Fantasy Football Daily - Actionable Week 1 Dynasty Fantasy Football Takeaways + Must Add Dynasty Waivers

Episode Date: September 11, 2024

Dynasty fantasy football questions and panic are already setting in after a turbulent Week 1. Dynasty Points looks at some of the outcomes and tries to determine if we need to believe this is our new reality in the dynasty fantasy football landscape. Use promo code - SCOREMORE for 10% of your subscription Subscribe to FantasyPoints for FREE - https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/ Listen to the podcast here - https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/podcasts Thinking About Thinking Substack - https://jakobsanderson.substack.com/p/lets-think-about-thinking Where to find us: http://twitter.com/DynastyPts http://twitter.com/ElNostraThomas http://twitter.com/JakobSanderson http://twitter.com/RyanJ_Heath http://twitter.com/LGilbertFF FantasyPoints Website - https://www.fantasypoints.com NEW! Data Suite - https://data.fantasypoints.com Twitter - https://twitter.com/FantasyPts Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/FantasyPts Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/FantasyPts Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

I'm Thomas Tiple. That's Jacob Sanderson. This is Dynasty Points. And today we have so much to cover. We have dynasty waiver wires and players that don't matter. There were so much information. We have reactions, value changes, and actionable advice for the players that either moved up or moved down our rankings for you to use in your leagues. It's week one. When do we panic? Who do we buy? Who do we sell? How do we think it all through? That's what we're going to get to today at every single position. Oh, and by the way, I kicked Tom's ass in player picks in week one. Find out just by how much. Coming to you soon on Dynasty Points. Oh, yeah, it's that time. Week one in the books, we can call it official. It's stunk.

Offense stunk. This is a historically bad week one for offense for everyone. But Jacob in the player picks, truly a tragic week for everyone else on Dynasty Points. It was so bad for the other two. Lucas Gilbert. didn't make the show. He quit the show based on his poor performance.

Yeah, he said, no mass. He said, no mass. I'm not doing the show. I'm out for this week. Ryan said, nope, I have too much ass to research. I'm out for the show, but we're here for you guys. And really at the end of the day, that's what matters. Of course, if you're watching this,

you're going to want to be hitting like and subscribe. and all of that other fun stuff that helps drive us all over the airways. And we love you guys for that. Obviously, this last couple of weeks has been absolutely massive for Dynasty Points. So much love to all of you guys for that. I, of course, am your host with most time of his hands. I am Thomas Tipal. You can find me at El Nostra Thomas.

Joining me tonight, as mentioned, the other guys are not here. So joining me tonight on his lonesome. is Jacob Sanderson. We have a bunch of stuff to get to you. We have Dynasty. Waiver Wire ads because, man, this week we've already lost some absolute banger players.

Second round startup picks just absolutely dropping. Truly tragic if you think about it. So we have some players in mind for you to go and pick up. And then, of course, we have quick reactions. We're going to do right away on this show

and then we're going to get into it. There's backfields to talk about their wide receivers splits. Jacob and I disagree on the Chicago Bears wide receiver room and I I'm pretty excited to get rid of that. I think the one thing we can agree,

there's a running back on that team that I think now we both agree is officially a Dynasty zero but I'm excited to talk about. He's a zero. He's a zero confirmed. Absolutely dog water start. So with that, Let's Jacob talk about instant reactions from week one as a whole.

Obviously, every dynasty YouTube channel is Hammer, Drake, London, home. Yeah, I just had to keep up with the thumbnail because everyone else popped it up there. That's a big one. I'm not as surprised by Week 1 Falcons as maybe some other people are, but let's get your general thoughts just as a collective hole on Week 1. The first thoughts is that tough week for offense, and specifically a tough week for passing offense. Like, I mean, I felt like immune from it because I was pretty dialed in on the Texans Colts game during the early session.

And that game was an absolute blast. And then I started looking around the rest of the league. And I was like, oh, all these other games suck. Like, there was basically like three or four fun games this weekend. You know, the Sunday night game was good. The Eagles and Packers game was really fun. obviously the season opening game. But a lot of the games had, you know, either two offenses that couldn't do anything

where one offense was just kind of happy to sit on the ball and run out the clock, right? We saw that in the New England game. We saw it in Pittsburgh where these were teams that were like, we're just going to sit on our five-point lead all day. And, I mean, then there was other games where even just one team got completely blown out of the barn. So I think it's going to take some adjustments. It seems to me, like one thing that I think is just teams that have made it a point

to rest all the preseason, right? There's this sort of rust versus rest debate. I think we're going to see more teams lean into the pre-season because I thought the teams that looked sharpest out of the gate were some of the teams that played guys in the preseason, right? We saw the chiefs play their guys the preseason. We saw the Colts do it. We saw the Texans do it.

A lot of the teams that actually came out looking good and some of these other offenses, like, you know, we hadn't seen anything on the Bengals. They look completely awful, right? Yeah. I got some comments about that too, by the way. Even some of these other teams. So that would be one takeaway.

You know, and the Falcons, another team where they didn't play any starters, right? And they come out, they look terrible. We'll see what's going on with Kirk Cousins. But yeah,

that would be my first take. It's just rough week for offense. And I think we're going to have to try and figure out now how much, which situations were week one weirdness and, you know, which situations are going to be a voids all year long. Yeah. And it's hard because it's,

it was, I think this was like the lowest touchdown total in week one. one in recent memory. So I think there was 34. And then the Monday night game came. I think there was two in that game. Multiple teams that won games without scoring an offensive touchdown, right? Yeah, I mean, the Steelers won without scoring a touchdown.

The Bears won without an offensive touchdown. They won with their quarterback. Then I'm one over a pick throwing 93 yards against the Titans defense. I was surprisingly good, actually. The Patriots won, like Will Levis one. Like, it just, the weeks were bad. Watson looks just I think it's over. Like I don't

either I. Yeah. I want to get rid of Watson for any second that I can. Like it's, I think it's officially over like Bryce Young level over because that's also a whole other scenario. But Mike, if I were to have to pigeonhole like a quick thought in my head,

it's week one quickly reminded us about everything that can happen throughout an entire season condensed into one week. Oh, what's that? The star player that absolutely swung more than 50% of matchups over the weekend just happened to be ruled out five minutes before the game went live great that's dope so that was really annoying you auto uh feature that's a that's a good that's they did that on purpose sleeper bought

sleeper paid off adam chester to tweet out they paid off christma chaffrey to not play like that's the only diabolical level that i can possibly think of so you get that right you get the first one. And then you get every quarterback not named Baker Mayfield pretty much underperforming, because he's the only pylon quarterback that isn't at the, that that's the top of the list, everyone else. Like Tua threw for 338 yards and was like, meh. He was so meh. Like it's, that's, so we got that and then we got to see the high upside, but like Daniels and Richardson have, they made so many more questions for themselves than answers, but they both got in from the one yard line multiple times.

So it's like, okay. Like it just, we saw everything. Burroughs health, big deal. Are the two Bengals star wide receivers going to give a shit at all for the entirety of the year?

I don't know. Backfields, but like even the players in the backfields that like secured the job. If you dive deeper into it, not really. So like there's nothing. It just encapsulated an entire season. Like I just,

I mentioned in the open, round two picks going down. now for six plus weeks. Like, you know, sleeper, like, back in tight. And Joku's done. Like, I'm not playing this dude off a high ankle sprain six weeks from now. Like, it's over. So, like, players look dead, but we don't, like, it just encapsulated 16 weeks already

in one week. And it's depressing, but we're here for you. The thing that I look forward to is knowing week two is on the way. And that gives me more hope. but week one was truly a bummer. But we do have some confirmed news that we can talk about here before we get to waivers. Like Justin Fields is rolling out against Denver. He looks like the guy, even though, God, he still looks so horrendously bad.

And Arthur Smith is Arthur Smith. I mean, Arthur Smith got his dream, right? He got to, he got to play from the head the whole game because the opposing quarterback, quarterback couldn't do anything. And so he just got to run his offense at a completely sloth pace. And they ran like 30% of plays in 13 personnel because he's Arthur Smith. And yeah, I mean, you got to do his thing, man. They got to run it with Fields a gazillion times.

They ran up with nausea a gazillion times. But that's what I'm saying. You're going to do what you're going to do. It was just so Arthur Smith. And like, I'm sorry, but Justin Fields, I've never seen a guy that just wants to take a sack on third down more than Justin. That dude for a mobile quarterback lives for holding onto the ball and taking. a sack. Like that is his favorite thing to do. They only kicked field goals. Like it was just, he hit George Pickens on like some, some big plays that actually looked like kind of nice.

66% of the snaps does Arthur Smith. Like, we're just going right back. Like he's just Desmond Ritter now. Like he ran for what 80. I think he ran for 88 yards. And he was no, no, he ran for a lot less. He was 14. I think for 57. He's a fantasy dud. And like he's a mobile like it just this team. and yeah, he ran it with Naji Harris was a dud. Warren got four touches. Dudd. He made sure to get Cordero Patterson in the game, though.

This team is trash. Trash. Absolute garbage. So, yeah, we have some news with that. He is starting for sure. Let's talk about some waivers because Andrew Seibert on Twitter. And if you haven't already, head to the Fantasy Points YouTube channel. There's a code there pinned in the comment section.

If you're not subscribed for some reason, with the bomb-ass content that goes out, it gets you 25% off, so you're going to want to do that. Is Jalen Wright worth waivers? Yes, he shouldn't be on the waivers. Yeah, there can't be a dynasty question. I'm assuming this is a redraft question.

Sure, but he shouldn't even be on waivers. There's definitely going to be a guy you want to pick up here. There's some guy in your team that has Darnell Mooney on their bench instead of Jalen Wright. And that, like, that's, and if that's you, drop Mooney and just go get. Jalen right two guys banged up obviously mostert and HN they're fearing high ankle sprain from what I heard from HM which would be nightmare fuel so go and get go and get right for sure there's some other guys let's talk about Tyler Johnson I think Tyler Johnson played really well when he came in although I I do think it'll be Parkinson that kind of benefits the most because we know that Stafford loves his Caucasian tight ends so he only got five

I think five targets but I think he'll benefit the most from that I don't think this There's a slight bummer there is we thought yeah from the preseason all the hypeas around Jordan Whittington and then you know he gets the dream injury there with Pukinakua

going out and it's all Tyler Johnson so we'll see it seems as though like they have roles now that doesn't mean obviously that when Tyler Johnson comes in and plays the Pukinikua rule that he's going to have the Pukinakua production but just in terms of the route tree that they run. That sounds like it's the idea is that, you know,

Demarchus and Cop are going to stay in there, route trees. Johnson's going to come in and play the Puka, quote-unquote, role. And with how the Rams run things, it just tends to be very consolidated on their wide receivers. So it sort of is the deal where you're probably getting like 0% of the routes or 90% of the routes. It's pretty unlikely they're just going to rotate Johnson and Whittington around. So you'd have to have a pretty deep dynasty league to be starting Tyler Johnson, I think, but I mean, there's a lot of room for a second receiving weapon. You know, alongside, obviously, Cooper Copp is going to have a gazillion targets, but if he ever gets hurt or if some defense aside, they don't want to live up 21 targets,

10, maybe someone else gets it. Right. And DeMarcus Robinson has McPhase trust, too. Like, let's not forget that. Like, it just wasn't a dream spot. Like, I said Whittington could just be Scoronic, but, like, I don't know, fancier because he's newer. I don't know.

but he just kind of feels like that vibe right now with his role. Maybe he gets schemed in a bit more. I don't know what's going to happen. McVeigh's good. Josh Moe says I'm picking up Whittington this week because he's cheaper. I mean, again, that's probably a redraft thing. I would imagine because Whittington shouldn't be on your dynasty waivers unless you got short benches. But he's worth being up.

We got Alan Lazard that we actually have to talk about in the year of our Lord 2024. Yeah. I think we do. I think we actually might have to talk about it. He produced like way more. more than he rightfully deserved to. Even after he consistently screwed up, Rogers, like, I'm still going to him.

Because Mike Williams is Dusty Dust, and- Well, I think Mike's going to be that guy there in that role over time. They paid him. He's been a much better player over Al-Lazar over the course of his career. If I need to play next week. Sure, if he didn't play next week. But I think it's one of those ones where, like,

I wrote this big, long intro from the column today, where, like, you know, it's the Schrodinger's cat. That's thinking about thinking, by the way. Where we get all this new information, right? And it's like there's some things that are like very clearly, this is real and we got to act on this, right? If you think about, you know, we can debate how real or whatever. Isaiah likely's emergence is like very obviously a thing.

We got a young player, a brand new role, really productive. And the only debate is like how much to stick around. And then to me on the other hand, it's like we look at things like Alan Lazzard. and this is a spot where like there's if you look over the course of the full C we always see weird random weeks from random guys and when they happen in week 12 nobody really imbues much value upon them right we're just like oh it's week 12 and joe schmo had 25 points today like that's kind of random it's not going to happen next week but then every time something happens in week one it's like we know just the way these things are distributed there's got to be some stuff that happens in week one

that is totally random and not predictive of anything but but But we put a lot of value on it because it's more likely to be predictive because we just don't have any other sample this season. I think the Lazard thing is an example of one of those where that's just the random shit that happens over the course of the season is you get like an Allen Lazard two touchdown game. Probably still going to run a lot of routes next week because I think Mike Williams will take a while to ramp up and like Lizard produced. I don't know. I think if you're putting Lazard in your lineup next week, you're asking for two catches for 22. Yeah, that's just a problem with Dynasty waivers. Tyler Johnson could be a zero, right?

all these guys could realistically be a zero. The dynasty waiver guy, I'd want to add if I had to pick one guy that I would actually, I mean, might not be on every waiver, but it would be Devon Vellet. That'd be the actual. Yeah, that was one I was going to ask you about the six foot five scat back in Denver.

You know, six foot five Zay flowers out there. That null of, Marvin Mims, like 16% of snaps. It's over. It's over, guys. Like, it's,

I know, I know, look, we had a long conversation and respect to the individual of that that was in the discord really harp in that we're giving up to or 16% of snaps outdone by like a guy barely younger than Jacob as a rookie um that got what eight eight catches eight targets or six just this is the guy keeping him off the field Troy franklin's not far behind I truly believe he's going to get on this field it's Sutton at 12th like

it's just I don't know if it's happening because Sean Payton's not leaving and Sean Payton might actually hate Marvin Mims more than Dennis Allen hates A.T. Perry. He just doesn't do it publicly. No, he does nothing. But like Sean Payton, every time he's asked about Marvin Mims, he's like, man, like someone's got to get a better job of getting him on the field. Like, I don't know who's coaching this team that's not letting Marvin Mims get on the field. Like, he's just dying a breakout. It's like, you're in charge. It's you, you're in charge.

Yeah. It would be so much more honest if you would just say the truth, which we all know that he just doesn't think he can play. And he's probably right. but it's very funny the the Marvin mim stuff um yeah i don't know what's up with vela like he could be nothing it's just like any rookie and i understand that he is a little different of a rookie because he's kind of on the hadeky mat suey age timeline the josh weeden of wide receivers brandon weeden yeah or brady msooley mcgillahada yeah yeah yeah like so it's

so it's a little different but um i i i i I would just say, like, if we're just talking, like, heuristics and Dynasty, rookie gets eight catches in his first ever start. That's enough for a little fab bit, I think. So that would be the guy that would want to add. You never know. You never know. That's a thing with these waivers, right?

It's always hard in Dynasty. A lot of these guys end up being zeros. Like, I used to talk a lot about, I used to make so much money off of just flipping these waiver guys. But, I mean, the community has just gotten sharper in terms of, like, flipping waiver guys that end up being zeros for, you know, a one week win or something like that. So I definitely think those four guys are kind of priority. I think Jeff, I want to talk about Jeff Wilson because again, towards the end of the game, they use them to run the time down.

That's just his role. But if those two guys are gone, I was going to say, they're not giving Jaylon right 95% of the snaps and you're going to talk about goal line. That's going to be Jeff Wilson. I think Jeff Wilson is actually worthy of an ad, especially if you are a down bad zero RB team. He should probably already be on your bench if you're one of those sickos like us, but if he's out there, he's worth getting, he's getting getting picked up. Um, Peyton will construct evidence of a losing offense dedicated to him to stick it to the nerds. That's so funny. Um, yeah. So I think Jeff Wilson is probably my priority pickup. And then it's like, Ty Johnson and then Fulili, Fulelele, Folefa.

Yeah, I mean, I'm going to screw his name up all you. Jeff, Jeff Wilson would be the only guy who's on Dynasty Waivers. There's like a plausible starter this week. I think you probably only want to start him if both A. Chann and Mostard are out. And I don't know if that's going to be the case. But certainly if you are struggling and running back, certainly if you're an Achanter Moster manager, then, yeah, you definitely want to have Jeffons. Yeah. Agreed.

All right. We got through our first initial reactions. we got through a waivers, quick break here. And on the other side, we're going to actually dive into some player rates and some stuff that really matters. Dynasty value shifting. I don't know how long this one's going to be, but there's a lot to talk about here. So buckle up everybody. Snap up ancestry DNA's lowest price ever in our incredible cyber sale with 50% off ancestry DNA kits.

It's the perfect time to help a loved one unwrap the past. And with our latest update, they'll discover their family. origins like never before with even more precise regions and new and exclusive features. Their best gift, our lowest price, 50% off ancestry DNA only until December 2nd. Visit ancestry.ca for more details. Terms apply. Okay, I think we should start. I think this is the position that's going to take the least amount of time. Let's talk about tight ends because every tight end was awful. This is like, except for Isaiah likely and

um, Foster and Moreau. Really every, every tight end was terrible. There's one tight end that stands out and that's obviously Brock Bowers who Alford in that offense. He's like the first tight end. That's a football player of all times.

First tight end to hit 25% target share in his first game. I think. I think Ryan Heath gave me the scoop on that. It was good. Like his production still wasn't special, uh, but it's a good signal for, sure like it didn't like wow me but 3.6% from the backfield he lined up on he lined up in

the slot quite a bit and he was over 50% it was 52 and a half percent if I'm not mistaken but only 30% in line so that's clearly mayor's job so that's good uh bindles wants to know if bowers can afford a air transfer 276% route participation which was the big one for me like he comes out um yeah 76% route participation and 26% targets for route run that's big earning targets when he's on the field and you know i think we were very worried about what the routes would be that's not like ideal rope participation long term but like i think when we were talking about our fears in the off season the fears was like he might start week one at like 50 per station right i mean mark and has just 75% this week Travis kelsey most of last year was

in the high 70s if this is this baseline of being at 76 and there's even a chance to grow that up into the lower mid-80s over the course of the year. He's going to be a top 10 tight end this year. It's just going to be a matter of this offense, right? I mean, the Raiders are going to be a rudderless ship this year because they punt on fourth and one from the opponent's side of the field in the fourth quarter when they're down by a touchdown. So there's just like not much you can expect that of the Raiders in terms of trying to

win games. But I was impressed by Bowers. I wrote a lot about the tight-end position at the top, even in the running back column today, just because. I thought it was kind of a useful analog of how I think we can react differently to, you know, somewhat similar stat lines based on the contracts. And I wanted to dive into that. And yeah, I think there's depending on the guy here, slightly different takes,

turn the light on there for the video listeners. Like, we can talk about the Andrews lightly situation. I think that's, I'll save that for last. I think that's probably the most interesting one to break down. But like, you know, you look at like a trade McBride, that's like the classic scenario to me of everything's fine. It's like 26% targets per route run, ran a million routes,

got nine targets, just didn't have the production. It's like that I look at that. I'm like, it'll bounce back next week, no issues here. You look at like a Dalton Kincaid, right?

That's what I want to bring up. Yeah, like that's, that's one. We got to talk about it. I was saying like, bowers, bowers above expectation.

Everyone else, but Andrews is like, okay, I'm chill. except Ingram as well. Ingram might be dead if Trevor Lawrence is throwing it downfield. Like even if again that offense looked like shit,

I don't see 110 targets coming for Ingram again this year. Like I'm even concerned about Kirk because Gabe Davis was the one on that team this weekend, which was weird, but maybe it was game plan. I don't know. They also ran the ball like a, I know, a liar amount.

I know. The offense is some weird stuff. Again, it was just weird. But I am concerned for like peak upside, Evan Ingram right now. But I'm concerned about him. I'll say that, but I'm going to chill on that

because we've seen production. We're talking about a guy who I'm worried about our Kincaid and Kelsey. Oh, it has to be Kincaid. One target, one reception. He was out there so much.

He was in the slot and everyone assumed he was just going to get peppered, pepper, pepper. Guess what? Knox played. Knox out produced. This was the story with him.

Last year, I know Ryan Heath explained the splits with him and Knox very much like producing like Kraft and Musgrave. Like it was not a pretty scenario for Kincaid. Now maybe this is just again, game one, but Josh Allen was out there going nuclear and he was an afterthought.

Like I was surprised by the Keon Coleman usage for sure. And they ran the ball 17 times with Cook and they even got Ray Davis in there. So running the ball with Joe Brady, guess what? Still a factor. Granted it was Arizona. But this,

this is a signal for me. Now, it's not going to stay this way. So in next week, when he has like five catches for 60 and one, someone's going to pop in the thing, be like, oh, there was a pan. This is still concerning. Like, this is not just a floor. This is a zero.

This is weak losing zero potential. So I want to talk a little bit about the knock stuff because I wrote that up. I think that some of the reaction, some of the knock stuff, is a little bit off personally. And I'm not like a big Kincaid bowl. but we can compare and contrast us with the Andrews likely stuff too, where Kincaid ran 83% of routes, 25 on 30 dropbacks.

That's good. He didn't have rowpers. So Knox playing as much as he did was really at the expense of, while they were rotating their third receivers, but basically it was at the extent of some combination of Shakir and Samuel snaps. Most of the time that Knox was running a route, it was 12 personnel snap with Kincaid on the field. He wasn't really something about of 11.

So I'm fine with the Kincaid usage as it pertinent to Knox. I think the bigger concern is just he was supposed to be the number one target of this offense this year. He's supposed to be the priority guy in the offense, you know, and he has one target on 30 dropbacks, which isn't obviously what you want to see. I think, too, like there was some weird shit in this Buffalo game where like Josh Allen had two pass attempts before the two-minute warning of the first half because they came out really run heavy and Arizona was also really run heavy and they were controlling the ball.

Buffalo doesn't possessing it at all. Well, let's not forget that Josh Allen kept turning it. Like the turnovers were bad. So they get this, so they get in this ball where it's weird script. But yeah, tougher for Kincaid because I think with the difference of Kincaid too, it's like we don't really have that high of a talent baseline on him.

You look at his target earning last year as efficiency and he's kind of right in the mix with like Jake Ferguson, Dalton Schultz, Colt command Dallas got like that's kind of where he was profiling last year from a target earning perspective and from a post target efficiency perspective and the bet was a young player takes a step forward in year two from a talent perspective which is still on the table but like that takes a hit when you know we're not seeing that coming out of the gate yeah 100% than like you know you look at like a sam lapporte and it's like okay he had a kind of a pedestrian game but i think we should have you know we have a lot more confidence of what type of talent sam lapporte is so that like

When he has kind of a blog game, you're like, all right, that was just kind of a down week. He's going to be back next week. Whereas with Kincaid, you want to see that progression. So when someone's price depends on them taking a step forward as a talent and you don't see that, it's time to worry. The other guy that I'm worried about, and I would argue I'm even actually more worried about this guy than Andrews is like, is Travis Kelsey because here's a thing about where I would compare and contrast Andrews versus Kelsey.

The Ravens didn't really run how they wanted to run their offense. not good. Their offensive line was not viable. I mean, you're the Ravens fan, so you would have the best perspective on. I don't want to. We'll be here for an hour. My read of it was like, their offensive line was a disaster. Yeah.

And that meant that A, they had to adjust their game plan proactive, which meant a lot of their passing was like designed low A dot gadgety shit to Zayflowers and Justice Hill and whatever. And like, like their yak players. And then even in the game, whenever they tried to dial up intermediate or D for stuff. They usually weren't able to get there. And it was Lamar scrambling or he's checking down. And so then you combine that with what the chiefs were doing, which was, you know, Andrews had the highest double team rate that he's had in a game in four years. They were really trying to take him

away and they couldn't block to open up those kind of intermediate routes that he lives on. It felt a little bit more circumstantial to me. Whereas with the chiefs, like I thought they ran their offense pretty much exactly how they wanted to. Oh, yeah. The whole night, they were very much in rhythm and they were dialing up a bunch of first three targets into the short intermediate and middle of the field, which is where Kelsey lives. They were just all going to Rishi Rex. So like to me, that felt more like Rice just eating Kelsey's lunch in a game that was going according to the plan versus Baltimore felt a little bit more like we have problems and we're trying to solve them. And Mark Andrews isn't part of the solution today. But I don't know that I got

the vibe of like he's not part of their offense. I think I thought it was a little bit more like Baltimore was in disarray and Lamar Jackson was freewheeling his way out of it. I think I think some of it is they like they kept putting Roquan Smith on Rishi Rice on those routes which they didn't change it up fast enough, which is kind of where he started to eat the lunch. I'm not as concerned with Kelsey and turned like I obviously they ink Noah Gray and they use Noah gray but I said this last year like they're probably going to take it easy on him out of the gate and they'll probably take it easy on him again towards the end of the season to the

playoffs and then he'll just go out and do what he did again in the playoffs like this was a legitimate concern to begin with sealing kelsey is probably still there but the consistent ceiling kelsey is probably gone i mean we're still talking about what a 34 year old tight end on a team that's trying to have rid three in a row like if you held them on your roster you have to be ready for this low end game it just used to be that Travis Kelsey didn't have the low end game in his bag. Travis Kelsey now has the low end game in his bag. Like I think he'll eat still multiple times.

Like it wouldn't surprise me if he goes over 15 points 10 times this year again. He's going to find touchdowns and, and, you know, and all that. And the big plays from Worthy took them off the field when Humphrey just forgets what his coverage is and lets them just walk in for 34 yards that Jacob could have walked in for. Like it just, just truly bad play.

So that definitely helped as well. And Baltimore didn't really turn the ball over except for the one. So I mean, and Baltimore just ran, ran the ball, ran the ball, ran the ball. So I guess that felt limited as well. If I were to sum of a some speak, if I were to sum it up, I just think it just means the floor now exists for Kelsey where it never did. So I think that now all the tight ends are the same. Like there is not one apex.

I think there are just eight guys that are the same right now. now until we see otherwise. I mean, the pushback I'd have on that a little bit is like, I mean, first of all, it's one week. I do think there was some encouraging usage for some guys, Fowers McBride, but also that's a little bit the point is like, you know, part of why I was kind of lowering some of the tight ends in my ranks this offseason was that there was a lot of really interesting profiles and the scarcity effect of it was kind of gone.

But like, if Kelsey is in decline, if Andrews is in decline, if Concord. if Kincade's not going to break out, if the Falcons are still a disaster. Although, I'll quickly celebrate. We got 100% snaps from Kyle Pitts. So one of the many issues in his life is no longer an issue. Shout out to that. But if some of these other bets, like if some of these older guys are falling off or some of these younger guys we thought we're going to break out aren't,

and then like if, whether it be McBride, whether it be LaPorta, whether it be Bowers, if like one or two of these guys can really step up, that scarcity is going to come back. where if it's one or two of these guys gets 16 points per game this year, 15 points per game this year, and Kelsey's down at 11, and Andrews is down at 11, and Kincage stuck on 12, like all of a sudden now the value of a replacement effect is going to be back

in a way that I was kind of worried it was leaving. You know, you add in also Djoku serious injury, Ferguson's serious injury. Like there's a chance for if one of these tight ends can meet the moment to really, really separate. we'll see obviously if that happens. Right.

Yeah. I think you're right to be a little concerned on Kelsey. I just think it's just an awakening for the people that have had an invincibility code on Kelsey, a little bit of denial last year. And then now we're seeing the floors. It actually exists. It's not impossible. So let's,

that's the tight ends. And that was the, I said, going to be the fastest. We still did a little more time than I thought. This could be two hours. I'm not, I don't think anyone would be surprised,

but let's get in. to, I think we should move into the backfields. I think to me, there are specific backfields. About 13,000 words on it today. I know you did. I know you did. Let's rock through it because there's some stuff that I think really matters. And I'll let you elaborate on some of this.

But let's talk the giants, their trash. Yeah, they're not one of many non-5. The pilot says it's Pennix time. We're going to talk about that in a little bit. So Singletary 70% of the snaps, not surprising. 53% route partition. can't talk today participation

10 carries five targets he had 11% target share that's pretty good Tyrone Tracy actually played a little bit more than I thought it would with 21% of the snaps he had a 9.5% RB share and a 7.1 target share

which I thought was actually a lot better the drop not good for him but I think they do like him and I think they will continue to use him I think that's better usage than I expected honestly considering where the game was too. So I think this is important to note that single Terry is still going to be the guy.

Like especially this week, they get Washington and like Washington just got their lunch money stolen. Like in the worst way they might be. They might be, they might be the worst defense in the league. They suck. They're terrible. There could be some like also Daniel Jones's best games in his career. Like the only team he's good against is Washington. So there could be something here this week,

but I think the Devin Singletary volume play could is, we're heading down Mike Davis. I got him. I picked them in my, my player picks. Oh, yeah, did you? I didn't even look at it.

You got them in already. I'm impressed. I got it. Not doing them during the show. That might be a dynasty point first. Hey, I didn't do them during the show. I didn't,

I didn't do them during the show last week and paid off pretty big time. It did. It did. I'm proud of you. I can't believe. leave you worth the four of us. But really, this just signals,

like I said, I think Devin Seagletary's going to have Mike Davis. Singletary would have a high-end RB2 role if he played on a real offense. He's just going to be limited by, they're going to score like one touchdown every week. So there's only so much upside you can get if you have like a 30% chance of getting

one touchdown. He's stuck on the bench now. Yeah. So he's an okay like flex play. He's a good play this week because of the matchup. Tracy, though, if we're looking dynasty-wise, It's like, you know, I wrote him up in a Hitchhiker's guide.

I was like, you know, encouraging usage, but I don't know how usage isn't seasonal because, like, what do you win when you win with Tyrone Tracy? Well, this year you win the starting running back to the Giants, which is winning nothing. But for Dynasty, I think really encouraging that in a week that a lot of rookies played very little, he actually outsnaps Eric Gray, gets some reasonable usage, even got in on a goal line series. So that's fun, fun start for him. Yeah, and he's obviously more explosive. so he might need less to be relevant. So I think that's important to note as well. But again, it's the Giants we probably spent a little bit longer than we should have.

It just, it's disappointing for a guy that if you drafted him, you're hoping to get some RB2 production. But I just don't think it is ever going to happen. Let's talk about probably the one that's going to trigger you the most that I have written on here because I think it is absolutely hilarious what happened. Let's talk about the Jacksonville Jaguars, Jacob, because, oh, my God. Like the worst thing possible could have happened. E-10 played 66% of the snaps.

He had a 46.2% of the running back rushes. He did have a 14% target share. This game was weird. 12 carries for 44 and 1. Horrendous fumble down at the 5. Horrendous. It was just a bad. It was a great play by the defender,

but we got to hand that into the end zone. Two, three targets, two catches for 15. Let's talk about the worst player in the NFL last year. because all preseason we heard, we want to get him the ball, we want to get him the ball. He's really worked hard. He's going to have a role.

It's week one. So obviously we're not freaking out. But he had a day. And when they needed him, like this is very much neutral game script for a lot of the game pretty much. Not down, not up, not at, well, not that, not down,

but not out of it, not, you know, they're still running the ball. 36% of the snaps. He had 46.2. of the RB rushes. No target share. He's not going to catch the ball. So it's all carries. But this matters in terms of taking the ball out of ETN's hands,

which is, again, what we heard. Like, we heard that all offseason. And people were still drafting this dude in the third round of startups. And I think I tilted over it more times than I can count. So 12 carries. He had 7.3 yards. He actually did look pretty explosive. I don't know what his mistackles force rate was.

I actually didn't look that up and I should have because it was higher than ETN's last year. But I'm pretty sure he didn't make anyone miss as far as I can remember. But 12 carries again, no targets. He did run just four routes. But let's talk about this because if he's legitimately going to get 40, 45% of the rush share through the year if he continues this and if he even remotely eats at some end zone touches, I mean, ETN, again, we should be fearing ETN's ultimate upside, I think. Yeah, it's a legit downgrade for sure.

I think that the role, like you mentioned all the snapshares and stuff already, so I think that the role looks a little better than the 1212, and that ETN is still the one running all the routes here. He's the only one that gets targeted in this game. But yeah, it's very much, like you look at the nature of the split. They're pretty much trading off dead even on early down carries, and all of the additional snaps that ETN's getting is all LDD work. It's two-minute drill work.

EATN gets the only goal on carry here, but they each got short-yardage carries throw. with the game. So to me, I would look at that as like they probably don't have a goal line back, so to speak. I think if Tank Bigsby's in the game and they get inside the five on his drive, I'm guessing that he probably stays in on that drive. So we're going to get some vultures at some point here. You know, there's a lot of running backs out there in the world that play roughly 65 to 70% of the snap. So like I think ETM is going to be plenty startable, but it's not going to be like a top five running back role if this is going to continue. And Tank looked great. Like,

he did he's been a roller coaster like I I love to tank as a prospect I obviously hated everything he did last year I mean how could you not he was like he was shaving points for most of the season so like it was a little hard to believe even as a guy that liked him as a prospect

that he was just going to come in this year and look good but now that I've seen it like he had those two big runs out to the right side where there was penetration on both those he makes a really decisive move looks like confident looks good and has an actual juice. So I think that's the biggest thing.

Like last year, he's not a slow man physically, but I think last year his processing was so slow that he wasn't, he wasn't translating what he was seen to his feet. And he looked really sluggish. Looks like he's a more competent back this year, moving a lot better. Really, yeah, good stuff for Bigspea.

I mean, the bummer is like he has a big game. And you're like, look down. You're like, oh, man, what did I get? I got 7.3 points. So it's like, I don't think Bigsby is a startable asset because he gets, he ran four routes, right? So all of the passing game stuff is ETN. So like you still can't really start Bigsby. But the one thing if you have him is, is number one, if ETN goes, gets hurt.

I think you start feeling way, way better about what you have now is a handcuff in Bigsby. And he's definitely going to be annoyance for you. Yeah, I think that's, that's the big takeaway for me is the ultimate upside of ETN was just, just, you know, volume, like we mentioned, when he really went on his RB1 run to start the year last year and then against Carolina again, this was a signal that I was worried about all offseason. And if this contends, I'm going to be glad that I put the fade on all year. Because again, I mean, CoachSpeak Index strikes again with the accuracy from Doug Peterson. He wanted to get Biggsby in. They got Biggsby in. It looked good. So shout out to what would be.

I know Bindle said Trayland Berks was the worst player in the league. You can't win that award like three years in a row. So we're going to give it to Biggsby last year. But damn, it looked bad. But good for him. We'll see what happens. Before we get to the next one, I want to take the next break real quick. We're 42 minutes in.

I think we took the first break at around 20. Don't hold me to that. We're going to go in at 40, take a quick break, come back. And we're going to hammer out more running back rooms. and then some wide receivers. I do want to talk about a couple of quarterbacks, of course. So sit tight for this two-hour-long marathon between Jacob and I. Sit tight.

At Desjardin, we speak business. We speak startup funding and comprehensive game plans. We've mastered made-to-measure growth and expansion advice, and we can talk your ear-off about transferring your business when the time comes. Because at Desjardin business, we speak the same language you do. Business. So join the more than 400,000. thousand Canadian entrepreneurs who already count on us and contact Desjardin today.

We'd love to talk business. TD, I saw your trade. I don't know if you want to talk. Let's talk about Toronto Dave's trade right here. Which trade? It's a big one. With our own Discord demon Dynasty Buck, who's been putting threads out in the Fantasy Discord.

We have got Lamar Jackson and a 26 second going to Dynasty Buck. we've got Joe Burrow and a 26 first going to Toronto Dave. This is a big deal. This is a big boy deal. I like both sides. This is split down the middle for me. Yeah. That's what.

I mean, I want the Lamar side. I have some legitimate. Yeah, that's a tough deal. First of all, it's hard because I don't have either of the teams in front of me. So if I'm evaluating a 261,

it's hard for me to do that without knowing more about the team that's trading away at 261. But yeah, I have legit concerns about Joe Burrow. after what we saw in week one. I mean, let's just be honest. Joe Burrow has played about a half a good season in the last three now, counting this one as one.

Like he got off to a very poor start two years ago, was stronger down the stretch that year for sure, then was quite bad last year. It gets, right, has the injury in the preseason. I think it was a hamstring issue. And then it's quite poor to start. has a couple of better games there in the middle of the season and then gets hurt again, and then it comes back this year and looks hurt slash not very good.

So I think it's reasonable to start having questions about Joe Burrow. I moved him down a tier of my dynasty rankings after this week, which is like I don't usually move the top quarterbacks very much at all off of like one-off performances, but I thought this was an issue. So I'm very concerned about Joe Burroughs long-term health and ability. that's why I'm digging the Lamar side of this deal but I also like hate trading my own one too like yeah it's really something I try to avoid doing

just based on well the NFL's weird man yeah the NFL's weird man like there's a lot of dynasty teams that I thought we're going to be set for life and then you get two years in the future and it's not and you really wish you had that first so I'll dig the Lamar side but probably not I'd want to execute scary correct I agree

we are going to talk about the those Bengals in the quarterback section because yeah. All right, let's move to the next one. I think it's the Titans. And to me, this is the biggest, how do I put this? This is like the biggest misrepresentation of usage, in my opinion,

than any other, than any other of these teams. Tony Pollard had a really good first quarter, right? Seven carries, I believe it was 52 yards. The 26 or 27-yard touchdown. that looked really great. And then the rest of his day was just average. He had the big first quarter, but then he still got most of the touches.

So everyone's assumed that he's run away with this backfield. 62.3% of the snaps, 61.5% of the running back rushes. He had 12.5% target share. That was really nice. 16 carries four targets. Fears, 44% of the snaps, only a 15.4% of the running back rushes,

the 12.5% target share. Definitely the third down back. And I believe they each got a goal line touch. I can't quite recall that off the top of my head. Pollard looked pretty good early, but again, he just looked kind of sluggish. And then if you listen to the head coach,

he's like, yeah, we definitely want this to be more of a split. Tony Poller got off to a hot start, so we kind of rode it out with him, etc., etc. This performance doesn't scream to me. Like, there's no way that, that Tajay Spears just can't earn more work.

And this is just like Pollard completely ran away with it. I don't think Pollard's first quarter with the long run really puts him like at a 70 to 30 percent or 64 to 35 percent. Because we heard all year it's one A and one B, one B. So if Tajay Spears breaks a big run next week and he gets the bulk of the carries for the rest of the game, now a rate back at square zero. It just wasn't a performance that solidifies like Pollard is the guy. Spears is below a flex now. I just think it's still up in the air.

I don't feel it's as definitive as maybe instant reactions might be. I want to see next week because my fear on this was everything that the Titans coaching staff said has been a lie. They've been lying to us now for six months, which is what concerns me. All year, right, I mean, they've said one thing repeatedly, which was that they're going to be used interchangeably. We're going to each use them all in all situations. And then the other thing that they said less frequently was that's going to be roughly 50-50. They'd said one time, at one point they were like, we're not even going to name a starter. We're not even going to say it's one A, one B. They're just both starters. So part of that was speaking to, you know, the rate of the

touches and part of it was speaking to how they were going to be used. I wasn't that surprised to see Pollard have more snaps and speech. I was really surprised at how they were used. I like totally thought, because frankly, I think it's the most intense. intelligent way to use them that what they had been saying all year was going to come through, which is we're going to use them both in any situation. It's going to be, you know, they all could get colon work. They all could get third down work. They all could get rushing work, passing work.

That was not it. Like they basically, it was Pollard all day on early downs and Spears barely and Spears on every third down in the two minutes drill. Like it was far more of a bifurcated committee than what they had been putting out into the world. And so now that they're saying like, oh, we're going to get Spears more involved. it's like, well, you've just like lied to me repeatedly for six months. So like, you know, if I'm doing the coach speak index on you, like I'm putting you at a zero percent reliability rate on this backfield, right?

So I don't, I don't give a shit what you see. My attitude on this is like I'm, they lied so blatantly about their plan that I kind of just believe their actions more than their worth for the time being. So I agree with you that I don't, I don't view this as like locked in as is what's going to happen for the whole 17 weeks. but in terms of when I'm setting my lineups this coming week, I'm going to take the, I'm going to build assuming that they're going to do what they did

with their actions rather than their words until I see new actions. So I hope Spears gets more opportunity to think he's a really good player. I was obviously excited to see Pollard come back. But yeah, I'm currently,

I'm a bit worried about the Spears bags and optimistic about the Pollard bags, for sure, after seeing that. Yeah, definitely wait and see for me, not totally buying, not totally selling. Not yet. Not yet. But next week, if it's a story of the same, I'd be

genuinely concerned. Let's talk about, I'm going to save the chargers for the end, because I want to kind of turn that into receivers. Let's talk about the Buck's backfield because Bucky Irving legitimately impressed me. Nine carries for

62 yards. Rashad White had the Rashad White experience, 6-7 catches for 65, and he ran like shit at like a 2.8% yards per Gary. He looked very Rashad Whitey still caught the ball. But Bucky comes in and people I've seen on the internet are saying like, oh, he got so much room to run.

Well, that's because I actually think that Rashad White wouldn't have either found those rushing lanes or he would have been tackled two yards before those rushing lanes were possible for him to get to. So Bucky to me clearly looks more explosive. Rashad White very much looks the same as he always has. Minutes two.

I have no over expectation for attempt against the Washington commanders is a feat. Yeah, it's egregious. Rashad, Rashad White is just like, he's literally just like the old cooked version of Alvin Camara, but like in a young man's body. Like he's still a good receiver and he's got the requisite size. He's just really bad at running.

So I think he's like, I think he's a good enough receiver that he's not going to go away. But, I mean, yeah, like, if you're a Bucky fan, you have to be pumped, right? He looks fantastic. Right. If this guy ends up slowly eating away Rashad White's just carries, and that slowly works its way to the goal line,

I mean, we're looking at a nightmare split for anyone that held Rashad White, myself included, hoping he retains this role. I think he's genuinely concerning. I'm buying Bucky. This is a situation where I'm just buying. I'm believing now. there are some people that thought he would just be a zero, but it's clear to me he's going to have a role.

And I think the week six, week seven prediction is legitimate where he might even start eating into the receiving work. So I agree. I agree. This is a trust. This isn't a, in the terms of Ripley's,

believe it or not, we are believing it. This is a buy. I'm buying. I wasn't going to talk about the Miami Dolphins, but I don't think we actually have to. I think it went exactly how he did. how I thought it was going to go anyway.

Like we were predicting, Ryan was saying H.N. Wide Receiver 3. H.N. was wide receiver 3. We talked about the waiver wire. I think we can skip. We can skip them. Falcons Jets, Elite RB1 usage.

I think that's fine. I think we can pass that. The Browns did Browns things. I want to talk about the chargers. Let's talk about the goat, J.K. Dobbins, who finally made it through a game. He looked healthy until the very end of his one long run.

to kind of put the game away because a few years ago he houses that without question. And you could literally see him start slowing down after 20 yards and it hurt my heart, but I'm happy for him. We are going to talk about Greg Roman, Sean Jeffers, because we're not getting

through a week one where I don't talk about Greg Roman. It's just bound to happen. But 59.3% of the snaps, 37% rush share. The most impressive thing to me is the 11.5% target share. he was out there catching passes. That to me is huge.

That's big for me. 10 on 135 and 1. So obviously the big run really helped his day and so did the touchdown. But I'm going to talk with the reception. Right. And then the Gus Edwards is just Gus Edwards. He looks exactly the same as he always did.

Four yards in a cloud of dust on a good Gus Edwards run. He might bully some in. But I legitimately think JK is the one here. And I don't think it's, I think they want him to be the one. I'm concerned that if Kimani Vidal does not get some run here over Gus Edwards by like week seven in this offense, it's probably over. Because Gus Edwards looks bad.

Like he looks slow. Gus looks mega cooked. Yeah. That's what I'm saying. If by week seven, Vidal is not scratching at the surface to get some touches or even dress, this is a problem. Yeah, this was the most fluid backfield in the NFL coming into the year. There's so many unknowns.

I mean, Gus was like the guy that they got to be kind of the duct tape more or less where it's like, he knows the system. He knows what to do. He's not going to fuck it up. Like he's sort of the break glass in case of emergency guy that can come in and hold it down in case nothing else emerges. But I think we always kind of knew that the higher upside bets here were either Dobbins, who prior to his injuries, was one of the most talented rushers in the league. I believe he is still the active leader in all-time yards per carry at the running back position in the NFL,

6.1 yards per carry for his career, which is nuts. Shout out Lamar Jackson. Yeah. And then, you know, Vidal, who's a rookie and a lot unknown about him, but a lot of stuff to like. So seeing Gus come in, I think people like, I think people really overestimate the year Gus Edwards had last year. You know, you watched him on a week-to-week basis. So, again, you know better than anybody. but like this is a guy where they were really facing him out midseason where Keaton Mitchell was starting

to take a lot of his early down stuff. Justice Hill was obviously playing the passing down stuff and Gus was being used like a short yard of specialist for a couple of weeks there. Yeah. And then and then Keaton Mitchell goes down. Dobbins had already gone down and the Ravens were like, I guess we still have to use Gus Edwards. Like we're not playing Justice Hill 100% of the snap. I mean, if you remember some of the most important games of their season,

the 49ers game, the Dolphins game for the one seat and the F.C. championship, they were just like, we're going to just put the ball in Lamar's hands every play. Like, we're just going to run shotgun and Lamar's going to be our running back. He's going to be our quarterback. Like, we're not going to deal with Gus Edwards. He's just not part of the plan. So I think the Ravens kind of knew he was cooked last year. And he looked, I thought, like, he looked slow.

Right. It didn't have much power left. Domins, man, I mean, people are focusing on the breakaway speed and I get it. like, you know, he 100% a healthier version of Dobbins houses those a lot of other running backs. I agree to tweet. I think healthy.

I think he's like been the best runner in the league for a few years. Like he's legitimately that good. He's so good. And here's a thing. Like most running backs, if they, if you get them 10 carries, don't turn two of them into what would be a house call.

Most running backs don't have the, I don't have constant opportunities. Mm-hmm. turn pretty narrow runs into plays where we're scrutinizing their breakaway speed on yard 45 of the run, right? Yeah. Because that's a good point. But Dobbins clearly still has what he's always had is he's just a, like I call him a hundred percentile

cerebral runner in my call him today. Like his ability to navigate small spaces between the tackles, see the hole, hit the hole, move through the hole. Like he just does that. And he still has enough burst in agility to do the first part of it. once he's navigated that and he's turned what would be a three or five yard or eight yard run for a lot of other backs into what could be an 80 yard run, that's where you wish that these injuries had never happened so that those could all be 80 yard runs. That's probably not what he's going to be at least this season. But like you'll take it, man.

Like, if he can still have, if he can still do this for as long as he's able to, it's going to be great. I don't know. I can't promise. Like I'm not a doctor. I can't promise anybody how long he's going to be able to do this. But I think the charges are going to let him do it until he, like, breaks down on the field. Like, I think they look at this and it's like found money. It's like, all right, JK, like, you're a lead running back until your body breaks again, basically.

It's kind of how I'm doing this. And as far as how fantasy manager should view it, he's in your lineups until he's not. Like, basically, like, they want to run the ball. He's good at it. Play them. And if, if and when he breaks down, then you'll bench him. But like, I'm, I'm in. So I'm trying to, I'm trying to figure out how to word this.

Let's talk about buying. and then selling because obviously a lot of people held them for like the opportunity to get rid of them you're not selling them for less than a two i imagine no i want an early two yeah exactly so what are you actually going to buy for then because we know what we would sell for i've already seen him get traded first like interesting okay i'm hesitant i don't think i am i think i'm still trying to get the person who's panicking and getting a three or like if i can go pop douglas in a three or like work some bomb ass receiver If you've held him till now and then he just goes and has like 20 fantasy points, like you could have sold for three to any point. I can see people selling for twos.

And then ideally I would want to sell like some player that's worth a two that I care about less. I'm also probably only doing it on teams where I really need near-term running back production. You know, I don't know how long this is. Yeah, I did see him go for a two in the fantasy points listener league. You're right. But I think he's one of those. I might, you know, toss them in. I think it would try to work some like, again, like a Pop Douglas in a three or like

Javon Baker and a three, Mr. Inactive, you know, get to that fake overpay to price and maybe try to pull that off without letting that two leave your roster. I think there's some navigation room in there for picking them up without actually sending the two away because again, it is one game and a lot of managers are going to be out there like, oh, next week it's over for him. like he's not going to survive next week. So there is that fear, obviously, and some people might just want to get rid of them.

I swear we only have two more backs that I really want to talk about. Only two, I promise. Ramondre Stevenson's just going to eat. Antonio Gibson sucks. He sucks. A three-year, $11.25 billion contract. He was given $5.3 million guaranteed,

and this is the guy that's supposedly going to stop him from eating. He was ass. Stevenson oh my goodness I can't read what I wrote because I'm just so fixated on how ass he is Stevenson had 25

attempts like that is insane Gibson had seven attempts and zero targets that was supposed to be his thing catching passes nope they said no and yeah he was a little bit banged up

but it was all remandre all day 100% of the carries inside the five he led the lead the lead the league with an insane 11 mistackles forced. He's just going to continue to eat. He was an absolute buy. So if you've been listening

all offseason, you're going to be very happy because you have many shares of the man Mondre. So I love that. Absolutely love it. No fear. And even with May when May comes in, I mean, this offense to me is just going to be better. So more end zone opportunities,

even though May might run a few more in than Wondre fans want. I still think he'll check it down as well because he's a good he's just a good player let's talk about deAndre swift because I said he's the dynasty zero and you kind of you kind of I think he's a dynasty zero I think this is an opportunity to smash

they had what was a rochan sat he was terrible he looked terrible the receiving work wasn't there at all he looked bad he just looked slow he looked uncomfortable

I don't know I think he's a dynasty zero I don't think you can trade DeAndre Swift right now. I think it's, I think he'd get a third offer, right? Like, I think, I think people would want like, Dobbins right now over DeAndre Swift.

Like, I think he's approaching Dynasty Zero level value. Um, I think that's a little hard. I mean, the role was fine. Like, he didn't play any third downs.

That was Travis Homer because, I don't know, Shane Waldrum's a total moron. Um, and, like, wants to use his people from Seattle. I don't know if the role was fine.

for it. Yeah, no, it definitely was. He plays 39 of 45 early down snaps. Khalil Herbert plays six. Like, that's basically what Joe Mixens was, which is like almost every single early down snap and none of the long down and distance. Like, you just look in a vacuum with the role is it's good. Just the offense was totally non-viable. So I had him, I kind of talked a little bit of both sides of through. I called him a fake regression candidate because the, the role is. a lot better than, well, I should say the role was a lot better than the output was. So if you buy that the role is going to stick, and especially if you buy that this offense, which I think compared to like some of the other disaster offenses in week one, we would have a lot more faith in this offense turning things around than like when you compare to like the giants or the Panthers, some of those teams. Like if you, if you sell yourself on Caleb getting better over the course of the season,

this offense jelling, it's just stays in that role. I think he's going to have really big weeks. but the other, the reason I called him kind of a fake regression candidate is just like, I don't think he's all that good. And this offense was a disaster in week one. They have more talent available to them if they want to use it. And I could see a scenario where like, they look at this and go, okay, we're going to change what we were doing because it wasn't work.

And if Swift doesn't start to get things going before this offense starts to get better, then potentially you get in a situation where, you know, the offense turns around. And part of the reason it turns around is they stop handing the ball off the the Andre's fifth lunch, right? Part of the reason is they stop targeting Keenan Allen 11 times for 29 yards. That's, so that that's why I've been getting... It would have been 29 yards if Caleb Williams could at the broad side of a barn, but that's neither here nor there. We're going to talk about Keenan Allen later. I just think you can't trade, you can't trade him away. Like he was in a undeniably better offense last year and had the

premier RB1 role on the Eagles and he was barely usable for almost the entire season. And now we have a projectably worse offense and now we're like hoping that he's going to be maybe half of what he wasn't Philly. And to me, he's already going in the seventh round of startups at RB 17. Yeah, his dynasty price was insane. But that's what I'm saying. That's why I called him a Dynasty Zero because now if he has two, three of these games, this guy, Tony Pollard was going after him because it was the hope of the Chicago Bears and

people holding on to what they thought of DeAndre Swift. And what really you've been telling people for years. And then he just goes out and the role was great, but it meant nothing. It meant Jack squat. It meant zero. And these are just the type of players that end up becoming Dynasty Zero, much like Giovante Williams is on his way to do. And his current offense looked awful.

That whole offense looked awful. The role didn't look good. He looked just okay. The upside for him is, it might be non-existent. I don't know. We'll see. Fonix needs to get his shit together. I'm more optimistic on the rookie quarterback offenses than some of the other ones.

Like I think if you're, I'm holding a candle out for Denver and for Chicago because it's rookies in their first start. I think it's a little different scenario than like Carolina, Tennessee. No, I agree. New York. I'm just the pure, if we're drafting for pure upside on these late round backs, these two are going to be zeros, I think. Like if Javante Williams sucks this year, he's a.

another dynasty zero. Like it's just, he's just gonna be one of those back. Yeah, he doesn't make a break year for him, for sure. Yeah, and Swift's, Swift's make or break year was two years ago, and yet he still kept giving opportunity after opportunity,

even after he kept telling people not to. I think it's just a bad situation. It's going to get worse. And I think guys like James Connor and Taji Spears and Tony Pollard and all those guys that went after him, Camara, Stevenson, I think everyone that drafted those guys instead are going to look really,

really, really, really, really, really, really, really smart because he's close to a zero. Wide receivers and quarterbacks will be come back on the other side. I'm excited for this one. I don't know how long this section could go, but I think Jacob and I have a couple of disagreements here that could extend. Looking at you, my fat brother, Keenan Allen. Sit tight.

Now we're talking about the Bears. Let's talk about the Bears. Caleb Williams was terrible. He was in all ways terrible. There's no redeeming qualities, in my opinion, from that game. Keenan Allen should have had two touchdowns in that game. game if Kayla Willem could dot him up. He couldn't. There's a little bit

of an injury going into the game for someone like Keenan Allen. He came out of that game. Even more banged up. Like you said, his usage didn't come out looking superb, but he and DJ Moore, like DJ Moore barely. Usage was great. Eleven targets, baby. I know, but it's how they

used him to me. That wasn't very good. So for me, I say, Keenan in my notes here for the show, I say, Keenan Allen may be fat, but I don't think he's dead. He had a higher target per route run. He was a three point, he had a higher target per route run.

He had 3.5, at 3.5. You had a higher yard per route run at 1.26. That one actually surprised me genuinely. To only 1.2 with DJ Moore. He was the only Chicago bear with the red zone target. That matters to me

between the wide receivers and tight ends. And he led with seven first read looks to Moore's six. Now he is banged up. I don't think he's, and Allen's going to go away, especially with Rome gone. I think he's going to be a very valuable fantasy producer, but Caleb does have to get his shit together.

And it's still Waldron. Like, at the end of the day, we're still fighting with Shane Waldron. I think this is going to go down as like, I think the bears are really, really, really going to regret in the same year that they land, Caleb Williams, that they have this massive influx of assets, sticking with Iber flus and then hiring Shane Waldron as opposed to just going and hiring a real head coach to come in to be the play caller. Just imagine if they just threw the bag at Ben Johnson or Bobby Sloan or somebody else. Yeah, instead of doing this.

Just I think a really poor decision. But that being said, yeah, I think with Keenan is a hold more than a buy for me. Oh, I agree. same thing that I fear with Swift, which is like, you look at the usage and it's like, if this role sticks and this offense gets better, he's going to be a smash and he didn't score any points if we're going to be down on him, I just wonder, like, if you build the whole plane out of someone and the plane crashes, are they going to build the new plane differently next time? Right. Like, is Keenan Allen Bowen in this scenario? Okay. That's just what I wonder.

It's like, who is it fault for why this offense looks like? Shane Walden and Park, but like specifically what about what Shane Walden did was that. I think one of the things that was bad was like, you have Caleb Williams, who's this dynamic, you know, free-flowing, scrambling quarterback. And you have these now, unfortunately, they won't have a Dunezay for a few weeks, but these two really athletic, deep, threat, scramble drill pipe guys, DJ Moore and Roma Dunesay, and they tried to build the whole plane out of Keenan Allen option for like eight yards apiece.

Is that an intelligent decision? Like, I don't think that's a way that I would run my offense with Caleb Williams. and I worry that eventually they're going to come to the same conclusion. I don't know if Kenan, at this age of his career, like, I wasn't really buying the fat and washed allegations coming in, but like 114-290 is not helping him beat the washed allegations. So I'm going to give it a week. I'm holding. I want to see how things go the next couple of weeks.

And if we get like, let's say we get like a 13-8-61 and one game or something, and he doesn't pop for me on film, that might be the time I luck to move on. But, you know, we could also get a nice, efficient game down the road, and then maybe I'm happy with it. I wouldn't blame me if you sold on his usage now, right? Like, I'm not saying that he's like, you know,

a buy or anything like that. When we were texting and I said, I think he's not dead. I just mean, I think he's still going to be productive. And like MTM revolt just said, limped off the field, trying to catch an end zone bomb. I agree.

Like I mentioned he's banged up now coming out of this game. This is just Keenan Allen. He's just plays through being banged up. He's banged up. This might have been one of the few games where he didn't finish as a wide receiver one. In case, what happens when you remove him from the chargers? That was obviously a possibility if we use our brains here. But I think he's still going to be a productive player, but it comes down to Waldron.

I think I'm getting out. I think I'm getting out for a two if I can. I think I want to get out early. I don't think he's cooked. I don't think he's dead and he can go to a team next year on like a veteran two-year contract. It's like $30 million and be very productive wide receiver two. But we should have been out when he left the Chargers.

And I think we should get out now personally. I don't want to wait a week because DJ Moore is still very much the better player. It's Waldron. It's the rookie. It's having three options for a rookie to support. We can pour one out for Cole Kometh, though, because he's dead, dead. He's super dead. he's he's put out

to rest old yeller he's dead it is very funny I've been I've been like never ever been a Colquette guy Don't tell me if you're like converted I'm not I haven't converted Like I don't think Cole Comet is like special Or anything but I'm just gonna say like I just

I don't think that it actually makes football sense To run like old wash Gerald Everett All the time ahead of him like I just I can't imagine that's like a good football choice I don't care because I don't think Cole Comet's that good but like I just some of the personnel decisions man like Travis Homer RB 2 Gerald Everett tight end one seems to be things that he did only because they've played

for him before in Seattle and he's just like bringing his boys over to like run the plays that he thinks that they know when like there are clearly more talented like and then he's drawing shit up for Vilas Jones right we have this it's like this this isn't an offense that lacks for talent they have Kenan they have Swift and Herbert they have Rochon They have a Dunezay. They have more. They have combat. Like, there's just a lot of guys they could use.

And, like, the fact that we're using, like, special teamers and Gerald Everett is, like, focal points. It's just like, okay, Shane. I don't know, man. This guy. I just, I just really don't know what we're getting with this guy. Yeah. I don't either. But, well, again, Waldron.

Anytime, you know, there used to be this funny joke, I guess not used to. But the Simpsons had, like, a great joke for nerds. Like, me back in the day when people would ask, when they had the Zina episode with Lucy lawless and they would ask well what happens on the screen and they go anytime you see something happen that shouldn't just know that a wizard did it. Every time we sit here and think about the bears

and why they're doing what they're doing just know that Waldron did it. And it starts to make a lot more sense as to why it makes no fucking sense. Because it's Waldron. It is like everyone remembers. Very funny. I know, but everyone remembers the Jacob

Rants last year it was a world famous clip here on dynasty points. It was one of my favorites, but it's back, unfortunately. So, Bears get a real offensive coordinator challenge impossible. Right. Next year, they got to be looking over at Detroit and being like, all right, I'll give him half percent owner, 50 percent ownership of the team to bring

him over here. Like, I think we're at that actual point. I would like to talk about Seattle because all I heard, I just, I want to get this off my chest. This is week one to get the opportunity. All I heard was J.S.N. is beating out Tyler Lockett. Wide receiver won Tyler Lockett for the Seattle Seahawks once again reigns supreme. And he was playing in 11.

He wasn't even a full-time player. And he's still a wide receiver one on this team. He's not going away. JSN still sucked. His usage sucked. His role sucked. Everything about what happened with JSN sucked. And D.K. Metcalf is just a jacked-up wide receiver too.

I think we just have to accept that this is what the case is. Ken Walker looked phenomenal. He looked great. They're going to run the ball with him. They told us the whole time that they were going to run the ball with him. Charbonnet looked like ass running the ball. I think it was eight for 12. He got lucky with the wheel route, broken play touchdown.

Great. Tyler Lockett's still the dude. He's still the guy. You buy Tyler Lockett because he's still valuable. He's not going anywhere. And until he's gone for sure, we don't know. what JSN's going to be, but the full fade of JSN is on. Like I'm, it's on. It's been on. It's staying on until I have a reason not to. Get out.

Get out. Like I, what were we doing with this? One of the worst rookie seasons I could possibly remember for usage and yard it. And we blamed it on the O.C. Now we get new uptempo good. Tyler Lockett still exists. Just phenomenal, phenomenal either it's a phenomenal all time bag. fumble by the Seahawks altogether or he's just not the prince that was promised to a wide receiver for them. I don't know which one it is but I know that I don't have a lot of

them if any on my dynasty teams and I'm not running to go get more than the quote buy window or buy low. So I'm out. I'm willing to call it. It's Jover. Yeah. It's pour one out. Jover. It's it's just let's pour one out.

Bindle's is asked twice. If you can still get anywhere close to late one value, which you might because there are a lot of JSN truthers in the world. Time. Yeah. It's time to call it. I think I have them in the same tier.

I want Walker. Might slightly lean Walker right now. He had a really, really good game. I want Walker right now. We have an injury worry with him. We're going to have to see with the practice. Yeah,

I just think that's this kind of, or injury. So we'll see what's up with that. Yeah. But they said he's fine. I think they just said they pulled him out because they didn't need him. Bindles, I sold JSN for Tremick Bride last December.

That's criminal. And the other player shouldn't be allowed to play fantasy. I don't think. That is criminal. Best trade of my whole year was this rookie draft. It was a pre-draft rookie draft. So I sold JSN for like the 2-3, the 2-9, and like the 3-6. And I ended up getting Xavier Worthy, Keon-Colman, and Ricky Peer.

Yeah, it's insane. And it feels, I'm never going to have a better trade for the rest of the year. Yeah, it's already locked in as the best trade for you. Yeah, I just think it's over. I think I do want to talk about, I mean, you can talk about whatever. I'm just listing off what's on my list. I mean, if you got something you want to spout off, let's talk about it.

I don't want to talk about the Patriots. I'm good. I'm good. Why? It's his first game. Because it, well, I understand, but it was actually, and I'm going to try to pull it up real quick because I'm a super prepared analyst on fantasy football

that has everything that I need pulled up on the spot because, of course, I would. basically every other rookie wide receiver was like upper tier in the route percentage target share like it was a really good week for receivers except for Polk we had like a 4.6 it was it was really bad but i want to remind people i did put out a tweet about this at elnostra thomas when it comes to jaylon polk jaylon polk had just a 4.3% target share he played mainly with Drake May. He didn't play with Jacoby Percette in the preseason. I think it's going to get significantly better for Jalen Polk when May comes in. We had Pop Douglas three targets,

Mondry 3, Tyquan Thornton 3, KJ Osborne 6, enough of that. And Jvon Baker was a scratch. So if he can't crack this wide receiver core, he might just be ass. I don't know. But it's worth monitoring. I'm actually buying if you can because I don't think it can get worse. Pop Douglas looks like a gadget player that has a role, like maybe I was in denial about. Polk has a legitimate chance to still be that dude when they actually get a quarterback to play quarterback for that team. So it looks rough when you put them up against all the other rookies who are like first on their team, first on their team, first on their team, over 22%.

It looks real bad when you see that number four. But this is one of those premium opportunities where you can just swoop in and possibly get him from someone who's impatient. We see it all to this one. I'm out. We see it all the time. Go and poke around. You don't know.

Pumpkin spice latte rule applies to Jalen Polk. That's the, that's my official rule. Until you start craving a Starbucks pumpkin spice latte, you are not allowed to panic on a rookie. All that being said, half tier or full tier move ups for all of the core four guys there going at the one two turn. Thomas looks fantastic. immediately.

I thought it was the wide receiver one in Jacksonville. I think he's going to be the wide receiver one for the season. I think he's going to score the worst points of any of their wide receivers this year. Mconki, same thing. Really nice touchdown from him. Showed off some after the catchability, which was one area I didn't actually think he had much of in his game on that touchdown. Coleman, only player on the team with more than three targets is five first read targets,

only wide receiver running a full route share and then worthy, more of a limited role. but I mean, I feel like there was like no way to watch that first end around and not be like, oh, I see the vision. I see how this is going to have work really, really well. So I think all, uh, all those guys stock up. Yeah, Nick Fury really said, Alex Van Peltin has the concept of a plan for Polk. You'll see. That's, that's Dynasty Copium, if I've ever seen it.

I just think it can't get worse. And this is, this is like a, you know, we don't like to hear good things about blocking before receiving. but he did block well from Andre and for coaches like Mayo that that probably matters in terms of getting him on the field. So he is and Brian Thomas Jr. is a dog. We're going to talk about the Jaguards because I have to troll Trevor Lawrence week one obviously. But I was the highest on the show on Brian Thomas Jr. Right up until the end when I switched to lad and I should have stood on business and I never should have done it. But he does look like a dog.

He is going to be their one. He looks just dynamic all over the field. He looks really, he looks really, really good. Do you have anything you want to talk? I just feel like I'm just going off my list here from stuff that I wrote down. I'm good. We've had a long show. I'm good.

There's two players that I feel like earn mentioning quickly, very quickly. One, Jameson Williams, genuinely impressed. Oh, right. Yeah, we should definitely talk about James. Genuinely impressed that he was my sleeper of the year. Yeah, big win early. Pan out. However, I just want to point out, Laporta wasn't used, and they clearly were taking away Amin Rae St. Brown.

Like, that was a criminally low Amman Rae St. Brown target and result game. So it just let Jameson open quite often on crossers, which I actually thought is great. Because let's face it, Jared Goff doesn't throw the ball down field. He's not going to throw the ball down field. So that has to be Jameson's game. But if a team does now take away Amman Ra, and they do plan to take away Laporta.

He is a legitimate, not just weapon. I'm putting him in my flex every week right now until I see a reason not to. I think that 12.5 point per game, I think we're on track. I'm willing to take a six point game for when we, I'm pretty sure he's still going to have one.

My question to you, are you buying, though? Like, we've been sell, sell, sell, sell, sell. For what? And I bought, I bought in the off season for, I bought for two threes and Pop Douglas. I bought for a pole, a three off somebody.

I've been buying at low increments, but now you've sold him. You sold him at his peak value, six, seventh round, let's say. Right? Now it's time to go back and buy while he's just a little bit cheaper, but I don't know,

I don't know for what is the question. Are you fully ready to buy back in, again, we sold them at max value when we doubted. Now is our opportunity to buy for less and get the production off somebody that thinks this might be a one-off. What do you want to buy them for?

I mean, I'd like to, I don't know. I'd like to buy them for not a first. I don't know if that's going to be possible. But if there's any possibility that I could buy him for less than late one value, I mean, how about this? What do you think the percentage chances you could go into a league and offer JSN for James? I think that could get done. Oh, I just agree.

I think there's spots that could get done. I don't, I don't, we saw a pretty, I'm not asking what you would do. I think that's a viable. I don't trade. I don't know if it is because... I'm going to post it on Twitter. I'm going to post it on Twitter. Okay, let's post it on Twitter.

A dunes A and Cup style and see what happens. Post it from the Dynasty Points account here. Okay, I will. I will. I'll do it after because I'm going to get distracted. I think people are going to see like, oh, high-end production from Jameson finally. And then they're going to see a dud from JSN. And I think most people, because we're in season now, they're going to see production in what point.

And I don't think they think it's going to come from JSN. So let's, you know what I mean? I think you're right on value. I think it's doable. I think that's a fake value trade that I think someone's actually just going to hold the points. I really do. You really have to find a special person that's still that much in on JSN after what you saw week one. So I think you're right.

This is exactly the type of trade that I would go in. If we really think this is for JSN like I would, I would go and offer this trade if I had any JSN. I think I would. But I know that there are people that want to go and hang an L on us all over the place, comments, discord, whatever. It was never about, you know, Jameson Williams. It was always about his cost and the likely outcome. This was the time to go buy back in is the cheapest he was, the cheapest he was going to be.

I mentioned it multiple times here on this podcast that we should be looking into it. I've drafted him multiple times when he was late. He's like my wide receiver 10 on a lot of teams because he was going. So that was the time to buy back in if you're a portfolio player. Sell at the highest, buy it the lowest, reap the rewards. Maybe you want to trade them away in a package for a better player in two weeks. Who knows? But I think he's worth noting.

We talked about Deshawn Watson, but let's talk about Bryce Young. It's over. Negative 16.9% completion percentage over expectation. and he had how long to prep for this game against the Saints that I don't even think are a great defense. It's over. The profile was no rushing. Is timing and accurate?

It doesn't matter. It's over. Poor Deontay Johnson. Do you see his? It's like the worst. What was it? His expected fantasy points was like 16. He had six.

Like it was negative 10. The only one worse was Cortland Sutton. It's sapped two players now. Deontay Johnson's dead again. It's super unfortunate. But now we're back to wishing Deonti Johnson had a capable quarterback. It's over again. And it sucks.

It sucks. He's never going to have a quarterback. He's cursed. Curse for life. He's done. I'm jettisoning him. Those were the two of the biggest movers down my dynasty ranks were Bryce Young and Willa. I mean, those are two guys where we needed to see immediate returns of improvement in a year two.

I was pretty optimistic about it with Levis. I wasn't very optimistic about it with Bryce. But both looked quite horrific. yeah, cooked. 100% for this. Surrender Cobra is going to be an all-time meme. Yeah,

that one, that's going to be on the internet for years. Is that right up there with like the, the interception, like jump as, I think it was Dalton is like walking away.

Yeah, I think those two are like all time. But like, yeah, the Levis thing bad. I was worried about the head coach I hadn't called play since 2008. I think we have legitimate reason

to be concerned. Also worth shouting out Calvin Ridley once again, the king, of unrealized air yards, just continuing the trend that is Calvin Ridley. And I'm not going to, I'm not going to bang on, uh, pause, uh, Trevor Lawrence, but just no, just no, because all quarterbacks were bad, but I'm watching. I got my eyes locked on how good he is all year.

All right. Last break at an hour and a half. We're going to quickly run through the player picks. I have the other two guys. So this is actually to be a pretty quick player picks. And then we're going to get out of here rated around. I think we're going to get out here rate at 140, which I think is actually a pretty damn good time for everything.

We covered a lot of stuff today. Theory, trades, buy, sell. Yeah, D-Hop put him six feet in the ground. It's over. He's done. He's done in that offense. Put him six feet in the ground. It's over. It's over, over. All right. Quick break. We'll be back. Okay, let's talk about player picks.

We got Shalak last week, folks. It was not good. Jacob Sanderson absolutely took us to the shed. Honestly, truly... I'm dance here for the debate. Oh my God. Truly remarkable, 93.36 points. We have Baker at 29.66.

Joe Mix and 26.8. Just disgusting. Jaden Reed, the ultimate leave him wide open on crossers in zone 33.1. Your Hunter Henry didn't matter. You scored a total of 93.36. Disgusting. Foster Moreau.

Yeah, imagine if you did. Ryan had Gino. Did I hit the, did I hit that QB1 RB 1 and wide receiver one or was someone else upscore those guys? Well, Baker definitely wasn't the QB1 because Anthony Richardson and or because

Josh Allen exists. Oh, Josh Allen, okay. But you were close. I don't think anyone's ever hit all three. I think that might have been the closest that ever happened. Ryan had Gino Mostert. Higgins took a fat zero. He's new to the game. He doesn't know never to pick a questionable player. And Noah Fant. He totaled 24.84.

Lucas had Justin ass Herbert 10.36. Aaron Jones 18.9. Christian Kirkhead four, Luke McCrave, a big fat zero for 33.26. And I came in second, Sam Darnold, James Connor, Tankdale, Tayson Hill for 47.42. What we do is every single week, we each pick a player, quarterback outside of the top 15, running back outside of the top 15, wide receiver outside of the top 30, tight end outside of the top 12. We take those PPR points, four point passing touchdown. Points, we total them up every week. And at the end of the week or end of the year, the winner gets to not only celebrate, but gets to choose the drinks of choice for the live draft show every year. Last year, Jacob won it. It was

picklebacks. It was disgusting. I'm still not over it. I'm going to read off the other two guys because they're not here to defend themselves. We're going to start with last place. Ryan, he's going upside. Justin Fields, J.K. Dobbins, Ladd McKonke, Tyler Conklin, noticing a pattern attacking the Panthers. I think you really thought about it and figured this game out after being deep into the fantasy points data suite. Lucas in third,

Aaron Rogers, Brian Robinson, Jr., because man, he looked good. I think Austin Eckler's best play was him blocking for Brian Robinson. Like, it is his role. Being used as a wide receiver? Oh my God, love to see it. Khalil Shakir and Tasem Hill.

I told you every week, someone's going to have Tasem Hill in these lineups. So Jacob, Who do you have? Of course, of course, have Herbert. Go ahead. Yeah. So, I mean, I got on the same program as Ryan here. I take Justin Herbert because I too want to get in on picking against the Carolina Panthers. They suck ass. So I think if Derek Carr can do it, why not Justin Herbert? They're going to, you know, Greg Roman's going to do the Greg Roman stuff. They're going to run the ball a lot.

But I think that the Chargers can put up four or five touchdowns in this game. Hopefully Herbert three of them. Devin Singletary going up against the Washington Commanders. They were the number one running back matchup last year. They were also the number one quarterback matchup last year. Probably the number one receiver matchup last year. They just are really bad at defending. And so Devin Singletary hopefully is no exception from that. Tank Dell for Houston.

You know, there was concerns about the route rate with him. They didn't manifest. He ran 87% of the routes in this game. I think he has a bounce back week in the box score. And then Zacherts, going for the Washington commanders was the clear cut far away tight in one because that's

what he does. Why not Zach urged to fall his fat ass into the end zone against New York? Yeah, I agree. Those are good picks and I hate that they're good picks. But I'm going all upside, baby. I'm coming now for the first

place. Daniel Jones versus Washington is either going to sink or swim. Talked about it earlier. This is the best match up of his career is Daniel Jones against Washington. So I really need him to come through here. We're going with Remondre Stevenson outside of the top 15 after he just put up an RB one week.

And now he gets Seattle. I'm going to grind it out for another 25 carries, 100 yards and a couple catches. Give me Mondre. Wide receiver. Guess what? We get Tampa Bay, baby. We're getting Tampa.

Bay. And I think with Winfield, injured. You got another cornerback whose name, I don't remember because I'm not a psycho that plays IDP and remembers fourth on the death chart. Cornerbacks, injured. The linebackers looking a little slow.

I think Jameson Williams can pop off again. This could be a 30-burger. We just talked about them. He only needs two touches to get there. I'm going Jameson Williams. And as we mentioned, I think the biggest benefactor from the injury to Nakua is Colby Parkinson.

And the rule in fantasy football for like 15 years, it feels like, is always play the tight end versus the Arizona Cardinals. He gets the Cardinals. So giving Parkinson for a big game, I only need a very hate crime, Higbee-esque game, which is five receptions, 40 yards,

two scores, let's get it. Let's also tip a cap for 21 target, Cooper Cup, he might be back. Go sell for an absolute bag. Because my lord, we talked about a lot here on this program and I hope that you

learned a lot from it. Jacob, like you said, you just released a new part of thinking about thinking, which everyone should be going and reading as soon as they can because look, it's football season. There is no sleep.

There's data. There's research. There's reading, there's articles. I mean, Herms, shout out Herms, C-H-H-H-H-H-M-S or at-Herms on Twitter, just dropped as how to properly react to week one article with his first article. He's writing Weekly Dynasty. I told you, I'm going to say it into this microphone every week. I promised more content. Andy Buckler, at Dynasty Buck on Sleeper, Andy Buckler on Twitter, doing Discord threads Dynasty Points intern Alice Pissera

giving you Twitter threads and Discord threads about more dynasty information. We've got this show popping off. Theo Graminger, we have so much dynasty content. Jacob has a bunch of Dynasty 101's coming your way here shortly. Just got to work through a never-ending stream

of technical difficulties. I've recorded the same video now three separate times. None of them have been successful. We've had issues with email. We've had issues with cameras. We've had issues with microphones. Eventually, we're going to get this sorted out and it's going to get posted. I promise you. My fantasy points email just isn't working and I just thought I was fired and they didn't want to tell me. Like, I thought they locked me out like on Jamal Adams. And I just couldn't get any get access because I couldn't get any emails. But it is on the way. we promise.

It's going to be there. So I love where we're at right now with this show. We had one of our biggest weeks last week's for downloads, for podcasts. So thank you for everyone. We're reaching new levels. We've got new writers, new content creators. Lucas is crushing it. Truly awesome, every single one of you.

But as I was throwing to before I got sidetracked again, because I do that. Jacob, thinking about thinking. Yeah. I mean, the major in season column, if you were with me last, year or even before I started the substack is the hitchhiker's guide to running back. Early season, especially I split into two parts. So I do what's called the Sunday drive, which is where we go through in most normal weeks. We go through any of the injuries and the potential fallout.

And then we go through any of the backfield utilization changes that I thought were significant. And the priority on the waiver wire at the running back position. This week, of course, can't really talk about utilization changes because we got a brand new week. So that meant I talked about every single backfield and every single game, what we saw to do that level set. That'll get paired down as we go. Also have a lot of general thoughts on how I think is a good way to evaluate week one performances that you maybe didn't expect to see. And then I'll be back at some point later in the week, certainly before Sunday, with the second portion of the Hitchhiker's guide, which is going to be the streamer stockwatch. That's what I'm going to go through and actually rank the potential streamer candidates that you might.

need to start if you're in a pinch and running back based on the matchup based on the utilization. And I'm going to add some film breakdowns into that. So stay tuned for that, probably Friday or Saturday. And fun announcement is that I will be seeing Tom Tipple this weekend. That's right. Because our mutual beloved friend, the commissioner of the first dynasty league that I played with Tom, the captain of the slow pitch team where I first made met Tom, he's getting married this weekend. That's right. And who's officiating the wedding? Me, I'm officiating the wedding.

Oh, yeah, let's go, baby. So I'll be seeing Tom this weekend. We're going to get really, really drunk this Saturday. We're going to have an absolute blast with one of our best friends. And they might ask to find your dad again. They might ask. The last time we were at Tom's wedding social or Austin's wedding social, the bartender did ask if Tom was my father, despite us looking nothing alike,

having about an eight to nine inch height difference and him having a full beard and me having like the most pathetic wisp of facial hair. It wasn't the blonde hair like blue eyes that gave it away either. Like I don't know. Made my,

made my night. Made me feel real good about my gray hair. So shout out Austin. We love you. We're going to see it. Maybe that's a solution to your recording. You just come to my house. We'll record here.

We'll just knock them out of the way. Either way. Get like sticks on. Before. we get out of here. This has been a phenomenal show. Follow everyone. Link in the comments. Subscribe if you haven't. All that out of the way. Great show. I love everybody. I do feel like there's something I got to... I talk about all the time, about checking in on your loved ones just because you're not sure if they need it. We lost a fucking juggernaut

today. That is responsible for so much of my childhood. James Earl Jones passed away today from Field of Dreams, Star Wars to Lion King. He was probably one of the most influential people in my life. James Earl Jones celebrated for his deep deep voice that connected with everybody, his ability to bring gravitas in a wide range of roles. His work will continue to live on.

I think Star Wars fandom will help bring that by. I'll never forget, you know, feel the dreams, you know. They will come, Ray. Like it just, he was such an amazing human being and it really sucks that we lost another one. So I'll be watching Star Wars all week.

I'll definitely be watching Field of Dreams. So shout out James Earl Jones. You know, time comes for everybody, but man, it still sucks every single time. Damn. Hey, but that doesn't mean, well, guess what? We're going to be back next week. We're going to be right back here, back at it. Go watch Star Wars.

go watch Field of Dreams, go watch the Lion King, and every other piece of James Earl Jones you can. Let's celebrate a great man. For Jacob, for myself, remember that clear eyes and full hearts can never lose, and your best days are always spent tilting. Good night, everybody.