Fantasy Football Daily - 2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Sleepers - Film Vs Analytics
Episode Date: May 6, 2024Looking to dominate your fantasy football league in 2024? Look no further! In this video, we reveal the best rookie sleepers that are must-drafts for your team. Stay ahead of the competition and secur...e these hidden gems to ensure your fantasy success. Watch now and get ready to dominate your league with these top 2024 fantasy football rookie sleepers! Subscribe to FantasyPoints for FREE - https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/ Where to find us: / scottbarrettdfb / bgwhitefield FantasyPoints Website - https://www.fantasypoints.com NEW! Data Suite - https://data.fantasypoints.com Twitter - / fantasypts Facebook - / fantasypts Instagram - / fantasypts #fantasypoints #fantasyfootball #nfl #nfl #fantasyfootball #bestball #dynasty #dfs #nflbetting #fantasyfootballadvice 0:00 - Intro 0:46 - Ricky Pearsall - San Francisco 49ers 7:58 - Xaiver Legette - Carolina Panthers 14:28 - Keon Coleman - Buffalo Bills 20:34 - Ja’Lynn Polk - New England Patriots 23:53 - Jermaine Burton - Cincinatti Bengals 26:53 - Roman Wilson - Pittsburgh Steelers 30:25 - Luke McCaffrey - Washington Commanders 34:53 - Ben Sinnott - Washington Commanders 40:21 - Jonathon Brooks - Carolina Panthers 45:10 - Marshawn Lloyd - Green Bay Packers 49:44 - Ray Davis - Buffalo Bills 55:06 - Kimono Vidal -Los Angeles Chargers 59:35 - Honorable Mentions 1:00:00 - Outro Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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When you're flying Emirates business class, enjoying a good night's rest in your lie flat seat,
you'll see that your vacation isn't really over until your flight is over.
Fly Emirates, fly better.
Film versus analytics, the 2024 NFL draft is officially over, and Scott Bear and I are back to bring you some film versus analytics.
Today we are talking about NFL draft risers, guys who either landed in a nice landing spot,
or maybe we like the scheme fit.
We got 12 players for you that we are breaking down today.
So without further ado, let's jump right in.
All right, Scott, the way this is going to work, I'm going to throw out a guy.
You're going to start the conversation on the guy.
And then we'll make it conversational, all right?
Oh, all right.
So we're not going to war, film versus analytics this time?
I don't think so because we kind of both pre-approved the list.
So I think we're all, we're somewhat sympathetic on all these guys.
That's why it is a riser show.
You know, we might have some differing opinions on why they're a riser.
but anyways.
All right.
We're going to start with the receivers first.
I want to throw out Ricky Pearsall,
and I don't think many people are thinking he's a riser
other than the draft capital, right?
He did get the round one draft capital.
I do think he's a riser because of where he landed,
but I'm going to pass to you, Scott.
What do you think here?
Yeah, so this is worthy of a victory lap.
You had him wide receiver five.
You caught some heat for that.
Ultimately went wide receiver six,
got that round one draft capital.
Landing spot, I think you can take it a few different ways.
you can say, well, in the short term, you know, I don't know how much upside is there because you have
Brandon Ayuk who's a stud, you have Debo Samuel who's a stud, and then it's a slower-paced,
run-heavy offense with a good defense, et cetera. And so just to go back to our original thoughts on
the player, it was the analytics weren't great. And I was sort of just like, at least in my own
rookie drafts, I was giving him a hall pass just because you were so high on him. And I was having
this conversation with one of our other writers, Nick Spanola at F. Ball underscore Insights, really sharp
analytics guy. And I thought he summed it up perfectly, where it's like, okay, the analytics on
Pearsall weren't good, but the analytics also tell you to just draft every Shanahan or Shanahan
disciple wide receiver or round one pick you can get your hands on. And so I just love that.
I think that's pretty much right with him. Yeah, it was really interesting.
watching CJ Shroud, who did a live stream for the draft, say how much he loved this player.
He was like, oh, no, that was my guy.
Also, Brandon Iuk sent Kyle Shanahan and the GM a text message.
And he was just like, you know, they were, they were trying to trade him or considering trading him at that point.
He was like, fire pick, not going to lie.
But yeah, Shrout was going nuts.
And he's like, oh, he's going to, he's going to play so well.
Shanahan, you know, Shanney's going to scheme him open.
and he is going to crush there.
I'm sick.
We didn't get him.
You know, before we landed Stefan Diggs, that was my guy.
I was really hoping for us to get.
And so I'm just wondering, is there anything you think inherent to the Shanahan scheme
that makes Pearsall such a good fit there?
Yeah, there's an element to, I mean, so I've said before,
I think Purcell fits any scheme because he's got such a diverse skill set.
But ultimately, like, his ability to win vertically and win in the short part of the field,
I think is awesome.
So it's really ironic to me because he lands on the spectrum,
like dead center between what Brandon Ayuk is and what Debo Samuel is.
So he gives them like a ton of versatility where if they wanted to trade IUk,
he could easily fill that role.
If they wanted to trade Debo, I won't say he could easily fill that role,
but he could give you like 80% of what the Debo stuff is in that offense,
which is, you know, all the gadget plays, the runs out of the backfield.
Persol was used that way in college screens and shallow cross or something.
like that so like i just think he's tailor made for that reason sort of like you can just do pretty much
everything i don't have any more thoughts really than then i just think personal can do everything he would be
asked to do in the shanahan offense where that's not necessarily true for every receiver do you see him
more debo-esque or iukesk my personal preference on player would be him trying to them keeping personal
and iukes together rather than than debo and iuk and i know that's a hot take everyone loves
Debo. I just think what he does is a little bit more easily manufactured. And so getting two guys
who can, you know, separate in their route, I think is huge for that offense where Debo's not really
the best route runner. He's not a guy who's going to go win one-on-one matchups against really good
corners. For him, it's more manufacturing stuff, getting him involved against zone, things of that
nature. Where Perthal does that at a high level as well, but he can also win pretty much any one-on-one
you give him. No, I'm with you. I think that's exactly right. Like, that's what you should do.
but I just mean like his skill set is more similar to whom.
I was seeing more Iuke.
Like I think he's good after the catch.
It just wasn't really bearing out in the numbers too much.
But he was excellent in the intermediate to deep portion of the field,
which I think is a little more Iyuk-esque.
I thought it was interesting watching the presser with Kyle Shanan and the way he talked about.
Because remember, I was saying, you know, I know he has the versatility to play inside and out,
but I am viewing him as more of a slot for these very very,
various reasons, which include struggling against press, although we don't know how PFF charts that.
So I don't know how much I trust those numbers.
But he said, well, you saw him in the slot.
You saw him very, you know, excellent slot receiver.
And then he has the speed on the perimeter.
You saw that with the combine.
And just having that speed, threatening that with a go route, keeps defenders honest on all
other routes on the perimeter.
You just need that threat of speed.
And I thought that was really interesting.
So I'm guessing right away, you know, in the Jawan role, we're mostly slot.
And then if, you know, they have to make a decision with IUC next year, they can trade Debo or something along those lines.
What do you think?
Yeah, I think that's, that's right.
I wouldn't be surprised to see them trade Debo this off season, actually.
But he's just, they've had some injury issues with him.
I know he showed up to camp like super heavy last year.
So he gets paid a lot of money.
I don't know.
something's got to give with that receiver room.
So I wouldn't be shocked if that was the actual domino to fall versus Iuke.
Love it though.
I think it's a great fit.
Yeah.
Again, I think Nick just hit the hammer on the head where it's like never bet against
a guy Shanahan or a Shanahan disciple takes this early and plays one of the premium positions
for fantasy.
Like that's an article I want to write this offseason or maybe tag team with Ryan Heath or
high low where it's just like, this is to me seems to be the edge.
now where it's just like I want to be invested in players on teams with these legitimately
elite offensive coordinators where you get an exponential payoff like here's a good offensive
coordinator but there's just these like five guys and they all happen to be these Shanahan
disciple guys where you just like throw out all other metrics out the window where it's like you know
by volume Miami's backfield shouldn't have been anywhere near as potent as it was but it's just
that's always been the case with a Mike McDaniel backfield.
It's just always going to be awesome.
And it's the, you know, Shanahan is a goat.
It has an insane track record, especially with, you know, wide receivers.
So that's the, at the end of the day, I guess, you know, Shanahan wide receiver, let's go.
That's it.
You don't really have to say too much more than that.
Who are the five on that tree for you, though?
So you got McDaniel, Sloick, Shanahan, obviously.
McVeigh, Ben Johnson, Andy Reeves.
Matt LaFleur, I think you would put there.
Yeah, LaFleur for sure.
Hopefully, my guy down in Atlanta,
Zach Robinson.
Yeah, former colleague for both of us.
When I was at PFF, people talked about him and Slowick
as if they were just like Uber geniuses.
So I could see that happening.
All right on.
So before we jump into the next guy,
we have a short break for a sponsor.
Let's jump into the 30-second pick in the draft, Scott.
that is South Carolina wide receiver Xavier Leggett.
And this one was interesting.
Actually, the next two guys we talk about are interesting because the Buffalo Bills
kind of, I mean, they moved back one spot and gave Legat to the Panthers.
And then you saw Brandon Bean sit in this press conference and talk about Xavier
Legate for three minutes, which I thought was one of the strangest things I've ever seen in the NFL.
But we'll get to that when we talk about Kenne Coleman, I guess.
Leggetto lands in Carolina.
I would say it's pretty easy to imagine he's the most talented,
receiver in Carolina. I personally love this landing spot. I'm curious to hear your thoughts here,
Scott. This is the player I really wish we ended up having a video and a debate prior to the draft.
If you read my article, you can tell I kind of struggle with this, where this profile is
more than a red flag. It's nearly disqualifying. It's just players who break out this or this late
and literally do nothing before that, you played a ton of games and just zero production.
you should just write them off as dead because like analytically that's that's what it is like one of
the most predictive variables of my model is age adjusted yards for route run and what you do with
that is you exclude all seasons coming after you know age 21 age 22 season basically doesn't
count you really need to break out early that's indicative of a surplus level of talent that translates
to the NFL and if you don't do that track record on one year wonders and late breakouts is horrific
But I like in my article, I was like, I know I just wrote all these words, but like I can't help it like it.
I can't help it see more upside for him than any like I'm the upside guy.
Right.
So it's weighing the pros and this is like maybe he's just like 60% chance he bust because that's that that concern is like super valid.
But like I think he might have the fourth best wide receiver one upside of any wide receiver in this class.
his last year again and you have to deweight it but like was legitimately incredible super freak
athlete you know i always say athleticism's overrated for wide receivers that's not true when you're
in like the top five percentile in terms of athleticism which he was and so i like him but i mean like
all the analytics people are just saying you took jonathan mingo twice is what you're doing um i thought
it was interesting listening to the press conference you had dave canales say oh oh yeah you know like
I think he's going to be a great fit for us because you look at what he did last year with jet sweeps, screens, shallow crosser, and like, never a good sign when you're leading off with what a wide receiver does well with jet sweeps.
And I like looked into everything he just said.
And it's like, okay, Tampa Bay really didn't use the receivers in that way.
You know who was using that way?
Leviska-chanalt.
And was it Leviska-chanalt types?
And so that's just my concern.
that he said vertical route tree as well though he didn't just list those things but i think he did i can pull up
the the direct quote for you if you want to wait a minute when i think of the the dave canal it's
offense and what he was doing in tampa bay last year like what leggett does well is exactly what he's
going to be asked to do vertical route tree screens shallows get guys in space off a play action so
imagine xavier legate coming over the middle on a shallow off of heavy boot action to the right
I mean, it's just, it's free yards.
Like, that's a mother effort to tackle.
I mean, it's, it's a match made in heaven to me.
There's not a lot of technical route running in that system.
At least that's not what we've seen the last two years of Canales, whether it be in Seattle or Tampa Bay last year.
And so when you talk about a guy who presumably needed some development with his route running, he lands in an offense.
It's not really going to require that quickly.
He's going to be great on those verts.
He's going to be great on the design stuff, getting guys in the space.
off of play action. That's that's what Canalis whole system thrives on. And I think Legat is just,
he's perfect for that. He's been comp to Debo Samuel and A.J. Brown. And that's exactly how those
guys are used. I'd imagine he just pops right in as the new Debo slash AJ. I think he's more
AJ than Debo personally, but perfect, perfect stuff for the Dave Canales scheme. Yeah, here's what he said,
on what jumped out when watching Xavier Legat, what you can do with him out of the backfield,
jet sweeps, short crossers, perimeter screens, down the field.
posts. There really isn't much else we do with receivers. And he said, yeah, you ask a guy to pull
a clip of everything you're looking for. So you're just like, yeah, show me every route out of the
backfield, every jet sweep, et cetera. And that's the concern. And like, you know, Carolina now the out
of Deonti Johnson, but before that, they really struggle to find guys who can consistently separate.
But maybe that's just less important to the Dave Canales scheme. I don't know. But again, I sort of
ended up liking Legette in spite of myself and in spite of all the words I wrote,
I worry, you know, maybe it's going to take some time.
He probably is a little raw based on how he was used last year and how long it took him to
adjust to college.
For the for the Canales offense, it's not, he doesn't need a lot of development to do
what Canales is going to ask him to do.
That's, I mean, he, you nailed it.
The quote is exactly the way he's going to be used.
So I'm not.
I mean, like, if that's all he is, he's going to be a colossal bust because then you're
talking about the only receivers who had over like 40% of their yards coming on that it's
mccall hardman lyn bowden leviska chenault but if you have that as a baseline i've never seen
lavisca shanalt catch a post route in his entire NFL career yeah but a ton of screens a ton of jet
sweeps and you you like i mentioned earlier the vertical element he mentioned the vertical
element well he mentioned one route which i don't think any receiver had more than 200 yards
coming on the post it's not as simple as one route that's just a generic
term for a bucket of routes.
Okay, well, it's scheme stuff.
And to me, it ultimately boils down to it's like, all right, if you're only a scheme guy,
like you're a colossal bust.
But if you, if you have the baseline, the base of the scheme stuff, and then you're asked
to do all this other stuff on top of it, then you could be awesome.
Then you're like, you have this massive PPR floor, which is so valuable for fantasy.
And then everything on top of that is extra.
What can else described is exactly what AJ Brown is, exactly what Debo Samuel is.
All right.
Then that's awesome.
Yeah.
that's super exciting yeah which is why i like the landing spot before we jump into coleman's tape i
mentioned it earlier it was really funny brandon bean spent like three minutes talking about
xavier legett despite having the chance to take him one pick earlier um so they knew who carolina
wanted yeah absolutely um i mean even i think bean it was either bean or mcdermott even said it like
in all my years of scouting legate was one of my favorite players to to scout and talk to before the draft
so that that's still that was weird anyways keon's coming in he's got he's got good vibes going
already with some of the interviews he's done but he is he's very similar to le get in a lot of ways
he's not quite as explosive of an athlete but i think overall he's probably a better athlete scott
what do you think about this landing spot obviously it's awesome like it wasn't a player i was all that
excited about but um you know not a great analytics profile but it's just josh allen wide receiver
they don't have stephan digs they don't have gave davis you have to get excited about that the one
thing I really liked based on Coleman's profile is, you know, how great he was at scoring touchdowns.
And that's not anywhere near Lee as predictive as gaining yards, but he was legitimately awesome at it.
He had, I think he had like 9.5 times as many receiving touchdowns as any other receiver last year.
And everyone on that team is like 6-3 or taller.
Johnny Wilson, 6-6.
And then as a junior in high school, he had 25 receiving touchdowns and 33.
catches, something like that, absolutely insane. And so, you know, this is a potent offense that
scores a lot of touchdowns. Absolutely great landing spot for a player. Maybe I wasn't too that
excited about. I will say in that presser you're talking about, they did call him their ex. They
say they do view him as their ex. And I don't know, that just feels like maybe he's miscast to me.
I was kind of hoping for more of a big slot role. I guess that wouldn't work in Buffalo with
Dalton Kincaid. But he didn't play X last year either. That was Johnny Wilson. So anything
thoughts on that they both played x i mean they they were on opposite sides of the field a lot so
the x thing so i don't think his ideal role in the nthel is hey we're going to put him at x 100% of
the snaps nor do i think they'll actually use him that way whether they're calling him an x or not i
don't think it matters when you look at the the joe brady offense he didn't he didn't have a
designated ex last year um Gabe davis played that role a lot stefon diggs would play that role some
dalton kincade would play that role some so i do think there's an element of you know he is their
declared X, but like how often is he going to be, you know, outside guy lined up on a line of
scrimmage, inviting press coverage. I don't know that that's a thing that they're going to do
a lot of. So it's not that concerning. I do think some big slot reps would be good for him.
My favorite thing about the spot, though, is like, dude, the vacated targets. Like, Davis is gone,
Diggs is gone. The opportunity is huge. They talked about in the press conference, he's just,
they're going to have to call on him year one. Like he, he's going to have to be a big part of the
offense. I think that's true. As much as I liked Khalil Shakir, you know, he hasn't really
developed into where I thought he would be. Now, I think a lot of people are high on him and they
think he's going to have a great season. But when you look at the complexion of the offense,
you know, you would project what more 12 personnel than normal, right? Scott, they have Dawson
Knox still, who's one of the higher paid tenants in the league. They have Dalton Kincaid.
Someone has to come off the field. Is that going to be Curtis Samuel? Is that going to be
Khalil Shakir? If they're calling Keon Coleman the X, that would lead you to believe he's on the field in
those two wide receiver sets, right? So that's, that's the big question for me is, like,
if he can stay on the field in those two wide receiver sets, I think he has a ton of value,
the volume will be there. And then again, like Legget, the things he does well right now
fits the Joe Brady offense perfectly, where it's like we were projecting him to have to have
this developmental curve, right? Like, oh, he's got to go learn how to run the dig route and, you know,
be more of a technician than he is. Well, that's not really what Joe Brady is going to require
of him. It's very static offense. You're going to have,
you know, hitch routes kind of sprinkled in through every pass concept with a couple
verts, runoff verts, where you're just trying to create space, create layers of space
where Keon can catch the ball into space and get after it after the catch.
He's awesome on screen passes on shallow crossers as well.
Something Gabe Davis really struggled with was any route that ran across the field,
whether that was a deep crosser, a shallow crosser, or even like a dig route.
Kian is, if you get him the ball in stride, he is excellent on that.
stuff like that is that's going to be a huge addition working his way through zone
coverages that's going to be huge for for him as well running the slant that's an element that's
been missing out of their offense so i do think this is this is slam dunk and i also think
developmentally like his best football is coming like it's not even close to here he's only he
hasn't even had a full off season dedicated to just football yet he didn't quit playing basketball
until he basically announced his transfer to florida state so he's first full off season of just
playing football, which is really exciting.
Yeah, one thing I'll just say about the Joe Brady offense is, again, this is just an
awesome landing spot for all the reasons you outlined.
But Joe Brady, the offense went significantly more run heavy, top two and pass rate over
expectation that fell to like bottom seven, bottom eight once Joe Brady took over.
Also, Joe Brady wide receivers have always underwhelmed.
In the year 2020, Robbie Anderson and Curtis Samuel both had more fantasy points than
DJ Moore on the same team that season.
We saw Stefan Diggs sort of disappear once Joe Brady took over.
Just things to keep in mind.
He has a narrative around these streets, you know, among other NFL personnel,
that he has a difficult time scheming guys open.
But ultimately, end of the day, it's the don't have a lot else.
And it's Josh Allen and let's go.
Yeah.
Yeah, the scheming, yeah, he doesn't have a lot of
patterns designed to scheme guys open, that's for sure. So he relies on his guys to win. That is,
that is 100% true, which makes Keon valuable to me. Going to be working a lot of those hitches,
you know, back to the defense where he's boxing out defender, stuff like that. And we know
he's good at that stuff now. So, and he's big. New England Patriots take Jalen Polk with, I believe,
the 38th pick in the draft. This was a massive reach for me from a draft capital standpoint.
But the landing spot is juicy because they don't have any talented players on offense in general,
right i mean their quarterback's not even talented love you drake um but jalen polk steps in as they're de facto
wide receiver one probably the best pass catcher on the whole team i don't i don't really have much
to say other than you know it's hard to not love the landing spot when he is by far the most talented
guy on that offense you think so i i don't know about that so the way this offense looks to me is like
they don't have a wide receiver one they don't have a wide receiver two and then they have about
then they have about six or seven wide receiver threes yeah so they took poke and then what was it around around later uh two rounds later they took uh jvonne baker who i had ranked ahead of him and so yeah i guess that's what it boils down to is he clearly uh the most talented receiver on the team because i didn't view him as a wide receiver one archetype by any stretch he was um primarily just a deep threat and he wasn't all that impressive to me he was always very clearly
the wide receiver three on that team whenever jalen mcmillan was fully healthy enough to be the
wide receiver too careful with that by the way the the other analytics bros are going to come after you
they tell me that jalen polk forced jaylon mcmillian that millen to change positions scott
he was he was he was slot all the time he was he was slot from the start so i don't know about that
i don't i don't know about it either i'm just telling just telling you they're going to come for you for
that that's well here's what i was giving you know ricky pierce all pass because you were so high on him
but my guy danny kelly loves jalen polk so i i'm willing to give a hall pass for the the poor
analytics as well really believes in the player and it's it's kind of tricky when you get into
an offense where there are so many talented receivers and yeah i i do like i do like mcmillan
and I think Rome-Odunes-day is a stud.
That can muddy the analytics, especially because it's easier to produce in the slot
than out wide and all that extra stuff.
But, yeah, ultimately not, probably not someone I was excited to draft,
but I can get there just based on available targets and how high Danny Kelly was on him.
I think we're kind of similar on this.
We don't really love the player, but the draft capital investment plus the void of talent
on New England is something.
I will say Jalen Polk has the one trait that I value the most in receivers,
which is body control,
excellent body control.
So maybe that turns into good route running at some point.
You know,
maybe that turns into run after catch at some point.
Right now,
not really there, though.
All right,
I want to make one last point on Polk,
but before we do,
let's take a short break.
All right, Scott,
you mentioned Javon Baker going a couple rounds later.
The only thing I'll say about that is,
I don't know that that really impacts Polk at all,
because I think Baker's destined to play in the slot.
in the NFL. So that's more reflective of Pop Douglas to me. Like I think that's going to be a battle for
playing time there. Maybe they find a way to get all three of them on the field together. I just see
Javan having to play in the slot at the next level. So Polk, Polk to me is a really only outside guy at this stage.
Let's move on. Next player on the board is Jermaine Burton. Cincinnati Bengals take a receiver in the
third round. And to me, this receiver had first round tape. Off field concerns pushed him down the board quite a
into the third round. And I think it's a really good value for the Bengals, one of my favorite
picks of the entire draft. And then when you talk about the pending T. Higgins situation, pretty
clearly he won't be with the team after this season, and potentially not even this season.
So what are you thinking about Jermaine Burton, Scott? Yeah, I think this is an awesome landing spot.
He, like you said, he really probably only fell for off the field concerns, really talented
player my model liked and then it's an awesome landing spot in the long term catching passes from
joe burrow probably the wide receiver too uh as soon as next year and he's going to get serious
playing time this year and and yeah he's going to be one of my favorite draft targets all right um
how did did your analytical profile like burton uh yeah liked him it thought it was
complicated and nuanced but and you know it wasn't amazing but ultimately at the end of the day
it was he led Georgia and receiving yards transferred to Alabama and then led Alabama in receiving yards back to back years.
And it's like typically when you have a wide receiver with that profile, you're taking them in round one.
And so, yeah, he had that.
To me, he was an arbitrage play on Brian Thomas Jr.
just because of how so much of his production came deep.
But like I loved that arbitrage play.
I had Brian Thomas Jr.
ahead of him but like at value i was saying pre-draft i'd much rather have burton and yeah great
landing spot so i still really like burden i think that's the correct take honestly would you rather
have burton the third or brian thomas junior at 23 overall i'll take burton all day his tape was
that good um i also think he's a better route runner than brian thomas junior by a significant margin
right now the other thing i really really like about burton that fits with joe burrow well is
Burrow loves these guys that have acrobatic ability, play above the rim mentality.
And Burton absolutely has that.
Excellent ball tracker, excellent contortionist in the air.
And I know, you know, we don't, we don't tout contested catches as a great trait necessarily
to hang your hat on.
But when it's like the fifth or sixth listed thing, you do well on your, on your sheet,
that's probably a good thing, right?
And that's Burton.
He doesn't have to be that guy, but when, you know, when a ball is slightly underthrown or when,
you know, he's got to go track a ball.
down like a center fielder playing baseball and get to it. He's just phenomenal at that stuff.
And I think Burrow has has cling to guys that are like that. Jamar Chase obviously being one of them.
T. Higgins, to a certain extent, was very much of that variety as well. I just think
Burton might be a little bit better separator than T. Higgins at this at this stage.
I just like him. Yeah. DFB approved. DFB approved.
Roman Wilson, my guy, goes to the Pittsburgh Steelers in the third round. Was this the first pick of the
third round? A little bit later in the third round. That doesn't matter.
He gets third round draft capital.
You know, I kind of knew the NFL was going to be lower on Rome than me.
I stayed true to my film score, though.
I really like what he does.
And he kind of lands in a nice spot.
They just lost Deonté Johnson.
George Pickens has really established himself as kind of a deep threat only at this stage of his career.
So that leaves us with Rome to fill in some of the gaps.
There might be some problems with the new offense they're running, Scott.
But what do you see here with Roman Wilson in the landing spot?
Yeah.
So this wasn't a player.
I was all that high on.
I really worried about him being slot only at the next level.
Arthur Smith addressed that.
He was like, no, no, we see him as a versatile receiver.
But that's what like all these guys said.
I like the landing spot, just do, do available targets.
But then you can kind of argue against it because it's Arthur Smith, right?
And so what did we have?
We had Drake London, you know, with a 40% target share that ranked top 10 in the NFL.
And he was only getting about six targets for game, if that.
And that's the concern.
Probably going to go massively run heavy with those two backs that he got there.
I will say another shout out to our guy, Nick Spanola.
He was looking at Roman Wilson's analytics profile and like all the targets coming in the middle of the field.
And deep middle especially was really how Arthur Smith has been using his receivers over the last few years, really targeting those areas of the field where
Roman Wilson was used heavily and also to great success. So I could see why, and it did seem like
Arthur Smith. This was not saying it was his pick, but he was the one who came out and did the presser
after and spoke highly of him and mentioned that he identified him as a particularly good fit for his
scheme. And so I can see that being the case. I just don't know probably because you were a lot
higher on him than I was. Not all of that excited to be, to be drafting it. That's fair, especially when
you throw Russell Wilson to the mix. It's like he doesn't target the middle part of the field.
So well, on that, Jim Nagy's comp for Roman Wilson was Tyler Lockett.
Yeah, I know. Mine too. Don't don't give Jim all the course. Oh, damn. Okay. Okay.
Well, he also said he modeled his game after Tyler Lockett. Yeah, you know who he told me to, right?
Who? John Hanson. Oh, wow. Because my, my comp was Tyler Lockett. So he asked Roman Wilson, my boy, Brett's
company to Tyler Lockett. What do you think about that? He's like, well, I've modeled my game after
Tyler Lockett. And that's exactly how I see Rome is a guy who's just awesome on the vertical
route tree and plays way bigger than his size. Back it up a little bit. You mentioned the outside
versus slot type stuff. I do think a smart offensive coordinator is going to play him in the
slot more than the outside. Because of that deep speed and because of his ability to play bigger
than his size, like Tyler Lockett, I do think there's a world where he can live on the outside.
just probably not full-time, but I definitely would get them involved, kind of moving them all over.
I'm curious to see what this means for the offense in general, because, like, the run-pass splits were just so bad in Atlanta that it's hard to imagine.
You know, it's funny is Rome Wilson's kind of coming from that offense, right?
The college version of Arthur Smith just, we're going to pound the rock, no matter what, just screw everybody else.
And so he's used to, he's used to only getting targeted a few times a game.
but we'll see next guy another one of my dudes luke mcalfrey um i was pegging him as the draft day
sorry the day three draft sleeper of this class he ends up not going day three scott he goes
at the end of day two gets really nice uh draft capital investment probably because of his last
name to be honest because i don't don't know that his game was quite there i thought he's a developing
player though he's he was a quarterback for the first three years of his college career gets drafted by
Washington and Washington's kind of compiling a bunch of receivers that do everything so like
McCorren, Dotson and now McCaffrey like these all three of these guys you can move around the
formation they can play in the slot that can play outside I do think McAfree is probably better as a
slot receiver he is white after all Scott and I know that's just automatically where you play
him if he's a white guy playing receiver so anyways give me your take on Luke I don't even think
we ever discussed him pre-draft you and I like analytical profile anything like that so give me your
take yeah so I didn't even write up
up in my wide receivers article he just didn't have the projected giraffe capital necessary to warrant
a write-up so here's here's what i'll say briefly about his analytics profile uh so just one year after
converting to wide receiver he had 2.5 times as many receiving yards and 4.3 times as
as many receiving touchdowns as the next closest rice receiver that's sick that's like you'd love to see
those yarded share dominator rating type numbers um but he was also 20
22 years old.
And it did come outside of the Power 5.
But again, the dude just converted from quarterback to wide receiver.
But just because he was productive doesn't mean he was very good.
What's notable to me was his quarterbacks were actually less efficient when targeting him versus when targeting all other receivers.
And by a landslide is quarterback through 10 interceptions when targeting him.
That was the most of any receiver since 2014.
Elite contested catch guy.
his 62% career contested catch rate ranks best of any receiver since 2014,
but he also had a death now level career contested target rate,
which kind of indicates an inability to separate.
Ultimately, what this all boils down to is, you know, he's very athletic.
There's probably some upside here because the guy just converted to this new position
and he did rack up all this production, but he's raw in these other ways.
And so, yeah, maybe there's some upside there.
It feels like a reach and a projection for Washington,
but it's a good landing spot, probably going to be a day one starting slot, right?
So, yeah, that's my thoughts, you know, not someone I'm convicted in
or all that excited to draft, but you can't not say it's a good spot just based on the draft
capital he commanded.
The contestant catch stuff is funny, Scott.
because I could convince you within two minutes of watching his tape that that was not a Luke
McCaffrey problem. Oh, right, right, right. Yeah, his, his quarterback probably had one of the
worst arms I've ever seen. He hung every deep ball like five yards short. The underthrown deep ball,
by the way, is so undefeated. It's insane. And McCaffrey definitely took full advantage of that,
working back and getting those contested situations. But the thing that stands out for me and
the reason I loved him as a as a day three guy was because the the jump he made from
22 to 2023 on tape was absolutely insane.
2022 it literally looked like a guy who just converted from quarterback was almost like he was
he was forced to play there because they all the receivers were dead and he had to go out
there and they were just forcing him targets and it was he was stiff wasn't a good route runner
it was kind of awkward after the catch and then 2023 it's like you can tell the dude
absolutely put in the work turned into an excellent route run like going from bad route runner to
excellent route runner that quickly was something i was not expecting when i watched the tape so huge
huge credit to that and i think maybe you can project some more quick development as well
considering he's only been playing the position for for two years now so i love the landing spot
there's a non-zero chance john dodson stinks as well so um potentially comes in there and get some
targets damn damn catching shre yeah he's just he's just he's just not
a guy that analytics could tell you one way or the other. So definitely defer to Brett's
film takes here. Yep. Thank you for that. All right, we're jumping right into another
commander's guy. Ben Sinat, tight end gets the, he's the second tight end off the board,
which Scott and I, we had a lot of talks about him pre-draft. And we did, there was a world we
kind of figured he might be the second tight end off the board. So that didn't really shock us.
Second round pick, though. I don't know that, I don't know that his tape.
was quite that strong, but you, like McCaffrey, you saw route running development as he transitioned
from this fullback character to a tight end, his last two seasons at Kansas State. He actually did develop
as a legit route runner. So credit to that, tested as a really good athlete. I thought the film was just
okay, but the landing spot is great, Scott, and I'm sure you agree with me on that. And the reasons
why Zach Ertz is basically dead. So, but I give the floor to you. What do you think on Ben Sinat?
Yeah. So I was getting a lot of
trash talking from Mike Wright, one of the footballers.
Yeah.
And he, uh, he was like, you know, way too low on Ben Sinat, who I think I had
tight end five.
Uh, you know, like he, he should be tight end two.
And then low and behold, Sinat goes tight end two.
My tight end two goes round seven, probably one of my worst calls of all time.
That, that stung, that hurt.
Uh, I mean, I, I, I could see the argument for Ben Sinat at tight end two.
I definitely could.
his coach has been in the league for or in college football for like 15 years and ben synott last year
had the most receiving yards per game of any receiver he's ever had at any position really
impressive athleticism some other numbers and just like what wasn't tight end too worthy but i i could
see that being the case one concern i had was that he won the low man trophy last year which is an award
given to the best fullback in college football and we talked about this rat we were just like
none of this makes any sense like the guy had the highest career a dot of any tight end in the class
he only spent like 60 of 500 snaps as a fullback like it just the guy is a tight end it's stupid
sorry he played more on the outside as an outside receiver that he did that full back yeah
it just made no sense but like you heard this leading into the senior bowl it's like teams
don't know whether he's going to be a fullback or a tight end so
we'll see what he looks like down at the senior and it's just a red flag right like the worst case scenario is he's josiah de guara you know drafted in round three and you're like oh oh yeah Aaron's got this sick tight end and it's like nope he's a fullback so I'm listening to this press conference I get it I get to transcribe it and go back and listen to it but they finally asked about synod and they're like yeah you know he reminds me of that guy they got there in San Francisco and I'm like okay here it is
Oh, no.
Juice check.
He could do a lot of the versatile things.
He does, but he also reminds me of George Kittle, just a great receiver, impressive
after the, and like the range of my emotions.
And so like now I'm just still left with like, I have no idea what to do.
And so I listened to a few more press conferences.
And so this other guy they got, he was like, oh, he's a great blocker.
You know, we really love his blocking.
Like, oh, he leads off of the blocking.
But he's also this great receipt.
a wide range of emotions, not really sure what to do here.
Ultimately, like I said, I just don't think there's any tight ends in this class
worth getting really excited about after Brock Bowers.
We know tight ends, or typically last year was an exception, typically slow to develop,
typically you're better off just waiting until after their rookie season to buy them
at a cheaper price because rookies tend to struggle, rookie tight ends tend to struggle their rookie
season and like fantasy owners keep forgetting about that, but they get impatient.
Zach Earts super dusty but I mean it's either going to be a committee or I don't know I just I just have a hard time seeing him gaining value from now until 12 months from now so why did we put him on the riders list oh because I well the guy goes around to tight end too like you can't just not you yeah I you know what it is it's probably just take lock for me like I'm just mad at myself for having him too low and I don't want to admit it I want to encourage you a little bit on the jeheme bell thing.
Scott because here's the thing we knew he wasn't going to go day two like you and I knew that if you
didn't know that I told you that a few times so people told me that about Marvin mims and then he went
day two and then I told you he'd go anyway I planted I planted my flag on on jehem bell because
is I knew he'd go day three but I think there's a chance just like will mallory last year elite
elite receivers elite options in the past game that makes a difference well the jehem bell thing like this
is where like the analytics get tricky is the same thing for Xavier legate this might not be a red
flag this might just be totally disqualifying and so jehem bell had like five things that were totally
disqualifying and then like the sickest upside argument you could make and it's hard to find a
proper balance there and so i just i just kind of fell too in love with the upside argument while
ignoring the disqualifying red flags but that's just kind of how it happens so like you know
i'll admit my mistakes and learn from it and who knows maybe he could still hit like that's
That's not a Hunter Henry and the ghost of Austin Hooper.
You never know.
Well, we're going to jump into some running backs.
We're going to end the bin and synot talk in the 10 of that.
We're going to jump into some running backs.
But before we do, we got to hit a quick break.
Scott, I got four running backs to end this show with.
We're going to start with Carolina Panthers.
Second round selection, Jonathan Brooks, Texas running back followed in the footsteps of great Bejan Robinson and Rocheon Johnson.
Had a great season.
Unfortunately, tore his ACL late in November.
But NFL didn't care.
Like I was wrong on that.
I thought the NFL would care.
They didn't care.
First RB off the board.
He definitely had RB1 tape.
I know you love this guy.
This is your RB1.
I'm teeing you up for a victory lamp right here.
Scott, come on.
Hit me.
Yeah.
So I like Trey Benson a lot.
Jonathan Brooks' trump card over him was like so significant,
which is just that like key profiles as a really good pass catcher in a class totally
devoid of really good pass catchers.
I know there's guys you like in that role,
but just you don't have the.
the data to go off, just not a lot of balls caught in college for these other running backs.
And so a bonus of that is that he is totally landing spot dependent, independent, in a way that
Trey Benson's not, where Trey Benson's going to need positive game script.
He can get scripted out of games if he's not catching, getting targets.
And so Jonathan Brooks, you go to Carolina, love this landing spot.
It doesn't matter if Carolina is as bad as they were last year because, sure, they're going
abandon the run, but now he's getting peppered with targets. And so I watched this press conference,
and Dave Canales, it was asked, what led you to Jonathan Brooks? And it's like, well, first of all,
we thought he was the best running back in the class. Second of all, tremendous versatility.
He can do all the standard running back stuff, like take the handoffs. But on top of that,
he's a really good pass catcher. We're going to be creative in how we get him out in space,
just like I did last year in Tampa Bay. We're going to do that via the screens. We're going to
go empty, put him out wide, and get him mismatches, and boom. Like, that is awesome. That is sexy.
That is so much fun. Jonathan Brooks and the Rashad White role, let's go. Money. He's being,
he should be going a lot earlier than he is right now. Great pick in your rookie drafts. Easily
RB1. A talented version of Rashad White has RB1 potential, like league RB1 potential.
Hell yeah. If he's getting.
Rashad White usage with the talent in his body.
That is, that's really, in a class, we didn't think we'd get a stud running back.
It sounds like we actually did get a stud running, maybe two actually, because we didn't put Benson on the risers list, but I, I think we both like his landing spot just because Arizona runs the football very well.
Anyways, I love this fit.
I love what Carolina in general is doing.
They recognized that they are on the verge of a colossal failure with their one zero one pick last year and Bryce Young.
and they have done everything they possibly can to get him out of the funk to save his career with, you know, the rebuilding of the offensive line.
They invested a lot of money into that offensive line this off season.
They go out and trade for Deonti Johnson.
They draft Xavier Lincoln.
Yeah, great trade, by the way.
And then they draft Jonathan Brooks.
They've improved the supporting cast around Bryce Young so dramatically that I'm just, I like, I almost want to root for this team, right?
And I used to live in Charlotte, so maybe that's a bias.
But like, I'm so impressed with what they've done.
I know Dave Tepper is a wild card and it's hard to root for him.
But Dave Canales is not.
I like Canales.
I like everybody involved in what they're doing right now.
With that said, John Brooks, man, hearing him talk about using him the way that he used
Rashad White is really awesome because that was the value for Brooks to me was, you know,
legit belcow potential where all of the other guys in this class got like, like I could scout them.
So yeah, they have the traits to become.
that, but they're not there yet, right?
There's not another one in this class that is where Brooks is from a Belcow standpoint.
So love it.
Absolutely love it.
The most important point to our addition for Bryce Young, I think is Dave Canales.
Like you never know like it's certainly not priced like this in fantasy leagues,
but the guy was a QB guru to like Johnny Mansell and then he became a quarterback's coach and then
an offense coordinator now a head coach.
but like look at the turnaround we saw from Gino Smith in 2022.
Look at the turnaround.
Like the guy was best known for getting punched in a face by a teammate spent,
I don't know, 12 years in the NFL and hadn't been a starter for eight.
And then look at Baker Mayfield's ridiculous turnaround last year.
Like it's certainly possible that Bryce Young has that turnaround this year.
And if so, like, you know, that's actually how I'm going to play it.
I'm going to be drafting a ton of Deontay Johnson, a ton of Jonathan Brooks.
And all those guys are going way too cheap in drafts right now.
Let's move on.
Another one of my favorite landing spots of the class is Marshaun Lloyd,
USC running back going to the Packers, I believe in early round four.
I really like this landing spot because I think Lloyd is,
he's born for the Aaron Jones role.
They're going to get him on the edge.
He's not going to be forced to run the ball between the tackles.
They're going to get him on the edge.
They're going to get him in space.
They're going to throw him the football.
he's going to do all the things that Aaron Jones does well.
You also factor in that Josh Jacobs is on a like a glorified one year deal.
And they certainly could keep him beyond this year.
But point being is if like if Lloyd really balls out this year, there's,
there's a world where, you know, he could be taken over more than half the the snaps by the end of the season or into next season.
So really, really love the fit here.
Yeah, let's not forget, uh, Josh Jacobs was legitimately terrible last year as well.
He was really bad.
So here's what I'll say about this is like,
I know why you see this as a good landing spot.
I have some concerns and that's just,
this has always been a frustratingly stupid committee backfield.
Where AJ Dylan, you know,
stinks and he's still getting only like one fewer carry than Aaron Jones per game
and all the goal line work.
And so that's just,
that's just not fun.
Don't like committee backfields.
And then I thought,
I thought this was an incredible.
stat and no one else is talking about it i'm worried but you can tell me what you saw on tape but
throughout his career marshall and lloyd averages 7.1 yards per carry in man gap concepts in zone
concepts 4.1 yards per carry worse in the class 70.7 pff grade worse in the class and so green
bay has always been top 12 in the rate at which they run zone heavy you know the coach also sort of has
that background. Is that a concern for you? No, it's for one, there's a million directions I could
go with this to why it's not a concern. The first is outside zone is not even in either USC's
playbook, whether that's Southern California or Southern Carolina. They don't run, I think Marston
Lloyd probably had 50 career outside zone carries in four years of college football. There are probably
less than that actually. I think maybe a 10 all of last season. Outside zone is the Green Bay Packers
primary run concept so we don't we have no sample size of marshawn lloyd on outside zone
that zone that's purely inside zone and not only is it inside zone it's a type of inside zone
that the green bay packers don't run it's rpo centric Caleb williams making the wrong read i don't
let me back there i don't even want to go down that road that's another whole rabbit hole we don't
really need to get into. But listen, I'll say this, Marshawn Lloyd, I'm not going to sit here and
claim he's the best inside zone runner in the class. He's not. He's, he's DeAndre Swift. He needs
to be on the edges. His vision wasn't awesome an inside zone, but a lot of the issues he had
an inside zone weren't necessarily his problem. I think he's probably an average inside zone
runner where I know the analytical profile he just gave suggests he's like a far below average
inside zone runner. That said, he's not ever going to be asked to carry the ball on inside zone in
Green Bay. The Aaron Jones role is outside zone. It's power, it's counter. You take those three
run. I know power and counter alone, Lloyd averaged like 11 yards per carry in college on those two
run concepts. And that's what Green Bay does. So insane value there. They're going to do a little bit of
duo, which Lloyd, you know, didn't have a ton of experience with in college either. It's mostly
polars. He's setting up polar, pulling blockers. That's where his vision
thrives that's where that speed and acceleration thrives so yeah and if if they drafted him to play
the aaron jones role this is not a concern to me at all if they drafted him with the idea of we're
still going to run inside zone on 20% of our carries and he's the guy to do that that is probably
concerning because i don't think he's suited to do that i think that's the the josh jacobs role
so no not concerned with that but i think you're concerned about the committee's a legit concern though
that's it has been frustrating and especially if you consider the fact that as bad as josh jacobs was
last year he probably is still an upgrade over a j dillon in the a j dillon role right like he's a more
physical runner he is a pretty good pass catcher as well not great but he's decent so maybe that that
marshaun lloyd role you know him stepping into the aaron jones thing maybe that doesn't really pan out
this year at the level i want it to maybe they think josecobs is more of an every down runner
love it we're going to move on to another one of my absolute faves ray davis going to the buffalo bills
like this for a variety of reasons. I'll let you go first and then I'll kind of hit my my final two
points here. But I love the fit. I know it's a fourth round pick and we don't typically bank on day three
running backs being a thing. But if there was one to be a thing, I think this would be my pick.
Yeah. My concerns are day three running backs really aren't a thing. I didn't really, I don't really
love the player as much as you, but I liked him. And then it's just I see another committee backfield.
James Cook is going to get his touches.
I think Ray Davis is going to get the goal line work,
which is great,
except that Josh Allen is a massive vulture inside the red zone.
And so he's going to get a bulk of those.
He also historically doesn't really target the running back position too much.
So I just struggle to see the upside.
What I'm seeing in rookie drafts is people like,
oh, Bill's got a running back, great offense, let's go.
And it's just, I just struggle to see the upside.
for a committee running back with a quarterback who doesn't target running backs and vultures
touchdowns.
All right.
I don't want to deviate too much, but so give me a simple answer to this question.
Would you say that it's more likely to hit on a day three running back than say a day three
wide receiver or a day three quarterback or a day three tight end?
Yeah, better for the running back for sure.
Okay.
So what that said, you know, your sense.
saying there's a chance, Scott. You're saying there's a chance.
So what it also depends on how you define hit because like you were like NFL people will
define a hit as like, oh dude, he had a 30% snap share this year like and contributed on special
teams. That's great. Like the way I define hit is like RB1 season. Like that's what's impactful.
That's what matters. R. B. 17 to R. B. 31 levels of production is like basically worthless.
And like people don't treat it as worthless enough.
as he should. Fair. Okay. Here's my bit on Ray Davis. He's a much better pass catcher than James Cook.
Oh, that's crazy. Damn. Cook was, Cook was being touted as a scatback coming out. Maybe not by you,
but no, by me, he was touted as a bad back coming out. Um, so they, when they drafted him in the
second round, I thought they flushed a draft pick on the toilet. He's actually been better than I
thought he would be, but he's still not that impressive. I think his analytical, you know,
force miss tackles, yards thrown. It's all,
just kind of mediocre. BMI concerns. BMI concerns, yeah, which is why this pick made a lot of
sense for Buffalo. They went the legit opposite direction, right? Like, Maurice Storne's Drew-Level
BMI, 5-8-220. You guys are in fire hydrant, yeah. But Davis is an awesome receiver, and,
you know, they've talked a little bit about getting the backs involved in the past game. You saw it
with Cook last year. I think he can eat into that role. He's really good in past protection as well.
I should say he's really willing in past protection where that's not really something James Cook.
It's not his best ability.
So what that leads to is him just getting on the field in third down situations.
You mentioned the red zone stuff because of the BMI, because of the power running element.
I think, you know, if you're playing on third downs a lot, and you're playing on the goal line,
that makes you valuable in fantasy, right?
Like you're going to get catches and touchdowns, presumably.
Josh Allen's a big concern.
but I don't think there's a I don't want to eliminate the chance that Davis could slowly eat into James Cook's carries as well.
You already mentioned early when we're talking about Keon that that Joe Brady's gone to a run heavy approach.
They run a really gap heavy scheme as well.
James Cook is a more zone friendly runner.
He's got speed and vision and cutting ability where Ray Davis is a powerful gap concept guy.
70% of Ray Davis's carries in college came on gap concepts.
Buffalo is one of the gap heavier teams in the league.
I think he steps into that scheme and fits right away.
There's not as big of a talent gap as you would think either.
I think Ray Davis's tape was probably late,
second, early third round level,
but the fact that he played six years in college,
really what kind of pushed him down to the fourth round,
in my opinion.
Scott,
if he had been 21 years old coming out,
would you have felt differently about Ray Davis?
Not really, to be honest.
Okay.
I always say, like, so age is super predictive for wide receivers.
It doesn't really matter as much for running backs and like doesn't matter at all for tight ends.
Well, right on, I, you know, from my perspective, he was really good as a freshman at Temple.
And then like, he had a thousand yards as a freshman at Temple.
And then you didn't hear from him for three and a half seasons.
Yeah.
Then he goes to Vanderbilt has a kind of a strong second half of the season of Vanderbilt.
Then he goes to Kentucky for his sixth year.
And just really weird.
career, honestly, really weird career. Anyways, I think the weird career is kind of why he felt
of the fourth round, because the tape suggests he's a much better player than fourth round.
Anyways, all that said, Ray Davis, I think is great. If you need to throw a dart at a running back
late in your dynasty draft, Ray Davis would be my favorite candidate to do that. Don't over draft
them, though. Don't, you know, I would still probably draft wide receiver heavy, but don't, you know,
Ray Davis, if you really need a running back dart, he would be my guy. I think we have one more
to go, Scott. The last one we're going to do, come on.
Vidal. I have no analysis of this other than Gus Edwards, you know, not a strong player.
J.K. Dobbins might not have legs. Kamani Vidal steps in what seems like a great opportunity.
And we know Harbaal loves to run the football. What say you? Yeah. Well, first of all, I won't,
I won't stand for that. Gus Edwards, slander. Shout out Rutgers. And obviously,
familiarity with the scheme can handle a robust workload. And yeah, you just nailed.
it is just Jim, Jim Harbaugh loves to run the rock.
This could be one of the top five most run heavy offenses in football.
I think they're going to have success with it.
The backfield competition is really quite poor.
But at the end of the day, it's what, a round six pick.
Those guys never seem to do anything.
And then I just like don't think the analytics profile is good.
You keep seeing a lot of stats on Vidal where it's like, oh, he ranked fifth best in the
class by career mistackles force per touch and all this.
And this is just like one of my biggest pet peeves is you can't treat group of five as equivalent to power five.
And so within, yeah, my model, my model views it is basically the majors are Big Ten and the SEC.
AAA is all other power five schools.
Single A is group of five.
And then whatever league the Savannah bananas play in is FCS.
That's how you view it where it's not just like you have to deweight the efficiency or production.
it's really just like it also becomes far less predictive where like darrell henderson is like glaringly
the greatest group of five running back ever but he you know comes nowhere close to doing what we've
seen from kareem hunt and some of these other guys but yeah and so if you just look at that
um kamani vidal is like slightly above average in all the metrics that matter to me and like bottom five
and yards per route run historically frank gore actually beat frank gore junior beat him out in every
metric that's uh that's really important to my model so i didn't love the player don't love the
draft ultimately like i get it it's just the price i'm seeing him at now uh really makes no sense
to me for around six pick thank you for saying that about the the the force miss tackles of the
it's so different like dwayne mcbride was a thing last year because of his force miss tackle rate
in like raw counting stats at like one of the worst schools in the country yeah mcbride and tajie
Spears are like light years ahead of Kamani Vidal.
And I didn't even really like McBride that much.
Like the linebackers, he had to make miss, Scott, were like you, but you playing linebacker.
Like that's, you know, that's what we're working with.
That's what we're talking about.
That's the difference between the Power 5 and, and some of these group of five teams are just at the bottom of the barrel.
So you need to watch my linebacker tape.
This is, this is offensive.
Wow.
I'm like, I'm like 150 pound Lou Kikley out there.
Okay.
All right.
I'll have to roll the tape.
But the one thing I will say about Vidal that points to him in a strong light,
he is probably the best pass protecting running back in this draft class in both technique and willingness.
Wow.
Hey, Brett, do you know how many fantasy points we get for a successful pass block from a running game?
Scott, do you know how many rookies get on the field that can't pass protect?
How many?
Zero.
Right.
Okay.
Quarterbacks don't deal with it.
You're just not scoring fantasy points on those snaps, though.
no but my point is if you want him to earn playing time yeah yeah the best way to do that is from earning trust from his
quarterback so i could see him like running especially when the competition is gs edwards and a broken jk
davens like justin herbert very well might have final say on who the starting running back is honestly
like that's how these things go right like when you get to a certain point in the league where you're
a paid veteran quarterback you want the guy who know you know is going to protect your six on the field
And so the difference between him starting and not starting could literally be the pass protecting.
So I do think it's important to know.
But the tape was just okay, though.
I thought he performed well at the Senior Bowl, which was good for him.
But just okay, six-round pick.
I'm not banking a lot on it, but I know the dynasty communities.
He was getting drafted ahead of Germain Burton in a league you and I are both in.
That's crazy.
Yeah.
It's so bad.
That makes no sense.
All right.
You left off.
This was your list.
You left off some guys.
I'm super excited.
Like Tyrone Tracy, give me a Tyrone Tracy over, come on you right now by a Marjor.
I forgot about Tyrone Tracy.
Yeah.
Yeah, for sure.
For sure.
Tyrone Tracy, you're a big lad guy too.
Yeah.
I didn't like that as a bad spot.
Yeah, I did.
We'll have to get it to that on the next show.
Yeah, we'll do a Fallers show.
All right.
All right.
All right.
We've been an hour and five into this.
We're going to wrap it up now.
That's going to do it.
Thank you so much for tuning in.
Make sure you go to the YouTube channel and check.
out all the other videos we have we had like 18 hours of draft coverage on there live draft
coverage we got film versus analytics breaking down most of the top players in the draft class so
please go check those out still great content on the site as well that's going to do it for us
we are out
