Fantasy Football Daily - Sharp Week 11 Wagers + Trey's Slop - "Diddy" or Didn't He Cook Up a STINKER | NFL Best Bets

Episode Date: November 14, 2024

Welcome to NFL Best Bets, the ultimate guide for NFL betting enthusiasts! Join seasoned betting experts Joe Dolan and Tom Brolley as they break down the week’s matchups, analyze odds, and share their top picks to help you cash in on Sundays. But that’s not all—each week, they’re joined by their good friend Trey, the lovable degenerate who’s notorious for making the worst bets imaginable. Will Trey finally beat the odds, or will his bad luck streak continue? Tune in for expert advice, lots of laughs, and the occasional train wreck as Trey tries to redeem himself. Proud part of Pantheon Sports Where To Find Us http://twitter.com/FG_Dolan http://twitter.com/TomBrolley http://Twitter.com/TreyKamberling Find Our Podcasts Here - https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/podcasts#/ 2024 Dynasty Video Playlist - https://youtu.be/KthPmbCI0PA?si=wzNG-dm6vfPojE68 Use promo code - SCOREMORE for 10% off of your subscriptions Subscribe to FantasyPoints for FREE - https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

the best best program here at Fantasy Points YouTube, Fantasy Points Podcasts and the Best Betts Podcasts feed. Make sure you subscribe. Please rate and review the Fantasy Points Best Betts podcast feed. We appreciate five-star reviews. Matter of fact, I think we'll have good friend Trey set up some sort of sweepstakes in the off season for anybody who leaves a five-star review. We'll get to that point. First Tom Brolly, though, got to recap week 10. The world is committed. to me being the world's most mediocre gambling. Well, you did better than me then. Okay, all right, I did better than you did.

But I'm going to sound like John Hansen, the guru right now, complaining about my bad beats. I'm going to, oh, you know, if we've got one yard here and the, Justin Herbert runs for a touchdown, throws a touchdown, has a touchdown, two touchdowns thrown that are dropped by different tight ends, one by Hayden Hurst, one by Will Disley. The Atlanta Falcons minus three. I was on this one with you.

I was so mad about this one. Marquez Valdez Scantling goes for two touchdowns. Back from the dead, MBS. That is the fault of the Atlanta Falcons defense, okay? You're getting two touchdown by Marquez Valdez Scantling. That's on you. Young Way Coo, Tom. have the Falcons minus three.

They lose by three. A field goal is worth three points. Yes, last I checked. Young Waku missed three of them. He never misses either. No, he's now up to seven misses on the year. And now Arthur Blank, he's missed four of his last, actually he's missed five of his last seven field goal attempts.

So, uh, ooh. Maybe he needs to change that. stance. He like takes that like direct like right behind the ball instead of, uh, you know, a few more steps over to the left. Maybe, maybe he needs it. Maybe I need to coach him up. Give him a couple pointers on how to kick field goals. T. Bro, that was, that was, uh, I mean, the Falcons deserve to lose that game, but I feel like I was on the right side. Like they were the better team. But they still deserve to lose the game. Anyway, onward and upward. I am still over 500 on the year. I think, uh, good friend Trey, after seeing,

the ball go through the net last week. He's back to his old ways. We'll get into it with him, but he had a tough one. I thought he was going to get there. That game really took off last week. We crushed it last week on the Thursday night game, Joe. At least we both had the Bengals, right? That was a

super play. Yeah. We had to sweat it out. Six and a half, plus six and a half. Thought we were going to lose by the half a point, but we ended up getting that. I had Jamar Chase. He tripled up his over-under total. You should have laddered him.

Yeah, I guess I should have. But so Thursday night was really good, but the rest of the weekend was a tough one. That was finished, I believe, four and six on the player props for the week and one and three on the ATS picks. So I guess I was due for a little bit of regression. It was, we've been running hot here the last five or six weeks.

So as soon as you start talking about how well you're doing, it always comes back. And so taking a, we're taking a little breather here. Hopefully recharge the batteries. come out a little stronger here this weekend. Let's get into the Thursday night game for the second consecutive week. It's a hot one. We've got the Eagles hosting the commanders at home.

The Eagles are three and a half point favorites, Tom. You have a play on the side here, which is interesting. Eagles by three and a half against the commanders, and I think the Eagles health probably plays into that. Their entire roster is healthy for this game, including Jordan Milata, the left tackle. He will be returning. so their entire starting offensive line is back.

They will have all 53 players available. Of course, only 46 of them can be active on game day, but they will have everybody available for this game, Will the Eagles. Yeah, but I still like the commanders here getting me the three and a half. I just like getting that extra hook here. I do feel like this could be a close game. And I was impressed. They played my Steelers last weekend.

I had the Steelers in my ATS picks and got a win there, but I was very impressed by the commanders overall. And that was one of Jane Daniels' worst performances of the season. So they're feisty here. I know I think we're getting the hook here because these Thursday night games can be a little tough on these first time quarterbacks, first time coaches in these situations. So we have Jane Daniels playing for the first time in a short week. So I think that might be a little bit of the factor here for why we're getting three and a half. But, you know, Philadelphia has looked really strong, obviously.

they crushed Cooper Rush last week. But this has been a pretty easy stretch they've had since the biweek here. So I think this is kind of a Peruvic game on both sides. Commanders haven't faced the toughest schedule up to this point. And same with the Eagles here. So I'm really fascinated to see this game on Thursday night. But I do like getting the field goal and a hook here on Thursday night football with the commanders. Well, I have an easy prop here, and this is just one of those props that I think you can bet it every week,

and you're probably going to come out ahead in the long run. AJ Brown, over 80 and a half receiving yards. Now, I don't know where that number is gone. I hit it right when they announced that Marshawn Latimore was not going to play for the commanders. The commanders traded for Latimore at the deadline. He's now missed two straight games. AJ Brown, so look, Tom, he's the kind of guy who can hit this on two catches. He had a big game against Dallas last week.

He went up in over 100 receiving yards last week, despite Jalen Hertz throwing just 20 passes. A.J. Brown has started and finished five games this year. He's gone over 84 receiving yards in all of them. So against Washington, they think it's an exploitable secondary. They went out and got more Sean Latimore. I'm just locking in A.J. Brown over the 80 and a half. I think that's a number that I am much, much, very, very happy. to attack. Devante Smith is minorly dinged up. He's been dealing with a hamstring injury. Jalen Hertz might have to throw the ball a little bit more in this game. The Eagles are one of the run heaviest teams in the league, but if the commanders keep it competitive, as the point spread would indicate, then Jalen Hertz might have to drop back and throw it more.

I was about to say that's been kind of the issue here the last couple of weeks. He's still gotten put up big numbers here, but the passing volume in the Eagles offense has been really limited here because of how badly they're beating teams and how much they've been able to run Sequin Berkeley every week. So if we just get like a semi-competitive game here, maybe we'll just get more passing attempts and more opportunities for A.J. Brown. I thought this was just like a really simple sell here. Like A.J. Brown overs until until they price them too high for A.J. Brown overs. Oh, and on top of that, talk to Brett Whitefield on the radio program, a series XM radio program yesterday's show. He said like Jalen Hertz had that

game against Tampa where he didn't have AJ Brown or Devonte Smith to throw to. And he said, obviously Hertz was bad in that game, but Brett seems to think that like almost forced him to play a different way. And now he's seeing the field better with the exception of that second quarter against Dallas where nobody can see the field because the sun was in everybody's eyes. That's my favorite new recurring bit in the NFL. Don't go left to right in the 430. window in Dallas because you will get blinded. Anyway, so J.Len Hertz playing better. A.J. Brown up and over this number in all of his healthy games this year. The commander still don't have Marshon Lattimore. That is my rationale. Give me the A.J. Brown over. I'd probably bet this up to

like 85 and a half, quite frankly, Tom. I got a good number on it. Yeah, I like it. I rode the AJ Brown overs for quite a few weeks in a row until he picked up that knee injury in the one game. and I've shied away last week, but I'd like AJ Brown's over so far this season. I'll come up with some sort of prop. I looked at them hard here for about 20 or 30 minutes before we recorded the podcast and couldn't quite find anything I liked, but I'll study up again tonight after the podcast

or by tomorrow morning and I'll come up with something. So check back on this site and I'll cook up a prop here for Thursday night football. We're going to go take a step aside, listen to our sponsors. Then we'll talk about what we'll talk about what we like on the Sunday and Monday night slate of the week 11 NFL schedule. T-bro, I've got a first here on the Best Betts podcast. I don't think this is tray-level sicko, but I've got a first on for my best bets. This is pretty much even odd, so I doubt it's sicko. Okay. I got a teaser. Oh, I got a teaser. Teasers. Oh, boy. Now, I am not.

I got to say, Joe, teasers have been pretty shaky so far this year, at least earlier in the year. The first eight or nine weeks, because so many underdogs were kind of spoiling the party, but they've been kind of hot here the last week or two. We had a lot of favorites the last couple of weeks. What if we played a teaser against good friend Trey's home team underdog a few weeks ago? We wouldn't even be doing this podcast anymore. We'd be able to hire somebody else to do it. So, no, I got a teaser.

and I've got two teams who are underdogs in different situations, but I just really like the situations that they're in. First, your Stee's, the Pittsburgh Steelers, catching three at home from the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore's secondary has been abominably bad. Russell Wilson and George Pickens with those moonballs. They go out and get Mike Williams who catches moon balls, and all of a sudden this passing game has some juice.

I know Najee Harris is dinged up. Jalen Warren fumbled last week, but I actually think this Ravens' outside funnel defense is a great matchup for the Steeler offense. I know the Steelers lost Alex Highsmith. He's going to miss a few weeks with that ankle injury, but I still feel like their defense can hold up. So I like the Steelers,

and I'm teasing them to plus nine. Okay. I'll jump in here because I have bets on both of your teaser here. So I'm always, I'm always. On the Steelers side on this one, I was able to get three and a half earlier in the week. So I'm with you on this one. This is a series that's constantly close here. Actually, Steelers have kind of dominated it recently here.

So we're always looking for points in this matchup. And I have a George Pickens prop as well in this game. As you said, the perimeter funnel here for these passing games. His number, I think is 66.5 or 68 and a half. his receiving guards. I like that up into the mid-70s there. Yeah, it's 66 and a half. So yeah, I like the Steelers side a lot in this one. This series has been nipping tuck. And as you said, High Smith is expected to miss the next two to three weeks. But they're supposed to get Herbig back. So he's been out the last couple of weeks. So they also traded for Preston Smith the last week at the trade deadline.

So they have some reinforcements here. So look, I like this. I like the Steelers side in this teaser. All right. So I have the Steelers teased up to nine. It's a six point teaser, two team teaser. And the other one's not going to surprise anybody. It's Kansas City. They're catching two and a half in Buffalo.

Give me Kansas City teased up to eight and a half. And I have that teased with the Steelers at nine. I have Kansas City and the Steelers teaser minus 120 is the odds there. Look, I think Buffalo is going to win the game. I'm going to pick Buffalo to win the game. trust Patrick Mahomes to keep it within a touchdown. The Chiefs have that voodoo magic. And maybe, Tom, you know, we've seen these teams that have this magic that, like,

they just keep pulling out games where they're outplayed. Like, for instance, the Eagles last year, it all came crashing down on them in a hard way. But I just have a very hard time believing that it's going to crash down on the cheap. Even if I don't think they're the best team in the NFL, and I don't. But even if I don't think they're the best team in the NFL, they have earned the benefit of the doubt. Josh Allen did not play well last week. He was able to hold on for a victory. Of course, that's because they were playing in Indianapolis and Joe Flacco, who has since been benched. Patrick Mahomes, getting eight and a half in a teaser. That's just way too much. So I have the Steelers teased with the

Chiefs. Steelers plus nine Chiefs plus eight and a half. That is one of my best bets for the week. Oh, I see. This is the leg I would be worried about. I'm on the bill side in this one. I gave this out at the beginning of the week. Minus one and a half on the bill side. I think it's the best numbers are out there is two. It's two, two and a half out there. I feel like I could see a blowout coming here. I don't know.

I feel like all the regression for the Chiefs might hit all at once. So this would be the one. That's what I'm hoping against. Yeah, this is the side that worries me a little bit more. Denver was able to actually throw the ball down field on them last week as well. Cortland Sutton. you know, was bacon. I think it was McDuffie on the outside for the first time.

So their left tackle, Wanya Morris got banged up in that game. And the Broncos had a lot of success attacking that left side of that offensive line. So I kind of feel like a big performance might be coming from the bills. Then again, yes, any Bills fan, the chiefs always have their number, especially in the postseason. So we'll see how this one shakes out. I like the Bills.

laying the points here. So this is the one leg of the teaser that kind of scares me a little bit. I already told you, I think the bulls are going to win the game. Mm-hmm. So, I mean, you got it at one and a half, right? Yes. So, I mean, presuming the bills win by anything outside of just one point.

One score game. We're going to middle this. Yeah, let's get a little middle on this one. Yeah, I just totally think that this is Kansas City. I'm just, I'm going to be a complete square and I'm going to tease Kansas City to eight and a half. look, I think you've made a lot of money in recent years. Not so much on betting the Chiefs when they're favored,

but when you bet on the Chiefs when they're underdogs, I think that's where you've made the money. In the few instances that you've been able to do that, you've won some money on the Chiefs. I wrote them last postseason. Last post season, they were underdogs quite a bit and all the way to the Super Bowl there, and they cleaned up as underdogs.

So yeah, this is a spot. They like to relish and they come through quite a bit. So it might be eat my words in next week's podcast, saying that I could see a little bit of a blowup spot here for the bills. But we'll see how it plays out. Somebody needs to knock the chiefs down a peg. We need the AFC to be at least a little bit competitive down the stretch here. I want Buffalo to win the game just for from a fantasy perspective because I don't want the chiefs to have a three game lead on effectively the entire conference. That's not good for competitive balance.

That's not good for our game and our sport. So no, like I want both. And I think Buffalo's going to win. I think Buffalo's the better team. But I'm just saying. Roger better send the, the good refs up there for Buffalo this weekend. Oh, yeah.

Let's get some calls. Let's all the calls have been going for the Chiefs all season. Let's get a couple for the bills this weekend. So I have another one. And look, my first two, again, I like to say I'm the most mediocre gambler on planet. Or if we have the world's most mediocre and the world's worst gambler on this show. And Tom, you're just a decent gambler. So you kind of, you kind of, I'm the equilibrium between you and

friend tray my best bets are i believe i am 16 and 15 on this podcast this year that is a winning record a winner yeah um but the juice you're probably about even though but yeah well yeah but you know hey i'm having fun a lot of the times i'm just going with my gut feeling on this looking at the numbers but i also read every word that comes across my desk and i put that into my best bets as well i'm going with josh jacobs oh you've got a josh jacobs too We're got a super bet here. Over 65 and a half rushing yards. Green Bay has, this is from our guy, Scott De Benedetto,

who's a former NFL scout who does our offensive line, defensive line matchups column at Fantasy Points for Fantasy Points Subscribers. He is fourth in the league in rushing yards at 762. The Packers have the fourth overall yards per carry. They're the six best in zone yards per carry and the ninth best in man. So he thinks that this is an exploitable matchup against the. the Bears. The Bears have been terrible against the run. Fifth worst yards per carry allowed. The eighth worst against man gap scheme runs. Jacobs, like, they can't defend the run on either

concept. Jacobs has been good in both concepts and Green Bay is a heavy favorite in this game. I know Josh Jacobs is dinged up. That's the problem. But I feel like this is a number he could get in the first half with Jordan Love coming off that groin injury. Give me Josh Jacobs over, 65 and a half, yards. Yeah, I'm on this one too. I didn't realize he was on the injury report here. Okay, yeah, he's got a quad injury that he's showed up for. He's been dealing with it, I think, for a couple of weeks. They're coming off their by, so you would think that this is about as healthy as he's been as well. So, you know, that's one of those. I'm, you know, obviously a little bit worried that he's on the injury report, but maybe we'll get a full practice on Thursday or Friday to, to, you know, ease some of those concerns. I did see Marshawn

Lloyd is also kind of trend towards being back. That is. A small concern. I don't think he is going to have a major role in his first action. I mean, Jesus Christ, he's barely even practiced or played. So I can't imagine he's going to jump right back into a big rule. But I did see that he could be back in the mix. We also have to look at the other side of the ball here with the Chicago Bears' offense. I mean, they haven't been able to sustain drives all season long.

They had to go fire their offensive coordinator this week. So, you know, we saw the Patriots had the ball all. game last week. So that's just going to give Josh Jacobs more opportunities to carry the ball. So I'm with you on this one. You laid out the numbers there. This is the defense that's been getting crushed by the run all season long. Nobody wants to, you know, this is more of a run funnel defense. They have a pretty good secondary. So I'm with you here on Josh Jacobs over his rushing guards. Yeah, I mean, Tom, that honestly, my biggest worry here would be that Josh Jacobs, he's got that quad injury and

Chicago just can't keep pace. And they're like, Manuel Wilson, we'll get Marshawn Lloyd in there. You know, let Lloyd go crazy. So that's my really my big concern. Yeah, I was on a close to hitting in the first half. I was on a sick one Berkeley prop last week. I think it was 88 and a half yards.

And yeah, the game just got so lopsided that they basically put them on ice for the last 20 minutes of the game. So yeah, that would be the concern here that the bears don't keep it close. But I think they, you know, this is, they're, they should get a little bit of a boost from the, the play caller change. But still enough here that we should be a pretty positive game script here for Josh Jacobs for most of this game. Do you have anything else on the Sunday Monday slate or is it time for us to welcome Good Friend Trade of the program? I got a couple more. Oh, geez.

Yeah, you're going deep into it this week. Yeah, I do have a couple of ETS. I went, I was like, there's a, this week's slate is awesome. So, and I wanted to give picks on the four big games. So, of course, we have the Thursday night game, went with the commanders on that one, have the Buffalo Bills minus one and a half against the chiefs in the four o'clock window. Steelers plus the three and a half.

Now it's down to plus three in the one o'clock window. So let's close it out with a little Sunday night action. I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals plus two and a half. That's what I gave it out at. I like it down to plus one. And I think this should be a game that's closer to a pickum game. I loved what I saw from the Bengals last week. This is a team that's going to get T. Higgins back probably this week.

I shouldn't say probably with T. Higgins. It's looking like he should be back if he decides he wants to play this week. The Chargers have been kind of beaten up on some pretty blah teams, Tennessee Titans last week. They've gone against three teams with winning records. Obviously, the Bengals don't have a winning record, but I consider them a pretty good team here. But they've gone against Arizona, Kansas City, and Pittsburgh. And they have an 0 and 3 record against those teams. I classify Cincinnati among that kind of a group here.

So this is also a spot where we get the Bengals. A little bit of a mini buy off that Thursday night game last week, a little extra rest. So I think it's kind of lining up here for the Bengals have to shit or get off the podcast. at this point. They need to make a charge for the postseason. That's why I kind of like them last week, plus six and a half, almost got the job done. Couldn't convert the two-point conversion at the end of the game to get the wins. So I'm going back to the well with them plus two and a half. Maybe get a little taste of that money line as well. I'll give a little player prop as well for this game. Keep it coming, man. Yeah, if you want to do a little same game parlay here.

We're going a little negative here. We're always so positive on this show. I'm going to going to give out an under jk daubbins under 62 and a half rushing yards we haven't projected for 56 yards um last week we got gus edwards back in the mix he got a lot of carries right away uh even after a long layoff so uh his carry jk daubbins his carry share was down to 38 and a half percent last week with edwards back uh and is somebody that's had daubbins he you know he's been pretty good for fantasy the last month plus, but a lot of that is because he's been in a bell cow roll here. So if he takes some carries away, he's only averaging 3.54 yards per carry over his last seven games. So those explosive runs that he was ripping off quite a bit in those

first two weeks of the season, they've dried up here. And the Bengals run defenses is, you know, it's not like the best group, but, you know, it's above average, I would call it, 13th fewest adjusted yards before contact per attempt at 1.83 yards. And they're giving up the 14th fewest rushing yards per game to running backs at 91 per game. So I think it's kind of lined up here. I thought this number should be probably around where Chris Wecht has our projections around that 56 number. So I would not be surprised this does come down a little bit into the 50s. But yeah, I like J.K. Dobbins to disappoint a little bit here.

We're taking a rare under on this program at under 62 and a half yards. Our pal good friend Shrey came so close last week to fill in the slop bucket. But once again, it got poured over his head instead right before it got filled up. But he is not deterred. And we'll hear from him right after this. The losing streak is one. He broke it and then he restarted it. The world is cyclical. Good friend Trey typically loses, and he's back in the L column.

Good friend Trey, I am so sorry about last week. Your boy, Mike Gisicki, well, you're Gisick of it. After a Thursday night, four different Cincinnati Bengals catch passes. Mike Gisickey does not go over his prop. I am so sorry, my friend. And I believe you hit the other legs of your bet. Yeah, I hit four out of five legs But I will say like you said

I'm not deterred The bet was a turd though You know where I will say this Seeing what happened in that game If you told me hey by the way Jamar Chase is going to have 264 Receiving yards tonight

So you know If I had that information I would have assumed my parlay I was going to miss every leg But Joe Burroughs You know passing yards So I yeah I had Joe Burrow for 275, I think it was.

Yeah, Chase almost got it himself. Yeah, Geseki missed it by 10 yards. Otherwise, we would have had a nice little win. But nine targets, man. Nine targets. Just catch one more, man. Two on that last drive. Two on that last drive.

Oh, we had it. But again, I felt like the process was okay. The game didn't shake out the way I thought it was going to. And again, you get a guy like Jamar Chase, he just ended two drives. He ended two drives in one play. I mean, sometimes you just got to say there's nothing I can do about that one. So I feel, I feel good about where we are at there. Again, he doesn't have the two long touchdowns and the 264 yards.

We're probably looking pretty good. Well, Trey, I mean, obviously you're encouraged that your process was decently sound. And I've got to be honest, you let me behind the curtain a little bit here for this week's slop. Normally you have to talk me into it. This doesn't sound that unreasonable though, T, T, bro. I don't know. For the odds you're getting, I got to be honest,

Trey, lay it on the people because I kind of like it this week. Yeah, I'm pretty dialed in. You know, I've been, I'm feeling good. I'm just not, you know,

making it bigger than it has to be. You know, I'm just trying to get back to the basics here, trying to find some plays that make sense. And I've got three this week that I'm going to parlay

and win some money with. So the first one here, we're going to go Drake May over 40 rushing yards. I know I've handed out some, Drake May this season, sometimes successfully, sometimes a little bit unsuccessfully, but we're going back to the Drake May well matchup with the Rams this week.

We've got some young guns on that defensive line, and the Rams don't believe they scored a touchdown last week. So we're going to think they're going to bounce back. Maybe it's a high scoring game-ish, and Drake May is going to have to run and make some plays. And, you know, we're going to, he's going to get the legs churning, you know, we just need one nice little 20-yard scamper, 21-yard scamper. We'll pick up the rest later.

The guy's a good runner. He's got great legs. The second, Christian McCaffrey, 40 receiving yards. They are going up against the Seahawks. Division matchup, home game for the 49ers. And this isn't the 49ers of old here. They're kind of, you know, they're looking beatable. They're looking like they're not going to blow anybody out,

especially not a team like the Seahawks. So I think that's going to be a close-ish game. division game and they're going to have to be the regular workload last week you're feeding the beast i i alt it up uh his first quarter receiving yards to 20 and i damn near hit it he uh he caught the pass that would have got him over the first play after the after the quarter ended so uh it was tough tough yeah he came back to a 68 percent route share last week so uh yeah there was no easing him back in the lot of 87 percent snap share i mean that was the big question coming into last week is they are going to ramp him up because of this Achilles thing.

No, he was right back to his regular workload. So I like that. I like that. I like that leg. Yeah, I will say that our data charters in our data charting note at fantasy points this week. They said they didn't think McAfrey looked all that explosive, but does it matter?

And he's going to play like 90% of the snaps. And he probably just needed to get his legs under him, quite frankly. Look pretty good on that catch down the sideline at the end of the game. a full full extension grab. There's some running backs at a at 110% who won't make that catch for you. So I was liking what I saw out of Christian McCaffrey this week, played him in my main DFS lineup. And I thought it was maybe not as spry as he's ever looked,

but he's still looking pretty good, all things considered. Last leg, Bejohn Robinson. He's going to go for 40 receiving yards this week as well. They've got the Broncos. Disappointment last week. This is a good defense. and we're just going to try to get away from, you know, the big, the big scary Patrick Sertan, you know, we're not going to mess around with him.

We're going to do a couple checkdowns, a couple checkdowns, a couple screens. We'll get Bejohn going for some receiving yards. He looks amazing every week. Watch a lot of the Falcons. He's just a phenomenal player and he could go for 40 on one play, you know. So I'm going to put all three of these together. That is going to be plus 2049. I had to throw the keys to a little C's.

to get this one down. Caesars is where I have placed this one. And yeah, we're putting a little unit on that. What do you think Lil C's knew about Tupac's shooting in 94, by the way? I think he knew more. Well, I'll say this. I would not like to speculate, just in case. Okay.

You want to, you know, they already arrested Diddy, man. You've got more power than Lil C says. No. No, no, no, no. No, no, no. Definitely. He's checking to see if his room is bugged there. He's still got a phone.

He's making calls. They arrested keep on the outside. Is there another leg of the parlay here? No, that was it. All the legs. And yeah, if they are listening to this, you know, I'm sure. Well, maybe you can pay them off with a little bribe here. Yeah.

If this parlay hits. I got to say, I love this Bejon Robinson prop. I also gave this one out. The number's 24 and a half. There's no way this line last until the weekend. It's going to be at 30 yards by the by time Saturday and Sunday rolls around. Denver is just a funnel towards these running backs. And everybody's trying to stay away from Patrick Surtain,

giving up the fifth most receiving yards per game to running back. So like this one a lot. They've given up 37 yards to four different backs over the last three games. We saw Kareem Hunt Kensington a ton of passes last week. He hasn't caught passes at all. since he came back. So I love that Bijon Robinson leg. Well, we already give you low informed takes on NFL betting. If you want more low informed takes about 1990s East Coast West Coast rap beefs, Trey and I can probably go back and forth a little bit on that. RIP to Tupac,

Puffy's probably getting everything he deserves. And remember, we're not wise. We're just guys. Take it easy, everyone. Good luck this weekend. And let's count. mash it.