Fantasy Football Today - Adjusting for COVID; Trade Talk; TB-CHI (10/07 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: October 7, 2020

We've unfortunately got more COVID news to deal with as TEN and NE have positive test results. What does this mean for this week's games (6:33) and what should Fantasy managers do (9:05)? ... We begin... our trade talk with our favorite buy low (15:15) and favorite sell high (18:30) candidates. What should you get in trade for Odell Beckham and Joe Mixon? Will the underused rookie RBs pay off at some point? Then we'll give you more of the latest NFL news (26:00) which includes a QB strategy discussion. Can you win without an elite QB this year? ... Buy low targets from our listeners (33:00) including D.J. Moore and Evan Engram. Do we agree!? Then we preview TB-CHI (40:00) before finishing up with even more trade talk! "Buy Low or Heck No" (48:40) for guys like CEH and Kenyan Drake and more Sell High talk (55:00) ... Your Apple Podcast Review questions (58:00) and your emails at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Listen to the brand new Fantasy Football Today in 5 podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-in-5/id1528634304 'Fantasy Football Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox, and wherever else you listen to podcasts. Follow the new FFT Twitch channel: https://www.twitch.tv/FFToday Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @BenSchragg Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCviK78rIWXhZdFzJ1Woi7Fg/videos Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. On his way to the end zone. I'll tell you what I've done with this spectacular play. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. What a play! Off to the races! Touchdown! Oh, he's done it again! Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Ben. Alright, we've got a big trade show today.
Starting point is 00:00:23 Buy low, sell high. Some listener suggestions and Heath Cummings and Ben Schrager. Yes, Ben Schrager putting the analyst hat on today as Dave Richard is not on the show today. But we also unfortunately have a COVID show because just before we go on the air, a Tennessee Titan has tested positive and Patriots cornerback Stefan Gilmore has tested positive. Good morning, guys. Ben Schrager, big day for you. Looking forward to hearing your fantasy thoughts. It is.
Starting point is 00:00:49 I'm excited for buy low, sell high. But yes, the COVID news sucks. And we do have to make some adjustments based off that. Well, we have some experience, I guess, from last week. And Heath, Merry Christmas to you. I understand you had a nice waiver wire gift. Well, yeah. It's a good time to remind people,
Starting point is 00:01:07 go check the waiver wire the morning after waivers run. Someone dropped Chris Godwin in one of my leagues. And so far, no email saying, oops, I didn't mean to drop Chris Godwin. It's not a league where we have IR spots, and he's not on the IR, so I don't think it was that. I believe that someone just looked at Chris Godwin's
Starting point is 00:01:30 fantasy production through the first month of the season, saw that he wasn't going to play in week five either and said, yep, what's that sound that you make? That's Jamie. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Okay, well, that's pretty interesting.
Starting point is 00:01:46 And yes, you should check. So did you already mention the rest of season projections thing? Or no? Go when you sort. And I found this with Robert Tanyan as well last night. Like if you're sorting by next week's projections, you're not going to see Robert Tanyan because he's not playing next week. Neither is Chris Godwin.
Starting point is 00:02:06 Sort by rest of season projections. I generally look at all three as I'm going through. I'll look at last week as well in case there's someone that performed well that hasn't been reflected in the projections yet. But yeah, sort by rest of season projections. See who the best players are. I picked up Mike Williams in a couple of 14 team leagues.
Starting point is 00:02:25 I'd like to have him on my bench as well. Not quite Chris Godwin. There are a few other things you can do. I do the weekly projections at each position. When I'm looking on waiver, you pull up the stats page, you sort by free agents, you look at weekly projections, that's the
Starting point is 00:02:41 default. So you'll get the players that are supposed to do well this week, but yeah, the players that are on buy, you won't see. So I do that for each position. And then I will click the running back wide receiver tight end button on CBS. So I get all the flex options and I will sort by year to date stats. So I'll see who has been the best at running back wide receiver and tight end. Another thing you can do is go to the roster trends under the players tab and sort by the most rostered. And if you look at the most rostered free agents, there might be someone who's rostered in like 90% of leagues.
Starting point is 00:03:16 That's a free agent. Ben Schrager, I don't know if you did this, but Ben Schrager added the Steelers DST in a league. I was really mad because I didn't realize they were a free agent so these are ways that you can uh you know avoid the um avoid uh missing some options that are on waivers that you may not have known are on waivers okay uh so today on the show yes a lot of a lot of buy low sell high but we will get into the covid news by the way i have to apologize for not talking about Fab yesterday. That was a huge oversight on my part.
Starting point is 00:03:47 Bad job, Adam. Yeah, it was. Honestly, I felt bad about it. It was... I saw a lot of like $15-ish dollar bids out of a $100 budget for Jackson and Johnson, but I also saw a $35 bid for those guys. I think in one of our
Starting point is 00:04:03 leagues, Jamie may have bid $30 on both Jackson and Johnson and got both of them. So I'm assuming they have no running backs. And that league I'm 0-4 and have no prayer of ever winning a game ever. So I didn't really make that big of an effort. But I mostly just bid 9% on both of them. And I think I got one of them each.
Starting point is 00:04:25 So, and one Damien Harris as well. Okay, great. I also have a really interesting opportunity where for content purposes, you know, you guys did your auction league and I was, or sorry, salary cap league and I wasn't in it, but I wanted to see the results.
Starting point is 00:04:40 So Dave made me a co-manager of his team. And consequently, I get emails when Dave gets trade offers. So I could theoretically go in and accept or decline the trades. He got offered a terrible trade last night from Andrew Ballmer. It was Adam Thielen and someone, I'm trying to look it up. I took a screenshot of it. It's Adam Thielen and, oh, I deleted the screenshot. Oh, well, someone crappy for Ezekiel Elliott, and I wanted to go in and
Starting point is 00:05:14 accept it on Dave's behalf. Speaking of that, and I was not going to do this, but since it is a trade show, and since Dave's not here for some reason, I think it is fair trade show and since Dave's not here for some reason, I think it is, it is fair to do this.
Starting point is 00:05:30 He sent me a trade offer yesterday and our dynasty league that you were getting emails that you didn't want for a long time. Yeah. Yeah. And I've got a two and two team. It's a, it's a very middle of the road team. The one place I don't ever want to be in dynasty.
Starting point is 00:05:46 So I thought, you know what? I'm tearing it down, but all my good players on the trade blocks that send me offers and we're rebuilding kind of fun. Dave offered me a round two rookie pick. Anthony Miller and Bryce love for Derek Henry and Robbie Anderson. Before I even saw the trade,
Starting point is 00:06:12 he pulled the offer, apologized for the offer, and hasn't sent me anything else since. Oh, man. All right, the trade, by the way, that I should have accepted on Dave's behalf was Adam Thielen and J.K. Dobbins for Ezekiel Elliott. I thought I was the only one who made Acer trades. All right. Let's talk about the COVID news. Ben Schrager, a Titan, has tested positive. They were set to reopen today.
Starting point is 00:06:36 New England Patriots, Stephon Gilmore, has tested positive. The Titans face the Bills this week at home. The Patriots face Denver this week at home. They have a bye next week. What's your read on this? Both of those teams are going to be on hold until at least tomorrow. The Titans definitely until Friday. They need two days of no positive tests to come back. It's a wait and see, but the problem is we have the Bucs-Bears
Starting point is 00:06:58 on Thursday night. Good thing for that is there's no marginal flex players in this game, really. You may have to start your bucks and bears but there's not going to be any tough decisions but commissioners you should have had a rule in place last week with naming backups if you haven't you should get that rule going i wonder how people are feeling about the naming backups rule after the robert tanya and travis kelsey fiasco it wasn't a fiasco you can predict that it was it was absolutely a fiasco dozens if not more of people on twitter after i tweeted about it
Starting point is 00:07:36 had travis kelsey in their starting lineup or robert tanya in their starting lineup and had to wait for their commissioner to put kelsey in Tanyan and cost them like 30 fantasy. So what? That's not a fiasco. That's the way the cookie crumbles. I started Tariq Hill and I said, if he doesn't play, Trey Kwan Smith is my guy. Trey Kwan Smith caught two touchdowns. And you're praying for Tariq Hill to not play. I was like, oh, please don't play the game. Please don't play the game. But no, look, it is what it is.
Starting point is 00:08:05 Let's talk about that. So first of all, I have to disagree a little bit with you, Ben, because I do think there are some interesting flex options. I think David Montgomery is no sure thing as a starter this week because the Bucs defense has been just outstanding. They give up 2.43 yards per carry to running backs. They were the best or the second best in that metric last year. So,
Starting point is 00:08:26 you know, I don't think it's an easy call on Montgomery. They, they do though, give up the fourth most receiving yards to running backs. I would, I agree with you about David Montgomery, except for two things.
Starting point is 00:08:37 One, he had six targets in his first game without Tariq Cohen. Yeah. And two, remember when I said, there's no way a Rams running back will be in my top 30? I can't find 30 running backs to put ahead of the Rams guys that I don't want
Starting point is 00:08:50 to start. So David Montgomery is a borderline number two running back. It's just the way that it is. Right. Well, it's kind of what I said. I think he's a flex or borderline number two flex whatever. He's in my number 22 in both formats for me. And then if for net plays
Starting point is 00:09:05 then you've got an issue with with the ronald jones situation otherwise you'll start ronald jones but uh okay so what we did in in the leagues that i was commissioner in and then jamie piggybacked off of it as we said okay you got this game that got moved to monday chiefs patriots designate a player that's on your roster by 1pm on Sunday as your backup. He's on your bench right now, but if you, um, if the Monday night game gets cancelled,
Starting point is 00:09:34 the Patriots-Chiefs game gets cancelled, this player, we will move into your starting lineup. Jamie took it a step further and actually allowed fantasy managers to move Chiefs and Patriots into an IR spot temporarily. And then, you know, so like for example, my only example was Anthony Hitchens.
Starting point is 00:09:53 I moved him into an IR spot. I picked up another linebacker and I said to Jamie, Hitchens is my starter if the game goes. This linebacker is my starter if it doesn't go, whatever. So Jamie was a little bit more generous. That's a lot more work for the commissioner and depends how many leagues you're the commissioner of. But what you should do is have each manager
Starting point is 00:10:11 email the entire league. That makes it easier for you as a commissioner. Email the entire league, this is my replacement if this guy doesn't play. And it has to be done by kickoff at 1 p.m. I'm not sure if I'm missing anything. I think it worked out pretty well. Obviously, the game was played,
Starting point is 00:10:28 but it seemed like a pretty easy thing to do. I didn't do anything at all, which really should surprise no one if they've heard about my commissioner experience. But also, part of the reason that I didn't do it was because last week, we had two completely different situations. The Titans and Bills, their game gets turned into a bye. The Chiefs game gets pushed to Monday night.
Starting point is 00:10:53 And my expectation is moving forward, we will continue to have games impacted by COVID. It's not going away. And there will not be a uniform way in which that happens and i'm a little bit worried that we're going to get into a situation well where you did this why don't you do this and you did this why don't you do that i think hopefully not hopefully all the situations work out as seamlessly and painlessly as the chiefs and patriots did where they just move the game back a day or they just canceled the game. But I do, I'm afraid for those of you who did what you did this week,
Starting point is 00:11:31 I think it was in very good, like the meaning behind it was great and it worked out great for last week. I think we're going to have multiple different situations over the coming weeks and we're going to have to continue to adjust or just say that's the way it is ben any any ideas suggestions i think you roll with what you did last week and things may pan out differently but this is the year to be generous it's not a yeah i'm gonna hold you to it yes it's more work for the commissioner but fantasy football is supposed to be fun it's supposed to be a commissioner, but fantasy football is supposed to be fun.
Starting point is 00:12:05 It's supposed to be a lot of fun. Yeah, it is supposed to be fun. It's not just that I'm trying to be like strict or difficult. I think that there are going to be people that are going to have unfair circumstances this year. Their players are going to be more impacted than other teams. There are people who lost this week because they had Ben Roethlisberger james connor and derrick henry and it's kind of stinks for them
Starting point is 00:12:32 that well if you had a chief for a patriot then you just get to pick a backup player and you can use them if they play it's their bye week it was their bye week i understand i think there are probably going to be games that are missed that are not bye weeks so think about yeah all right so so think about this right i feel like it's the way they're testing it's not likely i would think that something like this would happen on game day so if you get to sunday i don't think think the Sunday games are in jeopardy of being canceled. It's not like a 4 p.m. or a night game on Sunday night is going to get canceled after you set your lineup on Sunday. So I have a question. Yeah, I think.
Starting point is 00:13:15 What if a hypothetical world like what do you think would have happened if the Patriots had traveled to Kansas City and Sunday morning, which I don't think they've even been testing on game day, so let's say for some reason they did, Cam Newton and Stephon Gilmore and the practice squad defensive tackle all tested positive. They would cancel the game. On Sunday. Right, but that's what I'm saying.
Starting point is 00:13:41 They haven't been testing on game day. I think that's changing now. Well, maybe. But yeah, if you get to game day, it's possible you find out three o'clock on Sunday that somebody in the Monday night game tested positive. And perhaps you want to allow your fantasy managers to designate a backup for any Monday night player. Just even if there's no COVID news leading up to that, leading up to Sunday, the Monday night game seems to be the one
Starting point is 00:14:21 that's always the most in peril. So maybe you want to let your fantasy managers have a backup. I don't see any downside in doing that. I will just say for the Titans-Bills situation, that is not a game that could be pushed back a day.
Starting point is 00:14:38 Unless they want to change the Bills schedule in week five, because they play the Chiefs on Thursday night in week six. Well, we have more news. Raiders have a positive test the Bills' schedule in week five because they play the Chiefs on Thursday night in week six. Well, we have more news. Raiders have a positive test and now there are two Titans positive tests. Jeez. This sucks.
Starting point is 00:14:53 This really sucks. I am sorry if you are listening to this. Not that we're doing a bad job, but this is probably not very enjoyable. This does suck. Yeah. Ben, do you confirm that this sucks?
Starting point is 00:15:12 This sucks. I'm sorry you have to listen to me during this podcast. No, no. Let's talk about buy low and sell high here. We might drop an emergency pod later on in the day and we'll get more information. Give me your favorite buy low guys. One, two, however many you want.
Starting point is 00:15:28 We'll talk more later. Ben, why don't you kick it off? I'll go Zach Ertz. He played all but three snaps last week. The Niners are really good against tight ends. And right now the top 12 tight ends include Tanyan, Schultz, Johnnie Smith, Hawkinson, all guys that were probably picked up.
Starting point is 00:15:44 So there's a chance the Zach Ertz manager doesn't really want to use him. And he has this emerging guy and go trade for Zacherts. You don't have to give up that much, but I do think he's a top 10 tight end, probably even top five moving forward. Okay. Heath, how about you? I'm just going to cheat and continue to say the same three guys who I think will also show up on the waiver wire and can just be ads at times. But I still believe that at some point this year,
Starting point is 00:16:14 the most likely scenario is at least two of three of Deandre Swift, Cam Akers, and JK Dobbins are starting fantasy running backs in the second half of the season. Swift has remarkably score, cam acres and jk dobbins are starting fantasy running backs in the second half of the season swift has remarkably score just keep scoring touchdowns and he's definitely their pass catching back and now they're going into a bye week and at some point they're going to realize that no we're not going to save matt patricia's job or this season and so we'll stop giving the ball to adrian peterson um acres i actually was kind of like in one way, you could be discouraged by
Starting point is 00:16:45 the way that they, um, treated Daryl Henderson and gave Malcolm Brown the touches, um, for acres because it is the three headed monster. But in another way, it tells you the jobs. Like I was kind of worried that acres had already lost out to Daryl Henderson and now it's still just a wide open competition. It seems like, um, and right now Dobbins and Gus Edwards are both out playing Mark Ingram at some point that might actually matter Dave said that there was a thought that Daryl Henderson was hurt in that game I haven't found anything on that it would really change things if we found out that he was because if he was completely healthy and they used Malcolm Brown more than Henderson that would be so discouraging for Henderson and more optimistic for DeAndre Swift.
Starting point is 00:17:26 So Zach Ertz was Ben's guy and the rookie running backs, Swift, Akers, and Dobbins. Who had Jerry Judy in that too? Yeah, I wanted to check in on those rookie wide receivers. What would you say Jamie and I had a disagreement last night, Ben, on Twitch about Judy versus Tim Patrick? Judy, Tim Patrick? And I think he's on the... Judy, Tim Patrick. I'm in the camp of
Starting point is 00:17:47 Tim Patrick's probably more usable this week. I love Judy more long-term. Heath, how do you compare the two? I would rather start Tim Patrick this week, I believe. I would much, much, much, much, much rather have Jerry Judy on my roster. You know, Jerry
Starting point is 00:18:04 Judy's on pace for 936 yards on 112 targets. And seriously, the guy is a world-class wide receiver prospect. He's not somebody that's going to continue to drop passes the way he did early in the season. He should be on pace for a 1,000-yard season. He's going to be their alpha number one wide receiver at some point. Okay. So Jerry,
Starting point is 00:18:27 Judy, I get those, get those rookies who, who, who are your favorites? So high guys, he thought that you start. Oh,
Starting point is 00:18:33 it's gotta be Aaron Jones. There's no way he can keep up this touchdown rate, right? Regression. Sorry. I was just making fun of myself. I'm an idiot. Um, do it. sorry i was just making fun of myself i'm an idiot um like my two favorites are the two week four explosions it's joe mixon it's odell beckham um i think both are very solid number
Starting point is 00:18:55 twos at their position but it's possible that you could get someone to treat them like a number one and if you could i would get rid of them beckham was definitely on my list too he has uh he has a pretty good target share i'm trying to it's like 26 or something like that but uh yeah 26 but the the browns are 28th in scoring defense okay they've allowed the fifth most points 28th in scoring defense. They've allowed the fifth most points per game in the NFL. And yet, they've thrown the third fewest passes in the NFL. So I think it's kind of an obvious storyline with Beckham. He's just not going to get enough targets because they don't throw enough.
Starting point is 00:19:41 However, follow-up question on that. Do you think Nick Chubb's injury will help odell beckham and it basically lead to more passing did you see the browns game after nick they were winning by like three scores in that game so just just in chat you could say no it's fine i don't think i don't think kevin stefanski wants to throw the ball that much. And they may have some games where they do. But yeah, I don't know. I personally don't think Nick Chubb's injury is going to cause them to open things up. All right, let's talk a little trade value.
Starting point is 00:20:15 Then we'll get to Schrager's sell high. Would you rather have James redo this one, James Robinson or Joe Mixon? I think I said Mixon in the first place, so I'm going to stick with it. Yep, I'm Mixon as well. How about Adam Thielen or Joe Mixon? Mixon.
Starting point is 00:20:37 The Vikings are another one. They are one and three, and they've kind of got their butts beat a couple times they have not thrown more than 27 passes in a game yeah yeah well two of the games i know they had almost no no time of possession but still they they will run run run uh that's just last week they said maybe we'll have to open the offense up and i think they threw it 25 times no i don't think so i think it's 23 actually and if justin jefferson is good then what they're both getting 25 target shares which means seven
Starting point is 00:21:16 targets a week i think i will take mixin i think you could trade Mixon possibly for someone like Devante Adams, for someone like Michael Thomas, for possibly Christian McCaffrey. Okay. That's what I would be aiming for. Okay. And then as far as Beckham goes, Juju or Beckham? Beckham. Beckham. Really?
Starting point is 00:21:41 How about Ertz or Beckham? Beckham. Beckham. All right. So what am I getting for Beckham. Really? How about Ertz or Beckham? Beckham. Beckham. All right, so what am I getting for Beckham then? Because everybody was taking Juju over Beckham in drafts. Yeah. Juju's got a 17% target share. Yeah, I know.
Starting point is 00:22:00 It's weird. And maybe that doesn't... I think Ben Gretsch, our good friend Ben Gretsch, was tweeting about this the other day. Maybe we're overstating how much target share matters through three weeks. But it really discouraged me when Deontay Johnson got hurt and he still didn't get any targets.
Starting point is 00:22:18 I would... There's a receiver who's just been awesome, but I think was behind Beckham. I would trade Beckham for Terry McLaurin. I got to sell high, buy high. Would you trade Beckham? I'm sorry. Would you trade Beckham for Melvin Gordon?
Starting point is 00:22:40 Yeah. You would? I wouldn't. I think Lindsay probably comes back this week. Yeah. Okay. All right, Ben. I think Lindsay probably comes back this week. Yeah. Okay. All right, Ben. I would trade him for Tyler Lockett,
Starting point is 00:22:49 who was sort of a buy low on my list. It's kind of cheating because he's amazing, but two for 39, people are probably discouraged. I still think he's a top 10 wide receiver, so I would try to trade him for Lockett, see how that goes. Okay. Who's your sell high?
Starting point is 00:23:06 Sell high is Todd Gurley. He keeps scoring touchdowns. He's barely a top 20 running back despite four touchdowns. I think his touchdown rate should be expected around eight touchdowns for the year. One every other game. If he was doing that, he wouldn't even be in the top 30 right now. So he's a touchdown-dependent running back who just had a just had a two touchdown game. You could try to sell him high. He has four catches this year, Todd Gurley. All righty. We got more coming up later. Join our Facebook group, everybody.
Starting point is 00:23:36 Search Fantasy Football today on Facebook or click on the link in the episode description and chat with the FFT team and other fantasy fans. You can ask some starter sit questions. You can join a Q&A with our experts, talk trade values. And also, we're reading your Apple Podcast Review questions later on in today's show. So please continue to leave us a five-star review. Very, very helpful, and we really appreciate it. And check out Fantasy Football today in five, ladies and gentlemen.
Starting point is 00:23:59 I think you will like it very much. Here's our email of the day. It comes from Garrett Glass. Garrett Glass says, You might remember me as the eight-year-old who beat Heath to's our email of the day. It comes from Garrett Glass. Garrett Glass says, you might remember me as the eight-year-old who beat Heath to win our league two years ago. Now I'm ten years old and I beat Heath again by almost 30
Starting point is 00:24:11 to move to 4-0 on the season. I would like to thank Heath for being the deciding factor to draft DJ Chark. His 21.5 points came in handy this week. Excellent job, Garrett. You beat me again and I'm very happy that every time you beat me we get to read an email from you. At some point, maybe you'll grow the hell up and stop bragging so much every time you ask you, if you're like most people, are you struggling with a credit card balance and a higher interest rate than you'd like? Why not turn those balances into one monthly payment at a lower fixed interest rate and start
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Starting point is 00:26:16 All right, guys. Let's get to the news and notes. Chris Godwin is unlikely to play, it seems. Mike Evans, Scott Miller, and Justin Watson also mispracticed on Tuesday. They've got the Thursday game at Chicago, but Godwin is the most in jeopardy there. Leonard Fournette's going to be a game-time decision.
Starting point is 00:26:33 We'll preview that game in a little bit. So far through four weeks, this is the highest scoring season in NFL history. And if you don't have one of those elite quarterbacks, I don't know how you're winning if you're winning they've been such different make difference makers in fantasy uh heath do you feel do you feel like you need one of the seven or eight awesome quarterbacks it it would sure help like lamar jackson hasn't actually been one of those guys so far, which is the troubling part, but like,
Starting point is 00:27:05 it's really quite stunning by my count looking right here. I've got 16, 17, 18, 19, 20 different quarterbacks, 21 different quarterbacks averaging 20 fantasy points or more in a CBS league? Yeah, I have 17.
Starting point is 00:27:30 Are you counting Roethlisberger, Tannehill, Cam, and Trubisky? Probably not. So, yes, 17 have played four games and are averaging 20 fantasy points per game. That's probably what it is. Four more have played two or three games. So, first off, I think like 20, we need to stop saying,
Starting point is 00:27:55 you know, he's been okay. He scored 20 fantasy points. Right, not this year. If you scored 20 fantasy points, you are Mitch Trubisky. That's what he's averaging. No, you know who you are? You're Deshaun Watson.
Starting point is 00:28:04 Sorry to say it. Deshaun Watson's at. No, you know who you are? You're just Sean Watson. Sorry to say it. Uh, Deshaun Watson's at 21. So wash your mouth. Um, and it's going to be 22 after this week. So, ha.
Starting point is 00:28:14 Okay. But yeah, I don't like, I think you're okay. If you're just struggling along with someone like Lamar Jackson, and you're only getting 24 fantasy points per week at quarterback. That's okay. Okay. Yeah, that's fine. Lamar Jackson should be fine for you. I just don't know if Matthew Stafford is going to be enough. You might need a real difference
Starting point is 00:28:40 maker because it's just the scoring is up so much this year. It's only been four games. So who knows what the quarterback standings look like in the next four games and that's one of the things like tom brady is i think in that same stafford conversation but he just threw five touchdown passes so he looks like he's scored more fantasy points than lamar jackson now yeah um but i did my first run at projections this week and tom brady was outside my top 12 i said well that can't be be just through five touchdown passes. But I don't think I'm probably going to rank guys like breeze or Brady or even Stafford in the top 12 very often because like eight of the spots are
Starting point is 00:29:16 locked up by guys. You realize we've got, have like eight quarterbacks who have already run for a hundred yards. Wow. Wow. And that's not including Russell Wilson orson or dac prescott or josh allen or joe burrow wow yeah i know uh well but but like okay so matt ryan unfortunately has been dealing with this julio injury but he was definitely one of the elite quarterbacks but
Starting point is 00:29:39 brady's just gonna throw so much isn't he i mean's got to throw a lot. I would think Matt Ryan's going to throw more. I'm saying if Julio Jones is healthy, Matt Ryan is in this discussion of these great quarterbacks that can win you a league. Is Brady not there? Ben, do you think Tom Brady is one of those guys? No, but if Godwin is back, I think they're going to be forced to throw the ball
Starting point is 00:30:02 because they have so many weapons. Their defense is so good. It is. It's been good. I don't think their running game is that good, though. But they still have Arians. That's the thing. He's... He just throws. So the verdict is no.
Starting point is 00:30:18 Tom Brady is not the league winner. I'm not wanting to say that. But I'm just saying that I think without the rushing, unless he is... He's currently fifth in pass attempts. So I think if he's fifth in pass attempts, he's probably not going to be a top eight quarterback.
Starting point is 00:30:42 All right. More notes for you. Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to start this week. Tuatango Valoa's hip is still a factor. Cam Newton could play this week. Well, I mean, that was before the Stefan Gilmore news, but we'll see. But Cam Newton could be out of the COVID protocol this week.
Starting point is 00:30:59 Mo Alley-Cox ran seven routes in week four. He's been pretty lucky. And week three, too, I just realized. Yeah, I think we're having a little trouble buying into Mo'Ally Cox. Deontay Johnson's going to play this week. Dallas center Joe Looney's out two to three weeks. Dalton Schultz has a bruised thigh,
Starting point is 00:31:15 but he is expected to play. Joe Flacco starting this week instead of Sam Darnold. Denver wide receiver KJ Hamler may not play this week with a hamstring injury, so they could be down Hamler and Fant and obviously Sutton. And Las Vegas defensive tackle Maurice Hurst is on the reserve COVID list. Was that the one you were talking about, Ben, the Raiders news? Yeah. Okay. All right. So I guess I had actually
Starting point is 00:31:36 known about that one. That wasn't new news this morning. And the Seahawks signed Snacks. Oh, okay. All right. But he's on their practice squad because there's some confusion about whether we're allowed to add new players or not because of all the covid stuff well that's damon harrison and he's been a very good run stuffer in his career not sure about last year but he's been at points like an elite run stuffer and they've already been very good against the run i have surprisingly yes yeah so that might be a run defense to avoid once he gets ramped up yeah they are they are number one in terms of fantasy points
Starting point is 00:32:12 allowed to running backs this season partially because you tied with the 49ers wow i didn't realize they were that good but yeah they have been surprisingly good against i don't believe they've given up a rushing touchdown. No, there you go. You know, who hasn't given up a receiving touchdown. Sorry. They haven't given up. Uh,
Starting point is 00:32:29 the bears have not given up a touchdown to a wide receiver. Um, we should probably preview that game. And if none of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers receivers play this week, that will probably continue. We, man, COVID really threw off my notes guys.
Starting point is 00:32:43 So here's what we're going to do. I got these by lows from the listeners, and I want you to tell me how you feel about them. We'll fire through that. We got the Fantasy Cops scheduled to make an appearance today. We got Apple Podcast questions. We got a preview Thursday night and do more trade talk. So let's do this.
Starting point is 00:32:57 Buy low from the listeners. I just sort of crowdsourced, saw what the common answers were. Matthew Stafford. We just talked about that. 22 points and 28 points in two games with Kenny Galladay. Schedule's not that bad. Do you think he's a buy low?
Starting point is 00:33:12 He's a two on the buy low-o-meter. Buy low-o-meter. Okay. Three. A little better than a waiver wire quarterback. DJ Moore. I'm Ben. Shraggy B was talking about dropping DJ Moore because because in his league someone dropped austin eckler go check your waiver wires this morning folks um but i would put dj more at a
Starting point is 00:33:33 six on the buy lowometer you're buying really low so i'll go eight or nine okay you know he has one red zone target just his career, just does not get red zone targets. You know who has the most red zone targets on the team? Mike Davis has seven. Mike Davis has four targets inside the ten. Robbie Anderson has five red zone targets. DJ Moore has one. AJ Brown. Is AJ Brown a buy low?
Starting point is 00:34:00 And who would you rather have rest of season, AJ Brown or DJ Moore? I'd rather have rest of season, A.J. Brown or D.J. Moore? I'd rather have A.J. Brown. Yes, he's a buy low. It's going to be weird trading for him. It depends on the team that you're trading with to see what their record is, but we think A.J. Brown can be the number one and have a good target share. We know
Starting point is 00:34:20 D.J. Moore is not the number one as of right now, so I'll take A.J. Brown. Wait a second i'm gonna get you so wait a second like dj moore who definitely cannot be the number one but led the team in targets heading into last week and is still averaging like eight or nine targets per game if if aj brown gets eight or nine targets per game then i would much, much, much rather have A.J. Brown. But that would be a wild change to the passing game for the Titans. This is a coin flip
Starting point is 00:34:49 for me, but yes, A.J. Brown is a buy low. Five. And if you were trading Odell Beckham to get Moore or Brown, would you have to throw in something else in part of that deal with Moore and Brown? Or would you just rather have those guys over Odell Beckham?
Starting point is 00:35:06 I'd much rather have Odell. They're all in the same category, but I think with the way that Beckham's week four went and the fact that Brown hasn't played yet, you should get a little something extra. Okay. Back to the bilometer, I guess. Marquez Valdez-Scantling.
Starting point is 00:35:28 It's kind of interesting. I think the case is he's not a number one guy. He's a number two guy. He was better with Devontae Adams. And he was good in the first two games. Or at least solid. He is the type of guy who I'm just probably not going to ever have projected in my top 36.
Starting point is 00:35:52 He's got 25 targets on the season. Part of the appeal of those number twos is that it's possible their target share could spike, and we don't really want his to spike because that would mean davante adams isn't there drawing coverage um he's not very efficient as a wide receiver so you're not buying it okay uh buy noometer i know um how about leonard fournette i don't i'm not i'm not interested yeah i'm interested. You'll find him on the waiver wire in a few leagues.
Starting point is 00:36:27 Evan Ingram. So many targets. It's so many targets, and he's been so, so bad. Yeah, he has. And I didn't think he could be worse than he was last year and I think he's at 4.4 yards per target. That's Carlos Hyde territory. It's got to get better, right?
Starting point is 00:36:55 It would seem so. Since the start of last year, he has 98 targets. He's caught 51 of them, which is awful, for 598 yards. Wow. That's really bad.
Starting point is 00:37:15 And he's scored three times. His next six games, the matchups are just incredible. Five games are within the division. Dallas, Washington, and Philadelphia are all 27th or worse i'm gonna play in the dfs this week i'm a big dummy um yeah i think he's probably a four on the by lowometer yeah he's up to a six for me i'd like to roster him if i can give nothing for him yes and i don't think people need much for Evan Ingram right now. I think the whole thing is whether you still think he's a good football player. Because if he is, there's just no way he's going to continue being this inefficient.
Starting point is 00:37:55 It's just that we're getting to a point where that 2018 season kind of looks like an outlier. Yeah. I think Evan Ingram is a good football player, but look, they've got a chance to get their offense back on track with Dallas, Washington, but actually Philadelphia and Washington, I don't think their defenses are that bad, especially Philadelphia.
Starting point is 00:38:20 But this week, I don't know. They got a chance to get their offense back on track, but they got a lot of issues. This is something we talked about before the season with Evan Ingram, and so I just want to highlight it now because it's not gone the direction that we were hoping it would. Each of the last three years, he's been below five air yards per catch.
Starting point is 00:38:40 Not per target, so not total air yards, but 4.2, 4.9, 2.7. That means on average, he's catching the ball within five yards of the line of scrimmage. Not great, but you would think that gives you a lot of opportunity for yak. Uh, he did that in 2018. Um, this year, his yards before catch are down to 2.7. His average catch is within three yards of the line of scrimmage, and his yak has gone down. It's a bad year. All right, but he's still a decent buy low.
Starting point is 00:39:15 All right, let's get to this game. Tampa Bay had Chicago, and here's the cool thing about this game, football fans. If you're an Amazon Prime member, did you know that you can watch Thursday Night Football live on Prime Video? That's right. It is the future of football. You can catch all the action on any device almost anywhere in the world. You can choose your favorite announcer, including Troy Aikman and Joe Buck, or Bucky Brooks and Daniel Jeremiah from Move the Sticks, or Chris Long and Kerry Champion from NFL Next. You can get next-gen stats, watch in-game replays on demand, all within Prime Video's X-Ray.
Starting point is 00:39:46 Next-gen stats are real-time stats powered by AWS, so no more waiting around. You can access the current stats anytime. If you need to check how your fantasy player is doing, this is the ideal way to stay up to speed. In-game, on-demand replays are accessible on your remote on Fire TV or by turning your mobile device sideways. So if you are a streamer or if you simply want the most custom way of watching Thursday Night Football, tune in live every Thursday starting this week, October 8th.
Starting point is 00:40:14 Coverage begins at 7 p.m. Kickoff is at 8.20 Eastern on Prime Video. It's also available on Fox and NFL Network. NFL Network simulcast subject to change. Thursday Night Football is presented by Bud Light Platinum. And Thursday Night Football this week has two teams that are 3-1. The Bucs at the Bears. Bucs are 4.5-point favorites.
Starting point is 00:40:33 The total is pretty low, only 44 points. Stat of the game, no wide receiver has called a touchdown against the Bears, and no quarterback has thrown multiple touchdown passes yet against the Chicago Bears. Do those streaks come to an end in week five? One of them does. I think Evans scores, but I don't know that Brady throws for more than one touchdown.
Starting point is 00:40:55 Ouch. Okay. Well, that's why he's just outside the top 12. He's 14th for Jamie, 13th for Dave, and 14th for Heath. Are you starting Teddy Bridgewater over Tom Brady? I am. Yep. Okay.
Starting point is 00:41:08 Are you starting Gardner Minshew over Tom Brady? I am. Yep. Are you starting Daniel Jones over Tom Brady? I am. That was the one where in my initial projections, I actually have Daniel Jones projected for three-tenths of a point more than Daniel Jones,
Starting point is 00:41:34 and I quickly hit the abort, abort, abort button. I will start Tom Brady over Daniel Jones. All right, let's do... Can we say if Leonard Fournette... Well, if Leonard Fournette plays, I don't think, can we say if Leonard Fournette, well, if Leonard Fournette plays, I don't think anyone's going to trust Leonard Fournette on a short, you know, coming back from the injury, right? No, no, no. Nope.
Starting point is 00:41:51 What about Ronald Jones? Would you trust Ronald Jones? Without Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones is a borderline top 10 back for me because one thing we saw that didn't have anything to do with Leonard Fournette is that Ronald Jones saw nine targets. Yeah, dropped three of them, though.
Starting point is 00:42:09 Well, that's what he's going to do. I'm not sure he's getting nine this week. Tom Brady's kind of running out of options. And what we've seen with Brady's offenses in the past, not so much Bruce Arians, but definitely with Tom Brady, there's either going to be a lot of targets going to tight ends or running backs. He does not have a tight end that he wants to throw the ball to right now. Gronk is not Gronk.
Starting point is 00:42:28 Cameron Brate is maybe his most athletic tight end currently. And so I think there's going to be targets for the running backs. If Fournette was there, Ronald Jones would be in the David Montgomery range for me, but I would still prefer Jones. Okay. So yeah, he has Jones currently in Jones. Okay. So, yeah, Heath has Jones currently in the top 12. Dave
Starting point is 00:42:47 and Jamie have him closer to 20. But is he in the top 20? I haven't looked at their ranking. He's 17th for Jamie in non-PPR, 20th in PPR, and for Dave, he's 20th in non and 21st in PPR. So he's right around 20. Keyshawn Vaughn may have a role.
Starting point is 00:43:04 I don't know. Not saying started, but he may have a role. I don't know. Not saying starting, but he may have a role. Yeah. A few catches, maybe, yeah. A few carries, a few catches. I picked him up, but I'm not starting him. There you go. He's worth rostering at this point.
Starting point is 00:43:12 Yeah. The Bears have been okay against running backs. They were a lot better. I was reading about them in the Chicago Tribune. Brad Biggs is his name. There you go. He said, basically, their run defense was not very good
Starting point is 00:43:26 through three weeks. It was okay. I don't know. It got a lot better in week four. They had, I think, nine tackles for a loss against the Colts. So they really stepped up in week four. We'll see what we get from the Bears' run defense in week five. As far as the Tampa Bay wide receivers go,
Starting point is 00:43:42 again, this team has been great against tight ends they allow that against receivers they allow the second fewest fantasy points of wide receivers nobody's sitting mike evans but i i suppose hypothetical scenario ben if chris godwin plays mike evans in two games with chris godwin has three catches for four yards and three touchdowns. Would you consider sitting Mike Evans? Yeah, I would probably start Robbie Anderson over Mike Evans. That's a guy who you may have. This is if Godwin plays, right?
Starting point is 00:44:11 If Godwin plays. Right. Yeah. Okay. Otherwise, Evans is a good guy. I would start DJ Chark over him. He's a guy who may have been your third, fourth, fifth wide receiver. But otherwise, I'm still playing Mike Evans.
Starting point is 00:44:23 Do we think Scott Miller could have another good game? He has 73 to 83 yards in three of four games, but he's not getting a ton of targets. He's averaging 11.9 yards per target. Do we think Scott Miller could have another good game? Is he worth looking at? He is a borderline number three in the Russell gauge range range in PPR, better than Gage for sure,
Starting point is 00:44:46 and Non in the Hunter Renfro range, where I think he could have another good game, but I hope I have better options. Chenault and Higgins could have been picked up this week. Would you rather start them? I would rather start Chenault for sure. I would start Miller over Higgins. How about Kenyon Drake or Scott Miller?
Starting point is 00:45:08 I'm giving... This is the Joe Boo week for Kenyon Drake against the Jets. Okay. Yep. How about... How about... Okay.
Starting point is 00:45:22 Honestly, that's fine. Oh, Josh Kelly. Josh Kelly at New Orleans or Scott Miller? I'll play Kelly. Hope for a big workload. okay that's honestly that's oh josh kelly josh kelly at new orleans or scott miller i'll play kelly hope for a big workload um i would start kelly in non-ppr miller in full ppr and kelly in half pp thank you for answering that. Hey. Who's a better tight end in this game, Gronk or Graham? Graham. Graham, but I love this question. Yeah, it's Jimmy Graham.
Starting point is 00:45:52 Chicago is allowed 65 yards or a touchdown to a tight end in every game. It could be Cameron Bray. It could be Cameron Bray. Sidnick Foles and Montgomery, borderline number two running back just a really really tough match up but he had a career high snap count in week three he's on the field all the time he had the
Starting point is 00:46:11 six targets in week three is a week four sorry as he mentioned i i have him 22 and that seems like a little higher than you would like to have him so i just want to read off a list of running backs and if you guys could just yell yes, when you would like to start that running back over David Montgomery this week, Daryl Henderson, Malcolm Brown, no miles Gaskin,
Starting point is 00:46:34 maybe Antonio Gibson, Gibson. Yes. Yeah. Damien, Damien Harris, Latavious Murray, Joshua Kelly, Justin Jackson, Damien Harris, Latavius Murray, Joshua Kelly, Justin Jackson.
Starting point is 00:46:47 I'd start Damian Harris. So Damian Harris in non-PPR and Antonio Gibson in PPR maybe are the two? I'll do Gibson in both. Gibson in both. Okay. Yeah, I don't know, man. Like the Bucs just kill people. Now they do give up a ton of running back receptions,
Starting point is 00:47:07 but they've also faced Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey, Mike Davis at a huge game against them. They haven't allowed 60 rushing yards yet. And that's despite facing Kamara and McCaffrey. Melvin Gordon had eight carries for 26 yards. The Chargers running backs had 18 carries for 32 yards. It's got to happen in the passing game, but he had six targets last week.
Starting point is 00:47:25 Yeah, he did. All right, Chicago wide receivers. Any hesitation at all about Allen Robinson? Because we have seen Michael Thomas have a terrible game. Keenan Allen held to eight catches for 62 yards on 12 targets. Carlton Davis. I really want to see Carlton Davis in action, shadowing Allen Robinson.
Starting point is 00:47:43 I think that's going to happen. I'm excited for it. I think I saw something, and I don't know if you care or not. It doesn't matter for fantasy. It still prevents fantasy points, but I believe Carlton Davis leads the NFL in penalty yards or is top three. Oh, interesting. I did not know that. That sucks for fantasy points.
Starting point is 00:48:00 No hesitation. No. Okay, no hesitation. All right. And no interest in Darnell Mooney or Anthony Miller, right? No. Okay. I'm looking forward to this game.
Starting point is 00:48:10 I mean, I think the Bucs win, but I think they actually, I think I'm not really looking forward to it anymore because I think they're going to win by like 14. So. But then you get Nick Foles in the second half trying to come back. It's going to be great. Right. There you go. And both DSTs are in play here.
Starting point is 00:48:24 We like the Bucs better than the bears this week okay guys what do we go to now i still want to talk more trade all right let's do this let's do by the third most penalty yards sorry third most okay where's my by low or heck no okay here we go by low or heck no? Okay, here we go. Buy low or heck no? Totally different than the buy low-ometer. Yeah, of course. There's no numbers in this, so it's easier to follow along. Clyde Eberts-Elaire. It's obviously a very high-end buy low,
Starting point is 00:48:59 but he has the fifth most carries and the tenth most catches among running backs. He's on pace for 1,732 total yards, but only four touchdowns. Do we still feel like, I think he's a top five or six player rest of season. Do we still feel great about Edwards-Elair? Three? No, wait, what?
Starting point is 00:49:20 We're not doing numbers. Come on, Heath. That's it? Only a three for Clyde? Well, let's clarify what we're talking about here. You obviously give up Mixon. Buying low on Clyde Edwards-Elair means paying this value of a second round pick. Yes.
Starting point is 00:49:35 So Joe Mixon. Send Joe Mixon. In a heartbeat. That's a yes. I don't know that I... Yeah, probably. Really? What do you have against Clyde Edwards-Elair?
Starting point is 00:49:47 I don't have anything against Clyde Edwards-Elair. We're discussing whether he's a first or second round value for the rest of the season. I think he's clearly first. He is not... He's not scoring. Well, he's not really getting the opportunities. He got the opportunities week one,
Starting point is 00:50:03 and he got stuffed repeatedly. But he hasn't been passed over for the opportunities. They've just been throwing. He hasn't literally passed over. That's true. But look at the two passing touchdowns that Patrick Mahomes had last week. They should count for three points. Two plays inside the two- or three-yard line
Starting point is 00:50:23 that I would say were much more like rushes than passes. Yeah. I agree with what you're trying to say when you're disparaging Patrick Mahomes. It's just a dumb rule. I, it kind of is passed over in that way.
Starting point is 00:50:34 I just meant he's not being passed. He didn't lose the goal line work. He's still the workhorse for the chiefs. Right. In that regard, chiefs workhorse role does not include many goal line opportunities at this point for now yeah but i would i would definitely shagger and i are on the same page definitely give up mixin for a clyde i would too yeah yeah i'm trying to think who else i would give up i
Starting point is 00:50:58 would rather have him than derrick henry yeah i would not okay ben derrick henry's already had his body coming he's already had his bye. He's ready to go for that second half breakout. Both going to be good. But I'd rather have the guy who's got the catches on pace for 56 catches. And that was with no catches in week one. All right.
Starting point is 00:51:15 Kenyon Drake, buy lower? Heck no. No thanks, guy. No, no. I don't want to at all. Heck no. How about the fact that Kenyon Drake, thank you to Chris Towers for this stat, has run 19 more routes than Chase Edmonds.
Starting point is 00:51:33 But Edmonds has 13 catches for 73 yards and two touchdowns, and Drake has five catches for 20 yards. But he's run 19 more routes than Edmonds. Chris was on a bender yesterday about Kenyon Drake. Not surprised. I don't necessarily disagree with anything he said, and I don't think that Chase Edmonds is definitely taking the job from him,
Starting point is 00:51:58 but I'm also not buying a little on Kenyon Drake. Logan Thomas has the third most routes run among tight ends. Scheme sometimes generates routes, and there's a reason he doesn't have a lot of fantasy points, and there's a reason Kenyon Drake doesn't have a lot of targets. But that goes contrary to everything we've ever known. Kenyon Drake is the Logan Thomas of running backs. No, we've always...
Starting point is 00:52:17 He's always been good in this role as a pass catcher. No. No? No. What? No. What do you mean? He was really good with Miami? Let me just pull up the numbers because he has been good at times as a pass
Starting point is 00:52:33 catcher, but I don't believe he's always been good in this role. I'm not going to count his rookie year. Yards per target for a running back, six is about average. Per each year, 4.65, 6.5, 5.1, and now four this year. All right. I guess I should have said productive because he's usually been productive,
Starting point is 00:52:57 but fair enough. He did have 50 catches two years in a row. Jonathan Taylor, buy low or heck no. And obviously, you have to pay up for Jonathan Taylor. But do you give up third round value second or third round value and expect first round jonathan taylor i'm taking taylor mixing i think i would take me i think i would take taylor um it doesn't i don't think it. Well, it is partially a him problem. I don't feel any different about his talent than I did, but he's not acclimated quite as quickly to the NFL.
Starting point is 00:53:30 He's not running with the same authority or conviction, um, that he definitely knows where he's supposed to go. And the Colts have an offensive line. Hasn't been quite as dominant as I expected. Absolutely right about that. It was reading it in the athletic. Stephen Holder said exactly what he was saying about the offensive line. This is one thing I want to note about Taylor. If you just look right now through four games at fantasy points allowed to running backs, he only has, based on that, three tough matchups
Starting point is 00:53:58 rest of season. This week at Cleveland, Baltimore week nine, Pittsburgh week 16. Every other opponent is 22nd or worse against running backs, including Houston and Las Vegas, who he plays in weeks 13 through 15. He gets them twice against Houston and once Las Vegas. Those are the two worst teams and right down the stretch. So his schedule still looks really easy, Jonathan Taylor. But it was supposed to be easy already, and it really wasn't.
Starting point is 00:54:26 What worries me a little bit in the PPR league, he had six targets in week one, which did not make any sense, and we weren't expecting it at all, but he averaged 10 yards per catch, 10 yards per, caught them all. He's caught every pass that's been thrown to him this year. He has two targets in his last two games.
Starting point is 00:54:46 Rivers threw 46 passes in week one. He has thrown 25, 21, and 29 since. Right. Still low for Taylor, but partially explaining it. And I think we probably expect him to be closer to 30 than 45 the rest of the year, Rivers. Yep, absolutely. So if he's catching one to two passes per game, that does make it very difficult to be a top 15 PPR running back.
Starting point is 00:55:11 All righty. How about... I think that's it for Bilos. We already covered a lot of the names I wanted to get to. So high or no thanks, guy. Devante Parker. And I say this with Tua Tungabailoa in mind.
Starting point is 00:55:24 Devante Parker. So high or no thanks. I just don't. I'm tired of this. Why? I'm tired of this. I don't know if Tua is going to be better than Ryan Fitzpatrick or not. Ryan Fitzpatrick is not some really good quarterback that we have to worry about, like losing that type of greatness. He's good for Parker, though.
Starting point is 00:55:49 I think the lack of run game, regardless of quarterback, is good for Parker. So I'm not worried about Tua, and I'd like to hold on to Parker. Okay, so that's a no-thanks game. And maybe Tua's terrible. I'm not saying that he's definitely going to be good.
Starting point is 00:56:00 No, I don't think he's going to be terrible. I just think like the... That's fine. You're not buying the narrative? Did you say no thanks, guy? Okay. Devin Singletary and Ronald Jones. Is now the time to sell these guys? Yes. Yeah. I'd be happy to do that.
Starting point is 00:56:22 Would you trade them for Zacherts? Singletary and Jones. Yeah, I would definitely trade Jones for Ertz if I don't have a tight end. He would have to be my fourth running back, though. Or I'd have to have three other running backs I felt good about.
Starting point is 00:56:38 I just don't know that Zach Ertz is going to be a difference maker. Mark Andrews is on pace for 80 targets. In the last five seasons, there have been three tight ends in non-PPR and two tight ends in PPR to finish top five with less than 100 targets. One of them was Andrews last year.
Starting point is 00:57:01 He had 98 targets in 15 games. He is currently on pace for 80 targets. Do you think Mark Andrews in any way is a sell high? Yeah, I do. And that's spicy. But part of the thing with Mark Andrews for me was the Ravens are going to throw more this year. And so his regression won't hurt as bad
Starting point is 00:57:24 because there will be more volume there. And that clearly not happened so far. I would like to see what someone would give me in addition to Zach Ertz, what someone would give me in addition to... Dalton Schultz. Dalton Schultz. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:57:42 In addition to John O. Smith. It would have to be a lot. But I would like to see what someone would... I don't think it's a one-for-one tight end deal. Right. But... Yeah, okay. I'll take a starter upgrade.
Starting point is 00:57:56 Yeah. Apple podcast questions from Alan in Austin. I have Kareem Hunt, Austin Eckler, and Josh Kelly. Moss, White, Mostert. Should I trade Kareem Hunt for Christian McCaffrey? So then he would have Eckler and Kelly, James White, Raheem Mostert to start, and Zach Moss. It doesn't really matter who your other running backs are, I don't think. I would rather have Christian McCaffrey than Kareem Hunt
Starting point is 00:58:28 with the idea that Kareem Hunt's going to really probably only be better one of those weeks. Okay. And they'll be similar for four or five weeks. And then McCaffrey will be much better down the stretch when Chubb's back. All right. From PJ. Dear Bob, Linda, Tina, Gene, and Luis. It's Bob's Burgers. weeks and then McCaffrey will be much better down the stretch when Chubb's back. All right from PJ dear Bob Linda Tina
Starting point is 00:58:46 Jean and Luis. It's Bob's burgers. Great show. I drafted Greg Zerline, but all Dak does is throw CDs. Should I hold on?
Starting point is 00:58:56 Should I move on or hold tight to Greg? Hold the Zerline. What a teeth answer. Hold the Zerline. Okay. From Q in Raleigh grade the trade and PPR. give up beckham melvin
Starting point is 00:59:07 gordon and philip lindsey beckham gordon and lindsey for adams drake and acres nice i think b a minus from shoot it straight fantasy cops i had someone i was playing drop a player from A minus. From Shoot It Straight, Fantasy Cops. I had someone I was playing drop a player from their bench on Monday morning after they played on Sunday, then picked up a player from Monday night's game to substitute into their lineup after a player they were planning on playing was ruled out. Cool or not so much? You can't do that. If your league allows it. That the whole thing i love i love
Starting point is 00:59:48 having shraggy b on the show adam you're right that's dumb it's not cool i don't know why your settings are set up that way but you play by the rules that are put in front of you i just prefer to have integrity in life that's all all. That is not true at all. Yahoo Fantasy has a lot of users. Yahoo Fantasy has this as their default, as does NFL. Really? So if you play on one of those sites,
Starting point is 01:00:15 you can do this. It's another thing. This is a big strategy for Monday Night Football. If you have a guy you're going to drop, terrible guy, you're going to drop him on Tuesday. Drop him on Monday for a handcuff on Monday night. Even're going to drop him on Tuesday. Drop him on Monday for a
Starting point is 01:00:25 handcuff on Monday night. Even if that guy already played on Sunday, that's wild. Yeah. If that's the rule, that's the default. Yeah, that's bad and I don't like it, but if that's the rule, you'd be really silly to not take advantage of it. Dear from MartyMar86,
Starting point is 01:00:41 I lost Saquon and Eckler, so gray the trade. Give up digs for David Johnson and Devin Singletary. He's left with CD lamb, DJ more and AJ Brown desperate at running back. So he gave up digs and got David Johnson and Devin Singletary. Because of context, I'll give you a B minus. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:04 And, and, and, and bless your heart for losing, losing Saquon Barkley and Austin Eckler and continuing to play. Yeah. Good for you. And you'd have AJ Brown and DJ and DJ more. So that also sucks.
Starting point is 01:01:14 Yeah. We'll, we'll give that trade a passing grade though. From Mark, grade the tray, give it, give it up, give it back.
Starting point is 01:01:20 Give it back. Give it back. Give it back. Give it back. Give it back. Give it back. Give it back. Give it back.
Starting point is 01:01:22 And get Michael Gallup. That's the ultimate sell high, buy low, and that's an F. F minus. From Ultra Funky. Grade the trade.
Starting point is 01:01:35 Sorry, just a regular F. I apologize. You know what? Ultra Funky gets this music. Grade the trade. Give Chubb and Hunt and Kelly. So give the Browns running backs and Josh Kelly get Clyde Edwards,
Starting point is 01:01:51 Elair and Deontay Johnson. Oh, yeah, I think I'd rather get Chubb. Okay, don't know that you need to say it that way. The Chubb side, The Chubb side. The Chubb side. Okay. From Robert. Grade the trade.
Starting point is 01:02:10 Give up James Robinson and Michael Gallup and Ben Roethlisberger. I do not like this trade very much. Get Deshaun Watson and Kenyon Drake. James Robinson, Gallup, and Roethlisberger for Watson and Drake. Nope. Nope. Nope. D. D minus. It's an F. All right. Hold on one second. Let me see if I can find these trade
Starting point is 01:02:33 emails I got. All right. These are emails. FantasyFootball at cbaz.com. From Daniel, should I trade Kareem Hunt for Clyde Edwards-Elair? Yes. Yeah. I mean, I'd rather have Hunt for the next six weeks but yeah probably from mike would you trade either dk metcalf or juju smith schuster for george kittle yes i'd trade juju for sure either would just take like i'd rather have dk to try to trade juju first but the guy says no i don't want juju i I want DK. Okay. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:03:05 From Nick, just offered, just got offered DeAndre Hopkins for my James Robinson and Chris Godwin. Should I pull the trigger? No, I would not. And Dave and Flint, I was just offered Lamar Jackson for my James Connor. I already have
Starting point is 01:03:22 Dak Prescott. Would you accept this trade? My other running backs are Robinson, Camara, Murray, Ingram, and Snell. I would not. I just got a trade offer from Jamie Eisenberg.
Starting point is 01:03:33 Would you tell me if I should do this trade? I'm already going to say no, but let's hear in the dynasty league where I'm considering burning the whole thing down. I was offered Michael Gallup, a first round pick, a first round pick, a fourth round pick, and a sixth round pick.
Starting point is 01:03:48 These are all rookie picks. So a first, fourth, and sixth, and Michael Gallup for Derrick Henry. Yeah. Well, Jamie has a pretty good team usually, right? So that's a late first round pick. It's a late first for sure, yeah. I would counter. I think he a fifth in the league right now, but he's
Starting point is 01:04:08 probably going to be a top three or it's probably a probably pick 10 through 14. I don't know. I don't know that Michael Gallup will ever have a year better than Derrick Henry. I would know. I don't think I'd do it. I think no. Okay.
Starting point is 01:04:23 Try to get two firsts for Derrick Henry. I would like no, I don't think I'd do it. I think no. Okay. Try to get two firsts for Derek Henry. I would like to acquire Michael. Like it is a good time to say I would like to acquire Michael Gallup in dynasty leagues. I think he is very good. And there's a chance that one of Cooper or lamb has something happened to them this year. And Michael Gallup's all of a sudden a top 20 receiver again. I would like to acquire him in redraft leagues to be quite honest with you. I don't think he's going to be consistent, but I do think that there's a lot better production to come. He plays like 85% of the snaps for the fastest paced offense. One of the highest scoring teams is one of the worst defenses.
Starting point is 01:05:00 There's got to be better production coming. I'm super interested to see how many passes Dak throws this week. Yeah, me too. Against that vaunted Giants run defense, you might have to, right? All right, we're out of here. Before we go, Adam.
Starting point is 01:05:14 Yeah, yeah. Kyle Allen named starter. Do we care? Wow. Is it bad for McLaurin? Is it good for McLaurin? I think Kyle Allen might be worse than Dwayne Haskins. But Kyle Allen supported DJ Moore as Dwayne Haskins, but Kyle Allen
Starting point is 01:05:26 supported DJ Moore as a top 12 wide receiver last year. I don't think it matters. No more breaking news. No more breaking news. Oh, no. What? I jinxed it? Someone just tweeted me a picture of Patrick Mahomes and Stephon Gilmore hugging
Starting point is 01:05:41 at the game. Oh, no. Okay. We're out of here, ladies and gentlemen. Thanks so much for listening. Long show today. Hope it was helpful. Talk to you tomorrow with Starter Sit for the AFC Home Games.

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