Fantasy Football Today - 09/28: Start or Sit (NFC); Beat the Waiver Wire; MIN-LAR Recap (Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: September 28, 2018

What a game last night! Is Dalvin Cook a buy low candidate or a legitimate concern for Fantasy owners? Is Jared Goff a sell high candidate or a legitimately awesome QB? We start by recapping the game ...before getting into the important news items (12:30) for Week 4 ... Startometer (16:00) for the RBs in the SEA-ARI and BUF-GB games, plus a bonus edition of Fantasy Regulators (19:40) and Beat the Waiver Wire (23:54) ... CIN-ATL (27:30), DET-DAL (33:26), NO-NYG (38:50), TB-CHI (46:55), PHI-TEN (53:40), BUF-GB (58:20), SEA-ARI (1:02:30) ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. Here we go! Email us at fantasyfootballatcbsi.com. Here we go! Get your lineup set. It's time for Start or Sit. Let's go! Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath. There are some lopsided scores in your fantasy leagues after Thursday, that's for sure.
Starting point is 00:00:25 Welcome to the show on Friday morning, September 28th. Starters hit for the NFC home games, plus we're going to do the Titans-Eagles game that we didn't get to yesterday. And of course, talk about the bonanza last night. You heard me call it. Rams 38, Minnesota 31. Hey, trivia question. Which offense is averaging more points per game right now? The Rams or the Chiefs? Rams.
Starting point is 00:00:50 Rams. Rams. Chiefs! Believe it or not. But boy, how about this stat? Currently, we have five offenses scoring more than 32 points per game. Last year, the Rams led the NFL with 29.9 points per game. Five offenses scoring more than 32 points per game.
Starting point is 00:01:11 I will get their reaction after I tell you about the Google Assistant. All season long, CBS Sports is delivering the best fantasy football advice directly through the Google Assistant. You will be able to compare players and get insights into who to start, who to sit, who to add, who to drop. We're going to turn to the guys later in the show to see how this works with a little Google Assistant demo. But I know it's only four games. I don't know – or three games for most teams.
Starting point is 00:01:34 I don't know what it looked like last year after three games. But are we just expecting – I'm not sure about record setting, a huge year Offensively around football Yes I think after three weeks It's pretty common for certain Patrick Mahomes being on pace to break the touchdown record Ryan Fitzpatrick being on pace To break the yard record
Starting point is 00:01:58 Those things probably are not that out of the ordinary But as a league I think we're going to see more passing And scoring records broken the the defensive rules are allowing all these things to happen what rules like what you can't you can't hit guys yeah you can't hit the quarterback for sure now you think the the lowering the helmet thing too yeah but it's the penalties are extending drives and you have to be more careful like guys going over the middle or a deep throw down the sideline, you can't go over. And it's probably a
Starting point is 00:02:26 good thing, but it's a bad thing for defenses trying to stop teams. You saw it last night with all the big crossing patterns that both teams were using. More of the Rams than the Vikings. I got a question. You have $1,000 on SeatGeek right now. Would you rather go week 9, watch Aaron Rodgers
Starting point is 00:02:42 versus Tom Brady, or week 11, watch Jared Goff versus Patrick Mahomes? It's Goff and Mahomes. And Goff and Mahomes are going to be in Mexico. So you get like a little vacation out of it. It's Rodgers, Brady. How many times have they faced off? You've got to see.
Starting point is 00:02:55 You could make a case they're the two best quarterbacks in NFL history. I know not everybody would agree with that, but there's a case to be made. You've got to see that game. Jamie, are you going to? It's an interesting one, though. I think just from a nostalgia standpoint, you want to see Rodgers-Brady, but from a fun standpoint, you want to see these two offenses go head-to-head. Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:03:14 I mean, it's not out of their own possibility that's the Super Bowl. It's not going to happen, but it'd be fun. Why is it not going to happen? I don't think the Chiefs get there. Their defense is going to cause too many problems. The Rams are too balanced, though. They are the best team in the NFL. I can't dispute that anymore, yeah.
Starting point is 00:03:31 I think they're better than the Vikings. That's another lunch you're going to owe me, by the way. Who wins the division by a wider margin? Rams or Steelers? Yes. Yeah, 38-31. Hey, the Vikings hung in there. We'll recap the game, but I just want to let everybody know the Chiefs are actually averaging 4.3 more points per game than the Rams, which is crazy.
Starting point is 00:03:52 They're averaging 39.3 points per game. And think about this. Last year, these two teams played in Minnesota, and the Rams scored seven points. And this year, they scored 38 38 and they could not be stopped. Jared Goff is the first Rams quarterback to throw for 400 yards in 207 games I think. And he set
Starting point is 00:04:14 an NFL record with a perfect passer rating but he had the most pass attempts in a game for any quarterback with a perfect passer rating. He had 33 pass attempts. And hey, Aaron Donald, two sacks. Get off the schneid. Do you know that the last time two quarterbacks averaged a higher passer rating
Starting point is 00:04:31 or the last time that – do you know when the last time two quarterbacks averaged a higher passer rating? I don't know if I'm saying that correctly. You said it many different ways. I think we all know what you're trying to say. I do not know. Oh, Nick Foles, Tom Brady. No.
Starting point is 00:04:44 I have no idea, then. Anybody else? I wasn't listening. The last time two quarterbacks had a higher average passer rating than what Cousins and Goff combined for last night. I mean, that's a really tough question. It's going to be bad quarterbacks, I assume. One is.
Starting point is 00:05:01 One's not. It was week one. Fitzpatrick, Breeze? And Breeze, yep. That's funny. What was week one. Fitzpatrick, Breeze? And Breeze, yep. That's funny. What are your major takeaways from this game? Start all of the Rams receivers every week. Start the Vikings receivers every week, too.
Starting point is 00:05:14 No, I mean, this is what you like to see. I mean, there were two guys who didn't perform well that are started across the board. And it was Kyle Rudolph, who wasn't awful, and Dalvin Cook, who was just dealing with the injury. Luckily, he was not started across the board. Cook was only started in 35% of leagues. Cousins was only started in 61% of leagues, and Goff in only 47% of leagues, except I think the leagues that I was playing against him in. He was definitely started.
Starting point is 00:05:46 He's a must-start guy, Russ Wake. Yeah, I mean, does Goff feel like Mahomes? I mean, top five quarterback rest of season. There's a difference in that I think there will be games where Goff throws the ball 28 times and is still extremely good, but only has two touchdown passes. Week one. We've seen that already.
Starting point is 00:06:08 I think we'll see that probably on a semi-regular basis because his defense is so good. We saw week two, too. His fantasy total was low. Yeah, at Arizona. The last two weeks he's been Patrick Mahomes-esque. But I think the thing would be is that if the floor is 20, you'll take it. So... If the floor is 20?
Starting point is 00:06:29 I don't think the floor is 20. I don't think the floor is 20. But that's what we've seen, though. There's two games of 20 and 21. So if the floor is 20... I don't know if 20 fantasy points from my quarterback is good enough anymore. But that's the floor.
Starting point is 00:06:42 That's the worst game he's going to have. I don't care. I think I'm going to consider. I don't care. I still don't think... I'm going to consider other quarterbacks with higher floors. How many guys have gotten four straight games of at least 20 points? Well, there's only one so far because there's only been two quarterbacks in the play.
Starting point is 00:06:55 I would assume Mahomes and Fitzpatrick. Yep. Breeze, yes. He barely got that against Cleveland. Phillip Rivers. Brady. Brady did it at Jacksonville. But he didn't do it last week. Oh, you're right. He was terrible last week.
Starting point is 00:07:14 There's a lot of quarterbacks that have had a low 20s and a mid-20s and a dud. Right. And there's a lot of quarterbacks that have had— If you're saying that the floor is 20— There's also a couple quarterbacks that have had a couple of high games and a dud. Right. And there's a lot of quarterbacks that have had – If you're saying that the floor is 20 – There's also a couple quarterbacks that have had a couple of high games and one dud. And we just haven't seen that dud yet from Goff. I'm not saying he's not a must. But I'm saying –
Starting point is 00:07:33 But I want a floor that's higher than 20. If the floor is 20, that's the dud. The floor – like a high – a floor of 20. First of all, I guarantee you at some point in this year that Jared Goff is going to have a game of fewer than 20 fantasy points. Of course. Well, I guarantee you at some point in this year that Jared Goff is going to have a game of fewer than 20 fantasy points. Of course. So the floor is definitely below 20. But if we expect 20 or more every week, that means he's – in my opinion, that means he's a top five quarterback.
Starting point is 00:07:55 So let me ask you, would you rather have Jared Goff or Tom Brady rest of season? Oh, man. So are we being too reactionary by saying Goff? No, I don't think so. I want to see Brady next week before I bury him. But it's not burying him. I buried him for this week. But if I had to make a decision this second, I would take Goff. Yes.
Starting point is 00:08:16 I just think that there's more weapons that Goff has, even with what Brady's about to get back. And it's a different style of offense. They're amazing. It's not burying Brady. It's not saying Brady's done. But if you have Brady and Goff on your team right now, you try and trade Brady, I guess.
Starting point is 00:08:34 What are you going to get? Dude, I almost dropped Kirk Cousins this week because nobody wanted him and I needed a replacement. I think I put in a claim to drop him, but it didn't go through because I have Breeze and Cousins. You cannot trade quarterbacks, maybe in 14 team or 16 team leagues, but
Starting point is 00:08:49 it's annoying. Our buddy, The Average Joe, you saw what he's dealing with on Twitter. If you saw the tweets. Oh, Darst. Yeah. He has what? Mahomes, Goff, and who's the third one? Roethlisberger, I think. And Roethlisberger, and the best offer he got in return trying to trade any of them, I don't know which one he offered was three cone yeah and i i buy that like people just are
Starting point is 00:09:09 not paying up for quarterback all right let's wrap it up adam i do know people who are in other leagues with other average joes and they're getting a lot for their quarterback i saw somebody got david johnson for philip rivers in one of their Do you think I could trade Kirk Cousins to someone in one of those leagues? One of your leagues? No. No, no, no. From my league to another league. In one of our listeners' leagues?
Starting point is 00:09:31 No, from my league to one of the other leagues that I'm not in and get someone good back. Oh, a cross-league trade? You think I could pull that? Dalvin Cook, how do you feel about him? I'm sorry to anyone. I'm sorry to the people that I told to start Dalvin Cook. There weren't that many, but I did definitely avoid Cooper Cup this week, and that was a huge mistake, so my bad for crap advice.
Starting point is 00:09:52 Cup was started in 69% of leagues. Woods in 77% of leagues. Dalvin Cook, is he still a buy-low candidate? Are you still optimistic about him going forward? His next two games are not that easy at Philadelphia, and Arizona is interesting. They actually allow the most fantasy points to running backs, but not so bad.
Starting point is 00:10:09 Not a lot of yards per carry. Yes, he's a buy-look. There was only one thing that bothered me about this game, and that's the way they used him on the snaps that they gave him. He didn't get a target, and they weren't using him on third downs very often. He's going to, as bad as that offensive line is, he's got to be involved in the passing game. Why did they play him for 18 snaps?
Starting point is 00:10:32 Why did they use him? He didn't even play the fourth quarter. He barely played the third quarter. It kind of mystifies me that they wouldn't put him on the field more and try and use him more. And like Heath said, use him more as a pass catcher out of the backfield. It just felt really, really stupid. But it also might tell you just kind of what the coaching staff is thinking
Starting point is 00:10:51 the center of this team is now. And that is Kirk Cousins throwing the ball to Thielen and Diggs. And maybe Cook is more of a complimentary piece than a workhorse. I think he gets 10 days off. He'll be fine for next week. I hope so. Absolutely by low. All right.
Starting point is 00:11:11 Cook or Mixon going forward? Mixon. I'll take Cook for sure. It's just so hard with Mixon's injury. He's running around. He's going to take this week off. Hopefully they ease him back in, and in the long run mixin will be fine i know it's weird it's weird to go with a running back who had mid-season surgery the thing the
Starting point is 00:11:30 thing that'll be interesting with mixin because they shocked me with their usage in the first two weeks and if that's what they go back to right away then it probably is mixin you just wonder with him having this procedure in season and coming back from it in two or three weeks, does it go back to being more of a timeshare when he comes back? I think when he does come back, you would assume that it would be that way. This is Marvin Lewis we're talking about. He's always been very cautious. I don't think it's going to be.
Starting point is 00:11:56 No, no, no, no, no. 60-40, though, would be a 20% drop from where he was the first two weeks. Yeah, I think maybe the first week or two, but they're going to try and get back to that. I mean, Mixon's their bell cow. I think it comes down to how well Gio plays this week and when he's splitting with Mixon. But I don't think that matters with Gio
Starting point is 00:12:11 because they know what he's been capable of doing. He's had these opportunities in the past, and they go away from him every time the next guy comes back up. So I had them back-to-back going into the season, Cook and Mixon, so I'll still stick with Cook. But if Mixon's right, I'd rather have Mixon. All right. I think we've talked about Joe Mixon enough.
Starting point is 00:12:27 Let's go to the news and notes. And Joe Mixon is in this segment. Jay Ajayi has a – it's really no big deal, guys. He just has a fractured back. He'll play through it. NBD. Are you confident in Jay Ajayi this season? Or is this just big red flag?
Starting point is 00:12:44 I own a lot of Jay Ajayi, and I am not happy that he's going to be playing through a fractured back. Go get Corey Clement now. Go get Wendell Smallwood now, because you're not going to be able to get Clement. Well, that's the point. You go and you trade for Corey Clement.
Starting point is 00:12:56 And if you can't get him, then go and pick up Smallwood off. Maybe you could trade one of your quarterbacks for Corey Clement. Oh, yeah. Actually, that's not a terrible idea. Clement, Wendell Smallwood's only 9% owned. But Ajayi's going to start this week. Are you guys going to start him? Well, we will preview this
Starting point is 00:13:12 game, but real quick. I am not going to start him. I might start him as a flex. Aaron Rodgers' knee is apparently getting better. That's nice. Jimmy Graham, Randall Cobb, Kevin King were all limited in practice. I don't know that they need Kevin King in this game, but he does make their defense a lot better. They need Kevin King. Doug Baldwin says he's ready to go, but he has not been cleared yet. How do you feel about starting Doug Baldwin?
Starting point is 00:13:38 Immediately, I'd be a little hesitant. Yeah, deeper league. It's not a bad dart throw if he's out there. Some defensive injuries. Mentioned these yesterday, but some updates. Colts had a good practice day. Clayton Gathers practiced in full, and Malik Hooker, I think, was limited in practice. Those are their two starting safeties.
Starting point is 00:13:58 So maybe they're getting a little healthier. And offensive tackle Anthony Costanzo returned to practice. He was limited. We don't know if he'll play, but that would help against Houston. They're doubting his availability, which means they're going with a backup left tackle and a third-string right tackle against the Texans. Wonderful.
Starting point is 00:14:13 With the Bears, very beat up in the secondary. Two cornerbacks, Mukamara and Cooper, mispractice. And the Bucs will be starting three rookies in their secondary. Alfred Morris, guys, has a knee issue. Matt Breida practiced in full. We previewed this game yesterday. Updated thoughts on the Niners running backs? I don't want to start Alfred Hall.
Starting point is 00:14:34 Yeah. I almost hope he doesn't play. Give all that work to Breida. Alshon Jeffrey missed practice with an illness. And again, we will preview this game in a bit. Devontae Freeman practiced. Any chance Devontae Freeman plays this week? I don't think he really practiced.
Starting point is 00:14:49 Okay. I think he just stretched. Jake Butt tore his ACL. That sucks. Sorry to hear it. It's his third ACL tear now. I feel bad for Heath. Now he's not going to be able to make any Jake Butt jokes.
Starting point is 00:15:03 Butt hurt. No, he's not dead. Butt hurt. He is he's not dead. Butt hurt. He isn't fancy this year. Keenan Allen mispracticed again. Are we concerned about Keenan Allen playing? Not yet.
Starting point is 00:15:16 And I'm not sure if you saw this, but this was kind of funny. Cleveland offensive coordinator Todd Haley confirmed that the Browns did steal the Philly special play from the Eagles. And that was after Hugh Jackson denied stealing it. He was like, no, we didn't steal it. We have that in our bag of tricks. And then Todd Haley said, I have no shame. We stole it. So come on, you can't even get that straight?
Starting point is 00:15:34 Give me a break. Do you expect the following players? Leonard Fournette against the Jets. Yes. Yep. Darren Sproles at Tennessee. No. John Brown at Pittsburgh on Sunday night. Yes.
Starting point is 00:15:47 Marlon Mack against Houston. I think so. I think we're getting to that point. Let's see what the injury report says on Friday. Juju Smith-Schuster against Baltimore. Yes. And Josh Gordon against Miami. Mm-hmm.
Starting point is 00:16:03 You know, some people aren't able to tune in To the entire show So for you listeners that Can't get past like 50 minutes I'm going to do the Stardometer For our last two games That we'll be previewing later on in the show Just in case you don't hear about these very important people
Starting point is 00:16:20 So it's Stardometer Zero through ten Zero, no way am I starting this guy. 10, must start. Not even thinking about it. 0-10 start-o-meter on David Johnson. 7. 7. Yep. 7.
Starting point is 00:16:35 For David Johnson against Seattle. Same game. Chris Carson. 7.5. 9. 7. So, do we all like Carson better than David Johnson? You know, I think I have Johnson ranked higher. I just feel a little bit better about it. Maybe I shouldn't have it that way.
Starting point is 00:16:55 Maybe I'm learning right now to put Carson ahead of David Johnson. I like them about the same. They're very close for me. They're both number two running backs. I'll buy into Johnson's upside more so than Carson. I do find Carson to be very interesting. The Cardinals have seen the most – the Cardinals' defense has seen the most carries in the NFL by a wide margin. So it's not that their run defense is so bad, but people are just running all over them probably because they're ahead.
Starting point is 00:17:22 And Carson got more than 30 carries last weekend. How about this for Carson? He is averaging 3.9 yards per carry. Not so good. But he has faced three teams that are among the seven best in yards per carry allowed to running back. So he's had a very tough schedule, and he's done okay with it. Aren't the Cardinals amongst the seven best in yards per carry?
Starting point is 00:17:39 No. They're like 15th or something. Wow. Yeah. And they give up like 3.95 yards per carry to running backs. If they do that all year, they'll be better than 15th, but it's small sample size. All right, so Johnson and Carson are about even. They're both good starts.
Starting point is 00:17:56 How about Jamal Williams against Buffalo? Zero. Four. Four, and I feel like he could score this week I'm not really reflecting in my rankings I don't feel good about starting him But something tells me That he could end up
Starting point is 00:18:13 Finding the end I agree I don't buy into what Buffalo did last week As the sign of what their defense is Aaron Jones I think it means that they're aggressive I just don't know if it means That they're going to be able to shut down Aaron Rodgers
Starting point is 00:18:24 Aaron Jones guys Four Two out of ten I think it means that they're aggressive. I just don't know if it means that they're going to be able to shut down Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Jones, guys. Four. Two out of ten. Two. Three. So who do you like better, Jones or Williams? It's Williams.
Starting point is 00:18:35 Jones. Jones. Okay. Are you starting either of them or trying to avoid? I'm forced to in a couple leagues just because of injuries and bye weeks, but they're best suited as flex options. Jay Ajayi or a Packers running back? Ajayi.
Starting point is 00:18:54 Ajayi. Okay. And finally, LeSean McCoy at Green Bay, 0-10. Six. Four. Four. So he's the best running back to start in that game? I think so. I think so. Four. Four. So he's the best running back to start in that game? I think so. I think so.
Starting point is 00:19:09 Eh. That's, yeah. I don't know about that game. Should be a blowout. But you know, you look at what the Bills have done, there's some evidence that their defense isn't that bad. No, not at all. And Sean McDermott took over the play calling last week,
Starting point is 00:19:24 and you saw what happened if you throw out the peterman game and just look at their other two games they don't look like they're quite as awful yeah all right um well we got to do some beat the waiver wire we got to preview the games but you know we also have to do one thing real quick here we gotta regulate because i want to know how political you guys are i don't mean in a national politics sense but you know how a politician will say anything to get his votes i want to know if you are willing to tell a listener how dumb he is check this out this This is from Jordan.
Starting point is 00:20:08 I recently made a trade in a 10-team half PPR league. I traded Adrian Peterson and Dion Lewis for Ezekiel Elliott because the other owner really wanted Peterson. I thought it was a pretty good trade on my end, getting Zeke for Peterson and Dion Lewis, given that AP was a sell-high candidate and I wanted Elliott. However, every one of my leagues started crapping on the trade, and the person that received Peterson and Lewis from me claimed stupidity slash ignorance, not realizing they accepted the trade. However, again, this individual had to select a player to
Starting point is 00:20:36 drop because they were expecting two players or accepting two players in return for one. I have also made trades with this player in the past. Therefore, he knew what he was doing, and when everyone started trashing the trade, it ruined how the person felt about receiving the two players. We have a veto in place, which I think is dumb, but the trade still went through. In the end, the league deemed it only fair that I have to trade back Zeke to the other individual
Starting point is 00:21:00 for being lopsided. I refuse to do it. The commissioner said they would remove Zeke from my team and I would get no players back in return if I did not return the player for Dion Lewis and Adrian Peterson. So basically the commissioner is forcing him to reverse this trade. In the end, I submitted a trade offer back for my players and I'm waiting for the acceptance. Is this at all fair? Because now I have to drop a player that i like as uh as well since my team is full this league is going down the crapper now in my opinion so we can agree this guy got screwed right big time yeah now here's the tricky part oh oh there's more the commissioner listens
Starting point is 00:21:37 to your podcast can you please tell him if this gets read in the regulator segment that chad you are a big stupid idiot moron commissioner and you were wrong are you willing to say that to a listener um chad you are a big stupid idiot moron commissioner and you were wrong yeah chad come on like i like you chad i think you're a great guy and very smart but this is a really terrible decision yeah i don't mind telling people that i like that they're bad commissioners i tell adam well no i don't like him um well at least he looked back to see my reaction yeah of course um yeah chad you're an idiot moron you win um yeah so am i willing to call him an idiot moron?
Starting point is 00:22:26 Yes. Do I think it was dumb that you reversed the trade and forced poor Jordan to give back Zeke? Yes. Do I think Jordan should bail on the league? No. Effective 2019 and never, ever be friends with anybody in the league ever again and move to a different town and start a new life? Yeah, I think that's very reasonable. Change his name?
Starting point is 00:22:48 Change his name. Change his identity. Change his identity. If he has a pet, he's got to dye his pet's hair so that no one knows it's his pet. I hate this. I hate that it happens. It's the stupidest thing in the world. Everybody that plays fantasy, you're
Starting point is 00:23:04 playing with friends, you're playing with coworkers. If you're playing with strangers, that's kind of weird unless it's on stupidest thing in the world everybody that plays fantasy you're playing with friends you're playing with co-workers if you're playing with strangers that's kind of weird unless it's on a website and then the website will handle these things for you because they're the commissioner be everybody can think for themselves everybody knows what they're getting into with fantasy football yeah the other and if someone thinks a trade is fair if two people think a trade between them is fair then no one should stop them. No one should help somebody because they've got the rotten end of a deal. Just deal with it. Also, everybody is we're all adults here unless you're in high school.
Starting point is 00:23:35 And then we're all high schoolers here. And so bottom line is that everybody should be responsible for their own decisions. We don't need mommy and daddy commissioner making sure that our trades are fair and even and just. Terrible decision, but we love you and thank you for listening. And that has been the Fantasy Regulators. We'll do Starter Sit in just a minute. Let's beat the waiver wire, guys. I looked ahead at next week, week five,
Starting point is 00:23:57 and some quarterbacks you might want to pick up. Alex Smith may have been dropped. He's 80% owned. He is at New Orleans next week. That's a good one. Marcus Mariota is at Buffalo. Blake Bortles is at Kansas City. Ryan Tannehill is at Cincinnati. Derek Carr is at the Chargers. Alex Smith, Mariota, Bortles, Tannehill, Derek Carr. Do you see anything there that you think is worth a stash right now to beat the waiver wire? I think Bortles or Tannehill are potential stashes,
Starting point is 00:24:27 and you get them now just to see what they look like this week. I would probably put Tannehill ahead of Bortles. Can I just say, Derek Carr, it's been this year of offensive production. Renaissance. Derek Carr is averaging 312 passing yards per game, and I don't really believe in Gruden, but Carr is just very unlucky with touchdowns. He's about 55% owned.
Starting point is 00:24:51 I think he has two touchdowns this year, despite 936 yards passing, I believe. Want to know what his fantasy floor has been this year? The lowest point total he's given you? Yeah. Six. Want to know the highest? 14. 17.
Starting point is 00:25:10 I know, but is there any chance we're seeing a real buy low candidate that's actually having a very good year and has just been very unlucky in Derek Carr? It's possible. But they're running a quick throw offense that is beating defenses until they get in the red zone. And then there's turnovers, or there's turnovers before then, like last week when he threw that bomb that was picked off.
Starting point is 00:25:33 I'm nervous about calling Derek Carr a guy that you want to stash in hopes of eventually starting. I think he could be okay next week. I mean, the other thing about Carr is that he's faced the Rams, Broncos, and Dolphins, two of them on the road. He'll be at the Chargers
Starting point is 00:25:47 next week. All right, anyway, anyone else that you want to beat the waiver wire with? I mean, if you want to stash him for two weeks,
Starting point is 00:25:53 Jameis. Yep. Because he's probably going to be a starter in week five. And how can we not say Baker Mayfield? Okay.
Starting point is 00:26:03 Austin Hooper is at Pittsburgh. Okay, I'll just give you a tight end matchup real quick. Austin Hooper, at Pittsburgh Okay I'll just give the tight end Matchups real quick Austin Hooper Austin Safarian Jenkins Ricky Seals Jones and Ian Thomas have good tight end matchups Next week Hooper Safarian Jenkins Seals Jones and Ian Thomas I'm sorry that list Sucks so much but maybe Hooper's okay
Starting point is 00:26:18 Who you got here for us Taylor Gabriel Anthony Miller's injured and out for a While now Gabriel has 22 Targets in the first three weeks with Taylor Gabriel. Anthony Miller's injured and out for a while now. Gabriel has 22 targets in the first three weeks with Miller as a part of the offense. We have seen the Bears opponent, Tampa Bay, struggle with slot-wide receivers. I think Gabriel could be a bigger part of this offense. I think he's a terrific GPP cheapo to take your chance on in one of these million-dollar tournaments.
Starting point is 00:26:50 And a wide receiver who's going to have a good matchup next week is Christian Kirk. We have to see if he does anything, but he had a good game last week, and maybe Josh Rosen likes him. He'll be at San Francisco next week, Christian Kirk. The DSTs to stash, Carolina against the Giants. Tennessee is at Buffalo. Arizona at San Francisco next week, Christian Kirk. The DSTs to stash. Carolina against the Giants. Tennessee is at Buffalo. Arizona at San Francisco. San Francisco against Arizona. And Houston still available in about 25% of leagues.
Starting point is 00:27:14 They face Dallas. I believe that is a Sunday night game. So Carolina, Tennessee, Arizona, San Francisco, and Houston. I don't know. Maybe Arizona would be my favorite there. Probably Houston. I don't know. There Arizona would be my favorite there. Probably Houston. I don't know. There's some options for you. Let's get to the games. Cincinnati is at Atlanta. Stat of the game number one. Let's use two stats of the game to compare Calvin Ridley
Starting point is 00:27:37 versus Tyler Boyd because we know we're starting Julio. We know we're starting A.J. Green. Stat of the game number one. There have been five wide receivers with six to ten targets against the Falcons in their last two games. Six to ten targets. All five of them had either 77 or more yards or a touchdown. So that's a good thing for Tyler Boyd. If he gets six to ten targets, he should have a good game based on the last two weeks. Stat of the game number two, let's look at Calvin Ridley's matchup. The Bengals have given up points to number one receivers, but no number two wide receiver has had more than five fantasy points in non-PPR against the Bengals. They have faced not the best receivers, Indianapolis,
Starting point is 00:28:19 Baltimore, and Carolina. Who do you like better, Tyler Board or Calvin Ridley? I like Ridley's upside. I think it's very close in PPR, but I like Ridley's upside, so I'll take him. I'll take Boyd just because I'm going to be watching Ridley very closely this week, but last week could either be the start of a new trend or an aberration in terms of the way the targets were distributed.
Starting point is 00:28:40 And Boyd has more consistently gotten targets this year. This is a cool game because I can ask you player comparisons, and they're probably somewhat difficult, except I know we're all going to start Matt Ryan over Randy Dalton. But Gio Bernard or Tevin Coleman? Gio. Yep, Gio.
Starting point is 00:28:58 Did Boyd or Ridley? A.J. Green or Julio Jones, just for fun? Julio. Julio. A.J. Green. How about Austin Hooper or Tyler Eifert? Eifert. Hooper.
Starting point is 00:29:09 Eifert. All right, let's talk about the tight ends, then we'll go back to the running backs. Are these top 12 guys, Eifert and Hooper? I think they are. No, not Hooper. You know, I was really encouraged, E, for the first week of the season, he got three targets last week, four, eight, and week three.
Starting point is 00:29:30 And he is starting to look like maybe he's working his way back into it being a big part of the offense. I love his matchup, and I love that he got a lot of work last week. But I think Hooper can dominate the coverage that he's got, and I think he's got a better chance to score. Eifert's 68% owned. So would you start Hooper or Eifert over, say, George Kittle? Yes, yes, yes.
Starting point is 00:29:56 Eifert, yes, is close with Hooper. Okay, but like O.J. Howard, you'd take over them? Yep, I would. And Ebron? I'd start Eifert over Howard. Okay, okay, but Ebron ahead of all of them.J. Howard, you'd take over them? Yep, I would. And Ebron? I'd start Eifert over Howard. Okay, okay. But Ebron ahead of all of them? Yep.
Starting point is 00:30:08 And now the running backs. Do we love Geo and Tevin Coleman this week? Are they going to get their standard double-digit fantasy points at non-PPR every time the starter's out? Yep. Start them both over David Johnson. Both top 12 fantasy running backs. Start them over Marshawn Lynch, Lamar Miller, Alex Collins. All righty.
Starting point is 00:30:26 All right, let me just throw this out there for Matt Ryan. I know you guys are very high on him, and you should be. He's having an awesome year. But he has one big game without the rushing touchdowns, and it was against New Orleans, who gives up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Like only one game with more than 20 fantasy points strictly as a passer. And so far, the Bengals have been very good
Starting point is 00:30:53 against quarterbacks. 22 points on 53 pass attempts for Luck, 21 fantasy points on 55 attempts for Flacco, and then Cam Newton scored 33 fantasy points, but he only had 150 yards passing. He had two rushing touchdowns. So are we sure Matt Ryan's going to have a big game? Yes.
Starting point is 00:31:12 Explain. Michael Johnson still hurt, right? IDK. So that's part of their pass rush. Michael's pass rush. Now, I think their interior pass rush can be there, but Ryan's been able to work around that, and it's going to be impossible.
Starting point is 00:31:29 It's going to be so hard to stop this passing game now that Ridley's doing great things on the other side. The Bengals are going to take notice of it. I think what's going to end up happening is the Bengals just try and do that bend-but-don't-break thing that they do, where they're just going to let the Falcons roll close to the red zone or into the red zone and then tighten up their defense and try and shut them out of the end zone.
Starting point is 00:31:51 It's not going to work. I think Matt Ryan's going to have another very good day. He's got a ton of upside, and I think this is going to be a very high-scoring game. I like the fact that it's the second week in a row that the Falcons are at home. Might be the third week in a row, actually, that they're at home. It's the third week in a row they're at home. Bengals on the road, second week in a row that the Falcons are at home. Might be the third week in a row, actually, that they're at home. It's the third week in a row they're at home. Bengals on the road,
Starting point is 00:32:08 second week in a row. I just think things are lining up for a high-scoring game and you want to start Matt Ryan in those types of games. Cool. And you guys have Andy Dalton, so he's interesting. Eighth for Jamie, ninth for Dave, sixth for Heath.
Starting point is 00:32:25 Is it just the matchup? Because he hasn't really put up big fantasy numbers, except, well, he did against Baltimore. He did against Baltimore, and he had a lot of help because the Ravens couldn't tackle in that game. AJ Green had the three touchdowns. Again, this is going to be a track meet. Falcons'
Starting point is 00:32:40 defense is going to be without their starting two safeties. Their replacements are bad. Linebacker Deion Jones isn't going to play. Tack McKinley looks like he's going to play, so that pass rush will be a little bit better. But I think Dalton's going to put the ball up a lot. And just like Matt Ryan with Calvin Ridley breaking out, Andy Dalton's got Tyler Boyd breaking out.
Starting point is 00:33:00 And Tyler Eifert got a lot of usage last week too. He just didn't catch a touchdown. That went to Uzama. I don't think you can underestimate. This should be a pass-heavy game for him. 42 and 46 pass attempts the last two games, and Atlanta has been awful for the last four years against pass-catching running backs.
Starting point is 00:33:15 Of course, we know Geo's really good at that. So I would expect maybe a few fewer rush attempts for Geo, and they use that passing game to the running back to kind of work as a running game. All right, let's go to kind of work as a running game. All right, let's go to our next game. Detroit at Dallas, stat of the game. All right, Jamie, so I know you're pretty high on Kerryon Johnson,
Starting point is 00:33:36 and you love playing against the Cowboys without Sean Lee. The Cowboys allow 3.2 yards per carry to opposing running backs, including 3.2 yards per carry to Chris Carson last week when Lee got hurt. He played a little less than half the game. They feel better about their run defense this year with Leighton Van Der Esch without Sean Lee. Do you still think...
Starting point is 00:33:56 So my stat of the game is that they've been very good against running backs. Do you still think Kerryon Johnson's in for a big game? Yes. I think pace of play is important here i don't think that either team is going to get away from each other uh most likely dallas not getting away from the lions in terms of the score so i think that the lions can actually run the ball this week and i think we saw last week that their best running back is is clearly carry on johnson
Starting point is 00:34:19 it would be stupid to go away from him he led them them in snaps with 33. Blunt had 28. Theoretic had 21. Inside the 10, Blunt actually had one more snap than Carrion had. And carries, LeGarrette had one more carry inside the 10 than Carrion had. They both had the same amount of carries in the game. And when it was the fourth quarter, and maybe this is something that will help you believe in Carrion a little bit. Fourth quarter snaps, Carrion had seven, four carries,
Starting point is 00:34:47 and LeGarrette Blount only had four snaps, but he also had four carries. So he's playing a little bit more in that clock-killing role. That's something that could happen in this game. Even if it's a close game, Detroit could get conservative to try and just hang on for the win. I'm still concerned that Carrion hasn't rustled away a heavy workload. And until I see it, he's in that low-end number two running back high-end flex range. It's also the slow build to trusting the guy.
Starting point is 00:35:12 And so that's what you're starting to see. Week one, it was a little bit. Week two, a little bit more. And then week three, it was, okay, now we can give him the opportunity and he takes advantage of it. So week four, I think that carries over to this week too. I hope Jamie's right. I want Carrion Johnson to be good. I don't have it
Starting point is 00:35:28 ranked like that because I don't see a difference between week two and week three. It was twice as many carries for Kerryon, but it was the same exact number in relation to LeGarrette Blount. It was a 50-50 split in terms of rush attempts week two and week three. I hope, I think at some
Starting point is 00:35:44 point it has to happen. I don't have any reason to believe it's going to be this week. My biggest problem with this game is I don't think Detroit has a good run defense. Zeke is one of the best running backs in the NFL. I expect Dallas is going to. Now, they've said some things this week that maybe make this not true, but I expect they are going to play slow, run the ball. There aren't as many offensive plays. There's no chance Detroit runs the ball 32 times.
Starting point is 00:36:07 All right. So the thing is about Kerryon Johnson is that he might be a player with some of the biggest rankings differences this week. He's outside the top 24 for Dave and Heath, and he's 12th for Jamie. And I think that's an accurate representation of the span of his possible outcomes. I don't think that it's unreasonable to think Kerryon Johnson could be a top 15 running back, and I don't think it's unreasonable
Starting point is 00:36:32 to think he could be outside the top 30. $5,700 on FanDuel seems like a pretty good play. It's amazing. Yeah, that's really cheap. Holy cow! I'm looking at running backs in that range. Rashad Penny Martin the Mac Dion Lewis
Starting point is 00:36:50 So yeah I think Kerryon Johnson Could be a popular fan to play A lot of upside there Alright any Dallas is the easiest thing Dallas is just Zeke right And he could have a huge game Tell me about the passing game for Detroit.
Starting point is 00:37:05 Do you expect a big game here? No. No. I think it'll be okay. You still start going all day. And I think Tate and PPR for sure. Tate and non-PPR maybe. Marvin Jones is the one that you might be a little bit more worried about this week compared to last week because the coverage in Dallas is better.
Starting point is 00:37:23 Right. Three quarterbacks so far. His perception total is terrible. He's been very touchdown dependent. Yeah, he's not a great PPR guy for sure, Marvin Jones. Three quarterbacks so far against Dallas. Cam Newton, 17 fantasy points with 58 yards and a touchdown rushing. Eli Manning, 15 fantasy points. Russell Wilson, 19 fantasy points and six points for passing touchdown games.
Starting point is 00:37:41 That's pretty bad, really bad. So Stafford, obviously going to start Dalton over Stafford. You going to start Fitzpatrick over Stafford? I would start almost everyone over Stafford. Agreed. All right. Like Eli Manning, Heath? 100%.
Starting point is 00:37:53 Easy. I've got Stafford ahead of Eli. Baker Mayfield or Stafford? Stafford. Stafford. All right. And Galladay is the best in non-PPR and Tate in PPR? I'd take Galladay in both. Yeah. I've got Galladay one spot best in non-PPR and Tate in PPR? I'd take Galladay in both.
Starting point is 00:38:05 Yeah. I've got Galladay one spot ahead of Golden in PPR. Galladay is the only guy I have ranked as a starter in either format. Galladay or Karrion Johnson flex? Galladay. I'll take Karrion in non-PPR. I'm going to say Galladay. And also, we mentioned Karrion's price on FanDuel.
Starting point is 00:38:24 Galladay is only $100 more. Galladay or LaShawn McCoy? Galladay. And these DSTs are not bad. Detroit's DST is top 12 for everybody. Bad on the road at San Francisco, but they did have six sacks in that game.
Starting point is 00:38:39 Dallas, a little vulnerable to sacks so far. And the Dallas DST and Detroit's DST is barely owned. Dallas DST, 14th for Jamie, 10th for Heath, 23rd for Dave, so he's not feeling them. Let's go to New Orleans at the Giants. Stat of the game. Heath once said only two weeks ago, I believe,
Starting point is 00:38:56 that the Giants are the worst team in New York. No, incorrect. That is factually incorrect. I made a joke about you being happy that the Jets lost so the Giants are no longer the worst team in New York. By them being no longer the worst team in New York, I would be saying they are not the worst team in New York. But what really stood out about that, Heath, is that you forgot that Buffalo is actually in New York. And you owe our listeners from Buffalo and Bills fans everywhere an apology.
Starting point is 00:39:25 Do you really think that the Giants could do what the Bills did to the Vikings last week? I think it's still up in the air. Adam, by definition, the Giants and the Jets do not play in New York. But they are a New York team. They have New York in their name. Yeah, so that's what I was referring to, the two teams that have New York in their name. Oh, okay, gotcha.
Starting point is 00:39:39 Saturday, number two, the Saints allow the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. This is amazing. They allow, on average, 13 more fantasy points than the second worst team against wide receivers, and that would be the Chargers. So this is a game where the Saints are easy. Breeze, start. Kamara, start. Michael Thomas, start. Let's talk about, let's say, Ted Ginn and Sterling Shepard. And I know Shepard's ahead of Ginn, but how much do you like these secondary receivers? Because we're starting Beckham and we're starting Barclay. I think it's probably, well, there's some interesting ones here,
Starting point is 00:40:18 including the tight ends. But let's start with those secondary receivers and Sterling Shepard and his ability to take advantage of the best matchup in fantasy right now. Love, love, love Sterling Shepard and his ability to take advantage of the best matchup in fantasy right now. Love, love, love Sterling Shepard. You have to. It's nine touchdowns to wide receivers allowed by New Orleans this year.
Starting point is 00:40:34 How many of them went to non-number one wide receivers? Five. Seven. Well, you know that there were three last week, unless you consider Calvin Ridley the new number one receiver in Atlanta And Sanu caught one right Right Is this a question that you have an answer to
Starting point is 00:40:50 I'm looking it up right now Deshaun Jackson caught two I think Chris Godwin had one Ridley had three Sanu had one Antonio Callaway had one in week two The answer is eight Oh
Starting point is 00:41:01 Eight of nine To non number one wide receivers, which makes sense because Marshawn Lattimore is their best corner. Their other corners are terrible and or on injured reserve. And Sterling Shepard should have, should have an amazing game. There is no getting around sitting him. He is at least a number two fantasy wide receiver. He is, I think he's one of two free spaces in daily this week
Starting point is 00:41:26 and i'm so afraid that yeah they're gonna let everyone down what are you afraid of are you that the giants are gonna let everyone down they're the giants they're not that good yeah but this matchup is too good to ignore it's just so do you like it you like him better than galladay i do i do see i I think I still like Galladay. They're right in the same range for me. The reason I asked was the FanDuel thing because Galladay is $400 less, I think, than Shepard is. He is. I'd rather play Galladay than Shepard.
Starting point is 00:41:54 How about just playing both? You could do that. Yeah. Beckham, do you think Beckham finally scored? That's the other thing I'm concerned about. Beckham's gone three games without a touchdown. And you know how you said last week, Dave, that Robert Woods was due and he scored two touchdowns? I feel like Beckham gets in the end zone in this game.
Starting point is 00:42:10 That's fine. You're starting Odell anyway. And there's a very interesting giant stack that you could do in Daly with Eli, Odell, and Shepard. And I think it will pay off. Oh, by the way, Evan Ingram's not playing. Did we mention that? We did. Well, no.
Starting point is 00:42:24 All right. So any interest in Ted Ginn? No. Okay. No, Eli Apple probably not playing. He's a number four receiver. And Cameron Meredith would be like a number five receiver then? Six. Okay.
Starting point is 00:42:41 How about Saquon Barkley? Are you avoiding him in DFS Because the Saints run defense Has been very good this year He'll be good in the passing game He's probably really expensive though I mean Is he worth the price I think he's $8,100
Starting point is 00:42:53 He's not an ideal DFS guy I'm going to use him quite a bit in tournaments Because I think people will stay away from him Okay Red Ellison or Ben Watson I like Ben Watson a lot Watson Watson Yeah Watson or I like Ben Watson a lot. Watson.
Starting point is 00:43:05 Watson. Yeah, Watson or Austin Hooper? Watson. Hooper. Okay. And then finally, Red Ellison just won as he's 10% owned. He's not the worst start because in three games without Evan Ingram, including when Ingram got hurt in Week 15 last year, week 16 last year, he has had four for 60, five for 63, and I think three for 39 and a touchdown. We got Philadelphia and Tennessee.
Starting point is 00:43:36 We got Tampa Bay and Chicago. Let's go to Tampa Bay and Chicago right now and talk about Ryan Fitzpatrick. And I want to talk about the Google Assistant, okay? I hope you all have been using the Google Assistant. It is a really, really helpful app. I know I'm going to use it this week, probably to help myself out a little bit with the Packers running backs, right? Because I don't know who I got. Jamal Williams and Aaron Jones on the same team. I can't decide who I want. I might just turn it over to the Google Assistant. What I'll do is I'll get my phone out. I'll get the app out, and I will say, hey, Google, talk to CBS Sports.
Starting point is 00:44:08 I will ask Jamal Williams or Aaron Jones. I will get my answer. Make sure you download the Google Assistant on the App Store or the Play Store. Today's debate is not about Packers running backs. It's about Andrew Luck versus Ryan Fitzpatrick. I'm going to give you guys each 20 seconds. Tell me who you like, Andrew Luck or Ryan Fitzpatrick this week. I like Fitzpatrick. I'm going to give you guys each 20 seconds. Tell me who you like, Andrew Luck or Ryan Fitzpatrick this week. I like Fitzpatrick better.
Starting point is 00:44:29 I love the point totals he's been getting. And the Bears' defense, pass rush is outstanding, one of the best in the league. They've given up 10 pass plays of 20-plus yards through three weeks, including four last week to Arizona. Half of them have resulted in touchdowns. Fitzpatrick just needs a little bit of time to chuck it downfield. He's done it a ton so far this season. I think he's got the much higher ceiling than
Starting point is 00:44:49 Andrew Luck. Jamie? I'm just afraid that this is the fall on your face game for Fitzpatrick and Luck seems to have the I have something to prove attitude with what he's been saying. I don't think this Texans defense is very good. I think you'll see Luck at home come out even with Marlon Mack been saying. I don't think this Texans defense is very good, and I think you'll see
Starting point is 00:45:05 Luck at home come out even with Marlon Mack coming back, no run game and a defense that's going to give up points in this game. I also worry about that if Fitzpatrick has the first half that he had last week, if he gets yanked because Jameis is now on the active roster. And Heath, break the tie.
Starting point is 00:45:22 I will go with Andrew Luck. I haven't projected for the most past attempts this week. I do think they go down the field a little bit more. Andrew Luck seems perturbed by all the talk about his shoulder. I think he's going to prove to us that it's okay. All right, let's see what the Google Assistant has to say. So, again, I've got the Google Assistant app on my phone, and I will say, here it is. Hey, Google, talk to CBS Sports.
Starting point is 00:45:46 Hi, this is CBS Sports and we are using our fantasy football computer projections and expert rankings to answer your start, sit, or add, drop questions. Ask a question like, should I add Austin Eckler or should I drop Phillip Rivers? You can also ask us to choose between two players. Should I start Ryan Fitzpatrick or Andrew Luck? Andrew Luck is projected for more fantasy points
Starting point is 00:46:10 than Ryan Fitzpatrick. What else would you like to know? Dave, you're on Fitzpatrick Island. Interesting. It's fine. It's a hairy place. Number one quarterback in fantasy going into week four. We're a little hesitant on him.
Starting point is 00:46:25 So let's go to Tampa Bay at Chicago. That was the Google Assistant. It's really, really fun. It's really cool. I mean, it could be a fun way to settle a bet at a bar or something like that, but definitely you want some fantasy advice, check out the Google Assistant and use it and take advantage of a really cool feature. And, of course, you download the app on either the App Store or the Play Store,
Starting point is 00:46:44 and you say, hey, Google, talk to CBS Sports. And if you want to have your question read on the air, you can email fantasyfootballatcbsi.com, fantasyfootballatcbsi.com. And we're answering questions thanks to the Google Assistant on CBS Sports HQ. You can send your questions to at CBS Fantasy on Twitter, at CBS Fantasy. Speaking of fantasy football at cbsi.com, don't forget to check out the mailbag, the Saturday mailbag, which Heath and I will be doing later today on Friday. And watch CBS Sports HQ, everybody. It's the best. Tampa Bay's at Chicago. It's the start of the game. Every wide receiver with seven or more targets against the Bears has scored nine or more fantasy points in non-PPR.
Starting point is 00:47:27 So seven or more targets, good game. Six targets or less, not necessarily a good game. Brandon Marshall had four catches for 44 yards on six targets. The Bucs wide receivers, Mike Evans, heck yes. What about Chris Godwin and Deshaun Jackson? You can flex Godwin. I don't want any part of Deshaun Jackson. Does he have six targets in a game yet?
Starting point is 00:47:47 I don't think so. I agree with what he said. It's all boom or bust with him. You know the deal. You know the pitfalls that come with starting him. That being said, I'll whip out the stat again that the Bears have allowed a ton of 20-plus yard pass plays this year. A lot of them deep balls.
Starting point is 00:48:07 Four last week against the Cardinals. Wow, that is interesting. We've talked about how Prince of Mucamara has banged up, Marcus Cooper. He's a reserve corner, and he's not very good to begin with, so maybe that's a good thing for the Bears. I think there is a chance for Deshaun Jackson, but he's a flex. He's in the same kind of high-risk, high-reward tier as Josh Gordon would be if Josh Gordon plays. Probably a little notch behind Tyler Lockett. I mean, that deep ball thing is pretty interesting, and it makes Ryan Fitzpatrick very interesting.
Starting point is 00:48:39 He's 14th for Jamie, he's 8th for Dave, and he's 17th for Heath. I'm not sure we have to get much more into Fitzpatrick, but Dave is the believer this week in the magic. Peyton Barber, on the other hand, 79% owned, facing a team that allows the fewest fantasy points to running backs. You've got to get away from Barber, right? Yeah. I wish Tampa Bay would give Ronald Jones a chance. They're talking about Ronald Jones eventually getting an opportunity.
Starting point is 00:49:03 He may be the beat-the-waver-wire guy. He's up there for sure. Ronald Jones? Okay. I think you can wait. The problem with him is you're definitely not going to start him this week and then run by next week. So if you're beating the waiver wire with him,
Starting point is 00:49:15 you're making at least a three-week commitment to him. Ronald Jones, I'm sorry, Peyton Barber, or how many Eagles running backs would you start over Peyton Barber? All of them? No. Not if Jay Ajayi plays. Well, you're going to go Ajayi for sure over him if he plays. I'd go Ajayi and Clement if Sproles is out.
Starting point is 00:49:34 Only Ajayi if Sproles plays. Would you start Bilal Powell over Peyton Barber? Yes. How about Marvin Jones over Peyton Barber? Yes. All right. There's no confidence in Barber. He has one catch on Jones over Peyton Barber? Yes. All right. There's no confidence in Barber. He has one catch on the year.
Starting point is 00:49:49 All right. Yeah, he's thick. So Marvin Jones or Godley? Godwin. Was that Ridley or Godwin? Zach Godley. Chris Godwin. Godwin.
Starting point is 00:49:59 Godwin. Yeah, I'll go Godwin. Godwin or Sterling Shepard? Shepard. Yep. Godwin or Sterling Shepard? Shepard Yep Godwin or Royce Freeman? Godwin Freeman and non-PPR, Godwin and PPR
Starting point is 00:50:14 OJ Howard or Trey Burton? OJ Howard or Trey Burton in this game? Howard I think I have Burton higher Burton This is going to be a good game for Burton It should be a good game for Burton. It's a terrible defense he's facing, it seems, with three rookies in their secondary.
Starting point is 00:50:30 Tampa Bay allowed 94 yards to Zach Ertz in week two, and four catches for 112 yards and a touchdown to Vance McDonald in week three. Most of it coming on that one big play. All right, but they're both going to be starters this week, Burton and Howard. Jordan Howard, like him, love him. What do you think, Jordan Howard? They're starting him. Like him. We're still waiting for that big breakout game from him.
Starting point is 00:50:57 150 yards, touchdown. Yeah. Just dominance. Haven't quite seen that yet from Jordan Howard this year. Is there any interest in Tariq Cohen? Very little. Not even for Kirk Cousins in a trade. Tariq Cohen or Peyton Barber?
Starting point is 00:51:15 Barber, non-PPR, Cohen, PPR. Yeah, yeah. How do we feel about Alan Robinson this week? Do you like him better or worse than Chris Godwin? Better Robinson over Godwin? Yeah, it's a great matchup for him They really struggle with number one receivers
Starting point is 00:51:32 They do It might be a little bit of put up or shut up for him Because he hasn't gotten in the end zone yet He has just two catches of more than 20 yards Robinson's averaging 11.4 yards per catch That needs to be better He has one great PPR game Three three not-so-great non-PPR games. Right, single digits and non-PPR.
Starting point is 00:51:50 I've got him one spot ahead of Godwin, both of them one spot ahead of Boyd, and I might change that depending on Brian Poole's availability. He's not great to begin with, but if he's out, that's really good for Boyd. And if you are desperate, you could look at Taylor Gabriel. Gabriel is 4% owned and second on the team in targets, and now Anthony Miller is out. And the Bears' DST is top eight. They're not top two this week or anything like that,
Starting point is 00:52:15 but they're really good. It's not a great matchup for them. Would you start the Packers or the Seahawks or something like that over the Bears? Yes. I would start the Packers over them. I would start the Bears over the Seahawks. something like that over the Bears? Yes. I would start the Packers over them. I would start the Bears over the Seahawks. Let's go to Philadelphia at Tennessee. Philadelphia at Tennessee.
Starting point is 00:52:32 Why don't you like the Seahawks' defense? I don't dislike them. I think they're okay. I just don't – I wouldn't get away from the Bears for them. Something I forgot to mention. No, you'd have to carry two defenses to do that. All right. Is it going to be Philadelphia at Tennessee? two defenses to do that. Alright. Is it going to be Philadelphia
Starting point is 00:52:48 at Tennessee? Is it going to be Tampa Bay at Chicago? It should be the Giants, right? I mean, it should be. But it won't be. Alright, here we go. Bengals, Falcons. Bonanza!
Starting point is 00:53:06 Yeah! I can't believe he did that at the start of the week. All right, here we go. Bengals, Falcons, Bonanza. Yeah. I can't believe you did that to the start of the week. Might be. By the way, just for everybody listening, Adam was, I'm going to call it, dancing in his chair. I got really into that. Swinging his arms like an old lady walking through the mall would swing her arms. Yeah, that's true. It was really kind of pathetic.
Starting point is 00:53:28 Giovanni Bernard, start of the week, bonanza time. I will say, though, the last time we did this, we were successful. Yes, yes. Who was it again? Jamie looks really, really nervous right now. No, I'm confident in Gio. Who was it? It was two weeks ago?
Starting point is 00:53:41 It was Ben. Oh, it was Ben Roethlisberger, right. All right, Eagles and Titans, very tough game. Already mentioned the stat of the game yesterday when we fake previewed this, and that is that the state animal of Tennessee is the raccoon. But which Eagles are you confident in starting other than Zach Ertz? None. Nope.
Starting point is 00:53:59 I kind of like Wentz. I'd like him better if Alshon Jeffery didn't have an illness. But if he's out there, and particularly if Ajayi is not out there, I think it sets up really nicely for Carson Wentz to be leaned upon and to put up some good numbers. Titans' past defense has been shellacked this year. They weren't last week. But in weeks one and two, they absolutely were.
Starting point is 00:54:26 Would you guys go with Wentz or Wilson? I have Wentz ahead of Wilson right now. I have Wentz ahead of Wilson. Me too. Wentz or Brady? I'll take Wentz, but I'm the only one. Brady. That's easy. Tom? Okay. Alright, Philadelphia running backs. Give me the skinny
Starting point is 00:54:44 Jamie. If Ajayi plays, he's a low-end starting option. If Ajayi does not play and Sproles is still out, then Clement is a low-end starting option. And then Wendell Smallwood becomes a flex play. Clement will be a flex play if Ajayi plays and Sproles is out. Okay, I'm satisfied with that. What do you do about Nelson Aguilar, Alshon Jeffrey in this situation?
Starting point is 00:55:07 They're number three receivers, even if Jeffrey plays. Well, what if Jeffrey doesn't play? Because Tennessee, they've given up 100 yards to Stills, Hopkins, and Fuller so far. They've given up some big plays. If Jeffrey's out, do you guys like Nelson Aguilar? Who had eight catches in weeks one and two? He was terrible in week three. I think Aguilar is a number three if Alshon doesn't
Starting point is 00:55:31 play. I don't want to play Aguilar if Alshon plays. Right, right. But if he doesn't play, if Jeffrey doesn't play, Aguilar becomes worth considering? I think so because he'll line up outside a lot more than if Alshon plays. Because if he's in the slot, that means he'll see Logan Ryan.
Starting point is 00:55:48 He's done a nice job against slot receivers this year. The real weakness in Tennessee is throwing against the outside corners. Jackson's allowed some numbers. Butler's been terrible. Okay. And then Zach Ertz is a must-start. Dallas Goddard, if you're desperate, he's like 20th in the rankings. Heath has him outside the top 24.
Starting point is 00:56:08 Start any Tennessee players? They're DST. I don't know if I love their DST. They're DST. No, I'm just kidding. Okay. No, there's no one to trust here. There's somebody to watch for involvement in the passing game.
Starting point is 00:56:24 That's Taewon Taylor. Yeah. That could be a beat the waiver wire guy too. Except they have Chargers next week and the Chargers are very bad against the pass right now. Right? There's just one problem. Marcus Mariota is still the quarterback. Maybe he'll be able
Starting point is 00:56:40 to feel one of his fingers this week. Yeah, I mean, this game just feels ugly. The Titans have done a very good job of just making things ugly the last two games. Yeah, yeah. Okay. Am I crazy? They are playing the Chargers next week, right? Tennessee.
Starting point is 00:56:54 No, they're at Buffalo. That's what it was. So if you mean the Buffalo Chargers, you're correct. I knew it because Derek Carr was on the waiver wire, beat the waiver wire to there at the Chargers. Yeah, they play the Chargers in London in week seven. Oh, Tennessee. Okay, great.
Starting point is 00:57:08 So stash him for week seven. If you had to choose one Tennessee running back, who would it be? Lewis. Derek Henry is a terrible matchup for Derek Henry. This is a great run defense, 2.8 yards per carry to running backs. Adam, you know that guy that calls us every Saturday and asks about his throwback team that he starts all the old players? Yeah, what is that? run defense, 2.8 yards per carry to running backs. Adam, you know that guy that calls us every Saturday and asks about his throwback team that he starts all the old players? Yeah, what is that?
Starting point is 00:57:29 It's so strange. Can I take Chris Johnson here? Eddie George, Chris Johnson, yes. Is Travis Henry available? Buffalo at Green Bay. It's just really crazy that they've given Derek Henry 18 carries each of the last two weeks, and he's done nothing with them. Yeah. You have the one big play called
Starting point is 00:57:48 back in week one. I'm flummoxed by Deion Lewis only having four catches the last two weeks. It's like they forgot what they've got. Yeah, I feel like he could be okay in PPR this week. Is anybody feeling that with Deion Lewis? That's the only format you could start him in
Starting point is 00:58:03 and feel somewhat safe about it. Also, should we give Derrick Henry somewhat of a pass as he's faced the Texans and the Jaguars the last two weeks? Yeah, but, I mean, it's just the workload. You would sign up before the season, 100%. He's going to be a must-start play if he's getting 18 carries. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Absolutely. All right. Anyway, let's move on.
Starting point is 00:58:24 Buffalo's at Green Bay. Stat of the game. According to mentalfloss. Oh, yeah. Absolutely. All right. Anyway, let's move on. Buffalo's at Green Bay. Stat of the game. According to mentalfloss.com, Green Bay is known as both Tidal Town and Toilet Paper Town. So we should be calling them Toilet Paper Town. Northern Tissue, precursor to Quilted Northern, invented the first splinter-free paper in the plant there. Splinter-free paper. That's toilet paper. That's toilet paper. That's very strange.
Starting point is 00:58:46 I want you to think about that for a minute. Yeah. I want you to think about toilet paper before Quilted Northern and think about splinters in toilet paper. Can they trade for Jake Butt? Oh, very good. Very good. So any bills? Just McCoy is low-end number two?
Starting point is 00:59:04 Low-end number three. He's a flex. Flex at best. But he's the best running back in this game? Yes. That was a Jamie sigh. I'm starting Josh Allen in a super flex league. Okay.
Starting point is 00:59:20 That's fine. There you go. He runs. He does. Aaron Rodgers is not number one, not number two, not number three. He's fourth for Heath. He's sixth for Dave. He's seventh for Jamie.
Starting point is 00:59:32 Most people are going to start Aaron Rodgers. Would it be crazy to start Andy Dalton over Aaron Rodgers? Yes. Yeah, you can't do that. Don't start. He's at home coming off a loss. I don't think it would be crazy, but I wouldn't do it. It's an okay move in Daly.
Starting point is 00:59:48 Ben over Rodgers. Yes. I wouldn't do it. Heath, you're so close to moving Ben ahead of Luck. You're so close. It's one little nudge up. Yeah, I'm looking at the projections now. It's 0.2 fantasy points is how close I am.
Starting point is 01:00:02 Wow. You can't find a way to get Roethlisberger 0.3. He doesn't want to. Come on. He's your guy. You love Ben Roethlisberger. Anyway. I do love Ben Roethlisberger.
Starting point is 01:00:11 I'm guarding him. I already did the start-o-meter for the Green Bay running backs, so they're not great starts. Dave, I think, likes Williams the best. Jamie and Heath like Aaron Jones better. I have them ranked back-to-back, so it's flip a coin. Okay. And then, yeah, all right.back, so it's flip a coin. Okay. And then, yeah, all right. So Devontae Adams is a must-start.
Starting point is 01:00:29 What about Randall Cobb? What about Jermonimo Allison? I like Cobb's matchup better than Allison's, so I'd buy back into Cobb for one week. I think Allison is the more exciting player, and I think the Packers know it. The targets don't show that, though. The targets don't show it, but they might moving forward.
Starting point is 01:00:46 Because Cobb was really disappointing. Allison is 62% owned, I believe. 67% owned. You have to go get him. It's just so stupid. Him and Godwin, I just don't get it. Yeah, I agree. Would you start Allison over Doug Baldwin if Baldwin plays?
Starting point is 01:01:04 Yes. Yep. Okay. Would you start Allison over Larry Baldwin if Baldwin plays? Yes. Yep. Okay. Would you start Allison over Larry Fitzgerald? Yes. I would not in PPR. All right, then. I think we're pretty much good here.
Starting point is 01:01:15 I mean, everybody's going to start Jimmy Graham, but do you think Graham is going to have a big game? Define big game. You can't think that. You can hope that. Does he score a touchdown? Does he score a touchdown? Yeah. Does he score a touchdown? Does he score a touchdown? Yeah, does he score a touchdown? Take that away.
Starting point is 01:01:28 He doesn't score a touchdown. And he's got 40, 50 yards max. That's a decent game for a tight end right now. A lot like Kyle Rudolph. Yeah, and a lot like what Virgil Green and Kyle Rudolph did against Buffalo each of the last two weeks, right around 50 yards. Packers DST. Heath is not buying into it.
Starting point is 01:01:44 This is not true again. I have them number six. Oh, I typoed? Yes. Oh, I'm very sorry about that. Did you ever at one point have them 16th? Last week. Maybe I just copied and pasted.
Starting point is 01:02:00 No, I put a one there. I'm sorry about that. I've got them low. Maybe you looked at my rankings and thought. Oh, okay. I have Davis having them eighth. He has them 18th. No.
Starting point is 01:02:10 Yeah. You put the one in the wrong spot. I put the one in the wrong spot. So I'm sorry. No, I shouldn't do that. I'm sorry. So Packers. No, I don't think the Packers defense is very good.
Starting point is 01:02:18 It changes if Kevin King plays. I think he gives them some good depth at corner. But I don't think that they're a great defense. I think Buffalo could be sneaky. They can find ways to put points up. In Lambeau Field, back-to-back road games for them, this is going to be a beating. Give me two minutes on this Seattle-Arizona game.
Starting point is 01:02:39 We already talked about Chris Carson. Good start this week. We like him a lot. I think I already asked Chris Carson or a lot of guys. Chris Carson or Sterling Shepard? Shepard. Carson, non-PPR, Shepard, PPR. Russell Wilson, start or sit?
Starting point is 01:02:59 Sit if you can. Sit. Yeah, sit. Sit him. I just picked him up in one league as a backup to Patrick Holmes. He was on the waiver wire. He was on the waiver wire. All right, what are you doing about Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett?
Starting point is 01:03:14 You're starting Lockett. He's just high upside flex, and he's scored each of the last three weeks. You're starting him if Baldwin plays? Yeah, I'm starting him if Baldwin plays. If Baldwin plays, I probably won't start any of the Seahawks receivers. I think at best, Lockett's still a number three receiver just because the position's so loaded. But yes, you could start him, and he would be downgraded if Baldwin's out there. I mean, if Baldwin doesn't play, do you—you know, if Baldwin doesn't play—
Starting point is 01:03:37 like, I looked at Lockett last week going up against a tough matchup against the Cowboys who hadn't allowed more than 51 yards to a receiver in their first two games, and that included Odell Beckham. And then he went and had like 77 yards and a touchdown. Yeah, I think that was a little misleading, though. He caught a pass on the sideline at like the 40-yard line, and then there were just no Dallas Cowboys between him and the end zone. That's true.
Starting point is 01:04:00 But if anyone's going to catch it, it's probably going to be him. He's going to score a touchdown. It's probably going to be him. And all going to score a touchdown. It's probably going to be him. And all I'm saying is it is another tough matchup. Arizona's been good against wide receivers. No wide receiver has scored a touchdown against the Cardinals. The Rams guys had big games, but they didn't score a touchdown. Right.
Starting point is 01:04:18 And then the other games were against Washington, whose receivers are a mess, and Chicago, whose quarterback is not perfect. Yeah, but Allen Robinson did not have more than 50 yards. So I guess if Baldwin doesn't play, which is a distinct possibility, Lockett is what if Baldwin's out? About 30 or so. Fine. Great way to put it. A great flex.
Starting point is 01:04:37 High upside. A little bit of boom or bust to him, but he's been booming. Rank these three players. Ben Watson, Will Disley, Rhett Ellison. Watson, Ellison, Disley. Yep. Watson, Disley, Ellison. Anyone other than David Johnson for the Cardinals?
Starting point is 01:04:57 Christian Kirk is interesting based on the targets last week. And I can't help but think that they'll be a little bit better with Josh Rosen under center than what they got out of Sam Bradford in his five yards per pass attempt. Can't start anybody with confidence. I mean, hopefully Fitzgerald's hamstring is right, but he's been in and out of practice, so that hurts him. It's just tough right now. I don't think the Arizona defense is horrible.
Starting point is 01:05:21 Okay, and the Seahawks defense, Heath has them 11th, and Dave and Jamie have them third. So how about that? They should be awesome. Get ready for a mailbag, baby. We got the mailbag coming up. It's the Saturday show.
Starting point is 01:05:34 It records on Friday afternoon. We'll hopefully update you on some injuries and answer your questions. I know we have a Le'Veon Bell keeper question in there, so we'll get to that. And maybe some great to trade
Starting point is 01:05:44 and start and sit and all that stuff. And we'll talk to saturday night for the radio show sunday morning as well watch jamie anything yeah yeah one more game gotta go bye bye jamie bye heath and dave what do you have to say for yourself oh you tricked me

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