Fantasy Football Today - 09/05: Start or Sit (AFC Home Games) (Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: September 5, 2019

Let's preview some games! What should your Week 1 Start or Sit philosophy be (2:00)? Start your studs? Play the matchups? A little of both? And which games are we looking forward to watching? ... News... and notes (10:50) on Stefon Diggs, Nick Foles, key offensive linemen and more. Then we've got the Startometer (21:00) for Lamar Jackson, Kenyan Drake, Emmanuel Sanders, Antonio Brown in a touch matchup and a few others that we won't be talking about until late in the show ... KC-JAC (26:00), PIT-NE (35:00), IND-LAC (41:00), BUF-NYJ (50:00), TEN-CLE (54:00), DEN-OAK (58:00), HOU-NO (1:01:30), BAL-MIA (1:04:30) ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:59 BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with iGaming Ontario. This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. Here we go! Email us at fantasyfootballatcbsi.com. Here we go! Get your lineup set. It's time for Star Tours 6. Let's go!
Starting point is 00:01:18 Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath. Welcome to the show. It is Thursday, September 5th. Bears 21, Packers 16. What do you think? What do you think? I can see something like that happening. So if it's 21-16, presumably that's three field goals and one touchdown for the Packers. And so I'm just curious.
Starting point is 00:01:45 No, we got to miss the extra point. Miss the extra point. So two one touchdown for the Packers. And so I'm just curious. No, we got to miss the extra point. Miss the extra point. So two touchdowns for the Packers. The Packers are going to miss an extra point. That's right. That's right. Not the Bears. I almost feel like it.
Starting point is 00:01:54 I think it's possible that the game could be tied. Bears line up for a field goal and they nail it. And they extol all the problems that they had last year with their field goal kicking. And Eddie Pinero rides off into the sunset and the Bears win by three. I'm curious. Will one of those two Packers touchdowns be the first Aaron Rodgers touchdown pass in Chicago since the Obama administration? Is that right? That is correct.
Starting point is 00:02:19 Wow. No, actually, and you guys are wrong about one thing. I actually have seven field goals for Eddie Pinero and the Bears. Seven field goals. Big day for him. Welcome to the show. It's our first start or sit show of the season. I should really say episode after start or sit because it's just too many S's and SH's together.
Starting point is 00:02:41 It's very dangerous. I make that mistake too often. The big overall question. Jamie, I'm going to throw it to you. It's week one. Start your studs basically across the board or play the matchups or a combination of both? Like what's your week one philosophy? I think it's dependent on what's available to you to replace your studs if you can do it. So if you have quality options and players that you like, then you can get away from
Starting point is 00:03:09 the guys that you drafted to be expected starters for you. Give me some examples of some studs. I'll give you an example that I'm doing myself. I'm playing Phillip Rivers over Aaron Rodgers. Now, you know what I would ask you, right, is why do you have a second quarterback if you have Aaron Rodgers? I did not draft a second quarterback. I picked aaron rogers um i did not draft a second quarterback i picked him up off waivers okay okay excellent um you guys have anything
Starting point is 00:03:30 to add to that in terms of it's week one because dave and i you know mildly argued about this on on hq because i think a lot of people are going to go in there look i drafted these guys to be starters they're starting and i'm sort of going to take the approach like that's mostly what i'm going to do but at the same time, why am I going to treat week one differently than I treat week eight? I'll play matchups when I feel really confident. Defense has changed, obviously, year to year, but when I feel really confident in evaluating a defense,
Starting point is 00:03:55 I'll play the matchups a little bit. How about you guys? Dave Heath? You have to know yourself. I tweeted about this yesterday and trying to explain that my rankings for week one are not influenced by where you drafted your players it's a list of the number of fantasy points that i think they're going to score and personally i don't have that man i'm gonna feel dumb if i start lamar jackson over aaron rogers and rogers is better no i would feel dumb for starting the guy that i didn't think was going to score as many points. But I understand also that some people do not feel that way, and especially at quarterback.
Starting point is 00:04:30 Like we told you all preseason, there are 18, 19, Jamie might have said 25 at one point, quarterbacks that I'm fine starting on a weekly basis. So you should not look at quarterback rankings and say, oh, no, he's ranked 16th. They think he's terrible. No, there's just that many good quarterbacks. Right, and I think the don't get cute comment that you are basically referring to, Adam, applies more to the other players besides quarterback. I think it applies to running back, receiver, tight end to a degree. But quarterback, the move Jamie's making, I agree 100%.
Starting point is 00:05:01 I think Drew Brees, who we all were very, very hesitant to draft, I think he's got a great chance to have a big game in week one. Who, Drew Brees? Drew Brees. Oh, my God. He's huge. And Lamar Jackson was somebody I've got on one of my teams, and you know that I didn't think he was a top 12 quarterback
Starting point is 00:05:17 coming into the year. He's top six for me this week, and I'm still the low guy on Lamar Jackson on this podcast, but I see the very, very good in him, and I don't think it's too cute to start him over Rodgers, Matt Ryan, Jameis, Jared Goff. He's ahead of all those guys. But again, you might have taken Damian Williams in the second or third round. You might be staring at a team where you have Damian Williams and you have Kevin Coleman,
Starting point is 00:05:45 Duke Johnson, Austin Eckler, and you might actually be looking at benching your second-round pick for someone you took in the seventh. Aaron Jones, same thing. Yeah. I see it with Jones. I don't see it with Damian Williams. All right.
Starting point is 00:05:59 Well, that game's coming up today, Kansas City. We previewed Green Bay, Chicago yesterday. Today we're doing the rest of the AFC home games plus Monday Night Football, which includes one AFC home game, but also Houston at New Orleans. And speaking of that Houston at New Orleans game, it's one of the last ones we're going to talk about,
Starting point is 00:06:14 but Drew Brees, in his last five seasons, he has had eight primetime home games, which, by the way, I think it's a little unfair. He shouldn't get that many. He has scored 26 or more fantasy points in six points for passing touchdown league. Excuse me. 26 or more fantasy points in seven of those eight games. He scored 30 or more fantasy points in five of those eight games.
Starting point is 00:06:38 And the Houston defense statistically wasn't bad last year. They had one of the easiest schedules in football. They don't have Clowney. So, yeah, love Drew. Everybody love Drew Brees this week? I'm not crazy, right? Absolutely. Yeah, I've got him ranked much higher than I had him ranked for the season.
Starting point is 00:06:55 One thing I love about the Saints in that game, and it keeps going up, they have the highest implied point total, according to Vegas, the only team at 30 points or more this week. Okay. Game you're looking or more this week. Okay. Game you're looking forward to this week from an NFL perspective. Lions-Cardinals. I think you're telling the truth there, aren't you? Yes.
Starting point is 00:07:15 I am, yeah. I see that. Okay. Heath, Jamie? Chiefs-Jaguars. Yeah. There's a lot of them. There's a lot of really interesting.
Starting point is 00:07:24 I'm intrigued by Dolphins, Ravens. I don't know. I really am. I think for me it has to be Rams, Panthers. Like how many touches does Gurley get? Is the Curtis Samuel helium? No, you're answering the wrong question. You're answering the wrong question.
Starting point is 00:07:38 That's my next question. That's fantasy perspective. I'm talking NFL perspective. No. I don't think there's a wrong answer to the NFL perspective question, Adam. You're asking us what game we want to see the most. You don't think Todd Gurley's usage is relevant to the NFL? I just think you're getting ahead of yourself.
Starting point is 00:07:52 You're answering the second question. My answer is Bears-Packers. I can't wait for tonight's game. I can't separate. I mean, I can't wait for all these games. It's football. It's back. Even Titans-Browns, I'm pumped for.
Starting point is 00:08:05 Me too. All right, game you're looking forward to from a fantasy perspective, Jamie. The Jamie. The one Heath said. Yeah. I want to see Todd Grove. Same. Okay.
Starting point is 00:08:15 And Cooper Cupp. I want to see him back. You know what's for me? Jets-Bills. Pretty interested in the backfields there. Mostly the Bills. Gross. I want to see the quarterbacks too. Yeah. Oh, yeah. No, I think there backfields there. Mostly the Bills. Gross. I want to see the quarterbacks, too.
Starting point is 00:08:26 Yeah. Oh, yeah. No, I think there's a lot there. I'll say 49ers, Tampa Bay. Yeah. That's got shootout potential. That's got B-word potential, ladies and gentlemen. Don't do it.
Starting point is 00:08:37 You picked the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl already. You've ruined enough things for one season. Would you guys confirm this? Season hasn't started yet, and he's ruined things. Didn't Adam already like a month ago pick the Falcons to win the Super Bowl? Pretty sure he's picked like four teams to win the Super Bowl.
Starting point is 00:08:53 I will say though his Bonanzas were pretty incredible last year. Hey, thank you. I pretty much know that Saints-Texans are going to be the Bonanza week one but we have to set some ground rules for the Bonanza. If you're new to the show, I pick a Bonanza every week because a game I think is going to be great for fantasy. We'll kind of set some ground rules.
Starting point is 00:09:11 I might do it Survivor Pool style this year where I can only pick teams once or twice or something. So I might have to save the Saints and the Texans. But we'll see. All right, listen. You've got to listen to the Pick 6 podcast. It's awesome. You can hear Dave, Jamie, and Heath on there sporadically.
Starting point is 00:09:25 Will Brinson hosts it. It's really, it's the best, not fantasy, but the best football podcast around. And it's more than five days a week now. There's going to be bonus episodes. There's going to be a lot of episodes on the Pick 6 podcast. And if you want to leave us questions for our mailbag, you got to go on iTunes. You got to leave us a nice review and leave a question in there. And we'll read a lot of them on our Saturday mailbag Show, but also emails and tweets in there as well.
Starting point is 00:09:49 I'm going to be 100% honest with you. We have a lot of advertisements on today's show and tomorrow. That will not be the norm. But we are jam-packed with ads because we have a great show and we have sponsors and we're very thankful for them. And they let us do our podcast. So we appreciate the sponsors. So we're going to give you our first ad break, but first a little gift for you. Forgot to play
Starting point is 00:10:10 this last week. You know about the Heath sigh. Well, how about the Dave sigh? What the? I made that noise? You did. You made that noise when you were imitating the Heath sigh last week. I don't want to know what Dave was doing.
Starting point is 00:10:29 Let's take a break here on Fantasy Football today. We'll be right back. Metrolinks and Crosslinks are reminding everyone to be careful as Eglinton Crosstown LRT train testing is in progress. Please be alert as trains can pass at any time on the tracks. Remember to follow all traffic signals. Be careful along our tracks and only make left turns where it's safe to do so. Be alert, be aware, and stay safe.
Starting point is 00:11:02 News and notes, ladies and gentlemen. So some, you know, RBBC talk, splitting carries, coaches coming out and saying this kind of stuff for Philadelphia and for the Chargers. No surprise there. But Dallas, Jason Garrett saying we might see a pitch count for Ezekiel Elliott. Well, he's not sure yet. He's got to see him in practice first.
Starting point is 00:11:26 Okay. They will, quote, make our best decision as the week goes on. I've got him at 16 touches. That's not a lot. Who's sitting Ezekiel Elliott? Well, yeah. Where do you have him in your rankings, Heath,
Starting point is 00:11:43 with 16 touches? 12? Jamie, Dave, are you higher on Ze a second. Where do you have him in your rankings, Heath, with 16 touches? 12? Jamie, Dave, are you higher on Zeke? I'm just, I'm not thinking about it. I put him top five. He's like right around 10 for me. All right. Are there any running backs in tonight's game you would start over Ezekiel Elliott?
Starting point is 00:11:56 Oh, no, no. Like there's only... Mike Davis. I just had to ask, okay? Because we're going to preview that game tomorrow. You didn't have to ask. Dexter Williams. Okay.
Starting point is 00:12:06 Wonderful. Eddie Lacey. Okay, fine. Here's a question that nobody really needs answered, but I'm going to ask it anyway. Great. I'm sure you're going to get a serious answer. Does Adam Ayer have any friends?
Starting point is 00:12:17 PPR? No. PPR Superflex. Zeke or Aaron Rodgers? Rodgers. Zeke. Rodgers. Okay. Food for thought. You don't bench quarterbacks in Superflex. Zeke or Aaron Rodgers? Rodgers. Zeke. Rodgers.
Starting point is 00:12:27 Okay, food for thought. You don't bench quarterbacks in Superflexes. Stefan Diggs has a hamstring injury. He's going to play, right? Didn't practice on Wednesday. I don't think it's serious. Yeah, I mean, if he doesn't practice today, then I think you have to get a little more. Let me see if Zimmer said anything.
Starting point is 00:12:42 If he does debating, let's say him, or I had a question about Valdez-Scantling. I think you weighed that one out. The question I got was, I think the guy said he has Diggs, Valdez-Scantling, and Golden Tate as his three receivers that he has one and two reserves. And he said, do I risk it with Valdez-Scantling over Diggs tonight or just end up cutting tate and trying to find somebody up where i was and i said you just wait it out and then cut tape
Starting point is 00:13:08 yeah yeah i agree with that if yeah it would be a more difficult decision if that was alan robinson and now valdez scaling for me agreed yeah if it was alan robinson i might have to start right on robinson okay i mean i'd rather still wait it out with Diggs. I would too, but they did sign Josh Doxson. Hopefully that doesn't mean anything. Well, they signed him before this happened. We don't know when that happened. The hamstring injury could have happened in practice a week ago. We don't know.
Starting point is 00:13:34 All right, Antonio Brown wasn't happy about being fined by his team. This could be just a really fun off-the-field story season for Antonio Brown and the Raiders. Nick Foles is expected to play through abdominal soreness. Brian Flores said Kenyon Drake is going to get a lot of touches in week one. Unfortunately, those touches are going against the team that allowed the second fewest fantasy points to running backs last year, but that game's coming up today for Kenyon Drake and the Dolphins Ravens.
Starting point is 00:14:01 Philadelphia made an offer from Melvin Gordon, according to Albert Breer, was not good enough to get the job done. Does that make you nervous at all if you're a Miles Sanders owner long-term? The gap between what they offered and what the Chargers are asking for is... Substantial. I get it. Really, really big.
Starting point is 00:14:20 It's like that guy in your fantasy league that makes you an offer that you know you're not going to accept. Yeah. Just to get the conversation going. On CBS Sports HQ last night, I actually said the Eagles made a Naser trade. Trade offer. Trade offer.
Starting point is 00:14:35 Yeah, you do get the conversation started. But again, they have some interest in upgrading there. All right, whatever. We'll see. Well, it's sensible to upgrade to Melvin Gordon from Jordan Howard. Yeah, but not from Miles Sanders. I mean,
Starting point is 00:14:52 it is sensible. No, that wouldn't have been very bad for Miles Sanders. It would have, obviously. But I understand why the Eagles tried to lowball the Chargers. Yeah, okay. Giants passing game expected to revolve around Saquon Barkley and Evan Ingram, according to Jordan Renan of ESPN. Amari Cooper practice, DK Metcalf practice.
Starting point is 00:15:08 Some non-skill position players here. Washington cornerback Fabian Moreau unlikely to play at Philadelphia. Tennessee offensive tackle Jack Conklin mispractice. That's a big deal because they're already going to be without Taylor LeJuan and they're facing Cleveland with a good pass rush. So we'll keep an eye on that. Giants right
Starting point is 00:15:24 tackle Mike Remmers mispractice. They're at Dallas. Dallas, meanwhile, Zach Martin, he was limited with a good pass rush. So we'll keep an eye on that. Giants right tackle Mike Remmers mispracticed. They're at Dallas. Dallas, meanwhile, Zach Martin, he was limited with a back issue. We've seen reports that Martin is expected to play. Jason Verrett was limited in practice. That's San Francisco's cornerback. They're at Tampa Bay, B-word. And do you expect the following players?
Starting point is 00:15:40 Robbie Anderson against Buffalo. Yes. Dante Pettis at Tampa Bay. Yes. Jordan Reed at Philadelphia. Not as of now. Trey Burton tonight. You're not starting him even if he plays.
Starting point is 00:15:55 Jimmy Graham tonight. Yes. He was off the injury report. Yeah. Got to give a big shout out to Brian Chitwood. He made a donation to saint jude to have me host his draft via skype and it turned out that uh it didn't end up happening but he still made the donation he made the donation and that's what's important no i didn't bail
Starting point is 00:16:19 i promise i was ready to rock and roll uh it just never happened. I was excited for it. I had one of the craziest nights I've ever had in my life, work-wise, that Heath can attest to. I've never had an experience like this. I had to host our Fantasy Football Today to Night show from 8 to 9, while helping what I thought was only supposed to be two drafts ended up being three drafts, which then turned into four drafts while I was hosting the show, giving advice. So I just decided we're going to just do it on the show.
Starting point is 00:16:54 So Heath would talk. Thankfully, Heath was great. I can't remember half the things Heath said because I wasn't really paying attention to what Heath was saying. I would just come back off the last thing that Heath was saying, i was like heath that's just an amazing point um and uh 2 14 team leagues 2 12 team leagues it was just and i hope the the people enjoy their teams and they have success because it was just a disaster did you actually talk about the picks on the air oh yeah yeah i had uh i had he felt me decide what was the quarterback one right uh? Yeah. Yeah, it was my cousin. Wentz or Newton.
Starting point is 00:17:28 Wentz, Newton, or Goff. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Let's get into our head and shoulders segment for today, guys. Offense versus defense. We're going to look at teams on good offenses with either bad – like a good offense with a bad matchup versus kind of an okay offense,
Starting point is 00:17:44 maybe a bad offense with a good matchup. Who would an okay offense, maybe a bad offense, with a good matchup. Who would you start in this scenario as we look at our head and shoulders segment for Thursday? Duke Johnson at New Orleans. They allow the second fewest fantasy points to the running backs last year, but will not have Sheldon Rankins. Or
Starting point is 00:18:00 Phillip Lindsey at Oakland who allow the eighth most fantasy points to running backs and 4.8 yards per carry to running backs. Duke Johnson or Phillip Lindsey at Oakland, who allowed the eighth most fantasy points to running backs and 4.8 yards per carry to running backs. Duke Johnson or Phillip Lindsey? What's the format? Because I think it's pretty obvious in full PPR and even half PPR that you've got to go with Duke Johnson. I'd go Lindsey. What?
Starting point is 00:18:20 I'd go Lindsey in both. Really? Oh, yeah. I'd go Lindsey in non-PPR. I love Lindsey this week. I like Duke this week in PPR. I like Duke too, but I like Lindsey better. I think Duke can catch like five, six balls as the Texans are in that shootout.
Starting point is 00:18:33 I think he could have a nice start to the season. Yeah, I mean, they're both going to share. For Duke, I don't worry quite as much about what teams have done to opposing running backs because so many of his touches are going to be different than the typical running back. You look at what they did against pass catchers last year, and they were okay about league average. They did give up 86 catches on 107 targets.
Starting point is 00:18:56 I think that Duke's going to be fine. Both top 20 guys. I'll take Duke and PPR, Lindsay and Nunn. New Orleans did allow 40 or more receiving yards or a receiving touchdown to a running back nine times, which, yeah, it's not terrible, but it's something there. Duke Johnson himself had only two catches for seven yards against the Saints. I don't think Sheldon Rankins is going to really affect that,
Starting point is 00:19:17 but without having him, you know, I don't know what to expect from this run defense. It was an elite run defense last year, but he's hopeful he'll come back in a few weeks, but we'll not be ready for week one. I'm not, he won't be ready for week one, right?
Starting point is 00:19:30 I know he's off pop, but Rankin's for the saints. Uh, their first injury report comes out on Thursday afternoon. Okay. So we're not going to really know until then, but I think you're right. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:41 I mean, I read yesterday that they're expecting him back in like week three or four, but it wasn't the most concrete thing, but I would not expect him their big defensive tackle I think you're right. Yeah, I mean, I read yesterday that they're expecting him back in like week three or four, but it wasn't the most concrete thing. But I would not expect him, their big defensive tackle to play. Alright, so they're close in the rankings, and it's just kind of, you know, you have to measure it up. Like, you know, you have to measure up the
Starting point is 00:19:55 matchups for sure, and Phillip Lindsay certainly has a great matchup. Head and shoulders, great offense for your hair, and defense for a flake-free scalp. Go visit headandshoulders.com slash NFL for more. We got the Stardometer, and we'll get into the games when we come back on Fantasy Football today. Miller Lite.
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Starting point is 00:20:43 Well, if you don't remember, the start-o-meter is a way of telling you who to start. And we do it for the games that we're going to preview sort of later in the show in case you don't have time to hang around for the entire episode with eight games on the schedule today. So let's start with Lamar Jackson at Miami, 0-10 on the start-o-meter. Nine. Seven. Twelve.
Starting point is 00:21:06 Who would you start over Lamar Jackson? The only people I would start Lamar Jackson, the only people I'd start over Lamar Jackson are Mahomes and Watson. And as much as I love Lamar Jackson, I'm a little lower than that. I would still start Cam over him. I would still start Jameis over him. I would still start Wentz over him. I would still start Cam over him. I would still start Jameis over him. I would still start Wentz over him. I would still start Baker over him.
Starting point is 00:21:29 I'm going Watson, Mahomes. I have Wentz ahead for now. Cam and Drew Brees ahead of Lamar Jackson. Okay. You know, you guys have a lot of faith in Patrick Mahomes, and that's the first game we're previewing. We'll get that in just a minute. Kenyon Drake against Baltimore, Start-o-meter.
Starting point is 00:21:46 What is a flex on the start-o-meter? You know, that's like a five. A four? That's like a five-ish. No, I was going to say six. Yeah, I'm going to go 3.5. Two. Okay, so get into that for a minute.
Starting point is 00:22:03 Why are you not jazzed about Kenny Drake? It's a very good defense. It's a terrible matchup. The Ravens, if they are anything like last year's Ravens, just dominate time of possession to where the other team doesn't get to run any plays. Unfortunately, the Dolphins were one of those teams that didn't run any plays last year.
Starting point is 00:22:21 So this could be a situation where the Dolphins run like 50 offensive plays. And I just, like, it's week one. Almost everybody's healthy. Drake's a fine flex, I suppose, but I'm nervous about him this week. I think he's going to be great for the year. Okay. Couldn't agree more. All right, cool.
Starting point is 00:22:40 The Ravens, some running backs did well in the passing game against the Ravens, but they held James Conner, Duke Johnson, Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey, Damian Williams, and Jalen Richard to 25 or fewer receiving yards. And only one of those seven caught a touchdown. Yeah, they've had to replace at least three starters in their front seven. So I'm not convinced that they're going to be just as stiff against the run as they were last year. And I do think Kenyon Drake can catch five passes in the game and maybe build out 40 or 50 yards from there.
Starting point is 00:23:13 So Duke Johnson, Philip Lindsay, who we talked about, you'd start them both over Drake? For sure. Yes, not even close. Jarvis Landry against Tennessee. 3.5. I think he's in that flex conversation. I'd him at a at a four josh jacobs against denver seven yeah yeah yeah seven okay yeah denver was really bad against the run at the start of the
Starting point is 00:23:37 year dominant in the middle of the season and then pretty bad again at the end of the year i don't get it i kind of think they're going to be good. I'm a little nervous about Jacobs, guys. You're not? I think he's fine as a number two running back. I think you're starting him. I don't think it's a situation where you get away from him. I would start Montgomery ahead of him. I would start Jacobs ahead of Montgomery. Antonio Brown against
Starting point is 00:23:57 Denver and Chris Harris. Six. Chris Harris is getting off the yacht to guard Antonio Brown. Seven. Eight. Yeah, I mean, you're starting Brown, but you wish it weren't against Chris Harris, but okay. Emmanuel Sanders in that game.
Starting point is 00:24:20 Six. Three. Yeah, six is good. He's a flex. What's up with that heath no love for emmanuel sanders i i'm not saying no love for emmanuel sanders but i don't know how much i expect them to pass against the raiders and i um i i just need to see a little bit more he's right behind landry for me and ppr and non-PPR. He's right in that same range. I had Landry at a 3.5. Sanders is a 3.
Starting point is 00:24:49 Okay. Yeah, I think he's a great number two receiver. Yeah, I got to tell you, I'm pretty interested in the Raiders secondary. They've made a lot of additions. Drafted a safety. I think they signed two safeties. They drafted Cleveland Farrell with the fourth overall pick. And Garyon Conley, I'm hopeful that he can be healthy and good.
Starting point is 00:25:11 We'll see. Joyner is probably going to be the— If Emmanuel Sanders reprises his role in the slot, he's going to see a lot of Marcus Joyner. He'll see a lot of them. And he's pretty good. Marcus Joyner as a slot corner is very good. Will Fuller at New Orleans.
Starting point is 00:25:26 Three. Eight. Five. I love him. Absolutely love him. All right. All right. Corey Davis at Cleveland.
Starting point is 00:25:39 The opposite of Will Fuller. 2.5. Yeah, two. Carlos Hyde at New Orleans. Zero. Negative W. One. Okay, might not be a very good game script for him.
Starting point is 00:25:51 Let's go to the games. Kansas City is at Jacksonville. Stat of the game number one. If you look at all the quarterbacks who have come, strolled into Jacksonville over the last two seasons, only Carson Wentz and Russell Wilson had really good games. Ben Roethlisberger scored 24 fantasy points but didn't play very well. Good quarterbacks who didn't do well.
Starting point is 00:26:11 Phillip Rivers, Jared Goff, Tom Brady, Andrew Luck. None of them scored more than 20 fantasy points and 6 points for passing touchdown leagues. Patrick Mahomes, his worst game was against the Jaguars. And it was at home last year. He had a rushing touchdown. He did not have a passing touchdown. He did throw for more than 300 yards. But tell me why I should confidently start Patrick Mahomes.
Starting point is 00:26:30 He threw for more than 300 yards, averaged 8 yards per attempt. The defense is still not very good. They're not going to be able to just run the ball over and over again. He's going to be fine. The Chiefs defense is not very good. You gave me 7 quarterback names over the last 2 years to play at Jacksonville,
Starting point is 00:26:45 and three of them did well and four of them didn't. No, false. Okay, Wentz, Wilson, and Roethlisberger did well. Rivers, Goff, Brady, and Luck did bad. Correct? And one of the ones that did bad scored 20. Right. Which isn't good.
Starting point is 00:27:00 That's not what you want out of Patrick Mahomes. Roethlisberger played poorly. He scored 24 points. Roethlisberger played poorly. He scored 24 points. Roethlisberger scored 24 fantasy points. It's true. Yeah, yeah. That's good. Yeah, and Patrick Mahomes is better than all of those quarterbacks.
Starting point is 00:27:13 So I don't even consider it. You could send him to Mars to play against the 85 Bears, and I'm starting Patrick Mahomes. The 85 Bears are on Mars? What about the Monstars? The Monstars. Isn't Mahomes one of the Monstars? I think so. Did anybody see Space Jam 2?
Starting point is 00:27:33 Heath, is that like the second movie you saw in theaters? No, the second movie I saw in theaters was the new Fast and Furious, the Hobbs and Shaw. And the first one was Uncle Luke or whatever. Uncle Drew. Uncle Drew.
Starting point is 00:27:47 I don't think Space Jam 2 has been made yet. I don't think Uncle Luke would be in the theater. Oh, it hasn't been made yet? Okay, I don't know anything about Space Jam 2. I just know he's going to see it. I probably will see it in theater. Yeah, yeah, he's great. I'm the one who gets ripped for movie taste.
Starting point is 00:28:00 Unbelievable. Okay. I'm a good dad, Adam. I'm sorry. Kansas City. Oh, please, it's so selfish. Maybe one day you'll grow up and be a good dad. Kansas City. Unbelievable. Okay. I'm a good dad, Adam. I'm sorry. Kansas City. Oh, please. It's so selfish. You want to go? Maybe one day you'll grow up and be a good dad. Kansas City. Maybe. Kansas City
Starting point is 00:28:10 running backs. Go. Yeah, I'm starting Damian Williams as a number two running back. I believe that he will have a sizable role in the passing game. I don't think he'll have any more than 11 carries max. Kareem Hunt had a ton of carries in this matchup last year against Jacksonville,
Starting point is 00:28:27 and he did pretty well. He found the end zone. I'm not worrying about LeSean McCoy until the Chiefs give me a reason on a Sunday or Saturday or not Saturday but Monday to worry about Damian Williams. I think he'll be okay, especially in PPR. Flex at best. I think it's going to, especially in PPR. Flex at best. I think it's going to be a messy situation because of
Starting point is 00:28:48 not only McCoy, but Darwin Thompson getting some work, and this is going to be a very good defense, so avoid the headache if you can. I bet he were. I bet three of his carries are between the tackles, and everything else is to the edges, and they try and attack those outside linebackers.
Starting point is 00:29:03 The guy that is the opposite of Damian Williams, but i really like comparing them in terms of fantasy points this week is latavius murray um i think they might have the same number of touches great i think they have a similar chance to score a touchdown uh what do you like i like murray better in non-ppr like williams better in ppr williams is a top 24 back for me just barely in ppr and non-PPR. I like Williams better in PPR. Williams is a top 24 back for me, just barely in PPR. In non-PPR, I'm more on what Jamie said. He's just a flex. I like him better than Kenyon Drake. As far as Dave Montgomery goes, for me, it comes down to format as to who I like better. But he moves a lot in the two formats just because there's a lot of guys like Sonny Michelle that jump ahead of him in non-PPR that I'd rather have Williams in PPR.
Starting point is 00:29:48 Would you start Sammy Watkins or Damian Williams? Williams. Williams. Okay. By the way, last year, there was only one running back who scored double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR against the Jaguars with fewer than 17 carries. And that running back, of course, was Wendell Smallwood, who had two catches for 42 yards and a touchdown, plus 24
Starting point is 00:30:11 rushing yards. So there were a number of running backs who did fine, but they all had big workloads, 17 or more carries, three guys with 22 or more carries, whatever. Alright, so Tyreek Hill, it's a tough matchup, but there's no way you're sitting him, right? Right, right.
Starting point is 00:30:26 And then Sammy Watkins, any thoughts? Could it be that Tyreek Hill has the bad game and Watkins is actually set up for success here? It could be, but that's not a bet I want to make because it's still a tough matchup for Watkins as well. He's a low-end flex for me this week. I like him. I mean, I don't really like him, actually.
Starting point is 00:30:48 PPR flex. He can get you 10 or 11. Yeah, I go lower than that. I don't trust him this week at all. Yeah, you know, actually, even last year, I mean, the elite wide receivers did pretty damn well against Jacksonville, except for Tyreek Hill. He had four catches for 61 yards.
Starting point is 00:31:02 But back up. He had 20 yards on the ground, too, right? If they do what they're saying and he's going to shadow, Ramsey's going to shadow Tyreek Hill, then it's going to be a lot of A.J. Bouye on Watkins. And I still like Bouye in that matchup. Yeah, I gave Will Fuller a 2.5 on the start-o-meter. And I like him more than Sammy Watkins.
Starting point is 00:31:17 All right, start Travis Kelsey. He had 100 yards against Jacksonville last year. To the Jaguars, obviously Leonard Fournette is a top 10 running back in both formats. You're going to start him. Any interest in Nick Foles? 2QB. Yeah. Okay. And then,
Starting point is 00:31:35 do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Sammy Watkins? Oh, yes. Not even the same universe. Do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Damian Williams in PPR? Absolutely. Yes. Do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Damian Williams in PPR? Absolutely. Do you like D.D. Westbrook better than Leonard Fournette in PPR? No. No. No.
Starting point is 00:31:50 Okay. So we have established that Westbrook is a start, and we will come back to him as we compare him to some other players later on in the show. I like D.D. Westbrook better than Antonio Brown in PPR. Yeah, I couldn't do it. I'm not going to go there, but I'll say he's better than Boyd, Galladay, Cooper, Robert Woods, Josh Gordon.
Starting point is 00:32:10 Which DST do you like better, by the way? Jacksonville. I guess it's Jacksonville. Jacksonville? Jamie, what did you say? Do you start the Chiefs DST? No. No.
Starting point is 00:32:24 Okay. All right. Jacksonville was like around 10th to 12th for everybody in the rankings this week. So I don't know if you want to drop them. This might be a week where you have two DSTs on your team. But Seattle, Philadelphia. No. Yes.
Starting point is 00:32:38 Don't do that week one. Just start them. Don't go pick up a second DST. No. Don't lose fantasy points because you don't – like this is what I'm saying. Who says you're going to lose fantasy? It's week one.
Starting point is 00:32:49 There's like a dozen players that are owned in fewer than 50% of leagues that should be owned in all leagues. Don't leave one of those guys on the waiver wire to boom so that you can start a second defense that may or may not even outscore Jacksonville. So why would – like you all rank the Eagles way above Jacksonville, right? And I love the Eagles this week against Washington. Week one is no different than week 12. You got to win it.
Starting point is 00:33:13 Win it. But in week 12, you can drop the Jaguars and still have the chance to get them back. You're not going to do that in week one because you're going to have everybody still competitive. So carry two defenses. There's a little bit of a different gamemanship there. No, don't carry two defenses. All right, all right. Let's take one more break here
Starting point is 00:33:26 when we come back. Pittsburgh, New England on Sunday night. And six more games after that. We'll be right back. Whether in the game or in life, the right coverage can make all the difference. Securian Canada gives you that coverage. For more than 65 years,
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Starting point is 00:34:04 Stat of the game. I have a question for you before you continue. Oh, boy. Okay, what? How much did you cheat with your wife last night in the draft? Oh, I'm glad you said that. Yeah, let's work out the phrasing there a little bit. No, my phrasing was accurate.
Starting point is 00:34:17 No, I didn't at all, actually. She was sitting there, and she said, I have three players that I like here. It was the fourth round. Edelman, I don't remember the second guy, and Coleman. She's like, do you like them? I said, I think one, it's a little bit too early for one of them. She's like, which one? I'm like,
Starting point is 00:34:32 I'm not telling you. Oh, stop. I swear, I did not. You know that he set her cue and then walked out of the room. I didn't. I didn't. She actually did a very good job. I didn't really help her at all. You know, they have a rankings thing in the draft room that you can use. So that's basically what she did. Actually, it's somewhat of a lie.
Starting point is 00:34:51 The only thing I did was I said, I think you should take DeAndre Hopkins over Devante Adams. So you helped her. If you consider that help, yes. You cheated. With my wife, not on my wife, as we know. Okay, Pittsburgh at New England. You think this is a high-scoring game?
Starting point is 00:35:11 Yes. No. Yeah. I mean, I've been a little surprised that Roethlisberger and Brady in these matchups recently haven't really lit it up. Brady, last three seasons against the Steelers, 21, 17, and 15 fantasy points.
Starting point is 00:35:25 The Steelers, this is your stat of the game. In their last 12 games, they allowed more than 22 fantasy points. That's like good, not great. Only once. They held Matt Ryan, Baker Mayfield, Cam Newton, Tom Brady, and Drew Brees to less than 20 fantasy points and six points for passing touchdown leagues. In fact, they might have a good defense this year, the Steelers. We shall see.
Starting point is 00:35:46 I agree. Patriots, though, missing Patrick Chung. What are we thinking here? Second, are they? Yeah. They're not? I think he's playing through this issue that he's got off the field. Third highest over-under of the
Starting point is 00:36:02 week at 51. Patriots implied point total just almost as high as New Orleans. So Vegas doesn't think that Pittsburgh has a very good defense. Brady's a top 10 quarterback for me. Ben is not far behind him. Okay, yeah, I don't know about Patrick Chung. I just assumed he was out. He's facing drug charges.
Starting point is 00:36:20 Yeah, I looked into it yesterday. I couldn't find anything that said that he's definitively out. Okay. Who do you like better, Roethlisberger or Brady? If I'm wrong, someone will reach out and tell me, but yeah, for now, I think he's playing. Sorry, who do you like better? Which QB? I've got Brady. Brady. Ben, 14th.
Starting point is 00:36:38 So are both of them sort of borderline starts this week? Yep. I would bench Ben if you could. I just don't like the setup for him as much as Brady. I agree. And he's got a terrible track record at Foxborough on top of it. Bad track record in his last four games against the Patriots. And that's
Starting point is 00:36:53 with Antonio Brown. I bet they schemed Juju away from him in the red zone like you'd probably believe the Patriots to do. And then would you start any other Steelers wide receiver? No. Okay.
Starting point is 00:37:11 How about Vance McDonald? I'm okay with him. Touchdown or bust tight end this week, even against Chung. He's got a huge size advantage over Chung. That's who would line up against him. Okay. Most of the time. Would you start McDonald or Ebron?
Starting point is 00:37:29 I believe I have McDonald ranked higher. McDonald. That's not close. James Conner is a start. Jalen Samuels, start or sit? Jalen Samuels is a sit. That's what I feel. The Steelers are easy.
Starting point is 00:37:45 Ben is a borderline start, but there are other guys we like better. Would you start Stafford over Roethlisberger? No. No. All right. Garoppolo? No. Yes.
Starting point is 00:38:00 No. So, Roethlisberger, you know what to do. Conor, you start. Juju, you start. Juju, you start. McDonald's, a start. And that's it. To the Patriots. Tom Brady is around 12th at quarterback.
Starting point is 00:38:11 What do you think about the running backs in this game? I like them. I don't love them. And I like Sony better. Obviously, non-PPR, I'm going to like them better every week. I would go as far to pretty much call Sony a must start in non-PPR, I'm going to like him better every week. I would go as far to pretty much call Sony a must start in non-PPR unless you've got
Starting point is 00:38:29 an Ekler or something. In PPR, I'd rather start White than Sony, but they're both better as flexes. I got Sony higher in PPR. I think they'll be okay. I do buy into the Steelers defense being better. I think Sony has a big game.
Starting point is 00:38:45 Really? Yeah. Okay, so how does he compare to Duke Johnson, Philip Lindsay, those guys? Better in non-PPR than PPR. Agreed. Okay. Sony Michelle or Aaron Jones? Sony for me.
Starting point is 00:39:02 Sony. Okay. PlayStation or... So... Oh, I know. Sony is me. Sony. Okay. PlayStation or... So... Oh, I know. Sony is PlayStation. I would say Xbox. Damn it, Xbox.
Starting point is 00:39:11 Or Sony Michelle. So, James White, do you buy into the fact that Steelers were actually very good against pass-catching running backs, including James White last year, although they did struggle
Starting point is 00:39:20 against McCaffrey and Kamara, but they allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy... Fourth-fewest receiving yards to running backs. Yep. And they added Devin Bush to their front seven this offseason, and I think he's going to be one of those sideline-to-sideline Tasmanian devil type of linebackers.
Starting point is 00:39:40 All right. So James White had five catches for 25 yards against the Steelers. Do you feel good starting James White? No. No, but if I don't have a better option in PPR, I realize that he's got potential to do something on five or six catches. Very flexible in PPR. Would you start a 49ers running back over James White?
Starting point is 00:40:03 Yes. Yes. Yep. Both or just Coleman? Both and non-PPR. Yeah. I agree. And Coleman and PPR? Okay. All right, then. And we're starting
Starting point is 00:40:15 Edelman. How about Josh Gordon? Start him. Absolutely. Okay. Anyone else? Tight end? Rob Gronkowski. Yeah. All right. Great. Wonderful. And sit the DSTs? Yeah. Sit the DSTs.
Starting point is 00:40:31 Let's go to the Colts and the Chargers. Interesting game. Stat of the game, number one. The Chargers, oh, this is the game for pass-catching running backs based on last year. The Chargers allowed the most receiving yards per game to running backs, and the Colts the sixth most. Against the Chargers, 11 running backs had 50 yards or a touchdown receiving.
Starting point is 00:40:51 And against the Colts, nine running backs had 49 or more receiving yards. So what does that mean to you, if anything? It means that I'm feeling great about starting Austin Eckler. Yeah, I think I'm maybe even a little higher on Eckler than what – I didn't see where you guys have him, but I've got him as a top 10 running back this week. I love him. Ooh, holy guacamole.
Starting point is 00:41:14 I've got him top 24, PPR or non. Yeah, top 20 for me, PPR. Right around there in non-PPR. And I think Justin Jackson's good as a flex, too. When you say top 10, Heath, is that only PPR? What about half PPR? What about non-PPR? He is top 10 in all three. Oh, you really like Eckler.
Starting point is 00:41:34 Wow. What's the projection? What have you got? 102 yards and a.75 touchdown. Wow. That is top 10 worthy. For you, Dave and Jamie, would you start Josh Jacobs or Austin Eckler? Eckler. I've got Jacobs a step higher in PPR.
Starting point is 00:41:57 Would you start Marvin Jones, I kind of like this week, or Austin Eckler? What? I kind of like Marvin Jones, too. I'd go Eckler. Yeah, no, Eckler's too good. Okay, would you start Justin Jackson or Marvin Jones, who I kind of like this week, or Austin Eckler? What? I kind of like Marvin Jones, too. But I'd go Eckler. Yeah, no, Eckler's too good. Okay, would you start Justin Jackson or Marvin Jones? Jones.
Starting point is 00:42:11 I would go Jones and PPR. I think I'd go Jackson and non. Yeah. Okay, how about Marlon Mack or Marvin Jones? So that's a running back that I'm not particularly interested in starting. I will start Justin Jackson over Marlon Mack in PPR. Boom! I'd start Mack over Jackson and Bill.
Starting point is 00:42:30 All right, so what are we expecting for Mack in this game? 75 yards and hope he gets in the end zone? I'm totally in agreement with that. Yeah, I gave that stat about the pass-catching running backs and the Chargers allowing the most receiving yards per game. So you might be thinking Naeem Hines. And if you think the Chargers allowing the most receiving yards per game. So you might be thinking, Naeem Hines. And if you think the Chargers are going to win, here's what Naeem Hines did in seven losses last year, including the postseason.
Starting point is 00:42:51 He had five or more catches in five of seven games. However, in those seven losses, he played only three of them with Marlon Mack actually playing. That is not including a game at Philadelphia where Mack played but didn't have a touch. So in those three losses with Marlon Mack actually playing. That is not including a game at Philadelphia with Mack playing but didn't have a touch. So in those three losses with Marlon Mack playing, he had two, nine, and zero catches. I just don't know what to expect from who's going to catch the passes.
Starting point is 00:43:14 Is it going to be more of Mack? Is it going to be a lot of Hines? You know, I don't really know. You sent me down a rabbit hole when you talked about Marlon Mack and other running backs, how they are in wins and losses. You talked about it with Joe Mixon, for example.
Starting point is 00:43:27 Two years in the league with the Colts. In Colts wins, he's averaged over 15 carries, 4.7 yards per carry, 12 total touchdowns. It's 13 games. Losses, 13 of those games, 6.8 carries per game, 3.7 yards per carry, two total touchdowns. And this is a Chargers run defense. They only allowed two backs to have over 100 rush yards against them last year.
Starting point is 00:43:51 Okay. I am hesitant. Yeah, he's not a great start. But again, I think he's going to be the catalyst of this offense with the quarterback change. So I'm cautiously optimistic. I'd start him over with Damian Williams, for example. I wouldn't be surprised if Brissette ended up being the catalyst
Starting point is 00:44:09 of the offense. Not to say that he's going to be good, but I bet they lean on Brissette more than we're giving him. I bet Joey Bosa leans on Brissette. That's going to happen. That's a good offensive line. Great offensive line and a great pass rush and I think a very interesting game here. What's the spread, by the way? I think it's a great offensive line and a great pass rush, and I think a very interesting game here.
Starting point is 00:44:25 What's the spread, by the way? I think it's a touchdown. Not enough. Really? No, I think the Colts can compete. Oh, yeah. I bet it's high because they think people are going to load up on the Chargers. It is six and a half.
Starting point is 00:44:38 It is not enough. All right. Chargers could win by seven. I'd be surprised if they won by like... I think the Colts cover. 14. Oh, the Colts cover. I think they could.
Starting point is 00:44:49 T.Y. Hilton, start or sit? I'm not excited to start him. Flex. Third receiver in a three-sever league. How would you rank the running backs in this game? Obviously, Eckler's ahead of him. Are any other running backs ahead of T.Y. Hilton in this game? What format? Any running backs in this game ahead of T.Y. Hilton in this game? What format?
Starting point is 00:45:05 Any running backs in this game ahead of T.Y. Hilton? Other than Eckler. So Mack and Jackson, basically. Oh, and non-PPR for sure. Both of them? Oh, just Mack? In half PPR, I'll take Mack over him. And PPR, T.Y. over Mack for sure.
Starting point is 00:45:24 Okay. How about Emmanuel Sanders or TY Hilton? Sanders. Hilton. I believe I have Sanders ranked a little bit higher. So Hilton is what, like a number three we said? Yep. Flex?
Starting point is 00:45:38 Okay. Over to the Chargers. Start or sit, Phillip Rivers. I'd start him. He's pretty good in season openers, and he's really, really good in home openers. He's been a hot starter for the last five years,
Starting point is 00:45:51 and I think the matchup's pretty good. I've got him as a sit, I guess. I mean, he's 17th, so he's in that range of he's probably going to be good, but he doesn't make my top 12, so I'd start him over Matt Ryan. He's in my top 12. I would also start him over Matt Ryan. He's in my top 12. I would also start him over Matt Ryan.
Starting point is 00:46:07 I'd start him over Aaron Rodgers. I'd start him over Mitchell Trubisky. The Colts' best run-stopping defensive lineman and maybe their best pass rusher is Jabal Sheard. He ain't playing. I know there's offensive line issues at play with the Chargers. Their line looks terrible. It's not as good as we thought it would be.
Starting point is 00:46:25 And I still think Phillip Rivers overcomes. And now that there's no Melvin Gordon, I think you want to talk about where the offense is going to run through. I think Phillip Rivers is going to have a pretty good year. And I think he's going to get off to a really good start against Indianapolis. He's going to have to throw a bunch. And as far as Justin Jackson goes, he's just a flex.
Starting point is 00:46:45 He's a flex, but I do think he's got a chance to bang one in from short yardage. Again, nose your ball, shared hurts. Yeah, that's what he is. Who's a better flex, Justin Jackson or Mike Williams? I prefer Jackson. I prefer Jackson too. I think I'd prefer Williams. Okay, so we got some fringy guys in this game.
Starting point is 00:47:07 Mike Williams, T.Y. Hilton, Justin Jackson. You might want to stay away from them in week one, but it's not the worst idea to start them if you have to. Hunter Henry should have a pretty good game. The Colts were not good against tight ends. Basically every good tight end that faced the Colts did well. I will say the Chargers last year were awesome against tight ends. We don't know if that will be the case again this year. No Derwin
Starting point is 00:47:28 James. Right. I kind of like Ebron. I dislike Ebron greatly. I think Jacoby Percent needs help. This is a big target who can help him. I don't know how the Chargers are going to defend against him. I think he could catch four passes and
Starting point is 00:47:44 score. He may score. I take he could catch four passes and score. He may score. I'd take the under on four passes. The score is the key, because if he catches four passes, it's probably 40 yards. Yay. Yeah, I'd stay away from Ebron if he can. Hawkinson or Ebron?
Starting point is 00:47:57 Hawkinson. Ebron. Yeah, Hawkinson, easy for me. All right. We'll take our last break here. When we come back, we still have five games remaining. We'll do them a little bit faster. I wanted to spend a lot of time on some of the tougher games.
Starting point is 00:48:10 And we'll get to the other ones right after this. Did you know that across Ontario, utility damage happens 19 times a day? That's over 4,222 incidents a year. Don't let your next dig be one that causes costly delays or safety risks. Before you break ground, make it a point to request a locate. It's not just the law. It's a step to keep your team and community safe. Visit OntarioOneCall.ca and avoid unnecessary damages to get the job done right.
Starting point is 00:48:37 Data sourced from the ORCGA 2023 Dirt Report. Buffalo is at the Jets, your stat of the game. Here are the quarterbacks that scored 25 or more fantasy points and six point per passing touchdown leagues against the Jets last year. Bortles, Keenum, Luck, Trubisky,
Starting point is 00:48:52 Mariota, Watson, Rogers, Brady, Bortles, Keenum, Trubisky, Mariota.
Starting point is 00:48:57 I won't say Trubisky, but Mariota, they were all in there. And Josh Allen had a big rushing game. I think he scored 18 points against the Jets. Would you consider either quarterback in this game? All those bad think he scored 18 points against the Jets. Would you consider either quarterback in this game? All those bad quarterbacks scored 25 points against the Jets and not Josh Allen. Yeah, but that doesn't mean he can't.
Starting point is 00:49:13 I mean, he's got much better receivers this year. You'd hope he's a better quarterback. And a better offensive line, too. And the Jets' defense, I mean, their secondaries could be really bad. I'm not starting the quarterbacks. I think it could be among, like, in the bottom half of the league in terms of secondaries. But I don't think it's going to be miserable. Unless Tremaine Johnson just can't play. We don't know how healthy he'll be.
Starting point is 00:49:38 Yeah, I'm starting Josh Allen in one league, and I kind of like it. Who'd you start him over? Well, there's a league where I lost luck, so my choices were Allen, Trubisky, and Darnold, and he's the best one for me. Ooh, over Trubisky. Oh, I don't like Trubisky tonight at all. Yeah, I love Trubisky. I like it.
Starting point is 00:49:52 Spicy take. Dave, break the tie. Trubisky or Allen? Allen. Whee! By the way, Allen or Darnold? Darnold. I went back and forth on this,
Starting point is 00:50:02 and it actually took talking on FFT and kind of talking it out. I like Allen better, too. Yeah, I mean, the Bills, with the least amount of fantasy points to quarterbacks last year, they gave up a ton of rushing production, and they had a good pass defense. They really did. Their defense mostly returns intact.
Starting point is 00:50:19 So, okay, Le'Veon Bell is obviously a start. What about, I think the tough calls in this game are going to be Robbie Anderson and Devin Singletary. So, what do you think? I don't want to start Devin Singletary. I don't even know if he gets double-digit touches. Yeah, you can't. I agree. This is a discovery game. See what happens.
Starting point is 00:50:36 See how it works out. Don't panic if he doesn't play well and drop him. But hopefully he does get the majority of touches there. I think of Star Trek when you say discovery game. And I'm not even like a Trekkie. Oh. You know.
Starting point is 00:50:48 Yeah. I think of the discoveries. The Enterprise. Ooh. Singletary. I think John Brown's a tougher call than Singletary is. Him too. So Brown and Robbie Anderson then.
Starting point is 00:50:56 What are we doing with them? Prefer Robbie. They're both flexes. I prefer Brown. And I agree that they're in the. Yeah. You got a bang. Bangedup Robbie Anderson against Tredavious White. I don't like it at all. He's beaten Tredavious White before, though.
Starting point is 00:51:11 He didn't score a touchdown against him, though. He had a good game against him. He did two years ago. Yeah, but he was a younger player then. I mean, he's a much better corner now. I think the calf is the bigger issue than the age. It's the whole thing. Wait, he meant White was a younger player because it sounded like...
Starting point is 00:51:25 Yeah. Oh, I thought you said Robbie Anderson was a younger player. They both were younger players. They were, they were, but... I mean, I was younger 15 minutes ago. I'm a little concerned about Robbie's health, but ultimately I think he's good enough
Starting point is 00:51:37 to start as a flex. I think they'll take some deep shots, whether he's lined up against Tredavious or Levi Wallace is their other corner, outside corner. Rank T rank T Y Hilton, Robbie Anderson, and John Brown, Hilton,
Starting point is 00:51:50 Brown, Anderson, Anderson, Hilton, Brown, Brown, Anderson, Marriott.
Starting point is 00:51:57 Wait, so why? Hilton, why Heath? Just to wrap it up, please. In 15 seconds, let's go to our next game.
Starting point is 00:52:04 Why? If you love John Brown so much, you much, he was the most underdrafted player, why not start him this week, or why not like him this week? I said he was the most underdrafted player ever, but I had him ranked in the mid-30s in my wide receiver rankings, and I've got him ranked in the mid-30s this week. Okay, I just like, if the Jets, if you can't be good against the Jets, why were we so excited about... Yeah, I don't view the Jets as one of the't be good against the Jets, why were we so excited about? I don't view the Jets as one of the matchups.
Starting point is 00:52:27 We talked about it yesterday in the podcast. I think 70% of the matchups just do not matter that much on a weekly basis. They don't affect my projections, and this is not one of those that I'm certain matters. All right. Tennessee is at Cleveland. Stat of the game. Noteworthy quarterbacks against Tennessee last year.
Starting point is 00:52:46 They had a pretty good defense, but again, the AFC South played some crappy teams. Watson had 26 points. Wentz had 23. Rivers had 24. Prescott had 18. Brady had 10. Luck had 29. Watson had 33. Luck had 28 fantasy points. Six points for passing touchdown leagues. The takeaway here
Starting point is 00:53:01 is you see that it's not a great matchup on paper for Baker Mayfield, but just about every good quarterback that the Titans faced last year did well. So do you have any hesitation with Baker this week? No. Nah. No. Okay, and that's good because it's frustrating that Rogers, Mahomes,
Starting point is 00:53:18 and Ryan have really tough matchups this week. The Tennessee running backs. We're not starting Mariota, so let's go to the Tennessee running backs. Are you starting either of these guys? I don't want to. I actually in PPR like Deion Lewis better than Derrick Henry. I don't think this is a very good Derrick Henry game at all.
Starting point is 00:53:35 The offensive line is going to be terrible. They're going to be playing from behind. They're going to have to throw more than they're comfortable with, and I think that means more Lewis and less Henry. It's going to be interesting to see if neither guy comfortable with. And I think that means more Lewis and less Henry. It's going to be interesting to see if neither guy does anything and how many people cut Deion Lewis after this week. Or how many people think the sky is falling on Derrick Henry because he has 11 carries for 32 yards.
Starting point is 00:53:58 This Browns front seven is much improved, by the way. Olivia Vernon's there. Sheldon Richardson's there. Linebackers seem good. It's going to be tough sledding for Derrick Henry. I'll talk about this Titans offensive coordinator until the cows come home.
Starting point is 00:54:14 I do not have a lot of faith in him breaking through the creativity barrier with Matt LaFleur's playbook as a first-time play caller. Would you start Latavius Murray over Derrick Henry? Yes. I'm starting almost
Starting point is 00:54:29 everybody over Derrick Henry. Would you start T.Y. Hilton or Derrick Henry? Hilton. I would start Hilton, I think. I think I would start Henry and non-PPR. Okay. So the only guy we want to start on Tennessee is Delaney Walker.
Starting point is 00:54:46 He's top 10, right? I think he's like eighth-ish or something. Safety valve. Yep. Okay. Is that like a Seth DeValve joke? No, I'm saying Marcus Mariota stinks throwing to just about everybody else, and Delaney Walker's been his safety valve for four of the last five seasons.
Starting point is 00:55:04 I think the Browns are going to be easy. Most weeks start Mayfield, start Chubb, start Beckham. And then it's a matter of Landry and Najoku. I'll go to Najoku real quick as Heath, you have him the highest, you have him ninth and non PPR and 11th and PPR.
Starting point is 00:55:18 Jamie's got Najoku 16th. Dave has him 12th and non PPR and 14th and PPR. That was as of this morning, these rankings change a lot. So make sure you check out the rankings page. But what's the hope for Njoku, Heath? Oh, the hope, like you get to this range of the tight end, and the hope is pretty much the same for all of them.
Starting point is 00:55:33 You hope they score a touchdown. And so a lot of times what it's going to look like is the tight ends that are playing in the games where I think the most touchdowns are going to be scored are going to rank higher in my rankings. And Njoku's team is expected to score a lot of points okay fair enough everybody has delaney walker ranked ahead of david nijoku for what that's worth and then jarvis landry we've talked about a lot of flex options we talked about derrick henry and marlin mack and ty hilton and mike williams is is landry behind all of them yes yep uh no not No, not in PPR for me.
Starting point is 00:56:06 I'd much rather start Landry over Henry in PPR. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. I would too. But he's got a tough matchup. It's going to be Logan Ryan, and they have faced off many times when they were on different teams in the AFC East. And I think the limited targets is going to hurt Landry, and I think the coverage from Logan Ryan is going to hurt Landry.
Starting point is 00:56:22 I'll take Landry over Hilton in PPR too. Heath, do you still have the Browns DST 16th? I don't know. Okay, that's what I had. And Dave and Jamie have the Browns DST top 10. Yeah, they probably need to be 12th. They might have five sacks.
Starting point is 00:56:39 Miles Garrett may have five sacks by himself. I mean, he's going to destroy this team. Yeah, I've got him 12th. All right, we've got three games left. Let's go to Denver at Oakland. Stat of the game. There were 11 running backs with 14 or more carries against Oakland last year. Ten of them scored double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR.
Starting point is 00:57:00 Ten out of 11 with 14 or more carries had double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR. That is really big. Do you think Philip Lindsay or Royce Freeman will get 14 carries? Will they get double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR. That is really big. Do you think Phillip Lindsey or Royce Freeman will get 14 carries? Will they get double-digit fantasy points in non-PPR? I think Lindsey does well even in 14 carries. I don't trust this Oakland defense at all. With two or three catches on top of that. Yeah, especially with the erratic not being there. I have Lindsey projected for exactly 14 carries and 12 non-PPR fantasy points.
Starting point is 00:57:24 All right. I feel like that might be a little bit too close to his ceiling, but I'm still comfortable starting him as a number two. And even though Theoretic's not going to play, Devante Booker is going to play, and he's going to take some work. But I think the matchup is better suited for speed in the backfield rather than size.
Starting point is 00:57:44 And if Scangarello is going to use his noggin, he'll lean on Phillip Lindsey quite a bit. All right, sit the quarterbacks in this game, obviously. And Lindsey or Josh Jacobs, who do you like better? Lindsey. I believe I have Jacobs ranked higher. Yeah, I got Jacobs higher. Jamie, you really like Lindsey this week.
Starting point is 00:58:05 Yeah. Do you like Royce Freeman? Not, you really like Lindsey this week. Yeah. Do you like Royce Freeman? Not a bad flex option in deeper leagues, though. Who's a better flex? Sorry, Freeman or Justin Jackson? Jackson. Jay Jack. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:58:17 Okay. How many wide receivers are we starting in this game? Maybe zero. Two. Brown and Sanders? Yep. Sanders in the flex. Brown, you're going to start.
Starting point is 00:58:29 Tyrell Williams is a long shot. Sutton is a long shot. Deshaun is an even longer long shot. So two sounds about right. But you're starting one tight end in this game. Are you? Oh, yeah. No offense.
Starting point is 00:58:42 I don't know if I want to trust a rookie. Yeah, so Dave's talking about darren waller really he's a starter for you he's a low-end starter for me if you picked him up in your streaming tight end or if you just don't have a tight end that you really like go with darren waller i my hunch is that they're going to line up their free safety on him because he's tall. He's almost as tall as Waller, but he allowed like an 80% catch rate last year. And if they don't use him, then it's going to be somebody slower or somebody shorter. And I could see him getting some end zone targets. I think he's worth taking a shot on ahead of David Njoku, ahead of Jimmy Graham, ahead of TJ Hawkinson, ahead of Greg Olson, ahead of Austin Hooper.
Starting point is 00:59:28 I'm with you on everything except Olson and Hawkinson. I think those guys have a higher ceiling. I'll give you one more I like better than Waller. Will Disley. I think it's a great situation for him in Seattle. Alright. Cool. Denver's DST is top 10. Fifth for Heath, so you can start them.
Starting point is 00:59:44 I don't want to shortchange Josh Jacobs because he was drafted as a lot of teams' number one run back. Oh, he should be started. Yeah, I just want to do a few more names with Josh Jacobs. Let's do some wide receivers versus Jacobs. Would you start Jacobs or Cooper Cup? Cup. Cup. I'm over the moon for Cup this week.
Starting point is 01:00:03 All right. My Cup runneth over. Sterling Shepard or Josh Jacobs? Jacobs. Even in PPR. Miles Sanders or Josh Jacobs? Jacobs. That's not close.
Starting point is 01:00:17 Okay. Houston is at New Orleans. Oh, we got a lot of stats in the game here. No running back rush for more than 75 yards against the saints last year it's not gonna they allowed under a thousand on the season wow yeah they're the only team wow and also yeah again no sheldon rankins um houston's defense like i said they faced jacksonville and tennessee twice the jets the bills the redskins the cowboys the giants the eagles who weren't very good on offense last year the dolphins the browns and
Starting point is 01:00:44 denver so i don't know how good their defense really is and doesn't have one of their best Redskins, the Cowboys, the Giants, the Eagles, who weren't very good on offense last year, the Dolphins, the Browns, and Denver. So I don't know how good their defense really is and doesn't have one of their best players. So Breeze is going to have a huge game. Kamara is a start. Latavius Murray, it seems like we like him enough, right? Good flex. The highest of flexes. Capital F flex.
Starting point is 01:00:59 Is he better than Will Fuller? Oh, yeah. Oh, no. Latavius? Oh, yeah. Oh, no. Latavius? Oh, yeah. Yeah, Latavius. They're very similar.
Starting point is 01:01:11 I think Fuller probably has the higher ceiling. Latavius, I think, easily has the higher floor. It's just I think what you think you may need this week, if you have to decide between both, I would probably lean toward Murray just given what the touches would be for him. So I'm guessing, and this is purely a guess, that Marshawn Lattimore will shade DeAndre Hopkins. That's the expectation. Which means it's Eli Apple against Will Fuller.
Starting point is 01:01:38 Adam, your thoughts on that? I think he did better with the Saints than he did with the Giants, but I think he's beatable for sure. I agree. Yeah. I agree with everything that you're saying. I love the game script for Will Fuller. I really do. It's a good defense.
Starting point is 01:01:53 I drafted him in so many leagues. You should start him if you have him. Nobody drafted him to be a top 24 receiver or your second guy. I think if you're in a three receiver league and you want to try and really win your week,
Starting point is 01:02:08 he's a great option for you. I know I asked you this earlier, but I don't remember the answer. In terms of running backs, do you like Duke Johnson or Latavius Murray better? Duke. Duke.
Starting point is 01:02:19 Duke. It's going to be real close to non-PPR. All right. This is hopefully a high-scoring game, so get some guys in your lineup. Jared Cook is someone I think he should have a very good game. Houston allowed the third most fantasy points to tight ends.
Starting point is 01:02:34 They were really bad. Basically, every good tight end that faced Houston had either 50 yards or a touchdown or both, except for Evan Ingram, who got hurt, and then Red Ellison caught a touchdown. And David Njoku was bad. But Cook could be good. If you have a DFS slate that includes this game, Cook could be a good one there.
Starting point is 01:02:50 I don't know his price. Anything else? I mean, is QT going to play? If he doesn't, I think that could be nice for Kenny Stills. I think that could push Stills onto the field a little sooner. If I'm in a deep league and I want to take a flyer, Ted Ginn, Traquan Smith?
Starting point is 01:03:09 No. You can find better flyers than that. But Breeze is going to throw five touchdowns. I don't think he is. I think he is. You're thinking six? I think I've got him projected for two and a half. He can get to three. Three is possible. Michael Thomas will get one. Alvin Kamara will a half. He can get to three. Three is possible.
Starting point is 01:03:25 Michael Thomas will get one. Alvin Kamara will get one. One more game, guys. Baltimore at Miami. This one is interesting. Start all, sit all. Yeah, we talked extensively about Kenyon Drake, and we don't love him.
Starting point is 01:03:39 The matchup's tough. So, Lamar Jackson, third for Jamie, sixth for Dave, eighth for Heath. Mark Ingram we haven't talked about. How much confidence do you have in him? Start him. You didn't answer my question. How much confidence do you have in Mark Ingram?
Starting point is 01:03:53 Eight. Must start. Top 12 running back. Confidence-o-meter. Mm-hmm. We want to wait and see with the Ravens wide receivers. Yeah. You should play.
Starting point is 01:04:03 Do four DFS lineups and play all four of their top guys do you really need one on chris moore i i i um i will have a lot of lamar jackson lineups this weekend and i will have a couple with chris moore maybe one with willie sneed some mark andrews a hayden hurst miles boy no markin. No Marquise Brown? Marquise Brown. The more I think about this Dolphins defense, the more I think about Marquise Brown going to town. Because they don't have anybody in the secondary that can run with him.
Starting point is 01:04:36 And there's no one that's going to put too much pressure on Jackson. Jackson would, he almost has to run into a defender to get sacked in this game. Pressure comes from one side, so he shifts to the other, and then somebody comes around and they sack. That's how he gets sacked. Their top pass rusher, you know how many sacks he has in his career?
Starting point is 01:04:55 Do you know who it is? I don't. I don't know either. Four sacks. You're one high. It's Charles Harris, and he has three sacks in two seasons. I love that stat. That's a beauty. Yeah, this is a really bad defense. Mark Andrews, is he a top
Starting point is 01:05:10 10 guy for you guys? No. He's top 15. I'm curious to see how much playing time he gets and whether the Ravens were just messing with us during the preseason. It's going to be super frustrating when Nick Boyle and Hayden Hurst both catch touchdown passes. I'm willing to grant the Dolphins this.
Starting point is 01:05:26 I think their secondary is okay. Sammy and Howard is good. Mika Fitzpatrick is really good. That's it, though. Does Howard shadow Boykin? Do they even do that? No. I'm not sure Boykin will start.
Starting point is 01:05:39 He might not start, but he'll play for sure. He's just got to hold on to the stupid football. So, Hollywood. Where's just got to hold on to the stupid football. So Hollywood. Where's Rashad Jones? I don't know. Is he with the team? He's still good, I guess. Yeah, he's still good, right?
Starting point is 01:05:54 Yeah. They haven't traded yet. They've got McClain. They moved McCain. Let's wrap it up here. Ravens defense is top two. If you were going to take a flyer on one wide receiver in this game on either team, who would it be? Albert Wilson.
Starting point is 01:06:07 Yeah. Wilson and PPR, Hollywood and non. Cool. Hey, thanks for listening, everybody. I hope this was helpful. Starter set. There's one guy, though, for the Dolphins you should start. What are his initials?
Starting point is 01:06:18 It's in a punter's league. His name is Matt Hack. Got to go back. All right. That's J.B. Eisenberg. Slammed it down that time. He's coming. Mic drop. Gotta go. Bye. All right. That's J.B. Eisenberg. Slammed it down that time. He's coming.
Starting point is 01:06:27 That was a mic drop. Dave Richard. We're coming back tomorrow to recap the Thursday night game and preview the NFC home games. Na, na, na, na, na,
Starting point is 01:06:32 na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na.

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