Fantasy Football Daily - 17 Upside Picks That Could BREAK Fantasy Football in 2026

Episode Date: June 5, 2026

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Can we utilize unknown upside to crush our fantasy drafts in 2026? That's him. That's the old cheat. Drafting for unknown upside, a lot of people talk about it. And what does unknown upside mean? Essentially, like, there's no, like, real definition of it. You know, people will throw out the term upside when they're, like, looking for a crutch argument as to whether we should draft this, maybe player in a new situation,

maybe a younger player, maybe a player that. has a lot of juice in terms of a new, newfound role on a team, potential usage. But drafting for unknown upside has been very beneficial to fantasy managers over the years. And we might be in a season where unknown upside pays off in a major, major way. The wait and see it first drafter, the drafter who needs to see it first, they've been getting away with it the last couple of years. You think about the success of running backs the last two years. years where older running backs, running backs past the age apex have performed unbelievably well.

We look at last year, Christian McCaffrey, 30 years old, finishes as the RB1 overall. And then for three seasons before that, you had three straight years of 27-year-old running backs hitting in a major way and finishing as the RB1 overall. So you have four straight years of older running backs who've been hitting in major ways. wide receivers have been getting a little bit better into their older age. Tight end, we've seen some guys break through in major, major ways, but we could be in a season where the comfort level for some of these drafters, drafting these guys who they've seen perform exceedingly well in years past,

it could catch up with them, especially at certain positions. So the general idea of unknown upside is players who are at a cost where we are in a potential situation where they could have their best season ever as a pro. That's pretty simple. There's so many players like this. I mean, you could go to the very top and it's like Jemir Gibbs could have his best season as a pro, but you're having to take him with the number two overall pick. Doesn't really apply.

And the guy's been an absolutely like a fantasy football weapon of mass destruction for the last couple of years. He doesn't really count. Certainly there's some wide receivers towards the top of the food chain that really, really count. certainly like a Drake London in round two. There's some unknown upside there. Could he get to the 20 point per game mark? But we're really looking at some players where there's going to be members of your league

who are going to let somebody else draft them because they haven't seen it yet. But when we're looking at these sort of players, you could get into a situation where the value that you're finding in 2026 in terms of ADP does not even exist in 2027. Every single player I'm going to talk about except for maybe one, has the ability to beat their ADP by several rounds and be way more expensive in 2027 because of their incredibly high performing season in 26. So the idea of drafting for unknown upside could be very much in play this year. It takes a little bit of like a foresight here where you have to sort of look into your crystal ball

and say this could happen this year, this player could explode. and when we're able to identify players with unknown upside who hit in a major, major way, then you're looking at potential league winners. You go back to last season, Jackson Smith & Jigba, sitting there in the two-three turn, and for a good portion of the summer, like you go back 365 days from today, you're talking about JSN was sitting there in the middle of the third round. And the reason was people were apprehensive about his new situation.

that he had to deal with Cooper Cup, that he might concede slot snaps, and all these little reasons to fade him. But the writing was on the wall that his role was going to be expanded. His average depth of target was going to go up. His ability to play on the outside was going to go up. The ability for him to be the focal point of the offense was going to go up. D.K. Metcalf was a Pittsburgh Stealer. Cooper Cup had arrived, and Jackson Smith and Jigba looked like he was going to be in position to have a newfound role. But there were drafters who actually faded that because they hadn't seen him perform in that sort of situation.

Now, that doesn't always happen, but there's also a number of other picks you go back and you say, why did I fade that guy that year? That guy exploded. Why couldn't I seen that coming? So we're going to attempt today to uncover some of these players in each and every round that have unknown upside and their ADPs could explode and be much higher in 2027.

You're looking at players. that if it all goes right, could be league winners in 2026. We've got to start out with Ashton Gentie in the first round. And Ashton Genties a really interesting one because you're having to pay a premium for him. But the premium is it high enough? With Ashton Genti, you know that the situation for him has improved. Clint Kubiak is now the play caller. And when we look at Clint Kubiak, Clint Kubiak oversaw Alvin Kamara in 2024 when Alvin Kamara averaged 19 points per game. And if you were drafting that year, Alvin Kamara was a massive, massive success in terms of an 80-p smash pick. If we recall, Clint Kubiak reopened Alvin Kamara's passing game usage, which had regressed the previous season.

And Kamara ended up having this really incredible season. And I think we could see that from Ashton Genti. Then people will say in the comments, Theo, I don't know if you were watching last year, but Clint Kubiak was frustrating to me with my running backs. Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet, that was a situation that was awful because I paid this third round, fourth round pick for Kenneth Walker,

and he ended up conceding all these touches to Zach Charbonnet. But if we look at what those backs were able to do in an aggregate, teaming up, the statistics were incredible. You're talking about 1,700 rushing yards last year combined for Charbonnet and Walker and 17 touchdowns. So when we look at the Vegas Raiders roster makeup, is there really a pressure on Ashton Genty with Mike Washington? I mean, I like Mike Washington. I like them as a prospect, but this feels more like a direct handcuff and a guy that might mix in more so than a threat to take away anything. So I look at Ashton Genty and I say the guy had 50.

55 catches. 55 catches last year as a rookie. And what was the real like negative about him at Boise State was, oh, this guy didn't catch any passes? Is he going to be able to do it as a pro? 55 catches as a rookie is outstanding. And is there a chance that Ashen Genty, with the unknown upside at his selection, could end up getting there with 75 catches? I mean, if you get 75 catches, we're already justifying this high price tag, regardless of him exploding in terms of his rushing production. Now, if the rushing production explodes and we get to 75 catches, then you're talking about a player who could be like the running back three this year and really, really challenge some of those picks ahead of them. So Gentie, you're able to get sort of in the tail end

of the first round, but if the Raiders offense can break through, and if Ashton Gentie has this unbelievable usage, then I think Gentie would have an opportunity to really not only pay off in this price tag, but be a player who is drafted much, much higher in 2027. And just think about how he was rated coming out of Boise State. This was a player that everyone was excited about. This was like a, the next one at the running back position. And what did he have to deal with last year? Terrible offensive line play, terrible quarterback play, a coaching staff that was on the way out, Pete Carroll. I mean, this was a bad situation that has now become incredibly good. So Ashton, Janty, first player on the list, and really the only first rounder. The first round

right now, it's really hard to find players unless you go to like the very top with like Bijan and Jameer Gibbs that could have their best season ever as a pro. I'm on Jemar Chase being the triple crown winner leading all wide receivers in every category this year and being the wide receiver one, but you're having to use like the second, third, fourth pick on him. JSN, top six pick. Jonathan Taylor, top seven pick. You're having to obviously use a top seven pick on Pukua. Like the first round, everybody sort of makes sense.

The one player that has this sort of upside outcome, Ashton Genty, but it takes a little bit of a leap of faith that the situation is going to get better. Big shout out to the live chat. Yesterday was awesome. Make sure you check out the show we did with Graham Barfield, broke down each and every wide receiver room. And then I get to the YouTube comments. We thought we hit all 32 teams.

We actually did 30 teams. So we missed Seattle. We missed San Francisco. Graham will be back here and we'll quickly cover those teams. I don't think I need to tell any of you guys. Jackson Smith & Jigbo will be the number one target in Seattle this year. San Francisco a little bit more interesting. I think Mike Evans probably the number one target if he stays healthy.

Number two could probably be an interesting conversation. Purcell's already banged up and George Kittle banged up as well. So interesting team is probably going to be Christian McCaffrey. again right there with Mike Evans. But we'll talk about it when Graham's back, probably next week for Graham Barfield. But yeah, big shout out to all the people who have been showing up at 10 in the morning

watching live. And then a big shout out to the podcast audience who have helped grow this show over the last season. Let's keep it going. We talked Ashton Genty, and I guess these two will be sort of tethered hand in hand. You're seeing in occasional drafts where this player will go ahead of Ashton Genty,

and then you're seeing other drafts where this player goes in the second round. you're seeing some like very smart people like my friend sigman bloom over at football guys sort of bringing up what the downside risk for a player like omari and hampton could be but the upside that omari and hampton represents in the second round is just outstanding stuff you talk about mike macdaniel taking over his offensive coordinator and like this is a guy that just raises ADPs for everybody like everybody's head over heels for for lad mcc He's head over heels for Omari and Hampton.

People are sort of chasing. Could there be in a Ronde-Gadsden season, a Quentin Johnson season? Because it's just this optimism that Mike McDaniels gets there. They get back Joe Alt. They get back Rayshon Slater. They've signed a number of interior offensive linemen that can really help that O line. It's such an easy argument that the Chargers are going to score a lot this year and be a breakthrough offense.

But how good could this be for Omari and Hampton? When you look at O'Marian Hampton, much like Ashton Jente, you're talking about a first round pick out of the 2025 draft. Unbelievable production at North Carolina put up ridiculous numbers there in an offense where one year was alongside Drake May. And then he continued to perform when Drake May moved on to the NFL. But O'Mary and Hampton last year we saw it. And I understand that Kamani Vidal was good last year. and I understand that Kamani Baidal took away some pass catching opportunities for him, especially down the stretch.

I understand Keaton Mitchell is just cool as hell as a guy for you to draft on your best ball teams and have on your roster and dynasty. Don't get a twisted. I love Keaton Mitchell. I think he's awesome, but I don't think he's a real threat. I think he's more of a manufactured touch guy. I think he's a player that has a weekly role, but not really a threat to Omari and Hampton specifically. But you look at like Mike McDaniel.

He's a running back whisperer. You had obviously Devon A. Chan, our guy who's been just cooking the last couple of years. Last year goes over 20 points per game, had many opportunities as a pass catcher, and had that unbelievable rookie season where he ran for over seven yards per carry. But you also look at Rahim Mostert. And Rahim Mostert had a season in 2023 where he scored 21 touchdowns. And I think that's sort of a very simplistic way to look at Omar. Hampton. But if this offense explodes, Omarian Hampton is going to be the touchdown guy.

Could there be a scenario where Amari and Hampton scores 15 rushing touchdowns and is just an absolute hammer of a value inside of the second round? Even if we don't see some massive explosion in terms of the receptions, I think he's going to be very efficient as a runner. I think he's going to be an opportunistic pass catcher, but it's really the touchdown equity. And I know there's going to be people out there saying it's very difficult for us to predict touchdowns. That's not something we should really chase. But we've sort of seen it with these sort of offenses with McDaniel. The running backs perform exceedingly well. When you look at O'Mary in Hampton, he has this incredible pedigree, great size. He has the physical makeup and the pedigree to become an absolute

bell cow running back this year. So I think O'Mary and Hampton inside of round two is one of the biggest upside selections you can make. Even though, it costs you sort of an early second round pick. Now, if you want to look at a player that's probably a little bit more like a two, three turn guy, and in some leagues, this player could have been a third round pick. It's Jeremiah Love. And I understand there's a lot of downside risk here where Jeremiah Love is right now in a backfield with Tyler Al Jir, who was continually sort of a thorn in Bejohn Robinson fantasy manager's side during his rookie year. It's like, is this Groundhog Day?

Is this going to be a rookie that we draft really early? And Tyler Algier sort of like hurts the situation and sort of blocks him from having this unbelievably productive season. And then you have James Connor, who the team has absolutely adored for years and years. Anytime there's like a New Jersey drop like or anything on like the Cardinals website, it's always like James Connor front and center. He's been like this guy that the franchise just loves. He announced a dress.

draft pick this year at the NFL draft. But with Jeremiah Love, what if those guys are not a factor? And what if this is Michael LeFleur and coming over from being in the Sean McVeigh tree and Michael McFleur is just really smart? I mean, is that too simple for me to even say? What if Michael LaFleur is like, okay, and you're hearing also another another take going around in fantasy circles is this one's funny to me. It's the Cardinals are not playing for 2026. So they're going to limit Jeremiah Love's volume in 2026. It's such a weird, weird argument. And it's so, like, nuanced and so, like, making things, like, super, like, complicated.

I get the Tyler Al Jir and James Connor taking away touches from him argument. Those guys have scored points in fantasy for us in years before, and they're both pretty good at football. But I do not get the one about, like, limiting his volume so we can keep him fresh for his career. I don't, I don't buy that. But I look at Jeremiah Love and it's like, We talk about Jemir Gibbs at the top of drafts. And Jeremiah Love has some of those traits, the home run hitting ability, the ability to catch passes, the elusiveness, but he has great size on top of that.

So like they spent the number three overall pick on Jeremiah Love. If you look at some of the points per game averages of some of these running backs who have been drafted inside a round one, Jeremiah Love, this early in round one, historically, Jeremiah Love right now looks like a little bit of a value where I get him at the three turn. So like with Jeremiah Love, is there a scenario out there where Jeremiah Love can be in discussion to be a top three pick in the 27 fantasy football draft in like every single format? Is there a scenario where Jeremiah Love could this be like, and this is like almost sacrilege,

could there be a scenario where Jeremiah Love is in discussion with like the big two in Dynasty where like Bejohn Robinson and Jemir Gibbs and then Jeremiah. I love. That's sort of like the ranking for dynasty running backs when we get to the end of the season. And there'll be a cause some people saying, well, look, Jeremiah I love did it on Arizona with Jacoby Brissette and Carson Beck. But look at how many passes he caught. Look at all these long touchdowns. And the situation could get better next year. Like this guy should be in that same discussion. So I look at Jeremiah Love and I understand the downside risk. But I also understand the extreme upside case that he presents. And it's sort of like a could this coaching staff be just really,

smart and could this coaching staff just say this is it this is our offensive focal point we know we've got these wide receivers we know we got tray mcbride but getting this guy the ball is going to make our offense way more threatening to opposing defenses and the home run hitting ability the ability to the ability to produce big plays in the offense takes the pressure off of pretty much everything else we do offensively jeremiah love upside case really, really, really high. Big shout out to everybody in the chat. If you're enjoying this,

make sure you hit that like button and make sure you subscribe to Fantasy Points YouTube and also Fantasy Points Dynasty YouTube. I'm going to drop a new Dynasty Life should be dropping soon, but you got to watch that on Fantasy Points, Dynasty YouTube.

Make sure you check out the show I did with Andrew Cooper this week. Make sure you check out the show that I did with Graham Barfield this week. We've been dropping some, oh, and of course, School of Scott. Scott Barrett and I did a really fun one this week too. So those are all in our previous YouTube shows.

So we talked about round two. We covered two guys in round two. We obviously covered Ashen Genti in round one. Let's go into the third round. From the pitch to the stands to communities around the world. The beautiful game is coming to our beautiful country. Uniting fans around a shared passion. Now you have the opportunity to hold this chapter of Canadian soccer history in the palm of your hands.

Score the FIFA World Cup 2026, $1 coin, day. Look forward in your change. And the third round is really where we find league winners. Oftentimes, this is the round where you find these players who hit way, way, way above their weight class in this round. It's like, think about last year with JSN and then you go back to 2021 Cooper Cup. There's been many years where the third round has produced in a major, major way. Just go back, look through some of your old drafts, go look at some of these ADPs from previous seasons. and look at the third round. There are massive hits, but then there are also massive misses.

This is also a round where you get like some dead zone type running backs historically. You get some wide receivers who might be pulled up in like the gravitational pull of like chasing wide receiver ones. And they end up sort of backfiring and not producing at all in this sort of range. So third round, we've got to be careful. But we've also got to look for upside. And I guess I'm saying upside all the time. but that's the subject of the show. Shout out to the chat.

Devanta Smith, it's got to talk about them because DeVantza Smith just had a fantasy football blackjack split. It's A.J. Brown, Devonta Smith, both of their fantasy trajectories for 2026 just got better because of the trade. And Devontas Smith, like, when we look at the fantasy points data, and you can go check it out, go to Fantasy Points Data Suite. There's a lot of very cool free stuff over on the site.

but if you go to Fantasy Points Data Suite and you look at like what A.J. Brown was able to do the last couple of years analytically. The wide receiver one role in Philadelphia has been absolutely money. A.J. Brown has been top 10 in Target share, first read rate. And I believe also, correct me if I'm wrong on this one in the chat,

if anybody's looking at the data suite, Air Yard share for three straight years. Like A.J. Brown has been an absolute monster in terms of usage. Now that number one role will slide over to Devontas Smith. Does he have the ceiling to put up a 2022 A.J. Brown season, a 2023 A.J. Brown season? I'm not sure about that. But I do think DeVant to Smith can offer us a 17.5 point per game type

season out of round three. He's averaged 15 plus points per game twice in his career. Can he give us 17 and a half points, maybe an 18 point per game season out of the third round of drafts? that would be an absolute monster hit at that range. Not getting to 20 points per game, I think that's a huge ask. I don't think this is a JSN. It's definitely not a JSN situation, but this could be a 17 and a half,

18 point per game wide receiver, sitting there in round three. And it's funny, when we look at Genti, when we look at Omarin Hampton, and we look at Jeremiah Love, you're talking about players who are very, very young. With Devonta Smith, it's a veteran, but it's unknown upside because we haven't seen him in a wide receiver room without A.J. Brown

since his rookie season. And Daniel Cesari in the chat is saying he thinks Mackay Lemon's going to get involved. I think McCai Lemon's going to be very involved. And you might even hear Mackay Lemon's name coming up shortly. But McKay Lemon, let's say McCai Lemon beats expectations and steps into the Devontas Smith role, It's still going to be a very consolidated passing tree where the target tree with the wide receivers and then maybe then a Dallas Goddard slash Eli Stowers at the tight end position and then a lot of touches for Sequin Barclay. I think that the Philadelphia Eagles are going to be a team that's not difficult for us to predict the weekly usage on.

So keep an eye on Devontas Smith at his current ADP. And if it starts steaming up like way, way high up, especially in start three wide receivers. for formats. That's a different conversation. But right now, I know I've drafted where Devontas Smith has come to me at the very end of the third round. I'm able to get upside and I'm able to get a player in a newfound role that could be very, very fantasy friendly. Also, you have a new offensive coordinator in Philly and Sean Manion who's going to change some things up. This team could be a little bit more pass happy than maybe some of the prognosticators and projections people out there are alluding to. So Devontas Smith, round three. Fourth round,

I got two of them. You probably guessing them. Anybody who, anybody who's like following fantasy football right now, the fourth round is just littered with some of these unknown upside type plays. And we got to start talking about Emeka Agbuka. And a Mecca Egg Buka, like, we saw it last year. A mecha egg Buka, there's a universe where a mecha egg Buka doesn't get hurt in like week six. and keeps up this points per game, and we're having to take him at like the two, three turn right now. But he ended up scoring very poorly over the second half of the season.

But if we look at what Egbuka was able to do at the beginning of last season, it was very special. It was a first round pick for Tampa Bay on a team where you had two veteran presence guys in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and Egbuka just got completely fast-track. The vibes for him in last office.

offseason were immaculate. Emeka, Abuka had all the steam in June, July, August, crushed it at OTAs, crushed it at mandatory minicamp, crushed it in training camp,

and just produced at a major level at the beginning of the season. Egbuka was averaging about 20 points per game through five weeks. This is a player where we saw him, 20.4 points per game in his first five games to the 2025 season. Ask yourself this.

if Egbuka was a zero to start out the year or simply did what he did for the last 10 games of this previous season, but he did it at the beginning of the season and then scored like this in his last five games of the regular season, where would he be in terms of the enthusiasm level? I think if Egbuka had averaged 20 and a half points per game for his final five regular season games and did it in the fantasy playoffs, people would be head over heels about this year two wide receiver who's about to light the NFL on fire. So Egbuka, for me, there's massive upside for him this year in this range. Could he have 150 targets this year? I think that's in the range of outcomes.

And I think Tampa Bay is going to lean on him. And I think throughout the summer, this is going to be a drum beats guy that you're going to have drum beats that are very, very positive. You're already starting to see a little bit of the hype train where Buck's social media, dropped this absurd one-handed catch that he dropped. All the beat reporters were saying that he's sort of leading the room. And it's pretty easy to see why. You've got Egbuka, then you've got Chris Godwin, who will give you about as much as he can handle this year

as an older wide receiver sort of in the tail end of his productivity. And that's not a slight. Godwin's been fantastic for fantasy football, but Godwin injured last year. I don't think we're going to get back to 2024 Chris Godwin levels. Then you look at Jalen McMillan, another guy where the vibes are strong, year three guy, sort of a post-type sleeper here,

had a very strong end of his rookie year. Tess Johnson flashed last year. Then you've got, of course, Ted Hurst, the rookie out of Georgia State that the Bucks used a third round pick on. But Egbuka is the guy there. This is the guy. And when you look at sort of with a new offense there with Zach Robinson coming over,

Zach Robinson was not perfect by any means in Atlanta. Like I could be the offensive coordinator for Atlanta, and I could get Bijon Robinson and Drake May, Drake London and Kyle Pitts some fantasy points. I think a lot of people watching here could do that. I would give Zach Robinson's performance in Atlanta like, what are we giving them, a B minus, something like that. But what we saw from Drake London, like a 28% target share, I think, and multiple seasons of like 16 plus points per game, I think that's what we're looking for from Igbuka this year. then you go to the dream scenario Zach Robinson coming over from like L.A.,

could we see some, dare I say it, Cooper Cup type usage? I don't think we're there, but I do think that Ammeca Egbuka has a chance to really, really deliver this year out of round four. And I think he's a very simple bet based on his teammate target competition. Then you factor in the Bucky Irving being banged up. It could be a little bit more of a running back,

not quite by committee, but more of a split backfield. Gainwell is going to catch a lot of passes, Bucky Irving when he plays, and then the threat of Sean Tucker. But Emeka Egbuka looks to me like he's going to be the offensive focal point for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers,

and I can get him inside a round four. Then when we go a little later in round four, you're talking about the four or five turn. We're talking about Luther Burden. And this is sort of the ultimate unknown upside player because the sample size was so small. And last year, we were boxed out by DJ Moore, and we were also boxed out unexpectedly,

by Olamedi Zakaas. This feels like a Ben Johnson guy. It feels like Ben Johnson slow played him last year, and it feels like he could explode this year. There was a number of metrics analytically that support Luther Burden. You talk about like yards per route run, those sort of metrics.

Luther Burden really performed very, very well there. And you talk about just sort of the eye test. Luther Burden looks explosive with the ball in his hand, looks like a player who could absolutely explode in terms of production. Then you talk about Ben Johnson's slot usage, how he could be an absolute kingmaker with parking Luther Burden, moving him around the formation, but getting him valuable slot snaps. Then you factor in Roma Dunesay dealing with a foot injury. I understand Colston Loveland, and Colston Loveland really could have gone in this conversation, but Colson Loveland's already getting steamed up to the second round in FFPC.

He's already getting steamed up pretty highly in NFFC on an underdog draft Kings. So like people get what Colston Loveland is. But I think that there is going to be drafters with Luther Burden, especially drafters who look at counting stats. And they're going to look at Luther Burden's rookie year and say, this guy might not be for me. And it's a threat that Roma Dunzee could be the number one target there. And it's a threat that Colston Loveland could be the number one target there.

But then there's also a chance that Luther Burden just goes insane this year, gets the slot usage. You talk about Amman Ross St. Brown in Detroit. you also talk about being connected to Jarvis Landry early on in his career, Ben Johnson. So, like, Luther Burden, to me, this is a player that could just go nuts this year. And when you get him at the four or five turn, there's downside risk, but that's a landmine area where you talk about like dead zone running backs in that range. You talk about maybe some wide receivers getting older in that range. And then you take burden where we didn't see it last year, but we could see it this year in a major way.

And with regards to with regards to Jeremiah Love with regards to obviously a mecha, Agbuka and with Burden, we're benefiting from last season. Because last season you had we'll get to Jeremiah Love.

Last season you had Ashton Genti who averaged like 14 and a half points per game. People were taking him at the one two turn and he was not a great pick there. He didn't end up giving you a very high win rate. Then you look at year two wide receivers. year two wide receivers have been a big source of fantasy football value in many, many seasons. But in 2025, those picks burned you.

You had Brian Thomas Jr., one of the worst picks you could have made. You had Ladd McConkey, one of the worst picks you could have made. And then you had Malik neighbors who got injured. So like year two wide receivers burned people in 2025. So look at it now. A mecca, Egbuka, Burden, Tetero McMillan, all three of those guys cost you a pretty high ADP. but maybe the enthusiasm level is being tempered for those guys, much like it is for Jeremiah Love because of what happened in 2025.

Exactly a situation that I think we can exploit as fantasy managers. Let's talk about round five. And now we're starting to talk about running backs a little bit more. Let's talk Bachel Tutin. Because Bachel Tutin has steamed up a little bit, solidified himself inside of round five. And there's a lot of people going to roll their eyes on this one. And they're going to say, this is Chris Rodriguez, this is a split backfield,

this is a situation that I would like to avoid. But then there's also drafters who are going to look at Bachel Tutin and say the upside is there and this is a situation where he could end up hitting in a major way. Now, do you have to take a Bachel Tutin in round five? Absolutely not. But I just want to bring up sort of the upside argument for him. We have the Liam Cohen offense that was incredibly beneficial to not only Travis A. Chan slash ETN last year, but also to Bucky Irving in the second half of the year in 2024.

So we have hit rates for Liam Cohen backs doing very well for us in fantasy football. Then you factor in the enthusiasm level that this organization had in terms of drafting Bachel Tootin. This was like James Gladstone's guy. They loved his analytical profile. When we talk about Bachel Tootin, this is one of the more athletic running backs in the NFL in terms of straight line speed. in terms of speed score, in terms of a lot of metrics like that, really just rip the combine to shreds, big time performer athletically.

Interesting storyline for him. He played at North Carolina A&T. Transfers up to Virginia Tech, does great there, goes to the Senior Bowl, gets that fourth round draft capital. And at this time last summer, there were people thinking he could lead the Jacksonville Jaguars in fantasy scoring at the running back position over Travis E.T.N. slash a chan so for me uh that was one where we never wanted to we were not we were not like taking

them every single draft but we understood the on the upside scenario uh presented with tootin last year and i'm seeing this depth chart on my screen right here showing chris rodriguez ahead of tooting right now so like chris rodriguez missed some ota ota time with injury chris rodriguez is a zero as a pass catcher so i understand that chris rodriguez produces in terms of like he's a guy that I think coaches like. Obviously, he's going to reunite with Liam Cohen after being there at Kentucky. Look at Chris Rodriguez last year had some positive moments in Washington. But I think some of the Chris Rodriguez enthusiasm is just a little crazy.

I'm going to bet on Bachel Tootin. I don't need to draft him all the time. But I think if a running back in Jacksonville is going to deliver in a major way, it's going to be Tootin. I think there's a scenario where Bachel Tootin, could end up being the goal line back, produce as a touchdown score around the goal line in the red zone. Then I also think he could be the player that they're doing manufactured design looks in the passing game for, such as screen passes. So I think he could do enough as a receiver and enough as a runner that he ends up beating this sort of ADP. I understand the downside risk, but this has been a coordinator slash head coach that has delivered for us for two straight years.

And I think Jacksonville Jaguar running back delivers in a major way this year, it is going to be Bachel Tootin. He also has that home run hitting ability. And if we want to go to like historical comparisons of where we're at, do we remember Chase Brown year two? This feels like Chase Brown year two a little bit. Chase Brown was dealing with Zach Moss. And we had these conversations all summer long, should you draft Zach Moss or should you draft Chase Brown? Chase Brown had a tiny, tiny sample size as a rookie, even smaller than Bachel Tutans. Chase Brown was like Bachel Tutin, a day three pick with a ton of athleticism, a senior

bowl participant. Like there's so many parallels here. Cincinnati, obviously a plus offense like Jacksonville. And you had an opportunity for Chase Brown a few games in where Moss gets a little banged up. The usage flips to Chase Brown. Chase Brown runs with it. has this unbelievable season. So I think there's some parallels between year two,

Bachel Tutin and year two Chase Brown. Is it a hundred percent going to happen? Absolutely not. Do you have to take Bachel Tutin the fifth round? I don't think you do, but I think you should be open-minded to the value that he presents from an upside scenario.

Another running back who, I don't know if this is going to make people mad, talk a little bit of Jadarian Price, because Jadarian Price also going in this late fifth round. Late fifth round feels, a little bit like drafters trying to play catch up at the running back position

where a lot of like hero running back starts. So you miss out on your running back two and you've got to like push one of these guys in. So I understand it. Judarian Price 30 second overall pick in the NFL draft. Some of the Judarian Price haters,

faders and doubters were in complete shambles and disarray when the Seahawks called his name in the first round. And I get it. It was the last pick in the first round, but it was still the first round. Then Seattle did not have a ton

of picks to make in this NFL draft, and they chose to go with Judarian Price. Look at the beginning of round two. Look at a ball those defensive linemen, those defensive backs, and look at all of the talent that went at the beginning around two this year. Just forget offensive side of the ball.

There was a number of players where, if they would have taken some of those guys at 32 overall, I think people would have been a little bit more comfortable with that selection for Seattle. Instead, they go Judarian Price. Jedarian Price has a lot of really strong attributes for us in fantasy football. And I think if you want to go very simplistic, he's stepping into, and get it, I see Mark Lambert saying part-time college players is not a good predictor of NFL success. But he was also playing alongside a truly remarkable special player who was drafted number three overall in the NFL draft.

This is not Judarian Price conceding touches to some second round pick and were sort of like, oh, but he conceded touches to this guy who went 50th overall. No, he conceded touches in a major way to Jeremiah Love. But on a per touch basis, Judarian Price was very strong and the NFL viewed him as a good enough player to take at the end of the first round. He has home run hitting ability. This is a player that I think steps directly into a Kenneth Walker role. And Brett Whitefield made the.

comparison between Judarian Price and Kenneth Walker when we were doing our evaluative process on the 26 NFL draft podcast. And that sort of opened my eyes. Obviously, there are some differences in the game, but stylistically, I think he can do a lot of what Kenneth Walker does. Then we look at what the Kenneth Walker role could mean this year. Last year, the Kenneth Walker role was frustrating for us because, again, it was a lot of Zach Charbonnet. But we have a ton of, we a complete lack of clarity as to when Zach Charbonnet will return right now. And you've got Judarian Price with a chance to be incredibly productive right out of the gate. Is there a chance that Judarian Price could be a running back one through the first six games of the season?

I think so. And when you look at the teammate competition, you're going to get all sorts of reports out of camp about George Halani, Emmanuel Wilson, these guys getting touches, these guys getting snaps with the first team offense. but you're talking about backs who were undrafted types versus a first round pick. At the end of the day, Judarian Price has by far the highest ceiling of any Seattle Seahawks running back this year. And again, how many games is Zach Charbonnet going to miss this year? Is Zach Charbonnet even a guarantee to play this year? The organization loves Charbonnet, and I think that there's a certain level of toughness he brings to the position that coaches gravitate towards.

but there's also a chance that he doesn't make a debut until after week 10. So with Judarian Price, I get off to a very fast start. I do not believe in his teammate competition at the running back position. And I think he is going to do better than a lot of fantasy people are projecting him to do. So I get his fifth round price tag. Am I more comfortable taking him the sixth round? Sure. But the sixth round is absolute fire right now.

There are some fantastic values for us in round six. And we're going to talk about him right now. Again, big shout out to the chat. Make sure you hit that like button. Also hit the subscribe button. We are nearing 25,000 subs. We're going to get there sometime really, really soon. But do us a favor, subscribe to the channel because it doesn't cost you anything.

And it helps us out a great deal. Let's talk about round six. And round six is one of my favorite rounds right now. I think it's going to get choppier as we get deeper into the summer. It always does. Some of these guys we love in the sixth round, and we talk about, we'll get pulled into round five. Some guys are going to get injured,

and some of these high upside guys in round six are going to get pulled into round five, maybe even round four. You know how it is. ADP steam moves the needle. It doesn't really change the first round, but these sort of rounds, you've got to stay on your toes

and sort of roll with the punches. First guy I'm going to talk about it. I'm going to talk about Carnell Tate, because Carnell Tate is awesome. And Carnell Tate is not getting the respect he deserves in terms of ADP. carnell tate was the fourth overall pick in the NFL draft and carnell tate is going to be not only the number one target on tennessee and respect to wondell robinson wondell robinson 140 targets back-to-back years this guy's a professional target earner but carnal tate's

going to out-target him this year and carnell tate is going to be the focal point of the tennessee offense he's an alpha wide receiver and he can do alpha things and he had alpha draft capital and when you hear cam ward talk about him This is his guy. This is Cam Ward's guy. And this is Cam Ward's chance to take a huge step in year two. Now that's not a given. Cam Ward could also fail this year. But if Cam Ward takes the big step that we think he's capable of,

then it's going to be utilizing Carnell Tate exceedingly high levels. The usage for Carnell Tate is going to be extremely good. And when I look at the situation he's in, I have Brian Dable as my offensive coordinator here. Brian Dable was the offensive coordinator in Buffalo when they went and traded for a guy who finished as a high-end wide receiver three in Minnesota. He had his worst year as a pro fantasy-wise, gets traded to Buffalo, goes in like the sixth round in the NFFC, was sort of a high-end wide receiver three in terms of ADP. And it was Stefan Diggs. And Stefan Diggs went about this same range.

Stefan Diggs, we saw that insane, absurd usage. And I get it. This is not Josh Allen. But Josh Allen did not have a sample size of elevating a player to this level until he got a high pedigree wide receiver like Stefan Diggs. Brian Dable fast-tracked Stefan Diggs. And I get it. Diggs is a stud.

Diggs has been a fantasy football superstar. I don't think Carnell Tate is going to finish near the top, like wide receiver one overall. I'm not nuts. But we did see Brian Diggs. fast-track the situation and lean into a new pass catcher. Then we saw him do it again. Brian Dable as a head coach drafts Malik Neighbors inside the top 10, much like Carnell Tate.

And Malik Neighbors was a better prospect than Carnell Tate. I'm not, again, I'm not trying to go like too crazy with this one. But with Malik Neighbors, the usage was absurd. It was like the highest target share in the NFL, the highest first read rate in the NFL, the highest air yard share in the NFL. Malik Neighbors broke fantasy points data in his first year as a pro, had the most catches by a rookie wide receiver ever that year, like absurd stuff from Malik Neighbors. I think it's still Malik Neighbors in Puka back to back in terms of the most

catches by a rookie wide receiver ever. Double check that one, anybody in the chat. Brock Bowers obviously had more catches than Malik Neighbors that rookie year, but Neighbors only played like 14 games. So we saw Malik neighbors put up wide receiver one numbers as a rookie. We saw Stefan Diggs do it his first year in Buffalo. And both of these guys crushed their ADP. I think Carnal Tate could crush his ADP as well.

Could Carnell Tate be the wide receiver 15 this year? I think he could. This might be too hype, but I think Carnell Tate hype is absolutely warranted. And I'll tell you who's not slow playing Carnal Tate is the Tennessee Titans organization. This guy's going to have a massive role. And if you follow the Tennessee beat reporters, it's the drum beats. This is sort of like Egbuka last year, where Igbuka starts moving up and up and up in ADP all summer long. I think Carnell Tate is in a position to absolutely smash this year as a sixth round pick.

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every style, every home. Another player who is in position to really smash this year as a six-round pick is Christian Watson. Christian Watson yesterday got the bag. Christian Watson had a massive contract given to him by the Green Bay Packers. We'll get the details up on the screen. Ten games played last year for Christian Watson, and he was really, really good last year. Christian Watson was fantastic in a short sample size.

and Christian Watson also was explosive, healthy. Like this was Christian Watson that we were really hadn't seen at like this level since he just came on the league like in terms of like an unbelievable force of nature his rookie year. Rookie year he was a second round pick out of North Dakota State, senior bowl standout, incredible athlete, missed the beginning portion of the year, then got fast tracked, was like a wide receiver top 15. I believe he was top 15 wide receiver for like first six games of his career. Aaron Rogers just leaned into him as his number one target like right out of the gate.

And Christian Watson looked like a force of nature on film. Ball would go in his hands and he would outrun NFL at NFL cornerbacks and safeties and just exploded with long touchdowns. Like so much promise his year one. Then we've dealt with all these injuries. Green Bay like incredible. incredibly patient with him, stood by him, extended him, and now gave him this massive contract extension. So, like, I look at Christian Watson and I'm like, what could a full, healthy season of Christian

Watson look like for us in fantasy football? It could look unbelievable. Then we look at Green Bay, and I think Green Bay is going to be a little bit more pass happy this year. They sort of have to. If you are doing self-scouting in that building in Green Bay, you're like, I went out last year I lost to Chicago in a close one. Year before we got smoked by the Philadelphia Eagles. That game wasn't even close. Woodshed in the NFL playoffs by the Philadelphia Eagles. So it's two straight years.

An organization that has considered themselves an NFC contender has gone out in like disappointing, heartbreaking fashion in back-to-back playoffs. I think they're going to get back to letting Jordan Love cook a little bit. And I think you're going to get back to the passing game being a little bit more effective for fantasy football. and that's going to be built around Christian Watson. I understand the appeal of Jaden Reed. I understand the appeal of Matthew Golden,

but neither one of those guys are a threat to Christian Watson. Tucker Kraft coming off of a major injury, sort of situation flipped here. Watson's now the healthy guy. Tucker Kraft, we want to make sure he's back fully healthy when we get to training camp. Tucker Kraft is fine. This is not an anti-Tucker Kraft case.

This is a bull case for Christian Watson. I think Christian Watson is a proper, alpha wide receiver that's going to have his best season as a pro. And I'm able to get him in round six because of injury discounts. But when it comes to Christian Watson, the Green Bay Packers just told you a whole lot yesterday with the contract they gave him. They're not worried about his past injuries right now. They are worried about beating the market and not having to pay even more to Christian

Watson after he goes nuts this year. I think it's that simple. And I think people are overthinking this one. Christian Watson and Carnell Tate in round six. And there's times you can get them both. It's a great time to be alive when you've access to these kind of players in the sixth round of drafts. Big time alpha wide receivers who can be focal points of their entire offenses. We'll go into round seven.

And round seven, we'll talk Parker Washington. And I understand this one where BTJ is also in a very similar range. So like if you tell me you want to draft BTJ over Parker Washington, that is completely fine. And we had this conversation with Scott Barrett when the two of us drafted a 350 where you can draft BTJ and Parker Washington on the exact same team in multiple formats right now. But with Parker, with BTJ, we've already seen it. It's year one BTJ was special. If we can get back to 80%, 85% of year one BTJ, then BTJ is going to pay off at his current ADP price tag. BTJ was dealing with a bunch of injuries last year.

we're not re-litigating BTJ, and this is not an anti-BTJ take. We are pro-B-T-J when he's in this range, but he doesn't really fall into the unknown upside category. Parker Washington, though, does. Parker Washington is only 24 years old, and if we look at what Parker Washington was able to do at the end of last season, he had 18 points or more in five of his last seven games, including the NFL playoffs.

And we look at that game where Jacksonville played the Buffalo Bills. That was a tough loss for Jacksonville. But what did they do in that game offensively against the Buffalo Bills when it all mattered the most and the game was on the line? They continually went to Parker Washington. That was a touchdown score. That was 20 plus points scored. That was over 100 receiving yards. I believe you can double fact check that.

I don't have it open on the screen right now. But Parker Washington put up a 20 burger in the NFL playoffs. So again, 18 points scored for Parker Washington in five of his last seven games. now we're getting reports from reputable Jacksonville beat reporters that Jacksonville is doing what they can to extend Parker Washington and give him a three-year contract. So I think once Parker Washington gets the bag, it's going to make his ADP sort of locked in and potentially rise up a little bit. We shouldn't necessarily like let player contracts affect our drafting process, but we should also pay attention to him as like part of the. information we're getting. NFL teams lie to us all the time. They lie to you all the time. When you hear guys like John Lynch get up on the podium and tell you George Kittle is going to be

fully healthy for week one, do I believe him? No, I don't. They're allowed to lie to you. The times that NFL teams tell you the truth is free agency, the NFL draft, and the money they give you. So like contracts do matter in terms of information we're getting. It's part of the, it's part of the big picture that we all have to take in. We don't want to overrate it, but to ignore it is something crazy. So Parker Washington, it's an easy bet to make. It's sort of like, what are the kind of players that have profited from being alongside a guy like Trevor Lawrence historically? We saw Christian Kirk in his first year there, have a near wide receiver one finish. We saw Evan Engram being parked in the slot as sort of like a tight end playing the slot, getting a lot of low-aid out looks.

Parker Washington's game is a little more nuanced than that, but I think it's just a simple formula that the slot usage in a Liam Cohen offense is fantasy gold. Now, the dream scenario, and I think Scott Barrett would make this scenario, is 2024 Chris Godwin. You don't have to buy into that, but you can buy into 85% of that, and he's a really good pick in this range. Another player, and again, I'm going to reference FFPC ADP and NFFC ADP, and NFFC ADP and Underdog ADP.

Some people don't like it, but those are the leagues that are drafting right now for money. So we want to have the most accurate and actionable ADP on these podcasts. Those are the leagues right now drafting for money. Don't know too many sleeper leagues or Yahoo leagues or ESPN leagues

that are doing $300 entry drafts right now with their ADP. So if you don't play FFPC, NFFC, or underdog, you can still benefit from knowing where the drafters are going because all of those drafters, all of those drafts are for money. So I see some of the YouTube comments. People want me to reference other ADP sources, maybe in August,

but I'm not going to do it right now in June, certainly not. So right now, Isaiah Likely, who I talk about every show, and people are starting to make comments about this, but I'm into Isaiah Likely this year. Isaiah Likely, this is the ultimate unknown upside pick if you're in a tight end premium format. Now, he could be a 10th round pick in other formats. So like you're seeing him in round seven, but if you are drafting in NFFC, if you're drafting on underdog or sleeper or any of these other formats, you don't have to use a seventh round pick on Isaiah likely.

This is a tight end premium ADP for Isaiah likely. So Isaiah likely seventh round slash 10th round. He's in store for like a massive usage spike. And I think that the career high in targets is an absolute given. But is the ADP price tag for likely like fully baking everything in? Malik Neighbors is starting to fall like an absolute rock. Malik Neighbors is looking more and more likely to miss a pretty significant portion of the season. Like six weeks?

I mean, I think that would be at this point Malik Neighbors, Bagholders and Dynasty, would probably take that one. They'd probably say, okay, I get them back in week seven. I'll take it because I need a little bit of clarity. Then you look at all the wide receivers that the Giants keep signing. They signed Juju Smith-Schuster. They signed Odell Beckham Jr. They signed Darnell Mooney this past off season.

They draft Malachi Fields in the third round this past NFL draft. There's all these guys on this roster. None of them are big time target earners. I get it. O'Dell is an absolute stud when he was younger. But O'Dell Beckham off the couch is not going to step into the league and be anything near what he used to be. And I don't think Darnell Mooney is going to give us 2024 Darnell Mooney numbers like we

saw that year in Atlanta. I think this is going to be a offense that is very run heavy. And I think the number one target earner in games without Malik Neighbors is going to be the tight end Isaiah Likely. Do you want to hear more Isaiah Likely discussion? I broke down tight ends twice this week. So I got to chill on Isaiah Likeley right now before people go off of the stream and tune out. But I do like Isaiah Likely this year. It's no secret.

I think he's a really strong value. And I think in tight end premium, you're going to start seeing Isaiah Likely in the sixth round. and I think Isaiah likely ahead of George Kittle is going to be kind of locked in when we get into July, unless we get some huge positivity with George Kittle and actually see him performing on an NFL field. Talking also about the eighth round. Let's talk Jonathan Brooks. Jonathan Brooks is fully healthy right now and the vibes are immaculate. We saw Dave Canales this week go on a long rant about Brooks, and he called him J.B.

So from now on, I'm just calling Jonathan Brooks J.B. and you should too. So J.B. is fully healthy, and J.B. was the number one running back selected in the 2024 NFL draft. He took over for B. John Robinson at Texas, and the Longhorns didn't miss a beat in terms of running back production. Like Jonathan Brooks did a pretty good imitation of B. John Robinson while healthy. He's had to deal with a ton of injuries. And this has been a really, really unfortunate situation that has slow tracked his NFL career. But Jonathan Brooks has that receiving ability to really hit in a major way, let alone his ability as a rusher.

Like the bottom line is Jonathan Brooks projects to be a three-down skill set running back. And Chuba Hubbard has been, can we call him kind of a compiler? Like Chuba Hubbard has been a warrior. He's really given you some good fantasy football, like production in his time as Carolina Panthers running back. Like we go back to 24, 24, Chuba Hubbard was like the running back 15, just pure heart. The guy ran extremely hard, ended up stepping into like a situation and making the most of it. Then the next year, Chuba Hubbard obviously dealt with some injuries. But Chuba Hubbard lacks the explosiveness that a healthy J.B. gives you.

So Jonathan Brooks is right there for us inside a round eight. It feels pricey. and I know Scott Barrett is not into this player. We sort of argued about him on our most recent school of Scott. But with Jonathan Brooks, I think I'm buying into it. And I think he's a perfect running back three, running back four, for fantasy managers who have already solidified their top two backs. Swing for the fences in round eight with Jonathan Brooks.

When you hear Dave Canales talk about the past catching upside, that gets me incredibly excited. Then we look at Dave Canales. We talk about Liam Cohen being like a running back whisper. Dave Canales is the running back whisperer. Dave Canales produced the massive Rashad White top eight running back season at Tampa Bay when he was OC there. Rashad White was a huge ADP win that year. You get Rashad White in like round six, round seven that year.

He ended up being the running back six overall, or running back seven, running back six. You guys can fact check that one. But bottom line is Rashad White was an RB1 under Dave Canales and beat his ADP incredibly easily. Now, Chuba Hubbard under Dave Canales crushed his ADP. Year 1, Dave Canales and Carolina, Chuba Hubbard, massive ADP winner, getting him in the double-digit rounds, ends up being the running back 15, nearly an RB1 that year. Then you look at last year, RICO Dowdell.

RICO Dowdell was a undrafted free agent in a lot of leagues or a final three-round pick. We were having conversations about Rico Dowell versus Trevor E.T.N., who is the handcuff running back to Chuba Hubbard, RICO Dowdell ended up being one of the best waiver wire editions of the year in a lot of leagues and one of the better like late round picks you could have made in others with Rico Dowdell. So like Rico Dowdell really, really hit in terms of ADP slash value off the waiver wire. So that's three straight years of a Dave Canales running back hitting in a major way. Now Chuba Hubbard's ADP and Jonathan Brooks ADPs are sort of converging a little bit.

So I get it if you want to mix in some Chuba Hubbard, but I think attacking this backfield is a great way to play it right now based on their current costs. And right now, the cheaper of the two, the back who occasionally goes in round nine, is Jonathan Brooks, J.B. And go ahead and watch Dave Canales talk about him. I put it on my ex handle. If you go to at the OG fantasy, I did a quote tweet of this and sort of broke it down. Because, I mean, Dave Canales has a plan for this guy.

He's talked about new packages, new interesting ways to get him the ball. I think that they're hyped to have a healthy Jonathan Brooks. And I think you should be interested in getting some exposure to him in fantasy football this year. A big shout out to the chat that is so lit. Like, the chat right now is terrific and has been saying really, really smart things. But I have been unable to sort of put stuff on screen because I'm doing this one solo, no guest. When I have guests on, I'm able to accurately look at it, but I'm sort of looking through notes and looking at the screen myself. So really appreciate the live chat, really appreciate the support for the shows and how Fantasy Football Daily has become such a big show in this space.

We do not take you guys for granted. We want to help you win in Fantasy Football here at Fantasy Points. Make sure you're checking out FantasyPoint.com. All my work is over there, all my Dynasty rankings. And there's been some fantastic articles dropping throughout the offseason. And big shout out to Ryan Heath, Graham Barfield, Scott Barrett. You could find all of their work over there. Joe Dolan, the best editor in the business, making it happen week in, week out.

And our projections are up on the screen. Like the projections are up on the site. And last year, our projections were the best of any website. You can get access to the early projections to the 2026 fantasy season. And that's going to cost you a subscription, but it's worth the price. If you're a DFS player or you care about winning this year, Chris Wecht, our projections guru, is awesome. And it's one of those things where, like, I'll see Chris's weekly projections and I'll get and I'll like send him a message and I'll like, this doesn't look right, right, Chris. You got my guy way too low.

Chris is way more accurate than I am when it comes to weekly projections. Like, guys really, really good and you get access to it with a fantasy point sub. And also, big shout out to Trey Camberling behind the scenes, doing so much for this YouTube channel. we are going to get to 25,000 subs soon. And it's going to happen, I think, this month. So really, really proud of that growth. Let's keep it going, though. Eighth round, Mackay Lemon.

Mackay Lemon is that guy. And finally, I had another fantasy points analyst who is also hype for Mackay Lemon. Yesterday, Graham Barfield and I broke down every single team's target distributions, who's going to be the number one target, who's going to be the number two target on every single team. Mackay Lemon being an eighth round pick is interesting. because if I ask pretty much anyone in the chat, who's going to be the number one target in Philly right now? Most people are going to say Devontas Smith.

But then everybody's going to say Mackay Lemon will be the number two target. And there's probably some haters out there that are going to say, there's always like Don Tavian Wick's people out there. But Dallas Goddard is a capped, upside player, a capped target ceiling player. Dallas Goddard had double-digit touchdowns last year. Dallas Goddard is not a player who's going to show up and get 110 targets at the tight-end position.

That is not what he is. Now, could he set a career high in targets this year because of a newfound opportunity and the familiarity with Jellon Hertz? Sure. And if you want to draft Dallas Goddard, it's perfectly fine. Dallas Goddard is tight end 15. I think that's a good player to click on, especially in underdog, especially in bestball, and in redraft manage leagues.

Tight end 15 is a price tag that Dallas Goddard can deliver on, even with the threat of Eli Stowers behind him. But people are sort of missing out on Mackay Lemon. I think Mackay Lemon, his target totals are going to beat all of the projections out there. And is there a scenario where Devontas Smith is the same as he was last year? And I don't know about last year, but is there a scenario where Devontas Smith is what he was in 2024? I think so. Like I love Devontas Smith. I list him in the third round.

But is Devontas Smith a player that's never going to get past the 15.5 point per game mark? There's a scenario where that happens. And I think if that is the case, and we see Devontas Smith at like 15 points per game, which would still be a pretty good win at the end of the third round, then I think Mackay Lemon really benefits. I think McCai Lemon can crush his eighth round ADP. I think that's a scenario we need to embrace. You start looking at some of these beat reporters in Philly who are watching Mackay Lemon,

and McCoy Lemon's on the field in two wide receiver sets. So some of the doom and gloom scenarios about Mackay Lemon's only going to be slot-based, I don't think Philly is seeing it that way. Now, if he gets on the NFL field and can't produce in two wide receiver sets, are they going to have to place somebody else on the outside and mix Mackay Lemon more into the slot, move him around? I think that's probably the plan. But I think McCoy Lemon's going to be on the field in a lot of two wide receiver sets,

and I think he's going to be also in the slot cooking. Mackay Lemon is a target earner. Bolitnikov winner last year at USC. The tape is silly. And Mackay Lemon, when people watch him, they get crazy ideas. in their head and crazy like, is it crazy or is it like crazy like a fox? Because people see Amon Ross St. Brown. People see Jackson Smith and Jigba. People see Cooper Cup. It's an eye of the beholder type player. Then you see people who are worried about things like the size. I don't know

Phillies is worried about it as like some of the like the people that are evaluating prospects. Like I get that Mackay Lemon was one thing at USC, but I don't think he has to be the exact same thing in the NFL. I think the range of outcomes for Mackay Lemon is he ends up crushing an eighth round ADP. So what's the downside risk? The downside risk for Mackay Lemon, I think, is kind of baked in right here. So McKay Lemon, for me, really strong value in the eighth round. I think he has a lot of quote unquote outs to deliver in a major way inside of the eighth round. Devontas Smith could fail to deliver as a wide receiver one. Mackay Lemon could just step into the Devontas Smith role. and Devonta Smith becomes AJ Brown.

That's a scenario I think we could see. And then I think when you look at the Sean Manny and offense, Will getting the ball around the line of scrimmage and out quickly for Jalen Hertz, a little bit more of like the intermediary targets be a little bit bigger part of the Philadelphia Eagles offense this year. I think that could also be the case. When you look at they drafted Mackay Lemon and drafted Eli Stowers,

they went with two highly productive college players that both can are, like Eli Stowers, smaller on the tight end side, Mackay Lemon smaller on the wide receiver side. I think they have a plan for this. I don't think they're just throwing darts at the board. I think that Mackay Lemon could end up being the next Philadelphia Eagle

where people are going to look back in Howie Roseman's hit list and say this was another hit for Howie Roseman. I love Mackay Lemon. There's a certain toughness to him and you start seeing some of the, like we talked about like, you know, the Amon Ra, JSN, Cooper Cup.

That's hard. That's really hard. That's a high bar. But then you look at like some of the players that the beat reporters are comparing him to that are just boots on the ground, watching him at these OTAs. There's some fun ones out there. I saw Steve Smith.

I saw Derek Mason. So like you get some of these old names throwing out there and it's like players with incredible toughness who weren't necessarily the biggest wide receiver there but still produced in a major way. So McCai Lemon, eighth round, unknown upside pick right there. Go with the ninth round here. Let's go Blake Corm.

and Blake Corum, this is one where I love drafting running backs who catch a lot of passes. I love talking about the receiving upside with running backs. And with Corum, I don't know if it's there. Do I think Corum is a zero, complete zero, like we've seen in the first two years as a pass catcher? If we saw an injury to Kyron Williams, I think Blake Corum could be opportunistic, catch dump offs, that sort of thing. I don't think he's a complete zero like we've seen. but the the the upside argument for Blake Corum is that he goes nuts on the ground here. And I think L.A., we've talked about the running back by committee being a little bit more so,

a little bit more of a split backfield. We saw Blake Corum go for 700 rushing yards and six rushing scores last year. Could Blake Corum turn that into 1,000 plus rushing yards this year and double-digit rushing touchdowns? I think it could happen. does it take a Kyron Williams regression or injury for him to hit in a huge way? Probably. But I think there's also a scenario that Corum's role just grows. And Kyron Williams, despite being a Sean McVeigh guy,

the volume that Kyron Williams has had to sustain the last few years has been massive. And he's been very fortuitous in terms of being able to stay on an NFL field. Could they keep him fresh and make this a little bit more? like a 50-50 backfield. Will there be more touchdown opportunities for Blake Corum? And with Blake Corum, we also have home run hitting opportunity where he can house it. This is a guy where if he gets the opportunities,

we're going to see some long touchdowns for Corum too. So is there a scenario where Blake Corum could go for 1,000 plus rushing yards and 10 plus rushing touchdowns out of the ninth round of drafts? I think there is. When you look at productivity as a collegiate, shout out to the people who didn't like hearing about Jadarian Price.

Well, Blake Corum was pretty good in college. Like the productivity there, Blake Corum was the focal point on a national title-winning Michigan team was unbelievable in college. This could end up being like the Blake Corum year. There's chances that this could happen, and I'm able to get him in round nine or round 10. Another player inside of round nine we've got to talk about.

Another unknown upside-type player, Arronday Gadsen. Arande Gadsen. When we look at the Mike McDaniel being a running back whisperer, that's a given. We talked about it earlier with Remire in Hampton. We've been, we're an hour plus. So shout out to everybody's still live here on a Friday morning. We talked about the running back whisperer Mike McDaniel. The last two years, Mike McDaniel has been a tight end whisperer.

We saw it with Jonu Smith in 2024. Johnw Smith was the tight end four overall in PPR scoring. If you picked up Johnny Smith in FPC or an NFFC or you drafted him on underdog that year or sleeper, he was a huge, huge win. Didn't go drafted in a lot of leagues. And in other leagues was a very late round pick. He cooked that year in Miami. Now, he certainly benefited from to a tongue of I loa looking for low a dot looks.

But McDaniel schemed up Johnny Smith. Johnny Smith had a number of spike weeks and the usage was outstanding. Then we look at last year. Darren Waller, off the street, recording music videos in the parking lot, and showing up and dropping tight end one numbers right out of the jump as soon as they put him in the lineup, that was unbelievable. Darren Waller looked like he was going to be a tight end one for like overall stats, had a number of weeks in a row where he's scoring touchdowns and being fast-tracked in that Miami offense.

Like, that's Mike McDaniel. On a per-game basis, Darren Waller was awesome. So I've back-to-back years. Now I have a Ronde-Gadsden, and I'm talking about Arronday Gadsen as a ninth round value. This is for FFPC tight-end premium drafters. If you're drafting on an underdog or in NFFC or if you're doing an early sleeper format, you're not going to have to take him in round nine. He's going to go later than this.

And with Arrondi Gadsen, I understand the downside risk. There's a number of mouths to feed there. Not every single charger is going to deliver in fantasy football. this year. But if I'm chasing upside at the position, tight end 16 for this potential of a tight end scorer

is a pretty reasonable price to pay. I can draft a quote unquote safe tight end and then draft Arronday Gadsden or I can draft a Ronde Gadsden and take a shot on another tight end behind them that maybe has a similar upside range or maybe

more of a floor pick tight end that I can lean on if Arrondi Gads Gadsden doesn't deliver. Could I draft Jake Ferguson and Arande Gadsden this year? Can I draft Mark Andrews and Aranda Gadsden this year? Easily. So I get early tight end is going to hit. But Arronday Gatson inside of round nine, really, really interesting. 13.4 yards per reception last year, 664 receiving yards last year. Fifth round pick out of Syracuse. And if you go back to the Syracuse stats, had some unbelievable productivity at Syracuse. Then you look at like the profile as a pro where there were people saying that Arronday Gadsden could maybe be a wide receiver in the NFL.

We were like holding our breath there being like, no, no, no, do not make him a wide receiver. Keep him at tight end. We want these guys at tight end because it's more fun for us in fantasy. But Arronday Gadsden, there were teams that saw him as a potential wideout. So Arronday Gadsen, for me at tight end 16, is absolutely a swing for the fence. his price tag. And I think if you're drafting a lot of bestball right now, mixing in on your Justin Herbert builds, you can skip drafting Omari and Hampton and Ladd-McConkie because they cost a lot and instead build correlation with guys like Arande Gadsden, Quentin Johnson, Trey

Harris, Keaton Mitchell, and take shots at the charger is hitting in a major way, but Arrondi Gadsden could end up being a big-time ADP winner. And let's recall, like, last year John Harbaugh and excuse me Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman were comparing him to Mark Andrews. Like they were comparing him to tight ends who have done it in a major way in Greg Roman scheme. So like, Arronday Gadsden had a ton of steam in the offseason and a lot of enthusiasm from the coaching staff in L.A. And 660 plus receiving yards as a rookie is nothing to sort of ignore. Guys can get better at the tight end position. They don't all have to be Brock Bowers and Sam Leporta guys that like hit out of the gate.

So Ronde Gadsden, tight end 16. That's the operative word here. Like I'm not telling you to take a Ronde Gadsden as your tight end eight. You don't have to reach two rounds for him. So Gadsden, an interesting one. And then finally in round 10, it's got to be Jackson Dart. And it's the only quarterback we're going to talk about. Because Jackson Dart, there's a ton of downside risk.

There's a ton of people putting Jackson Dart as like their fade right now at ADP. but when we look at an upside scenario, it's really the rushing profile. And I get it. There's cheaper access to potentially high rushing quarterback situations this year. We could talk Malik Willis. We're not going to go for three hours here, but we could talk Malik Willis as quarterback 21.

But there we go. It's Jackson Dart. Jackson Dart had 487 rushing yards last year, nine rushing touchdowns in only 12 starts. So Dart did it last year. 15 touchdown passes, five interceptions, but it's really the ability as a runner. Then you look at Francis Maui Noah, an absolute mauler as a run blocker that they drafted a 10th overall, played tackle at Miami,

he's going to bump inside, play guard for the Giants, instantly make that run game better. Then you look at who did Harbaugh bring in when he came over from Baltimore? Pat Ricard. So you have like the 300 pound fullback, Pat Ricard, who's been blocking for Derek Henry for the last two years in Baltimore. Like sort of a Swiss Army knife type player at the fullback position. Patrick Ricard, an absolute monster. And you look at Malachi Fields

playing some slot wide receiver. Malachi Fields, a absolute, like, disruptive blocker at the wide receiver position, who's basically a tight end playing wide receiver in terms of size. Like I was down in Mobile with Brett Whitefield at Senior Bowl.

Malachi Fields is just massive. Does not look like a, wide receiver. He's going to be on the field as a slot. So they've really improved their run blocking. And I think Jackson Dart is going to get those designed runs, those goal line carries. And last year he was top six among all quarterbacks in terms of yards per carry at the position, design runs, and total carries per game. So rushing production alone could boost Jackson Dart. And I'm able to get him in the double digit rounds. I think there's a lot of fear about Matt Nagy and Matt Nagy not delivering as the OC. But I think if we also just take a look at like a

bird's eye view, Greg Roman's on that staff. This is John Harbaugh as the head coach. And we're not saying he's going to go Lamar Jackson, but we do have multiple seasons where an offense built around a rushing quarterback has been extremely successful for real life football and for fantasy football with Harbaugh and Roman in Baltimore. So why not? Jackson Dart. It's an easier click in best ball right now than it would be in redraft. And I understand like Malik neighbors not being there, this is a bad thing. But the rushing production alone, Jackson Dart could be like 800 rushing yards this year. I don't think that's a unbelievable prediction for me. But I think he'd also be like a little more Josh Allen-esque,

where maybe he doesn't give you 800 rushing yards. He's more like 650, 700, but he is so effective around the goal line and in the red zone, and he churns out rushing touchdowns. Jackson Dark can lead all quarterbacks in rushing touchdowns this year, and he's a threat to lead all quarterbacks in rushing yardage this year. I'm Theo Gremager. Thanks for sticking with us here for an hour and 15 minutes. Make sure you subscribe to the channel. Make sure you're hitting that like button.

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