Fantasy Football Today - A Massive List of Sleepers! Matthew Golden, Keon Coleman, Jaydon Blue and More (08/12 Fantasy Football Podcast)
Episode Date: August 12, 2025Bid on Draft-A-Thon items here! https://tiltify.com/@cbs-sports/fft-draftathon-2025... Need a great late round pick? We've got a big list of sleepers for you headlined by guys like Matthew Golden, Keon Coleman, Tyler Warren and Jordan Love. We start the show with a round of Name That Sleeper (3:45)! Let's see if Dave and Jamey can guess some of their favorites ... Dave's sleepers (24:15) include Warren, Emeka Egbuka, Tank Bigsby, Zach Ertz and more. We've also got important news and notes (44:00) on James Cook, the 49ers wide receivers, the Browns quarterbacks and the Cowboys running backs ... Jamey's sleepers (51:15) include Trevor Lawrence, Jaydon Blue, Christian Kirk, Dalton Kincaid and Demario Douglas. We finish the show with a few sleeper suggestions from Adam (1:00:25) and even more from Dave. People are sleeping on the Browns backfield! ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Shop our store: shop.cbssports.com/fantasy SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dynasty/id1696679179 FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1 SUBSCRIBE to FFT DFS on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dfs/id1579415837 FOLLOW FFT DFS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5zU7pBvGK3KPhfb69Q1hNr?si=1c5030a3b1a64be2 Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr Follow the brand new FFT TikTok account: https://www.tiktok.com/@fftoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Everyone who comes into this clinic is a mystery.
We don't know what we're looking for.
Their bodies are the scene of the crime.
Their symptoms in history are clues.
You saved her life.
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I kinda love it if I'm being honest.
Solve the puzzle, save the patient.
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Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath.
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I was out to dinner last night.
I was talking a little fantasy football.
and somebody said, I got to get ready for my draft.
Can you give me a list of sleepers?
And that's, oh, I feel like that's so often the first thing people ask for.
They don't ask for breakouts, even though they should,
because sleepers win you weeks, breakouts, when you leagues, TM.
But they love sleepers?
We're going to give you so many sleepers today.
We're even going to play Name That Sleeper.
Jamie Eisenberg is here.
Good morning.
I decided I'm only going to wear blue-related things,
since everybody loved our jeans, chairs,
everything we did on CBS Sports Network yesterday.
So only blue.
We know what the Halloween episode is going to be.
Dave,
good morning.
La la la la la la.
Hi, Adam.
So you would be Papa Smurf.
Me?
Obviously Smurfette.
Ooh.
Jamie's going to be Brainy Smurf.
Brainy Smurf?
Okay.
Yeah.
Who's like the the tall beer drinking smurf?
Heathie Smirth
Heathie Smirth
All right, listen
that's Jamie
That's Dave
I'm Adam
And I'm just letting you know
I am going to kill
Dan Schneier
I hate him right now
Whoa
You can't like
He sent the most
I get in trouble
Saying words like that
He said
It was like
Change what you just said
Say it
Say it more creatively please
No I'm gonna kill him
I hate him
Wow
The gloves are coming off
He said such an insulting text
This morning to all of us
You think he meant it that way
I just steered it in that direction.
No, he texted me privately after and said it was, quote, mental warfare.
Oh, okay, good.
He said, what did he say?
He said, just had a chance.
Oh, so Dave, Jamie, and Heath were on CBS Sports Network yesterday, just the three of them.
And Dan sent the text to the three of us, Heath and Schaefer.
And he said, just had a chance to listen to yesterday's episode on CBSSN.
Great stuff, guys.
Seriously, that show flowed so well and was jam-packed with nuggets and actionable info.
right away and kept rolling.
And what a jerk.
So he's trying to get in my head for the tennis match.
We'll tell you more about that later.
Let's play a little name that sleeper because we have a lot of guys, most of them being
drafted, if not all of them being drafted after Pick 100.
But I got three rounds of name that sleeper, and here we go.
First round, I averaged 0.2 ppr points per game fewer than Zay Flowers, yet I'm going
30 spots later than him at wide receiver.
I had only one end zone target in 16 games in 2024.
I have averaged 62 receiving yards per game,
which is at 1,054-yard pace, twice in my career,
2021 and 2024.
I averaged 1.3 more yards per target
and 2.8 more yards per catch than my wide receiver teammate,
who's being drafted in round two.
Darnell Mooney.
Yeah, Dave, with the win.
And the last clue I had, I think Jamie would have gotten this.
Jamie wanted to add me in the Bakeburger Dynasty League last season,
but he didn't realize the commissioner moved waivers to Tuesday night instead of Wednesday night.
Yep, still haunts me.
So we got to mention there's some entry news on Darnell Mooney, actually.
Rahim Morris was pretty wishy-washy in terms of when he was coming back.
He's week to week.
We feel like he's going to be back at some point this season, I think he said.
He said, no, he said, he didn't say this.
He said, we'll have him back healthy this year, though.
I feel good about him getting back healthy and ready to go.
When, I don't know.
We'll have him back healthy this year, though.
So that's-
I get the sense from certain coaches when they get asked constantly about injured players,
like DeMico Ryan's is kind of taking this route to.
They just want to give like this blanket statement of they'll be back within a few weeks
or within, you know,
we expect him back to see you know you get the same catchphrases from certain players certain coaches
okay so mooney do you think he's got top 30 upside yes and i i think the the nice thing about it
is we've said this about several players he certainly fits the mold of a player you do not need to
plan to start that you can get with a double digit round pick and if he hits you're going to be
thrilled about it. And if he struggles or is out longer than you expect, this will be just one of the
players that you cut. So I was probably aggressively drafting him pre-injury, clearly very early
drafts, like as early as round eight. Like, I really like the setup for Darna Muni. I will still
draft him pretty aggressively, but not in round eight. I was about to say, I bet you're going to
draft him passively in round 10, which is where his ADP is on CBS right now. And it makes all the sense
in the world because he's certainly going to return value better than that if he can play
in 13 games and be good in like six of them like he's a great flex for your buy weeks
deeper leagues maybe a flex he's got that upside to go off in any game because of his role as a
man beater as a downfield target we know michael pennix can throw downfield and falcons might
be aggressive in throwing him the ball downfield so i i love the pick in round 10
Mm-hmm.
Going in round 12 on Fantasy Pros, that's Darnel Mooney.
All right, 1-0, Dave.
Next up, there were 89 wide receivers who had 50 or more targets last year.
I ranked third in yards per catch.
Somehow, I was, this is awesome.
Sixth in A-DOT, sixth highest A-DOT, and yet seventh in yak per catch.
So a great combination of air yards and yak.
But I had a 51% catch rate.
which ranked 85th out of those 89 wide receivers with 50 or more targets.
So good when he caught the ball, didn't catch it that often.
My team was 17th in gross passing yards per game after four straight seasons in the top 10.
And the last one, I attended a dreadful university.
Keon Coleman?
Yes.
Sorry, I'm getting pretty fired up for Miami, Notre Dame.
Kian Colman out of Florida State.
Great university.
Just trolling here.
Keon Coleman.
So, yeah, this was the profile.
High A-DOT, did well when he caught the ball, didn't catch it very often.
We're hopeful for him.
He's an easy pick because of the injury over Darno Mooney, I would assume.
He is now, yeah.
I think, you know, the hope for Coleman is the environment is great.
The quarterback is great.
Is the player great?
That's the best thing we have, or the biggest thing we have to find out, you know,
because I continue to say this.
It felt like things were starting to come together for him
in the two games prior to the wrist injury.
You go back to they had just traded for Amari Cooper.
You remember the play?
I think it was pretty widely shared everywhere of him telling Cooper what to do.
So maybe he was starting to get a full grasp of the play,
but on the field in the middle of play.
You know, Cooper didn't know what he was doing
and he was telling him the route to run pre-snap.
I don't know how much the wrist injury set him back.
I don't know if he's ever going to be a dominant player.
I was on Chris Harris's show on, I think it's Eric today.
And we were doing post-hyped sleepers, and this was one of the guys I named.
I think the profile, I think he may have said this once or twice in the last couple weeks,
like the way that it will get done, clearly a different player,
but the way that it will get done will be like a Jameson Williams.
Not a lot of targets, big plays, mostly touchdowns.
And I think that's the thing that's going to save him if he's going to be a good fantasy option
because he's not going to be a 140 target guy.
He's not going to be an 80 plus catch guy unless things just fall apart and he's that good.
He may get to a thousand yards receiving, but I don't think much more than that.
But I think he can be an 8 to 10 touchdown guy.
And so where you'll draft him will probably be great return if those things come to fruition,
especially now with Shakir dealing with the ankle injury and Josh Palmer and Elijah Moore,
the guy that he's competing with.
Like this is the guy they want to see.
They want to see.
play at a high level, and it would benefit us.
All right.
Touchdowns have to be there.
Would you rather have to be there?
And the targets have to be there.
I don't think he can be as good as Stefan Diggs was.
And Diggs was an awesome target for Josh Allen,
but he's the only guy in the last five years in Buffalo
to average more than 14 PPR points per game.
Keon Coleman or Christian Kirk?
Coleman.
Coleman right now.
There's just more upside.
Keon Coleman or Josh Downs.
I have Coleman over Downs, but all three of them are in that same range of receivers who I think you should expect somewhere between 12 and 13 PPR points per game from.
It's just that Coleman's got a little bit more upside because it's a second year.
There's changes potentially coming to this bill's offense, especially if James Cook does sit out for a while.
Oh, back at practice today.
Expected back at practice today.
He's back to...
Ooh.
Yeah.
James Cook.
I didn't know that.
That's great news.
Yeah, came hot off the presses this morning.
You know what else is great news?
Yeah, there's already video coming out there.
All right.
That's great news.
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I actually was using the BetMGM app last night because I had a very fun dinner with my
softball friends and we were talking football.
It was awesome.
Just like a bunch of guys talking football.
And it was a big debate about who is going to be worse, the dolphins or the Patriots or
the Jets.
Who was going to finish last in the AFCEs?
So we looked up all their Super Bowl odds and we had representation from all three teams of
fans. It was fun. All right. Last one. We're tied at one. Let's go to number three.
I am the only sleeper that is on Jamie's list, but not on Dave's, of the lists you guys provided for today's show.
My ADP, the last four seasons, including this season, has been round three, round six, round six, round 12.
You can find me in cherries, peaches, mangoes, and more.
Kyle Pitts.
Hey!
Of course, I get it with the food clue.
By the way, look at the spelling of mangoes there.
Schaefer is Ron Burgundy, because I spelled it wrong when I sent him the clue,
and he just continued to spell it wrong.
The next clue was I have averaged 36.9 receiving yards per game in my last three seasons.
That's horrible.
And the final clue was, I attended a dreadful university.
So, Dave, you can find him in cherries, peaches, mangoes, and Adams tennis game.
Oh, it's the Pitts?
Okay, I get that.
Dave, how come Kyle Pitts isn't on your sleeper's list?
Do you think he's a sleeper if Mooney does?
Because I've got eyeballs and I've watched him for four years and I just don't want to watch
him or root form or count on him anymore.
I can't fault Jamie for putting him as a double-digit round pick, but he falls into
the exact same category as any late round sleeper you're going to draft him you're going to
hope for good things if he has a good game or two in the first three weeks of the season cool
you're going to keep them on your team otherwise you're cutting them for somebody else don't be
surprised if you're cutting him for somebody else all right jimmy you want to make a quick
sleeper's case for kyle pitts i mean i think dave said it best based on the value you know that's
the the hope is that the upside kicks in you know i like the fact that the quarterback is
clearly behind him and supporting him.
I like the fact that there's an opportunity here for him to get concentrated
targets, especially when he's going to miss any extended period of time with this
shoulder injury.
I think contract situation is going to motivate him, hopefully, you know, now that he's
got to play for his next deal, you tend to see that sometimes.
Look, he got off to a decent start last year.
It didn't really coincide when cousins started to struggle.
But the first four or five games, he was averaging 10 p.PR points per game.
that's not what anybody expected from him.
That's obviously what not anybody hoped for him after we saw that thousand-yard season.
But if he gets to that number, he's in the mix to be a top 12 tight-in.
So based on where you're taking him at this point, easy player just to see what the first few games look like.
If he's terrible, like Dave said, you move on.
You know, the only thing I will say is if you are a 2-QB drafter, don't make yourself a 2-Tide-end drafter unless you just have deep benches.
So pick one of the ones he positions.
That's just more of a blanket statement, not necessarily a Kyle Pitt statement.
I don't think you want to double up on quarterback and tight end, you know,
taking chances on two players that may hit.
It could work out for you, obviously, but just not something I would recommend,
especially if it's a five-person bench or even a six-person bench.
But if you take a tight end and we know this position is clearly harder to find guys
that have breakout potential or sleeper potential, whatever you want to qualify him as,
really once you get past the top three tight ends,
it's not a bad idea to take a shot twice at the position, you know, from LaPorte on down.
So he would be in the mix again with those late-round tight ends.
And it's funny because I'm pretty sure, not that I check it all the time,
but I think Dave hasn't ranked higher than I do.
When you get to the older tight ends versus the younger tight ends,
and I think really there are two that qualify that will get drafted with eight-round picks.
They're both in my sleepers column.
It's Dalton Kincaid and Cow Pets.
Clearly a lot of people are frustrated with those two, understandably so.
Those two guys, maybe you want to throw Ferguson in that category,
but I would put them as a little safer option.
But like Ferguson and Ertz and Goddert,
like you kind of know what you're getting with them.
You know, they're going to be in that 10-11 PPR point per game range.
They're going to be safe.
If Pitts or Kincaid actually hit and perform to their level of potential,
they should be better than those guys.
So it's a matter of what kind of sleeper or late-round tight end you want.
For me, I would shoot for a little bit more of the upside.
Again, I don't have a rank that way because I think if I just wait on tight end
and I just need one, I'm taking Erts over pits.
I think that makes more sense.
and over Kincaid, those type of things.
But if I'm looking for that second guy to hit,
it would be the Kincaid Pitts route,
just to see if those guys come to,
you know, some level of extreme production.
But you could also get Warren and Loveland after Pick 100.
Well, that goes out saying,
like you're taking those guys ahead of Pitts and Kincaid,
or at least you should.
Yeah.
So you can still wait eight, nine rounds
and get a tight end that might be awful,
but might,
but has a lot of talent and a lot of upside.
It's pretty crazy.
I did a full ADP breakdown of our site.
They'll be up at some point, I hope today.
I did four different stories.
You could see quarterback, running back, wide receiver, tight end.
I was really shocked the ADP, tight ends across the board.
Bowers' ADP on our site is 25.
That was a little surprising that he's outside the first two rounds.
But the difference between Warren and Loveland was glaring,
how much sooner Warren is going than Loveland's going.
And so if you're, if you're just looking at it like, like for me, they're close.
I would take the discount on Loveland, but really just to tie in Pitts and Kincaid.
I don't want to go Loveland, Warren or Loveland and Kincaid or Pitts.
I'd rather go Warren or Loveland with an Ertz or Goddard type player, you know,
just to get a little bit more of a floor with the upside of those two guys.
You know, I don't know if I'm explaining that the right way, but like if I'm taking the shot
on the rookie tight end, I want a little safer floor.
If I'm taking a shot on the Joku and he may stink because.
of whatever the quarterback situation, maybe at some point during the season,
like I'd rather have the Pitt's potential upside moving forward.
You'd rather have one tight end with upside and one tight end with a high floor?
Yes.
Okay.
Why not two tight ends with upside, knowing that there's going to be some high floor tight ends on waivers?
It's a fair question.
Yeah, you can easily go that route.
I think just knowing that how this position has operated and performed, and these two in particular,
You know, Pitt, if it was taking a shot on, let's say, Ingram and one of the rookies, like that I would do.
Yeah, sure.
Okay.
What about a low, upside, low floor tight end?
Would you take one of those?
Yeah, that's what I would do.
Yeah, I mean, you might get that with Kyle Pitts.
Yeah, we got a lot of names to get to today.
So let's take a break.
When we come back, I'm going to tell you how to get in the podcast league.
How to get in the draftathon league, which is maybe the most appealing for you guys,
if you really want to test your chops against some of the best in the industry and much more.
We'll be right back on fantasy football today.
Now streaming.
Everyone who comes into this clinic is a mystery.
We don't know what we're looking for.
Their bodies are the scene of the crime.
Their symptoms in history are clues.
You saved her life.
We're doctors and we're detectives.
I kind of love it if I'm being honest.
Solve the puzzle.
Save the patient.
Watson, all episodes now streaming on Paramount Plus.
We're back here on Fantasy Football Today.
All right, so this is really important.
If you purchase a spot in the Fantasy Football Today Open, the FFT Open, the drafts are all,
some of them actually, there's one underway.
We can talk about some of the results.
But the drafts are starting next Monday, the 18th.
If you haven't joined the league, if you haven't,
received the invite. I've reached out to everyone who hasn't accepted yet. You have to get in touch
with me. Some of the emails are bouncing back, whatever it might be. I'm sorry, I know this is only
directed at, we have thousands of people listening. It's directed at like 15 people. But if you're in the
FFTO opening, you pay $250. I want you to be a part of it. Please reach out. Fantasy football at
CBSI.com. That is the letter I. Fantasy football at CBSI.com. And, you know, we'll get you
in the league and we'll get it sorted out. But we've got less than a week to make this happen.
The other things you can be part of here.
Go to tiny URL.com slash 2025 FFT.
Scroll down, Thomas is going to show you right now.
Scroll down, click on the, oh, you're already on the auction house.
All right, go to the auction house from the main page.
And you've got spots in the podcast league.
You just click on View Auction House.
There are, I think, six spots available in the podcast league.
It tells you exactly where you're picking from.
Private pre-draft Zoom calls with the three of us, Heath,
Dan, Jacob Gibbs, you can bet on the tennis match.
If you bet on team at, or not bet on, but you can bid on the tennis match.
If you bid on team Adam and you win, you're co-managing with me.
And all I have to do is win four, five games to cover the spread.
If you are on team Schneier, you're co-managing with him in the FFT League.
And if I win fewer than five games, then he wins that.
And then there's the, yeah, then there's the draftathon league with experts.
So, Jamie, you have a quick rundown of some of the guys who are in that league,
because this is maybe the toughest league you could be in.
And you have a chance to be in this league.
You only have two days left, by the way.
So, Jamie, who's in that league?
If everybody returns, it is Scott Fish,
Andy Holloway of the footballers,
Jake Sealy, Joe P. Sapia.
Jake Sealy of the Athletic, Joe Pes-Apia of Fantasy Pros.
Myself, Dave, and Heath.
Is Chris Harris in that one?
Chris Harris.
Harris football.
I don't want to disrespect anybody by not mentioning their name, so I apologize.
Yeah, that's okay.
I shouldn't have put you on the spot like that.
But the point is...
Nando in it?
Nando is in it, yes.
The point is you're going to be facing some of the best in the biz, and you can be in that.
So go to tiny URL.com slash 2025 FFT.
There's only a day or two left for these for you to bid on them.
I understand if you're trying to slow play it and wait to put your bid in, I get that.
But, you know, don't wait too long.
Click on View Auction House and you'll see all of these things available and all of this is going to St. Jude.
All right.
And just to note, we play that league out.
It's not just a draft and the winner gets a donation in their name to St. Jude.
Excellent.
All right.
Who won that league last year?
Live streams.
All right.
Live stream tonight 7 p.m. Eastern.
Live stream.
Who won?
Who won?
Dave.
Nice.
Yeah, that's why I asked.
All right, live stream tonight, Tuesday night, 7 p.m. Eastern, live mock draft.
Live stream Thursday, 4 p.m. Eastern to 6 p.m.
Fantasy questions, and of course, the tennis match.
Adam Rank and Marcus Granham, the NFL Network are in that league as well.
And...
How could you forget Marcus?
Eric Young, a professional wrestler.
I don't know if we're going to be streaming live from 4 to 6,
but probably sometime around 4.30 to 6 or something like that.
But 430 would be better for me, so I appreciate that.
Yeah, YouTube.com slash fantasy football today.
I am reaching out to some tennis pros to join me.
I was going to ask my tennis pro today.
So you want to wait on that.
I meant like tennis pros.
Yeah, he's a pro.
No, I mean like professional tennis players.
Oh, seriously?
Mm-hmm.
All right, and we're on CBS Sports Network tomorrow or Wednesday at...
I was the most nervous laugh I've ever heard.
No, that's cool.
That's awesome.
Wednesday at 1 p.m. Eastern.
All right, let's get some sleepers here.
And, and there will be Nando Defino in some capacity.
In some capacity.
So we're going to have a lot of fun.
Even if you don't want to watch the tennis match,
you want to just talk a little fantasy football.
Tune in YouTube.com slash fantasy football today.
Thursday, sometime in the 4-4-30 range until 6 p.m. Eastern.
All right, Dave's sleepers.
These guys are all being drafted after Pick 100,
both on CBS and on Fantasy Pros.
We've got Matthew Golden.
So we've talked about Keon Coleman and Darnal Mooney.
Golden's ahead of them, right?
And his ADP could be rising, especially with the Jaden Reed injury.
When would you take Matthew Golden?
His ADP might be falling after today's news.
Oh, yeah, Jordan Love.
Right, sorry, let me throw that in there.
Jordan Love has a left thumb injury.
He's having a minor procedure, and he is hopeful to be back for week one.
They said he'll be ready for week.
They said he'll be expected for week one.
Okay.
And he's a right-handed quarterback, so it just sounds like something that was necessary for him to survive through the year,
but it shouldn't impact the way he throws a football very much.
But how he handles snaps, stuff like that, it needs to be done.
I loved what I saw from Matthew Golden, not only in college,
but also in the first preseason game he was getting open pretty much at will.
Good speed, good technique in his routes.
I'm okay with him in full PPR in round seven.
I know it seems a little early.
I know it seems early, but I think he's going to be the number one target getter for Green Bay.
I think he's got a chance to put up some very nice numbers this year should be able to finish as at least a top 36 wide receiver.
I'm tempering it there, though.
I think there's going to be weeks where he's top 10, top 12, just the type of high upside ceiling receiver that you should be targeting in your drafts.
So I am writing Breakouts 3.0 today, and I think I'm just going to do it to troll Adams specifically and just make the entire list.
No.
Rookies.
No.
Yes.
Ridiculous.
Why is it ridiculous?
What are you breaking out from?
It's your first year in the league.
So I'm going to qualify it as that these guys are going to outperform their average draft position by two rounds or more.
Okay.
I like that.
And so I think that Golden has a huge opportunity here.
Jaden Reed's in a walking boot.
They love him.
Dave said it, you know, like he's been everything you can.
could ask for so far. And I think the fun part about this is, is like, we have a lot of expectations
and a lot of questions about this amazing rookie running back class. And yet it seems as if
we're getting a lot of clarity with these rookie wide receivers in some great spots of this
class that was not supposed to be great, of where McMillan is stepping into this great role and
Hunter looks like he's going to be as good as advertised. And now you have a Bucca with this
clear runway of, you know, maybe
no God when to start the season. And now
Matthew Golden is in this unbelievable
spot where would he be the one
with Reed?
Would he have an opportunity
to live up to being a first round pick? Was he over drafted?
He's answering all those questions right now.
No, he's not.
Well, he is?
How is he? He is a little.
This is, but, okay, but rookies get,
rookies get so much hype every
preseason. It's always happens.
I'm just talking about the situation being
Well, okay, the situation looks good.
Yeah, but I don't know that we can say that he's, I don't know.
Well, I think if we were saying you're drafting the number one receiver for the Packers,
who was a first round pick and has a chance to be the target leader on the team,
we'd be talking about a guy that says top 36.
We'd be drafting him as a top 30 receiver.
No questions.
Yeah.
I mean, look, he's going 100th or something after people 100.
That's great.
I'm going to guess by the end of this month, he's in the high 80s, low 90s, is ADP.
you know, so he may climb 10 to 15 spots because of things like this.
Like we're hyping them up, no question about it.
You know, so yes, rookie wide receivers, rookies general, just get overhyped.
There's no, there's no way around it.
Like you look at situations and you say, great, look, oh my God, shiny new toy, got to go get it.
I just told you, I'm going to do a whole breakout column on rookies.
So there's a lot to love about the situation, but that's why you're drafting him this way.
You know, so Dave says round seven, yeah, I think I think you can get there.
It's shocking.
It helps that there's actual evidence on film that he's got a little bit of discipline in his route running and that the speed is not an issue whatsoever.
You might remember me saying during like the lead up to the draft, which Matthew Golden are NFL teams getting?
Are they getting the guy who kind of to toil a little bit for two years at Houston and went to Texas and struggle and then finally got an opportunity to be the lead receiver at Texas in his last 10 games, he played like a first round pick?
and I think that's who Green Bay got.
It just seems like everything's clicking for him.
And Jane Reed could be healthy,
and I'd still be this excited about Matthew Golden.
Ricky Pearsall or Matthew Golden?
Pearsall.
They're back to back for me.
I have Pearsall one spot ahead.
So I would take both, as you see here,
based on the rankings, the consensus rankings,
over Olave, over Godin at this point.
Yeah.
Okay.
You just have to
you have to hope that these,
teams throw more, especially
especially Green Bay.
I would be shocked if they don't throw more.
Now, this thumb injury may change that.
I think the one thing you got to look at with
Matt LaFleur, the same thing with Sean McVeigh,
the same thing with Kevin O'Connell.
They are so smart, Kyle Shanahan.
Like, they're so smart at adjusting to what works best
for their teams.
And Jordan Love couldn't move last year.
He had the knee injury, he had the groin injury.
He wasn't the same quarterback.
And so what was working?
Josh Jacobs was awesome.
I think it was Popinski in our chat said
they're going to be a run dominant team.
They're probably going to be a run dominant team,
but I think they're going to be much closer to 50%
50-50 than they were last year.
Maybe they don't get back to what they were end of 2023.
But at that point, again, had no run game.
All right, Dave, let's talk about your next guy on the list.
Tyler Warren.
So Warren is going on 1006th on CBS,
110th on fantasy pros and PPR average draft position.
You know, look, there's an obvious issue here, right?
There's only been one tight end last three years that's finished top five
and been on a team that's averaged fewer than 227 passing yards per game.
To put that in perspective, Anthony Richardson averaged 174 yards per game last year
if you remove week four of which you left with an injury.
Daniel Jones has eclips 227 passing guards per game twice in six seasons, six or five, six seasons.
But he's been well below that four times in six seasons.
So can the Colts really give me a true sleeper who's going to, you know, change things in fantasy and Tyler Warren?
And this is a player who unlike Matthew Golden, I thought he didn't look great in his first preseason game,
even though there are some catches and runs that he had where he, you know, look good.
But there were other things that he did where he didn't look as good.
I think his blocking could have gotten better.
I feel like he played a little bit slower than he did at Penn State.
Maybe it was his first game and he was thinking too much out there.
I think he's just a really unique talent at tight end.
His ability to get yards after the catch and after contact is outstanding.
And we saw that translate in the preseason game.
And I think we'll continue to do so.
He's not a big downfield weapon.
Could he run 15 plus yards and catch a ball?
Of course he can.
But I bet the Colts use him as a short area target.
it as an outlet for these quarterbacks,
as an easy option for these quarterbacks,
and in the case of Warren,
especially, like a red zone option.
So I've been saying it all offseason long.
I think he can lead this team in all the receiving categories.
I think he can finish as a top 12 tight end.
I think he's got that kind of potential.
And being able to draft that in the middle of round 9 plus
is, it just feels like a real easy pick because who am I passing on it
tight end at that point who's got more upside and isn't in as crowded of a receiving
core so i'm going to ask a different question i think has just he's got more mouse to feed in
chicago's offense and now we've got questions about caleb and how great of a thrower he is he's
better than the guys in indy but he's not what a typical number one overall pick should be at least
not based on the report so far it's not which tight end are you passing up it's which wide receiver
which running back which quarterback because in round 10 round round 9 if you're
he gets there, whatever, there's still a lot of really exciting players at the other positions.
That's kind of where I struggle with Warren, but hopefully, look, at that point, you should have
built up your roster to the point where you can say, all right, listen, I'd love to get Keon
Coleman, but it's not going to happen.
I need to take Tyler Warren here or whatever.
You know, you pivot.
You can't have every sleeper.
You just can't.
All right.
Next up on Dave.
But he's a great name, sorry, Adam.
He's a great name to remember if you whiff on tight end early.
Absolutely.
No, I mean.
And we already talked about the other veterans that you can.
could add with him?
I actually, I don't remember what draft it was.
I actually reached for him.
Gosh, I don't know, round eight or nine,
because I really want Tyler Warren.
And he's so exciting to me.
So, yes, I sometimes go into drafts intentionally thinking,
I'm probably going to wait on tight end,
or at least maybe after the first three rounds or so.
Like, all right, now I'm just going for Tyler Warren.
I don't know if you guys do that too, but.
It's so conducive where you pick,
because if you pick middle of the first round
you're in play for Bowers or McBride
if you pick late in round one
you're in play for Kittle
if you pick early in round one
unless McBride falls
and you're willing to take him
you're probably playing the waiting game
and then it's just a matter of which that end you're waiting for
and Jamie means if you pick late in round one
you're in play for Kittle
near the three four turn hopefully in round four
I'd rather play hungry hungry hippos
a mecca
we've talked a lot about him
So I'm just going to ask you, Abuka or Matthew Golden?
Golden.
Golden for now, but if we get worse news on Godwin, it's easily Abuca.
Do you guys think Abuka should be a top 100 pick?
Yes.
Yeah, he's a breakout.
Easily.
So that means he's going ahead of Juan Jennings, Ricky Pearsall, maybe.
No, I would do that.
We think he's undervalued.
How about like Jacoby Myers or Mecca Bucca?
Myers.
Myers for now.
But again, if Godwin's news gets worse than Abuka.
Then this is good news because it's probably going to be hard for him to crack the top 100
or at least maybe the top 95 because it's a deep position, right?
These guys are going late.
Keon Coleman, we already talked about.
Tank Bigsby is next on Dave's Sleepers list.
So Biggsby is 121st on CBS overall and 143rd on Fantasy Pros.
That's RB44.
And he's not moving up.
because everybody's so focused on ETN having all the first team reps in their first preseason game.
I would say that this is going to be one of the most frustrating backfields all season long
because Vachel Tutin got first team reps on Monday,
and we are going to see at least three guys getting touches, potentially four.
So it's just one of those things where, depending on how many leagues you play in,
like take shots on one Jaguars running back.
I right now the only one I want is dude
because you get him so late
because I get him late
okay
so I'll take Biggs to be in round 10 all day long
I don't think he's going to sit in round 10
though that's the problem like his first off like
I'm sure Adam if you look at
NFC ADP because you could change the dates
like go back prior to
the preseason game
like I wonder where he was
okay i'll look from let's say july 25th
through no you got to go like when training camp started when he was getting like
just did the week before camp like do august first to august 7th or something like that
august 6th yep oh okay august first through okay um keep talking oh so i'll tell you why i like
bigsby first of all he's never going to play third downs he's just not a pass catching back
he's a running downs back he's trap back physical yeah
He, okay, except I think he can work at the goal line.
And if this offense is going to put up a lot of points and they're going to move the ball through the air and they're creatively designed by Liam Cohen, then I'm cool taking a running back who might score seven, eight times over the course of a season.
And he might have 10, 12 carries on top of that.
He could be the goal, not just the goal line back, but the four minute back.
So when they're playing with a lead in the second half, he's getting carries.
We know that he's more than capable of having.
Explosive plays. His efficiency last year was through the roof blew away ETNs.
And there's just, there's a lot to really like about Bigsby based on last year,
based on all the reports, based on his game. He's not a perfect all around back.
But if he was, we wouldn't be drafting him in round nine, round 10, wherever he'd be going
three rounds higher. And I feel like we know what ETN is at this point. And yes,
the ultimate thing that I would agree with you, Jamie, on,
is that there is going to be a committee.
It is going to be a mess.
But I think, I don't know if there's really another back on this roster
who they're going to trust in short yardage other than Bixby.
Okay, so from August 1st through August 7th, Travis Eton,
this is NFC, average draft position, high stakes leagues.
Travis Eton was going 99th overall and Tank Bixby was going 123rd overall.
I'm surprised.
Yeah.
Okay.
I also love the first two games for Jacksonville this year against Carolina and against Cincinnati.
They should be able to score on those teams, Bigsby could score in each of those games.
Obviously, it gets a little bit harder after that, but there's, I think he's a great value this late in the draft.
You also think Zach Hertz is a good value.
You went to the joint practice and you saw something there.
You can talk about that when we come back.
We're going to take a break and finish up with some more sleepers.
three more from Dave, a list from Jamie as well,
and we'll be back after this.
All right, we're back here.
So Zach Ertz, he's tied in 18 on Fantasy Pros
is going 153rd.
On CBS, Ertz going earlier than that.
He's 122nd overall, but still we're now into round 11 there.
So safety valve for Jaden Daniels.
I guess I would just say, listen to yesterday's show.
Dave talked about Ertz toward the end of the program.
But, you know, would you take the safe Ferguson Goddard group
or Zach Ertz?
He's part of that safe group.
I'd go Ferguson over Hertz,
but I'd take Hertz over Goddard.
Okay.
Drake May is next on your list.
We've talked a lot about Drake May.
You said you're moving him up.
He's going 130th on CBS, 140th.
QB 18 on fantasy pros.
And he seems to be,
I mean, we talk about blob at wide receiver.
There's definitely a blob at backup quarterback.
May seems to be one who's rising up the rankings
and appears to be close to the front for you two.
not for Heath. Go ahead, Dave.
I think he's a double-digit round pick.
I think Jamie might take him a little bit sooner than that,
so that means I'm not going to get him in a lot of our drafts.
I also think that he cannot be your only quarterback to start the season,
but not only is he a candidate to throw for close to 4,000 yards
and maybe 20, 25 touchdowns through the air,
let's call it 25 touchdowns through the air.
He's going to run for a bunch of touchdowns.
Did it in the joint practice against Washington.
He did it in the preseason game against Washington.
Washington. And he's talked a lot this offseason about, well, I know I can't count on my legs,
but there's going to be points in the game where I know how big I am and I know that I can run and
I'm going to take off. And just there's a little bit of Josh Allen in Drake May. And wouldn't
you love to get a Josh Allen, a low rent Josh Allen in round 10 just to see what happens.
If you're inclined to carry two quarterbacks, May is the best one that you. You're,
you could draft as your second quarterback.
Last one on Dave's list for now.
He has provided two other lists, but for now it's Ray Davis.
And Jamie, I think Ray Davis was on your list as well.
One game without James Cook last year, Ray Davis had 23 touches, 152 total yards,
18.2 PPR fantasy points.
It was pretty awesome stuff.
Does anybody think Ray Davis has value if James Cook does not get hurt?
does not get hurt no no i think well value as a starter no flex and deeper leagues potentially
because i think we're going to see some usage where he gets maybe a little bit more involved this
year and we saw it last year you know like he he was starting to make some some plays he had
four games with i think it's four with double digits and carries and all four of those he was i think
it was like 13 ppr points or more like he he did great um some of it was you know getting late
touchdowns but i don't know i i i hope the history of what these hold in hold out running backs
doesn't take hold of what happened to james cook like it did two years ago with josh jacobs
and jonathan taylor granted practicing situations were different because cook started to practice
missed in practice came back to practice clearly today so not as much of maybe a negative slant
but should he miss any time, I think Ray Davis could be a league winner.
His appeal is not as good with Cook coming back to practice.
This is going to sort of play itself out as long as Cook sat.
So his ADP probably won't change very much.
If Cook signs his contract extension, Davis is a handcuff.
If Cooks continues to practice, doesn't get his extension,
but is ready to go week one, we don't have to worry about the impact of a hold-in.
and Davis is a handcuff.
The only way he's a sleeper is if James Cook
does not practice much before the start of the season.
Yeah, but at the very least, he's a high-end handcuff.
He could be really good.
Yeah, but now it's like round 12,
and if you take him and you don't have James Cook on your team,
he's probably going to be the first guy you cut
when you need a roster spot.
All right, so James Cook practicing today.
Let's go to our news and notes real quick here.
Well, Jamie, this is great timing.
So now I'm going to ask you, James Cook,
Just because he's practicing today, it's not like everything necessarily all hunky-dory,
but it's nice that he's back.
James Cook, Trayvion Henderson, R.J. Harvey, who's your favorite?
Probably if this, I give it one more day just to see if this was a goodwill gesture by Cook
to say, hey, I'm back, pay me, or if it's going to see how this goes.
Right now, I'll still take the two rookies over James Cook.
But if he's back, gets his deal, then that's one spot where I will move.
He will not get back to where he was.
He will be behind, he will not crack the top 12 and will barely be just inside the top 15.
And I will not take him in the first three rounds.
This could be a fool you.
We'll see how it plays out.
Cameron Hayward, Pittsburgh defensive tackle.
He could extend his holdout into the regular season.
They were a lot better against the run with him off the field, on the field, on the field last year.
3.7 yards per carry to running backs compared to 5.2 with him off the field.
Jordan Love, again, having the procedure on his left thumb, should be ready for the regular.
other season. Kyle Shanahan mentioned week six as a possible return date for Brandon Iyuk,
but he also said, hey, it could be week five, could be week 10. So Iyuk is nowhere near
as it appears. This team is so depleted at wide receiver, Jordan Watkins is going to miss
about a month with a high ankle sprain. Joanne Jennings and Jacob Cowing remain out. Jennings may
or may not be injured, but we know he wants a new contract. DeMarcus Robinson is facing a possible
suspension for a DUI.
So it is Ricky Pearsall's room to dominate right now.
Matthew Stafford did not practice on Monday.
He was supposed to.
He's got this kind of trailer that heals all wounds that everybody's buzzing about.
They have like a chamber that he's been in.
But hopefully he'll be back today.
Heath brought this up on the greatest show ever that you weren't part of.
That it feels as if maybe Garoppolo not as bad.
as could be for those guys.
Yeah.
There have been some really good reports about Garoppolo in practice,
Garoppolo and the joint practice against Dallas.
Connecting with Devante Adams,
have they buried the hatchet?
Adam said it was misunderstood for what it's worth
and that he liked Jimmy Garoppolo quite a bit.
It certainly appears that way.
Yeah.
If there's a dip on Nakua and Adams,
I'm buying all day long.
Rashad White is day-to-day with a groin injury.
Just read an article this morning about Bucky Irving from ESPN.com.
Jen Elaine.
The article says,
Irving's mistackle rate
last season reflects that.
In 2024,
he produced a mistackle rate
of nearly 60%
of his carries,
the highest rate
tracked by next gen stats
since they started tracking
in 2016.
And then this was a quote,
he's even light years
ahead of where he was
at this point last year.
This is from offensive coordinator,
Josh, I believe it's Grizzard.
I heard it on the...
It's Grisard.
Just the sort of
Strides he's made, even from that point, are amazing.
You can see the work that he puts in.
You guys talk to him.
He loves it, and he's committed to it.
That's Bucky Irving.
Philadelphia gets good news on Landon Dickerson, star offensive guard.
He's hopeful to return for week one.
He's having a minor knee procedure.
Houston tight end, Brevin Jordan left practice with a knee injury.
He could be serious.
He played in only two games last year.
Cleveland quarterback update.
Kenny Pickett and Dylan Gabriel are progressing.
Gabriel could play this week.
Zach Jackson of the Athletic says that Joe
Flacco is probably the week one starter.
He also said that Flacco and Jerry Judy have been connecting well.
He said Jerome Ford and Dylan Sampson were 1A and 1B in the backfield.
And he says the receiving core is Judy and a bunch of question marks.
Meanwhile, Seattle-wide receiver Tori Horton.
You saw the latest depth start they released, right?
No.
Shoulder say, and are still fourth?
Oh, fourth, yeah.
Seattle-wide receiver, Tori Horton, working with the first team.
And John Michota of the Athletic says that no running bat.
He's a Cowboys reporter for the athletic.
No running back for Dallas has come close to running away with the starting job.
Giovante Williams has been getting most of the first team reps,
but Jaden Blue and Miles Sanders are currently out with injuries.
And bad news for Miami running back, Alexander Madison.
Tough to see it.
He is out for the season with a neck injury.
They said today not career ending.
So hopefully he has a chance to continue his career.
Normal league neighbors are practiced today for the Giants.
Okay.
Are you still concerned?
Am I still concerned?
I'm concerned about two things, three things.
I'm concerned about Malik Neighbors' toe.
I'm concerned about Malik Neighbors' quarterback
when it's eventually the rookie Jackson Dart.
I don't care how he looked in the preseason.
And I'm concerned that if I don't draft Malik Neighbors,
I'm going to be making the biggest mistake of my life.
Because he's so good.
And he is going to get a lot of targets.
But, yeah, I hope he comes back and makes us feel better about the time.
Let me play out in Arafree.
If I told you Malik Neighbors is the number one receiver in fantasy,
through the first 10 weeks of the season
they're 2 and 8
by that point and they bench us
finally decides it's enough
they bench us
and for the last
seven games
through the fantasy championship
league neighbors
is wide receiver 30 from that point
where would you draft neighbors
round two
if not round three
yeah what if that's through 12 weeks
round two
that's a first round pick then
he's going to give you
huge production for the first time.
So last year, it was 23 points per game was Chase, right?
So let's say he's 23 points per game through the first 10 weeks of the season.
Yeah, it's right where we're dragging.
But here's the thing, like, I don't know in advance that he's going to struggle in the playoffs, right?
I'm telling you right now, you looked at your crystal, you looked at your magic eight ball,
and you said, what, is Malik neighbors the number one receiver for the first time of the season?
And it says yes.
And then you say, is Malik neighbors the number 30 wide receiver for the last six weeks
of the season, whatever the case may be?
and it says yes.
So you know,
because you trust the Magic A ball
more than you trust your wife,
you know that that's guaranteed to happen.
Where I draft Malik neighbors
in the first round.
So I can bench him for the last six games
because I know ahead of time.
You can bench him for the last six games.
Oh, then he's,
I'm going to take him like second overall.
I'm going to take that production.
But you know that it's going to be.
So it goes from 23 points per game to 13.
This reminds me of.
You can flex them if it's 13.
This reminds me of the fall of the house of Usher,
anybody saw that um all right uh i never mentioned that before you watch his apparent that's amazing
i never mentioned kyle monongai i think um maybe we should be talking about him in the sleepers
episode he had five carries for 30 yards at miami he was okay he had some he was up and down i would
say um some good burst though didn't look like a seventh round pick all right here's james's
uh sleeper wait just real quick because you mentioned madison they they are jamaul williams is
making the rounds like he went to work out for the bears he's working out for the dolphins
Or I did work out for the offense.
I think they moved on because they signed Mike Boone.
But Chicago clearly is not happy with something.
Roshan's been banged up.
Yeah.
Are they looking for that guy?
And this was the original guy.
Like, you know, does he come in and be the goal line option?
That was the Ben Jones.
But something's up with him if he keeps making the rounds.
Because if he would look good, someone would sign him.
Well, he's not good.
He's not good.
He's in Chicago, and they like what they saw.
And then he finds out that Alexander Medicine's neck is bad.
and his agent said that's true it's possible yeah like jamaul williams is what he's 30 he's you know
he's just not not that great anymore unfortunately all right jamie's list of sleepers so jordan love
is on your sleepers list you changing that not at all i think this will push him down a little bit
and still make him just as good if this was knee ankle hamstring something that you know as we
saw last year groin injury knee injury he did not run at all at all under 100 yards rushing for
the season like he was clearly not himself
If it's right thumb, I'd be nervous.
His 17-game pace, if you take out week 18, played 35% of the snaps in week 18.
17-game pace was 4,031 yards, 30 touchdowns.
What was his 17-game pace?
Oh, it is even better if you remove week 8 and week 18 because he played 63% of the snaps in that.
So now we're looking at 4,086 yards, 33 touchdowns, which is not much worse than what he did the year before.
The big difference was he had
almost no rushing production,
but we certainly expect that to come back.
Trevor Lawrence is QB20 on Fantasy Pros.
He's going after-pick 140 on CBS and Fantasy Pros.
He's in the blob, the quarterback blob.
So, yeah, there's plenty of reasons like Trevor Lawrence, Jamie.
I like what Liam Cohen did with Baker Mayfield last year,
and I think the rushing is going to be something that stands out for Trevor
because he got two seasons on his resume with over 330 rushing yards.
Would not shock me if he's a 400.
yard rusher. I think based on the weapons that he has his disposal, a lot of upside. So
good late run. Okay. Jaden, you got four running backs. Jaden Blue.
Had his knees there. Sorry. Oh, I was like, that was a very brief. Did you want to say something
else? No, I'm good. I got it out. All right. Including the sneeze. Well, bless you, Jaby.
Jaden Blue, Tadj Spears, Ray Davis, Braylin Allen. Jaden Blue, Tij Spears, Ray Davis, Braylin
Allen. Now, we already talked about Ray Davis, right? So the other three. And Spears, uh,
I'll have to adjust that.
I didn't realize it was still in there.
So Spears was one of my favorites.
Sleepers, as you know, I can't put him in this category with the ankle spray.
Come on.
Yes, you can.
No.
Stick with it.
No.
No, no, no, no.
If he goes 130th?
Uh, now?
Yeah.
11 or 12.
That's, he's going later than that.
He's going 12.
He's going around 12.
Yeah.
I like that.
Come on, Jamie.
Just keep him in there.
Yeah, I just don't have as much confidence in.
Go back to Ray Davis.
And the comparison to Braylon Allen, just in terms of handcuff versus playing now,
Braylon Allen's going to play.
Like, they're going to use him, you know, not, he doesn't need a Breece Hall injury to
hopefully be successful.
They just, they like the setup for him.
I think Jaden Blue, to me, Jaden Blue and Bachel Tootin are like two guys I want on almost
all my teams because at some point this year they're going to matter.
At some point, I think they may be the best running back for their team, rest of season.
I don't like that Blue has the heel injury, but I don't think it's anything serious
comparatively to like Ty J. Spears.
So I'll probably just take out Spears in the column and put Tootin in there.
You know, what we see from John Mishota is correct that none of the Cowboys running backs have run away with it yet.
And that's with Sanders and Jaden Blue being out with an injury.
That does not inspire for me much confidence in Javante Williams.
What an opportunity he has had.
And if he hasn't taken advantage of that, then maybe he's just never going to regain the form.
that he had before his knee injury.
Yep.
So Tuton might have much easier,
or Blue might have easier competition than Tuton.
Yep.
Yeah.
All right, wide receivers, Christian Kirk.
Now, these guys are all going 130th or later.
Christian Kirk, Luther Burden,
DeMario, Douglas, and Cedric Tillman.
How would you rank them?
Kirk, Burden, Douglas Tillman.
Burden, Kirk, Douglas, Tillman.
why burden over Kirk
the potential for more upside
if he is the slot guy for ben jonson which i think is what he'll be
there's immense opportunity here
he's not going to be a mom around st brown don't expect that
but if he plays that role like there could just be huge return
we've talked about this with christian kirk time time again
he has one season in his career over 13 ppr points per game i know
12.8 12.9 he's been right there but
uh was the first year in jacksonville he was great
And floor versus Ealing, Christian Kirk's floor is much better.
So, you know, depending on what you need.
I just wonder, which C.J. St. J. Trout are we going to get?
Can he consistently throughout the season, because we've seen it at times,
but can he consistently throughout the season support two wide receivers?
And is Kirk going to be the primary slot receiver week one through week 17?
Because I wonder if he struggles or gets hurt because he's had a hard time staying healthy
the last couple of seasons, had the groin injury, had the shoulder injury.
You know, like, is he going to be that guy?
So if I need a fourth receiver that I need to plug and play every now and then, I'm probably taking Christian Kirk.
Not the way I draft typically, but that's kind of the way I would look at him.
If I'm looking for the most upside, to me, I'm taking burden.
Dave, if anything you want to add on Kirk, Bird and Douglas or Tillman?
I think that Kirk is the only one of those receivers who has a safe high floor.
And when I say high floor, I'm thinking like 12 points in PPR.
and non-PPR, I don't think there's much of a floor.
But the worst that the Texans run game is, the better it is for Kirk because he can
catch a bunch of short targets, screens, slants, et cetera, and that can make up for the run
game in Houston.
So he could benefit from that.
He could be good for around 12 ppr points per game.
When I see him in the draft queue, that's what I think.
And then I look at other players that are also available.
And this is in the late rounds, how many of these guys can be 12 ppr points per game?
And the fewer amount of names that I see, that's when I know it's time to take Christian Kirk.
And that's usually like round 11, round 12, something like that.
The auto select for me with one of my last picks is DeMario Douglas.
Like can't get easier path to success for him for the role he's going to play.
Like it just like right now you look at the Patriots.
Every report out of New England is Diggs is locked into one spot.
Douglas is a slot receiver.
It's true.
figure out the other spot right now, and they have a lot of options that look pretty appealing,
you know, with the way that Dave's favorite wide receiver of all time with his last name,
booty, uh, looks, and Kyle Williams and some of the things that he's done, and Matt Collins will
be part of the mix as well. We know what the slot receiver has been for Josh McDaniels. I don't
think that this guy has the upside of a West Welker or Julian Edelman, probably the Danny and
Mandela production, which times was really great. I think Drake May is going to lead on
They had, I would say Pop Douglas, but tomorrow, Douglas, quite a bit.
And so based on where he's going, like, free, free space.
Mm-hmm.
And then you have Dalton Kincaid and Kyle Pitts.
We kind of talked about them a little bit earlier.
Kincaid, yeah, Kincaid had some very appealing,
I think he had one of the highest target per out run rates among tight ends last year.
He just didn't run that many routes.
He played through a lot of injuries.
So, you know, maybe he can do a lot with his targets, I think.
I think he just, well, maybe I'm confusing his metrics.
There was something appealing in his profile.
I can look it up, but I don't think anyone cares.
No, I think you're right.
Okay.
So there's reason to like him, but I think the point is for Kincaid.
He just didn't play enough last year when he was playing.
He was playing hurt for a lot of it.
All right.
It is team name Tuesday.
We got Trevi on my wayward son.
That's not bad.
28 May is later.
I want to replace you as the singer on the show with Dan.
like Dan's Eddie Vedder.
Yeah, yeah.
Heller, high, Waddle.
These are all from the same guy.
And then Gentie Giants was one I saw on Twitter.
I got to be honest with you.
I asked people on Twitter on X for some team names.
I didn't really like them.
We got to do a little bit better, people.
We got to step up our game.
Make Lovelland, not Warren, still the best one.
That's still mine.
Try to beat it.
Thank you, Dave.
You came up with that last Tuesday, right?
We have a line stream tonight.
I think I came up with that months ago.
You're bringing it up on the show last visit.
We have a live stream tonight.
There is a person in our chat that's very prominent.
Adam Hahn, please show up.
They'll fall asleep this time.
Yes, Adam Hahn.
Also, I sent Jamie the name of someone who's going to be in the draft,
and Jamie made fun of his name, and then I showed it to the guy,
and we had a very nice laugh about it.
It was really funny, actually.
Is that as a profession?
No.
He has a name that just screams dentist.
He also listens to our show religiously, so he's going to hear this.
All right.
Before we go to Dave's, the rest of Dave's sleepers, I would like if maybe you'll indulge me for
Adam's list of sleepers, which is different, which is people are sleeping on these guys.
Joe Burrow.
They're higher end.
They're higher end, but I still think, like, there's no column for these guys because
they've already broken out.
They're not sleepers.
Typically, they don't go late enough.
So I'm just going to say people are sleeping on them.
Obviously, I'm going to say Pacheco, and I'm just going to say his name, and that's
it, Isaiah Pacheco.
You see who his ADP is?
It's crazy.
Okay, yeah.
I mean, I just looked on NFC since August 1st, and he's 78th overall.
He's RB 26.
79.1 for us.
Yeah, and that's probably, like, running back is going kind of late on the NFC.
So I got Pacheco.
I've got Joe Mixen as a sleeper in this regard.
Not on our ADP, you can't call him that.
He's RBC-65th overall.
Now, I say if Joe Mixon makes it to round seven, easy, easy pick.
I'm fine with him in round six.
Where's he in R-ADP?
He's still a top 20 running back.
And he's RB21 in NFC.
But I think this could be a massive overreaction to a preseason injury.
I don't know that his competition is any good at all.
Dave, I feel like you might be on my team here with Nixon.
Except I still would be a little skittish taking him in round six.
I'd obviously would love to draft any player I could as late as I possibly could.
Very comfortable with him in round seven.
And you're right.
There really isn't a running back that stood out in Houston, as far as I can tell, without
Joe Mixon being there.
But are we going to get what we got last year, which is Joe Mixen missing a lot of training
camp, showing up just in time to practice a little bit before week one, and then playing
early in the year, doing great, got hurt again, came back, he was great after that, got hurt
again, and he was buns until the postseason.
So there's clearly injury risk with him.
I think if he does start to practice again soon,
his ADP will shoot up,
but it might only shoot up to like round four.
That might have been where we were drafting him anyway
before this whole injury thing happened.
That feels early because there are a lot of downs.
There's a lot of negatives.
The O line does stink, but...
I don't know if we know that it stinks.
Let me ask you this, Adam, as a mixing guy.
He comes back to practice tomorrow.
Are you taking Henderson or mixing?
Please don't ask me that.
I knew you're going to ask me that.
I don't know.
I guess I would say Mixen.
Harvey or Mixing?
No, I'd say mixing in half PPR and I'll take,
I'm going to take the rookies in full P.
If Mixon's back, it's easily mixing.
You're taking Mixing over the rookies?
Over Harvey and Henderson, yes.
But he's got to be back and practicing.
Yeah, not me.
I'll still take the risk.
Yeah, actually, I think I got to go with Dave here,
especially in half PPR or non-PPR.
All right.
I think Rishi Rice is being slept on at wide receiver 21 because, yes, we do have to see what
the suspension is.
But the point I would make is that there are no, when's the first buy week?
Week four or five?
Four.
Okay.
Five?
Five?
Yeah.
Week five.
Kent City's buy week is week 10.
There are no buy weeks until week five.
So you don't, you're not necessarily desperate for that roster spot.
So I've given you the examples of Alvin Camara being suspended at the start of the season,
Julian Edelman being suspended at the start of the season.
And they ended up being two of the best picks in fantasy those years because you can get by.
And if you think that Rishi Rice has no business being wide receiver 21, if he were not suspended,
then don't be afraid to reach for him a little bit, especially if you only start two wide receivers.
Well, what if the suspension is more than that?
Yeah, then we'll revisit.
Right.
And that's why I think his ADP is where it is, is because there's uncertainty about how long he'll be suspended for.
But, like, I had a league last year where I forget, I had.
A.J. Brown, he got hurt early. Each of my first seven picks got hurt. And then they eventually
got healthy and you can get by, like the teammate, and this was a three receiver league. I had
Pooka Nakuwa. I had A.J. Brown. I had Joe Mixen. They all got hurt early and four other guys
did too. And you can get by, you know, if you have these guys for the stretch run, that's how
you win. That's one of the ways you can win. Ricky Pearson, I think is a joke. It's going
be on a lot of my teams.
That's a breakout can.
Dak Prescott, yeah, that's fine.
Dak Prescott, QB11.
I'm a little hesitant on that one, but he could be so good.
If they have no run game.
Oh, the value is great.
It may not have a good defense.
Yeah.
And Tuatunga Vailoa at QB22.
Again, you could make the case that he should be behind everyone in that range,
but there are at least 22 appealing quarterbacks this year.
So, all right.
He's a good, like, if you really want to wait on the position,
and depending on how many teams draft two quarterbacks,
like you can get by with Tua as that second guy,
if you draft a Drake May or a Trevor Lawrence or one of those guys.
Because you know Tua's, I mean, look,
led the NFL in passing yards two years ago,
right around 20 fantasy points per game.
Last year, despite missing six games, 20 fantasy points per game.
Like, he's going to give you that floor.
Just the ceiling is just not there from that's problem.
Yeah.
All right.
So, Dave, we only have a few minutes left.
So here are some.
They run through the names.
Yeah.
And then if there's anybody you're curious about, I'll be quick on them.
Jordan Mason, we love him after pick 110.
Well, what's the title for these sleepers?
What did I tell you?
Good ones.
They're just good ones.
They're not great ones.
They're not my favorite ones.
Okay.
Justin Herbert is QB 14, 115th overall.
Jordan Love, we talked about.
Darnal Mooney, we talked about Josh Downs, interesting player.
Josh Downs is like, is he just clearly ahead of Michael Pittman for everybody?
he is for me i think he's more explosive another short area target so i think he'll be hurt
by tyler warren being there but those are the two guys that i think are going to end up
being the good target getters for indy i can't i can't see two of the three guys being good i could
see one yeah that's fair too i think warren can be a low end starter at tight end and i think
downs can be maybe a number three receiver in full ppr and definitely a good depth even
Right. I can't see one of those guys.
And look, to be fair, Downs did great last year.
Pittman played through a back injury.
Like, he still may be the alpha of this receiving core.
It wouldn't shock me if that's the case, you know, if he's healthy.
I mean, a guy plagued by just awful quarterbacks his entire career.
I don't think he's a good fit for Daniel Jones.
Oh, I don't think he's a good fit for anybody there.
You know, so it's, it's hard to say like he could be great.
I think all of the Colts, three pass catchers, they're worth drafting based on
their ADP because Downs and Pittman can easily be cuttable.
Like it seems crazy to say that, but like they easily be cuttable if they stink because
the quarterback stinks.
I think like what Dave said is best.
Like I don't see one of these guys having top.
I don't, I don't, it'd be shocking if Warren's the top five tight end.
It would be shocking if the two receivers, one of the two receivers are top 20.
It would be damn near impossible for two of those guys to be in those spots.
These are sleepers who can win you weeks, not.
he hears. Well, Warren, I think.
Warren, you're right. You know what, Warren
my position. Right. Isaac
Orendo is asleep. There's
some backup running backs on here like Isaac Orendo
and Trey Benson. I think we know the deal there.
Jaden Blue, we talked about, Bachel Tootin
we talked about. Trevor Lawrence
was on Jamie's list.
J.J. McCarthy. These guys are QBs 19
and 20. I assume you like them better than
Tua? Yes.
Okay. And
what did you guys think of McCarthy in the preseason?
He actually made some pretty good throws, I thought.
to Addison in particular, but then there was also a throw where he put way too much mustard on it,
which is like the biggest criticism of him.
I don't want to judge him without seeing Justin Jefferson.
So if he came out and looked amazing and Jefferson is healthy, like I think that's a guy
who could have seen a spike in ADP because of some of the hype.
So you know you don't have Addison for the first three games.
Jefferson right now is not on the field.
I think he's going to kind of just hover in this mid-QB2 range, late QB2 range.
and this could be one of the guys
we're talking about after week one
like, oh, why didn't you draft J.J. McCarthy
with a late round pick,
and he could be in that top-told mix.
Wouldn't shock me at all.
And Dave Rashid Shaheed is on this list.
He's the last guy on this list
that we haven't already discussed.
Another boom-bust receiver.
I don't love the quarterback situation,
New Orleans by any stretch,
but he's fast.
He can catch the deep ball.
He can catch screens
and make a play after the catch.
It's a team that's going to be behind a lot.
You could do worse
in round 12 looking for a receiver
to put on your bench.
Dave has a category called...
Jerome Ford doesn't sleep at all yet.
Like the ADP is pretty.
Yeah. Good point.
Who's the first running back you draft for Cleveland?
Ford.
Yeah.
Would you rather have Ford or
Giovante Williams or Jaden Blue?
I mean, the more this Judkins thing plays out,
I'd rather have Ford.
Like, it's getting to a point where
he's most likely their starter.
I know one and one A between him and Samson,
I think I need to see it from Samson first
just based on how Jalen Wright's NFL career has started
and knowing what the system of Tennessee
was producing for these guys.
They just run in these wide open lanes
and it's amazing to watch
but hasn't translated to the NFL at least yet.
Samson's got a huge ceiling in front of him
especially with his potential role.
But I think Ford is kind of one of these tried
and true guys that may not have a huge ceiling.
What was the number you get?
I tried to give it to Chris Harris yesterday.
What was the amount of long runs
and the distance?
He's got the third most runs of 60 or more yards.
It's 60 yards, right, yeah.
Yeah.
Let me see how many runs total?
Oh, yeah.
Hold on, let me tell you.
I mean, is it like a single digit, or are we talking?
Oh, no, it's four, I think.
Okay, over the last two seasons, three running backs have four carries of 60 or more yards.
Jerome Ford, Derek Henry, and Sequin, Barclay.
Henry has 605 carries.
Barclay has 592, and Jerome Ford has 312.
So he has half the carries of Barclay and Henry,
and yet he has as many that have gone for 60 more.
I don't, it feels so fluky to me
because he's not really a big play threat,
but he's done it four times.
It's been pretty incredible.
I would, just from, again,
look at the average job position,
every Brown's player, understandably so,
is discounted, every single one.
Yeah.
There's not one where you're saying,
I can't believe this guy is ranked
or being drafted in this spot,
from Judy on down.
and you could get this backfield for nothing.
Yeah.
You could draft like here.
Would you rather have the Cowboys backfield or the Brown's backfield right now?
Cowboys in anything 12 teams are shallower Cowboys
because I see more upside there like a Rico Down all kind of streak.
It's a fair question, right?
Absolutely.
Sure.
Yeah.
And let me, we can end on Jerome Ford, but actually let me just end with this question
because I feel like I have to say his name.
Does anybody think Miles Sanders could end up being the sleeper?
I know, but he's not being the starter?
He might not make the team.
No, could he be, could Miles Sanders end up being the best running back in Dallas?
What are the odds of that?
He could, and it would be absolutely disgusting if that's a case.
Unless he just, you know, has some career renaissance that we just did not see coming.
Right.
I hate to see it because he was great for a long time.
It was.
But I just feel like it's over.
Well, this was a fun show.
tomorrow we'll talk about busts.
And I'm going to just like bring up Brock Purdy tomorrow
because I love Brock Purdy,
but we keep talking about all these horrible things
happening at wide receiver for them.
We haven't once spoken, at least when I've been on,
about what it means for Purdy.
Is he maybe someone that should be on the bus list
or should he be on the breakouts list
on Wednesday night, on Thursday when that publishes?
All right, anyway, fun week coming up on FFT.
Thanks so much for watching and listening to talk to next time.
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