Fantasy Football Daily - NFL Insider Notes with Adam Caplan | Hansen's Hints Podcast

Episode Date: May 24, 2023

John Hansen (@Fantasy_Guru) and Adam Caplan (@caplannfl) take a tour around the NFL during OTAs, with Adam filling John in on some of the insider morsels he's picked up over the last few weeks. FAN...TASY POINTS PROJECTIONS ARE LIVE FOR ALL STANDARD AND PREMIUM SUBSCRIBERS! Interested in playing Best Ball in 2023? There's no better place than Underdog Fantasy. Use our code FANTASYPTS to sign up for a new account at Underdog, and not only will you get a 100% deposit match up to $100... but you'll get a Fantasy Points Standard subscription for only $5! https://www.fantasypoints.com/underdog --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/fantasy-points-podcast/support Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:07 It's time to the Fantasy Points podcast brought to you by FantasyPoints.com. Top level fantasy football and NFL betting analysis from every perspective and angle, from numbers to the film room, with a single goal to help you score more fantasy points. We're off back with another edition of Hansen's hints here at FantasyPoint.com and the podcast feed. I'm John Hanson, a weekly podcast here. We started this a couple of weeks ago in early May, and we are committed to doing at least one pot a week, at least one pot a week. A pot peri of guests and topics, if you will, did last week the, you know, look at the values and the targets the week before. We did a run here.
Starting point is 00:01:02 We went over all the projections at fantasy points.com. And this week, our old pal, Mr. Adam Kaplan, NFL insider, he's now NFL insidering all year. I see it in person at the Senior Bowl and the combine. He's up till 2.3 in the morning commiserate while I'm getting my beauty sleep. What's up, Adam? How are you? Beauty sleep. Yeah, that's something I need.
Starting point is 00:01:31 Yeah, we both needed it at our advanced age. But yeah, I'm glad to do this with you. And it's a good time as OTAs and many camps are upon us here. And it just made me think when you hit me up to do this. I was thinking with Jesse Haynes. I don't know why. Oh, you're obsessed. I haven't talked about it in a few years, but I've never,
Starting point is 00:01:50 we know that Travis Hart-Jurvey was a got a lot of all-season, particularly training camp hype. But the biggest hype since playing fantasy, from OTAs had to be a former running back. You've had to play fantasy over 20 years. know who this guy was. He was, what, late 90s under Marty Schottnheimer, midnight, whatever it was? That would be, yeah, late 90s, I'd say. Hey, late 90s before Vermil, right? And he was,
Starting point is 00:02:18 he was just like the most type we've ever heard. He was an undrageted free agent, I think, and if you want, I'm not making it, but that's why with running backs, I just, I'm making note of it, but I don't put too much stock in OTAs because you really cannot touch these running backs. Right, yeah. Well, with that said, we have been gathering up Intel since the NFL draft. So let's just go around the league. We'll start in the AFC. And, well, the Jets come to mind.
Starting point is 00:02:47 And, you know, what have you heard on Brees Hall? Let's start there with Gang Green. Yeah, no, it's just that I mentioned on our fantasy show on Series XM a while back. I said, from what I'm told, he's ahead of schedule, he'll be ready for training camp, whatever that means, will he be getting? I mean, 15 touches per practice, 10. They won't know until they get there. They'll see how he's doing,
Starting point is 00:03:09 but they expect him to be ready for training camp bar on his setback. So that's great. That's great news. He had a ACL reconstruction, but he didn't have a multi-legament injury that Giovante Williams had and Dobbins had in Baltimore.
Starting point is 00:03:23 So that was good news. And it's gone well. You know how great he was. He was special before he got hurt. And figures he were looking good for him. No question. Anything else here with the Jazz. in terms of like interest nuggets.
Starting point is 00:03:38 I mean, you had a great nugget on Tyler Conklin last year that you got from someone in that building. And that did help us. We ranked him way over the markets last year. I mean, he wasn't all that impactful, but, you know, we ranked him way over his ADP. And he finished way over his ADP. I do have a sneaking suspicion that Aaron may look to that dude. That might be a thing. Well, here's what happened because.
Starting point is 00:04:04 the problems of quarterback. Conkling, yes, he was targeted. He had a couple of huge games. Yeah. But he faded because of the quarterback problem. Now, he's a really good athlete who can block. He's really good. The thing that caught the Jets on other teams is how good he was running after the catch
Starting point is 00:04:22 in open space. So now with Rogers, they're in a true old-school West Coast offense, which they're going to transition to, running after the catch is huge. This is a really good offensive for him. So I'm not saying you should draft him as your starter, but if you're struggling for a starter late, he's a guy you might want to take a look at.
Starting point is 00:04:38 You think Corey Davis will be on the final roster here coming out of camp and heading into week one? With a pay cut, yeah. I mean, they're not going to pay him $10 million to be a backup, but their starters on the outside will be Wilson and Lazzard and Michael Harmon will be a guy that will rotate in, and Cobb will play the slot, obviously. NIMS is still on that team,
Starting point is 00:04:58 but you can't pay Corey Davis $10 million. I mentioned this a year ago last summer. I said watch for Corey Davis in 2023. Can't see him coming back. Well, if he wants to come back and Joe Douglas talked about it, he wouldn't say exactly what they're going to do. But he talked about he's a valuable member of the team, but he said there's also a business side.
Starting point is 00:05:18 And I know exactly what he meant when he said that. New England Patriots backfield, we both loved, we all love Ramandre last year. We were way over the markets. I actually have a worried feeling about it. I don't know if you caught the interview with Ivan Fears, the former running backs coach, who wasn't there last year, but was the year before. He did talk about, oh, they do need to get him some help.
Starting point is 00:05:42 He wore down at the end of the year. It actually, it was an interview over the weekend. Oh, really? Oh, yeah. Now, again, he wasn't there last year. Yeah. But it's a little bit of an outsider opinion. But, again, he was there for year one of Ramandre.
Starting point is 00:05:59 You know, he brought up freaking Thai Montgomery. So they're looking for, they're looking for like a third down back, change the pace guy, at least here. So Ty Montgomery's still in that mix. I think Pierre Strong was very intriguing, really explosive. Man, they need juice. But then we also have James Robinson just sitting around. Now, you and I did talk with my guy, Andy Hart, up there. And I think very highly of him.
Starting point is 00:06:27 Now, it was about a month ago. But he speculated that James Robinson, is going to be a thing, you know, football player and all that. So I don't think you have the answers because it's the Patriots, but I do think this is setting up to be a little bit of a potential headache. I don't have a great vibe on Ramandre. I don't see it that way. Just from what I'm told privately, I told you last spring about Montgomery.
Starting point is 00:06:51 I said, you better get on this bandwagon. You're ready on them. Oh, you're talking about Stevenson. Yes. I move behind the scenes how super high they were on them, the coach staff in particular. Yeah. And it turned out to be true.
Starting point is 00:07:01 Now, yes, he did wear down a little bit. Yeah, it was actually on a podcast that Ivan Fiers did. Yeah, he wasn't, he's not with him anymore, right? Right. No, he's not. He's not. But, you know. They do need, here's what they need.
Starting point is 00:07:19 They need James Robinson to be, he obviously did not look great last season. He was not in good physical shape coming out with Achilles, with the Jaguars. They got rid of him. They need a main backup to Stevenson to give him. a breather in each game. And Robinson would be that guy. Because he's done it before. He's been a volume back.
Starting point is 00:07:39 He was tremendous, as we know. What a great story he was. It's why Farnett Lultt was jesson, part of it. And James Robinson could do that. If he's in good shape and we'll get a better look at him in OTAs in training camp, then Ty Mark Armour has a change-up. And also, don't forget, Bill O'Brien, was a real play caller. This guy may not be a great head coach, but he's a good play caller.
Starting point is 00:08:00 and they're going to have a real offense there in New England. They're going to run the old New England system. This is good. Yeah. I think they might throw it a little bit more, too, actually, believe it or not. And they were very run heavy last year. I do worry about Ramandre wearing down like he did last year. But, you know, every year's a little different.
Starting point is 00:08:18 Really feeling it last year, I, you know, I'm not down on them, but I'm definitely not like banging the table for him this year. Miami, not a ton going on here. I see Devon A chain looking good. good out there in shorts here. Will they use a third receiver this year because they did not last year? No, it's kind of, remember, they're running the Shanahan system. The third receiver doesn't get a lot of juice.
Starting point is 00:08:44 You know, it's obviously with the Niners, you got kiddle there, but yeah, I don't see it. Remember, Cedric Wilson was signed to be a starter. When they signed it last year, they did never be trading for Tyree Kill. It just happened and they went for it. I mean, but there aren't talent on. offense is ridiculous. Waddle and Hill, the fastest tandem of the national football eight, Wilson's their three. Robby, Robbie Anderson, who's whatever he's calling himself, chosen Anderson, whatever. Yeah. He'll, this is a good role for him to be, just to be a changeup.
Starting point is 00:09:18 He's obviously taller, but Finn. And Braxton Burrios will, I hope Mike McDaniel knows how to use him, but they are super, super explosive and they've got versatility. What they don't have is a patch catching tight end, which means that they're, the passing game will go through the receivers. In Buffalo, you gave us a great nugget in December about Gabe Davis, suffered a high ankle sprain. I believe that was week one, missed week. It was week two, then missed.
Starting point is 00:09:44 What happened was it was in practice leaning. It was like, I think it believed it was a walkthrough. Again, this is. Right, right. I don't know if they played a Thursday night. Maybe it was a short week, but I do know this. They downplay that ankle injury. It bothered me because I found out around Thanksgiving that it was actually a high ankle sprain.
Starting point is 00:10:06 I'm like, well, why don't they just, what's the big deal? Because the poor kid. Competitive edge. Competitive edge. Here's the problem. They did a disservice to the kid. It's like when Tom Coughlin did a disservice to Fred Taylor downplaying his injury issues. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:10:21 Well, the guys, you can't be a receiver and play on the high ankle sprain the next week or the week after. That's just not right. And never got right. Well, yeah, I think that was a walk-through situation. And it was not in week one, but it was leading up to week two. And he missed week two. Then he catches three balls for 37, then one for 13. But then he caught three for 171 and a touch.
Starting point is 00:10:44 And he had, I believe that was the 99-yard touchdown, which, yeah, one of the greatest throws ever by Josh Allen from his deep in his own end zone. but big winner in the draft thus far with no outside receiver of note added. And I am very skeptical on Dalton Kincaid. People are like basically drafting him as if he's presumed to have one of the five greatest seasons of a rookie tight end in history. Yeah, because think about the past game has and always will go through digs. That's not in question. It goes digs one, Gabe Davis two.
Starting point is 00:11:22 K could K. Could K cut it out? Sure. But again, you're looking at a rookie tight end and Dustin Nass is not going to way that they're paying him a lot of money. Yeah. Now, I get it. They had huge love for Kincaid.
Starting point is 00:11:33 He was a major priority for them, and they won up. I think they traded to get up to get him. Yeah. But again, he's a tight end. If he had 50 catches, I'd be shocked. I agree. If everybody's healthy, to me, it's 35 to 40 range. You have two, two and a half per game.
Starting point is 00:11:50 Yeah, well, we do have people out there presuming 100 plus targets and rank. Where? I don't know because of the draft capital that they surrendered, I guess. I get it. It's for the future. Right. To me, it's, let me look at since you mentioned it. Look, it's a different look, you know, because they haven't, they haven't really been
Starting point is 00:12:14 tight end centric. So now you're getting a, you know, I thought Josh Allen missed Cole Beasley, believe it or not, you know, that little underneath threat inside, moving the sticks and all that. And, you know, they probably agreed to an extent, but they're like, okay, let's take that guy and double his size almost. You know, let's get a big slot, basically. So you understand what they're doing, but to assume that this is going to work wonderfully in year one is quite a leap of faith. Yeah. And this is a big ask of Ken Dorsey.
Starting point is 00:12:46 Did an okay job. Did an okay job. That too. You know, we knew there would be some sort of a drop off there was. Stylistically, and really is the big situation. but they're going to be a passing team. Now, do they go, and by the way, Shakir's going to see some time in the slot.
Starting point is 00:13:04 Will they go, and they got to account for Deonti Hardy's contract. That's a stutter to me what they're paying him. They guaranteed him so much money. They obviously have a plan for him. These guys typically don't work out. He's just over five, six. He's the Isaiah McKenzie gadget replace him. Same thing, right.
Starting point is 00:13:20 Same thing. Right. But okay, they're going to have a lot of eye candy. They're going to have versatility to. their past target group, no doubt. But here's a guy who can see time of the slot. You mentioned the tight end Kincaid. Dawson Knox is really not a lie tight end,
Starting point is 00:13:34 which means in line. That's not really what he does. So to me, John, there's still going to be a heavy 11. They'll probably leave the NFL in 11 personnel. They'll use Hardy on end rounds and jet sweeps and so forth to justify his contract. And oh, by the way, they've got a great spread of running back, or at least in terms of a fit and spread in James Cook. Yeah, no doubt.
Starting point is 00:13:56 Damien Harris as well to get that inside banger in there. But you also had to get Latavius Murray, but you know, they want to be physical. They probably want a closer. Maybe they want a goal line guy. I mean, Harris is pretty good there. That was interesting that they're like, oh, drafts over. Latavius is a guy who's a journeyman. He's on the street.
Starting point is 00:14:16 He spent time on his couch. But we got to get them. You know, we got to sign them in May. You know, I thought that was interesting. Yeah. this is what a sixth team and I met Latavius and interviewed him for sports grid when I was at the Super Bowl. What a nice guy. And, you know, I forgot how tall he is. I mean, he's six three. Yeah, yeah, man. Big dude. He's still, he's been very effective in that short yardage he could
Starting point is 00:14:40 protect. He's a really good pass protector. Yeah. So they have before we were on Harron's role will be a closer and he'll, he'll grind some carriers when they need him. And Harkin, Hines, I have absolutely no idea what his role is. That one to me was... He has none. He's a kick returner, all right? Yeah, they cut us pay, so yeah, I don't see him having a role. Over in the AFC North, obviously Lamar Jackson in town and in the fold and Odell added.
Starting point is 00:15:11 I'm a big Zay Flowers guy. We're sharing a brain on JK, or JK. This is it. gunning for the biggest free agent payday of his career, the biggest payday of his career. Dude was pissed last year. Yeah. So Todd Monkin moves in.
Starting point is 00:15:32 He's going to be more about the past. But, you know, Dobby can't catch the rock. They did nothing else. I don't care what happens. I'm sleeping like a baby after my endorsement of J.K. Dobbins this year. Right? You mean, not a justice hill, truther? I'm just kidding.
Starting point is 00:15:47 No, never have been one either. I can't believe he's back. I mean, he's done next to nothing with this organization. A couple good things last year, finally. Well, he showed that he could actually, like, he had a pulse. Like, they never would use him. Right. But he's not going to really contribute it.
Starting point is 00:16:04 So, yeah, it's the Dobbin show there. The, look, it's going to be fascinating to see how the, like, okay, we know Mark Andrews would be the number one targeted player, but is it, is he by 50 receptions, 10? Because now with Beckham, Bateman, Flowers, Duvenet, Agilur, and I was very likely who really flashed, they actually have a legit past target group. Oh, for sure. They'll be opening up with Odell. Then he'll go on season-ending IR by mid-season, and Zay Flowers will start taking over of Thanksgiving, post- Thanksgiving. At least that's a long-term projection right there, and that's a prediction as well.
Starting point is 00:16:47 Let's go to Pittsburgh. I'm going to throw a curveball at you here because I did not realize this. But I recently learned that the Matt Canada thing, could it be related to Mike Tomlin's son? I don't know. Did you know this? I can't really come on that. No, I'll just think of it. I can.
Starting point is 00:17:08 Everyone knows Matt Canada stinks, yet somehow he's still employed. And there is a correlation there because. Well, here's what, here's the thing. This is what they, they're publicly saying that they don't want to ask Pickett to learn another system. It's probably the biggest upset with coaching is that Canada's back. Really good college coordinator. It hasn't worked here. And honestly, I think most coordinators would go, oh my gosh, I got Gianty Johnson,
Starting point is 00:17:38 Pickens, Alan Robinson, Calvin Austin, Healthy, Pratt Firemooth. Wow, this is an incredible group of past targets. Now it would be a spread. I'm going to create plays for these guys to get these guys open. He has these guys, we call this what, individual route offense. It's like, okay, go ahead. Here's the plot, go run it. That doesn't work.
Starting point is 00:18:00 This is not streetball. It's going to help these guys. So as much as we love Pickett, I like Pickett probably more than most people. I know you do. Yeah. There's a reason why he never thought he never had a game with more than one touchdown pass. It's the scheme is bad. Yeah, it is.
Starting point is 00:18:17 You know, again, I'm out there speculating that Canada is still employed because his relationship with Tomlin, which is tied to Tomlin's son, who I saw scored a touchdown at a bowl game or whatever. But, yeah, we're trying to figure it out because it's just so weird. And that might be it. You know, sometimes the obvious answer is the most obvious answer. But, you know, who I like this year. And I love George Pickens last year. Look, the kid was great, but, you know, he is kind of limited. I like Deonti.
Starting point is 00:18:52 He's due. I mean, this guy was still like fourth in the NFL and targets last year, despite playing with a rookie quarterback who seemed to have eyes for George Pickens. Deonté, very quietly, was getting all kinds of targets. They complimented each other very well. Deonté's a better player. He's a more overall better player, right? The other promise Canada.
Starting point is 00:19:12 It is nothing to do with DeAndi Johnson. Trust me. Yeah, he's going to drive. off the ball every once or a while. You just live with it. But he gets open. He has chemistry with Pickett. The problem is it's how he doesn't score a touchdown is, is, I just, I don't know what to tell you. I think it's, it's scheme-related. It's a fluke. But he is a stud talent. We just, this just can't continue. I mean, I don't know what else to tell you. Yeah, I know. It's very frustrating. Well, you know.
Starting point is 00:19:41 You scored eight through season before. By the way, same play caller. He was awesome. awesome in a 21. Now, the deep, the, the other thing is, you know, you know Deonté could run, right? Yeah, yeah. He's just not catching the ball down field for whatever reason. Right, right. You know, we were saying before it was there sieve like O'Lon and Big Ben losing, you know, a lot of juice on the right arm, you know, so picket and have a gun to drive the ball down
Starting point is 00:20:08 the field, but he does throw a good deep ball for what it's worth. Yeah, it's a good touch. Yeah. Yeah. Cincinnati Bengals moving on here. Nothing much going on. Chase Brown, your new handcuffer, Joe Mixon. They drafted a couple depth receivers.
Starting point is 00:20:25 And Yosevis from Princeton and then Charles Jones, Charlie Jones. Interesting guy. But, you know, a lot of continuity here. Are you good with the O-Lond? Because this Jonah Williams thing is a bit of a mess. I don't even know if he's happy about right tackle. He's not, but he doesn't have a choice. Listen, their team that does not give up on players.
Starting point is 00:20:48 They don't like making trades. I'm fully expecting Jonah Williams to be on the team this season. Playing right. Carras, they got cap-a-back, Carras, Orlando Browns for left tackle. He wanted to play left tackle. He's okay. Jackson Carmen will be a could backup tackle. He could backup guard.
Starting point is 00:21:08 Sharpings there. Did a nice job filling in. No, they actually have some depth on the offensive line. No, to finish this off? I don't say I'm borshernal line, but this is the best line that that Burroughs had it. I think it's got it at least in the middle.
Starting point is 00:21:23 Yeah. Oh, it's the best line that Burroughs ever had. It's an average line, which is, hey, sometimes mediocre. You know, mediocre has got a terrible connotation, but it's better than terrible or below average. In Cleveland, let's narrow with this down to two little thoughts. Number one, our friend Nathan Zagura,
Starting point is 00:21:44 who was the color analyst for the Browns Radio Network there, did tell us last week that Amari Cooper could be gone after this year, and he would not be surprised if Elijah Moore kind of ascended down the stretch and maybe even turned into the guys they look long term with Elijah Moore, who apparently they love. Yes, so when you look at Cooper's contract, it's enormous. They knew this one. when they acquired him and signed him from Dallas when they got in the trade last year,
Starting point is 00:22:23 they knew his salary for next year was going to be tough to take at $20 million, which he's going to make in 2024. It's hard at that age, late 20s to justify. He's a good player. Look, he's certainly good. He showed up last year. I thought he had the attitude. You know how he would drop off and drift with Dallas and be maddening?
Starting point is 00:22:43 actually I know they're pretty happy with them. Yeah, no, they should be. The question is, going forward, let's start with this season, we'll talk about dynasty in a second. What's it going to look like this year? Jonathan People's Jones is on the final year's rookie deal. Senator Tillman is going to take his job.
Starting point is 00:22:57 If it's not this year, it's next year. Yeah, could he take Cooper's job? Sure, but in 24, but to me, for this season, Timon's going to push People's Jones. I get it, that he's a shot play guy, the issue that people have when he's not consistent People's Jones. It's just been his
Starting point is 00:23:14 he's like a shot play guy and a make a play and you won't hear from for a while. That's why Tillmore would be able to push him. People's Jones clearly the favorite doing the job, but Tillam could push him and take it wouldn't surprise me at all. And Alagamore is a Z receiver. He's a move guy.
Starting point is 00:23:31 He's terrific. He's now at qualified quarterback. Ironically, maybe he didn't really know that they were going to go on Aaron Rogers with the Jets because I mean, you have to asked him who'd rather play with, but now he's with Cleveland. And my guy Tillman and Marquis Goodwin does one thing to get run.
Starting point is 00:23:50 David Bell is a possession guy and Joku, who's really had a breakout season. That's a really good past target group, but I know why, and now I know why you're so high on Watson. Oh, yeah. And then the final point is, I don't think they're doing much else in the backfield. Jerome Ford locked in and he's unproven, but maybe they move away a little bit from the run and throw it more simply? We'll throw the ball more.
Starting point is 00:24:16 There's no doubt. I remember when I told you last summer, don't worry about Jerome for this season. He could be the two next year. Yep. Well, here we are. He's not coming back. I don't know why they brought back to Ernest Johnson.
Starting point is 00:24:28 That made no sense. That was a mistake. They shouldn't have brought him back. Oh, they don't. Oh, you're talking last year. Yeah, I don't know why they did that. Right. Now, I would not rule out them in Santa Gavarron
Starting point is 00:24:40 just for death because if you're a child, gets hurt. It's for the Felton's a also receiver. We'll see what they do with him. John Kelly. I'm saying, I remember John Kelly when he was the thing with the Rams five years ago. Oh, I know. I know. But there was a moment where we kind of
Starting point is 00:24:56 were intrigued by that guy, but that moment has passed. Let's go to the AFC South. You and I this morning, actually, we're recording us on Wednesday afternoon, May 24th, but this morning you and I talked with a Texans beat reporter. He's with me on Tank Dell being really intriguing.
Starting point is 00:25:12 but, you know, not even ready to go on anything close to a limb on John Mechie, who's dealing with a hammie. But he did tell us to keep an eye on Noah Brown, who they brought over from Dallas. So overall, they've done a nice job. They have a plan. O-line continues to get upgraded. So, yeah, solid vibes here for Domeko Ryans. We'll see about Bobby Sloick and how well he does,
Starting point is 00:25:39 the first-year guy here, play caller. but overall look they've done a nice job it's been a very successful offseason for the texas yeah they've nick to sarah the jam he was handed a tough card three years ago and he had he had not done a very good job up until this year but he shuffled the deck very aggressive in the draft and they brought demico ryan's in who's obviously a homegrown player and demico's a outstanding coach he brings in a guy that he worked with with a knowledge of bobby sloak this is from talking of people work with sloick nick he's a smart guy this he's a smart guy this he's a might be a little bit early for him to be a coordinator to call plays.
Starting point is 00:26:15 He's at his mid-30s. This is an enormous job for him. He's got to develop C.J. Straub. They've got a sort of an interesting past target group. It's certainly below average, but matching, you have no idea what he's at. I know they're happy with his coming back from his illness, and that's great. But now it's got a hamstring problem, and they're going to get him ready for training camp. They're going to shut him down, more of us, let him rehab.
Starting point is 00:26:41 Robert Woods is a Z receiver. Collins will be their X. Dell and Woods will play the slot. Woods can play anywhere, but he's better Z. And then Noel Brown's a guy that, you know, he would flash every once in a while. I'm never the most consistent guy. He stayed around forever with Dallas.
Starting point is 00:26:58 It's an okay group. And of course, they got Dalton Shirts a little bit later after food as he started. It's not a bad group, but it's okay. But to me, it's about running the football here. And by the way, the Shanahan system always starts with running the football. Yeah. A little bit of a tougher schedule overall for Jonathan Taylor as an outline in Scott Barrett's SOS article up on FantasyPoints.com. But let's move over to Josh Downs and the Colts and their passing game.
Starting point is 00:27:26 And I kind of like Josh Downs. I think he'll play a lot right away. So any thoughts there off to a little bit of a good start? But, you know, it all comes down to Anthony Richardson for these cults. what do you think the timetable is? Is it like a one to two week deal? Or might they just give this guy the job? It's a tough call.
Starting point is 00:27:47 It really is. I can see both sides of this argument. Right. So it's simply going to be when they think he's ready. It's not, this is not like, you know, a guy that played three or four years, started three or four years where you kind of know, okay, we're going to wink, wink, let them compete, but he's going to be our guy week one. That's not the way to going at this.
Starting point is 00:28:07 In fact, that's why I was told me. Minshu sign there. I don't know. It's not that he knew Richardson and go there, but he felt that was their best chance because I guess if you're doing a little mock draft, you can say there's a real chance Richardson goes at Florida of the Colts.
Starting point is 00:28:20 Nobody knew this, but he made the right decision. At least Minchu will probably get a couple starts in, you would think. I'm not worried out week one, but he's got a lot of work to do, Richardson. He's very raw, needs workers with mechanics. You see some really good, it's not just the talent,
Starting point is 00:28:37 the size and the athleticism. It's enormous arm. When he's got himself right, when he squares his feet up, kind of like with Josh Allen, when Josh Allen struggled muddly with his accuracy, when he would get his feet line up correctly, you go, wow, that looks like an NFL quarterback. There's some stuff with Richardson off tape.
Starting point is 00:28:55 You go, wow. So it's just a matter of when, now, in a redraft, he's draftable, but who the hell knows? Now, if you're hopefully not drafting until August, look, if he gets off to a great start the first two weeks, there's a very good chance to start. But they understand who he is and what kind of work he needs. It's not going to happen overnight for him.
Starting point is 00:29:19 It would surprise me. It would be surprised me if he's ready for week one. Again, we're talking in May here, Memorial Day weekend. We haven't even gotten to the meat of anything yet, and we're certainly far away from training camp. But for Dynasty leagues, I've said this on our show. Top 10 quarterback potential will be top.
Starting point is 00:29:37 five upside. That's the crazy gifts that get out. And he's like, no offense to Jessel Fields, who I'm very intrigued with. This kid has got raw traits. Yeah. He's that gift. I have a bigger superstar star vibe on Richardson than I ever did on Fields. Jacksonville Jaguars, Calvin Ridley looking the part, if you will. He looks like Calvin Ridley out there. He's in shape. Yeah, he's in shape. That's the key part. It's a good part. So if we go the entire summer, and he's locked in, no real injury concerns. Are you good with Calvin Idley? Like, no lingering concern.
Starting point is 00:30:15 You know, before the gambling thing, remember how it just, it was really, there was something wrong with him that year? Yeah, he had like a personal issue or something. Yeah, and wasn't that to gamble? Was that the gamble? I don't know. I never heard the truth on that. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:30:32 Right. It was a disaster. I got to think he's taking care of himself personally. and gotten some help and on the right path. And right now it seems good. I'll have some pretty good sources with the team, so I'll know more as time goes along here. But the key thing here is, right?
Starting point is 00:30:52 That person is tremendous is calling the plays. You got really good last season in his role. Look, he's not a most consistent player, but did a good job in his role. Kirk was as good as we thought he would be. Everyone played, I don't think of his means by all the hype that I gave. of the guy actually turned out to be true.
Starting point is 00:31:09 And the fact that he didn't get hurt was shocking. So that four, oh, and you know what? They've got, I know he's not a guy you would draft, but Jamal, Igman could run a little bit. You know who's going to play a receiver for them? Do you remember Jacob Harris from the Rams? Yeah, tight end. Right, when they moved to tight end because he,
Starting point is 00:31:27 with his size, he's there too. This is a very good past target group, and their offensive line is, it's a little better on average, not great. It's serviceable enough. this is look there's no reason why Lawrence won't be top 10 perhaps top seven yeah all all in there Tennessee Titans I see my guy Tadje Spears already opening up some eyeballs in camp dude moves well you know we worry about the long-term health with the knee issues and the prior surgeries
Starting point is 00:31:59 but does look like he's a short-term guy here probably not going to hold a lot of value but the real question is if Derek Henry goes down again will it be a committee will it be Spears taking over or do they just default to Hassan Haskins? Haskins fits the least for this season. Yeah, true. Because Henry's there. They're not going to be pass happy.
Starting point is 00:32:21 I do expect them to pass a little bit more. Yeah. Haskins would fit the grounded out thing. Spears is sort of a tweener, but he's got juice. It would be a time share that I would now again, again, we're in May. I could change my mind, breaks on the information I get. because what I get now
Starting point is 00:32:37 in some teams is going to be a little different from what I get in August as you know work with me for over 20 years it's just a matter of when you talk to me because it's only what they know at that time and things will cover change
Starting point is 00:32:48 but... Sure, sure. But Haskins fit, he fits their mindset and I'm telling you for 10 fans, I know you're out there in 2024, this offense
Starting point is 00:32:56 is going to look different once they move on from Henry. From what I've heard, VARABOR's a little bit more forward thinking that you think, but again, he's married to Henry because Henry's there. You can't like,
Starting point is 00:33:06 You can't fail about 30 times a game with Henry there. That's just not going to work. Good vibes early on with Traylen Berks, at least compared to last year. He's in shape. He's not dealing with the asthma issue, so we're off the good start in 2023 with him. Over in Denver,
Starting point is 00:33:22 do you think Cortland Sutton will be on this damn roster by season's end? Well, we're not cutting them number one. And it's just hearing, I mean, hearing the head coach, Champagne, has heavy sane personnel. I'm going to trust what he said. And he was talking, but he didn't mention him by name, but the guy, whether it's Judy or Sutton,
Starting point is 00:33:44 but past this season, someone's got to go because you've got Marvin Mems, who I love for this draft, Judy, who should be with them for a while, and then you got Patrick or Sutton. One of them's going to have to go, and since you brought it up, and I always look at contracts, as you know,
Starting point is 00:34:04 Sutton, past this season, John, Yeah. It's just cap number of over 17 million. Yeah, he's done. He's got 2 million of his base salary becomes fully guaranteed, of his $13 million base salary becomes fully guaranteed, fifth day free agency. It's hard to imagine.
Starting point is 00:34:20 Now, if he blows, if he has a good year, Sean Payton will get the most out of this offense. And then Tim Patrick coming off the ACL, his cap number is just about $13 million for, and he's a possession guy. He doesn't run as well as Sutton. He has no guaranteed money. his contract 24.
Starting point is 00:34:37 Someone's going to have to go after the season. It's just not, you can't keep everybody. Jerry Judy entering year four, they already picked up the fifth year option. Is that a good sign? Yeah, I mean it's, yeah, it means he means what it means is he's going to be on the roster in 24 unless they trade him. Long term plans more so than Sutton. Yeah, well, yes, because they're locked into it unless they trade them.
Starting point is 00:35:00 He's, he's on the books for $13 million for $13,000 for guaranteeing right next year. Yeah. So they're not cutting him. He'll either be on the football team or they trade him. Were you surprised that they have not yet brought in another back after adding Samajai P-Rine? Yeah. Yeah. Just so you know, the veteran backs that are out there and their big names, the three guys.
Starting point is 00:35:22 Leonard? As you and I speak right now, Zique, of course. It's. Leonard. Cream Hunt. And it is actually the morning of three. It's Hunt for Nat Elliott. And then there's Mark Andrew who,
Starting point is 00:35:37 did he retire? I think he retired, right? Who knows? I mean, it seems like he's been in the NFL for 19 years. I thought he retired. Let me just double check. I thought he retired. Yeah, it sounds right.
Starting point is 00:35:49 It sounds right. I know he's. I know, he said, okay, so he's eager to play another season. I'm sorry. That's why I looked it up. I couldn't remember. I know he's quoted somewhere.
Starting point is 00:35:58 I can't remember. But, yeah, so he says he wants to play. So there's some names out there, And they're all size backs. Yeah. So, yeah, they really need to add and so in Denver before we move on. Because what you have is P-Line is a terrific third down back. Tony Jones, who obviously paid notes from the days in New Orleans together as size,
Starting point is 00:36:19 kind of baby former of Baltimore and the kid Patrick who did well in the XFL, I think, Jacques Patrick. Yeah. It's sort of a young journeyman. But that's it. Yeah, you're right. But again, remember, games aren't played until September. It doesn't really matter now if they bring anyone in.
Starting point is 00:36:33 They needed someone by training camp. Chiefs backfield. Basically, it's the exact same as last year. I don't know. Are they done adding dudes to the back team? I wouldn't surprise me because Pacheco had multiple surgeries, I believe. And then McKinnon has got a limited role, great at it.
Starting point is 00:36:50 Edwards will obviously not long for this team. The Michael Pilar won't go away. Well, yeah, would it surprise. The kid Prince, I know they're like of Tulsa, who's got some juice to catch the football. yeah we're not surprised me if they add one more veteran and we'll see how rachie rice and kedaris tony and skye more all work in here we have others in the mix mvs little justin watson richie james are going to hopefully not spread that ball around like majorly although there's a lot
Starting point is 00:37:21 of production to go around uh Vegas raiders the vibes are not great on devante adams here and I don't know, man. I don't feel good about it. Jimmy G. sure. Okay, it's not that big of a drop off from Derek Carr, but, you know, balls die down the field when you're throwing it and your Jimmy G. You know, what if Jimmy G. goes down again? Now it's Brian Hoyer.
Starting point is 00:37:46 I mean, is he 40, Brian Hoier? I know he's your friend. That was your buddy. He's like 37. It'll be 38 in the fall. Yeah, yeah, 35. Correct in October. So I would say,
Starting point is 00:37:58 with this saying, look, they're running the wing on offense. You know what you're getting. Two tight ends, two receivers. Third down, Renfro. Runfro, obviously, was a disappointing before he got hurt. It goes through Adams, and they're paying Jacobi Myers to be a slot. I know he could play the Z position. He's better in the slot.
Starting point is 00:38:18 He doesn't run very well, but he was productive. It's just a mess. Austin Hooper, you know, is there with an O.J. Howard. you know they're going to play a lot of 12. It's a runoff of the catch offense, as you said, because Guapo can't throw the ball down field very well. It's timing. And, you know, it's a shame because Adams,
Starting point is 00:38:39 despite his time speed, could go get the football. Yeah. That's it, man. There's a lot of running here with Jacobs. Yeah, a lot of running with Jacob. So I've actually, you know, when the season wrapped up,
Starting point is 00:38:51 my default thought was, you know, be careful with Jacobs. But, you know, he is on a franchise deal, so it is kind of a contract year still, definitely a contract here. And they almost have no choice, but to make the running game the major identity. I don't think that was their plan going in the last year,
Starting point is 00:39:07 but they saw the things get off to a slow start, and they saw Jacob bringing in and like, okay, all right, you're now our guy, Jacobs. So I think that'll, something similar will happen this year. For the LA Chargers, Austin Echler gets a little bit of a raise, which is good. So he'll be reporting to the mandatory OTAs and, you know,
Starting point is 00:39:28 presumably back and happy enough as he guns for a contract extension or a new contract with another team most likely. Still don't know about the backup situation there. That's a battle to be determined. I think Quentin Johnston, I didn't love this pick. It's a little redundant. Though I think he'll push Mike Williams off the roster pretty quickly. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:39:50 So let me go over, Michael. This is ridiculous. When I look this up, I'm like, this can't be right. But it is. So what happened was they were structured Mike Williams' contract in March to create Calface for free agency. So next year, John, because of his $17 million base salary, which is not guaranteed at all, $3 million roster bonus, and then the restriction, which crazes the cap number to go up, his cap number is almost a quarterback cap number, it's over $32 million.
Starting point is 00:40:21 Obviously, he can't come back with that. So they'd have to either extend his contract, cut them or trade them. They can't come back with that contract. So yeah, I could see Quinn Johnson taking his job next year, but here's the problem. You've got Keenan Allen now, who also has the same issue. His cap number is over $34 million next year because he also had a major restructuring. They lowered his cap number this year. Someone's got to go next year.
Starting point is 00:40:48 You can't keep both of them, and Quinn Johnson is the first rounder. He's got to get on the field next year. And they got a guy, Josh Palmer. So I'll say this much with Kevin. telling more. Now, they ran the ball a little bit more than you think last year. In fact, Dak only, he threw the ball for less than 33 times a game and maybe, with all the turnovers, maybe that was a good idea. But it's still with this receiver group and Eckler being your running back, it's got to be a spread. You got, they've got to use a third receiver.
Starting point is 00:41:14 And I know for years, I've said they don't use a third receiver. Maybe they'll do this year with a new play caller because they've got so many, plus Jared over, John, they've got so many past targets. Moving over to the NFC, we'll go. We'll go a little quicker here unless you really need to run at them or running late as always. This show is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy in the biggest fantasy football tournament of all time. Best Ball Mania 4. I know you know out there in podcast land. What best ball is.
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Starting point is 00:43:11 We just mentioned Kellyn Moore. Adam, as we get back into it here, Hanson's Hints, the week of May 22nd, we'll call it, even though this is the 24th, leading up until Memorial Day weekend in Dallas. We've talked about this on our YouTube page, the Town Hall series. Schottenheimer and McCarthy,
Starting point is 00:43:34 taken over the offense from Kellen Moore. So what does that mean? And we got to get another running back here in this running back room, right? Oh, yeah. I mean, Paul is on the tag coming off of major surgery, but they're expecting me ready for the season and for training camp, whatever that looks like.
Starting point is 00:43:50 Deuce Vaughan is too small He's a change-up He's under 5-6 So he can't be the two So yeah If they don't bring back Zeke I know they're not real thieves to do it They haven't completely shut the door
Starting point is 00:44:00 For that would make some sense They really need to get a back with size They're to compliment Pollard They really do The question is now Will he hold up for a full season Now when I say that Is he going to be the guy
Starting point is 00:44:12 Like what kind of volume could he handle? That's the question We just don't know that Probably not much more than last year Right. To me, he's in that, I would say 15 to 17 touches per game kind of guy. Yeah. But he's so unbelievably explosive and elusive. Guys are incredible, he's just so good. You know what's so funny that that was like the coaching staff. Remember talking the Memphis people? They were never talked to Tony Pollard. That's just really funny that they never talked about the guy.
Starting point is 00:44:45 He ended up being the best of the bunch between like Annie Gainwell and Tom. Donio Gibson and Pollard. FYI, I did speak with David Hellman, who worked for years for the Cowboy website. Now he was working for Fox Sports. His opinion on the tight end situation, a little bit of a committee here. So, I mean, you want to take a shot with Jake Ferguson as your third tight end and best ball five. I do think he'll hold more value this year than Luke Schoonmaker, but they did use a second round pick on Schoonmaker.
Starting point is 00:45:16 Giants. We talked with our guy, Jordan Renan, recently, about these guys. You know who I'm starting to warm up to? And look, these are all dart throws, but it was part of our convo with Jordan. How about a little Paris Campbell action? I've always thought he was very talented. He is coming off his best season.
Starting point is 00:45:37 He is arguably the most talented and versatile receiver in the core. What do you think? Yeah, I would say this with Paris Campbell. he's always had the ability to be a pretty good football player. It's just he's not been able to escape the injury bug until last year to a certain extent. Yeah, I mean, to me, he's a guy who could play inside or outside. He could play the slot. I remember talking to cult about him.
Starting point is 00:46:06 They saw him differently than the other teams did because a lot of teams pegged him down would be a slot receiver. They never saw him as that guy. They said he could play everywhere. Not more than X receiver, but he's got good enough size to play on the outside. All right. But look, Hodgens is there, Slatens their deep, is there, it will be their primary deep threat.
Starting point is 00:46:26 Hyatt will probably play behind him. He, who, all he does is run deep. You got Shepard and Robinson as slots. Kimmel could play the slide. To me, it's a wide, and then obviously got Waller. We'll talk about him in a minute. Oh, it's wide open, yeah, yeah. But it's totally wide receiver by committee.
Starting point is 00:46:42 It's a past target group by committee. Wall should be their number one guy. but now is that any catches and plus health was an issue with 31 years old? Is that 50? Sure. 60 or who knows? Paris Campbell, for what it's worth, he is like the cheapest. And he is also arguably the most talented and versatile.
Starting point is 00:47:02 No injuries have been a real problem. A good kid, by the way, I did interview him years ago at the combine. Real nice kid. But, you know, what do you think about Waller? I don't trust him after last year's debacle. Well, they didn't want him. The Raiders were trying to move him. So that tells me a lot.
Starting point is 00:47:20 Mm-hmm. Are you passing? Am I passing? On Wall. I'm going to be a chair, agnostic. Like, everybody's of value if he's in the 10th round, I'll take him. Well, let's say he's tight end seven off the board at 75, which is where he's at on underdog.
Starting point is 00:47:39 Probably not. Yeah. Right after, going off the board about 10 picks after Goddard. I mean, he was an absolute disaster last season. He turns 31 of September, which means whatever you are in August, that's what you're, it's a way to see you. So that other than Kelsey, they're not a lot of guys who get the job done in their 30s at tight end.
Starting point is 00:47:58 Right. Yeah. I'd probably pass. Philadelphia Eagles. I mean, a lot of continuity here, but, you know, why don't you break down this backfield based on early Intel? I would lean towards Swift, but it's going to be total committee. all the look gainwell is a guy that had a really tough summer came on late last season they know he's strictly a passing down back every once in a while go line guy which is comical because he was never that guy in Memphis you got Boston Scott the giant killer who's the highest paid running back of the team don't ask me why oh wow I do not know that yeah and trace sermon the staff loves him I apparently did very well in practice last season that's why they brought him back so it's going to be a committee Sherman's the big the biggest back of the group
Starting point is 00:48:44 if I only could take one guy, sum it up, I would want Swift. Now, the knock on this offense is the backstone caps the football. That's been a fact. Yeah. Now, will that change in our new offense coordinator, Brian Johnson, do call the plays at least one year at University of Florida? Don't know yet. Too early to know.
Starting point is 00:49:03 But why would you trade for Swift and not get into football in the past game? That's where he's pretty darn good. Yeah. You're also, when you have a running quarterback, oftentimes they don't get to that checkdown. I'm sure part of it. Jalen Hertz is just running. He's getting a rush with a throw, though.
Starting point is 00:49:18 He is. Oh, yeah. Oh, his downfield ball location this year was absolutely pristine. So you'd rather Swift at 71 overall RB22 than Rshod Penny at 115 overall, RB 37. So we're 35. five, let's say three rounds later. Not that bad.
Starting point is 00:49:50 See, it's one thing if, so this is the problem with the question. They're both on the same team. Yeah. Swift should be their lead back, and that could be 13 touches to Penny's 10. They don't know yet. You've got a new play caller.
Starting point is 00:50:05 You've got two new backs. They're going to have significant roles, so they have to figure this out. Oh, by the way, both of those backs I talked about of major injury history. Oh, Terry is way worse. Yeah, yeah. I think I'm going Penny here.
Starting point is 00:50:14 You know what's crazy stat? He's been, he's been available for. Think about that. Yeah, yeah. Also, like, led the NFL an explosive run rate last year. And now he gets a step up in supporting cast, if you will, better O-line. So, you know, we'll see. The guy has been a league-winning type in spots.
Starting point is 00:50:36 Oh, I mean, I'm not going to eat at how much money I won two years ago. And I made fun of them. if I ever meet him, I'm going to apologize a good dude, I know I shouldn't talk about this but you have more idea how your run two years ago with the Seahawks over that final, whatever was six games, five games where they had the NFL rushing.
Starting point is 00:50:55 Yep. In the N-FSC leagues, oh my goodness gracious. Because it was one of those, remember when they cut off your, I don't know what the week it is that you stop draft, you stop adding free agents. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:10 I just, he's like, look at one of them. I was kind of embarrassed to Adam because he never could stay healthy. I'm laughing every week. I'm like, when this is going to stop? This is unbelievable. He carried my teams, man. It was awesome. You got to love sports.
Starting point is 00:51:25 The Washington commanders, I don't really have it. There's no real insider notes here or anything. Like they are seemingly committed to Sam Howell, but if he stinks for a month, they'll, I think, quickly pull the plug because they're paying you. Kobe Berset a lot and Berset was very good last year. I mean, Berset is going to make a minimum of $7.5 million this season to back up. If he wants a starting job, he's got $2 million incentives. He can make, he can make like $10 million this season.
Starting point is 00:51:59 So yeah, you're right. The lease should be short. Yes, I fully expect how to start. But if he has a problem in training camp, now in his defense, remember the reason why he dropped from him with potential of being a second round pick to a fifth is because Dea Ami Brown, he's now playing with he left. You know, he went to the NFL and other players he played with were gone, and they didn't have a good past target group.
Starting point is 00:52:21 He forced a lot of throws that year at Carolina, North Carolina, and 21. So the upside here is McLaren, Dotson, Samuel, Chris Samuel, did a good job. DeAmy Brown is a four. Longhamie Towns is healthy. Colton is a slot tag end. They've got a really good past darker group. The problem, what you always have, the offensive line is below average, and that is a concern.
Starting point is 00:52:46 Chicago Bears, I know you like, you've apparently talked to people about Tyler Scott or scouting about yourself, but talk him and also talk about the backfield. Are we wide open here in terms of all the roles, really? I mean, you can't really narrow a roll down for any one of the three backs. Right. So as long as they don't extend Darnell Moody's contract, Tyler Scott could be a thing as soon as 24. And there's, remember, you've got a front office that inherited this player, Moody. We know he's been a nice player. It's done a nice job, but he's completely miscast as a one. He's not. He's a decent to live upside. So when we look at it, Tyler Scott is a burner. He could flat out fly.
Starting point is 00:53:32 The tape shows us from talking to scouting people. And in fact, a connoisseur's staying like he didn't go before Trey Tucker, who's the kid that the Raiders reached for in the third round. The Raiders. They're the Raiders. Boy, I don't know why they did that, but Tower Scott's a better football player. Overall, John, it's, look, you know what the past record group looks like.
Starting point is 00:53:52 It's more, it's more than we will be your starters. I don't know what they're going to have Claypool. He'll be on the team. We said at that time, we could not believe they get up a second. Most of you should have been up as a fourth, as a mistake. And then you got Colquette, who's their stationary tight-in, more or less.
Starting point is 00:54:10 and Tenyon, let's see how he looks in training camp. It's been a long time since Seattle City, he's never been the same. But overall, John, the past our group has actually developed now. It's not bad. I'm hoping they take the trading rolls off. Fields learning for the ball more. Is that that as embarrassing? To spend all that, as you know,
Starting point is 00:54:30 and still really good fantasy quarterback. Just think if they're running for the ball three to five times more per game, how good he could be. Well, hopefully it's not a scenario. Oh, we drafted Tyler Scott. We traded for DJ more. We've got a full year of Chase Claypool and Mooney, and we're throwing it 20 times a game.
Starting point is 00:54:46 Like we opened the season last year. In Detroit, they may not throw it as much as we're used to, that defense slowly improving and the strength of the team, once again, the running back room, David Montgomery, I actually liked this year. It is ADP, even more than Jamir Gibbs. But I want to talk about your guy, Josh Reynolds.
Starting point is 00:55:08 I mean, we're digging D.P. here but he does stand out to me like you're talking about a dirt cheap asset in a best ball draft right now who actually may you know deliver some returns I couldn't believe it I looked into it
Starting point is 00:55:23 he was like first four games before he got hurt he was like a wide receiver one last year in the show yeah and what I told people last year I'm going to say the same thing if you're struggling in a week in a week in around 15 or 16
Starting point is 00:55:38 don't take your kicker in round 15. Take Josh Reynolds. Why? He's no golf. They play with a round for like four or five years. They know each other. That's why, by the way, they claim the lawful over from Tennessee. I don't know how Tennessee you were thinking, but they didn't want him.
Starting point is 00:55:54 They said he didn't look good, but he's done a good job. He looks a little stiff, but he runs after the catch well. Boy, he'd get open. Ben Johnson got it, scheme them open. And Goff and Reynolds have good chemistry. And now with the situation with, James William said his suspension, the cut Cephas, they don't have the depth that they once had, and it's Reynolds.
Starting point is 00:56:15 It's Marvin Jones, who's older, and St. Brown, and who's terrific, and San Napal Porter, Ted in. But Reynolds, yeah, the fact, he had a bad back injury. He got over one injury and had a back injury. Unfortunately, he probably would have had a very good season. Probably had two different injuries. Very surprising stat here. And again, it's a smaller sample size with only four games.
Starting point is 00:56:35 But I mean, hey, four games is like 23% of the regular season. And this dude from weeks two, three, four, five was the wide receiver 16 with 14 yards of catch and a 71% catch rate. Wow. And so fantasy points than Debo Samuel, T. Higgins, Amon Ra, A.J. Brown, Mike Evan. I mean, Jamar Chase. I mean, yeah, produced Jamar. chase the first four weeks by significant margin so i'm not saying he's going to do that again but what i am saying is if you go 20 damn rounds take him as your seventh receiver in round number 20 or you know no
Starting point is 00:57:19 no worse than 18 uh and sam leporter are going to be involved here i uh you know i'm not going to let i'm probably going to let him go too even though i'm intrigued in his rookie tight ends and james is a detached tight end. He's a slot tight end. He's, he went, and I give the lines credit, he tours ACL. I believe it is funny year of Virginia Tech. Despite all that, they still draft him the fifth round, and he's a really athletic tight end who can move. He's a kind of a dynasty league alert. I get it. The Porter's there, but we'll have to see what this offense looks like now. Will it be as spread heavy as you were talking about maybe they won't be as pass happy with the defensive additions? Yeah. And being that they're not
Starting point is 00:58:05 a little deeper receiver, but there's a lot to like about this offense. And you could do worse than Jared Gaffin in two quarterback league as your second quarterback. Yeah, he's solid with Leporta, though. Rookie tied in. I know they need them and all that. He's an athlete, man. He can move.
Starting point is 00:58:22 I know. I know. But Shane Zilster will probably score more touchdowns than him this year. Or Brandon, yes. Either one. Right. Yeah, they'll trade for Brandon. Then Brock Wrong, aka Brock Wright.
Starting point is 00:58:35 He knows on that team real quick. Derek Dees' son, Derek Deerec's Jr. Wow. Derek Dees of the Niners? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Green Bay Packers, not a ton going on here. I love Jaden Reed. I love Luke Musgrave as a long.
Starting point is 00:58:49 I mean, there's no insider notes here in Green Bay, right? It's just a couple of concerns. And it's not about low as much as it's, they don't have one veteran past target. It's almost hard to believe. I know they're super big on building from within. But, man, I would help if they had that. They had some veteran pass catcher because it's Watson and Dobbs are second-year players.
Starting point is 00:59:09 Reed's a rookie. Wix is a rookie. Dontavian Wix is the fifth rounder. DeBose is the seventh rounders are rookie this season. They moved around from Tunian. Musgrave and Kraft are rookie tight-inster. Guarro's, he's going to be their right-tide-end. They don't have any veteran pass-catchers.
Starting point is 00:59:27 But the good thing, though, over time is a level of growth with these guys. He's, they'll figure it out. Watson and Dodd love that Dodds remember had a high. Bianca Sprangaster. Remember how good he was before he got hurt? Yeah, yeah. It's too bad. And green should be their slot. By the way, it's appropriate that Josiah Degora is a Y-tide end, because
Starting point is 00:59:46 when they drafted him, I asked myself, why? Why? Why do we do this? Why do we draft these hybrid tweener types? Yeah, that was a bad one. Minnesota Vikings, boy, it sure feels like Dalvin Cook is still on the move. I know it's a complicated situation
Starting point is 01:00:06 here, but heading into Memorial Day weekend, where are you with Dalvin Cook's prospects? ominous to be on the team. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. All right. There it is. So draft Alexander Madison over the Memorial Day weekend, right?
Starting point is 01:00:23 Right. And, you know, Madison signed a really nice contract. I don't know when they did this if they thought he might be the starter. I think they did. I think they did this with designs on letting finding a way out of the Cook deal? They guaranteed 90% of his, fully guaranteed 90% of his contract.
Starting point is 01:00:40 I mean, it's, yeah, wow. No, it's not a ton of money, but it's a really good, it's more or less a low-end start a high-end backup contract for a running back. It's a heck of a contract. They weren't in a great cap shape anyway. Yes, and they got Ty Chandler, who's kind of explosive back. And Dwayne McBride, who's an interesting back. I know he was drafted the seventh round, but he put up a ton of yards at UAB.
Starting point is 01:01:04 Yeah. So look, that's that's the group there, Drew Madison, who will start the way outside. Osborne will be the three. They're still bearing the secondary. I still see them throw a ball a lot. Oh, absolutely. Absolutely. I like Kirk more than last year.
Starting point is 01:01:21 Mm-hmm. Year number two. It wasn't, it wasn't unbelievably great, but the numbers were still really good for Kirk. Another 30 every year. NFC South, before we get to that, I did want to. let you know about our friends at the FFPC because these are great dudes. I know them well and their site, their company, rock solid. All FFPC tournaments are launched and drafting for 2020.
Starting point is 01:01:49 The only exception, the main event, slow drafts kickoff, July 4th. Really the place to play. I didn't do it up until a couple of years ago, but a friend of mine from high school here in New Jersey, shout out Mike Poreka. Won the national, won the whole damn thing about three years ago. One a half a million bucks.
Starting point is 01:02:11 He listens to us on Sirius XM religiously. I believe he's in like the pharmaceutical business. So he's in the car a lot. And yeah, he cleaned up. And, you know, thanks to him, I'm like, yeah, I've got to check this out. He goes, oh, it's so much better.
Starting point is 01:02:25 And it is. The FFPC now have two tournaments with $1 million grand prizes, FFPC main event and the Fantasy Pro Championship. Dynasty startups are filling daily as well. I'm in one starting at $100 entry all the way up to $5,000. Mine was $2,500.
Starting point is 01:02:42 And I think if I can win it this year, I think it's like $30 grand. The FFPC Bestball Tournament as well, $125 entry and Superflex bestball tournament for $35 entries. They're off and running. Go to myfPC.com for more, not to go off on a tangent, but let me give you to my team in this dynasty FFPC real quick. Because last year, I didn't do a great job.
Starting point is 01:03:10 I freaking took Johnny Taylor in the first round of a superflict. Which is dumb. It's dumb. Honestly, I got auto-drafted my next pick. Which was Christian McCaffrey. So, you know,
Starting point is 01:03:26 last year it was terrible. I made a run late and I just missed the playoffs because I did. You got the second round, though? What's that? You got McCaffrey in the second round. Wow. Superflex.
Starting point is 01:03:38 Super flex. Oh, okay. So, you know, it was Justin Herbert went like second overall. Okay. Here's the starting lineup. You tell me, man, 12 team PPR, America, and Superflex. Justin Fields, Christian McCaffrey, Johnny Taylor. I have in my flex.
Starting point is 01:04:01 a mandre. That's a pretty damn good trio. My Superflex quarterback is Danny Dimes. My tight end is elite in T.J. Hawkinson. I traded away the number one pick and rights to Bejohn Robinson or Anthony Richardson for C.D. Lamb. Why? Because I'm, I got a win now. So, and then Gabe Davis is my to I think that's a championship team and a Superflex. What do you think? Pretty good. Pretty good.
Starting point is 01:04:35 Got to win it here. Danny Dombs is your two. Is your second quarterback? Yep. Nice. Pretty good. I also have Mack Jones for what it's worth. I also, by the way, traded for our guy, Sky, more. Nice. Well, we'll see. He's in a past target by committee behind Kelsey.
Starting point is 01:04:52 So he's just guys to break out. Yeah, yeah, yeah. That's the problem in these leagues. You need, like, all your guys to be, like, big-time needle movers. I also have Darnell Mooney. Nice two, but you need a little bit more. Like you need
Starting point is 01:05:07 score much, unfortunately, is too small. Right. Well, at least have Gabe Davis here as much. That's a two I'll live with here in this league. Gabe Davis. Maybe he'll do what we thought we would do last year. Let's go. Moving on, moving on here, fella, the Atlanta Falcons, I don't have anything of note. NFL news-wise.
Starting point is 01:05:25 I mean, this is pretty straightforward. I'm just talking to a coach I'm pretty tight with, who offensive coach, he goes, you know, the history in our league is, he goes, other than he couldn't think of anything off. He goes, some of these backs come in the league who are great pass catchers and are leaded at it, you have to go to the right play caller for them to be used correctly.
Starting point is 01:05:47 I get, Arthur Smith has talked up Robinson, how they're going to use them. I get that. That's all great. That's to say it's one thing to do. It's another. Yeah. I'm not on Robinson, but. Arthur Smith has not really shown any imagination as a play caller. That's why the first is, you know, I mentioned I did a mock draft for a pro football network for the draft.
Starting point is 01:06:05 I said, this is the Falcons are the first team that will take, and that'll be the earliest to go. Yeah. Forfeit, running it. He's special. And they're in a rebuild anyway. So I get whether we do it. But I'm just not sold on Arthur Smith as a play caller that that, that, I understand, look, remember, he won in my other last year because he knew him.
Starting point is 01:06:25 they want to run the football that's all great so he's just got to prove it to me with Robinson I'm not I just from talking to this coach he goes look man he goes he knows he wished Robinson all the luck in the world he goes he just
Starting point is 01:06:38 if you just study these these super versatile backs like McCaffrey in college it doesn't always work it works when you get the right but think it's a slam dunk I'm not I'm not there I'm with you I'm with I've not drafted him yet I've had like three or four
Starting point is 01:06:54 opportunities. I just don't know what there's, it's, a lot of he's passing down guys, well, he's more of a three down back anyway, but they, they just don't get the numbers that they got in college because sometimes they're not with the right play call, but I'm going to go with an open line.
Starting point is 01:07:10 I'm not going to close my, you know, I'm not going to, if, you know, if I don't read you after, if Robinson's at three or four, obviously he's in the conversation, but you got to also see who else is there. Maybe, you know, to simply say, the coaches who don't use running back very well in the passing game. They're not great
Starting point is 01:07:26 maybe outside of the box thinkers. Yep. You know, just generally speaking. Carolina, Frankie Reich, I don't know if he's outside of the box, but I know that you know, I know it, you know it, I know, I know that you know that
Starting point is 01:07:42 they're feeling like Adam Theelin is going to be a little bit of a staple in the passing game with mingo lurking and also Miles Sanders, a true three down back. Yes. I told you two months ago. That's their thinking is that Sanders will be a three-down back.
Starting point is 01:07:59 Hubbard, as bad as he was in 21, boy, he looked good last year. He'll be a good handcuff for Sanders. Blackshare's the three. Theron should be more or less their top pass target. He's clearly doesn't run as well anymore. They kind of acknowledge that. They know every team look at the tape. They know he's a possession receiver.
Starting point is 01:08:20 Okay, well, that's pretty much. He's a professional receiver could age one. But now it's kind of like the routes are going to be very deep. He turns 33 years old. To me, it's a past target group back committee. Phyllis your one. You want to say Hayden Horse has come off surgery. Is your two okay?
Starting point is 01:08:40 Charges the three's come off surgery. Yeah. Mingoville for a redraft. I mean, the dynasty, that's a guy that one. This kid is real gifted. That's, that's, he is the apple of my eye for this passing game for the future, 24 and beyond. Yeah. Yeah, I like him.
Starting point is 01:08:53 A good kid. Pretty serious, but hey, nothing wrong with that. Not a charismatic guy. I do like the charismatic guys, but I also like the boring guys when they're solid. And that's Jonathan Mingo. And Miles Sanders, you know, catching a ball for Frankie Reich. New Orleans Saints. Well, this Alvin Camara stuff is, I just have a terrible vibe between the addition of Jamal Williams and Kendra Miller.
Starting point is 01:09:21 I just don't see a path for Kamara to be truly impactful. Considering the drop-off with short yardage and third down work, I mean, I am just not feeling it. But anything stand out to you with these New Orleans Saints? Breaking in a new quarterback, noted anti-Goo-right Derek Carr. Yeah, so the past ever grew up between a lot of right, Michael Thomas, if he even played 10 games, Rashid Shaheed was a nice surprise.
Starting point is 01:09:48 And Gerard Johnson was terrific last season. in his role. They were not fully committed to him, but they did this off season. They're paying him $6 million a year on a restricted free agent tender. Teams typically done extend contracts off that. So it tells how much they're working.
Starting point is 01:10:05 Fuss from Lowe's a good second tight end. Good offensive line. Look, the offense wasn't good last season, but the quarterback player wasn't good. Carr has got to be, I know Dahl did a nice job for what he is, but car is an upgrade. I get it.
Starting point is 01:10:22 He got banced. It was ugly. He's a better friend of mine now. He feels reborn, so to speak, with his coaching staff. I'm not boring, Sean Carr, but the past our group is good. Yeah, that's good. So overall, in 18 Penn, he's got, he's an interesting player, at six-rounder receiver.
Starting point is 01:10:41 And of late force as a jumbo receiver, this group, this is a pretty good past target group. Tampa Bay Box, will you please let the people know that the 10% Tampa Bay Bucks organization love our guy Rashad White like a son because that's my high character kid met him at the
Starting point is 01:11:01 Super Bowl's an upright guy, he's tall I get the data that's not good with him I think it's just more about the skiing the offensive level injuries Ryan Chanson's
Starting point is 01:11:12 significant knee injury play calling was bad that was bad they were doing the guard division they're going to have two new starters there they're going to have a new right tackle or left-ed, depending on where they line up. They're going to have female offensive linemen.
Starting point is 01:11:27 So that's going to take some time to develop. They got a new part-caller. I'm very optimistic. But the problem is it's not right. I'm not worried about a shot right. I'm worried about the receiver group because of the quarterback position. That's my problem. Yeah, I think Chris Godwin is going to be a centerpiece of the passing game, his inside,
Starting point is 01:11:45 outside versatility and all that. Mike Evans, I just don't know what to expect. You know, are we getting a lot? a lot of downfield air ball plays to Mike Evan. By the way, just so people know, Adam is always very hesitant. I do not blame him one iota for ripping people because he has to maintain these relationships and see these people.
Starting point is 01:12:07 I am in hand do not give a shit. I will rip anyone who I think needs to be ripped. That's a nice little balance right there. But bottom line, Byron Lefich last year, stunk. It was a struggle. It was painful. There have been some painful offenses.
Starting point is 01:12:26 You and I have worked together for 23, 24 years. That offense last year, even with the best of all time, Tom Brady, was my top five most tough to watch. Because you knew that, granted, we know the O-line had some problems, but we should be a lot better than this. No difference in the play. It was awful. It was awful. Shot play. Shot play.
Starting point is 01:12:47 Okay. Where's the intermediate pass-igate? They don't have one. There were a couple of plays where they gave Leonard DeBal. There was a Thursday night game, I think, where they gave Leonard the ball on like, I don't know, third and freaking seven or whatever. He tried to get the edge. And like, he didn't get there.
Starting point is 01:13:02 And I thought, Rashad would have, would have been a touchdown. Anyway, Arizona Cardinals, wow, that's another mess. Looks like D.Hop is not on the move anytime soon, right? I it's they couldn't work out of trade then they certainly don't look like they're going to cut him I mean the GM basically said he's going to be the rust because the cap that it's too significant I mean look I'll say this much if it stays the same Hawkins Hollywood Brown Rondell Moore I know he's a trade wreck because he's small and you worry about injuries and every once in a while he knows something he's just too small you don't draft five foot seven guys in the second round
Starting point is 01:13:45 that's just not what you do Michael Wilson who's not a bad receiver out of Stanford, who's the third rounder. And to me, they'll play a lot of 12 personnel with Ertz and McBride. Ertz has come back with the ACL injury. So they've got the ability to go from 12 to 11. They got a new play call on Drew Petzing, who's Kevin Stefansky's guy.
Starting point is 01:14:06 Stafansky, as you know, John, has been super big on 12 personnel. They run more 12 than pretty much most teams. So I expect them to be heavy 12, but they have the ability to go 11 when they want to. Don't ever. a 5-7 receiver ever again. Yeah, I don't know what they were thinking
Starting point is 01:14:22 going to second round with that guy. I'm even talking fantasy people because I was never into this guy, Rondale. Morrised to yell, help me, Rondale, help me, Rondale. No, no help, get them out of my lineup. San Francisco Niners, again, it's pretty much status quo here
Starting point is 01:14:42 other than the quarterback situation. I asked you this question this morning, actually, but I'll do it again here. might we get to a point in August or July where we actually have a even winner take all kind of battle or have they already mentally handed the job to Brock Purdy? They're handed him the job to party. Now, if he has a bad thing you can practice, you have to do the right thing.
Starting point is 01:15:08 Because Lance, mechanically, he's better. He's got enormous talent. I know he's raw. I get that. They obviously loved him because there's Kyle's call. And they traded up significantly for Tray Lance. I know that party all of a sudden because he's his leader and he processes well as a guy. But he did it for less than half of a season.
Starting point is 01:15:30 There's a reason why he was the last pick of the draft. He was best at Iowa State. He's a smaller guy. Doesn't have a good arm. Just enough to get a 2025 yards downfield. It's a space creation offense. I get all that. But asking him to do this for a full season,
Starting point is 01:15:47 I'll believe when I see it. I'm not sold on them for a full season. It's a great story. This is one of those stories that knowing and scouting believe because more people in Scouting on the National Football League did not believe in Brock Pardial. I'm being kind. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 01:16:01 It's a great story. Look, it's an unbelievable story. They look how far they got it. How did he not gotten hurt? They're going to be in Philly. Well, we'll see. Sample size doubles this year, basically. I love my thought on Trey Lance, by the way.
Starting point is 01:16:16 Lance needs to answer the best. And then we play the Pulp Fiction sound drop. F you, Lance, answer. If you're a fan of Pulp Fiction, you love that line right there. And if you're not, then you don't know what the hell I'm talking about.
Starting point is 01:16:32 Seattle. Well, we don't like the schedule, by the way, for these guys. Scott Barrett's analysis there looks a little dire. But also looking dire is Jackson Smith's and Jimba's chances of
Starting point is 01:16:47 hosting massive digits unless there's an injury yet people are still drafting him like he's a two-year pro bowler. I don't get that. Yeah, look, the passing game goes through Lockett and Metcalf. We know that. Now, Smith and Jigba, because of Lockett's contractual situation, could be his replacement next year. That I could definitely see. Because if you look at it, Lockett is signed, holy smokes, through 25, his base salary, and there's no
Starting point is 01:17:16 guaranteed money in 20. is 15.3 million. He's got a roster bonus of over 7 million due to the fifth day of free agency. And he turns 31. Wow, 31 in September. I remember his dad, Kevin. Of course.
Starting point is 01:17:32 I think I had him as a sleeper in 1997. Yeah, there you go. By the way, by the way, you might enjoy this little nugget, but I looked into it, Tyler Locke's rookie year, because I happened to notice him lining up opposite Rashine Mathis. And I'm like, wait a second.
Starting point is 01:17:55 I think Rashine Mathis played against Kevin Lockett and he did. How about that? By the way, I would not agree with the schedule. Look how good the schedule for the Seahawks is passing the football. Rams are terrible. But I'm not talking about running, running.
Starting point is 01:18:10 Oh, I was going to say, because it against the chance. Oh, my God. It doesn't get any better than this to start the season. No, no, no. For the run, it doesn't look good. Six out of the first seven games were very favorable for the past. Now, against the run, yeah, I would say you're right, the Giants, the Panthers.
Starting point is 01:18:26 Bengals are pretty good. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I can see that. Rams are good usually. Rams have been actually good. Yeah, but they could be a map. Titans are good. I don't see it. Not this season, I don't.
Starting point is 01:18:40 No, no, no. No. By the way, you'll see when we launch the fantasy point. Data Suite and all that. You know what I said about Kenneth Walker last year? It was a tough call because, I mean, I see the kid moving like electric, you know, but, and I love that. But, you know, who was up there like top three and stuff percentage?
Starting point is 01:19:05 Ken Walker. Yeah. So I stopped. I know. He's because remember, he was a Wake Forest transfer to Michigan State. He only did well one year. and I don't see I don't think he's devolved enough yes he's exciting to watch yeah but they had to add a second back now did they have to add a significant piece of the second round sharp sharp is my favorite back for the draft I love the guy really it'll be a one two punch I'm interested to see what we're doing on third down among all running backs with at least a hundred carries Walker per fantasy points data second worst stuff percentage behind only james Robinson.
Starting point is 01:19:48 That's not good. Not good. Yeah. That would worry me a little bit. Sure. Yeah. Yeah. Well, especially now, maybe you can get better,
Starting point is 01:19:56 but especially now because they drafted another guy to have fewer stuffs, I guess. Well, the Rams, where are you with the Rams? Where are the Rams? It feels like they're in a decent place, but they are freaking mess roster-wise. Well, here's the, that's it. So their offensive line could be really bad. No boom coming off of their left-hand from a, serious injury. Stephen Vial is a more of a power blocker.
Starting point is 01:20:22 Roar guards open. Havenstein's back for another year. He's been there for a long time. Van Jefferson is such a shame he got hurt last year. They really thought he was going to be a breakout player. Yeah, I like him. Yeah. He's a shot play guy, believe we're not. He's not bad, like, again, you know, 209 picks into a draft. Not a bad dart throw there. Yes, so they're kind of, and two to act well.
Starting point is 01:20:48 Not a small receiver. What a mistake that was. Yep. Cam Acres gets her approved. All camakers. It's all cams. They're in the most amazing stories. And as long as I've worked with you in over 20 years, I've never said anything like this.
Starting point is 01:21:01 The team couldn't give them away. So they wouldn't cut it. They came close to doing something, and then they backed off of cutting them. And they just stayed, all right, we'll keep them. They all over anyone else. Colin Williams was miscast. That was over. After half a game, that was over.
Starting point is 01:21:16 they know what's it mac brown was this what's that guy's name mac brown that running back power back oh malcolm brown yeah Malcolm brown so it's Kim acres and oh boy he had a major improvement they dressed at Zach em's a bigger back but he was in the six round and oh it's cam makers you're right i'm feeling it I'm feeling it that'll wrap it up here a little longer than we expect the hour and 20 minutes probably another 40 minutes longer than we expected but we can't help ourselves. Too much information. So we'll wrap it up here. We'll get
Starting point is 01:21:49 Mr. C back periodically. You're going to be doing your training camp tour and all that good stuff. So make sure you stay subscribed to all the podcasts. Follow Mr. Kaplan on the Twitter at Kaplan NFL. And we'll wrap it up here. For
Starting point is 01:22:05 Adam, I'm John. Thanks for listening. We'll catch you next time at Fantasy Points.com. Thanks for tuning in to this edition of the Fantasy Points podcast. Remember to subscribe, rate, and review on your favorite platform. And come join the roster at fantasy points.com.

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