Fantasy Football Daily - Losing Your 2024 College Fantasy Football Draft Before You Start By Ignoring Team Schedules

Episode Date: May 28, 2024

On this episode of College Fantasy Football All Access, the guys discuss team schedules as we dive into teams you should avoid and others to target. As we move into Redraft season in CFF, we look into... how bye weeks affect different teams, specifically those with playoff bye weeks or three bye weeks throughout the season. Enjoy this livestream and take your game to the next level with CFF All Access. Make sure to follow us for more valuable college fantasy football content! NEW! Data Suite - https://data.fantasypoints.com #fantasypoints #cff #collegefantasyfootball #nfl #fantasyfootball #bestball #dynasty #dfs #nflbetting #FantasyFootballAdvice Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:02 What? What? What are you shaking your head? You're welcome. Fresh off a sandbar in the Colorado River. This is the CFF All Access podcast. And my gosh, do we have a pretty eventful Memorial Day going on, right? What do we like in the off season?
Starting point is 00:00:28 We like news bites. And what do we have from the SEC meetings? Apparently, according to Ross Dellinger, Greg Sanky spoke to a group in Desting. before SEC meetings began on Tuesday and said that the SEC will be holding conversations this week about the possible implementation of college athlete availability reports leading up to games. Now, us in the college fantasy football community, this is one of the great white whales of our entire existence. We've been waiting for, it's almost comical how many times we have begged for college injury reports.
Starting point is 00:01:07 but with this becoming, pretty much it's a professional sport now. Here we are. They've agreed to the revenue sharing. This is happening, at least in the big conferences, the P4. And with the power two, with SEC leading the way potentially, if they enact this, I think we see the Big Ten follow suit almost immediately. Any thoughts on this? Amazing development potential.
Starting point is 00:01:32 Well, okay. Well, clarification question. And this just came out. So I haven't read anything extensively on it. Wouldn't this be the same thing as what the Big Ten did this past year? Because they had availability report. They had available to report. Was it, was it?
Starting point is 00:01:48 Universal? Every team. Yep. Every team released them two hours before or something like that. Phenomenal. Well, then that would be them falling in line. Gosh, I'd forgotten about that. It's the offseason.
Starting point is 00:02:00 Here we are. Does that trickle down to the Big 12? and the ACC. I would think so. I mean, I think they would have to follow suit, considering, you know, whatever, more than two-thirds of the G5 eventually, our P-4 is going to be in the big tenant SEC anyways.
Starting point is 00:02:21 This is great precedent for the future of the sport. I definitely think from a P-4 perspective, we see all of them follow suit at some point. So this is awesome, man. Good news. I didn't realize that until you brought it up tonight, Eric. Yeah, well, it's, it's, the press is just only came out two hours ago according to that tweet so the fact that's even on
Starting point is 00:02:39 the table i mean that's a pretty big deal hopefully as the other meetings come through for each additional conference uh you know that that becomes an issue with college fantasy i mean the importance cannot be understated obviously because most leagues i think right now have that the kill switch option of the auto sub so at least we have the autoe's auto-suff possibilities, but there are circumstances where you would like to know somewhat ahead of time about what's happening because you would, you know, make decisions based off of that and maybe not play somebody. When it comes to college football player props, I'm interested how you feel about this Mike, right? Because I've been kicking this around a little. And there are some drawbacks because I feel like if you do the extra work and if we're out there scouring the message boards, you know, which we tend to do. and try to at least see what's happening according to B-Reporters.
Starting point is 00:03:38 Though, I mean, God, we all know we've had our problem with beat reporters, not divulging information until after kickoff. But with this coming out, it standardized everything. And as soon as they come on, I would think this is going to be shifting props markets dramatically as soon as we get these. Shifting or eliminating some players from the board entirely. Because just from my, just off-the-cuff example, Just think of the bowl game last year, which we, between UCLA and Boise State, right?
Starting point is 00:04:10 And there's the reports that are coming out that Ethan Garber's is working with the twos, right? And that was reported by, you know, the beat writers. And that was all over Twitter, but obviously Fanjul is not really, you know, they're not scouring Twitter for that news. But like, you have this availability report where it's going to specifically state that Ethan Garberus is questionable. He's going to get removed from the board immediately, where, you know, we had time in that span to, to attack his prop and hit the under. So just, you know, from a college fantasy aspect, all for it, right? We want the injury reports.
Starting point is 00:04:49 But I can see where this could be, you know, not so great news for us and the college player props. God forbidding, God forbidding, we still have them this season. We'll still have them. I'm pretty sure, especially after this, I mean, I would be pretty. surprised. And peer-to-peer gaming have been taking steps to try to protect that market because if they don't offer it, something onshore at all, even if it's, you know, the prize picks or the underdogs, if they aren't offering it, then the offshore markets are going to find a way to have it. And it'll be the case of do you want that revenue. We'll see how that all goes.
Starting point is 00:05:22 You know, I do think we have a long way to go in that department, but I completely agree. I loved how the one of the top comments under that, that Ross Delinger report was, this news is brought to you by Fandule. Yeah. That's where this is heading. Right, exactly. I mean, hypocrisy. They'll take the money, won't they?
Starting point is 00:05:43 All the schools, they'll all take the money. But God forbid if we try to actually try to enjoy ourselves on a Saturday, of course. But, you know, Nanny State's going to Nanny. I agree, though, you know, to it's tied up before we go and move on. We're able to find edges. Those edges are important. Now, we'll still be able to kind of. get that information earlier in the week.
Starting point is 00:06:06 You know, it's just, and most of our betting that we're doing anyways is going to be on Thursdays, Fridays, you know, upon open, you know, typically on those Tuesdays, Wednesdays. So those markets, I mean, they can't be affected at all. We're talking about two hours up to game time. But, you know, edges or edges. And if something comes out, it's going to kind of standardize it to the point where the books will probably even hold off some of the closer offerings until you get that injury report.
Starting point is 00:06:33 So we will see how that all transpires. We'll see how the meetings go and then how it cascades down to the rest of the P4, but probably won't bleed on the P5. But that's where we're out on that front. And we're approaching our very first break. I will try not to get too excited about it. All right, Josh, don't you take us? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:06:53 Well, tonight, we are talking about 24 team schedules. And so, man, why do schedules matter in CFF? You know, honestly, in the NFL, I think so much of what we do is, sorry, I think Proton is in this comment, Jesus Proton, you're trying to get women in their mid-forties to do it in. Guys, I literally have to be honest. I wanted you guys know. I rolled into my house and sat down, plugged in, and we taped. I'm right off the Carrot River.
Starting point is 00:07:27 I've been basically on a sandbar for three days. I haven't showered. I've done it. I'm here and I am ready. So that is a, that counts for the gun show. I didn't have time to take it off the shirt. I just came in and I just went with it. So sorry, guys.
Starting point is 00:07:42 That's amazing. Man. Thanks, man. Sorry, I saw your reaction fron and I had to just. What am I? That's funny. Sorry. Oh, all right.
Starting point is 00:07:53 Back to the regularly scheduled program. Yeah. Team schedules. You know, honestly, in the NFL, I think there's so much parody that the schedule, the disparity, and the opponents isn't that great. But in college, man, that can be huge, particularly when we're talking about out-of-conference schedules, that's a major, like, plus for P4 teams and then for G5 teams, man, like the Mac, like, because of money, like, they have to schedule some pretty big, big 10 opponents, and that
Starting point is 00:08:18 can really hurt them and, you know, can really make the difference in winning a week or losing a week or just benching a player and where you might draft them. So stuff like schedules is a big deal, you know, playoff. buys this year. We got teams with three buys during the entire season. We have over 30 teams that have a playoff buy in week 12 or week 13. We have an extra week this year and this season. It's like one of those odd years where every team has two buys. So there's all sorts of reasons why in 2024 schedules matter. I want to ask you guys before we get into a deeper discussion here, how do you guys factor in schedules when you're drafting, particularly in redraft, right? We do a lot of
Starting point is 00:08:59 best balls and schedules to me don't matter as much there as maybe lining up some by weeks but that's about it but in redraft schedules matter to me do they matter to you guys and how do they matter yeah yeah um for sure one thing that i do um with with my guys if i have a lot of guys in a similar group similar ranking or a tier um schedule can play a big part in that so for example like preston stone right i'm pretty high on him this year year as far as what he can do, but he's kind of in that mid-teens to late teens for me. And he's a guy that when you look at his schedule, he's got the three buys and they're moving to the ACC, which isn't necessarily a gauntlet, but it's definitely, he's going to face some tougher
Starting point is 00:09:46 defenses this coming year. So he's a guy that he might fall more towards the back of that group that he would be in, and maybe the front if his schedule fell a little bit differently. So I definitely factored in that way. Playoffs, I'll look at playoffs a little bit, mostly for the top tier guys, though. I don't pay too much attention to playoffs for anything outside of those top two to three tiers, just because in a redraft, I mean, if you guys have or anything like me,
Starting point is 00:10:15 half of your rosters, you know, turned over by the time you get to playoff time. So it's just really trying to identify those top tier guys that have a really favorable playoff matchup and try and get a lot of shares of those guys is really how I'm trying to approach it. And the last thing I look at a lot is what does their schedule look like compared to last year and how do they do versus that schedule? So if these guys have a lot tougher schedule than they did last year and they struggled last year, you know, I factor that in as well. So those are just a couple things that I definitely use the schedules for.
Starting point is 00:10:49 That's good. What about you, Mike? I kind of disagree with you, Josh, in a little bit. I definitely pay attention to schedules more so in best balls than a redraft. But for redraft, I think it would depend on the league, right? If there's unlimited waivers, then I really couldn't care less about the schedule, to be honest, in a redraft. But if you have restricted, you know, transactions, then I think it's a definite factor to look at.
Starting point is 00:11:18 obviously I am keen on the playoff schedules because, you know, expect to be in the playoffs in most of my leagues. But, you know, I think, and then just the one thing I've added, and I've touched on it in a previous show, like for best falls, I definitely, in particular the quarterback position, definitely pay attention to, you know, those early season schedules because, and just to give an example, like a Garrett Green, he plays Penn State Week 1. So you're obviously going to try and want to pair him up with somebody like a Jackson Arnold who plays Temple versus maybe, you know, you don't want to have Tommy Cassiano's being your QB2 when he plays Florida State Week 1. So then you're kind of screwed in that first week. So just kind of aligning schedules with different players, particularly in Bells is where I'm at. Real quick on. Oh, yeah, go ahead. Sorry, go for a attack.
Starting point is 00:12:13 I was going to say real quick on that point. I used that logic a lot last year for our chance. champions draft just lining up when I would take guys and find their their holes, their buys, they're tough and try and match up a guy. So that that's definitely a strategy I use in best ball is lining up those schedules with players. In particular, probably like for QB again, using QB as example. If you're punting QB late, right, you're obviously not going to have those high-end
Starting point is 00:12:39 quarterbacks. You're going to get you 20, 25, you know, 30 points consistently per week where you really need to, if you're punting, with QBs, you need to have those schedules lined up. So if this guy is facing a tougher opponent, then your backup is obviously facing a lesser opponent. Yeah, I play in a kind of a modified, almost bestball league. It's not best ball.
Starting point is 00:13:03 Obviously, there's lineup decisions, but there's no transaction. So we do 45 rounds, 45 spots, and that's your roster to work with for the entire season, with the exception of you can trade up until week four. So I've been sort of conditioned. That's been my longtime home league forever. I've been conditioned because of that to make sure that every player I'm looking at, I at least have my buys in order.
Starting point is 00:13:31 Some guys are going to get hurt. There's going to be depth charge moving up and down. But if I can at least square it all and put it together, I feel like I can be, you know, I'm going to be in good shape. and I'm going to be not have to be looking at the trade market as a lifeline and say, oh, my gosh, you know, I only have two defenses this week or I only have three wide receivers. I could use somebody to make sure I get in one of those spots. It becomes really important.
Starting point is 00:14:01 So I do think that you have to pay attention. And you have to be aware of which teams, again, are moving up, which teams are, you know, have better schedule. lap down all around. I'm with you. This is an exciting show, and I can't wait to see who you guys like and don't. Yeah. No, it's going to be a fun show.
Starting point is 00:14:22 Hey, Zach, Zach created a really cool spreadsheet that all of us used, really as a source for looking at these teams and their schedules and all that. And so, Zach, you put a bunch of work into this thing. So I wanted you to give us some general observations
Starting point is 00:14:36 on team schedules this year and kind of what sticks out kind of from a, you know, a meta perspective, overarching perspective on schedules. Yeah, so really the first thing that pops out, so I went through and tried to develop kind of our own fantasy strength of schedule,
Starting point is 00:14:53 the strength of defense that these teams are going to be playing and use that to kind of guide some of this. And the big 10, which this shouldn't be much of a surprise, but they definitely have the toughest schedules when it comes to facing defenses. They had nine of the top 10 in that. strength of schedule. So the Big Ten is just going to be tough this year. AAC and Mountain West, some of the easiest schedules. No surprise there, I don't think, for any of us, but those teams
Starting point is 00:15:23 really fell down towards the bottom of this list. Something else that I think we all know and we've talked about, but the teams that moved conferences, right, USC, UCLA, Washington, Oregon, Texas, Oklahoma, and SMU specifically schedules are a lot tougher this coming year than what they've seen in the past. So I think we all expect that with those teams, but definitely something that popped up there. The team's moving from the PAC 12 to the Big 12th, not really much of a difference overall. It's pretty similar strength of schedule that they've seen. And then, of course, Washington State and Oregon State, those schedules got easier, specifically Washington State. It's a lot easier this coming here. So just something to keep in mind. We don't know a ton about
Starting point is 00:16:05 that team right now as far as who's going to start. We have an idea, but something to keep in mind as we get closer to the season. Those guys have a really easy schedule coming up. Kind of touched on this too, but the non-con. So the max non-con is tough. A lot of those teams are playing at least two power four teams, and a lot of those teams are playing two Big Ten teams, or they're going Big Ten ACC.
Starting point is 00:16:35 So they really, their non-cons are up there right towards the top. of the strength of schedule. Those are going to be pretty tough games. And then I think you factor that in with the Mac is just so unpredictable, at least for me when I'm doing projections. It just seems like it's always hard to predict what those guys are going to do and add in sometimes those injury reports, right? We don't get good player info on those guys.
Starting point is 00:17:06 And as I kind of been going through this, you got the toughest non-con strength of schedule. they're not predictable within their conference. Those are guys that I'm noticing I'm kind of staying away from. Not all of them, there's guys that definitely have value, but it's just a little bit harder when you factor in some of the schedule stuff. But then one thing that really stuck out to me is the Mountain West has one of the easiest non-cons. So not only are they in a conference where the defenses haven't really been as good as what we've seen in the past,
Starting point is 00:17:36 they've started to kind of fall off, their non-cons aren't that tough either. I mean, there was maybe six or seven teams that play a power for a team. And most of the time, it's not a real top 10. I think the toughest defense anybody plays is Fresno. They play Michigan and UCLA. And then after that, it just drops off. New Mexico has Arizona and Auburn. CSU has Texas.
Starting point is 00:18:01 But overall, the Mountain West teams just are not playing that tough of a schedule outside of maybe one or two games. and then you have your conference games as well. And to me, I think that's going to be a conference where we see some really good CFF value just because of how that non-con kind of laid out for those teams this coming season. And that's really, those are the main things
Starting point is 00:18:23 that really stuck out to me as I was kind of working through a lot of the stuff. And I know we'll get into some of these teams a little bit deeper, but at a high level, that stuck out to me. Yeah, from a conference perspective, one of the things, and like you said, you're looking at the G5,
Starting point is 00:18:39 And one of the first things you're looking at is the top, the toughest schedules, and at the bottom that are the easiest. And then how they meet in the middle and cross. That's kind of where I like, all right, where is that intersection point? And my gosh, the Mac, you can't get away from some of these schedules. And, you know, as you were talking about Zach, about projecting them and how it makes it difficult to kind of figure out where these Mac teams land, they weren't scoring a lot of points. You know, in the previous pre-transfer portal era, you would see 35 points a game. Sean Lewis was at Kent State, you know, Toledo was more potent. You're seeing more defense because the better offensive players are just going,
Starting point is 00:19:23 transferring now. And it's, they're just pulling them up. And they're not replacing those players with commeserate players from the FCS level. So let me put it into perspective by what I mean, with just the vast differences between the G5 schedules this year. Zach touched on it. The Mac. We're going to go with number 47th ranked schedule is Miami, Ohio.
Starting point is 00:19:49 Number 48th is Kent State. Number 49. Ole Miss. Number 50. Missouri. Number 51, Akron. I mean, if that doesn't kind of illustrate what we're dealing with and how hard it's going to be to really, you're going to have to.
Starting point is 00:20:06 to make sure that your investments in the Mac, one, pay attention to their schedule and their by week because they're going to be loaded. Those first four weeks are going to be a nightmare. They're going to be almost unusable for most of those weeks because they're all paycheck games. So that has to be accounted for. And then on the same side, man, I couldn't believe the AAC looking at their schedule strengths. A lot of those bottom 10 to 25 schedules are AAC. I mean, number 1, 34, according to our schedule matrix, is Tulsa. And we already talked about Camden Benjamin. You know, we got COBRA Lagos going over there.
Starting point is 00:20:43 They don't not want to score points. That's always been one of the better AAC teams. And with SMU kicking up, with UCF already gone, Cincinnati already gone, like, it's like a new look, CUSA almost. It's like a juiced CUSA. And then CUSA is just pulling up from the FCS. So the fact, the AAC, You know, you got Tulsa, Florida, Atlantic, East Carolina, all have three of the top 10 easiest schedules.
Starting point is 00:21:13 That's certainly something I'm going to be factor in and pay a closer attention than those teams because all three of them, as we're talking about, they're fairly, you know, teams that want to score points. And in that conference, I feel like they can. Yeah, that's a great point. One of the surprises from me a little bit was how bad the Sunbelt conference was. I mean, they were, as far as the easiest schedules go, I think you had like five of the bottom seven. So the easiest schedules were all from the Sunbelt, including like you got a team like JMU, you know,
Starting point is 00:21:45 coastal Carolina, South Alabama, Texas State. I mean, these are teams that we're all drafting players pretty high from or they're teams like South Alabama has Gio Lopez that we all think he's a pretty good value where he's going or he could be a really good quarterback potentially. So it's interesting to me, like there was some conferences like the Sunbelt that I was like, man, that's, I thought it was a better defensive conference coming off of last year. It feels like, man, there's a lot of opportunity there to see some explosive offenses. Yeah. And you mentioned the D too, James Madison.
Starting point is 00:22:19 James Madison and Troy were phenomenal defenses last year. But again, you know, we kind of kind of look at this and say, all right, well, they're playing each other. And that can kind of account for that where the strength is just. the strength of each teams. But I feel like just the talent pool in general in the SBC, just much better. I mean, it's just a lot better than the CUSA and the Mac, in my opinion. And you get better games out of it. So, you know, I guess it's all perspective.
Starting point is 00:22:46 We'll see how the games play out. But I'm excited about talking about our favorite and least favorites. Yeah, for sure. Any closing thoughts, Mike, on this general observations? No, I was just looking back. And we were talking about the Mac and all the. the talent that's transferring out. In 2022, they had
Starting point is 00:23:05 six teams average 27 points per game or more, and it was just one last year. It's kind of depressing. I love the, obviously I'm from the area, but I love it. What has happened to our Mac? We used to love the Mac.
Starting point is 00:23:20 We used to be a honeyhole. Jordan Lynch, like one of the greatest college fantasy players of all time. And so you're, man, it's sad. Yeah. I mean, it is crazy.
Starting point is 00:23:30 It really is. I remember even five years ago, like the, like I put so much stock into just knowing G5 teams and just killing it in that area and be able to find advantages with NIL and, you know, papers essentially be locking down content where you just can't, it's all behind paywalls or just firing their B-writers.
Starting point is 00:23:54 It's like so hard to depend on G5 schools, you know, to find these edges because as soon as you get, edge, Colin Lacey goes to the ACC or, you know, whatever, you know. And then you're like, you know, they could be good. They could be not at that level. It's just harder. It's like figuring out whether a college player is going to be good in the NFL.
Starting point is 00:24:15 It's a whole different deal. So it's hard. Hey, we're going to get into teams to avoid and teams that we want to target here in a minute. But we're going to take a quick break. And then we come back. We'll start with our first team to avoid. All right. we are starting out with our first team to avoid.
Starting point is 00:24:33 I am up. I picked Minnesota in a low-key. Who I really wanted to pick, but I was going to leave it for Proton, and he just didn't bite, was USC. Moving over there to the Big Ten. I mean, their schedule is incredibly difficult this year,
Starting point is 00:24:52 and we already talked about their, you know, just the problems that they're, I think, potentially had in the spring game, or how they're going to spread the ball around. But I ended up going with Minnesota, another fellow Big Ten team. And the reason for that is that their schedule to me is just unbelievably hard. Eight of the 12 opponents are in the top 40 as far as strength of schedule. Their non-conference strength of schedule is actually 115.
Starting point is 00:25:19 And so they start off the year actually pretty easy where they face, let me see here. I think they face UNC and then they go FCS and they go Nevada. And then after that, eight of their last nine opponents are all top 40. Their conference strength of schedule is fourth in the nation. And that includes facing a USC team that's ranked 104th overall as far as their defense. So you're talking about the other seven conference games are just brutally hard. Their playoff opponents, they have actually a buy the first week of the playoffs. If you play it, you know, this week, this year there's playoffs are weeks 12 through
Starting point is 00:25:59 14 because there's an extra week. And in week 12, the first week of traditional playoffs, they have a buy week. And then they're week 13 and week 14 opponent are Penn State, rank number three. And then Wisconsin rank number 10. Really, you know, Minnesota, you got Daniel Jackson as a player that you could pick later in drafts. But there's not a lot of players that you're picking up from Minnesota right now that we're seeing go. But there is one going very high in drafts. And that's Darius Taylor, who I love.
Starting point is 00:26:29 He was a guy that I was on last year. It was a sleeper for me. But this guy this year has first round ADP. And so that to me is just super high for a team that has a really, really tough schedule. So I want to ask you guys this about Darius Taylor. Are you guys avoiding him just completely at his current ADP? Or is he a guy that you would potentially draft early, you know, play him for those first three weeks? he's going to get 30, 35 carries a game because that's what they do, even against
Starting point is 00:27:02 Bowling Green last year, and then try to trade them? Or what are you guys doing with Darius Taylor this year? I like Darius Taylor. I mean, in terms of the situation, you know, we know what Minnesota wants to do. And it's funny, I actually had an interaction at the combine where I sat with a former Minnesota offensive coordinator for like five hours and talked all of them the whole time. And his comment to me was, well, if I was like, well, how was it being an offensive, you know, being around Minnesota? He's like, well, if you like running power, 25 times, you know, all game long, then yeah, that's the place for you.
Starting point is 00:27:45 If you're an offensive court, you're just happy to do the meat and potato stuff, then great. Well, that's what PJ Fogg wants to do is the meat and potatoes. Yeah. Obviously, Aethon Calli Ackman, it is the, the quinquents. essential addition by subtraction sending him packing on his way. So I do think that that could at least help where my gosh, he was, he was an eyesore to watch. It's just a just no accuracy or timing on his passes. So they're going to have to throw, they're going to have to run. So I'm okay with Darius Taylor just because you know the volume is there and volume is like half
Starting point is 00:28:23 the problem in NC, in CFF. So I'm okay with Darius Taylor. But as stated, with the way that the regional, everything has been opened up in terms of conferences, there's no more west, east, north, south, whatever you want to call it. It hurts those teams that were on the other side of the Big Ten from Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, because now, hey, guess what? You're all together. In some years, you're going to get screwed. And here you are, Minnesota, you know, dealing with it. So I'm not fading, I'm not fading Darius Taylor. I do think he still belongs in that top 10 running backs.
Starting point is 00:29:05 You know, I feel comfortable about that. But at the same time, it doesn't help Daniel Jackson, who was their obvious Belcal receiver and got almost every pass last year. He's pretty much the only guy that could depend on. But I think it, you know, it hurts him and it hurts the projection for any ancillary guys where Minnesota used to be a place where you'd get a tight end. Maybe you can get a received like a Rashad Bateman type. I mean, you used to have some pretty dynamic receivers.
Starting point is 00:29:31 Otman Bell. That ain't the case anymore. To me it wasn't the schedule. It was that, I mean, and I don't disagree. The schedule is obviously incredibly tough. But, you know, Darius Taylor played in six games last year due to injury. I think it gets injured again during the spring. So, I mean, you know, I,
Starting point is 00:29:53 I'm cautious to designate anybody injury prone, but obviously that, you know, getting injured multiple times in that time span probably isn't the best for your overall outlook. You know, and you're just kind of reading it up on Minnesota. And it's just like the writers kind of keep mentioning like, oh, did these coaches learn their lesson from last year of, you know, avoiding. And then not just last year, what, two, three years ago with Mo Ibrahim, right? He had the, he blew out his, what, knee or, you know, foot or whatever. Achilles. Yeah, I mean, he obviously came back from that and scorched everybody with, you know, 35 carries a game. But you keep reading, like, are these coaches going to learn their lesson?
Starting point is 00:30:42 And, you know, maybe they have by bringing in Bangorra from Ohio or in Marcus Major from Oklahoma. They added in Jaron Magum from Michigan State. So I don't know. To me, it's more just the options now that they have in the backfield, plus the potential injury concerns there with Darius Taylor. So I haven't drafted them, but I understand it's, I mean, you're realistically, you're looking at RB1 upside with Darius Taylor. So I don't have any issue with going in the first round.
Starting point is 00:31:15 Yeah. What about you, Zach? Yeah. You know, I don't have any issues with it either. There are some other guys around that same time or that maybe you can get a little bit later in that round two, late round three that I like maybe a little bit better
Starting point is 00:31:30 just because a guy like, you know, like Devin Neal, right? I guess he's going a little bit earlier, but he's got a pretty nice schedule there. So there's just some guys that are going in that same time frame or that you can wait around later. And I like that. I still think Taylor's going to be a good pick. but to all the points we've made, you know, I just think if you can get, you can grab a top receiver at that same spot and get another running back, you know, in the next round.
Starting point is 00:32:01 I probably like that a little bit better for me. Yeah, and you know, I'm a big pie guy. I like the offense. Is they going to score a lot of points too? 20 points a game last year, Minnesota? Tough. 124th in pace. Again, you know, here we are.
Starting point is 00:32:17 So, you know, there's definitely some merit to where you think. There we go. All right. The next up team we have, I believe it's Georgia Tech. Mike, you want to take it from here? Yeah, I'm not going to, I mean, this one's kind of been discussed, you know, on other shows and multiple times throughout the offseason college fantasy analysts. So I'm not going to beat a dead horse here, too.
Starting point is 00:32:40 But, like, this schedule is obviously super tough. And it's really backloaded, right? You got, I know they got Notre Dame at home, you got Miami, NC State, and then the finale with Georgia. But then there are some other caveats that kind of go into their schedule as well. You have the traditional week 12 by week, or I'm sorry, the traditional week 12 start of the college fantasy playoffs. Georgia Tech is a week 12 by. and then you kind of look at the start of their at the start of their schedule they got florida state in week zero meaning they have three by weeks that florida state game is in ireland so there's put
Starting point is 00:33:24 in week two they come back to the states face georgia state obviously we expect them to win that game but deal with potential jet lag coming back from ireland um and then after that in week three they face VMI, you know, depending on the league that you're in, that's a FCS team that you're, that Georgia Tech faces. Does your, does your league have a penalty deduction for facing FCS team? So in addition to just the strength of their schedule, there's obvious factors at the beginning with the potential, you know, coming back from Ireland, the potential point deduction. That it's just a lot. And I don't know, I personally, and I don't know where you guys stand, but I've been a avoiding Georgia Tech players this year just because I don't know how likely it is that they replicate
Starting point is 00:34:15 what they did last year. Yeah, Froton, you know, I feel like you've taken Eric Singleton a little bit. Is that true in our championship series? Why don't you talk a little bit about why you've decided, I mean, because you know what the schedule is like, but you've decided to take some shots on him. What do you like about him? Well, you got the triple, when it comes to Georgia Tech, you know, it will start there. You got the triple by as a schedule. which is a major factor. Week one, they're playing Florida State, or should be week zero.
Starting point is 00:34:46 So you actually kind of get that game out of the way. But I feel like, you know, there are some factors here that do act as counterbalances to the schedule. One, 82.4% of their offensive production is returning. That is the seventh most returning production on the offensive side in the nation. They have four of five offensive linemen back, and then they got a pretty good transfer in Keelan Rutledge to go over there and play right guard, which if you're going to need an offensive lineman, bring in a right guard. And as stated, I also like Jamal Haynes, who has dual running back, wide receiver eligibility on fan tracks. I don't know how much that stays or if that will be augmented, but look, I mean, everybody loves dual eligibility. We talked about Toledo, how they're running back.
Starting point is 00:35:36 It's alluding me right now. Help me. You're talking about Joaquist. Yeah, Jaquoise Stewart. I take him all the time. Jarquez Stewart, same thing, running back wide receiver eligibility. But with Georgia Tech, keep in mind, their defense stinks. And their 85th in returning production on the defensive side from a team gave up 32 a game last year. A hundredth in EPA per play against smoked, 121st in Success Right defensively. I mean, they're a sieve.
Starting point is 00:36:08 And if you're going to be turning over that defense, and Brent Key is more offense-oriented anyway, the head coach, they're going to have to make up for that somehow. And the reason why we got so much fancy production out of them last year, because they put up 29 and a half a game. They're running at the 31st quickest pace in the country, 29th in EPA per play. So this is a team that can score points and has to.
Starting point is 00:36:35 I don't mind seeing the bad defense. I don't mind that they're getting lit on fire in the past game, 103rd in overall rushing, which would be passing performance, 108th in rushing performance on the defensive side. They're simply terrible. And that's great because that means that Eric Singleton's going to get more passes because they're going to have to do something to try to get this offense started
Starting point is 00:37:01 because they're going to have to be down. And they're going to be chasing a lot of the time. Yes, you're absolutely right about the schedule. It's not ideal at all. I mean, if we're looking at how many games are going to be favored in, you got Georgia State, you get VMI, and you probably get Duke. Duke, I mean, maybe Syracuse. After that, Louisville, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, Miami, NC State, Georgia to end up with.
Starting point is 00:37:33 Georgia and finals, NC State and Georgia, buy in week 12. They're pretty much a blank in the playoffs. So, like, you got a buy in week 12. You get Georgia week 14, unstartable, unstartable. Maybe you squeeze your guys in for NC State. But if this isn't a best ball format you're drafting it and you have to go and play these guys, you got three blanks in the playoffs. And that's a problem.
Starting point is 00:38:01 Yeah, it's not like, you make great points. And it's not an overly difficult schedule. I think it's just the timing, right? The timing of the by week. The timing of when they face Georgia is what's troublesome players. Yeah, no, totally. And I really liked your point, though, Froton, about how good their offense is versus how bad their defense is.
Starting point is 00:38:21 I mean, these are the type of things that you really look for in CFF, right? And so on paper, before you look at schedule, you're like, man, Georgia Tech's a team to target. Same thing with USF. They were the same way last year, right? explosive offense, like big time offense, horrible defense. And you try to find that ground for the teams that you're going to target.
Starting point is 00:38:42 Texas State is another one like that. And yet, like, just Georgia Tech, it's just like, you know, again, they're a team. I don't care as much, you know, obviously playoff by and buys don't matter to me as much. And best ball. But in redraft, it's just almost impossible to take them. and then if you take whatever any of their guys in the first 10 to 15 rounds you cannot play them in the playoffs and so what are we doing really it's a blown pick especially when what you have 11 regular season weeks and then you can only play them during what six you know seven or eight of them yep and you mentioned too you bring up another good point about teams you mentioned a few other teams that had poor defenses and if you notice a trend and this is some sometimes it can be just as simple as looking at where the coach is, you know, what their background is.
Starting point is 00:39:37 The head coach of all those teams you mentioned is an OC higher. OCs care a lot less about defense than D.C.s do. You have a D.C. head coach. He's going to want to protect his defense in a way that OCs just typically don't. And that is something that you can just an easy little cheat code to be like just out of the gate, be like, all right, these teams have offensive head coaches. you could probably expect they're not going to care about it as much as a DC. So these are all things, a little advanced game theory to kick around. Yeah, that's a great point.
Starting point is 00:40:11 All right, Zach, why don't you take us on to our next team? Yeah, so I'm going to talk about Wisconsin. A couple reasons why I wanted to talk about them. One, obviously Will Pauling is getting drafted. Round two, three. Malusi's going a little bit later. Van Dyke's sometimes going late. This schedule, it's a top 10.
Starting point is 00:40:31 It's number six in our strength of schedule ranks. Their playoff, it's pretty tough. They're going to have Oregon, Nebraska, and Minnesota, so all top 25 teams there. Their non-con is at 41 and their conferences at 7. But one reason why I really wanted to talk about Wisconsin is because the schedule, I think it sets up nice early. and I think it could be a little bit of Fool's Gold for this team. They start out with Western Michigan, then they play South Dakota.
Starting point is 00:41:05 And I think we're going to see that Wisconsin offense just really humming. And we're going to think, all right, we got some guys here. Obviously, Will Pauling is going to be on the radar already. But I'm really more thinking about Van Dyke and what he might be able to do in those games. After that, they have Alabama and a buy and then USC. So three of the first five weeks, they have. pretty favorable matchups, and I think that offense is probably going to look pretty good for the most part. And then they have Purdue, which again, I think they'll continue. But then they hit
Starting point is 00:41:38 a gauntlet of all top 25 defenses the rest of the year. And you're facing Rutgers, Northwestern, Penn State, Iowa, Oregon, Nebraska, Minnesota. And I could just see, I mean, we saw the struggles that this offense had last year. And I know they brought in Van Dyke. But, I think this is one where we could see them really look good early and then really fall off late just with how the schedule sets up. And there's going to be some tough games. I mean, you think about week 9, 10, and 11 is there by, but Penn State, Iowa, and a buy. And you're starting to get towards playoffs and possibly some must wins. And can you count on some of those guys to really get you there?
Starting point is 00:42:23 And again, I think Will Pauling is probably the most relevant here. And maybe he'll do all right. but those are some defenses that have been really good against receivers as of late. So, yeah, I just think this is one of those where it looks, it can be a little bit deceiving to start the year. And then it could just really come to a halt once they start to play some of these defenses. So, Zach, did you look at this schedule while you K-drafting Malozy every champion? Yeah. Yeah, I haven't been, I haven't been taking him as much lately.
Starting point is 00:43:01 And I will not be taking him as much going forward. But, hey, I'm hoping that I get some big points week one and week two with him. And then the other guys are going to carry me through the second half of the year. Oh, man, that's amazing. I love the call out. As the world, myself, and Moxley's there too, at least he was. I don't know if he's still holding the torch like I am, but I love Tyler Van Dyke in terms of his potential.
Starting point is 00:43:31 Now, Michael and I did make, you know, tied your little profit off of fading him when he had that gigantic knee brace on. It was clear that his plant foot was impaired, and he could not, like, he couldn't gas it up the way that he could for like a good four or five weeks stretch until he kind of came back towards the end of last season. But, I mean, his arm strength is undeniable. It's there. He tests windows across the middle.
Starting point is 00:43:55 He's obviously a statue. But, man, Longo, he can make that work. Tanner Mordecai was extremely limited. I mean, arm strength, not his deal. Wasn't a fit. Didn't look comfortable, really at any point in that offense. I feel like a more, a guy with more straight up arm talent that I've absolutely seen displayed on the field, you fold him in that system where lung.
Starting point is 00:44:23 Longo took multiple quarterbacks, specifically, obviously, Howell, May, and really, May had his best season with Longer. You look at 2022, Drake May in 2023, in terms of footwork. He's on his toes more in 23. He's doing the fade throws where he's going back and trying to just arm it all the way out there as opposed to channeling and using his lower body. So I feel like, you know, he is one of the guys that I never want a discount. And then when it comes to the schedule, you know, Zach's point is completely valid about that tough middle Rutgers, Northwestern, Penn State, Iowa, by. Ouch, that's a five weeks of what are you getting out of them. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:45:08 But this is still Wisconsin. Yes, it's D.C. run, and I just made that point about fickle. But those Cincinnati teams scored. It wasn't like he was afraid to score with those Cincinnati teams. He's going to have a talent edge on several teams outside of that pocket of that Rutgers, Northwestern, Penn State, Iowa. I'm not even particularly concerned about Northwestern. I mean, I know they had a good D that David Braun is a great defensive coach, again, taking over Fitzgerald. But I'm not afraid of the back end.
Starting point is 00:45:40 I'm not afraid of Oregon coming in the Big Ten against some big corn fed farm boys, bowing up to him on the line. no offense, Zach, you got to show me something, Nebraska. I'm not going to do it again. I believed them a couple times in that Scott Frost run, and they burned me. You got to show me. And then as we talked about Minnesota at the end, which, you know, from a talent standpoint, I feel like that's probably, I mean, that's a 10 point favorite out of Wisconsin. So I look at it like games that won't be favored in.
Starting point is 00:46:13 I feel like they got a battle on their hands with Penn State. going to be low scoring. Not going to want to start a lot of them. They might not be favored against USC, but that's a game I'm not afraid of from a scoring standpoint. And then Oregon? Probably a dog to Oregon. But when have they been against allowing some points?
Starting point is 00:46:30 I know that they had a good defense for Pact 12 standards, but I don't know how that transpires in the Big Ten. So I do see, you know, year two fickle. I don't want to go and just say this is their, this is what their offense is. because they scored 23 a game last year. I think they can get to 27, but you're going to have some very tough weeks
Starting point is 00:46:54 when it comes to picking your starters. And it's going to be hard to go and throw out Will Pauling, where, as we discussed, I think he's overpriced where he's going right now. And I think that Zach is absolutely on the money with that. Yeah, Bainberg, do you have anything before I close this one out? Nope, we can move on. I mean, I'll say this about TBD.
Starting point is 00:47:13 I think this is, we're going to figure out who he is this year. I mean, any time that teams dropped zone cover three against him instead of man, he struggled last year. And so, you know, we'll see what. He was hurt a lot last. That's the thing. Like he was. Yeah, he wasn't.
Starting point is 00:47:31 But at the same time, he's a statue. Or North Carolina. Yeah. And now he's going on the big 10. All right. Well, okay. I'm just saying, I will say, full on go, easier, simpler offense. I mean, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:47:45 we'll see, I think TVD can be good. We'll see what he ends up doing at Wisconsin. There's a lot of projection on my part, we'll admit it. It's all good. I can't quit that, man. Yeah, unfortunately, I had to watch him for the last two years meltdown. So it's been killing me. It's fair.
Starting point is 00:48:02 All right, Frotan, why you take us to your team real quick, and then we'll hit a break after that. Yes, sir. All right, we're going to go. And this one, I kind of want to reach a little deep on this one. I kind of got into my own head. and I can't help it because I'm seeing there's a lot of changes from last year. I'm going with the Florida State Seminoles. And it's an overall team play on here last year,
Starting point is 00:48:25 magical undefeated season, faded down the break, but was able to just gut it out without Jordan Travis. I mean, it was what a hearty performance by that team. But, you know, there's a lot of head wins here. You're not getting the team that you had last year. There's no more Johnny Wilson. and, you know, of course, Keonan Coleman, you know, first round pick, they aren't there anymore.
Starting point is 00:48:50 Trey Benson against. Early third, a late second, I figure he was, you know, absolute freak, 9.9 Rass score. He's gone, you know. Jordan Travis, injured, Heisman candidate until that happened. Like, put the team on shoulders. He's gone. There's a lot that they have to rebuild. In fact, you could say every single skill position besides Kyle Morlock, the tight end, is turning over.
Starting point is 00:49:17 So they bring in Malik Benson and you want to talk about getting him, he gets banged up. I don't know. You hear good things about camp. I've heard propaganda before. You know, we heard propaganda last season about Malik Benson. How much, we're going to do it again? Am I going to fall for it again? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:49:34 Is Josh going to fall for it again? I don't know. I did in my last draft. but it was cost of acquisition what was it it was around 23 so you know oh well i'm not going to ding anybody for around 23 malik benson play so you're you're safe there my brother but you know 75th in terms of returning production 57% of the returning production gone yeah i know you got dj you but okay i mean okay yeah he was under jonathan smith's wing at oregon state which is just extremely stable dependable like you're
Starting point is 00:50:09 put him in the system and you can succeed. Here we go. I mean, it's on his back now because you got a three-headed running back monster, Roydell, Toa Philly, Jalen Lucas, who has been getting drafted. He's been getting drafted. He's little, but a man, he's there. And then you get the schedule. Georgia Tech week zero, which doesn't count. So there's a game where they're, you know, maybe 13, 14 point favorites off the board. You don't get anything for it. In fact, you get the dreaded third buy. Triple buy out of Florida State. So you throw out a very appealing Georgia Tech matchup, which is the, you know, 32 points a game. Then Boston College, week one, hooray, good matchup, by week two, Memphis week three. All right. Is Memphis great? No. Are they a bad team? I'd say probably the
Starting point is 00:51:02 class of the AAC this year. I mean, for a non-con, that isn't a great. non-con play. I don't want to see them playing Memphis. Home or not? Then you get in, you welcome Cal, the ACC, and then SMU. So great. I'd say it's, hey, so far, okay. Then we get in. Then the fun starts. Clemson. Another buy. Buy number two. Duke, changing over Mani Diaz. Okay. Still, we'll see. Miami. Miami's probably, I got Miami as a small favorite. So have fun with that. They're in the Nebraska conversation of believe it when you see it.
Starting point is 00:51:41 I know, because we haven't seen it from Miami. Road game to Miami. That's a tough game. I think that's fair. It's a tough game for them. Changing over. North Carolina, all right, fantasy-wise, you've got to feel a little bit. But then Notre Dame.
Starting point is 00:51:57 And here's where it gets, here's where, you know, where the strength of schedule and the fantasy strength of schedule sort of divest, okay? We're going to go with the last four weeks. Prime time. Notre Dame, as discussed, that's a nightmare. By first week of the playoffs. Second week of the playoffs, Charleston Southern. That's as bad as Notre Dame in my opinion.
Starting point is 00:52:22 You think they're going to play anybody that we want to have anything to do with for too long against Charleston Southern when you got Florida the rivalry game coming up in a week 14? And after Jordan Travis got hurt. last year. If they have any sort of shot, like, are they playing anybody, you know, after that? No. Those FCS teams are landmines, and we need to treat them as such against these big teams. Because if you don't get it in the first half, it's not coming. So it's a real, real conundrum when you're dealing with that. So those last four weeks, there's not a good start in the bunch for the entire playoffs. You toss in the three buys, Clemson,
Starting point is 00:53:07 Notre Dame, Miami on it? I just think that you have a lot of moving pieces. You have a very unfavorable stretch run. And you toss in a bad Charleston Southern game. There's a lot of things I don't like about this team that has a complete new skill core. Yeah. I love what you said partially because I just hate Florida States. Anytime anybody dogs on Florida State, it's a great day for me.
Starting point is 00:53:38 me. I will say, man, there's a lot of things. I think you made a great point. A lot of things for them are trending on the wrong direction, at least for this year. And so we'll see what they do. But hey, we're going to take a quick break here. And then we're going to talk about our teams of target in about 15 minutes or less. And Froton, I'm going to give you the floor first to talk about Liberty when we come back. You know I love talking about Liberty. My team, my favorite team that is the go team, the schedule team, Liberty. I mean, what more do you want from this group? Go down on the CUSA after playing, you know, a half and half, P5, G5 schedule,
Starting point is 00:54:19 or, you know, maybe a five and seven. And then I go right down the CUSA and they just get served up, just layup after layup. My gosh, putting up 40 a game. Caden Salter is a top three QB all over. over the board. You can't, you got to respect it. Quentin Cooley's back. Yeah, sure, C.J. Daniels is gone, but I like Trion Cibli. I got a couple triumcibly shares. Okay. Another guy, quietly, Trian Cibli, running back, wide receiver, dual eligibility. We all like that, especially in our
Starting point is 00:54:55 best ball formats. But let's get to the schedule, right? We know how powerful Liberty is. We know that they're going to go out there and just absolutely smoke team. And what I really like about them is how efficient they are. In terms of pace per second, 28.5 seconds per play, that's 99th in terms of pace. They don't go particularly quick. They're not trying to go quick. But they rip off a ton of plays. 24th in plays per game with 71.
Starting point is 00:55:26 And the reason why is, because this is a well-oiled machine that rolls team after team. And you look at just across the board, their metrics. They're top 10 in every single important advanced metric you want to look. You want to go yards per play, seven yards per play. Seventh nationally. We talked about the points. Yards per pass, 9.6 yards per pass, fourth in the country. EPA per play, third in the country.
Starting point is 00:55:53 54% success rate, also third. This is as good as you're going to get system-wise. That's what you've got. And then you go to the schedule and you just start laughing at who set this up and what kind of a sadist is out there putting this thing together. Week one, Campbell, not Pete Campbell, right, for the Madman fans out there. Not great, Bob, right? That's Pete Campbell. New Mexico State, two, Utah three.
Starting point is 00:56:26 Then we got Eastern Carolina and Appalachian State four or five. what's the problem here i mean appi okay they've got a backbone i still think they're probably at least four or five point favorite there you know i mean it's in a way game that's probably as it gets you got a weird buys is all they got buy after appi u dream another buy it's weird buy game by and then you finish off with five straight which is nice and it's real nice kentassau mountain state welcome welcome the fbs come down probably be a 30 point dog jacksonville state another newcomer middle tennessee shootout city they don't play d um mass my alma mater don't you you tell you any more western kentucky sam houston every single one of those games is a double
Starting point is 00:57:25 digit or at least eight night is more than a touchdown favorite i don't see a single game on this schedule that they aren't prohibitive favorites except for appie three flat maybe it gets up to five liberty's going to ruin teams and the fact that cj daniels is gone presents a buying opportunity in that wide receiver room. I'll be paying close attention, as I'm sure we all will in summer camp. Who's getting the buzz? Who's the wide out getting the buzz? That's what we want to know. Do your homework, follow Liberty, Tyson Mobley, Triun Sibley, Reese Smith. Who's it going to be? Do not ignore this team. And you got good value potential at wide receiver if you can hit. All about liberties. I think the only downside with liberty is, and I wonder if the head coach or
Starting point is 00:58:20 whoever sets up the schedule, they don't have an opportunity. I don't think with the schedule to get into the playoff, they'll probably go undefeated, right? There are no games on that schedule, which it works out great for college fantasy, but there's no prove it game, right, against a P4 opponent there. So I think that's the only downside from a liberty point. They could frankly go and run the table and then just say give us aec time but bring us in the aAC and then they'd probably try the same thing that smu does but i don't know how all the academics work don't ask me i know that they're running a foul of other institutions i don't have no idea what the hell they teach but uh i apologize maybe sorry i should probably know more about the academic curriculum of liberty but you know
Starting point is 00:59:07 say levy that's what we're at right now yeah well that sleeping dogs lie there Right. I'm sorry. Yeah. But yeah, I mean, Liberty, I mean, on our schedule matrix, Zach created, it's all green. I mean, it's a heat map and it's all green. I mean, this is about as sweet as it gets as far as schedules go. So we love Liberty here. I mean, they're fantasy, fantasy winner. I mean, Kate and Salter was incredible last year. It looks like he'll follow that up this year. Hey, Mike, why don't you tell us about Virginia Tech your team to target this year? Yeah, I'm excited for Virginia Tech. I think there may not be another team, you know, with more optimism, I guess you could say, or excitement than Virginia Tech coming in this year. They're number one in the country in offensive returning production. I think their top five in overall returning production, obviously played well down the stretch, winning five out of their last seven games, had a dominant bowl victory over Tulane.
Starting point is 01:00:10 And they have some top tier fantasy players that were interested in in Kairon drones and and Byschel Tutin in the backfield. And I think the strength of schedule is important in particular to drones because it was very noticeable last year when he did not play well. And it was against the better defenses on his schedule, right? Florida State, Louisville and NC State. You look at their schedule this year, I mean, outside of at Miami, maybe, and then Clemson, what game are they not going to be favored in? And I want to speak to my point kind of last week when I was talking about Ole Miss and how they're going to have to crank it up scoring wise because, you know, they're going to be in the hunt for that college football playoff, want to impress the voters and everything like that. I think the same thing can be said for Virginia Tech here.
Starting point is 01:01:11 Just with all the returning pieces that they have, I think it really sets up nicely. Their non-conference is cake. You get at Vanderbilt, Marshall, at Old Dominion. Ruckers is a top 20 defense for S&P Plus, but you get Ruckers at home. And then you close out the season with Duke and Virginia after the buy week. Like those could be competitive, like they have some skill talent offense. So they could probably push Virginia Tech a little bit to where their starters have to be, you know, available in the third and fourth quarter. So just really like the way that that schedule sets up for them.
Starting point is 01:01:48 There's really not a challenging defense, in my opinion, outside of Clemson on their schedule. You do have the dreaded week 12 by week, but, you know, you can manage it. And then the week third, once you get into the semifinals, week 13 and 14 are cake for Virginia Tech. So I like where they sit this year. while Chris K is out there in the ether somewhere, and he's very happy with you, Michael. I know that. Virginia Tech, 91% of their offensive production
Starting point is 01:02:17 returning on the offensive side of the ball. Wow. The one concern I have, and I've kind of voiced it a little bit before, is just keeping Kairn drones upright. He's a big boy. He's listed at 6-2-31, and that's a good thing. so he can, you know, kind of absorb the contact. But, I mean, a lot of his value is derived from his ability to run.
Starting point is 01:02:39 He only threw for 2,080 yards last year. And as you said, you know, you got Ali Jennings there, Dequant Felton. They're both a couple pretty talented receivers. My question, I guess for you guys, and I guess Mike, since he brought up, you know, who do you see? Do you prefer Felton or Jennings in that particular room or either, you know, considering that they have a pretty good path and that you figure those. passing numbers will improve.
Starting point is 01:03:04 I don't think, you know, beyond round 25, I don't think you're drafting any of them. I think they don't throw the ball enough to where, you know, if there is one guy, then maybe he's valuable, right? But you have three talented receivers. They got Jalen Lane, too. He's back. So you got three equally talented receivers, plus a team that probably throws ball on, what, 40% of the time.
Starting point is 01:03:32 Like to me, that there's, nobody's going to stick out as, as somebody that you can start on a week, a weekly basis. That's just my opinion. Yeah, sure. And again, you know, this is, this is Brent Pry. And former Penn State defensive coordinator, they run at a 95th pace in the country. They're not out there looking to be the air raid, you know, zip it up. Let's, they're all offense.
Starting point is 01:03:57 They have an excellent defense. And if that's maybe just the one thing where they're not going to be as aggressive as probably some of the other teams as discussed who have more poor defenses. So, but at the same time, hey, 28 points a game last year on the way up. Everybody's back, essentially. No reason why they can't get in the low 30s. If they're in the low 30s, well, here comes Khyron's. Do you think they can make the playoff? No.
Starting point is 01:04:29 Wow, that would be a big jump. Nah, they can't be Clemson. Who's scary on that schedule? I mean, they're not going to be, and then they play Clemson at home. They play Clemson. Yeah. And then I told you, Miami, prove it to me.
Starting point is 01:04:42 Prove it to me. Yeah. Ruckers, I don't think they beat Ruckers. At home? I like Ruckers. Yeah, I don't think they can, yeah. And I don't see what they. I'm not ready to.
Starting point is 01:04:51 I think they've been Georgia Tech. We know who Ruckers quarterback is because we just mentioned them. Eighth a Calliack, man. I mean, the reality is, though, is that Kyrn drones, but the reality is, though, is that Kyrn drones, while good at fantasy, is not a very good quarterback. Correct. I mean, he's not going to, he does not make that offense dynamic. So a good defense coordinator will scheme up and be able to prevent him.
Starting point is 01:05:18 A true solo threat. He's a solo threat. And that's dangerous. I mean, the reality is, is like, he was this close. He was this close to getting benched earlier in the year. year when he was struggling against those defenses. He only got the job because Grant Wells got hurt. I mean, let's not talk about Kyrie Jones.
Starting point is 01:05:35 Like, he's a playoff quarterback. After one pass the first game, the seven passes the second game, he completed two of them. He was fortunate in that sense. But if you, I'm not, I think they'll beat Rutgers at home. I really do. So you're telling me all they have to do is split between Miami and Clemson. you're 11 and 1 in the ACC.
Starting point is 01:06:00 Yeah, you're in the championship. Then you've got to do it again, though. Just saying. Yeah, I mean, maybe. It could. But we'll give you the benefit of the doubt because you're amazing, Mike Bainter. I'd be interested what the odds are on that. We'll put it that way.
Starting point is 01:06:13 I'm curious what our local favorite domestic sports books are lining that up. We'll ask Chris Kay after the show. I know Kay is screaming right now. You say, it's an X. Yeah, all right. All right. You and I, we got to be efficient here, man. So I'm going to let you go with Kansas, and then I'll hit up Texas State very quickly at the end.
Starting point is 01:06:34 All right. So Kansas, they have one of the easier strength of schedules for Power 4 right around 67. I love their playoff schedule. I'll get to that in a second. Non-con, again, right at 63. It's one of the easier ones for us. It's about middle of the pack, not easier. Sorry, it's middle of the pack.
Starting point is 01:06:57 they start out the season with FCS, then they got Illinois and then UNLV. I don't mind that. The playoffs is BYU, Colorado, and Baylor. I love that. And the one thing I actually really love about this whole schedule is they only play one top 20 defense in Iowa State.
Starting point is 01:07:15 That's at home. They also have Kansas State on the road, which could be tough. And then the only other team that really hits in the top 50 is TCU, who was one of the worst defenses against the run last year. And the one thing I really like about this Kansas schedule is I think they can be competitive in all of these games.
Starting point is 01:07:35 I think it's a team that's on the rise. But every single team gives up points to running backs that they play this year. And so for me, Devin Neal stock up with a schedule like this because every single defense gives up points to running backs. And I love it. Jalen Daniels, I think there could be some upside if he can stay healthy with this schedule. So I think he could be a nice value at points in the season. But again, I pick these guys because I just love what it sets up for Devin Neal this year.
Starting point is 01:08:07 Yeah, that's good. I mean, the running attack with Lance Leopold is always going to be very strong. I love your points. My team, Texas State, I mean, pretty obvious reasons, dynamic. Kind of to Froton's point, right? They have an O.C. as the head coach, they're out of conference schedules ranked 96. their end conference schedules ranked 125 overall. Their strength of schedule is 128.
Starting point is 01:08:30 Their playoff strength of schedule is 123. And I think there they play what Southern Mississippi, Georgia State, and South Alabama. I mean, all sets up really well. They have plenty of options for you to choose from from Jordan McLeod, Ishma, Mahadi, and then Joey Hobert, and then Cole Wilson. So Texas State, good team to target as well. and that takes us to the end of our show. We actually, a couple of things here,
Starting point is 01:08:59 I wanted to point out to you guys. One, we're going to be putting out some graphics this week for you guys on schedule. So as you're kind of following with the show this week, if you weren't with us live tonight, we're going to put out teams that have three buys during the season. We're going to put out a graphic on that, and then a graphic that includes teams that have playoff buys, so that you guys be prepared for that and have those for yourself.
Starting point is 01:09:21 If you want Zach's schedule matrix, we're going to put that out eventually on fantasy points, probably in the next few weeks or so in some form for you guys to be able to have. Hey, Mike, real quick, when are you guys releasing your preseason guide? Yeah, June 17th at the CFF site. If you guys are interested in another piece of content, we put out our yearly fantasy guide, projections, all the good stuff. So June 17th, where I'm 120 team previews done right now. Got about 14 left.
Starting point is 01:09:58 So we're trying to crank them out while prepare for a wedding. So it's challenging, but good time. So appreciate it. Thanks, Josh, for setting that up. But I appreciate it if you guys check that out for more college fancy content. Well, we'll keep promoting that even while you're probably out most of June, but I want to give you the chance to do that. And we'll promote it when you're not on the show too,
Starting point is 01:10:17 because you're getting married June 21st. Yeah, it's coming up here. One month. So Mike will be in and out of the show, maybe more out than in over this next month. But we'll be hanging out on June 21st. But June 17, man, you're cutting it close. Yeah, you'll be hanging out, Josh.
Starting point is 01:10:39 I think you could, it's official, you will be hanging out at Mike's wedding. Yes, I'll be officiating the wedding. And then. And hey, look, Froton and Zach and I are doing a guide as well. We're going to do a free guide here at Fantasy Points. We're going to put out some, like, just a basic primer on CFF with some profiles, nothing as extensive as Mike.
Starting point is 01:11:01 But something that you guys want to be looking out, probably around the same time. You're actually trying. I thought you were going to be releasing yours around Memorial Day. So I thought I was teeing you up for like this weekend. No, transfer portal, man. I had to wait. I mean, my guy, Rashad Amos, hey, you chose another school during this podcast. podcast.
Starting point is 01:11:18 Yeah. Yeah. Well, hey. And before we get out, just wanted to say thanks to everybody who comments, you know, several of the guys, Steve Jackson, a legend. Shane Witted, of course, always. Dan, our boy, Carps, Ryan Carps, who's doing the Lord's work with his best balls. Everybody, if you're looking to get into a best ball, go to Ryan Carp, 926.
Starting point is 01:11:42 Ryan G, 926, hit his best ball leagues, doing the Lord's work. Thank you all the guys, man-made maker, all of you. Thank you very much for listening and we love y'all. Yes, appreciate it, y'all. Hey, next month is Dynasty Month. So we're going to be having a whole month worth of content around Dynasty. We're looking at freshmen next week. And so if you're into Dynasty and that sort of thing, join us next week.
Starting point is 01:12:08 Until then, do small things with great love. What? What? Why are you shaking your head? You're welcome.

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