Fantasy Football Daily - Top 10 Fantasy Football Bold Predictions for the 2025 Season

Episode Date: August 27, 2025

Use code SCOREMORE10 at checkout for 10% OFF any subscription. Dominate your league. Win more bets. Level up your game The Fantasy Football Daily crew is back with a fearless round of bold 2025 fant...asy football predictions. Theo Gremminger, Graham Barfield, and Ryan Heath call their shots on breakout stars like Jameson Williams, George Pickens, and rookie Tetairoa McMillan, while elevating Ja’Marr Chase and Jaden Daniels as league-winning juggernauts. But that’s just the start—our hosts dive deep into late-round sleepers including Io Mané, Jalen Coker, and Harold Fannin Jr., giving you the draft ammo you need to crush your competition. Expect sharp data-driven analysis, consensus-challenging takes, and even a bold forecast of a Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl run. If you’re serious about dominating your fantasy league, tune out the noise—this episode is your blueprint for 2025 fantasy football success. Where to find us: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://twitter.com/TheOGFantasy⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://twitter.com/⁠⁠GrahamBarfield⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ http://twitter.com/RyanJ_Heath ⁠ Join the Discord here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/discord#/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to Fantasy Points for FREE: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Podcast Transcription Here: ⁠https://podsqueeze.com/embedded/transcript/PMFi2ZcspB9g5u3x6Ecn3L Fantasy Points Website - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ NEW! Data Suite - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://data.fantasypoints.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Facebook - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@fantasypts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ #FantasyFootball #2025Rankings #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFL Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:14 All offseason long, we've dove into the analytics. We've gone extensively into draft preparation. And we have now been able to uncover what is actually going to happen during the 2025. fantasy football season. We're dropping 10 bold predictions for the fantasy football season that will actually happen. Theo Greminger, Fantasy Football Daily on the Fantasy Points Podcast Network, joined today by the great Graham Barfield and the great Ryan Heath, both of fantasy points. We're going to drop these bold predictions. We're also going to let you know the top scores at every single position. We're going to let you know which player you should be drafting late in
Starting point is 00:02:04 every draft rest of the way. We're even going to reveal. the Super Bowl winner. So let's, how are you doing today, Ryan? I'm doing great, man. Yeah, it's getting close. I'm so ready for actual NFL action. I am so ready for new things to discuss and dive into every single week. Like the off season, it's been great. But let's get to the regular season, please. I couldn't be more pumped. We're almost there. This is draft week for so, so many of you. Graham, we haven't chopped it up in a while. But yeah, are you still cramming in the best ball drafts? You've only got a couple of more days now. Yeah, we, we did some banger pods earlier this offseason in one.
Starting point is 00:02:42 And you called Jacori Kroski Merritt, basically, back in May. We were breaking down every backfield. You were way ahead of everybody on that one. Yeah, I appreciate that. And the school of Scott audience, their bags are packed on JCP, the Dynasty Life audience for sure on JCP. Scott and I had Mike Renner on. He talked about him like so, so long ago. So yeah, if you, if you've been following fantasy points, then you have your JCP bags packed in fifth round of rookie drafts and in 18th round of bestball. Now you've got to pay seventh round pick for him, Graham. So yeah, I appreciate the shout out.
Starting point is 00:03:17 Yeah, crazy. Now, I haven't been doing many best ball drafts, just getting ready for redraft season, getting all my teams drafted. But, man, I've got the Tate cannon loaded. The cannon balls are in there. I'm ready to fire, man. Save it, save it, save it, guys. Because this show, this is going to blow people's minds, but we're actually going to tell you
Starting point is 00:03:36 what's going to happen this season. So these are going to be a lot of fun. And I'm going to start off with the first bold prediction of the fantasy football season. And it's going to be a Brock Bowers one. And a shout out to Ryan Heath on this one. Make sure you listen to Ryan Heath takes on Brock Bowers. We had Jacob Gibbs on. Jacob and Ryan had a fantastic debate.
Starting point is 00:03:57 That is on the School of Scott podcast. If you're listening to Fantasy Football Daily, make sure you to all subscribe to School of Scott. And you can check it out on Fantasy Points YouTube. But Brock Bowers last year was unbelievable. He had set every rookie record there was. He had 112 catches, 153 targets, nearly broke tight end records set by Zach Ertz. This year he gets it, guys. Brock Bowers will set an NFL record with the most targets and the most catches by a tight end in NFL history.
Starting point is 00:04:30 He is going to have 168 targets and he will catch 125 of them. 125 catches, 168 targets, and he is going to single-handedly set the bar of what fantasy managers think a ceiling season can look like for a highly targeted tight end. And not only that, guys, Brock Bowers is going to be a first round pick in 2026, not only in tight-in premium, but he will be a first round pick on Underdog. He will be a first round pick in NFFC. he will be a first round pick in every single format. Brock Bowers is going to go absolutely wild.
Starting point is 00:05:09 I'll get a quick reaction from you, Graham. Ryan, you're going to have to listen to Brock Bowers' thoughts on the School of Scott podcast. Yeah, the only argument against Bowers this year is just opportunity cost. That's literally it. Like everything else about his profile, like you kind of lined up, screams that arguably he should be like a back end of round one pick right now. Like he maybe should be going in that. like Nico, BTJ, Amon Rots here.
Starting point is 00:05:36 But yeah, that's literally it. I mean, it's just that we've gotten really good at identifying top-end receiver outcomes. You know, last three years I look back at this, like over half of the top scoring fantasy receivers on a weekly basis have come from receivers drafted in rounds one through four. This is a deep year at receiver, though, man. So I certainly see the upside case for Bowers, absolutely. Yeah, it's a really fun year. I mean, if we're looking at historical 2021 was the year, you had the Debo Samuel, Jamar Chase, both really, really hitting.
Starting point is 00:06:11 And that was the year that Cooper Cup, a lot of the summer, fifth round pick going behind Robert Woods. So maybe could have a crazy wide receiver one. Maybe that's going to be Graham's bold prediction. Graham, you are starting us out. Give us your first bold prediction for the 2025 fantasy football season. No bold prediction on top scoring wide receiver, but I do have a bold prediction on a top scoring.
Starting point is 00:06:32 running back. Jonathan Taylor has finished as a top six fantasy running back in three out of his last four seasons. The only year he didn't do it was in 2022, hurt his ankle, had a really, really rough year. I believe that Jonathan Taylor has top three upside, and I believe he has like legitimate upside to be the dark horse RB one this season. Colts still have a top five offensive line, top eight. JT is going to get marginally, I say marginally improved quarterback play from Daniel Jones compared to Anthony Richardson. The main thing I'm excited about, guys, is the play volume here. You know, AR, that offense was just slow. It was run heavy. They were bottom of the league in terms of total play volume. I'm excited to see JT in a competent offense once again. And we have some
Starting point is 00:07:26 pretty significant splits to work with here with JT. In 41 career starts going back to 2021, without Anthony Richardson undercentered, Jonathan Taylor is averaging 18.5 PPR fantasy points per game. That would make him the RB4 in that span. And 11 starts with Richardson. He's at 15.9 ppr points per game that would make him the RB 14. And it all does come down to the target volume.
Starting point is 00:07:50 He's basically been like outside of the top 80 running backs in targets per game when Richardson starts. And he's in the top 25 when, you know, it's basically anybody other than Richardson. I think JT kind of has similar vibes to Saquan Barkley last year, just an Uber talented player going in the second round that has a workhorse role behind a good offensive line. Obviously, the Eagles, you know, top three, top five offense. I don't expect that for the Colts.
Starting point is 00:08:18 But this volume, it's really a volume play with Taylor, volume talent play. And he's going in the back half a second round. I'm pretty much all in. I love the take. And certainly Taylor is one where some really smart people like yourself are in on him, Graham and it's sort of opening my eyes. You could also end up with some monster powerhouse teams in fantasy, if you are correct, because there is a lot, a lot of Jamar Chase,
Starting point is 00:08:43 Jonathan Taylor combinations out there right now. Potentially, you could have a wide receiver one overall with an RB1 overall. And I love your split call. And it's even better if we go to just last year. five games without Anthony Richardson last year, Jonathan Taylor averaged 22.1 points per game, and he was like a fantasy playoff king. So I might have to pack a couple extra Jonathan Taylor bags down the stretch here.
Starting point is 00:09:07 Ryan, what do you have as your first bowl prediction? Yeah, we are going to go back over to top scoring wide receivers. I guess we've gone tight end running back wide receiver here. So, yeah, I went with a wide receiver for my first one. I think Brian Thomas Jr. has a chance to win the Triple Crown is what my bold prediction is. Look, in his rookie season, fourth most PPR fantasy points of any wide receiver of the past 15 years. That's behind only Jamar Chase, Pooka, and Odell Beckham, one Triple Crown winner on that list. There you go.
Starting point is 00:09:44 The usage in this offense is going to be amazing and it's going to be all over the field. We've heard Liam Cohen talk about how BTJ can run deep. He can be used in the slot on the slants, on screens. The slants specifically I'm very excited for if he can turn into like the new slant boy and kind of get that easy button usage near the line of scrimmage. BTJ had the best average separation score of any receiver on slants last year, but barely ran them. We saw Cohen run a ton of slants with both Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. if Travis Hunter doesn't hit like the super high-end outcome that some of us have argued for,
Starting point is 00:10:25 then that kind of just leaves BTJ as a one-man show here. And he can just do it all. He can just be a mashup of the Mike Evans and Chris Godwin roles from last year. And kind of the kicker here is I think this could be like the Trevor Lawrence reclamation season, right? I mean, if you just look at T-Law's career passing, passer rating and adjusted net yards per attempt up to his career so far, they're about the same as Baker Mayfields were before he ever had Liam Cohn as an offensive coordinator.
Starting point is 00:11:00 Lawrence has the fourth most touchdowns of 20 or more yards over the past three seasons. The guy can sling it. He's just never had the infrastructure around him. I think this is the year he puts it all together. And yeah, I think it results in an unbelievable Brian Thomas, junior season with triple crown upside. I absolutely love it. My BTJ bags are very much packed.
Starting point is 00:11:24 And Ryan and Graham, that would be like, if BTJ hits as the wide receiver one overall, that would be three straight seasons where we found like the league winner at the one to turn. Two years ago, C.D. Lamb, Sequin Barkley last year. And then I hope you're right on this one, Ryan, because certainly I have a lot of BTJ. Graham, little Tony Bisselli, Jersey in the background, your vibes. How good are your vibes right now in BTJ? Vives are amazing on BTJ, 11 out of 10 vibes, maybe even 12 out of 10 vibes on BTJ.
Starting point is 00:11:58 The vibes on Trevor Lawrence, not as high, I will say, not as high. That being said, though, I mean, I said after week two or three last year, he looks like a freaking Julio Colon out there. And getting Hunter in the mix, I think really even just maybe helps BTJ, kind of using them in those kind of stacked receiver formations, getting, you know, BTJ free releases. They're going to move them all around the formation. I love that call. And he's just an ascending player on a team that's going to have to throw a ton. I mean, the Jags would not surprise anybody if they're top five in dropbacks this year.
Starting point is 00:12:32 I'm absolutely here for it. Let's take a quick break. We come back. More bold predictions for the 2025 fantasy football season. What's up? I'm John Hansen. Best ball is back. And it's only at Draft Kings.
Starting point is 00:12:43 And there's 15 million. reasons to be excited. A $15 million guaranteed prize pool with two millionaires being crowned for first and second place. Draft Kings is offering everyone a draft one get one special. Your $20 entry fee scores you a bonus ticket. Download the Draft Kings app and use the code P.S. That's code P.S for all customers who enter the NFL best ball 15 million millionaire
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Starting point is 00:13:33 One per customer. Enter the Best Ball 15 million headliner contest by 9-425 to get one bonus entry. $20 entry fee required. Reward expires in 30 days. See terms at draftkings.com slash NFL-Bash-Bep. dash ball. It's week three of Canadian tires early Black Friday sales. These prices won't go lower this year. Maybe too long. Freezing. Save up to 50% November 20th to 27. Conditions apply. Details online. Welcome back. Fantasy Football Daily, Theo Graminger, joined by Graham Barfield
Starting point is 00:14:02 and Ryan Heath, both of Fantasy Points. Graham, we're doing something cool this year. Fantasy Football Daily is going to get Graham Barfield once a week. Why don't you talk a little bit about it? Yes, sir. You and I will be doing the Start Sit show. We'll record that every Wednesday to come out on Thursday, basically just going through, you know, top starts at each position. I'm sure we'll talk sleepers, kind of some deeper plays for your deep leagues as well. Excited to chop it up with you every week, man. That's going to be a great show. Yeah, I'm really, really excited.
Starting point is 00:14:30 Our pods have been absolute fire and doing it every single week. I think we're really going to help people out. We're going to give you actionable information. And yeah, you can find that on Fantasy Points YouTube and on the Fantasy Football Daily podcast feed. Ryan, you're crushing it. Every article you write is a. award-winning stuff. And your podcast game has been on point.
Starting point is 00:14:50 What's a week look like for you? What can the fantasy points viewers, listeners, and subscribers expect from Ryan Heath throughout the season? Yeah. So every Monday morning, you're going to get five stats to know from me, just like last year, just quick overview of the most important storylines of the previous week. Tuesday, Wednesday, you're getting the Everything report from myself and Scott Barrett going very in depth on all the use of the use of.
Starting point is 00:15:16 trends that you need to know about. End of the week for written content, you're going to get advanced matchups. That's where I'm just digging into the Fantasy Points data suite for the upcoming slate of games, yeah, with an eye towards the Draft King's main slate. And yeah, you're going to hear me on podcast as well. Dynasty Points live every Tuesday night and on the feeds next morning.
Starting point is 00:15:37 And also the Underdog Battle Royale show that I do with Jake Tribby every Friday night. That is also a lot of fun that you can find on the Fantasy Points YouTube channel. And we're going to be roping Ryan Heath into Fantasy Football Daily School of Scott, Dynasty Life. Make sure you're listening to Dynasty Points and watching it every week. Absolutely great stuff that you're doing with Jacob Sanderson, Thomas Tipple, Lucas,
Starting point is 00:16:02 great team and a great show. And the Everything Report can be yours if you subscribe to Fantasy Points. You can use the code Theo 2025 and get yourself something off. you want to level your fantasy game up this year. Do it with fantasy points. We're going to help you crush your leagues this season, not only on the podcast side and the YouTube side, but also in the written content,
Starting point is 00:16:25 best in the industry. And that article that Ryan and Scott puts together, like it's appointment reading for anybody in fantasy football. Highly, highly recommend that one. Let's keep it going. Let's actually kick it back to you, Ryan. Give us one more bold prediction for the 2025 season. Yeah, so I just think that Tony Pollard's going to
Starting point is 00:16:44 finish as a top 12 fantasy running back. And the way that happens is pretty easy. Tadj Spears, as of a few days ago, was still in a walking boot. He was on a scooter per Tom Broly's training camp news updates article that you can find on the site right now. Really nice to kind of collect all these nuggets and all the news that it can be tough to keep track of. But yeah, no positive updates at all on the Tage Spears high ankle sprain. We saw Tony Pollard operate as, a highest end bell cow, both when Spears was out and also in a lot of the games that Taji Spears was active for last year. Pre-week 15 before Pollard's like season, pseudo-season ending, kind of limiting ankle injury
Starting point is 00:17:30 at the end of the year. He had the fifth highest target share among all running backs, 12.8%. Only counting games that Taji Spears was active. So Pollard was still incredible, still getting all the work, even with Spears kind of in this limited, only partially healthy state, which could just be a lot of the season now, as these high ankle sprains tend to linger. And the second part of this is I think the Titans could be a lot better this year. They spent big to upgrade their offensive line and free agency.
Starting point is 00:18:01 They have number one overall pick Cam Ward. We have seen Brian Callahan get pretty good quarterback play out of everyone he's ever worked with, aside from Will Levis. I mean, he had Jake Browning ranking as a top fantasy QB in 2023 in a limited sample. He got Mason Rudolph averaging the seventh most passing yards per game in his starts last year. I think all this really takes is a semi-competent QB for Callahan to kind of work his magic and make this into a respectable offense. And that's all that Tony Pollard needs. He averaged nearly 20 fantasy points per game in the Titans three wins last year.
Starting point is 00:18:39 That is his upside, if they kind of surprised to the upside. against their win total. So yeah, I think Pollard has more upside even in season long managed fantasy leagues than some people might be willing to admit. I don't think he's just a best ball ADP beater or a zero RV pick. I legitimately think that he could get into that every week RB1 status. Graham, Tony Pollard round six edge pick or just a structural pick? I think that's a great, great call by Ryan. I almost put him on my list. Like, seriously, I had the J. It was basically JT versus Pollard kind of come out bold. So I love that. It's not just like an 80P beat or pick like Ryan was saying. I mean, the floor is legitimately high. I mean, he was like, you know,
Starting point is 00:19:26 strong RB2, even when Tai J was playing last year. And that was a horrible offense. So, yeah, I love it. I'm all in on Pollard. The price is coming up, though. Like, you know, it's real, it's really coming up as it should be. But I don't think it's going to get to a in this last week where he I'm like completely out on you you have you have a resistance level where he's never going to pass by a jas connor he's never going to pass by chuba hubbard he's never going to leapfrog and r j harvey so he's sort of in that sweet spot where he's next to some guys that are very very dead zony pacheco's dead zony de and d'nre swift is dead zony and pollard like it's those through the first nine weeks last year he was averaging over 20 touches a game like really really strong volume
Starting point is 00:20:10 If Cam Ward's a little bit better than we expect him to, like Ryan said, there's a pathway that Pollard's like a top 15 back with plenty of running back one weeks mixed in. We are officially in draft mode and more specifically, best ball draft mode. Nothing better than a best ball contest. You get to concentrate on the most fun part of fantasy football, the draft itself. No lineup setting, no start sit dilemmas, no waiver wire. Just draft your team, set it, and forget it. And best ball is officially back, and it's only at Draft Kings. There's 15 million reasons to be excited.
Starting point is 00:20:51 We're talking about a $15 million guaranteed prize pool, with two millionaires being crowned for first and second place. Gambling problem? Call 1-800 gambler. In New York, call 8778 Hope NY or text Hope N.Y at 46737-369. In Connecticut, help is available for problem gambling. Call 8887-8-9-7-77 or visit ccpg.org. 18-plus in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction.
Starting point is 00:21:24 Eligibility restrictions apply. One per customer. Enter the best ball 15 million headliner contest by September 4th, 2025 to get one bonus entry. $20 entry fee required. reward expires in 30 days. See terms at draftkings.com slash NFL dash best dash ball. I'll go next. I'll keep this one short and sweet, guys.
Starting point is 00:21:51 This is a, it's a simple game. People want to overcomplicate fantasy. We have a perfect storm brewing where you have a top notch offense that is going to be an amazing game flow week in, week out. The Cincinnati Bengals last year averaged the most points per game that they've ever as a franchise. They averaged over 27 points per game last year as a team. And Joe Burrow was completely lights out.
Starting point is 00:22:18 Jamar Chase finished as the wide receiver won overall. T. Higgins averaged 18 and a half points per game. Chase Brown was fantastic. A fantasy point special. If you followed fantasy points, you had your bags packed with Chase Brown. Guess what? The gang's all back. They are all extended.
Starting point is 00:22:34 Nobody's looking for a contract. everyone is fat and happy and ready to go. They're in 12 personnel at a top 10 rate, and they added Noah Fant to play the tight end two spot opposite Mike Jaseki. There's nothing to dislike about this team offensively. And when you factor in just how bad the defense could be, the Bengals this season will average 30 points per game. And this is how they're going to do it.
Starting point is 00:22:59 Joe Burrow is going to become the third quarterback in NFL history to finish the season with 50. or more touchdown passes. Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was the last one. And this year, Joe Burrow goes full on Peyton Manning. He ends the year with 51 touchdown passes and the Cincinnati Bengals average 30 points per game. Draft your Bengals, draft your borough. This is going to be a perfect storm for fantasy football. Let's go. Let's go. We need it. We need it. I mean, listen, if there's one quarterback who can beat the elite four like hurts lamar daniels and allen it's burrow and it'd be it'd be what you're outlining i mean the dude leads everybody in the last four years and yards per game touchdowns per
Starting point is 00:23:44 game running the damn offense i love that call swag factor he's got the swag too yeah ryan ryan your vibes on on burrow and the bengals is just like sit back and watch 30 30 games yeah man i love i love it i agree it's it's really just that the defense is going to continue to be completely I love it. So there's, yeah, that's kind of all you really need is for that to remain the case. And yeah, if given that, I have a lot of confidence in Borough to deliver. Yeah, I'm, I'm all about it. I want these games to be entertaining.
Starting point is 00:24:17 We want the Bengals defense to be bad. Like, you know, let's get it. Let's get it, guys. Graham, give us your next big, bold prediction for the 2025 season. We need some more quarterback talk. And I'm going to bring up a quarterback that, listen, it's probably going to make you throw up in your mouth a little bit to have this guy as your QV1. you could definitely take him as a QB1 and kind of back him up with like a boring,
Starting point is 00:24:37 I don't know, Brock Purdy type. But I think Justin Fields finishes this season as a top six fantasy quarterback. Like it is so gross. I get it. Like I have no idea if this guy's going to be a good NFL quarterback. Like the probability that that's likely is less than 50%. I do know he's a great fake football quarterback, though. Last three seasons as a starter, he's finished the QB9, QB7, and QB5.
Starting point is 00:25:02 only Lamar Jackson has more rushing yards per start in NFL history than Justin Fields. Like Justin Fields is averaging more career rushing yards per game than Michael Vic. And over the last three seasons, guys, Fields is QB4 by fantasy points per dropback. That's only behind Lamar, Hertz, and Josh Freak and Allen. And his starting security is much better than everybody kind of thinks. Tyra Taylor's hurt. He's 36 years old. He has an injured knee.
Starting point is 00:25:30 they just cut Adrian Martinez a couple days ago I don't know if I like listen I'm not an NFL GM I'm not smart enough to be in it but at the end of the day like this is their plan this is an incredible job security for Justin Fields
Starting point is 00:25:43 and every single time he's been on the field for fantasy we rank him top 10 top 12 and you can get him at QB 13 QB 14 and 80p still QB6 during his starts last year in Pittsburgh he was the QB6 when he was benched
Starting point is 00:26:00 I mean, Mike Tomlin taking that edge away from us was cruel. Are you projecting him to lead all quarterbacks and rushing yards, Graham? It'll be Lamar. Then I think it's like comfortably fields too. Like if we get a full field season, he's going to run for 600, 700 yards. And then we have the added like, yeah, he can definitely take design carries near the goal line. The floor is just stupid high with him. Yeah, I love it.
Starting point is 00:26:22 And he, and this is a huge one because if he does what you're saying, I think he boxes out in New York from bringing in another quarterback and you extend that fields run in New York to a two-year period. That would be a real help to a lot of dynasty managers who got Justin Fields for super cheap in startups this year. Let's take a break. We come back even more bold predictions. And Graham, he's back on the clock with his third bold prediction.
Starting point is 00:26:46 All right, welcome back. Graham Barfield, keep us going. Your last one was so hot that we had to give you the mic back again for one more. Okay, well, everybody's ears are about to explode for this one. I don't know if everybody's ready for this one. I have been banging the table for Rome O'Dunze. And I'm banging it so hard, guys, that he's going to outscore DJ more this year. Rome O'Dunzee is the Bears wide receiver one.
Starting point is 00:27:12 Let's not forget just how good of a prospect O'Donzee is, right? Like, rewind the clocks, kind of forget about last season for a second. O'Donzee had just as many yards per route run at 2.9 as Tetero McMillan did in his final season at age 22, 2.9. Adunze is one of 35 wide receivers in NCAA since 1998 have over 1,600 receiving yards in a single season. The dude was an awesome prospect. We had him in the same tier, maybe at the bottom of the top tier as neighbors and Harrison,
Starting point is 00:27:45 but he was in that tier for me at least. The big thing for me is, okay, Caleb Williams probably takes a small step forward this year with better coaching and a better offensive line. The opportunity is what I'm excited. decided for. O'Donzee played in two wide receiver sets just 44% of the time last year. In the two games that Keenan Allen missed, he was at 98%. So getting him on the field full time in two wide receiver sets is just like massive for his floor and his ceiling. And I just believe
Starting point is 00:28:16 he's just a better overall wide receiver than more. Like more is a great player, great after the catch still. Scheme him up the targets and let him run. But just doing like the dirty work as an ex-receiver, it's Romo Dunezay all day. And I just, I love drafting this guy. I think he's got enormous upside at a price that really is like, makes sense for any team build. You can get him as your wide receiver four or five as kind of a depth piece. You go running back heavy. You can kind of rely.
Starting point is 00:28:44 I think you can rely on Houdunzei as a decent wide receiver three this season. I have been drafting as much Rome as I can possibly get my hands on. I love the call. And Ryan, you've done extensive research on design targets. And this is something where if you subscribe to Fantasy Points Data, you can have access to stats and things like design targets as well. But Ryan, talk about how DJ Moore has really benefited from being a design target guy. And that could evaporate with Ben Johnson now in Chicago a little bit more to not only Roma Dunesay, but Colston Loveland. I think Graham's take is a signal to draft Roma Dunesay, but it's also sort of a signal to fade DJ Moore at ADP.
Starting point is 00:29:28 thoughts. Yeah, so design targets are kind of interesting in that unlike other targets, they're not earned in the same way, right? Like a guy can earn design targets by being good after the catch, but a guy can also earn design targets by being kind of a pain and being really loud and needing to be appeased by a coaching staff that is outgoing and is probably not going to make it to next season, right? Which is sort of what happened with DJ Moore last year. And yeah, if you take design targets out of the equation, then, yeah, Rome was better in most pro-rout stats than DJ Moore full stop last year if you make that one adjustment. So, yeah, I have kind of been vocally anti-Rome at higher ADPs, at higher costs that he is carried
Starting point is 00:30:15 at earlier points in the offseason in Dynasty. But yeah, I'm fully with Graham in managed redraft where, yeah, he can be your wide receiver for. I totally get that upside. shot and I think he's a way better bet at cost than DJ more currently is. And yeah, of course, all of this just applies to all of the cheaper weapons on this bear's offense. If you want to ride the Ben Johnson wave, then it makes the most sense to do that for me, just with the cheapest guys, because Romicide, Loveland, Burden, these are the guys that Johnson brought in that are seemingly part of the long-term vision.
Starting point is 00:30:53 We've heard enough good things that he said about Rome. that I think you can factor him in there too. So yeah, fully agree that all the bears just are really interesting after DJ Moore. He's just kind of the ADP albatross there. Yeah, it feels like a dead zony, like wide receiver. There's always a range of wide receivers where they get kind of the inflated cost and some, and a lot of them don't deliver. Moore seems like he could be one of them.
Starting point is 00:31:17 It's teammate target competition for me. Ryan, I know you've been all over Colston Loveland. Make sure you listen to Ryan Heath on the School of Scott with Jacob Gibbs. we touch base a little bit more on these sort of wide receiver targets in this range. I'll keep going. I'll give you mine and then we're going to kick it back to Ryan. We've had four of the last five years where there has been a rookie wide receiver finished as a top six score in PPR leagues.
Starting point is 00:31:43 We had it with Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase, Pukinakua, and then last year, guys, it got even better. We had two of them. BTJ, Brian Thomas Jr., and Malik neighbors were both top six scores. Ladd-McConkey nearly snuck in as a wide receiver won. He also averaged over 15 points per game. This year, we're going to make the streak five out of six seasons. This time we'll lower the bar a little bit.
Starting point is 00:32:09 We'll make it a rookie wide receiver finishing as a top 10 score in PPR. We'll make it five out of six years. And it's Tederoa McBillan. And it's a low-hanging fruit. And he's risen up to round four in FFPC main events, round three in NFFC prime times for a reason. Tetaroa McMillan is not only going to lead Carolina in targets. He is going to be the focal point of their entire offense.
Starting point is 00:32:36 Things are going to be drawn up for McMillan every single week. He is going to tie Kelvin Benjamin's touchdown record with Carolina Panthers rookie touchdown record and catch nine touchdowns this year. He's going to average 16.1 points per. game, which is a little bit lower than neighbors in BTJ, but a little bit higher than Ladd-McConkey. And he's going to set Carolina Panthers rookie records with receptions. And he's going to have at least 145 targets this year. McMillan is a player that even though he's going highly, and even though the ADP is steaming up, you're still going to want
Starting point is 00:33:13 to pack your bags if you have a draft late. It's McMillan season in Carolina. Graham, your thoughts on TMAC. Yeah, the McMillan's steam is real, but it's still not real. enough. We were drafting Marvin Harrison Jr. at the two-three turn, or excuse me, at the one-two turn. We were drafting neighbors near the two-three turn. He kind of got steamed up near that two-three turn. I think that's where McMillan should be going. He should be going in the third round. So, yeah, he's jumped from what, the fifth round in FFPC to the fourth round. He's been going, you know, kind of consistently in that fourth round, maybe near the, you know, now closer to the three-four turn on underdog, but I strongly feel that he should just be a third-round pick.
Starting point is 00:33:51 Yeah, I'm there. And Ryan, you've talked about how enthusiastic you are about McMillan as well. Yeah, fully there. I've had him ranked like at the three, four turn for the entire off season. He's starting to catch up there on some platforms. But yeah, it kind of unlike a lot of the other preseason steam guys, it has gotten nowhere near the point where I'm out. So, yeah, still very big on Ted McMillan.
Starting point is 00:34:16 Well, Ryan, you're up right now. Give us another bold prediction. All right. So I guess speaking of guys that have steamed up in ADP a lot, we've seen Trevion Henderson climb from like the sixth round to I've seen him go in the third round on lots of different platforms. I've seen him go over Omerian Hampton even. Yeah, the Henderson's steam has been insane. My bold prediction is that RJ Harvey is just going to outscore him straight up this year. And the reason for this is because I honestly think they're similar vets from a usage perspective.
Starting point is 00:34:50 I mean, we really want the pass catching for both of these guys in these respective offenses, right? Josh McDaniels obviously has a good history of past catching running backs, but it's even better with Sean Payton. At least 113 backfield targets in every season since 2014 out of Sean Peyton's offenses. Even if Harvey is not in on these pass blocking snaps at the beginning of the year, so much of his receiving work can actually be on first and first. second down. The Broncos were third in target share to the backfield on first and second down last year. And that was when their running back was Giovante freaking Williams, who was doing absolutely nothing with it. So that that just makes it even more likely, more bullish that we're going to
Starting point is 00:35:36 get that intentionally early down passing game usage out of Harvey. And it just is amazing when you look historically at all the other Sean Payton running backs that he is taken in the first two days of the draft. The only other guys he's selected that earlier, Reggie Bush, Mark Ingram, and Alvin Camara. Bush and Camara each had over 100 targets in their rookie seasons. Like, this is just a very similar bet inherently to Shraveon Henderson with the added bonus that J.K. Dobbins is both worse than Remondry Stevenson and more likely to get injured than Remandre Stevenson and just completely leave the backfield to the rookie. So, yeah, I don't really get the Delta. between these guys's ADPs that has opened up over the last handful of weeks.
Starting point is 00:36:24 And, yeah, I will gladly take Harvey to just outscore Henderson. Graham, you love this take. I do. I do. I think it's just like, week one, Ramondra Stevens is going to play a lot more than people want. J.K. Dobbins is going to play a lot more than people want. But by week five, six, like, yeah, that's the bet you're making is that these guys, fully take over.
Starting point is 00:36:50 And the Broncos are just a better team. Like they have a better offensive line. They might have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. They have a great defense. So they're going to be in a lot of like very close or leading game scripts. You know, the Patriots are projected to be a much better team this year. But I mean, Broncos are already there. I mean, they're favored in like 12, 11, 12 games by the look ahead lines.
Starting point is 00:37:15 I think the Broncos are actually like kind of those sneaky dark horse super bowl candidate. Like, AFC is just loaded. But this team is so good, man. Like, this defense is awesome. They've got a good offensive line. Obviously, Peyton's a great coach. I'm all in. I love R.J. Harvey. I've done 15 managed drafts over the last, like, 10 days. And I think I have Harvey and 13 of them. I just, I'm all in on this player in this situation. Yeah, I've been drafting a ton of R.J. Harvey. And I'm also in on Trayvion Henderson, maybe a little more bullish on him, returning value in that third round. But the beautiful thing is you can draft both of them.
Starting point is 00:37:52 They're both in that range to deliver. It gives you so much flexibility with what you're doing at the running back position to potentially get two guys who in the second half of the year could completely eat. And, Graham, I love your Denver being the sleeper. It kind of feels like those Sean Payton teams towards the end of his New Orleans run, where they won 12 games every single year. Denver was a top 10 scoring offense last year with just all kinds. of guys at wide receiver. This year they bring in Evan Engram. No team improved better at the
Starting point is 00:38:24 running back position talent-wise, besides maybe Vegas, with the RJ Harvey and J.K. Dobbins in replacing like Javante Williams and Jaliel McLaughlin, and they draft Pat Bryant. And all of those young wide receivers with speed are a year old or a year more experience. So I love that one. Ryan, quick follow-up. Does your enthusiasm for Harvey extend to Bo Nix, who's sort of in a he's in that people take him structurally, but there's not a whole lot of like Bo Nix is going to crush his ADP narrative. If Denver's offense takes a big step forward with the Harvey and all the additions Graham's excited about,
Starting point is 00:39:01 could Bo Nix also be an ADP winner? I think he totally can be. He goes like just a little earlier than I'm comfortable with just because late QBs are so good and so good, or excuse me, and so deep this year. Like you, after Nix, you can get the part. the Drake Mays. There's so many options. The Justin Fields is, as we talked about. So it's hard for me to click the button a few rounds earlier on Nix, but yeah, I can totally see how Nix just becomes a top
Starting point is 00:39:29 five quarterback this year. That is totally in the cards. And Graham, I don't want to get to like Bo Nix. I just think it's an interesting one. If J. Daniels didn't exist, I feel like there'd be more steam for Nicks this offseason. Sort of like we saw last year with C.J. Stroud, Anthony Richardson, in where we wanted the year one success story to take like that next step. Nix, like, I know sort of is there when Mahomes goes. It's usually like a Nix Mayfield type tier with a couple of other guys mixed in. But sometimes there's a massive gap where even though he might be the QB8 drafted, you're still getting him very similarly to like the QB12.
Starting point is 00:40:10 Are you also in on a potentially Nix defying expectations for a second? consecutive year. Absolutely. Yeah. I'm kind of with Ryan that when Nix goes and that his consensus ADP on like the big sites like Yahoo, ESPN sleeper is like 7580. I'm kind of outish on that price. I'm still taking some receivers in that range. I like tight ends a little bit more in that range. But if he falls past ADP and I get him as my QB1 in like round nine or 10, absolutely. I don't feel like he's a guy where you have to really back him up. Like his floor is already pretty high. I think the one question I have is like the scrambling and everything kind of was up and down as a little bit of a roller coaster last year. He's kind of got that like sneaky mobility, but do they protect him
Starting point is 00:40:57 a little bit more? Because obviously like if he gets hurt, they're screwed. But I love Knicks's upside. I have him ranked in the same tier as Mahomes and Brock Purdy. Yeah, really, really exciting to see the Denver Broncos. I'm going to wrap us up. I'm going to go with two players. It's a wide receiver one, our 10th bold prediction. The first one is Jameson Williams. Jameson Williams last year averaged 14.2 points per game. He finished with 1,000 receiving yards, a huge breakthrough season for a player that's been really frustrating, especially for dynasty managers, but also redraft managers, where he just
Starting point is 00:41:33 never fired off. Last year was a huge step forward for him. But what's interesting is John Morton takes over his offensive coordinator and has just been saying everything he can to sort of raise the enthusiasm levels for Jameson Williams. He has said that Jameson Williams is going to break out this season. Dan Campbell has been singing his praises. And Detroit last year extended Jameson Williams, had the opportunity to trade him and probably could have gotten an absolute fortune for him. They extend him. This year, I think Jameson Williams takes his game to a whole other level. The targets are going to increase from
Starting point is 00:42:11 91 to 117. He is going to lead the NFL in catches of 40 yards or more with 10 of them and be a human highlight reel. He is also going to get his usual rushing opportunities. I'm projecting him for it's a vibes based projection. If you want the good projections, make sure you go and check out Chris Wex projections over at fantasy points. But my vibes based projections are Jameson Williams with 18 rushing attempts, including a touchdown. And he's going to to catch 12 touchdown passes, guys. James finishes as a wide receiver one. I've been pounding the table for him all summer.
Starting point is 00:42:49 He's going to deliver this season. Wide receiver one finish for Jameson Williams. And I'll take it one step further. I'm going to give you a top 15 wide receiver score. And that's George Pickens. George Pickens, in his first season in Dallas, is going to have a huge season, sort of a this year's T. Higgins vibes when it comes to Pickens.
Starting point is 00:43:09 I'm completely buying in on that one. George Pickens is going to be the basically the number two option on Dallas where they're going to design a lot of stuff for him. He's going to go a lot of end zone looks. And George Pickens is going to finish as a top 15 wide receiver. Pickens is going to set records everything, in every which way he's going to set a yardage record, a catch record for himself personally. And he is going to obliterate his record number of touchdowns, which is a really low. It's only like five. So Pickens ends up finishing as a top 15 score.
Starting point is 00:43:46 And then he is going to become the red hot free agent name heading into the 2026 off season. Dallas will attempt to re-sign them. But there will be teams lining up looking to give him a Nico Collins, Jalen Waddle level contract, double tap the wide receivers. Ryan, anything to add on JMO Pickens? I would almost, Theo, I would prefer you reverse those two predictions. I know you.
Starting point is 00:44:08 I'm down with George Pickens, wide receiver one. Jamel, like the efficient top 15 finish as the number two. So I'm totally with you. I just like switch the guys around, switch around the names. All I appreciate that, Ryan. And we'll workshop that one. We'll workshop that one. Graham, where are you out on, on, I know you're big on Pickens.
Starting point is 00:44:25 Just how highly could Pickens finish? Yeah, I pickens, I don't have enough. I've got to spend this next week just jamming Pickens. When I was finishing up my tears article, like one of the craziest stats that blew my mind was, you mentioned Pickens' touchdown upside is just like for a player of his caliber has been pretty low. Obviously, he's been harpooned by just poor quarterback play, poor offenses, just not getting into the red zone. But Pickens has 18 end zone targets over the last two seasons. Guys, he scored two touchdowns on those 18th end zone targets.
Starting point is 00:44:59 Like that completely blew my mind. Like, DAC is going to double that this year, maybe even triple it. And Dallas, like, you know, their passing volume is so good. I mean, it's going to be top 10 locked in. that can absolutely support Lamb and Pickens. I built an FFPC, a shout out to Dan Williamson, who I split some high stakes teams with. We drafted and we're in a slow FFPC main event.
Starting point is 00:45:23 And we have a CD Lamb, George Pickens, Dak Prescott, full on stack, which we're so excited about right now. So yeah, I love it. Let's take a quick break. We come back. Graham, Ryan and I are going to reveal who the top score is at each position.
Starting point is 00:45:39 We're going to give you that late round sleeper that you need to draft in every single league if you're drafting this week. And we're going to reveal our Super Bowl pick right after this. All right, Graham, let's get it going. Who is the QB1 overall this season? I agree with you.
Starting point is 00:45:54 It's Jane Daniels. I know you're going to go Jane Daniels. I'll say Jane Daniels. I mean, it's not just the rushing upside. You look at his accuracy numbers at Fantasy Points data. He had a higher catchable throw rate. than Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson,
Starting point is 00:46:10 like he's already in that upper echelon of passers. And oh, by the way, Terry McLauran just signed. He got his guy back. Debo's looked very good by all reports this preseason and camp. I'm just all in on Jade Daniels here, man. Yeah. And what he, I'll just,
Starting point is 00:46:27 I'll say for the record, despite my Joe Burrow prediction touchdown passwise, Jaden Daniels is going to finish as the QB1. Jaden Daniels, the offensive line upgrade cannot be ignored, guys. Last year, and Scott D. Benedetto came on this show. Actually came on School of Scott with me, and we talked about his offensive line rankings
Starting point is 00:46:48 and just how Jaden Daniels is able to overcome such middling talent on the offensive line. This year, they go out and they acquire Laramie Tunsell in a big trade. They spend their first round pick on Josh Connerley. And the Josh Connerley one looked like they were going to get burned if McClureen didn't sign. Like, why didn't they take one of these wide receivers instead? Now, like Graham said, Terry McClorn's extended.
Starting point is 00:47:10 Debo Samuel upgraded the wide receiver two spot. Jalen Lane, a lot of buzz there as a guy who can stretch defenses stylistically. So Jaden Daniels, Jaden Daniels, Ryan Heath, make it three for three or give us another quarterback who finishes the QB1. Yeah, you got me. It's Jaden Daniels. There's no other answer here. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:47:29 I mean, what else do you want, man? Like nearly 25 fantasy points per game. If you just take out the game where he got his rib shattered and the one where they had to glue his hand shut. Like all the other games, almost at 25 fantasy points per game, one of the best rookie seasons we've ever seen, didn't even have like an insanely high touchdown rate compared to some of the best fantasy seasons we've ever seen. He has room to improve there.
Starting point is 00:47:53 So, yeah, all in on Jaden is QB1. Yeah, I love it. And guys, it's a trend that we've talked about. I talked about this Scott Barrett. I've talked about it with Graham, where it's year two quarterback, the truly elite quarterbacks. The MVP Street continues. We had it in 2018. Patrick Mahomes, year two, wins the MVP. Lamar Jackson, 2019, year two, wins the MVP. Jaden Daniels, year two, wins the MVP. Absolutely love that we're all in line on that one. Ryan, that was just fantastic,
Starting point is 00:48:23 making it three for three. Graham, give us your, actually, know what, let's kick it to Ryan on this one. Ryan, give us your RB1 overall finisher. Yeah, I'm keeping it simple here. It's still Bejean Robinson, for me. I mean, the injuries on the offensive line are like a slight point of pause, but the usage is just so amazing in an offense. I'm expecting to be a lot better this year with them being able to incorporate some of the play action stuff that Zach Robinson wants to do with a full offseason with Michael Pennix to kind of get up to speed with that. We haven't seen them at all in the preseason. So I'm curious if they're kind of keeping it under wraps. but yeah, it's Bejean RB1 for me still.
Starting point is 00:49:05 Graham, you gave us your RB1 overall. So give us your RB2 overall. Yeah, I said, okay, I said JT top three. I'm not going to. Oh, okay, I'm sorry. I don't mean to paint you a corner there. Like, he absolutely could. JT, definitely, he's got that potential.
Starting point is 00:49:21 He's done it before. He did it before on a terrible offense. Man, I've gone back and forth with three different players on this one. I was thinking Bijan, Ryan took him. I want to go McCaffrey. I'm going McCaffrey as RV1. I think everything's kind of lined up for him this season. He's fully healthy, no Debo.
Starting point is 00:49:43 Juan Jennings hasn't practiced basically all of August with this CAF contract nonsense. Everything is just kind of lined up for McCaffrey. And we've seen the ultimate upside with him. And it's not, okay, I'm not really too concerned about Brian Robinson at all. Like he steals a couple of carries per game. his McCaffrey snap rate will go from, what, 88% to 83%. The main thing is the main thing for me,
Starting point is 00:50:09 and it's just this insane, insane receiving role, especially in PPR leagues. Like McCaffrey has finishes the RB1 in Rout share in three straight seasons. Like last year, he was a 62%, but he's got the potential to be at 70, 75%. Especially with No Debo, you know, these design targets like Ryan was alluding to,
Starting point is 00:50:30 like, you know, Shanahan, they have to go somewhere, right? The only player on this team who could get the Debo design plays is Christian McCaffrey. I just think he's got an insanely high floor. I wanted to say Sequan, but it's just so hard to repeat his RB1. You know, only Todd Gurley's done it. Basically this like, you know, recent history. Priest Holmes was the last guy to do it, I think, in like 2004. I kind of want to go Barclay, but I'll go a little bit, a little bit more.
Starting point is 00:51:00 the board with McCaffrey now that he's fully healthy and everything's just kind of lined up for him. Graham, you go, you go fully on brand with the CMC love. You're going to keep it going all the way up to the season. Scott Barrett also on this CMC train. I get it. And what's interesting is we have had three straight years, 27 year old finishes as the RB1. Most people, including like Ryan and myself, spoiler alert, we think it's going to be one of these 23 year olds and kind of get back to what feels right. You're going with a 29 year olds.
Starting point is 00:51:27 You're going to make that age apex even messier moving forward. I'll say, guys, I dropped the bold predictions article that you can read for free over at fantasy points. And in my bold predictions article, it was Bejohn Robinson's going to narrowly edge out Jemir Gibbs. Bejohn averages 22 and a half points per game, finishes as the RB1, and Jemir Gibbs averages 21 and a half points per game. The difference for me was I think Robinson takes this massive step forward as a pass catcher this year. I think he has 80 catch upside. but I am a little nervous about this recent offensive line injury. It's the timing of it, guys.
Starting point is 00:52:04 Caleb McGarry, who is one of their best run blockers, is now injured. Going to miss significant time. We don't know when he'll fully be back. So I'm going to actually flip-flop this. I'm going to say that Jemir Gibbs finishes as the RB1. And I know we're working on our superlatives. We're filling out our over at this NFL season predictions, where we're all filling it out.
Starting point is 00:52:27 You're going to get those over at fantasy points.com. And I picked Jemir Gibbs to lead the NFL in rushing yardage this year. I think things are lining up for him to have an 1,800 rushing yard season. And him and Bejohn Robinson are literally splitting hairs. I have them two and I have them three. So I had Jemir Gibbs, I guess, as my 103. Now I have him as my 102. So I'm pretty close with you on this one, Ryan.
Starting point is 00:52:50 But I do think it's going to end up being Jemir Gibbs. Let's switch it over to the tight end spot. Graham, who's your tight end one overall this year? So your Brock Bowers argument is very well reasoned. Obviously second year player. Massive quarterback upgrade from Gino Smith. I mean, the Raiders had like a sub 3% pass touchdown rate last year. I hear you.
Starting point is 00:53:15 I think the 49ers have the ability to have not just the RB1, but the tight end one as well. And I'm going with George Kittle. Juan Jennings, again, he's out. He's not been practicing. saying he's missed basically all of training camp, all of the play installs. We love Ricky Pyrsall here at Fantasy Points, but he's the second year player, you know, basically in his kind of full-ish rookie season here. Guys, George Kittle was the tied-in one last year by Fantasy Points for Game.
Starting point is 00:53:42 He finished as a top 12 weekly score in 13 of 14 games. The only game he didn't do it was in the snow against the bills. I think Purdy had under 100 yards in that game. And this is the best, like, setup he's had in his entire NFL career to earn 120, 130 targets. You know, Kittle's always kind of been a player who's had to thrive on efficiency because he's had to fight for targets with Diba, with Brandon Ayuk. And now the 49ers are probably going to be without IUC for at least four games, maybe up to half of the season as he comes back from that nasty knee injury. I'm just all in on George Kittle. I think Brock Bowers finishes his tight and one.
Starting point is 00:54:26 I have to go a little off the board with Kittle and give my guy some love. Brock Purdy, obviously getting the extension, getting the vote of confidence this off season too. Like I'm just all in on Kittle here. And follow up on the Kittle take. Kittle, we haven't seen crack more. It's always like a weird situation where he's just so efficient, but he gets like 90, 95 targets. do you think based on all of the the wide receiver injuries now to Marcus Robinson suspended to start the year?
Starting point is 00:54:58 And just the loss of Debo, which is just a sort of a Kyle Shanahan 49er staple was just the threat of Debo Samuel. Do you think that we could end up seeing a just shock 115, 120 target year out of Kittal that we really haven't seen since like 2018, Graham? Yes. And, you know, he's going to be 32 this year, right? I mean, Kelsey in his age 32 season, finishes the tight-in one. He did it again at age 33. He was even better. So it's not just like he's still right within that age apex for tight ends, maybe at the back end of the age apex, but he's just a freak of nature talent,
Starting point is 00:55:36 going to be on the field full-time, going to run a huge route share with this offense. And, yeah, I think the upside for him to earn a career high in targets is absolutely there right now. Ryan, your tight-end one overall finisher. Yeah, Graham. I went off the board in the exact same spot and to the exact same player. I also am picking Kittle is my tight end one overall. He makes great points about the target volume piece of it, but I think we could even see improvement in the touchdown column as well. Just looking last year against Red Zone coverage looks, Kittle had the third best average separation score of any wide receiver
Starting point is 00:56:15 or tight end right behind Nico Collins. So he's getting open in the red zone at one of of the highest rates in the league. And this is where the 49ers actually have one of their biggest opportunities for positive regression. I mean, they ran the fifth most passing plays inside the 10 yard line. They were just 18th in touchdown rate from there. They just kind of had a lot of drives randomly die.
Starting point is 00:56:38 They kicked a lot of field goals from near the end zone last season. That regresses it all. And it's really just kiddle. It's like the biggest red zone target there. As I said, amazing at separating in that area. So yeah, we could see like an insane number of touchdowns as well to go along with it. Yeah, I would even hazard like a bold prediction that George Kittle is more likely to have a
Starting point is 00:57:04 Travis Kelsey level season Dan Brock Bowers this year would be that I guess your bonus round bold prediction that I would sign off on. I'll go even bonus bonus tight end predictions since I went Bowers is I love the kiddle love. I think George Kittle is going to have a great season. I think George Kittle is going to have a phenomenal season. I think he's going to return a ton of win rates. I also think Trey McBride's going to have a really strong season. And my Bauer's take all double down on.
Starting point is 00:57:31 I think it's the year of the tight end. Ryan and I are kind of budding heads on this one. Again, make sure you listen to School of Scott. Ryan gives a very reasoned, very detailed, very analytical take that people loved on avoiding the early tight end until Kittle. But I think it's a year of the tight end. I think this is the way the NFL is turning. I think you're going to end up with three tight ends, averaging 17 points or more.
Starting point is 00:57:53 I think that McBride and Bowers are both going to be target monsters. I think that Kittle is going to have this unbelievably efficient season. And even if we get 15 more targets, Graham, it's 15 more opportunities for Kittle to have a 40-yard touchdown and win us our fantasy week, which nobody really does that better at the tight end position. And I think both of those rookies are going to hit. I think that it's Warren and Loveland are both going to come in and hit. hit in different ways. I think Warren leads Indianapolis and targets. And I think Loveland, Ryan, you've sort of laid out the pathway for Lovin to have this incredible year. I think he'll pay off too. So I think it's just the way that the NFL is going,
Starting point is 00:58:30 it's this archetype of tight end. They're all similarly sized. And I think the big three are going to score like crazy. You're the tight end. So giving you bonus bonus bold predictions, guys. Let's go wide receiver one overall. Graham, your pick. C.D. Lamb, we're just all in on Cowboys, all in on DAC, getting back to full health. You know, obviously, Jamar Chase has the inside track to be the wide receiver one. You know, Joe Burrow playing at an MVP level. I think Burrow should have won the MVP last season if it was actually an MVP award. It's not.
Starting point is 00:59:07 It's, you know, whoever wins the most game plus is a very good quarterback every year. Unfortunately, it should have been, bro. I liked your take on, you know, it being Burroughs. this year. This stat is one that's just been ruminating in my head all off season. If you just take the games where Dak Prescott played over the last two seasons, Lamb is averaging 18 and a half ppr points per game in Dax's last 25 games. That would make him the wide receiver 1 by 1.5 points per game over Jamar Chase.
Starting point is 00:59:43 And now we've got this situation where George Pickens, I think it's kind of like what you said, the T. Higgins-Germarchase corollary. Having a guide that can stretch the defense vertically is going to open up everything for Lamb on those horizontal crossers. You're not going to be able to just double team him, kind of put defenders in the middle of the field
Starting point is 01:00:03 to kind of guard against that. You're going to have to take pickings into consideration. And the volume is just going to be amazing here. I mean, I said it earlier. Dallas has been top 10 in pass rate and DAC starts and back-to-back seasons. I think Lamb is, is clearly the dark horse wide receiver one.
Starting point is 01:00:19 Like obviously Chase consensus wide receiver one, take him at the 101. Do not take CD Lamb. Like you're not going to get another chance to take to Mark Chase. But if there's a guy who has like a similar outlook who's not kind of being picked to be the wide receiver one, this is a bold takes podcast, guys. I'm going a little bold. I'll take CD Lamb. Yeah. And I wanted to take Lamb and I considered going with like a dark horse candidate.
Starting point is 01:00:43 I love Ryan talking about BTJ. I've talked about Drake London all offseason. There's a number of wide receivers that have a pathway to doing it. And we haven't seen a repeat wide receiver one overall finisher since Antonio Brown. Lamb could end up going nuts and getting 200 targets this year. I mean, there's so many pathways for other guys to do it. But at the end of the day, Jamar Chase is Jamar Chase. I think he averages 24 points per game this year.
Starting point is 01:01:07 And I think that the touchdown scoring is going to be even better than last year. I think he is going to finish with 20 touchdown catches, which would be the third most in NFL history. I think he's got it in them, guys, and it sort of ties into my Joe Burrow, Peyton Manning, Jemar Chase doing it. And Jemar Chase not only will be the wide receiver one overall, but he's going to be the 101 again this year and next year.
Starting point is 01:01:32 He'll be the 101 heading into drafts. Ryan, you drop the BTJ take. So BTJ is your, I don't want to put words in your mouth. Is he your wide receiver one or he's close to? Yeah, no, I mean, I'll do something similar here. like I give you guys the dark horse in VTJ. Obviously, if he wins the triple crown, then in that universe,
Starting point is 01:01:50 he's the fantasy wide receiver one. But yeah, my, my, my, like, chalk pick is just Jamar Chase. He's the 101.
Starting point is 01:01:56 Everything we've already said, like it, I don't see how this Bengals offense doesn't, just create another environment for Chase to lead the league in receiving. Like, if VTJ has anything to say about it, great. But,
Starting point is 01:02:09 yeah, it's pretty locked in, I think, with Chase at 101. Graham, who's the play? that fantasy, so fantasy managers listen to this, there's a bunch of drafters who draft right around Labor Day weekend. We're talking to them right now, the late drafter.
Starting point is 01:02:24 Which player should late drafters be taking as their end game target? And we'll make this round 15 and beyond in ADP. Deeper leagues, if you're in a deep league, especially in leagues where you start three receivers and maybe a multiple flex spots, you're going to want the receiver depth. A lot of our subscribers are in three receiver leagues, multiple flex leagues. One player I cannot stop clicking is Eelik I-O-Manner. I've been pumping up I-O-Manner as one of my favorite sleepers all off-season. From an analytical perspective, like the production profile is awesome for him. Only he and Tetero-McMillan are the only receivers in this rookie class who had at least a third of the teams receiving market share in their age 20 and 21 seasons. I-O-Manor is now 20.
Starting point is 01:03:14 He had 125 receptions over 1,800 yards in 24 games over his last two seasons at Stanford. And he played with just trash cans at quarterback. Like you watch those games and they were legitimately horrible quarterbacks. And it's all a little more impressive when you consider the guy just started playing football a couple years ago. He came from Canada, basically didn't play high school football. The only reason Iommanner went where he went in the draft is because he had a really devastating knee injury. But, I mean, we've seen it in the preseason. We've seen kind of the run after the catch of the ability.
Starting point is 01:03:45 We've seen the start, stop, quickness. He's kind of getting steamed up in kind of the sharper drafts like FFPC, late rounds on underdog. But I love him as like a wide receiver six, seven bench, stash kind of guy. You're probably going to be waiting a couple weeks. Don't think he's going to be a full-time player out of the gates. But I think, you know, we're going to see IOM manner play, you know, full-time snapshot by middle of the year.
Starting point is 01:04:08 Yeah, and one of the biggest ball-knowers in the world is Brett Whitefield. and he's been on the IMA or train for forever. So yeah, I'm with you. He has a golden opportunity to be the number two target in Tennessee. Ryan talked about reasons that he likes the offense with Tony Pollard.
Starting point is 01:04:26 I think that there is an opportunity for IA manner to end up with a lot more targets and maybe some are projecting him. Ryan, give us a player that people should be ending their drafts with. Yeah, I was really scared that Nick Graham was going to steal mine there with the lead-up. First I'll say I am team hammer running backs late in drafts. That's like the stock advice I would generally give to people.
Starting point is 01:04:50 I think you can mix in a receiver or two. Don't overdo it. And I only say that because, yeah, I'm going to give you a wide receiver as well late in drafts right now. Jalen Coker, Cokeheads unite. Yeah, he is right in that round 15, round 16 range at the moment. We have very active smoke, active rumors that the page. Panthers are going to be trading Adam Thielen to the Minnesota Vikings. Today, it sounds like they're just kind of haggling over draft pick compensation.
Starting point is 01:05:20 Like, it sounds like it's probably going to happen. That leaves Koker pretty clearly as the starter out of the slot. And that's really, really exciting. As a rookie, Koker outperformed Marvin Harrison Jr., the fourth overall pick in first downs per outrun, yards per out run, basically every per route stat, every production stat, Jalen Koker, is dunking on Marvin Harrison. He was at 54 receiving yards per game when he was above a 70% route share. That would be more than Amuneraw St. Brown's rookie year, Drake London's rookie year,
Starting point is 01:05:53 Jaden Reed's rookie year, lots of really productive NFL players. Kind of similarly to the Titans, I think the Panthers have the upside just as an offense as a team to exceed expectations. And we could get another really productive or at least somewhat useful fantasy receiver in the final rounds out of this offense next to Tet McMillan. Yeah, give me Jalen Coker. A little follow-up question. If Jalen Coker was a first round pick and went to South Carolina and Xavier
Starting point is 01:06:22 Leggett was the undrafted free agent out of Holy Cross, where would Jell and Coker be going in drafts right now, Ryan? Yeah. Oh, man. Like nine rounds earlier. Oh, yeah. He'd be going over Romodunzei for sure. I think probably, yeah, maybe the Emeka Buka range where Bucca has been seemed up to is
Starting point is 01:06:38 where I would guess. Yeah. Graham, you're packing Jill and Coker bags in round 17 in your late best ball drafts. Yeah, I took him, I think round 17 with bright before, I took I, you look, Iowa Manor in round 16, round 16, and I took Coker in round 17 in an FFPC league last week. All the reasons Ryan lined up. And I mean, Xavier Leggett was kind of, he was a one year wonder, South Carolina, didn't really produce. He had like, what, three or four games over 50 yards last year in a golden opportunity to have, you know, a really nice rookie season. And yeah, I love the cocker steam.
Starting point is 01:07:11 And I mean, the Panthers number two target is just wide open. It's absolutely wide open. Leggett was also overaged when he came in. It was like a what you see is what you get type profile. So yeah, I'm with you. I think it's a like the first, everybody makes the, the pro Xavier Liget arguments always include first round draft capital. Like if you take the first round draft capital out,
Starting point is 01:07:33 Xavier Liget not looking so hot. And not every first round pick hit. guys. Not every first round wide receiver hit. So yeah, Jalen Coker, I'm rooting for it. I'm with Ryan. I want to attack late round running back. The problem is a lot of these guys, if we were doing this three weeks ago, guys, I would have said Ollie Gordon. Now we're seeing Ollie Gordon go inside of round 12 in some of these high stakes leagues. I'll give a player that I am trying to pack bags of in FFPC right now, took him in a main event today, in a slow main event. And the price is still good in a lot of these leagues.
Starting point is 01:08:08 I am absolutely buying the vibes when it comes to Harold Fanon Jr. I am a David Injoku guy, but I think this is going to be a weird offense. I think it's going to be a high level of pass volume and a lack of high-end pass catchers that would preclude a 21-year-old versatile talent like Harold Fanon. We get a little bit of a cheat code here, guys, where Harold Fanon is sort of like that Isaiah likely where he's like an overgrown wide receiver with tight end eligibility. but the added bonus is unlike likely, it's a target volume as could be there.
Starting point is 01:08:43 The first week of the year, the Cleveland Browns play, the Cincinnati Bengals. Don't be surprised if Harold Fanon Jr. is a tight end one in week one and is a heavily added player. I get all sorts of outs here, guys. David and Joko gets traded at the deadline,
Starting point is 01:08:59 Harold Fanon Jr. to the moon in the second half of the season. If Jerry Judy misses time, if Cedric Tillman misses time, then Fanon Jr. would have a huge bump. So I'm packing bags of Harold Fanon Jr. I think he's a really, really fun late round pick right now. Vives on Fanon. Is it like chasing waterfalls to draft a tight end too on a bad offense,
Starting point is 01:09:21 Graham, or are the vibes, are you also seeing these sort of vibes? Fanon was a great prospect. I mean, arguably one of the most productive tight ends in, you know, NCAA history. And for all the reasons you kind of outlined, I mean, they don't have a third receiver. I read where Deonté Johnson could potentially be on the roster bubble. Rounds haven't really been a 12 personnel team, two tied in team over the last two years under
Starting point is 01:09:43 Stefanski, but I could see that really coming up just based on necessity, right? Like it's just, it's basically just Judy and Tillman. And then you kind of have this move tied in and fan. And so I like that call. Yeah, I'll even quickly add to that. Their new OC, Tommy Reese, he was at Notre Dame getting Tommy Trembal and Michael Mayer, like day two NFL draft capital. Neither guy has really done anything in the league as receiver since.
Starting point is 01:10:09 But yeah, he was going from like 25 to 30 percent target shares for his tight ends in those seasons. So yeah, maybe we do get a more tight end centric offense and both these guys can kind of eat. I'm still in on Injoku. I'm still a little bit skeptical that Fanon is actually anywhere close to like an every down player in practice. But yeah, I can totally see this kind of.
Starting point is 01:10:32 of work for both of them. Yeah, and one little little nugget is week one is always one of the best weeks for adding guys off of the waiver wire. It's the first time that NFL teams actually have to tell us the truth in terms of snaps, in terms of targets, in terms of touches, in terms of their depth chart. A lot of what we see now in the preseason is still smoke and mirrors. Week one, make sure you're adding players. And Fantasy Football Daily's has you covered on the waiver wire. I'm going to be joined every week by Joe Dolan and Tom Brawley. We're going to be dropping waiver wire advice right here on Fantasy Points YouTube and on the Fantasy Football Daily podcast.
Starting point is 01:11:11 Ryan, let's keep this going. Oh, and a big shout to you, Ryan. You mentioned Tommy Reese. And Ryan did an article that is one of the best articles you're going to read all off season long. It was Fantasy Football Impact, new coaches. That's available on Fantasy Points. Ryan, is that one still free? Yeah, that is still free.
Starting point is 01:11:31 You can go read it right now. I just quickly pulled that up to get you those tight-end target share numbers. That's exactly where it came from. So, yeah, fantasy football impact, new coaches 2025. Go check it out. Graham Barfield, who is in the Super Bowl and who wins the Super Bowl? So I said the Broncos are the dark horse candidate just because they have like such a, you know, deep team, right? Their defense is so good.
Starting point is 01:11:55 I view one team is even deeper just from top to bottom and it's the Ravens. I've been wanting the Ravens to win the Super Bowl, willing the Ravens to get to the Super Bowl, just win the freaking AFC Ravens. This year is their year. They stay healthy. This defense is much, much improved. So I've got the Ravens over the Rams.
Starting point is 01:12:18 I think the Rams are, man, from top to bottom in the NFC, like the Eagles are clearly the top team. I think you could make an argument for the Packers, that defense kind of gives me a little bit of skepticism. the only thing that concerns me on the Rams is if Stafford's back holds up for 16 games, but this defense is awesome. Their pass rush is awesome. So I'm going a little off the board.
Starting point is 01:12:41 My Super Bowl prediction this year is Ravens Rams and the Ravens just obliterate the Rams. Sadly for Rams fan, but I'm all in on Ravens here. Yeah, and I wrote that in my Bold Predictions article. I'm also on the Ravens. Lamar Jackson wins his first Super Bowl MVP. The Ravens get to the Super Bowl. they win 3723, not over the Rams. I went with the Detroit Lions.
Starting point is 01:13:04 I wonder if Lions fans would take that one, getting the Super Bowl but losing by two touchdowns. I think they'd probably take it. They'd be a little bit annoyed. But Baltimore Ravens, it's year three guys, year three of Todd Monkin. It's an offense that's been steamrolling. Derek Henry's never won a Super Bowl.
Starting point is 01:13:22 Lamar Jackson's never won a Super Bowl. It feels like it's coming. Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl champions. Ryan, where you at? I have a Super Bowl prediction. Yeah, so I'm kind of predicting the rematch from a couple years ago that absolutely nobody wants, which is I just still have a really hard time picking against the Chiefs in the AFC until they give me a real reason not to.
Starting point is 01:13:43 So I have the Chiefs over, actually over the 49ers to be coming out of the NFC. I think we could see like a really surprise bounce back from this team. Brock Purdy specifically really impressed me last year in a quite different. environment, easily the toughest of his career. So I can kind of see him overcoming all of that with a full offseason to kind of get all these new weapons installed. Yeah, I like the 49ers to surprise, but to come up short once again against the, yeah, the team that nobody wants to see in the Super Bowl.
Starting point is 01:14:20 Ryan, I really hope you're right, because if you're right on the Niners being a Super Bowl team, I'm going to be very rich because I am very heavy on the 49. this year, man. I love that call. The 49ers make the Super Bowl. Graham Barfield wins. Best Ball mania. Everybody's happy. So we're all in on the AFC, guys. Kansas City for Ryan, Baltimore,
Starting point is 01:14:40 Baltimore for Graham and I. Awesome, awesome show. If you're listening to Fantasy Football Daily on the podcast, do us a favor and subscribe to Fantasy Points. YouTube. We crossed 19,000 followers the other day. A ton of growth in YouTube. And if you're watching this on YouTube,
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