Fantasy Football Today - Bust-Proof Players You MUST Draft in 2026! (06/22 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: June 22, 2026

Who are the safest picks in fantasy football? Adam Aizer and the crew break down the bust-proof players they trust most heading into 2026 drafts. They start with news and notes (5:02), plus a list of surprise players around the NFL this offseason (10:55). Are there any concerns around top 5 picks like Jahmyr Gibbs (20:14) or Jaxon Smith-Njigba (25:25)? How about high-floor WR1 options like Drake London (30:49) and Rashee Rice (35:40)? The guys also talk Kyren Williams (41:27), Josh Allen (45:28), & Dak Prescott (46:57) as players to trust for consistently strong fantasy seasons. If you're looking to minimize mistakes and maximize your chances of winning a fantasy championship, this is an episode you won't want to miss.Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcastsWatch FFT on YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

This is fantasy football today from CBS Sports. What a play! Can you believe this? It's a no idea. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. Up to the races and he stays on his feet. It's just going to go the distance. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath.

Welcome to the show Monday, June 22nd. Welcome back, Heath Cummings. Where the heck were you? I spent a week in beautiful, North Georgia. I did a couple FFT Dynasty episodes from the cabin. It was fantastic. I played a round of golf. I did some hiking. I ate and drank too much. I am back and excited. You look refreshed. You look refreshed. Yeah. Clean shaven and well I yeah I had to keep the beard going because I was going to be hiking in the mountains. And I don't think you want to go into the mountains clean

shaven really. I'd like to like it gives you a little more cred if you've got a beard in the mountains. Like kind of just like a mental edge that you needed. Okay. Yeah. I can see that. Hey, Dave. I didn't do anything like that. No. No hiking in North Georgia. My hike was in Nevada and it wasn't nearly as manly of hike as Heath probably took. Although I did eat and drink too much. Definitely a lot of that. But that's every day. That's every day for me. I think I might have broke my foot too. Oh, I didn't do that. But I've just been powering through. How do you power through?

Who are you? Romo Dunezay? Yeah. It's just my new reality now. Today on the show, we have a lot of news for you. ESPN wrote a cool little compilation article. Their beat reporters picking one surprise player from the off-season programs. And we'll see if any of them really stand out.

Maybe Chris Brasel. Maybe Greg Dolsich. some guys that could have some fantasy relevance at some point. But we're going to talk about bust-proof players, players that we feel are super safe. Nothing can go wrong. No more than one per round. Because it's not just going to be all the layups at the time.

No, you can tell them. It's because of me. It's because you sent the bust-proof player's message and asked for three players, and I sent Jemir Gibbs, Bejohn Robinson, and Jemar Chase. I don't really, I don't know that anyone's bus-proof, like, of those three, let's say they're the top three in ADP.

Do you have any concerns about any of Bejan Robinson, Jamar Chase, and Jemir Gibbs? The reason why they're top three, dude. Yeah, but, I mean, does Atlanta's offense worry enough, scary enough? No. No. Okay. I will give one.

Bejohn's not the only bus-proof player in that offense. Yeah, I don't know. it seems yeah okay fine we'll talk about drink it ain't pits it ain't Kyle Pitts it ain't Kyle Pitts uh is Jackson Smith in Jigba bus proof you might say yes I would argue no so it's gonna be like poking holes in in these arguments it's gonna be a little bit tough but what about Dak Prescott

what about Rishie Rice what does Rishie Rice have feature that that no other wide receiver in his era can can boast um I also yeah news and notes from around camp I went to the Natural History Museum this weekend, guys. You ever been? Natural history? Yeah, in New York. Okay, no, I haven't.

None of the museum, you know? They've got museums in Chicago. Field Museum is probably close to that. Yeah, we had a terrible time. I've been to a lot of museums. I haven't had fun at a lot of them. My daughter just lost it. She was so bored.

She just started belting down and was like, okay, guess we're not learning anything today. Went to a playground. We had our eight-year-old granddaughter with us on the trip and took her on a two and a half mile hike that was like 600 feet elevation gain on this hike and about halfway through she lost lost it and I found the solution. I just gave her a cliff bar. She ate the cliff bar. She was fine. Yeah. Muscled through. Yep, she'd done that. She just needs sugar. Yeah. All right, here we go. We've got some, some Colts reports. Andrew

Moore of Sports Illustrated says the Colts are going to use Josh Downs more on the outside. Good. Which would be great. Colts have no concerns over Alec Pierce's ankle. He could get, now this was kind of silly. He had like 84 targets last year, and he could come close to doubling that. That sounds like a little much, 168 target. Sounds like a little much for Alec Pierce, but you never know, I guess. And Ashton Doolin is apparently the clear favorite to be the wide receiver three.

And then we had Mike Chappell of Fox 59, say that Tyler Warren is going to have a bigger role this season. So you do kind of get a lot of these stories at this time of year where everyone's going to have a bigger role and everyone's going to do well with it. But I thought the most important thing was Josh Downs playing on the outside and not just being a slot guy anymore. So take that for what it's worth. We just need them on the field for 90% of the snaps. Yeah. Because I've made the comparisons to JSN. The JSN was one of the highest slot rate guys in the NFL in his first two seasons and pretty low last year, about 17%.

slot rate for JSN. That was one of the reasons his potential was unlocked. I keep saying it downs is a lot smaller than JSN. I don't think he can do what JSN can do. But just, yes, being on the field, playing outside will help. Let's see. Dan Quinn of the Washington commanders, you may remember him. He mentioned a few wide receivers.

One of them, Van Jeffers, I don't know, he mentioned some wide receiver standouts. We're looking for anything, anyone to get targeted. for the commanders. Van Jefferson was one of them. He also mentioned Rashad White as an off-season standout, and there is some Rashad White buzz. Heath, that's a guy that you've mentioned a lot that you like,

so you must like seeing this. Well, maybe you don't like seeing the buzz because that's going to make his ADP rise. I think both Giori-Kroski Merritt and Rashad White are a little bit undervalued in the early drafts that I have seen. I'm happy to draft both. They're super, super cheap, and one or both of them could be good.

And I'll just say that if like Van Jefferson and I think this name you have here is Jaden. Yeah, that's why I didn't say it. Because I think I have a typo there. I think you have a typo, but you might have like three typos to turn that into a name that I know. If those are the off-season standouts, then I am just like really starting to believe that they might actually throw the ball to Terry McClory in 10 times a game. They have a guy named Jaden Braley on the team. It's Jaden Bradley. I put Bailey in the notes.

It's Jamie. I see. U.N.LV kid. Yeah. Didn't get drafted. But kind of tall. Pretty tall. Yes.

Six foot four hundred and ninety five pounds. Great news for Terry McClorne. That's what I will say. Josh Kendall of the athletics thinks that, the athletic thinks that James Pierce Jr. is going to get suspended, likely going to get suspended. That's Falcon's second year edge rusher. Nate Atkins of the athletic says that actually there were two stories kind of pumping up

Terrence Ferguson. this over the weekend, I think, but the one from the Athletic says, the ideal outcome for Terrence Ferguson, their second year tight end for the Rams, is for him to be third on the team in catches and yards. Lead the tight end group

and be behind Puka and Devante Adams. Okay, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official website. He took a guess at the week one starters. He had Jeremiah Love starting at running back. He had Jacoby Brissette starting at quarterback. Remember, Brissette wants a new contract. Tennessee signed offensive tackle Jeffrey Simmons to a three-year contract extension with $100 million guaranteed. And Luca Evans of the Denver Post thinks that Jonah Coleman is probably going to play immediately,

and he's highlighting his work in the passing game. Dave, what do you make of that? Is that bad news for R.J. Harvey and J.K. Dobbins, that they're going to use three of these guys. The way that I kind of have philosophize, if that's a word, I don't think, it is, but let's just go with it on how the running backs are going to go in Denver is. Dobbins will be your starter. Coleman will be used to spell him. I thought that there would be like a 1B slash passing down's role for Harvey, but maybe

Coleman makes inroads on that. Possibly we're seeing Coleman getting this buzz because Harvey coming back from the shoulder surgery, I don't know how much he's doing if he's full go or not. Adam, you might know. I think he was on a boat with boat. Nix over the weekend. Okay. So that just changes everything then. The bottom line is, I would put the Broncos running backs in that same boat as the commander's running backs where there's going to be so many guys doing so much stuff. You almost need an injury to one of the players in order for somebody else to actually become a starter for your fantasy team that you'll love to start.

None of us are going to want to start Bill or Dobbins to begin the year. but as zero RB players go when you're drafting mid to late rounds, those are guys that you'll use to fill in and hope that they score each week. Look at the screen, Dave. Okay. Look at that. The definition of philosophize. There it is.

You deeply engaged us with a fundamental nature of knowledge, reality, existence, and values. Darn right, I did. Pretty much every show, I'd say. All right, so let's see. We have this cool little story on ESPN.com. Just one surprise player from each camp. Yeah, I knew there was a, there is a Ben Stiller philosophy. That's Zoolander.

He's like philosophy. Dodgeball. Yes. Okay. This characters are. It was on this weekend. Kind of similar. Dodge Ball's always on.

It's a great movie. Yeah. A great movie. All right. Some surprise players. wide receivers. Brian Thomas Jr. We've heard the steady drumbeat for him.

Yeah. Isaiah Bond out of Cleveland. Lewis Bond out of Houston. I don't think that's a typo. Adonai Mitchell for the Jets. Devontes Walker for the Ravens. Malik Benson for the Raiders. Ryan Flanoy for the Cowboys.

We're just reading names. All the skill position names. Well, I'm going through them. then you tell me if anyone stands out. Zavian Thomas for the Bears, Isaac Teslaa for the Lions. Let me know when you want to stop so we can talk about the guys who stand out.

Yeah, there aren't that many. Dylan Bell for the Vikings, Chris Brasel for the Panthers. He's a rookie, rookie Bryce Lance for the Saints. Remember the Saints had a lot of injuries of their wide receivers, including their top two guys. Tess Johnson for the Bucks, Devin Duvernay for the Cardinals and Jacob Cowing

for the 49ers. Okay, Dave, who matters? No, you left out maybe the most important one. Who? Greg Dulcich for the Dolphins. Oh, I was only doing wide receivers. Oh, yeah. Come on, Heath.

He only had to name 48 wide receivers before we could move forward with this segment. First of all, I don't want to put much stock into any of this because it's minicamp. It's not training camp, and it's a different story. But I especially liked reading about Brian Thomas Jr. being dialed in and being just a huge component of the Jaguar's offense. And we've read, Adam, you've told this about stuff for every single Jaguar's wide receiver through minicap. That Parker Washington looks good. And I'm excited about that.

And that Jacobi Myers has looked apart and all that other stuff. So it's all kind of fluff for now. But I remember how Brian Thomas Jr. was at the joint practice last year against Miami. It was the first time that Liam Cohen specifically mentioned all training camp that Brian Thomas Jr. look like himself. The fact that he's locked in now, that makes me a little bit more excited about

drafting him, but I want to see him follow through with that into training camp. If he does, he'll end up being the first Jaguars receiver that I'll draft. And, you know, I think Chris Brazel has a chance to be not immediately, but maybe later in the

year, the number two target for Carolina. I would say that's what? I think he's there to take the top off the defense. I think so too, but, you know, let's be optimistic here. Yeah, I think I think Coker is your best bet to be the number two guy. Of course. Carolina with Teteroa is the first guy.

Well, I didn't say that. I'll tell you the one thing that Adnoy Mitchell got a lot of good positive mini-camp buzz. And if he ends up being a factor for the Jets, maybe in that same type of role that I just talked about, Brazle, where he's using his speed to take the top off the defense. Yeah, that could make things a little worse. a little worse for for garrott wilson particularly now that the jets have somebody who can at least theoretically complete deeper passes has a stronger arm well if if i if isaac tesla who has flashed right in his brief career if he actually starts earning targets that's good that could change things for the lion's uh fantasy options a little but in that same we could say the same thing with

Flannoy in Dallas. Yes. Flanoy. To me, I'm very interested in Flannoy in those best ball leagues where, whether I take a Cowboys receiver or not early on, and I'm firing one of my last three picks at guys who, if they get an opportunity, could be good. We saw it with Flanoy last year, and we could see it again if something happens to lamb or pickings this year.

Can we talk about Greg Dulcich now? Yeah. I would love to tell you about Greg Dulcich. All right, fine. Talk about Greg Dulcich, Heath. I am really getting more and more excited about Greg Dulcich. This is a team with no number one wide receiver, no number two wide receiver. We always talk about how the surprise tight ends that come out of nowhere and finish top five are the guys who finish first or second on their team in targets.

I think there's a very good chance that Greg Dolsuch does this. And surprisingly, on a very low number of targets and a very low number of rounds and a very low number of rounds. He was second amongst all tight ends last year with 2.38 yards per route run. Only Dalton Kincaid, who you hear about all the time, had a better yards per route run rate than Dulcich. If Dulcich is all of a sudden running 80, 90% of the routes all season long, I thought he was pretty good when he came into the league. It's taken him a long time to get going.

But there's a huge target opportunity, and he can do some things. Okay. I'm looking over my notes right now. from the Dolphins minicamp practice I went to. And I didn't need to look at my notes to know that Dulcich, A, was just full time with the starters and B, a regular target of Malik Willis. It was a short area target.

He wasn't really being used more than 10 yards down field. But Heath nailed it. We know these wide receivers are a work in progress, and I'm being generous and maybe too kind with what Miami has. And there have been reports saying the exact same thing. Dulcich could very easily be a, be the leader on the team in targets, catches, yards, touchdowns,

and be a nice fantasy option, that's a name to keep in mind. And not just best ball, last three rounds of best ball, but last three rounds of redraft leagues, especially if Miami does not get it going with any other receivers. And, you know, one of Malik Washington or Kevin Coleman, Jalen Tolbert, don't get enough training camp hype and buzz

where they could overtake Dulcich in such a big time role. Just a few other names that were mentioned in the article, Rashad White for the commanders, Terrence Ferguson for the Rams, and George Halani for Seattle. If the season started today, George Halani is probably the starting running back based on what I've ran.

No, they like them. You can laugh at you, but they like a lot of the things that he can do in Seattle. He's not a burner by any means. No, he's a thumper. I would think that price would eventually overtake him, but it does put a wet blanket on price. to be a reliable starter to begin the year.

But maybe. It's minicap. It's mini-camp. It's way too soon. Right. Okay. We're going to take a break and talk about busproof players. It might sound obvious, but you know what?

Look, it's worth putting these guys under the microscope and seeing, could something go wrong for Jamir Gibbs? Could something go wrong for Jackson Smith and Jigba? We'll be right back to talk about those guys. And Drake London, Rishie Rice, Dak Prescott, and more when we come back. First bus proof player is Jemir Gibbs. Is he the most bus proof player? The safest player?

I think he is the most bust proof player. We've got three consecutive seasons with double-digit touchdowns. We've got three consecutive seasons with 50 receptions. We've got two seasons in a row now with over 1,800 yards from scrimmage. The offense looks like it's shot. should be one of the top five offenses in the NFL once again. His competition for touches at running back got worse going from David Montgomery to Isaiah Pacheco.

I feel like I'm a pretty creative guy, and I can think of unlikely scenarios that might happen. I have a very difficult time coming up with, and the other thing, he's missed two games in three years. So it's not even like, we probably won't talk about injury risk in terms of how they could bust. But even if you were going to talk about that, he looks like one of the safest profiles in terms of injury risk. I guess I'd maybe just push back on that last one because he's he's never been a bell cow before. And Dan Campbell said he's going to be the bell cow. He had 320 touches last year. But touches and carries are different. He had 292 the year before.

Touches and carries are different. He has not been a consistent like 17 carry per game. kind of guy. Again, look, I think he's super safe too. I think he's amazing. I think what's incredible, when you talk about the double-digit touchdowns all three years, in that three-year stretch,

David Montgomery has the second most goal line carries in the NFL behind Derek Henry. And Jemir Gibbs, by the way, Jemir Gibbs has scored on 70% of his goal line carries. I think he has one of, I didn't do the calculations for everyone, but I think he has one of the best success rates on goal line carries in the NFL since he entered the league.

And he doesn't even get most of them for Detroit. So there's even a higher ceiling than what we've seen, which is unbelievable. But he has not, he's not like, I don't know if he's built to be an every down back like Bejan Robinson is. I guess that would be one concern I'd have for Gibbs. Would the wear and tear get to him? Dave, is that concerned? Not enough for me to be scared off of taking him 101.

I'm looking up his I-5 success rate. I did inside the three-yard line, but 70% touchdown rate on carries inside the three-yard line. Let me tell you some comparisons. Derek Henry, 56% touchdown rate. David Montgomery, 54%. Jonathan Taylor, 46%. Josh Jacobs, very good, 64%. Karim Hunt, goal line specialist, 56%.

This is over the last three years. In that span, Jemir gives 70% touchdown rate. The only guy I found that was better was Gus Sennifer. Edwards. I didn't do like a particular minimum of carries, but he's been unbelievable there. And that's what, to me, that's what separates him from Bijan, is that we've seen Bijan lose some carries there at the goal line to Alger previously. And I think he might again, at times to Brian Robinson. Oh, okay, fair. Pichekko was so bad at it in Kansas City. I have a hard time believing in Detroit's going to say,

all right, yeah, let's give the new guy a bunch of chances. And let's use him like Montgomery. And if they do that, they're not going to get as many touchdowns as Montgomery would have given them. So when we've seen Gibbs without Montgomery, he's, he's scored a bunch of games way north of 25 ppr points. So he's got 30 ppr point upside. And I don't think Bejohn's got that. You mean like average 30 a game? I mean, I don't think he can get to 30 a game. He's definitely going to have a lot of smash weeks. But I think he could average north of 25 per game. If he's getting almost all of the Montgomery inside the five carries

on top of everything else that he was doing? Yeah. I've got him projected for a point, more than a point, more than any other quarterback and fantasy.

More than any other quarterback. Any other non-quarterback, I'm sorry. Any other not I was about to say. Last thing on Gibbs, just like sort of bust related here, is that now I'm finally going to give you the numbers.

I've sort of teased it. But last year, in the first nine games of the season with Sam Leporta healthy, he was on pace for 66 targets. In the last eight games with Leporta out, he was on, oh, I don't have the targets, but he was on pace for 96 catches. So we did see his passing game involvement skyrocket when Leporta got hurt. I just want to bring that up because he had 77 catches last year.

What if it's more like 60? it's probably still fine, but... I've got him at 69, and that was with him being a point better than all other non-quarterbacks. All right. All right. Next player is Jackson, Smith, and Jigba.

Do you guys think he's busproof? I think he's pretty close to it. I mean, listen, when it comes to any wide receiver, not only does the receiver have to say healthy, but the quarterback has to say healthy, too. We just got done talking about George Halani, potentially being the starting running back for C. Seattle. Unless Jeddarian Price really comes out awesome to begin the year, I've got questions about

how effective this run game is going to be. And it might force Seattle into a higher pass rate than what they had last year. I think they were about 50-50 last year. And if they're going to throw more, that means just more targets overall for JSN. And I would love to have JSN get more than the, what was it, nine targets per game that he had last year? A little more than that. Yeah. So sign me up for I can't make a bus case for JSN saying, well, he's coming off his best year ever, and he's obviously going to regress. And it's Sam Darnold, a quarterback. I think Darnold has earned his credibility.

JSN has two. He's worth taking as a top five pick. Yeah, I think he's worth taking as a top five pick. But I do think, like, despite Dave's voice, like the fact that he went from 6.8 yards per target to 8. 8.2 to 11 last year does give you a little bit of concern. The fact that the guy that orchestrated that offense left, and they replaced him with kind of an unknown, an offensive coordinator,

that gives him a little more risk. And I think Sam Darnold has definitely earned our respect. Still, I think there's a chance that Sam Darnold is not as good as he was last year. There's a entirely possible. Oh, yeah. I mean, actually, Sam Darnold, which one of the most amazing stats, I remember looking this up going into the Super Bowl, being like, hmm, where do the Patriots have the edge?

Well, Drake May is such a great deep ball thrower. Sam Darnold led the NFL in yards per attempt on deep balls, 20 or more air yards last year. Like everything, everything was so good for Seattle. Their offensive line mostly stayed healthy. They had a couple of guys miss three or four games, but three guys played all 17 games. Kubiak obviously did a great job.

And then there's this for JSN. In his first two seasons, he had 34 play action targets. In his first two seasons combined, he had 34. Last year, he had 44, which led the NFL, at least led all wide receivers, probably the NFL. I didn't look at tight ends. And on those play action targets, actually, I'm not even sure of his targets, just play action routes, I don't know, whatever that is.

I have to try to calculate that. But whatever, he led the NFL in yards per route run on play action. and it was a huge number, 5.48 yards per out run on play action. So that was just a big part of their offense. If they don't run the ball well, maybe the play action isn't as successful. We've heard Andy Reid lament

how the Chief's play action passing game hasn't been as good lately because their run game has struggled. Is that going to happen to Seattle? So on one hand, if they don't run the ball well, you'll get more pass attempts. But if they don't run the ball well, maybe they won't be as successful

in this 12 personnel where they're looking, where they're, you know, coming out showing run and throwing on it. Maybe their offense takes a step back in that regard because they use the run basically to set up the pass. Does that make sense? As most teams do. They did it really well. They did. And I do agree with Heath that the change in play caller could be an issue.

And it's going to a guy who I think I'd have to go back and see the last time that he was calling plays. It's Brian Fleury. He's a Kyle Shanhan disciple. He's keeping the same playbook. I'm not a fan of that either, but even I think Brian Fleury knows that if he wants to be successful this year, he's got to scheme up ways to get JSN open.

And they can do that, even if the run game isn't as threatening as it has been previously. Well, he's fourth overall for Dave and Jamie, and he's, no, I'm sorry, he's fifth overall for Dave and Jamie and JSN is fourth for Heath,

but those are some of the things that might worry you a little bit. Heath, what worries you, if anything, about FFT Dynasty? Nothing worries me about FFT Dynasty. We've got my good friend, Rich Kooling, from Dynasty League football and Fantasy Sanctuary coming on tomorrow. Jacob Gibbs will be back on the show coming on Friday. It's going to be a fantastic week of FFT Dynasty. I think it's time to do another one-cubey rookie mock, because we haven't done one of those for a while.

and I've had some of my listeners saying, you know, I know everybody always asks for Superflex, but there's still more of us one QB players out there. Perfect. Yeah. I think it is weird that the default in dynasty is Superflex, which I think is a good thing.

It makes it more fair for the startup. Yes. I think, I think, like, I get it. I don't know that it makes it more fair, but I do think it's a little bit more fun. But I think that there's still the majority of leagues, even if our default is superflex,

the majority of the leagues are still one QB. Okay. All right. Next up is Drake London. Dave, this was your nomination, I believe? Sure it was. All right. Go ahead. What's the bus proofness of Drake London? 9.3 targets per game last year,

going to a quarterback and Tuatunga to begin this year who has seen his ADOT crater ever since 2023. There's a reason for it. I think it's going to continue. It means a lot of short area targets, and Drake London can catch a lot of those, make plays after the catch, and rack up PPR points to the tune of 16 per game, which is where he was each of the last two years. I don't, I'm not going to recommend Drake London saying this is going to be

his breakout year and he's going to get to 20 PPR points per game. I think that is unlikely. But as far as safe and bus proof to average somewhere between 15 and 16 PPR points per game, I think he'll get you there. And so that's why he's why. He's in that mix for me as one of those clear wide receivers to target. Let's call it between 10th and 15th overall in full PPR. He's going to go a lot further down the line in half a non-PPR. I think the targets and the catches are going to be what carries him more than anything else in Atlanta. You got, Eve.

I draft a lot of Drake London. So I'm not saying that I think drafting him between 10th and 15th is a bad idea. I draft him at the one-two turn a lot. I do think that it's hard to call him bust proof when like for a full season on a per game basis he's never finished as high as we're drafting him. He was wide receiver eight last year per game. Who were some of the receivers that finished ahead of him

in per game? I've got it right here if you... Yeah, go ahead. So I've got him at seven per game, but we're splitting airs. Obviously, Puka, Chase, JSN, Rishi Rice and eight games. I would imagine that Rice, if he plays 17 games, will have a better year than Drake London. Amunra, obviously.

And then there's George Pickens. I could see him taking a step back. And that's it. I mean, Olave finished one spot behind. Maybe he takes a step back. I've got a Lave one spot ahead. But here's the thing about London. They're really close.

They are. He was wide receiver three per game before his injury. And then he was absolutely abysmal in his last three games. He had 159 yards in three games, no touchdowns. Yeah, he was amazing in his first nine games. The other small risk to Drake London comes from from Pops in the Chet. Can Stafansky unlock pits consistently like Fanon last year? It's not just like Fanon like last year.

It's like all of Stafansky's careers, throw the wall to tight ends a lot. So if the target share comes down just a little bit and we're already drafting London close to his ceiling, then I mean, I don't think he's going to bust, bust. But if he's wide receiver 16 and you took him at 14th overall, that's bust. You're going to feel pretty gross about it. Yeah. I don't think he'll do that. But I like that set that Adam just gave, like how hot he was to begin the year. And then at nine, it all fell up.

part when he got hurt. Dave gave the guys who were ahead of him. I think also the guys who were right behind him is kind of instructive because it's Devante Adams. We don't think he'll be up there again. No. But Nico could bounce back. Sure.

expected to bounce back. A.J. Brown, a lot of people think he's going to have the best year of his career. C.D. Lamb, we expect him to bounce back. So there are some guys who were worse than him last year that we think might be better. Last thing on London is he's. He's played four years. Every year there's about 80, 85 wide receivers who get 50 or more targets. And here's where London has ranked in yards per target.

Again, let's just say 80 out of 80 receivers. 57th, 31st, 48th, and 31st. Yards per catch, 48th, 36th, 44th, and 30th. It's all about volume, Adam. Big play rate, 70th, 27th, 44th, and 41st. Yeah. If this dude gets even six targets per game, it's a disaster. But it's weird because he looks like a really good player.

You would think he could do better than that. It's like what we were talking about with Garrett Wilson. But he doesn't do a lot after the catch. I talk about that too much. All right. Let's see. Who's next here? So that's Jemir Gibbs, J.S.N.

Drake London. And Rishie Rice is next? Yeah, let's do it. We'll try to get to Rishie Rice before our break here. So Heath, you nominated Rishi Rice as bust proof. What does he do differently than all the other receivers? Well, if you'd look at the last 10 years of football and the best wide receivers in yards per route run,

this guy is the only one with an ADOT below seven yards. And his career ADDOT is about four and a half yards. He is a unicorn in that sense. There's no receiver in the NFL like him that's as productive, none. And I've always been wondering, can it maintain? And it always maintains, Heath. Will this year be any different? I don't really expect that this year will be any different.

I've kind of over and I'm getting ready to move Rice back up in my rankings after the show today. Because it sure doesn't sound like anybody thinks he's going to face any consequences from the NFL. I was a little worried about the rehabbing the knee in jail thing. But then after he got out of jail, we found out they allowed him to go to the hospital or see doctors and stuff while he was there. So I think the knee is probably full. fine. It was just a cleanup procedure. And he's like when he's been healthy since like week 10 or week 11 of his rookie season, he's been a top eight wide receiver on a per game basis.

Top 12 wide receiver on a per game basis right now. What? I give you. You're right on. In fact, you went too low. He's actually played since he broke out in week 12 of his rookie season, Rishie Rice has played 17 healthy, like remove the. one where he tore his knee.

This is going to be a good grief. No, he's played, he's played 17 games since you, no, I know. I'm just saying the numbers you're about to read are going to be insane. Oh, oh, yeah. Basically, you look at points per game. Other than non-PPR, he's fifth. He's fifth best. Like, based on 2025 points per game, 2024 points per game.

It's in full PPR, it's 18.7 points per game. And half PPR, it's 15.2. It's 120 catches, 10 touchdowns, 163,000. targets 13 77 yards it's a top five top five wide receiver in the last 17 healthy games of his career and and like I know the off the field stuff is concerning and and if we want to make a bust case based on that it's not hard to do um but he's also it's like he's a he's a round three pick right now right yeah uh if not round two i i think i think he felled around three Yeah, because of the off-field stuff.

But I think if you run the simulations a thousand times, and Rashi Rice play 17 games and Drake London play 17 games, Roshy Rice is going to outscore Bracquillan most times. Heath, what do you have for Kenneth Walker the third in terms of projections, carries and touches specifically? I've got him right now, and I'm a little low on his catches. That's fine. I don't think anybody would be.

I've got him at 304 touches for the year. 267 rush attempts, 37 receptions. And I have the other chiefs running backs, whoever that ends up being right around 100 rushes and 35 catches. For me, the bus case for Rishi Rice comes down to how effective the run game is for Kansas City. They've clearly tried to make it a much better, they're trying to improve it for obvious reasons. They couldn't get their ball going on the ground for much of the last few seasons. And so getting the Super Bowl MVP into the backfield kind of telegraphs what they want to do, particularly with a quarterback coming back from a torn ACL.

I looked into these numbers. There have been 18 games in Rishi Rice's career when a Chiefs running back, no matter who it is, whether it's Cream Hunt or Pacheco or whoever, when our Kansas City running back has had at least 15 carries. Rice has had 17 plus PPR points in eight of the 18 games. He had 14.4 and 1. Rishie Rice had 13.3 or fewer PPR points in the other nine. games. That's half of these games when a chiefs running back had at least 15 carries.

I do worry about there being more games where Rice doesn't see the target volume that we want because Kenneth Walker's too good and because the chiefs are able to run the ball better than they have ever been able to really since Rishi Rice came into the league. And so projecting him, I don't know what you have been projected for target-wise, but if you're projecting him for over nine targets per game, I'm wondering if that's going to fall short because the chiefs are going to try and run the ball more. And if they're able to run the ball effectively, that's going to mean fewer of those extended run targets

that Rice was getting. You know, the easy button targets that we talk about, Adam, those short screen passes, short hitch routes, all that stuff. Sportsline and I both have him projected for exactly 150 targets, which is 8.8 targets per game. That still seems like a lot if Kenneth Walker is good slash healthy. Okay, I got to take a break. I'll just a couple more notes on Rishi Wright.

when we come back, but he has certainly been one of the most consistent players in fantasy since the second half of his rookie season. We'll be right back on fantasy football today. Yeah, he's talking about Drake London versus Rishi Rice was interesting to me. If you want to buy into those first nine games of last season, Drake London was on pace for 113 catches, 1,530 yards, which is a lot better than the Rishi Rice 17 game number I gave you. The catches and the touchdowns are very similar. 11 touchdown pays for London, 178 targets.

So that stretch was better than the best, I think, of Rishi Rice. But it was only nine games. You know, he's had a four-year career. So I think fantasy managers will have to decide what they, what to make of that. And the last thing is, you know, we have not, Xavier Worthy was supposed to be a feature part of the offense last year. He got hurt almost immediately in week. one, Travis Kelsey got jealous, took him out. And then when he came back, was it,

right? Didn't he run into Kelsey in week one? Kelsey ran into him, I think. Yeah, right. Yeah, I was just kidding. But we came back and he wasn't healthy and didn't run a full route tree. So we still haven't seen Rishie Rice with the breakout version we were hoping for of Xavier Worthy. I don't know. Maybe he cuts into the targets a little bit. I don't know. But I do want to thank Heath for putting Kyron Williams on his bus-proof list because this one is definitely the most controversial. It's so easy to make a bus case for Kyron Williams, but you're not having any of it. No, because I think, per usual, he's being drafted lower than what his expectation should be. And so, like, listen, if you wanted to truly pick bust-proof players, just pick guys who are

going late enough that they can't bust. but I think Kyran a lot of times is there at the 3-4 turn and yeah he's going to share with Blake Coram and it probably would be like a 55-45 split but this is maybe the best offense in the NFL maybe the best defense in the NFL and a guy in Kyron Williams who just year over year

over year out produces our draft expectations he was a RB 9 in per game in half a non-PPR RB 11 last year in full PPR and uh in his last 11 games he still was on pace for 254 carries but he was only the number of 14 running back per game in his last 11 games in full PPR 10th and non 13th and half PPR 14th per game in full PPR so and I don't think Dave do you have the your current only fans ADP? Yeah, I can get that. I don't think he's being drafted quite that high now. He's scored double-digit rushing touchdowns each of the last three years,

two to three receiving touchdowns each of the last three years. He's not involved heavily in the past game, but it's also not, he's not Derek Henry. He's got right around 45 to 50 targets every year. Yeah, in the last 11 games, because he wasn't just splitting, I would say he was probably splitting his passing. downs roll a little bit with Blake Corum a little bit.

In the last 11 games, he was only on pace for 28 catches. But I don't know if that was really just a target per route run rate. Yeah, Corum wasn't really doing much. Corum only played 17.2% of the third down routes. He only ran 17% of the third down route. So that number could go up, those 28 catches. All right, I think the bus case is obviously they split a lot, and he doesn't do much in the passing game.

By the way, on fantasy pros, Kyron Williams is RB15, which is basically what he was last year in those last 11 games. What he was after he started splitting with Quorum. Yeah, yeah. Okay. But I think, in case you've forgotten,

the Rams, in seven of nine seasons under Shaw McVeigh, they are top four in running back carries inside the five-yard line. It is awesome. They just produce a lot of opportunities for touchdowns. Dave, anything you want to add on, Kyron? He's going just after the two-three turn in our fan-only mock drafts, 26 overall,

right in around that running back 15 range. There were 11 games last year, including the postseason when Corum played 30% or more of the snaps, and he had 11 touchdowns total in those 11 games. So as long as he's got that role, and he's still, you know, kind of fending off Blake Corum for overtaking him on a weekly basis in carries, he should be pretty safe to use Jamie's term. To me, he's the bridge running back between the super high-end RB2s and the RB2s you start to have questions about. And the more RB2s you don't have questions about, the less likely you're going to be to get Kyron Williams on your team. Next up is Josh Allen. By the way, did you just

give Jamie credit for coming up with the bridge running back? Yeah. Wow. Is that you? You're going to take credit for that? I don't know. I think it may have been. I thought it was me, actually. Sure's no, wasn't me. Josh Allen, Dave, you nominated him. I mean, I mean, this is easy, right? I think, you know, he's a guy who's past attempts and rush attempts, I believe, have come down in recent years. But he is, he is the most consistent player that I think I've ever seen in fantasy. It hasn't had a bad year in, what, five years or something? So, I wonder if, like, Drew Bree, and all those guys had that kind of run

where they stayed healthy and were great every single year for five straight years. But anyways, is there anything to say about Josh Allen? Not only is he one of these amazing dual threat quarterback. Six straight years.

Go ahead. Not only is he one of these amazing dual threat quarterbacks, but they just improved his receiving core with DJ Moore. Yeah. Anything to add, Heath? I don't think there's really a bust

case to make for Josh Allen, except that when we get to August, we're all going to say that you shouldn't draft Josh Allen as early as he's going. That's fair. So, like, yeah, in our drafts, Josh Allen is completely bustproof, as are a lot of the quarterbacks, because we're big dummies. When Josh Allen in August has an ADP of 14th overall, he's probably going to end up in Jamie or Dave or I's. article saying you shouldn't draft any quarterback that early.

Okay. Let's go to Dak Prescott. Dave, you said Dak Prescott is bust proof. He finished his QB8 per game. He did that with a terrible performance in Week 18, where he left at halftime against the vaunted Giants defense. But he has been a top eight quarterback on a per game basis in five of the last seven seasons. there had two exceptions were

22 when he didn't throw that much and he had a high interception rate and 2024 when he once again had a high interception rate. That seems to be the one thing that can really slow DAC down. Do wonder about the past attempts though and the defense should be better.

But anyway, I agree. Yeah, like do you think Dak Prescott is busproof? I do worry about the defense being better and that making, that'll make games more competitive for the Cowboys this year. but it doesn't mean that he's going to throw a lot less than he has in the past. I think Javante Williams is solid as a running back.

He got plenty of work last year. Don't really see that changing. But DAC has two amazing wide receivers. He's got a tight end that he loves throwing to. We just talked up Ryan Flanoy is an offseason winner. That's just another guy that can help Dak Prescott rack up yardage and touchdowns. When you're looking for a quarterback in the middle of your draft or even a little bit later than that, I think he's as safe as it gets.

and I think that he could absolutely average. He was at 22 per game last year. I think he can be a little bit better than that. Heath, has Dag Prescott super safe to you? Yeah, yeah, absolutely. Very good, surefire QB1 that gets probably drafted just a little bit later than he should. Right.

Okay. So again, top eight in five of the last seven seasons on a per game basis. I really feel bad. I wish I had done more research on this, but looking for teams that improved a lot defensively last year to this year, but I want to go back several years

and see how it affected their pass rate. So last year, some of the teams that took the biggest jumps in points per game allowed, really bad in 2024, much better in 2025. Carolina, San Francisco, Jacksonville,

Cleveland, Atlanta, and New England. The Panthers, well, the teams that had like a pretty significant decrease in pass rate were the Panthers, the Jaguars, and the Patriots.

To an extent, Cleveland, they went from first to seventh in pass rate. But three teams had a pretty big drop, 11th to 20th. Like, okay, I won't give all the numbers, so it's too confusing. But Carolina, Jacksonville, and New England,

Two of those teams had new coaches. So keep that in mind. I kind of figured New England was going to be more run heavy with Vrable. But the better defense made a difference there. It didn't for San Francisco. They actually increased in pass rate. And Cleveland again went from first to seventh. And Atlanta improved 10 spots defensively.

They increased slightly in pass rate. So just based on that, I don't have any big conclusions, but it's relevant for Dallas. It's relevant for Cincinnati. these teams did a lot to, on paper, improve defensively. And we're hoping for a lot of pass attempts from them. I don't know, Dave, if we'll get it. I think we'll still get.

What did DAC have last year? I don't have it in front of me as far as pass attempts per game. Well, 600 for the season, but he didn't play weeks 18 very much. Sure. Yeah, so let's say like 590 divided by 60, around 3637. That number could go down by maybe three attempts per game. I still think he's going to be really good. Do I think he's going to be top five?

No, and we're drafting him accordingly. But you mentioned the defense. This Cowboys defense added six new starters. They've got a new defensive coordinator. It kind of lines up with some of the things that you were saying, Adam. They should be, and they were a better unit last year after they acquired Quinn and Williams. And now Williams is back. Their pass rush is going to be much better than it was last year.

The secondary is going to be better. I don't think they're going to have a lot of games. where they're just blowing people out. But I do think they're going to have a lot of games where it's 27-24 in the fourth quarter instead of 27-13 and Dax got to throw nonstop. So the Dallas Cowboys

had the fifth best defense in the NFL in 2023. Dack Prescott averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game. That's still really good. And it's a lot. Last thing I'd say, though, is he doesn't run like he used to. He's getting up there.

he's going to be 33 years old in a month. And the yards per carry was really bad last year. That could bounce back a little bit. It's not going to bounce back that much. But, yeah, he's not the runner he once was. I think you'd be happy if he got 200 rushing yards out of him, whereas he used to get over 300 or at least, you know, per 17 games over 300 yards.

First three seasons of his career, Doc Prescott scored six rushing touchdowns each year. He's one or two rushing touchdowns a year now. So things are a little bit different, but good setup for him. Cool. Anything else, guys? Okay, great.

I was just, every once in a while I wonder over to Twitter. And I'm completely shocked. Dusty May is going to the NBA. Yeah. Dusty May to the NBA to be the Dallas Mavericks head coach. From FAU to the NBA in a very short period of time. Yes, of course, Michigan in there as well. Right.

That was the stepping stone. Pretty cool. Hey, Heath, we haven't spoken. The Knicks won the championship. They did. Congratulations. It was a great victory. The city handled it really brilliantly.

Responsible city you have there. You know. And I think it's fantastic. That happens all the time of these big cities. People are so stupid. I'm going to set a car on fire. We just won. What is wrong with people?

What did that school bus do to anybody? Did they damage a school bus? Yeah. Oh, geez. It's pathetic. I think the behavior at the parade was pretty good, and it was a ridiculously well-attended parade, not by me, obviously. No. And I don't know if you saw or not, but I entirely endorse your parade take.

Thank you. The only good parades are in towns of less than 10,000 people, where everybody just gets to see, like, their kid on a float going down a street, and it takes 20 minutes and it's over. Yeah, they do a, they do, I don't even know if I would agree with that. I don't think there's anything as such as a good parade. The only good parade for me is one where I can watch it from my house, you know, where I don't have to travel.

It's just parking. It's just such a mess. The last thing I'm going to do is watch a parade on my television. Yeah, I didn't watch it. Oh, watched a very good movie last night. I'm trying to remember what the name of it was now. It was on Paramount Plus. Think about it.

Teenagers really gotten into horror movies. Oh. So it was the primate. I never heard of it. Primate. It was really enjoyed it. But last thing, in your honor, Heath, because you quoted this movie a few weeks ago,

I started watching a movie that I had never seen before. I love it. I cannot wait to finish. I finally started watching a few good men. Oh, yes. It's fantastic. Yeah, I'm fired up to finish. In fact,

I have a doctor's appointment today, but I will try to watch a little bit later on. Anyway, have a wonderful name. Probably Tom Cruise's best movie. Wow. That's bold. Yeah, I mean, what's his second best movie? The new top gun on. Jeremy Gweyer.

The Navrick? It's Jeremy Gwire. Well, obviously. All right. We'll talk tomorrow on Fantasy Football Day. See you. Thank you.