Fantasy Football Today - 09/05: Start or Sit (AFC Home Games) (Fantasy Football Podcast)
Episode Date: September 5, 2019Let's preview some games! What should your Week 1 Start or Sit philosophy be (2:00)? Start your studs? Play the matchups? A little of both? And which games are we looking forward to watching? ... News... and notes (10:50) on Stefon Diggs, Nick Foles, key offensive linemen and more. Then we've got the Startometer (21:00) for Lamar Jackson, Kenyan Drake, Emmanuel Sanders, Antonio Brown in a touch matchup and a few others that we won't be talking about until late in the show ... KC-JAC (26:00), PIT-NE (35:00), IND-LAC (41:00), BUF-NYJ (50:00), TEN-CLE (54:00), DEN-OAK (58:00), HOU-NO (1:01:30), BAL-MIA (1:04:30) ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports.
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Email us at fantasyfootballatcbsi.com.
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Get your lineup set. It's time for Star Tours 6.
Let's go!
Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath.
Welcome to the show. It is Thursday, September 5th.
Bears 21, Packers 16.
What do you think?
What do you think?
I can see something like that happening.
So if it's 21-16, presumably that's three field goals and one touchdown for the Packers.
And so I'm just curious.
No, we got to miss the extra point. Miss the extra point. So two one touchdown for the Packers. And so I'm just curious.
No, we got to miss the extra point.
Miss the extra point.
So two touchdowns for the Packers.
The Packers are going to miss an extra point. That's right.
That's right.
Not the Bears.
I almost feel like it.
I think it's possible that the game could be tied.
Bears line up for a field goal and they nail it.
And they extol all the problems that they had last year with their field goal kicking.
And Eddie Pinero rides off into the sunset and the Bears win by three.
I'm curious.
Will one of those two Packers touchdowns be the first Aaron Rodgers touchdown pass in Chicago since the Obama administration?
Is that right?
That is correct.
Wow.
No, actually, and you guys are wrong about one thing.
I actually have seven field goals for Eddie Pinero and the Bears.
Seven field goals.
Big day for him.
Welcome to the show.
It's our first start or sit show of the season.
I should really say episode after start or sit because it's just too many S's and SH's together.
It's very dangerous.
I make that mistake too often.
The big overall question. Jamie, I'm going to throw it to you.
It's week one.
Start your studs basically across the board or play the matchups or a combination of both?
Like what's your week one philosophy?
I think it's dependent on what's available to you to replace your studs if you can do it.
So if you have quality options and players that you like, then you can get away from
the guys that you drafted to be expected starters for you.
Give me some examples of some studs.
I'll give you an example that I'm doing myself.
I'm playing Phillip Rivers over Aaron Rodgers.
Now, you know what I would ask you, right, is why do you have a second quarterback if
you have Aaron Rodgers?
I did not draft a second quarterback. I picked aaron rogers um i did not draft a
second quarterback i picked him up off waivers okay okay excellent um you guys have anything
to add to that in terms of it's week one because dave and i you know mildly argued about this on
on hq because i think a lot of people are going to go in there look i drafted these guys to be
starters they're starting and i'm sort of going to take the approach like that's mostly what i'm
going to do but at the same time,
why am I going to treat week one differently than I treat week eight?
I'll play matchups when I feel really confident.
Defense has changed, obviously, year to year,
but when I feel really confident in evaluating a defense,
I'll play the matchups a little bit.
How about you guys? Dave Heath?
You have to know yourself.
I tweeted about this yesterday and trying to explain that my rankings for week one are not
influenced by where you drafted your players it's a list of the number of fantasy points that i think
they're going to score and personally i don't have that man i'm gonna feel dumb if i start lamar
jackson over aaron rogers and rogers is better no i would feel dumb for starting the guy that i
didn't think was going to score as many points. But I understand also that some people do not feel that way, and especially at quarterback.
Like we told you all preseason, there are 18, 19, Jamie might have said 25 at one point, quarterbacks that I'm fine starting on a weekly basis.
So you should not look at quarterback rankings and say, oh, no, he's ranked 16th.
They think he's terrible.
No, there's just that many good quarterbacks.
Right, and I think the don't get cute comment that you are basically referring to, Adam,
applies more to the other players besides quarterback.
I think it applies to running back, receiver, tight end to a degree.
But quarterback, the move Jamie's making, I agree 100%.
I think Drew Brees, who we all were very, very hesitant to draft,
I think he's got a great chance to have a big game in week one.
Who, Drew Brees?
Drew Brees.
Oh, my God.
He's huge.
And Lamar Jackson was somebody I've got on one of my teams,
and you know that I didn't think he was a top 12 quarterback
coming into the year.
He's top six for me this week,
and I'm still the low guy on Lamar Jackson on this podcast,
but I see the very, very good in him,
and I don't think it's too cute to start him over Rodgers, Matt Ryan, Jameis, Jared Goff.
He's ahead of all those guys.
But again, you might have taken Damian Williams in the second or third round.
You might be staring at a team where you have Damian Williams and you have Kevin Coleman,
Duke Johnson, Austin Eckler,
and you might actually be looking at benching your second-round pick
for someone you took in the seventh.
Aaron Jones, same thing.
Yeah.
I see it with Jones.
I don't see it with Damian Williams.
All right.
Well, that game's coming up today, Kansas City.
We previewed Green Bay, Chicago yesterday.
Today we're doing the rest of the AFC home games
plus Monday Night Football,
which includes one AFC home game,
but also Houston at New Orleans.
And speaking of that Houston at New Orleans game,
it's one of the last ones we're going to talk about,
but Drew Brees, in his last five seasons,
he has had eight primetime home games,
which, by the way, I think it's a little unfair.
He shouldn't get that many.
He has scored 26 or more fantasy points in six points for passing touchdown league.
Excuse me.
26 or more fantasy points in seven of those eight games.
He scored 30 or more fantasy points in five of those eight games.
And the Houston defense statistically wasn't bad last year.
They had one of the easiest schedules in football.
They don't have Clowney.
So, yeah, love Drew.
Everybody love Drew Brees this week?
I'm not crazy, right?
Absolutely.
Yeah, I've got him ranked much higher than I had him ranked for the season.
One thing I love about the Saints in that game, and it keeps going up,
they have the highest implied point total, according to Vegas,
the only team at 30 points or more this week.
Okay. Game you're looking or more this week. Okay.
Game you're looking forward to this week from an NFL perspective.
Lions-Cardinals.
I think you're telling the truth there, aren't you?
Yes.
I am, yeah.
I see that.
Okay.
Heath, Jamie?
Chiefs-Jaguars.
Yeah.
There's a lot of them.
There's a lot of really interesting.
I'm intrigued by Dolphins, Ravens.
I don't know.
I really am.
I think for me it has to be Rams, Panthers.
Like how many touches does Gurley get?
Is the Curtis Samuel helium?
No, you're answering the wrong question.
You're answering the wrong question.
That's my next question.
That's fantasy perspective.
I'm talking NFL perspective.
No.
I don't think there's a wrong answer to the NFL perspective question, Adam.
You're asking us what game we want to see the most.
You don't think Todd Gurley's usage is relevant to the NFL?
I just think you're getting ahead of yourself.
You're answering the second question.
My answer is Bears-Packers.
I can't wait for tonight's game.
I can't separate.
I mean, I can't wait for all these games.
It's football.
It's back.
Even Titans-Browns, I'm pumped for.
Me too.
All right, game you're looking forward to from a fantasy perspective, Jamie.
The Jamie.
The one Heath said.
Yeah.
I want to see Todd Grove.
Same.
Okay.
And Cooper Cupp.
I want to see him back.
You know what's for me?
Jets-Bills.
Pretty interested in the backfields there.
Mostly the Bills.
Gross.
I want to see the quarterbacks too. Yeah. Oh, yeah. No, I think there backfields there. Mostly the Bills. Gross. I want to see the quarterbacks, too.
Yeah.
Oh, yeah.
No, I think there's a lot there.
I'll say 49ers, Tampa Bay.
Yeah.
That's got shootout potential.
That's got B-word potential, ladies and gentlemen.
Don't do it.
You picked the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl already.
You've ruined enough things for one season.
Would you guys confirm this?
Season hasn't started yet, and he's ruined things.
Didn't Adam already
like a month ago pick the Falcons
to win the Super Bowl?
Pretty sure he's picked like four teams to win the Super Bowl.
I will say though his Bonanzas were pretty incredible last year.
Hey, thank you.
I pretty much know that
Saints-Texans are going to be the Bonanza week one
but we have to set some ground rules
for the Bonanza. If you're new to the show, I pick a Bonanza every week
because a game I think is going to be great for fantasy.
We'll kind of set some ground rules.
I might do it Survivor Pool style this year
where I can only pick teams once or twice or something.
So I might have to save the Saints and the Texans.
But we'll see.
All right, listen.
You've got to listen to the Pick 6 podcast.
It's awesome.
You can hear Dave, Jamie, and Heath on there sporadically.
Will Brinson hosts it.
It's really, it's the best, not fantasy, but the best football podcast around.
And it's more than five days a week now.
There's going to be bonus episodes.
There's going to be a lot of episodes on the Pick 6 podcast.
And if you want to leave us questions for our mailbag, you got to go on iTunes.
You got to leave us a nice review and leave a question in there.
And we'll read a lot of them on our Saturday mailbag Show, but also emails and tweets in there as well.
I'm going to be 100% honest with you.
We have a lot of advertisements on today's show and tomorrow.
That will not be the norm.
But we are jam-packed with ads because we have a great show and we have sponsors and we're very thankful for them.
And they let us do our podcast.
So we appreciate the sponsors.
So we're going to give you our first ad break, but
first a little gift for you. Forgot to play
this last week. You know about the Heath
sigh. Well, how about the
Dave sigh?
What the?
I made that noise?
You did. You made that
noise when you were imitating the Heath sigh
last week. I don't want to know what Dave was doing.
Let's take a break here on Fantasy Football today.
We'll be right back.
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News and notes, ladies and gentlemen.
So some, you know, RBBC talk, splitting carries,
coaches coming out and saying this kind of stuff for Philadelphia
and for the Chargers.
No surprise there.
But Dallas, Jason Garrett saying we might see a pitch count for Ezekiel Elliott.
Well, he's not sure yet.
He's got to see him in practice first.
Okay.
They will, quote,
make our best decision as the week goes on.
I've got him at 16 touches.
That's not a lot.
Who's sitting Ezekiel Elliott?
Well, yeah.
Where do you have him in your rankings, Heath,
with 16 touches?
12? Jamie, Dave, are you higher on Ze a second. Where do you have him in your rankings, Heath, with 16 touches? 12?
Jamie, Dave, are you higher on Zeke?
I'm just, I'm not thinking about it.
I put him top five.
He's like right around 10 for me.
All right.
Are there any running backs in tonight's game you would start over Ezekiel Elliott?
Oh, no, no.
Like there's only...
Mike Davis.
I just had to ask, okay?
Because we're going to preview that game tomorrow.
You didn't have to ask.
Dexter Williams.
Okay.
Wonderful.
Eddie Lacey.
Okay, fine.
Here's a question that nobody really needs answered,
but I'm going to ask it anyway.
Great.
I'm sure you're going to get a serious answer.
Does Adam Ayer have any friends?
PPR?
No.
PPR Superflex.
Zeke or Aaron Rodgers?
Rodgers.
Zeke. Rodgers. Okay. Food for thought. You don't bench quarterbacks in Superflex. Zeke or Aaron Rodgers? Rodgers.
Zeke.
Rodgers.
Okay, food for thought.
You don't bench quarterbacks in Superflexes.
Stefan Diggs has a hamstring injury.
He's going to play, right?
Didn't practice on Wednesday.
I don't think it's serious.
Yeah, I mean, if he doesn't practice today, then I think you have to get a little more.
Let me see if Zimmer said anything.
If he does debating, let's say him,
or I had a question about Valdez-Scantling.
I think you weighed that one out.
The question I got was, I think the guy said he has Diggs, Valdez-Scantling,
and Golden Tate as his three receivers that he has one and two reserves.
And he said, do I risk it with Valdez-Scantling over Diggs tonight
or just end up cutting
tate and trying to find somebody up where i was and i said you just wait it out and then cut tape
yeah yeah i agree with that if yeah it would be a more difficult decision if that was alan robinson
and now valdez scaling for me agreed yeah if it was alan robinson i might have to start right on
robinson okay i mean i'd rather still wait it out with Diggs. I would too, but they did sign Josh Doxson.
Hopefully that doesn't mean anything.
Well, they signed him before this happened.
We don't know when that happened.
The hamstring injury could have happened in practice a week ago.
We don't know.
All right, Antonio Brown wasn't happy about being fined by his team.
This could be just a really fun off-the-field story season
for Antonio Brown and the Raiders.
Nick Foles is expected to play through abdominal soreness.
Brian Flores said Kenyon Drake is going to get a lot of touches in week one.
Unfortunately, those touches are going against the team
that allowed the second fewest fantasy points to running backs last year,
but that game's coming up today for Kenyon Drake and the Dolphins Ravens.
Philadelphia made an offer from Melvin Gordon,
according to Albert Breer,
was not good enough to get the job done.
Does that make you nervous at all if you're a Miles Sanders owner long-term?
The gap between what they offered
and what the Chargers are asking for is...
Substantial. I get it.
Really, really big.
It's like that guy in your fantasy league
that makes you an offer
that you know you're not going to accept.
Yeah.
Just to get the conversation going.
On CBS Sports HQ last night, I actually said the Eagles made a Naser trade.
Trade offer.
Trade offer.
Yeah, you do get the conversation started.
But again, they have some interest in upgrading there.
All right, whatever.
We'll see.
Well, it's
sensible to upgrade to Melvin Gordon
from Jordan Howard. Yeah, but
not from Miles Sanders. I mean,
it is sensible. No, that wouldn't have been very bad for
Miles Sanders. It would have, obviously. But I understand why the Eagles
tried to lowball the Chargers.
Yeah, okay. Giants passing
game expected to revolve around Saquon Barkley
and Evan Ingram, according to Jordan Renan
of ESPN. Amari Cooper
practice, DK Metcalf practice.
Some non-skill position players
here. Washington cornerback Fabian
Moreau unlikely to play at
Philadelphia. Tennessee offensive tackle
Jack Conklin mispractice. That's a big
deal because they're already going to be without Taylor LeJuan
and they're facing Cleveland with a good pass rush.
So we'll keep an eye on that. Giants right
tackle Mike Remmers mispractice. They're at Dallas. Dallas, meanwhile, Zach Martin, he was limited with a good pass rush. So we'll keep an eye on that. Giants right tackle Mike Remmers mispracticed.
They're at Dallas.
Dallas, meanwhile, Zach Martin, he was limited with a back issue.
We've seen reports that Martin is expected to play.
Jason Verrett was limited in practice.
That's San Francisco's cornerback.
They're at Tampa Bay, B-word.
And do you expect the following players?
Robbie Anderson against Buffalo.
Yes.
Dante Pettis at Tampa Bay.
Yes.
Jordan Reed at Philadelphia.
Not as of now.
Trey Burton tonight.
You're not starting him even if he plays.
Jimmy Graham tonight.
Yes.
He was off the injury report.
Yeah.
Got to give a big shout out to Brian Chitwood.
He made a donation to saint jude
to have me host his draft via skype and it turned out that uh it didn't end up happening but he
still made the donation he made the donation and that's what's important no i didn't bail
i promise i was ready to rock and roll uh it just never happened. I was excited for it.
I had one of the craziest nights I've ever had in my life, work-wise,
that Heath can attest to.
I've never had an experience like this.
I had to host our Fantasy Football Today to Night show from 8 to 9,
while helping what I thought was only supposed to be two drafts
ended up being three drafts, which then turned into four drafts while I was hosting the show, giving advice.
So I just decided we're going to just do it on the show.
So Heath would talk.
Thankfully, Heath was great.
I can't remember half the things Heath said because I wasn't really paying attention to what Heath was saying.
I would just come back off the last thing that Heath was saying, i was like heath that's just an amazing point um and uh 2 14 team leagues 2 12 team leagues it was just
and i hope the the people enjoy their teams and they have success because it was just a
disaster did you actually talk about the picks on the air oh yeah yeah i had uh i had he felt
me decide what was the quarterback one right uh? Yeah. Yeah, it was my cousin.
Wentz or Newton.
Wentz, Newton, or Goff.
Yeah.
Yeah.
All right.
Let's get into our head and shoulders segment for today, guys.
Offense versus defense.
We're going to look at teams on good offenses with either bad –
like a good offense with a bad matchup versus kind of an okay offense,
maybe a bad offense with a good matchup. Who would an okay offense, maybe a bad offense, with a good matchup.
Who would you start in this scenario
as we look at our head and shoulders segment for
Thursday? Duke Johnson
at New Orleans.
They allow the second fewest fantasy points to the running
backs last year, but
will not have Sheldon Rankins. Or
Phillip Lindsey at Oakland
who allow the eighth most fantasy points
to running backs and 4.8 yards per carry to running backs. Duke Johnson or Phillip Lindsey at Oakland, who allowed the eighth most fantasy points to running backs and 4.8 yards per carry to running backs.
Duke Johnson or Phillip Lindsey?
What's the format?
Because I think it's pretty obvious in full PPR and even half PPR that you've got to go with Duke Johnson.
I'd go Lindsey.
What?
I'd go Lindsey in both.
Really?
Oh, yeah.
I'd go Lindsey in non-PPR.
I love Lindsey this week.
I like Duke this week in PPR.
I like Duke too, but I like Lindsey better.
I think Duke can catch like five, six balls as the Texans are in that shootout.
I think he could have a nice start to the season.
Yeah, I mean, they're both going to share.
For Duke, I don't worry quite as much about what teams have done to opposing running backs
because so many of his touches are going to be different
than the typical running back.
You look at what they did against pass catchers last year,
and they were okay about league average.
They did give up 86 catches on 107 targets.
I think that Duke's going to be fine.
Both top 20 guys.
I'll take Duke and PPR, Lindsay and Nunn.
New Orleans did allow 40 or more receiving yards
or a receiving touchdown to a running back nine times,
which, yeah, it's not terrible, but it's something there.
Duke Johnson himself had only two catches for seven yards against the Saints.
I don't think Sheldon Rankins is going to really affect that,
but without having him, you know,
I don't know what to expect from this run defense.
It was an elite run defense last year,
but he's hopeful he'll come back in a few weeks,
but we'll not be ready for week one.
I'm not,
he won't be ready for week one,
right?
I know he's off pop,
but Rankin's for the saints.
Uh,
their first injury report comes out on Thursday afternoon.
Okay.
So we're not going to really know until then,
but I think you're right.
Yeah.
I mean,
I read yesterday that they're expecting him back in like week three or four,
but it wasn't the most concrete thing, but I would not expect him their big defensive tackle I think you're right. Yeah, I mean, I read yesterday that they're expecting him back in like week three or four, but it wasn't the most concrete thing.
But I would not expect him, their big defensive tackle
to play. Alright, so they're close
in the rankings, and it's
just kind of, you know, you have to measure it up.
Like, you know, you have to measure up the
matchups for sure, and Phillip Lindsay
certainly has a great matchup. Head and
shoulders, great offense for your hair,
and defense for a
flake-free scalp.
Go visit headandshoulders.com slash NFL for more.
We got the Stardometer, and we'll get into the games when we come back on Fantasy Football today.
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Well, if you don't remember,
the start-o-meter is a way of telling you who to start.
And we do it for the games that we're going to preview sort of later in the show in case you don't have time to hang around for the entire episode
with eight games on the schedule today.
So let's start with Lamar Jackson at Miami, 0-10 on the start-o-meter.
Nine.
Seven.
Twelve.
Who would you start over Lamar Jackson?
The only people I would start Lamar Jackson,
the only people I'd start over Lamar Jackson are Mahomes and Watson.
And as much as I love Lamar Jackson, I'm a little lower than that.
I would still start Cam over him.
I would still start Jameis over him.
I would still start Wentz over him. I would still start Cam over him. I would still start Jameis over him. I would still start Wentz over him.
I would still start Baker over him.
I'm going Watson, Mahomes.
I have Wentz ahead for now.
Cam and Drew Brees ahead of Lamar Jackson.
Okay.
You know, you guys have a lot of faith in Patrick Mahomes,
and that's the first game we're previewing.
We'll get that in just a minute.
Kenyon Drake against Baltimore, Start-o-meter.
What is a flex on the start-o-meter?
You know, that's like a five.
A four?
That's like a five-ish.
No, I was going to say six.
Yeah, I'm going to go 3.5.
Two.
Okay, so get into that for a minute.
Why are you not jazzed about Kenny Drake?
It's a very good defense.
It's a terrible matchup.
The Ravens, if they are anything like last year's Ravens,
just dominate time of possession
to where the other team doesn't get to run any plays.
Unfortunately, the Dolphins were one of those teams
that didn't run any plays last year.
So this could be a situation where the Dolphins run like 50 offensive plays.
And I just, like, it's week one.
Almost everybody's healthy.
Drake's a fine flex, I suppose, but I'm nervous about him this week.
I think he's going to be great for the year.
Okay.
Couldn't agree more.
All right, cool.
The Ravens, some running backs did well in the passing game against the Ravens,
but they held James Conner, Duke Johnson, Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey,
Damian Williams, and Jalen Richard to 25 or fewer receiving yards.
And only one of those seven caught a touchdown.
Yeah, they've had to replace at least three starters in their front seven.
So I'm not convinced that they're going to be just as stiff against the run as they were last year.
And I do think Kenyon Drake can catch five passes in the game
and maybe build out 40 or 50 yards from there.
So Duke Johnson, Philip Lindsay, who we talked about,
you'd start them both over Drake?
For sure.
Yes, not even close.
Jarvis Landry against Tennessee.
3.5.
I think he's in that flex conversation. I'd him at a at a four josh jacobs against
denver seven yeah yeah yeah seven okay yeah denver was really bad against the run at the start of the
year dominant in the middle of the season and then pretty bad again at the end of the year i don't
get it i kind of think they're going to be good. I'm a little nervous about Jacobs, guys.
You're not?
I think he's fine as a number two running back.
I think you're starting him. I don't think it's a situation where you get away from him.
I would start Montgomery ahead of him.
I would start Jacobs ahead of Montgomery.
Antonio Brown against
Denver and Chris Harris.
Six. Chris Harris is getting off the yacht
to guard Antonio Brown.
Seven.
Eight.
Yeah, I mean, you're starting Brown,
but you wish it weren't against Chris Harris, but okay.
Emmanuel Sanders in that game.
Six.
Three.
Yeah, six is good. He's a flex. What's up with that heath no love for emmanuel sanders i i'm not saying no love for emmanuel sanders but i don't know how much i expect them to pass
against the raiders and i um i i just need to see a little bit more he's right behind landry for me
and ppr and non-PPR.
He's right in that same range.
I had Landry at a 3.5.
Sanders is a 3.
Okay.
Yeah, I think he's a great number two receiver.
Yeah, I got to tell you, I'm pretty interested in the Raiders secondary.
They've made a lot of additions.
Drafted a safety.
I think they signed two safeties.
They drafted Cleveland Farrell with the fourth overall pick.
And Garyon Conley, I'm hopeful that he can be healthy and good.
We'll see.
Joyner is probably going to be the—
If Emmanuel Sanders reprises his role in the slot,
he's going to see a lot of Marcus Joyner.
He'll see a lot of them.
And he's pretty good.
Marcus Joyner as a slot corner is very good.
Will Fuller at New Orleans.
Three.
Eight.
Five.
I love him.
Absolutely love him.
All right.
All right.
Corey Davis at Cleveland.
The opposite of Will Fuller.
2.5.
Yeah, two.
Carlos Hyde at New Orleans.
Zero.
Negative W.
One.
Okay, might not be a very good game script for him.
Let's go to the games.
Kansas City is at Jacksonville.
Stat of the game number one.
If you look at all the quarterbacks who have come,
strolled into Jacksonville over the last two seasons,
only Carson Wentz and Russell Wilson had really good games.
Ben Roethlisberger scored 24 fantasy points but didn't play very well.
Good quarterbacks who didn't do well.
Phillip Rivers, Jared Goff, Tom Brady, Andrew Luck.
None of them scored more than 20 fantasy points and 6 points for passing touchdown leagues.
Patrick Mahomes, his worst game was against the Jaguars.
And it was at home last year.
He had a rushing touchdown.
He did not have a passing touchdown. He did throw for more than 300 yards.
But tell me why I should confidently
start Patrick Mahomes.
He threw for more than 300 yards, averaged 8 yards
per attempt. The defense is still not very
good. They're not going to be able to just run the ball
over and over again.
He's going to be fine.
The Chiefs defense is not very good.
You gave me 7 quarterback names over the last
2 years to play at Jacksonville,
and three of them did well and four of them didn't.
No, false.
Okay, Wentz, Wilson, and Roethlisberger did well.
Rivers, Goff, Brady, and Luck did bad.
Correct?
And one of the ones that did bad scored 20.
Right.
Which isn't good.
That's not what you want out of Patrick Mahomes.
Roethlisberger played poorly.
He scored 24 points. Roethlisberger played poorly. He scored 24 points.
Roethlisberger scored 24 fantasy points.
It's true.
Yeah, yeah.
That's good.
Yeah, and Patrick Mahomes is better than all of those quarterbacks.
So I don't even consider it.
You could send him to Mars to play against the 85 Bears,
and I'm starting Patrick Mahomes.
The 85 Bears are on Mars?
What about the Monstars?
The Monstars. Isn't Mahomes one of the Monstars?
I think so.
Did anybody see Space Jam 2?
Heath, is that like the second movie you saw in theaters?
No, the second movie
I saw in theaters was
the new
Fast and Furious, the Hobbs and Shaw.
And the first one was Uncle Luke or whatever.
Uncle Drew.
Uncle Drew.
I don't think Space Jam 2 has been made yet.
I don't think Uncle Luke would be in the theater.
Oh, it hasn't been made yet?
Okay, I don't know anything about Space Jam 2.
I just know he's going to see it.
I probably will see it in theater.
Yeah, yeah, he's great.
I'm the one who gets ripped for movie taste.
Unbelievable.
Okay.
I'm a good dad, Adam.
I'm sorry.
Kansas City.
Oh, please, it's so selfish.
Maybe one day you'll grow up and be a good dad. Kansas City. Unbelievable. Okay. I'm a good dad, Adam. I'm sorry. Kansas City. Oh, please. It's so selfish. You want to go? Maybe one day you'll grow up and be a good dad. Kansas City.
Maybe. Kansas City
running backs. Go.
Yeah, I'm
starting Damian Williams as a number two running
back. I believe that he
will have a sizable role in the passing game.
I don't think he'll have any more than
11 carries max. Kareem
Hunt had a ton of carries in this matchup last year against Jacksonville,
and he did pretty well.
He found the end zone.
I'm not worrying about LeSean McCoy until the Chiefs give me a reason
on a Sunday or Saturday or not Saturday but Monday
to worry about Damian Williams.
I think he'll be okay, especially in PPR.
Flex at best. I think it's going to, especially in PPR. Flex at best.
I think it's going to be a messy situation because of
not only McCoy, but Darwin Thompson getting some
work, and this is going to be a very good defense,
so avoid the headache if you can.
I bet he were. I bet
three of his carries
are between the tackles, and everything
else is to the edges, and they try
and attack those outside linebackers.
The guy that is the opposite of Damian Williams, but i really like comparing them in terms of fantasy points this
week is latavius murray um i think they might have the same number of touches great i think
they have a similar chance to score a touchdown uh what do you like i like murray better in non-ppr
like williams better in ppr williams is a top 24 back for me just barely in ppr and non-PPR. I like Williams better in PPR. Williams is a top 24 back for me, just
barely in PPR. In non-PPR, I'm more on what Jamie said. He's just a flex. I like him better than
Kenyon Drake. As far as Dave Montgomery goes, for me, it comes down to format as to who I like
better. But he moves a lot in the two formats just because there's a lot of guys like Sonny
Michelle that jump ahead of him in non-PPR that I'd rather have Williams in PPR.
Would you start Sammy Watkins or Damian Williams?
Williams.
Williams.
Okay.
By the way, last year, there was only one running back who scored double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR against the Jaguars with fewer than 17 carries. And that running back, of course, was
Wendell Smallwood,
who had two catches
for 42 yards and a touchdown, plus 24
rushing yards. So there were
a number of running backs who did fine,
but they all had big workloads, 17 or
more carries, three guys
with 22 or more carries, whatever.
Alright, so Tyreek Hill,
it's a tough matchup, but there's no way you're sitting him, right?
Right, right.
And then Sammy Watkins, any thoughts?
Could it be that Tyreek Hill has the bad game
and Watkins is actually set up for success here?
It could be, but that's not a bet I want to make
because it's still a tough matchup for Watkins as well.
He's a low-end flex for me this week.
I like him.
I mean, I don't really like him, actually.
PPR flex.
He can get you 10 or 11.
Yeah, I go lower than that.
I don't trust him this week at all.
Yeah, you know, actually, even last year,
I mean, the elite wide receivers did pretty damn well against Jacksonville,
except for Tyreek Hill.
He had four catches for 61 yards.
But back up.
He had 20 yards on the ground, too, right?
If they do what they're saying and he's going to shadow,
Ramsey's going to shadow Tyreek Hill,
then it's going to be a lot of A.J. Bouye on Watkins.
And I still like Bouye in that matchup.
Yeah, I gave Will Fuller a 2.5 on the start-o-meter.
And I like him more than Sammy Watkins.
All right, start Travis Kelsey.
He had 100 yards against Jacksonville last year.
To the Jaguars, obviously Leonard Fournette is a top
10 running back in both formats. You're going to
start him. Any interest in Nick Foles?
2QB.
Yeah.
Okay. And then,
do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Sammy Watkins?
Oh, yes. Not even the same universe.
Do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Damian Williams
in PPR? Absolutely. Yes.
Do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Damian Williams in PPR? Absolutely. Do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Leonard Fournette in PPR?
No.
No.
No.
Okay.
So we have established that Westbrook is a start,
and we will come back to him as we compare him to some other players later on in the show.
I like D.D. Westbrook better than Antonio Brown in PPR.
Yeah, I couldn't do it.
I'm not going to go there, but I'll say he's better than
Boyd, Galladay, Cooper,
Robert Woods, Josh Gordon.
Which DST do you like better, by the way?
Jacksonville.
I guess it's Jacksonville.
Jacksonville?
Jamie, what did you say?
Do you start the Chiefs DST?
No.
No.
Okay.
All right.
Jacksonville was like around 10th to 12th for everybody in the rankings this week.
So I don't know if you want to drop them.
This might be a week where you have two DSTs on your team.
But Seattle, Philadelphia.
No.
Yes.
Don't do that week one.
Just start them.
Don't go pick up a second DST.
No.
Don't lose fantasy points because you don't –
like this is what I'm saying.
Who says you're going to lose fantasy?
It's week one.
There's like a dozen players that are owned in fewer than 50% of leagues
that should be owned in all leagues.
Don't leave one of those guys on the waiver wire to boom
so that you can start a second defense that may or may not even outscore Jacksonville.
So why would – like you all rank the Eagles way above Jacksonville, right?
And I love the Eagles this week against Washington.
Week one is no different than week 12.
You got to win it.
Win it.
But in week 12, you can drop the Jaguars and still have the chance to get them back.
You're not going to do that in week one because you're going to have everybody still competitive.
So carry two defenses.
There's a little bit of a different gamemanship there.
No, don't carry two defenses.
All right, all right.
Let's take one more break here
when we come back.
Pittsburgh, New England on Sunday night.
And six more games after that.
We'll be right back.
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All right, here we go.
Stat of the game.
I have a question for you before you continue.
Oh, boy.
Okay, what?
How much did you cheat with your wife last night in the draft?
Oh, I'm glad you said that.
Yeah, let's work out the phrasing there a little bit.
No, my phrasing was accurate.
No, I didn't at all, actually.
She was sitting there, and she said,
I have three players that I like here.
It was the fourth round.
Edelman, I don't remember the second
guy, and Coleman. She's like, do you like
them? I said, I think one, it's a little
bit too early for one of them. She's like, which one? I'm like,
I'm not telling you. Oh, stop.
I swear, I did not. You know that
he set her cue and then walked out of the room.
I didn't. I didn't.
She actually did a very good job. I didn't really
help her at all. You know, they have a rankings thing in the draft room that you can use.
So that's basically what she did.
Actually, it's somewhat of a lie.
The only thing I did was I said,
I think you should take DeAndre Hopkins over Devante Adams.
So you helped her.
If you consider that help, yes.
You cheated.
With my wife, not on my wife, as we know.
Okay, Pittsburgh at New England.
You think this is a high-scoring game?
Yes.
No.
Yeah.
I mean, I've been a little surprised
that Roethlisberger and Brady in these matchups recently
haven't really lit it up.
Brady, last three seasons against the Steelers,
21, 17, and 15 fantasy points.
The Steelers, this is your stat of the game.
In their last 12 games, they allowed more than 22 fantasy points.
That's like good, not great.
Only once.
They held Matt Ryan, Baker Mayfield, Cam Newton, Tom Brady, and Drew Brees
to less than 20 fantasy points and six points for passing touchdown leagues.
In fact, they might have a good defense this year, the Steelers.
We shall see.
I agree. Patriots, though,
missing Patrick Chung. What are we thinking here?
Second, are they? Yeah.
They're not?
I think he's playing
through this
issue that he's got off the field.
Third highest over-under of the
week at 51.
Patriots implied point total just almost as high as New Orleans.
So Vegas doesn't think that Pittsburgh has a very good defense.
Brady's a top 10 quarterback for me.
Ben is not far behind him.
Okay, yeah, I don't know about Patrick Chung.
I just assumed he was out.
He's facing drug charges.
Yeah, I looked into it yesterday.
I couldn't find anything that said that he's definitively out.
Okay.
Who do you like better, Roethlisberger or Brady? If I'm wrong, someone will reach out and tell me, but
yeah, for now, I think
he's playing. Sorry, who do you like
better? Which QB? I've got Brady.
Brady. Ben, 14th.
So are both of them sort of
borderline starts this week? Yep.
I would bench Ben if you could.
I just don't like the setup for him as much as Brady.
I agree. And he's got a terrible track
record at Foxborough on top of it.
Bad track record in his last four games against the
Patriots. And that's
with Antonio Brown.
I bet they schemed Juju away from him in the
red zone like
you'd
probably believe the Patriots to do.
And then would you start any other Steelers wide receiver?
No.
Okay.
How about Vance McDonald?
I'm okay with him.
Touchdown or bust tight end this week, even against Chung.
He's got a huge size advantage over Chung.
That's who would line up against him.
Okay.
Most of the time.
Would you start McDonald or Ebron?
I believe I have
McDonald ranked higher.
McDonald. That's not close.
James Conner is a start.
Jalen Samuels, start or sit?
Jalen Samuels is a sit.
That's what I feel.
The Steelers are easy.
Ben is a borderline start, but there are other guys we like better.
Would you start Stafford over Roethlisberger?
No.
No.
All right.
Garoppolo?
No.
Yes.
No.
So, Roethlisberger, you know what to do.
Conor, you start.
Juju, you start. Juju, you start.
McDonald's, a start.
And that's it.
To the Patriots.
Tom Brady is around 12th at quarterback.
What do you think about the running backs in this game?
I like them.
I don't love them.
And I like Sony better.
Obviously, non-PPR, I'm going to like them better every week.
I would go as far to pretty much call Sony a must start in non-PPR, I'm going to like him better every week. I would go as far to
pretty much call Sony a must
start in non-PPR unless you've got
an Ekler or something.
In PPR, I'd rather start
White than Sony, but they're both
better as flexes. I got Sony higher in
PPR. I think
they'll be okay. I do buy into the Steelers
defense being better.
I think Sony has a big game.
Really?
Yeah.
Okay, so how does he compare to Duke Johnson, Philip Lindsay, those guys?
Better in non-PPR than PPR.
Agreed.
Okay.
Sony Michelle or Aaron Jones?
Sony for me.
Sony.
Okay.
PlayStation or... So... Oh, I know. Sony is me. Sony. Okay. PlayStation or...
So...
Oh, I know.
Sony is PlayStation.
I would say Xbox.
Damn it, Xbox.
Or Sony Michelle.
So, James White,
do you buy into the fact
that Steelers were actually
very good against
pass-catching running backs,
including James White last year,
although they did struggle
against McCaffrey and Kamara,
but they allowed
the fourth-fewest fantasy...
Fourth-fewest receiving yards to running backs.
Yep.
And they added Devin Bush to their front seven this offseason,
and I think he's going to be one of those
sideline-to-sideline Tasmanian devil type of linebackers.
All right.
So James White had five catches for 25 yards against the Steelers.
Do you feel good starting James White?
No.
No, but if I don't have a better option in PPR,
I realize that he's got potential to do something on five or six catches.
Very flexible in PPR.
Would you start a 49ers running back over James White?
Yes.
Yes.
Yep. Both or just
Coleman?
Both and non-PPR.
Yeah. I agree. And Coleman and PPR?
Okay. All right, then.
And we're starting
Edelman. How about Josh Gordon?
Start him. Absolutely.
Okay. Anyone else? Tight end?
Rob Gronkowski.
Yeah. All right. Great. Wonderful.
And sit the DSTs?
Yeah.
Sit the DSTs.
Let's go to the Colts and the Chargers.
Interesting game.
Stat of the game, number one.
The Chargers, oh, this is the game for pass-catching running backs
based on last year.
The Chargers allowed the most receiving yards per game to running backs,
and the Colts the sixth most.
Against the Chargers, 11 running backs had 50 yards or a touchdown receiving.
And against the Colts, nine running backs had 49 or more receiving yards.
So what does that mean to you, if anything?
It means that I'm feeling great about starting Austin Eckler.
Yeah, I think I'm maybe even a little higher on Eckler than what –
I didn't see where you guys have him,
but I've got him as a top 10 running back this week.
I love him.
Ooh, holy guacamole.
I've got him top 24, PPR or non.
Yeah, top 20 for me, PPR.
Right around there in non-PPR.
And I think Justin Jackson's good as a flex, too.
When you say top 10, Heath, is that only PPR?
What about half PPR? What about non-PPR?
He is top 10 in all three.
Oh, you really like Eckler.
Wow. What's the projection? What have you got?
102 yards and a.75 touchdown.
Wow.
That is top 10 worthy.
For you, Dave and Jamie,
would you start Josh Jacobs or Austin Eckler?
Eckler.
I've got Jacobs a step higher in PPR.
Would you start Marvin Jones,
I kind of like this week, or Austin Eckler?
What?
I kind of like Marvin Jones, too.
I'd go Eckler. Yeah, no, Eckler's too good. Okay, would you start Justin Jackson or Marvin Jones, who I kind of like this week, or Austin Eckler? What? I kind of like Marvin Jones, too. But I'd go Eckler.
Yeah, no, Eckler's too good.
Okay, would you start Justin Jackson or Marvin Jones?
Jones.
I would go Jones and PPR.
I think I'd go Jackson and non.
Yeah.
Okay, how about Marlon Mack or Marvin Jones?
So that's a running back that I'm not particularly interested in starting.
I will start Justin Jackson over Marlon Mack in PPR.
Boom!
I'd start Mack over Jackson and Bill.
All right, so what are we expecting for Mack in this game?
75 yards and hope he gets in the end zone?
I'm totally in agreement with that.
Yeah, I gave that stat about the pass-catching running backs
and the Chargers allowing the most receiving yards per game.
So you might be thinking Naeem Hines. And if you think the Chargers allowing the most receiving yards per game. So you might be thinking, Naeem Hines.
And if you think the Chargers are going to win,
here's what Naeem Hines did in seven losses last year, including the postseason.
He had five or more catches in five of seven games.
However, in those seven losses, he played only three of them
with Marlon Mack actually playing.
That is not including a game at Philadelphia where Mack played but didn't have a touch.
So in those three losses with Marlon Mack actually playing. That is not including a game at Philadelphia with Mack playing but didn't have a touch. So in those three losses with Marlon Mack playing,
he had two, nine, and zero catches.
I just don't know what to expect
from who's going to catch the passes.
Is it going to be more of Mack?
Is it going to be a lot of Hines?
You know, I don't really know.
You sent me down a rabbit hole
when you talked about Marlon Mack
and other running backs,
how they are in wins and losses.
You talked about it with Joe Mixon, for example.
Two years in the league with the Colts.
In Colts wins, he's averaged over 15 carries, 4.7 yards per carry,
12 total touchdowns.
It's 13 games.
Losses, 13 of those games, 6.8 carries per game, 3.7 yards per carry,
two total touchdowns.
And this is a Chargers run defense.
They only allowed two backs to have over 100 rush yards against them last year.
Okay.
I am hesitant.
Yeah, he's not a great start.
But again, I think he's going to be the catalyst of this offense with the quarterback change.
So I'm cautiously optimistic.
I'd start him over with Damian Williams, for example.
I wouldn't be surprised if Brissette ended up
being the catalyst
of the offense. Not to say that he's
going to be good, but I
bet they lean on Brissette more than we're
giving him. I bet Joey Bosa leans on Brissette.
That's going to happen.
That's a good offensive line.
Great offensive line and a great pass rush
and I think a very interesting game here. What's the spread, by the way? I think it's a great offensive line and a great pass rush, and I think a very interesting game here.
What's the spread, by the way?
I think it's a touchdown.
Not enough.
Really?
No, I think the Colts can compete.
Oh, yeah.
I bet it's high because they think people are going to load up on the Chargers.
It is six and a half.
It is not enough.
All right.
Chargers could win by seven.
I'd be surprised if they won by like...
I think the Colts cover.
14.
Oh, the Colts cover.
I think they could.
T.Y. Hilton, start or sit?
I'm not excited to start him.
Flex.
Third receiver in a three-sever league.
How would you rank the running backs in this game?
Obviously, Eckler's ahead of him.
Are any other running backs ahead of T.Y. Hilton in this game?
What format? Any running backs in this game ahead of T.Y. Hilton in this game? What format?
Any running backs in this game ahead of T.Y. Hilton?
Other than Eckler.
So Mack and Jackson, basically.
Oh, and non-PPR for sure.
Both of them?
Oh, just Mack?
In half PPR, I'll take Mack over him.
And PPR, T.Y. over Mack for sure.
Okay.
How about Emmanuel Sanders or TY Hilton?
Sanders.
Hilton.
I believe I have Sanders ranked a little bit higher.
So Hilton is what, like a number three we said?
Yep.
Flex?
Okay.
Over to the Chargers.
Start or sit, Phillip Rivers.
I'd start him.
He's pretty good in season
openers, and he's really, really good in home openers.
He's been a hot
starter for the last five years,
and I think the matchup's pretty good.
I've got him as a sit,
I guess. I mean, he's 17th,
so he's in that range of he's probably going
to be good, but he doesn't make my top 12,
so I'd start him over Matt Ryan.
He's in my top 12. I would also start him over Matt Ryan. He's in my top 12.
I would also start him over Matt Ryan.
I'd start him over Aaron Rodgers.
I'd start him over Mitchell Trubisky.
The Colts' best run-stopping defensive lineman and maybe their best pass rusher is Jabal
Sheard.
He ain't playing.
I know there's offensive line issues at play with the Chargers.
Their line looks terrible.
It's not as good as we thought it would be.
And I still think Phillip Rivers overcomes.
And now that there's no Melvin Gordon,
I think you want to talk about where the offense is going to run through.
I think Phillip Rivers is going to have a pretty good year.
And I think he's going to get off to a really good start against Indianapolis.
He's going to have to throw a bunch.
And as far as Justin Jackson goes,
he's just a flex.
He's a flex, but I do think he's got a chance to bang one in from short yardage.
Again, nose your ball, shared hurts.
Yeah, that's what he is.
Who's a better flex, Justin Jackson or Mike Williams?
I prefer Jackson.
I prefer Jackson too.
I think I'd prefer Williams.
Okay, so we got some fringy guys in this game.
Mike Williams, T.Y. Hilton, Justin Jackson.
You might want to stay away from them in week one,
but it's not the worst idea to start them if you have to.
Hunter Henry should have a pretty good game.
The Colts were not good against tight ends.
Basically every good tight end that faced the Colts did well.
I will say the Chargers last year were awesome against tight ends. We don't know
if that will be the case again this year. No Derwin
James. Right. I
kind of like Ebron. I
dislike Ebron greatly. I think
Jacoby Percent needs help.
This is a big target who
can help him. I don't know how the
Chargers are going to defend against him.
I think he could catch four passes and
score. He may score. I take he could catch four passes and score.
He may score.
I'd take the under on four passes.
The score is the key, because if he catches four passes,
it's probably 40 yards.
Yay.
Yeah, I'd stay away from Ebron if he can.
Hawkinson or Ebron?
Hawkinson.
Ebron.
Yeah, Hawkinson, easy for me.
All right.
We'll take our last break here.
When we come back, we still have five games remaining.
We'll do them a little bit faster.
I wanted to spend a lot of time on some of the tougher games.
And we'll get to the other ones right after this.
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Buffalo is at the Jets, your stat of the game.
Here are the quarterbacks that scored 25 or more fantasy points and six
point per passing touchdown leagues against the Jets last year.
Bortles,
Keenum,
Luck,
Trubisky,
Mariota,
Watson,
Rogers,
Brady,
Bortles,
Keenum,
Trubisky,
Mariota.
I won't say Trubisky,
but Mariota,
they were all in there.
And Josh Allen had a big rushing game.
I think he scored 18 points against the Jets.
Would you consider either quarterback in this game? All those bad think he scored 18 points against the Jets. Would you consider either quarterback in this game?
All those bad quarterbacks scored 25 points against the Jets and not Josh Allen.
Yeah, but that doesn't mean he can't.
I mean, he's got much better receivers this year.
You'd hope he's a better quarterback.
And a better offensive line, too.
And the Jets' defense, I mean, their secondaries could be really bad.
I'm not starting the quarterbacks. I think it could be among, like, in the bottom half of the league in terms of secondaries.
But I don't think it's going to be miserable.
Unless Tremaine Johnson just can't play.
We don't know how healthy he'll be.
Yeah, I'm starting Josh Allen in one league, and I kind of like it.
Who'd you start him over?
Well, there's a league where I lost luck, so my choices were Allen, Trubisky, and Darnold,
and he's the best one for me.
Ooh, over Trubisky.
Oh, I don't like Trubisky tonight at all.
Yeah, I love Trubisky.
I like it.
Spicy take.
Dave, break the tie.
Trubisky or Allen?
Allen.
Whee!
By the way, Allen or Darnold?
Darnold.
I went back and forth on this,
and it actually took talking on FFT
and kind of talking it out.
I like Allen better, too.
Yeah, I mean, the Bills, with the least amount of fantasy points
to quarterbacks last year, they gave up a ton of rushing production,
and they had a good pass defense.
They really did.
Their defense mostly returns intact.
So, okay, Le'Veon Bell is obviously a start.
What about, I think the tough calls in this game are going to be
Robbie Anderson and Devin
Singletary. So, what do you
think? I don't want to start Devin
Singletary. I don't even know if he gets double-digit
touches. Yeah, you can't. I agree.
This is a discovery game. See what happens.
See how it works out. Don't panic
if he doesn't play well and drop him.
But hopefully he does get the majority of touches there.
I think of Star Trek when
you say discovery game.
And I'm not even like a Trekkie.
Oh.
You know.
Yeah.
I think of the discoveries.
The Enterprise.
Ooh.
Singletary.
I think John Brown's a tougher call than Singletary is.
Him too.
So Brown and Robbie Anderson then.
What are we doing with them?
Prefer Robbie.
They're both flexes.
I prefer Brown.
And I agree that they're in the.
Yeah. You got a bang. Bangedup Robbie Anderson against Tredavious White.
I don't like it at all.
He's beaten Tredavious White before, though.
He didn't score a touchdown against him, though.
He had a good game against him.
He did two years ago.
Yeah, but he was a younger player then.
I mean, he's a much better corner now.
I think the calf is the bigger issue than the age.
It's the whole thing.
Wait, he meant White was a younger player because it sounded like...
Yeah.
Oh, I thought you said Robbie Anderson
was a younger player.
They both were younger players.
They were, they were, but...
I mean, I was younger 15 minutes ago.
I'm a little concerned about Robbie's health,
but ultimately I think he's good enough
to start as a flex.
I think they'll take some deep shots,
whether he's lined up against Tredavious
or Levi Wallace is their other corner,
outside corner. Rank T rank T Y Hilton,
Robbie Anderson,
and John Brown,
Hilton,
Brown,
Anderson,
Anderson,
Hilton,
Brown,
Brown,
Anderson,
Marriott.
Wait,
so why?
Hilton,
why Heath?
Just to wrap it up,
please.
In 15 seconds,
let's go to our next game.
Why? If you love John Brown so much, you much, he was the most underdrafted player,
why not start him this week, or why not like him this week?
I said he was the most underdrafted player ever,
but I had him ranked in the mid-30s in my wide receiver rankings,
and I've got him ranked in the mid-30s this week.
Okay, I just like, if the Jets, if you can't be good against the Jets,
why were we so excited about... Yeah, I don't view the Jets as one of the't be good against the Jets, why were we so excited about?
I don't view the Jets as one of the matchups.
We talked about it yesterday in the podcast.
I think 70% of the matchups just do not matter that much on a weekly basis.
They don't affect my projections,
and this is not one of those that I'm certain matters.
All right.
Tennessee is at Cleveland.
Stat of the game.
Noteworthy quarterbacks against Tennessee last year.
They had a pretty good defense, but again, the
AFC South played some crappy teams.
Watson had 26 points. Wentz had 23.
Rivers had 24. Prescott had 18.
Brady had 10. Luck had 29.
Watson had 33.
Luck had 28 fantasy points. Six points
for passing touchdown leagues. The takeaway here
is you see that it's not a great
matchup on paper for Baker Mayfield, but just about every good quarterback
that the Titans faced last year did well.
So do you have any hesitation with Baker this week?
No.
Nah.
No.
Okay, and that's good because it's frustrating that Rogers, Mahomes,
and Ryan have really tough matchups this week.
The Tennessee running backs.
We're not starting Mariota, so let's go to the Tennessee running
backs. Are you starting either of these guys?
I don't want to. I actually
in PPR like Deion Lewis
better than Derrick Henry. I don't think this
is a very good Derrick Henry game at all.
The offensive line is going
to be terrible. They're going to be playing from
behind. They're going to have to throw more than they're comfortable
with, and I think that means more
Lewis and less Henry. It's going to be interesting to see if neither guy comfortable with. And I think that means more Lewis and less Henry.
It's going to be interesting to see if neither guy does anything and how many people cut Deion Lewis after this week.
Or how many people think the sky is falling on Derrick Henry
because he has 11 carries for 32 yards.
This Browns front seven is much improved, by the way.
Olivia Vernon's there.
Sheldon Richardson's there.
Linebackers seem good.
It's going to be tough sledding
for Derrick Henry.
I'll talk about this Titans
offensive coordinator until the cows come home.
I do not have a lot of faith in
him breaking
through the creativity barrier with
Matt LaFleur's playbook
as a first-time play caller.
Would you start Latavius
Murray over Derrick Henry? Yes.
I'm starting almost
everybody over Derrick Henry. Would you start T.Y. Hilton or Derrick Henry?
Hilton.
I would
start Hilton, I think.
I think I would start Henry and non-PPR.
Okay.
So the only guy we want
to start on Tennessee is Delaney Walker.
He's top 10, right? I think he's like
eighth-ish or something. Safety valve.
Yep. Okay.
Is that like a Seth DeValve joke?
No, I'm saying
Marcus Mariota stinks throwing to just about
everybody else, and Delaney Walker's been
his safety valve for four of the last five seasons.
I think the Browns are going to be easy.
Most weeks start Mayfield,
start Chubb,
start Beckham.
And then it's a matter of Landry and Najoku.
I'll go to Najoku real quick as Heath,
you have him the highest,
you have him ninth and non PPR and 11th and PPR.
Jamie's got Najoku 16th.
Dave has him 12th and non PPR and 14th and PPR.
That was as of this morning,
these rankings change a lot.
So make sure you check out the rankings page.
But what's the hope for Njoku, Heath?
Oh, the hope, like you get to this range of the tight end,
and the hope is pretty much the same for all of them.
You hope they score a touchdown.
And so a lot of times what it's going to look like is the tight ends
that are playing in the games where I think the most touchdowns
are going to be scored are going to rank higher in my rankings.
And Njoku's team is expected to score a lot of points okay fair enough everybody has delaney walker
ranked ahead of david nijoku for what that's worth and then jarvis landry we've talked about
a lot of flex options we talked about derrick henry and marlin mack and ty hilton and mike
williams is is landry behind all of them yes yep uh no not No, not in PPR for me.
I'd much rather start Landry over Henry in PPR.
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. I would too.
But he's got a tough matchup.
It's going to be Logan Ryan,
and they have faced off many times
when they were on different teams in the AFC East.
And I think the limited targets is going to hurt Landry,
and I think the coverage from Logan Ryan is going to hurt Landry.
I'll take Landry over Hilton in PPR too.
Heath, do you still have the Browns DST 16th?
I don't
know. Okay, that's what I
had. And Dave and Jamie have the Browns DST
top 10. Yeah,
they probably need to be 12th.
They might have five sacks.
Miles Garrett may have five sacks by himself.
I mean, he's going to destroy this team.
Yeah, I've got him 12th.
All right, we've got three games left.
Let's go to Denver at Oakland.
Stat of the game.
There were 11 running backs with 14 or more carries against Oakland last year.
Ten of them scored double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR.
Ten out of 11 with 14 or more carries had double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR.
That is really big.
Do you think Philip Lindsay or Royce Freeman will get 14 carries? Will they get double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR. That is really big. Do you think Phillip Lindsey or Royce Freeman will get 14 carries?
Will they get double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR?
I think Lindsey does well even in 14 carries.
I don't trust this Oakland defense at all. With two or three catches on top of that.
Yeah, especially with the erratic not being there.
I have Lindsey projected for exactly 14 carries and 12 non-PPR fantasy points.
All right.
I feel like that might be a little bit too close to his ceiling,
but I'm still comfortable starting him as a number two.
And even though Theoretic's not going to play,
Devante Booker is going to play,
and he's going to take some work.
But I think the matchup is better suited for speed
in the backfield rather than size.
And if Scangarello is going to use his noggin,
he'll lean on Phillip Lindsey quite a bit.
All right, sit the quarterbacks in this game, obviously.
And Lindsey or Josh Jacobs, who do you like better?
Lindsey.
I believe I have Jacobs ranked higher.
Yeah, I got Jacobs higher.
Jamie, you really like Lindsey this week.
Yeah. Do you like Royce Freeman? Not, you really like Lindsey this week. Yeah.
Do you like Royce Freeman?
Not a bad flex option in deeper leagues, though.
Who's a better flex?
Sorry, Freeman or Justin Jackson?
Jackson.
Jay Jack.
Yeah.
Okay.
How many wide receivers are we starting in this game?
Maybe zero.
Two.
Brown and Sanders?
Yep.
Sanders in the flex.
Brown, you're going to start.
Tyrell Williams is a long shot.
Sutton is a long shot.
Deshaun is an even longer long shot.
So two sounds about right.
But you're starting one tight end in this game.
Are you?
Oh, yeah.
No offense.
I don't know if I want to trust a rookie.
Yeah, so Dave's talking about darren waller really he's a starter for you he's a low-end starter for me if you picked him up in your streaming tight end or if you just don't have
a tight end that you really like go with darren waller i my hunch is that they're going to line up their free safety on him because he's
tall. He's almost as tall as Waller, but he allowed like an 80% catch rate last year.
And if they don't use him, then it's going to be somebody slower or somebody shorter.
And I could see him getting some end zone targets. I think he's worth taking a shot on ahead of David
Njoku, ahead of Jimmy Graham, ahead of TJ Hawkinson, ahead of Greg Olson,
ahead of Austin Hooper.
I'm with you on everything except Olson
and Hawkinson. I think those guys
have a higher ceiling. I'll give you one more I like better
than Waller. Will Disley. I think it's a great situation
for him in Seattle.
Alright. Cool.
Denver's DST is top 10. Fifth for
Heath, so you can start them.
I don't want to shortchange Josh Jacobs because he was drafted as a lot of teams' number one run back.
Oh, he should be started.
Yeah, I just want to do a few more names with Josh Jacobs.
Let's do some wide receivers versus Jacobs.
Would you start Jacobs or Cooper Cup?
Cup.
Cup.
I'm over the moon for Cup this week.
All right.
My Cup runneth over.
Sterling Shepard or Josh Jacobs?
Jacobs.
Even in PPR.
Miles Sanders or Josh Jacobs?
Jacobs.
That's not close.
Okay.
Houston is at New Orleans.
Oh, we got a lot of stats in the game here.
No running back rush for more than 75 yards against
the saints last year it's not gonna they allowed under a thousand on the season wow
yeah they're the only team wow and also yeah again no sheldon rankins um houston's defense
like i said they faced jacksonville and tennessee twice the jets the bills the redskins the cowboys
the giants the eagles who weren't very good on offense last year the dolphins the browns and
denver so i don't know how good their defense really is and doesn't have one of their best Redskins, the Cowboys, the Giants, the Eagles, who weren't very good on offense last year, the Dolphins, the Browns, and Denver.
So I don't know how good their defense really is and doesn't have one of their best players.
So Breeze is going to have a huge game.
Kamara is a start.
Latavius Murray, it seems like we like him enough, right?
Good flex.
The highest of flexes.
Capital F flex.
Is he better than Will Fuller?
Oh, yeah.
Oh, no.
Latavius? Oh, yeah. Oh, no.
Latavius?
Oh, yeah.
Yeah, Latavius.
They're very similar.
I think Fuller probably has the higher ceiling.
Latavius, I think, easily has the higher floor.
It's just I think what you think you may need this week,
if you have to decide between both,
I would probably lean toward Murray just given what the touches would be for him. So I'm guessing, and this is purely a guess,
that Marshawn Lattimore will shade DeAndre Hopkins.
That's the expectation.
Which means it's Eli Apple against Will Fuller.
Adam, your thoughts on that? I think he did better with the Saints than he did with the Giants,
but I think he's beatable for sure.
I agree.
Yeah. I agree with
everything that you're saying.
I love the game script for Will Fuller.
I really do.
It's a good defense.
I drafted him in so many leagues.
You should start him if you have him.
Nobody drafted him to be
a top 24 receiver
or your second guy.
I think if you're in a three receiver league
and you want to try
and really win your week,
he's a great option for you.
I know I asked you this earlier,
but I don't remember the answer.
In terms of running backs,
do you like Duke Johnson
or Latavius Murray better?
Duke.
Duke.
Duke.
It's going to be real close
to non-PPR.
All right.
This is hopefully
a high-scoring game, so get some guys in your lineup.
Jared Cook is someone I think he should have a very good game.
Houston allowed the third most fantasy points to tight ends.
They were really bad.
Basically, every good tight end that faced Houston had either 50 yards
or a touchdown or both, except for Evan Ingram, who got hurt,
and then Red Ellison caught a touchdown.
And David Njoku was bad.
But Cook could be good.
If you have a DFS slate that includes this game,
Cook could be a good one there.
I don't know his price.
Anything else?
I mean, is QT going to play?
If he doesn't, I think that could be nice for Kenny Stills.
I think that could push Stills onto the field a little sooner.
If I'm in a deep league and I want to
take a flyer, Ted Ginn, Traquan
Smith?
No. You can find better flyers than that.
But Breeze is going to throw five touchdowns.
I don't think he is.
I think he is.
You're thinking six?
I think I've got him projected for
two and a half. He can get to three.
Three is possible. Michael Thomas will get one. Alvin Kamara will a half. He can get to three. Three is possible.
Michael Thomas will get one.
Alvin Kamara will get one.
One more game, guys.
Baltimore at Miami.
This one is interesting.
Start all, sit all.
Yeah, we talked extensively about Kenyon Drake,
and we don't love him.
The matchup's tough.
So, Lamar Jackson, third for Jamie,
sixth for Dave, eighth for Heath.
Mark Ingram we haven't talked about.
How much confidence do you have in him?
Start him.
You didn't answer my question.
How much confidence do you have in Mark Ingram?
Eight.
Must start.
Top 12 running back.
Confidence-o-meter.
Mm-hmm.
We want to wait and see with the Ravens wide receivers.
Yeah.
You should play.
Do four DFS lineups and play all four of their top guys
do you really need one on chris moore i i i um i will have a lot of lamar jackson lineups this
weekend and i will have a couple with chris moore maybe one with willie sneed some mark andrews a
hayden hurst miles boy no markin. No Marquise Brown?
Marquise Brown. The more I think about this Dolphins defense,
the more I think about Marquise Brown going to town.
Because they don't have anybody in the secondary
that can run with him.
And there's no one that's going to put
too much pressure on Jackson.
Jackson would, he almost has to run into a defender
to get sacked in this game.
Pressure comes from one side, so he shifts to the other,
and then somebody comes around and they sack.
That's how he gets sacked.
Their top pass rusher, you know how many sacks he has in his career?
Do you know who it is?
I don't.
I don't know either.
Four sacks.
You're one high.
It's Charles Harris, and he has three sacks in two seasons.
I love that stat.
That's a beauty. Yeah, this is a really bad defense. Mark Andrews, is he a top
10 guy for you guys? No. He's
top 15.
I'm curious to see how much playing time he gets
and whether the Ravens were just messing with
us during the preseason. It's going to be super frustrating
when Nick Boyle and Hayden
Hurst both catch touchdown passes.
I'm willing to grant the Dolphins this.
I think their secondary is okay.
Sammy and Howard is good.
Mika Fitzpatrick is really good.
That's it, though.
Does Howard shadow Boykin?
Do they even do that?
No.
I'm not sure Boykin will start.
He might not start, but he'll play for sure.
He's just got to hold on to the stupid football.
So, Hollywood. Where's just got to hold on to the stupid football. So Hollywood.
Where's Rashad Jones?
I don't know.
Is he with the team?
He's still good, I guess.
Yeah, he's still good, right?
Yeah.
They haven't traded yet.
They've got McClain.
They moved McCain.
Let's wrap it up here.
Ravens defense is top two.
If you were going to take a flyer on one wide receiver in this game on either team, who would it be?
Albert Wilson.
Yeah.
Wilson and PPR, Hollywood and non.
Cool.
Hey, thanks for listening, everybody.
I hope this was helpful.
Starter set.
There's one guy, though, for the Dolphins you should start.
What are his initials?
It's in a punter's league.
His name is Matt Hack.
Got to go back.
All right.
That's J.B. Eisenberg. Slammed it down that time. He's coming. Mic drop. Gotta go. Bye. All right. That's J.B. Eisenberg.
Slammed it down that
time.
He's coming.
That was a mic drop.
Dave Richard.
We're coming back
tomorrow to recap the
Thursday night game and
preview the NFC home
games.
Na, na, na, na, na,
na, na, na, na, na,
na, na, na.