Fantasy Football Daily - NFL Draft Round 1 Fantasy Winners & Losers- 2025 Fantasy Football Impact

Episode Date: April 25, 2025

The first round of the 2025 NFL Draft is complete — and we're breaking down all the fantasy football winners and losers. In this episode of Fantasy Football Daily, we analyze the biggest impacts on redraft, dynasty, and best ball formats. 🎯 Key topics covered: 2025 fantasy football rookie landing spots Veterans who gained or lost value after Round 1 Early breakout candidates from the draft Updated dynasty rankings and team fits Fantasy takeaways for QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs Whether you're prepping for your fantasy draft or adjusting your dynasty strategy, this episode has the insights you need to get ahead. 🎧 Follow Fantasy Football Daily for expert analysis, player updates, and weekly advice to win your league in 2025. Where to find us: http://twitter.com/BGWhitefield http://twitter.com/TheOGFantasy Join the Discord here: https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/discord#/ Find Our Podcasts here: https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/podcasts#/ Subscribe to FantasyPoints for FREE: https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/ Fantasy Points Website - https://www.fantasypoints.com NEW! Data Suite - https://data.fantasypoints.com Twitter - https://twitter.com/FantasyPts Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/FantasyPts Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/FantasyPts TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@fantasypts #fantasypoints #nfl #fantasyfootball #dynastyfantasyfootball #FantasyFootballAdvice #dynastypoints #dynasty Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

When planning for life's most important moments, sometimes the hardest part is simply knowing where to start. That's why we're here to help. When you pre-plan and prepay a celebration of life with us, every detail will be handled with simplicity and professionalism, giving you the peace of mind that you've done all you can today to remove any burden from your loved ones tomorrow. We are your local Dignity Memorial provider. Find us at DignityMemorial.ca. The Dignity Memorial brand name is used to identify a network of licensed funeral cremation and cemetery providers owned and operated by affiliates of Service Corporation International. Fantasy football winners and losers after day one of the NFL draft, Theo Greminger and Brett Whitefield, right here for Fantasy Football Daily on Fantasy Points. Brett, we covered the entire first round. We streamed the entire thing with Thomas Tipple. Huge shout out to all of our colleagues at Fantasy Points. What an unbelievable group of people and sharp, sharp, sharp minds.

Everybody came in as guests and absolutely crushed it. Oh, yeah, dude, it was awesome. This was my favorite year so far. I've been doing the draft show for three. This is my, yeah, my third year with Fantasy Points doing the draft show. So when I asked you and Thomas to join me this year, I knew that was the dream team. I just knew it. You know, I had a feeling.

And sure enough, it was awesome. The rotating fourth chair, I thought was great, too. You know, we got John Hanson, the guru himself in there, Joe Dolan, Graham Barfield, Scott Barrett. It was awesome. And we're going to do it again tonight. So, yeah, we've got some cool, cool, guests lined up for this evening. Derek Brown of Fantasy Proes is going to join us in addition to all of your Fantasy Points guests. Shout out to Jacob Sanderson also came in last night.

And if you didn't watch us last night, make sure you are tuning in to Fantasy Points YouTube for the entirety of Day 2, all of Round 2 and all of Round 3. And then on Saturday, the Dynasty Points crew is going to take over and run our Day 3 coverage. I'm going to be joining them for about an hour and a half, and we're going to do a dynasty rookie mock draft after we learn all these landing spots. That's going to be a lot of fun. So make sure you are subscribed to Fantasy Points YouTube

to check out all of our amazing draft coverage. I think we are the industry leader with the best possible fantasy football coverage anywhere for the 2025 NFL draft. Brett, you get some props. We'll start out with a Brett Whitefield on brand pick. For as long as I've known you, you've talked up Jackson Dart and his viability as an NFL prospect about how you think he's going to be a first round draft pick. You were unwavering in this.

When we were together at the Senior Bowl, we told everybody that he's going to be a first round pick. You continued throughout the process to talk about Jackson Dart being a first round pick, and he's a first round pick. And the landing spot is a good one. Goes to New York. Everybody knows Malik Neighbors is there. So he's got a bona fide wide receiver one overall candidate and neighbors who is fantastic. And one thing that I think that people are underestimating is just how effective can Dart be

as a runner in this Brian Dable led offense. Yeah, for sure. I mean, look at what Dable did with Josh Allen, Buffalo. Obviously, Allen can do that anywhere, right, or with any coach. And he has continued that. But then look what he did with Daniel Jones in 2022. And Daniel Jones is not near the athlete, Jack. and dart is and he had a 7007 season under brian dable jackson dart comes in we know we got gpsed times of him

hitting 20 miles an hour as a runner in college he had 70 first downs or touchdowns last uh over the last two years as a runner 50 explosive plays i know you guys have heard me say both those two stats like a hundred times but i want people to understand this is a dynamic runner if jaylon milro wasn't in this draft jackson dart would by far be considered the kanami code quarterback here so This is really exciting to me. And the fact that he gets to step into a decent O-line situation with Malik neighbors in the fold. You also like Theo Johnson as a developmental tight end who showed some promise last year. And Darius Slate and Wondell Robinson, they're not bad counterparts to Malik neighbors.

Like this is a legit setup for Dart to get his feet wet and they're just going to continue to build. He might just save Brian Dable's job, Theo. He might just do it. Yeah, it's interesting because we're recording this before day two. So this take could look really, really bad if New York goes in drafts like Caleb Johnson at the beginning of the third round. But Tyrone Tracy is a guy that I like, but he could very well get dusted this draft. What's interesting, though, is there is a pathway, depending on what New York does, that Dart could be a guy who's a real threat around the goal line inside of the 10-yard line just based on them not having a hammer at running back. So Dart, 15 rushing touchdowns is a collegiate, over 1,500.

rushing yards, lands in a fantasy-friendly system for quarterbacks with mobility. And Brett, just the way that the NFC East is shaking out, shootout environments against Washington, shootout environments potentially against a Philadelphia jugger, not offense, and the Dallas Cowboys offense should be improved with Dak Prescott back. I think everything's sort of setting up. Now here's the other question for you. How long before we see Jackson Dart on the field? because like you said, Brian Dable is coaching for his job.

I would argue if they start out the season two and six, he's done at midseason. Yeah, it feels like Russ will for sure get the chance to fail first there. Although I listened to the press conference last night from Shane, he said Russell Wilson is the starter for spring. He specifically said spring. I think that's interesting. Kind of like, hey, he is the starter now. But as we get into camp, as we get into preseason,

we're going to give, it felt like he was implying, we're going to give Jackson Dart an opportunity to win that job. No, it doesn't mean he will necessarily, but I do think it's cool to hear that, like that's a legit thing that could happen because I think Dart can play guys, you know that. So I would assume we get him on the field by week five, week six at the latest.

It's funny how things come full circle in the NFL. Russell Wilson got his start in a situation like this. It was Matt Flynn was the free agent, and Seattle drafts Russell Wilson, Matt Flynn never even got the opportunity. Jackson Dart talent-wise is ahead of where an older Russell Wilson is right now. So I think that it'll be an interesting one. But I do think that like you said, it's for the spring. But if Dart comes in there and is the most impressive quarterback, then I think it's his job there. And I think that Dart, when we're talking about dynasty winners, one of the biggest risers, because he lands well, he has an elite target in neighbors.

He has a coach that we know let's quarterback run, run in Daible. And of course, he gets the first round draft capital. So we'll unpack that at the end of the weekend, but Jackson Dart will be a first round pick in Dynasty Superflex rookie drafts. Let's talk a little bit about Omari and Hampton, because this is one where if we were doing this three months ago, and I told you Omarian Hampton was going 22nd overall to the L.A. Chargers, I mean, we would be completely standing on our head.

And we still are at fantasy points. Scott Barrett loves the landing spot. You love the landing spot. I love the landing spot. Thomas loved the landing spot last night. There's a little bit of pushback here. I put out a post on X. I'm all enthusiastic about Omari in Hampton.

People are a little, little nervous about Naji being there. They signed him for $9 million, but technically it's a $5 million deal. And it's a one-year deal. Do you think this was always the plan where L.A. was like, we're going to sign a running back and we're going to draft a running back. or was it we're going to sign Najee because he's the best player available to us in free agency for our system. But then Omari and Hampton falls in their laps on draft day and completely just shakes up the plan. We're talking about Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman.

These guys want to run the football, right? So yeah, I think the plan was always to bring in Najee, get him on an incentive-laden contract and then draft the running back. I don't know that the plan was always to draft one at 22 overall, but we were mocking them Amari and Hampton back in February, Theo. oh, like, this is, this is sort of predictable if you really, if you really break it down. So I think I love the landing spot for one. Najee Harris isn't really a threat to lock down that job long term. We know what Greg Roman likes to do on offense. And I could see, I could see both guys thriving.

But Hampton, by the end of the year, should absolutely be the dude there, the workhorse. The only question that I have, and I'm sure it's not that big of a deal, and I'm overstating it. But coming from the North Carolina offense, Hampton, Hampton was primarily a zone runner, didn't have a lot of experience playing behind polling concepts. Well, polling concepts are Greg Roman specialty. The Chargers run the combo of power, counter, you know, pull lead, pinpole, trap, more than any team in the league, other than maybe Baltimore. So, like, Hampton's coming from being a primary zone runner guy where the keys are a little bit different to now he's going to be having to set up polling blockers. There could just be a slight adjustment.

And again, I've already admitted I could be overstating this, but it's, it is what it is. Yeah, and again, I don't necessarily worry about that quite as much. I think that some of these guys are quicker processors. And I think that's something where these NFL offensive coordinators will have a gauge of what they can handle. I always kind of feel like if you're a first round level running back, you've got some flexibility in your usage and schemes that you can succeed in. And so when we look at O'Marion Hampton, athletically, an absolute stud, volume-wise, was an absolute stud, has the ability to get downhill quickly. One question I would have for you is my pouring cold water on the situation would be it's not the greatest landing spot for him in terms of being a receiver out of the backfield. Or do you have some optimism for him being at least a strong dump down guy there?

Like if Hampton's really going to hit for fantasy, we need at least 45 catches. I think that that's in the wheelhouse, but sort of there's a cap ceiling there. Would you agree on that? You know, I don't know. You look at Greg Roman's history as a play caller back in Baltimore. You know, J.K. Dobbins being the primary guy, he never could really stay healthy. That's a good point. I think it's hard to see what that full resume would have looked like had he stayed healthy.

Yeah, I don't. know. I don't really think we know yet. I'm going to, you probably take out, check out the first four or five weeks and see what happens. Yeah, we know Amarian can do it. That's the thing. He's got, he's got some untapped receiving potential here. So I wouldn't be shocked if he can get the 40 catches. And what's interesting for me is, and this is all anecdotal, obviously it's situations differ. But the last time we saw Jim Harbaugh with a bell cow running back in college, Blake Corum had the unbelievable production season, and people want to just laugh at that take. The last time we saw him with a bell cow running back in his San Francisco days, Frank Gore

just got the rock over and over and over and over again. So for me, it's like we've seen this before, Harba's a Belkow type personality. He loves offensive line play. And this is a functional offense for Hampton. Let's not discount that. He's stepping into an offense that has Justin Herbert, has striven. wrong offensive lineman has a budding star in Ladd McConkey. This is going to be a very, very efficient offense, Brett.

And I don't think they're done yet. They met with tight ends and wide receivers throughout the process. I think they could add another skill position player on day two. So we're really, really excited about that. We're going to take a quick break and we come back. We're talking about Ted McMillan and Travis Hunter and a little bit of Matthew Golden. We're unpacking the wide receiver winners from last night's first round. Welcome back. Fantasy Football Daily, Theo Greminger and Brett Whitefield breaking it down.

And we'll be breaking down all of round two and round three over at Fantasy Points YouTube. Make sure you're checking that out. That's going to be a lot of fun. It's going to be a ton of fantasy football names called early on, Brett. Let's talk about these wide receivers. Ted McMillan. We talk about like, I wonder if there would be a situation, Brett, where like if we did a mock draft one month out, six weeks out from the NFL draft and then just stuck to our guns because we had Ted McMillan going eighth to Carolina

like early in the process because it made so much sense. Few teams in the NFL needed this level of wide receiver more than Carolina did. Tet McMillan is a potential very, very high target earner. Dave Canales's offense sort of screaming for this. It's Bryce Young entering year three. They haven't added a proper alpha for him yet. Last year they addressed the offensive line, especially the interior. And then they drafted, of course, Xavier Luget end of the first round. Chetavian Sanders beginning of the fourth round.

Tried it with Jonathan Brooks. This year, pushing the chips in with Bryce Young. They get him a wide receiver one in Tet McMillan. Your thoughts on his target ceiling in this offense? Yeah, I mean, this was probably one of two places he could have landed where you could see 140 targets as a rookie. I mean, it's, you know, that or Vegas. And I'll take the quarterback situation in Carolina over,

over Gino Smith. So I love the landing spot to you. Xavier Leggett. I'm a huge Leggett guy, by the way. Love him. But what he is is not a number one wide receiver in the NFL, at least not yet. He is a splash play, yards after catch, big play machine. He's a guy you're going to want to be hyper efficient and not, you know, have to run your offense through. Tett gives them a legit alpha. And then with the combo of Legate, Theland, and Tett for this year is a really strong combo. Jalen Coker as your kind of rotational guy in there. That's a solid wide receiver four.

The whole circumstances surrounding Bryce have gotten so much better the last two years. But, you know, between them adding all the guards, the run game getting going, Jatavian Sanders in the mix. I just love what Dave Canales is doing here. And I think, Tett, you know, for as much as I've pounded the table for him being, you know, the, I guess the Dynasty 2 or Dynasty 3 overall pick, this landing spot. just solidifies that to me. Yeah, it's it's a peak target outcome stylistic fit. We've already seen what Dave Canales did with a bigger wide receiver in Mike Evans. Mike Evans had a tremendous season

in Tampa Bay and in Canales is last year there. And that's not necessarily a comparison that I'm making stylistically. I think there's some things McMillan can do that Evans does. But for me, the argument with McMillan always was this is a guy you can move around an offense. This is a guy who's going to be a very high target earner, incredible on contested catch. as a great catch radius. And what I love most about this landing spot is we've seen it before with Bryce Young. When he has a target that he's locked in on, he hyper targets that player. All of those Adam Thielen spike weeks.

Adam Thielen was like a top six scorer through the first half of Bryce Young's rookie season, where he was just peppering Thielen. Of course, Thielen finished as a wide receiver too. And then last year, Thielen misses most of the season, comes back and is a starter for us in the fantasy football playoffs because Bryce Young just loves targeting him. I think this is going to be a much of more upgraded feeling in this offense. I think Ted McMillan, it's not out of the question he finishes as a wide receiver won this season, Brett.

Great points all around. Let's keep this going. You've had some time to unpack this. And I think when the trade happened last night, it was just so much of a shock where Jacksonville gives up this absolute haul to move up from five to two. for Travis Hunter. We had Scott Barrett. We had Jacob Sanderson. We had a bunch of people sort of incredible enthusiasm for this pick. You were a little bit holding back. You wanted to kind of find out more information. Now you've had a chance to see Liam Cohen talk about it.

Where are you out with Travis Hunter as of 9 a.m. in the morning on day two. Yeah. I listened to both Liam and James Gladstone talk Hunter. listen, they're going to make him a wide receiver first and foremost. And I think that's obviously very important. Travis Hunter is an insanely gifted player. I think he's got a lot of development to become a legit wide receiver one in the NFL, but the tools are there for sure. So now that I know that he's going to be primarily a receiver

and then kind of work in on defense as the secondary job, no pun intended, you know, I think this is a really good situation for Dynasty. See, I'm willing to say he's probably my, my dynasty four now, is 104. I think some guys are more bullish than that. I just think with Brian Thomas Jr. there, who I think is a far better receiver than Travis Hunter, you know, I think we have to temper expectations a little bit, but I'm all the way in, though, on Travis Hunter now. Yeah, I mean, when you put him into context as he's a wide receiver,

you're talking about one of the highest drafted wide receivers of all time. Top five wide receivers recently have included guys like Jamar Chase. Marvin Harrison Jr. obviously slough out the gate last year. But there is a unbelievable energy with this Jacksonville offense. I think we could have easily talked about Trevor Lawrence being a winner here, where this is really the fifth year for Trevor Lawrence. They go and make a higher in the offseason that we both loved with Liam Cohen. Like last year I can just remember on School of Scott.

Scott Barrett is excellent in his analysis of offensive coordinators and situations and talked about just how smart Liam Cohen is, how Liam Cohen just, what was most impressive to me last year was Liam Cohen, where they were able to keep scoring points without Godwin and Evans, that period of time where they quickly functioned over to targeting Kate Otten using the running backs more out of the backfield.

This is a sharp, sharp guy. They hire him for Trevor Lawrence. Obviously, BTJ is a budding star, and now they draft this elite athlete, this electric playmaker on the outside. So Trevor Lawrence, definitely a winner. I'm with you completely on Hunter. Let's unpack that a little bit, though.

You say he's your 104. Okay, so 101 off the board, Ashton Gentie. We'll talk about him in a minute. But O'Marian Hampton, Ted McMillan, Travis Hunter, are you ranking them in that order? Are you switching that up a little bit? I probably, Tett is probably my 102. Just receivers, the way they hold value in Dynasty,

I think he got the nuts landing spot. It's kind of hard for me to come off that. And as much as I'm not worried about Nage, it still is like a tie-breaking factor for me with Omerian Hampton. So I'll go, I'll go Tet 102, Hampton, 103, and then Travis Hunter, the 104. I'm still unpacking it. I think, again, you can put context to your dynasty rosters with this one. I think if you're really, really ready to win, having a bell cow back like Hampton can help you. If you're a little bit more in a rebuild, I think Tet makes a lot of sense.

and Hunter's sort of the X factor here, where I think that the ceiling for Hunter could be crazy. And I think it could be a very consolidated target share in Jacksonville. So despite the BTJ presence, if anything, it's like the Pygro's larger argument for Hunter and BTJ. So I'm really excited about that. I'll have to unpack that tomorrow, or excuse me, on Saturday with the Dynasty Points crew when we do our rookie mock draft.

And make sure you tune in on Fantasy Points YouTube to check that out. let's keep this going Matthew Golden, which is one where Brett, you and I were higher on Golden in the initial draft process than some. And this is a guy where steamed way, way, way up. So obviously you had to start adding context into your evaluation where this is a guy where, you know, who runs the very fast 40, whether or not it's a true 40, Brett, that will never ever be solved. And the conspiracy theory will continue till the end of time. But Matthew Golden runs the fastest 40 at the NFL combine. Looks like a guy who could go as high as 12 to Dallas.

All week long, I've been talking about Green Bay potentially drafting their first wide receiver since 2002. They go ahead and do it with Matthew Golden. You talked about the Carolina landing spot for Ted McMillan. I sort of have in a lesser sense, this is sort of the same argument where Matthew Golden lands in a situation where he has a pathway to being the number one wide receiver in the offense, even though. Unlike Tet McMillan, he's not a traditional wide receiver one profile by any means.

But he's explosive. He's a big playmaker. And Green Bay just showed extreme draft capital to select them. Passing over multiple cornerbacks that they were projected by many to select. Yeah, good points. For me with Golden, you know, it's a weaker wide receiver class. We've been saying that all along. I didn't have, other than Tet and Hunter, I didn't have a round one grade on another wide receiver.

Now, I had like 20 round one grades in general. So you get to, you know, 23 overall. You're going to have to take a guy that I don't have a round one grade on. That's totally fine. I have no issues with Matthew Golden going in the first round. I think with Green Bay, my only hesitations here, Matt LaFleur has been very clear and they do not view the offense as we need a wide receiver one. They've taken this very harsh money ball approach, spread the ball around,

you know, complimentary skill sets across the board. And I think Golden kind of fits that mold. where he's going to go in. Could he lead the team in targets? Absolutely. I'm not saying he won't. He will probably be their wide receiver one. But is that, does that translate to fantasy wide receiver one status at any point? He'd have to be hyper efficient for that to work in my mind. Now, I still like gold. Like I already have a couple shares of Dynasty golden and I'm not mad about the landing spot. So, but to your point, Theo, this might be best case scenario for him. If there is a team, he has a chance to establish himself as a fantasy wide receiver one. It

probably is the Green Bay Packers and Jordan Love as the quarterback. Does Green Bay want to be as run heavy as they were in the second half of the season last year? Like I see a lot of arguments that this is now, you know, Josh Jacob signs the first half of the year, they're a little more balanced. And then second half of the year it was 20 point week after 20 point week after 20 point week for Josh Jacobs. He ends up with like the fourth most carries in Green Bay Packers history. Is that something they really want?

Or was that something that was out of necessity? last year to give them the best chance of winning? That's a great question. I think Matt LaFleur wants to be multiple in that he comes from the Shanahan-McVey coaching tree. And when those guys want to run the ball and pound it, they want to be able to do so. Now, I don't think they were, I think they were running the ball the way they were because they had to, to your point.

I don't think this was, we want to run the ball this way. When you look at the tape and the wide receivers, it was a mess. Christian Watson and Dante Vian Wicks kind of play improv ball. They really lack detail in the routes. They can't catch. Jaden Reed, when he's banged up, dude, he does not play well. And he was banged up the whole second half of the season. They really just didn't have the wide receivers to throw the ball that the way they want to

throw the ball. Tucker Kraft also banged up for a lot of the year. I mean, it was a rough situation. So to your point, I agree. I think they probably will, you know, come off that super run-heavy approach and be a little bit more dynamic as a passing offense. And I think just this is a self-scouting equation. They can say everything they want about not caring about having wide receivers, but they just told us that they were completely full of it because they draft Matthew Golden. And I'll say if you just look at

the first game of the year in Brazil, where they went toe to toe with the Eagles, it was a 34-29, just really, really fun game. And then the way that they ended the year, where they attempted that run-heavy approach against a really good defense in Philly. and they scored 10 points in the playoffs. I think, and Jordan Love in that game had three interceptions, like 200 passing yards, completely disgusting. So they really need to get better players around him, and they add it with Golden. This also kind of covers up from the Christian Watson loss, where Watson looked like he was

going to be a player that they could really rely on. That rookie year was special. So we've seen this sort of explosive player with Matt LaFleur, and then, of course, Christian Watson can't stay healthy. So I'm going to be optimistic for Golden. I'll be interested to see where he can steam up to in Dynasty Drafts where, Brett, I also have some. And my whole take the last few weeks with Scott Barrett and yourself and multiple guests was a top, potentially top 15 pick with an early declare with this kind of speed. I'm going to take chances on him at the one two turn all day in rookie drafts.

If he steams up to something like the 108, I might have to be out on it. But I'm excited about this landing spot. let's take a quick break. We come back. We're talking about Colston Loveland and what an unbelievable fit he's going to be in Chicago. Welcome back, Fantasy Football Daily, Theo Greminger and Brett Whitefield, winners and losers from the 2025 NFL draft for fantasy football. Brett, I'm kind of shocked.

I told you been the pre-show. We were chatting a little bit. And Colston Loveland, like, we were both ecstatic about this landing spot last night. And there's some people sort of pushing back on that. on X. Like, I don't know what people wanted. Colston Loveland is now the fourth highest drafted tight end since the year 2000. He lands on a team where they're going to basically be replacing a 260 career catch tight end and Cole Commet. A functional NFL tight end gets dusted with this pick. And it's a coach that oversaw a tight end one overall season from a similar profile tight end

just two years ago in Sam Laporta. This is a fantastic landing spot for Colston Lovin. Oh, and he goes before Tyler Warren, who people were calling a generational type tight end prospect, like Brock Bowers Light type prospect. So Warren goes 14, Loveland goes 10. How excited are you about Colston Loveland in the Ben Johnson offense? And over the next few years as well.

I mean, I wanted to ask you, are we living in like Fantasy Dreamland? We got like the nuts landing spots for multiple guys. It's kind of crazy. I think it's, I'll say, I think there's a lot of people. that want to complain just to complain. And I think there's that sort of thing comes out.

Like I'm I'm actually shocked by this one though. So go ahead and cook here, Brett. Yeah, I also think maybe there's some letdown that the bears didn't go get gentie. I think people really wanted that to happen from a fantasy standpoint. Whatever. Colson Loveland, ironically, my working comp for him with Sam Leporta, Ben Johnson drafts his Sam Leportar clone from a route running standpoint and a past

catching standpoint, they are eerily similar, ball skills. All of it. So, you know, Leporta might be a little bit better after the catch than Loveland, but I don't think that's what Ben Johnson's really valuing. I think he wants that route running and separationability, mismatch ability, put him in the slot, have him win against the linebacker kind of thing. Loveland's going to give him that all day. And it's the first stamp on the team that Ben Johnson really got to make, which I think is

all you need to know for fantasy. This Ben Johnson, you know, as you pointed out, he coached Sam Leporta to a, you know, dynasty or sorry a fantasy first overall finish as a rookie tight end i think we should expect similar things from colson loveland um despite like cole commette is not a ben jonsa guy djohn's guy like these guys are not going to get in colson lovelin's way um when i listen to their press conference by the way they love roma dunes even though they're inheriting him they uh ben johnson said the lions had a top 10 grade on roma dunes last year they had a higher grade on adunes than Malik neighbors.

So I think Ben Johnson's all in on Rome, all in on Loveland. Those are the two guys to really focus in this Bears offense now. And I think, you know, DJ Moore, he'll be a moderately productive player, but I think he's eventually going to be gone. And then Colt Kamat just rides off into the sunset as a blocking tight end. Yeah, I think that's the big argument here is like Colson Lovelin this year can be very functional, can still be a 90 target guy in this offense. I really believe that.

Also, we could have talked about more than that. I mean, Leporta got 120. I'll say that if we start unpacking this, depending on what they do at running back, you've got DJ Moore, you've got Roma Dunes A. One of those two guys is going to have a high number of targets. The other one's going to be 100 plus. I'll say 90s is a reasonable expectation number.

Obviously, that could go up well over 100. And Loveland's also a big play potential threat with that athleticism in the middle of the field. Like it's the Leporta argument. And did Leporta benefit from Jameson Williams being unavailable that year? Sure. But that sort of thing happens in the NFL all the time, Brett, where a guy misses and then another guy steps up and has increased usage.

So it's about talent. It's about being on the field. And it's about your skill. And they are telling you everything you need to know about Loveland. James and Williams only missed three games that year. Well, he was, you know, pretty. put not heavily utilized yeah for sure he had to work he was a young player too had to work in and get his get himself right and i'm looking in in the games jameson williams miss

leporta had 10 catches total i mean it wasn't he wasn't the breakout you know what i mean so i think we're all right talk about ashton genti 101 uh for sure in in every single rookie draft setting uh in dynasty startups he's going to steam up right in behind be jean gibbs tier like right there. When you talk about where you should go in redraft, though, do you have a gut feel of where Gentile'll settle up? I'll say that we saw a NFFC 350. I think they do it after the draft. And that's a managed league, a high stakes league where you're starting 10 players and start three wide receivers. So wide receivers usually get steamed up a little bit in NFFC more so than FFPC. And we see Gentie going off the board at 10 overall. I think that by the time that the big money

drafts happen at the end of the summer. Gentile will go slightly higher than that. Where are you at on that? Yeah, I agree. Chris Wecht, our projections guy, Director of Analytics here at Fantasy Points, has Genti projected right now as the RB6. And I think Chris is being conservative because

that's what, you know, Chris has to be responsible. But the football guy in me thinks that Pete Carroll fit, no other running backs on the roster legitimately. I mean, Rahim Moster is what, 37,000 years old. So I'm not worried about that at all. I think Gentie is a belkow from day one. 350 touches as a rookie is in the realm of possibilities.

And that would easily get him to RB3, 4, 5, something like that. So with those types of projections, top 10 absolutely makes sense. And if we just go back historically, let's talk about Zeke Elliott rookie season, close to running back one overall production, similar draft capital. talk about Sequin Barclay rookie season, RB1 overall that year. Even other first round running backs, like Najee Harris gave us a huge impactful fantasy football season as a rookie.

Like you get these, yeah, Jonathan Taylor, I mean, a lot of these rookie running backs come in and hit big time. Yeah, running back is a young man position. These guys will never be more valuable than the first year of their contract. So go nuts and kill them. Give them as many touches as humanly possible. So one player who I did not put as a winner, I did not put as a loser, and I want to sort of talk it through, I give an incomplete grade to Tyler Warren.

Tyler Warren, I could say as a loser because Colson Loveland moves ahead of him in my dynasty tight end rankings as well as my dynasty rookie draft rankings. But Warren's still going to be locked in as a first round dynasty rookie pick for me. And in tight end premium, I think he's still extremely valuable. but there is a lot of pushback on this take because Indianapolis has question marks at quarterback, and people are sort of unsure of his ceiling in this offense. Where are you at with Warren? Unpack this one for everyone, Brett. Yeah, he's probably destined to have like a letdown rookie season just because the quarterback play is not going to be good.

I love the fit with him in Indianapolis, though. You know, if you're trying to make Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones a better player, giving them the easy button throws is what I call them. I think that matters a lot. And Tyler Warren's going to give you that. He's such a dynamic freak after the catch. It doesn't have to be complicated. He doesn't have to go route a guy up and win 20 yards downfield.

He can just, you can be your, your check and dump guy. You can run screens through him. He can be your shallow runner. Like there's a lot of opportunity for him to thrive as a run after catch tight end in his offense. But that said, I think I'm going to have to take the Thomas Tipple approach here to Tyler Warren and dynasty where it's like, I'm projecting. probably a letdown rookie season. So I'll let someone else draft him

in the first round of tight-in premium leagues and then he'll be a buy-low candidate for me after the season's over. Be careful with the buy-low candidate arguments, guys, in these especially tight-in premium leagues, it's hard to get those guys' shares, even if they struggle out the gate. Trey McBride was a second round pick.

I think people look back at the Trey McBride where there was multiple trades for people to get him. But when you have this sort of draft capital, I think people dig their heels in a little bit more. I'll take a positive approach with Tyler Warren. Like fantasy football tight ends, it's a simple argument. If a tight end is the number one or number two target in a passing game,

they can become fantasy viable right away. And Tyler Warren, when we look at all of these wide receivers, and there's a lot of them in Indianapolis, all of those guys were day two draft capital guys, including Josh Downs, who we like a lot, Brett. but Josh Downsman's a third round pick. He's a untraditional leading, leading target earner at the wide receiver spot.

Michael Pittman had big time regression playing alongside Richardson last year. I think like Pittman's best fantasy seasons, we've already seen them. Alec Pierce is a role player. Adnan Mitchell didn't fire last year. Tyler Warren heading into 2026 could have a completely new quarterback and could be the number one target on this team,

even ahead of down. So I think that there's still pathways for Warren. we've always known that a Colts tight end, that the Colts would draft the tight end or they were one of the most logical landing spot. So I've sort of unpacked this one. Maybe it's wishful thinking, but I'm still going to want a high amount

of Tyler Warren shares in Dynasty and just, I'll say that it's, it kind of tempers the Tray McBride outcome. Maybe he's a little bit more on the T.J. Hawkinson pathway, with that sort of pathway for fantasy ceiling. But I do think at some point in his career, we're going to see a top three tight-end finish from Warren and multiple years of tight-in one production.

So I guess I'm still there. We'll see how I feel at the end of the weekend, though, because we don't know all these running back landing spots, Brett, and we're hopefully going to get some great wide receiver landing spots at the beginning of day two. Can't wait to be on the air with you for that one. Talk about a couple of losers. We already went over Najee Harris. Najee Harris, correct, true or false, Najee Harris, or I'll give you a multiple choice.

Najee Harris is a direct handcuff to Omaran Hampton or Najee Harris is a somewhat of a committee back but he's a lesser of the two in a committee. Oh man, early lesser of the two in a committee as a season wears on, he'll become the premium handcuff. There we go. And I liken this situation to people having fear of the situation. Jonathan Taylor Marlon Mack. We saw the same thing when Jonathan Taylor was drafted.

Taylor was a high-end second-round pick of Indianapolis. There was a fantasy viable running back on the roster. Marlon Mack was pretty dynamic at times in his career early on, got dusted by, got a little banged up early in the year. There was an annoying first six weeks of the year. And then Jonathan Taylor was a league winner over the second half of the season. I think that's the sort of scenario we can see playing out. Bucks wide receivers, I put his losers here, Brett.

And everybody's expecting us to just talk about Ameca Egbuka. We'll unwrap that in a moment. But Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, people were very, very enthusiastically drafting these guys in bestball, very clear and defined roles types. Jailin McMillan's dusted. Don't even get it twisted.

Like, guys, Jailin McMillan, this is not a good thing for McMillan. He's a good player. But the Bucks just drafted a wide receiver at 19 overall that is somewhat similar in his usage bread. I know McMillan could kick outside and everything. But your thoughts on what this does to Godwin and Evans to have, I don't know, what's the bottom floor target share for a player like Egbuka? 15% floor?

I don't know because he is kind of like a power slot volume guy. He does a lot of what Godwin does. So that's really strange. It makes the Godwin signing look kind of bad, to be honest with you. what three years 66 million i believe and 49 million of that guaranteed basically they can't get out from underneath this contract like uh this year or next so this is this is a tough situation i don't maybe they just loved egg buca and thought they would have no chance at him signed godwin and then sure enough ed book egbuka was there i don't really know this is a i can't remember something

like this happening theo where it's like you have a good wide receiver core why i I don't know. It's weird. Mike Evans is probably the one guy who remains the constant. I don't think his role changes, right? Godwin's coming back from the ACL, so he's going to be a slow, you know, getting back up to speed. And then Egbuka comes in. And like I said, already a volume power slot kind of guy to be effective. So he kind of nerfs Godwin and McMillan for sure. So when it comes to Mike Evans, we saw him miss time last season, and he's 31 years old. He turns 32 years old in August. So he'll be 32 years old to start the season. I just think it's a, like, this is sort of a planning for the future pick. And I know that these skill sets are overlapping with Godwin, but maybe they see, you know, we did see Godwin, and this is not necessarily a pro-Godwin argument, but we saw Godwin and the Dave Canales offense pushed outside a great deal more than we're used to. So we do have like that usage.

Maybe Tampa thinks that he's just perfectly functional doing that. But I do think when you factor in the ages of the Bucks wide receivers, like I will still have some Memeca Egbuka. I still think the fact that they drafted him 19 overall, it shows their enthusiasm for him as a player. It's a hard one to unpack. I don't love it for either of the Bucks wide receivers. I know you said Evans, you know, the roles don't overlap.

I don't like it for Godwin, certainly. I don't necessarily love it for Evans. I think Igbuka is going to be not fantasy viable, but more of a pain in the butt. And I think Eggbuka, if you're a best ball drafter, I think he's a fun best ball stack with Baker Mayfield. But let's talk about Baker Mayfield here. Last year, they draft Graham Barton, starts 16 games.

Barton's a stud. They draft Jalen McMillan. McMillan is a very functional NFL wide receiver, who had some very strong moments over the second half of last year. And then they draft Bucky Irving, absolute slam dunk, fourth round value, was a running back one for the second half of the season. then this past off season they go and they re-sign Chris Godwin.

Baker Mayfield is one of the most underrated values in Dynasty. Brett, they averaged 29 points a game as a team last year. Baker Mayfield now has another weapon. The offensive ecosystem keeps getting better. This is what they are. They're an offensive football team. They score a lot of points. They passed on a ton of defenders that could have helped them.

And they're just pushing the chips in and want to outscore you. It's such the dichotomy. of this team is so fascinating. It's a it's an offensive football team with Todd Bowles as the head coach in a rotating door of offensive coordinators. Make it make sense, Theo. I don't know. It's well, Josh Grizzard, I mean, I think like when we talk about the Grizzard gets elevated from within. We got to expect that they want like the Liam Cohen offense works. Maybe Grizzard has his wrinkles. But I think everything sounds like Grizzard was, correct me if I'm wrong, was the third down play caller last year. I believe that that's correct. I got to double check that one,

but Grizzard had a big say in a lot of the play calling. So not only is he a Liam Cohen guy, he was very much part of the process last year in what, again, was a great offense. And I'll say when we look at Tampa, they win the playoff game, two seasons ago against Philly. This year, they lose to Washington in a thriller. They're a dangerous team, Brett, because they keep getting better on offense, it's working, and in this division, they're still the favorites to win the NFC South. Absolutely. It's kind of crazy. The NFC is almost leapfrog the AFC in terms of top heaviness. There's five teams in the NFC that can absolutely thrash, and Tampa Bay is one of them. So we also talked about, you talked about DJ Moore being a potential loser here. I think that makes

a lot of sense. Like, DJ Moore had the wide receiver six season two years ago. There's been a big argument that this could be a big season for him in the Bed Johnson-led offense. But when you look at what the franchise is done under Ryan Poles the last two seasons, Caleb Williams, they draft him at the 101. They draft Roma Dunzee at the 108, correct me, it was 108 or 109 for a dunzee.

And then Colston Loveland at the 110 in consecutive draft. So any way you cut it, DJ Moore is now surrounded by two top 10 NFL draft capital skill position pass catchers. long term, it looks like more will be the odd man out there. I agree with you on that one. I think it's a potential cash out situation for DJ Moore dynasty managers

because I think there's a ton of enthusiasm surrounding him right now. We talked about Cole Komett being dusted. Anyone that I'm overthinking here that I should have included as a big loser. Maybe Keenan Allen, if you thought there's a chance he'd come back to Chicago. I don't think, I don't, I think that ship has sailed. Cam Ward. One quick Cam Ward question before we end it. Ward has always been sort of a static guy where we've talked about Cam Ward. He's the 101. We knew he was going to be the 101. Lands on a team that I think wants to pass the football. Insulation. That term gets overused, but 101 quarterbacks have so much insulation in this league. If you're the first overall pick and you fail miserably, someone else is still going to give you an opportunity to be the starting quarterback. And you have a, a lot of long way to run. Now, when we talk about Cam Ward, he's got this unscripted element to his game where he can make plays off off script, sort of like a Kyler Murray in terms of escapeability

without the rushing upside. And he is a gunslinger. So there's a couple things that I've really liked about him for fantasy football. Anything here to unpack, Brett, like we don't know who Tennessee is going to take. They have to take another receiver for him. They signed Tyler Lockett. I still think they're going to draft the skill position player on day two. But sort of your thoughts on Cam Ward and where you'd be comfortable selecting him in a dynasty rookie draft? I'm assuming non-superflex, right? What can throw a superflex in the mix? Superflex, he probably is the three or the four.

So let's backtrack that. We talked about our top four being, you know, gentie, and then you had it going Tet, Hampton, Hunter. You would put him ahead of which of both wide receivers, but in front of, Yeah, maybe, um, yeah, maybe right at the three, right after Tet. And again, you have to put your roster in context. Like acquiring starting quarterbacks and super flex is difficult.

It's very difficult, right? So you're going to get at least what four years of starting out of like, what's the last one one quarterback that's failed in the NFL? I mean, seriously, go, it's been a while long time. So like a baker, you could argue, failed in Cleveland, but got the shot in Tampa now. And he's a stud dynasty player. So there's just so much safety with the pick. I feel good about him at the one three.

You could talk me into one five if you still want to go Hunter and Hampton over him, whatever. Yeah, I think, I think like Thomas talked about him going much lower. And I'll continue talking to Thomas about that. Ryan Heath agreed with me on this one and with you on your take, where it's the one, 101 quarterback with this level of talent. 105, I think, is sort of the floor. So if you need a quarterback, I think the move is trying to move up from right into that 105 area.

And if you buy, don't get Cam Ward in that situation, then you're going to end up with one of those top four guys that were very enthusiastic about. Brett, go ahead. James Winston's the last 101 quarterback to fail. Well, fail, but he had the last year where he was a full-time starter, fantasy football wise was unbelievable that year in Tampa. That was the crazy tons of touchdowns, tons of interceptions, just pure fun for fantasy football managers. Let's quickly just do this because we don't want to talk too much about day two, but let's try to unpack the first few picks

of day two. We have the Cleveland Browns at the 33rd overall pick. Where do you see them going with that pick well i'll simplify they have 33 and 36 i think one of those one of those picks has to be a skill player um they could go quarterback running back or wide receiver i mean there's a lot of options for them they need all three right it'd be great if both of them were skill players actually but i think we'll for sure get one um yeah i i i can't predict i guess which position they'll go it feels like they need a quarterback more than anything but they don't seem to inclined to do that houston at with the second pick in the second round. This could also be a wide receiver selection for Houston.

I think like Houston, they were connected to Omari and Hampton in the process. I don't think running back is out of the question. Certainly this could be an offensive lineman type spot. Do you have a gut feel with what Houston does at 34? Yeah, give me a, give me Jalen Knoll here. Oh, that would be incredible. Jail. I mean, and honestly, like, I had Jacob Gibbs on the pod on this pod the other day.

and Gibbs was fantastic, but Gibbs talked about Jalen Knoll potentially as like a Tank Dell year one, like that kind of outcome in this offense. I think that would be fantastic. Significantly better prospect than Tink Dell was too. Listen, we'll take 15 points per game though, Brett, in this thing of ours. And then we're talking about Tennessee with the third overall pick. We're sort of rooting for that to be a skill position player, a wide receiver. could we see back-to-back Iowa State Cyclones, Jaden Higgins would look pretty good in that Tennessee offense.

I think Higgins' floor is probably 37. Like he's got 33 available, 35 to the Titans, 36 of the Browns, 37 to the Raiders, and then 38 to the Patriots. Sorry, his floor is 38 to the Patriots, I think, is Higgins' floor here. Yeah, and we've got a ton more of picks. We're going to unpack them tonight, but Vegas Raiders at 37, that could be a quarterback, that could be a wide receiver. And certainly, Vegas could just go with an offensive lineman,

which they were rumored to do earlier in the draft if they didn't get Gentie. New England at 38 seems like they're going to go skill position player there. At least they should. Chicago 39, 41, we have opportunities for running backs at those spots. I think that would be a insane outcome for Trayvion Henderson to end up in one of those two picks. Saints at 40, Brett, this could be a quarterback spot. I wonder if the Saints move up to get one or they just stand pad and they just take, you know, with two on the board plus they like Tyler Shuck. I think this could just be a stand and pick.

And then the Jets. I think the Saints will go get in the row. Which would also be a super exciting one for us to unpack. Jets at 42 could be a wide receiver selection, could be a tight end selection, would be a fun. Oh, man. Now we're talking here. A running back pick with a potential breeze hall trade on the way. And then the pick that everybody has circled here, Brett, 44 overall, Dallas Cowboys.

They make the pragmatic selection or not really necessarily pragmatic, but they get a guard. I don't know if you saw Michael Parsons reaction to the Booker pick, but he was not exactly that hyped about the pick. This could end up being the running back pick that we really want. So we're going to be covering it all. Brett, I'm super stoked to be streaming it with you. Stick with us here at fantasy points. make sure you subscribe to Fantasy Points YouTube. We're going to help you crush your fantasy football leagues this season.

And in the short term, we're going to help you just dominate your dynasty rookie drafts. We'll see you back here soon.