Fantasy Football Daily - Ask Guru Anything #5

Episode Date: August 30, 2023

Fantasy football advice is hard to come by. You want your draft strategy and 2023 fantasy rankings to come from a proven winner. That's why at Fantasy Points, we have "The Guru" John Hansen. This show is about our fans, the fantasy football community, asking John their fantasy draft questions. He, along with host Brian Drake, will answer your topics such as: - Fantasy football draft rankings - Jonathan Taylor out four weeks - Two QB league draft theory - Who are the sleepers for fantasy football 2023? - Fantasy advice to win your home leagues FantasyPoints.com is your home for the best in season-long, DFS, and betting content. Sign up today and dominate your draft with our award-winning rankings and cheat sheets. Follow us on Twitter: Twitter.com/FantasyPoints Twitter.com/Fantasy_Guru Twitter.com/DrakeFantasy Get Dr. Edwin Porras' Injury [Pro]ne Draft Guide with code InjuryProne25 to save 25% at https://injuryproneguide.myshopify.com/ #FantasyFootball #NFL #fantasyfootballadvice #Fantasyfootballdraft --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/fantasy-points-podcast/support Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

It's time to the Fantasy Points podcast brought to you by FantasyPoint.com. Top-level fantasy football and NFL betting analysis from every perspective and angle, from numbers to the film room, with a single goal to help you score more fantasy points. All across the fantasy universe, welcome in everybody to ask guru anything. Powered by FantasyPoints.com. What's up, everybody? I'm your boy, Brian Drake, Drake Fantasy on Twitter. hanging with the guru, the publisher of fantasy points.com.

Mr. John Hanson, John, I got a feeling you're not in your normal everyday studio here. Your background's a little different. What's going on, my friend? Oh, same old, same old this time of the year, Brian. I'm hearing from people I haven't seen face to face in 29 years, people I went to high school with needing fantasy advice. just part for the course. It's just living the dream. But I am ready to get this damn season underway.

I think we know about as much as we're going to know. And I also think we're a little in the dark this year. I think it's going to be a little chaotic at running back in particular. No question. And we'll hop right into it with the news of the day on Jonathan Taylor. Everybody's asking, was he going to get traded? If he doesn't, where to be? I draft him. Well, he didn't get traded. He's still on the Indianapolis Colts, but he's on the PUP

list. So, Guru, he's going to miss the first four weeks of the season right now. How do you talk to people who have drafts this week? And I know I'm one of them. People have been coming to me. Same thing. Guys from your middle school gym class. Hey, I got a draft. You got a cheat sheet. What do you do with Jonathan Taylor? Because he's going to miss a month and follow that up. Who do we maybe pick up if anybody, Evan Hull, Dion Jackson, in this Indy, backfield. What are you doing with JT? Well, you know, I will answer that. It depends on who you're drafting against.

If it's a room of, you know, competent people or better, forget it. I would say that. I mean, because this thing has been, and I've said this, I did say and write that, you know, I thought there was probably a better than 50-50 chance that something would happen. It was just my gut instinct on it. And the reason I had that gut instinct. is because I felt like this freaking thing is got is weird and it's gotten really bad. So I'm like, it's got to happen because I don't know.

I don't think we've ever seen this type of conflict, if you will. I think we, we are, you know, uncharted territory in a lot of ways with the running back position and all that. So, you know, I think Jonathan Taylor, as I've said, is a different dude. you know, he's a very intellectual guy. I could have been a Ivy League guy. Jim Mersey, also a different cat, this dude. Like, he's like a mummy, this guy.

He's like a gargoyle, this guy. So we have no idea what this guy's capable of. Like, for all we know, he had something to do with Andrew Luck calling it a career. I mean, this guy might be a career ender, this Jim Mersey. So I'm pretty pissed about that. I feel like Jonathan Taylor, is one of the best role models in sports.

You know, the guys bringing it and you're like, you're treating them poorly. I think it's pretty clear right now. So maybe Jonathan Taylor takes a stand here. I mean, if there's any running back in the NFL that I think could do it and might be inclined to do it, it is Jonathan Taylor, which is why I've had this really bad overall vibe all along. Yeah, it's tough with JT.

and if you're in a home league this weekend, like I said, I don't know. I'm not taking this guy in the first three rounds. I mean, you're going to get a, not a zero. You're going to draft somebody else, but he's going to plug up your roster for four weeks. Do you have any interest in Evan Hall or Dion Jackson? No, because Zach Moss, they're saying already is, you know, has a chance to be available week one. I have said all along, by the way, I've said all along on Evan Hall that this is the least griffick, sexy guy. but I'm like, you watch, he's going to probably go to a team where the starter gets hurt,

then the backup gets hurt. And it's like, oh, we've got to use seventh rounder Evan Hull at a Northwestern and watch him just compile solid stats. So if let's say there's no Jonathan Taylor, who would I bet for the entirety of the season? Evan Hull. And I've said that, like I said from the beginning. Am I interested? No, because you can't count on him early.

it'll be Moss and Dion Jackson, I guess. So I think it's an avoid. I mean, I don't think it's a cop out to say, screw it, just avoid it. And it's a buzzkill for Anthony Richardson, of course. No question. This show is all about you guys out there. In our Discord over at FantasyPoint.com,

you're on the YouTube channel, YouTube.com slash Fantasy Points. You're asking us questions. This is a huge draft weekend. My big home draft, the one I care about the most, John, the alcoholic haze. I'm the commissioner. It is literally, you have the ACI, the most important draft in America. That comes down on Thursday morning.

No, tomorrow. Wednesday morning. Wednesday morning. Excuse me. Yeah. So as you folks are listening to this in podcast form, John is on the air on Sirius XM making selections in a 14 team league. That's exciting. Looking forward to it.

But everyone's got their homely that they care about. And that's what we're here to do is to help answer some of the questions that is on every single person's mind. Let's start out with our guy, Tom. Tom asked 12-man PPR Keeper League. I kept Jonathan Taylor, okay, Ramandre, and Giovante. So he's set at running back. I have the third pick in the first round. So, of course, 36 guys are gone.

Everyone's got three keepers. Best available RBs would be Gibbs or Aaron Jones, assuming Bejan goes number one. And he followed it up with all three QBs are gone. Best available wide receivers, Debo, Ridley, Keenan, Mari Cooper. How would you build your team from this? Seems like he's already pretty loaded it running back at this time.

Yeah, for sure, for sure. Well, I mean, I'd have to look at Ridley here and presume that we're locked in. We're going to be here for a while. They brought him in a little bit of a reclamation project going very well. Debo, there's a potential out in his contract after this year, which I think is why he's He's the momentum is good for him this year, wasn't good last year. But they, they've got to do something about Ayuk. I yuk, they picked up the fifth year option, but I think they might be inclined to pay

a nice contract, post-Rookie contract. They've already done that with Debo. So there is a chance that Debo gets squeezed out of here. Keenan Allen, of course, is year to year at this point. And then Cooper is going to be off the Browns, too. He's going to be pinched and it'll be Elijah Moore. and Cedric Tillman. So it's got to be Ridley.

I love Ridley this year. I actually just wrote a column where I talked about guys that I'm shying away from at cost. Debo Samuel was on that list. If you're not going to use him in the same role that you did two years ago running the football, he's not worth it. And also his A dot was sliced in half.

It went from like 8.4 to 4.2. So it's just, what are you going to do? I still like him. I hear you, but you know, that's a big. part of it for sure but you know what i do like debaub being more motivated this year slimmer trimmer all that that that does bode well our pal justin on youtube asks if you miss out on the top seven or eight quarterbacks are you better off waiting and doing a combo of say daniel jones and your boy

kennie picket jordan love russell wilson etc on the fantasy points projection cheat sheet which i have in front of me if you get past eight nine that's when you get past feel and Watson. So now you're in that Daniel Jones, Richardson, Kirkie territory. What do you think? You want to double up there if you miss out on the top eight? Well,

let's hope that there's no one watching this in the ACI draft. Because if you are and you take my guy tomorrow morning, I will be pissed. I will block you. I'll mute your ass on Twitter, which I refuse to call the new name. But I'm kidding, but I'm kidding, but not kidding. The answer is Daniel Dimes.

I am really feeling him in a 14-team league, but also in a 12, because, you know, I've noticed this year, it's kind of settled in now. Like, there is a massive drop-off in the overall talent on the board right around 95, 100. Well, guess who's going off the board at that point? So while I'm into some other quarterbacks this year, I'm really. really to get the most optimal starting lineup, Danny Dimes. When everyone, especially if you can get them somehow as the 12th quarterback,

maybe you can wait a round or two. If everyone else has their starter, boy, that is a slam dunk ROI. And I saw Sterling Shepard made the team this year. That guy just won't die. I think my guy, Kenny Pickett, by the way, in round 14.

You're good. If you look at the weapons Kenny Pickett has at his disposal, holy smokes. Not only does he now have two really good running backs. They tried to upgrade the offensive line. They brought Seymalo in from Philadelphia. I was banging the table. See, that's what happens here is I was banging the table for Mr. Kenny Pickett because I think his weapons are that good.

And you look at Deonti Johnson, who just had bad, he had bad luck last year, was scoring touchdowns. So you know what's going to happen? He's home leagues this weekend. Every guy out there is going to go, you know what? He didn't score a touchdown for me last year. Screw Deontay Johnson. I'm not taking them just like a year ago.

They remembered Miles Sanders didn't score any touchdowns. They didn't want him. And then Miles Sanders has a huge year. But the weapons for your boy picket are out of control. Out of control. Out of control. And Calvin Austin's is definitely part of that. I mean, I've been pumping that kid up from day one.

All he did was catch a 67-yard touchdown on his first target in the NFL. I mean, it's ridiculous. Patty Fryer, me. is looking great. Darnow Washington. Our guy, Kaplan, is telling us some really good things about what he's here and there. I mean, it's ridiculous. The old line is actually good now with depth.

I mean, it is absurd. Let me ask this. We're talking about tight ends here, and you mentioned darnel Washington. There's other guys, Sam Leporta, Luke Musgrave. It's kind of the year of the rookie tight end. Do you think this is an outlier season where we finally get some legitimate production

from rookie tight ends and you can count on them in a 12 team league? No. I'm just going to go no because I want to be right. And if I had said no to that question like the last 14 years, I'd be right. So no, we're probably still screwed. You know, every year, though, I am optimistic for several players. But once we get past the top 10, it is a complete hodge pie. kind of dark throw it's already dark throw city after pat priormute at like 10 i mean yeah it totally is so it's just frustrating so many of these guys will will overwhelm you know tyler higby

dalton shultz dulcitch chiggy uh gerald everett the aforementioned leporta i mean more than half of these guys will underwhel. But here's really the problem. It's not that they won't suck. They'll be all right. They just won't move the damn needle, you know, as the production is divvied up among more and more players. Like you have these guys, they're good, but you can't rely on them and they're not moving the needle. And that's probably going to the case again here at tight end. Yeah, I like a guy like Luke Musgraves in the preseason, 24% target share from the snaps he had with Jordan Love. And Musgrave ran the second most routes with the starters only behind Christian Watson. So if you're looking late, maybe you want a second guy this weekend.

Take a look at my guy. Luke Musgrave. Okay, question here. Justin, don't call him John Hanson. I don't know if he's a long-lost relative or not, maybe one of your sons. 12 team keeper league, half point PPR, keeper options. Ken Walker in the seventh, Rashad White in the 10th can only keep one. I mean, if there are not. ever a John Hanson question. Jesus Christ, it's this one right here. Well, and Justin is one of the O-ends. So full disclosure. The O-Ns, the E-Ns, we don't get along all that well. I mean, we are kind of the same people, so we should, you know, be singing kumbaya, but there's some conflict there, some tension, but that's neither here nor there. Yeah, I mean, it's close. Ken Walker

more talented Rashad White more reliable Ken Walker better situation Rashad White less competition Rashad White cheaper though so I'm going to go

white who's like what 18% cheaper so I'm going to go white there I mean you know with Rashad Brian I mean I've literally tried

with every ounce of energy I have to suppress Rashad White's ranking. Because I know it's, it is out of control where it's like way over the market. And yet he just still comes up high. I mean, I know they lost Ryan Jensen. Here's what I'm giving him rushing, by the way. 14 carries a game for like 54 yards. Like 3.6 yards of carriers, one of them. I'm giving them.

A touchdown every three weeks. I mean, is that too hard to ask? Yeah. 59 catches. The guy caught 50 as a backup last year. I know we're losing the goat, but,

and Baker could suck as he's been sucking, but, you know, Baker's been okay. Hey, maybe David Canales is the shit. You know what I mean?

Like, when I talked to Rashad, last year a ton. Yeah, exactly. When I talked to Rashad, I'm telling you it for 20, 20 minutes in June. He was like, he loved Dave Canales. So yeah, let's go Rashad.

And if you want a late sleeper, folks, my boy out of Syracuse, Sean Tucker, don't forget about him. Kid was an All-American at Syracuse ran for 1,000 yards, two years in a row on a dog-shit team. You know what? You want to hear a crazy name that came to me watching his highlights? People are going to think I've literally lost it. But there were a couple of plays when Sean Tucker got to the perimeter and got a full

head of steam going. And I'm like, it's kind of like Bo Jackson. I know that sounds absurd, but in terms of a big man who could sprint, right? Am I right? You know what? It's going to be those guys who draft Rashad White

and then if they start splitting this backfield, they're going to be screaming, Sean Tucker must die like the old 90s movie. Well, yeah, I mean, who knows? I mean, I'm not, you can't be worried about, oh, Sean Tucker is getting first team reps. What are they going to give Rashad 360 carries? Exactly.

That happens so much in the NFL where fantasy guys go crazy because they go, this guy's getting some carries here and this guy's sharing here. Like, no crap, that's what the NFL does. Outside of Saquan Barkley, basically, or Derek Henry, nobody gets every carry. And even those guys get spelled, you know, so they're going to give people other touches. Let me dive into our fantasy points discord, you know, a lot of respect for the folks over there, love our subscribers of fantasy. promo code. I see

NTUBJR is looking for a promo code. Yeah, if you want a promo code of fantasy points, how about 23F points five? Joe Dolan couldn't have made that any more difficult for me when I asked, but 23F points five. You want a promo for FantasyPoint.com. Hey, I'm a subscriber. I was a subscriber before I worked for the site, folks.

So I'm not just spitting the company line here. John knows for a fact. You know, I've been riding with him forever. go get that cheat sheet this weekend the top 200 there's tears it's broken down by each position I printed out I use it in a 14 team industry draft in Canton Ohio everywhere the nerds got their laptop open looking up everything me nope just checking off names on the cheat sheet baby I have done the calculation by the way you have bought me personally like 964 beers so thank you yeah I might have to share one with you here

in a few minutes. Our buddy Brandon in the discord asks, John, is the recent news that Arizona turned you off to James Connor? I was planning on drafting Gabe Davis and Connor with my first two picks in a 16 team keeper league, but I might need to pivot from Connor to David Montgomery or Elijah Moore. So he's got some other keepers here, but the overarching point here, I mean, the vibes and your Mr. Vives couldn't be any worse in Arizona. I mean, they're rolling a high school team out there in two weeks. I mean, start of the month, I was actually thinking, you know what? Very low key.

It's actually not bad, you know. Kyler seemed to be in good spirits and things like that. I like Michael Wilson a lot. Trey McBride, you know, I definitely still like, even like Clayton Tune. But then I did that podcast here on our YouTube page with Adam Schaefter. And I'm like, yeah, I think Kyler 150 picks into the draft. not. He's like, oh, no, no. I'm like, whoa. And well, yeah. And then so I'm like, oh, you think the collapse for Caleb, basically, is in full effect. And he was like, yes, basically. Watch the video.

It's on our YouTube page. So yeah, at that point, I'm like, screw it. Adam and I do compare notes a lot. So I have a way of squeezing out good info, not in this case, but other cases from him. because, yeah, sometimes real close to the season, doesn't want to give out his edge. But we do compare notes a lot. So I get good tips without getting the tips, if you will. But, yeah, to answer the question, yeah, I am not feeling good at all about the Cardinals now.

The player that was mentioned there, not more. Who to hell was it? He was going to take. Montgomery. They only have two running backs on the roster, mind you right now. It's a cut down day. and debate when you're listening to this. I love.

Jims and Monty, that's it. I freaking, I can't believe this. Because I've got to make fun of him a little bit. Stonewall. Stonewall Montgomery, you know, a very victorious, returning Civil War soldier. But yeah, no. I mean, he won't be Stonewall behind that old line, baby.

So, yeah, I love Montgomery this year. That's going to be a pick that is made in so many home leagues. And guys are like, I mean, right now, I got the fantasy pros consensus ADP. He's RB 27 off the board coming off his player 77. Man. You know, that's a value. Some of the guys. And that's the range Montgomery, Javante, Rashad White.

It's a lot of guru guys over here in that range. If you want to drafts and receivers early. Sucks, you can't get them all, though, doesn't it? Well, maybe you could if you did an auction league. And we have an auctioned. A dumb dumb league. We're a bunch of dumb dums out there. And we know there's, we're loaded with that here in America.

So I'd love to be in one of those. Oh, yeah, give me Skymore in the 12th. Well, maybe in an auction league, you can get those guys. And if you folks have an auction league coming up, we did a kick-ass podcast. It's up on YouTube or wherever we get your podcast, myself, Joe Dolan and my paled Drew Davenport, breaking down all things auction, strategy, tiers, par sheets, you name it. If you got an auction, go look it up. and the fantasy points, YouTube or podcast feed.

It's really phenomenal, great feedback from it. Anthony asks, guys, in an auction draft, considering the rest of the roster is equal, would you rather have Chase and Diggs, along with two running backs of Rashad and Connor, or a duo of McCaffrey and Chubb with two guys like Godwin and Gabe Davis? So, I mean, there's a lot going on here. I like the second one.

The second one. Yeah. Yeah, so McCaffrey and Chubb, you can roll with them. Woo, doggy. And, you know, I'm in on Gabe again. Oh, love, love, love Godwin, but I generally love Godwin. Remember God Chris Win, you know, that year, it was, hell, that was four years ago already, but I love me some Chris Godwin.

Yeah, that's, it's going to be another year. That's a guy. Nobody wants to draft. Bad team, bad quarterback. I mean, can Baker just not suck is the question. I'm not. I feel like he won't, but I kind of liked him last year to not suck, and he was ass. So I don't know, man.

How about this? We got a guy in a slow draft who's on the clock messaging us. Tick, tick, Tick. Esteban asked slow draft on him on the clock. Ten teamer, half point PPR. We've got to find you two more friends here. Make this a 12th. Second round, 18th pick overall.

I already drafted Jamar Chase, so, wow, that nice deal on him. I hate all my options at this point. Henry, Josh Jacobs, Naji, at receiver, Higgins, Waddle, a lot of they best available, who are you taking here? I don't hate Josh Jacobs here necessarily. No, I mean, you know, 10-teamer, you're just looking for the highest impact guy, I think. I mean, that's probably not T. Higgins. Might not be Waddle.

You already have Chase, so you're, you've got a one there, obviously. Yeah, I'd say Henry or Jacobs. Yeah. I might actually go Henry. Simply because... What do you think about him this year? I mean, their offensive line is terrible. That is true.

That is very true. But I do... I just love Taji Spears. I really do. And I do feel better about Henry because of that. But yeah, you're right. I mean, I do worry about the Raiders being a train wreck. But, you know, Josh Jacobs...

He's a professional. He is still motivated contractually for a bigger deal. So yeah, I would go Jacobs. So we mentioned early in the show about Jonathan Taylor. If you miss that, go back and listen. But here's another question on JT. Interesting take on it here. And I bet a lot of you are going to have this option this weekend.

Thoughts on taking Jonathan Taylor in the third or fourth in a league with the intent of having him as a keeper for next year in that round. plus you can stash him on IR for the first four weeks. See? Know your rules. That's a big thing with fantasy football and beating your friend's asses. What do you think about this? Taking JT,

maybe knowing you can stash him next year and get him cheap. I'll say this because, again, I've had this weird vibe on this. I've discussed this on the podcast and on the air and whatever. We saw Levon Belt take a year off and get destroyed. Forget that cop because Jonathan Taylor is different. So what I'm trying to say is if there's any running back out there who could maybe take a stand for labor and say, you know, if you, I'm going to sit out two years, if there's any current running back who could pull that off and ball out at 32 or one, eight years from.

now that's Jonathan Taylor. So I would maybe long term feel good about his prospects of holding value for, you know, six years, five years, you know, maybe longer. Our buddy Brad's got a question also about JT, 12 team PPR trade away, Delvin Cook and an eighth rounder and receive Jonathan Taylor in his 16th round pick. What? Playoffs. Stop watching this show and go accept that.

Yeah. I mean, come on. Dalvin Cook is cooked. He's going to be cooked by season's end. It'll, I think, be fairly evident that he's cooked. Yeah. And if you've got other guys out there who you think may get injured or they're often injured, our buddy Edwin Porras, who is a legit doctor, mind you, working at FantasyPoint.com,

He's got an injury guide. I want you guys to go check it out. It's called the injury prone draft guide and playbook. It's a great resource. I'm going to put the link here in the show notes. But if you want to go check it out also, it is injuryproneguide. Dot my Shopify.com. Use code injury pro 25% off.

This guy's got player profiles. He's going through players with legit history. Very ironical name, though, which I love. Yes. Because he does not believe that people are injury prone. Yeah. I love Edwin Porris. I mean, he is an exceptional dude.

However, that does not take away or that does not remove from the realm of truth that there are players who are prone to injury. Could be. It's a semantic. issue, but to say injury prone isn't a thing and then also admit that, yeah, some guys are prone to injury. I mean, I mean, the fact that some guy that there are players who get hurt a lot, like that is a fact. So some players are prone to injury, right? How about a couple guys with DNA that don't get hurt?

Look at the Kelsey brothers. Those two guys have been playing the NFL front. They never get hurt. not gone wood here as I'm an Eagles fan pristine DNA they should you know I once had Chris Cooley come on the set live

at the radio row on the Super Bowl 10 years ago he was out of the league by this point so I'm like oh what are you what are you doing man what are you promoting he's like I'm selling my sperm I'm like that's a good call you know what I mean you played in the NFL

Man, man. I'm looking for a side gig right now. I'm in a month. He's a partner. Jesus. Wow. Talking about tight ends. Our boy,

Jay Roscoe asks, if you draft Waller, who would you draft as a second tight end? Friar Mooth, Juan Johnson, Chiggy. I mean, that's a good call because if you draft Waller,

you're going to spend a premium pick on, probably at this point, top five, six round pick on Darren and 12-team draft. Right. You're going to want to back him up because the guy can't stay healthy. You talk about injury prone. Darren Waller should be on the cover of the damn magazine.

Yeah. Well, if you do, then you're clearly looking for ballers and you're looking to be aggressive. So the answer is Joanne Johnson. Juan John, you can get him late. Yeah, real late. Now, if you want to hold on, maybe it gets sniped, you might need to go boring. and get Jake Ferguson. It's boring.

But here's the other one. Boring name, too. Here's the other one. Tyler Conklin. Someone's got to catch the ball from Rogers. I mean, he needs a little bit of planetary alignment, but it could easily come. We were way over his ADP last year,

and he crushed that ADP, by the way. Would have done a lot better if they had competent quarterback play. I could tell you that. So, yeah, believe me, you know, I make it a point to be over the ADP of the players who really are looking good. And that's it. And I feel like we are always, you know, 90% of the time, I feel like we are over the ADPs of guys with good momentum. Now, it always doesn't work out when the results are in because of injuries.

But, like, I mean, I feel like we're usually on the right track with ADPs. And there's another guy where, like, we've been way, way out in front. Like his ADP was like tied in 46 like three months ago. Like and we had him at like 32 or whatever. Now he's 26. Yeah. Jake Ferguson moving up on the latest PPR cheat sheet. He's tight in 20.

Oh, I mean, that's ridiculous. And like I've been talking up Ferguson since last year. We were, you know, again. Yeah. I hate when the ADP catches up to us. So, well, talking about ADP, my buddy Corey Richmond asks in a 14 team half PPR, He's drafting fourth, expecting Jefferson Chase CMC off the board. Who do you take it for?

Kelsey will be there. Obviously, Tyreek Echler. For me, man, I mean, you look at the numbers. Tyreek Hill puts up. That guy is just a freaking monster. He's got wide receiver one in his range of outcomes. No question. And I mean, I really don't want to say anything negative about Echler because not a guy that I've been on,

as I've explained over the years. I've kind of undersold him more often than not. And that's because he's a freaking outlier and there's nobody else like him. So to this point, I'm like, all right, I give up, Ackler, my bad dog. You know what I mean? That said, like, every time I go through and do it, I don't like the squad when I get them that early.

So I'm going to go, I think you could, I don't think you could go wrong with. with Kelsey or Hill, but I'd probably go Hill, just because I am just so into getting that tight end sleeper. That's kind of been my specialty over the years. So, and Kelsey was one of them for a number of years, 10 years ago. But yeah, I think I'd go Hill. Question here from our pal, Brandon Jack, Brandon Jackson on YouTube. Given Hackett's usage of running backs in Green Bay and then Denver, and he was also here in series. Syracuse with me for a while with split backfields.

Why is Breece Hall a fourth round pick? I want to believe. So of course, now Hackett, of course, running the New York Jets. And they've added Delvin Cook, who is back. He's healthy. He had a kid the other day. It's a miraculous thing, John. All these players that we haven't had practicing all camp.

Now that we're really into like game week. Hey, they're back. We're ready to play. Who knew? Imagine that. Yeah, I mean, that's, look. Certainly a fair point. Hackett, certainly the offense was five for Aaron Jones.

I mean, I bet you if you go back and you compare Aaron Jones's ADP to his actual output under Hackett, I bet you it was good. So that's one. But I guess the answer is simply this, bet on talent. And look, we got burned last year with Javante because they were idiots. I actually said at the time, I wouldn't be surprised. I feel like there's a chance

that their dumb utilization and rotation was the dumbest thing I'd ever seen. I said it at the time. Cause the injury, basically, because you're out there pressing. Like, oh, I got to make the most of every damn touch. But at the end of the day, I just can't get past the talent thing.

Like my dog, Riggily could coach up, Brice Hall, and he'd probably still be top 20. You know what I mean? He's that good. So I just can't get past the talent. Flying the W,

little W. A little Wigley over there. How about shout out to our boy, Dan Brown in the chat there. It said, looking good guys. Thanks, Dan. Appreciate you, brother. Hashtag score more. Yeah,

Dan butt-dowed me the other day. So. Oh, really? Yeah. I'm sure I'll return the favor at some point. Just hammered in a bar somewhere. I love when that happened. And you can just hear people for like 10 minutes.

You're like, I'm just going to sit here and listen this. Maybe they're talking smack about me. Yeah, exactly, exactly. That's why anything I say, I'm like, I don't care if anyone, everyone hears it. Let's just go with that. I love it. I am a big wrestling guy and I listen to like Jim Ross, who if you guys are wrestling fans, you know the voice of wrestling, Jim Ross.

He's got to a point on his podcast. He has, his give a crap meter is definitely busted. He doesn't care about anything. I feel like you're there with him now. You get to a point where you just go, I don't care. Exactly. I mean, that's the only good thing about getting old, man. You know, I turned 55 years old. I literally, I'm the exact same guy as I was in 1998, Randy Moss's rookie year when I turned 30.

Like, literally the exact same person. I'm the exact same person for when I was 18 years old, honestly, but haven't changed at all. But, you know, at this point, the number is getting up there and all that. So I'm like, okay, guess what? Full de-gaff, full-de-gaff. Do not care. Call me old. Don't give a shit.

What are you going to make fun of me for not dying? Screw you. You know what I mean? Full-de-f, baby. It's very liberating. And it opens up passages of your brain that give you insight into things that you might not have seen because, again, you're in full de-gaff. Do not give a shit.

You know, want to do well. Want to do well. But it's all the ancillary. concerns, yeah, don't give a shit. You know what I mean? I want to do good at one thing, my job, that's it. Otherwise, whatever, don't care. In our chat here, Melvin Gordon and Kyle Pitts have been merged together to make Melvin Pitts, who asks us the next question. Will you drop Kenny Gainwell or Rashad Penny for Leporta? So he's looking for that upside at tight end, the young tight end in Detroit. Yeah, Gainwell, you know, he's going to be that

that hurry up two minute back in philly penny we don't know grinder but trace armory got cut so that penny made it you know um i don't know who else is who's on the waiver wire like who's going to be on the wire going into week one you know that's a good question you know like is it skank is it complete ass is it like park or hessy you know what i mean like what i don't know I don't know. I mean, Leporta should be like all goes well. Third option in the passing game, but it's gone pretty well. I mean, you know, if he's a must have. I probably, I'm probably not inclined to do that based on those other guys that we're having a drop.

Here's what you do. Depending on what league you play in, you add Leporta. You're probably not going to start him if he's still sitting on the waiver wire. He plays in that Thursday opener game. you see what he does. If he does nothing, you just drop his ass Thursday after the game, and you scoop back up penny your gain well. Because before the season, maybe a lot of guys aren't working the waiver wire.

So see? Can you do that, though? I mean, there's leagues you can. Yahoo you can do it for sure. We're doing that for years. Don't you get C block though on Yahoo after you drop that spot? Like you're screwed for that week? There's a move because we almost have had to outlawed in my Yahoo league,

where what guys do is they'll go in and they'll pick up a handcuff running back for the Thursday game. He does nothing. Boom, they drop him right after the game. Pick up a guy for the one o'clock Sunday game. Oh, that's bullshit.

That's bullshit. It happened the whole day. It goes on. People hate it because us losers who are just sitting there with our phone in our hand are just adding and dropping. Oh, Sunday night games going off.

That's time with your family, people. Nah. What would you rather do? Hang out with the kids or win your fantasy league. We all know the answer to that. Come on. Let's be honest. You're going to win that goddamn league.

Love you. All right, let's see here. Carlos, it looks mean. It looks like a rap album cover in his YouTube thumbnail here. That's good artwork. Guru, I've got Acres and Miles Sanders as my one and two running back spot. Should I be worried in a PPR? He's got Tua, Danny Dimes, Waller.

He's got some good receivers here. I mean, that's what he did. He took. He went early on Garrett Wilson and Amon Ra. And that's what's going to happen. If you go receiver early and then you decide to take Waller in the top five rounds, your running backs are going to be guys like Acres and Sanders. Yeah, yeah, I mean, it feels it feels like Carlos who, by the way, like he's just subscribing

to the like, I don't smile in photos thing. He would pick my ass. I did not start smiling in photos until like maybe 2000. Because before that, when I was like a young punk, I'm like, yeah, I'm smiling. It's it. So it's what you get. Anyway, Smile is a sign of weakness now.

Yeah, it feels like Carlos did, like, did he fall asleep for a round? Did he forget round six a little bit? Like, or how big is this league? You know, is this 14 teamer? I don't know. I mean, look, at the very least, you have two bell cows.

So it's not that bad. It's just they're not, I'm okay with Acres. I don't really like Miles Sanders. I could be wrong, though. That's the thing. So yeah, I mean, it's not bad. I just feel like two guys on two terrible teams.

Maybe if they, if Carlos had like a really good third. Godwin could be really good. I mean, maybe this is a DJ. Oh, there it is. Higgins. I didn't even see Higgins. Okay, there it is. Okay, yeah, you're fine.

You are almost almost unbalanced, though, a little too loaded a receiver actually. Mm-hmm. Yeah, I might be looking to move DJ more off. that squad. You play the hype from the pre-season or make a pre-week-one trade. Yeah. Let's see if you can.

Yeah, because I think Jacksonfield stinks. Yeah, let me see. Who would I move? If you could move DJ Moore, you know, I'm sure you could get, I don't know, could you get Joe Mixing? Maybe. Maybe a little bit of a package like Miles Sanders and DJ Moore for something real nice. At that point, I mean, that's a lot.

but don't get Tony Pollard. Yeah. Nick Chubb, that'd be great. Either way, the music career will be great. If you want to see a bad photo, by the way, I, this was a painstaking job over the weekend. So my staff bio photo went up at FantasyPoint.com over the weekend. And I had to get the picture to Joe Dolan and Brock and the guys on the back end, right?

So I'm taking this selfie myself. Like, I'm in my kitchen and I'm taking the. picture and I look like a shirt right now though like a legit dress shirt right now yeah in in the show no I'm wearing an uh oh it's why that's okay yeah I live in these like quarter zip this is uh I got this at the PGA championship at Oak Hill um but the neck pisses me off and it like gets all my face but so my wife saw the photo that I posted it's on like articles I write right she goes what is this why did you not like let me take the photo of you you look at idiot she's like you've got to redo this photo so

If you ever go to fantasy points, go to the staff section. You'll see my terrible photo and you can make fun of me on Twitter at Drake Fantasy. Okay. Yeah. I'm going to check it out. I will be redoing that photo. My wife and I have a problem. We are incapable of looking our best together in a photo.

That's it. Like forever. Like either it's one where I look better than usual and she looks like shit or it's hard to do, hard to do, or vice versa. Yeah, I hear you. I'm going to go check this out, though. Oh, my picture's terrible. I look like a dope.

I'm like, I'm literally home alone. I comb my hair, put on a polo, standing in front of this like wood wall that I made for the family. It's old. I mean, it looks fine. I don't, you know, I can't comment too much. Not great. I mean, it looks fine to me.

I mean, it looks serious. There I go. Very serious. If you want to get real, sir, go read my defensive streamers article up on the site. Newsflash, just pick Washington, week one, against the Arizona Cardinals. Ryan, in the YouTube chat,

he wants to talk about the Arizona Cardinals, Hollywood Brown or Zay Flowers. So we got a guy in Arizona here who might not have a quarterback all season. Say Flowers. Boy, he looks good playing in this new look, revamp Ravens offense. Yeah, it'd be one of those deals where, like, Hollywood Brown probably be, you know, outproducing him in week six.

And then Zay Flowers will cruise past them in the second half of the season. I mean, I'm going Zay Flowers. I've been a, Zay Flowers has been my guy from the beginning in this process. So I had him as one, my number one receiver in our pre-draft rankings. And, you know, we'll say, it hasn't played a game yet, but so far so good, right, on Zay Flowers? Yeah, I love them. I had a guy asked me today about Rashad Bateman. And it was like his last roster spot.

He's like, I need some more depth at running back. And I go, listen, when are you, first of all, when are you ever going to play Rashad Bateman who can't stay healthy? And at best, Rashad Bateman is the fourth option. Maybe, I mean, maybe worse on his team. You got OBJ. You got Mark Andrews. You got Zay Flowers.

Oh, by the way, there's Rashad Bateman. God forbid Lamar throws it to a running back. So, I mean, I'm not seeing. massive upside with baiting here i'd rather have flowers or just anyone else besides baitman really there's a lot of dudes this year where it's like oh it could be good if someone gets hurt so when when we're analyzing them we're assuming injury which we don't want to do that right i mean we can do that to an extent but it's just like quentin johnston like if you're taking him at his ADP you're basically saying like oh somebody's getting hurt seriously yeah

Interesting. There's a lot of theories that happen in fantasy football. And our buddy Kevin has a hypothetical question for us. PPR League flex position. Who would you pick James Cook or Sky Moore? This is an interesting one. I mean, it certainly depends on my strengths of my team, certainly. You know, like if I was in dire need, let's say,

let's say I already had three really good wide receivers I was feeling good about I mean the real question is you've got three wide receivers you feel really good about and you've got two running backs you feel really good about let's say you've got a quarterback maybe a tight end it's round seven eight whatever and you're like okay now do you do you pay up for sky as that fourth receiver slash flex or do you go with the back

that's a tough one. So I would look at it that way and this way in that I would say sky is the upside play and cooks probably safer money in the bank because he's got the role. You know what I mean?

And that's a lot of it would run it backs. You might go sky though because if it all clicks you know and cadaverous Tony remains in the body bag if you will then sky could be the upside play. If you guys don't want to be in a body bag with your league mates come this weekend.

Hey, forget about it. And a body bag. Forget about it. So, sorry. Yeah. Get yourself a draft board. I know some of you out there still have a draft coming up and you haven't bought the damn draft board yet. Our pales at fj fantasy.com have you covered? I bought my draft board for my home league from these guys.

It literally showed up like two days later. If you go to my Twitter feed, I got a link. It'll show you the stickers. The stickers are huge. They got paper, you know, ones you get to tape. to the wall. I bought this cardboard monstrosity so guys can see it all the way across this adult establishment. We're doing the draft debt. Go over there at fjfantasy.com. The code is fantasy ptsd 10. That's going to save you a 10% off your order again. FJFancy.com fantasy

PTSD PTSD. Get your ass over there. Get a draft board and make your league mates happy. It's really cool. I bought one myself. All right. Let's keep rolling with the questions here while we got the guru at the beach home, the palatial estate here. Jason Shulk asks, what's your feeling about Jaden Reed long term? Worth holding in a dynasty or worth trying to move? Man, he's already moving. I've already played a game. Oh, no, I've been high on Jane Reed from day one.

I mean, he was one of my favorite guys. I think I ranked him higher than I think everyone else. I think I did a video on Jane Reed pre-draft. No, I love that kid watching me at the senior bowl. He actually just started lining up in the slot in Mobile at the Senior Bowl practices did very, very well. Quick Twitch guy got open like, oh, yeah, he's totally my type of a guy. So I'm very high on him. I like it.

I like all the Green Bay receiver. I like how they all fit together. I cannot wait. I think I'm most interested in Pittsburgh and Green Bay this year for these ascending offenses with young quarterbacks. We have so many great questions in here. I'm trying to scroll through to get to you folks. Our buddy Dalton asked. Dobbins is $5 in an ESPN auction despite being on top of the depth chart and good offense.

What's the situation? I'm not sure if he's wondering why he got him for $5 or what's the situation with J.K. Dobbins, but I mean, it appears he's back and healthy and done with the holdout and he's going to start. Yeah, I mean, the situation is J.K. Dobbins is practicing atop the depth chart from you know for all intents and purposes in the final year of his rookie deal in an offense that we expect to improve ascend with no one else added of note they did keep keaton mitchell out of east carolina over mel gordon he's gone just as hell is merely a change up so shh shh k is looking good real quick really

real low key right now. He's just not getting a lot of love, but it's a long season. I mean, Brian, would you be surprised at all if by Halloween freaking JK's balling and gunning for a new contract? It wouldn't surprise me

because what this team's going to do now also if they're playing a ton of 11 and they're spreading the field before you never had to spread the field on the Ravens. Now you've got to defend them vertically. You got to defend them horizontally. It's only going to open up lanes for jk davens uh and down the seam for mark andrews because now you actually have

weapons on the outside and beckham flowers you know the aforementioned baitman who can you know challenge a defense so it should open things up so yeah jk could have a really good year i love this guy's carly coler charlie coler ball in as well man i mean unbelievable yeah they're looking up here i just hope that the knee holds up for uh for mr lambser Mar. I talked to a friend of mine who is in the medical field and told me, Lamar doesn't take too well to surgery. And, uh, Oh,

yeah, I'm not sure. He's not on my list. I mean, the rest of the staff like them, where we have him price at the market. He's not on my list. Scan my picks and video transfer services.

Yes, that's his real name, asks. I love that. It's probably the guys like business, but he's such a degenerate that he's like, all right, guys, I got to get in here. I'm closing the shop.

But here's my question. Let's talk about these picks. Let's talk about these picks out. Just kidding. Just kidding. Yeah, well, you have any good good stuff to throw our way? Let us know. Slide the DMs. Let's take a look. He's drafting fifth in a 10-man two quarterback league. So that's the important part here. Two QB league. Would you go QB early or best wide receiver running back available?

So likely CMC or Jefferson or one of these guys are going to be available because you know how it goes, John. but everyone just takes a quarterback in the first. So I hate two QB leagues, to be honest. It kind of just makes it, hey, everyone just draft a quarterback in the first round. And then we'll start the draft. Now, I'll ask you, let's say you're in the spot. It's a 10-team league. You're in the five-hole, four picks off the board.

And only one of them is a quarterback. Are you like, okay, maybe I don't go quarterback in round one there? I'm in a 10-team league. I mean, you're still, you could come back in the, second round and get really good quarterback. Yeah, you're right. If I can get the best player on the board. I will say this, though, what if you get hosed? Because I say do it.

I thought about it. I said, just get the quarterback. Because, you know, in a 10-team league, like, you better have a needle moving QB1, right? I see. I see what you were saying before, too. Let's say people take position players beforehand. And then it's like, oh, man, I got a chance to take, you know, Hertz or Allen or Mahomes or one of these guys. At worst, I mean, let's see here.

You're picking fifth. The worst player at quarterback that's going to fall to you is like Justin Herbert or Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson. So you're going to have your chance at one of those guys. So if you pass on the quarterback there, in theory, I mean, there's a chance you don't even get freaking Daniel Jones in round two in theory, right? It could happen. It could happen.

Let us know. Send us the results and some fun photos. We'll appreciate it. So the answer is when it's out and you just don't know in a two quarterback, just get the quarterback. Yeah, there you go. All right. Our buddy Kendall asks, in a 10-team home league, should I reach on Mark Andrews at the 303 instead of getting some of the various running backs

and wide receivers going in that range? That's a great question. I thought all offseason that I would be into Mandrews at a dip in price because I thought last year he was too expensive and he was not on my list. But, you know, there are some instances where I'm sure

it's the optimal pick, you know, in this spot is right around there. I've gone through it a bunch of times. I will tell you, I don't like it. I would go with a wide receiver there. I'm not sure who you got in round one, though, or two. But I would rather come out of round three

with two good wideouts and one running back than Mandrews. Let's just say it that way. Yeah. I mean, I think this year you could just wait, get the other players, just draft Darren Waller. I think it'll be this year. Boy, I mean, Mandrews has got to lose something here

in terms of the target share. Yeah, you know? You'd think. I mean, they've got Zay Flowers who spent a pick on. Odell Beckham, they're paying, you know, what,

$15 million for? So there's a lot going on here. All right, we'll wrap up. We've got a few more here, a few minutes with the guru. He's got the big ACI draft coming up. That's always just pure hell

because everybody in the draft... I think we lost you again. Like maybe a... I might have to pull the Tom Brawling. Go get a new computer here, do you? No, there you go. Now you're back. I know.

I don't know what the hell's going on here. It's like you hit something. It's like you hit something. I'm thinking of moving my, my current setup here. I'm in my bar, man cave in the basement, anybody who's seen on any of my shows. And I'm thinking of taking over the old kids' playroom and turning it into just a full-on office slash podcast center.

That might be, uh, the best thing for me to do because then I can just go crazy all day long in there. But either way. Let me see if I can find one last thing for you. Hmm. All right. Our buddy, Jay Money. Look at Jay Money's photo there.

This guy is killing it out there. Drafting fifth in a 10-team, two QB league. A lot of two QB leagues out there. He asks the same sort of thing. Would you go QB early or running back receiver, whoever's available? Barkley, Henry Mahomes, kind of the same thing. So we kind of answered that question. Yeah, yeah.

I mean, I assume it's a startup, right? I mean, so certainly check out what happens with the first four picks. But unless you get zero quarterbacks off the board, the first four, I got to go safe there and just don't overthink it, get Burrow or Herbert. Let's see. All right. I found a question here. buddy Casey Blankenship.

Casey asks 12-team PPR keeper for this year only. Six-pick in the draft. JJ, he took JJ in the first, Kelsey in the second, briefs in the fifth, or Ken Walker in the 10th. So we can only keep one of those guys. Which guy you're going to keep? I mean, at the sixth overall, essentially you could get Justin Jefferson for the sixth overall pick in the draft.

Yeah, yeah. Boy. Man, you know, I mean, do you even consider Kelsey? Because Kelsey, you could argue, is the best values healthy. Mm-hmm. But he's also 34, you know. Then again, you're only keeping one, right? And you're going to get, so you can keep Kelsey in the second, which is awesome,

but there's going to be 11 other keepers kept in this league. So, I mean, someone else is going to draft. you're going to have the sixth overall pick, you're going to throw Justin Jefferson back. Someone's obviously going to draft him. So it depends, you know, out of the 11 players kept, you know, are you really getting that much value in the first round? Are you getting a first round talent, really?

Well, what do you propose that? I'm saying you're going to get Justin Jefferson. If his pick is sixth overall, you can keep Justin Jefferson in the first round. I mean, he's going number one in most every draft in America. I would just keep him. Yeah, yeah. The only thing that gives you a pause is, you know, Kelsey's ADP is like three picks after Jefferson. And it costs only a second rounder.

And then, you know, it just depends. We don't know who you're going to get there in the first round, but it's Kelsey and anybody, so it's not that. What about, let's say it's Bejan, Bejan. Ooh. How early would you draft Bijon this year? Huh? How really you drafted in Bijon this year? Half point PPR League.

nine, 10. Yeah. That's about it. I ask is the guy with the ninth pick in his home league draft on Saturday. But just, you know, I got the 10th pick in the ACI tomorrow morning. So, I mean, he could. Who you think is going to fall to you?

I have no idea, man. I'm sure I'll get screwed, pinched in some way, shape, or form. But I feel like I should get Steff Diggs, Gary Wilson, a mon ra. I mean, I got to get one of those. Nobody wants to draft the Monra and all he's going to do is put up

like, you know, top five numbers all season long. I hope he puts on a freaking show opening night against Kansas City. And everyone's like, oh, I got him in the second round. You fools didn't want to draft him. Oh, he'll probably catch nine in that game.

Mm-hmm. That's going to be a shootout. I can't wait. And then you go and you trade him for Justin Jefferson, five minutes later and everybody watches it. Oh, man. Well, folks, I hope you enjoyed our preseason look at picking the guru's brain, ask guru anything.

Make sure you go over to that YouTube channel, YouTube.com slash fantasy points. It's a free sign up. Just click it. You're going to get access to all our great videos from every amazing contributor at fantasy points.com. And get over to fantasy points.com. What are you doing if you haven't signed up already? The best in the business, projections, cheat sheets, DFS op.

optimizers. Oh, by the way, fantasy points data, the most industry changing application that's ever come out. And you can get that at fantasy points.com. If you need a code, save a few bucks, 23F.5. Just a little tip from your boy, Drake, there. As you go over and get rid to dominate your drafts. So, Guru, are you ready to head off into draft sunset here, the final big weekend of fantasy drafts? Yeah, yeah, I'm as ready as I'll ever be. I feel good about our takes, my positions. I do, though, send some chaos on the horizon,

some unpredictable stuff that no one could ever get right. So buckle up, let's go. Yeah, I mean, not to prolong this show, but there's a lot of teams out there that have like two, three running backs out there. Detroit's got two, Dallas only has three. You know, what was the Patriot? I don't think anybody plays for the Patriots anymore.

Four Nett, Kreme Hunt. These guys are going to sign this week with somebody and screw up the back to you. It's going to be pretty chaotic at running back. Even though the depth is better than usual, there's a lot of open-ended questions there. And then, you know, once we get past the top 100 players, it's like just make the best our throws as you can because it's very top-heavy. You know, I do a 200 top, 200 cheat sheet.

first 100 players really desirable next 100 players whatever like they're they're all the same almost so let's get those early picks right yeah light a candle say a prayer and crack a beer because

it's a great draft weekend good luck to everybody out there thanks John for the time make sure you follow John on Twitter never call it X at Fantasy underscore Guru give me a follow at Drake Fantasy and we'll catch you guys next time or ask guru anything.

Thanks for tuning in to this edition of the Fantasy Points podcast. Remember to subscribe, rate, and review on your favorite platform. And come join the roster at FantasyPoints.com.