Fantasy Football Daily - Week 13 Fantasy Risers & Fallers + Must Know Statistical Trends | School Of Scott

Episode Date: November 29, 2024

Welcome to School of Scott, the ultimate fantasy football masterclass hosted by Scott Barrett of FantasyPoints.com. In this episode, Scott and Theo Gremminger break down key takeaways from "The Everything Report." Week 13 Everything Report - https://www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2024/the-everything-report-week-13#/ Where to find us: http://twitter.com/ScottbarrettDFB http://twitter.com/TheOGFantasy Find Our Podcasts Here - https://www.fantasypoints.com/media/podcasts#/ https://www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2024/the-everything-report-week-4#/ Use promo code SCOREMORE for 10% off your subscription. Subscribe to FantasyPoints for FREE - https://www.fantasypoints.com/plans#/ FantasyPoints Website - https://www.fantasypoints.com NEW! Data Suite - https://data.fantasypoints.com Twitter - https://twitter.com/FantasyPts Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/FantasyPts Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/FantasyPts Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Thanksgiving week in the NFL. We're here. But before we talk about Thanksgiving week and we talk about week 13, Scott, we've got to talk about the awful wide receiver scoring in week 12. It's going to be a choppy week. We knew there was all these teams on by, but what we didn't know is Justin Jefferson was going to completely get shut out. And he wasn't the only one. Multiple wide receivers, big, big letdown performances, another clunker from Marvin Harrison Jr. Tyreek Hill doing nothing well. Jonu Smith and Jalen Waddle combined for a 50% target share. What is going on with our wide receivers, Scott? Yeah, it's not just Week 12. It's not just Justin Jefferson,

but it's been a weird, disappointing year for wide receivers on the whole. Right now there's only two wide receivers with at least 200 fantasy points. Jamar Chase with 251. Amun Ross St. Brown just barely qualified 203.6. but this time last year there were eight wide receivers with 200 plus fantasy points to the first 12 weeks of the season. And so yeah, it's a mixture of a bunch of things. It's just like scoring down on the whole. A lot of it, I think, is a lot of the best offenses now also have really good defenses. And so teams like the Lions, Vikings, you know, ranked Vikings, you know, top seven

and pass attempts per game last year, Lions, middle of the pack and dropbacks per game, they're now, you know, bottom seven. So that has a pretty big impact. And then it's also a lot of injuries, you know, so many players, Nico Collins, AJ Brown, Cooper Cup, Pooka Nakuua, missed time. And then you also have, you know, would-be league winners like Chris Godwin, Rishie Rice, missing time and not coming back. And so, yeah, it's been a pretty, disappointing, pretty underwhelming year for wide receivers. The ones I singled out in this article were the ones getting drafted really early and pretty underwhelming to expectations. Justin Jefferson, Tyree Kill, Marvin Harrison Jr., Debo Samuel. I don't know if there's one you

wanted to pick out and start off with. Well, I mean, they're sort of all sort of depressing. Tyree Kill is one that a lot of people are excited for on Thanksgiving. I'll say Justin Jefferson won, Chicago's been shutting down wide receivers routinely. And it's been one of the most difficult teams for QB1 performances, one of the most difficult teams to get like, eke out even top 24 wide receiver performances. You're just not used to Justin Jefferson. Maybe he's a little bit less matchup proof this season. And we're not getting those insane spike weeks to sort of offset it.

We're getting solid fantasy numbers, but we're not getting like the, hey, it's a okay, he scored 40 for me two weeks ago. So like, I'll deal with it. The Tyreek one, though, talk about that one because that one also coincided with a very successful game for the Miami Dolphins passing game. Yeah, I think it's just over for Tyreek Hill. I don't think there's any other way to put it. You know, when when Jonu Smith has supplanted you as the team's number one receiver by a significant margin. And not only that is, you know, he's getting him alongside Devon Aitchan or getting all the screen targets that used to be such a staple of Tyreek Hill's fantasy production where, you know, he's routing up the league's best cornerbacks. He's putting them on roller skates.

He's breaking their ankles. And then he's also getting those screens, which he's turning into a lot of yak, and it's bolstering his weekly floor. And he just doesn't have that anymore. That's going to A-Cham. That's going to Janu. And it's just bad. It's bad by every measure. You look at his numbers by ass, a major departure from previous season. And so I think he's lost a step and I think I think McDaniel is basically conceded as much based on his usage and deployment of Hill. And it's really just like as simple as this. In zero alternate dimensions, would John Smith outgain a prime Tyreek Hill, ergo he's no longer in his prime? And so what is he for fantasy?

I don't know, like a mid-range wide receiver two with most of that just being name brand recognition. It's, yeah, it's rough out here. Yeah, so I have fantasy points data open every single time that we record with one another. And I have it open pretty much all day long, no matter what content I'm doing. And you get to look at it for free right now. So if you're listening to this podcast and you want to dive into average separation score, you want to dive into air yard share, you want to dive into pretty much any metric that Scott references on this podcast or I reference on this podcast, you have access to it for free. So Scott, I have it open

right now. And I'm looking at Tyree Kill for the season. And I think you're right. There's a couple of very troubling signs. It's really for me, it's the target share percentage. And you can point people are going to say Theo, Scott, don't you guys remember Tua was out for all these weeks. But at the end of the day, look at CD Lamb. Look at what C.D. Lam is able to do target share wise, no matter who the quarterback is. Like if you're an alpha wide receiver, you're going to draw a big time target share. So I think like for me, the writing's on the wall with the target share. Then you talk about the air yard share where Tyreeks not giving you enough air yard share to like offset the lack of target. So I think you might actually be right. It's sort of a father time is undefeated.

And it's sort of like all of our 30 plus wide receivers. It's sort of like Survivor this year. and they took out Stefan Diggs. Devante Adams has seen some regression and Tyreek Hill. So it's really like it's hard for us to kind of fathom these guys that were so used to dominating fantasy. But it's really been a downhill struggle for a few of these guys this year. We're still hanging on with Cooper Cup. Cooper Cup is still doing it for us. But would you kind of agree that it's a little bit as could just be age?

Yeah. And I did want to say one thing on this. Adam Harstead wrote, I think like one of the best fantasy. football articles all time where the TLDR is he dug into age curves and it's really not a lot of people think of it as you know you're on this like steady decline and you can kind of see it coming but it doesn't really work like that it's you can go from freakishly elite to just average below average to horrible and we've seen that time and time again and Tyreek Hill might now become the best example of that where last year his yards per route run was the best in fantasy points data

history this year or since week two he ranks behind john ismith behind jalen wattle tied with devon a champ and that is that is crazy you know it's just a dramatic falloff i mean we we talked a last week about the sports psychology component of this and some theories um but yeah i mean i i think he's lost the step i think i think that's reflected in his ass i think that's reflected in his usage i think that's there's just no other explanation for it. And I was kind of bullish last week. It was a best possible matchup, man coverage, single high coverage, which, you know, it's perfect for Tyreek.

And what was it? It was the Janu show once again. So pretty pessimistic from here on out. Yeah, it's a tough one. I know that a lot of people are really excited about this Thanksgiving Day game. We're going to talk about all the Thanksgiving Day games. We're also going to dive into Scott's Everything Report. And we're going to talk a little bit more about this insane sale over at fantasy points.

I'm going to have to have Scott clarify because I think I might be misreading this one. It's that good of a sale as soon as we come right back. Welcome back to the school of Scott. Theo Greminger with Scott Barrett. Scott, the Everything Report. You write it every single week. It's absolute fire. Great article.

Useful information to pretty much anyone who plays fantasy. And even if you're like very much in the know, you're grinding, you're consuming a lot of content. No matter who you are, if you read the Everything Report, you're going to pick up on something cool, something that can help you win in fantasy. And Scott, with the sale that Fantasy Points has this week,

why don't you tell everybody a little bit about it? Yeah, so right now the Fantasy Points Data Suite is free for anyone to try out. You don't have to have an email. You don't have to give us a credit card, nothing like that. Just go to data. com, play around with your heart's content.

see what all the hype is about. This has been a crazy awesome year for us and for fantasy points data. And so I'm sure you've seen all about it on social media or you read any of my content. You see me referencing various stats. So now you can play around with it yourself. And then our Black Friday sale, which is active right now, I think all the way to Cyber Monday is like crazy, I think. Maybe it was, I kind of want to do like the cheesy commercial guy from the 80s or it's like, are prices are out of control. I should be institutionalized. So a standard subscription,

which would give you access to the Everything report, there's only $3 for a standard subscription. And I think there's a ton of value to that. If you're in the playoff hunt, you know, these are the money weeks, right? And, you know, maybe one under the radar player, I'm going to tell you to pick up one of these weeks could be the difference between you winning

or losing your championship. $10 for a premium sub. So if you're a DFS player or better, really good odds that you're just going to make that $10 back immediately. And then $40 for an all-in package. It's the same thing. And this is just for the remainder of the year. No gimmicks, no catches.

Just really cheap just because, well, and not for the remainder of the year. It's until, I think, March 31st. So don't forget, we recommend bets. We have DFS content all throughout. out the playoffs in the Super Bowl. So really good value. Encourage you guys to check that out. Yeah. And you'll get to read My Dynasty or rankings, My Dynasty articles every single week.

Scott's Everything report pretty much everything. And Scott, when you say it goes up until like March 31st, you're going to get some very cool 2025 stuff. You're going to get all sorts of like early offseason stuff that can help you out as a fantasy manager as well because it doesn't really stop. It goes all year long now. And we love it. But let's dive right back into it. let's talk about what we're looking at for week 13. And in order to do so, let's kind of take away a little bit more from week 12. So we started out this show on sort of like a negative note with all these wide receivers that were really putting up clunkers.

But let's talk a little bit about Tua Tuauauaua, because we referenced the success of the Miami Dolphins passing game. Tua's fully healthy, fully back. There's a big game for fantasy managers this week. the Dolphins playing on Thanksgiving against the Green Bay Packers. What's your trust level for Tua, Tunga Viloa, specifically? Because you're starting to see a couple of these quarterbacks really becoming fantasy viable.

You have a Brock Purdy injury. You're going to have multiple quarterbacks on by week in week 14, where you've got guys like Jaden Daniels on a buy, Lamar Jackson on a buy, our guy, Bo Nix on a buy. So where are you at with Tua and your trust level for him moving forward? Yeah, I'm pretty confident in him as a low-end QB-1. Six full games this year, 18.8 fantasy points per game would rank eighth best. Third best in pass ratings since he came back in week eight.

What is it? 600 passing yards, seven touchdowns, just these last two weeks. And he's doing all this without Tyreek Hill being Tyreek Hill. He's doing it with, you know, John Hussmith as the number one receiver and it's working. Meanwhile, like the running game isn't what it's typically looked at like in a Mike McDaniel offense. And so they're forced to lean heavier onto it. And it seems to be working out well. So yeah, low end, low end QB1.

I feel good about that. Yeah, I think that's about right. And the dolphins are still like going for it. They were still playing well. They had their downstretch. And it's sort of like they've got their groove back. And I know you referenced Tyreek, but he's. still serviceable. Now you have Jalen Waddle having his best game of the season. Devon A. Chan,

we're going to talk about a little bit later. This is a team where there's multiple weapons. They're starting to move the ball again. It was like all these weeks where they were completely unusable. And now it's back to, hey, let's trust some dolphins. That's going to be a really, really fun one against Green Bay. I mentioned Jaden Daniels. Now, Jaden Daniels has his biweek coming up in week 14. They play the Tennessee Titans this week, but he had his best game fantasy-wise as a pro. It was an absolutely wild game against the Dallas Cowboys. There was like a ton of late fourth quarter scoring that sort of propelled this massive output. But Daniels did a couple of things that were very fantasy friendly. He gave us a not only a, depending on your scoring system,

he's around QB1 this week. But it was a big time performance for him. His best performance since week three. And now with Jane Daniels, we also see a big rushing output, which people have sort of been poking holes at the lack of like big time, big time rushing spike weeks, but he gave you one this past week. And when you look at Daniels, like you have to love the playoff schedule coming up. The New Orleans Saints in week 15 in New Orleans. Daniels obviously was an absolute stud, won the Heisman at LSU, have to figure he's going to get a lot of love playing down in New Orleans. and a comfort level of playing in the Superdome on the turf against a pretty generous run defense.

And then the Atlanta Falcons in week 17 in a home game with potentially some playoff ramifications for Washington, you have to love that as well. Your trust level with Daniels, was this a one-off sort of event? Or is this Daniels wheels up rest of the season, Spike Weeks? Yeah, absolutely wheels up rest of the season, easy mid-range QB-1 at worst.

I think what happened was he was dealing with that rib injury, so he was running less, and that's obviously a core component of his fantasy value. And then these last two weeks, he's been dealing with an injury to his throwing hand. It was an open wound that had to be super glued closed. I'm a little worried he's not totally over that just because prior to that Terry McLaurin miracle touchdown catch where like 80% of those yards came after the catch, it was like one of his worst passing performances of the season. up against a Dallas Cowboys defense that looked like one of the worst past defenses in football.

And then before that, the week before that, he had an absolutely pathetic 3.7 ADDOT. But again, the rib injury looks like he's over. Edwin's not worried about it. Edwin's our injury expert. Hand injury, probably over it or very close to it. Edwin's not at all worried about it. So, yeah, top five option this week, every week moving forward. you know, if you're a fantasy point subscriber, you probably have them on like 100% of your leagues.

And so you just ran a little bad with the rib injury, this hand injury, but just still feel as convicted as ever on Jaden Daniels. Yeah, and Jaden Daniels is second among all quarterbacks in rushing yardage this season. That's a huge win and sort of was the thesis behind drafting him. But this past week where this was really like a brouche. breath of fresh air type game. And it's not, it's not uncommon that we see rookies go through like tough, tough spots. It sort of speaks volumes to Jaden Daniels that people were upset about multiple like low end QB1 weeks. And that Pittsburgh and Philadelphia stretch was difficult. But I think we're back. And again, that that by week gives a chance for Washington and sort of

get things going. They come right out of the by week with New Orleans. You have to love that one. Let's also talk a little bit about Matt Stafford, because this is one where, you know, we've talked about wide receiver consolidation on this show about how condensed the target tree is in L.A. It's back-to-back week, Scott, where Pooka Nakua and Cooper Cup have had the highest combined target share. And again, you've access to all this sort of data right over at Fantasy Points data. You can check it out right now. But all I do is I pull up the advanced receiving screen and I type in Rams and I look at it myself. And these two guys are absolutely cooking.

But there's not enough discussion about Matt Stafford. And Matt Stafford, this is one you wrote about in the Everything report. This is a player that I think is a little bit underrated, especially as like a streaming quarterback the rest of the season. Yeah. Again, we talked about this a lot last week, how condensed it is to just update one of those stats. Puka and Akua ranks first. Cooper Cup ranks second among all receivers and targets per route run. Sainly concentrated offense.

But yeah, Matthew Stafford, since they return of the lineup, what is it, five weeks ago. Yeah. He leads all quarterbacks and passing yards, ranks second and passing touchdowns, 20.5 fantasy points per game. And yeah, I think this sticks. We saw the same thing last year when Cup, Puka, Kiron, and we're all on the field together. This wasn't just the most efficient offense in football.

It was a historically efficient offense. And so, yeah, I bet on this continuing. I'm a big DFS guy. I'm going to be playing a ton of Matthew Stafford double stacks every week. And, yeah, really exciting. Yeah, I agree with you. Stafford's sort of one of those where you never feel super excited about starting him. But if you have a cup or a Nakuwa and you get

that sort of correlation, especially in a fantasy football playoff. Like you referenced DFS, but I think a lot of people listening in love having that correlation play in like a elimination type event, like a fantasy football playoff matchup. And a lot of leagues are still single elimination where that could be a combination that absolutely runs hot. I'm totally with you on that one. We're going to take a quick break.

And when we come back, we're going to talk about Sequin Barkley's insane season, his insane week 12 performance. This is the school of Scott. We'll see you in one second. Welcome back to the school of Scott. And I love sometimes in the Everything report where you just make some reference and I'm like that, that's actually,

that's very funny, Scott. And you had to reference the Vietnam era as well as Jamal Charles to sort of reference the efficiency that Saquan Barkley is displaying. Like, I think it's pretty cut and dry. We're going to be doing some 2025 early 2025 talk. in the next upcoming weeks.

But I think the top two draft picks next season are going to be Seekwon Berkeley and Jemar Chase in pretty much every single league. And I think Seqwan now, it's kind of hard not to take him at the 101, Scott. What he did in week 12 was insane. 255 rushing yards sets a Philadelphia Eagles record. And when you talk about home run hitting,

Sequan had two 70-yard runs in the same game. He has six rushes over 40. yards this year. No other player in the NFL has more than three. So he's just lapping the field in so many categories. And he's also been vultured so many times by his own quarterback around the goal line. I mean, this could be like the best fantasy season in the history of the game. And it's still looking like one of the best running back seasons ever. Sort of how can you quantify Seekwan Barkley? Like everybody knows he's doing great. But what are a couple of takeaways from Scott Barrett on take one's insane season. Yeah, the stat you referenced his 6.24 yards per carry ranks second best

since the Vietnam War behind only Jamal Charles. That was from Ryan Heath, but I know he made that stat just for me because that's my favorite like reference point for any stat is making it since the Vietnam War or since the Reagan administration. So that's just the weight of my heart. But yeah, what he's doing is just absolutely insane. And it's so funny because so many fantasies, analyst. I'd say like honestly the best fantasy analysts we're like, well, here's the thing about Saquan Barkley is that, you know, Jalen Hertz is going to vulture. The goal line carries and Hertz doesn't target running backs. And all that's true. Like this is not good volume. Like he 16.9 XFP per game. That's, I don't know, seventh most among running backs. It just doesn't matter.

When you're Saquan Barkley, one of the best running backs in football, uh, and you're being. behind this elite offensive line. Yeah, it just, it just breaks leagues. It breaks my XFP metric. And it's, and it's objectively like one of the most impressive running back seasons we've seen in a really long time. Yeah, it's, I mean, I think this is more of like a reflect on it in the offseason type event, but it was such a perfect storm for running back values. I remember there was a period of time this offseason where people were upset about getting the 11th. overall pick, the 12th overall pick. And at the end of the day, you could have had Sequin Berkeley in literally every single draft. And there was a period of time where you could

have had Jamar Chase and Sequan Barkley in every single draft combined. Like, Sequin was going somewhere in that early second for a large period of the summer. Jamar Chase fell down to like the 109, 110. It's just crazy to think about that. And our friend of Bebag Batoba made a really interesting comment to me this week. Abe's a great high-stakes-safe manager that Scott and I split some teams with. But it's back-to-back seasons where sort of the win rate, the player that you wanted to draft comes from like the one-two turn. Last season it was C.D. Lamb, who you could routinely get at like the 12th or the 201.

And this year, Saquan Barkley. Just very interesting to see how these things go. But Saquan Barkley, like, now we're just rooting for history. he can catch Eric Dickerson. He's going to break Shady McCoy's record in like two weeks for the Philadelphia Eagles all-time rushing record. I mean, just absolutely nuts. One of the better running back seasons in quite some time and Sequan's competing for

the MVP trophy at this point. So love Sequin, but there's so many running backs we need to talk about. Another interesting development we saw in week 12 was Isaiah Pacheco sort of comes out of week 12 as a fantasy football winner. And we've had this argument before where I was sort of on the Kareem Hunt and Isaiah Pacheco will, you know, really be kind of splitting. You were on the Isaiah Pacheco is going to come back and be sort of a bell cow. I think it's looking more like you're going to be right. I'm going to have to take an L on this one. Why don't you talk a little bit about like what you saw with Kareem Hunt's usage and how this bodes well for Pacheco whenever he comes back.

Yeah, well, the usage is awesome if it's not a committee. Right now, both running backs rank top four at the position in XFP per game. Pacheco leads all running backs in XFP per team play. I think, I think Kahn is right up there as well. And it's just, yeah, to me it seems easy.

It's Hunt ranks bottom three in all meaningful rushing metrics. Pacheco, we'll see how he looks coming off of injury, but I have to think he's a major improvement for a team that wants to lean very, run heavy and kind of like runs through the the primary running back without historically much of a committee this season. And so yeah, I feel good about it. I think maybe maybe it's a committee this week. And then it's just the Pacheco show from there. But we'll have to see how he is coming off of injury. Yeah, it's a it's a Black Friday game. And this is one where I think you could see a little

bit extra carries from Pacheco. This is a game where it sort of bodes well for Kansas the city. Vegas obviously lost to Denver this past week, but it's a great opponent for them to start out with. And I also think there's a chance that Kareem Hunt's just sort of breaking down. He's 29 years old. They got an awful lot out of him. But it is a lot more volume than we ever anticipated with Hunt. When he sort of came in, it was the, we were arguing about sort of like a Carson Steele, Samajé P. Ryan Hunt in some sort of weird committee. It's been anything but that. So, you know, at the end of the year, we'll look back on Kareem Hunt as one of the better waiver wire additions of the season. So you got your utility out of them, but I think it's time for

Isaiah Pacheco down the stretch and in the fantasy football playoffs. Another running back, who I think is set to absolutely smash this week. I, on another show this week, I gave him as like my hammer play of the week, a guy who I think is going to put up a huge fantasy scoring number. And I was happy to see you're on that page in the Everything report. Jamir Gibbs plays against a difficult Chicago defense on Thanksgiving Day. But it's really a David Montgomery sort of banged up argument as well. Obviously, Gibbs is incredible. He's running back four on the season.

But David Montgomery is also an RB1. What would a limited David Montgomery have an impact on Jemir Gibbs? Like, let's say you get 60% of the usual touches for David Montgomery. what would that do to your Jemir Gibbs outlook for this week? Yeah, so I wrote about this and everything report last week, just talking about the immense upside in this backfield where it's a perfectly even, 50.0 to 50.0% split by backfield XFP. And so that's really capping the upside of both players.

I mean, they're both RB ones, but like Gibbs is RB6, Montgomery RB11. and so clearly more efficient despite the same exact value of volume. And so I did the math and it was basically like, if it was a 70-30 split, Gibbs would be putting up, I don't know, prime Ladanian Tomlinson numbers. If it was a 60-40 split, it would be, I don't know, McCaffrey last year.

And so, yeah, massive, massive upside. We'll have to wait and see, or I kind of liked your take on this, where they're saying it's an insignificant injury, he's going to be fine, but you kind of went another way with it. So I'll let you give that takeout. Yeah. So I talk a lot of shop with my guy, Andrew Cooper over at Fantasy Alarm. And he's always bringing this up where whenever we hear like a rib injury or a shoulder injury,

to specific players, we can get away with that. Like if your game is a finesse type game, maybe you're a satellite back. maybe you are a slot wide receiver, you can get away without taking those sort of big hits and just kind of play through the pain tolerance. But when you're a back in the cloth of like a David Montgomery or for that matter a Josh Jacobs or Derek Henry, like the more physical you are, the more hits you take, the more concerning these sort of injuries are. Shoulders and ribs, a lot of its pain tolerance, a lot of these things can flare up.

and you don't watch a single game where David Montgomery like avoids hits. Like it's not like he's just shifty getting around everybody. He's taking on at least one or two hits. He's doling out punishment. He's a physical back. So I think this is one we want to circle. This could be the start of Jemir Gibbs. Like even if it's a limited capacity for Montgomery and they want to,

and we also have to bear in mind, the Lions are on Easy Street right now. They have all but locked up a top two seed in the NFC, barring a like catastrophic collapse. They're looking like a team of destiny, sort of at least to get a top two seed. And in a really good position to get the number one seed in the NFC, they could be in a position where they want to rest David Montgomery

and be very cautious with him for the playoffs as well. So I think everything sort of bodes well for Gibbs. Like you said, he doesn't need to take away that much. It's not like 100% he needs to take over. If you can just take away those targets for David Montgomery, maybe take away a few carries and all of the targets. Then you're talking about Jamir Gibbs just Sequin level numbers could happen this week. I also like the fact that Chicago's played in two very, very close games. Thomas Brown, we talked about this last week about how

they sort of have rational coaching on the offensive side of the ball. They have an absolute unit of a defense. And it's been back-to-back weeks where they played the Packers within a point. they took the Vikings to overtime. But Scott, you've seen this before where those kind of like really close losses can catch, really close wins can catch up to you, but really close losses can really catch up to you. Now they go play Detroit on like,

Thanksgiving is the Detroit Lions. This could be a game that could get away from them. This could be Jemir Gibbs in the second half ripping off a 50-yard touchdown, and you've won your week, and it's Thursday. So I'm with you. It's wheels up for Jemir Gibbs. If you're playing DFS on Thanksgiving Day,

you got to have a little bit of Jemir Gibbs exposure. Running back-wise, I also want to talk about our guy, Devon A-Cham. And shout out to Ryan Heath. There's been a lot of people over at Fantasy Points who have been super bullish on him all summer long. You had him as an Exodia player. He's a guy that I have a ton of exposure to in all formats. We love Devon A-Cham. He makes us look very, very smart all season long.

And this past week, he gets another 20-plus point performance. and he gets two touchdowns. So most shows are just sort of like just pounding the table, talking about another smash week for A-chan. But I think what's interesting is in your everything important, you did reference a couple of a slight red flag. For me, it was the 10% target share this past week. I don't love seeing that for him.

I like seeing it a little bit higher like we're used to. And then you also talked about the 53% snap share. Do you think there's anything to worry about whatsoever? however in terms of a reduced, a somewhat reduced snap share and a reduced target share occurring on the same week? Or is this just a, it's a one-off event. Devon A. Chan is the most efficient guy and we don't have anything to worry about. No, I think both of those stats are alarming.

And you didn't even even mention the one that might be most discouraging to me, is that most are to see nine of the team's 12 goal line carries since week eight. That's not great. That's going to cap your touchdown upside for sure. But I mean, the bottom line is this is a player we love, freakishly hyper-efficient. He scored at least 20 fantasy points in six of two as seven starts. And again, you are seeing kind of a demoted role for a Tyreek Hill,

a lot of volume. Going to A-chan, where two is content to just get the ball out quick and kind of eat these defenses alive in the short-to-intermediate area of the field. And a lot of that is A-Shan. A lot of that's Janu. So, yeah, I think he's still, easy mid-range RB1.

If we see another week of this, maybe it's time to consider bumping him to a low-end RB1, but no, I feel good about this right now. Yeah, any, for anybody who does fantasy football rankings out there, it's like fantasy law. If you rank Devon A-chan too low, that's the week he's going to get 40 points and it's going to make you look foolish. So be very careful out there if you're in like some rankings contest, trying to be the contrarian guy with Devon A-chan.

Let's talk about a running back that we do need to downgrade. And this is assuming that there will be no Brock Purdy this week, but Christian McCaffrey, let's talk a little bit about Christian McCaffrey. Just how much of an adjustment do we need to make with not only McCaffrey, but this sort of this entire San Francisco 49ers offense, it was ugly. The Packers completely steamroll up. Yeah, it's not good. I mean, he was without Brock Purdy, which isn't great.

I think the more impactful absence might be Trent Williams. His, the on-off splits last year for San Francisco without him were crazy. It wasn't just like Brock Purdy going from like a near perfect touchdown to interception ratio to one of the worst, but it was also you saw Christian McCaffrey's yards before contact, absolutely crater. And so he had a lot of things working against him. I think he's, I think if both players are out, probably low-end RB1, if either one comes back, I'd say mid-range RB1 because it's still McCaffrey, it's still, you know,

this crazy snap share can be heavily involved in both phases of the game. But, but yeah, when you're down both those players, it's not great. And, you know, longer term, what we have to be worried about is, you know, 49ers getting farther and farther away from playoff contention. And you have this stud, older running back with Achilles issues. I worry about him getting shut down. But barring that, I mean, every week he's going to rank as an RB1 for me. Yeah.

And it's interesting. You mentioned sort of the combined absence of Trent Williams and Brock Purdy. You also have the notion that if Purdy comes back before Williams, the Brock Purdy Trent Williams splits, like those are really very alarming for sort of Purdy himself. And that kind of downgrades the entire offense. But you know, you nailed it. It's sort of like there's only a point where you can drop McCaffrey down to, even with poor quarterback play because he's so dynamic and he's so efficient as a receiver. And also that Green Bay team, really, really good one that I don't think it's going to be nearly as bad every single week.

It's sort of like also sometimes you see these backup quarterbacks come in and the first week is just a disaster. and then things sort of settle a little bit better. Look at what happened with sort of with the Cooper Rush, where he was just, it was like everything is completely falling apart. And now there's been two sort of like non-ridiculously horrible games. They've been actually very solid passing yardage numbers from Rush. So maybe we see some slight improvement there. But yeah, I mean, there's a lot to worry about the San Francisco team.

This was the Super Bowl favorite heading into the season. And like you said, they're fighting for their lives right now just to make the playoffs on the outside looking in. Let's talk about another running back in the NFC West, and that's Kyron Williams. And Kyron Williams has a legitimate fumbling issue this season. You saw untimely fumbles against Philadelphia this past week. He's also seeing fewer targets as a receiver. So there's multiple concerns fantasy-wise with a player that we were really hanging our hats on

early in the season. This is a guy where we talked about this last week with sort of, of the increased passing numbers for the wide receivers have sort of downgraded Williams. We took a semi-optimistic outlook here. But the fumbles, though, Scott, that's one where we haven't seen Blake Corum or another running back getting like opportunities. But there has to be a point where if these fumbles continue, you might see another back mixed in. Someone on Twitter called Kairn Williams, Sean McVeigh loves him merchant, which I thought.

was, I think that was Jacob Sanderson. And I'll say, you know, this is like the people don't like using this word, a little bit of a compiler. He's a kind of a compiler in a really good offense. It's not like you look at Kyron Williams and you're like dumbfounded by the talent. You're not dumbfounded by the athleticism. He does certain things well in an unbelievably well designed scheme. And he's very good around the goal line for a smaller back. But it's not like you look at him and you're like, this guy is the greatest back in football. Am I kind of off on this one? No, I think you're right. I don't think he's special, but I'm saying none of it matters if it doesn't matter. Like the fumbling doesn't matter if it doesn't matter to McVeigh, because this is a running back who leaves the league in Snapshare. You know, he fumbled and Blake Corum still saw seven snaps, one touch on the day.

And yeah, so you have this super valuable goal line role. You're getting all these carries. I will just say, yeah, the lack of targets hurts you. It makes you more volatile on a week-to-week basis, makes you more game script-dependent. Also, the goal line work, like, easily led the league in Red Zone XFP per game last year, and then up until Cooper Cubs return this season, that's come down a bit. That's going to hurt him a lot as well, because that's just been a major piece to his fantasy output. Yeah, I don't know. He's, he's, he's, like a low-end RB2 right,

RB1 right now, high-end RB2 right now. Just because of, you know, the lack of targets and, and the red zone role diminishing. But I'm not worried about the fumbles. Somewhere in the multiverse, the Rams waited one extra round, and they drafted Bucky Irving and Bucky Irving just took the job last week away from Kairn Williams. Well, Bucking Irving was my, this year's Kiron Williams comp.

So that would have been. Yeah, no, I love it. Bucky, we could spend a tremendous amount of time on. We've got to hit a couple more of these running backs. And we're going to dive into the wide receiver position. We're going to take a quick break. And when we come back, Scott and I are going to discuss a spot start that might help you get through week 13. Welcome back to the School of Scott.

I'm Theo Greminger with Scott Barrett every single week. Make sure you're subscribing to the podcast and all the great podcasts from Fantasy Points. And make sure you're checking out Fantasy Points data. It's free this week. You can look at everything that Scott references in the Everything Report and everything we talk about on this show, data-wise, is available to you for free this week. Check it out. Let's talk about a player that I didn't think we talk about all season long, but Jeremy McNichols is sort of set up for a really fun game. I had them as a top three Waver Wire edition this week. You've got multiple things.

Whenever you talk about like a number three back, a lot of different things have to happen at once for them to get this opportunity. but you have Austin Echler dealing with concussion. And then you have Brian Robinson, who missed time already this season with a hamstring, is now dealing with ankle issues. You might have Jeremy McNichols leading the backfield right next to Jaden Daniels. And it's not like McNichols has done nothing this year.

He has four touchdowns on the season. Where would you be at on a single spot start with McNichols? Would you want access to him in DFS? Would you be comfortable putting him in as you're running back to? your flex where you at yeah certainly a flex play maybe i don't know maybe a low end rb too um you have to feel good about it this is a very valuable backfield uh awesome eckler racking up the targets brian robinson the carries goal line work and it looks like mcichols really might get all of it if both of them are out they have no one else they just waived chris rodriguez

they have they have michael wiley and casmere allen i barely know who those guys You made up, you made up Casimir Allen. That was a made up name for the Everything Report. Nope. Nope. And so, yeah, I could really see him being a bell cow. And, you know, like Amir Abdullah, 88% snap share, something like that. Just not the typical production or efficiency.

When, you know, Brian Robinson really good early down runner, Austin Neckler, really good pass catcher. He's not that. But just on raw volume alone, I'm pretty excited about McNichols. So McNichols, I agree with you. This is an exciting spot start. And you also have, we love a revenge game narrative going up against his former team. That's always a little bit of extra motivation for NFL players. Don't kid yourself.

People say revenge games don't matter. Revenge games do matter. But let's talk about a couple of running backs that we actually need to downgrade. Who are you most concerned about? Iron Tracy, D'Andre Swift, or Ramondre Stevenson. which are these players if you had to, if you had to start two and you had to bench one for the rest of the season, who would you bet on? I would definitely, definitely most worried about D'Andre Swift. We've really seen his Snapshare plummet under the new offensive coordinator, Thomas Brown. He's not getting any goal line carries. Really brutal rest of season, strength of schedule. So definitely like him the least. Yeah, I think I'm with you.

you, I was very, very tilted about the Devin Singletary getting that late touchdown. If Tyrone Tracy would have just gotten that late touchdown, I think we would have all breathed a sigh of relief, but it was like, I'm ready for Brian Daible to be out the door. I know there's a big segment of people. So is Millie Knavers, it sounds like. Yeah, Malik Neighbors is all about that. But I know there's very weird. There's like some fantasy analysts out there where they're so quick to like get on the like

Brian Daibel is so smart. Brian Dable's going to get another job if if the Giants move on from him. I'm like, I don't know about this. Like this guy's supposed to be some sort of offensive genius. And yeah, where in the offensive genius handbook does it say to not target Malik neighbors in the entire first half and to move off of Tyrone Tracy and get more, get more touches for like your guy, Devin Singletary. He was very like punitive for like a rookie mistake in the previous game.

So like, I don't know, I'm completely off Dable. it makes me depressed even talk about him. Who do you want to coach the Giants next year if they do move on? Bill Belichick. And I think it's going to happen. I think that's where he wants to go. So Bill is like an unemotional robot, right? Never smiles.

Netman immense disdain for the media. There was this documentary with him and Bill Parcells where they go to Giant Stadium. Maybe it was before it became MetLife Stadium. I don't remember. But they do a tour of like the Jets locker room and they just like trash the Jets and they're just cracking up, making fun of how much of a Mickey Mouse organization the Jets are. And then Bill goes to the Giants locker room and he starts tearing up. Like he legitimately starts crying. He's like so many great memories here.

It's such a great organization. And so I think that's where he wants. Maybe it's just me as a Giants Homer, wishful thinking. but I think that's where he wants to go. Obviously, there's going to be better teams with more draft capital, more better roster. But I'm hoping. I'm hoping that's what's going to happen.

No, I'm with you. He has the connection to the organization. He was the defensive coordinator under Bill Parcells. Right. And it's actually like there's some things to like about that team. There's talent on the, he's got a pass rush on the defensive side of the ball. And on the offensive side of the ball. And on the offensive side of the ball, like to their credit, they had a very good draft.

So there is some things to fix, but also sort of a low bar to cross. And I think you could end up with Bill Belichick as the Giants coach. And then the other rumor, Pete Carroll comes back and as your Jets. So you get these two older coaches that are both won Super Bowls, both end up in New York. It's awesome. And you're right. He absolutely detests the New York Jets. This was one if there's a, the, the, the E&O.

Connor, I think is the author, the Billichick book. It's a great book, but it talks about like, he hates the Jets. That's the one franchise, like where a lot of the beef he had with like Mangini and stuff was because Manjini went and took the Jets job. So like there's a real hatred over that Jets organization. Obviously he like was supposed to get the head coaching job. We're getting really deep into the weeds here. We got to concentrate more about what's going on now. But let's root for both of those guys, come back to the NFL, shake things up in New York. Let's talk about our guy Nico Collins. And Nico Collins, just like, quick takeaway.

We saw Nico Collins put up the smash week, but 80% plus snaps played, 40% plus air yard share, 27% plus target share. Is Nico Collins like besides Jamar Chase, the one wide receiver you'd like to have for the rest of the season? Yes. Yeah, me too. Anything to add, Scott, interesting, wise, that I didn't cover for Nico Collins. Yeah, so he's had a 33-yard touchdown and a 77-yard touchdown called back on penalties over the past two weeks.

If we counted those, he'd be averaging 124.2 yards per game. And then that number needs to get adjusted up even further when we factor in. He's played two games under a 50% snap share, one of which he left in the first quarter against the bills. So he's really averaging, like, I forget what it was, but it was like 160 yards per game, which is like best ever. But yeah, even if you don't like, given the luxury of those overturned penalties, like what he's doing is absolutely insane.

It's just A.J. Brown is putting together one of the most efficient per route seasons in recent memory. Nico's right behind him on an offense that's, that's a lot more pass heavy than the Eagles that ranked out last and pass attempts per game. So yeah, I think it's, I think it's Jamar Chase one.

I think it's Nico two and number three is more of a tough call. Yeah, and this week, Houston gets the Jacksonville Jaguars. Oh, boy, game over. Yeah, it's game over. Like, Nico is going to put up 150 and two touchdowns. It's going to be awesome. And, you know, Nico Collins is one we've talked about all season. We've obviously talked about, like, the correlation play with, obviously, Joe Burrow and

Jamar Chase. We've talked about Matt Stafford and his two wide receivers. But really, the most underrated correlation play in fantasy football right now is our guy, Bo Nix and Cortland Sutton. These two guys, Scott, over the since week eight, over the last five weeks are both top five at their position. And we saw an absolute smash performance from Cortland Sutton. Eight catches, 97 receiving yards, two touchdowns. Denver gets the win over the Raiders. And this has just been like nothing but positivity out of Sutton. Cortland Sutton right now is on pace to finish as a wide receiver won for the first time in his career. This is a huge ADP

success story, and a lot of it is Nix, but why don't you focus a little bit on Cortland Sutton, your takeaways with him. We talked about him a couple weeks ago, and you were bullish. So, you know, we were a little bit ahead of the curve on this one, but we should have been more, like, effusive in talking it up, but not, we couldn't have seen this sort of numbers. Yeah, so he was a major regression candidate I was talking about in the XFP report. Through the first six weeks of the season, he ranked 13th in XFP, but just 37th in fantasy production. But over the last five weeks, he ranks behind only Jamar Chase and fantasy points. Volume is even better than it was through those first six weeks, fifth best in XFP per game.

He's hit 70 yards in each of these games. You never hit that prior to. And yeah, you said it's the correlation play. Yeah, Bo Nix looks like the real deal. top five, 21.5 fantasy points per game over his last eight games, Sutton balling out. And so, yeah, I'm betting on this being real. Oh, and Vali, was it, Devon Vili? Devon Vela. We got, we got Velae. Thank you. We got Devon Valle. We might have a, like, you talked about this. I had him very highly ranked in my Waver Wire article, but like, Velae had nine targets. Veil had 80 yards receiving. This is, been an offense that's sort of been like very much needing a consistent number three player to go with nicks to go with sutton we've seen sort of like a revolving door at running back there's nothing there at tight end and wide receiver like valet's funny because he had a very strong first

game of the season then dealt with some injuries but he's like a six foot five guy was it injuries, I thought he was a healthy scratch. I thought Peyton's just alluded to. I think he was, I think he got banged up the first game. I'd have to double check that one. Anybody watching on YouTube, let us know in the chat if I'm incorrect on that one. I do believe he dealt with a couple injuries early on, um, but Velae's super interesting. And where, what is your thoughts on him? Because I think this could be a situation where he gives us like wide receiver three numbers for the rest of the season. Um, I know he's super old. But there's something to like about him.

And Sutton demands so much attention. Vele, they're able to use him in the slot. He's six foot five. And he's literally like an old man. He's like 26, 27 years old. Yeah, I just pulled it up. He had a rib injury week two. And then I think he was off the injury port and a healthy scratch,

but it might be wrong. So we don't have the time to look it up. So YouTube comments, you can correct us. But yeah, dude, Valey might be nice. He ranks fourth best in at. since week seven, 62 yards per game over his last three. This is despite just being a part-time player, 62% route share over that span. And Sean Payton comped him to Marcus Colston. And like, stylistically, body type wise, I can really see that. So if Bo Nex is real and he looks real by

every metric that matters to me, uh, Velae could definitely be a thing. So, uh, and shout out to my guy, Marvin Mims, who's like playing running back now. And, Yeah. Actually doing pretty well with it. So shout out to him as well. Let's get Marvin Mims a few more snaps and maybe give like the Julele McLaughlin touches to Marvin Mims as well. Yeah. Running back. Nothing would make me happier than having to write a lot about Marvin Mims on the WaverWire article next week, Scott. We're not giving up hope. But Devon Bailey on fantasy points data for the season, a 72.7% slot rate, a 6'5 player that's in the slot with a. Alpha on the outside commanding a lot of attention,

Velae is going to get like beneficial matchups and he's going to be a sort of a safety valve target for Bo Nix. And shout out to the people who we talked about this one. And I'll give you a big shout out because you've been on like the Bo Nix is good, trained for a while here, done a number of like tweets about it. But the fact that you even have to quantify it, like a couple of the people out there trying to look at like the like obscure

metrics to try to like justify bo nix actually not being good just pop on the tape this kid is awesome i don't know if he's ever going to be a top five fantasy quarterback like yearly but he's a perfect fit and he's got mobility and he's got swag he's talking trash to the raiders like go outside like get off of your computer a little bit touch a little grass it's like a go outside nerd moment like if you can't watch bo nix and realize he's pretty good at by this point like the guy's going to end up being being a top seven, top eight quarterback in fantasy, and he's going to leave his team to the playoffs in year one. Bownix is good.

We're putting the stamp of approval on that one. Another wide receiver who we referenced last week, your thoughts on what you saw from Adam Thielen, made a couple of big catches. Carolina's playing better. I got to say, Carolina's offense starting to play a little bit better. They put a lot of fear into the chiefs, and I know the chiefs have to play down to everyone in fantasy.

I excuse me in real life NFL football it's got to be a close game no matter who they're playing but Carolina like some things to like there your thoughts on feeling as a player who you can get in a lot of places on the waiver wire this week yeah I mean let's not forget the guy is super old coming off of a hamstring injury never good but I was watching red zone and like he made two big plays early in that game and he looked good he looks spry I was really impressed but I mean like the volume still wasn't there. It was David Moore, who rang top five among all wide receivers and XFP, 29% target share. And so, yeah, if you look at that, it's, by the way, Bryce Young is playing really well. This offense looks kind of exciting. There's definitely

upside there. Feeling through the first 11 weeks of the year last year was the wide receiver 10 by fantasy points per game. So it's just kind of a matter of like, is he healthy? Like, that's when you wanted to play feeling, you know, with his advanced age is like when he's at his healthiest. Is that going to be now coming off of the hamstring? I don't know. I just say wide range of outcomes, probably worthy of a roster spot in deeper leagues. But if, you know, if he doesn't amount to anything, that wouldn't surprise me. Yeah, no, but I think you nailed it. I think he is worth a roster spot. You don't need to start him this week. But let's say that he goes up and becomes like an eight target per game guy.

Like the David Moore stuff was wild. Like on the drive where he caught the touchdown, Bryce Young targeted him in the end zone the play before as well. He had back-to-back end zone targets in sort of like that Jalen Coker role. But Xavier Leggett has failed to be a like target magnet. Coker is banged up. Now Jatavian Sanders is banged up. It looks like it's going to be Tommy Trembled this week. So it's like Adam Thielen doesn't need to do it for an entire season.

he just needs to do it for us for like four or five weeks. So old man Adam Thielen becoming a target magnet down the stretch is within the range of outcomes. You know, you talked about how good he was last year. That was Bryce Young with sort of tunnel vision for him for a lot of the season. The guy had like 100 catches. So I'm on the opinion like grab some Thielen, see where this goes. And you might actually want to start him in week 14 where you have.

all these teams on by week. So I think he's a sneaky edition this week. Anything to add on Jackson Smith and Jigba. We talked about this a little bit last week, but this is the third straight week in a row where JSN has scored 19 or more PPR points and the third week in a row with a 25% target share. He catches a touchdown pass. This was also a 19.7 points, I believe he scored in sort of a very ugly game where it was like a 13.3.5. 16th win, not what we want to see for fantasy, but JSN right now is a wide receiver one on the season. You have to feel good about him moving forward. Yeah. So it's the same thing I said last week where it's like I said Jackson Smith and Jigbo when he was coming out would be Keenan Allen

reincarnated, which is like you say something like that, you better be right. And last year was so bad. It was so bad. And so I'm scared to like buy back in case I'm wrong again and which would just break me. So like I worried you read the everything report. I worried there was a little too tempered with it. And I need you to just. No, no, no. This is legit.

Easy wide receiver two rest away. Easy. And I think he's a low end wide receiver one the rest of way. Like J.S. I mean, we're here. JSN. We are absolutely here. He's a reliable target.

There's going to be certain weeks where he can also manufacture his way to production. Because again, they're, the ADOT's a little bit lower than we want to see. The yards per reception a little bit lower. But the target share, his ability to get open, and Gino Smith just leaning on him in key situations, the touchdown catch, DK. Mekaff was sort of the decoy on the play. You're used to seeing like clear out plays for, for DK in key moments. And now it's, it's JSN, the clear wide receiver one on Seattle. two wide receivers that we need to adjust for rest of the season. Jacobi Myers, who you've talked about previous School of Scott episodes, and also Ladd-McConkey,

we've talked about sort of at length. Both of those players, we need to sort of adjust our expectations in a positive way moving forward. Yeah, I mean, Jacobi Myers, just look at what he's done since week three, balling out. He ranks eighth and targets per game, 13th and XFP per game, 16th. and fantasy points per game. All those numbers look better when you factor in some some really tough matchups over that span. Not worried about losing Gardner Minshu. AOC targeted him on 31% of his throws when they played together. McConkey, I just think he's the real deal, man.

He looks great over his last five games, 88 yards per game, ranks fourth among all wide receivers. He's doing that on only six targets per game. He leads all players and ass since week seven. dude is getting open at will. He is really freaking good. We just need chargers to stay as pass heavy as he've been in recent weeks. And I think that's going to continue, especially after this J.K. Dobbins injury. And what would really be great is if he started targeting him at like a top 15 rate, the dude is so deserving and more targets. Anyone who watched last week's game can tell you that. His ask score hints at that as well. Let's get those targets up. Let's let him be a league winner rather than just like a pretty good low-end wide receiver too.

And here's a wild idea. Instead of some of those targets to go to Quentin Johnson that he drops and Josh Palmer, why don't we hyper target Ladd McConkey and see what happens? Just go nuts, go nuts. Go with a Cooper Cup-like target share every single week and see what happens. Let's talk about two tight ends trending up. Trey McBride. How excited are you about Trey McBride rest of the season?

40% plus target share really went nuts this past week. And you talk about positive regression. This is a guy who has no receiving touchdowns all season long. Where should we be at with Trey McBride? He is your tight end. What for the rest of the season? Tighten two or three probably. Yeah, I think you're right there.

Yeah, but I mean, this is fluky. Like you have to score touchdowns at some point, right? I don't know what's going on with that, but the volume is amazing. He looks really good. He's in the more valuable role. This is the more valuable role than what Marvin Harrison Jr. has. He's the PPR cheat code.

And so, yeah, touchdown regression is going to come. Feel really good about Tray McRide. 60% first-read target share last week. Crazy. Yeah, it's nuts. And we've talked about this on the show several times about how, like, you know, we love to see what teams do coming out. of a buy week. And like you said, it was the everything was designed for McBride in this game.

Like the target share numbers alone, you're talking about McBride with 40%. And Marvin Harrison Jr. was like right around, I'm actually pulling it up on Fantasy Points data. Marvin Harrison Jr. was was at like a 16%. So this is not what you want to see for Marvin Harrison Jr. Super disappointing season for him. This was a, if you could have just gone back to all of your drafts and avoided Marvin Harrison, Jr., and drafted more Trey McBride, and just made that adjustment where he had no exposure to Marvin Harrison Jr. and a lot more exposure to Trey McBride, that's like a teammate arbitrage win rate adjustment. And another tight end who really shine this past week was we finally saw a, well, not finally, because he had another pretty strong game. But this was the best week for T.J. Hawkinson. He tied for his season high in targets.

He had his season high in receiving yardage. And Scott, I think the biggest key was this was a guy that's been playing sub 50% snaps. You've seen the Josh Oliver mixing in. Josh Oliver misses time. And now you see Hawkinson have 65% plus snaps played. So as Snapshare went up, how bullish are you on Hawkinson moving forward? Yeah, not super bullish. 76% route share last week.

That was up from 51%, still less than, you know, where he was at last year. And so I kind of want to see that stick without Oliver. To me, he is more of a mid-range to low-end, tight-end one, rather than like last year. He let all tight ends and XFP per game, fantasy points per game prior to his injury. It's also like a, you know, a different offense. it's it's because their defense is so much better there's lower overall pass volume but yeah mid range tight end one low end tight end one somewhere around there yeah i think i'm maybe a little bit more bullish but yeah even even still i have them tight end six overall for the rest of the season which

feels about right but it's about as high up as you can go uh when it comes to hawkinson any way you cut it though this is a player where you didn't have to use the the high draft capital to get him He was a guy where now you're sort of like it's like found money. And he could influence win rates down the stretch in some of these higher stakes formats because people were able to get him in the double-digit rounds. Some drafts super late. There was like trepidation to drafting him at all in some of these leagues. So if you got Hawkinson, you got to feel good about things.

Thanksgiving week, Scott. What is your 101? What is the Exodia Thanksgiving food? Is there one? Cornbread. Sneaky, sneaky answer. Cornbread. There you go.

Cornbread. I'll say for me, the sneaky Thanksgiving food that doesn't get enough hype, sort of like the dark horse candidate to deliver at Thanksgiving, is some sort of a sweet potato with like the marshmallows and stuff like that. It's very underrated as a side dish. More houses should have it. What's the least favorite Thanksgiving food? The avoid at all costs.

I would go with what you just said. I don't like it with the marshmallows. If you're flashing my pick, come on. It's way too sweet. I just I just need a sweet potato with some butter and we're good. The marshmallows is just way too far out of control. Absolutely budding heads. Let us know what you if you're watching on YouTube. Let us know in the comments.

What's your favorite Thanksgiving food? And I'll say for me like the low level Thanksgiving food. I remember having it as a kid like some sort of a green bean casserole with like the French fried onions on top. That's very, very, that's archaic. It's archaic. Get rid of it. The canned cranberries, that is by far the worst. Whatever that is.

Yeah, get rid of the canned cran. There's some people love just plucking it on a plate. Yeah, it's like a jello. It's awful. And it's also not aesthetically pleasing on the table. It's like a big loaf of like jelly. Avoid that one. Happy Thanksgiving.

Make sure that you check out fantasy points. Check out the awesome sales. And make sure that you're checking out fantasy points data. This could be the edge that gets you over the top for the rest of your season. I think once you try it, you're going to want to sign up for it. It's absolutely awesome. We'll see you back here next week on School Scott.