Fantasy Football Today - Conference Championship DFS Lineup Strategy: WIN BIG with Dave and Adam! (1/23 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Starting point is 00:00:00 Calling all sellers, Salesforce is hiring account executives to join us on the cutting edge of technology. Here, innovation isn't a buzzword. It's a way of life. You'll be solving customer challenges faster with agents, winning with purpose, and showing the world what AI was meant to be. Let's create the agent-first future together. Head to salesforce.com slash careers to learn more. It's not too late to play fantasy football. Let's get some DFS lineups for conference championship weekend right now on FFT Express. Welcome everybody.

Starting point is 00:00:40 Adam and Dave here expressing ourselves and sharing our fantasy lineups with you. I still get a little queasy when you whisper express like that. Want me to whisper the entire show with that? No, I don't want you to whisper at all. I don't think that's not I don't think that's on the table. You're gonna whisper again? At the end of the show and I sign off.

Starting point is 00:01:01 Yeah, maybe during the commercial break, you know, when I said at the break. Yeah, I'm gonna whisper. All right. it's weird. Let's get to DFS lamps All right. When you look at the four quarterbacks playing this week, how would you rank them? Not even in terms of value just overall Overall Alan would be first Daniels would be second my homes would be third hurts would be, and that's because I'm nervous that Jalen Hertz won't be 100%. And as we talked about on the main show, he's clearly a different quarterback when he's not at 100%. And I think the commanders would treat him much differently if he were not running. I think they'd play a ton more man coverage. They started out that way when they played against them in Week 16. At

Starting point is 00:01:46 times it worked for them and at times it didn't before he got concussed and left the game. But I, I just, I think that it's a huge factor. How mobile is he? How well can he plant on his foot and throw downfield? Is A.J AJ Brown OK to catch passes from him. Obvious factors that could change how effective this Philadelphia offense could be. That's why he's fourth. That's why I'm going to have a hard time putting AJ Brown in any of my lineups. And here's another thing. Even if you want to forget about Jalen Hurts' health, he's thrown 22 or fewer pass attempts in six of his last eight games. I'm not counting the game he left with the injury, the concussion, 22 or fewer pass attempts. He's thrown for 179 or fewer yards in five of his last six games. Meanwhile, Saquon Barkley has 25 or more carries

Starting point is 00:02:39 in four straight games. And the commander's run defense, by the way, it's awful. They give up like 4.9 yards for carry to running backs. And their last five, that's exactly what they've given up. It's for the whole season. They've been that bad. So it just seems so obvious on paper what the game plan will be. Now, if the Eagles defense can't keep Jayden Daniels in check, all right, then maybe we get more pass attempts. And maybe if you believe in Jayden Daniels, if we leave in the commanders to put up 25 or more points or something, then maybe we get more past attempts and maybe if you believe in Jayden Danvers, you believe in the commanders to put up 25 or more points or something, then maybe you throw AJ Brown in your lineup.

Starting point is 00:03:10 He is super expensive, but he's definitely, I think he's going to be a contrarian play because he's just been so bad working through this injury. I could say the same exact thing for Devontae Smith and Dallas Goddard. I think all Eagles, except for Saquon in their defense, will be contrarian plays. Yeah. And then, yeah, so who's the best value at quarterback? Is it Mahomes?

Starting point is 00:03:34 I think it's Mahomes. He's cheaper on DraftKings than Hertz is by 500 bucks. And Mahomes has plenty of upside. You chronicled on the main show how good he's been in the playoffs against Buffalo, how much he runs in the playoffs in general. And he still has an excellent receiving core to throw to. And yeah, we'll go to the running backs here. We didn't really talk about Kareem Hunt, but Kareem Hunt does appear to be the goal line

Starting point is 00:04:02 back since Isaiah Pacheco returned. They have about the same amount of carries regular season and postseason. Pacheco does not have a touchdown Kareem Hunt has three of them. They're from one, two and three yards out. So you could that would be good value if he could get you a touchdown. You love Barkley though. I mean I just laid out why it's you feel like the whole world knows why you don't have to get into it. How do you feel about James Cook, Brian Robinson? I have Eckler. I think Eckler had a huge game against the Eagles the first time.

Starting point is 00:04:32 I think he's going to be pretty involved. Who do you want at this position other than Barclay? He didn't play in the second game. So we really only seen the one time against Philadelphia in the second game. I think Robinson and McNichols combined for six catches. So that seems to be something that Washington will do against this defense, is have Jayden Daniels check down or have design throws to their running back because they probably don't figure that they can run the ball the traditional way against this Eagles-run defense, which since their bye week has been absolutely outstanding, regardless of what we

Starting point is 00:05:06 saw from Kyron Williams in the snow last week. I think you'll see Saquon is the best running back. James Cook is second best. I'm hoping, thinking, I'm picking Buffalo, because I think James Cook will have a real good game against this Chiefs defense. Their run defense has started to fade a little bit down the stretch. And I think Cook could be a catalyst for Buffalo to win the game. Eckler would be third just because of the catches, the upside that he presents. He can break off long gains off of short catches. Totally expect the game script to favor Eckler in a big way that it didn't quite have last week against Detroit. Okay, so let's take a break and we'll come back. We'll talk about the wide receivers and the tight ends and we'll give some lineups for you on FFT.

Starting point is 00:05:59 Get ready for Las Vegas style action at BetMGM, the king of online casinos. Enjoy casino games at your fingertips with the same Vegas strip excitement MGM is famous for when you play the classics, like MGM Grand Millions or popular games like Blackjack, Baccarat and Roulette. With our ever-growing library of digital slot games, a large selection of online table games and signature BetMGM service, there is no better way to bring the excitement and ambiance of Las Vegas home to you than with BetMGM Casino.

Starting point is 00:06:31 Download the BetMGM Casino app today. BetMGM and GameSense remind you to please play responsibly. BetMGM.com for Ts and Cs, 19 plus to wager. Ontario only. Please play responsibly. If you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact Connex Ontario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor free of charge. That MGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement

Starting point is 00:06:57 with iGaming Ontario. Is that better? Much better. All right, I didn't think so. Wide receivers here, it's a tough position. We're not really into AJ Brown, but it's a good contrarian play. Are you into Terry McLaurin? Very much so, but I think the whole world will be. He'll probably be the most rostered wide receiver across the sites this weekend. And it makes sense. He's been great.

Starting point is 00:07:26 He's the number one target for Jayden Daniels. The game script is expected where the commanders are gonna have to throw. And why wouldn't they? Because Daniels has been throwing the ball well and this is his top target. In terms of yards, D'Ami Brown has had two of the three best games of his career in the playoffs.

Starting point is 00:07:45 He's only had one game in his entire four-year career with more yards than what he's done in these two playoff games. So I have a hard time buying it, but I think he's also going to be popular. I actually put him in my lineup before McLaurin because I've seen what the Eagles can do to number one receivers, including Terry McLaurin. McLaurin had an awful game. McLaurin also had an awful game when he was shadowed by AJ Terrell in week 17. So, you know, he's not going to be shadowed this week and Quindin Mitchell may not play. I do like McLaurin.

Starting point is 00:08:17 I think Mitchell's playing. He might not be at 100%. Yeah, I do like him. I don't want to poo poo him too much, but... Well, how do you feel about starting two commanders pass catchers whether it's McLaurin with Brown McLaurin with Ertz. I don't have a problem with that And then you're hoping that at least one of them has a monster game and the other one doesn't kill you Yeah, I well, I just think brown is so cheap that you kind of have to put him in there wide receivers Really tough this week. So Xavier worthyy to me is a must have guy. And the Ami Brown, I have one lineup with those three McLaurin, Worthy and Brown.

Starting point is 00:08:52 I'm going to tell you one at the end of this show. And I have one lineup with Brown, McLaurin and Shakir. Do you like Shakir? I do. He's in the lineup that I'm going to give toward the end of the show as well. Obviously, the easy option for Josh Allen to throw to. And I feel like he's safe. Can he get you 16 PPR points? That might be a little tough to expect. But I do think that he's an inexpensive staple who won't hurt you too bad in tournaments. We saw Jalen Watson come back for the Chiefs. He only played 59% of the snaps, but it was a very good performance against the past for the Chiefs last week against Houston.

Starting point is 00:09:36 They've just been so much better when they're number two cornerback. Jalen Watson has been on the field. But Shakir, I mean, it is kind of interesting. Shakir operates out of the slot. Chiefs have arguably the best slot corner in the field. But Shakir, I mean, it is kind of interesting. Shakir operates out of the slot. Chiefs have arguably the best slot corner in the NFL. Just want to check the game a lot real quick. First time he played them. Oh, eight for 70 on 12 targets. So he was just fine against the chief. You'd be happy with that. All right. With that said, actually, why don't we go to tight end? We'll go to tight end and then we'll talk about dart throws.

Starting point is 00:10:07 Just guys that we don't think are going to be rostered in hardly any leagues that might pay off. But tight end's not that bad, I guess. You've got respectable guys here, but is it worth paying up for Kelsey? Yes, because it just looks like playoff Kelsey has arrived. We saw it last week. I think everybody's going to buy in. The next highest price tight end on DraftKings is Dallas Goddard,

Starting point is 00:10:32 and he's 1,500 less than Travis Kelsey. I just say pay up for Kelsey, and I think a lot of people will do it, but he should be able to pay off. He should be able to have another good game where he scores, and at least 60 yards, six catches. That's fine. If he does those three things, that's 18 PPR points right there. And he's got upside to get 10 catches for 125 yards and two touchdowns. Who knows what he'll do? So the upside is there. I think Kelsey should be there. It

Starting point is 00:11:02 would be very contrarian to go in a different direction at tight end. Okay. Let's throw some darts. Any, any darts out there? I'm, I challenged myself to come up with a lineup without Saquon Barkley, James Cook or Austin Eckler. And so the two running back darts that I'm throwing are Kareem Hunt, who might score twice. He's the goal line back for Kansas City. And we never really saw Isaiah Pacheco become the feature back once he returned from his leg injury. Hasn't happened. So maybe Kareem Hunt just has just as big of a role as Pacheco plus goal line work. So I put Hunt in my lineup, and I put Ty Johnson in my lineup. I am expecting James Cook to have a big game. I think he could be a reason why the Bills win.

Starting point is 00:11:45 But if I'm wrong on that and Buffalo is trailing, well, Ty Johnson's their third down back, he's their passing downs back. He'll be on the field and available to catch passes from Josh Allen. And we saw it, he's capable of making big plays. So at 4,400 at running back to be contrarian, I put him in my lineup as well.

Starting point is 00:12:04 So at 4,400 at running back to be contrarian, I put him in my lineup as well. All this Diami Brown hype that everyone in the world is the internet's buzzing about him now, um, before him, it was a Lama Dezakias. I don't know why it can't necessarily be a Lama Dezakias. This game, his snaps were way down. He only played 44% of the snaps last week. So that is a little concerning, but he ended the season with four, eight, nine and five targets. He had a couple of really good games in there. He had a 51 yard game in week 17, a week 18 on five targets. So I guess that would be a dart throw for me. And that's, that's pretty much all I've

Starting point is 00:12:40 got. All right. Give me your favorite DFS lineup. This isn't my favorite. This is the one that I'm putting together without Saquon Cook, Eckler. It's Josh Allen, a quarterback. You already know the running backs, Cream Hunt and Ty Johnson. Adam, we already talked about all four of the receivers I'm using. McLaurin, Shakir, Xavier Worthy. Xavier Worthy is $200 less than Khalil Shakir and Diami Brown is in there and my flex at 4,400 that did afford me the chance to go with Kelsey at 6,000 and the Eagles defense hoping that they can get a couple of sacks, a couple of turnovers, 3,300 against the commanders. And that is on DraftKings. My very chalky fan duel lineup has Josh Allen who has scored 30 or

Starting point is 00:13:24 more fantasy points and six points for passing touchdown leagues in all three playoff games against the Chiefs. Josh Allen, Saquon Barkley, James Cook, Xavier Worthy, Khalil Shakir, Diyami Brown, Travis Kelsey, Austin Eckler, and the Commander's DST. Okay. Thanks for watching and listening everybody. We'll talk to you on Monday on FFT.

Fantasy Football Today - Conference Championship DFS Lineup Strategy: WIN BIG with Dave and Adam! (1/23 Fantasy Football Podcast)

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.