Fantasy Football Daily - Every Player You MUST START In Week 3 Fantasy Football (Part 2)

Episode Date: September 25, 2026

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we follow the money. Learn more at Bloomberg.com. I said I got your care package by the way. I didn't send you a care package did I? Yeah you did bro. Oh yeah what was it? Some flowers some perfume. So like in chess like the AI is gonna beat Magnus Carlson like 99 times at a 100 if not 100 times.

By the way Magnus Carlson has never lost to AI just so you're aware. It's 53 and 0. 53 and oh really? Yeah. How many times do you lose to the guy with the butt plug? All right, should we get moving? Yeah. You ready?

Here we go. You know what I need from you, Scott, moving forward? It's like when I do first read, Joe always gives me a primer. Magnus Carlson cannot beat stockfish in an even standard game of chess. ELO different stockfish is rated over 4,000, which is roughly 800 points higher than Carlson's peak human rating of around 2,882. He's 53 and no, I'm telling you. AI says you're wrong, but then again, maybe AI is just going to bat for. hurts buddies yeah I mean I watch magna is better than humans who was the chess player

with a butt plug allegedly yeah it was Hans Neiman it was Hans Neiman week three starts it here on fantasy football daily on the fantasy points YouTube channel this is the second part of our two part series we're going game by game we're starting with the 4 p.m. slate today before we dive in though Scott do you ever just wake up and just count your blessing just be like dude I get to talk about football for a living oh yeah it's the best job is it not yeah it's so sick it's so cool I get to do the show with you my pal my business partner but also my my real life friend like this is a this is just awesome like life who's got up better than us you know it's amazing

yeah it's the best so I don't even have anything sarcastic to say it's yeah good good didn't want you to. Hey, listen, if you're a returning subscriber, you already know what makes this the best fantasy football channel on the planet. Make sure you hit the like, but yes, the best. We're the best. We're the best. We're the best. We're helping you win fantasy leagues every single day. Click the like button, reply. Tell us your favorite moment of the show. Tell us things you think we can improve on. We do like the feedback. That's how we landed on this game by game, start, sit breakdown was your feedback. We are men of the people. So make sure you're doing that. If you're new here, what? You something?

And listen, listen, we're doing something special for you. Your toughest start sit decision of the week. I want you to be in the YouTube comments, not the Spotify comments, the YouTube comments, leave us with your toughest start sit matchup question of the week. We will answer it. You'll get blessed by the Fantasy Points Fairy himself, Matt Donnelly. He'll use our projections, which were the most accurate projections in the industry last year. And of course they were.

They come from fantasy points data, the best, most accurate data, totally exclusive to us in the NFL business. And then, yeah, we use those projections to return a 60 plus percent win rate on props to we've had a different subscriber win a million dollars on draft kings playing DFS in three straight years. And so, yeah, we're going to use those projections to either give you the most confidence when making your decisions this week. or will be your scapego in case we got it wrong. You can blame us. You can get mad at us. So leave us a reply or a comment on the YouTube and we'll bless you with the response. Awesome.

Let's dive in. So we start with the 4 PM slate here, Arizona at San Francisco. We got a spread of eight and a half. It looks like you deleted my over unders in the show sheet, Scott. So thank you for that. Oh. But no worries. you can see on the screen we got our start sits.

But from a schematic standpoint, I want to just hit the San Francisco offense first, Scott. Arizona is one of the craziest defensive matchups I've seen. They basically live in too high. They're playing too high at like the second highest rate in the league. But they also play a ton of base coverage. And in that base, they're going to have a linebacker on the field who absolutely cannot cover. And on top of that, they're down their two best corners this week. Will Johnson, sorry, they're three best corners.

Will Johnson, Max Melton, and Garrett Williams all ruled out for this game. Will Johnson actually went on to the IR yesterday. And so this is a situation where I just don't see this defense being able to hang with San Francisco at all. I think schematically like Debo Samuel probably has the best one-for-one matchup, but they're all starts, as you can see on the screen. If Mike Evans checks out healthy, I know he was a deep. DNP yesterday at practice. But if he, if he does practice and he plays in this game, he's also a start to me. I don't see a world where Arizona can contend with the San Francisco passing attack.

So this is like a heavenly matchup. No corners. They're going to play a ton of base. They live in too high. Debo and George Kittle underneath should just eat all day long. Yeah. So you mentioned a base defense. I looked. So since the start of last season, Josh Allen averages 0.5.8. fantasy points per dropback. Brock Purdy against base defense is at like 0.87. It's a major advantage for Brock Purdy. And then you said the too high coverage. So downstream from that,

that's a significant boost to Christian McCaffrey in the passing game. McCaffrey, Debo and Kittle to me, but. Well, of course. Yeah, but against too high, CMC's target per route run goes from 0.21 to a team high. 0.31 target share jumps from 16% to 26%.

Debo Samuel also historically better against too high coverage. George Kittle actually, not true. He struggles against too high coverage. His target per route run drops by 25%. He did go off last week. He had 80 yards in a touchdown on just 12 routes. But the route share, you know, controlling for the blowout, so you remove the fourth quarter.

He had just a 57% route share. So they're really kind of taking their time, easing him back to full responsibilities, full workload. But still, you see here, it's this 49ers offense looks like an absolute wagon. Brock Purdy's a top three quarterback for us. And if that sounds kind of crazy for you, consider this stat. Or consider how much more pleasant my life would be right now, Brad, if I had made Brock Purdy who I might be Brock Purdy's biggest fan. And since he came out, Brock Purdy's biggest fan. Instead, I made Malik Willis, the Exodio quarterback. Life would have been so much easier. Brock Purdy, since the start

of last season, ranks behind only Josh Allen and fantasy points per game, leads all quarterbacks and fantasy points per dropback. So not only is he a really underrated real-life NFL quarterback, he's a great fantasy quarterback as well. Christian McCaffrey, obviously, you know, I think, you know, the concerns about the Kalin Black Split week one were overblown. He had cramping in game it was in Australia but he ranked top five an XFP last week despite only playing one snap in the fourth quarter of a blowout Kaelin Black has had zero of the backfield opportunities inside the 10-yard line. Christian McCaffrey has had five of five so yeah he is an easy RB one George Kittle even with the the limited route participation still a low-end

one if he was back to his full usage he would probably be mid-range high-range high end, tight end one, but tight end eight, I feel good about that. And then you have Debo, Samuel, Mike Evans, both as fringe wide receiver twos. What's going on here with Evans is he's, he's dealing with his hip injury. It seems like he's okay, but they did yank him from that game early because the game was, you know, over relatively quickly. And so I think we see him. It's tough because no Dejean shribling, no DeMarcus Robinson. They might not really have the luxury of playing anyone else all that much, but still, you know, the concern that he sees fewer routes than Adipo Sam, I think is warranted. So have them both as fringe wide receiver twos this week.

Make sure you pay attention Sunday mornings. You know, what is Jay Glazer saying before kickoff? What is Adam Schaefter, Ian Rappaport saying before kickoff? But right now on a Friday, fringe wide receiver two on both. The nerd in me wants you to rewind a little bit to the George Kittle talk. You said he hasn't performed well against too high. How long is that sample you're citing? Um, so it's not that he didn't perform well. It's that he saw a decrease in targets per route run. I'd have to check my notes. It's either since the start of last season or the year before that. Okay. That's really interesting because schematically like anytime we catch a team that's in too high, we want the tight end on the opposing offense. It's just that's where you get those

mismatches. You're getting your tight end against. it's a linebacker, you're getting your tight end in space, you know, for these catch and run opportunities. That's what Kittles amazing at. Shocking to hear that, honestly. Could it be more chip blocking, something to do with his past blocking? It's possible. It's that. It could just be a tendency thing where like Purdy likes Debo in those situations or likes McCaffrey

in those situations or, you know, rewind the last year, whoever they had play. It's possible just that. Also, Kittle missed a good chunk of last year, right, with the Achilles. Yeah, he also played some with Mack Jones, who wasn't. Targeting him as frequently. True. Yeah. Could just be a random tendency thing that you picked up on.

It's since the start of last season. Yeah. So I can look at it. Wait, no, hold on. Hold on. No, it's over the last three seasons.

So it's a fairly robust sample. That's definitely sticky then. Yeah. Yeah, so I would expect Debo to eat. I like Debo. Even if Evans is healthy, I think I like Debo more than,

more than Evans in this one. Oh. Just because of the schematics. Yeah. Plus, you know what's concerning, though? The hip, the hip with Evans, hips and hamstrings go hand in hand, right? Because when you have a hamstring, you change your gate,

you end up blowing out your hip. I literally just did this this summer playing soccer, had a light hamstring issue, turned into a hip issue. It is what it is. But I just think, I mean, you're the one who has been gassing up Debo. You changed my mind on him. He was a by-low candidate. He's a waiver, priority waiver, waiver, waiver ad.

Yeah, I mean, like, I'm all in now. and he's got the literal nuts schematic matchup to go off in this game. Arizona, let's talk then. I think this is actually a good bounce back spot for Arizona's offense. They've been rough. You know, the 49ers have played two absolute cupcakes on defense. And I know that defense looks really good on paper right now. I'm telling you they're not.

There's some other metrics I look at. Like I really value pressure rate and pass rush win rate. Why is that such a tongue twister? They're bottom of the league in both of us. Pass rush. You just did it. You just did it. You slurred it.

The R. The rush win combo, it creates like a little slur. It's weird. But pass rush win rate and pressure rate. What about the Cooper rush win rate? Yeah. That's really low. Zero.

Didn't he go like six and oh one year as a cowboy starter or something ridiculous. Dude, he just sucked. He just flaky. Just kind of a wagon. Parsons in his prime, C.D. Lamb in his prime kind of thing. Anyways, so I like Arizona's offense. I'm not saying start Jacoby Broussat, but I do think he has a nice bounce back.

And I really think this is a get right spot for Michael Wilson, like big time. What say you? I know we're not projecting a wide receiver 39. So I'm deferring from the script a little bit, but I have to say my take. Yeah, I think Jacobi Brissette's pretty low here for a guy who I think has finished as a top 12 fantasy quarterback in something like 12 of his 15 starts with the cardinals something like that and we have them barely a cubey too um yeah i don't know the the 49ers defense looks amazing with with fred warner back um making some insane plays but like you said it was the the the rams like rolled off the

plane and right to the stadium like super jet lagged and then you get the miami dolphins uh so You know, maybe this isn't the world's best defense, which honestly would be awesome for the 49ers skill position players. Jeremiah Love, he's in a gross 50-50 committee with Tyler Algier. He has 20 carries to Algiers 22. He has three more targets. But I think it's only a matter of time until Jeremiah Love seizes the backfield, whether that's 60% or 70% remains to be seen.

but right now, week three, I feel good about this fringe RB2 ranking. Trey McBride, bro, is freaking incredible. People want to know why he wasn't like a priority target for me in drafts, and it's really, you know, maybe this is a mistake. Maybe my time preference is too low, and it should be a bit higher, but because you can sell high on these guys. But my concern with Trey McBride is really like, okay, the Cardinals are one,

six now it's the Carson Beck show and Jacobi Brissette historically targets tight ends at the highest rate in the league every single year he's been in the league and then in college it was the highest rate in the FBS like he is a major tight end cheat code and you see it over his last 14 games all games with Jacobi Brissette or just about he averages 21.1 fantasy points per game that's behind only puka and JSN that's like a full point. more than Jamar Chase. That's 1.5 more than Amun Ross St. Brown. And the consistency, Brett, is what's most impressive.

He is more games over 27 fantasy points than games under 16 and a half fantasy points. So, like, yeah, why isn't this guy being talked about in the same range as Puka and JSN? And then you factor in that fantasy points go a farther distance at the tight end position. Yeah, this is really one of the most valuable players in fantasy, at least up until it's Carson Beck. then it's time to worry and then Marvin harrison junior it's over it couldn't be any more over than it is he has a 5% target share he has a 3% separation win rate a 0.0 ass he doesn't care he just doesn't care none of those metrics matter because he's literally not even running routes he's literally just jogging oh it's like devante adams when he wanted the trade out of las vegas yes i did

want to stop you after the mcbride rank because i just wanted to say breaking news trade micbride is good thank you for telling all of our listeners to start Trey McBride. They needed that information for sure. I know no one cares, but no one was higher on him when he was coming out than you and I. Oh, yeah, we love them. I remember I did a, this is before I was doing a lot of, actually, I was doing no media at the time. I got asked to do a show and I'm going to drop some names and hopefully they get tickled by it. But Ray GQ, Derek Brown, and a couple other industry guys.

We did a like a live senior bowl. Q and A and somebody asked the question, is there anybody here that's going to get into the first round of dynasty drafts? And they were all like, yeah, I don't think this class is that good. I immediately spoke up and said, yeah, Trey McBride. They're like, no way. Like I got clowned hard for this take. Guess where Trey McBride. I end up going and Ricky drafts that year.

The one, 12, baby. Wow, look at that. So, and now he's, he should went higher. Clearly. He should have went higher. Now he's the best tight end football. So that's a key lesson for fantasy players out there. All of the best take.

I've ever had were the ones I got laughed at where I got destroyed I got clowned on you know coming out on like Christian McCaffrey's a future Hall of Famer I get clowned on Lamar Jackson is gonna win MVP is sophomore I get cloned and it's just like that was one of the first lessons I ever learned the first ever fantasy draft I ever did when I fell in love with fantasy football I was like 12 years old it was my stepdad's league and I remember the guy drafted tiki barber and he got laughed at he was like Oh, he's old. He doesn't score touchdowns.

He fumbled 12 times last year. And that was the best pick he could have made. He took him in like round six and he won the league with him. So, yeah, that's where the value is, is the contrarian angles. But anyway, we digress a little bit. I wanted to circle back to Michael Wilson. This family is on the brink of civil war. Mobland.

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Do I have to do everything myself? You want to want? I'll give you a... Mob Lad, new season is now streaming on Paramount Plus. So Marvin Harrison, Jr., it's over. It couldn't be any more over than it is. Does that mean we should be bullish on Michael Wilson? And I think so.

You know, he has a 20% target share this year. And we were talking about the schematic. matchups with San Francisco, or for the San Francisco offense, but for Arizona's offense, up against a San Francisco defense that plays a lot of cover three, cover three at a top three rate over 50% of the time. Michael Wilson's target per outrun increases by 22%. And it actually jumps up above Trey McBride when facing cover three. So this is a nice little schematic matchup for him. So I like this ranking here. I like this projection. This is a really strong what the heck flex play. Yeah, I said to start this conversation. I like him way above wide receiver

39. I think it's a guys Seattle Seattle is a house of horrors. That's right. It's like I know we're feeling crappy about Michael Wilson because of last week. I'm telling you that's that's the hardest matchup that dude has the rest of the season. Is Mike McDonald the Ben Johnson, Kyle Shanahan, of defensive coordinators? Yes. Yeah, and he might even be a better head coach in those guys because he's a better leader of men. You know, phenomenal coach.

Yeah, I love Michael Wilson this week. Take it to the bank. All right, let's move on. We got Minnesota traveling to Tampa Bay in what might set the NFL record for blitzes in a game here between the two blitz-happiest teams in the league. That's right. The over-under is 42 and a half.

Minnesota slightly favored on the road. I think this is crazy work by Vegas to have this line favoring the Vikings. I know Baker Mayfield has played like absolute dog water to start the season. Baker still has a long track record of success that I think we could bank on beyond those first two games. It is a home game for Tampa. I say that and they just got beat at home, right, by a crappy Cleveland Brown team and Deshawn Watson. So maybe this is a bad take by me, but I do expect Tampa to come ready to fight in this game. And I think if Baker can just mitigate some of those turnovers,

schematically, this is a really good matchup for him, where he has a really good route runner. In Mecca, Agbuka, Minnesota is going to throw the kitchen sink at him in terms of blitzes. And it just takes a couple throws for Baker to get hot, where we know he's a big roller coaster. He just got to start feeling it a little bit. There's going to be open windows to throw the ball into, a lot of replacement windows as those second level players come up in blitz.

Baker should be able to find the soft spot. I feel really good about this. But I like the Tampa Bayside. I like Agbuka a little bit. I actually have kind of a hot take for you about Agbuka. Yeah. His separation numbers are really good. Yeah.

This is going to scare you a little bit. I see a little bit of Traylon Burks in his game. Oh, no. A little bit of like just out of control coming out of his brain. It's like he won the route, but it's like he's stumbling and it's just not. It's not clean at the catch point because he's he's not in control and he's his body's all over the place. It's just a little bit. Not quite to the extreme we saw with Traylon, but it's like, I just see a little bit of that kind of like wild coming out of his break stuff where it's like, yeah, he's crushing corners, but doesn't matter if he doesn't have the body control to stay on his feet.

So yeah. For those who don't know, uh, everyone had around one grade on Traylon Burks except for Brett who had a day three grade on Traylon. And I'm like, you're crazy. let's watch the film and we watch the film together it's like yeah this is like an awful athlete he can run in a straight line fast but like like a really uncoordinated like he's constantly like falling on the ground and like runs like he has vertigone was johnu so he kept calling him trelanu um so yeah that's that's concerning let me start at the top of the quarterback so baker's actually historically one of the best quarterbacks in the league against the blitz.

Yeah, I thought I said that, didn't I or no? I don't know. But I wonder if that's because, you know, he faces against the Todd Bulls defense in practice all the time. So he has a lot of experience against it. That being said, this is maybe the best defense in the league. Baker has four turnovers, seven sacks and two games. He's bottom three in EPA per dropback. I'm not all that bullish. Bucky Irving, this is one that we kind of disagreed on, but just like looking at the usage and volume you have a guy who's what seventh in snap share fifth in target share and he had an all-time great rookie season by fantasy points per snap so it's just like the math is telling me that this is a fringe rb one and and it's encouraging to say to see chris agree with that

even in this tough matchup the wide receivers i was going to say we need to pull these guys apart a little too pinched together you were saying chris godwin looks washed and the ass would confirm that completely washed his separation score ranks 62nd of 76 wide receivers he has fewer first re-targets than uh ted hurst right now so i would we i'll tell chris that's when we have our projections call but i would i would push godwin down i would put a buca up um he's going to get a lot of too high coverage, which the Vikings play at the league's highest rate, nearly 69% of the time. Egbuka's yards per route run jumps 50% against two high coverage.

So that's really good for him. Some concerns. The target tree has been really flat this year. He's at just 18%. Kate Auden at 18%. Ted Hurst at 16%. And just like last year, he leads the league in uncatchable air yardage rate. What does that mean?

It means like he's seeing a lot of like high quality targets with a lot of air yards behind them. Just almost none of them are catchable. And so we last year were like, oh, Baker must be playing hurt. He's been on the injury report 11 different times with 10 different injuries. And now it's looking like, oh, well, you know, maybe he just, you know, maybe Liam Cohen's just a genius and he like turned back into a pumpkin. He was, he's never been a pumpkin though. That's the thing. What we're seeing from Baker is in, it's in the script of his entire career, even going back to Oklahoma.

He has these massive swings and it's, it's the emotional edge he plays with. I'm telling you. But back on Igbuka, we're projecting him wide receiver 38. Like, I think he's a wide receiver three at least. I like looking at our projections. I like him better than BTJ straight up. I like him better than Romeo Dubs straight up. Oh, yeah.

You could convince me over Jameson Williams. I'm sure you'd love to hear that take. Yeah, you know, maybe even over Xavier Worthy because even though I like Xavier Worthy's role in the offense, it hasn't manifested into any type of meaningful production. You're right. Yeah. So it's like we're too low on him for sure. Yeah. He's he's a mid-range wide receiver three at worst. We'll get this projection. We don't want to be overreacting the weeks one and two, right? So like Baker bet he was horrible. He, I expect him to go a little bit closer to his career average career norm. Despite the tough matchup. And A, it's interesting. It's not a tough matchup, I think, for Baker. No.

I don't think Minnesota's defense is spout. It's schematically difficult to sort through, but as you laid out, Baker's already great against the Blitz. And it really takes, like, if you look historically through the Flores' defense stuff, it takes one team to pop them. And then once, once that happens, like, the floodgates open for the rest of the season. Yeah, if you look over the past few years, they give up explosives in the past game at one of the highest rates. They're one of the worst defenses at defending.

the deep ball. They give up a ton of yards after catch. It's just like that's the way they play defense is they create a ton of havoc, a lot of confusion. They force a lot of turnovers, get a lot of sacks. It's really interesting. But there's literal oceans to run into. If you can if you can sidestep all that, there's literal oceans to play in and that's favorable to the offense. Right. So many other teams are going to Vic Fangio, Ben, but don't break, you know, sell out to stop the deep ball. And it's interesting to see a defense go the opposite way. But let's talk about the Vikings here. Yeah, let's. Is Aaron Jones healthy? Is he going to play? Yeah, that's the question. We don't really know right now, but this was before even the hint of this injury. So like a fully

healthy Aaron Jones would be RB 14. Why? Because he was the highest end Belkow. He saw really just about all of the work. He 80.4% of the snaps, 72% of the backfield XFP, Mason's on IR for at least three more games. We're going to have to put an injury doc on Aaron Jones so that that's going to go down a little bit could go down a lot. It could be the DJ Dallas show where like DJ Dallas who stinks is going to get a 90% snaps here and be a midrange RB2 because of it. But we'll have to we'll have to hold our breath on that one. Why do you think we're projecting Justin Jefferson so high? Because he's Justin Jefferson. He's wildly believed to be one of the best wide receivers and they game and he just had this ridiculous target share with Carson Wendz. I'm with you. I think this is

kind of high. I'm kind of pessimistic about Kyler Murray and his ability to support a fantasy wide receiver one. If you're reacting to early season information, like Tampa's actually been pretty good against receivers. They shut down Jamar Chase and T. Higgins. Denzel Boston had a nice stat line last week, but it all came on one play. You know, he had the five catches for 95 and a tutty, but like 60 and a tuddy of that was one play, right? The catch and run where he broke a few tackles, not necessarily something you can hang your hat on. So it's like, I kind of think Tampa's defense might be okay.

I don't know. Again, they're not going to shut down Justin Jefferson. That's not what I'm saying, by the way. He's obviously a start. We don't have to tell you to start Justin Jefferson, but I was just a little surprised to see him that high. Yeah. And then you're sitting everyone else comfortably?

Comfortably, yeah. Yeah. I feel the exact same. way. Let's move on to maybe the most fun game of the week. That's Baltimore. It's not actually at Dallas. It is a Dallas home game, but the game is taking place in Brazil, Rio de Janeiro. The over under in this game is 52 and a half. That's a pretty high implied point total. Baltimore, the slight favorite. I wonder if they'd be the favorite if it was a neutral field, or if it was a home game for Dallas, actually, but it's neutral field. So I think they're getting the

nod. Minus three and a half is the spread. this is a start of if you got him game the point total says everything you really need to know let's start on the baltimore side scott you can't obviously you're starting lamar jackson you're starting henry you're starting zay if he plays what's it looking like with zay do you know um i kind of don't know uh there was a report this morning i think it's like 4060 he plays like he should be good next week for sure and i think this one's a little bit more iffy Um, so yeah, you see a lot of green here and why do you see a lot of green? It's because the Cowboys are the worst defense in football since the start of last season.

That's true by points per drive allowed EPA per play allowed all the all the money stats, you know, fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks to wide receivers to tight ends. Um, and so yeah, a lot of green. With Zay Flowers, I mean like this is this probably has a Chris Wacked injury doc. a big one on him and he's still wide receiver 22 because last time we saw him play football he had five catches 150 yards and a touchdown on 11 routes uh he was also one yard shy of another touchdown um also interesting to see baltimore top 10 in p row after ranking 31st and 26 the last two years um i really love what deckland doyle is doing and how he's calling uh plays i Zay Flowers, you're starting him.

And then if Zay Flowers is out, you're starting Rashad Bateman. We have him as a sit, but that's with Zay Flowers in. Again, we talked about it on one of our previous episodes this week. The 13 personnel role, the featured one role,

it's awesome. It's awesome. So Rashad Bateman jumps to probably high-end wide receiver three, low-end, wide receiver two, if Flowers is out. But if Flowers is in, you're sitting, Rashad Bateman,

and then Mark Andrews, sneaky good, utilization thus far. He's fifth in target share. So mid range to low end Titan 1, I can certainly get behind that. And then just Derek Henry, the dog, you know, he's just awesome.

Derek Henry, the dog. Schematically, this is funny because Dallas's defense is just bad in general, but they're really bad against 12 personnel looks. I don't know if you check this out. They're like, they're giving up 0.51 EPA per play against 12 personnel, which is like, that's like,

heinously bad. And obviously Baltimore is one of the heavier personnel teams in the league. I'm actually looking for, do you know how Dallas's defense is performed against tight ends recently? This year? Is your second Tybal Durham-Smith? Yeah, but the point I was going to make is they gave up eight catches for 78 yards and two touchdowns to Isaiah likely.

You just talked about Mark Andrews's usage so far this season. this is a really good soft matchup for him. Dallas has gotten beat up by tight ends a little bit, and they're terrible against 12 personnel. So I definitely like this matchup for Andrews. I probably, honestly, Scott, I might like him better than tight end seven. Bro, this is crazy.

So the Cowboys have given up the seventh most fantasy points to tight ends, but just the 20th most targets. 11 targets, 11 catches, 107 yards, and two touchdowns. And again, they're the, since the start of last season, then they're all right well they're not too bad but so very very winnable matchup here for mark andrews this episode is brought to you by animals how far would you go when someone threatens everyone you love who can you trust from academy award winner ben affleck animals stars aflack

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Learn more at Bloomberg.com. On the Dallas side, it's a high-powered offense. If you've got them, Javante Williams, I want to hit on. I don't know that schematically I like this matchup. Baltimore's run defense has been good to start. They have their big, you know, Hog Mollies in the middle, healthy, Justin Mettabweke,

Travis Jones, who missed, you know, most of last year. So I, I really, like, Javante's struggle to start the season.

Dallas's offensive line is in not a great spot with Tyler Smith, missing, you know, every game so far. And I don't know, I don't know when he's supposed to come back, but I know it's not this week. I think the woes in the run side of the ball will still persist this week,

especially against this defense. It's going to have to come down to DAC, C.D. Lamb, and George Pickens to me. Yeah, and I think that's why it seems like we might be a little low on Javante Williams at RB16. I'd be lower than that, to be fair. So I don't know that I would be. His volume and utilizations has been really good. He's top 10 in XFP per team play, top five in Snapshare. His target share has come up from last year.

So maybe he's not quite as game script sensitive, but still in a game that the Cowboys are three and a half point dogs. I can't put him too much higher than this. Doc Prescott, mid-range QB1, Cowboys probably lead the league in passing yards this year. C.D. Lamb, unbelievable usage thus far. 34% first-reed target share. Let's talk about your boy George Pickens, though, because we have him wide receiver. 19 so a mid-range wide receiver 2 he really looks like the clear number two so he's at 12.2 xfp per game cd lamb at 23.4 um and it's a bad schematic matchup also because baltimore plays too

high on 63% of the time george pickens target per route run drops 39% he's behind cd lam he's behind Terrence for at Jake Ferguson he's behind Giovante Williams so he could be the number four in this brutal schematic matchup do you agree or disagree Brett I disagree and they made that clear last week with what Pickens got eight

eight targets Washington was doing the same exact thing they were playing too too high over top of them they and Dak Prescott just like cool we'll just throw shorter intermediate routes they didn't hit any for a big game but that's not that's not something that's to stick every week. So I'm pretty comfortable with this matchup, to be honest with you.

All right. Well, I just pulled it up. Right now, the over under on George Pickens is 60. I would take the under. Brett would take the over. So we're going to have to make that an official fantasy football daily bet. If Brett's right, I'll give him $20. If I'm right, Brett has to wear women's clothing, a wedding dress on. I'll stick with the $20. I'm not doing the... Yeah, I'm not... You have to wear clown makeup in a wedding dress and, yeah, deal. It'd be nice for someone other than you to wear clown makeup on the show.

That was a good one. Oh, sorry, that's not makeup you're wearing? My bad. You got me. All right, let's move on. Actually, you know, before we're going to get to the Raiders and the Saints, but before we do, we got a quick word from Scott Barrett. All right, Raiders at Saints.

A low point total here. 43 and a half. Saints are favored by three at home. Kind of gross. I have no idea what to make of the Raiders. They're 2 and O. The defense has played shockingly good. Max Crosby does not look like a guy who failed a physical

and shut a trade down to Baltimore. He looks like Max Crosby. They got a rookie corner, Hezekiah Massey's, that just looks awesome. for it's like a fifth round pickers on i think um anyways raiders are i've been a surprise team for sure the saints have been in these absolute dog fights each of the first two weeks where they've come out of nowhere in the fourth quarter to put a bunch of points on the board so kind of a fun little matchup but the over under is scary here scott i think that implies

we're probably not expecting a lot of scoring maybe temper some expectations on some of the saints but our projections are disagreeing with that um yeah Yeah, I think this is. So the Raiders are interesting to, like, I keep talking about these power law play callers, right? And like, there are Kyle Shanahan, who you give him, like, the worst starting quarterback in the league is going to have, like, a really successful offense that supports multiple fantasy relevant players. And I think, I think Kubiak is up there with those names. And like the antithesis is there's also some awful play call. like Nick Cayley, Bobby Sloick, where it's just, it's just painful.

And so I'm kind of bullish on the Raiders, but I don't know how you start Kirk Cousins. Ash and Genty, he had over 30 XFP last week, but he also had 2.2 yards per carry and three drops. Still, just the utilization and usage and volume is like too incredible for him to be anything less than a mid-range RB1 at worst. I think I think trade Tucker is kind of interesting especially if the Raiders get behind here he currently ranks seventh in yards per route run New Orleans plays single high at the league's second highest rate and and Tucker sees about a 30% increase against single high which makes

sense as a as a guy with elite wheels and he kind of reminds me of um Kirk Cousins new darnel Mooney and maybe that doesn't sound all that inspiring to you but like I remember, like, Darnal Mooney was like just as productive as Drake London. And it's like, that should never happen because Drake London is just so much more talented. Why would that happen? It's like, well, Gunslinger Kirk loves throwing it down field and he's actually really good at it. So like it seems like a good stylistic fit, but Chris Weck disagrees. He doesn't think this is, Trey Tucker is anywhere close to making it into your flex position. And then Brock Bowers with a heavy, heavy injury doc is still technically a start for us as a low end tight end one uh and again that's

another player you want to be attuned to j glazer reports in rapid report report see see how you know is bowers just a decoy this week is he a little bit better than that so but right now with the heavy injury doc still a tight end one i do i absolutely love your tray tucker shout especially when you consider the fact that New Orleans like lives in single high. 67% of their snaps are going to be single high, which is like top five in the league. Point being, there's going to be opportunities downfield for him for him to catch a big one.

So that's a fun little shout there on the same side of the ball. This is a start sit show, but I mean, this could also be a, if you want to play the afternoon slate and DFS, we could help you with that or if you want to do some prop bets. Yeah. Well, yeah.

And it's a start sit show. We're projecting wide receiver 52. I think you and I might be a little higher in that. And some people are in some really bad situations because of injuries. You know, what if you have A.J. Brown and Nico Collins on your team? What if you have Nico Collins and Malik neighbors? Actually, a listener of the show does in fact have Nico Collins and Malik neighbors. You might be desperate to find just a startable player in one of those flex spots.

Trey Tucker is something I wouldn't turn your nose up at this week. That's all I'm saying. Bro, fantasy football is such a war of attrition. Like there are seasons and, leagues and teams of mine where it's like it felt like I was Job and God was just smiting my fantasy team where like my my round one round two round three route all and then I still like find a way to win the championship it's like you really just got a scratch and claw you win weeks and then at a certain point these guys get healthy and and come back and push you over the top should we do a theological

breakdown of what it means for Job in the Old Testament here how do how do we find Christ and Job's story. Is that what you're trying to do right now? You tell me. You're the, you're the biblical scholar. Save that for a different podcast. How about that? Okay. All right. Bible study with Brett and Scott. We'll do that after our dog breeding episodes. You'll have you have to clean up the language for that to work. But you know, it's all right. Saints side of the ball here. I didn't say it was. Oh, okay. But many of the partakers of that show would probably not appreciate some of the language said. That's all I'm saying. Today's episode is brought to you by our sponsor, Jesus Christ, who died for your sins.

I hope no one thinks we're making fun of your religion. Brett and I are both Christians. No, yeah, not making fun of it all. It's just, and actually, can I, can I say this? It is funny because I think at one point this summer you did call me and say that we should start a podcast, just talking about the Bible. Well, I learned so much from you. You're, you're really are well, well studied so thank you all right should we move to the next game or do you have anything to say about these saints i i have a lot to say about the saints i'm sure uh if i could just pull up my notes here so the cover boy of the everything report this week was tyler shuck uh ryan heath you know you heard it a couple of days ago he is the 2015 blake bordels uh but with a much better

play caller. Over his last 10 starts, he averages 19.9 fantasy points per game. It's like QB7-ish, 42 dropbacks per game. That's QB-3-ish. He's the team's goal line back, seven of 13 of the team's team rushing attempts inside the five. He leads all quarterbacks and hero throw rate, which really kind of plays into that poor man's Josh Allen comparison made by the Ravens defensive coordinator the saints lead the league and pace of play uh ryan heath grand barfield both saying this is like a top 10 quarterback moving forward to me is rich man's bow nix who you know has a guy who hasn't been playing quarterback all that well but uh just on play volume and an opportunity as has been like a low end qb one really solidly uh and chris is even more bullish he hasn't as a top five

quarterback this week. So Tyler Shuck, you know, another, another guy who's running laps around the Exodian quarterback, hate to see it. And then downstream from that is like, not only has he been a great fantasy quarterback, but he's been able to support multiple pass catchers. It's not just Chris Olavé, who over his nine games since the Rashid Shaheed trade last year, averages 21.3 fantasy points per game, 20.4 XFP per game. 3.6 yards per route run. Those are all top five numbers over this span. And then Devon Vili,

sort of the same thing. He leaves all players and routes run. So again, it ties back to play volume. But over his last five games, and keep in mind, he left one of those games at half time. He averages 14.7 fantasy points per game, 67 yards per game. Those are all top 15, fringe top 15,

to be fair, numbers. So, you know, Chris might be. even a little too low on Devon Veeley, that's yet another start for you. And then Joanne Johnson is, you know, on the fence, tight end 12. He, you know, he hasn't been

killing it, but he's technically top eight in fantasy points per game, top eight and XFP per game. Top three in Routes run, which is really one of the most important stats for tight ends. Yeah, and can we talk about the Raiders? Like, they've played two Ponzi schemes

so far this year. So I think the defense is looking crispy. But you've played, you know, Mike McDaniel, you've played Bobby Sloick. I think there's, there's room to grow here. And I don't think this defense is going to hold up quite like this for the whole season. Yeah,

well, that's the thing. Keep in mind, like strength of schedule is always massive, and it's especially massive with only a two-game sample size. But these were two really interesting stats I had on this overall matchup rep. The Saints defense ranks dead last in successory. They're the worst defense in the league.

success rate. That blew my mind. And then on the opposite side of the ball, the Raiders defense very quietly ranks best in EPA per play aloud, best in EPA per run, second best and quick pressure rate. That's a Max Crosby stat. You know, they face the chargers. They face the dolphins, but still pretty impressive. That is impressive. I really like Joanne Johnson. So I wanted to ask you this. This is what I want, where I wanted to get. We're projecting him tight on 12. So as you see on the fence because he's not a clear tied-on one but who do you like him who do who do do you like more Isaiah likely or Joanne Johnson like for this week you like likely more by far really yeah dude Malik neighbors is a decoy out there they have nowhere else for the ball to go

he's looked awesome like you said and you were a hater james winston typically just yolo ball airs it out lots of right touchable air yards lots of I say likely doesn't run routes down the field brother hey I mean well then he's still the checkdown it's just you And they're down Andrew Thomas at left tackle. He's not a blocking tight end, though. Yeah. You realize losing a star left tackle, though, is generally bad? Like, the offensive production goes down when that happens.

James Winston averages like 50 pass attempts per game throughout his career. I know it's hardball and it's a different coach, but I just like just projecting out volume. Joanne or Brock Bowers? Brock Bowers. Okay. I like Juan better than both of those guys. Well, then playing in the DFS this week. Okay, I will.

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Do I have to do every... thing myself. You want to want. I'll give you a mobland. New season is now streaming on Paramount Plus. All right, let's move on to the Sunday night game. We've got the Los Angeles Rams traveling to Denver,

Mile High Stadium. The Rams are favored on the road against, you know, a team that was a couple of plays away from the Super Bowl last year. The over under is 44 and a half. So not a huge point total in this game. I guess a big question for me is, Is Puka going to be back?

How are you feeling about that? And then let's get into the schematics of it. It doesn't sound like Puka's going to be back. You know, I made this show sheet yesterday. I wonder if the updated projections actually have Puka out. In which case, like, Devante Adams is going to jump from wide receiver 21 to like, what, wide receiver two? Wide receiver one.

Is he really? I mean, I'm guessing. I can pull up the projections, see if we have it updated. Man, that's wild. Do you disagree? Look at how valuable that role was. He just had nearly a career high in receiving yards for a Hall of Famer.

Yes, but we wouldn't project him to them have a career high. The math and Stafford, Sean NickVeigh, wide receiver one is like, bro, you have Amonrae versus the Jets, you have JSN versus the commanders, you have CD versus Baltimore. The thing, I don't know.

Denver still has Patrick Sertain, man. I don't know. I think they're well equipped to, limit this this rams passing attack if there's no puka nakua you know patrick sartain is a fair point i will say devante adams historically has been one of the most uh the least shadow sensitive cornerbacks at wide receivers in the game he he's he's he's i know certane is on a different level but he he's always gotten the better of almost every cornerback he's faced and the rams

can do some interesting things to kind of move him to the slot or you know Get mismatches, right? Right? They can. They'll probably just live in 12 and 13, though, and have him go ISO up. All right. So then maybe it's a huge game for Terrence Ferguson again, because he had what, nine targets last week?

He did really well. If it's no puka and we're projecting the certain shadow on Adams, yeah, I think Ferguson's definitely a play. We'd at least probably get him to what, tight end 13, 14, something like that. Probably higher than that, honestly, probably tight end nine. nine. Nine targets, six catches, 54 yards, and a touchdown. He was the clear number two receiver by a lot. Like he had nine, I don't know that anyone else had more than like two.

Okay, so in this hypothetical, that actually looks like it's true. It doesn't seem like Pooka's going to play. It does seem like Adams will catch a certain shadow. Would you like Ferguson more than Isaiah likely? I don't know. What about Tyler Warren? Colts are broken, dude. I don't know.

I don't know. Sorry. Yeah, probably. What about Joanne Johnson? What's going on with Tyler Warren? Jeff Mueller was tweeting about it. He wonders if there's an injury. I don't think that's the case, but.

Well, Daniel Jones looks awful. Daniel Jones looks awful. Yeah. Yeah, I mean. Well, he's coming back from a serious injury. Yeah, I know. He doesn't look like he's ready to play. He can't move in the pocket.

Last one, Juan Johnson or Ferguson in this hypothetical. Ferguson. Okay, so she's a tied-on one for you then, clearly. Yeah, that's what I said. All right. I like that. Look at Kyron Williams there. He's now on the fence, which just like speaks to us saying he's a sell high.

It's just like as awesome as the Rams offense is, it's just like so tough when you're in a 55-45-45 split backfield. And you're going to get matchups like this, tough matchups against the Broncos where it's, you know, fringe RB2 at best. It's, you know what's tough for me though? Dude, they got annihilated. It's funny because you always say I'm well studied or well read, but then you call me illiterate. Well, you're well audio booked. You're well listened. Yeah.

For the folks at home we don't know is like Brett is like a film savant. It's like it's like Ray Charles being being blind and like but but hearing like so acutely. Brett can't read, but he's excellent with film study. I hate you. Anakin Skywalker voice, I hate you. Oh, you don't like Star Wars. I can't use that reference. Anyways, here's what.

So I got shit on for making fun of you for being a Star Wars nerd when I built my whole brand of the Yu-Gi-O remember. But like here's the thing is like you're, you're in your 30s. Like there is no excuse for a 30-year-old to be a Star Wars nerd because the only good Star Wars media to ever come out was from like the 1970s. So like you're left with like the new Anakin. Star Wars, which were awful. And then like the woke Disney Star Wars, which I never watched, but we're supposedly awful.

So it's like first of all, first of all, the the prequel trilogy with Anakin Skywalker is It's fantastic. Big Jar Jar Jarre Binks fan over here. Dang, that's a bird right there. Let's hear your Jarger Bing's impression. I'm a hundred percent not going to do that least. You keep promising it. Yeah, whatever.

I think Jar Jarbrink's is the Jamaican Trump. Anyways, by the, I have two older brothers, okay? 16 and 12 years older than me. Return of the Jedi was released in 1983, homie. I was born in 1987. My brothers, you know, they brainwashed me early to be a Star Wars guy because they grew up with it. And so that's why I'm a Star Wars fan. So that's good.

Yeah. Anyways, the point I've been wanting to make about the Rams running backs, Kyron Williams and Blake Quorum. the Denver Broncos defense has been awful against the run. I mean, Kenneth Walker annihilated them in week one. And last week, the game script got away from Jackson, but they were running the ball effectively. I think Bachel Tootin had 65 yards, like,

early into the third quarter and then just couldn't run the ball anymore because of game script. That was the question I was going to ask you. Like, is Denver's run defense really bad? Because we know their past defense is going to be amazing. Yes. Because they have Patrick's certain. So no matter what, it's an amazing past defense. But if the run defense is even just below average, that makes it awful because teams are just going to avoid the pass, hit the run.

And so for two weeks, we had Bejel Tootin hit 5.0 yards per carry. We had Kenneth Walker 7.5 yards per carry with like 20 miss tackles force. One of the most in fantasy points data history is Denver's run defense bad? Yes. Okay. Then Kyron should be much higher because the Rams and, probably the past catchers lower because the Rams running game is amazing. Last year,

Blake Corum and Kyron Williams both ranked top three in success rate. This year, Blake Corum and Kyron Williams both ranked top three in success rate. So this could be a game where both guys get easily over a dozen carries each. Yeah, totally agree with you. That's why I wanted to bring it up. I'm higher on both these guys. So, and I think Denver,

and if we're getting this certain, Devante Adams misman or shadow. They're going to rely on the run game. We've seen the Rams do this. They can be very run aggressive at times. So all right. Let's hit Denver real quick. We have Waddle as a start.

You have to start him, I think, just because last week was so good. Bro, I feel great about Waddle. Do you? Trent McDuffie doesn't scare you? I don't know, man. I think the only thing that could stop him is what we saw in week one, which was what, brackets and class. coverage intentionally designed to to stop him.

Shula's got that in his bag, brother. Is that right? Yeah. I mean, I'm not necessarily saying that's what will happen, but like he's definitely got that in his bag. I think they leave Trent McDuffie on him and then I trust Sean Peyton and company to scheme him up. Okay. I'm looking through.

Bro, he had a 33% target share, 55% of the air yards, eight catches 138 yards last week. Yeah, I mean, that's what Waddle's a must start, no doubt. I'm just like, I'm kind of tempering expectations a little bit. Yeah. Sutton actually might have a better matchup. Bro, yeah. Well, that's the thing is he definitely does have the better matchup, but he's still barely.

He's a fringe wide receiver three, but his role has been awful. Like I thought it would be even better than it's been. And 15% of the target, 17% of the air yards. If he doesn't get it done this week, he's, dropable, certainly in 10 team leagues. He's probably dropable today. And then the running back, ironically, J.K. Dobbins is the healthy guy.

We were talking about Jonah Coleman as an S-tier waiver ad. And now the most injury prone running back ever is, oh, actually, he's okay. But Jonah Coleman has an ankle sprain. Yeah, that's tragic. Corlin Sutton, by the way, he's only got nine targets on the air for a total of 36 yards so far. Not great. Yeah. So you like Waddle. We're midish on Sutton, but you're you're sitting J.K. Dobbins, just the run defense too good on the ramp side. Yeah, I'll be, I'll be honest. That might be an outdated projection that might have had Jonah Coleman. So I'll tell you what we have right now.

No, while you're looking that up, I'll talk about Bo Nix for a second. Bo Nix is playing like trash. Yeah. And so it's really frustrating because so much of their offense is built. on design stuff, but even like, something I've always harped on him for is his ball location just isn't good. Even like what we call a catchable throw, it's like if it requires an adjustment from the receiver, that slows down the process. It slows down the transition from catch to run,

which limits yards after catch. It's just, it's a little frustrating to watch sometimes. Okay, do you have a projection? Yeah, man, I mean, he wasn't good last year either. No, or as a rookie. Yeah. I thought he was pretty good as a rookie. He ranked like bottom third of the NFL and catchable throw rate, accurate throw rate.

And then when you actually go even on more granular level and look at those ball location stuff, like unless he's on the move, he's not a very accurate quarterback. Did you pull the projection for JK? Yeah, we have a three-way committee here. We have Harvey Dobbins, Coleman, all in. I don't know what the injury docs look like. I'll find out when we do our projections meeting. But yeah, they're all sits.

They're all like low-end, RB-3s. best. We actually have Harvey a little bit higher, which I think ties into the game script here, projecting Broncos to trail in this game. Nice. Final game of the week, Monday night football, the Philadelphia Eagles travel to Chicago, the windy city. In a game where the Eagles are favored by five, and that's obviously because of the quarterback situation in Chicago. How sad is it that we have a Ben Johnson game with over under a 41 and a half? Yeah. That's painful, dude.

That is so painful. On the Eagle side, I think you feel great about Berkeley. Chicago's run defense is heinous. It's bad. It was terrible last year. It started this year really, really bad as well. We just saw Unk Aaron Jones just shred them in a rainy game on Sunday, like a rainy day game, you know, which typically the rain makes everything messy.

So Aaron Jones just shredded the Chicago defense, though. I think Barkley is more than competent. enough to get this going here for an Eagles team that's desperate to get the run game going. And then Devante Smith just looks unbelievable, truly unbelievable. I'm shocked that we don't have Don Tavian Wicks on this, though. What's up with that? Yeah, what is up with that? Scott.

Come on, Scott. Well, actually, you tell me what you think about Barclay. I'm going to look up. Wicks' projection. Actually, I just pulled it up. He's wide receiver 44. which is probably still a little too low. But that certainly puts him in play as a,

what the heck, flex start. I'm surprised Jalen Hertz is this low. Can we start there? Yeah, yeah, start there. You know, Chris, Chris is someone I've accused as a Giants fan, him as an Eagles fan, as being a little heavy-handed with the Eagles projections every now and then.

And so it really is jarring to me that he has Hertz QB-11 when I usually think he's too high on Hertz. Because maybe he's concerned that there's not enough pushback here from Case Keenham. But like that never really worries me too much with Jalen Hertz. If they have good starting field position, that means more red zone drives, which means more push touchdowns, rushing touchdowns. So like even if this is a blowout, this could be like a Jalen Hertz, I guess one or two rushing touchdowns game.

And in the first half, he has one or two passing touchdowns. So I actually like Jalen Hertz a little bit more than Chris does for the first time ever. Sequin Barclay working his way back from the injury. We kind of criticized the Eagles running game, and I think rightfully so. It looks like they built their offense around the past with their heavy 11 personnel. And so I don't know that the efficiency is going to be as good as it was certainly two years ago. And then also even the usage, there was a lot of talk about Sequin being more involved as a pass catcher this year, you're really not seeing

it. His route share is even worse, and it's actually really bad. So Saquan with a potential injury doc as well is just a mid-range RV2 despite this elite matchup. Where some see heroes and others see egos. Bloomberg sees the era of billionaire athletes. A fad to some, the future of money to others. We see crypto's trillions. dollar swings, the end of jobs, or the end of human struggle. We see the endless funds fueling the AI hype. While others follow the noise, we follow the money. Learn more at Bloomberg.com. Devontas Smith, no Dallas Goddard. Yeah, he's going to smash. After Goddard left last week, he had a 38% target share. He had a 50% yarded share. You've seen this before whenever Goddard.

Goddard and A.J. Brown were both out. Or in Goddard's instance, when Devanta and A.J. Brown were both out. It really all just kind of went through one guy. And then Devante, Don Tavian, Wicks, isn't on the screen, but he's a fringe, what the heck, Flex play. Yeah, Chicago's corners are awful, too. Yeah, well, there are two starters are both out, right? Are they?

Yeah. Which starters are you referring to? You're talking Kyler Gordon? No, Jalen Johnson's playing. They have rookie Malik Mohamed in the nickel. They've got Kim, sorry, Tyreek Stevenson, who's questionable. But Jalen Johnson's playing. I think you're thinking Kyler Gordon.

He's not been good anyways. Oh, yeah, I was thinking Kyler Gordon. I was thinking someone else, too. Kobe Bryant, their safety? Safety, yeah. He is out for the season, got hurt in the preseason. Yeah, I mean, they're beat up. I mean, you saw Jailen Koker absolutely go nuclear against them in week one.

And then I you know Jefferson would have had a much better game week too, but the rain was involved and Carson Wentz was involved. So bro, I feel like this is this is a Chris flexing on us because he was so low on Luther Burden Colston Loveland and Romo Dunezay when you know, ADP fantasy drafters best ball bros couldn't get enough of the bears. And he was just like even if you think the bears offense is incredible, there's no way for all these guys to hit. Honestly, all three of these guys are probably overvalued. And now you have Luther Burden disgusting sit. Romo Dunezay, dead. Colston Loveland, dead. D'Andre Swift, I actually think he's a little too low on.

Just because I trust Ben Johnson, even with Case Keenan that quarterback, quarterback to scheme, brilliant game planning, whatever. But it's also Kyle Menangays banged up. So I can see D'Andre Swift getting a little bit even more of the work. And he's also heavily involved in the past game. And then I think there's a world where like even if it is case Keenum Luther Burden could be nice like all it takes is just you know some screens scheme him up you know for he's the first read and so you don't have has it been

Bill Williams he has been no he hasn't been do we have to do this for the third time this week he's 13th in first read target share yeah and because he's being massively inflated by a two-minute drill drive to end that game yeah so we have a I and two-minute sample size of a quarterback not being Caleb Williams doing the smart thing and throwing it to their best player. Maybe Case Keenam, he's been in the league a long time. Seems like a smart guy. It does the same thing.

What are you going to do if Khalif Raymond has a big game again? I'm going to jump off a bridge, Brett. What do you think I'm going to do? What if Ben Johnson's just doing the install this week? He's just like, Case, listen, I know you're a vet, but we want to keep this simple. Just throw it to the guy who knows the offense. That's Khalie Freeman. I don't want to live in this reality, Brett.

This dystopian hellscape where Koliath Raymond is. On a curiosity, where are we projecting Kaleaf Raymond? Wide receiver 72. All right, good. Chris has no love. Chris has no love. But yeah, this is, what happens if Kohlson Loveland has like two catches again this week? Actually, that'd be an improvement and he hasn't had two catches.

Yeah. I mean, we're in dangerous. territory with these bears, man. Yeah. It's pretty wild, so. Schematicallyly, the Eagles have been run on a little bit. You know, susceptible to some zone runs. You know, Ben's going to mix it up with zone and gap stuff.

So I think Swift could have a decent day. Other than that, though, I think we're pretty straight up with this game. You good? Yep. All right. You want to get out of here? Sure. Cool.

That's week three start. sit we've gone through all 16 games if you missed the other 10 games that we didn't cover today it's because they're on yesterday's video silly go back and watch them if you're not currently subscribe to the youtube make sure you subscribe turn notifications on scott and i are doing this every single day winning you fantasy leagues i wanted to pick your brain on something i was just listening to a kevin clark's podcast kevin clark by the way like really special talent every time i've ever listened to something from him i've always come away like learning like five new things He's really smart and knowledgeable, but he was talking about, you know, one of the things that that makes Tom Brady great and like Kyle Shanhan grade is, like Tom Brady, like he would notice, let's say, like, a brutal mismatch. It's Rob Grancowski against this really slow linebacker. And you'd think he would just like target the crap out of Grankowski and just, you know, rack up touchdowns early. He wouldn't do that.

You'd save it for the big moment. save it for the fourth quarter and he would just have that in the back of his pocket the entire game and he would just only pull it out when he really needed it and then kyle shannon he was saying what he does is he will intentionally call plays that don't work just to figure out how the defense would react and respond to it and see if he can catch them off guard or if it reveal a key tendency i thought all that was really interesting but he was talking about the oregon quarterback, how he had to tell that apparently like different teams around the league knew about for like two years where defenses just knew exactly whether it was going to be a runner or a

pass just based on how his feet were positioned. Like he would kind of cheat into the run. And, you know, obviously that's like really hard to win games when your defense knows what they're doing. Like look at look at your biggest miss, right? J.J. McCarthy like he looked like an elite processor and it's like oh maybe just you know kind of a play call yeah um but uh i so he was talking about this and i was thinking about it too but it's like we're now living in the day an age of a i where it's like you know you feed all of your opponent's tape into an ai can your can your i just like perfectly pick out you know a player who might be giving away the play call it like because like that's what AI is right it's better at pattern matching than like any human

could be it can synthesize all this data at once and so it's that it's also like or you just have like AI processing from you know the booth that the play callers are in and it's like okay 97% certainty this is going to be a run you don't really know why but 97% certainty so i wonder if like in the day and age of AI now it's or like he can even just pick off like mismatches that maybe the coaches like haven't picked up on it's like it's like oh no this guy for you don't the coaches don't know it but you like the AI knows it is like hey he's he's been struggling to go to his right because he picked up an eye injury and he actually can't yeah he's his bad vision out of that eye and so like you target him there and it's like yeah so in the day and age of AI like

I wonder if upsets are going to be a little bit more prevalent. Like major, like, lopsided blowouts are going to be more significant. I don't know. It's just something, you know, I was thinking about it. I don't know if you have a take here, but. The tendency stuff, too, you talked about it with Kyle.

One thing, like, Ben Johnson always gets accused of is purposely breaking, like, he won't allow the defense to pick up on a tendency. So he'll, like, he'll weave no matter what. Even if something's working, he'll purposely, do something that's potentially bad just so a defense can't pick up on it which is yeah the the roundabout path it's very Taoist i was listening to something else on um the best best strabble player in the

world who you know what separates him from everyone else is like he would make moves that like so like in chess like the AI is going to beat Magnus Carlson like 99 times at a 100 if not 100 times. But in Scrabble, this guy is actually better than the best AI. And so like instead of making what's viewed as like the optimal move that scores the most points, he will take fewer points to just like really screw over his opponent. And so yeah, it's kind of along that path. We will be back with our week three reactions Sunday night. We record that. It's out Monday morning. Thanks for sticking with us. We are out.

We're some see heroes and others see egos. Bloomberg sees the era of billionaire athletes. A fad to some, the future of money to others. We see crypto's trillion dollar swings. The end of jobs or the end of human struggle. We see the endless funds fueling the AI hype. While others follow the noise. We follow the money. Learn more at Bloomberg.com.