Fantasy Football Daily - 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football HOT Takes To Buy Into

Episode Date: August 28, 2024

Before the 2024 fantasy football season kicks off, the Dynasty Points team launches their 2024 Hot Takes episode. A bunch of fun but possible dynasty takes to put your bets in on and possibly help you win leagues in 2024. Use promo code - SCOREMORE for 10% of your subscription And read this article on Draft Sleepers - https://www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2024/mr-relevant-late-round-targets#/ Subscribe to FantasyPoints for FREE - https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/ Listen to the podcast here - https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/podcasts Where to find us: http://twitter.com/DynastyPts http://twitter.com/ElNostraThomas http://twitter.com/JakobSanderson http://twitter.com/RyanJ_Heath http://twitter.com/LGilbertFF FantasyPoints Website - https://www.fantasypoints.com NEW! Data Suite - https://data.fantasypoints.com Twitter - https://twitter.com/FantasyPts Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/FantasyPts Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/FantasyPts (0:00) - Intro (2:30) - What to watch for in the preseason (9:55) - Take roster cuts with a grain of salt (14:30) - Jakob calls his shot for Perine: Baltimore Ravens (18:30) - Kyren Williams to return punts? (21:50) - Break (21:53) - Pouring one out for Billy and Allen Robinson (22:35) - Hot Takes! (25:05) - Drake Maye averages more rushing attempts per game than Josh Allen (27:30) - Drake Maye starts by Week 5 and is a top 2 rookie QB in PPG (29:50) - Bo Nix finishes with 17 ppg and is a top 15 QB (31:30) - Deshaun Watson will NOT be a top-25 QB (32:40) - Jaleel McLaughlin leads Denver in ppg, but no Denver RB averages more than 12 PPG (34:10) - Jaylen Warren, Tyjae Spears, and Bucky Irving all lead backfields in fantasy points (38:35) - Alvin Kamara finishes as a top 3 RB on the season (43:05) - Chase Brown will be the most traded player at the deadline (45:18) - Break (45:25) - FFPC Plug (46:55) - Zach Ertz will outscore Jake Ferguson in PPR (50:55) - Ben Sinnott will be a top 12 TE over the last 6 weeks of the season (53:10) - Taysom Hill will be a top 8 TE (56:00) - Brock Bowers will be the off-season TE1 overall (59:00) - Break (59:40) - Devone Achane averages under 12 attempts per game but finishes as a top 5 RB (1:00:20) - All 3 Texans WRs finish top 12 and CJ Stroud breaks all-time passing yardage record (1:02:40) - Josh Palmer will be the most frustrating WR in fantasy football (1:04:15) - Jameson Williams will breakout with a 12.5 ppg season (1:06:30) - Fantasy Superlatives nominations (1:09:00) - Outro @BDGEFantasyFootball @PlayerProfiler @TheAudible @footballers-dynasty @FantasyFootballAdviceFFA Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Hey, it's Tuesday night, and it's been a busy day. An absolutely insanely busy day. So many cuts, so much information. It just so happens to fall on hot take week. This is an annual thing for us. We're not a take, a player take type show, but we do like to every year give some, I guess, somewhat reasonable hot takes that could kind of happen. So today, that's what we're doing.

We're excited to do that. No Ryan Heath today, but joining me is Lucas Gilbert at L. Gilbert FF and Jacob Sanderson of thinking about thinking and his new Dynasty 101 videos on the Fantasy Points YouTube channel. He's at Jacob Sanderson. Tons of stuff to get through today. No, we're not going to do the fun facts. going to do the long intro. There's just too much information and we just simply cannot make

this two hours. Jacob's computer can't handle it. So let's get right into it. What I would like to do is just get a feel and a vibe of the room from the overall takes of the preseason. I'll start with Jacob here. Let's just get a little touch on overall vibe John Hanson style for the takes on the preseason. Yeah, I think I want to encourage everyone to embrace the de-ioncification of right. I feel like the way that we all consume preseason content now is we don't watch any of the games. We don't really look at the stats of what they actually did in the box score. We all just look for the usage. And it feels like that's a very three, two, three years ago ideas. Everyone said, oh, it doesn't actually matter what the box scores in the preseason. It doesn't

matter what they look like in the pre-season. Focus on new place with the first scene. Focus on new place the second team. And I think we took that too far. I think we've taken that far too far. I think what we should actually be looking at a little bit more, especially when it comes to rookies and young players, is who is playing well in the preseason. Some of the biggest winners from these roster cutdowns strike me as guys who just flat out performed, like a Jordan Mason who now looks like he's in a really good situation. That's a guy who went out in the preseason was awesome. Kamani Madal is another example of a guy where we were worried about, oh, is he on the roster bubble, you know, Jared Patterson, all that stuff.

And then we see him, Juani Vidal, I never pronounce his name. Kmani Vidal, he goes out there, his first chance of the preseason, he looks fantastic, right? And it still took him a little bit of a while before the fantasy market started catching up on him. So that's my take on the preseason. Watch the preseason, try to pick out some of the players who look solid,

go and add some of those. Do it in a little bit the old-fashioned way when it comes to the road. And it's not just that. I feel like we take the usage and we just flip it the way we want to. because like you said, people like, oh, who played with the ones? Well, if we cared about that, Polk and Baker would have been dead after week one because Osborne was running with the ones and Thornton was running with the ones. And then it comes out two weeks later that Polk is actually getting a starting gig.

We only cared about running with the ones so long as it met our own criteria. And then we completely ignored it when it didn't fit the criteria we wanted like Drake May. Drake May ran with the backups. He looked good. But Drake May wasn't the guy. running with the ones, but yet he looked the best he should be starting. Well, if you're who ram at the ones theory was that, then you automatically would have said, well, it's not Drake May.

So we have to stop picking and choosing what matters, in my opinion, in terms of the usage. And then, like you said, we need context with this. Last week with Ryan, I brought the play up. I actually put the video up of Xavier Worthy where, oh, he, do you see the clips on Twitter and it's well he beat three lions well he beat three lions because he got a walking start three lions stopped

and stared at him watched him run past and he was wide open like there is context to this he didn't score his touchdown with Mahomes he scored his touchdown with wence on a on a quick turnover on a kind of a rub route with no safety help he should score like there's context

involves the the Taj Spears Tony Pollard thing I know was a big deal Tony Pollard got all the snaps with the with the first team okay on the first drive yeah of course he did that's great spears got all the snaps except for one and it was a fourth and one design play after he touched the ball two or three times in a row they take him out they run the design play action rollout play that i love for running backs on fourth and one two paulard spears went back in that drive ends on a kind of a piss poor throw by levis uh to ridley in the end zone and then spears comes

right back out to start the third drive, gets his two touches and his two snaps. One was a first read target down the sideline on a go route. And then the second one was the screen pass that he, for some reason, guys, stop hurtling, please, for love of God. And then they immediately took them out,

which means they had a snap count for both backs. So, yeah, everything was Tony Pollard. And then, oh, everything was just Taj Spears. You know what that told us? The same thing we already know is that they're going to, they're splitting reps. So like we're victory lapping usage and ignoring Spears usage because if you like

Pollard, you're going to look at that. And if you like Spears, you're going to look at it. So you're right. Context and watching the games is actually important, especially with how many people are starting to sit now. This preseason, I feel like people sitting was like more like prevalent than ever in my opinion. Maybe I'm maybe like I'm off base with that. But I feel like more people sat this year than never before. Lucas takes on the preseason. I know we kind of covered most of it there,

but I mean, it's been fun so far. I mean, y'all are the head, not right on the head, but the hammer, or how everything, it's been a long week. I'm still struggling from jet lag, like, holy cow. And I'll come back from Hawaii. Yeah, man, that nice

seven-hour red-eye flight that goes right through a night where you don't sleep a wink. even where you buy the upgraded seat to get just a little bit of extra leg length there uh jacob you understand what i'm saying there i wouldn't know because i'm five foot eight and i i don't need extra leg space yeah and that you know that doesn't help at all with you trying to actually sleep so no you know it is what it is so i struggle or i apologize to the audience for struggling i will get this thing right uh that's i guess how like a lot of players in the preseason kind of feel like to you know

They're just working things out. You can definitely see, though, throughout the preseason, some of the players progressing and getting to the point that they're handling the speed of the game. You know, it's very easy to say that football, like, if you've been playing football your whole life, you know, you shouldn't need like this big, large adjustment period. But you can definitely see the players who as they are both like increasing, like, the skill level that they're going against, whether they were running with the threes one week. Now they're running with the twos, running with the ones, so on and so forth and who they're going against.

you can start to pick up on some of the players that are, you know, really embracing the new opportunities and those who aren't, you know, quite living up to the hype. Not to dunk on Joe Milton too much, but after that first preseason game, everybody's like, oh, look, they're starting quarterback's going to be their seventh round quarterback. Look at how good he looked against, you know,

the fourth and fifth stringers, the players who aren't going to be sticking around for a long time. No offense to those players, but there was a very big gap in skill compared to those that he was going against. And then the one series we had of Drake May, we need to calm down a little bit. I think that's taking things with context, but also like watching how players are progressing, I think is really, really important. And then also this has been the preseason of rookie quarterbacks.

I'm getting way too hype on them. I need to calm down just a little bit, but it's been fun. Yeah, like you said, you want to look at things the way you want to look at them, right? Spencer Rattler had, you know, some good, flashy moments. And there are people celebrating that he was, oh, I had him as the fourth best rookie quarterback in the class. He, there shouldn't be a four-round. Like, there should have been the gap. Like, he barely looked better than Jake Hainer.

Let's pump the brakes a little bit and calm down. All right. Like, I get it. It's exciting. But you got really got to be careful when you're consuming content that you're not just getting like victory lap content. Like, it's, it. Wow, we're good. What a boomer.

I know. I know. I know it's a boomer take. But hey, because of you guys, we're actually doing hot takes. We don't do player takes at all today. That's coming up next. One thing I just wanted to touch on last with this preseason, and especially with today's news in general, my advice to dynasty players is do not overreact to who got cut.

Like Tim Patrick getting cut was kind of a surprise to me. And that does matter because maybe it means it signals Marvin Mim, is actually going to get on the field and Sean Payton has done like, I don't know, beating him with a stick or, you know, maybe Troy Franklin's better than they thought or maybe Tim Patrick's just cooked. I don't know.

Apparently he might be signing with the Lions practice squad. I actually like that pickup for them a lot if they get them. They did cut Donovan People's Jones, but there's some of the guys like Frank Gore Jr. He had a nice preseason, but he's going to end up on somebody's taxi squad. Let's not overreate, like P. Ryan getting cut. We kind of assume that. So let's start looking at being excited or maybe overreacting to who gets signed where.

And to me, that is a bigger signal than kind of who's getting cut. P. Ryan could go somewhere and absolutely nuke somebody's upside. We know that. But you should have been drafting kind of seeing the writing on the wall for what players were going to potentially be gone. P. Ryan with one of those. We talked about it on this program. P. Ryan could go to Dallas and be awesome.

P Ryan could go to Kansas City and Nerf Pacheco. He could go to a bunch of different places and hurt somebody, but let's not overreact to him getting cut. That was kind of baked in. So, cutting Royce Freeman was notable. Yes. Cleveland and Foreman.

Yeah, so the Cleveland Forman thing, I think, is just kind of shenanigans. It's been reported from a few Cleveland sources that they still might intend to bring him back. his contract was such that they don't need to put him on waivers. They can just cut him and then immediately bring him back if they want to. They keep four quarterbacks on their initial 53. And then Kevin Stafansky was asked whether they were only going to keep two running backs.

And he said it's the initial 53, not the final 53. That's a good point. They asked about Deonté Foreman. So I think Foreman winds up back on the Browns. We see teams like do this stuff or they'll manipulate the roster in certain ways. that's what I'm saying. But the Freeman thing is interesting. Like maybe they just like Duke's Vaughn or whatever, but...

He didn't look good. That's a spot where... That's a spot where it would surprise me. There's, you know, Dalvin Cook's already worked out there. I've heard the Colts for him, which would be weird. Yeah, that would be, like, it would be kind of weird for Chris Ballard, because usually he doesn't sign guys like that, but like, they legitimately do need a second running back.

They drop Evan Hall and Trey Sermon is, I don't know if he's going to, be healthy for week one. So there's a chance of the only active running pack. Yeah, like, right. Trace Arvin sucks and Tyler Goodson is the reason why the cool didn't make playoffs last year. I know. I know. Paul and two. So they like John, as it stands right now, like it looks like John Dale is going to play like a nice snap rate. So I wouldn't be surprised if they took a look at a P. Ryan or the other guy that I thought popped last year a little bit. And then I kind of like as a prospect was Chris Rod Rieges. He got caught by the Washington commanders. It's not. with a household name.

I would bet on him to I love him. I love him. I'm a hash somewhere as well. He was a high, if you're a frequent listener of dynasty points, I've talked about him plenty last year. Um, yeah, that,

I love all that. That's why I mean, let's not, let's not overreact to who got cut. Let's pump the brakes a little bit. I know it's like the first string of news that we've just been craving and dying for. But let's not overreact. Take it easy.

Let's watch who gets signed where. Let's see what happens over the next couple of days. I think that's good for the setup for now. I need one thing from you, Thomas. On scale, one, two, we aren't having a show next week. If Somaget P. Ryan goes to New York and starts just ruining our tire on Tracy fund that we've been having, where are you on the scale? I just, I need to know. Well, considering I already feel blessed enough after I thought his leg broke in half and then he was back at meetings like,

two days later. I feel like I've been blessed already. So if P. Ryan went there and ruined it, I just feel like it would have just been carryover from his leg exploding. So I feel like I'm already prepped and primed for his downfall. So I would be right back in this seat next week. I think P. Ryan is going to be looking mostly at good teams. I think here's my stealth call.

But maybe Tom can, maybe Tom can rule this one out. but one team that has not been discussed at all for Samage P. Ryan. What about the Baltimore Ravens? Keaton Mitchell's apparently nowhere near. Oh, he's not playing this year. So he's not really into cards. Rashina Ali, like from the sounds of it, was potentially...

Can't hold on to the ball. ...told respond to Owen Wright. If Rowan Wright didn't get hurt, so I don't think they really love what they're seeing out of him. That leaves it with just Henry and Justice Hill. And the Ravens love signing like old, dusty running backs. They do it constantly. Um, that's my stealth, uh, landing spot. So they love, they love Justice Hill.

And they're the type of team that are going to, so it's why I don't see it because they don't need to pay for his specialty, which is past catching. They're more likely to sign a Donta Foreman than there are to sign P. Rine. And they're the type of team that saves their cap for a random pass rusher. Like they got Van Noy at like the start of the year and he got nine sacks for them. So, and that team, when I tell you, they love Justice Hill, they love him. So I, I would see P. Ryan back in. They're like weirdly committed to just. They love him.

Yeah. Every year, Justice Hill was like 40% of the snaps of the Ravens and is never fantasy viable. Yeah, exactly. Paul Patterson, who if you're not subscribed to peer potential, you should be. They're kind of the same player. They are kind of same player, which is why I just don't see it. I don't see it. It runs like 235 pounds.

Yeah. I can see, I can see right back to Cincinnati, which would just be nightmare. fuel for me. See, that's the one but I see Kansas. To me, it's Kansas City. Because they're not,

I'm sorry to answer this question after after generic prince got cut today. I'm not, I'm not picking up a fullback. So like to me, they need a running back. Pryne kind of replaces Jet. So that's,

that's to me that kind of move. I could see another random team like Chicago for no reason, just signing him to have a fifth running back. But, um, Yeah, that's what I mean.

Just some random. There's always some team. There's always some team that just adds a player off cuts that for no reason. I mean, I think the calls will be on B-R-R-2. I think that they really need an RV too. The Chief Swan, I agree. It's like, I think actually the most likely outcome. That's to me.

The Bengals one is interesting to me because like, and I've seen this report out of Bengals, like, yeah, I mean, they could use them and I'm sure they would take them in this. Apparently they really liked it. two backs they got right like well that's just the thing like they don't have a viable rb they don't have a viable rb they don't have a viable rb three in Cincinnati so like they could use them in the sense that preemont williams isn't it but yeah um like zach moss like all i've heard of all camp is like chase brown is going to be kind of like the lead rusher but moss is kind of a specialty player where they can use them as a pass protector and in some short yarder situations

and it's like well why would a team like that sign someage april run will probably use them as like a pass protector and in some short yard. So to me, like all I've been seeing all over my timeline is like Chase Brown is dead. If they. I just, I don't really know what the overlap is between Chase Brown and Zach Moss. Like obviously if you're, obviously if you have Chase Brown, you would prefer them to sign nobody than sign somebody. But if you're telling me like, where's the overlap and skill set between Somaget

Pryan and the Bengals backfield? It's like entirely the Zach Moss use case is what he does. So he pass protects. and he's like a big hunk of man. I don't know what it is. Right. I like Robert's take care. Carolina need some depth.

But P.Rine just feels like a championship roster addition, late off season to just plug and play. That's why I have Kansas City there. But yeah, lots of take. Do we want to touch on the Kyrin? We should touch on the Kyrin-Lytron return thing. Let's do it. Let's do the Kiron-Pont-Riturner.

Before we get in. To me, this changes nothing. Like, I'm not changing their rotation stuff. just because he's returning puns. Like he's going to fare. Really this just means he's going to fair catch like, what, 30 extra snaps this year, right? Like, come on. I don't, yeah, injury risk is a big deal for me.

But like, yeah, they just like his hands, man. Like, that's it. To me that they're just not putting Cooper Cup back there this year. Like, that's the difference. No one was freaking out when Cooper Cup was having the best rookie, or not rookie, but the best wide receiver season ever for fantasy. he was catching fair, fair catches on punts.

Like, we weren't, let's not do that either. But to me, this moves the needle exactly zero for me. What, say you guys?

Because the internet's going crazy with this. Kiron, Kion Williams returning punts is like kind of hilarious, because he's just not who anyone would think of as a punt returner. Like, like, like, he's like a small,

running back. Like, it's kind of weird that he's a punch. Right? Like, if the Miami Dolphins were like, we're going to have Devon A. Chan as a pumper car.

I would be like, well, that's annoying. but I get it. Whereas to have Kyron Williams as a partner Turner is just like a little bit funny. And I think that's part of why people are taking it so negatively. I mean, I've been low on Kyron basically this whole offseason. I think that this is closer to a legitimate split than a lot of people think.

I think that the whole, I've made this case consistently very much might be wrong. I don't think this makes it more likely to be right. But the idea is, you know, people talk about Sean. McVeigh wants one running back. And I think to me, that's more about you need to have one running back on a drive. So you're not substituting and you're not tipping plays. I don't think that needs to be the same running back for every single drive all game if you have two guys that are capable of playing on all three downs. So I've been more playing this through the quorum side this year. I'm still more on the quorum side, but I'm not like more sure that I'm right because of this. If anything, if people are going to start panicking over Kyron and I get a chance to kind of ensure against by self being wrong at a cheaper cost with my last few drafts, by all means. Like, I'm happy to get a little bit of Kiron at the end here because I really don't think it meant.

Yeah, I agree. Like, this is what I'm talking about. Like, let's not freak out. Like, Sean McVeigh wants your hands back to return a punt. That's the story. That's it. Again, there's like a little bit of injury risk that could possibly occur here.

But it's like, he's still going to get, yeah, I don't want to freak out. it's too early in the evening for like a full-blown Tom freak out moment so we're going to but like relax chill out just breathe deep let's not like party and and exactly Lucas usah you know all that stuff and just chill well you get that we have priors that we want to affirm here but relax this isn't the news to do it break because we waited too long due to the first one again and trade's going to get mad at me but we're going to get this break in right now. And then we come back. Hot take episode. This is one of my favorite

ones. So sit tight. We'll be right back. When you're flying Emirates business class, dining on a world class menu at 40,000 feet. You'll see that your vacation isn't really over until your flight is over. Fly Emirates. Fly better. I miss the, I miss Billy Snap. I still, I still miss that. Also, speaking of Billy, can we pour one out for Billy's favorite Alan Robinson, who couldn't make the Giants roster? Let's pour one out for previously one of the better wide receivers in football, getting cut. What's the boy for the wide receiver clip, Alan Robinson? Wide receiver six, wide receiver seven, wide receiver nine. This guy was unbelievable for his stretch.

So Saloo, Alan Robinson. Robinson, but it is so jover for you. Thank you for all of your contributions. Now, look, we said hot takes. This does not mean we're just pulling takes and just shouting them into the moon. There should be some truth behind

these that we actually feel a little bit convinced can happen. So that's what we're going to do. Chris M from DFF is linking a tweet for the full thing. I think most of us have seen that. You can go check that out.

Shout out Barry. Tom, what are you doing right now? There's a mirror order to cut. I'm busy Barry. I'm never coming back to the shop. Don't never text me to ask me to come back to the shop again. No thank you. Just, yeah, a lot of fun stuff with the comments.

We love all you guys. Make sure you're hitting that sub button. We're 100 away from 10,000. That is a huge milestone for us. Shout out to all you guys. If you're not, subbed already, head over there and do that. I want to just quickly shout out Leibs from the Fantasy Points Discord. said, didn't Ryan already give his hot take

with his iced coffee take? And you're right. The real ones already knew that. He's not here. He didn't want to face... He already gave his hot take. He didn't want to face the music is really what it is. I do, however, have his hot takes, even though Ryan's not here. We're actually going to start

with one of his... As soon... Ryan is busy with ass. the new metric at fantasy points he is writing an article that does not

feature Megan D. Stalian every time the graph that I was just pictured Ryan just going nuts out of the town

just at a strip club he's just like ah man I won five or five first time a couple weeks ago he's like the rainmaker out there Oh, shut out, Ryan, man. Give me that ass.

Give me that ass, baby. Yeah, please, Scott, please keep it ass. Like, it's got to be that you're just printing money with the ass metric, the average separation score. I'm working on some ass. I'm just studying ass like every nerd does. I got ass in the spreadsheets, you know what I mean? We could actually confirm now. That is the average separation score that will be.

be releasing soon. I'll start, I'll give Ryan his due for his hot take and then, then we'll roll it as soon as Lucas collects himself here. We're going to go with Drake May averages more rushing attempts per game than Josh Allen, which, which I think is actually not bad. I mean, over a 10% scramble rate from Drake May in the preseason. That offensive line is, no, it won't be. I didn't think it would be. But he's going to have to run for his life because that offensive line is one of the worst we've seen. So Ryan Heath, Drake May averages more rushing attempts per game than Josh Allen. He's not here to defend it.

So here we go. Josh Kroon said an ass and spreadsheet is risky. Hey, we got to, you know, if you're not risking it for the game, you really love the game. Sean says, I always was an ass man. There we go. When you like blow up Sean Jeffers, like very professional head shot there. I always was an ass man. I always wasn't asked.

It's like, that looks like it's like it's LinkedIn update. He's in finance. He's in finance for sure. Sean Jeffers just shared on LinkedIn that he was always an ass man. Right. Yeah,

exactly. He's, you know, got high, high paying clients. You got to take him up for a night on the town. Lucas may not make it for the duration of this program. He needs a minute.

The last two minutes are substantially better for the video, viewers of the audio viewers. Yeah, right. Lucas to the audio listeners. You're not going to get serviced right now. Lucas right now is absolutely dying. I think we've lost him as he's just crying at the moment. But after we've established that the National Vice President of Citibank prefers the dump

truck, we will now get back to the bold predictions. Not just dump truck. He doesn't just deal with trucks dumping a pile of money at the door. He's all about the dump. city-s-Sweeney's Instagram right now. Right now. Absolutely. Just waiting for that next update. All right, Jacob.

Let's do the next hot take. All right. Well, let's just screw out. I was getting a quarterback first. I didn't know Ryan had also done a Drake May one, but I guess that checks out for the Patriots fan. And you always get into the show sheet last. Yeah, exactly.

All of these are takes. I don't actually think are going to happen, but I think that are directionally accurate, and I'm hoping maybe we go one for four. Break May starts by week five or earlier and finishes top two among rookie quarterbacks and fantasy points per game. He had higher scramble rates, higher rushing goal line rates than Caleb Williams in college, already shown an ability in the preseason to be a scrambler, to be a deep passer

in a really impressive way. I thought he's like really impressive this whole preseason. I think that I still think, I still think, Jacobi, percent gets the ceremonial week one start. But I think Drake May is at least up to like 20 or 30 percent to draw that start now when he might have been a couple weeks ago. And I do think the timeline has moved up significantly where when your coach is going out and saying, I don't know who I'm going to start, but Drake May's been better. It's really hard if Jacoby percent goes out there and gets slaughter to keep starting him into week eight, week nine, week 10 and look like you have any idea

of what you're doing. Other thing that I've been impressed by is I think that the offensive line looks terrible. There's just no way around it. But it's bad. I've been impressed by what I've seen from Jill and Polk. I thought he's shown some juice after the catch. I've been impressed by what I've seen so far, very limited dosage, but from Mario Douglas as well. I think you can develop a rapport with those two guys. And obviously, I'm just completely in the bag for May. And at the same time, I'm a little bit scared of what's happening with this Washington offense. They move on from Jahan Dotson, fair enough. He hasn't been overly impressive.

But from the sounds of it, it's not like Luke McCaffery has blown them away in camp and is immediately the wide receiver too. Presumably they're rolling out some ridiculous mishmash of Llamaday's Akees and Diombe Brown and a bunch of goobers. And Cliff Kingsbury is up to his old bullshit, right? He's starting Terry McLaren left outside wide receiver, 100% of the snaps, just taking on the front of the coverage. for an offense with only one good receiver.

I think it's a little bit scary. So I'm going to say that Drake May, not only the long-term dynasty Q in this class, but starts by Week 5 and it's higher points per game to Mr. J-Dade. Okay. Well, that is pretty hot takey. I don't mind that at all. I don't mind that at all.

I'll go with, I guess I'll go with mine next. I think Bo Nex finishes with 17 points per game. It is a top 15 quarterback on the season. Check it out. in this offense, Russell Wilson was 0.3 points per game better than Jared Gough from week 10 to the end of the season. He was also better than C.J. Stroud in that time. Funny enough, he was 0.02 points below Justin Fields over that same stretch. If you take the whole season, and this is one of my favorite stats, Russ Wilson was 0.6 points per game's worse than Patrick Mahomes last year. He was also better than Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, and Matthew Stafford in points per game.

Sean Payton's quarterbacks, fucking cook. Nix has shown that not only does he run every time he wants to throw the ball because he cannot set his feet, but he is mobile and can provide a rushing upside if they let him run towards the goal line. I 100% believe that this man can return a 16 to 17 point per game season. which last year would have made him QB 15. So I believe that Bo Nix returns on investment isn't the easiest early round two super flex rookie pick and one of my late round QB hero flagplants that I make every year.

And he provides you at least Derek Carr level points per game, which is huge. That's my hot take. Bo Nix will not be ass. he will be quite good at 17 points per game. You'll be 15. There you go. There you go, Lucas.

Some positivity for your Broncos. Let's get that hot take. All right. I love positivity for my Broncos. So my hot take, I'll stick with the quarterbacks. DeShon Watson will not be a top 25 quarterback by the end of this season. So he has had pretty much the exact same stat line,

even though he has missed games the last two seasons. It's almost mirror images of each other. averaging 15.1 fantasy points per game. And I don't think the Browns have done enough to elevate the weapons around him. Sorry, Jerry, Judy. You were once my hero now. You're the ban my existence. But we move on from that.

But I also don't think that he's doing enough to elevate his game. And the Browns are good enough on defense. They have a solid enough run game that they aren't going to have to lean on him to play hero ball and make some plays. So I think that his value will continue to go. go down and he will be one of the more disappointing quarterbacks in 2024. Outside of the top

25, I actually like that. I think that's actually really good. Yeah. That's solid. Yeah, I like it. I like it. It's a hot take. Let's go with the next one for Ryan, who's also not here to defend himself. Jaliel McLaughlin leads the backfield in fantasy

points per game, but no Denver running back averages more than 12 fantasy points per game in PPR. so both Denver running backs bad Jaliel the best i know you're all about i know you're all about the javon i mean i like jaleal too i just but i love i love them all uh so the second part of that is really really angry i i thought i could have i was thinking about doing a uh like two denver running backs the top 15 take or something so is this like a side bet that i'm going to make ryan who's not here to defend himself just make him agree to without him knowing about

it? Oh, yeah. I mean, I would bet on if Ryan wants to make a Javonte Williams bet with me. Okay, there we go. We'll do 12 points per game for Javante or Jalil. There we go. That's the bet. Ryan, I just want you to know that I signed off on that for you. And

you'll receive that contract in the mail, buddy. What could Jacob try to go two for two on bets? Live bets on the show. Yeah, well, I mean, we did the Fields Russ one, so I mean, we might as well add another one with Ryan here.

He already beat your ass in the Caleb one last year. Yeah, what was the field's Russ one? Was that, was that, that Russ is going to play more. Who starts more games? Yeah,

I have Russ. Yeah. Without injuries being involved. Um, what's the second part of that. All right. Jacob, hit me with your next one.

Absolutely. Uh, my next one is. And look, we're going bold here. So maybe I got to hope best for two of three. But three, quote unquote,

backup running backs. Jalen Warren, Tai J. Spears, and this is the boldest one, Bucky Irving, all lead their backfields and points per game in 2024. Wow. Jalen Warren last year was truly, and I don't mean this hyperboically, one of the best running backs in the National Football League on the opportunities that he was given. It was top three in yards after contact for attempt, was top three in mistackles force for attempt, was top three in rush yards over expectation for attempt. You look at any staff, you're going to find Christian McCaffrey, Devon A. Chan, you're going to find Jaylen right in there with them. Goes into this fantastic Arthur Smith rushing environment where the only players you want to be targeting

are the running backs. And I'm pretty into both Steelers running backs this year. But if I have to pick one, I'm going to pick the dude who already closed this toward a 50-50 snap share last year and is now elevating into that year three where he's already established himself as NFL player. This is where I think you start to see him. take off and separate himself even more. I'm expected to see a borderline 50-50 rushing split by the middle of this year,

and Warren will continue to operate primarily in the passing game where he has a big edge over 90 years. Tai J. Spears, Tony Pollard, I wrote about this split a lot in my most recent thing about thinking posts after everybody got really hot and bothered over Tony Ballard's drive happening to last longer than Tai J. Spears's drive. I mean, look, anyone who's followed me for a long time knows that I have a lot of love in my heart for Tony Pollard. I have a Tony Pollard jersey sitting in my room 20 feet away.

It's hard to know exactly why his play fell off so much last year. You could blame age, you blame the injury, you could blame getting more volume. It's probably a combination of those different things. But all of the signals we've got from the Titans is that they're going to play these guys close to equal and they're going to play them interchangeably in terms of they all get goal line work. They all get playing on all different downs. That's what we've seen in the preseason so far, is them both working in all situations. situations indiscriminately. And if I have to pick one, and my choices between the guy who used to be great, had a big down year, and I have to hope that it was all because of the injury and that

he's now perfectly healthy. Or the rookie, who's the young player who came in, was really efficient last year at a per touch basis at a bad offensive environment. I'm just going to pick on the ascending player instead of trying to make the excuse for the veteran player. I think Pierce outscores him straight up. And the last one is the one that really makes a hot take where I wouldn't actually bet my money on this happening at even odds. But Rashad White was last year, once again, one of the least efficient rushers in the NFL. His value comes on an NFL field via the receiver. Bucky Irving does exactly what Rashad White does not do in the backfield.

He's decisive. He reads the field quickly and he gets upfield. Rashad White continues to be, frankly, shallow and pedantic in the backfield. Yeah. First of all, he looks around. He reads what's going on before he's able to get up field. He gets tackled from behind. Doesn't often use his explosiveness as a runner.

I think over the course of this year, Bucky gets scaled up and scaled up and scaled up. And by the time that we're in the late season, he's the guy who's actually leading his backfield and carries. I think White still has a lot to do in the passing game and can provide some value per team. But I think he's going to wind up being overdrafted. I think Buck Irving is one of the biggest targets you can have.

That's my second hot take at the running back position. I love that. Nick Fury wants to know, Nansja Harris used to be great, question mark? That was in reference to the Titans Ben to I love that. Love that. Someone said,

Sean said, hey, he caught 16 passes from Dead Arm, Big Ben one time. That's true. Yeah, no, I don't mind those.

I hope that the Rashad White thing is real, because I don't have a lot of him in a lot of places. So that one, that one might be the hottest one we've gotten from you. I'll go with my running back. I think Alvin Camara finishes as a top three running back this season. I feel like he's closer to number one than number three. I'll tell you why.

If you look at the New Orleans Saints offense, their number two receiver is almost non-existent at this point. Shaheed, heard again, A.T. Perry may never see the field if Dennis Allen allows it. And we know that this man does nothing but catch pass. He passes 75 receptions last year on 86 targets. The first time he comes back, he gets, what, 15 targets in that first game. The second, he lets him step on the field. Keep in mind that he didn't play the first three weeks as he had 14 targets, 13 receptions.

Multiple games where he was used like that. Obviously, his receiving work is what makes him his money. The difference is going to come in touchdowns. If we look at his 2020 season, sorry, 2000, yeah, 2020 season, season where he was the RB1. He only had 187 rushing attempts, but he scored 16 rushing touchdowns. He had 107 targets caught 83 passes for 756 yards.

I do not think the touchdown is going to be there. So that might be the struggle. But for me, if he plays 17 games, which is a stretch to begin with with running backs, but injuries weren't really what slowed him down last year, and he gets those receptions because Derek Carr is afraid to throw the ball past the line of scrimmage. and to anyone else not named Chris Olavet.

And maybe Taysam Hill doesn't vulture all of his touchdowns. I think of all of veteran running backs on this offense with his workload that we know that he can do and his past catching. I think Alvin Kumar finishes as a top three running back at the, by the end of the year, period. He is the best value for vet running backs, easy to acquire in leagues right now for reasonable prices. he's a smash this year, he's going to do it. That's my hot dig. I mean, I can definitely see that world, which is scary, but I don't know if I would go as high as top three.

That is what I guess makes a lot. Look, there are some situations that need to happen, right? Some players need to not finish the year. I get it. I get it. But this is the NFL, man. I think if he plays all 17 games, catches 80 passes, scores, you know,

15 total touchdowns, which I think he's good enough. He makes it happen. it plausible because he literally was a top three running back on points per game last year. But he is so unbelievably cooked. And yet, like, I don't know what else they're going to do. That's what I mean. Just going to keep throwing him. Like, he's at least early season.

I don't know if this sustains the entire season as he looked so bad for the end of last year. But early season, there's going to be some, like, Alvin Camara posts eight carries for 21 yards, nine patches for 26 yards and one touchdown weeks where you watched them the whole game. He looks absolutely rancid and he has 21 points. Yeah, see, Nick Fier says 15 players need to not

finish the year. I don't think that's the case, man. If he would have played, if he would have played those first three games. He was literally playing top of the running back last year. I'm like, couldn't be more out on Camara because I don't like drafting bad players, but Tom's take is like very plausibly

projectable. Right. If he would have played those first three games, he would have continued his stretch of 81 catches minimum, except for 2022 and 2021 where he was banged up, where he only caught 47 and 57 catches. But before that, it was 81, 81, 83. This dude does nothing but finish as a top, top 12 back, 3, 4, 9, 1, 8, there's 16, but then there's 11. This guy's going to catch passes. He just needs a couple of touchdowns, baby. Like, Camara's going to outscore Barclay this year. I don't know what I wanted to tell you, but the people that are super stoked about Sequin Barclay,

he's not catching 90 passes in Philly, and Jalen Hertz is still going to run in 13 to 14 touchdowns this year. Give me Camara, period. Top three back all day. This is how we're doing it. You can give me that face all you want, Jacob. Go put on the helmet. Oh, I.

All right. As Tom's putting on his helmet, I'll go into my hot take. So my running back hot take is that Chase Brown will be, be the most traded player at our fantasy football trade deadlines this season. Absolutely loved that, Tom. That is fantastic with the signature, with the signature. But Chase Brown finished out the season relatively strong, didn't have the touchdown numbers

that you're willing, but he was getting work as a receiver out of the backfield. He was posting decent per rush numbers. Joe Mixon's gone. They have brought in Zach Moss. But I will see Zach Moss as that workhorse. I think that he's going to get a good workload. And with that, it will raise his value up enough to where people who are in the thick of a playoff hunt

are going to be trading their seconds or a second and third to acquire his services for their playoff teams. And rebuilding managers are going to say, thank you very much. I will take that second in a running back heavy draft and use that for future players. So that is my running. back hot tape.

Okay. Okay. I don't mind it. I don't mind it at all. Barry says, I'll trade you kid number three for that helmet. No, kid number three is a nightmare. I'm keeping the helmet.

Nick Fury says, Law the helmet. I bought this helmet because Alvin Camaro won me my first ever dynasty title in the home league. So it has been on my wall ever since. A.K. outscoring JT. JT's not going to catch the passes.

People want them to, man. I'm telling you. I'm telling you. It's going to come down to the past catching. This dude's getting 100. 100 targets this year, period. If this hot take comes

comes true, I'm retiring. There we go. That's what's up. I'm joining the standard movie. He's going back to 1970s. Look, we've got to take another break. I am. PPR could be banned if Mike fans have the courage. We're going to take our second break when we come back.

We're going to get the wide receiver and the tight end hot takes. So sit tight for more. I got to put this hat back on. Here's doing some weird stuff today. Look, you dominate your home office and family leagues. Now it's time to take your game to the next level. The FFPC is the place to play fantasy football this summer. No salary caps, no DFS, no new formats to learn.

Just a pure drafting fund that you've always loved. FFPC is home to multiple million dollar grand prizes, massive bestball tournaments, competitive dynasty leagues, and a multitude of exclusive formats. Drafts are filling every single day at my FFPC. dot com. Begin your pursuit of millions today at my ffpc.com I don't know if that was the reference that Josh was making

because he was saying little giants kid but his next comment was I can't see out this thing and that just reminds me of the funniest scene of movie history which is of course the jangle unchanged CluClaxed plant and see Yes yes agreed yeah yeah that is shout out John Hill for giving us that of these things my wife worked really hard on these masks Hey as Toronto Dave would say That's cinema

This time no masks But next time we wear the mask Shanta is ready to run the Annexation of Puerto Rico Jesus Christ Phenomenal All right let's get let's kick this off Let's do tight ends

Because they can sometimes be looked at as the most boring. I'll once again look at Ryan Heath's hot take because he can't defend himself as he studies ass. Is he on Dalton Kincaid this week or out on Dalton Kincaid this week? He does not have, he does not have Dalton Kincaid this week. Speaking of ass,

we are talking about Jake Ferguson, who will be asked at ass when that drops. Zach Ertz outscores Jake Ferguson and PPR this season. Oh, man. I'm actually all about this and I'll tell you why. I'll tell you why. The last time Zach Ertz was relevant before, you know, he lost his job to Tray McBride. It was with Cliff Kingsbury, who for some reason loves this dude.

When Zach Ertz went to Arizona, he was left for dead. But all he did was was produced. He was tied in five on 74 receptions in this Cliff Kingsbury offense. And when he came back from injury, again, 69 targets, 47 receptions and four touchdowns. He was on pace again to be a top tier tight end option. I don't hate this take at all. I know the Ben Sinit, Sinat, these rookies in their names this year, I'm telling you, killing me. I butchered three names last week.

I'm pretty sure I butchered that one too. But yeah, I agree. Zach Ertz here outscoring turd Ferguson, as Brian Drake would say. in points per game this year. Hot take, I like it. Anyone want to guess, trivia hour? When's the last time

that Zach Erz averaged seven yards per target? I'll say 2017. That's like not a high number, by the way. Like the average for throw for most for most quarterbacks. I'll say 2017. Oh, I don't want to price this right them.

I'm going to go with 2015. Tom wins. It was 2018. that was his best season. He had, listen to this stat line, by the way. Zach Ertz, 2018, had 156 targets, 116,000 catches for 1160s, insane stat line. Last year, Zach Hertz had an absolutely hilarious 4.3 yards per target.

So he's basically like an inefficient receiving running back at this point. But in this offense, with Cliff, man. That's what happens, man. Yeah, Cliff King's 3. And like you said, can apply rational coaching to Cliff Kingsbury. They have no wide receiver too.

It's just going to be Zacherts. Ben's going to play the H-back role. That leads to my hot take. Oh, I hit me with this. Zach Ertz in a tight end premium dynasty league where I had some injury issues and I was like,

looking at my roster and I was like, okay, I know back in March it seemed like a cool idea to have Octavian Wicks as a starter, but it doesn't seem so cool anymore. and then I looked I was like what's out there on the waiver wire and I was like Zach Ertz is dusty asses

out there and you know what when he has seven catches for 21 yards that's 12.6 the tight end premium PPR points exactly. I'll take those seven catches for 21 years I don't know how long he's going to keep it up this season but I guarantee you that we're going to get at least a month of people being really

annoyed about Zach Hertz's usage because it's going to be egregious all he needs is a couple of touchdowns like if he gets four or five touchdowns in his offense. That's top 10. Like if he catches 50 passes and gets 480 yards on 55 receptions and like five touchdowns, I think, yeah, that's course Jake Ferguson.

I'm right there. I'm right there with Ryan on this as we're going to call this possible. That's how we should have been grading them. We're grading this as possible. That's what this one. Let's get another tight end hot take. This leads right into my hot take. Let's go.

That is that been. Senat is going to be a top 12 tied in over the last six weeks of the season. And he is going to help win people leagues. Interesting. So you outlined that Cliff Kingsbury, he has supported tied in once in the past in that offense bringing here. And I'm sorry, it's very fun to make fun of Zach Gertz and what he can do now. But Ben Sinat is a way better athlete already.

And he is going to fit into this office. our offense perfectly as the season goes on. They've already been using him down the field. He is not an H-back. I'm going to make that very clear. He is an actual tight end that they are going to use in so many ways because they already got rid of freaking, I can't even remember his name anymore because he's going to be irrelevant

on the Philadelphia Eagles for the rest of time. So Benz-Sanat, put it down now. That is the titan that you want at the end. this season. He will be a top 12 tied end. Interesting. All right. I think that we'll call that Luke, we'll call that Luke warm for Lucas.

I think both of those that's not a hot tag is just back. Those could both be true because Zachertz is going to play set in the first seven weeks. He's going to have a 91% snap rate. He's going to have 4.1 yards per target, but he's going to have a 26% target share. So he's going to do that.

Then he's going to just like get old and die. So he's going to, his points per game will be frozen after seven weeks, but they'll be higher than Jake Ferguson. And then Ben Sinop's going to come in and do the train of bride down the stretch. It's all I'm going to happen. I love it. Thank you for Dotson on there. We mentioned Alan Robinson and I got stuck on Penn State wide receivers.

I was like, I know it's not Robinson. I can't say Alan Robinson, even if I am. Not the only Penn Statewide receiver got cut today. Yeah. To the Hamler index. The other guy. Pour one out. So, you're on Marvin Mems is there.

He lives on for Marvin Mims. every day. And next, soon to be, Troy Franklin, when Marvin Mimms is traded next year. All right. I'm going to go, I'm going to go tight end here. I, I battled with two. I struggled with two because Parham getting cut today led me to realize Hayden Hurst is like the only tight end option that Greg Roman has right now.

And a tight end in Greg Roman's offense might be the most valuable receiving weapon that they have. So I debated going Hayden Hearst top 10. But I'm going to go back to another New Orleans saint here. I'm going to say Taysam Hill is a top eight tight end by the end of the season. Check this out. That's not hot. That is a median fucking take right there.

Just check it out. I don't. People really disagree here. Taysam Hill. 65% of preseason snaps with the starters. Multiple snaps at running back full that tight end slot and he was playing outside. only exceeded 50% of the snaps twice last year, 40% full season snapshot. He still finished as the tight end 15.

He was the fourth most efficient tight end in the NFL last year on a per snap basis. Would have been tight end six last year on a 65% snapshot. This dude is going to finish top eight. That's not George Kittle. That's not Jake Ferguson. That's not whatever. T.J. Hawkinson, when he comes back, points per game and total finish, this guy's a league winner at tight end eight period.

It's not going to be your favorite sleeper tight end. It's not going to be Tyler Conklin. It's not, again, like, if this dude outscores George Kittle next year, I'm going to be like, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Jason Hill is just legitimately. It's not a yearly thing, though. He's not top.

He's not top eight. Like, he was tight end 15 last year. He's always a lot better than you think. I mean, the thing with Jason Hill is. It makes him scary. is like the distribution of points with Hill is funky where it's like he's going to have like one point then you'll have four points and you'll have three points then you'll have 39 points I know this is this is his year though in the wash right like that's that's the thing of you

to me you have Hill he's the only tight end other than the actual elite tight ends who has like 30 point outside look if tight end eight's not good enough I'll give you six how about that I'll give you six I he get outscore Dalton Kincaid. How about that? There you go. There you go. Is that hot takey enough? I bet he he outscores Dalton Kincaid. Mr. Luke Musgrave out there.

Yeah, I think this is his year, but for receiving, I think he's going to set highs in everything. More rushing than I want him with my Alvin Camarra take, but let's be real. If he's lining up outside in the slot, full back, tailback, tight end, we know he's going to throw a few passes.

Let's do it. Top. Top six. Right. taste him hill i'll i'll adjust my hot take all right taste me ill um my tight end hot take this is probably the most lukewarm take but i he's just been my guidance this program all season going back the off season is that when we do drafts this time next year rock bowers will be the overall dynasty tight end one um i'm not sure exactly how the whole production is going to go at the very start of the year i do expect the surroundings to attempt to bring him down to the depths as much as they possibly can.

But I do think at tight end, it is at least a position where even if an offense is not super functional, those tight end routes are available. And I think the fun thing with Bowers, unlike a Piss that I've been stressing this whole off season, he is a little bit more of a traditional tight end. You also merge that with how the Raiders have tried to plan all of these scripted plays around him out of the backfield, potentially some stuff at the goal line. It's all very exciting to me. Obviously, I'm very eye on the talent of Brock Bowers.

I think he shows enough and he performs enough down the stretch that he ends up being clearly the tight end one overall fantasy football that everybody gets very excited about in Dynasty and elsewhere in the 2020. Actually, I'll go even one hot take further. Not only is the tight end one overall in Dynasty next season. He's also the tight end overall in redraft ADP. Oh, that got way hotter. I'm not saying he's going to be the Titan overall this year. I'm a lot of thing. Next season's 80p. That, that, that got pretty, pretty spicy.

That got pretty hot pretty quick. I liked it, though. I'm going to throw one thing out here just into the ether because I don't want it to happen, but it was so close to be my tie-in hot take. And that, oh my gosh, wow, I have lost all sorts of. You set yourself up there. Sam Leporta will not be a top six tied-in this season. That is my hot take.

I don't want it to happen, but I do see a universe. verse where that is way too real. So we found out today that Lucas is fired. He'll no longer be at fans. From here forward, you're fired. Don't come back. I'm not going after, I'm not going after Trey McBride, though.

I know who really holds your heart. It's true. Right. You're right. You're rehired. You're not fired. Welcome back. Welcome back to the team.

Last break, and we're going to finish us off with wide receivers. I think I have one that is going to trigger Jacob. for our first real rant today and kind of go against everything this show was built on. So sit tight for that if my Tassam Hill wasn't hot enough. I was just setting you guys up. It's called a teaser, okay, because we're professionals here that don't just talk about ass. I think teaser is actually at the bar in Winnipeg that Ryan's at tonight.

Well played, well played. Shout out, for real. Little Canadian joke for everybody. for the someone in the comments you predicted your take here which one yeah well I mean he's on the thumbnail

so um he is and by the way can I just point out this is a sick thumbnail like I put in I I literally thought the thumbnail was Jimmy they have the same hair and the same uniform I mean look at the number baby come on now

okay we got to get we gotta get Ryan's out of the way because he's not here to defend himself. Devon A. Chan averages under 12 rushing attempts per game, but finishes the top 5 RB by also operating as Miami's third wide receiver. So that is Ryan's next hot take. Don't know if that's hot takey,

but he is, yeah, he is going to be the Dolphins third wide receiver. I mean, shout out. They got no one else. Everyone else is dusty. Odell Beckham Jr. is on the fast track to the Will the Willful of retirement program. mysterious injury and just never playing again. Let's be real.

All right, let's get wide receiver hot takes. I'll go to Jacob next. All right. This is kind of a fake wide receiver hot take. It's mostly a quarterback hot take to be entirely honest. But all three Houston Texans wide receivers finished top 12 at the position in the year that C.J. Stroud sets the all-time passing yardage record. Let's walk back to the last time that we had one of these true record-breaking seasons.

I've been saying all since mid-last season that we had, Peyton Manning reincarnated back in our lives on the 2013 Denver Broncos. I remember Peyton only had 16 games. Demarius Thomas had 92 catches for 1,430 yards and 14 touchdown. Eric Decker goes 87 for 1288 and 11 touchdown. Those were both top 12 wide receiver. Wes Welker finishes as the wide receiver 17 with 73, 778, and 10. but that's because Julius Thomas winds up finishing as the tight end three with 65, 788, and 12.

Even No Sean Moreno got in on the fun with 60 catches himself. The beauty of the Texans spot is they don't have the Julius Thomas. I don't think Dalton Schultz is going to be finishing his tight end three this year. So I'm going to move their third wide receiver off just a little bit from wide receiver 17 up to wide receiver 12. This is one of the rare chances we get to see, in my opinion, the best wide receiver group in the NFL playing with the greatest quarterback in the NFL. And that's going to be the view that we all have about C.J. Stroud at the end of this year, once he wins the MVP, sets the all-time passing artist record, and of course wins the

super. And so we're going to see Diggs, Dell, and Collins, whether you like the little guy, the big guy, the old guy, everybody's going to get to win on the Houston Texans wide receivers, as long as you tear down into a Houston Texan wide receiver. Nick Furious, the C.J. Stroud will become the first active player to get voted into the Hall of Fame. Really what Jacob is doing is just projecting his former love of Andrew Luck in division with what he wanted from him into C.J. Stroud. That is hot. That is hot, hot. I don't see it happening, but by God, man, you picked a real good one. Lucas, let's go with

yours. All right. Ending on a little bit of a sour note here, but Joshua Palmer is going to be the most frustrating wide receiver in fantasy football this season. It's so much of breaking out. I mean, could be a breakout, but I don't know how much like 11 points a game will be a breakout to fantasy managers whenever. It's just like it's, it's there. It's fine. You're okay having it in your lineup.

But whenever it's capped at 11 points per game, you're not necessarily happy with it either. So he is going to be taking away from Ladd-McConkey. It's going to make everybody really sad. He's not going to be getting touchdowns, which is also going to be making everybody sad. The running backs are the ones that are going to be sniping it. And Justin Herbert, he'll have some nice plays with him, but Justin Herbert won't be getting any touchdowns. And it's just going to be an overall frustrating experience watching the Chargers. And you see how close they are to potentially having like something fun, but it's a Greg Roman offense.

So, you know, you're just signing up for pain. Yeah. I agree. Nick Fury, Lucas with the perfect Josh Palmer definition. He's there. It's fine. It's true. Yeah, I think the Josh Palmer thing is insane.

And I have a potential bet going with somebody who disagreed with me here. Here's, we're going to end on this hot take right here. Jameson Williams breaks out this year. And I want to be very careful with how I define breakout because it's kind of cherry-picked a little bit for my safety with how much I have trashed this man openly on every podcast I've ever been on. But hear me out. I have Jameson Williams breaks up with a 12.5 to 13 point per game season. Now you might be saying, Tom, that's not a breakout.

When you're considering that his previous production was nothing, I think 13 points per game boost this guy's value way back up into the sixth round of startups next year. hear me out 12.5 points per game would have put him ahead of t higgins dante johnson george pekins christian watson drake london scary terry and chris godwin and only 0.2 points per game behind garrett wilson in two thousand and twenty three the lines cut donovan people's jones and have yet to add another significant option to the receiving court we did mention tim patrick but who knows with him if it's going to happen okay if for any reason jameson will Williams is going to be a thing. And Brian Ford, if you're listening, I want to make sure that you hear, right, to make sure that you're hearing what I'm, you know, don't hear what I'm not saying. And I'm not saying that he is going to be a wide receiver one. The thumbnail, I lied to him a little bit. I'm not going to go wide receiver one. That's absolute crazy town. Okay, it's going to be like 16 points for game. I don't think that's happening. But I think 12 and a half points for game is going to make people go cuckoo for Cocoa Puff's one more time. I think if it's going to happen, it's going to happen. And since we're

We never do hot takes on this program. I will say that Jameson Williams finally breaks out to 12.5 points per game in 20, 23. While the Lions finishes the number one offense in football in 2024, there you go. That's my hot take. We're ending it on that. Yeah, bringing the knowledge. I mean, hey, we got to have, I can't just make a, we don't do hot takes. Okay, we don't do hot takes on this program.

We don't do player takes. So when we do do it, we got to have something. You know what I mean? Can I give an ask to the chat? That's to be clear, an ask, not an ask to the chat. Right, right. We had discussed next week doing our fantasy superlatives. You know, things like fantasy MVP, biggest bust, all that kind of stuff.

Biggest breakout, whatever. We've done the thumbnail carousel. Yeah. So if anyone in the chat has some that they want to recommend, why don't we pick, like, people submit them on Twitter or the Discord or whatever. Why don't we take like the two funniest suggestions from that we can add to our list of superlatives? Do we need a description with it? Or can we interpret it however we. Leave a description if you want.

Next week we're going to do superlatives. Let's give us a description. Look, you can leave a comment. If you're listening on Spotify, you can leave a comment. we will see your comments. We'll be able to get it from there. You can post, ideally you post a comment here on YouTube when this show is over, which ones you want to see next year, whether it's fantasy MVP,

whatever weird ones you guys want to, who's going to have the most ass by the end of the year? Whatever you guys want to do, we'll get to them two funniest ones. You can tag us on Twitter or you can tag us in the Discord as per usual. But we are going to do two of the ones that you guys want. We're also giving away a data suite next week. and we have some other fun

giveaways ahead. We are going to give away a subscription. We're a fantasy point subscription. We are giving away a data suite. And we are going to do, we're going to handpick two suggestions from you guys and give you guys a shout out.

So let's do that. I love that. Yeah, I love that. Dollar General Squirt Gun from Nick Fury. I love that. That's absolutely hilarious. I like Ferris's hot take here. Ferris, I'm going to butcher your last name, dude.

known you for years now and I've never known your last name so it's Gonsman hopefully I didn't fuck that up. Hot take Jalen McMillan is this year's Jaden Reed will see the biggest ADP jump from the rookie wide receivers drafted. I like that one. I'm a big McMillan guy. Big McMillan guy. Also shout out

Ray Davis. Ray Davis looking good. Oh yeah. So far. Again, I'm going to stand by my statement that I think he's a better running back than James Cook. I still just don't think he's going to get the opportunity to me. But hell of a show. It wasn't two hours long. we got we got most of it look for jacob's next dynasty 101 video his other is posted on the channel

if you haven't watched it already do that the man is putting in overtime for more dynasty theory here on this channel you're going to see more lucas gilbert with some tools that we got coming to the website some war some warp it's going to be a good time we're adding to that the dynasty discord if you're not in there already go to fantasy points dot com and sign up it is absolutely popping in there on a daily basis as we ramp up in there. I can't even keep up with half of you guys. It is absolutely crazy.

We have more mods than we've ever had before answering questions. Buck is in there talking his trash. Just a great time. This is the best time of the year. It really does all come down to this. Let's get some final thoughts from the panel here and let them know what you...

I mean, Jacob, you've just released something for thinking about thinking. Let's get some final thoughts and get out of here. Yeah, man. And thinking about thinking, I just did my updated redraft rankings just today. Talked about all the different changes I made. We moved Jaldele McLaughlin way up. We moved Kamani Vidal, way back up. A few other changes.

I kind of got out of best ball brain and finally like necessarily moved down a lot of these receivers that don't matter nearly as much in redraft that I kind of left up there. At some point before we get kickoff, I will have fully updated dynasty rankings. but it's going to be a little bit more redraft focused, at least for the rest of this week up there. We're going to do a column with, I think, potentially some more bold predictions. Definitely going to have one on a perfect high-stakes draft

before this weekend concludes. Basically, whenever I get a chance to write over these next two weeks, I'll be writing something. Oh, I did one this weekend that is a nice, big, long column on the perfect running back room for every draft style. So I did a robust running back room. room. I did a zero R.B room. I did a hero R.B. room. And I could only pick every running back once. So wrote up a lot on each of those guys went into a lot of detail on whether I like

Breesmore or Bijan, talk a lot about the Titans backfields, all the other stuff. Love that, man. Think about thinking. If you're not subscribed, you're going to want to. Link is in the description. Get in there. Lucas, you're working on some fun stuff too. Let's preview it. What do you got? Yeah. So I've got some very fun war stuff coming up. War should be coming back to fantasy. points this season, not only working on war projections for the season, but then also keeping track of it game by game. And we'll see.

We might have some other interesting things coming along. It depends on how much time I want to spend doing late nights trying to program when I don't know how a program. So it's going to be really fun. It's going to be really interesting. Plus college football is back. I am officially no longer defending Florida State in their season last year. I can't do it anymore after losing to Georgia Tech.

I mean, hey, like a Nandandari said, we're in unprecedented times or Florida State, not only, you know, skipped the last game of the year. They also decided they were skipping the first game of the year this year. So unprecedented times in college football, for sure. Looking forward to the war tool, man. I mean, after we had Iowa mic on here from South Harmon talking about warp, you just went right to work. Now we're bringing it to the people. We're changing things. And my final take is this.

We always have stuff happening at fantasy points. Like you said, we're so close to 10,000 subscribers on YouTube. This has been a goal of ours to get there. When I first got here a year and a half ago, when we first showed up, I decided, we decided there's going to be a goal of ours. So shout out to everyone who subscribed, everyone checking in the content, everyone providing content from Paul Patterson and Pure Potential to Jacob here, to Lucas, to the whole team, Graham, Scott, everyone just, really buckling in. We have another dynasty content creator joining us. His first piece comes out. I believe this week, you know him. Theo Granger will be doing dynasty articles and videos for us as well. That means you're going to get up to two, three, sometimes four dynasty videos a week. What did I promise when I first got here?

That more dynasty content than ever before was going to come to fantasy points and see. Since I have gotten here, we have been making it our focus, the trade tier chart sheet. That is getting an update before kickoff. We have, like I said, three to four dynasty videos. We are going to be uploading a bonus podcast to the Dynasty Points podcast channel, not just the Fantasy Points now. Jacobs Dynasty 101 will also be released in podcast form as a bonus to you guys at the end of each week. I made good on my promise.

I'm a man of my word. We're getting it done for you. and we are bringing Dynasty back from the fucking dead from FantasyPoints.com. Because that's one of the main things you guys said when we asked what we could do better. That was it. We're coming through. I made the promise and we're keeping it. So be locked in.

The Dynasty channel right now and the Discord still free. All you need is a free account to get in on there. If you're not already, it's insane. Hop in there. You're going to want to do it. I also want to remind everyone this game is supposed to be fun. Let's bring it back to having a good time. time let's talk our trash let's talk our shit but let's remember that there's people on the other

side of those screens check in on your loved ones even if you're not sure that they need it remember they clear eyes and full hearts can never lose in your best days god damn they're always a great time we'll see you guys next week what what you're welcome you're welcome