Fantasy Football Today - 8 INSANE Fantasy Predictions! McMillan vs Nabers, McCaffrey's Final Rodeo, Caleb Williams, & More! (06/22 Fantasy Football Podcast)
Episode Date: June 23, 2026Adam and Dave review bold 2026 fantasy football predictions in a Buy or Sell style segment. Each take gets a quick reaction plus a confidence rating from 1–3. They break down Tetairoa McMillan vs Ma...lik Nabers in fantasy points per game, Christian McCaffrey’s final elite season window, and Caleb Williams throws 35+ touchdowns, no rookie wide receiver finishes inside the Top 20, and more!Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcastsWatch FFT on YouTube SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on AppleFOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1
Transcript
Discussion (0)
We are buying and selling some bold predictions right now on FFT Express.
Welcome to the show.
What's up, everybody?
It's Monday, July 22nd.
Adam and Dave here.
July 27th.
Yes, June.
Sure is.
June.
You're bad with calendars.
You're bad with times of day.
How was your mother's day, Dave?
That was great.
Spent the day before getting doorbuster deals at the local mall.
okay
well I hope
everybody
a great father's day
now anyway
top
eight predictions
here eight bold
predictions
and we're going to
give them a
a one to three
confidence rating
one no chance
this happens
two yeah I could see it
three
very likely to happen
number one
Terry McLorin
beats his ADP
by 10 plus
wide receiver spots
that would make
him a top 12
wide receiver
would it not
I think he's
going to end up
being drafted
right around
top 20-ish wide receiver.
I'm going to say one.
I don't think that that's very likely happening.
I think he's being drafted just right.
I think he's going to be a number two wide receiver.
Okay, O'Mary and Hampton finishes as a top five fantasy running back.
It's definitely not a three.
I could see it happening.
So that's a two, according to our boldometer.
You look at the situation he's in, who he's sharing the ball with, who his play caller is.
how the offensive line is,
schedule, all that jazz.
Yeah, there's a chance here for Amar and him.
There's a reason why he's being drafted as a top 10 running back,
and it's because he could potentially finish top five.
Really had a lot of catches last year, too.
I'm not sure what I don't know what to expect from the Chargers backfield
because last year, look, they were basically going to use Najee Harris
potentially ahead of him.
Remember Hampton had a pretty bad week one,
and then Najee got hurt in week two.
but they were at least going to split.
And then later in the year, he's splitting with Kamani Vidal.
Well, that's because he was coming back from an injury himself.
Yeah, but he didn't have.
And there will be some split.
There will be some split.
There's no question.
But he could end up getting a lot of the high value touches that we're looking for.
Keaton Mitchell is not somebody that's going to hoard 50% of the snaps.
And Vidal, I think Vidal is the loser with Mitchell coming to town.
Hampton's got to prove it, though.
He's got to play well right out of the gate.
Next poll prediction.
Caleb Williams.
throws 35 or more touchdowns.
That's at best a two.
I don't think it's very likely.
I think it's possible.
It's within the realm of possibilities for Caleb.
27 last year.
Yeah, so it's not that much more that we're asking him.
I'd be stunned.
I'm almost going one here.
Almost no chance.
Yeah, 35's a lot.
Now, if we said he scores that many,
you know, he had three rushing touchdowns.
So we had 30 total touchdowns last year.
Okay.
Now I could see it.
Next up.
No rookie wide receiver finishes inside the top 20.
Oh, that's a three.
That's very likely.
I mean, I know you're not going to rank any of them there, but.
No.
If one of them plays 17 games.
All right, all right, go ahead, expand.
Why is this very unlikely to you?
I just don't think any one of them,
The only one that's in like a great spot is Carnell Tate.
And the great spot is tempered by the quarterback not being awesome.
The offense in general might be a real problem.
He might see a top 20 volume like in targets per game.
Yeah, maybe Carnal Tate gets into the late teens there.
But as far as PPR points per game,
I imagine that there will be 20 other wide receivers who do better than Carnell Tate.
So Tetero and McMillan finished as wide receiver 15.
This is overall, not per game.
Abuka was wide receiver 18 overall in non-PPR, 24th in full PPR.
The year before that, we had three guys do it.
Brian Thomas Jr., neighbors, and McConkey.
The year before that, we had Pooka Nakuwa do it.
And Jordan Addison and Jaden Reed are actually not that far behind.
The year before that, Garrett Wilson was wide receiver 21 overall.
Chris Olavet was wide receiver 24 overall.
We almost always get at least one top 24, if not always,
get at least one top 24 rookie wide receiver.
What about top 20?
Top 20, it's, I can't find a year where we didn't have.
Oh, Garrett Wilson in 2022 is wide receiver 21 overall.
Right.
That's the only time in the last like decade, basically, that I'm seeing a wide receiver.
AJ Brown in 2019 was wide receiver 21 overall, but he was 10th overall in non-PR.
He was big touchdown.
And that's total points?
Total points, total points.
on a per game basis,
it's much less likely to happen.
But if one of those guys plays 17 games,
I have a feeling we'll get a top 24 guy,
a top 20.
Probably.
I was thinking per game.
Yeah.
And you should be.
Okay, let's take a break.
And we'll do some more bold predictions after this.
We're back on FFT Express.
Again, the confidence rating,
one, no chance, two could see it.
Three, very likely.
Next bowl prediction is
Tedd Earl McMillan outscores Malik neighbors
in fantasy points per game.
Right now, that's between a two and a three.
If neighbors shows up to training camp and is looking like his old self,
this is a point one, much less than one.
And I'm rooting for it.
I want to see Malik neighbors come back and dominate for the Giants like he did as a rookie,
but it's really hard to see when he's not even,
they don't even have a timetable that's really cemented for him,
coming off of a major knee injury like he had.
You almost want to give him the year off,
and we're drafting him accordingly.
His ADP is nowhere near what it was when we first started drafting back in February.
And it's pretty telling that the fantasy community is not ready to sink a valuable draft
pick into Malik neighbors until we see him do something.
And that's the way it should be.
And so based on how things are now,
I'd say McMillan's at a two on the boulder.
and that's that's all because of neighbors maybe not playing to expectations.
I don't think it's as crazy as it looks on paper.
They actually have very similar ADPs right now,
McMillan and neighbors.
And, you know,
the Giants want to run the ball a lot.
And I'm always cautious of players coming off injuries and them just not playing all that well.
I guess I would give it a two.
I could see it.
Yeah, I think it too is right.
And I'm just looking at,
I'm surprised myself seeing this on our ADP with our fans doing the drafting,
neighbors going 10 spots higher than McMillan.
Wow.
And fantasy pros, they're very close.
Yeah, they should be close.
How about Christian McCaffrey has one more RB1 season left?
RB1 meaning top 12, top 10, top one.
Overall, RB1, the best.
The RB1.
I guess I could see it.
can I say 1.5?
I am skeved out by the track record of running backs with as many touches as he's coming off of,
not to mention his own track record when he's had north of 350 touches in the season is bad.
And he's 30.
And the Niners are talking about taking some work off of him, which makes sense.
I know what he's capable of doing.
I know he's awesome.
But man, I can't spend a top five pick on Christian McCaffrey this year.
Can I spend a top 12 pick?
Yeah.
But part of that is because I'm just not sure there are a lot of other players with the same type of,
certainly not the same type of upside,
but with similar downside.
I feel like it's feast or famine with CMC.
Either he's going to get hurt by October and he's a lost cause or he survives the season again
and gets 100 catches and he's awesome for fantasy.
And there's no in between.
But his only downside is injury.
For sure.
Right.
It's not like, you know, giving the ball.
little bit more to Jordan James or Kalon Black is going to ruin him for fantasy.
It might take him down to like 20 PPR points per game.
If he stays healthy, it's health. It's totally health.
Yeah, it is.
Story coming on CBSSports.com in the near future.
I think your numbers are more,
are more positive than you think they are.
They're a little bit better because a lot of the touches aren't carries.
Well, no, I mean, you're the percentages of the guys who, you know, do,
Well, I'm not going to ruin the story.
Well, I think what's worth talking about is like a separate podcast, but I look at the track record of guys with 400 plus touches the year after is bad.
It's not bad.
Now we're talking to 450.
Yes, it is.
No, it's not necessarily bad from what I remember you telling me.
It's that you're holding them to such a high standard.
So yes, they have a drop off in production, but it doesn't mean they're all bad.
At best, it's a 50-50 shot.
At best, Adam.
To do what?
To be decent for fantasy.
Okay.
Yeah, there's the overwhelming majority of players coming off of that much volume
typically see a decline of at least 20%, which for McCaffrey would be about five points per game.
That's still 19 points per game.
That's why I don't mind taking him in the back half of round one.
Because if I'm going to get 19 points per game out of McCaffrey, okay, he's slowing down a little bit,
not quite the same guy we saw his efficiency fall off a little bit,
especially as a runner last year, then fine.
I would still be very happy.
with McCaffrey at 19 PPR points per game this year.
I just don't.
Can he stay healthy for it?
Can he actually get that?
Or is it going to be more like 16?
Which a lot of guys are going to average this year
that you're taking in round one, early round two.
All right.
It's Dave Richard doing the fabulous job.
I give that a three on a one to three scale.
Nice.
Very likely I'll take his advice.
We'll talk to you tomorrow on fantasy football today.
See you.
Podcasts.
