop of the hat. So you've got to have somebody who can step up. Worthy does have that first round pedigree. And how about this?
Starting point is 00:31:55 In 2025, midway through November, shortly before Patrick Mahomes got injured. Xavier Worthy had the second lowest share of yards deemed catchable, air yards deemed catchable in the entire NFL. Now, I know Scott Barr has been poking the bear on Twitter a little bit because Patrick Mahomes has statistically per fantasy points data been one of the worst deep ball throwers in the NFL over the last number of years. But what if Patrick Mahomes recapture some of that magic? What if, you know, the offensive line just kind of steps up a little bit? Patrick Mahomes doesn't run around as much. He himself alluded to the fact that he's not going to run around as much. And what if Rishie Rice gets himself into hot water yet again?
Starting point is 00:32:38 So Xavier Worthy is a player at wide receiver 49. I just don't think it's too expensive to invest in somebody, even if I didn't like him that much as a prospect, now has a very low ADP in a potentially better offense that I hope it's better. Matt Nagy's not there. Obviously, we're thinking about Eric B. Enemy and the tragedy that befell his family. But I feel the same way about Xavier Worthy as I do, in a way about Matthew Golden that like, yeah, I don't love the guy, but like the cost is cheap enough that if they
Starting point is 00:33:10 semi explode, you're going to be happy you made that draft pick. Yeah, he suffered that Labrum injury. That was the third play of the season. That was on that Friday night game. They were down in Brazil. Torn Labrum, he ended up playing through the injury all season long. He could easily sat out for a chunk of time or maybe gotten surgery, but he decided to play through it. But if you look through some of our fantasy points data, he, he played, they used him differently. And Andy Reid said as much at the, uh, the owner's meetings in March or April, they just didn't want to use him on, you know, crossing routes as much because they didn't want to expose that shoulder. And, you know, he ran significantly fewer crossing routes because of that shoulder injury.
Starting point is 00:33:56 maybe he's used a little bit differently. They can use some of that speed, get the ball in his hands a little bit more and let him create, not just use him. It felt like last year it was just run down the field, draw attention. You know, we'll give you opportunities, but maybe they'll use him a little bit more. You know, the diversity of his routes should expand this year, a little bit healthier. And, yeah, as Joe said, they didn't bring anybody in. So they're counting on him.
Starting point is 00:34:21 They used a first round pick. It's time for him to step up. And hopefully he is healthy this year. and stays healthy. That skinny frame is a little bit frightening, but, you know, he stayed relatively healthy as a rookie. Yeah, I mean, Graham, I know you and you're on this page as well. I went with Xavier Worthy specifically because most everybody else in mine is a super deep sleeper, but yeah, Tyquan Thornton in the last round has been one of my favorite best ball picks. So, he was better than Xavier Worthy last year. It's just that, you know, Worthy has the first round pedigree.
Starting point is 00:34:50 Yeah, Tyquan is really interesting as a late round pick in best ball for sure. I don't know if he's necessarily going to pop in season-long leagues. But yeah, I think that's my main concern about Worthy is that Tyquan Thornton was a better deep threat last season. And honestly, I know you said Scott spoke in the bear. He's objectively right. Like since Tyree Kill has left the chiefs, Patrick Mahomes has struggled as a deep passer. He's really struggled. And now he's coming back from, you know, an ACL injury. I think Rishie Rice, man, is just going to gobble up short area targets. I know it's a scam. I know he's not really a real receiver, all of that. But, man, like, we're going to do this again where he's going to be, you know, just beasting underneath
Starting point is 00:35:26 against zone coverage. Yeah, Xavier Worthy, he's tricky because, like, I think Rishue Rice is the primary target earner, and I also kind of think, like I said, Taekwon Thornton might be the better deep threat. But yeah, clean bill of health going into the season. And it's kind of like the Ricky Pearsall factor. Everybody's kind of just completely written this guy off at his third season. I love a rookie wide receiver on the Browns. And it's not Boston. It's KC. Concep I think one of these Browns receivers, either Concepcion, Boston, or Judy is going to significantly pay off ADP. But my chip is on KC. Concepcion. The production profile is not great.
Starting point is 00:36:07 The last year at Texas A&M, he did not deal with the best quarterback play possible. But our guy, Brett Whitefield, had him as the wide receiver two in his personal rankings in his draft guide. You can check that out on fantasy points. The prospect guide, Brett wrote up a global. review of Concepcion in his tape, basically detailing how good of a separator he is. I think the main thing I'm most interested in is this fit with Todd Monk, and I think he fits extremely well in terms of getting design targets in the screen game and obviously in this current NFL meta where you need to have players that can run after catch against zone
Starting point is 00:36:41 coverage, you know, kind of get open underneath. I think Concepcion fits this offense incredibly well. I started this whole thing by saying, yeah, his production profile was not great. It's probably his quarterback play is probably going to be equally not great this season. Jerry Judy went viral for basically saying he wants to Sean Watson to start on TikTok. It was a funny video where he was being asked and he didn't really say it, but he put up the number four. Listen, I don't think it's really like saying too too much here by saying that like Watson is their best option at quarterback this season. It would be a concern if Shadur Sanders was starting for any amount of time. It'd be very concerning for my love of Harold Fanon.
Starting point is 00:37:18 but Concepcion, I think, probably has one of the higher floors in this offense just because he's going to get so many shallow design targets. And frankly, you don't really have to have the best quarterback play ever if you're going to get a bunch of design targets. I think Concepcion is kind of Monkins like Zay Flowers. You know, there's some corollary between the way that these two players are used. And again, wide receiver 51 in PPR leagues. I think this is a player who could be leading this receiver group, not leading Harold Fannan. I think Fannin leads this team in targets, but leads the receivers. receiver group in in targets this season. I just think he's a really good player and it's a good
Starting point is 00:37:54 price to get at wide receiver 51. I think like I said one of these browns receivers Tom it feels like one of them is just going to pop like yeah and I lean towards Concepcion too with you. Denzo Boston we there were some highlights going around yesterday he's making some plays on the perimeter. He looks pretty good man. Yeah he does look good maybe maybe we'll be Boston by the end training camp but right now I'm sticking with Concepcion and a lot of it is because of Todd Monkin coming in here going to use him I think he's going to use him in like the Zay Flowers rule really move him around the formation get him some design targets use him downfield as well and I think that you know Jake Jake Tribby did a good article here last week kind of the positional targets
Starting point is 00:38:40 who gets targeted by you know specific quarterbacks and looking at the the quarterbacks from Cleveland last year. Way too many targets to tight ends and to running backs. I think that Todd Monkin will want to get some of these easy targets to a player like Casey Concepcion, who's really great after the catch. So
Starting point is 00:39:00 that's where I'm leaning right now in this Cleveland offense, but maybe it will change a little bit if Denzel Boston keeps making some highlight plays in training camp. Yeah, I've been totally fine with Casey Concepcion at his price. He was one of Brett's favorite receivers in the draft. I believe he was
Starting point is 00:39:16 his number two receiver in the entire draft. And, you know, they could go multiple ways at the wide receiver position. They could go multiple ways at the quarterback position. And I think that's the only thing that's keeping Casey Concepcion guys from the kind of Mackay Lemon tier, a guy, by the way, I haven't invested a ton of at all in redraft, where you're going like wide receiver 34 off the board. I think it's the concern about the quarterback position that's preventing him and pushing him down the board.
Starting point is 00:39:43 So you were already getting that discount with Casey Concepcion. Yeah, it's pretty rare to get a first round wide receiver going at wide receiver 51 and 80p. And I know rookie receivers and rookies in general last year kind of burned a lot of people. But man, I mean, it does feel like a really nice price to get in on a player who's got the, you know, high draft pedigree and is a good fit in this offense. By the way, I'm in on Denzel Boston too. I think like I said, one of these Browns receivers is really going to pop. Boston is a player who goes after Concepcion, but he drew a Pucanakua comparisons from Brett Whitefield and from Lance Zeerline. I think both of those guys are two of the best talent evaluators at the
Starting point is 00:40:23 receiver, looking at receiver prospects coming into college. When you draw Pukua comparisons from two great evaluators like that, my ears certainly perk up. Browns did a great job in the draft. They're doing a great job building talent around this team. We just really need better quarterback play. Yeah, I mean, one of these guys is going to pop. It's just, it's probably not Jerry Judy. I feel pretty strongly about that. Joe, who's your next wide receiver? Deep sleeper this season. Oh, yeah, real deep sleeper. He caught 85 passes and had a thousand yards last season. His name Stefan Diggs. He is an 11th round pick on the FFC right now. And there's just one problem. He's not currently in the NFL. He doesn't have a team. But it looks like he is a
Starting point is 00:41:10 evaluating his options, and we know there are teams out there that need wide receivers. As a matter of fact, we just talked about one. The Kansas City Chiefs need a wide receiver. The Washington commanders need a wide receiver. And when Stefan Diggs is your sane option compared to Brandon Iyuk, that means you're probably in a bad spot. The Baltimore Ravens, where wide receivers go to die, they need wide receiver. So there are multiple options for Stefan Diggs.
Starting point is 00:41:35 He is evaluating right now. And all of those teams right now that I mentioned, Washington. Kansas City, Baltimore. You would say those are teams that conservatively have quarterbacks in the top half of the league and ability. So those are the spots that I would like to see Stefan Diggs land. Now, you also mentioned earlier, Graham, what if he lives in Indianapolis? That wouldn't be so good, in my opinion. That wouldn't be good for Alec Pierce.
Starting point is 00:42:00 It wouldn't be good for Josh Downs. And I think that would be the least appealing spot for Stefan Diggs. Nonetheless, if he signs with any of those first three teams or another team, that needs a receiver today. Where does his ADP go? At least 10 wide receiver spots higher, right? So you're just right now getting a discount on a player who can still go. I'm not expecting him to be a league winner,
Starting point is 00:42:23 but he was somebody who I was not in on last year, and he very surprisingly was a quality lineup filler on a week-to-week basis. Yeah, he played really well last year. Our only complaint with him was that he was basically running 60 to 65% of the routes, Was that smart, though? Maybe it was. Maybe that preserved them. Maybe that helped him play better.
Starting point is 00:42:45 But we kind of wanted him to play a little bit more for fantasy. So hopefully, wherever he lands, he gets more of a full-time role. But, I mean, this guy can still play at a high level. He's coming off that ACL injury. And I think everybody, maybe people were writing him off a little bit in his 30s, but he can still play. And that quickness is still there. Not the complete receiver like he once used to be.
Starting point is 00:43:07 He's more of the all in the short area intermediate. areas but still can get open very easily and still had a lot of that quickness coming back from that ACL injury. Yeah, if he goes to Washington, I think, Joe, to your point, I think he goes more than 10 wide receiver spots. I think he becomes more of like a wide receiver 30s type pick. I think there's going to be a lot of enthusiasm around digs. You know, you mentioned, you know, the only thing that was really holding him back, like you said, Tom, was just he didn't play a full-time role, but he was still wide receiver 24 and PPR points per game last season, despite not playing a full-time role. And I was right, you're right, Joe. I was, I was not in on digs last year either.
Starting point is 00:43:45 I just thought he was kind of a diminished player, but he proved a lot of us wrong. There's going to be a big, big market for him. He's going to miss, you know, kind of the Keenan Allen effect from last year. You're going to take a couple weeks off from training camp, you know, get a couple of weeks in July. And then he's going to, he's going to sign. He's going to have a nice market here in a couple weeks, especially if there's a couple of injuries. Tom, who's your next deep wide receiver sleeper here, man? I believe it's Jalen McMillan. I have two back-to-back. Yes, it is Jalen McMillan from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Guy, I think we all kind of liked a lot after his rookie season. He was a lot he won a lot of fantasy championships for his run at the end of his rookie season. Really
Starting point is 00:44:27 exploded in the last five games, average 19.8 fantasy points per game. seven touchdown catches during that stretch. So we were kind of buying in. And then first preseason game came around against the Steelers. Nasty injury lands basically on his head and neck area. I was surprised he actually came back and played last season. I thought they might just give him the whole season off and let him recover. But he did end up getting healthy and playing at the end of last season,
Starting point is 00:45:01 which I think tells you a lot about them. A lot of other guys maybe would have rehabbed a little slower and maybe came back in 2006. But he was rehabbing hard and was able to play at the end of last season. And the Buccaneers, they must have felt pretty good about their receiving core heading into this season. They let Mike Evans walk to San Francisco. They couldn't match the money that he ended up getting from the 49ers.
Starting point is 00:45:28 So I think there's an opportunity for him to step into. to a pretty big role. Chris Godwin, maybe he bounces back this year, but he didn't look completely right at the end of last season whenever he came back. He is getting into his 30s here. So maybe he is on the wrong side of his career. I'm like a Buka. We'll see a lot of questions. Maybe he is one of these top 12 wide receivers. I didn't really think about him that way coming into the NFL last year. The first five or six games was, I thought, more of the outlier than what we saw at the end of last season. So maybe, you know, maybe he is not quite that number one wide receiver.
Starting point is 00:46:10 So I think Jaylen McMillan has an opportunity here to grab a bigger role than people anticipate. And Baker Mayfield, they had a little bit of a connection at the end of last season. You know, pretty limited, 74 routes, but 20% target share on those routes, 2.41 yards per route run. Small sample alert. There was, you know, a couple of big plays in there, but still pretty promising overall for a guy that missed a whole lot of time and still came back and contributed at the end of last season. So I love taking chances on this guy. I think he could climb easily if we look at a Mecca Obuka, who we have questions about as a true number one and Chris Godwin if he is on the downside of his career. Yeah, I'm a little worried
Starting point is 00:46:56 about Godwin at this point. I haven't been clicking Godwin's name a whole lot. I'm a little concerned that I haven't been clicking Abuka's name enough. It's not somebody I'm out on. It's just one of those guys who I just haven't been clicking the name for whatever reason. If I just don't end up getting in a proper draft slot or somebody takes him beforehand. But McMillan's been kind of my guy that I've been drafting the most of this Buccaneers receiving group. He is one of my favorite deep sleepers. I just did a deep sleeper show with Ryan a couple weeks ago after you're done, listen to this pod, go back and listen the show Ryan and I did. He was one of my favorite picks too, Tom. It is small sample, but at the end of at the end of 2024, man, he was on a tear.
Starting point is 00:47:38 You look at his last 10 games, I think it was 10 or 11 games. The stat is like, basically he's been like averaging 13 ppr points per game. He's like wide receiver 24 over his last 10 games. It was a little bit of it, you know, infused by touchdowns at the end of that 24 season. and he had seven touchdowns on like 35 targets. Not going to sustain that touchdown rate. But like you said, they definitely are trusting him to kind of be the primary outside wide receiver. Ted Hurst can certainly play that kind of like vertical X receiver role. But I think they like McMillan quite a bit.
Starting point is 00:48:10 I think they told us exactly what they think about McMillan. I'm concerned about Godwin, Joe. I'm real concerned about Godwin. The tape last year was really bad. It's two major injuries now, the ACL and the ankle. This is a player I've loved my entire analyst career like it really pains me to say this But I I'm pretty concerned about Godwin long term He's now 30 just coming back from you know two major injuries man
Starting point is 00:48:34 It's just it's really tough We're talking deep wide receiver sleepers past 75 overall I was teasing early in the show Our guy Tom Browley is going to be coming out with the league winners values and targets article here Either today or tomorrow sometime this week If you have not already subscribed, you can use code fantasy. Use Gatel to save you 10% off any plan here at fantasypoints.com. Go to the plans page, type in fantasy in the promo code section, 10% off.
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Starting point is 00:49:47 The next, you're installing a shelf in the back room, running a business, means moving in many directions all the time. TD's new small business banking accounts are built for how your business moves. It's how we're making banking more human. Tom, back over to you. Next deep wide receiver sleeper. My last one here is Jalen Naylor for the Las Vegas Raiders. He's coming over from the Minnesota Vikings.
Starting point is 00:50:09 He's still wearing that purple jersey and his headshot here. But he'll have the silver and black on in the near future. This is another team. We've talked about, oh, well, you know, Stefan Diggs or, Debo, Samuel, one of these free agent wide receivers. Are they going to go to Jalen to Las Vegas? But I think if we look at what Jalen Naylor got, I think people kind of forget or they don't realize that they gave him 23 million guaranteed to come from Minnesota.
Starting point is 00:50:40 That is not a small chunk of change. That is not a one-year prove-it deal. That is we want you to kind of be the guy maybe this year. Maybe you eventually slide into the number two spot. We have big plans for you. And as Trey was dropping in the comments there, he is an ask God. He is one of these guys that always pops in our average separation score. Had a really great season in 2024.
Starting point is 00:51:05 Small drop off last year, but still, you know, running open a lot of times last year. His big problem was, you know, he's playing next to Justin Jefferson, guy who commands, you know, right at the top of the league in terms of targets. Then they have Jordan Addison as the, the, the, number two wide receiver, also a first round pick. He's going to get a lot of targets. But now Jalen Naylor, even at the start of his career, it was Adam Thielen was up in Minnesota. So he's had a lot of, you know, top tier talent ahead of him.
Starting point is 00:51:36 It kind of blocked him a little bit. But we did get to see some of those flashes over the last couple of years after Adam Thielen left. Now he really gets an opportunity to shine in Las Vegas with Kirk Cousins, a guy that he did have some snaps with early in his career in 2022 and 23. So Kirkie will be there. He gets to work with Fernando Mendo Mendoza. Clint Kubiak, they never overlapped up in Minnesota, but I'm sure he has a lot of friends still on that staff.
Starting point is 00:52:09 So, you know, 23 million guaranteed. I'd like that. I like that they have kind of refused to do anything at this wide receiver position. They're going to let Brock Bowers and Nays. and Trey Tucker kind of, you know, run with it and see what they do here with these young quarterbacks. So I think Jalen Ehler is a guy that, you know, don't really think of. He didn't have a pedigree coming out of Michigan State and wasn't a high pick or anything, but he really pops in our metrics. So I'm looking for him to take a step forward in his real, you know,
Starting point is 00:52:43 really his first opportunity to be a number one or number two wide receiver. Any interest in the motion man, Trey Tucker? I think he's. I think you can make the similar argument to him, right? Like, I just going a lot cheaper. I guess the Raiders are probably a threat to sign Stefan Diggs. I just don't know if Diggs wants to attach himself to a team that is not going to contend this year. Could you imagine Stefan Diggs in Vegas? Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:53:07 That doesn't sound like a good combo. Fernando would be out there trying to get him on the straight and narrow, but good luck with that. He's going to end up like that, you know, the meme of the two bros who, who, who, exchange shirts at the carding at the club. That's going to be Stefan Diggs on like a random Wednesday night in Vegas. But no, yeah, he should keep himself out of there. But no, I mean, I think this is a guy who's being paid to be their number one. I mean, he is being paid to be their number one, but he's not making number one receiver money. This is an easy click for me at this price. Yeah, I'm with you. I think if there is a player who can significantly beat their ADP in
Starting point is 00:53:45 this offense and actually be like a season long difference maker, it is nailer. We've seen enough small sample efficiency with in between his average separation score and just having a few good games here and there as you know the Vikings wide receiver four uh they did pay him a boatload of money like tom was saying and uh yeah jack bash remember that guy jack bash doesn't seem like he's really done much of anything he really got buried last year in training camp i have not heard any buzz around bash at all going into this season i'm i'm just i'm just out on pretty much all of these readers past catchers except big time on Brock Bowers and I'm with Tom. Jalen Naylor is a nice deep deep deep sleeper. Joe, we're going back to back deep wide receiver sleepers here. You're going real deep with yours.
Starting point is 00:54:28 I like these picks. Okay. So we are, if we're talking ass, we are going, we've got to go with one of the most underrated separators in the entire league. His name is A.D. Mitchell ad nine Mitchell, whatever you want to call him. Over the last two years, he leads the league tied with Pooka Nakuwa in separation win rate. So he is a, and he is a guy who gets open when he gets the opportunity. Now, there's been one major problem with A.D. Mitchell, the guy's throwing him the football. In 2025, he was second to last in EPA per target. Now, look, that is an offense stat because you look at the guys who were down at the bottom of the league,
Starting point is 00:55:11 Jerry Judy was by far the last. Justin Jefferson was just above. I love A.D. Mitchell. I think that speaks to that being a quarterback stat. Over the last two seasons, A.D. Mitchell has the league's worst, worst to best, catchable target rate. Only 57 per 6.6% of his targets have been deemed catchable over the last two years. Now, look, I made fun of Gino Smith as much as anybody last year, but Gino Smith is an upgrade over what A.D. Mitchell has played with with Justin Fields. And what was? that guy's a Brady Cook and Anthony Richardson, just a massive upgrade over these guys. If the Jets offensive line, which has a lot of young talent on it, can keep Gino Smith upright.
Starting point is 00:55:59 My biggest concerns, of course, are that I think the coaching staff might be full of bozos. Maybe Gino is completely washed, and Garrett Wilson just commands such a massive target share. Nonetheless, wide receiver 66, easy price for me to pay for one of the more under-raceous talented receivers in the league. Yeah, I like this pick, especially for like best ball. You know, I think he's really going to probably erupt for a couple of big games here. He's been one of these guys that's been inconsistent throughout his career. But I think he's going to have a couple of big performances.
Starting point is 00:56:32 And we saw it a little bit at the end of last season. Whenever he came over in the sauce gardener trade and Garrett Wilson was out of the lineup, he got an opportunity to kind of run as the number one with Brady Cook. and even then he still kind of fought through that and had some performances that were, you know, you know, halfway decent with a very poor quarterback play. So always been one of these guys who's very talented. And I think he's a fine pick, especially really late, as you said, Joe. This is a very deep sleeper.
Starting point is 00:57:05 Do you know Smith has like the new James Winston kind of like vibe going? Like he's not terrible like in terms of his catchable throw rate. over the last two seasons, Gino's actually QB8 and catchable throw rate. The only problem, there's only one big problem. The defense catches a lot of those. Yeah, the defense does catch a lot of them. He makes a lot of bad decisions.
Starting point is 00:57:24 The turnover worthy throw rate is also QB7 over the last two seasons. He has. Tua, Spencer Rattler, Anthony Richardson, Will Levis, James, my guy James, and Shudor Sanders. Those are the only quarterbacks that have a worse turnover worthy throw rate than Gino over the last couple of years. Honestly, that can be really fun for fantasy, though, because like for Gino in particular, I think this actually is a big, this is one of the major reasons I'm actually buying Garrett Wilson this year.
Starting point is 00:57:48 First time I've been buying Garrett Wilson in basically any of the last three years. Gino does have that like kind of out where he is like he does provide some like high floor catchable throw rate in terms of his, you know, his talent. But he also throws a lot of turnovers, which can be really fun for fantasy because it kind of speeds the game up, gives additional possessions in the game. short field as well if the other team gets the ball back and you know score sports real quick the Jets will get the ball back. Gino is he's been memed to a point now where I think his receivers, Joe, I'm with you. I think there's a few receivers on this team that are probably going to pop. Garrett Wilson like I said is the main buy.
Starting point is 00:58:28 I also kind of in on Kenyon Sadiq. I was talking to Chris Wech the other day. He was mentioning that he's like, I think we're going to look back on Kenyon Sadiq and be like, why weren't we drafting this guy like a lot more. aggressively. I'm with you that one of these guys is going to pop. AD Mitchell certainly could be that guy as well. This Jets defense could really stink this year. I think we might have like our perception of what this Jets defense was the last couple of years, but it could be really bad this year. Could be playing a lot of shootouts. Yeah, the defense might stink. And I think Joe's just right,
Starting point is 00:59:01 man. My concern is actually not Gino. It's Frank Reich and Aaron Glenn maybe just being dolts. like for real like Frank Reich he was awesome with the Eagles Joe like you can you can speak to this but everything else like he got fired real quick from the Colts he got fired real quick from the Panthers he went down to the college ranks last year I believe it was at Stanford and that offense really struggled I mean it's been it's not the last three stops of him he was helping them through like through like scandal and all that stuff so I mean that that that that's not one I want to place the blame on Frank Wright for he was helping out a buddy Andrew Luck there that's true yeah I mean, the Panthers and Colts' tenures were pretty, pretty bad.
Starting point is 00:59:40 I am interested to see if he's, like, evolved a little bit. You know, he's been, Frank Reich has been at the bottom of the league in terms of his motion rate and in terms of his play action rate. So maybe the year off, maybe he's learned a thing or two. You can teach you an old dog, new tricks. We'll see. But I am pretty interested in this Jets offense just because I think, I think Gino is maybe the sad as this is.
Starting point is 01:00:03 I mean, he's definitely the best quarterback that Gert Wilson has ever played with. Joe, final deep wide receiver sleeper. You're talking about a cowboy that's going way, way deep in fantasy this year. So, like, look, one of the things that I was thinking of with this is, if there was an injury at the wide receiver position for Dallas, like, where does Ryan Flournoy jump in the waiver wire column? Like, he might end up being the number one waiver wire pickup of the week. This is somebody who had a couple of moments last year with the Cowboys.
Starting point is 01:00:31 Obviously, C.D. Lamb dealing with some injuries. 40 catches for 475 yards and four touchdowns for Ryan Flournoy. The drumbeat continues to kind of hammer with that. Now, I don't necessarily anticipate Ryan Flournoy having true standalone value if C.D. Lamb and George Pickens are on the field. Just because those guys are going to suck up so many targets. And if Dak Prescott needs to go deeper in his progressions and it's third and six, he'll throw the ball to Jake Ferguson for six and a half yards. and Jake Ferguson will fall down.
Starting point is 01:01:04 That's kind of how their offense has operated. But this is a guy, Ryan Flournoy, who in EPA per route run last year, was sixth behind just Pooka and Akua, Jackson Smith and Jigba, Stefan Diggs, George Pickens, and Alec Pierce. This was somebody who was a winning player when the Cowboys threw him out on the field. And look, C.D. Lamb had some injuries last year. George Pickens, I'm not necessarily really concerned about George Pickens. I'm still taking him in the second third turn. but there's like a 5 to 10% chance that George Pickens is a flight risk this year.
Starting point is 01:01:37 You know, he's playing under the franchise tag. I think the Cowboys have determined that's the way to motivate him. But if George Pickens just packs up his bags and says, see ya, guys, I'm gone. Ryan Flournoy instantly jumps to the top of the waiver wire column at the position. Now, the one reason that I don't think Flournoy might contain standalone value alongside both Pickens and Lamb is because I anticipate this Cowboys defense, which was a league worse last year, to be close to.
Starting point is 01:02:02 are to league average, you know, especially improving at the safety position. But Ryan Flournoy has been one of my favorite best ball clicks. You know that this Cowboys offense is going to produce at a top 10 level, presuming Dak Prescott stays healthy. So this is just a really simple click for me. And I bet that, man, if George Pickens or C.D. Lamb were to get hurt, Ryan Flournoy probably is going to be ranked in our top 24 at wide receiver for those weeks. Yeah, I should just start preparing the blurb already, Joe. Just get it ready to throw it right at the top of the waiver wire article. Go pick up Ryan Flournoy. And for good reason, over 60% Roppert participation last year. He did that five times. Average 14.2 fantasy points per game. So those are pretty good numbers.
Starting point is 01:02:49 So he should get a bigger role anyway this season. Because they kind of found, you know, it was one of those. I don't think they really knew what they had in him until he started to play a little bit. bit more. CD Lamb, you know, missed a little bit of time and got him some opportunities to play. And now they think they have a pretty legit wide receiver here. So I think he's going to be playing in a lot more three wide receiver sets. And maybe he gets a little bit of standalone. I don't think so. But we're drafting this guy really late, especially if we got one of these deep benches, just the guy to go stick on your bench. And when the time comes, you have one of the top waiver wire pickups on your roster already.
Starting point is 01:03:30 In Dak Prescott's last three seasons that he's played at least 16 games, he's had at least 590 pass attempts and at least 30 touchdowns. There's a chance that there are multiple wide receivers that are usable here in fantasy. I've always been a big fan of Dak, and anytime he's been healthy, I mean, he's been just a print fest, his receivers between Lamb or really anybody that's been on the field with them. We even had that stretch last year where Lamb got hurt, and Jake Ferguson was like a top three fantasy tight end. He has been a kingmaker for fantasy.
Starting point is 01:03:58 I love this call. It's more of a best ball call, Joe, for Flournoy. I think, you know, just in cowboy stacks, he makes a ton of sense. So I like this quite a bit in that format. But, man, you know, Dac is just, he's always going to be my guy. I think he's still too cheap in fantasy. One and a half rounds later than Joe Burrow is just complete disrespect to Dach Prescott. Guys, this has been awesome.
Starting point is 01:04:20 Hour of 12 deep wide receiver sleepers, they're going to help you win your leagues. We got a comment here from 1, 2, 3, Dude Man 4. He wants us to do another six deep wide receiver sleepers for the sickos. Hey, listen. That's after hours. That'll be the after hours. Fantasy points after hours. I was about to say, Tom, you're going to have plenty of deep wide receiver sleepers in your article.
Starting point is 01:04:41 I've been teasing throughout the show. Chat, you guys have been awesome. This has been a great show. Check out the rest of the Fantasy Points YouTube lineup. If you have not already subscribed, hit the subscribe button, hit the notification bell as well so you don't miss out on any of the videos. And if you have a deep wide receiver sleeper that we missed, drop a comment down below. We'd love to hear from you guys.
Starting point is 01:05:00 Until the next show, we'll see you at the top of the league reports.

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