Fantasy Football Daily - NFL Divisional Round Best Bets - Point Spread w/ Tom Brolley and Joe Dolan
Episode Date: January 20, 2024The premiere betting show for NFL Premium subscribers. Tom Brolley and Joe Dolan discuss their favorite bets, picks, and props; from MVP Odds and NFL Futures to weekly Over/Unders and player props. Ev...ery week during the NFL season and postseason. #NFLbetting #footballbetting #bettingtips #sportsgambling #nflodds #nflstrategy #nflpicks #sportsbetting #betlikeapro #bettingsuccess #nflpredictions #nflpredictions2021 #nflbettingtips #insidertips #nflbettingadvice #nflbettingstrategies #nflbettingexperts #nflbettingpredictions #sportsbettingadvice #nflbetting101 --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/fantasy-points-podcast/support Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Good morning, everybody. Welcome to the divisional round of the 20-23 NFL season. My name is Joe Dolan. That's Tom Brawley, Thomas Tipple behind the glass. We got a butterscotch and crimpet over here. My wife is going to be home from her run any minute now, and they are going to go absolutely wild. But that is just the nature of live television. Welcome to the show. As Tom and I are going to go on the point spread and break down every game from a betting perspective, side, total, and props for the NFL division.
round T-bro. How'd you do in the
wild card round? Our two bullshit teams got
eliminated. Yes. Thank God.
We don't have to watch. We don't have to go through that
pain anymore of watching our teams play.
What a relief. I am so fired
up for this weekend because of that. Yeah, it'll be
nice. And like,
you got to see the Browns go down, but the Ravens haven't yet.
Well, 430 today. We'll find out.
Well, let's talk about how'd your bets go last weekend,
by the way? I was good. 3 and 0 on the
wild card ATS picks.
Three and three overall.
So good thing.
You know, I picked out,
I identified the ones that I like the most and bet those and did well on those.
Five and three on the player props.
Had a couple near misses.
Jalen Warren had a 16 yard catch on like the third play of the game.
And then had one catch after that for zero yards.
So missed on that prop.
That was a kick in the nuts.
But, you know,
pretty good weekend overall.
Like a lot of the stances that we've taken already,
Hopefully you're a subscriber and have been following the article.
A lot of line movement on most of the props, you know,
towards the direction that I placed these bets.
So hopefully you got on on these earlier and got some good lines.
But, yeah, we'll go through all the picks and we'll see, see what's out there for everybody.
Tom, I know last week I complained about commissioning that one and done.
Yeah, the playoff one.
You might have just seen my face.
I literally just got an email from somebody who said,
oh, no wonder I didn't do well.
I thought you had to submit the same lineup for every week.
Oh, no.
So what he did was he put Lamar and McCaffrey in his lineup last week,
and he won some back.
Oh, gosh.
I mean, I guess you can't.
Oh, yeah, I don't know if you can manually.
But, yeah, I heard you also had some troubles with our friend Travis,
who, you know, somehow co-signed, you know,
co-ownered. Yeah, I don't know what the heck's going on.
We need to figure that out. But Tom, let's help the people. That's what people want.
We're going to talk about the Baltimore Ravens at 430 against Houston.
Tom, the Texans are getting nine and a half on the highway, 43 and a half the total.
Baltimore, well-rested, Lamar, the MVP.
Houston, a very impressive performance last week.
the weather is going to be cold, potentially a little bit of snow in Baltimore, maybe wind.
So, 43 miles, right on that fringe where it's kind of effect passing game.
So not ideal condition.
You know, we have a Houston team coming from down south that plays in a dome.
So, yeah, that could play a little bit of a, you know, a little potential into this, you know,
what we're our handicapping here.
But yeah, this line's been nine and a half, mostly all week.
I touched 10 a little bit at the beginning of the week and quickly got bet down.
So I leaned towards the Texans in this one.
The injury report is pretty good on both sides.
Clearly, Baltimore has had more time to rest up here.
They even had the chance to rest a lot of their key players in the season finale against the Steelers.
So they're working with three weeks of rest coming into this game
for some players.
So although it wasn't enough for the one key injury in this game
is Marlon Humphrey is out at cornerback for the Reagan.
That's, you know, good news for Nico Collins and Nico Collins props.
His prop is around 80 yards, five and a half catches.
So he's clearly been the top weapon here.
Noah Brown, that was the big news out of Houston earlier this week.
They put him on the IR officially ending his season.
He's been banged up all, you know, the entire second half of the season.
And that means a bigger rule for John Mechie and Robert Woods and these tight ends as well.
So that's the big injury news coming out of this game.
And yeah, I lead towards the Texans.
I feel like this price is a little inflated, you know, based on my power ratings.
You know, if I mix in the home field advantage, I'd probably make this a seven and a half, eight point spread here.
I think there's a little bit of value towards the Texans.
And of course, with CJ Stratt, I don't go to the dogs.
There we go.
You know, with Stroud and with Eukofaloids, yeah, I think the back door could be open here.
If it is a two-score game late, obviously, you know, we had a game last week
or Mason Rudolph could not get in the back door.
I think C.J. Stroud is a little bit, you know, better equipped to maybe do that
if it's a 14-point game late.
I feel like I know what the answer is here, Tom, but these two teams played in
week one. Do you have any, any look back to week one when you're when you're handicapping this
game? By the way, the Ravens won that game 25 to 9. And interestingly, it was the same spread.
It was a nine and a half point spread. I think both of these teams are better than we thought they
were, which is why it's still a nine and a half point spread. But man, when I think back to that week one,
I'm pretty sure I was like, man, that's kind of the CJ Stroud I'm expecting. Like, they don't
have great weapons.
Like, I don't think they're going to put a lot of points on the board.
We have two very different teams, certainly.
Yeah, I've even just watched a little bit of the highlights this week just to get a little bit of a
refresher.
And, you know, I thought it at the time.
And I was like, wow, this C.J. Stroud can play a little bit.
I know the numbers weren't great in that game.
I think he had like 243 yards on like 43 attempts.
Didn't throw a touchdown, yeah.
Yeah, the numbers didn't pop out.
But you could tell that there was something.
there. And you're right. This was like a nine and a half point spread. I think I remember betting on the,
you know, I think my lean was towards the Ravens in that game. In our staff picks, I gave out the
Ravens. But just fascinating now that the Ravens have moved up to the top of the power ratings and
the Texans have made that big of a jump that this line is still a nine and a half point spread.
They're probably, you know, thinking back on my numbers, probably about touchdown difference from
where they open the season. So that tells you just how much
these teams have improved since then.
I don't take much out of it.
Even if you go back,
Baltimore was not very impressive in that game.
It was the first game with Todd Monkin and a lot of these new pieces
working in a new offense.
And, you know, their offense wasn't very impressive as well.
Despite the 25 to 9 score, it was a lot of defensive, you know,
work for the Ravens in that one.
So not very much to take out of it.
But pretty fascinating, just how these teams are the same points.
spread from since week one but uh just the pass that they've taken to get there
pretty fascinating did you hit any props in this game oh yeah um oh yeah oh yeah i did hit the one
that has moved against me a little bit is dalton shultz i gave it out over three and a half it was a
plus 100 at draft kings i think it's up to like plus 120 now um just like it just looking back
in recent weeks uh Baltimore's playing a lot more too high safety and a lot of it is because
of the teams they've been going against, but, you know, they played the Chargers,
Chiefs, you know, 49ers, you know, a lot of good passing offenses. So they were playing
a lot more two safeties. And that's opened up the middle of field a little bit for tight ends.
And I have it in my notes here that six of the last seven, you know, games, they've given up
four plus catches to tight ends when they've had their starters in the lineup. So Noah Brown also being
out the point spread where it is, you know, could lead to more pass heavy game script here.
So I think Schultz could be a little bit more involved. I guess I am a little bit. I think
just Brevin Jordan making a big play last week. I think that might be affecting this,
you know, why this one has moved against me a little bit of all the props I've hit. I think,
you know, Jordan, Brevin Jordan has made a couple plays down the stretch. So I think maybe that
might be affecting that line. The other one I gave out is, you know, two tight ends here. Isaiah
likely. This is the day of the tight ends for me here looking at my props.
I got Isaiah likely over 34 and a half. That had to have moved since they ruled out.
Well, that's, it came out. So there was no prop on likely or Andrews. I guess we didn't really touch
on that. That was, you know, kind of the, you know, a big piece of news here as well on the injury
front. Andrews they're given, he practiced in full all week, but it seems like they're
ramping them up for maybe next week and, you know, seeing how his body takes a couple full
practices here. So saving him. So the props didn't come out really for the Ravens receivers.
They were pretty light until Friday morning when the news came out. Opened at 34 and a half at
Fandall. It's been bet up to 37 and a half. I still think there's a 36 and a half out in the market.
I thought it would open up 38 and a half, 39 and a half. So I think there's some value there.
He's been up over this number in his last five games with Lamar. And Houston's been pretty rough.
against tight ends all season, fifth most receiving yards per game to the position.
And then we saw David and Joku go nuts in this this matchup last week.
So liking Isaiah likely over his number.
For one and done, I'm actually, you know, that's one of the players I'm using this week.
Just thinking that, you know, maybe I'll have the potential to use Andrews in future weeks.
And I'd like the matchup a lot here for Isaiah likely.
And I've got to be a little different.
My one and done team did not start off too well.
Oh, I was ass last week.
Yeah, me and you.
I think me and you are like right next to each other at the bottom 10.
We got me by an 85 year old woman.
Yeah, I made a lot of bad decision.
I had, I stacked Jordan Love with Jaden Reed, who of course went scoreless.
Even my kicker got me two points.
Riley Patterson from Cleveland.
So a little bit of a rough start.
So I got to go a little more off the board with some of my one and done selections.
And I think I also have Devin Singletary in this game as well.
Ravens have been run against a little bit here down the stretch.
So that's something to keep an eye on here.
I'm sure they're going to, you know, with the weather, with the cold conditions,
I could see them coming out trying to run the ball a little bit here to see if they can get control of this game.
Let's move on to the Saturday night game, which is Green Bay at San Francisco.
San Francisco laying 10 pretty much across the board, Tom, 50 and a half the total.
Wind will not be a factor.
Rain will tonight.
It is going to rain in San Francisco, as it is want to do in the Bay Area.
Green Bay at San Fran, warm but rainy in the 50s, 50 and a half the total.
So they are not really taking that weather under account.
They expect a lot of points scored in this game.
An implied score of low roughly 30 to 20 in favor of San Francisco, Tom.
Green Bay, the stars of the divisional round.
Jordan Love has announced himself.
Do you have a play on the side or the total in Green Bay at San Francisco?
Yeah, this is the one I do have a play on.
I have the Packers plus 10 gave that out early in the week.
It was pretty solid nine and a half across the board for most of the week here.
But the San Francisco money is rolling in here this morning.
It is pretty flat tens across the board I'm seeing.
So, you know, if you've been waiting to get on that Packer side when it was at nine and
half, you can jump on it now.
Maybe even watch the market here a little bit.
Maybe we see a 10 and a half.
I don't think we will, but I don't know if those 49ers, nine and a halfs are coming back here.
The money is coming in here late for the team that's rested.
Another spot here is very similar to the Ravens where they were able to rest a lot of their key players in week 18.
So injury report looks pretty good for them.
Clellon Farrell is the only guy that one of their many pass rushers that they have at their disposal.
a little thinner here this week.
But other side is the big question for me.
Jaya Alexander was playing really well last week against the Cowboys
and aggravated that ankle injury.
Looks like he's going to try to play.
But, I mean, major concern here that he re-injures that.
And he's not, you know, it is a short turn,
or quick turnaround with a short week, six days to prepare for this game.
So that's the one injury I'll be watching early in this game to see
just what version of Jair Alexander we get.
He was playing pretty dominantly last week.
You know, Christian Watson's another guy.
I'll be curious to see here.
As I said, I'm way behind and one and done.
So I'm rolling the dice and playing Christian Watson,
hoping we can get one of those blowout games from him
where he goes three catches for 90 yards and two touches.
You know, just hoping for one of those performances.
Got some work in last week was about 35% of the snaps,
I think 35 to 40% of the snap.
So maybe with another week, he's a little healthier, a little bigger role.
But injury-wise, that's about it on, you know, for this game.
Did he hit anything in the prop market here, Tom, with San Francisco and Green Bay?
You know, I wonder, I'm actually using Jaden Reed in one and done this week.
I was like, you know, I wonder if they're going to go back to him.
I wonder if they're going to go back to him.
I mean, Jordan Love didn't have to throw many passes.
He just averaged about 35 yards of completion in that game.
That's what I was about to say.
That's, you know, I wasn't even mad.
You know, I used Jordan Love last week.
And I, you know, Jaden reads their slot receiver.
You know, he's kind of the shorter A dot player for them.
And the Cowboys were just letting Romeo Dobbs run wide open, 20 yards down the field.
So I wasn't even that mad at, you know, Jaden Reed's goose egg last week.
Because, you know, it was, you know, kind of by design.
All the deep shots were working last week.
But I don't, I don't necessarily, I think there will be a little bit better game.
planned here from the 49ers defense.
I don't think they're just going to have guys letting guys run around wide open in the
secondary.
So, yeah, I do think Jaden Reed should have a bounce back performance.
I think his yardage number is, it's when I looked at quite a bit.
It was like sitting around 42 and a half, three and a half catches.
It didn't quite get there just because of just looking at the participation numbers last
week with them back to full strength.
They were rotating a lot more these wide receivers.
Of course, they're working in Wix and, you know, John's boy, Bo Melton is still in the mix.
So Jane Reed wasn't on the field quite as much as we had seen.
So that's what was kind of keeping me off of those more appealing numbers this week
because he was about 50 receiving yards last week, four and a half catches.
So the props have gone down, but also, you know, his playing time has as well.
Prop wise, Jordan Love, I'm on it again, going back to the well with the Packers,
catching the points and back to Jordan Love and his passing yards number.
Got it at 242.5.
I think it's at 246 and a half now.
So still a bedable number for me.
I thought it should be in the mid-250s again.
And that's a number 256.
You know, 256.
He's cleared eight of his last 10 games.
And even if we look back in San Francisco,
they've been, you know, that's the one way to kind of beat them.
It's tough to run the ball on them.
Jordan Love gets a little bit of time to throw.
the San Francisco defense has given up 246 in four times in weeks 11 through 16 before, you know,
they face Sam Howl and Carson Wentz in the final two weeks.
So I'm liking a potential shoot out here.
Of course, we'll be keeping an eye on the weather.
But from what I was even looking at this morning, they're thinking that the rain might get
through the area a little early and might be done by the time the game starts.
So weather does not seem, you know, as far as,
as big as a factor as it was for a lot of the games last week.
It doesn't seem to be as big a factor this week.
And it looks like this forecast has been getting better for this San Francisco and Green Big game.
I also, there was one more prop.
I gave out Kittle as well.
Complete my tight end props for the week.
Got it 48 and a half.
That's always a risk to go with a Kittle prop.
What's that?
It's always a risk to go with a Kittle prop.
Oh, yeah.
I mean, there's always going to be two of these, you know, out of Brandon Iyuk, Debo,
Kittle and Christian McCaffrey.
There's always like two of them that are going to go off,
maybe a third.
Sometimes all four do,
but I do,
you know,
I kind of like this matchup against the Packers.
You know,
we saw Ferguson in garbage time last week,
really go nuts.
But they play a lot of cover three,
you know,
around 40%.
That's, you know,
from our fantasy points data.
That's about fourth most,
looking back at the regular season.
And he was averaged in 2.73 yards per route run.
23% target share.
So if they continue to run a lot of cover three here this week,
like George Kittle in this matchup, of course, you know,
that the receiving yard, you know, the receptions prop is like three and a half.
You know, he needs the big receptions,
but he led the tight end position in yards per route, you know,
yards per route run and receiving guards overall.
So he's very capable of getting over this number with just a couple of catches.
So I'm expecting a back and forth.
I do lean towards the over in this game.
50 and a half points.
So I do think he'll be a little more involved than usual.
And even if you look back over the last couple of weeks towards the end of the season,
he's been up over this number, 54 yards.
He's been up over eight of his last 10 games.
So he's been involved more than you probably realize over the back half of the season.
Let's move on to Sunday, Tom.
Tampa Bay takes on Detroit 3 p.m.
indoors, obviously, at Ford Field.
Detroit Lane 6, 6.5, depending on where you look.
if that's going to get to a full seven.
Another high total, 49 and a half.
Detroit's defense, not very good.
However, they're going to provide more resistance than whatever it was.
The Eagles threw out there last week against Baker Mayfield and the boys.
Six, six and a half the total, Tom, 49 and a half.
Excuse me, six, six and a half to spread, 49 and a half the total.
Tampa Day on the highway, do you have a bet on the side or the total in this one?
I do not.
This is one I've been kind of waiting out.
I was hoping we've got some seven.
with the Buccaneers and I might jump in,
but I don't think it's going to happen.
I mean, it did touch seven a little bit at times this week,
and as soon as it hits seven,
it was quickly bet back down to six and a half.
So all indications are this is moving the other direction.
There are some books, as you said,
showing most of the books have six at this point.
Fandals, the lone hold out here at six and a half,
but even there it's minus 115 towards,
towards the Buccaneers
at plus six and a half.
So this looks like it's going to kind of settle
at six, six and a half point range.
I don't think I'll be jumping in at six and a half.
I kind of want the full seven here in this game.
Lions, I will say,
their defense, they buckled down last week in the red zone.
That was the difference in the game.
Rams moved the ball all game,
especially in that second half,
but they could not score touchdowns
against the Detroit line.
and that's kind of how their defense is built, you know, very stout against the run.
You're not, you're going to have to, you know, throw scoring touchdowns against them if you're
going to score.
And that's, you know, kind of, I think this is the most intriguing thing about this matchup.
I mean, we have Mike Evans, long history, you know, he's the best guy down near the red
zone, you know, if he gets one-on-one coverage, he's proven it throughout his career.
He led the league in receiving touchdowns this season with Tyree Kill.
So I think that's going to be kind of the difference in the game is if the Buccaneers,
can they score touchdowns when they get down inside the red zone?
Can Baker Mayfield find Mike Evans?
So I lean towards the Buccaneers here, but I'm with you, Joe.
How much last week was just the Eagles complete crappiness?
A lot of it.
How much is Tampa Bay?
I mean, Baker had two bad games.
Yeah.
Baker had two bad games.
Now, I will say this.
When it comes to the player props market,
and also one and done.
Look at Crempeak back there peeking in.
There she comes.
Oh, there she comes.
Yeah.
In the player prop market,
Mike Evans had like two really bad drops in that game.
Baker had him for a touchdown.
I think it was the Buccaneers first or second series.
Right down the right sideline, he dropped it.
He had one down the left sideline later in the game that he dropped.
I think Baker is probably going to say,
we can get after the secondary and he's going to go to Mike Evans in this one.
Yeah, and we saw that last week.
Aaron Glenn was, they were having troubles getting home.
So they were sending a little bit more and given the,
the Rams opportunities for one-on-one matchups here.
So, you know, you kind of led me into it.
Those are two of my favorite props this week.
Unfortunately, they've been kind of blown out as the week has moved on here.
I got Mike Evans over 64 and a half receiving yards.
I think it's up to 70, 71 and a half.
That's about where I thought it would open in that low 70s area.
So we jumped on that and hammered it.
As you said, you know, he dropped a 47-yard touchdown pass.
If we look at the numbers, Detroit, over their last 10 straight games,
they've allowed a lead receiver to get to 68 or more receiving yards.
Of course, we saw Pooka Nakuwa go for a buck 80 and a touchdown last week.
So loving Mike Evans, even at 71.5.
value's been kind of taken out of that, but I'd still lean heavily towards the over on that one.
And Baker Mayfield was the other one.
This line opened up way too low.
I don't usually like to bet a passing yards prop after I hit a receiving yards prop,
you know, because it's kind of like going all in on the passing game.
If, you know, Baker tanks, I have two props that are going to lose.
But this number was about 15 or 16 yards too low, in my opinion, when they opened it.
It was at 244.5.
it has been bet up to about 256.5 is the last I saw it.
So it's kind of in line with where I think it should be.
But that's what's going to be fun about this game.
Both of these teams have really good run defenses.
This is going to be a very pass-heavy game, in my opinion.
They're not going to want to run into brick walls on both sides here.
So both of these teams are past funnel defenses.
I think we're going to get a lot of passing in this game.
So give me Baker over, even at 256.5.
I still like the over there.
Detroit's allowed, you know, the fourth most passing yards per game at 268.5, basically.
And we saw Matthew Stafford throw for 367 yards last week.
So give me a lot of passing props here for the Tampa Bay side on the road here.
Unfortunately, for you, your roommate has to wait until tomorrow night for his bullshit team.
to take the field. Are you making any food for Kansas City at Buffalo, Tom?
Nothing's about, I'm doing some chili today, you know, for the Ravens and the Packers and the 49ers and the Texans.
So I'm just just going to have leftover chili, chilly tomorrow. But yeah, it's, this is good.
This is a fun one here. The NFL, doing it right here, finishing the weekend with Kansas City and Buffalo.
Another, another chapter in the growing story to rivalry here.
So I'm excited for this one.
Spreads been two and a half, three all week here.
Anytime it gets the three,
usually gets bet back down the two and a half.
So I would be all over the bills here,
minus two and a half.
But this injury report has me very concerned on the defensive side for the bills.
You know, Taryn Johnson looks like he's going to play.
You know, he's going through concussion protocol.
You know, Gabe Davis is out.
Christian Benford, a cornerback is out.
Taylor Rapp is out.
It looks like Terrell Bernard.
The linebacker here is going to try to play.
So this is a defense that has been dealing with injuries all season.
And, yeah, this is an ugly injury report coming out of that Steelers game on Monday.
Short turner, you know, quick turnaround with the short week.
That does have me concerned.
But I am leaning towards the bills getting the monkey off their back.
here. But I don't know if I can lay
minus, you know, even minus two and a half here.
It's, it's, I do think this is a true toss up kind of a game here.
It looks like weather will not be, I mean, in as much as minus negative, or excuse me,
20 degree temperatures sub, subzero temperatures, uh, or sub freezing temperatures can't
be a factor, but it looks like they're getting their snow out of the way today.
Yeah, it kind of looks like the, the four, you know, the, the game the Steelers and the, the
bills played. It seems like a very similar type of forecast.
There are, you know, temperatures around, you know, 15 to 20 degrees and 10 to 15 mile per
wins, nothing that should affect the passing games too much.
What I am doing here is I'm really hoping, because I need to come back in our one and done.
I'm hoping for a 3835 Bill's win in a studio now.
You're low enough.
I'm going, I'm loading up on Kansas City in this game because I need, I feel like people might
save Mahomes just because it's Mahomes, you know, and like, but he has.
hasn't been Mahomes this year. So even if I do load up on them, like, you know, it's one of those
situations. But Tom, I do lean towards the bills as well. Now, my question to you is, with all these
injuries, Stefan Diggs has a foot injury. I know. That was another one here. Hell. He got a limited
practice. Even the corner has an hamstring injury, Joe. Oh, you got it looked like he got shot when he was
chasing down the, uh, that was a big. He did slow down, uh, you know, I think it was her big that
that pick that up.
But yeah,
that's even something to why because this,
I mean,
I know you wanted to shoot out,
Joe,
but this is of the four games,
this is the one where I lean towards the under.
I do think this could be a,
you know,
kind of a field position game a little bit.
I do think,
even we saw it last week with the Chiefs,
they were going on those long methodical drives.
The bills have kind of turned in that,
to that kind of team with,
since Joe Brady has taken over here,
which kind of leads me to my one prop.
I gave out James Cook over his rushing yards.
It was at 58 and a half.
It's been bet up 61.5, 62 and a half.
But we've seen him much more involved in the running game here since Joe Brady took over.
And that's one thing you can do on this Chief's defense.
It's been really tough, but they allowed 4.6 yards per carry in the regular season.
Buffalo has a negative pass rate over expectation since Brady took over play calling.
So I think, you know, this is a team that.
It has changed their colors a little bit,
you know,
that changed their stripes a little bit.
I also have Stefan Diggs under his receiving yards.
I did get that before.
I,
you know,
it's a tough,
tough match up against Ligerius Sneed.
We saw him,
you know,
basically shut down Tyree Kill outside of a long touchdown last week.
And Diggs,
this was before the foot injury, though.
So this,
this prop has dropped by five or six yards the last time I checked.
But I still like Diggs under his number.
He hasn't been,
It's been a lot of short area targets for him, not a whole lot of downfield targets outside of that dolphins game when he caught a long bomb in that one.
But other than that, it's been a lot of dinking and dunking with Stefan Diggs.
So I took his under 66.5.
I think it's around 61.5, 60 and a half now at this point.
Hey, look, you're Tom.
We got Tom behind the scenes.
You've got to get to your chili.
Thomas Tipple has got to flip his damn steaks.
He's marinating some steak.
What are you making, Joe?
I mean, it sounds like a feast that we got here.
I'm going to a one-year-old's birthday party at 2 p.m.
So it sounds like some old pizza or something.
I don't know.
What are they serving a one-year-old's party?
I don't know.
They'll do it up.
They're my next door neighbors.
They'll have something.
They'll have something nice for them.
And I think the old man, he turns, he had his birthday's tomorrow.
So it's like me and my, me and my dad, my dad and I,
I was born on the 24th of July.
His birthday was the 25th.
So, I mean, it sounds like you might have to share a, you know,
a little bourbon with him or something for his birthday.
Yeah, I might have to do that for him.
A little day drinking before the Baltimore Houston game.
Yeah, like my dad, when I was, when I was, I guess when I was in utero,
my dad was like, to my mom, well, can't you hold off another day?
And she was like, you try it, buddy.
My uncle, my uncle Dave was April 23rd guy.
My uncle was April 24th, and I was born at like 1030 at night.
And that was what my dad was, you know, the family was telling my mom,
come on, hold out to midnight.
Uncle Dave and Tom to share the same birthday.
Yeah, my mom's like, F that noise.
Screw you guys.
This is done.
I am done with this.
April 23rd is good enough.
Shout out to Dottie, the 85-year-old woman who currently leads our
our playoff contest, Tom, we should get her on the live stream.
I was going to say, if she wins the, you know, if she wins,
we might have to have her on the podcast or something.
I'm rooting for her.
I mean, I'm pretty much out of contention after week one.
It's going to be tough to come back from.
I'm going to need like some miracle happenings in this,
in this game, which is certainly possible in the playoffs.
You know, small sample size here.
But I'm pulling for Doddy.
I hope she, she whips all, you know,
because we have, you know, a pretty good crew here.
A lot of, a lot of people from the fantasy point staff.
and contributors and a lot of people to know a lot of fantasy football.
So I'm rooting for Doddy to bring it home here.
I'll be following her name here at the top of the standings starting this week.
So for Thomas Tipple and Tom Brawley, I'm Joe Dillon.
Thanks everybody for watching this edition of the point spread.
Our guy Kino is like, I can't believe I woke up to these faces.
I was like, yeah, talk about a nightmare.
Wake it up to you and I, T, bro.
I got to go get some coffee.
It's been a good morning.
Thanks, everybody.
Thomas, go flip your steaks.
Have a good one.
