Fantasy Football Daily - Tyrone Tracy & Adonai Mitchell | Week 16 Fantasy Football: Must Start Players & Sneaky Streamers | 2025

Episode Date: December 19, 2025

We just lowered prices across all our packages, and promo code 'GURU' gets you an extra 15% off our already discounted 50% off price. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠��⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠/ In this Week 16 Fantasy Football breakdown, we zero in on the players who can swing playoff matchups and the traps you need to avoid as the margins tighten. The episode opens with a deep dive on Tyrone Tracy’s expanding role, Brock Purdy’s outlook in a high-leverage spot, and why Oronde Gadsden is flashing legitimate breakout potential. We then sort through the best flex options on the board, including Michael Carter’s workload stability, Jalen Coker’s matchup-driven appeal, and why Adonai Mitchell remains a high-upside swing. On the flip side, we explain why Jaylen Waddle and Trevor Lawrence carry more risk than reward this week. The show closes with actionable streaming advice on Tyler Shough and Mike Gesicki, plus rapid-fire context on DJ Moore, Colston Loveland, Mike Evans, Emeka Egbuka, and Chris Godwin to help you lock in confident Week 16 lineup decisions. Where to find us: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://twitter.com/TheOGFantasy⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://twitter.com/⁠⁠GrahamBarfield⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Join the Discord here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/discord#/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Podcast Transcription Here: Fantasy Points Website - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fantasypoints.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ NEW! Data Suite - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://data.fantasypoints.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Facebook - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/FantasyPts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@fantasypts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ #FantasyFootball #2025Rankings #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFL #FantasyFootball #StartSit #Week7 #FantasyFootballAdvice #FantasyFootball2025 #Sleepers #MustStart #FantasyFootballPodcast #FantasyPoints Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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In partnership with Golden Nugget Online Casino. Gambling problem, call ConEx Ontario at 1-866-531-2600. 19 and over. Physically present in Ontario. Eligibility restrictions apply. See Golden Nuggett Casino.com for details. Please play responsibly. Week 16, fantasy football start, sit decisions, which players should be in your lineup, which players should be on your benches, and which players are flex considerations. It is the fantasy football playoffs. For a lot of you, this is single elimination, win and go home type environment. A lot of leagues are into their final fours. Theo Greminger and Graham Barfield back at it, Fantasy Football Daily on the Fantasy Points podcast network and

Fantasy Points YouTube. Graham, fantasy managers are searching for an edge. This is, again, there's no mistakes can be made this week. Last week we saw coming out of the by week, Tyrone Tracy had really his best game of the season. He had two touchdowns, one as a receiver, one as a rusher, dominated Devin Singletary in the touch share, the Giants lost, but Tyrone Tracy managers have to love what they saw coming out of the buy week. Are we trusting Tyrone Tracy again this week in money making week 16? I think so, because like you said, Singletary kind of went by the wayside last week. Tracy got

the season high and snap rate 76%. And then you have like this nice game environment too. Like I don't think the Vikings are going to come in and like blow out the giants. even though, you know, McCarthy's played a little better. I still think Darts the better quarterback. And this is like an awesome matchup for Tracy. Vikings are basically a bottom 10 run defense by any metric, yards per game, success rate over the last eight weeks. And yeah, I mean, you know, the floor is pretty good here.

I mean, the Giants are 26 and pass rate, even in Darts starts over the last eight weeks. So I think, you know, the floor is pretty good. It comes down to whether or not they do what everybody hates and have the vulture Singletary come in on the goal line. but, you know, they kind of shied away from that two games ago and last week. So, yeah, I think Tracy's been, he's been turning up, man. He's one of my favorite RB2 plays on the slate, I think. Yeah, I like Tyrone Tracy.

I have him rocking in a couple of lineups. And again, I love seeing it sort of out of the by week where you have a little bit of time to self-scout. There was a lot of people sort of making Devin's singletary calls that it was going to be a singletary type game against Washington. Anything but that. With Tracy, we get the added benefit of the receiving work so the game flow could go either way for him. And New York right now is in the driver's seat for the number one overall pick in the NFL draft. But I think there's a chance that they win back-to-back

games here, Minnesota and Vegas to close out the season. So if we can get another big game out of Tracy, then Tri-Rone Tracy managers are going to be absolutely loving life in week 17 in that really, really cushy matchup against Vegas. Number of other players for us to discuss today. Let's talk about another running back that's sort of coming out of the woodwork. Michael Carter could be in store for a really, really fun game. Arizona are home dogs in this one, but with Carter, you get the benefit of the receiving work. After Michael Wilson and after Trey McBride, Carter led Arizona in receptions this past week, also had a ton of carries. Carter could end up with somewhere in the 15 to 20 touch range.

Are we trusting him as like a flex or a low end two this week? Yeah, for sure. Really good flex play. And maybe even like you said, like a good mid-range RB2. I could seriously see some like real upside here simply because the volume here. Like the Cardinals, it's like their backfield has been a final destination movie this year. Man, they just, everybody who's gone back there has just gotten absolutely destroyed. Bam Knight, now out for the season.

It's just Carter and DeMarcato. And last week, DeMarcato played in his first game in like a month. He's missed about a month with an ankle injury. So there's a chance he's still like not 100% either. But yeah, Carter, 79% of the snaps to DeMarcado's 11% last week. I know everybody's kind of been chasing their tail, myself included with this Cardinals backfield all season. Like we've tried to like put the pin the tail on the donkey all year.

I actually think this is like one of the few spots we've had Theo where it's like kind of obvious who the clearly. back's going to be because they've really just got one guy. I think Carter's pretty good. We've seen him play in this, like, bell cow-ish role a few times and be pretty productive. And this game environment is really, really exciting. The Falcons have a very strong implied team total. They're three-point favorites coming to this game. And, you know, the Cardinals obviously have just been like, you know, basically being carried by Jacoby Brissette and all this volume. So I really like this game to shoot out. And Carter's, you know, he's kind of a nice part of that

for this Cardinal's offense. Yeah, and with Carter, we know Brissette, the pass volume is going to be very, very high. We have Jacoby Brissette ranked very highly this week. But if you look at Michael Carter's work in the passing game, he's had four targets or more in four out of his last five weeks, and that's in sort of a committee role. There's a chance. I mean, he's got a seven target game earlier this season. He has an 18-point game earlier this season as well.

Carter's done well for this team when given the opportunity. and I think he delivers this week as well. I've cramped him into a couple of lineups, wild times where we're sort of getting excited about Michael Carter. But again, it's the two-way ability there. I've got to like it. Let's talk about Jalen Coker. Coker has now led Carolina in receiving yardage in back-to-back weeks.

He's trending up. We haven't seen a week where you're like, oh, I really wish I used Jailen Coker in fantasy, but it feels like that could be coming. and you've got a massive, massive game this week with Carolina going up against this Tampa Bay secondary that was just annihilated by Kyle Pitts. Yeah, Kyle Pitts went in there and did all those guys dirty, man. He was unbelievable, but this has kind of been a growing theme with this Buck's secondary. They've really struggled even before the Pitts game, giving up the second most passing yards over the last five weeks.

I don't know if Ted McMillan's healthy. Like, he dealt with his hamstring injury earlier this year. He's apparently dealing with, like, a foot injury now. He's going to play, but, you know, I was talking to Brett Whitefield earlier this week, and he was basically saying, like, McMillan doesn't look 100% to his eye. And it's kind of opened up this opportunity for Jalen Coker. He's got more targets than McMillan in the last two games. And we know Jaylon Coker's good.

Like, we've, you know, back half of last year is, I think, is seared in everybody's brains. But last two weeks have certainly been, you know, vindication for the Cokeheads. And, you know, I know, I know, I'm a little late to the party, Coke Heads, but I hope I hope you'll have me. And he's a really good play in this spot. Like if you're desperate for a wide receiver three or flex this week, I think he's a really, really strong play. Yeah, again, it's sort of team specific.

But if you're in a wide receiver heavy format specifically, I think Coker is really, really helpful. If you have a two flex format, start two wide receivers, start two flexes, it becomes a little bit more of a decision. I think Coker is somewhere in that mid-level to low-end, wide receiver three. but has a little bit of upside in case this game gets away from them. Tampa Bay, who we're going to talk about it a little bit, they're fully healthy at the receiver position.

Again, coming off of a loss, but this game could really go either way. These teams are both 7 and 7, a must-win game for both of these teams. You've got to hope that this is going to be an over-type environment. Let's talk about another player who's trending up. The Brady-Cook Adonai-Mitchell connection looks pretty, strong. Adonai Mitchell was targeted in a major way this past week, caught a touchdown pass.

Brady Cook has talked about the connection he has, the confidence he has with Adonai Mitchell. This is a game where it feels like the Saints are in a tremendous spot. I know that the Saints defense is going to be streamed by many people listening to this, including myself. But with the way Adonai Mitchell is being leaned on in this passing game and the willingness that Brady Cook has to target him. Should we be cramming Mitchell in as like a wide receiver three, it's flex type play? I can't believe I'm saying it, but it's kind of crazy we've come to this. I think Cook might be their best avenue for 80 Mitchell PPR points.

Like it's kind of crazy. It's come to this. You look at our charting metrics here at fantasy points data. Cook's basically got the same catchable throw rate as Tyrault, who's obviously, you know, 10 plus year veteran. And yeah, the volume has just been great with Mitchell. like we know he's going to go out there and earn targets he's got 18% or more of their target chair in five four excuse me five straight games he's led them in targets in four out of five

uh so i'm just i'm chasing the volume man i think mitchell has big play upside for sure it's just whether or not cook can get him the ball i'm with you that saint's defense is by far the best streaming defense on the slate i've got them in a few spots as well but you know this game's got a little shoot shoot out potential you know maybe shuck throws a pick maybe cook throws a pick both these teams are kind of fast and pace. I know the game total is not great, but I do think this is one of the few spots on this slate where we've kind of got like a gross game environment in general,

but a little bit of shootout potential just because these defenses are so bad and the offenses are pretty quick in pace. Yeah, so you're not buying the New Orleans defense as a streaming option this week quite as much as maybe the market? No, no, I am. I am. I like that call a lot. Saints have been good.

Like, Saints are legitimately good team at home. they are very well coached, but I do, I do think Cook is kind of the best, he's the best quarterback for this Jets team, like both things can be true. That's for sure. Absolutely wild times with Cook. For me, it's Adonai Mitchell's shown that he can put up a big number and he's shown that he can absorb a high number of targets from multiple Jets quarterbacks here. He had it from Taylor, now he has it from Cook. He's a player that's sort of gaining steam heading into the offseason. And so we always see it where, Graham, you get into these week 16, week 17 environments. Back of the day, it used to be week 15, week 16, before the schedule sort of expanded in the NFL,

where you get into sort of the final four of fantasy football, and you get these random guys putting up big numbers. And a lot of times, you've seen it a million times. A team might go unscathed in the regular season, a clear number one seed. And they end up losing to some team who's like a whole. four seed who got hot at the end and had a guy like adenai mitchell in their lineup who goes for 25 points so i'm there i think adenai mitchell the connection looks good and again we've seen it it's not one of these situations where we're chasing a spike week like with cocker we have seen spike weeks with mitchell so we're completely there let's take a quick break and when we come

back we're talking about tyler shuck is tyler shuck a player that you want to trust this week on the streaming radar in a big, big spot right after this. This time of year with the holidays right around the corner, you're looking to save some money. And a great way to do that is with Chime. Chime understands that every dollar counts. That's why when you set up direct deposit through Chime, you get access to fee-free features like free overdraft coverage, getting paid up to two days early with direct deposit and more. Learn more at chime.com slash points.

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Chime checking account required. All right, Graham, welcome back. And if you're looking for a late present for Hanukkah and a Christmas present, or you want to give yourself the best possible source of fantasy football information, go check out FantasyPoint.com. Our early bird special is back. It's your chance to lock in the lowest prices of the entire. season, you're going to get the rest of 2025 as well as lock in this incredible price for

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and all that sort of stuff. So the college football package has been tremendous as well. The early bird special over at fantasy points, go and check it out. Let's continue our discussion. We talked about a couple of flex options. Let's pivot back over to a, you know, let's start with Tyler Shuck. We prefaced him before we broke. Shuck has been playing well.

There's really some good vibes there. He's had multiple QB1 finishes over the last few weeks. Now, again, he's in a game where he's a favorite. Saints are expected. to win this one against New York. We all saw what happened to with Trevor Lawrence against this defense last week. And Trevor Lawrence found the end zone as a runner. A lot of people talk about the touchdown passes for Lawrence.

But you also had the yardage plus the touchdown score as a runner. Tyler Shuck offers us that same two way ability. Will he shine this week in week 16? Yeah. You mentioned the vibes. The vibes are amazing on Shuck. I think the Saints, you know, kind of has. have found somebody, you know, every week he makes a couple of plays that are, that are just,

like, you know, highlight worthy. If you've missed Patrick Mahomes this week coming, you know, he's like got the knee injury or you've been streaming quarterbacks. I think Shuck is by far your best option this week. You mentioned, you know, Lawrence just let the Jets on fire. Their pass rush stinks, man. They've got this, basically the second worst pass rush in the league since they traded away Quinn and Williams. Yeah, the rushing upside is legit, too. He's got six or more carries in four straight games. You question the big play upside with those runs. I don't think he's particularly fast. But, you know, they're giving them a legitimate design stuff, you know, design carries in the red zone.

And I think that could tick up this week, too, man. They've got, you know, a really, they're in trouble at running back. Like, let's just put it plainly. Like, they're going to be a lot more pass heavy, I think, than usual. They're down to their fourth and fifth string running backs in Audrakes and Evan Hall. Devin Neal is on high R now. Alvin Kumar is probably not going to come back this year. So I could see the Saints throwing a little more and kind of upping Shucks design carry rate,

which is like perfect timing for this spot. because like you mentioned, this is the best team outlook the Saints have had all season here at home against the Jets. Yeah, I'm there. And I use Tyler Shuck in a couple of spots. I have them in some lineups now over players that I would have clearly benched him in weeks past. There is a bunch of matchups that are not so appealing this week.

So Shuck getting this home favorite, you don't have to worry about the weather here. There's just so much to like about Tyler Shuck here. So if you're uncomfortable with your starting option, Shuck gives you the scrambling option. It's against a soft defense. There's just so much to like here. And with Shuck, I love talking about. Same thing with Adonai Mitchell.

We're not chasing it at this point. We've seen him trending up. We've seen him putting up fantasy numbers in recent weeks. So he'll just continue the trend here. Tyler Shuck, I think, is going to have a ton of momentum this off season because his game is fantasy friendly. We like what's going on with the offensive line in New Orleans. and we like what's going on with Kellan Moore, the coach.

I think this next offseason, it's going to be adding weapons for this more offense. And I think Shuck has a chance to be a very interesting quarterback heading into the 2026 season, found money for dynasty managers who drafted him. We mentioned Trevor Lawrence. Trevor Lawrence had his all-time best game as a pro. He's been on an absolute heater. QB1 finishes in four out of his last five games. And the only game where he didn't finish.

as a QB1. He was the QB 13 overall. So he's been playing completely lights out fantasy football. He's QB7 on the season. And everybody's just praised Trevor Lawrence on every single podcast this week. I talked about him with Scott Barrett on School of Scott. I have him in the Dynasty Market Report as a player gaining value in my article over at Fantasy Points. But are we using him this week specifically in a road matchup at the Denver Broncos? goes with that very, very strong defense for them. Right. So both things can be true.

Lawrence is playing significantly better. You look at their last three games, though, against the Titans, against the Colts, against the Jets, Colts without their two best corners. And now, yeah, he's got to go into Denver. I love Trevor Lawrence as a streamer. He was one of the best calls we had last week on the show, Theo. We like Lawrence the week before as a streamer. And I think the week before that, so we've been getting this right.

It feels odd to pull a quarterback who just threw for 330 yards and five touchdowns out of your lineup. But yeah, I just have a lot of respect for this Denver Broncos defense and the secondary, this pass rush. They've basically limited everybody. They've played this season. Second few is passing fantasy points per dropback allowed. We're projecting Lawrence at QB 18. And I think that just feels right. Like we've just, like you mentioned a minute ago, we've got a lot of really tricky matchups on the slate with these quarterbacks.

There's very few like clean, clean spots. Lawrence probably is like, you know, among the, like, least clean to kind of figure out. For me, we've just seen Lawrence kind of struggle in these more difficult matchups in the past, and I'm kind of leaning into that, like, past history. But, you know, there's certainly a chance I'm wrong on this, and he's like a new player and turned a corner. It's just, you know, I just, really, it comes down to this matchup. I mean, Broncos past rush can get after everybody, man.

Yeah, again, it's really tough to sit a player on a heater, but things went, exceedingly well for Lawrence last week. Again, the quality of the opponent, the fact that three of his touchdown passes went to ETN, I mean, that's sort of unheard of to have three touchdown passes to your running back, especially with ETN, and we haven't really seen that from him in the Lawrence connection,

really at any time since they were at Clemson together. I think with this one, if you're a super flex manager, you're still using Trevor Lawrence with confidence. This is really more to the single QB streaming radar out there looking to sort of pivot and all just sort of a head to head let me throw out a couple of options for you uh graham to see sort of where your heads at uh let's go Trevor Lawrence or C.J. Stroud. Okay. And then Trevor Lawrence or Baker Mayfield. Oh, Baker. Baker's like,

dude, he's like QB6 with Mike Evans. He's been really good when he's got he's got his guy. Okay. So there we go. And then we just talked about it. it, Tyler Shuck, the old man rookie, or Trevor Lawrence, the former number one overall pick. Oh, my God. Wait, is Tyler Shuck older than Trevor Lawrence? I think he is. That's worth it. He's 27, right?

That's worth a Google. That's worth a Google. Yeah, no, Shuck's 27. Lawrence is 26. That's crazy. Yeah, I'm going Shuck over Lawrence. Maybe I'll live to regret that one because the Jags are playing so well. But, yeah, I like Shuck this week, man.

That was the old Tyler Shuck was teammates with Joanne Johnson as a saint. and teammates with Joanne Johnson back when they were both at Oregon. So just wild, wild stuff for Tyler Shuck. Yeah, Trevor Lawrence, again, you know your lineup. You can reference our rankings over at fantasy points. But, yeah, I think tread lightly with this matchup and manage expectations. And then for Trevor Lawrence, the next two games are going to be Indianapolis and Tennessee. So two chances for Jacksonville will get those wins.

If Jacksonville gets 12 wins this year, let's say they finish out two and one for the regular season. That's the most wins they've had since 2005. What a job by Liam Cohen really, really turned things around when it comes to Lawrence. Let's keep this one going. Let's stay with a player that let us down last week. Mike Jaseki was on everyone streaming radar arts. There was a lot of people cramming them into lineups, using him in the flex in FFPC, tight-end premium type leagues. And Jaseki and the Bengals, everybody besides Jemar Chase, and then, of course, Chase Brown ended up catching a bunch of passes. But a lot of disappointments, Baltimore completely controlled the Bengals in this one.

Jaseki was completely shut down. So we go with Mike Jaseki having a 21-point week against Buffalo in week 14, down to a two-point week against Baltimore and week 15. Where are we out on this one? Are we just going to bench him in this one? Do we think he's going to get back to it against Miami here? Where are you out on Joseki? The process was right on Giske.

He got a full-time route chair last week, 75%. He was the highest of his season. And then, yeah, only got two targets. Yeah, no T. Higgins, though, in this spot, it seems like, again, he's in concussion protocol still his second of the year. And this is another really good matchup, man. Miami's actually allowing the second most yards per game to tight ends. I also think no offense beat up.

He's got an ankle injury. So, Gaseki, I think he's the best, like, non-obvious streamer on this slate. Obviously, Thursday night is yet to play. Colby Parkinson. We're looking at, you know, Colston Loveland as well. Gasekis, he's, you know, widely available, especially after, like you said last week. Pretty much landed goose egg, but I'm going right back to him this week. Trust in Joe Burrow, trust in this matchup. So it's not going to be Tuatung of Iloa going up against Burrow. It's going to be Quinn Uers, who takes over a quarterback in Miami. Devon A. A. Chan is going to soundly remain in everybody's lineups, and I think

they're going to lean on A-chan about as much as humanly possible with a rookie behind center. What are we doing with number one target Jalen Waddle, the top wide receiver on the Miami Dolphins? This is a tough one, Graham, because for multiple weeks, we talked about how everything was sort of lining up well for Jalen Waddle. He's going to have this big fantasy football playoffs. Waddle was coming off of a really consistently high-scoring second half of the season. but what about in this matchup specifically with a quarterback change? Are you looking to use Waddle? Are you looking to pivot off of him?

Between the quarterback change and between this matchup, yeah, I'm pretty scared. I listed him as a sit this week in my article. Just no confidence really in Quinn Ewers. And then, yeah, man, I mean, it's like this is a really tough matchup. Our guy Chris Wecht and Brett Whitefield, they've been saying DJ Turner, bingo's top outside corners, like, legit, like one of the best corners. in the league and they're right i mean by the numbers they've you know he's been awesome this season he's going to travel with jalen wattle and i think the flip side of this is like

mike big daniel like why wouldn't you just come out and load up devon a chan target darren waller a ton i think this matchup is clearly exploitable for miami and what they do well in terms of their run game and their tight end play between waller and dulcich that they've got enough to kind of move the ball without Waddle. I'm out, especially after last week, man. Last couple of weeks have been really brutal for Waddle. Yeah, it's, it's very, very disappointing when it comes to Waddle. Again, if we had this conversation about which wide receivers were shaping up for a strong playoff run back in like week 10, week 11, we would have been all over Waddle here. But you've got to play the matchups. You can't go with the priors of what a guy did six weeks ago. You got to go

with what they're going to do this week. Single elimination fantasy football. is about as tilting as it gets, and it's a lot of fun. We've got more players to cover right after this. When you're flying Emirates business class, relaxing in an exclusive airport lounge, you'll see that your vacation isn't really over until your flight is over. Fly Emirates, fly better. All right, so another player who had a little bit of a bounce back this past week, Arronday Gadsden, which we've been,

like, you know, treading cautiously with Gadsden. You told everybody to bench him. Very smartly, he told him to bench him a couple of weeks in a row. But last week we saw sort of a return to producing lead Los Angeles in receiving yardage here. Does he do it again? The matchup looks pretty good this week against the Dallas Cowboys. You can come back in the comments yell at me if I'm wrong on this one. But this is like the only thing I'm confident in.

The Chargers offense this week is Gadsden. it's just like a perfect schematic matchup. Cowboys play very little man coverage. They're playing nearly 80% zone. And Gadsden is crushing zone coverages, 2.7 yards per route run. That's second best among tight ends. I think there's just a lot of upside here. I mean, Gadsden obviously gets some deeper shots to 10.4 yard. Ada is only second only to Darren Waller over the last eight weeks. So you know, you're getting the deep downfield shots against zone against the Cowboys. Like kind of sounds like a perfect matchup. think the only concern here continues to be the same concern with this Chargers offense is just the

past protection Justin Herbert's health they've been a lot more run heavy as of late Theo but yeah Gadsden like you mentioned came back to life last week a little bit against the chiefs he set a couple tough matchups this is clearly his easiest matchup yet I'm I'm playing with playing with playing Gadsden with pretty strong confidence this week I love that and we'd love to see sort of a big turnaround for Gadsden after that like middle of the season lull he's a player that we've already seen sort of the big time spike week ability from lad mcconkey curious sort of your your expectations for him in this one i know you mentioned gadsden sort of your favorite play there we've got lad mcconky uh ranked as wide receiver 24 on the week in regular ppr uh projections where are you at

do you think that we're about right a little too high a little too low i think that's about right and it's just because of the matchup but i can't sit here and say like mcconkey's just been you know, he's fallen out of this offense, basically, 18 targets over the last month. The volume just hasn't been there. Like I was mentioning, you know, they're just a lot more, you know, run heavy as of late. I think the only thing you can really hang your hat on this week with McConkey is this matchup. He's, you know, obviously very good at getting open still, but, you know, there's just a lot

kind of working against him between, you know, offense being more run heavy. They have got more way more receivers in rotation now. And, you know, Herbert's less than 100%. Let's talk about the Chicago Bears. Massive, massive matchup against the Green Bay Packers this week. No Michael Parsons for Green Bay. This becomes a little bit of a defense that's a little bit easier to go up against. But now we have a ton of attrition with Chicago.

Roma Dunezay's missed games. Roma Dunez has been banged up. Luther Burden ends up having his best game as a pro. He's now out for this week. You have sort of a decimated wide receiver room here. you've got DJ Moore sort of set to lead the room. You've got Olamidi Zakias and then Colston Loveland trending up in this one. Your confidence level in using both DJ Moore and Colston Loveland,

is this a situation you're looking to avoid? Are you looking to try to cram these guys and sort of break ties because of the lack of target competition? Where are you at with Chicago right now? All right. So confidence level on Loveland's like an 8 out of 10. I just think he's incredible. Maybe I'm just biased against him because I've loved him since he came out. But, you know, we're going to get an uptick in routes.

He's just been super efficient. Tighten 8 by fantasy points per game over the last eight weeks. So, you know, he's obviously the Bengals game is doing a lot of the heavy lifting there, but he's still been pretty good in general. 17% of the more of the targets and two of his last three. DJ Moore, confidence is like a three out of 10. But like you mentioned, this is the first time that we can like project him for a decent target share. He did play pretty well last week.

And then, yeah, I mean, Packers, you know, no Michael Parsons. Their corners, I think, are pretty burnable. They play a lot of zone coverage. But Moore is a pretty strong wide receiver three. I think Loveland is a top six, top seven tight-in play this week, man. The guy I'm having the most trouble with, help me on on Caleb Williams. Like, he's been completely boom or bust, a lot more bust as of late. Bears are a little more run heavy as well.

where are you out on Caleb Williams? He was like maybe the hardest quarterback to write up this week, I think. Yeah, I mean, Caleb, you've got in the back of your mind that the rushing upside could be there in a game like this. And I wonder if the lack of wide receivers is going to lead to more rushing opportunities for him. So he could have a little bit more of a baked-in floor.

I mean, I'm not especially high on him this week. I don't think it's like doom and gloom, but I think he's somewhere in that mid-QB-2 range when it's all set and done. I did pick Chicago to win the game, but I think that this is a situation with Caleb where a lot of the quarterbacks we've talked about earlier in the show, like I'd have Caleb behind Trevor Lawrence despite that tough matchup to sort of, you know, show the confidence level. I'd have him behind C.J. Stroud. I'd probably have him behind Tyler Shuck. So I guess when I'm looking. I agree on all three of those, I think. Yeah. I mean, I mean, I think he's, I'd use Caleb Williams over like the. pretty much all of the, Aaron Rogers tier, the Bryce Young's. I'd use them over Gardner Minshue, if you're looking to kind of grab the Patrick Mahomes replacement.

I think it's sort of somewhere where we're ranking Jordan Love is about similar. I think both of these guys in this game, the game flow might not dictate a pretty one for fantasy football. I think both of the starting quarterbacks in this game might end up being like mid-QB-2s, and I think it's probably a game that I'm looking to pivot off of. but I do think Chicago gets the win, which would be a very, very important one for Ben Johnson, this one. Let's talk about another sort of crowded situation now.

Mike Evans came back, and not only was Mike Evans healthy and playing, but there was no ramp-up period. He actually had as many targets as Chris Godwin and Emeka Egbuka combined. Egbuka, another week where he scored a little less than 10 ppr points, another sort of big disappointment there. But Mike Evans looked completely, locked in. How are you approaching this Tampa Bay wide receiver room? Are you looking to use a

mechagbuka, looking to use Chris Godwin? Again, you sound confident in Baker Mayfield, but is this more of a, I like Baker, but I don't necessarily love having to cram in his weapons? Or do you think this is Mike Evans part two? He's back. He's fully the wide receiver one. Yeah, I think it's Evans back, fully wide receiver one. He's also like crushed J.C. Horn in his career. I think Evans' must start. Agbuka, I put him in the flex category, but honestly, man, the more I'm thinking about it, he might be a set. Like, you look at the last couple of weeks, like, the volume has been amazing.

Production hasn't been great. Mayfield hasn't given a ton of catchable throws. But, bro, like, I was stunned to see this. Jalen McMillan actually worked in as their fourth wide receiver, 48% route share last week. And McMillan had a touchdown overturn, too. McMillan that should have that touchdown. McMillan looked awesome. Yeah, it looked great.

And that cut into Egg Bucca's role. So, yeah, I think I'm going to bump Igbuka down. As for God, I mean, he's the wide receiver 60, fantasy this season. I just, I don't think you can play them in semifinals week. It sucks because, like, I think Mayfield, you know, obviously he gets all these weapons back. He's a great play. Evans is going to earn all the targets. But yeah, you're kind of right.

We don't really have a second target we can trust here. Okay, I'll give you a head-to-head. Aaron Jones versus Zemeca, Agbuka, in a flex spot. Oh, Aaron Jones for sure. Aaron Jones is who I have in. Nice. And here's a weird one. you super weird a team uh ffc triflex dynasty team so superflex team start 10 Mike Evans or Gardner

Minchu in the super flex spot oh man wide receiver versus quarterback gardener probably projects just a little better a little bit better I think Evans is safer I think Evans is safer to be on I could see Gardner scoring like six yeah that he does project better it's funny because the Tennessee feels like a like a like a live team here this week and it's minchew against tennessee i picked them to win and i did not feel good about it i still went with kansas city i was i didn't have i was not quite as bold in that one uh but minchew sort of it feels like anything could happen whereas evans i feel like i'm going to get somewhere in the eight to ten target range and a chance of him finding the end zone again so it's always weird when you get to the bottom of the barrel kuby twos versus a

positional player in superflex but this week more so that than any. There's some really, really ugly bottom of the QB2, QB3 range, like Philip Rivers, Brady Cook, Kenny Pickett, Quinn Ewers. I don't want any part of those guys. Then you get into the, I think Cousins is kind of fun. Shadurr Sanders is hard to trust this week against Buffalo. But yeah, I do like Kirk Cousins. I think we're a little too low on him. He's interesting. But I mean, it's, I think there's seven rookies starting this week, Graham. And it's a lot of like sort of names that we never thought would be starting NFL games at the start of the season are in starting lineups. It could be a wacky, wacky week.

But hey, man, we've got you covered. We're here to the end. This is my last start sit show that I'm recording for the year. I'm going to be traveling next week for the Christmas holiday. Big shout out to all the people that have supported this show. I'm sure we'll do something. but a big shout out to you graham that's been really really fun recording these ones with you every single week we've had a number of hits not too many misses hopefully uh we were helped to you uh but a big shout out to the

fantasy points audience my first year at fantasy points my first year doing a start sit show with you graham this has been a blast man so yeah big shout out to you and to the audience yeah this has been a lot of fun we'll run it back next year for sure we've been talking behind the scenes about some you know maybe changes and improvements to the show too so we'll bring it back and Yeah, good luck to everybody in the semi-finals, man. This is a fun week. I know it's a tilting week can be kind of a stressful week, too, with the holidays coming up, but enjoy it, enjoy the football. And hopefully, you know, you guys all just crush your lineups this week, man. Yeah, embrace the sweat. This is why you play fantasy football. Tough matchups, big matchups,

and there's nothing better than winning this week getting into the fantasy football championship week. If you're in a two-week sprint-type format, get off to a strong start, swing for the fences, try to use. Try to avoid the floor plays, Graham. Try to swing for the fences. Use those Adonai Mitchell type guys out there. We've got you covered everything fantasy football related right over here at Fantasy Points. Check out the Early Bird Special. Make sure you check out School of Scott. And Jacob Gibbs is my guest this week on Fantasy Football Daily. Look for that here on Fantasy Points YouTube and on the Fantasy Points Daily or excuse me, fantasy Football Daily podcast feed and check out Dynasty Life. This week I recorded with Garrett Price.

We dropped a 2026 dynasty rookie mock draft way too early for you, Dynasty managers, but a lot of fun. We covered a lot of guys there. We're everywhere here at Fantasy Points. We're going to help you crush your fantasy playoffs this season. You know,